fbpx
Wikipedia

Ross Perot 1992 presidential campaign

In 1992, Ross Perot ran unsuccessfully as an independent candidate for President of the United States. Perot was a Texas industrialist who had never served as a public official, but he had experience as the head of several successful corporations and had been involved in public affairs for the previous three decades. Grass-root organizations sprang up in every state to help Perot achieve ballot access following his announcement on the February 20, 1992 edition of Larry King Live. James Stockdale, a retired Navy vice admiral, was Perot's running mate.

Ross Perot for President
Campaign1992 United States presidential election
CandidateRoss Perot
President and CEO of Perot Systems
(1988–1992)[1]
VADM James B. Stockdale
President of the Naval War College
(1977–1979)
AffiliationIndependent

Perot focused the campaign on his plans to balance the federal budget, further economic nationalism, strengthen the war on drugs, and implement "electronic town halls" throughout the nation for "direct democracy". His views were described as a combination of "East Texas populism with high-tech wizardry".[2] Supporters saw him as a non-political and witty "folk hero", but critics described him as "authoritarian"[3] and "short-tempered".[4]

Perot largely financed his own campaign and relied on marketing and wide grass roots support. In certain polls, he led the three-way race with Republican nominee George H. W. Bush, the incumbent President, and Governor Bill Clinton of Arkansas, the Democratic nominee. He dropped out in July 1992 amid controversy, but re-entered in October, participating in all three presidential debates. His polling numbers never fully recovered from his initial exit, despite his aggressive use of commercials on prime-time television. Perot appeared on every state ballot as a result of the earlier draft efforts.

In the general election, Clinton defeated Bush in a landslide while Perot carried no states and received no votes in the Electoral College. However, Perot won several counties, placed second in two states, and finished far ahead of any other candidate in third place overall, receiving close to 18.97 percent of the popular vote, the most won by a third-party presidential candidate since Theodore Roosevelt in 1912.[5] Perot remains the only non-major-party presidential candidate since George C. Wallace in 1968 both to win counties and to finish as high as second place in any state.

Background

 
Perot stands next to a portrait of George Washington at his office in 1986.

Ross Perot had never been elected to public office, but he ran several successful corporations and was involved in public affairs for decades. After serving in the United States Navy in the 1950s,[6] Perot joined IBM as a salesman. He surpassed his one-year sales quota in just two weeks.[7] After the company ignored his idea for electronic storage, he founded Electronic Data Systems in 1962,[8] which was then contracted by the United States government to store Medicare records.[6] Perot earned a fortune with the company, and by 1968 was named by Fortune as the "fastest, richest Texan."[9] Perot was known to run the company in a militaristic fashion, built on loyalty and duty.[8] His best known venture with the company was in 1979, when he sent a private militia into Iran in the midst of the Iranian Revolution to rescue two of his employees who had been imprisoned. The episode inspired the 1983 novel, On Wings of Eagles.[6] Perot eventually sold his company to General Motors in 1984 for $2.55 billion, and founded Perot Systems in 1988.[10] By 1992, his fortune was judged to be $3 billion.[7]

Perot was a hawk on the Vietnam War, an advocate for U.S. servicemen held as prisoners of war and a supporter of their families. During the war, he aided soldiers by providing supplies and holding rallies for those returning home.[6][11] In public affairs, he led the Texas War on Drugs Committee in 1979 at the behest of Republican Governor Bill Clements, and was put in charge of the Select Committee on Public Education in 1983 by Democratic Governor Mark White.[9] Perot's most dear political effort involved the Vietnam War POW/MIA issue. He worked extensively to free soldiers that he believed had been left behind, and even engaged in secret diplomatic talks with the Vietnamese government, to the chagrin of the Reagan White House.[12] Perot had been supportive of President Ronald Reagan and labeled him as a "great president" in 1986. He even pledged $2.5 million to support his presidential library, but the relationship soured after Perot was sent on a trip to Hanoi, and determined afterwards that the administration was not taking the POW/MIA issue seriously. He revoked his pledge to the library in 1987, based on the POW/MIA issue as well as his disillusionment from the administration's actions during the Iran–Contra affair.[13] He became a critic of the George H. W. Bush administration, and opposed the 1991 Gulf War.[6]

Initial campaign

Ross Perot appeared on the February 20, 1992, edition of Larry King Live on CNN, his fourth appearance on the show since 1991.[14] After a lively interview concerning political issues, King directly asked Perot if there was "any scenario in which [he] would run for president."[15] Perot firmly stated that he did not want to run, but spontaneously affirmed that he would begin a campaign if "ordinary people" signed petitions and helped him achieve ballot access in all 50 states.[16] He set up a phone bank at his office on March 12, staffed with volunteers to inform interested voters and supporters on how they could assist Perot's potential campaign.[17] Supporters viewed the candidate as an "action man ... who can get things done ... [and who] takes care of his people".[18] They were angry at President Bush for reneging on his promise not to raise taxes.[18] The New York Times speculated that Perot's "iconoclastic, take-no-prisoners persona and anti-politics politics"[19] would appeal to the "angry frustrated electorate".[19] But Republican consultant Karl Rove characterized Perot as an "untested wild man".[19] He rejected any financial donations for more than $5,[20] and stated that he would personally fund a potential campaign.[21] Perot spent $400,000 of his own money in the first month,[22] however, he largely spread this message via television, capped by a March 18 National Press Club speech, which aired on C-SPAN.[23]

Draft efforts

 
Perot's running mate James Stockdale

"Draft Perot" organizations opened throughout the nation, and petition drives were coordinated largely by Perot's friend Tom Luce,[24] and the real estate arm of Perot Systems,[25] to help secure a place for the candidate on every state ballot. At the height of the efforts, 18,000 simultaneous calls came into Perot's telephone banks after he appeared on the Phil Donahue Show.[26] At one point, 30,000 telephone calls were received in one hour.[27] MCI Communications Corporation reported that over a million calls came in during the first ten days that the phone banks were active.[26] At the time, presidential polls showed Perot with 21% support from the electorate, 14 points behind likely Democratic presidential nominee Bill Clinton and 16 points behind President Bush. Despite this, only one third of potential voters knew enough about Perot to form an opinion of him.[28] A large segment of his support came from Reagan Democrats, entrepreneurs[2] and suburban conservatives deemed "Perot Republicans", who agreed with the central theme of his campaign, though they disagreed with his pro-choice stance on abortion.[29] Political newcomers were also involved in the volunteer efforts.[30]

Twenty-five states required that a presidential candidate have a running mate to appear on the ballot. As a result, Perot named retired Vice Admiral James B. Stockdale, who had been awarded the Medal of Honor for his actions during 7+12 years of captivity as a POW during the Vietnam War, as his "interim" running mate in late March.[17] Stockdale would remain in the position throughout the campaign. A Boston Globe report suggested that Boston University President John Silber was also considered as a running mate.[31] During an Associated Press interview in April, Perot commented that he might begin a campaign before his supporters achieved ballot access in all states.[32] In New York, ballot access appeared to be the most difficult to attain. In a five-week summer period, the campaign would be required to compile 20,000 signatures from non-primary voters, including 100 from each of half of the state's Congressional districts.[33] Perot conceded that he might not appear on the state's ballot, but stated that he may run anyway.[32]

Throughout April, the draft efforts continued, and Perot appeared on talk shows, discussing his plans and positions on political issues.[34] During an appearance on Larry King Live, Perot stated that he was closer to a decision on a potential campaign, and that he was willing to spend $100 million of his own money to finance it.[35] On the Today Show he was interviewed by Katie Couric, and proposed to cut Medicare and Social Security for "people who don't need it".[34] He appeared on Face the Nation later in the month, and argued that wealthy Americans should spend more than average Americans to eliminate the budget deficit.[36] His budget numbers were contested by Tim Russert on Meet the Press, during a heated interview, after which, a frustrated Perot considered dropping out of the race.[24] C-SPAN ran a speech by Perot, where he announced that he hoped to run a campaign without "political pros"[37] to avoid the "dirty tricks"[37] of past campaigns. After this appearance, campaign consultant Raymond Strother explained to Perot that professionals such as pollster Mark Penn were essential to a successful campaign.[37] In late April, Perot hired former Chicago Tribune editor James Squires as press spokesman to handle the large volume of interview requests from the media.[38] At the end of the month, Perot realized that he had spent too much time visiting talk shows, and announced that he would spend his next few weeks focusing on the issues.[39]

Frontrunner status

By May, Perot was leading presidential polls in both Texas and California. The Bush and Clinton campaigns became concerned about a candidacy, and publicly wondered if Perot could continue to "play by his own rules".[40] They attempted to downgrade Perot from his "folk hero status"[40] to that of a politician, by highlighting his "alleged character flaws".[40] Meanwhile, Perot focused on sharpening his political positions as he promised. He hired John P. White, who had served as a budget official under President Jimmy Carter, to work on his budget platform.[40] Meanwhile, petition drives in every state reported that they had secured enough signatures to place Perot on the Election Day ballot. Speculation arose in the media that Perot would split the electoral college and force the United States House of Representatives to decide the presidency.[41] Around this time, Hal Riney, who had worked on Ronald Reagan's 1984 campaign and was known for the "Morning in America" ad, was hired as advertising consultant. When Riney revealed the cost of advertisements during a meeting, Perot reportedly "flipped out",[42] and asked "Why would I spend that when I could go on the Today show for free?"[42] Riney produced several ads during the campaign that never aired.[42]

Perot won a large share of the vote in both the Democratic and Republican primaries in Oregon and Washington in mid-May, although he did not campaign or advertise for those contests. In the Oregon primary, he was written-in by 13% of Democrats and 15% of Republicans. Exit polling showed Perot's favorability at or above that of Clinton and Bush in their respective party's primaries.[43] At the end of May, Perot called on Bush to "climb in the ring", claiming that the President was using surrogates to attack him. To strengthen his own team, Perot's campaign interviewed Jimmy Carter's 1976 campaign manager and White House Chief of Staff Hamilton Jordan and Ronald Reagan's 1984 campaign manager Ed Rollins to fill a position in the campaign.[44] Eventually, both were hired as co-campaign managers.[45] On May 29, Perot ended his talk show hiatus after talking with Barbara Walters on 20/20. He discussed his three-part plan for balancing the budget, starting with a Congressional act to limit spending, followed by a cut in government waste, of which he would be more specific in coming weeks, and a reform of the existing tax system. During the interview, Perot also stated that he would avoid adding homosexuals to his cabinet to prevent "a point of controversy with the American people".[46] However, he commented that "what people do in their private lives is their business."[46]

Former Pat Buchanan pollster Frank Luntz was hired by the campaign, along with former Republican National Campaign Committee chairman Charles Leonard. The New York Times reported that Perot sought the help of operatives to search court and federal documents to find information that might reflect poorly on the potential candidate so that preparations could be made to respond.[47] In the final round of Democratic and Republican primaries, most notably in California, exit polls revealed that 42% of Republicans and 33% of Democrats favored Perot.[48] A Time Magazine poll found that Perot had 37% support of all the electorate, ahead of both Bush and Clinton who tied for second at 24%.[49] At this time, Vice President Dan Quayle became the most senior member of the Bush administration to criticize Perot, calling him a "temperamental tycoon".[50]

Perot campaigned in California in mid-June, and held a rally attended by 7,000 in Sacramento where he was heckled by some who chanted "Talk about the issues!"[51] He privately spoke with black and Asian leaders in Los Angeles to discuss race relations following the L.A. race riots; afterwards, he gave a speech to a mostly white audience in Orange County about race relations, but did not take a stand on affirmative action. Perot finished his California campaign swing in Irvine before traveling to events in Colorado and Massachusetts.[51] At the end of the month, large nominating conventions were held in Washington and other states to put together the final pieces to include Perot on the ballot. Perot addressed the conventions, largely made up of "well dressed, middle aged"[52] individuals, and spoke of improving the education system and restoring the America "where you leave the doors unlocked".[52] As June came to a close, speculation arose that Perot was planning a National Convention to follow the Democratic and Republican National Conventions.[53]

