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2021–2023 global energy crisis

The 2021–2023 global energy crisis began in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2021, with much of the globe facing shortages and increased prices in oil, gas and electricity markets. The crisis was caused by a variety of economic factors, including the rapid post-pandemic economic rebound that outpaced energy supply, and escalated into a widespread global energy crisis following the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The price of natural gas reached record highs, and as a result, so did electricity in some markets. Oil prices hit their highest level since 2008.[1]

Natural gas prices in Europe and United States, 2018–July 2022
  National Balancing Point NBP (UK) natural gas prices
  Europe TTF natural gas prices
  United States Henry Hub natural gas prices

Higher energy prices pushed families into poverty, forced some factories to curtail output or even shut down, and slowed economic growth. It was estimated in 2022 that an additional 11 million Europeans could be driven to poverty due to energy inflation.[2][3] Europe's gas supply is uniquely vulnerable because of its historic reliance on Russia, while many emerging economies have seen higher energy import bills and fuel shortages.[1]

Causes Edit

Slow supply recovery after pandemic Edit

The COVID-19 pandemic in 2019–2020 caused a rapid drop in energy demand and a corresponding cut in oil production, and despite the 2020 Russia–Saudi Arabia oil price war, OPEC responded slowly to the demand recovery under new normal, causing a supply-demand imbalance. The 2021–2022 global supply chain crisis further stressed the delivery of extracted petroleum.

Additionally, as Europe sought to replace Russian gas, it bid up prices of U.S., Australian, and Qatari ship-borne liquefied natural gas (LNG), diverting supply away from traditional LNG customers in Asia. Because gas frequently sets the price at which electricity is sold, power prices soared as well. Both LNG producers and importers rushed to build new infrastructure to increase LNG export/import capacity, but these costly projects take years to come online.[1]

Coal trade dispute Edit

In December 2020, after months of restrictions, China fully blocked coal imports from Australia, which was China's largest source of imported coal.[4]

Climate abnormality impact on renewable energy Edit

 
Priorities of respondents to an EU survey to address the energy and climate crisis in the EU, UK, China and the U.S.[5]

In 2021, Brazil's worst drought in almost a century threatened its electricity supply.[6][7] Brazil relies on hydropower for two-thirds of its electricity.[8]

Euractiv reported that European Commissioner for Climate Action Frans Timmermans told the European Parliament in Strasbourg that "about one fifth" of the energy price increase "can be attributed to rising CO2 pricing on the EU's carbon market".[9]

In 2022, Europe's driest summer in 500 years had serious consequences for hydropower generation and power plant cooling systems.[10][11][12] According to the New York Times, the drought "reduced hydropower in Norway, threatened nuclear reactors in France and crimped coal transport in Germany."[13] Record droughts in China and California also threatened hydropower generation.[14][15][16]

Russian-Ukraine Conflict Edit

Russia is a leading producer and exporter of oil and gas. In 2020, it was the third largest oil producer in the world, behind the United States and Saudi Arabia, with 60% of its oil exports going to Europe.[17][18] Russia is traditionally the world's second-largest producer of natural gas, behind the United States, and has the world's largest gas reserves and is the world's largest gas exporter. In 2021, the country produced 762 bcm of natural gas, and exported approximately 210 bcm via pipeline.[19]

The Russian military buildup outside Ukraine and subsequent invasion threatened the energy supply from Russia to Europe.[20][21] International sanctions were introduced after Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014, and subsequently tightened after Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022; the new Nord Stream 2 pipeline's certification was later suspended. Russia had already refused to increase exports to Europe before its invasion,[22] and the state reacted to European sanctions by reducing gas deliveries to Germany through the Nord Stream 1 pipeline,[23][24] which it fully halted in early September, although the pipelines continued to contain natural gas.[25] Gas leaks in late September resulted in the pipes becoming inoperable. European Union and NATO officials said the leaks were caused by sabotage, but did not name a responsible party.[22] Other pipelines, such as the Druzhba pipeline, largely continued to operate.[26]

OPEC supply restrictions Edit

In October 2022, OPEC+ cut oil production by two million barrels per day. OPEC+ claimed it is trying to prevent price volatility, although some analysts believe the goal is to increase oil prices, which had decreased over the previous few months.[27] Saudi Arabia's foreign ministry stated that the OPEC+ decision was "purely economic" and taken unanimously by all members of the conglomerate.[28]

Global effects Edit

2022–2023 food crises Edit

 
Fertilizer prices 1992–2022. The 2007–2008 world food crisis happened when fertilizer prices spiked then.
  DAP
  Urea
 
  Oils
  Dairy
  Meat
  Sugar
 
Commodity Prices
  Wheat
  Corn
  Copper

Food prices increased steeply as Covid lockdowns were lifted and rose even higher following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, putting millions of people at risk. According to the World Food Programme, the number of people facing acute food insecurity more than tripled between 2017 and 2021, and could further increase by 17% to 323 million in 2022. The two countries together account for almost 30% of global wheat exports and play a key role in global fertiliser supply. Russia's blockade of Black Sea ports disrupted food and other commodity exports from Ukraine, while the broader military campaign put the 2022 harvest at risk.[29]

Natural gas is a significant key component in producing fertilizers.[30] The development of synthetic nitrogen fertilizer has significantly supported global population growth—it has been estimated that almost half of the world's population is currently fed as a result of synthetic nitrogen fertilizer use.[31]

