2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election

The 2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.^[1] Wisconsin voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College.^[2]

2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin

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Turnout	72.3%
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump Party Democratic Republican Home state Delaware Florida Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence Electoral vote 10 0 Popular vote 1,630,866 1,610,184 Percentage 49.45% 48.82%
County Results Congressional District Results Precinct Results Biden   30–40%   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Trump   30–40%   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Tie/No Data
President before election Donald Trump Republican Elected President Joe Biden Democratic

The 2020 Democratic National Convention was scheduled to be held at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, but it was moved to the nearby Wisconsin Center due to the COVID-19 pandemic.^[3][4]

Polls of Wisconsin in the lead-up to election day showed a clear Biden lead, averaging in the high single digits. Prior to election day, most news organizations considered that the state was leaning towards Biden. Wisconsin was ultimately won by Biden by a narrow 0.63% margin over Trump, a far closer margin than expected. Trump had won the state in 2016 by 0.77% against Hillary Clinton; however, Biden carried the state with a slightly larger margin than Al Gore or John Kerry did in either 2000 or 2004, respectively. Once again, Trump massively outperformed his polling average, which had Biden up 8.4 points in the state, but not enough to win the state. Trump held his own in counties in northern Wisconsin and also in the WOW counties.^[5]

Biden won the highest vote share for a Democrat in Waukesha County, at 38.8%, since Jimmy Carter in 1976.^[6] Trump carried Brown County, which is Republican-leaning but competitive, though Biden won the city of Green Bay and improved on Clinton's margin in the county at large by about 3.7 points.^[7] Biden won back Sauk County, a county in the driftless region of southwestern Wisconsin; Biden also flipped Door County, which has voted for the winning candidate in each election since 1980, save for 1992.

On November 18, Trump announced that he would request a recount in Milwaukee County and Dane County.^[8][9] On November 29, both counties re-affirmed Biden's victory, giving him a net gain of 87 votes over Trump.^[10]

With Ohio, Florida, and Iowa backing the losing candidate for the first time since 1960, 1992, and 2000 respectively, this election established Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania as the states with the longest bellwether streak still in effect today. The last time any of them voted against the winning candidate was 2004, when all three voted for losing Democrat John Kerry.

Wisconsin voted 3.77% more Republican than the nation in general. This is the first time since 2004 that Wisconsin did not vote for the same candidate as neighboring Iowa.

Primary elections

Effects of the COVID-19 pandemic

This section is transcluded from 2020 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary. (edit | history)

See also: Political impact of the COVID-19 pandemic § Wisconsin, and COVID-19 pandemic in Wisconsin

Since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, several states had delayed their scheduled primaries and extended the vote-by-mail period. Concerns were raised by health officials, poll workers, and voters that in-person voting at the height of the pandemic would be unsafe for vulnerable individuals.^[11] Democratic Governor Tony Evers initially signed an executive order for all-mail-in election, but the order was rejected by the Republican-controlled Wisconsin Legislature.^[12]

On April 2, although U.S. District Judge William M. Conley refused to postpone the election, he extended the deadline for absentee voting to April 13 (ordering clerks not to release any election data before that date).^[13][14] However, on April 6, the Supreme Court of the United States overturned Conley's decision, meaning that all absentee ballots still had to be postmarked by "election day, Tuesday, April 7" even though it was still acceptable for the ballots to be received by the clerks as late as April 13.^[15][16] The Supreme Court of the United States "did not alter the provision in Conley's amended order which prohibits the reporting of results until April 13".^[17]

Governor Evers then called a special session of the legislature to postpone in-person voting, but the session ended within minutes without action, forcing the primary to go on as planned.^[18] Despite having previously expressed the view that he would violate the law by doing so,^[19] on April 6, Evers issued an executive order which, if enforced, would have postponed the April 7 elections until the tentative date of June 9.^[20][21] Republican leaders immediately announced that they would challenge the order in the Wisconsin Supreme Court.^[20] The Wisconsin Supreme Court ruled that Evers did not have the authority to postpone the elections, thus meaning that Evers' executive order was nullified, and that the elections would be held as scheduled on April 7.^[22] This was appealed to a federal court who sided with the governor, and that was appealed to the US Supreme Court, which on a 5–4 vote, upheld the state court's ruling.^[23]

Voting was somewhat chaotic, with people waiting in the rain for hours in some cases in masks and social distancing.^[24] However, by the time the election concluded, Milwaukee Election Commissioner Neil Albrecht stated that despite some of the problems, the in-person voting ran smoothly.^[25]

Democratic primary

This section is transcluded from 2020 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary. (edit | history)

2020 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary^[26]

Candidate	Votes^[27]	%	Delegates^[28]
Joe Biden	581,463	62.86	56
Bernie Sanders	293,441	31.72	28
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)	14,060	1.52
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)	8,846	0.96
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)	6,079	0.66
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)	5,565	0.60
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)	4,946	0.53
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)	3,349	0.36
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)	836	0.09
John Delaney (withdrawn)	529	0.06
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)	475	0.05
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)	311	0.03
Write-in votes	1,575	0.17
Uninstructed Delegate	3,590	0.39
Total	925,065	100%	84

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary, and thus received all of Wisconsin's 52 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.^[29]

2020 Wisconsin Republican primary

Candidate	Votes	%	Delegates
Donald Trump	616,780	97.87%	52
Adam Nicholas Paul (write-in)	246	0.04%
Uninstructed	11,246	1.78%
Scattering	1,924	0.31%
Total	630,196	100%	52

General election

 

Absentee ballot drop box in Madison, Wisconsin

Final predictions

Source	Ranking
The Cook Political Report^[30]	Lean D (flip)
Inside Elections^[31]	Lean D (flip)
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[32]	Lean D (flip)
Politico^[33]	Lean D (flip)
RCP^[34]	Tossup
Niskanen^[35]	Likely D (flip)
CNN^[36]	Lean D (flip)
The Economist^[37]	Likely D (flip)
CBS News^[38]	Lean D (flip)
270towin^[39]	Lean D (flip)
ABC News^[40]	Lean D (flip)
NPR^[41]	Lean D (flip)
NBC News^[42]	Lean D (flip)
538^[43]	Likely D (flip)

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other/ Undecided ^[a]	Margin
270 to Win	November 1–2 2020	November 3, 2020	42.8%	52.0%	5.2%	Biden +9.2
Real Clear Politics	October 21 – November 1, 2020	November 3, 2020	44.3%	51.0%	4.7%	Biden +6.7
FiveThirtyEight	until November 2, 2020	November 3, 2020	43.7%	52.1%	4.2%	Biden +8.4
Average			43.6%	51.7%	4.7%	Biden +8.1

