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2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania

April 22, 2023

See also: 2022 United States Senate elections

The 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.[1] Democratic lieutenant governor John Fetterman won his first term in office, defeating Republican surgeon Mehmet Oz. Fetterman succeeded incumbent Republican senator Pat Toomey, who did not seek re-election after two terms. The election marked the only U.S. Senate seat to flip parties in the 2022 midterms.

2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania
← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →
 
Nominee John Fetterman Mehmet Oz
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 2,751,012 2,487,260
Percentage 51.3% 46.3%
Fetterman:      40-50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Oz:      40-50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
     No data
Tie:      40–50%      50%
U.S. senator before election

Pat Toomey
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

John Fetterman
Democratic

In the May 17 primary, Fetterman won the Democratic nomination with 59% of the vote.[2] Oz finished with a 0.1% margin ahead of businessman David McCormick in the Republican primary, triggering an automatic recount. McCormick conceded the nomination on June 3,[3] making Oz the first Muslim candidate to be nominated by either major party for U.S. Senate.[4]

The general election was among the most competitive of the 2022 midterms and characterized as highly contentious. Fetterman framed Oz as an elitist carpetbagger with a radical anti-abortion stance in the wake of Roe v. Wade being overturned, while Oz framed Fetterman as a socialist insufficiently committed to fighting crime. Fetterman's health was also a major issue due to him suffering a stroke days before his primary victory.[5] Although Fetterman led most pre-election polls, concerns towards his health and a scrutinized debate performance helped Oz take a narrow lead before the election.[6][7][8]

Despite Oz's lead in final polls, Fetterman won by a 5% margin, becoming the first Democrat elected to this seat since 1962,[9][10] and providing Senate Democrats a net gain of one seat and their first outright majority since 2015. With Fetterman's victory, elected Democrats held both Pennsylvania Senate seats for the first time since 1947.[a]

Republican primary

 
Former U.S. Treasury Under Secretary David McCormick narrowly lost the primary.
 
Author Kathy Barnette finished third in the primary.
 
Former U.S. Ambassador to Denmark Carla Sands finished fourth in the primary.
 
Former Pennsylvania Boxing Commissioner George Bochetto finished sixth in the primary.

Campaign

Early campaign

In October 2020, incumbent Republican senator Pat Toomey decided not to run for re-election, stating that he wished to return to the private sector.[11]

By October 2021, businessman Jeff Bartos, who had posted strong fund-raising totals, and veteran Sean Parnell, who had the endorsement of former President Donald Trump, emerged as the race's front-runners.[12] However, Parnell's campaign faced a large scandal in November 2021, after his ex-wife, Laurie Snell, testified in court during a custody hearing for the couple's children that Parnell strangled and spit on her, abused their children, and told her to "go get an abortion."[13] Even prior to these allegations doubts had arisen among Republicans regarding Parnell's fundraising ability, and it became widely assumed that he would suspend his campaign if he did not win custody of his children.[14] On November 22, 2021, Snell was given custody of the children and Parnell subsequently suspended his campaign.[15]

Entry of Oz and McCormick

On November 30, with Parnell out of the race, Mehmet Oz, a celebrity doctor and television personality, announced his candidacy.[16] Oz's campaign entered an immediate controversy over whether Oz himself was a resident of Pennsylvania, as he had lived in Cliffside Park, New Jersey, for most of his life and had only registered to vote in Pennsylvania in October 2020.[16][17] The January 2022 entrance of David McCormick, a businessman, into the race prompted attacks for McCormick's past detraction of Trump and criticism of "America First" economic policies from Oz allies.[18] Super PACs allied to McCormick hit back with a spate of well-funded television advertisements, accusing Oz of being a "Hollywood liberal."[19]

Republican straw polls in January 2022 indicated strong support for Bartos and political commentator Kathy Barnette among party activists as the campaign started to escalate. Bartos won the Republican State Committee Central Caucus's straw poll, placing first with 49 votes, while Barnette finished in second place with 30 votes. McCormick and Sands trailed at third and fourth place; and Oz and former Boxing Commissioner George Bochetto performed poorly, each receiving only one vote.[20][21] Despite this, political commentators largely considered Oz and McCormick to be the frontrunners, with the other candidates trailing them.[22]

The McCormick campaign targeted Oz's ties to Turkey and called on him to renounce his Turkish citizenship, accusing Oz of harboring dual loyalties.[23] Oz later stated that if he were elected to the Senate, he would renounce his Turkish citizenship.[24] Former President Trump endorsed Oz on April 10, citing the popularity of his television show and perceived appeal to female voters.[25] Oz frequently highlighted this endorsement, it becoming one of his major talking points during the campaign.[22]

Late campaign

Oz had been ahead of the other candidates in the polls since the start of his campaign, with McCormick soon rising quickly in the polls to challenge Oz, both men polling the low 20s. Barnette had also begun to rise in the polls at this point after a string of attention-getting debate performances and an ad spend in support of her by the Club for Growth. Her late surge prompted a change in tactics from the two frontrunners, who had largely ignored her as irrelevant until then.[26] Pro-Oz Super PAC American Leadership Action launched an ad campaign accusing Barnette of supporting Black Lives Matter, while McCormick stated that Barnette was unelectable, citing her heavy loss in a U.S. House race the previous election cycle.[26] Oz himself also accused Barnette of Islamophobia, pointing to a 2015 tweet in which she stated, "Pedophilia is a Cornerstone of Islam."[27]

Candidates

Nominees

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

  • John Debellis, small business owner[39]
  • John Eichenberg, truck driver[40]
  • Robert Jeffries, perennial candidate[41]
  • Ron Johnson, U.S. Armed Forces veteran, former construction worker, and former Walmart manager[42][43] (ran as the Constitution nominee)
  • Richard Mulholland, HVAC technician[44]
  • Max Richardson[45]
  • Martin Rosenfeld, Elk County deputy sheriff and treasurer of the Elk County Republican Party[46]
  • David Xu, U.S. Army veteran, college professor and IT business owner[47]

Withdrew

Declined

Debates and forums

2022 Pennsylvania Senate election Republican primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Kathy Barnette George Bochetto Jeff Bartos Sean Gale David McCormick Mehmet Oz Carla Sands Everett Stern
1 Feb. 22, 2022 BroadandLiberty.com
Pennsylvania Chamber of Business & Industry 		Becky Corbin Video P P P N A A A P
2 Apr. 25, 2022 Nexstar/WHTM-TV Dennis Owens
Lisa Sylvester 		Video P N P N P P P W
3 May 4, 2022 Newsmax TV Greta Van Susteren
Rick Dayton 		P N P N P P P W

Endorsements

Kathy Barnette
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Organizations
Newspapers and other media
Individuals
Jeff Bartos
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State senators
State representatives
Organizations
Individuals
George Bochetto
Judges
Labor unions
Robert Jeffries
Individuals
David McCormick
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. Governors
U.S. Representatives
Local officials
Labor unions
Newspapers and other media
Individuals
Mehmet Oz
U.S. Presidents
Executive branch officials
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
Individuals
Carla Sands
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Sean Parnell (withdrawn)
U.S. Presidents
  • Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021) (switched endorsement to Oz after Parnell withdrew)[99]
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Individuals
Craig Snyder (withdrawn)
Executive branch officials
U.S. Representatives
Declined to endorse
Organizations
Newspapers and other media

Polling

Graphical summary
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Kathy
Barnette 		Jeff
Bartos 		David
McCormick 		Mehmet
Oz 		Carla
Sands 		Other[b] Margin
Real Clear Politics May 3–16, 2022 May 17, 2022 24.2% 5.4% 19.6% 26.8% 6.0% 18.0% Oz +2.6
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c]		 Margin
of error 		Kathy
Barnette 		Jeff
Bartos 		David
McCormick 		Mehmet
Oz 		Sean
Parnell 		Carla
Sands 		Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) May 14–16, 2022 1,195 (LV) ± 2.9% 27% 7% 22% 29% – 7% 4%[d] 6%
Emerson College May 14–15, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 24% 5% 21% 28% – 6% 1%[e] 15%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) May 12–15, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 27% 2% 11% 28% – 3% 3%[f] 26%
Osage Research (R)[A] May 12–13, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 24% 6% 25% 24% – 7% 1%[g] 13%
InsiderAdvantage (R) May 7–9, 2022 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 21% 5% 19% 23% – 5% 3%[h] 26%
The Trafalgar Group (R) May 6–8, 2022 1,080 (LV) ± 3.0% 23% 7% 22% 25% – 7% 2%[h] 15%
Fox News May 3–7, 2022 1,001 (LV) ± 3.0% 19% 7% 20% 22% – 8% 4%[i] 18%
Franklin & Marshall College April 20 – May 1, 2022 325 (RV) ± 6.9% 12% 2% 16% 18% – 5% 6%[j] 39%
The Trafalgar Group (R) April 11–13, 2022 1,074 (LV) ± 3.0% 18% 8% 20% 23% – 11% 3%[k] 17%
Franklin & Marshall College March 30 – April 10, 2022 317 (RV) ± 6.6% 7% 6% 15% 16% – 5% 8%[l] 43%
April 7–9, 2022 502 (LV) ± 4.4% 9% 6% 18% 11% – 9% 2%[m] 45%
Emerson College April 3–4, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 10% 9% 18% 17% – 8% 6%[n] 33%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A] March 29 – April 3, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 13% 8% 22% 16% – 11% 1%[g] –
Emerson College March 26–28, 2022 372 (LV) ± 5.0% 6% 5% 14% 14% – 6% 3%[o] 51%
Basswood Research (R)[B] March 19–21, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 11% 5% 22% 25% – 13% 1%[g] 23%
Fox News March 2–6, 2022 960 (LV) ± 3.0% 9% 9% 24% 15% – 6% 3%[p] 31%
TargetPoint Consulting (R) February 25–28, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 5% 10% 25% 19% – 11% 6% 25%
Franklin & Marshall College February 21–27, 2022 178 (LV) ± 10.1% 6% 4% 13% 10% – 11% 3% 53%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A] ~February 23, 2022 – (LV) – 9% 5% 24% 18% – 11% 1%[g] –
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[C] February 16–18, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% – – 24% 18% – – 31% 27%
Osage Research (R)[A] February 13–16, 2022 825 (LV) ± 4.0% 7% 6% 24% 21% – 11% 3% 28%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A] ~February 9, 2022 – (LV) – 9% 5% 17% 23% – 17% 1%[g] –
The Trafalgar Group (R) February 1–4, 2022 1,070 (LV) ± 3.0% 9% 7% 16% 27% – 15% 6%[q] 22%
Osage Research (R)[A] January 31 – February 2, 2022 – (LV) – – – 19% 29% – – – –
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A] ~January 6, 2022 – (LV) – 9% 8% 13% 31% – 12% – –
The Trafalgar Group (R) December 13–16, 2021 1,062 (LV) ± 3.0% 8% 3% – 19% – 7% 12%[r] 51%
Echelon Insights (R) December 1–3, 2021 200 (LV) ± 6.9% 7% 4% – 11% – 5% 10%[s] 63%
November 22, 2021 Parnell withdraws from the race
October 31 – November 5, 2021 799 (LV) ± 3.5% 7% 6% – – 31% 8% 2%[t] 54%
Franklin & Marshall College October 18–24, 2021 184 (RV) ± 8.8% 3% 2% – – 11% 2% 3%[u] 78%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[D] October 11–14, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% – 7% – – 27% 4% 5% 57%
Franklin & Marshall College August 9–15, 2021 154 (RV) ± 10.9% 6% 4% – – 14% 1% 10%[v] 66%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c]		 Margin
of error 		David
McCormick 		Mehmet
Oz 		Undecided
TargetPoint Consulting (R) February 25–28, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 56% 26% 18%

Results

Following the first night of results, it became clear that Oz and McCormick were the top two vote-getters in the election; however, the margin between them was too close to declare a victor.[107] A mandatory recount then began.[108][107] Former President Trump encouraged Oz to declare victory on election night, stating that Oz would only be defeated as a result of election fraud; these claims were noted by Politico as echoing Trump's baseless claims of election fraud in the 2020 presidential election.[109] With McCormick having done better with mail-in ballots, Oz opposed counting ballots which were received by election offices before election day but were missing dates on the envelopes.[110] A state court later required counties to count undated ballots as valid.[111]

On June 3, McCormick conceded to Oz, saying he could not make up the deficit in the recount.[112]

 
Results by county:
  Oz
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  McCormick
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Barnette
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results[108]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mehmet Oz 420,168 31.21%
Republican David McCormick 419,218 31.14%
Republican Kathy Barnette 331,903 24.66%
Republican Carla Sands 73,360 5.45%
Republican Jeff Bartos 66,684 4.95%
Republican Sean Gale 20,266 1.51%
Republican George Bochetto 14,492 1.08%
Total votes 1,346,091 100.0%

Democratic primary

 
U.S. Representative Conor Lamb finished second in the primary.
 
State representative Malcolm Kenyatta finished third in the primary.
 
Jenkintown borough councilor Alexandra Khalil finished fourth in the primary.

Campaign

The first two major Democratic candidates were Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania John Fetterman and state representative Malcolm Kenyatta.[113] Both Fetterman and Kenyatta were considered to be staunchly progressive Democrats, but the two men were felt to appeal to different demographics.[113] By July 2021, Fetterman was considered the frontrunner as a result of his high name recognition and strong fundraising.[114] U.S. Representative Conor Lamb, a political moderate, entered the race on August 6, 2021.[115][116]

As the campaign progressed, Lamb and Fetterman became the two most prominent candidates, with Kenyatta and Montgomery County Commissioner Val Arkoosh also receiving media attention. Fetterman had maintained his frontrunner status as of December, and the other three contenders were viewed as mainly competing with each other in order to claim the anti-Fetterman mantle.[117] On February 4, 2022, Arkoosh withdrew from the race, her campaign having previously suffered from poor poll results and low support from party activists, leaving Kenyatta as the only major candidate from the Philadelphia region.[118] Both Kenyatta and Lamb were considered to have a good chance at picking up voters who had previously supported Arkoosh, Lamb for ideological reasons and Kenyatta for geographical ones.[118]

In addition to Fetterman, Kenyatta, and Lamb, two minor candidates also made the Democratic primary ballot, namely Kevin Baumlin, a hospital physician, and Alexandra Khalil, a municipal official. Baumlin withdrew from the race on March 31, leaving only Khalil in addition to the three major candidates.[119]

Lamb received the assistance of the “Penn Progress” Super PAC,[120][121] which spent the entirety of its funds in support of Lamb's campaign.[122] Lamb worked closely with the Super PAC, and participated in donor calls it arranged.[123][124] The Penn Progress Super PAC bankrolled TV ads which sought to portray Fetterman as a "self-described democratic socialist." Within a day of airing, PolitiFact and Factcheck.org called the attack ad false,[125] The Philadelphia Inquirer commented that Fetterman had never actually described himself that way,[126] the ABC affiliate in Philadelphia stopped broadcasting the ad,[127] and Senator Elizabeth Warren called on Lamb to disavow it.[128]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

  • Kael Dougherty, data operations associate[135]
  • Larry Johnson, attorney[136]
  • Alan Shank, retail worker[137]
  • Walter Sluzynsky, postal worker[138]
  • Lew Tapera, retail worker[139]

Withdrew

Declined

Debates

2022 Pennsylvania Senate election Democratic primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
John Fetterman Malcolm Kenyatta Conor Lamb
1 Apr. 3, 2022 Muhlenberg College Becky Corbin
Jenny DeHuff
Ari Mittleman 		Video A[w] P P
2 Apr. 21, 2022 Nexstar/WHTM-TV Dennis Owens
Lisa Sylvester 		Video P P P

Endorsements

Val Arkoosh (withdrawn)
State senators
State representatives
Organizations
John Fetterman
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and other media
Individuals
Malcolm Kenyatta
U.S. Representatives
State representatives
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Political parties
Individuals
Conor Lamb
U.S. Representatives
State senators
State representatives
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and other media
Individuals
Declined to endorse
Statewide officials
Organizations

Polling

Graphical summary
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		John
Fetterman 		Malcolm
Kenyatta 		Conor
Lamb 		Other
[b]		 Margin
Real Clear Politics March 26 – May 1, 2022 May 5, 2022 43.0% 6.0% 12.0% 39.0% Fetterman +31.0
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c]		 Margin
of error 		Val
Arkoosh 		John
Fetterman 		Malcolm
Kenyatta 		Conor
Lamb 		Sharif
Street 		Other Undecided
Franklin & Marshall College April 20 – May 1, 2022 357 (RV) ± 6.6% – 53% 4% 14% – 6%[y] 22%
Franklin & Marshall College March 30 – April 10, 2022 356 (RV) ± 6.2% – 41% 4% 17% – 9%[z] 26%
GBAO (D)[E] April 5–7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% – 44% 17% 19% – 4%[aa] 15%
Emerson College March 26–28, 2022 471 (LV) ± 4.5% – 33% 8% 10% – 12%[ab] 37%
Franklin & Marshall College February 21–27, 2022 185 (LV) ± 9.9% – 28% 2% 15% – 7% 50%
Impact Research (D)[F] Early February 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 3% 47% 7% 17% 5% 8% 13%
February 4, 2022 Arkoosh withdraws from the race
Data for Progress (D)[E] January 26–31, 2022 730 (LV) ± 4.0% 4% 46% 12% 16% – – 22%
January 19, 2022 Street withdraws from the race
GQR Research (D)[G] December 14–16, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 6% 44% 20% 15% – 2% 12%
GBAO (D)[E] November 16–23, 2021 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 5% 42% 15% 16% – – 21%
October 31 – November 5, 2021 929 (LV) ± 3.2% 2% 52% 5% 12% 2% 6% 21%
Franklin & Marshall College October 18–24, 2021 208 (RV) ± 8.2% 4% 34% 5% 12% 5% 3% 37%
Franklin & Marshall College August 9–15, 2021 175 (RV) ± 10.2% 6% 33% 5% 12% 0% 3% 42%
Data for Progress (D)[E] May 7–14, 2021 302 (LV) ± 6.0% 5% 40% 9% 21% 2% 8%[ac] 14%