Rising energy prices are pushing agricultural costs higher, contributing to increasing food prices globally.[32] The agriculture and food industries use energy for various purposes. Direct energy use includes electricity for automated water irrigation, fuel consumption for farm machinery and energy required at various stages of food processing, packaging, transportation and distribution. The use of pesticides and mineral fertilizers results in large quantities of indirect energy consumption, with these inputs being highly energy intensive to manufacture.[32][33] While the share varies considerably between regions—depending on factors such as weather conditions and crop types—direct and non-direct energy costs can account for 40% to 50% of total variable costs of cropping in advanced economies such as the United States. Higher energy and fertiliser prices therefore inevitably translate into higher production costs, and ultimately into higher food prices.[33]

In May 2022, Máximo Torero, chief economist at the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization, warned European politicians that if they move away from natural gas production too soon, the price of fertilizers will rise and more people in the world will suffer from hunger.[34]

Energy transition Edit

Aside from inflationary pressures, this energy crisis has also increased the use of coal in energy production worldwide. Coal use in Europe increased by 14% in 2021, and was expected to rise another 7% in 2022. Soaring natural gas prices have made coal more competitive in many markets, and some nations have resorted to coal as a substitute for potential energy rationing in the 2022–2023 winter. With demand for coal increasing in Asia and elsewhere, global coal consumption rose by 1.2% in 2022 to more than 8 billion tonnes for the first time in history;[35][36][37] coal-fired power plants have been reopened or had their decommissioning postponed, and coal-production caps have been removed.[37] The high prices of fossil fuels due to the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, however, have made renewable-energy sources more attractive, and a February 2023 analysis by The Economist found that the invasion had "fast-tracked the green transition by an astonishing five to ten years".[37] In Europe and the US, the green transition is viewed as a danger by 41% of energy-intensive manufacturers, compared to 31% of enterprises in non-energy heavy industries.[38]

Responses Edit

2021 Edit

Overall, the response to this rising crisis has been to return to coal and other polluting energy sources, subsidizing prices, easing gas taxes, or even lowering the price of carbon dioxide emissions. These short-term solutions lower electricity bills but go exactly in the opposite direction of what is needed to prevent the 1.5 degree increase in temperatures, increasing the likelihood of a climate apocalypse.[39][40]

Europeans rushed to increase gas imports from producers such as Algeria, Norway and Azerbaijan. EU members also introduced gas storage obligations and agreed on voluntary targets to cut gas and electricity demand by 15% through efficiency measures, greater use of renewables, and support for efficiency improvements.[1]

The UK government has turned to Qatar to seek a long-term gas deal to ensure a stable supply of liquefied natural gas (LNG) to the UK.[41] Former Prime Minister Boris Johnson asked Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani, the Emir of Qatar, for help during a meeting at the UN General Assembly in September 2021.[42][43] EU suspended an antitrust investigation into QatarEnergy in February 2022.[44]

In October 2021, U.S. producer Venture Global LNG signed three long-term supply deals with China's state-owned Sinopec to supply liquefied natural gas. China's imports of U.S. natural gas will more than double.[45]

On 28 October 2021, natural gas prices in Europe dropped by at least 12% after Gazprom announced it would increase supplies to Europe after Russian domestic storage sites were filled on about 8 November. Norway had increased gas production and lower coal prices in China also helped lower natural gas prices.[46][47]

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán blamed a record-breaking surge in energy prices on the European Commission's Green Deal plans.[48] Politico reported that "Despite the impact of high energy prices, [EU Commissioner for Energy] Kadri Simson insisted that there are no plans to backtrack on the bloc's Green Deal, which aims to make the EU climate neutral by 2050."[49] Speaking at the COP26 climate summit in Glasgow, Czech Prime Minister Babiš denounced the European Green Deal,[50] saying that the European Commission "continues to propose dangerous policies such as the ban on combustible engines in 2035, or carbon allowances for transport and individual housing. Due to improper legislature and speculation, the price of emission allowances has gone out of control, resulting in the surging costs of electricity."[51]

 
Countries by natural gas proven reserves (2018), based on data from CIA World Factbook. Iran has the world's second-largest natural gas reserves after Russia.

U.S. President Joe Biden's national security adviser Jake Sullivan released a statement calling on OPEC+ to boost oil production to "offset previous production cuts that OPEC+ imposed during the pandemic until well into 2022."[52] On 28 September 2021, Sullivan met in Saudi Arabia with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to discuss the high oil prices.[53] The price of oil was about US$80 by October 2021, the highest since 2014.[54][55] The United States delivered 16 billion cubic meters of LNG to Europe in January 2022, and 6 billion in February.[56]

Iranian oil minister Javad Owji said if U.S.-led sanctions on Iran's oil and gas industry are lifted, Iran will have every capability to tackle the global energy crisis.[57][58] The Biden administration was pressed on potential oil deals with Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, and Iran that would have them increase their oil production.[59]

Qatar's energy minister Saad Sherida al-Kaabi stated that there "is a huge demand from all our customers, and unfortunately we cannot cater for everybody. Unfortunately, in my view, this is due to the market not investing enough in the [gas] industry."[60]

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said that "Europe today is too reliant on gas and too dependent on gas imports. The answer has to do with diversifying our suppliers ... and, crucially, with speeding up the transition to clean energy."[61][62]

European Commissioner for Climate Action Frans Timmermans suggested: "the best answer to this problem today is to reduce our reliance on fossil fuels."[63]

In late October 2021, Russian ambassador Andrei Kelin denied that Russia is withholding gas supplies for political reasons. According to the ambassador, delivery of natural gas through Ukraine has been increased by up to 15% for November 2021, but it was unclear whether this increase would have an immediate effect on the natural gas supply in Europe. Furthermore, such an increase in gas delivery was hindered by a lack of modernization of the Ukrainian gas pipelines, according to the source.[64]

2022 Edit

 
Net income of the global oil and gas industry reached a record US$4 trillion in 2022.[65]
 
After recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic, energy company profits increased with greater revenues from higher fuel prices resulting from the Russian invasion of Ukraine, falling debt levels, tax write-downs of projects shut down in Russia, and backing off from earlier plans to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.[66] Record profits sparked public calls for windfall taxes.[66]

In the first collective action following the invasion, agreed on 1 March 2022, IEA member countries committed to release 62.7 million barrels of emergency oil stocks. On 1 April, they agreed to make a further 120 million barrels available from emergency reserves, the largest stock release in the IEA’s history, which coincided with the release of additional barrels from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve. The two coordinated drawdowns in 2022 are the fourth and fifth in the history of the IEA, which was created in 1974. Previous collective actions were taken in 1991, 2005 and 2011.[19]

The IEA has also published action plans to cut oil use with immediate impact, as well as plans for how Europe can reduce its reliance on Russian gas and how common citizens can reduce their energy consumption.[1] This includes a 10-point action plan to reduce the EU’s reliance on Russian Natural Gas.[67]

 
The German chemical company BASF was forced to cut production[68]

German chancellor Olaf Scholz announced plans to build two new LNG terminals.[69] Economy Minister Robert Habeck said Germany reached a long-term energy partnership with Qatar,[70] one of the world's largest exporters of liquefied natural gas.[71] Habeck said Germany plans to end imports of Russian natural gas by mid-2024.[72] In May 2022, the European Commission proposed and approved a partial ban on oil imports from Russia,[73][74] part of the economic response to the Russian invasion of Ukraine.[75] On 18 May 2022, the European Union published plans to end its reliance on Russian oil, natural gas and coal by 2027.[76]

On 13 July 2022, the Kremlin expressed hope that a visit by President Biden to Saudi Arabia to boost OPEC oil production would not foster anti-Russian sentiments there. Russia is the largest oil and gas exporter after Saudi Arabia and enjoys a highly valued cooperation with the Arab country in the framework of the OPEC group. But at current levels, major Gulf producers have little to spare, and Russia blames international sanctions for higher energy prices around the world.[77]

Since the June 2022 G7 meeting, plans had been circulating to cap the price of Russian energy commodities as initially suggested by U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and E.U. Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, in order to lower price levels for Western nations and deprive Russia of its profits. After G7 finance ministers expressed their intention to implement a price cap, a Kremlin spokesman responded, "companies that impose a price cap will not be among the recipients of Russian oil." Energy analysts have also expressed skepticism that a price cap would be realistic because the coalition is "not broad enough"; OPEC+ called the plan "absurd". Likely the U.S. and the E.U. will attempt to follow through with the plan by limiting Russia's access to Western insurance services.[78]

In June 2022, the United States government agreed to allow Italian company Eni and Spanish company Repsol to import oil from Venezuela to Europe to replace oil imports from Russia.[79] French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire said that France negotiated with the United Arab Emirates to replace some Russian oil imports.[79]

Additionally, on 15 June 2022, Israel, Egypt and the European Union signed a trilateral agreement to increase natural-gas sales to European countries seeking alternative sources to lessen their dependence on Russian energy supplies.[80] In July 2022, the European Commission signed an agreement with Azerbaijan to increase natural gas imports.[81]

In August 2022, policy specialists at the International Monetary Fund recommended that governments institute windfall profits taxes targeted at economic rents in the energy sector, excluding renewable energy to prevent hindering its further development.[82]

On 29 September 2022, Germany presented a €200 billion plan to support industry and households.[83] German Economy Minister Robert Habeck complained that the United States and other "friendly" gas supplier nations were profiting from the Ukraine war with "astronomical prices". He called for more solidarity by the U.S. to assist energy-pressed allies in Europe.[84] French President Emmanuel Macron criticized the United States, Norway and other "friendly" natural gas supplier states for the extremely high prices of their supplies, saying that Europeans are "paying four times more than the price you sell to your industry. That is not exactly the meaning of friendship."[85][86] For most of the time over the past ten years, the German spot price for electricity has been below €40 per MWh. Spot prices have increased to over €200 on average in 2022.[87][88]

Natural gas prices in Europe reached their highest point in September 2022 at a multiple of roughly 25 compared to two years prior. While gas prices are currently falling quickly on the spot market, the cost to distribute gas in the coming year will still be close to €150 per MWh, or a multiple of about seven.[87][89][90]

According to the IEA, approximately 100 million people with access to clean cooking may switch back to unhealthy cooking, and 75 million people who had recently gained access to electricity may no longer be able to afford it.[87][91][92]

In general, many residents can no longer pay their energy expenses. Governments throughout Europe have responded—according to Bruegel, €674 billion have been set aside, with €264 billion going to Germany alone, to protect businesses and consumers from rising energy costs.[87][88][93]

The Wilhelmshaven LNG terminal—the first of several new German LNG terminals being opened with an abbreviated regulatory process following the Russian invasion of Ukraine[94]—received its first load of LNG in mid-December to initiate the commissioning process of the new terminal. The shipment was of US natural gas that had been carried from the recently-opened Venture Global LNG terminal in Louisiana.[95]

EU emergency intervention Edit

Since the last months of 2021 and until now, Europe has experienced an unprecedented increase in gas and energy automation, especially after Russia invaded Ukraine, where Russia has reduced its gas production and exports to EU countries.[96] Russia is considered the most important supplier of the European Union in terms of natural gas, oil, and coal. Still, relations between the European Union and Russia have experienced great tension after the position of the European Union and member states on the Russian invasion of Ukraine. According to the Council of the European Union, the EU decided to ban coal imports from Russia in August 2022 and has denied 90% of Russian oil imports since September 2022.[97] The EU has focused 3.5% of its income to oil and gas productions in the beginning of the Ukraine war.[98]