2020 polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Jo Jorgensen Libertarian	Howie Hawkins Green	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 20 – Nov 2	2,814 (LV)	± 2.5%	44%^[c]	54%	-	-	–	–
Research Co.	Oct 31 – Nov 1	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	45%	54%	-	-	1%^[d]	7%
Change Research/CNBC	Oct 29 – Nov 1	553 (LV)	± 4.17%	45%	53%	2%	-	–	0%
Civiqs/Daily Kos	Oct 29 – Nov 1	789 (LV)	± 3.6%	47%	51%	-	-	1%^[d]	0%
Swayable November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine	Oct 27 – Nov 1	253 (LV)	± 8.2%	45%	55%	1%	-	–	–
Ipsos/Reuters	Oct 27 – Nov 1	696 (LV)	± 4.2%	43%^[e]	53%	2%	0%	2%^[f]	–
				43%^[g]	53%	-	-	2%^[h]	2%
				45%^[i]	53%	-	-	2%^[j]	–
AtlasIntel	Oct 30–31	781 (LV)	± 3%	49%	51%	-	-	–	1%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness October 31, 2020, at the Wayback Machine^[A]	Oct 29–31	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	46%	49%	-	-	2%^[k]	1%
Morning Consult	Oct 22–31	1,002 (LV)	± 3%	41%	54%	-	-	–	–
Emerson College	Oct 29–30	751 (LV)	± 3.1%	45%^[l]	52%	-	-	2%^[m]	–
	Oct 29–30	672 (LV)	± 4%	50%	49%	-	-	2%	–
CNN/SSRS October 31, 2020, at the Wayback Machine	Oct 29–30	873 (LV)	± 3.9%	44%	52%	3%	-	0%^[n]	2%
Siena College/NYT Upshot	Oct 26–30	1,253 (LV)	± 3.2%	41%	52%	2%	-	1%^[o]	4%^[p]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	Oct 26–29	800 (LV)	–	41%	53%	2%	-	1%	2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 1–28	4,569 (LV)	± 2.0%	43%	55%	-	-	–	–
Swayable	Oct 23–26	313 (LV)	± 7.2%	45%	54%	1%	-	–	–
Ipsos/Reuters	Oct 20–26	664 (LV)	± 4.3%	44%^[e]	53%	2%	1%	3%^[q]	–
				44%^[g]	53%	-	-	2%^[h]	2%
Trafalgar Group	Oct 24–25	1,082 (LV)	± 2.89%	47%	47%	3%	-	1%^[d]	1%
Marquette Law School	Oct 21–25	749 (LV)	± 4.4%	43%	48%	2%	-	7%^[r]	0%
ABC/Washington Post	Oct 20–25	809 (LV)	± 4%	40%	57%	2%	-	1%^[s]	1%
Gravis Marketing	Oct 23	677 (LV)	± 3.8%	43%	54%	-	-	–	3%
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison	Oct 13–21	647 (LV)	± 4.07%	44%	53%	-	-	3%^[t]	–
Fox News	Oct 17–20	1,037 (LV)	± 3%	44%	49%	2%	-	1%^[u]	4%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ October 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine	Oct 14–20	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	44%^[e]	50%	-	-	3%^[v]	4%
				42%^[w]	52%	-	-	3%^[v]	4%
				45%^[x]	48%	-	-	3%^[v]	4%
Morning Consult	Oct 11–20	1,038 (LV)	± 3%	42%	54%	-	-	–	–
Susquehanna Polling and Research Inc./Center for American Greatness October 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine^[A]	Oct 16–19	500 (LV)	± 4.3%	45%	45%	5%	-	3%^[y]	3%
Change Research/CNBC	Oct 16–19	447 (LV)^[z]	–	44%	52%	-	-	–	–
Latino Decisions/DFER^[B]	Oct 14–19	400 (LV)	± 5%	45%	50%	-	-	–	4%
Ipsos/Reuters	Oct 13–19	663 (LV)	± 4.3%	45%^[e]	51%	2%	0%	3%^[aa]	–
				43%^[g]	51%	-	-	3%^[ab]	3%
Trafalgar Group	Oct 14–16	1,051 (LV)	± 2.94%	46%	48%	2%	-	1%	3%
YouGov/CBS	Oct 13–16	1,112 (LV)	± 3.5%	45%	50%	-	-	3%^[ac]	2%
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC^[C]	Oct 11–13	1,043 (LV)	± 2.95%	45%	47%	3%	–	2%^[m]	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	Oct 10–13	691 (LV)	–	40%^[z]	53%	2%	0%	–	–
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America	Oct 10–13	200 (LV)	–	43%	53%	-	-	–	–
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising^[D]	Oct 8–11	560 (LV)	± 4.4%	45%	53%	-	-	2%^[m]	1%
Siena College/NYT Upshot	Oct 8–11	789 (LV)	± 4%	41%	51%	3%	-	0%^[ad]	5%^[p]
Ipsos/Reuters	Oct 6–11	577 (LV)	± 4.7%	45%^[e]	51%	2%	0%	1%^[q]	–
				44%^[g]	51%	-	-	3%^[ab]	2%
Morning Consult	Oct 2–11	1,067 (LV)	± 3%	44%	51%	-	-	–	–
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	Oct 9–10	613 (LV)	–	45%^[z]	49%	2%	-	–	–
Baldwin Wallace University	Sep 30 – Oct 8	883 (LV)	± 3.4%	43%	49%	2%	0%	1%^[ae]	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	Oct 4–7	688 (LV)	± 3.74%	41%	51%	1%	-	1%^[af]	6%
Ipsos/Reuters	Sep 29 – Oct 5	601 (LV)	± 4.6%	44%	50%	-	-	2%^[h]	4%
Change Research/CNBC	Oct 2–4	442 (LV)	–	44%	51%	-	-	–	–
Marquette Law School[1]	Sep 30 – Oct 4	805 (RV)	–	41%	46%	5%	-	7%^[ag]	2%
		700 (LV)		42%	47%	4%	-	2%^[ah]	1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Sep 1–30	3,806 (LV)	–	44%	53%	-	-	–	2%
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC^[C]	Sep 25–28	1,084 (LV)	± 2.89%	44%	47%	3%	-	2%^[ai]	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	Sep 23–27	663 (LV)	± 3.81%	43%	48%	2%	-	0%^[aj]	7%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness^[A]	Sep 23–26	500 (LV)	± 4.3%	46%	48%	-	-	–	–
Trafalgar Group (R)	Sep 22–24	1,189 (LV)	± 2.76%	45%	48%	3%	-	2%^[ai]	3%
Marist College/NBC	Sep 20–24	727 (LV)	± 4.6%	44%	54%	-	-	1%	1%
Baldwin Wallace University	Sep 9–22	863 (LV)	± 3.7%	41%	50%	2%	0%	1%^[ae]	6%
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research Center/Wisconsin State Journal	Sep 10–21	664 (LV)	–	46%	50%	-	-	–	–
Change Research/CNBC	Sep 18–20	571 (LV)	–	42%	51%	-	-	–	–
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign^[permanent dead link]^[E]	Sep 17–19	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	44%	51%	-	-	–	–
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	Sep 12–16	636 (LV)	± 3.89%	41%	47%	1%	1%	1%^[af]	10%
Ipsos/Reuters	Sep 11–16	609 (LV)	–	43%	48%	-	-	2%^[h]	6%
Morning Consult	Sep 7–16	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	42%^[ak]	51%	-	-	–	–
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising^[D]	Sep 11–15	549 (RV)	± 3.9%	44%^[z]	51%	-	-	2%^[m]	2%
Morning Consult	Sep 6–15	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	42%	51%	-	-	–	–
CNN/SSRS	Sep 9–13	816 (LV)	± 4.2%	42%	52%	3%	-	1%^[al]	1%
ABC/Washington Post	Sep 8–13	605 (LV)	± 4.5%	46%	52%	-	-	1%^[am]	1%
Siena College/NYT Upshot	Sep 8–10	760 (LV)	± 4.7%	43%	48%	2%	0%	2%^[an]	6%^[p]
Emerson College	Sep 6–8	823 (LV)	± 3.4%	45%^[l]	52%	-	-	4%^[ao]	–
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Group/AARP	Aug 28 – Sep 8	1,200 (LV)	± 2.8%	45%	50%	-	-	1%^[ap]	4%
Change Research/CNBC	Sep 4–6	501 (LV)	–	44%	50%	-	-	6%^[aq]	–