Results

Fetterman won the Democratic primary by a landslide, winning all 67 counties in Pennsylvania, with Lamb in second place. Lamb's loss was attributed by Vanity Fair to numerous reasons, such as his not being known to voters in the Lehigh Valley region of eastern Pennsylvania, where the majority of Democratic voters were located, while in contrast Fetterman's position as lieutenant governor gave him statewide name recognition. In addition, the far more contested Republican primary had consumed media attention that Lamb might have otherwise used to gain more name recognition.[202] Fetterman was also widely considered to have run an effective populist campaign, with The Atlantic noting that his campaign focused on the issues of "workers, wages and weed".[203]

 
Results by county
  Fetterman
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Democratic primary results[108]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Fetterman 753,557 58.65%
Democratic Conor Lamb 337,498 26.27%
Democratic Malcolm Kenyatta 139,393 10.85%
Democratic Alexandria Khalil 54,460 4.24%
Total votes 1,284,908 100.0%

Libertarian convention

 
Libertarian nominee Erik Gerhardt

The Libertarian Party nominee qualified for the general election ballot on August 1.[204][205]

Candidates

Nominee

  • Erik Gerhardt, carpenter, small business owner, and candidate for president in 2020[206][207]

Withdrew

Green convention

The Green Party nominee qualified for the general election ballot on August 1.[204][205]

Candidates

Nominee

Independents and other parties

Candidates

Qualified for ballot

Declared write-in

Withdrew

General election

Campaign

Fetterman's campaign framed Oz as a wealthy outsider who lived outside of Pennsylvania before 2020, including by airing ads that note his past residency in New Jersey. Fetterman also flew banners and published social media posts described by The Hill and The Washington Post as "trolling" his opponent. In one post, Fetterman started a petition to get Oz inducted to the New Jersey Hall of Fame.[221] In response to the carpetbagging criticisms, Oz said during the primary debate that Pennsylvanians "care much more about what I stand for than where I'm from".[222]

Oz's campaign criticized Fetterman for being inactive since he suffered a stroke in May and made an issue of Fetterman's health.[223][224][225] In September, Oz published his medical records, which prompted Fetterman to state he was medically cleared to serve in the Senate.[226][227][228] Oz's campaign also framed Fetterman as a socialist, highlighting his endorsement of Bernie Sanders in 2016. Fetterman countered that he has differences in policy proposals with Sanders in issues such as fracking.[229][230]

Fetterman's refusal to debate Oz until late October was criticized by Oz's campaign.[231][232] Fetterman attributed the delay in debating to lingering issues from his stroke and his team criticized debate concessions from Oz's team for allegedly mocking Fetterman's stroke recovery.[233][234] A single debate was held on October 25.[233]

Crudités video

On August 15, 2022, an April 2022 campaign video of Oz shopping in a Redner's Warehouse supermarket went viral.[235] In the video, Oz says he is shopping for produce to make crudités and attributes the allegedly high prices to Democratic president Joe Biden.

The video was widely ridiculed on social media and was the subject of several news articles. Most observers focused on Oz's usage of the French term "crudités", his choice of items, and several factual errors; Fetterman himself replied saying that Pennsylvanians refer to crudités as "veggie trays".[236][237] Oz's choice of a raw head of broccoli, asparagus, and multiple pounds of carrots, with guacamole and salsa, was described as "bizarre" by many.[238] Others expressed confusion at Oz's statement that the $20 cost of the vegetables and dips "doesn't even include the tequila", as tequila is not a traditional accompaniment to crudités and liquor is not sold in grocery stores in Pennsylvania.[236] Many observers noted Oz quoted the wrong price tag for the salsa and falsely suggested the broccoli was $2 per head when it was $2 per pound.[239]

The number of internet searches for crudités dramatically increased in the aftermath of the video's circulation. Oz appearing to confuse the Redner's and Wegmans supermarket chains led to the name "Wegner's" trending on Twitter and a parody Twitter account called "Wegner's Groceries" gaining popularity.[236] The Fetterman campaign sought to capitalize on the video by introducing merchandise referencing it.[240] When asked if the video made him unrelatable to voters, Oz emphasized he helped others throughout his career and would continue to help if elected.[241]

Debate

In the October 25 debate, a special arrangement of transcription monitors was put in place to assist Fetterman with his auditory processing issue. According to the Associated Press, Fetterman "struggled at times to explain his positions and often spoke haltingly", with Fetterman facing issues completing sentences and frequently pausing after questions were asked. Oz was described as being "more at home on the debate stage" and presented himself as a moderate Republican, and did not reference Fetterman's health condition. Independent health experts said that Fetterman was recovering "remarkably well".[242] Fetterman particularly struggled answering a question regarding his previous opposition to fracking by stating he always supported fracking, while Oz answered a question on abortion by saying that the federal government should have no role in states' abortion decisions, instead leaving abortion decisions to "women, doctors, [and] local political leaders".[243][244][245][246]

According to Politico and The Guardian, Fetterman "struggled" during the debate, and some Democrats questioned why he chose to debate at all.[247][248] After the debate, the Fetterman campaign claimed that the closed captioning system provided by Nexstar Media Group gave incorrect and slow captions. Nexstar denied the claims, arguing the captioning "worked as expected" and that the Fetterman team had had the opportunity for two rehearsals with the equipment and opted to only do one.[249]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[250] Tossup October 4, 2022
Inside Elections[251] Tossup August 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[252] Lean R November 7, 2022
Politico[253] Tossup June 8, 2022
RCP[254] Tossup August 14, 2022
Fox News[255] Tossup October 25, 2022
DDHQ[256] Tossup October 15, 2022
538[257] Tossup November 7, 2022
The Economist[258] Tossup November 1, 2022

Debates

2022 United States Senate general election in Pennsylvania debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Mehmet Oz John Fetterman
1 Oct. 25, 2022 Nexstar/WHTM-TV Dennis Owens
Lisa Sylvester 		YouTube P P

Endorsements

Mehmet Oz (R)
U.S. Presidents
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State senators
State representatives
Local officials
Party officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and other media
Individuals
John Fetterman (D)
U.S. Presidents
Executive Branch officials
Statewide officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State senators
State representatives
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Individuals

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Mehmet
Oz (R) 		John
Fetterman (D) 		Other
[b]		 Margin
Real Clear Politics October 24 – November 3, 2022 November 7, 2022 47.2% 46.8% 6.0% Oz +0.4%
FiveThirtyEight December 3, 2021 – November 7, 2022 November 7, 2022 47.4% 46.9% 5.7% Oz +0.5%
270towin November 3–4, 2022 November 4, 2022 46.8% 46.5% 6.7% Oz +0.3%
Average 47.1% 46.7% 6.2% Oz +0.4%
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c]		 Margin
of error 		Mehmet
Oz (R) 		John
Fetterman (D) 		Other Undecided
Research Co. November 4–6, 2022 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 46% 47% 2%[ad] 5%
Targoz Market Research November 2–6, 2022 631 (LV) ± 3.8% 51% 46% 3%[ae] –
InsiderAdvantage (R) November 3, 2022 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% 46% 4%[af] 3%
The Trafalgar Group (R) November 1–3, 2022 1,097 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 46% 3% 4%
Remington Research Group (R) November 1–2, 2022 1,180 (LV) ± 2.8% 47% 44% 4%[ag] 5%
Marist College October 31 – November 2, 2022 1,152 (RV) ± 3.8% 44% 50% 1%[ah] 5%
1,021 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 51% 1%[ah] 4%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) October 28 – November 1, 2022 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 47% 2%[ai] 4%
Emerson College October 28–31, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% 3%[aj] 4%
48% 47% 4%[ak] –
Suffolk University October 27–30, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 47% 1%[al] 7%
Fox News October 26–30, 2022 1,005 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 45% 6%[am] 6%
Big Data Poll (R) October 27–28, 2022 1,005 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% 3% 2%
co/efficient (R) October 26–28, 2022 1,716 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 45% 4%[an] 2%
Muhlenberg College October 24–28, 2022 460 (LV) ± 6.0% 47% 47% 3%[ao] 2%
Wick Insights (R) October 26–27, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.2% 48% 46% 4%[an] 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R) October 26, 2022 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% 45% 4%[ap] 4%
Siena Research/NYT October 24–26, 2022 620 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 49% <1%[aq] 6%
YouGov/CBS News October 21–24, 2022 1,084 (LV) ± 4.1% 49% 51% 1%[ar] –
Franklin & Marshall College October 14–23, 2022 620 (RV) ± 5.3% 40% 45% 4%[as] 11%
384 (LV) ± 6.8% 45% 49% – –
Rasmussen Reports (R) October 19–20, 2022 972 (LV) ± 3.0% 43% 45% 6%[at] 6%
Echelon Insights October 18–20, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.8% 43% 46% 4%[au] 7%
InsiderAdvantage (R) October 19, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 46% 46% 3%[av] 5%
CNN/SSRS October 13–17, 2022 901 (RV) ± 4.1% 41% 52% 6%[aw] –
703 (LV) ± 4.6% 45% 51% 3%[ax] –
Wick Insights (R) October 8–14, 2022 1,013 (LV) ± 3.1% 49% 45% 3%[ay] 3%
Patriot Polling (R) October 10–12, 2022 857 (RV) – 48% 46% – 7%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) October 4–12, 2022 1,400 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 48% 2%[az] 4%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[H] October 8–11, 2022 1,078 (LV) ± 2.9% 45% 47% 4%[ba] 4%
Center Street PAC (D)[I] September 29–30, 2022 971 (RV) ± 3.5% 34% 50% – 16%
568 (LV) 36% 55% – 9%
Suffolk University September 27–30, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 40% 46% 3%[bb] 11%
Emerson College September 23–26, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 43% 45% 5%[bc] 8%
Fox News September 22–26, 2022 1,008 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 45% 7%[bd] 7%
827 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 48% 3%[be] 5%
Franklin & Marshall College September 19–25, 2022 517 (RV) ± 5.6% 42% 45% – 13%
InsiderAdvantage (R) September 23–24, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 42% 45% 6%[bf] 8%
Marist College September 19–22, 2022 1,242 (RV) ± 3.5% 41% 51% <1%[bg] 7%
1,043 (LV) ± 3.8% 44% 51% – 4%
The Phillips Academy Poll September 16–19, 2022 759 (RV) ± 3.6% 45% 47% – 9%
Muhlenberg College September 13–16, 2022 420 (LV) ± 6.0% 44% 49% 5%[bh] 2%
The Trafalgar Group (R) September 13–15, 2022 1,078 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 48% 4%[bi] 2%
YouGov/CBS News September 6–12, 2022 1,194 (RV) ± 3.8% 47% 52% – 1%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 828 (RV) ± 4.1% 36% 57% – 7%
RABA Research August 31 – September 3, 2022 679 (LV) ± 3.8% 40% 49% 3%[ay] 8%
Kurt Jetta (D)[I] August 31 – September 1, 2022 1,012 (RV) ± 3.5% 33% 51% – 15%
616 (LV) 36% 55% – 9%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) August 22–29, 2022 718 (LV) ± 3.7% 44% 49% 2% 5%
Emerson College August 22–23, 2022 1,034 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 48% 3% 5%
Franklin & Marshall College August 15–21, 2022 522 (RV) ± 5.3% 36% 45% 9%[bj] 10%
The Trafalgar Group (R) August 15–18, 2022 1,096 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 48% 4%[bk] 5%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) August 7–10, 2022 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 36% 52% – 11%
Kurt Jetta (D)[I] July 29 – August 1, 2022 1,206 (A) ± 2.8% 30% 47% – 23%
997 (RV) ± 3.1% 32% 48% – 20%
516 (LV) ± 4.3% 38% 52% – 10%
Fox News July 22–26, 2022 908 (RV) ± 3.0% 36% 47% 5%[bl] 11%
PEM Management Corporation (R)[J] July 22–24, 2022 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 38% 44% 4% 15%
Blueprint Polling (D) July 19–21, 2022 712 (LV) ± 3.7% 40% 49% – 12%
Beacon Research (D)[K] July 5–20, 2022 1,012 (RV) ± 3.1% 34% 47% 1% 13%
609 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 50% 2% 9%
Global Strategy Group (D)[L] July 14–19, 2022 1,200 (LV) ± 2.9% 40% 51% – 9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) June 12–19, 2022 1,382 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 50% – 6%
Cygnal (R) June 16–17, 2022 535 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 48% – 8%
Suffolk University June 10–13, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 37% 46% 3%[bm] 13%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) ~May 10, 2022 – (LV) – 33% 51% – 16%
Data for Progress (D)[E] December 3–5, 2021 581 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 44% – 13%
Hypothetical polling
Jeff Bartos vs. John Fetterman
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c]		 Margin
of error 		Jeff
Bartos (R) 		John
Fetterman (D) 		Undecided
Garin-Hart-Yang (D)[M] May 10–19, 2021 450 (LV) ± 4.7% 36% 45% 19%
Data for Progress (D)[E] May 7–14, 2021 310 (LV) ± 5.6% 38% 48% 14%
Jeff Bartos vs. Conor Lamb
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c]		 Margin
of error 		Jeff
Bartos (R) 		Conor
Lamb (D) 		Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[E] May 7–14, 2021 341 (LV) ± 5.3% 42% 43% 15%
Sean Parnell vs. John Fetterman
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c]		 Margin
of error 		Sean
Parnell (R) 		John
Fetterman (D) 		Undecided
Garin-Hart-Yang (D)[M] May 10–19, 2021 450 (LV) ± 4.7% 42% 42% 16%
Data for Progress (D)[E] May 7–14, 2021 310 (LV) ± 5.6% 40% 48% 12%
Sean Parnell vs. Conor Lamb
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c]		 Margin
of error 		Sean
Parnell (R) 		Conor
Lamb (D) 		Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[E] May 7–14, 2021 341 (LV) ± 5.3% 44% 42% 14%

Results

Fetterman won the election by 4.9 percentage points, and was declared the winner in the early hours of November 9. The early victory came as a shock to many pundits, as the race was expected to take several days to project a winner.[377] Oz underperformed former Republican president Donald Trump's performance in the 2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania by 3.7 percentage points, but overperformed Republican nominee Doug Mastriano in the concurrent gubernatorial race by 10 percentage points.