This contention between Russia and the European Union has led to an increase in the price of gas and electricity. European citizens pay this higher price to meet their daily needs, and the industrial and commercial enterprises that use energy to produce their products, which will lead to an increase in the rate of inflation in Europe, higher prices, a decline in the purchasing power of citizens, and hence the contraction of the European economy.[99] High oil prices have driven a depreciation in the euro and imported inflation. [98]

In this regard, the European Union is facing a great challenge and pressure from European consumers and small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to find solutions to reduce the effects of this crisis. Therefore, the European Commission proposes measures and urgent actions to reduce the cost of bills and protect consumers and businesses.[100] 82% of EU firms are worried about the energy crisis, with 60% of businesses seeing it as a major issue.[101] According to a survey conducted in 2022, significant uncertainty also reduces investment in energy efficiency by 4 percentage points. This is magnified when climate investments are included.[102]

An example of the sharp increase in energy and food prices since Russia's invasion of Ukraine is the proportion of energy-poor German households—those that spend more than 10% of their net income on energy bills— which has doubled since 2021 to 41%.[103][104][105][106]

Decoupling of gas and electricity prices Edit

The debate has intensified in Europe on mechanisms to reform the energy and electricity market in the face of this crisis. One proposed solution is separating gas prices from electricity prices. As European Commission President, Ursula von der Leyen stated in her 2022 State of the Union Address: “The current design of the electricity market no longer does justice to consumers. They should reap the benefits of low-cost renewable energy sources. Therefore, we need to separate the dominant influence of gas on the price of electricity. That is why we are undertaking a deep and comprehensive electricity market reform.”[107]

Indeed, in April this year, Spain and Portugal obtained preliminary approval from the European Commission to set a maximum gas price of 50 euros/MWh for an entire year. This decision and violation of European market rules were justified because Spain and Portugal can get gas from North African pipelines and therefore do not depend primarily on Russian gas, which places them in a safe position.[108]

However, the European Commission has yet to decide on this issue, despite numerous suggestions from member states such as Greece.[109]

European customers have proved that price signals can be useful by voluntarily reducing their gas consumption by 23% in August and 7% overall so far in 2022 compared to the average over the previous three years.[87][110][111][112]

Electricity demand reduction Edit

 

The European Commission and the EU member states work together and individually on possible ways to keep gas and energy available in the EU for the winter of 2022 and the future.

According to Marc-Antoine Eyl-Mazzega, the director of the energy and climate center at the French institute for international relations, Europe is no longer the continent of stability and peace it once was. It now has the highest energy cost prices compared to the rest of the world, and strategic competitors now have an advantage over European players.[108]

In August 2022, a regulation has passed under which member states agreed to reduce their demand for gas by 15%. This could be implemented with measures suitable to them. Although the adoption of this regulation was voluntary, the European council can reduce the demand for gas mandatory when running on security supplies.[113]

Cutting energy consumption is a crucial topic of discussion and debate in Europe. The European Parliament, alongside other key EU institutions, has pledged to reduce heating to conserve power. For example, offices of the European Commission have reduced their heating and humidification temperatures by 2 °C.[114]

EU member states have adopted a regulation to fill gas storage and share them in a spirit of solidarity. Although the EU countries face this crisis together as a bloc, the stake is different for each country. Countries with a higher import and use of Russian gas will be affected significantly more than those with less import and dependency.[115]

The European Commission proposed the REPowerEU plan to reduce the EU’s dependency on Russian energy supplies by fast-forwarding the clean energy transition of the EU. The Commission outlined a concept that will contribute to the acceleration of the EU energy transition by scaling up the deployment of Hydrogen known as the Hydrogen accelerator concept. This plan aims to produce and import 10 million tons of renewable Hydrogen respectively in the EU by 2030 (REPowerEU).[116]

In a note highlighting short-term actions that can relieve the energy situation, the president of the EU commission and its members conveyed mission areas in which member states should act. A regulation to fill gas storages, diversify the supply sources of energy and commit to reducing the demand for energy by 15 percent EU member states have adopted this winter. With this, the underground gas reserves of the EU are filled to 83 percent of their capacity.[117]

Solidarity contribution Edit

Power generation companies and companies operating in the fossil fuel sector have enjoyed windfall profits due to the current European market situation, which has led the European Commission to impose mandatory contributions on these companies as a temporary measure to limit the impact of the crisis.[118]

The special temporary tax will be calculated on taxable profits during the year 2022 and at the rate of no less than 33% of excess profits in the oil, gas, coal, and refining sectors. These solidarity contributions will help alleviate the severity of the current crisis. These contributions will be redistributed to all European consumers, including low-income families in the Member States, SMEs, and energy-intensive companies.[119]

See also Edit

Sources Edit

  This article incorporates text from a free content work. Licensed under CC BY 4.0 (license statement/permission). Text taken from IEA Global Energy Crisis​, International Energy Agency, International Energy Agency.

  This article incorporates text from a free content work. Licensed under CC BY 4.0 (license statement/permission). Text taken from Russia's War on Ukraine​, International Energy Agency. International Energy Agency.

  This article incorporates text from a free content work. Licensed under CC BY 4.0 (license statement/permission). Text taken from How the energy crisis is exacerbating the food crisis​, International Energy Agency.

  This article incorporates text from a free content work. Licensed under CC BY 4.0 (license statement/permission). Text taken from A 10-point plan to reduce the European Union's reliance on Russian natural gas​, International Energy Agency.