Morning Consult	Aug 27 – Sep 5	763 (LV)	± 3.5%	44%	50%	-	-	–	–
YouGov/CBS	Sep 2–4	978 (LV)	± 3.7%	44%	50%	-	-	2%^[ar]	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	Aug 30 – Sep 4	670 (LV)	± 3.78%	41%	50%	2%	0%	0%^[aj]	6%
Marquette Law School	Aug 30 – Sep 3	688 (LV)	–	44%	48%	4%	-	2%^[as]	2%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports	Sep 1–2	1,000 (LV)	± 3%	43%	51%	-	-	3%^[at]	2%
Fox News	Aug 29 – Sep 1	801 (LV)	± 3.5%	42%	50%	2%	–	1%^[au]	5%
		853 (RV)	± 3%	41%	49%	2%	–	2%^[av]	5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Aug 1–31	1,913 (LV)	–	49%	48%	-	-	–	2%
Opinium/The Guardian[2]	Aug 21–28	700 (LV)	–	40%	53%	-	-	1%	5%
Morning Consult	Aug 17–26	797 (LV)	± 3.5%	42%	52%	-	-	–	–
Change Research/CNBC	Aug 21–23	925 (LV)	–	44%	49%	-	-	–	–
Trafalgar Group	Aug 14–23	1,011 (LV)	± 2.99%	46%	45%	4%	-	2%^[aw]	3%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC^[C]	Aug 17–20	600 (LV)	–	44%	52%	-	-	–	4%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies	Aug 13–17	672 (LV)	± 3.9%	40%	49%	1%	1%	2%^[ax]	7%
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising^[D]	Aug 13–17	753 (RV)	–	45%	51%	-	-	2%^[m]	2%
Morning Consult	Aug 7–16	788 (LV)	± 3.5%	43%^[ay]	49%	-	-	2%^[m]	5%
Morning Consult	Aug 4–13	797 (LV)	± 3.5%	43%	50%	-	-	–	–
Change Research/CNBC	Aug 6–9	384 (LV)	–	43%	47%	-	-	–	–
Marquette Law School	Aug 4–9	694 (LV)	± 3.8%	46%	50%	-	-	3%^[az]	1%
YouGov/CBS	Aug 4–7	994 (LV)	± 3.8%	42%	48%	-	-	3%^[ac]	7%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC^[permanent dead link]^[A]	Aug 5–6	750 (LV)	–	43%	55%	-	-	1%	1%
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison	Jul 27 – Aug 6	734 (RV)	± 4.9%	43%	49%	-	-	4%^[ba]	4%
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action^[F]	Aug 2–4	400 (LV)	± 4.7%	47%	47%	-	-	–	6%
Morning Consult	Jul 25 – Aug 3	797 (LV)	± 3.5%	41%	51%	-	-	–	–
David Binder Research	Jul 30–31	200 (LV)	–	42%	53%	-	-	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jul 1–31	2,173 (LV)	–	48%	50%	-	-	–	2%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC^[C]	Jul 22–27	600 (LV)	–	38%	52%	-	-	–	10%
Change Research/CNBC	Jul 24–26	392 (LV)	–	43%	48%	-	-	–	–
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	Jul 19–24	742 (LV)	–	35%	45%	2%	0%	3%^[bb]	15%
Morning Consult	Jul 15–24	797 (LV)	± 3.5%	44%	49%	-	-	–	–
Gravis Marketing	Jul 22	796 (RV)	± 3.5%	42%	50%	-	-	–	7%
Global Strategy Group (D) August 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine	Jul 11–17	600 (V)	± 4.0%	42%	51%	-	-	2%^[bc]	4%^[p]
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project^[G]	Jul 11–16	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	45%	46%	-	-	–	8%
Morning Consult	Jul 5–14	797 (LV)	± 3.5%	41%	50%	-	-	–	–
Change Research/CNBC	Jul 10–12	601 (LV)	–	42%	48%	-	-	–	–
Morning Consult	Jun 25 – Jul 4	797 (LV)	± 3.5%	44%	50%	-	-	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jun 8–30	813 (LV)	–	47%	51%	-	-	–	2%
Change Research/CNBC	Jun 26–28	502 (LV)^[z]	–	43%	51%	-	-	–	–
Trafalgar Group	Jun 25–26	1,021 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	45%	-	-	8%^[bd]	2%
Ogden & Fry	Jun 20–24	825 (LV)	± 3.48%	44%	45%	-	-	–	10%
Morning Consult	Jun 15–24	797 (LV)	± 3.5%	44%	50%	-	-	–	–
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	Jun 14–19	846 (LV)	± 3.37%	36%	45%	1%	1%	2%^[be]	15%
Marquette Law School	Jun 14–18	686 (LV)	–	44%	52%	-	-	3%^[az]	1%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)	Jun 12–16	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	39%	55%	-	-	–	6%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	Jun 8–15	655 (RV)	± 4.3%	38%	49%	-	-	5%^[bf]	8%
Morning Consult	Jun 5–14	797 (LV)	± 3.5%	44%	49%	-	-	–	–
Change Research/CNBC	Jun 12–14	231 (LV)^[z]	–	44%	48%	-	-	5%^[bg]	–
Morning Consult	May 26 – Jun 4	797 (LV)	± 3.5%	44%	48%	-	-	–	–
Fox News	May 30 – Jun 2	801 (RV)	± 3.5%	40%	49%	-	-	6%^[bh]	5%
Change Research/CNBC	May 29–31	382 (LV)^[z]	–	45%	45%	-	-	5%	6%
Morning Consult	May 16–25	797 (LV)	± 3.5%	44%	48%	-	-	–	–
Morning Consult	May 6–15	797 (LV)	± 3.5%	42%	49%	-	-	–	–
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	May 10–14	875 (LV)	± 3.3%	38%	48%	-	-	3%^[bi]	10%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)	May 6–8	600 (LV)	± 3%	42%	51%	-	-	–	8%
Marquette Law School	May 3–7	650 (LV)	–	45%	49%	-	-	4%^[bj]	2%
Morning Consult	Apr 26 – May 5	797 (LV)	± 3.5%	43%	49%	-	-	–	–
Public Policy Polling^[H]	Apr 20–21	1,415 (RV)	–	45%	50%	-	-	–	4%
Ipsos	Apr 15–20	645 (RV)	± 5.0%	40%	43%	-	-	–	–
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)	Apr 13–15	600 (RV)	± 3.0%	45%	50%	-	-	–	4%
Hart Research/CAP Action April 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine^[I]	Apr 6–8	303 (RV)	–	47%	48%	-	-	2%	3%
Marquette Law School	Mar 24–29	813 (RV)	–	45%	48%	-	-	4%^[bj]	3%
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes	Mar 17–25	822 (RV)	± 3.8%	45%	45%	-	-	–	10%
Change Research	Mar 21–23	510 (LV)	–	49%	45%	-	–	6%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)	Mar 17–19	600 (RV)	–	49%	45%	-	-	–	–
Public Policy Polling	Mar 10–11	1,727 (RV)	–	45%	48%	-	-	–	6%
YouGov/Yahoo News	Mar 6–8	459 (RV)	–	42%	44%	-	-	6%^[bk]	7%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus March 20, 2020, at the Wayback Machine	Mar 5–7	502 (LV)	± 4.7%	45%	43%	-	-	–	–
Marquette Law School	Feb 19–23	1,000 (RV)	–	46%	46%	-	-	5%^[bl]	3%
YouGov	Feb 11–20	936 (RV)	± 4.0%	43%	45%	-	-	–	–
Quinnipiac University May 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine	Feb 12–18	823 (RV)	± 3.4%	49%	42%	-	-	4%^[bm]	4%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute	Feb 6–18	500 (RV)	–	44%	42%	-	-	–	13%
Tarrance Group/Wisconsin Manufacturers and Commerce February 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine	Jan 14–16	500 (LV)	± 4.5%	46%	47%	-	-	–	6%
Marquette Law School[4][5]	Jan 8–12	701 (LV)	–	47%	48%	-	-	4%^[bj]	2%
Fox News	Jan 5–8	1,504 (RV)	± 2.5%	41%	46%	-	-	8%^[bn]	4%