2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania[378]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic John Fetterman 2,751,012 51.25% +3.91%
Republican Mehmet Oz 2,487,260 46.33% -2.44%
Libertarian Erik Gerhardt 72,887 1.36% -2.53%
Green Richard L. Weiss 30,434 0.57% N/A
Keystone Dan Wassmer 26,428 0.49% N/A
Total votes 5,368,021 100.0% N/A
Democratic gain from Republican
By county
County[379] John Fetterman
Democratic 		Mehmet Oz
Republican 		Erik Gerhardt
Libertarian 		Richard Weiss
Green 		Dan Wassmer
Keystone 		Margin Total
votes
# % # % # % # % # % # %
Adams 16,096 34.68 29,039 62.56 704 1.52 289 0.62 291 0.63 -12,943 -27.88 46,419
Allegheny 363,873 63.42 200,632 34.97 5,190 0.90 2,343 0.41 1,671 0.29 163,241 28.45 573,709
Armstrong 8,065 28.38 19,575 68.89 465 1.64 131 0.46 177 0.62 -11,510 -40.51 28,413
Beaver 32,692 44.51 38,772 52.79 1,143 1.56 410 0.56 426 0.58 -6,080 -8.28 73,443
Bedford 3,796 17.07 17,954 80.72 261 1.17 101 0.45 129 0.58 -14,158 -63.66 22,241
Berks 71,349 46.08 78,019 50.39 3,315 2.14 1,149 0.74 992 0.64 -6,670 -4.31 154,824
Blair 14,763 29.40 34,214 68.13 627 1.25 295 0.59 321 0.64 -19,451 -38.73 50,220
Bradford 6,632 28.24 16,033 68.28 450 1.92 162 0.69 204 0.87 -9,401 -40.04 23,481
Bucks 164,536 52.35 141,340 44.97 4,633 1.47 2,145 0.68 1,657 0.53 23,196 7.38 314,311
Butler 33,921 36.34 57,168 61.25 1,346 1.44 414 0.44 486 0.52 -23,247 -24.91 93,335
Cambria 18,849 33.45 35,847 63.62 868 1.54 365 0.65 419 0.74 -16,998 -30.17 56,348
Cameron 547 29.00 1,247 66.12 46 2.44 19 1.01 27 1.43 -700 -37.12 1,886
Carbon 9,682 36.91 15,659 59.69 559 2.13 160 0.61 172 0.66 -5,977 -22.78 26,232
Centre 32,597 52.52 27,902 44.96 834 1.34 372 0.60 356 0.57 4,695 7.56 62,061
Chester 147,559 57.20 104,020 40.32 3,586 1.39 1,579 0.61 1,219 0.47 43,539 16.88 257,963
Clarion 4,327 28.15 10,620 69.09 238 1.55 91 0.59 95 0.62 -6,293 -40.94 15,371
Clearfield 8,533 27.18 21,948 69.90 489 1.56 193 0.61 236 0.75 -13,415 -42.72 31,399
Clinton 4,750 33.89 8,791 62.72 219 1.56 96 0.68 161 1.15 -4,041 -28.83 14,017
Columbia 9,023 36.46 14,830 59.93 518 2.09 176 0.71 198 0.80 -5,807 -23.47 24,745
Crawford 11,081 33.55 20,992 63.55 575 1.74 187 0.57 198 0.60 -9,911 -30.00 33,033
Cumberland 53,278 45.96 59,663 51.47 1,783 1.54 589 0.51 614 0.53 -6,385 -5.51 115,927
Dauphin 61,599 53.82 50,141 43.81 1,503 1.31 593 0.52 610 0.53 11,458 10.01 114,446
Delaware 157,599 62.87 87,322 34.84 3,454 1.38 1,483 0.59 809 0.32 70,277 28.04 250,667
Elk 4,066 29.86 9,128 67.02 225 1.65 85 0.62 115 0.84 -5,062 -37.17 13,619
Erie 56,404 53.35 46,507 43.98 1,554 1.47 702 0.66 567 0.54 9,897 9.36 105,734
Fayette 17,731 37.87 28,234 60.30 438 0.94 196 0.42 225 0.48 -10,503 -22.43 46,824
Forest 694 31.81 1,434 65.72 27 1.24 17 0.78 10 0.46 -740 -33.91 2,182
Franklin 18,718 28.70 44,819 68.72 845 1.30 420 0.64 418 0.64 -26,101 -40.02 65,220
Fulton 953 15.26 5,171 82.79 74 1.18 18 0.29 30 0.48 -4,218 -67.53 6,246
Greene 4,394 33.57 8,348 63.77 160 1.22 105 0.80 84 0.64 -3,954 -30.20 13,091
Huntingdon 4,665 25.54 13,035 71.37 286 1.57 135 0.74 143 0.78 -8,370 -45.83 18,264
Indiana 11,218 34.25 20,769 63.41 398 1.22 179 0.55 191 0.58 -9,551 -29.16 32,755
Jefferson 4,135 23.25 13,139 73.87 293 1.65 98 0.55 121 0.68 -9,004 -50.62 17,786
Juniata 2,111 21.70 7,265 74.68 176 1.81 55 0.57 121 1.24 -5,154 -52.98 9,728
Lackawanna 50,489 56.77 36,534 41.08 1,020 1.15 441 0.50 459 0.52 13,955 15.69 88,943
Lancaster 94,632 42.14 124,798 55.58 3,272 1.46 1,147 0.51 699 0.31 -30,166 -13.43 224,548
Lawrence 13,758 38.00 21,531 59.47 511 1.41 189 0.52 217 0.60 -7,773 -21.47 36,206
Lebanon 19,695 34.86 35,023 62.00 1,107 1.96 318 0.56 348 0.62 -15,328 -27.13 56,491
Lehigh 73,096 53.63 59,219 43.45 2,269 1.66 958 0.70 759 0.56 13,877 10.18 136,301
Luzerne 51,504 44.28 61,978 53.28 1,662 1.43 663 0.57 516 0.44 -10,474 -9.00 116,323
Lycoming 13,573 29.36 31,171 67.42 882 1.91 305 0.66 302 0.65 -17,598 -38.06 46,233
McKean 4,135 28.22 10,076 68.77 214 1.46 95 0.65 131 0.89 -5,941 -40.55 14,651
Mercer 17,080 37.66 27,049 59.64 673 1.48 279 0.62 271 0.60 -9,969 -21.98 45,352
Mifflin 3,965 23.62 12,263 73.06 278 1.66 114 0.68 165 0.98 -8,298 -49.44 16,785
Monroe 30,251 51.51 26,746 45.54 989 1.68 450 0.77 294 0.50 3,505 5.97 58,730
Montgomery 260,207 63.01 143,077 34.65 5,416 1.31 2,502 0.61 1,752 0.42 117,130 28.36 412,954
Montour 3,213 41.02 4,328 55.25 154 1.97 57 0.73 81 1.03 -1,115 -14.23 7,833
Northampton 66,565 51.21 59,860 46.05 1,949 1.50 919 0.71 694 0.53 6,705 5.16 129,987
Northumberland 10,812 32.87 20,992 63.82 583 1.77 241 0.73 267 0.81 -10,180 -30.95 32,895
Perry 5,646 27.91 13,956 68.98 392 1.94 111 0.55 126 0.62 -8,310 -41.08 20,231
Philadelphia 412,841 82.71 78,408 15.71 3,718 0.74 2,532 0.51 1,652 0.33 334,433 67.00 499,151
Pike 9,821 38.98 14,792 58.71 293 1.16 148 0.59 142 0.56 -4,971 -19.73 25,196
Potter 1,415 19.91 5,486 77.18 120 1.69 40 0.56 47 0.66 -4,071 -57.27 7,108
Schuylkill 17,954 32.40 35,293 63.69 1,214 2.19 457 0.82 495 0.89 -17,339 -31.29 55,413
Snyder 4,220 27.52 10,657 69.49 239 1.56 89 0.58 131 0.85 -6,437 -41.97 15,336
Somerset 7,660 23.55 23,964 73.67 523 1.61 190 0.58 191 0.59 -16,304 -50.12 32,528
Sullivan 869 28.81 2,023 67.08 65 2.16 31 1.03 28 0.93 -1,154 -38.26 3,016
Susquehanna 5,245 30.30 11,520 66.55 269 1.55 128 0.74 149 0.86 -6,275 -36.25 17,311
Tioga 4,103 24.67 11,988 72.08 281 1.69 136 0.82 124 0.75 -7,885 -47.41 16,632
Union 6,249 38.83 9,401 58.41 210 1.30 127 0.79 107 0.66 -3,152 -19.58 16,094
Venango 6,777 32.50 13,406 64.29 385 1.85 126 0.60 160 0.77 -6,629 -31.79 20,854
Warren 5,420 33.68 10,175 63.23 243 1.51 118 0.73 136 0.85 -4,755 -29.55 16,092
Washington 39,684 42.29 52,337 55.77 1,083 1.15 322 0.34 410 0.44 -12,653 -13.48 93,836
Wayne 7,669 33.77 14,425 63.51 344 1.51 140 0.62 134 0.59 -6,756 -29.75 22,712
Westmoreland 66,240 39.43 98,238 58.47 2,057 1.22 678 0.40 796 0.47 -31,998 -19.04 168,009
Wyoming 4,059 34.46 7,338 62.30 215 1.83 75 0.64 92 0.78 -3,279 -27.84 11,779
York 71,929 38.56 109,631 58.77 2,975 1.59 956 0.51 1,060 0.57 -37,702 -20.21 186,551
Totals 2,751,012 51.25 2,487,260 46.33 72,887 1.36 30,434 0.57 26,428 0.49 263,752 4.91 5,368,021
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Fetterman won 10 of 17 congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican.[380][unreliable source?]

Voter demographics

Voter demographic data for 2022 was collected by CNN. The voter survey is based on exit polls completed by 2,660 voters in person as well as by phone.[381]

2022 United States Senate election voter demographics in Pennsylvania (CNN)[381]
Demographic subgroup Fetterman Oz % of
total vote
Ideology
Liberals 92 6 25
Moderates 64 34 41
Conservatives 9 91 34
Party
Democrats 94 5 37
Republicans 10 90 40
Independents 58 38 24
Gender
Men 44 54 50
Women 57 41 50
Marital status
Married 47 53 64
Unmarried 60 37 36
Gender by marital status
Married men 42 57 36
Married women 52 48 28
Unmarried men 52 43 14
Unmarried women 65 34 21
Race/ethnicity
White 45 53 82
Black 91 8 8
Latino 68 30 8
White voters by gender
White men 39 59 41
White women 51 48 32
Age
18–24 years old 72 25 7
25–29 years old 68 31 5
30–39 years old 60 37 13
40–49 years old 50 49 11
50–64 years old 45 54 29
65 and older 46 53 34
2020 presidential vote
Biden 93 6 48
Trump 8 92 45
First time midterm election voter
Yes 62 34 12
No 49 50 88
Education
Never attended college 36 63 24
Some college education 56 41 21
Associate degree 48 49 14
Bachelor's degree 52 47 23
Advanced degree 66 32 18
Education by race
White college graduates 56 43 35
White no college degree 38 60 47
Non-white college graduates 74 25 6
Non-white no college degree 79 20 12
Education by gender/race
White women with college degrees 62 37 17
White women without college degrees 44 55 24
White men with college degrees 50 49 18
White men without college degrees 32 66 23
Non-white 77 22 18
Issue regarded as most important
Crime 51 49 11
Abortion 78 21 37
Inflation 27 72 28
Feelings about Roe v. Wade being overturned
Enthusiastic/satisfied 10 89 38
Dissatisfied/angry 79 19 59
Abortion should be
Legal 76 22 62
Illegal 10 88 34

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Democrats briefly held both of Pennsylvania's Senate seats from 2009 to 2011 when Arlen Specter, who was elected as a Republican, switched to the Democratic Party.
  2. ^ a b c Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Bochetto and Gale with 2%
  5. ^ Bochetto with 1%, Gale with 0%
  6. ^ Bochetto, Gale, and "Other" with 1%
  7. ^ a b c d e Bochetto with 1%
  8. ^ a b Bochetto and Gale with 1%
  9. ^ Gale with 2%, Bochetto and "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%
  10. ^ "Someone else" with 5%, Gale with 1%, Bochetto with 0%
  11. ^ Bochetto with 3%, Gale with 1%
  12. ^ "Someone else" with 6%, Bochetto with 2%, Gale with 0%
  13. ^ Bochetto and Gale with ≤1%
  14. ^ Bochetto with 4%, Gale with 3%
  15. ^ Bochetto with 2%, Gale with 1%
  16. ^ Bochetto, Stern, and "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%
  17. ^ Bochetto, Gale, and Stern with 2%
  18. ^ "Another Candidate" with 11%, Gale with 1%
  19. ^ Gale with 4%; Jeffries with 2%; Xu with 1%; Stern with 0%
  20. ^ Gale with 2%
  21. ^ "Someone else" with 3%, Gale with 0%
  22. ^ "Someone else" with 7%, Gale with 3%
  23. ^ Fetterman was invited to the debate, but declined to attend
  24. ^ Conor Lamb received the most delegate votes of 169, but failed to reach the self-imposed threshold of a two-thirds majority vote, meaning that no candidate received the endorsement of the Pennsylvania Democratic Party.
  25. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; Baumlin and Khalil with 1%
  26. ^ "Someone else" with 9%; Baumlin and Khalil with 0%
  27. ^ Khalil with 4%
  28. ^ Baumlin with 9%; Khalil with 3%
  29. ^ Houlahan with 8%
  30. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  31. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; "All others" with 1%
  32. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 2%
  33. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; Weiss (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  34. ^ a b "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  35. ^ "Other" with 1%; "Refuse" with 1%
  36. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 2%, Weiss (G) with 1%; Wassmer (K) with <1%; "Someone else" with <1%
  37. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 2%, Weiss (G) with 1%; Wassmer (K) with <1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  38. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 1%; Wassmer (K) with <1%; Weiss (G) with <1%
  39. ^ Stern (I, WI) with 4%; "Other" with 1%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  40. ^ a b "Someone else" with 4%
  41. ^ "Neither/Other" with 3%
  42. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 3%, "Someone else" with 1%
  43. ^ Gerhardt (L) with <1%; Weiss (G) with <1%
  44. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  45. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%; "Not going to vote" with 1%; Gerhardt (L) with 1%
  46. ^ "Some other candidate" with 6%
  47. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; Weiss (G) and Wassmer (K) with 1%
  48. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  49. ^ "Neither" with 5%; "Other" with 1%
  50. ^ "Neither" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  51. ^ a b "Someone else" with 3%
  52. ^ "Other" with 2%
  53. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 3%; "Other" with 1%
  54. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; Wassmer (K) with 1%; Weiss (G) with <1%
  55. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
  56. ^ Stern (I, W/I) with 3%, "other" with 1%, and 3% "wouldn't vote,"
  57. ^ Stern (I, W/I) with 2%, "other" with 1%
  58. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 4%
  59. ^ "Another party's candidate" with <1%
  60. ^ "Neither/Other" with 5%
  61. ^ Gerhardt (L) and "Other" with 4%
  62. ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%; Gerhardt (L) with 3%; Wassmer (K) and Weiss (G) with 1%
  63. ^ Gerhardt (L) and "Other" with 2%
  64. ^ Stern (I, WI) with 3%; "other" (volunteered response) with 2%
  65. ^ Gerhardt (L), Magee (I, W/I), Stern (I, WI), and Weiss (G) with 1%; Johnson (C) and "someone else" with <1%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c d e f g Poll sponsored by Honor Pennsylvania PAC, which supports McCormick.
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Oz's campaign.
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by McCormick's campaign.
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Parnell's campaign.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll sponsored by Fetterman's campaign.
  6. ^ Poll sponsored by pro-Lamb super PAC Penn Progress.
  7. ^ Poll sponsored by Kenyatta's campaign.
  8. ^ This poll was sponsored by The Daily Wire
  9. ^ a b c This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Oz
  10. ^ This poll was conducted for John Bolton Super PAC
  11. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project
  12. ^ This poll was sponsored by EDF Action and NRDC Action Fund
  13. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Collective PAC.