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2021, 2023, global, energy, crisis, this, article, multiple, issues, please, help, improve, discuss, these, issues, talk, page, learn, when, remove, these, template, messages, this, article, needs, updated, please, help, update, this, article, reflect, recent,. This article has multiple issues Please help improve it or discuss these issues on the talk page Learn how and when to remove these template messages This article needs to be updated Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information March 2022 This article s lead section may be too short to adequately summarize the key points Please consider expanding the lead to provide an accessible overview of all important aspects of the article October 2022 Learn how and when to remove this template message The 2021 2023 global energy crisis began in the aftermath of the COVID 19 pandemic in 2021 with much of the globe facing shortages and increased prices in oil gas and electricity markets The crisis was caused by a variety of economic factors including the rapid post pandemic economic rebound that outpaced energy supply and escalated into a widespread global energy crisis following the Russian invasion of Ukraine The price of natural gas reached record highs and as a result so did electricity in some markets Oil prices hit their highest level since 2008 1 Natural gas prices in Europe and United States 2018 July 2022 National Balancing Point NBP UK natural gas prices Europe TTF natural gas prices United States Henry Hub natural gas pricesHigher energy prices pushed families into poverty forced some factories to curtail output or even shut down and slowed economic growth It was estimated in 2022 that an additional 11 million Europeans could be driven to poverty due to energy inflation 2 3 Europe s gas supply is uniquely vulnerable because of its historic reliance on Russia while many emerging economies have seen higher energy import bills and fuel shortages 1 Contents 1 Causes 1 1 Slow supply recovery after pandemic 1 2 Coal trade dispute 1 3 Climate abnormality impact on renewable energy 1 4 Russian Ukraine Conflict 1 5 OPEC supply restrictions 2 Global effects 2 1 2022 2023 food crises 2 2 Energy transition 3 Responses 3 1 2021 3 2 2022 4 EU emergency intervention 4 1 Decoupling of gas and electricity prices 4 2 Electricity demand reduction 4 3 Solidarity contribution 5 See also 6 Sources 7 ReferencesCauses EditSlow supply recovery after pandemic Edit The COVID 19 pandemic in 2019 2020 caused a rapid drop in energy demand and a corresponding cut in oil production and despite the 2020 Russia Saudi Arabia oil price war OPEC responded slowly to the demand recovery under new normal causing a supply demand imbalance The 2021 2022 global supply chain crisis further stressed the delivery of extracted petroleum Additionally as Europe sought to replace Russian gas it bid up prices of U S Australian and Qatari ship borne liquefied natural gas LNG diverting supply away from traditional LNG customers in Asia Because gas frequently sets the price at which electricity is sold power prices soared as well Both LNG producers and importers rushed to build new infrastructure to increase LNG export import capacity but these costly projects take years to come online 1 Coal trade dispute Edit In December 2020 after months of restrictions China fully blocked coal imports from Australia which was China s largest source of imported coal 4 Climate abnormality impact on renewable energy Edit nbsp Priorities of respondents to an EU survey to address the energy and climate crisis in the EU UK China and the U S 5 See also 2020 2023 North American drought 2022 European heat waves and 2022 China heat wave In 2021 Brazil s worst drought in almost a century threatened its electricity supply 6 7 Brazil relies on hydropower for two thirds of its electricity 8 Euractiv reported that European Commissioner for Climate Action Frans Timmermans told the European Parliament in Strasbourg that about one fifth of the energy price increase can be attributed to rising CO2 pricing on the EU s carbon market 9 In 2022 Europe s driest summer in 500 years had serious consequences for hydropower generation and power plant cooling systems 10 11 12 According to the New York Times the drought reduced hydropower in Norway threatened nuclear reactors in France and crimped coal transport in Germany 13 Record droughts in China and California also threatened hydropower generation 14 15 16 Russian Ukraine Conflict Edit Russia is a leading producer and exporter of oil and gas In 2020 it was the third largest oil producer in the world behind the United States and Saudi Arabia with 60 of its oil exports going to Europe 17 18 Russia is traditionally the world s second largest producer of natural gas behind the United States and has the world s largest gas reserves and is the world s largest gas exporter In 2021 the country produced 762 bcm of natural gas and exported approximately 210 bcm via pipeline 19 The Russian military buildup outside Ukraine and subsequent invasion threatened the energy supply from Russia to Europe 20 21 International sanctions were introduced after Russia s annexation of Crimea in 2014 and subsequently tightened after Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022 the new Nord Stream 2 pipeline s certification was later suspended Russia had already refused to increase exports to Europe before its invasion 22 and the state reacted to European sanctions by reducing gas deliveries to Germany through the Nord Stream 1 pipeline 23 24 which it fully halted in early September although the pipelines continued to contain natural gas 25 Gas leaks in late September resulted in the pipes becoming inoperable European Union and NATO officials said the leaks were caused by sabotage but did not name a responsible party 22 Other pipelines such as the Druzhba pipeline largely continued to operate 26 OPEC supply restrictions Edit In October 2022 OPEC cut oil production by two million barrels per day OPEC claimed it is trying to prevent price volatility although some analysts believe the goal is to increase oil prices which had decreased over the previous few months 27 Saudi Arabia s foreign ministry stated that the OPEC decision was purely economic and taken unanimously by all members of the conglomerate 28 Global effects EditMain article 2021 2023 inflation surge Further information Regional effects of the 2021 2022 global energy crisis This section needs expansion You can help by adding to it August 2022 2022 2023 food crises Edit Main article 2022 2023 food crises nbsp Fertilizer prices 1992 2022 The 2007 2008 world food crisis happened when fertilizer prices spiked then DAP Potassium chloride Phosphorite Triple Superphosphate Urea nbsp Food Price Index Oils Cereals Dairy Meat Sugar nbsp Commodity Prices Soybean Wheat Corn CopperFood prices increased steeply as Covid lockdowns were lifted and rose even higher following Russia s invasion of Ukraine putting millions of people at risk According to the World Food Programme the number of people facing acute food insecurity more than tripled between 2017 and 2021 and could further increase by 17 to 323 million in 2022 The two countries together account for almost 30 of global wheat exports and play a key role in