2019 polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other	Undecided
Marquette Law School[6]	Dec 3–8	652 (LV)	–	47%	49%	2%^[bo]	1%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus	Dec 3–5	610 (LV)	± 4.1%	48%	39%	8%^[bp]	5%^[p]
Marquette Law School[7][8]	Nov 13–17	685 (LV)	–	48%	45%	5%^[bq]	2%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	Oct 13–26	651 (LV)	± 4.4%	44%	46%	–	–
Marquette Law School[9][10]	Oct 13–17	657 (LV)	–	44%	51%	3%^[br]	1%
Fox News	Sep 29 – Oct 2	1,512 (RV)	± 2.5%	39%	48%	5%	6%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus September 12, 2019, at the Wayback Machine	Sep 7–9	534 (LV)	± 4.0%	42%	44%	14%	–
Marquette Law School[11]	Aug 25–29	672 (LV)	–	44%	51%	3%^[az]	2%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus	Jun 11–13	535 (LV)	± 4.3%	40%	46%	14%	–
WPA Intelligence	Apr 27–30	200 (LV)	± 6.9%	46%	42%	–	9%
Zogby Analytics	Apr 15–18	802 (LV)	± 3.5%	40%	50%	–	11%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus April 3, 2019, at the Wayback Machine	Mar 19–21	616 (LV)	± 4.1%	40%	53%	5%	–
Emerson College April 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine	Mar 15–17	775 (RV)	± 3.5%	46%	54%	–	–