References

  1. ^ Levy, Marc (November 9, 2022). "Democrat John Fetterman wins US Senate race in Pennsylvania". Associated Press. Retrieved November 10, 2022.
  2. ^ "Pennsylvania Senate Democratic Primary Election Results and Maps 2022 | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved June 4, 2022.
  3. ^ Bradner, Eric. "Dave McCormick concedes Pennsylvania Senate GOP primary to Trump-backed Mehmet Oz". CNN. Retrieved June 4, 2022.
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April 22, 2023
2022, united, states, senate, election, pennsylvania, also, 2022, united, states, senate, elections, held, november, 2022, elect, member, united, states, senate, represent, commonwealth, pennsylvania, democratic, lieutenant, governor, john, fetterman, first, t. See also 2022 United States Senate elections The 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania was held on November 8 2022 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania 1 Democratic lieutenant governor John Fetterman won his first term in office defeating Republican surgeon Mehmet Oz Fetterman succeeded incumbent Republican senator Pat Toomey who did not seek re election after two terms The election marked the only U S Senate seat to flip parties in the 2022 midterms 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania 2016 November 8 2022 2028 Nominee John Fetterman Mehmet OzParty Democratic RepublicanPopular vote 2 751 012 2 487 260Percentage 51 3 46 3 County resultsResults by congressional districtPrecinct resultsFetterman 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 gt 90 Oz 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 gt 90 No data Tie 40 50 50 U S senator before electionPat ToomeyRepublican Elected U S senator John FettermanDemocraticIn the May 17 primary Fetterman won the Democratic nomination with 59 of the vote 2 Oz finished with a 0 1 margin ahead of businessman David McCormick in the Republican primary triggering an automatic recount McCormick conceded the nomination on June 3 3 making Oz the first Muslim candidate to be nominated by either major party for U S Senate 4 The general election was among the most competitive of the 2022 midterms and characterized as highly contentious Fetterman framed Oz as an elitist carpetbagger with a radical anti abortion stance in the wake of Roe v Wade being overturned while Oz framed Fetterman as a socialist insufficiently committed to fighting crime Fetterman s health was also a major issue due to him suffering a stroke days before his primary victory 5 Although Fetterman led most pre election polls concerns towards his health and a scrutinized debate performance helped Oz take a narrow lead before the election 6 7 8 Despite Oz s lead in final polls Fetterman won by a 5 margin becoming the first Democrat elected to this seat since 1962 9 10 and providing Senate Democrats a net gain of one seat and their first outright majority since 2015 With Fetterman s victory elected Democrats held both Pennsylvania Senate seats for the first time since 1947 a Contents 1 Republican primary 1 1 Campaign 1 1 1 Early campaign 1 1 2 Entry of Oz and McCormick 1 1 3 Late campaign 1 2 Candidates 1 2 1 Nominees 1 2 2 Eliminated in primary 1 2 3 Disqualified 1 2 4 Withdrew 1 2 5 Declined 1 3 Debates and forums 1 4 Endorsements 1 5 Polling 1 6 Results 2 Democratic primary 2 1 Campaign 2 2 Candidates 2 2 1 Nominee 2 2 2 Eliminated in primary 2 2 3 Disqualified 2 2 4 Withdrew 2 2 5 Declined 2 3 Debates 2 4 Endorsements 2 5 Polling 2 6 Results 3 Libertarian convention 3 1 Candidates 3 1 1 Nominee 3 1 2 Withdrew 4 Green convention 4 1 Candidates 4 1 1 Nominee 5 Independents and other parties 5 1 Candidates 5 1 1 Qualified for ballot 5 1 2 Declared write in 5 1 3 Withdrew 6 General election 6 1 Campaign 6 1 1 Crudites video 6 1 2 Debate 6 2 Predictions 6 3 Debates 6 4 Endorsements 6 5 Polling 6 6 Results 6 6 1 By congressional district 7 Voter demographics 8 See also 9 Notes 10 References 11 External linksRepublican primary Edit Former U S Treasury Under Secretary David McCormick narrowly lost the primary Author Kathy Barnette finished third in the primary Former U S Ambassador to Denmark Carla Sands finished fourth in the primary Former Pennsylvania Boxing Commissioner George Bochetto finished sixth in the primary Campaign Edit Early campaign Edit In October 2020 incumbent Republican senator Pat Toomey decided not to run for re election stating that he wished to return to the private sector 11 By October 2021 businessman Jeff Bartos who had posted strong fund raising totals and veteran Sean Parnell who had the endorsement of former President Donald Trump emerged as the race s front runners 12 However Parnell s campaign faced a large scandal in November 2021 after his ex wife Laurie Snell testified in court during a custody hearing for the couple s children that Parnell strangled and spit on her abused their children and told her to go get an abortion 13 Even prior to these allegations doubts had arisen among Republicans regarding Parnell s fundraising ability and it became widely assumed that he would suspend his campaign if he did not win custody of his children 14 On November 22 2021 Snell was given custody of the children and Parnell subsequently suspended his campaign 15 Entry of Oz and McCormick Edit On November 30 with Parnell out of the race Mehmet Oz a celebrity doctor and television personality announced his candidacy 16 Oz s campaign entered an immediate controversy over whether Oz himself was a resident of Pennsylvania as he had lived in Cliffside Park New Jersey for most of his life and had only registered to vote in Pennsylvania in October 2020 16 17 The January 2022 entrance of David McCormick a businessman into the race prompted attacks for McCormick s past detraction of Trump and criticism of America First economic policies from Oz allies 18 Super PACs allied to McCormick hit back with a spate of well funded television advertisements accusing Oz of being a Hollywood liberal 19 Republican straw polls in January 2022 indicated strong support for Bartos and political commentator Kathy Barnette among party activists as the campaign started to escalate Bartos won the Republican State Committee Central Caucus s straw poll placing first with 49 votes while Barnette finished in second place with 30 votes McCormick and Sands trailed at third and fourth place and Oz and former Boxing Commissioner George Bochetto performed poorly each receiving only one vote 20 21 Despite this political commentators largely considered Oz and McCormick to be the frontrunners with the other candidates trailing them 22 The McCormick campaign targeted Oz s ties to Turkey and called on him to renounce his Turkish citizenship accusing Oz of harboring dual loyalties 23 Oz later stated that if he were elected to the Senate he would renounce his Turkish citizenship 24 Former President Trump endorsed Oz on April 10 citing the popularity of his television show and perceived appeal to female voters 25 Oz frequently highlighted this endorsement it becoming one of his major talking points during the campaign 22 Late campaign Edit Oz had been ahead of the other candidates in the polls since the start of his campaign with McCormick soon rising quickly in the polls to challenge Oz both men polling the low 20s Barnette had also begun to rise in the polls at this point after a string of attention getting debate performances and an ad spend in support of her by the Club for Growth Her late surge prompted a change in tactics from the two frontrunners who had largely ignored her as irrelevant until then 26 Pro Oz Super PAC American Leadership Action launched an ad campaign accusing Barnette of supporting Black Lives Matter while McCormick stated that Barnette was unelectable citing her heavy loss in a U S House race the previous election cycle 26 Oz himself also accused Barnette of Islamophobia pointing to a 2015 tweet in which she stated Pedophilia is a Cornerstone of Islam 27 Candidates Edit Nominees Edit Mehmet Oz host of The Dr Oz Show and former cardiologist 28 29 Eliminated in primary Edit Kathy Barnette Armed Forces Reserves veteran author political commentator on Fox News and 2020 nominee to represent Pennsylvania s fourth district in the U S House of Representatives 29 30 Jeff Bartos businessman philanthropist and nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 2018 31 29 George Bochetto Pennsylvania State Boxing Commissioner 1996 2002 32 33 29 Sean Gale candidate for the Montgomery County Commission in 2019 34 35 29 David McCormick U S Under Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs 2007 2009 and CEO of Bridgewater Associates 2020 2022 36 Carla Sands U S Ambassador to Denmark 2017 2021 37 38 29 Disqualified Edit John Debellis small business owner 39 John Eichenberg truck driver 40 Robert Jeffries perennial candidate 41 Ron Johnson U S Armed Forces veteran former construction worker and former Walmart manager 42 43 ran as the Constitution nominee Richard Mulholland HVAC technician 44 Max Richardson 45 Martin Rosenfeld Elk County deputy sheriff and treasurer of the Elk County Republican Party 46 David Xu U S Army veteran college professor and IT business owner 47 Withdrew Edit Sean Parnell U S Army veteran author and nominee for PA 17 in 2020 endorsed McCormick 15 Craig Snyder former chief of staff to U S Senator Arlen Specter 48 49 50 Everett Stern whistleblower private intelligence agency owner and candidate for PA 13 in 2014 and U S Senate in 2016 ran as an independent 51 Declined Edit Kenneth Braithwaite U S Secretary of the Navy 2020 2021 U S Ambassador to Norway 2018 2020 and former advisor to U S Senator Arlen Specter 52 Mike Kelly U S representative for PA 16 formerly PA 03 2011 present 53 54 endorsed Parnell Paul Mango deputy chief of staff for Policy at the U S Department of Health and Human Services 2019 2021 and candidate for governor in 2018 55 Keith Rothfus U S representative for PA 12 2013 2019 56 57 Kiron Skinner Taube Professor of International Relations and Politics at Carnegie Mellon University and former Director of Policy Planning at the U S State Department 2018 2019 58 Pat Toomey incumbent U S senator 59 Donald Trump Jr businessman and son of former President Donald Trump endorsed Parnell 60 61 62 Debates and forums Edit 2022 Pennsylvania Senate election Republican primary debates No Date Host Moderator Link ParticipantsKey P Participant A Absent N Non invitee I Invitee W WithdrawnKathy Barnette George Bochetto Jeff Bartos Sean Gale David McCormick Mehmet Oz Carla Sands Everett Stern1 Feb 22 2022 BroadandLiberty comPennsylvania Chamber of Business amp Industry Becky Corbin Video P P P N A A A P2 Apr 25 2022 Nexstar WHTM TV Dennis OwensLisa Sylvester Video P N P N P P P W3 May 4 2022 Newsmax TV Greta Van SusterenRick Dayton P N P N P P P WEndorsements Edit Kathy BarnetteExecutive branch officialsMichael Flynn U S National Security Advisor 2017 Democratic 63 Sebastian Gorka Deputy Assistant to the President 2017 64 U S senatorsJoni Ernst Iowa 2015 present 65 U S RepresentativesScott Perry PA 10 2013 present 66 Burgess Owens Utah s 4th congressional district 2021 present 64 State legislatorsCris Dush state senator from the 25th district 2020 present 65 Vernon Jones Georgia state representative 1993 2001 2017 2021 64 Doug Mastriano state senator for the 33rd district 2019 present 65 OrganizationsClub for Growth 67 Pennsylvania State Police Fraternal Order of Police Pioneer Lodge 37 65 Gun Owners of America 68 Republican National Hispanic Assembly 69 Susan B Anthony List 70 Newspapers and other mediaGab alt tech social media website 71 IndividualsJack Brewer NFL player 72 Tomi Lahren conservative political commentator and television host 64 John Ratzenberger actor 65 Jeff BartosU S RepresentativesFred Keller U S Representative for PA 12 2019 2023 73 switched endorsement to Oz 74 Statewide officialsStacy Garrity Pennsylvania Treasurer 2021 present 75 State senatorsRyan Aument 36th District 2015 present 65 Dan Laughlin 49th district 2017 present 76 Wayne Langerholc 35th district 2017 present 77 Scott Martin 13th district 2017 present 65 Bob Mensch 24th district 2009 2022 147th district 2007 2009 76 Patrick Stefano 32nd district 2015 present 77 Scott Wagner 28th district 2014 2018 Republican nominee for Governor in 2018 78 Judy Ward 30th district formerly the 80th 2015 present 76 State representativesTorren Ecker 193st district 2019 present 76 Sue Helm 104th district 2007 2022 65 John D Hershey 82nd district 2018 present 77 R Lee James 64th district 2013 present 79 Barry Jozwiak 5th district 2015 present 65 Aaron Kaufer 120th district 2015 present 80 Dawn Keefer 92nd district 2015 present 76 Jack Rader 176th district 2015 present 65 Frank Ryan 101st district 2017 2023 65 Tommy Sankey 73rd district formerly the 74th 2013 2022 76 Jesse Topper 78th district 2014 present 77 OrganizationsBIPAC 65 IndividualsJohn Arnold philanthropist and founder of Arnold Ventures LLC 81 Kenneth Langone billionaire businessman investor and philanthropist 81 Ross Perot Jr real estate developer 81 George BochettoJudgesSandra Schultz Newman Pennsylvania Supreme Court justice 1996 2006 65 Labor unionsFraternal Order of Police Philadelphia Lodge 5 65 Robert JeffriesIndividualsRoger Stone political consultant and lobbyist 82 David McCormickExecutive branch officialsGary Cohn Director of the National Economic Council 2017 2018 Democratic 83 Emil Henry Assistant Secretary for Financial Institutions 2005 2007 83 Larry Kudlow Director of the National Economic Council 18 Robert Lighthizer U S Trade Representative 2017 2021 65 Justin Muzinich U S Deputy Secretary of the Treasury 2018 2021 83 Mike Pompeo U S Secretary of State 2018 2021 Director of the CIA 2017 2018 and U S Representative for Kansas s 4th congressional district 2011 2017 84 Dina Powell U S Deputy National Security Advisor for Strategy 2017 2018 Assistant Secretary of State for Educational and Cultural Affairs 2005 2007 director of the White House Presidential Personnel Office 2003 2005 McCormick s wife 85 U S senatorsTed Cruz Texas 2013 present and candidate for President of the United States in 2016 86 Rick Santorum Pennsylvania 1995 2007 87 Dan Sullivan Alaska 2015 present 88 U S GovernorsMike Huckabee Governor of Arkansas 1996 2007 65 U S RepresentativesDan Meuser PA 09 2019 present 89 Elise Stefanik New York s 21st congressional district 2015 present 65 Glenn Thompson PA 16 formerly PA 05 2009 present 90 Local officialsJoel Klein New York City Schools Chancellor 2002 2011 United States assistant attorney general for the Antitrust Division 1996 2000 Deputy White House Counsel 1993 1995 Democratic 91 Labor unionsNational Border Patrol Council 65 Newspapers and other mediaNew York Post 92 IndividualsStanley Druckenmiller lead investor for the Quantum Fund and hedge fund manager 91 William Ford chairman and CEO of General Atlantic 91 Hugh Hewitt radio host commentator 93 Kenneth Griffin hedge fund manager and CEO of Citadel LLC 91 Paul Tudor Jones hedge fund manager Independent 91 John F W Rogers executive vice president chief of staff and secretary to the board of Goldman Sachs 83 Stephen Scharzman chairman and CEO of The Blackstone Group 91 Dan Senor political advisor to Mitt Romney 83 Mehmet OzU S PresidentsDonald Trump 45th President of the United States 2017 2021 previously endorsed Parnell 94 Executive branch officialsBen Carson U S Secretary of Housing and Urban Development 2017 2021 65 Rick Perry U S Secretary of Energy 2017 2019 and Governor of Texas 2000 2015 65 Ryan Zinke United States Secretary of the Interior 2017 2019 and U S representative from Montana s at large congressional district 2015 2017 65 U S RepresentativesFred Keller PA 12 2019 2023 90 previously endorsed Bartos 73 Guy Reschenthaler PA 14 2019 present previously endorsed Parnell 95 Lloyd Smucker PA 11 formerly PA 16 2017 present 90 Statewide officialsSean Reyes Attorney General of Utah 2013 present 65 IndividualsShmuley Boteach Orthodox Jewish rabbi author and TV host 96 Sean Hannity conservative political commentator 18 Ted Nugent musician and activist 65 Carla SandsExecutive branch officialsFrank Baxter U S Ambassador to Uruguay 2006 2009 65 Robin Bernstein U S Ambassador to the Dominican Republic 2018 2021 65 Ulrich Brechbuhl Counselor of the U S Department of State 2018 2021 65 David Cornstein U S Ambassador to Hungary 2018 2020 65 Randy Evans U S Ambassador to Luxembourg 2018 2021 65 David M Friedman U S Ambassador to Israel 2017 2021 65 Callista Gingrich U S Ambassador to the Holy See 2017 2021 65 George