Decline and withdrawal

In July, some of Perot's past actions, including a private investigation of the Bush family in the late 1980s, circulated in the media, causing frustration for the campaign. Perot blamed the reports on a "Republican research team" and claimed that he was warned that since he had such a "clean record they have got to try to redefine you and destroy you".[54] Campaign officials tried to come up with a new strategy to combat the negative press, and to end Perot's use of generalizations on the issues.[55] Perot sought National Institutes of Health head Dr. Bernadine Healy as his running mate, but she declined.[56] Meanwhile, Perot faced obstacles on the campaign trail. During an Olympia rally, he was approached by a gay rights group, demanding that he address AIDS and gay rights;[57] he soon flipped on the issue and stated that he would allow gays to serve in the military and in his cabinet.[58] During an address to the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People (NAACP), Perot faced his toughest demographic, and made the gaffe of referring to African Americans as "you people".[55] It was later revealed that Perot did not want to appear at the meeting or any other forum without his supporters. Press consultant Squires had written a speech for Perot for the occasion, but he instead used his own.[59] After the speech, Perot was concerned that members of the New Black Panther Party were plotting his assassination.[60]

By mid-July, the Washington Post reported that Perot's campaign managers were becoming increasingly disillusioned by his unwillingness to follow their advice[61] to be more specific on issues,[55] and his need to be in full control of operations[61] with such tactics as forcing volunteers to sign loyalty oaths.[62] Perot's poll numbers began to slip to 25%, and his advisers warned that if he continued to ignore them, he would fall into single digits. Co-manager Hamilton Jordan threatened to quit,[55] and on July 15, Ed Rollins resigned after Perot fired advertisement specialist Hal Riney, who had worked with Rollins on the Reagan campaign. Rollins later claimed that a member of the campaign accused him of being a Bush plant with ties to the CIA.[63] Amidst the chaos, Perot's support fell to 20%.[64] The next day, Perot announced on Larry King Live that he would not seek the presidency. He explained that he did not want the House of Representatives to decide the election if the result caused the electoral college to be split. He asked his supporters to look for other candidates to nominate for the race,[65] and formed United We Stand to "influence the debate."[66] At this point, Perot had spent $12 million of his own money on the race.[67] Bill Hillsman, who produced a few unaired advertisements for the campaign, wrote that Perot's withdrawal was a tactic to find temporary relief from the press.[68]

Former advisors commented that Perot, who had achieved ballot access in 24 states, was unwilling "to spend money on things that mattered"[59] including Rollins' and Jordan's proposed $150 million advertising campaign,[69] was "obsessed" with his image, and lost interest in running after receiving negative press.[59] Supporters were angry and distraught at Perot's decision, and his popularity dropped among the American public.[70] One woman called Perot and commented that "the tears have not stopped."[59] A class action lawsuit was filed in Florida to force him to remain in the race,[71] but it was dropped.[72] Later in July, the economic plan that Perot's campaign had been working on was released. The fifty-page proposal included cuts in domestic spending, investment in education, communication and transportation programs, an increase in income taxes for the wealthy, and an increase in the gasoline tax. The plan was projected to eliminate the budget deficit in five years.[73] At the end of August, Perot promised to give his endorsement to any candidate that supported his economic plan, but hinted that he may reenter the race.[74] These hints increased in September, as Perot looked to buy advertising time on the major networks to discuss his economic plan, which could only occur if he was a declared candidate. Meanwhile, petitions for ballot access were approved in all 50 states,[75] and polls showed Perot still in double digits with 14% support, behind Clinton and Bush with 44% and 39%, respectively.[70]

Re-entrance

On October 1, Perot re-entered the presidential race, with a desire to further explain his economic plans to the American people. The New York Times commented that Perot's "chances of winning are much less than when he quit in July. His only dim practical hope is to confuse and destabilize the contest."[76] He hoped to spend more resources using paid advertisements than holding traditional rallies to spread his message.[77] During the last month of campaigning, Perot left his headquarters in Dallas only to appear in the presidential debates and seven rallies. One aide later commented: "he wanted to do it just like he could go to the office every day, run for president, and go home and eat dinner."[78] Rather than using professional advisers,[77] Perot employed "political amateurs" whose loyalty was unquestioned. Orson Swindle, whom he had known since the 1970s, was hired as the top aide. Perot's son-in-law Clayton Mulford, who was involved in the early draft effort, was hired as legal adviser. Sharon Holman, who had worked for Perot since 1969, was hired as press secretary, and friend Murphy Martin was added as the media chief.[79]

Perot employed a massive marketing strategy, spending $34.8 million to buy half hour and hour-long segments on major television networks, memorably using charts to illustrate his ideas for the economy.[77] His first infomercial was aired on October 6, and viewed by 16.5 million people.[80] He used two dozen charts and a metal pointer during the ad, explaining that "We got into trickle-down economics and it didn't trickle."[81] He later concluded that "our President blames Congress, Congress blames the President, the Democrats and Republicans blame each other. Nobody steps up to the plate and accepts responsibility for anything."[81] He spent a large portion of the infomercial speaking into the camera while sitting at a desk in front of a bookshelf. Political experts commented that the nature of the ad was groundbreaking.[81] Two days later, an ad campaign was unveiled that included three new 60-second commercials to air on ESPN, CNN and five other cable networks. One commercial entitled "Red Flag" displayed a waving red flag with a background drum roll and the statement: "While the Cold War is ending another war is upon us. In this new war, the enemy is not the red flag of Communism, but the red ink of our national debt, the red tape of our government bureaucracy. The casualties of this war are counted in lost jobs and lost dreams."[82] A second half hour infomercial was shown on October 9.[82]

Debates

Perot participated in the first of three presidential debates for the 1992 election, on October 11 in Clayton, Missouri, along with George Bush and Bill Clinton. It was the first time that a third party candidate was involved in a national televised debate since John B. Anderson in 1980 and was the first general-election presidential debate to ever feature three candidates. During the event, Perot discussed a wide range of issues including the budget deficit, education, and drug use and proclaimed that, as president, he would eliminate the influence of lobbyists. He also had a few memorable quips. When asked to address detractors' criticism of his lack of government experience, he remarked: "Well, they've got a point. I don't have any experience running up a $4 trillion debt."[83] When discussing what would happen if one of his opponents won, he commented: "Then they will have heard the harsh reality of what we have to do. I'm not playing Lawrence Welk music here tonight."[83] After the debate, three out of four polls declared Perot as the winner. The average of all four showed Perot at 37% followed by Clinton with 30% and Bush with 18%, but election polls still showed Perot in third with 14%, far behind both Bush and Clinton.[83] His running mate, James Stockdale, participated in a vice presidential debate in Atlanta, with fellow vice presidential nominee Al Gore and Vice President Dan Quayle. Largely unknown to the general public, Stockdale memorably opened the debate by unexpectedly asking the philosophical question, "Who am I? Why am I here?"[84] He was unprepared to deal with some of the substantive issues raised, and his struggling performance may have damaged the Perot campaign.[56][85]

The second presidential debate was held on October 15 in Richmond, Virginia, and included questions from undecided voters, who kept the candidates focused on the issues. During his opening statement, Perot explained that there was a "giant sucking sound" caused by the rush of manufacturing jobs to Mexico. During one exchange, Perot commented that Democrats and Republicans were both to blame for the deficit, but that neither was willing to take responsibility. He joked "somewhere out there, there's an extraterrestrial that's doing this to us, I guess." At the close of the debate, Perot described himself as "results ... [and] action oriented", and explained that "if they want to keep slow dancing and talk about it and not do it, I'm not your man."[86] Perot took part in the third debate held in East Lansing, Michigan, on October 19. Throughout the debate, he plugged and referenced his infomercials. He criticized Bush's economic plan to start off the debate, stating that it would not balance the budget.[87] He later remarked that he would spend $60 million of his own money to finish the race. Notably, Perot brought up the fact that "both parties have foreign lobbyists on leaves and key roles in the campaigns."[87] After the debate, he ripped the media during a press conference, criticizing them for their use of "gotcha" stories and the lack of coverage concerning his opponent Bush's foreign lobbyists.[88] Former pollster Frank Luntz explained, "When Ross Perot uses his head, he's unbeatable. He's focused, straightforward and compelling. When he uses his heart, sometimes his emotions get carried away."[77]

Final stages

 
Perot showing a chart of the federal budget deficit in his first infomercial. During the broadcast, he named his pointer a "voodoo stick", a play on Bush calling Reagan's tax policy "voodoo economics" in the 1980 Republican primary.

In the week following the debates, Perot did not campaign and was not often seen on television. ABC aired a 30-minute sequel to an autobiographical infomercial shown on October 17. The spot cost Perot $370,000.[89] CBS aired an infomercial on October 24 entitled The Ross Perot Nobody Knows, and two days later another was shown on ABC, preceding the kickoff of Monday Night Football,[90] which cost $940,000.[91] Perot hoped to better explain his earlier exit as Election Day neared. Reports circulated that a security official from the campaign had contacted the Dallas Police in August to urge them to perform a sting operation targeting Bush campaign adviser James Oberwetter, in response to allegations that Republicans planned to wiretap Perot's office.[92] Perot claimed during an interview with 60 Minutes that "Republican operatives" also threatened to disrupt his daughter's wedding, which forced him to withdraw in July.[93] He reported the story to the FBI, but no evidence of any wrongdoing was found.[94] The New York Times argued that the story could help Perot with voters and his overall image by presenting him as a man "who was willing to give up his goal to protect his family";[77] nevertheless, his lack of evidence drew criticism.[94]

By the end of October, Perot had reached 20% in opinion polls, and his favorability ratings slightly increased. But as reports detailed Perot's investigation of campaign volunteers and the prior use of "loyalty oaths",[80] the numbers remained stagnant. Aides hoped to shift the focus of the campaign and media reports back to the economy.[77] Perot appeared on Larry King Live later in the week and opined that the early 1990s recession was not over "because of deficit spending and competition for money".[80] He was also interviewed on Talking with David Frost, where he affirmed a statement made by his running mate that the Vietnam War protests had prolonged the war effort.[95] In the final days, it was estimated that Perot spent $5 million a day on advertisements.[96] Overall, he had spent $40 million in October alone, and $60 million overall during the course of the campaign.[78]

In the lead up to Election Day, Perot attended a few rallies in Pennsylvania, New Jersey,[90] and Denver.[97] A major rally was staged in Tampa, and was attended by more than 10,000 supporters.[98] Perot also made stops in Kansas City, Los Angeles and Santa Clara.[95] On the final night, infomercials aired on all three major networks. He held his final campaign event in Dallas outside his headquarters, and thanked his supporters, stating: "What you've been through hasn't been pretty, but by golly, you're taking your country back." At the end, his campaign song "Crazy" by Patsy Cline was played.[99] In the final NBC-Wall Street Journal poll, Perot was in third place with 15%, behind Bush with 36% and Clinton with 44%.[100]

Endorsements

Results

 
  County won by Perot
  >30% state support
  25%–30% state support
  20%–25% state support
  15%–20% state support
  10%–15% state support
  <10% state support

On Election Day, Perot finished in third place behind Clinton (the winner) and Bush. Perot received 19,743,821 votes, the most ever received by a third party candidate, which accounted for 18.91% of the popular vote. He failed to win any states in the Electoral College because of the relatively even distribution of his support, but did win over 30% of the vote in Maine and 27% in Utah, finishing second in both states.[104] Perot was the first third party candidate since George Wallace in 1968 to finish first in a county. Notably, Perot managed to win counties in states won by Clinton (specifically California, Nevada, Colorado and Maine) as well as in states carried by Bush (these being Alaska (divided into boroughs), Kansas and Texas). He won his largest percentage in Matanuska-Susitna Borough, Alaska and Loving County, Texas with over 40%. He finished second ahead of either Bush or Clinton in a further 345 counties.[105] According to exit polls, 52% of Perot's supporters were male, 94% were white, 63% were aged between 18 and 44, and about 2/3 had not received a college degree. The income of supporters mirrored the general public. In terms of ideology, 53% identified as moderates, 27% were conservative and 20% were liberal, while two-thirds were either members of the Democratic Party or were politically independent.[30]

Perot's performance satisfied the 5% popular vote threshold for third party candidates, classifying it as successful under the criterion established by scholar Walter Dean Burnham.[5] The legitimacy of this success has been questioned by scholars who dismiss the label of Perot as a typical third party candidate, largely due to the availability of campaign funds and financing of grassroots efforts.[106] Others dispute these claims and point out that Perot forced the other candidates to change their rhetoric on the issues to gain the votes of his supporters, indicating an issues campaign.[107]

Exit polls revealed that 35% of voters would have voted for Perot if they believed he could win.[108] Contemporary analysis reveals that Perot could have won the election if the polls prior to the election had shown the candidate with a larger share, preventing the wasted vote mindset.[104] Notably, had Perot actually polled merely the 35% of the popular vote that went to himself, Clinton and Bush (i.e. discounting the votes for other third party candidates), and had those votes in each state went from the other two major candidates to Perot in the same proportions that voted for Clinton and Bush, while it would only have earned Perot a narrow popular vote plurality over Clinton he would have carried 32 states with 319 electoral votes, more than enough to win the presidency.