Former candidates and hypothetical polling

Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size^[b] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Michael Bloomberg (D) Other Undecided Marquette Law School Feb 19–23, 2020 1,000 (RV) – 45% 44% 5%^[bs] 5% Quinnipiac University May 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Feb 12–18, 2020 823 (RV) ± 3.4% 49% 41% 5%^[bt] 5% Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 44% 43% – 12% Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 610 (LV) ± 4.1% 49% 37% 10%^[bu] 4%^[p] Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size^[b] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Cory Booker (D) Other Undecided Marquette Law School[12] Dec 3–8, 2019 652 (LV) – 47% 45% 4%^[bj] 4% Marquette Law School[13][14] Nov 13–17, 2019 685 (LV) – 45% 45% 5%^[bv] 4% Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size^[b] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Pete Buttigieg (D) Other Undecided Marquette Law School Feb 19–23, 2020 1,000 (RV) – 45% 45% 5%^[bs] 5% YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 936 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 45% – – Quinnipiac University May 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Feb 12–18, 2020 823 (RV) ± 3.4% 49% 41% 5%^[bw] 5% Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 43% 44% – 13% Marquette Law School[15][16] Jan 8–12, 2020 701 (LV) – 47% 45% 5%^[bq] 4% Fox News Jan 5–8, 2020 1,504 (RV) ± 2.5% 41% 42% 10^[bx] 7% Marquette Law School[17] Dec 3–8, 2019 652 (LV) – 47% 44% 4%^[by] 4% Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 610 (LV) ± 4.1% 49% 38% 8%^[bp] 5%^[p] Marquette Law School[18][19] Nov 13–17, 2019 685 (LV) – 48% 40% 7%^[bz] 6% Marquette Law School[20][21] Oct 13–17, 2019 657 (LV) – 44% 46% 5%^[ca] 4% Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 535 (LV) ± 4.3% 41% 39% 20% – Zogby Analytics Apr 15–18, 2019 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 41% 44% – 16% Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size^[b] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Kamala Harris (D) Other Undecided Marquette Law School[22] Aug 25–29, 2019 672 (LV) – 46% 46% 5%^[bq] 4% Zogby Analytics Apr 15–18, 2019 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 43% – 14% Emerson College April 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Mar 15–17, 2019 775 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 50% – – Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size^[b] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Amy Klobuchar (D) Other Undecided Marquette Law School Feb 19–23, 2020 1,000 (RV) – 46% 46% 4%^[bl] 4% YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 936 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 44% – – Quinnipiac University May 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Feb 12–18, 2020 823 (RV) ± 3.4% 50% 39% 5%^[bw] 6% Marquette Law School[23][24] Nov 13–17, 2019 685 (LV) – 53% 36% 6%^[bs] 4% Emerson College April 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Mar 15–17, 2019 775 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 50% – – Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size^[b] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Beto O'Rourke (D) Other Undecided Zogby Analytics Apr 15–18, 2019 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 41% 44% – 15% Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus April 3, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Mar 19–21, 2019 616 (LV) ± 4.1% 42% 45% 9% – Emerson College April 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Mar 15–17, 2019 775 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 51% – – Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size^[b] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Bernie Sanders (D) Other Undecided Marquette Law School Mar 24–29, 2020 813 (RV) – 47% 45% 6%^[bs] 2% Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes Mar 17–25, 2020 822 (RV) ± 3.8% 46% 42% – 12% Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) Mar 17–19, 2020 600 (RV) – 50% 43% – – Public Policy Polling Mar 10–11, 2020 1,727 (V) – 46% 48% – 7% YouGov/Yahoo News Mar 6–8, 2020 459 (RV) – 40% 46% 9%^[cb] 5% Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus March 20, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Mar 5–7, 2020 502 (LV) ± 4.7% 48% 42% – – Marquette Law School Feb 19–23, 2020 1,000 (RV) – 46% 48% 3%^[bj] 3% YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 936 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 46% – – Quinnipiac University May 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Feb 12–18, 2020 823 (RV) ± 3.4% 50% 43% 4%^[bm] 4% Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 46% 45% – 9% Tarrance Group/Wisconsin Manufacturers and Commerce February 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Jan 14–16, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 47% 47% – 7% Marquette Law School[25][26] Jan 8–12, 2020 701 (LV) – 47% 47% 3%^[br] 1% Fox News Jan 5–8, 2020 1,504 (RV) ± 2.5% 42% 46% 8%^[bn] 4% Marquette Law School[27] Dec 3–8, 2019 652 (LV) – 48% 46% 4%^[bj] 1% Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 610 (LV) ± 4.1% 51% 38% 7%^[bp] 4%^[p] Marquette Law School[28][29] Nov 13–17, 2019 685 (LV) – 49% 45% 5%^[bq] 1% NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–26, 2019 651 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 47% – – Marquette Law School[30][31] Oct 13–17, 2019 657 (LV) – 45% 48% 4%^[bl] 2% Fox News Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019 1,512 (RV) ± 2.5% 40% 45% 5% 6% Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus September 12, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Sep 7–9, 2019 534 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 49% 8% – Marquette Law School[32] Aug 25–29, 2019 672 (LV) – 46% 48% 4%^[bj] 1% Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 535 (LV) ± 4.3% 40% 47% 13% – Zogby Analytics Apr 15–18, 2019 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 49% – 9% Tulchin Research (D)^[J] Apr 14–18, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 42% 52% – – Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus April 3, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Mar 19–21, 2019 616 (LV) ± 4.1% 41% 48% 7% – Emerson College April 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Mar 15–17, 2019 775 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 52% – – Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size^[b] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Elizabeth Warren (D) Other Undecided Marquette Law School Feb 19–23, 2020 1,000 (RV) – 47% 44% 4%^[bq] 4% YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 936 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 46% – – Quinnipiac University May 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Feb 12–18, 2020 823 (RV) ± 3.4% 51% 41% 4%^[bm] 4% Marquette Law School[33][34] Jan 8–12, 2020 701 (LV) – 49% 45% 5%^[bq] 2% Fox News Jan 5–8, 2020 1,504 (RV) ± 2.5% 41% 44% 9%^[cc] 5% Marquette Law School[35] Dec 3–8, 2019 652 (LV) – 48% 46% 5%^[bv] 2% Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 610 (LV) ± 4.1% 50% 37% 8%^[bp] 5%^[p] Marquette Law School[36][37] Nov 13–17, 2019 685 (LV) – 50% 43% 4%^[bj] 2% NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–26, 2019 651 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 45% – – Marquette Law School[38][39] Oct 13–17, 2019 657 (LV) – 45% 50% 3%^[br] 1% Fox News Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019 1,512 (RV) ± 2.5% 41% 45% 5% 7% Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus September 12, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Sep 7–9, 2019 534 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 43% 15% – Marquette Law School[40] Aug 25–29, 2019 672 (LV) – 46% 48% 4%^[bj] 3% Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 535 (LV) ± 4.3% 41% 41% 18% – Zogby Analytics Apr 15–18, 2019 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 41% 47% – 12% Emerson College April 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Mar 15–17, 2019 775 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 52% – – Zogby Analytics Aug 17–23, 2017 603 (LV) ± 4.0% 37% 48% – 15%

Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Howard Schultz Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size^[b] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Joe Biden (D) Howard Schultz (I) Undecided Emerson College April 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Mar 15–17, 2019 775 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 51% 4% – with Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, and Howard Schultz Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size^[b] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Bernie Sanders (D) Howard Schultz (I) Undecided Emerson College April 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Mar 15–17, 2019 775 (RV) ± 3.5% 46% 48% 5% – with Donald Trump and generic Democrat Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size^[b] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Generic Democrat Other Undecided Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University Mar 17–25, 2020 997 (RV) ± 3.7% 46.8%^[cd] 50.4% – 2.8%^[ce] Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 41% 49% – 11% Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University Jan 8–20, 2020 1,038 (RV) ± 3.3% 36.7%^[cd] 51.2% – 12% KFF/Cook Political Report Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 745 (RV) ± 4% 28% 41% – 21% Aug 9–11, 2019 1,966 (V) ± 2.2% 45% 46% 3%^[cf] 6% Public Policy Polling (D)^[K] Apr 23–24, 2019 762 (V) ± 3.6% 44% 53% – 4% with Donald Trump and generic Opponent Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size^[b] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Generic Opponent Other Undecided Marquette University Released Apr 7, 2019 800 (RV) – 42% 57%^[cg] 0%^[ch] 4% Emerson College Mar 15–17, 2019 775 (RV) ± 3.5% 45% 55%^[ci] – – Marquette University Jan 16–20, 2019 800 (RV) – 39% 57%^[cg] 0%^[ch] 4%

Green Party and Kanye West ballot access lawsuits

In August 2020, the bipartisan Wisconsin Elections Commission voted to keep rapper Kanye West, an independent presidential candidate, off of the 2020 general election ballot in a 5–1 decision on the basis that West's application arrived too late—arriving in person seconds after the deadline.^[44]

The Commission was split along party lines in a 3–3 decision to keep Howie Hawkins, the Green Party presidential candidate off of the 2020 general election ballot.^[45] Hawkins gathered 3,623 valid signatures; however, forms with 1,834 signatures had a different address for Hawkins' running mate Angela Walker. The partisan board voted only to certify the 1,789, placing Hawkins/Walker below the 2,000 signatures required to be on the ballot.^[46]

Walker subsequently filed a legal petition to be included on the ballot. On September 10, 2020, the Wisconsin Supreme Court ruled that the election officials had to wait to mail absentee ballots until the court decided whether or not to include the Green Party on the ballot. Some municipal election commissions had already mailed out absentee ballots while others were concerned that they would miss the September 17 deadline by which Wisconsin state law required absentee ballots to mailed out to those who requested them.^[47] On September 14, 2020, the court ruled that the ballots would remain as-is without Hawkins or West on the ballot stating, "given their delay in asserting their rights, we would be unable to provide meaningful relief without completely upsetting the election."^[48]

Electoral slates

These slates of electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College if their candidates win the state:^[49]