Edward Glass U S Ambassador to Portugal 2017 2021 65 Pete Hoekstra U S Ambassador to the Netherlands 2018 2021 and U S Representative for Michigan s 2nd congressional district 1993 2011 65 W Robert Kohorst U S Ambassador to Croatia 2018 2021 65 Lana Marks U S Ambassador to South Africa 2019 2021 65 Jamie McCourt U S Ambassador to France and Monaco 2017 2021 65 Ed McMullen U S Ambassador to Switzerland and Liechtenstein 2017 2021 65 Robert O Brien National Security Advisor 2019 2021 97 Robert Pence U S Ambassador to Finland 2018 2021 65 Adrian Zuckerman U S Ambassador to Romania 2019 2021 65 U S SenatorsScott Brown 19th United States Ambassador to New Zealand and Samoa 2017 2020 and U S senator from Massachusetts 2010 2013 65 U S RepresentativesNewt Gingrich U S representative from Georgia s 6th congressional district 1979 1999 and 50th Speaker of the U S House of Representatives 1995 1999 98 State legislatorsMatt Baker speaker pro tempore of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives 2011 2018 state representative from the 68th district 1993 2018 65 Greg Rothman state representative from the 87th district 2015 2022 65 David Maloney state representative from the 130th district 2011 present 65 Sean Parnell withdrawn U S PresidentsDonald Trump 45th President of the United States 2017 2021 switched endorsement to Oz after Parnell withdrew 99 U S SenatorsJosh Hawley Missouri 2019 present 100 U S RepresentativesDan Crenshaw Texas s 2nd congressional district 2019 present 101 Ronny Jackson Texas s 13th congressional district 2021 present 102 Mike Kelly PA 16 formerly PA 03 2011 present 103 Guy Reschenthaler PA 14 2019 present switched endorsement to Oz after Parnell withdrew 103 IndividualsDonald Trump Jr businessman and son of President Donald Trump 62 Craig Snyder withdrawn Executive branch officialsBill Kristol Chief of Staff to the Vice President 1989 1993 founder of The Weekly Standard and editor of The Bulwark Democrat 49 Miles Taylor chief of staff to the United States Secretary of Homeland Security 2019 104 U S RepresentativesJames Greenwood PA 08 1993 2005 49 Joe Walsh Illinois s 8th congressional district 2011 2013 Independent 104 Declined to endorseOrganizationsPennsylvania Republican Party 105 Newspapers and other mediaThe Philadelphia Inquirer 106 Polling Edit Graphical summaryGraphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues Source of pollaggregation Datesadministered Datesupdated KathyBarnette JeffBartos DavidMcCormick MehmetOz CarlaSands Other b MarginReal Clear Politics May 3 16 2022 May 17 2022 24 2 5 4 19 6 26 8 6 0 18 0 Oz 2 6Poll source Date s administered Samplesize c Marginof error KathyBarnette JeffBartos DavidMcCormick MehmetOz SeanParnell CarlaSands Other UndecidedThe Trafalgar Group R May 14 16 2022 1 195 LV 2 9 27 7 22 29 7 4 d 6 Emerson College May 14 15 2022 1 000 LV 3 0 24 5 21 28 6 1 e 15 Susquehanna Polling amp Research R May 12 15 2022 400 LV 4 9 27 2 11 28 3 3 f 26 Osage Research R A May 12 13 2022 1 000 LV 3 1 24 6 25 24 7 1 g 13 InsiderAdvantage R May 7 9 2022 750 LV 3 6 21 5 19 23 5 3 h 26 The Trafalgar Group R May 6 8 2022 1 080 LV 3 0 23 7 22 25 7 2 h 15 Fox News May 3 7 2022 1 001 LV 3 0 19 7 20 22 8 4 i 18 Franklin amp Marshall College April 20 May 1 2022 325 RV 6 9 12 2 16 18 5 6 j 39 The Trafalgar Group R April 11 13 2022 1 074 LV 3 0 18 8 20 23 11 3 k 17 Franklin amp Marshall College March 30 April 10 2022 317 RV 6 6 7 6 15 16 5 8 l 43 Eagle Consulting Group R April 7 9 2022 502 LV 4 4 9 6 18 11 9 2 m 45 Emerson College April 3 4 2022 1 000 LV 3 0 10 9 18 17 8 6 n 33 Public Opinion Strategies R A March 29 April 3 2022 600 LV 4 0 13 8 22 16 11 1 g Emerson College March 26 28 2022 372 LV 5 0 6 5 14 14 6 3 o 51 Basswood Research R B March 19 21 2022 800 LV 3 5 11 5 22 25 13 1 g 23 Fox News March 2 6 2022 960 LV 3 0 9 9 24 15 6 3 p 31 TargetPoint Consulting R February 25 28 2022 600 LV 4 0 5 10 25 19 11 6 25 Franklin amp Marshall College February 21 27 2022 178 LV 10 1 6 4 13 10 11 3 53 Public Opinion Strategies R A February 23 2022 LV 9 5 24 18 11 1 g McLaughlin amp Associates R C February 16 18 2022 600 LV 4 0 24 18 31 27 Osage Research R A February 13 16 2022 825 LV 4 0 7 6 24 21 11 3 28 Public Opinion Strategies R A February 9 2022 LV 9 5 17 23 17 1 g The Trafalgar Group R February 1 4 2022 1 070 LV 3 0 9 7 16 27 15 6 q 22 Osage Research R A January 31 February 2 2022 LV 19 29 Public Opinion Strategies R A January 6 2022 LV 9 8 13 31 12 The Trafalgar Group R December 13 16 2021 1 062 LV 3 0 8 3 19 7 12 r 51 Echelon Insights R December 1 3 2021 200 LV 6 9 7 4 11 5 10 s 63 November 22 2021 Parnell withdraws from the raceCiviqs D October 31 November 5 2021 799 LV 3 5 7 6 31 8 2 t 54 Franklin amp Marshall College October 18 24 2021 184 RV 8 8 3 2 11 2 3 u 78 OnMessage Inc R D October 11 14 2021 500 LV 4 4 7 27 4 5 57 Franklin amp Marshall College August 9 15 2021 154 RV 10 9 6 4 14 1 10 v 66 Hypothetical pollingPoll source Date s administered Samplesize c Marginof error DavidMcCormick MehmetOz UndecidedTargetPoint Consulting R February 25 28 2022 600 LV 4 0 56 26 18 Results Edit Following the first night of results it became clear that Oz and McCormick were the top two vote getters in the election however the margin between them was too close to declare a victor 107 A mandatory recount then began 108 107 Former President Trump encouraged Oz to declare victory on election night stating that Oz would only be defeated as a result of election fraud these claims were noted by Politico as echoing Trump s baseless claims of election fraud in the 2020 presidential election 109 With McCormick having done better with mail in ballots Oz opposed counting ballots which were received by election offices before election day but were missing dates on the envelopes 110 A state court later required counties to count undated ballots as valid 111 On June 3 McCormick conceded to Oz saying he could not make up the deficit in the recount 112 Results by county Oz 20 30 30 40 40 50 McCormick 20 30 30 40 40 50 Barnette 30 40 Republican primary results 108 Party Candidate Votes Republican Mehmet Oz 420 168 31 21 Republican David McCormick 419 218 31 14 Republican Kathy Barnette 331 903 24 66 Republican Carla Sands 73 360 5 45 Republican Jeff Bartos 66 684 4 95 Republican Sean Gale 20 266 1 51 Republican George Bochetto 14 492 1 08 Total votes 1 346 091 100 0 Democratic primary Edit U S Representative Conor Lamb finished second in the primary State representative Malcolm Kenyatta finished third in the primary Jenkintown borough councilor Alexandra Khalil finished fourth in the primary Campaign Edit The first two major Democratic candidates were Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania John Fetterman and state representative Malcolm Kenyatta 113 Both Fetterman and Kenyatta were considered to be staunchly progressive Democrats but the two men were felt to appeal to different demographics 113 By July 2021 Fetterman was considered the frontrunner as a result of his high name recognition and strong fundraising 114 U S Representative Conor Lamb a political moderate entered the race on August 6 2021 115 116 As the campaign progressed Lamb and Fetterman became the two most prominent candidates with Kenyatta and Montgomery County Commissioner Val Arkoosh also receiving media attention Fetterman had maintained his frontrunner status as of December and the other three contenders were viewed as mainly competing with each other in order to claim the anti Fetterman mantle 117 On February 4 2022 Arkoosh withdrew from the race her campaign having previously suffered from poor poll results and low support from party activists leaving Kenyatta as the only major candidate from the Philadelphia region 118 Both Kenyatta and Lamb were considered to have a good chance at picking up voters who had previously supported Arkoosh Lamb for ideological reasons and Kenyatta for geographical ones 118 In addition to Fetterman Kenyatta and Lamb two minor candidates also made the Democratic primary ballot namely Kevin Baumlin a hospital physician and Alexandra Khalil a municipal official Baumlin withdrew from the race on March 31 leaving only Khalil in addition to the three major candidates 119 Lamb received the assistance of the Penn Progress Super PAC 120 121 which spent the entirety of its funds in support of Lamb s campaign 122 Lamb worked closely with the Super PAC and participated in donor calls it arranged 123 124 The Penn Progress Super PAC bankrolled TV ads which sought to portray Fetterman as a self described democratic socialist Within a day of airing PolitiFact and Factcheck org called the attack ad false 125 The Philadelphia Inquirer commented that Fetterman had never actually described himself that way 126 the ABC affiliate in Philadelphia stopped broadcasting the ad 127 and Senator Elizabeth Warren called on Lamb to disavow it 128 Candidates Edit Nominee Edit John Fetterman Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania 2019 2023 mayor of Braddock 2005 2019 and candidate for the U S Senate in 2016 53 129 29 130 Eliminated in primary Edit Malcolm Kenyatta state representative for the 181st district 2019 present 131 29 Alexandria Khalil Jenkintown borough councillor 2019 present 132 29 Conor Lamb U S representative for PA 17 formerly PA 18 2018 2023 133 134 29 Disqualified Edit Kael Dougherty data operations associate 135 Larry Johnson attorney 136 Alan Shank retail worker 137 Walter Sluzynsky postal worker 138 Lew Tapera retail worker 139 Withdrew Edit Val Arkoosh member of the Montgomery County Board of Commissioners 2014 present and physician 140 118 Kevin Baumlin chief of Emergency and Urgent Care Services at Pennsylvania Hospital 141 119 John McGuigan former president of the Norristown Municipal Council 1994 1997 142 143 Eric Orts professor at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania endorsed Kenyatta 144 Sharif Street state senator for the 3rd district 2017 present vice chair of the Pennsylvania Democratic Party son of former Mayor of Philadelphia John Street endorsed Lamb 145 Declined Edit Brendan Boyle U S representative for PA 02 formerly PA 13 2015 present 146 Madeleine Dean U S representative for PA 04 2019 present ran for re election 147 Eugene DePasquale Pennsylvania Auditor General 2013 2021 and nominee for PA 10 in 2020 148 Chrissy Houlahan U S Representative for PA 06 2019 present ran for re election 149 Jim Kenney Mayor of Philadelphia 2016 present endorsed Lamb 150 Joe Sestak U S representative for PA 07 2007 2011 former Vice Admiral of the U S Navy nominee for U S Senate in 2010 candidate for U S Senate in 2016 and candidate for president in 2020 151 Josh Shapiro Pennsylvania Attorney General 2017 present ran for Governor 152 153 Joe Torsella Pennsylvania State Treasurer 2017 2021 154 155 Susan Wild U S representative for PA 07 formerly PA 15 2018 present ran for re election 156 Debates Edit 2022 Pennsylvania Senate election Democratic primary debates No Date Host Moderator Link ParticipantsKey P Participant A Absent N Non invitee I Invitee W WithdrawnJohn Fetterman Malcolm Kenyatta Conor Lamb1 Apr 3 2022 Muhlenberg College Becky CorbinJenny DeHuffAri Mittleman Video A w P P2 Apr 21 2022 Nexstar WHTM TV Dennis OwensLisa Sylvester Video P P PEndorsements Edit Val Arkoosh withdrawn State senatorsMaria Collett 12th district 2019 present 65 Judy Schwank 11th district 2011 present 65 State representativesTim Briggs 149th district 2009 present 65 Joe Ciresi 146th district 2019 present switched endorsement to Lamb after Arkoosh withdrew 65 Mary Jo Daley 148th district 2013 present 65 Leanne Krueger 161st district 2015 present 65 Steve Malagari 53rd district 2019 present switched endorsement to Lamb after Arkoosh withdrew 65 Ben Sanchez 153rd district 2018 present 65 Joe Webster 150th district 2019 present switched endorsement to Lamb after Arkoosh withdrew 65 Pam DeLissio 194th district 2011 present 65 Organizations314 Action 157 EMILY s List 158 John FettermanLocal officialsPaige Gebhardt Cognetti Mayor of Scranton 2020 present 159 Labor unionsAmerican Postal Workers Union Pennsylvania chapter 160 United Food and Commercial Workers Local 1776 161 United Steelworkers District 10 161 AFSCME District Council 47 65 OrganizationsCouncil for a Livable World 162 MarchOn 163 National Organization for the Reform of Marijuana Laws 161 Newspapers and other mediaThe Philadelphia Tribune Democratic primary only 164 IndividualsSean McElwee activist and co founder of Data for Progress 165 166 Malcolm KenyattaU S RepresentativesSharice Davids Kansas s 3rd congressional district 2019 present 65 Al Green Texas s 9th congressional district 2005 present 65 State representativesJessica Benham 36th district 2021 present 167 Matthew Bradford 70th district 2009 present 65 Donna Bullock 195th district 2015 present 65 Danilo Burgos 197th district 2019 present 65 Nancy Guenst 152nd district 2021 present 65 Joseph Hohenstein 177th district 2019 present 65 Stephen Kinsey 201st district 2013 present 65 Maureen Madden 115th district 2009 present 65 Jeanne McNeill 133rd district 2018 present 65 Local officialsKendra Brooks at large Philadelphia City Councilor 2020 present Working Families Party 65 Jamie Gauthier Philadelphia City Councilor from District 3 2020 present 168 Katherine Gilmore Richardson at large Philadelphia City Councilor 2020 present 168 Mark Squilla Philadelphia City Councilor from District 1 2020 present 2012 present 65 Isaiah Thomas at large Philadelphia City Councilor 2020 present 168 Labor unionsAmerican Federation of State County and Municipal Employees District Council 33 169 American Federation of Teachers 170 Service Employees International Union 171 OrganizationsBrand New Congress 172 LGBTQ Victory Fund 173 Democracy For America 174 Political partiesWorking Families Party 175 IndividualsLee Daniels movie director screenwriter and movie producer 176 Gloria Steinem author women s rights activist 177 Conor LambU S RepresentativesBob Brady PA 01 1998 2019 Chair of the Democratic Party of Philadelphia 1986 present 178 Matt Cartwright PA 08 formerly PA 17 2013 present 179 Mike Doyle PA 18 formerly PA 14 and PA 18 1995 2023 65 Joe Neguse Colorado s 2nd congressional district 2019 present 65 State senatorsJim Brewster 45th district 2010 present 180 Jay Costa Democratic Leader 2011 present from the 43rd district 1996 present 181 Wayne Fontana 42rd district 2005 present 180 Steve Santarsiero 10th district 2019 present 65 Sharif Street 3rd district 2017 present 182 State representativesAmen Brown 190th district 2021 present 65 Ryan Bizzarro 3rd district 2013 present 183 Michael Carroll 118th district 2007 2022 179 Joe Ciresi 146th district 2019 present 65 Tina Davis 141st district 2011 present 65 Dan Deasy 27th district 2009 present 65 Frank Dermody Democratic Leader of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives 2011 2020 from the 33rd district 1990 2020 133 Dan Frankel 23rd district 1999 present 65 Patrick Harkins 1st district 2006 present 65 Kristine Howard 167th district 2019 present 65 William Kortz 38th district 2007 2021 65 Bridget Malloy Kosierowski 114th district 2019 present 179 Anita Kulik 45th district 2017 present 65 Mark Longietti 7th district 2007 2022 65 Steve Malagari 53rd district 2019 present 65 Robert Matzie 16th district 2009 present 65 Robert Merski 2nd district 2019 present 65 Dan Miller 42nd district 2013 present 65 Gerald Mullery 199th district 2011 2022 179 Kyle Mullins 112th district 2018 present 179 Napoleon Nelson 154th district 2021 present 65 Eddie Day Pashinski 121st district 2007 present 179 Nick Pisciottano 38th district 2021 present 65 Mark Rozzi 126th district 2013 present 65 Pam Snyder 50th District 2013 2022 184 Joe Webster 150th district 2019 present 65 Jake Wheatley 19th district 2003 2022 184 Dan Williams 74th district 2019 present 65 Local officialsRicky Burgess Pittsburgh City Councilor 2008 present 65 Anthony Coghill Pittsburgh City Councilor 2018 present 65 Rich Fitzgerald Allegheny County Executive 2012 present 134 Rick Gray Mayor of Lancaster 2006 2018 65 Curtis J Jones Jr Philadelphia City Councilor from the 4th district 2008 present 65 Jim Kenney Mayor of Philadelphia 2016 present 185 Thomas J Murphy Jr Mayor of Pittsburgh 1994 2006 133 Corey O Connor Pittsburgh City Councilor 2012 2022 65 J William Reynolds Mayor of Bethlehem 2022 present 65 John Street Mayor of Philadelphia 2000 2008 182 Jack Stollsteimer Delaware County District Attorney 2020 present 186 Matthew Tuerk Mayor of Allentown 2022 present 65 Labor unionsAmerican Federation of Government