Analysis

The effect of Ross Perot's candidacy has been a contentious point of debate for many years. In the ensuing months after the election, various Republicans asserted that Perot had acted as a spoiler, enough to the detriment of Bush to lose him the election. While many disaffected conservatives may have voted for Ross Perot to protest Bush's tax increase, further examination of the Perot vote in the election night exit polls not only showed that Perot siphoned votes nearly equally among Bush and Clinton,[109][110][111][112] but of the voters who cited Bush's broken "No New Taxes" pledge as "very important," two thirds voted for Bill Clinton.[113] A mathematical look at the voting numbers reveals that Bush would have had to win 12.55% of Perot's 18.91% of the vote, 66.36% of Perot's support base, to earn a majority of the vote, and would have needed to win nearly every state Clinton won by less than five percentage points.[114] Furthermore, Perot was most popular in states that strongly favored either Clinton or Bush, limiting his real electoral impact for either candidate. Other than his home state of Texas, Perot gained relatively little support in the Southern states, and most of his best results were in states with few electoral votes. Perot appealed to disaffected voters all across the political spectrum who had grown weary of the two-party system. Perot's anti-NAFTA stance played a role in his support, and Perot voters were relatively moderate on hot button social issues such as abortion and gay rights.[115][116]

A 1999 study in the American Journal of Political Science estimated that Perot's candidacy hurt the Clinton campaign, reducing "Clinton's margin of victory over Bush by seven percentage points."[117] In 2016, FiveThirtyEight described the speculation that Perot was a spoiler as "unlikely."[118]

Aftermath

After the election, Perot continued to work with "United We Stand", and focused his efforts to defeat the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). In 1993, he was involved in a highly publicized debate with Vice President Al Gore on Larry King Live over NAFTA. Perot formed the Reform Party of the United States of America in 1995, and ran for president under the party's banner the following year. During the election, he failed to appear in the presidential debates, and finished in third place with about 8% of the vote, behind Republican nominee Bob Dole and President Bill Clinton.[119] The Reform Party's candidate, former professional wrestler Jesse Ventura, was elected as Governor of Minnesota in 1998, which was connected to Perot's performance in the presidential elections.[120] His focus on a balanced budget during his campaigns is speculated to have brought the issue to the forefront, enabling the surplus of the late 1990s.[121] Perot declined to run in the 2000 presidential election, and endorsed eventual winner Republican Governor George W. Bush of Texas.[122] In the 2008 Republican primaries, he endorsed Republican Governor Mitt Romney of Massachusetts for the presidency, and stated "the situation in 1992 was not nearly as bad as it is now ... if ever there was a time when it was necessary to put our house in order, it is now."[123] The populist Tea Party movement and supporters of President Donald Trump have both been compared to Perot advocates.[30][124] Upon Perot's death from leukemia in 2019, Politico editor-in-chief John F. Harris reflected upon Perot's 1992 campaign and referred to him as the "father of Trump" due to Trump's 2016 presidential victory as, like Perot, a populist businessman without traditional political experience.[125]