Donald Trump and Mike Pence Republican Party	Joe Biden and Kamala Harris Democratic Party	Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen Libertarian Party	Don Blankenship and William Mohr Constitution Party	Brian T. Carroll and Amar Patel American Solidarity Party
Carol Brunner Edward Grabins Bill Feehan Robert Spindell Tom Schriebel Darryl Carlson Pam Travis Kelly Ruh Andrew Hitt Mary Buestrin	Meg Andrietsch Shelia Stubbs Ronald Martin Mandela Barnes Khary Penebaker Mary Arnold Patty Schachtner Shannon Holsey Tony Evers Ben Wikler	Darek Raese Patrick Baird Stephen Ecker Kristin Walker Jeff Jortsch Brian Defferding Nathan Gall Mike Hammond Kevin Litten David Grover	Nigel Brown Dan Herro Matthew Kloskowski Colin Hudson Thomas Harland Andrew Zuelke Elizabeth Lindee Josh Young Glenn Petroski Lorraine Decker	Christopher Hansen Thuy Quyen Tran Steven Carlson Stephen Beall Patrick Malone Charles Adams Fergus McKiernan Riley Drew David Bovee Marianne Bovee

Results

 

Municipal Results

Map legend

•   Biden—40–50%
•   Biden—50–60%
•   Biden—60–70%
•   Biden—70–80%
•   Biden—80–90%
•   Biden—90–100%
•   Trump–40–50%
•   Trump–50–60%
•   Trump–60–70%
•   Trump–70–80%
•   Trump–80–90%
•   Trump–90–100%
•   Tie
•   No Vote

2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin^[50]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Joe Biden Kamala Harris	1,630,866	49.45	+3.00
	Republican	Donald Trump (incumbent) Mike Pence (incumbent)	1,610,184	48.83	+1.60
	Independent^[cj]	Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen	38,491	1.17	−2.41
	Independent^[ck]	Brian T. Carroll Amar Patel	5,259	0.16	N/A
	Constitution	Don Blankenship William Mohr	5,146	0.16	−0.25
	Independent^[cl]	Howie Hawkins (write-in) Angela Nicole Walker (write-in)	1,089	0.03	−1.01
	Independent	Kanye West (write-in) Michelle Tidball (write-in)	411	0.01	N/A
	Independent^[cm]	Gloria La Riva (write-in) Sunil Freeman (write-in)	110	0.00	N/A
	Independent	Mark Charles (write-in) Adrian Wallace (write-in)	52	0.00	N/A
	Independent	Jade Simmons (write-in) Claudeliah Roze (write-in)	36	0.00	N/A
	Independent	Kasey Wells (write-in)	25	0.00	N/A
	Independent	President R19 Boddie (write-in)	5	0.00	N/A
	Write-in		6,367	0.19	−0.57
Total votes			3,298,041	100%
	Democratic win

Between 2016 and 2020, the number of voters in Milwaukee suburban counties voting for the Democratic presidential candidate increased.^[51]

By county

County	Joe Biden Democratic		Donald Trump Republican		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total votes cast
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Adams	4,329	36.63%	7,362	62.29%	127	1.08%	-3,033	-25.66%	11,818
Ashland	4,801	54.82%	3,841	43.86%	115	1.32%	960	10.96%	8,757
Barron	9,194	36.27%	15,803	62.35%	349	1.38%	-6,609	-26.08%	25,346
Bayfield	6,147	56.50%	4,617	42.44%	116	1.06%	1,530	14.06%	10,880
Brown	65,511	45.49%	75,871	52.68%	2,635	1.83%	-10,360	-7.19%	144,017
Buffalo	2,860	36.59%	4,834	61.85%	122	1.56%	-1,974	-25.26%	7,816
Burnett	3,569	35.19%	6,462	63.72%	110	1.09%	-2,893	-28.53%	10,141
Calumet	12,116	39.37%	18,156	59.00%	502	1.63%	-6,040	-19.63%	30,774
Chippewa	13,983	38.91%	21,317	59.32%	638	1.77%	-7,334	-20.41%	35,938
Clark	4,524	30.37%	10,002	67.14%	372	2.49%	-5,478	-36.77%	14,898
Columbia	16,410	48.45%	16,927	49.98%	532	1.57%	-517	-1.53%	33,869
Crawford	3,953	45.46%	4,620	53.13%	122	1.41%	-667	-7.67%	8,695
Dane	260,121	75.46%	78,794	22.86%	5,813	1.68%	181,327	52.60%	344,728
Dodge	16,356	33.77%	31,355	64.73%	725	1.50%	-14,999	-30.96%	48,436
Door	10,044	49.93%	9,752	48.48%	321	1.59%	292	1.45%	20,117
Douglas	13,218	53.56%	10,923	44.26%	536	2.18%	2,295	9.30%	24,677
Dunn	9,897	42.07%	13,173	56.00%	454	1.93%	-3,276	-13.93%	23,524
Eau Claire	31,620	54.26%	25,341	43.49%	1,314	2.25%	6,279	10.77%	58,275
Florence	781	26.56%	2,133	72.55%	26	0.89%	-1,352	-45.99%	2,940
Fond du Lac	20,588	35.96%	35,754	62.45%	909	1.59%	-15,166	-26.49%	57,251
Forest	1,721	34.06%	3,285	65.01%	47	0.93%	-1,564	-30.95%	5,053
Grant	10,998	42.95%	14,142	55.22%	468	1.83%	-3,144	-12.27%	25,608
Green	10,851	50.69%	10,169	47.51%	386	1.80%	682	3.18%	21,406
Green Lake	3,344	31.34%	7,168	67.17%	159	1.49%	-3,824	-35.83%	10,671
Iowa	7,828	55.95%	5,909	42.23%	255	1.82%	1,919	13.72%	13,992
Iron	1,533	38.23%	2,438	60.80%	39	0.97%	-905	-22.57%	4,010
Jackson	4,256	41.79%	5,791	56.86%	137	1.35%	-1,535	-15.07%	10,184
Jefferson	19,904	41.48%	27,208	56.71%	867	1.81%	-7,304	-15.23%	47,979
Juneau	4,746	34.62%	8,749	63.82%	214	1.56%	-4,003	-29.20%	13,709
Kenosha	42,193	47.55%	44,972	50.68%	1,573	1.77%	-2,779	-3.13%	88,738
Kewaunee	3,976	32.87%	7,927	65.54%	192	1.59%	-3,951	-32.67%	12,095
La Crosse	37,846	55.75%	28,684	42.25%	1,354	2.00%	9,162	13.50%	67,884
Lafayette	3,647	42.63%	4,821	56.35%	87	1.02%	-1,174	-13.72%	8,555
Langlade	3,704	33.18%	7,330	65.65%	131	1.17%	-3,626	-32.47%	11,165
Lincoln	6,261	37.95%	10,017	60.72%	219	1.33%	-3,756	-22.77%	16,497
Manitowoc	16,818	37.52%	27,218	60.72%	793	1.76%	-10,400	-23.20%	44,829
Marathon	30,808	40.14%	44,624	58.14%	1,319	1.72%	-13,816	-18.00%	76,751
Marinette	7,366	32.06%	15,304	66.60%	309	1.34%	-7,938	-34.54%	22,979
Marquette	3,239	35.73%	5,719	63.09%	107	1.18%	-2,480	-27.36%	9,065
Menominee	1,303	81.95%	278	17.48%	9	0.57%	1,025	64.47%	1,590
Milwaukee	317,527	69.07%	134,482	29.25%	7,714	1.68%	183,045	39.82%	459,723
Monroe	8,433	37.30%	13,775	60.92%	403	1.78%	-5,342	-23.62%	22,611
Oconto	6,715	28.93%	16,226	69.89%	274	1.18%	-9,511	-40.96%	23,215
Oneida	10,105	41.83%	13,671	56.59%	383	1.58%	-3,566	-14.76%	24,159
Outagamie	47,667	44.13%	58,385	54.05%	1,970	1.82%	-10,718	-9.92%	108,022
Ozaukee	26,517	43.13%	33,912	55.15%	1,057	1.72%	-7,395	-12.02%	61,486
Pepin	1,489	35.93%	2,584	62.36%	71	1.71%	-1,095	-26.43%	4,144
Pierce	9,796	42.01%	12,815	54.96%	706	3.03%	-3,019	-12.95%	23,317
Polk	9,370	35.53%	16,611	62.99%	390	1.48%	-7,241	-27.46%	26,371
Portage	20,428	50.31%	19,299	47.53%	876	2.16%	1,129	2.78%	40,603
Price	3,032	35.48%	5,394	63.12%	120	1.40%	-2,362	-27.64%	8,546
Racine	50,159	47.12%	54,479	51.18%	1,813	1.70%	-4,320	-4.06%	106,451
Richland	3,995	44.32%	4,871	54.04%	148	1.64%	-876	-9.72%	9,014
Rock	46,658	54.66%	37,138	43.51%	1,564	1.83%	9,520	11.15%	85,360
Rusk	2,517	31.92%	5,257	66.66%	112	1.42%	-2,740	-34.74%	7,886
Sauk	18,108	50.02%	17,493	48.32%	602	1.66%	615	1.70%	36,203
Sawyer	4,498	42.80%	5,909	56.22%	103	0.98%	-1,411	-13.42%	10,510
Shawano	7,131	31.53%	15,173	67.09%	311	1.38%	-8,042	-35.56%	22,615
Sheboygan	27,101	41.06%	37,609	56.97%	1,301	1.97%	-10,508	-15.91%	66,011
St. Croix	23,190	40.89%	32,199	56.78%	1,318	2.33%	-9,009	-15.89%	56,707
Taylor	2,693	25.20%	7,657	71.65%	336	3.15%	-4,964	-46.45%	10,686
Trempealeau	6,285	40.86%	8,833	57.43%	262	1.71%	-2,548	-16.57%	15,380
Vernon	7,457	46.83%	8,218	51.61%	248	1.56%	-761	-4.78%	15,923
Vilas	5,903	38.41%	9,261	60.26%	205	1.33%	-3,358	-21.85%	15,369
Walworth	22,789	39.56%	33,851	58.77%	960	1.67%	-11,062	-19.21%	57,600
Washburn	3,867	37.26%	6,334	61.03%	177	1.71%	-2,467	-23.77%	10,378
Washington	26,650	30.26%	60,237	68.40%	1,183	1.34%	-33,587	-38.14%	88,070
Waukesha	103,906	38.77%	159,649	59.57%	4,441	1.66%	-55,743	-20.80%	267,996
Waupaca	9,703	33.31%	18,952	65.06%	475	1.63%	-9,249	-31.75%	29,310
Waushara	4,388	32.34%	9,016	66.45%	164	1.21%	-4,628	-34.11%	13,568
Winnebago	44,060	46.86%	47,796	50.83%	2,176	2.31%	-3,736	-3.97%	94,032
Wood	16,365	39.63%	24,308	58.86%	625	1.51%	-7,943	-19.23%	41,298
Totals	1,630,866	49.45%	1,610,184	48.82%	56,991	1.73%	20,682	0.63%	3,298,041