Employees 65 American Federation of Teachers Pittsburgh chapter 187 Communications Workers of America 188 International Association of Bridge Structural Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers Local 3 International Association of Heat and Frost Insulators and Allied Workers Local 2 International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers Local 1044 International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 5 98 269 654 189 190 International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 205 65 International Union of Operating Engineers Local 66 65 International Union of Painters and Allied Trades Local 21 51 65 Laborers International Union of Eastern Pennsylvania 65 Laborers International Union of Western Pennsylvania 65 Operative Plasterers and Cement Masons International Association Local 592 189 191 Pennsylvania Association of Staff Nurses and Allied Professionals 192 Philadelphia Building amp Construction Trades Council 189 Pittsburgh Firefighters IAFF 65 Sheet Metal Workers International Association Local 12 65 United Mine Workers Association 65 Utility Workers Union of America 65 OrganizationsNational Organization for Women 193 Philadelphia Democratic Party 194 Stonewall Democrats PGH 195 VoteVets org 196 Newspapers and other mediaThe Philadelphia Inquirer 197 IndividualsNina Ahmad 2020 Democratic nominee for Pennsylvania Auditor General 193 James Carville political consultant and head strategist of the 1992 Bill Clinton presidential campaign 198 Steve Cozen founder and chairman of the Philadelphia based law firm Cozen O Connor 199 Declined to endorseStatewide officialsTom Wolf 47th Governor of Pennsylvania 2015 2023 200 OrganizationsPennsylvania Democratic Party x 201 Polling Edit Graphical summaryGraphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues Source of pollaggregation Datesadministered Datesupdated JohnFetterman MalcolmKenyatta ConorLamb Other b MarginReal Clear Politics March 26 May 1 2022 May 5 2022 43 0 6 0 12 0 39 0 Fetterman 31 0Poll source Date s administered Samplesize c Marginof error ValArkoosh JohnFetterman MalcolmKenyatta ConorLamb SharifStreet Other UndecidedFranklin amp Marshall College April 20 May 1 2022 357 RV 6 6 53 4 14 6 y 22 Franklin amp Marshall College March 30 April 10 2022 356 RV 6 2 41 4 17 9 z 26 GBAO D E April 5 7 2022 600 LV 4 0 44 17 19 4 aa 15 Emerson College March 26 28 2022 471 LV 4 5 33 8 10 12 ab 37 Franklin amp Marshall College February 21 27 2022 185 LV 9 9 28 2 15 7 50 Impact Research D F Early February 2022 800 LV 3 5 3 47 7 17 5 8 13 February 4 2022 Arkoosh withdraws from the raceData for Progress D E January 26 31 2022 730 LV 4 0 4 46 12 16 22 January 19 2022 Street withdraws from the raceGQR Research D G December 14 16 2021 600 LV 4 0 6 44 20 15 2 12 GBAO D E November 16 23 2021 800 LV 3 5 5 42 15 16 21 Civiqs D October 31 November 5 2021 929 LV 3 2 2 52 5 12 2 6 21 Franklin amp Marshall College October 18 24 2021 208 RV 8 2 4 34 5 12 5 3 37 Franklin amp Marshall College August 9 15 2021 175 RV 10 2 6 33 5 12 0 3 42 Data for Progress D E May 7 14 2021 302 LV 6 0 5 40 9 21 2 8 ac 14 Results Edit Fetterman won the Democratic primary by a landslide winning all 67 counties in Pennsylvania with Lamb in second place Lamb s loss was attributed by Vanity Fair to numerous reasons such as his not being known to voters in the Lehigh Valley region of eastern Pennsylvania where the majority of Democratic voters were located while in contrast Fetterman s position as lieutenant governor gave him statewide name recognition In addition the far more contested Republican primary had consumed media attention that Lamb might have otherwise used to gain more name recognition 202 Fetterman was also widely considered to have run an effective populist campaign with The Atlantic noting that his campaign focused on the issues of workers wages and weed 203 Results by county Fetterman 30 40 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 Democratic primary results 108 Party Candidate Votes Democratic John Fetterman 753 557 58 65 Democratic Conor Lamb 337 498 26 27 Democratic Malcolm Kenyatta 139 393 10 85 Democratic Alexandria Khalil 54 460 4 24 Total votes 1 284 908 100 0 Libertarian convention Edit Libertarian nominee Erik Gerhardt The Libertarian Party nominee qualified for the general election ballot on August 1 204 205 Candidates Edit Nominee Edit Erik Gerhardt carpenter small business owner and candidate for president in 2020 206 207 Withdrew Edit Steve Scheetz powder coater and former chair of the Libertarian Party of Pennsylvania 2013 2015 2019 2021 208 209 210 211 Green convention EditThe Green Party nominee qualified for the general election ballot on August 1 204 205 Candidates Edit Nominee Edit Richard L Weiss lawyer nominee for attorney general in 2020 and nominee for judge of the Allegheny County Court of Common Pleas in 2021 212 Independents and other parties EditCandidates Edit Qualified for ballot Edit Dan Wassmer Keystone nominee lawyer and Libertarian nominee for attorney general in 2020 204 205 Declared write in Edit Ron Johnson Constitution nominee U S Armed Forces veteran former construction worker and former Walmart manager 213 43 214 originally ran as a Republican Quincy Magee inspector of elections for Philadelphia s 44th ward 215 216 217 Withdrew Edit Everett Stern whistleblower private intelligence agency owner and Republican candidate for PA 13 in 2014 and U S Senate in 2016 originally ran as a Republican endorsed Fetterman 218 51 219 220 General election EditCampaign Edit Fetterman s campaign framed Oz as a wealthy outsider who lived outside of Pennsylvania before 2020 including by airing ads that note his past residency in New Jersey Fetterman also flew banners and published social media posts described by The Hill and The Washington Post as trolling his opponent In one post Fetterman started a petition to get Oz inducted to the New Jersey Hall of Fame 221 In response to the carpetbagging criticisms Oz said during the primary debate that Pennsylvanians care much more about what I stand for than where I m from 222 Oz s campaign criticized Fetterman for being inactive since he suffered a stroke in May and made an issue of Fetterman s health 223 224 225 In September Oz published his medical records which prompted Fetterman to state he was medically cleared to serve in the Senate 226 227 228 Oz s campaign also framed Fetterman as a socialist highlighting his endorsement of Bernie Sanders in 2016 Fetterman countered that he has differences in policy proposals with Sanders in issues such as fracking 229 230 Fetterman s refusal to debate Oz until late October was criticized by Oz s campaign 231 232 Fetterman attributed the delay in debating to lingering issues from his stroke and his team criticized debate concessions from Oz s team for allegedly mocking Fetterman s stroke recovery 233 234 A single debate was held on October 25 233 Crudites video Edit On August 15 2022 an April 2022 campaign video of Oz shopping in a Redner s Warehouse supermarket went viral 235 In the video Oz says he is shopping for produce to make crudites and attributes the allegedly high prices to Democratic president Joe Biden The video was widely ridiculed on social media and was the subject of several news articles Most observers focused on Oz s usage of the French term crudites his choice of items and several factual errors Fetterman himself replied saying that Pennsylvanians refer to crudites as veggie trays 236 237 Oz s choice of a raw head of broccoli asparagus and multiple pounds of carrots with guacamole and salsa was described as bizarre by many 238 Others expressed confusion at Oz s statement that the 20 cost of the vegetables and dips doesn t even include the tequila as tequila is not a traditional accompaniment to crudites and liquor is not sold in grocery stores in Pennsylvania 236 Many observers noted Oz quoted the wrong price tag for the salsa and falsely suggested the broccoli was 2 per head when it was 2 per pound 239 The number of internet searches for crudites dramatically increased in the aftermath of the video s circulation Oz appearing to confuse the Redner s and Wegmans supermarket chains led to the name Wegner s trending on Twitter and a parody Twitter account called Wegner s Groceries gaining popularity 236 The Fetterman campaign sought to capitalize on the video by introducing merchandise referencing it 240 When asked if the video made him unrelatable to voters Oz emphasized he helped others throughout his career and would continue to help if elected 241 Debate Edit In the October 25 debate a special arrangement of transcription monitors was put in place to assist Fetterman with his auditory processing issue According to the Associated Press Fetterman struggled at times to explain his positions and often spoke haltingly with Fetterman facing issues completing sentences and frequently pausing after questions were asked Oz was described as being more at home on the debate stage and presented himself as a moderate Republican and did not reference Fetterman s health condition Independent health experts said that Fetterman was recovering remarkably well 242 Fetterman particularly struggled answering a question regarding his previous opposition to fracking by stating he always supported fracking while Oz answered a question on abortion by saying that the federal government should have no role in states abortion decisions instead leaving abortion decisions to women doctors and local political leaders 243 244 245 246 According to Politico and The Guardian Fetterman struggled during the debate and some Democrats questioned why he chose to debate at all 247 248 After the debate the Fetterman campaign claimed that the closed captioning system provided by Nexstar Media Group gave incorrect and slow captions Nexstar denied the claims arguing the captioning worked as expected and that the Fetterman team had had the opportunity for two rehearsals with the equipment and opted to only do one 249 Predictions Edit Source Ranking As ofThe Cook Political Report 250 Tossup October 4 2022Inside Elections 251 Tossup August 25 2022Sabato s Crystal Ball 252 Lean R November 7 2022Politico 253 Tossup June 8 2022RCP 254 Tossup August 14 2022Fox News 255 Tossup October 25 2022DDHQ 256 Tossup October 15 2022538 257 Tossup November 7 2022The Economist 258 Tossup November 1 2022Debates Edit 2022 United States Senate general election in Pennsylvania debates No Date Host Moderator Link Republican DemocraticKey P Participant A Absent N Non invitee I Invitee W WithdrawnMehmet Oz John Fetterman1 Oct 25 2022 Nexstar WHTM TV Dennis OwensLisa Sylvester YouTube P PEndorsements Edit Mehmet Oz R U S PresidentsDonald Trump 45th President of the United States 2017 2021 94 Executive branch officialsDavid Bernhardt U S Secretary of the Interior 2019 2021 259 Ben Carson U S Secretary of Housing and Urban Development 2017 2021 65 David Friedman U S Ambassador to Israel 2017 2021 260 Richard Grenell Special Presidential Envoy for Serbia and Kosovo Peace Negotiations 2019 2021 U S Ambassador to Germany 2018 2020 Acting Director of National Intelligence 2020 261 Nikki Haley United States Ambassador to the United Nations 2017 2018 and Governor of South Carolina 2011 2017 262 Steven Law United States Deputy Secretary of Labor 2003 2007 263 David McCormick Under Secretary of the Treasury 2007 2009 Under Secretary of Commerce for Industry and Security 2005 2006 2022 Republican candidate for Senate in Pennsylvania 264 Rick Perry U S Secretary of Energy 2017 2019 and Governor of Texas 2000 2015 65 Tom Ridge U S Secretary of Homeland Security 2003 2005 United States Homeland Security Advisor 2001 2003 Governor of Pennsylvania 1995 2001 265 Wilbur Ross U S Secretary of Commerce 2017 2021 266 Carla Sands U S Ambassador to Denmark 2017 2021 2022 Republican candidate for Senate in Pennsylvania 267 Matt Schlapp White House Director of Political Affairs 2003 2005 268 Mercedes Schlapp White House Director of Strategic Communications 2017 2019 268 Jim Schultz Associate White House Counsel 2017 269 Ryan Zinke U S Secretary of the Interior 2017 2019 and U S representative from Montana s at large congressional district 2015 2017 65 U S SenatorsSusan Collins Maine 1997 present 270 Tom Cotton Arkansas 2015 present 271 Kevin Cramer North Dakota 2019 present 65 John Kennedy Louisiana 2017 present 272 Roger Marshall Kansas 2021 present 273 Mitch McConnell Kentucky 1985 present Senate Minority Leader 2007 2015 2021 present Senate Majority Leader 2015 2021 274 Rick Scott Florida 2019 present 275 Tim Scott South Carolina 2013 present 259 Pat Toomey Pennsylvania 2011 2023 276 U S RepresentativesBrian Fitzpatrick PA 01 formerly PA 08 2017 present 277 Newt Gingrich Georgia s 6th congressional district 1979 1999 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives 1995 1999 278 John Joyce PA 13 2019 present 279 277 Fred Keller PA 12 2019 2023 90 277 Mike Kelly PA 16 formerly PA 03 2011 present 280 277 Scott Perry PA 10 2013 present 277 Guy Reschenthaler PA 14 2019 present 95 277 Dan Meuser PA 09 2019 present 277 Lloyd Smucker PA 11 formerly PA 16 2017 present 90 277 Glenn Thompson PA 15 formerly PA 05 2009 present 277 Statewide officialsChris Christie Governor of New Jersey 2010 2018 281 Ron DeSantis Governor of Florida 2019 present 282 Stacy Garrity Pennsylvania Treasurer 2021 present 279 267 George Pataki Governor of New York 1995 2006 283 Sean Reyes Attorney General of Utah 2013 present 65 State senatorsLisa Baker 20th district 2007 present 284 Cris Dush 25th district 2020 present 285 Mike Regan 31st district 2017 present 286 Holly Schepisi New Jersey state senator from the 39th district 2021 present 287 Judy Ward 30th district 2019 present 288 State representativesCarrie DelRosso 33rd district 2021 2022 289 Torren Ecker 193rd district 2019 present 267 Jim Gregory 80th district 2018 present 288 Dan Moul 91st district 2007 present 290 Aaron Kaufer 120th district 2015 present 284 Greg Rothman 87th district 2015 2022 267 Frank Ryan 101st district 2017 2022 267 Lou Schmitt 79th district 2019 present 288 Guy Talarico New Jersey state assemblyman from the 38th district 1997 2002 287 Martina White 170th district 2015 present 289 Local officialsTom Knox former Deputy Mayor of Philadelphia for Management and Productivity 1992 1993 Democrat 291 Justin Taylor Mayor of Carbondale Pennsylvania 2003 present Democrat 292 Party officialsThomas O Hicks Jr Co Chair of the Republican National Committee 2019 present 293 Ronna McDaniel Chair of the Republican National Committee 2017 present 294 Steve Wynn Finance Chair of the Republican National Committee 2017 2018 266 Labor unionsEB Jermyn Fraternal Order of Police Lodge 2 295 Fraternal Order of Police Lodge 91 296 National Council of Prison Locals 259 Pennsylvania State Corrections Officers Association 259 Pennsylvania State Troopers Association 297 Philadelphia Firefighters and Paramedics Union Local 22 259 Philadelphia Fraternal Order of Police Lodge 5 298 OrganizationsAmerican Crossroads 263 Americans for Prosperity Action 299 Huck PAC 300 Log Cabin Republicans 301 National Federation of Independent Business 302 National Republican Senatorial Committee 275 National Rifle Association 303 Political Victory Fund 304 Republican Jewish Coalition 305 Susan B Anthony Pro Life America 306 The Conservative Caucus 307 United States Chamber of Commerce 308 Newspapers and other mediaPittsburgh Post Gazette 309 IndividualsKathy Barnette political commentator and candidate for U S Senate in Pennsylvania in 2022 310 Jeff Bartos 2018 Republican nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania 2022 Republican candidate for Senate in Pennsylvania 311 Shmuley Boteach Orthodox Jewish rabbi author and TV host 96 rescinded endorsement 312 Marjorie Dannenfelser president of Susan B Anthony Pro Life America 306 Jose Fanjul businessman 313 Kimberly Guilfoyle television news personality 259 Harold Hamm businessman 90 Sean Hannity conservative political commentator 18 Daniel Lubetzky businessman and founder of Kind 314 Gene Marks columnist 315 Chuck Norris martial artist and actor 316 Ted Nugent musician and activist 65 John Fetterman D U S PresidentsJoe Biden 46th President of the United States 2021 present 317 Barack Obama 44th President of the United States 2009 2017 318 Executive Branch officialsKamala Harris 49th Vice President of the United States 2021 present 319 Patrick Murphy U S Secretary of the Army 2016 and former U S Representative for Pennsylvania s 8th congressional district 2007 2011 320 