References

  1. ^ Hayes, Thomas (June 4, 1992). "THE 1992 CAMPAIGN: Advisors -- Morton H. Meyerson; The Team Perot Picked To Head His Campaign". The New York Times.
  2. ^ a b Dunham, Richard S.; Douglas Harbrecht (April 6, 1992). "Is Perot after the Presidency, or the President?". Bloomberg Businessweek. Bloomberg L.P. from the original on June 30, 2016. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  3. ^ "Republican leader assails Ross Perot as a 'demagogue'". Reading Eagle. Reading, Pennsylvania: The Washington Post. May 22, 1992. p. A4. from the original on July 24, 2021. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  4. ^ Gilbert and King, p. 213
  5. ^ a b Rapoport and Stone, p. 4
  6. ^ a b c d e "Enigmatic Perot begins wild political adventure". The Spokesman-Review. Spokane, Washington: The Baltimore Sun. April 5, 1992. p. A14.
  7. ^ a b Dallas, Richard Behar (July 20, 1992). . Time. Archived from the original on July 22, 2009. Retrieved May 28, 2010.
  8. ^ a b Arhos, Damon (February 22, 2010). "Electronic Data Systems". Handbook of Texas Online. Texas State Historical Association. from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved May 28, 2010.
  9. ^ a b Elkind, p. 100
  10. ^ Levin, Doron P. (March 26, 1989). "G.M. vs. Ross Perot: Breaking up is hard to do". The New York Times. New York. p. 36. from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved May 28, 2010.
  11. ^ Kristof, Nicholas (February 27, 2000). "P.O.W. to Power Broker, A Chapter Most Telling". The New York Times. from the original on 6 March 2011. Retrieved 13 June 2010.
  12. ^ Remnick, David (April 24, 1987). "Perot Negotiated Secretly With Hanoi on POW-MIA Issue". The Washington Post. Washington, D.C. p. A5.
  13. ^ Kelly, Michael (May 24, 1992). "Personal Finances; Perot Reneged on Pledge to Reagan". The New York Times. New York. p. 22. from the original on April 27, 2019. Retrieved May 28, 2010.
  14. ^ Wakin, p. 196
  15. ^ Bianculli, David (June 2, 1995). "A Decade as King of the Hill CNN Talker celebrates with Retrospective, Star Lineup". Daily News. New York: NYDailyNews.com. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  16. ^ Kurtz, p. 90
  17. ^ a b "Retired vice admiral tapped for 'interim' Perot ticket". Kentucky New Era. Hopkinsville, Kentucky. Associated Press. March 30, 1992. p. 12B. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  18. ^ a b Smith, Benny (March 31, 1992). "Crowd comes to meeting to get Ross Perot on ballot". The Times-News. Hendersonville, North Carolina. p. 11A. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  19. ^ a b c Applebome, Peter (March 29, 1992). "Perot, the 'Simple' Billionaire, Says Voters Can Force His Presidential Bid". The New York Times. New York. p. 14. from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  20. ^ Levin, Doron P. (March 7, 1992). "Another Candidate?; Billionaire in Texas Is Attracting Calls to Run, and $5 Donations". The New York Times. New York. p. 11. from the original on April 27, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  21. ^ "Perot Supporters Open Petition Drive Offices". The New York Times. New York. March 21, 1992. p. 8. from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  22. ^ Rosenbaum, David E. (April 21, 1992). "Campaign Finance; Not Yet in Presidential Race, Perot Spends $400,000 on Campaign". The New York Times. New York. p. 21. from the original on April 27, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  23. ^ Jelen, p. 17
  24. ^ a b Jelen, p. 18
  25. ^ Jelen, p. 36
  26. ^ a b "Perot's phone banks swamped by callers". The Victoria Advocate. Victoria, Texas. Associated Press. March 27, 1992. p. 3A. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  27. ^ Griffith, Pat (March 30, 1992). "Perot hearing the call of unhappy electorate". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. p. 1. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  28. ^ "Poll finds solid support for Perot". Eugene Register-Guard. Eugene, Oregon: Los Angeles Times. March 31, 1992. p. 4A. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  29. ^ Allison, Wick (April 28, 1992). "The Democrats Should Adopt Perot". The New York Times. New York. p. 23. from the original on April 28, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  30. ^ a b c Balz, Dan (April 18, 2010). "Don't be too quick to mistake tea party for Perot movement". The Washington Post. from the original on 26 April 2019. Retrieved 19 July 2010.
  31. ^ Pertman, Adam (March 29, 1992). "Perot wanted Silber as his running mate". The Day. New London, Connecticut: Boston Globe. p. A6. from the original on June 8, 2021. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  32. ^ a b Hayes, Thomas C. (April 24, 1992). "Third-Party Candidacy; In Sharpest Attack, Perot Accuses Bush of Inaction". The New York Times. New York. p. 20. from the original on April 28, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  33. ^ Gottlieb, Martin (April 28, 1992). "Perot Backers Make Gains on Election Barriers". The New York Times. New York. p. 1. from the original on April 27, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  34. ^ a b Goodman, Walter (April 23, 1992). "In a 'Lone Ranger' Role, Perot Builds an Audience". The New York Times. New York. p. 23. from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  35. ^ "Perot says he's close to decision". The Tuscaloosa News. Tuscaloosa, Alabama: The Los Angeles Daily News. April 16, 1992. p. 3A. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  36. ^ Hayes, Thomas C. (April 27, 1992). "Wealthy Should Pay More To Trim Deficit, Perot Says". The New York Times. New York. p. 14. from the original on April 28, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  37. ^ a b c Germond, Jack; Witcover, Jules (April 27, 1992). "Jump Started Draft". Reading Eagle. Reading, Pennsylvania. p. B6. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  38. ^ Holmes, Steven A. (April 23, 1992). "THE 1992 CAMPAIGN: Independent; Perot Hires a Veteran Journalist To Act as His Press Spokesman". The New York Times. New York. p. 23. from the original on April 28, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  39. ^ "Questions for Ross Perot". The New York Times. New York. May 8, 1992. p. 30. from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  40. ^ a b c d Toner, Robin (May 10, 1992). "Perot Tries to Keep Pace With Force He Unleashed". The New York Times. New York. p. 1. from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  41. ^ "Wisconsin's Perot fans hope to show Texas what big means". The Milwaukee Journal. Milwaukee, Wisconsin. May 12, 1992. p. A4. Retrieved May 27, 2010.[permanent dead link]
  42. ^ a b c Kolbert, Elizabeth (October 3, 1992). "Perot to Unveil A Big Ad Pitch, But Will It Sell?". The New York Times. New York. p. 1. from the original on April 28, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  43. ^ Apple Jr., R. W. (May 21, 1992). "Perot's Strength Shown in Oregon". The New York Times. New York. p. 1. from the original on April 27, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  44. ^ Raum, Tom (May 29, 1992). "Perot Potshots". The Free Lance-Star. Fredericksburg, Virginia. Associated Press. p. A9.
  45. ^ "Ross buys some help". Eugene Register-Guard. Eugene, Oregon. June 5, 1992. p. 12A. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  46. ^ a b Holmes, Steven A. (May 29, 1992). "Undeclared Candidate; Perot in Wide-Ranging TV Interview". The New York Times. New York. p. 19. from the original on November 21, 2018. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  47. ^ Holmes, Steven A. (May 28, 1992). "Even as Perot Denounces Political Professionals, He Woos Them From Major Parties". The New York Times. New York. p. 20. from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  48. ^ Germond, Jack; Witcover, Jules (June 8, 1992). "A Universal Effort". Reading Eagle. Reading, Pennsylvania. p. B6. from the original on September 28, 2021. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  49. ^ . Time. June 15, 1992. Archived from the original on December 6, 2008. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  50. ^ Rosenthal, Andrew (June 13, 1992). "Quayle says Perot displays contempt for Constitution". The New York Times. New York. p. 1. from the original on April 28, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  51. ^ a b Holmes, Steven A. (June 19, 1992). "Undeclared Candidate; Perot Makes Plea for Racial Harmony". The New York Times. New York. p. 25. from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  52. ^ a b Connelly, Joel; Sunde, Scott (June 29, 1992). "Thousands Show they Dig Perot Curious Devotees Use State's Petition Drive to Put him on Ballot". Seattle Post-Intelligencer. Seattle, Washington. p. A1.
  53. ^ "A Convention for Perot". The New York Times. New York. June 9, 1992. p. 24. from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  54. ^ Broder, David (July 2, 1992). "Perot sees himself as Minuteman under fire". Wilmington Morning Star. Wilmington, North Carolina. p. 10A. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  55. ^ a b c d Holmes, Steven A. (14 July 1992). "Perot in Trouble Internal Strife, Missed Opportunities And Missteps on Issues Stall a Drive". The New York Times. New York. p. 14. from the original on 19 April 2015. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  56. ^ a b Clift, Eleanor (October 26, 1992). "Perot: Pulling The Race Out Of The Mud". Newsweek. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  57. ^ Holmes, Steven A. (July 3, 1992). "Activist disrupt Perot rally". Spartanburg Herald-Journal. Spartanburg, South Carolina: The New York Times. p. A6. from the original on September 28, 2021. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  58. ^ Kelly, Michael (July 10, 1992). "Undeclared Candidate; Perot Shifts on Homosexuals in Military". The New York Times. New York. p. 18. from the original on April 19, 2015. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  59. ^ a b c d Holmes, Steven A. (July 18, 1992). "Advisers Describe Perot Disillusion". The New York Times. New York. p. 1. from the original on April 20, 2015. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  60. ^ Hillsman, p. 73
  61. ^ a b "Perot advisers reportedly at odds". The Milwaukee Sentinel. Milwaukee, Wisconsin: Washington Post. July 14, 1992. p. 2A. Retrieved May 27, 2010.[permanent dead link]
  62. ^ "Perot asks volunteers to sign loyalty oaths". St. Petersburg Times. St. Petersburg, Florida. Associated Press. July 14, 1992. p. 2A.
  63. ^ Lewis, Anthony (October 2, 1992). "Abroad at Home; Why Perot?". The New York Times. New York. p. 31. from the original on May 20, 2013. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  64. ^ Holmes, Steven A. (July 16, 1992). "Rollins Quits Perot's Campaign; Asserts His Advice Was Ignored". The New York Times. New York. p. 1. from the original on November 12, 2010. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  65. ^ Holmes, Steven A. (July 19, 1992). "Ross Perot; Noncandidate Tells His Supporters to Look for Real Candidates to Support". The New York Times. New York. p. 23. from the original on September 3, 2010. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  66. ^ Holmes, Steven A. (August 22, 1992). "Ross Perot; No New Plans? Read My Book, Perot Says". The New York Times. New York. p. 8. from the original on June 8, 2021. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  67. ^ Clymer, Adam (August 25, 1992). "Perot Gave $12 Million to Aborted Campaign". The New York Times. New York. p. 19. from the original on March 20, 2017. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  68. ^ Hillsman, p. 67
  69. ^ Jelen, p. 19
  70. ^ a b Toner, Robin (September 29, 1992). "The 1992 Campaign: Ross Perot; Nominees' Camps Make Their Cases to Perot Backers". The New York Times. New York. p. 1. from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  71. ^ "Campaign worker sues Ross Perot". Gainesville Sun. Gainesville, Florida. Associated Press. July 21, 1992. p. 6A. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  72. ^ "Florida volunteer drops lawsuit". Lakeland Ledger. Lakeland, Florida. August 4, 1992. p. 5B. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  73. ^ Greenhouse, Steven (July 21, 1992). "To Boost Economy, Perot Planned to Seek Sacrifices". The New York Times. New York. p. 1. from the original on April 20, 2015. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  74. ^ "Perot Issues Warning on Eve of Bush Acceptance Speech". Sarasota Herald-Tribune. Sarasota, Florida. Associated Press. August 20, 1992. p. 6A. from the original on April 25, 2021. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  75. ^ Toner, Robin (September 29, 1992). "Nominees' Camps Make Their Cases to Perot Backers". The New York Times. New York. p. 1. from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  76. ^ "The Uses of Ross Perot". The New York Times. New York. October 2, 1992. from the original on November 22, 2020. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  77. ^ a b c d e f Holmes, Steven A. (October 29, 1992). "Candidate Perot Might Learn From Strategist Perot". The New York Times. New York. p. 22. from the original on April 20, 2015. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  78. ^ a b "Perot may have reshaped presidential campaigning". The Deseret News. Salt Lake City, Utah. Associated Press. November 14, 1992. p. A10. from the original on September 28, 2021. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  79. ^ Gwynne, S.C.; Johnson, Julie; Woodbury, Richard (October 12, 1992). . Time. Archived from the original on August 12, 2010. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  80. ^ a b c Holmes, Steven A. (October 30, 1992). "Campaign Stalled, Perot Team Tries to Fix It, Fast". The New York Times. New York. p. 19. from the original on April 20, 2015. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  81. ^ a b c Sack, Kevin (October 7, 1992). "Perot Charts Poor Economy in 30-Minute TV Talk". The New York Times. New York. p. 16. from the original on April 20, 2015. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  82. ^ a b Sack, Kevin (October 8, 1992). "Perot Ready to Start Using Short TV Commercials". The New York Times. New York. p. 33. from the original on April 20, 2015. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  83. ^ a b c Horvitz, Paul F. (October 13, 1992). "Perot Wins A Fresh Look From Voters". The New York Times. New York.
  84. ^ Holmes, Steven A. (July 6, 2005). "James Stockdale, Perot's Running Mate in '92, Dies at 81". The New York Times. from the original on March 24, 2012. Retrieved June 13, 2010.
  85. ^ Hodgson, Godfrey (July 8, 2005). "Obituary: Vice Admiral James Stockdale". The Guardian. London. from the original on April 28, 2021. Retrieved June 13, 2010.
  86. ^ "Bush fails to narrow gap with Clinton in debate". Kingman Daily Miner. Kingman, Arizona. October 16, 1992. p. 9A.
  87. ^ a b "Transcript of 3d TV Debate Between Bush, Clinton and Perot". The New York Times. New York. 20 October 1992. p. 20. from the original on 20 April 2015. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  88. ^ Sack, Kevin (21 October 1992). "Perot Scores in 3d Debate, Then Opens Fire on the Press". The New York Times. New York. p. 18. from the original on 20 April 2015. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  89. ^ "Perot Presents His Autobiography, Part II, in 30-Minute TV Program". The New York Times. New York. October 23, 1992. p. 20. from the original on February 19, 2015. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  90. ^ a b "Perot to attend rallies Sunday in Pennsylvania, New Jersey". St. Petersburg Times. St. Petersburg, Florida. Associated Press. October 24, 1992. p. 8A.
  91. ^ "Perot makes last-minute stops". The Victoria Advocate. Victoria, Texas. Associated Press. October 25, 1992. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  92. ^ "Perot asked police for sting operation". The Milwaukee Sentinel. Milwaukee, Wisconsin: Dallas Morning News. October 28, 1992. Retrieved May 27, 2010.[permanent dead link]
  93. ^ Toner, Robin (October 26, 1992). "Handling Perot: A Very Delicate Affair Parties Ponder a Rival of Surprising Strength". The New York Times. New York. p. 1. from the original on February 19, 2015. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  94. ^ a b Jelen, p. 23
  95. ^ a b "Perot: Protests made war longer". Gainesville Sun. Gainesville, Florida. Associated Press. October 31, 1992. p. 4A. from the original on September 28, 2021. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  96. ^ "Perot: Paid ads test impact of TV". The Milwaukee Journal. Milwaukee, Wisconsin. October 28, 1992. p. A8. Retrieved May 27, 2010.[permanent dead link]
  97. ^ "Perot to campaign at rally in Denver". The Victoria Advocate. Victoria, Texas. Associated Press. p. 2C.
  98. ^ "Perot rally: No seats left". St. Petersburg Times. St. Petersburg, Florida. October 31, 1992. p. 9A.
  99. ^ "Perot kicks up heels as the campaign ends". Reading Eagle. Reading, Pennsylvania. Associated Press. November 3, 1992. p. B4. from the original on September 28, 2021. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  100. ^ "All election eve polls list Clinton, Bush, Perot 1–2–3". Gadsden Times. Gadsden, Alabama. Associated Press. November 3, 1992. p. A2. from the original on September 28, 2021. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  101. ^ a b c d e f g h i j "How Ross Perot got a line on Hollywood celebs". Entertainment Weekly. June 12, 1992.
  102. ^ Rogers, Worthington (July 20, 1992). "Perot's backers struggling to settle on a direction". Chicago Tribune. p. D1 – via ProQuest.
  103. ^ a b c "Will Hollywood stars soon sparkle for Perot?". May 25, 1992.
  104. ^ a b Abramson and Aldrich, p. 349
  105. ^ "1992 Presidential General Election Results". Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. David Leip. 2005. from the original on July 9, 2018. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  106. ^ Rapoport and Stone, p. 8
  107. ^ Rapoport and Stone, p. 10
  108. ^ "Don't blame me, I voted for Ross". Beaver County Times. Beaver County, Pennsylvania. November 12, 1992. p. A6. from the original on September 28, 2021. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  109. ^ Holmes, Steven A. (November 5, 1992). "THE 1992 ELECTIONS: DISAPPOINTMENT – NEWS ANALYSIS An Eccentric but No Joke; Perot's Strong Showing Raises Questions On What Might Have Been, and Might Be". The New York Times. Dallas. from the original on May 18, 2019. Retrieved February 12, 2017.
  110. ^ Los Angeles Times. Los Angeles Times Exit Poll 1992, Nov, 1992 [survey question]. USLAT.92EXIT.QN. Los Angeles Times [producer]. Storrs, CT:Roper Center for Public Opinion Research, iPOLL [distributor], accessed Jul-20-2015.
  111. ^ ABC News, CBS News, CNN, NBC News. VRS Election Day Exit Poll 1992, Nov, 1992 [survey question]. USVRS.92EXIT.Q08. Voter Research & Surveys [producer]. Storrs, CT:Roper Center for Public Opinion Research, iPOLL [distributor], accessed Jul-20-2015.
  112. ^ "Plurality Wins in the 1992 Presidential Race: Perot's Contribution to Clinton's Victory". from the original on 2011-07-17. Retrieved 2015-06-06.
  113. ^ Schmalz, Jeffrey (November 4, 1992), "Clinton Carves a Path Deep Into Reagan Country", The New York Times, from the original on December 7, 2008, retrieved February 12, 2017
  114. ^ 1992 Presidential Election – What if Scenario, from the original on 2016-01-22, retrieved 2015-06-06
  115. ^ , archived from the original on 2009-08-23
  116. ^ Mishel, Lawrence; Teixeira, Ruy A. (December 30, 1998), (PDF), archived from the original (PDF) on November 28, 2008
  117. ^ Lacy, Dean; Burden, Barry C. (1999). "The Vote-Stealing and Turnout Effects of Ross Perot in the 1992 U.S. Presidential Election". American Journal of Political Science. 43 (1): 233. doi:10.2307/2991792. ISSN 0092-5853. JSTOR 2991792.
  118. ^ Druke, Galen (October 24, 2016). "Long Before Trump, There Was Ross Perot". FiveThirtyEight. from the original on May 9, 2021. Retrieved May 9, 2021.
  119. ^ "The Reform Party – Ross Perot: Political Timeline". CNN. 1996. from the original on June 11, 2009. Retrieved May 28, 2010.
  120. ^ Jelen, p. 163
  121. ^ Jelen, p. 8
  122. ^ Baldwin, Clare (September 21, 2009). "Key dates for Texas businessman Ross Perot". Reuters. from the original on September 28, 2021. Retrieved May 28, 2010.
  123. ^ "Ross Perot Slams McCain". Newsweek. January 16, 2008. from the original on June 23, 2011. Retrieved May 28, 2010.
  124. ^ Kabaservice, Geoffrey (July 11, 2019). "Ross Perot brought us the tea party — and President Trump". The Washington Post. from the original on July 14, 2019. Retrieved July 14, 2019.
  125. ^ Harris, John F. (July 9, 2019). "Ross Perot — the father of Trump". Politico. from the original on July 10, 2019. Retrieved July 14, 2019.