 Swing by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +7.5-10%
•   Democratic — +5-7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%

 Trend relative to the state by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +7.5-10%
•   Democratic — +5-7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%

 County flips

Legend

• Democratic   Hold   Gain from Republican

  Republican   Hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Door (largest municipality: Sturgeon Bay)
• Sauk (largest municipality: Baraboo)

By congressional district

Despite narrowly losing, Trump won 6 out of 8 congressional districts in Wisconsin, including one held by a Democrat.

District	Trump	Biden	Representative
1st	53.9%	44.7%	Bryan Steil
2nd	29.2%	69.4%	Mark Pocan
3rd	51.5%	46.8%	Ron Kind
4th	22.6%	76.2%	Gwen Moore
5th	56.8%	41.7%	Jim Sensenbrenner
			Scott Fitzgerald
6th	56.8%	41.6%	Glenn Grothman
7th	59.2%	39.3%	Tom Tiffany
8th	57.2%	41.3%	Mike Gallagher

Analysis

Wisconsin has voted Republican in gubernatorial and senatorial elections a few times prior to 2016, but Wisconsin was still seen as a lean-Democratic state, as it had a blue streak going back to 1988 and had only gone Republican four times since 1964. As such, it made up part of the blue wall. Trump pulled off a surprise win in the state in 2016, in large part due to a collapse in support for Hillary Clinton in the state.^[52][53]

Both the Democratic and Republican candidates improved on their performances in the state in 2020, with Trump achieving a record total number of votes for a Republican candidate in the state of Wisconsin, nearly matching George W. Bush's 2004 performance in percentage. Conversely, Biden had the second most votes ever for a Democrat in Wisconsin, behind Obama's performance in 2008. While Biden's margin of victory was narrow (0.6%), and well behind Barack Obama's performances, it was slightly wider than Al Gore's 0.2% in 2000 and John Kerry's 0.4% in 2004.

Joe Biden received strong support in the city of Milwaukee, improving on Clinton's 2016 performance by 3.6 points in its county; Biden received 92% and 60% of the black and Latino vote respectively, with most of that electorate living in Milwaukee County. Both candidates performed well in the state with whites, with Trump carrying whites overall by 6 points, though Biden performed better with college-educated whites. Cementing Biden's victory was his strong performance in Dane County, which he carried by nearly 53 points. Biden would also carry La Crosse County by 13 points, Eau Claire County by 10 points, and flipped Sauk County and the bellwether Door County, while only losing Brown County by seven points, winning the county seat Green Bay. Biden even made in-roads in Waukesha and Washington counties, nearly breaking 40% in the former and breaking 30% in the latter, though Trump still held these counties with large margins.^[54]

On the other hand, Trump was able to hold much of the Driftless region in southwestern Wisconsin; many of these counties, such as Vernon, Crawford, and Grant were reliably Democratic during the latter half of the 20th century, but Trump maintained his results from 2016, solidifying a Republican shift in this part of the state. Additionally, Trump performed strongly in the more traditionally conservative northern counties of Wisconsin. Finally, Trump kept Kenosha County in his column, with both candidates improving there; Kenosha County is significant, as it was the site of the Jacob Blake shooting, which triggered nationwide protests.^[55]

Biden became the first Democrat to win the White House without the once-strongly Democratic counties of Kenosha and Forest since Woodrow Wilson in 1916 as well as the first to win without Pepin County since 1944. He was the first Democrat since 1960 to win without Adams, Buffalo, Crawford, Dunn, Jackson, Juneau, Lincoln, Price, Sawyer, and Trempealeau counties; and the first since 1976 to win without Columbia, Grant, Lafayette, Marquette, Racine, Richland, and Vernon counties. In terms of partisan lean, Biden was able to win 7% of Republicans in the state, which is significant, as they voted in this cycle by about 5 points more than Democrats. More importantly, Biden won independent voters by 12 points; Hillary Clinton lost this bloc to Trump by 10 points in 2016.