Statewide officialsJosh Shapiro Attorney General of Pennsylvania 2017 2023 and 2022 Democratic gubernatorial nominee 321 U S SenatorsSherrod Brown Ohio 2007 present 322 Bob Casey Jr Pennsylvania 2007 present 317 Chris Coons Delaware 2010 present 323 Amy Klobuchar Minnesota 2007 present 324 Elizabeth Warren Massachusetts 2013 present 325 Ben Nelson Nebraska 2001 2013 326 Gary Peters Michigan 2015 present 327 Bernie Sanders Vermont 2007 present Independent 328 U S RepresentativesBob Brady PA 01 1998 2019 Chair of the Democratic Party of Philadelphia 1986 present 329 Brendan Boyle PA 02 formerly PA 13 2015 present 330 Matt Cartwright PA 08 2013 present 331 Alexandria Ocasio Cortez New York s 14th congressional district 2019 present 332 Madeleine Dean PA 04 2019 present 333 Dwight Evans PA 03 2019 present 334 Gabby Giffords Arizona s 8th congressional district 2007 2012 335 Chrissy Houlahan PA 06 2019 present 333 Conor Lamb PA 17 2018 2023 and candidate for U S Senate in 2022 336 Mary Gay Scanlon PA 05 2019 present and PA 07 2018 2019 333 Susan Wild PA 07 formerly PA 15 2018 present 333 State senatorsAmanda Cappelletti 17th district 2020 present 326 Anthony Williams 8th district 1999 present 326 State representativesTina Davis 141st district 2011 present 320 Malcolm Kenyatta 181st district 2019 present and candidate for U S Senate in 2022 337 Patty Kim state representative from the 103rd district 2013 present 338 Summer Lee state representative from the 34th district 2019 2022 and 2022 Democratic nominee for PA 12 339 Joanna McClinton 191st district 2015 present 340 341 Darisha Parker 198th district 2020 present 326 Local officialsPaige Cognetti Mayor of Scranton 2020 present 159 Ed Gainey Mayor of Pittsburgh 2022 present 339 Ezra Nanes Mayor of State College 2022 present 342 Labor unionsAFL CIO 343 AFSCME District Council 47 65 American Postal Workers Union Pennsylvania chapter 160 Pennsylvania State Education Association 344 Service Employees International Union 335 United Food and Commercial Workers Local 1776 161 United Steelworkers District 10 161 United Mine Workers 345 OrganizationsArmenian National Committee of America 346 Brand New Congress 347 Council for a Livable World 162 Democratic Majority for Israel 348 Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee 349 End Citizens United 350 Giffords 351 Human Rights Campaign 352 Jewish Dems 353 J Street 354 League of Conservation Voters 355 Let America Vote 350 MarchOn 163 NARAL Pro Choice America 356 National Organization for the Reform of Marijuana Laws 161 Our Revolution 357 Peace Action 358 Pennsylvania Democratic Party 359 Planned Parenthood 360 Population Connection Action Fund 361 Sierra Club 362 Humane Society Legislative Fund 363 The Citizens Voice 364 The Patriot News 365 The Philadelphia Inquirer 366 The Philadelphia Tribune 367 The York Dispatch 368 IndividualsMichael Fanone former police officer involved in the January 6 United States Capitol attack 369 Franco Harris former professional football player 370 371 Brian Keene author 372 Dave Matthews singer 373 Sean McElwee activist and co founder of Fetterman polling firm Data for Progress 165 166 Paul Rudd actor 374 Everett Stern whistleblower private intelligence agency owner and candidate for PA 13 in 2014 and U S Senate in 2016 and 2022 Independent former Republican 220 Kurt Vile singer and record producer 373 Kerry Washington actress 375 Oprah Winfrey businesswoman and former talk show host who introduced Oz 376 Polling Edit Aggregate pollsSource of pollaggregation Datesadministered Datesupdated MehmetOz R JohnFetterman D Other b MarginReal Clear Politics October 24 November 3 2022 November 7 2022 47 2 46 8 6 0 Oz 0 4 FiveThirtyEight December 3 2021 November 7 2022 November 7 2022 47 4 46 9 5 7 Oz 0 5 270towin November 3 4 2022 November 4 2022 46 8 46 5 6 7 Oz 0 3 Average 47 1 46 7 6 2 Oz 0 4 Graphical summaryGraphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues Poll source Date s administered Samplesize c Marginof error MehmetOz R JohnFetterman D Other UndecidedResearch Co November 4 6 2022 450 LV 4 6 46 47 2 ad 5 Targoz Market Research November 2 6 2022 631 LV 3 8 51 46 3 ae InsiderAdvantage R November 3 2022 750 LV 3 6 48 46 4 af 3 The Trafalgar Group R November 1 3 2022 1 097 LV 2 9 48 46 3 4 Remington Research Group R November 1 2 2022 1 180 LV 2 8 47 44 4 ag 5 Marist College October 31 November 2 2022 1 152 RV 3 8 44 50 1 ah 5 1 021 LV 4 0 45 51 1 ah 4 Susquehanna Polling amp Research R October 28 November 1 2022 700 LV 3 7 48 47 2 ai 4 Emerson College October 28 31 2022 1 000 LV 3 0 48 46 3 aj 4 48 47 4 ak Suffolk University October 27 30 2022 500 LV 4 4 45 47 1 al 7 Fox News October 26 30 2022 1 005 RV 3 0 42 45 6 am 6 Big Data Poll R October 27 28 2022 1 005 LV 3 0 48 46 3 2 co efficient R October 26 28 2022 1 716 LV 3 4 48 45 4 an 2 Muhlenberg College October 24 28 2022 460 LV 6 0 47 47 3 ao 2 Wick Insights R October 26 27 2022 1 000 LV 3 2 48 46 4 an 3 InsiderAdvantage R October 26 2022 750 LV 3 6 48 45 4 ap 4 Siena Research NYT October 24 26 2022 620 LV 4 4 44 49 lt 1 aq 6 YouGov CBS News October 21 24 2022 1 084 LV 4 1 49 51 1 ar Franklin amp Marshall College October 14 23 2022 620 RV 5 3 40 45 4 as 11 384 LV 6 8 45 49 Rasmussen Reports R October 19 20 2022 972 LV 3 0 43 45 6 at 6 Echelon Insights October 18 20 2022 500 LV 4 8 43 46 4 au 7 InsiderAdvantage R October 19 2022 550 LV 4 2 46 46 3 av 5 CNN SSRS October 13 17 2022 901 RV 4 1 41 52 6 aw 703 LV 4 6 45 51 3 ax Wick Insights R October 8 14 2022 1 013 LV 3 1 49 45 3 ay 3 Patriot Polling R October 10 12 2022 857 RV 48 46 7 Fabrizio Ward R Impact Research D October 4 12 2022 1 400 LV 4 4 46 48 2 az 4 The Trafalgar Group R H October 8 11 2022 1 078 LV 2 9 45 47 4 ba 4 Center Street PAC D I September 29 30 2022 971 RV 3 5 34 50 16 568 LV 36 55 9 Suffolk University September 27 30 2022 500 LV 4 4 40 46 3 bb 11 Emerson College September 23 26 2022 1 000 LV 3 0 43 45 5 bc 8 Fox News September 22 26 2022 1 008 RV 3 0 41 45 7 bd 7 827 LV 3 0 44 48 3 be 5 Franklin amp Marshall College September 19 25 2022 517 RV 5 6 42 45 13 InsiderAdvantage R September 23 24 2022 550 LV 4 2 42 45 6 bf 8 Marist College September 19 22 2022 1 242 RV 3 5 41 51 lt 1 bg 7 1 043 LV 3 8 44 51 4 The Phillips Academy Poll September 16 19 2022 759 RV 3 6 45 47 9 Muhlenberg College September 13 16 2022 420 LV 6 0 44 49 5 bh 2 The Trafalgar Group R September 13 15 2022 1 078 LV 2 9 46 48 4 bi 2 YouGov CBS News September 6 12 2022 1 194 RV 3 8 47 52 1 Echelon Insights August 31 September 7 2022 828 RV 4 1 36 57 7 RABA Research August 31 September 3 2022 679 LV 3 8 40 49 3 ay 8 Kurt Jetta D I August 31 September 1 2022 1 012 RV 3 5 33 51 15 616 LV 36 55 9 Susquehanna Polling amp Research R August 22 29 2022 718 LV 3 7 44 49 2 5 Emerson College August 22 23 2022 1 034 LV 3 0 44 48 3 5 Franklin amp Marshall College August 15 21 2022 522 RV 5 3 36 45 9 bj 10 The Trafalgar Group R August 15 18 2022 1 096 LV 2 9 44 48 4 bk 5 Public Opinion Strategies R August 7 10 2022 600 RV 4 0 36 52 11 Kurt Jetta D I July 29 August 1 2022 1 206 A 2 8 30 47 23 997 RV 3 1 32 48 20 516 LV 4 3 38 52 10 Fox News July 22 26 2022 908 RV 3 0 36 47 5 bl 11 PEM Management Corporation R J July 22 24 2022 300 LV 5 7 38 44 4 15 Blueprint Polling D July 19 21 2022 712 LV 3 7 40 49 12 Beacon Research D K July 5 20 2022 1 012 RV 3 1 34 47 1 13 609 LV 4 0 39 50 2 9 Global Strategy Group D L July 14 19 2022 1 200 LV 2 9 40 51 9 Fabrizio Ward R Impact Research D June 12 19 2022 1 382 LV 4 4 44 50 6 Cygnal R June 16 17 2022 535 LV 4 2 44 48 8 Suffolk University June 10 13 2022 500 LV 4 4 37 46 3 bm 13 Susquehanna Polling amp Research R May 10 2022 LV 33 51 16 Data for Progress D E December 3 5 2021 581 LV 4 0 42 44 13 Hypothetical pollingJeff Bartos vs John FettermanPoll source Date s administered Samplesize c Marginof error JeffBartos R JohnFetterman D UndecidedGarin Hart Yang D M May 10 19 2021 450 LV 4 7 36 45 19 Data for Progress D E May 7 14 2021 310 LV 5 6 38 48 14 Jeff Bartos vs Conor LambPoll source Date s administered Samplesize c Marginof error JeffBartos R ConorLamb D UndecidedData for Progress D E May 7 14 2021 341 LV 5 3 42 43 15 Sean Parnell vs John FettermanPoll source Date s administered Samplesize c Marginof error SeanParnell R JohnFetterman D UndecidedGarin Hart Yang D M May 10 19 2021 450 LV 4 7 42 42 16 Data for Progress D E May 7 14 2021 310 LV 5 6 40 48 12 Sean Parnell vs Conor LambPoll source Date s administered Samplesize c Marginof error SeanParnell R ConorLamb D UndecidedData for Progress D E May 7 14 2021 341 LV 5 3 44 42 14 Results Edit Fetterman won the election by 4 9 percentage points and was declared the winner in the early hours of November 9 The early victory came as a shock to many pundits as the race was expected to take several days to project a winner 377 Oz underperformed former Republican president Donald Trump s performance in the 2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania by 3 7 percentage points but overperformed Republican nominee Doug Mastriano in the concurrent gubernatorial race by 10 percentage points 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania 378 Party Candidate Votes Democratic John Fetterman 2 751 012 51 25 3 91 Republican Mehmet Oz 2 487 260 46 33 2 44 Libertarian Erik Gerhardt 72 887 1 36 2 53 Green Richard L Weiss 30 434 0 57 N AKeystone Dan Wassmer 26 428 0 49 N ATotal votes 5 368 021 100 0 N ADemocratic gain from RepublicanBy countyCounty 379 John FettermanDemocratic Mehmet OzRepublican Erik GerhardtLibertarian Richard WeissGreen Dan WassmerKeystone Margin Totalvotes Adams 16 096 34 68 29 039 62 56 704 1 52 289 0 62 291 0 63 12 943 27 88 46 419Allegheny 363 873 63 42 200 632 34 97 5 190 0 90 2 343 0 41 1 671 0 29 163 241 28 45 573 709Armstrong 8 065 28 38 19 575 68 89 465 1 64 131 0 46 177 0 62 11 510 40 51 28 413Beaver 32 692 44 51 38 772 52 79 1 143 1 56 410 0 56 426 0 58 6 080 8 28 73 443Bedford 3 796 17 07 17 954 80 72 261 1 17 101 0 45 129 0 58 14 158 63 66 22 241Berks 71 349 46 08 78 019 50 39 3 315 2 14 1 149 0 74 992 0 64 6 670 4 31 154 824Blair 14 763 29 40 34 214 68 13 627 1 25 295 0 59 321 0 64 19 451 38 73 50 220Bradford 6 632 28 24 16 033 68 28 450 1 92 162 0 69 204 0 87 9 401 40 04 23 481Bucks 164 536 52 35 141 340 44 97 4 633 1 47 2 145 0 68 1 657 0 53 23 196 7 38 314 311Butler 33 921 36 34 57 168 61 25 1 346 1 44 414 0 44 486 0 52 23 247 24 91 93 335Cambria 18 849 33 45 35 847 63 62 868 1 54 365 0 65 419 0 74 16 998 30 17 56 348Cameron 547 29 00 1 247 66 12 46 2 44 19 1 01 27 1 43 700 37 12 1 886Carbon 9 682 36 91 15 659 59 69 559 2 13 160 0 61 172 0 66 5 977 22 78 26 232Centre 32 597 52 52 27 902 44 96 834 1 34 372 0 60 356 0 57 4 695 7 56 62 061Chester 147 559 57 20 104 020 40 32 3 586 1 39 1 579 0 61 1 219 0 47 43 539 16 88 257 963Clarion 4 327 28 15 10 620 69 09 238 1 55 91 0 59 95 0 62 6 293 40 94 15 371Clearfield 8 533 27 18 21 948 69 90 489 1 56 193 0 61 236 0 75 13 415 42 72 31 399Clinton 4 750 33 89 8 791 62 72 219 1 56 96 0 68 161 1 15 4 041 28 83 14 017Columbia 9 023 36 46 14 830 59 93 518 2 09 176 0 71 198 0 80 5 807 23 47 24 745Crawford 11 081 33 55 20 992 63 55 575 1 74 187 0 57 198 0 60 9 911 30 00 33 033Cumberland 53 278 45 96 59 663 51 47 1 783 1 54 589 0 51 614 0 53 6 385 5 51 115 927Dauphin 61 599 53 82 50 141 43 81 1 503 1 31 593 0 52 610 0 53 11 458 10 01 114 446Delaware 157 599 62 87 87 322 34 84 3 454 1 38 1 483 0 59 809 0 32 70 277 28 04 250 667Elk 4 066 29 86 9 128 67 02 225 1 65 85 0 62 115 0 84 5 062 37 17 13 619Erie 56 404 53 35 46 507 43 98 1 554 1 47 702 0 66 567 0 54 9 897 9 36 105 734Fayette 17 731 37 87 28 234 60 30 438 0 94 196 0 42 225 0 48 10 503 22 43 46 824Forest 694 31 81 1 434 65 72 27 1 24 17 0 78 10 0 46 740 33 91 2 182Franklin 18 718 28 70 44 819 68 72 845 1 30 420 0 64 418 0 64 26 101 40 02 65 220Fulton 953 15 26 5 171 82 79 74 1 18 18 0 29 30 0 48 4 218 67 53 6 246Greene 4 394 33 57 8 348 63 77 160 1 22 105 0 80 84 0 64 3 954 30 20 13 091Huntingdon 4 665 25 54 13 035 71 37 286 1 57 135 0 74 143 0 78 8 370 45 83 18 264Indiana 11 218 34 25 20 769 63 41 398 1 22 179 0 55 191 0 58 9 551 29 16 32 755Jefferson 4 135 23 25 13 139 73 87 293 1 65 98 0 55 121 0 68 9 004 50 62 17 786Juniata 2 111 21 70 7 265 74 68 176 1 81 55 0 57 121 1 24 5 154 52 98 9 728Lackawanna 50 489 56 77 36 534 41 08 1 020 1 15 441 0 50 459 0 52 13 955 15 69 88 943Lancaster 94 632 42 14 124 798 55 58 3 272 1 46 1 147 0 51 699 0 31 30 166 13 43 224 548Lawrence 13 758 38 00 21 531 59 47 511 1 41 189 0 52 217 0 60 7 773 21 47 36 206Lebanon 19 695 34 86 35 023 62 00 1 107 1 96 318 0 56 348 0 62 15 328 27 13 56 491Lehigh 73 096 53 63 59 219 43 45 2 269 1 66 958 0 70 759 0 56 13 877 10 18 136 301Luzerne 51 504 44 28 61 978 53 28 1 662 1 43 663 0 57 516 0 44 10 474 9 00 116 323Lycoming 13 573 29 36 31 171 67 42 882 1 91 305 0 66 302 0 65 17 598 38 06 46 233McKean 4 135 28 22 10 076 68 77 214 1 46 95 0 65 131 0 89 5 941 40 55 14 651Mercer 17 080 37 66 27 049 59 64 673 1 48 279 0 62 271 0 60 9 969 21 98 45 352Mifflin 3 965 23 62 12 263 73 06 278 1 66 114 0 68 165 0 98 8 298 49 44 16 785Monroe 30 251 51 51 26 746 45 54 989 1 68 450 0 77 294 0 50 3 505 5 97 58 730Montgomery 260 207 63 01 143 077 34 65 5 416 1 31 2 502 0 61 1 752 0 42 117 130 28 36 412 954Montour 3 213 41 02 4 328 55 25 154 1 97 57 0 73 81 1 03 1 115 14 23 7 833Northampton 66 565 51 21 59 860 46 05 1 949 1 50 919 0 71 694 0 53 6 705 5 16 129 987Northumberland 10 812 32 87 20 992 63 82 583 1 77 241 0 73 267 0 81 10 180 30 95 32 895Perry 5 646 27 91 13 956 68 98 392 1 94 111 0 55 126 0 62 8 310 41 08 20 231Philadelphia 412 841 82 71 78 408 15 71 3 718 0 74 2 532 0 51 1 652 0 33 334 433 67 00 499 151Pike 9 821 38 98 14 792 58 71 293 1 16 148 0 59 142 0 56 4 971 19 73 25 196Potter 1 415 19 91 5 486 77 18 120 1 69 40 0 56 47 0 66 4 071 57 27 7 108Schuylkill 17 954 32 40 35 293 63 69 1 214 2 19 457 0 82 495 0 89 17 339 31 29 55 413Snyder 4 220 27 52 10 657 69 49 239 1 56 89 0 58 131 0 85 6 437 41 97 15 336Somerset 7 660 23 55 23 964 73 67 523 1 61 190 0 58 191 0 59 16 304 50 12 32 528Sullivan 869 28 81 2 023 67 08 65 2 16 31 1 03 28 0 93 1 154 38 26 3 016Susquehanna 5 245 30 30 11 520 66 55 269 1 55 128 0 74 149 0 86 6 275 36 25 17 311Tioga 4 103 24 67 11 988 72 08 281 1 69 136 0 82 124 0 75 7 885 47 41 16 632Union 6 249 38 83 9 401 58 41 210 1 30 127 0 79 107 0 66 3 152 19 58 16 094Venango 6 777 32 50 13 406 64 29 385 1 85 126 0 60 160 0 77 6 629 31 79 20 854Warren 5 420 33 68 10 175 63 23 243 1 51 118 0 73 136 0 85 4 755 29 55 16 092Washington 39 684 42 29 52 337 55 77 1 083 1 15 322 0 34 410 0 44 12 653 13 48 93 836Wayne 7 669 33 77 14 425 63 51 344 1 51 140 0 62 134 0 59 6 756 29 75 22 712Westmoreland 66 240 39 43 98 238 58 47 2 057 1 22 678 0 40 796 0 47 31 998 19 04 168 009Wyoming 4 059 34 46 7 338 62 30 215 1 83 75 0 64 92 0 78 3 279 27 84 11 779York 71 929 38 56 109 631 58 77 2 975 1 59 956 0 51 1 060 0 57 37 702 20 21 186 551Totals 2 751 012 51 25 2 487 260 46 33 72 887 1 36 30 434 0 57 26 428 0 49 263 752 4 91 5 368 021Counties that flipped from Republican to DemocraticBucks largest municipality Bensalem Centre largest municipality State College Chester largest municipality West Chester Dauphin largest municipality Harrisburg Erie largest municipality Erie Northampton largest municipality Bethlehem By congressional district Edit Fetterman won 10 of 17 congressional districts including one that elected a Republican 380 unreliable source District Fetterman Oz Representative1st 52 45 Brian Fitzpatrick2nd 72 26 Brendan Boyle3rd 91 8 Dwight Evans4th 60 38 Madeleine Dean5th 65 32 Mary Gay Scanlon6th 56 41 Chrissy Houlahan7th 51 46 Susan Wild8th 49 48 Matt Cartwright9th 33 63 Dan Meuser10th 48 49 Scott Perry11th 40 58 Lloyd Smucker12th 63 35 Mike Doyle 117th Congress Summer Lee 118th Congress 13th 29 68 John Joyce14th 38 60 Guy Reschenthaler15th 33 64 Glenn Thompson16th 42 55 Mike Kelly17th 56 42 Conor Lamb 117th Congress Chris Deluzio 118th Congress Voter demographics EditVoter demographic data for 2022 was collected by CNN The voter survey is based on exit polls completed by 2 660 voters in person as well as by phone 381 2022 United States Senate election voter demographics in Pennsylvania CNN 381 Demographic subgroup Fetterman Oz oftotal voteIdeologyLiberals 92 6 25Moderates 64 34 41Conservatives 9 91 34PartyDemocrats 94 5 37Republicans 10 90 40Independents 58 38 24GenderMen 44 54 50Women 57 41 50Marital statusMarried 47 53 64Unmarried 60 37 36Gender by marital statusMarried men 42 57 36Married women 52 48 28Unmarried men 52 43 14Unmarried women 65 34 21Race ethnicityWhite 