Bibliography

  • Abramson, Paul R.; Aldrich, John H. (1995). "Third-party and independent candidates in American politics: Wallace, Anderson and Perot". Political Science Quarterly. 110 (3): 349. doi:10.2307/2152568. ISSN 0032-3195. JSTOR 2152568.
  • Elkind, Peter (December 1988). "Can Ross Perot Save America?". Texas Monthly. 16 (12). ISSN 0148-7736.
  • Gilbert, Bill; King, Larry (1994). How to talk to anyone, anytime, anywhere: the secrets of good communication. New York: Crown Publishers. ISBN 978-0-517-88453-9.
  • Hillsman, Bill (March 30, 2004). Run the Other Way: Fixing the Two-Party System, One Campaign at a Time. Simon and Schuster. ISBN 978-0-7432-2446-8.
  • Jelen, Ted G. (2001). Ross for boss: the Perot phenomenon and beyond. SUNY Press. ISBN 978-0-7914-4853-3.
  • Kurtz, Howard (1997). Hot air: all talk, all the time. New York: Basic Books. ISBN 978-0-465-03074-3.
  • Rapoport, Ronald B.; Stone, Walter J. (December 21, 2007). Three's a Crowd: The Dynamic of Third Parties, Ross Perot, and Republican Resurgence. University of Michigan Press. ISBN 978-0-472-03099-6.
  • Sifry, Micah (2002). Spoiling For a Fight: Third-Party Politics in America. New York: Routledge. ISBN 978-0-415-93142-7.
  • Wakin, Edward (2002). How TV Changed America's Mind. New York: iUniverse. ISBN 978-0-595-25264-0.