global fertiliser supply Russia s blockade of Black Sea ports disrupted food and other commodity exports from Ukraine while the broader military campaign put the 2022 harvest at risk 29 Natural gas is a significant key component in producing fertilizers 30 The development of synthetic nitrogen fertilizer has significantly supported global population growth it has been estimated that almost half of the world s population is currently fed as a result of synthetic nitrogen fertilizer use 31 Rising energy prices are pushing agricultural costs higher contributing to increasing food prices globally 32 The agriculture and food industries use energy for various purposes Direct energy use includes electricity for automated water irrigation fuel consumption for farm machinery and energy required at various stages of food processing packaging transportation and distribution The use of pesticides and mineral fertilizers results in large quantities of indirect energy consumption with these inputs being highly energy intensive to manufacture 32 33 While the share varies considerably between regions depending on factors such as weather conditions and crop types direct and non direct energy costs can account for 40 to 50 of total variable costs of cropping in advanced economies such as the United States Higher energy and fertiliser prices therefore inevitably translate into higher production costs and ultimately into higher food prices 33 In May 2022 Maximo Torero chief economist at the U N Food and Agriculture Organization warned European politicians that if they move away from natural gas production too soon the price of fertilizers will rise and more people in the world will suffer from hunger 34 Energy transition Edit Further information Energy transition Aside from inflationary pressures this energy crisis has also increased the use of coal in energy production worldwide Coal use in Europe increased by 14 in 2021 and was expected to rise another 7 in 2022 Soaring natural gas prices have made coal more competitive in many markets and some nations have resorted to coal as a substitute for potential energy rationing in the 2022 2023 winter With demand for coal increasing in Asia and elsewhere global coal consumption rose by 1 2 in 2022 to more than 8 billion tonnes for the first time in history 35 36 37 coal fired power plants have been reopened or had their decommissioning postponed and coal production caps have been removed 37 The high prices of fossil fuels due to the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine however have made renewable energy sources more attractive and a February 2023 analysis by The Economist found that the invasion had fast tracked the green transition by an astonishing five to ten years 37 In Europe and the US the green transition is viewed as a danger by 41 of energy intensive manufacturers compared to 31 of enterprises in non energy heavy industries 38 Responses Edit2021 Edit Overall the response to this rising crisis has been to return to coal and other polluting energy sources subsidizing prices easing gas taxes or even lowering the price of carbon dioxide emissions These short term solutions lower electricity bills but go exactly in the opposite direction of what is needed to prevent the 1 5 degree increase in temperatures increasing the likelihood of a climate apocalypse 39 40 Europeans rushed to increase gas imports from producers such as Algeria Norway and Azerbaijan EU members also introduced gas storage obligations and agreed on voluntary targets to cut gas and electricity demand by 15 through efficiency measures greater use of renewables and support for efficiency improvements 1 The UK government has turned to Qatar to seek a long term gas deal to ensure a stable supply of liquefied natural gas LNG to the UK 41 Former Prime Minister Boris Johnson asked Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani the Emir of Qatar for help during a meeting at the UN General Assembly in September 2021 42 43 EU suspended an antitrust investigation into QatarEnergy in February 2022 44 In October 2021 U S producer Venture Global LNG signed three long term supply deals with China s state owned Sinopec to supply liquefied natural gas China s imports of U S natural gas will more than double 45 On 28 October 2021 natural gas prices in Europe dropped by at least 12 after Gazprom announced it would increase supplies to Europe after Russian domestic storage sites were filled on about 8 November Norway had increased gas production and lower coal prices in China also helped lower natural gas prices 46 47 Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban blamed a record breaking surge in energy prices on the European Commission s Green Deal plans 48 Politico reported that Despite the impact of high energy prices EU Commissioner for Energy Kadri Simson insisted that there are no plans to backtrack on the bloc s Green Deal which aims to make the EU climate neutral by 2050 49 Speaking at the COP26 climate summit in Glasgow Czech Prime Minister Babis denounced the European Green Deal 50 saying that the European Commission continues to propose dangerous policies such as the ban on combustible engines in 2035 or carbon allowances for transport and individual housing Due to improper legislature and speculation the price of emission allowances has gone out of control resulting in the surging costs of electricity 51 nbsp Countries by natural gas proven reserves 2018 based on data from CIA World Factbook Iran has the world s second largest natural gas reserves after Russia U S President Joe Biden s national security adviser Jake Sullivan released a statement calling on OPEC to boost oil production to offset previous production cuts that OPEC imposed during the pandemic until well into 2022 52 On 28 September 2021 Sullivan met in Saudi Arabia with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to discuss the high oil prices 53 The price of oil was about US 80 by October 2021 the highest since 2014 54 55 The United States delivered 16 billion cubic meters of LNG to Europe in January 2022 and 6 billion in February 56 Iranian oil minister Javad Owji said if U S led sanctions on Iran s oil and gas industry are lifted Iran will have every capability to tackle the global energy crisis 57 58 The Biden administration was pressed on potential oil deals with Saudi Arabia Venezuela and Iran that would have them increase their oil production 59 Qatar s energy minister Saad Sherida al Kaabi stated that there is a huge demand from all our customers and unfortunately we cannot cater for everybody Unfortunately in my view this is due to the market not investing enough in the gas industry 60 European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said that Europe today is too reliant on gas and too dependent on gas imports The answer has to do with diversifying our suppliers and crucially with speeding up the transition to clean energy 61 62 European Commissioner for Climate Action Frans Timmermans suggested the best answer to this problem today is to reduce our reliance on fossil fuels 63 In late October 2021 Russian ambassador Andrei Kelin denied that Russia is withholding gas supplies for political reasons According to the ambassador delivery of natural gas through Ukraine has been increased by up to 15 for November 2021 