45 53 82Black 91 8 8Latino 68 30 8White voters by genderWhite men 39 59 41White women 51 48 32Age18 24 years old 72 25 725 29 years old 68 31 530 39 years old 60 37 1340 49 years old 50 49 1150 64 years old 45 54 2965 and older 46 53 342020 presidential voteBiden 93 6 48Trump 8 92 45First time midterm election voterYes 62 34 12No 49 50 88EducationNever attended college 36 63 24Some college education 56 41 21Associate degree 48 49 14Bachelor s degree 52 47 23Advanced degree 66 32 18Education by raceWhite college graduates 56 43 35White no college degree 38 60 47Non white college graduates 74 25 6Non white no college degree 79 20 12Education by gender raceWhite women with college degrees 62 37 17White women without college degrees 44 55 24White men with college degrees 50 49 18White men without college degrees 32 66 23Non white 77 22 18Issue regarded as most importantCrime 51 49 11Abortion 78 21 37Inflation 27 72 28Feelings about Roe v Wade being overturnedEnthusiastic satisfied 10 89 38Dissatisfied angry 79 19 59Abortion should beLegal 76 22 62Illegal 10 88 34See also Edit2022 United States Senate electionsNotes Edit Democrats briefly held both of Pennsylvania s Senate seats from 2009 to 2011 when Arlen Specter who was elected as a Republican switched to the Democratic Party a b c Calculated by taking the difference of 100 and all other candidates combined a b c d e f g h Key A all adultsRV registered votersLV likely votersV unclear Bochetto and Gale with 2 Bochetto with 1 Gale with 0 Bochetto Gale and Other with 1 a b c d e Bochetto with 1 a b Bochetto and Gale with 1 Gale with 2 Bochetto and Other volunteered response with 1 Someone else with 5 Gale with 1 Bochetto with 0 Bochetto with 3 Gale with 1 Someone else with 6 Bochetto with 2 Gale with 0 Bochetto and Gale with 1 Bochetto with 4 Gale with 3 Bochetto with 2 Gale with 1 Bochetto Stern and Other volunteered response with 1 Bochetto Gale and Stern with 2 Another Candidate with 11 Gale with 1 Gale with 4 Jeffries with 2 Xu with 1 Stern with 0 Gale with 2 Someone else with 3 Gale with 0 Someone else with 7 Gale with 3 Fetterman was invited to the debate but declined to attend Conor Lamb received the most delegate votes of 169 but failed to reach the self imposed threshold of a two thirds majority vote meaning that no candidate received the endorsement of the Pennsylvania Democratic Party Someone else with 4 Baumlin and Khalil with 1 Someone else with 9 Baumlin and Khalil with 0 Khalil with 4 Baumlin with 9 Khalil with 3 Houlahan with 8 Some other candidate with 2 Gerhardt L with 2 All others with 1 Gerhardt L with 2 Someone else with 2 Gerhardt L with 2 Weiss G with 1 Someone else with 1 a b Another party s candidate with 1 Other with 1 Refuse with 1 Gerhardt L with 2 Weiss G with 1 Wassmer K with lt 1 Someone else with lt 1 Gerhardt L with 2 Weiss G with 1 Wassmer K with lt 1 Someone else with 2 Gerhardt L with 1 Wassmer K with lt 1 Weiss G with lt 1 Stern I WI with 4 Other with 1 Wouldn t vote with 1 a b Someone else with 4 Neither Other with 3 Gerhardt L with 3 Someone else with 1 Gerhardt L with lt 1 Weiss G with lt 1 Someone else with 1 Some other candidate with 2 Not going to vote with 1 Gerhardt L with 1 Some other candidate with 6 Gerhardt L with 2 Weiss G and Wassmer K with 1 Gerhardt L with 2 Someone else with 1 Neither with 5 Other with 1 Neither with 2 Other with 1 a b Someone else with 3 Other with 2 Gerhardt L with 3 Other with 1 Gerhardt L with 2 Wassmer K with 1 Weiss G with lt 1 Someone else with 5 Stern I W I with 3 other with 1 and 3 wouldn t vote Stern I W I with 2 other with 1 Gerhardt L with 2 Someone else with 4 Another party s candidate with lt 1 Neither Other with 5 Gerhardt L and Other with 4 Some other candidate with 4 Gerhardt L with 3 Wassmer K and Weiss G with 1 Gerhardt L and Other with 2 Stern I WI with 3 other volunteered response with 2 Gerhardt L Magee I W I Stern I WI and Weiss G with 1 Johnson C and someone else with lt 1 Partisan clients a b c d e f g Poll sponsored by Honor Pennsylvania PAC which supports McCormick Poll sponsored by Oz s campaign Poll sponsored by McCormick s campaign Poll sponsored by Parnell s campaign a b c d e f g h i Poll sponsored by Fetterman s campaign Poll sponsored by pro Lamb super PAC Penn Progress Poll sponsored by Kenyatta s campaign This poll was sponsored by The Daily Wire a b c This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC which opposes Oz This poll was conducted for John Bolton Super PAC This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project This poll was sponsored by EDF Action and NRDC Action Fund a b Poll sponsored by Collective PAC References Edit Levy Marc November 9 2022 Democrat John Fetterman wins US Senate race in Pennsylvania Associated Press Retrieved November 10 2022 Pennsylvania Senate Democratic Primary Election Results and Maps 2022 CNN Politics CNN Retrieved June 4 2022 Bradner Eric Dave McCormick concedes Pennsylvania Senate GOP primary to Trump backed Mehmet Oz CNN Retrieved June 4 2022 Hammond Joseph December 2 2021 Celebrity surgeon Dr Oz seeks to be first Muslim elected to the US Senate Religion News Tracy Abigail November 9 2022 John Fetterman Wins Pennsylvania Senate Race Vanity Fair Retrieved November 9 2022 Manchester Julia November 3 2022 Oz passes Fetterman for first time after Pennsylvania debate poll The Hill Retrieved November 30 2022 2022 Senate Election Forecast Battle for Senate All About John Fetterman the Democrat Who Defeated Dr Oz in the Pennsylvania Senate Race Peoplemag Retrieved March 7 2023 Wilson Reid April 14 2022 Fetterman opens wide lead in Pennsylvania Senate Democratic primary GOP race split poll The Hill Retrieved March 7 2023 Rogers Alex October 5 2020 GOP Sen Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania won t run for reelection in 2022 CNN Retrieved December 1 2021 Olson Tyler October 14 2021 GOP Pennsylvania Senate candidate Bartos touts war chest against Trump backed opponent Parnell Fox News Retrieved November 5 2021 Wade Pete November 5 2021 Trump Holding Massive Fund Raiser for Senate Candidate Who Was Just Accused of Strangling His Wife Rolling Stone Retrieved November 5 2021 Palmeri Tara Daniels Eugene Lizza Ryan Bade Rachael November 9 2021 Politico Playbook A Trump backed Senate hopeful takes the stand Politico Retrieved November 30 2021 a b Isenstadt Alex November 22 2021 Parnell to suspend Pennsylvania Senate campaign Politico Retrieved November 22 2021 a b Wang Amy B Sonmez Felicia November 30 2021 Celebrity doctor Mehmet Oz announces Senate run in Pennsylvania joins GOP field The Washington Post Retrieved November 30 2021 Allison Natalie Otterbein Holly November 30 2021 Dr Oz announces Senate bid to his millions of followers Politico Retrieved November 30 2021 a b c d Otterbein Holly January 11 2022 McCormick MAGA proofs his Senate campaign after dissing Trump Politico Retrieved January 13 2022 Meyer Katie February 1 2022 Millions pouring into Pa governor and U S Senate races with Fetterman and Oz ahead WHYY Retrieved February 2 2022 Sweitzer Justin January 18 2022 White Bartos win GOP straw polls for governor Senate respectively City amp State PA Otterbein Holly January 25 2022 Dr Oz stumbles out of the gate in Senate race Politico Retrieved January 31 2022 a b Epstein Reid J April 25 2022 Front Runners in G O P Pennsylvania Senate Race Are Put on Spot at Debate The New York Times Retrieved November 11 2022 Goldmacher Shane March 18 2022 Dr Oz s Heritage Is Targeted as Rivals Vie for Trump Backing The New York Times ISSN 0362 4331 Retrieved March 24 2022 Axelrod Tal March 16 2022 Oz says he will renounce Turkish citizenship if elected to Senate The Hill Retrieved March 24 2022 Klein Charlotte April 10 2022 Trump Endorses Dr Oz Citing His Popularity on TV and Nice Things he Said About Trump s Health Vanity Fair Retrieved May 7 2022 a b Otterbein Holly Allison Natalie May 12 2022 GOP launches Operation Stop Barnette Politico Retrieved May 13 2022 Peoples Steve May 14 2022 Reprehensible Oz condemns GOP opponent s tweet on Islam The Hill Associated Press Retrieved May 19 2022 Tamari Jonathan November 30 2021 Dr Oz officially joins the Senate race in Pennsylvania The Philadelphia Inquirer Retrieved November 30 2021 a b c d e f g h i j Caruso Stephen March 16 2022 An early guide to Pennsylvania s 2022 Senate and governor s primary election Pennsylvania Capital Star Retrieved March 16 2022 Tamari Jonathan Terruso Julia May 11 2022 Kathy Barnette is the surprise Pa Senate candidate who just might win Now she s getting new scrutiny The Philadelphia Inquirer Retrieved May 11 2022 Tamari Jonathan March 8 2021 Real estate developer Jeff Bartos launches a Republican Senate campaign in Pa The Philadelphia Inquirer Archived from the original on March 11 2021 Retrieved March 8 2021 Philly lawyer may join GOP field running for US Senate seat Associated Press December 9 2021 Retrieved December 9 2021 Philly attorney George Bochetto launches U S Senate bid City amp State January 11 2022 Retrieved January 11 2022 Brennan Chris February 16 2021 The Gale brothers of Montco are teaming up to run for governor and U S Senate The Philadelphia Inquirer Archived from the original on February 16 2021 Retrieved February 16 2021 Two Gales Joe and Sean jump into Pennsylvania s 2022 political fray Pennlive com February 16 2021 Archived from the original on May 25 2021 Retrieved May 25 2021 Tamari Jonathan January 13 2022 Republican David McCormick launches run for Senate in Pa The Philadelphia Inquirer Retrieved January 13 2022 Pennsylvania Lt Gov John Fetterman Raises 500k In 72 Hours After Announcing Possible US Senate Run KDKA TV January 12 2021 Archived from the original on January 12 2021 Retrieved January 12 2021 Owens Dennis July 13 2021 Cumberland Valley graduate Carla Sands hopes to become Pa s first woman U S Senator Archived from the original on August 6 2021 Retrieved August 6 2021 Debellis John FEC Retrieved February 22 2022 Eichenberg John Robert Mr FEC Retrieved February 22 2022 Jeffries Robert FEC Retrieved February 22 2022 Johnson Ronald Edward Mr II FEC Retrieved February 22 2022 a b About Me Ron Johnson for Senator Retrieved June 16 2022 Mulholland Richard FEC Retrieved February 22 2022 Max Richardson for US Senate FEC Retrieved February 22 2022 Rosenfeld Martin FEC Retrieved February 22 2022 Xu David FEC Retrieved February 22 2022 Seidman Andrew February 3 2021 A Never Trump Republican from Philadelphia is eyeing next year s U S Senate race in Pennsylvania Philadelphia Inquirer Archived from the original on February 4 2021 Retrieved February 4 2021 a b c Seidman Andrew July 28 2021 An anti Trump Pa Republican is warning against MAGA extremists in new Senate campaign The Philadelphia Inquirer Archived from the original on July 28 2021 Retrieved July 28 2021 Anti Trump Republican drops bid for Pennsylvania Senate seat Associated Press September 27 2021 Archived from the original on September 28 2021 Retrieved September 28 2021 a b Everett Stern Famed Whistleblower Announces Run For United States Senate PRNewswire PR Newswire February 15 2021 Archived from the original on July 31 2021 Retrieved July 31 2021 Seligman Lara Otterbein Holly O Brien Connor January 29 2021 Trump Navy secretary considering Pennsylvania Senate run Politico Archived from the original on January 29 2021 Retrieved April 17 2021 a b Holly Otterbein February 8 2021 John Fetterman launches Senate bid in Pennsylvania Politico Archived from the original on February 8 2021 Retrieved February 8 2021 Layne Nathan Holland Steve Oliphant James Bloom Deborah March 18 2021 Eyeing 2022 elections Republicans jockey for Trump s blessing Reuters Archived from the original on March 25 2021 Retrieved March 26 2021 Tamari Jonathan Seidman Andrew Collins Walsh Sean Brennan Chris October 5 2020 Pat Toomey just made the 2022 elections in Pennsylvania a total free for all The Philadelphia Inquirer Archived from the original on October 10 2020 Retrieved April 17 2021 Tamari Jonathan Seidman Andrew November 24 2021 Sean Parnell is out What s next for Republicans in Pa s 2022 Senate race The Philadelphia Inquirer Archived from the original on November 24 2021 Retrieved November 25 2021 Smith Allan November 30 2021 Former GOP Rep Keith Rothfus considering jumping into Pennsylvania Senate race NBC News Archived from the original on December 1 2021 Retrieved November 30 2021 CMU Professor Considering Run For U S Senate KDKA TV February 6 2021 Archived from the original on February 21 2021 Retrieved April 2 2021 Tamari Jonathan Bender William October 4 2020 Sen Pat Toomey won t run for reelection or for Pennsylvania governor sources say The Philadelphia Inquirer Archived from the original on October 4 2020 Retrieved November 9 2020 Dwilson Stephanie Dube October 4 2020 Donald Trump Jr Among Names Floated for Open Pennsylvania Senate Seat Heavy Archived from the original on October 6 2020 Retrieved October 4 2020 Donald Trump Jr DonaldJTrumpJr February 1 2021 My friend SeanParnellUSA is a strong America First conservative and has my support for any office he decides to run for in 2022 Tweet via Twitter a b Levy Marc May 11 2021 Parnell announces candidacy for Pennsylvania Senate seat The Detroit News Archived from the original on May 12 2021 Retrieved May 12 2021 Seidman Andrew July 26 2021 Kathy Barnette s futile hunt for voter fraud outside Philadelphia The Philadelphia Inquirer Archived from the original on July 26 2021 Retrieved July 26 2021 a b c d Cole John April 6 2021 Barnette Former PA4 Nominee and Conservative Commentator Announces 2022 U S Senate Bid PoliticsPA Archived from the original on April 7 2021 Retrieved April 6 2021 a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci cj ck cl cm cn co cp cq cr cs ct cu cv cw cx cy cz da db dc dd de df dg Sweitzer Justin January 24 2022 Here are the endorsements in Pennsylvania s U S Senate race City amp State PA Retrieved March 29 2022 Metzger Bryan May 16 2022 GOP congressman who s been subpoenaed by the January 6 committee is backing Kathy Barnette a PA Senate candidate who marched with Proud Boys in DC Business Insider Retrieved May 16 2022 Goldmacher Shane May 11 2022 Club for Growth Starts Ad Blitz for Kathy Barnette in Pennsylvania Senate Primary The New York Times Retrieved May 11 2022 Finnell Val May 6 2022 GOA Endorses Kathy Barnette for US Senate pennsylvania gunowners org Gun Owners of America Retrieved May 13 2022 The RNHA Endorses Kathy Barnette for U S Senate PA Republican National Hispanic Assembly Retrieved April 3 2022 SBA List s Candidate Fund PAC Endorses Kathy Barnette for Senate in Pennsylvania Susan B Anthony List May 10 2022 Torba Andrew May 12 2022 Gab s PA Primary Endorsements Gab News Retrieved July 25 2022 Lee Michael May 12 2022 Former Trump appointee calls his endorsement of Dr Oz wrong supports Kathy Barnette in Pennsylvania www foxnews com Fox News Retrieved May 13 2022 a b WKOK Staff July 23 2021 GOP US Senate Candidate Jeff Bartos Visiting Valley WKOK Archived from the original on July 24 2021 Retrieved July 23 2021 Inbox PA Rep Fred Keller endorses Oz for Senate I believe he s the 2d Rep to endorse Oz along with Guy Reschenthaler Meuser has backed McCormick Cole John April 19 2021 Garrity Backs Bartos For U S Senate PoliticsPA Archived from the original on April 19 2021 Retrieved April 19 2021 a b c d e f Kelly and Reschenthaler Endorse Parnell for Senate May 14 2021 Archived from the original on July 24 2021 Retrieved July 24 2021 a b c d Growing List of GOP Officials Urge Parnell to Run for Congress Say Bartos Best Chance to Win Senate Seat May 24 2021 Retrieved November 23 2021 Cole John August 2 2021 Wagner Backs Bartos for Senate PoliticsPA Archived from the original on August 3 2021 Retrieved August 3 2021 Ibinson Henry November 21 2021 Local Lawmaker Takes Leadership Role in Campaign Efforts for Candidate Bartos Butler Radio Retrieved November 23 2021 PODCAST Bartos Talks Senate Race Update on Ben amp Jerry s Boycott July 21 2021 Archived from the original on July 21 2021 Retrieved July 26 2021 a b c Bartos for Pennsylvania Retrieved October 21 2021 Roger Stone Endorses Bobby Jeffries for U S Senate In PA Harrisburg100 December 9 2021 Retrieved December 11 2021 a b c d e POLITICO Playbook Schumer strategy leaves some Dems seething Politico Retrieved January 30 2022 Holland Steve February 8 2022 Pompeo backs Pennsylvania Republican McCormick in key U S Senate race Reuters Retrieved February 8 2022 span, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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