ross, perot, 1992, presidential, campaign, ross, perot, presidential, campaign, redirects, here, 1996, campaign, ross, perot, 1996, presidential, campaign, 1992, ross, perot, unsuccessfully, independent, candidate, president, united, states, perot, texas, indu. Ross Perot presidential campaign redirects here For his 1996 campaign see Ross Perot 1996 presidential campaign In 1992 Ross Perot ran unsuccessfully as an independent candidate for President of the United States Perot was a Texas industrialist who had never served as a public official but he had experience as the head of several successful corporations and had been involved in public affairs for the previous three decades Grass root organizations sprang up in every state to help Perot achieve ballot access following his announcement on the February 20 1992 edition of Larry King Live James Stockdale a retired Navy vice admiral was Perot s running mate Ross Perot for PresidentCampaign1992 United States presidential electionCandidateRoss PerotPresident and CEO of Perot Systems 1988 1992 1 VADM James B StockdalePresident of the Naval War College 1977 1979 AffiliationIndependentPerot focused the campaign on his plans to balance the federal budget further economic nationalism strengthen the war on drugs and implement electronic town halls throughout the nation for direct democracy His views were described as a combination of East Texas populism with high tech wizardry 2 Supporters saw him as a non political and witty folk hero but critics described him as authoritarian 3 and short tempered 4 Perot largely financed his own campaign and relied on marketing and wide grass roots support In certain polls he led the three way race with Republican nominee George H W Bush the incumbent President and Governor Bill Clinton of Arkansas the Democratic nominee He dropped out in July 1992 amid controversy but re entered in October participating in all three presidential debates His polling numbers never fully recovered from his initial exit despite his aggressive use of commercials on prime time television Perot appeared on every state ballot as a result of the earlier draft efforts In the general election Clinton defeated Bush in a landslide while Perot carried no states and received no votes in the Electoral College However Perot won several counties placed second in two states and finished far ahead of any other candidate in third place overall receiving close to 18 97 percent of the popular vote the most won by a third party presidential candidate since Theodore Roosevelt in 1912 5 Perot remains the only non major party presidential candidate since George C Wallace in 1968 both to win counties and to finish as high as second place in any state Contents 1 Background 2 Initial campaign 2 1 Draft efforts 2 2 Frontrunner status 3 Decline and withdrawal 4 Re entrance 4 1 Debates 4 2 Final stages 5 Endorsements 6 Results 6 1 Analysis 7 Aftermath 8 References 9 BibliographyBackground Edit Perot stands next to a portrait of George Washington at his office in 1986 Ross Perot had never been elected to public office but he ran several successful corporations and was involved in public affairs for decades After serving in the United States Navy in the 1950s 6 Perot joined IBM as a salesman He surpassed his one year sales quota in just two weeks 7 After the company ignored his idea for electronic storage he founded Electronic Data Systems in 1962 8 which was then contracted by the United States government to store Medicare records 6 Perot earned a fortune with the company and by 1968 was named by Fortune as the fastest richest Texan 9 Perot was known to run the company in a militaristic fashion built on loyalty and duty 8 His best known venture with the company was in 1979 when he sent a private militia into Iran in the midst of the Iranian Revolution to rescue two of his employees who had been imprisoned The episode inspired the 1983 novel On Wings of Eagles 6 Perot eventually sold his company to General Motors in 1984 for 2 55 billion and founded Perot Systems in 1988 10 By 1992 his fortune was judged to be 3 billion 7 Perot was a hawk on the Vietnam War an advocate for U S servicemen held as prisoners of war and a supporter of their families During the war he aided soldiers by providing supplies and holding rallies for those returning home 6 11 In public affairs he led the Texas War on Drugs Committee in 1979 at the behest of Republican Governor Bill Clements and was put in charge of the Select Committee on Public Education in 1983 by Democratic Governor Mark White 9 Perot s most dear political effort involved the Vietnam War POW MIA issue He worked extensively to free soldiers that he believed had been left behind and even engaged in secret diplomatic talks with the Vietnamese government to the chagrin of the Reagan White House 12 Perot had been supportive of President Ronald Reagan and labeled him as a great president in 1986 He even pledged 2 5 million to support his presidential library but the relationship soured after Perot was sent on a trip to Hanoi and determined afterwards that the administration was not taking the POW MIA issue seriously He revoked his pledge to the library in 1987 based on the POW MIA issue as well as his disillusionment from the administration s actions during the Iran Contra affair 13 He became a critic of the George H W Bush administration and opposed the 1991 Gulf War 6 Initial campaign EditRoss Perot appeared on the February 20 1992 edition of Larry King Live on CNN his fourth appearance on the show since 1991 14 After a lively interview concerning political issues King directly asked Perot if there was any scenario in which he would run for president 15 Perot firmly stated that he did not want to run but spontaneously affirmed that he would begin a campaign if ordinary people signed petitions and helped him achieve ballot access in all 50 states 16 He set up a phone bank at his office on March 12 staffed with volunteers to inform interested voters and supporters on how they could assist Perot s potential campaign 17 Supporters viewed the candidate as an action man who can get things done and who takes care of his people 18 They were angry at President Bush for reneging on his promise not to raise taxes 18 The New York Times speculated that Perot s iconoclastic take no prisoners persona and anti politics politics 19 would appeal to the angry frustrated electorate 19 But Republican consultant Karl Rove characterized Perot as an untested wild man 19 He rejected any financial donations for more than 5 20 and stated that he would personally fund a potential campaign 21 Perot spent 400 000 of his own money in the first month 22 however he largely spread this message via television capped by a March 18 National Press Club speech which aired on C SPAN 23 Draft efforts Edit Perot s running mate James Stockdale Draft Perot organizations opened throughout the nation and petition drives were coordinated largely by Perot s friend Tom Luce 24 and the real estate arm of Perot Systems 25 to help secure a place for the candidate on every state ballot At the height of the efforts 18 000 simultaneous calls came into Perot s telephone banks after he appeared on the Phil Donahue Show 26 At one point 30 000 telephone calls were received in one hour 27 MCI Communications Corporation reported that over a million calls came in during the first ten days that the phone banks were active 26 At the time presidential polls showed Perot with 21 support from the electorate 14 points behind likely Democratic presidential nominee Bill Clinton and 16 points behind President Bush Despite this only one third of potential voters knew enough about Perot to form an opinion of him 28 A large segment of his support came from Reagan Democrats entrepreneurs 2 and suburban conservatives deemed Perot Republicans who agreed with the central theme of his campaign though they disagreed with his pro choice stance on abortion 29 Political newcomers were also involved in the volunteer efforts 30 Twenty five states required that a presidential candidate have a running mate to appear on the ballot As a result Perot named retired Vice Admiral James B Stockdale who had been awarded the Medal of Honor for his actions during 7 1 2 years of captivity as a POW during the Vietnam War as his interim running mate in late March 17 Stockdale would remain in the position throughout the campaign A Boston Globe report suggested that Boston University President John Silber was also considered as a running mate 31 During an Associated Press interview in April Perot commented that he might begin a campaign before his supporters achieved ballot access in all states 32 In New York ballot access appeared to be the most difficult to attain In a five week summer period the campaign would be required to compile 20 000 signatures from non primary voters including 100 from each of half of the state s Congressional districts 33 Perot conceded that he might not appear on the state s ballot but stated that he may run anyway 32 Throughout April the draft efforts continued and Perot appeared on talk shows discussing his plans and positions on political issues 34 During an appearance on Larry King Live Perot stated that he was closer to a decision on a potential campaign and that he was willing to spend 100 million of his own money to finance it 35 On the Today Show he was interviewed by Katie Couric and proposed to cut Medicare and Social Security for people who don t need it 34 He appeared on Face the Nation later in the month and argued that wealthy Americans should spend more than average Americans to eliminate the budget deficit 36 His budget numbers were contested by Tim Russert on Meet the Press during a heated interview after which a frustrated Perot considered dropping out of the race 24 C SPAN ran a speech by Perot where he announced that he hoped to run a campaign without political pros 37 to avoid the dirty tricks 37 of past campaigns After this appearance campaign consultant Raymond Strother explained to Perot that professionals such as pollster Mark Penn were essential to a successful campaign 37 In late April Perot hired former Chicago Tribune editor James Squires as press spokesman to handle the large volume of interview requests from the media 38 At the end of the month Perot realized that he had spent too much time visiting talk shows and announced that he would spend his next few weeks focusing on the issues 39 Frontrunner status Edit By May Perot was leading presidential polls in both Texas and California The Bush and Clinton campaigns became concerned about a candidacy and publicly wondered if Perot could continue to play by his own rules 40 They attempted to downgrade Perot from his folk hero status 40 to that of a politician by highlighting his alleged character flaws 40 Meanwhile Perot focused on sharpening his political positions as he promised He hired John P White who had served as a budget official under President Jimmy Carter to work on his budget platform 40 Meanwhile petition drives in every state reported that they had secured enough signatures to place Perot on the Election Day ballot Speculation arose in the media that Perot would split the electoral college and force the United States House of Representatives to decide the presidency 41 Around this time Hal Riney who had worked on Ronald Reagan s 1984 campaign and was known for the Morning in America ad was hired as advertising consultant When Riney revealed the cost of advertisements during a meeting Perot reportedly flipped out 42 and asked Why would I spend that when I could go on the Today show for free 42 Riney produced several ads during the campaign that never aired 42 Perot won a large share of the vote in both the Democratic and Republican primaries in Oregon and Washington in mid May although he did not campaign or advertise for those contests In the Oregon primary he was written in by 13 of Democrats and 15 of Republicans Exit polling showed Perot s favorability at or above that of Clinton and Bush in their respective party s primaries 43 At the end of May Perot called on Bush to climb in the ring claiming that the President was using surrogates to attack him To strengthen his own team Perot s campaign interviewed Jimmy Carter s 1976 campaign manager and White House Chief of Staff Hamilton Jordan and Ronald Reagan s 1984 campaign manager Ed Rollins to fill a position in the campaign 44 Eventually both were hired as co campaign managers 45 On May 29 Perot ended his talk show hiatus after talking with Barbara Walters on 20 20 He discussed his three part plan for balancing the budget starting with a Congressional act to limit spending followed by a cut in government waste of which he would be more specific in coming weeks and a reform of the existing tax system During the interview Perot also stated that he would avoid adding homosexuals to his cabinet to prevent a point of controversy with the American people 46 However he commented that what people do in their private lives is their business 46 Former Pat Buchanan pollster Frank Luntz was hired by the campaign along with former Republican National Campaign Committee chairman Charles Leonard The New York Times reported that Perot sought the help of operatives to search court and federal documents to find information that might reflect poorly on the potential candidate so that preparations could be made to respond 47 In the final round of Democratic and Republican primaries most notably in California exit polls revealed that 42 of Republicans and 33 of Democrats favored Perot 48 A Time Magazine poll found that Perot had 37 support of all the electorate ahead of both Bush and Clinton who tied for second at 24 49 At this time Vice President Dan Quayle became the most senior member of the Bush administration to criticize Perot calling him a temperamental tycoon 50 Perot campaigned in California in mid June and held a rally attended by 7 000 in Sacramento where he was heckled by some who chanted Talk about the issues 51 He privately spoke with black and Asian leaders in Los Angeles to discuss race relations following the L A race riots afterwards he gave a speech to a mostly white audience in Orange County about race relations but did not take a stand on affirmative action Perot finished his California campaign swing in Irvine before traveling to events in Colorado and Massachusetts 51 At the end of the month large nominating conventions were held in Washington and other states to put together the final pieces to include Perot on the ballot Perot addressed the conventions largely made up of well dressed middle aged 52 individuals and spoke of improving the education system and restoring the America where you leave the doors unlocked 52 As June came to a close speculation arose that Perot was planning a National Convention to follow the Democratic and Republican National Conventions 53 Decline and withdrawal EditIn July some of Perot s past actions including a private investigation of the Bush family in the late 1980s circulated in the media causing frustration for the campaign Perot blamed the reports on a Republican research team and claimed that he was warned that since he had such a clean record they have got to try to redefine you and destroy you 54 Campaign officials tried to come up with a new strategy to combat the negative press and to end Perot s use of generalizations on the issues 55 Perot sought National Institutes of Health head Dr Bernadine Healy as his running mate but she declined 56 Meanwhile Perot faced obstacles on the campaign trail During an Olympia rally he was approached by a gay rights group demanding that he address AIDS and gay rights 57 he soon flipped on the issue and stated that he would allow gays to serve in the military and in his cabinet 58 During an address to the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People NAACP Perot faced his toughest demographic and made the gaffe of referring to African Americans as you people 55 It was later revealed that Perot did not want to appear at the meeting or any other forum without his supporters Press consultant Squires had written a speech for Perot for the occasion but he instead used his own 59 After the speech Perot was concerned that members of the New Black Panther Party were plotting his assassination 60 By mid July the Washington Post reported that Perot s campaign managers were becoming increasingly disillusioned by his unwillingness to follow their advice 61 to be more specific on issues 55 and his need to be in full control of operations 61 with such tactics as forcing volunteers to sign loyalty oaths 62 Perot s poll numbers began to slip to 25 and his advisers warned that if he continued to ignore them he would fall into single digits Co manager Hamilton Jordan threatened to quit 55 and on July 15 Ed Rollins resigned after Perot fired advertisement specialist Hal Riney who had worked with Rollins on the Reagan campaign Rollins later claimed that a member of the campaign accused him of being a Bush plant with ties to the CIA 63 Amidst the chaos Perot s support fell to 20 64 The next day Perot announced on Larry King Live that he would not seek the presidency He explained that he did not want the House of Representatives to decide the election if the result caused the electoral college to be split He asked his supporters to look for other candidates to nominate for the race 65 and formed United We Stand to influence the debate 66 At this point Perot had spent 12 million of his own money on the race 67 Bill Hillsman who produced a few unaired advertisements for the campaign wrote that Perot s withdrawal was a tactic to find temporary relief from the press 68 Former advisors commented that Perot who had achieved ballot access in 24 states was unwilling to spend money on things that mattered 59 including Rollins and Jordan