but it was unclear whether this increase would have an immediate effect on the natural gas supply in Europe Furthermore such an increase in gas delivery was hindered by a lack of modernization of the Ukrainian gas pipelines according to the source 64 2022 Edit nbsp Net income of the global oil and gas industry reached a record US 4 trillion in 2022 65 nbsp After recovering from the COVID 19 pandemic energy company profits increased with greater revenues from higher fuel prices resulting from the Russian invasion of Ukraine falling debt levels tax write downs of projects shut down in Russia and backing off from earlier plans to reduce greenhouse gas emissions 66 Record profits sparked public calls for windfall taxes 66 In the first collective action following the invasion agreed on 1 March 2022 IEA member countries committed to release 62 7 million barrels of emergency oil stocks On 1 April they agreed to make a further 120 million barrels available from emergency reserves the largest stock release in the IEA s history which coincided with the release of additional barrels from the U S Strategic Petroleum Reserve The two coordinated drawdowns in 2022 are the fourth and fifth in the history of the IEA which was created in 1974 Previous collective actions were taken in 1991 2005 and 2011 19 The IEA has also published action plans to cut oil use with immediate impact as well as plans for how Europe can reduce its reliance on Russian gas and how common citizens can reduce their energy consumption 1 This includes a 10 point action plan to reduce the EU s reliance on Russian Natural Gas 67 nbsp The German chemical company BASF was forced to cut production 68 German chancellor Olaf Scholz announced plans to build two new LNG terminals 69 Economy Minister Robert Habeck said Germany reached a long term energy partnership with Qatar 70 one of the world s largest exporters of liquefied natural gas 71 Habeck said Germany plans to end imports of Russian natural gas by mid 2024 72 In May 2022 the European Commission proposed and approved a partial ban on oil imports from Russia 73 74 part of the economic response to the Russian invasion of Ukraine 75 On 18 May 2022 the European Union published plans to end its reliance on Russian oil natural gas and coal by 2027 76 On 13 July 2022 the Kremlin expressed hope that a visit by President Biden to Saudi Arabia to boost OPEC oil production would not foster anti Russian sentiments there Russia is the largest oil and gas exporter after Saudi Arabia and enjoys a highly valued cooperation with the Arab country in the framework of the OPEC group But at current levels major Gulf producers have little to spare and Russia blames international sanctions for higher energy prices around the world 77 Since the June 2022 G7 meeting plans had been circulating to cap the price of Russian energy commodities as initially suggested by U S Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and E U Commission President Ursula von der Leyen in order to lower price levels for Western nations and deprive Russia of its profits After G7 finance ministers expressed their intention to implement a price cap a Kremlin spokesman responded companies that impose a price cap will not be among the recipients of Russian oil Energy analysts have also expressed skepticism that a price cap would be realistic because the coalition is not broad enough OPEC called the plan absurd Likely the U S and the E U will attempt to follow through with the plan by limiting Russia s access to Western insurance services 78 In June 2022 the United States government agreed to allow Italian company Eni and Spanish company Repsol to import oil from Venezuela to Europe to replace oil imports from Russia 79 French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire said that France negotiated with the United Arab Emirates to replace some Russian oil imports 79 Additionally on 15 June 2022 Israel Egypt and the European Union signed a trilateral agreement to increase natural gas sales to European countries seeking alternative sources to lessen their dependence on Russian energy supplies 80 In July 2022 the European Commission signed an agreement with Azerbaijan to increase natural gas imports 81 In August 2022 policy specialists at the International Monetary Fund recommended that governments institute windfall profits taxes targeted at economic rents in the energy sector excluding renewable energy to prevent hindering its further development 82 On 29 September 2022 Germany presented a 200 billion plan to support industry and households 83 German Economy Minister Robert Habeck complained that the United States and other friendly gas supplier nations were profiting from the Ukraine war with astronomical prices He called for more solidarity by the U S to assist energy pressed allies in Europe 84 French President Emmanuel Macron criticized the United States Norway and other friendly natural gas supplier states for the extremely high prices of their supplies saying that Europeans are paying four times more than the price you sell to your industry That is not exactly the meaning of friendship 85 86 For most of the time over the past ten years the German spot price for electricity has been below 40 per MWh Spot prices have increased to over 200 on average in 2022 87 88 Natural gas prices in Europe reached their highest point in September 2022 at a multiple of roughly 25 compared to two years prior While gas prices are currently falling quickly on the spot market the cost to distribute gas in the coming year will still be close to 150 per MWh or a multiple of about seven 87 89 90 According to the IEA approximately 100 million people with access to clean cooking may switch back to unhealthy cooking and 75 million people who had recently gained access to electricity may no longer be able to afford it 87 91 92 In general many residents can no longer pay their energy expenses Governments throughout Europe have responded according to Bruegel 674 billion have been set aside with 264 billion going to Germany alone to protect businesses and consumers from rising energy costs 87 88 93 The Wilhelmshaven LNG terminal the first of several new German LNG terminals being opened with an abbreviated regulatory process following the Russian invasion of Ukraine 94 received its first load of LNG in mid December to initiate the commissioning process of the new terminal The shipment was of US natural gas that had been carried from the recently opened Venture Global LNG terminal in Louisiana 95 EU emergency intervention EditSince the last months of 2021 and until now Europe has experienced an unprecedented increase in gas and energy automation especially after Russia invaded Ukraine where Russia has reduced its gas production and exports to EU countries 96 Russia is considered the most important supplier of the European Union in terms of natural gas oil and coal Still relations between the European Union and Russia have experienced great tension after the position of the European Union and member states on the Russian invasion of Ukraine According to the Council of the European Union the EU decided to ban coal imports from Russia in August 2022 and has denied 90 of Russian oil imports since September 2022 97 The EU has focused 3 5 of its income to oil and gas productions in the beginning of the Ukraine war 98 This contention between Russia and the European Union has led to an increase in the price of gas and electricity European citizens pay this higher price to meet their daily needs and the industrial and commercial enterprises that use energy to produce their products which will lead to an increase in the rate of inflation in Europe higher prices a decline in the purchasing power of citizens and hence the contraction of the European economy 99 High oil prices have driven a depreciation in the euro and imported inflation 98 In this regard the European Union is facing a great challenge and pressure from European consumers and small and medium sized enterprises SMEs to find solutions to reduce the effects of this crisis Therefore the European Commission proposes measures and urgent actions to reduce the cost of bills and protect consumers and businesses 100 82 of EU firms are worried about the energy crisis with 60 of businesses seeing it as a major issue 101 According to a survey conducted in 2022 significant uncertainty also reduces investment in energy efficiency by 4 percentage points This is magnified when climate investments are included 102 An example of the sharp increase in energy and food prices since Russia s invasion of Ukraine is the proportion of energy poor German households those that spend more than 10 of their net income on energy bills which has doubled since 2021 to 41 103 104 105 106 Decoupling of gas and electricity prices Edit The debate has intensified in Europe on mechanisms to reform the energy and electricity market in the face of this crisis One proposed solution is separating gas prices from electricity prices As European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen stated in her 2022 State of the Union Address The current design of the electricity market no longer does justice to consumers They should reap the benefits of low cost renewable energy sources Therefore we need to separate the dominant influence of gas on the price of electricity That is why we are undertaking a deep and comprehensive electricity market reform 107 Indeed in April this year Spain and Portugal obtained preliminary approval from the European Commission to set a maximum gas price of 50 euros MWh for an entire year This decision and violation of European market rules were justified because Spain and Portugal can get gas from North African pipelines and therefore do not depend primarily on Russian gas which places them in a safe position 108 However the European Commission has yet to decide on this issue despite numerous suggestions from member states such as Greece 109 European customers have proved that price signals can be useful by voluntarily reducing their gas consumption by 23 in August and 7 overall so far in 2022 compared to the average over the previous three years 87 110 111 112 Electricity demand reduction Edit nbsp The European Commission and the EU member states work together and individually on possible ways to keep gas and energy available in the EU for the winter of 2022 and the future According to Marc Antoine Eyl Mazzega the director of the energy and climate center at the French institute for international relations Europe is no longer the continent of stability and peace it once was It now has the highest energy cost prices compared to the rest of the world and strategic competitors now have an advantage over European players 108 In August 2022 a regulation has passed under which member states agreed to reduce their demand for gas by 15 This could be implemented with measures suitable to them Although the adoption of this regulation was voluntary the European council can reduce the demand for gas mandatory when running on security supplies 113 Cutting energy consumption is a crucial topic of discussion and debate in Europe The European Parliament alongside other key EU institutions has pledged to reduce heating to conserve power For example offices of the European Commission have reduced their heating and humidification temperatures by 2 C 114 EU member states have adopted a regulation to fill gas storage and share them in a spirit of solidarity Although the EU countries face this crisis together as a bloc the stake is different for each country Countries with a higher import and use of Russian gas will be affected significantly more than those with less import and dependency 115 The European Commission proposed the REPowerEU plan to reduce the EU s dependency on Russian energy supplies by fast forwarding the clean energy transition of the EU The Commission outlined a concept that will contribute to the acceleration of the EU energy transition by scaling up the deployment of Hydrogen known as the Hydrogen accelerator concept This plan aims to produce and import 10 million tons of renewable Hydrogen respectively in the EU by 2030 REPowerEU 116 In a note highlighting short term actions that can relieve the energy situation the president of the EU commission and its members conveyed mission areas in which member states should act A regulation to fill gas storages diversify the supply sources of energy and commit to reducing the demand for energy by 15 percent EU member states have adopted this winter With this the underground gas reserves of the EU are filled to 83 percent of their capacity 117 Solidarity contribution Edit Power generation companies and companies operating in the fossil fuel sector have enjoyed windfall profits due to the current European market situation which has led the European Commission to impose mandatory contributions on these companies as a temporary measure to limit the impact of the crisis 118 The special temporary tax will be calculated on taxable profits during the year 2022 and at the rate of no less than 33 of excess profits in the oil gas coal and refining sectors These solidarity contributions will help alleviate the severity of the current crisis These contributions will be redistributed to all European consumers including low income families in the Member States SMEs and energy intensive companies 119 See also Edit nbsp Energy portal nbsp Renewable energy portalPrice controls 9 Euro Ticket 1970s energy crisis Economic impact of the COVID 19 pandemic Energy crisis Energy democracy Energy subsidy Energy transition Fossil fuel phase out 2022 2023 food crises 2021 2023 inflation surge International sanctions during the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine 2020s commodities boom 2022 2023 Russia European Union gas dispute 2020 2022 world oil market chronology Strategic natural gas reserveSources Edit nbsp This article incorporates text from a free content work Licensed under CC BY 4 0 license statement permission Text taken from IEA Global Energy Crisis International Energy Agency International Energy Agency nbsp This article incorporates text from a free content work Licensed under CC BY 4 0 license statement permission Text taken from Russia s War on Ukraine International Energy Agency International Energy Agency nbsp This article incorporates text from a free content work Licensed under CC BY 4 0 license statement permission Text taken from How the energy crisis is exacerbating the food crisis International Energy Agency nbsp This article incorporates text from a free 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