s proposed 150 million advertising campaign 69 was obsessed with his image and lost interest in running after receiving negative press 59 Supporters were angry and distraught at Perot s decision and his popularity dropped among the American public 70 One woman called Perot and commented that the tears have not stopped 59 A class action lawsuit was filed in Florida to force him to remain in the race 71 but it was dropped 72 Later in July the economic plan that Perot s campaign had been working on was released The fifty page proposal included cuts in domestic spending investment in education communication and transportation programs an increase in income taxes for the wealthy and an increase in the gasoline tax The plan was projected to eliminate the budget deficit in five years 73 At the end of August Perot promised to give his endorsement to any candidate that supported his economic plan but hinted that he may reenter the race 74 These hints increased in September as Perot looked to buy advertising time on the major networks to discuss his economic plan which could only occur if he was a declared candidate Meanwhile petitions for ballot access were approved in all 50 states 75 and polls showed Perot still in double digits with 14 support behind Clinton and Bush with 44 and 39 respectively 70 Re entrance EditOn October 1 Perot re entered the presidential race with a desire to further explain his economic plans to the American people The New York Times commented that Perot s chances of winning are much less than when he quit in July His only dim practical hope is to confuse and destabilize the contest 76 He hoped to spend more resources using paid advertisements than holding traditional rallies to spread his message 77 During the last month of campaigning Perot left his headquarters in Dallas only to appear in the presidential debates and seven rallies One aide later commented he wanted to do it just like he could go to the office every day run for president and go home and eat dinner 78 Rather than using professional advisers 77 Perot employed political amateurs whose loyalty was unquestioned Orson Swindle whom he had known since the 1970s was hired as the top aide Perot s son in law Clayton Mulford who was involved in the early draft effort was hired as legal adviser Sharon Holman who had worked for Perot since 1969 was hired as press secretary and friend Murphy Martin was added as the media chief 79 Perot employed a massive marketing strategy spending 34 8 million to buy half hour and hour long segments on major television networks memorably using charts to illustrate his ideas for the economy 77 His first infomercial was aired on October 6 and viewed by 16 5 million people 80 He used two dozen charts and a metal pointer during the ad explaining that We got into trickle down economics and it didn t trickle 81 He later concluded that our President blames Congress Congress blames the President the Democrats and Republicans blame each other Nobody steps up to the plate and accepts responsibility for anything 81 He spent a large portion of the infomercial speaking into the camera while sitting at a desk in front of a bookshelf Political experts commented that the nature of the ad was groundbreaking 81 Two days later an ad campaign was unveiled that included three new 60 second commercials to air on ESPN CNN and five other cable networks One commercial entitled Red Flag displayed a waving red flag with a background drum roll and the statement While the Cold War is ending another war is upon us In this new war the enemy is not the red flag of Communism but the red ink of our national debt the red tape of our government bureaucracy The casualties of this war are counted in lost jobs and lost dreams 82 A second half hour infomercial was shown on October 9 82 Debates Edit Perot participated in the first of three presidential debates for the 1992 election on October 11 in Clayton Missouri along with George Bush and Bill Clinton It was the first time that a third party candidate was involved in a national televised debate since John B Anderson in 1980 and was the first general election presidential debate to ever feature three candidates During the event Perot discussed a wide range of issues including the budget deficit education and drug use and proclaimed that as president he would eliminate the influence of lobbyists He also had a few memorable quips When asked to address detractors criticism of his lack of government experience he remarked Well they ve got a point I don t have any experience running up a 4 trillion debt 83 When discussing what would happen if one of his opponents won he commented Then they will have heard the harsh reality of what we have to do I m not playing Lawrence Welk music here tonight 83 After the debate three out of four polls declared Perot as the winner The average of all four showed Perot at 37 followed by Clinton with 30 and Bush with 18 but election polls still showed Perot in third with 14 far behind both Bush and Clinton 83 His running mate James Stockdale participated in a vice presidential debate in Atlanta with fellow vice presidential nominee Al Gore and Vice President Dan Quayle Largely unknown to the general public Stockdale memorably opened the debate by unexpectedly asking the philosophical question Who am I Why am I here 84 He was unprepared to deal with some of the substantive issues raised and his struggling performance may have damaged the Perot campaign 56 85 The second presidential debate was held on October 15 in Richmond Virginia and included questions from undecided voters who kept the candidates focused on the issues During his opening statement Perot explained that there was a giant sucking sound caused by the rush of manufacturing jobs to Mexico During one exchange Perot commented that Democrats and Republicans were both to blame for the deficit but that neither was willing to take responsibility He joked somewhere out there there s an extraterrestrial that s doing this to us I guess At the close of the debate Perot described himself as results and action oriented and explained that if they want to keep slow dancing and talk about it and not do it I m not your man 86 Perot took part in the third debate held in East Lansing Michigan on October 19 Throughout the debate he plugged and referenced his infomercials He criticized Bush s economic plan to start off the debate stating that it would not balance the budget 87 He later remarked that he would spend 60 million of his own money to finish the race Notably Perot brought up the fact that both parties have foreign lobbyists on leaves and key roles in the campaigns 87 After the debate he ripped the media during a press conference criticizing them for their use of gotcha stories and the lack of coverage concerning his opponent Bush s foreign lobbyists 88 Former pollster Frank Luntz explained When Ross Perot uses his head he s unbeatable He s focused straightforward and compelling When he uses his heart sometimes his emotions get carried away 77 Final stages Edit Perot showing a chart of the federal budget deficit in his first infomercial During the broadcast he named his pointer a voodoo stick a play on Bush calling Reagan s tax policy voodoo economics in the 1980 Republican primary In the week following the debates Perot did not campaign and was not often seen on television ABC aired a 30 minute sequel to an autobiographical infomercial shown on October 17 The spot cost Perot 370 000 89 CBS aired an infomercial on October 24 entitled The Ross Perot Nobody Knows and two days later another was shown on ABC preceding the kickoff of Monday Night Football 90 which cost 940 000 91 Perot hoped to better explain his earlier exit as Election Day neared Reports circulated that a security official from the campaign had contacted the Dallas Police in August to urge them to perform a sting operation targeting Bush campaign adviser James Oberwetter in response to allegations that Republicans planned to wiretap Perot s office 92 Perot claimed during an interview with 60 Minutes that Republican operatives also threatened to disrupt his daughter s wedding which forced him to withdraw in July 93 He reported the story to the FBI but no evidence of any wrongdoing was found 94 The New York Times argued that the story could help Perot with voters and his overall image by presenting him as a man who was willing to give up his goal to protect his family 77 nevertheless his lack of evidence drew criticism 94 By the end of October Perot had reached 20 in opinion polls and his favorability ratings slightly increased But as reports detailed Perot s investigation of campaign volunteers and the prior use of loyalty oaths 80 the numbers remained stagnant Aides hoped to shift the focus of the campaign and media reports back to the economy 77 Perot appeared on Larry King Live later in the week and opined that the early 1990s recession was not over because of deficit spending and competition for money 80 He was also interviewed on Talking with David Frost where he affirmed a statement made by his running mate that the Vietnam War protests had prolonged the war effort 95 In the final days it was estimated that Perot spent 5 million a day on advertisements 96 Overall he had spent 40 million in October alone and 60 million overall during the course of the campaign 78 In the lead up to Election Day Perot attended a few rallies in Pennsylvania New Jersey 90 and Denver 97 A major rally was staged in Tampa and was attended by more than 10 000 supporters 98 Perot also made stops in Kansas City Los Angeles and Santa Clara 95 On the final night infomercials aired on all three major networks He held his final campaign event in Dallas outside his headquarters and thanked his supporters stating What you ve been through hasn t been pretty but by golly you re taking your country back At the end his campaign song Crazy by Patsy Cline was played 99 In the final NBC Wall Street Journal poll Perot was in third place with 15 behind Bush with 36 and Clinton with 44 100 Endorsements EditKirstie Alley 101 Sally Field 101 Cecil Heftel 102 Dennis Miller 101 Richard Crenna 101 Joe Don Baker 101 Jamie Farr 101 Willie Nelson 101 Kris Kristofferson 101 Merle Haggard 101 Johnny Cash 101 Norman Lear 103 Steve Martin 103 Jack Nicholson 103 Results Edit County won by Perot gt 30 state support 25 30 state support 20 25 state support 15 20 state support 10 15 state support lt 10 state support On Election Day Perot finished in third place behind Clinton the winner and Bush Perot received 19 743 821 votes the most ever received by a third party candidate which accounted for 18 91 of the popular vote He failed to win any states in the Electoral College because of the relatively even distribution of his support but did win over 30 of the vote in Maine and 27 in Utah finishing second in both states 104 Perot was the first third party candidate since George Wallace in 1968 to finish first in a county Notably Perot managed to win counties in states won by Clinton specifically California Nevada Colorado and Maine as well as in states carried by Bush these being Alaska divided into boroughs Kansas and Texas He won his largest percentage in Matanuska Susitna Borough Alaska and Loving County Texas with over 40 He finished second ahead of either Bush or Clinton in a further 345 counties 105 According to exit polls 52 of Perot s supporters were male 94 were white 63 were aged between 18 and 44 and about 2 3 had not received a college degree The income of supporters mirrored the general public In terms of ideology 53 identified as moderates 27 were conservative and 20 were liberal while two thirds were either members of the Democratic Party or were politically independent 30 Perot s performance satisfied the 5 popular vote threshold for third party candidates classifying it as successful under the criterion established by scholar Walter Dean Burnham 5 The legitimacy of this success has been questioned by scholars who dismiss the label of Perot as a typical third party candidate largely due to the availability of campaign funds and financing of grassroots efforts 106 Others dispute these claims and point out that Perot forced the other candidates to change their rhetoric on the issues to gain the votes of his supporters indicating an issues campaign 107 Exit polls revealed that 35 of voters would have voted for Perot if they believed he could win 108 Contemporary analysis reveals that Perot could have won the election if the polls prior to the election had shown the candidate with a larger share preventing the wasted vote mindset 104 Notably had Perot actually polled merely the 35 of the popular vote that went to himself Clinton and Bush i e discounting the votes for other third party candidates and had those votes in each state went from the other two major candidates to Perot in the same proportions that voted for Clinton and Bush while it would only have earned Perot a narrow popular vote plurality over Clinton he would have carried 32 states with 319 electoral votes more than enough to win the presidency Analysis Edit The effect of Ross Perot s candidacy has been a contentious point of debate for many years In the ensuing months after the election various Republicans asserted that Perot had acted as a spoiler enough to the detriment of Bush to lose him the election While many disaffected conservatives may have voted for Ross Perot to protest Bush s tax increase further examination of the Perot vote in the election night exit polls not only showed that Perot siphoned votes nearly equally among Bush and Clinton 109 110 111 112 but of the voters who cited Bush s broken No New Taxes pledge as very important two thirds voted for Bill Clinton 113 A mathematical look at the voting numbers reveals that Bush would have had to win 12 55 of Perot s 18 91 of the vote 66 36 of Perot s support base to earn a majority of the vote and would have needed to win nearly every state Clinton won by less than five percentage points 114 Furthermore Perot was most popular in states that strongly favored either Clinton or Bush limiting his real electoral impact for either candidate Other than his home state of Texas Perot gained relatively little support in the Southern states and most of his best results were in states with few electoral votes Perot appealed to disaffected voters all across the political spectrum who had grown weary of the two party system Perot s anti NAFTA stance played a role in his support and Perot voters were relatively moderate on hot button social issues such as abortion and gay rights 115 116 A 1999 study in the American Journal of Political Science estimated that Perot s candidacy hurt the Clinton campaign reducing Clinton s margin of victory over Bush by seven percentage points 117 In 2016 FiveThirtyEight described the speculation that Perot was a spoiler as unlikely 118 Aftermath EditAfter the election Perot continued to work with United We Stand and focused his efforts to defeat the North American Free Trade Agreement NAFTA In 1993 he was involved in a highly publicized debate with Vice President Al Gore on Larry King Live over NAFTA Perot formed the Reform Party of the United States of America in 1995 and ran for president under the party s banner the following year During the election he failed to appear in the presidential debates and finished in third place with about 8 of the vote behind Republican nominee Bob Dole and President Bill Clinton 119 The Reform Party s candidate former professional wrestler Jesse Ventura was elected as Governor of Minnesota in 1998 which was connected to Perot s performance in the presidential elections 120 His focus on a balanced budget during his campaigns is speculated to have brought the issue to the forefront enabling the surplus of the late 1990s 121 Perot declined to run in the 2000 presidential election and endorsed eventual winner Republican Governor George W Bush of Texas 122 In the 2008 Republican primaries he endorsed Republican Governor Mitt Romney of Massachusetts for the presidency and stated the situation in 1992 was not nearly as bad as it is now if ever there was a time when it was necessary to put our house in order it is now 123 The populist Tea Party movement and supporters of President Donald Trump have both been compared to Perot advocates 30 124 Upon Perot s death from leukemia in 2019 Politico editor in chief John F Harris reflected upon Perot s 1992 campaign and referred to him as the father of Trump due to Trump s 2016 presidential victory as like Perot a populist businessman without traditional political experience 125 References Edit Hayes Thomas June 4 1992 THE 1992 CAMPAIGN Advisors Morton H Meyerson The Team Perot Picked To Head His Campaign The New York Times a b Dunham Richard S Douglas Harbrecht April 6 1992 Is Perot after the Presidency or the President Bloomberg Businessweek Bloomberg L P Archived from the original on June 30 2016 Retrieved May 27 2010 Republican leader assails Ross Perot as a demagogue Reading Eagle Reading Pennsylvania The Washington Post May 22 1992 p A4 Archived from the original on July 24 2021 Retrieved May 27 2010 Gilbert and King p 213 a b Rapoport and Stone p 4 a b c d e Enigmatic Perot begins wild political adventure The Spokesman Review Spokane Washington The Baltimore Sun April 5 1992 p A14 a b Dallas Richard Behar July 20 1992 Ross Perot s Days At Big Blue Time Archived from the original on July 22 2009 Retrieved May 28 2010 a b Arhos Damon February 22 2010 Electronic Data Systems Handbook of Texas Online Texas State Historical Association Archived from the original on April 26 2019 Retrieved May 28 2010 a b Elkind p 100 Levin Doron P March 26 1989 G M vs Ross Perot Breaking up is hard to do The New York Times New York p 36 Archived from the original on April 26 2019 Retrieved May 28 2010 Kristof Nicholas February 27 2000 P O W to Power Broker A Chapter Most Telling The New York Times Archived from the original on 6 March 2011 Retrieved 13 June 2010 Remnick David April 24 1987 Perot Negotiated Secretly With Hanoi on POW MIA Issue The Washington Post Washington D C p A5 Kelly Michael May 24 1992 Personal Finances Perot Reneged on Pledge to Reagan The New York Times New York p 22 Archived from the original on April 27 2019 Retrieved May 28 2010 Wakin p 196 Bianculli David June 2 1995 A Decade as King of the Hill CNN Talker celebrates with Retrospective Star Lineup Daily News New York NYDailyNews com Retrieved May 27 2010 Kurtz p 90 a b Retired vice admiral tapped for interim Perot ticket Kentucky New Era Hopkinsville Kentucky Associated Press March 30 1992 p 12B Retrieved May 27 2010 a b Smith Benny March 31 1992 Crowd comes to meeting to get Ross Perot on ballot The Times News Hendersonville North Carolina p 11A Retrieved May 27 2010 a b c Applebome Peter March 29 1992 Perot the Simple Billionaire Says Voters Can Force His Presidential Bid The New York Times New York p 14 Archived from the original on April 26 2019 Retrieved May 27 2010 Levin Doron P March 7 1992 Another Candidate Billionaire in Texas Is Attracting Calls to Run and 5 Donations The New York Times New York p 11 Archived from the original on April 27 2019 Retrieved May 27 2010 Perot Supporters Open Petition Drive Offices The New York Times New York March 21 1992 p 8 Archived from the original on April 26 2019 Retrieved May 27 2010 Rosenbaum David E April 21 1992 Campaign Finance Not Yet in Presidential Race Perot Spends 400 000 on Campaign The New York Times New York p 21 Archived from the original on April 27 2019 Retrieved May 27 2010 Jelen p 17 a b Jelen p 18 Jelen p 36 a b Perot s phone banks swamped by callers The Victoria Advocate Victoria Texas Associated Press March 27 1992 p 3A Retrieved May 27 2010 Griffith Pat March 30 1992 Perot hearing the call of unhappy electorate Pittsburgh Post Gazette Pittsburgh Pennsylvania p 1 Retrieved May 27 2010 Poll finds solid support for Perot Eugene Register Guard Eugene Oregon Los Angeles Times March 31 1992 p 4A Retrieved May 27 2010 Allison Wick April 28 1992 The Democrats Should Adopt Perot The New York Times New York p 23 Archived from the original on April 28 2019 Retrieved May 27 2010 a b c Balz Dan April 18 2010 Don t be too quick to mistake tea party for Perot movement The Washington Post Archived from the original on 26 April 2019 Retrieved 19 July 2010 Pertman Adam March 29 1992 Perot wanted Silber as his running mate The Day New London Connecticut Boston Globe p A6 Archived from the original on June 8 2021 Retrieved May 27 2010 a b Hayes Thomas C April 24 1992 Third Party Candidacy In Sharpest Attack Perot Accuses Bush of Inaction The New York Times New York p 20 Archived from the original on April 28 2019 Retrieved May 27 2010 Gottlieb Martin April 28 1992 Perot Backers Make Gains on Election Barriers The New York Times New York p 1 Archived from the original on April 27 2019 Retrieved May 27 2010 a b Goodman Walter April 23 1992 In a Lone Ranger Role Perot Builds an Audience The New York Times New York p 23 Archived from the original on April 26 2019 Retrieved May 27 2010 Perot says he s close to decision The Tuscaloosa News Tuscaloosa Alabama The Los Angeles Daily News April 16 1992 p 3A Retrieved May 27 2010 Hayes Thomas C April 27 1992 Wealthy Should Pay More To Trim Deficit Perot Says The New York Times New York p 14 Archived from the original on April 28 2019 Retrieved May 27 2010 a b c Germond Jack Witcover Jules April 27 1992 Jump Started Draft Reading Eagle Reading Pennsylvania p B6 Retrieved May 27 2010 Holmes Steven A April 23 1992 THE 1992 CAMPAIGN Independent Perot Hires a Veteran Journalist To Act as His Press Spokesman The New York Times New York p 23 Archived from the original on April 28 2019 Retrieved May 27 2010 Questions for Ross Perot The New York Times New York May 8 1992 p 30 Archived from the original on April 26 2019 Retrieved May 27 2010 a b c d Toner Robin May 10 1992 Perot Tries to Keep Pace With Force He Unleashed The New York Times New York p 1 Archived from the original on April 26 2019 Retrieved May 27 2010 Wisconsin s Perot fans hope to show Texas what big means The Milwaukee Journal Milwaukee Wisconsin May 12 1992 p A4 Retrieved May 27 2010 permanent dead link a b c Kolbert Elizabeth October 3 1992 Perot to Unveil A Big Ad Pitch But Will It Sell The New York Times New York p 1 Archived from the original on April 28 2019 Retrieved May 27 2010 Apple Jr R W May 21 1992 Perot s Strength Shown in Oregon The New York Times New York p 1 Archived from the original on April 27 2019 Retrieved May 27 2010 Raum Tom May 29 1992 Perot Potshots The Free Lance Star Fredericksburg Virginia Associated Press p A9 Ross buys some help Eugene Register Guard Eugene Oregon June 5 1992 p 12A Retrieved May 27 2010 a b Holmes Steven A May 29 1992 Undeclared Candidate Perot in Wide Ranging TV Interview The New York Times New York p 19 Archived from the original on November 21 2018 Retrieved May 27 2010 Holmes Steven A May 28 1992 Even as Perot Denounces Political Professionals He Woos Them From Major Parties The New York Times New York p 20 Archived from the original on April 26 2019 Retrieved May 27 2010 Germond Jack Witcover Jules June 8 1992 A Universal Effort Reading Eagle Reading Pennsylvania p B6 Archived from the original on September 28 2021 Retrieved May 27 2010 Perot The Front Runner Time June 15 1992 Archived from the original on December 6 2008 Retrieved May 27 2010 Rosenthal Andrew June 13 1992 Quayle says Perot displays contempt for Constitution The New York Times New York p 1 Archived from the original on April 28 2019 Retrieved May 27 2010 a b Holmes Steven A June 19 1992 Undeclared Candidate Perot Makes Plea for Racial Harmony The New York Times New York p 25 Archived from the original on April 26 2019 Retrieved May 27 2010 a b Connelly Joel Sunde Scott June 29 1992 Thousands Show they Dig Perot Curious Devotees Use State s Petition Drive to Put him on Ballot Seattle Post Intelligencer Seattle Washington p A1 A Convention for Perot The New York Times New York June 9 1992 p 24 Archived from the original on April 26 2019 Retrieved May 27 2010 Broder David July 2 1992 Perot sees himself as Minuteman under fire Wilmington Morning Star Wilmington North Carolina p 10A Retrieved May 27 2010 a b c d Holmes Steven A 14 July 1992 Perot in Trouble Internal Strife Missed Opportunities And Missteps on Issues Stall a Drive The New York Times New York p 14 Archived from the original on 19 April 2015 Retrieved May 27 2010 a b Clift Eleanor October 26 1992 Perot Pulling The Race Out Of The Mud Newsweek Retrieved May 27 2010 Holmes Steven A July 3 1992 Activist disrupt Perot rally Spartanburg Herald Journal Spartanburg South Carolina The New York Times p A6 Archived from the original on September 28 2021 Retrieved May 27 2010 Kelly Michael July 10 1992 Undeclared Candidate Perot Shifts on Homosexuals in Military The New York Times New York p 18 Archived from the original on April 19 2015 Retrieved May 27 2010 a b c d Holmes Steven A July 18 1992 Advisers Describe Perot Disillusion The New York Times New York p 1 Archived from the original on April 20 2015 Retrieved May 27 2010 Hillsman p 73 a b Perot advisers reportedly at odds The Milwaukee Sentinel Milwaukee Wisconsin Washington Post July 14 1992 p 2A Retrieved May 27 2010 permanent dead link Perot asks volunteers to sign loyalty oaths St Petersburg Times St Petersburg Florida Associated Press July 14 1992 p 2A Lewis Anthony October 2 1992 Abroad at Home Why Perot The New York Times New York p 31 Archived from the original on May 20 2013 Retrieved May 27 2010 Holmes Steven A July 16 1992 Rollins Quits Perot s Campaign Asserts His Advice Was Ignored The New York Times New York p 1 Archived from the original on November 12 2010 Retrieved May 27 2010 Holmes Steven A July 19 1992 Ross Perot Noncandidate Tells His Supporters to Look for Real Candidates to Support The New York Times New York p 23 Archived from the original on September 3 2010 Retrieved May 27 2010 Holmes Steven A August 22 1992 Ross Perot No New Plans Read My Book Perot Says The New York Times New York p 8 Archived from the original on June 8 2021 Retrieved May 27 2010 Clymer Adam August 25 1992 Perot Gave 12 Million to Aborted Campaign The New York Times New York p 19 Archived from the original on March 20 2017 Retrieved May 27 2010 Hillsman p 67 Jelen p 19 a b Toner Robin September 29 1992 The 1992 Campaign Ross Perot Nominees Camps Make Their Cases to Perot Backers The New York Times New York p 1 Archived from the original on April 26 2019 Retrieved May 27 2010 Campaign worker sues Ross Perot Gainesville Sun Gainesville Florida Associated Press July 21 1992 p 6A Retrieved May 27 2010 Florida volunteer drops lawsuit Lakeland Ledger Lakeland Florida August 4 1992 p 5B Retrieved May 27 2010 Greenhouse Steven July 21 1992 To Boost Economy Perot Planned to Seek Sacrifices The New York Times New York p 1 Archived from the original on April 20 2015 Retrieved May 27 2010 Perot Issues Warning on Eve of Bush Acceptance Speech Sarasota Herald Tribune Sarasota Florida Associated Press August 20 1992 p 6A Archived from the original on April 25 2021 Retrieved May 27 2010 Toner Robin September 29 1992 Nominees Camps Make Their Cases to Perot Backers The New York Times New York p 1 Archived from the original on April 26 2019 Retrieved May 27 2010 The Uses of Ross Perot The New York Times New York October 2 1992 Archived from the original on November 22 2020 Retrieved May 27 2010 a b c d e f Holmes Steven A October 29 1992 Candidate Perot Might Learn From Strategist Perot The New York Times New York p 22 Archived from the original on April 20 2015 Retrieved May 27 2010 a b Perot may have reshaped presidential campaigning The Deseret News Salt Lake City Utah Associated Press November 14 1992 p A10 Archived from the original on September 28 2021 Retrieved May 27 2010 Gwynne S C Johnson Julie Woodbury Richard October 12 1992 Perot Who s in Charge Here Time Archived from the original on August 12 2010 Retrieved May 27 2010 a b c Holmes Steven A October 30 1992 Campaign Stalled Perot Team Tries to Fix It Fast The New York Times New York p 19 Archived from the original on April 20 2015 Retrieved May 27 2010 a b c Sack Kevin October 7 1992 Perot Charts Poor Economy in 30 Minute TV Talk The New York Times New York p 16 Archived from the original on April 20 2015 Retrieved May 27 2010 a b Sack Kevin October 8 1992 Perot Ready to Start Using Short TV Commercials The New York Times New York p 33 Archived from the original on April 20 2015 Retrieved May 27 2010 a b c Horvitz Paul F October 13 1992 Perot Wins A Fresh Look From Voters The New York Times New York Holmes Steven A July 6 2005 James Stockdale Perot s Running Mate in 92 Dies at 81 The New York Times Archived from the original on March 24 2012 Retrieved June 13 2010 Hodgson Godfrey July 8 2005 Obituary Vice Admiral James Stockdale The Guardian London Archived from the original on April 28 2021 Retrieved June 13 2010 Bush fails to narrow gap with Clinton in debate Kingman Daily Miner Kingman Arizona October 16 1992 p 9A a b Transcript of 3d TV Debate Between Bush Clinton and Perot The New York Times New York 20 October 1992 p 20 Archived from the original on 20 April 2015 Retrieved May 27 2010 Sack Kevin 21 October 1992 Perot Scores in 3d Debate Then Opens Fire on the Press The New York Times New York p 18 Archived from the original on 20 April 2015 Retrieved May 27 2010 Perot Presents His Autobiography Part II in 30 Minute TV Program The New York Times New York October 23 1992 p 20 Archived from the original on February 19 2015 Retrieved May 27 2010 a b Perot to attend rallies Sunday in Pennsylvania New Jersey St Petersburg Times St Petersburg Florida Associated Press October 24 1992 p 8A Perot makes last minute stops The Victoria Advocate Victoria Texas Associated Press October 25 1992 Retrieved May 27 2010 Perot asked police for sting operation The Milwaukee Sentinel Milwaukee Wisconsin Dallas Morning News October 28 1992 Retrieved May 27 2010 permanent dead link Toner Robin October 26 1992 Handling Perot A Very Delicate Affair Parties Ponder a Rival of Surprising Strength The New York Times New York p 1 Archived from the original on February 19 2015 Retrieved May 27 2010 a b Jelen p 23 a b Perot Protests made war longer Gainesville Sun Gainesville Florida Associated Press October 31 1992 p 4A Archived from the original on September 28 2021 Retrieved May 27 2010 Perot Paid ads test impact of TV The Milwaukee Journal Milwaukee Wisconsin October 28 1992 p A8 Retrieved May 27 2010 permanent dead link Perot to campaign at rally in Denver The Victoria Advocate Victoria Texas Associated Press p 2C Perot rally No seats left St Petersburg Times St Petersburg Florida October 31 1992 p 9A Perot kicks up heels as the campaign ends Reading Eagle Reading Pennsylvania Associated Press November 3 1992 p B4 Archived from the original on September 28 2021 Retrieved May 27 2010 All election eve polls list Clinton Bush Perot 1 2 3 Gadsden Times Gadsden Alabama Associated Press November 3 1992 p A2 Archived from the original on September 28 2021 Retrieved May 27 2010 a b c d e f g h i j How Ross Perot got a line on Hollywood celebs Entertainment Weekly June 12 1992 Rogers Worthington July 20 1992 Perot s backers struggling to settle on a direction Chicago Tribune p D1 via ProQuest a b c Will Hollywood stars soon sparkle for Perot May 25 1992 a b Abramson and Aldrich p 349 1992 Presidential General Election Results Atlas of U S Presidential Elections David Leip 2005 Archived from the original on July 9 2018 Retrieved May 27 2010 Rapoport and Stone p 8 Rapoport and Stone p 10 Don t blame me I voted for Ross Beaver County Times Beaver County Pennsylvania November 12 1992 p A6 Archived from the original on September 28 2021 Retrieved May 27 2010 Holmes Steven A November 5 1992 THE 1992 ELECTIONS DISAPPOINTMENT NEWS ANALYSIS An Eccentric but No Joke Perot s Strong Showing Raises Questions On What Might Have Been and Might Be The New York Times Dallas Archived from the original on May 18 2019 Retrieved February 12 2017 Los Angeles Times Los Angeles Times Exit Poll 1992 Nov 1992 survey question USLAT 92EXIT QN Los Angeles Times producer Storrs CT Roper Center for Public Opinion Research iPOLL distributor accessed Jul 20 2015 ABC News CBS News CNN NBC News VRS Election Day Exit Poll 1992 Nov 1992 survey question USVRS 92EXIT Q08 Voter Research amp Surveys producer Storrs CT Roper Center for Public Opinion Research iPOLL distributor accessed Jul 20 2015 Plurality Wins in the 1992 Presidential Race Perot s Contribution to Clinton s Victory Archived from the original on 2011 07 17 Retrieved 2015 06 06 Schmalz Jeffrey November 4 1992 Clinton Carves a Path Deep Into Reagan Country The New York Times archived from the original on December 7 2008 retrieved February 12 2017 1992 Presidential Election What if Scenario archived from the original on 2016 01 22 retrieved 2015 06 06 Public Opinion Watch archived from the original on 2009 08 23 Mishel Lawrence Teixeira Ruy A December 30 1998 The Political Arithmetic of the NAFTA Vote PDF archived from the original PDF on November 28 2008 Lacy Dean Burden Barry C 1999 The Vote Stealing and Turnout Effects of Ross Perot in the 1992 U S Presidential Election American Journal of Political Science 43 1 233 doi 10 2307 2991792 ISSN 0092 5853 JSTOR 2991792 Druke Galen October 24 2016 Long Before Trump There Was Ross Perot FiveThirtyEight Archived from the original on May 9 2021 Retrieved May 9 2021 The Reform Party Ross Perot Political Timeline CNN 1996 Archived from the original on June 11 2009 Retrieved May 28 2010 Jelen p 163 Jelen p 8 Baldwin Clare September 21 2009 Key dates for Texas businessman Ross Perot Reuters Archived from the original on September 28 2021 Retrieved May 28 2010 Ross Perot Slams McCain Newsweek January 16 2008 Archived from the original on June 23 2011 Retrieved May 28 2010 Kabaservice Geoffrey July 11 2019 Ross Perot brought us the tea party and President Trump The Washington Post Archived from the original on July 14 2019 Retrieved July 14 2019 Harris John F July 9 2019 Ross Perot the father of Trump Politico Archived from the original on July 10 2019 Retrieved July 14 2019 Bibliography EditAbramson Paul R Aldrich John H 1995 Third party and independent candidates in American politics Wallace Anderson and Perot Political Science Quarterly 110 3 349 doi 10 2307 2152568 ISSN 0032 3195 JSTOR 2152568 Elkind Peter December 1988 Can Ross Perot Save America Texas Monthly 16 12 ISSN 0148 7736 Gilbert Bill King Larry 1994 How to talk to anyone anytime anywhere the secrets of good communication New York Crown Publishers ISBN 978 0 517 88453 9 Hillsman Bill March 30 2004 Run the Other Way Fixing the Two Party System One Campaign at a Time Simon and Schuster ISBN 978 0 7432 2446 8 Jelen Ted G 2001 Ross for boss the Perot phenomenon and beyond SUNY Press ISBN 978 0 7914 4853 3 Kurtz Howard 1997 Hot air all talk all the time New York Basic Books ISBN 978 0 465 03074 3 Rapoport Ronald B Stone Walter J December 21 2007 Three s a Crowd The Dynamic of Third Parties Ross Perot and Republican Resurgence University of Michigan Press ISBN 978 0 472 03099 6 Sifry Micah 2002 Spoiling For a Fight Third Party Politics in America New York Routledge ISBN 978 0 415 93142 7 Wakin Edward 2002 How TV Changed America s Mind New York iUniverse ISBN 978 0 595 25264 0 Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title Ross Perot 1992 presidential campaign amp oldid 1138717205, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

article

, read, download, free, free download, mp3, video, mp4, 3gp, jpg, jpeg, gif, png, picture, music, song, movie, book, game, games.