Pivot counties

Wisconsin is a state with a notable number of pivot counties, meaning counties carried by Obama in the 2008 and 2012 U.S. presidential elections that then flipped for the Republican candidate, Trump, in 2016.^[56] Of Wisconsin's 72 counties, about one-third (N=23, 32%) are considered to be pivot counties, and pivot counties include 17.35 percent of the state population.^[57] Lists of Wisconsin pivot counties a) retained by the Republican presidential candidate in 2020 (Trump) and b) boomerang counties "returning" to the Democratic presidential candidate in 2020 (Biden) are below.^[58]

Retained pivot counties (remained Republican in 2020)

Adams Buffalo Columbia

Crawford Dunn Forest

Grant Jackson Juneau

Kenosha Lafayette Lincoln

Marquette Pepin Price

Racine Richland Sawyer

Trempealeau Vernon Winnebago

Boomerang pivot counties (returned to Democrat in 2020)

Door

Sauk

Edison exit polls

2020 presidential election in Wisconsin by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)^[59]
Demographic subgroup	Biden	Trump	% of total vote
Total vote	49.4	48.8	99
Ideology
Liberals	91	8	25
Moderates	60	38	38
Conservatives	11	88	36
Party
Democrats	96	4	32
Republicans	7	93	37
Independents	54	42	31
Gender
Men	44	54	50
Women	56	43	50
Race/ethnicity
White	46	52	86
Black	92	8	6
Latino	60	37	4
Age
18–24 years old	61	33	8
25–29 years old	56	40	5
30–39 years old	52	46	14
40–49 years old	53	46	14
50–64 years old	46	53	32
65 and older	47	53	26
Sexual orientation
LGBT	80	16	5
Heterosexual	48	51	95
Education
High school or less	44	54	22
Some college education	49	49	27
Associate's degree	43	56	16
Bachelor's degree	52	46	23
Postgraduate degree	68	31	11
Income
Under $30,000	65	31	15
$30,000–49,999	55	44	20
$50,000–99,999	47	52	38
$100,000–199,999	43	56	21
Over $200,000	45	55	5
Union households
Yes	59	40	14
No	48	51	86
Issue regarded as most important
Racial inequality	91	6	13
Coronavirus	88	11	19
Economy	13	85	35
Crime and safety	17	82	13
Health care	81	19	8
Region
Milwaukee County	69	29	14
Milwaukee Suburbs	41	58	22
Dane County	76	23	10
Fox River Valley/N. Lakeshore	43	55	17
Southwest	47	52	19
North	39	59	17
Area type
Urban	69	30	30
Suburban	43	55	49
Rural	38	60	22
Family's financial situation today
Better than four years ago	16	83	39
Worse than four years ago	87	12	21
About the same	63	35	40

Aftermath

See also: Post-election lawsuits related to the 2020 United States presidential election from Wisconsin and Attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election § Wisconsin recount-obstruction

 

Dane County recount being conducted at Monona Terrace in Madison, Wisconsin

On November 6, Trump campaign manager Bill Stepien said: "There have been reports of irregularities in several Wisconsin counties which raise serious doubts about the validity of the results." No evidence of such "irregularities" has been provided by the Trump campaign.^[60][61]

On November 18, the Trump campaign wired nearly $3 million to the Wisconsin Election Commission in a petition for a partial recount of the 2020 presidential election results. The recount would take place in Milwaukee and Dane counties. "These two counties were selected because they are the locations of the worst irregularities," the campaign claimed in a release.^[62]

Milwaukee certified its recount results on November 27, 2020, and led to Joe Biden gaining a net 132 votes. Dane certified its recount results on November 29, 2020, and led to Donald Trump gaining a net 45 votes. In total, the recount across the two counties led to Joe Biden increasing his lead by an additional 87 votes.^[63]

In July 2022 the Wisconsin Supreme Court stated that despite their widespread use in the 2020 presidential election "ballot drop boxes are illegal under Wisconsin statutes".^[64]

Electors

On November 30, Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers certified Wisconsin's electors for Biden.^[65] The following electors all cast their vote for Biden:

• Meg Andrietsch
• Shelia Stubbs
• Ronald Martin
• Mandela Barnes
• Khary Penebaker
• Mary Arnold
• Patty Schachtner
• Shannon Holsey
• Tony Evers
• Ben Wikler

See also

• United States presidential elections in Wisconsin
• Voter suppression in the United States 2019–2020: Wisconsin
• 2020 Wisconsin elections
• 2020 United States presidential election
• 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2020 United States elections

Notes

Voter samples and additional candidates

1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
2. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
3. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
4. "Someone else" with 1%
5. Standard VI response
6. "Some other candidate" with 2%; West (B) and would not vote with 0%
7. If only Biden, Trump and "some other candidate" were available
8. "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
9. Results considering those who lean towards a given candidate among those initially predisposed towards abstention, indecision or a candidate besides Biden or Trump in the response section immediately above
10. "Some other candidate" with 2%
11. "Other" and "Refused/would not vote" with 1%
12. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
13. "Someone else" with 2%
14. "None of these" and "Other" with 0%
15. "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 0%
16. Includes "Refused"
17. "Some other candidate" with 1%; West (B) and would not vote with 0%
18. "Refused" with 6%; "None/other" with 1%; Did not vote with 0%
19. "None of these" with 1%; "Other" with 0%; would not vote with no voters
20. Includes Undecided
21. "Other" with 1%; would not vote with no voters
22. "Some other candidate" with 3%
23. Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
24. Results generated with high Republican turnout model
25. "Refused" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
26. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
27. "Some other candidate" with 2%; West (B) with 1%; would not vote with 0%
28. "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
29. "Someone else/third party" with 3%
30. "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%
31. "Another candidate" with 1%
32. "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
33. "None/other" with 2%; "refused" with 5%
34. "None/other" and "refused" with 1%
35. "Another Party Candidate" with 2%
36. "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 0%
37. Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sampling period
38. "None of these" with 1%; "Other" with 0%
39. "Neither" with 1%; "Other" and would not vote with 0%
40. "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%
41. "Someone else" with 4%
42. Would not vote with 1%
43. "Other/not sure" with 6%
44. "Someone else/third party" with 2%
45. "Refused" with 2%; "None/other" with 0%
46. "Someone else" with 3%
47. "Other" with 1%
48. "Other" and would not vote with 1%
49. "Another Party Candidate"
50. "Another Third Party/Write-in" and West (B) with 1%
51. Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding third party and undecided voters
52. "Neither" with 2%; "refused" with 1%
53. "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
54. West (B) with 2%; "Another Third Party/Write-In" 1%
55. "Other candidate" with 2%
56. "Other party candidate" with 8%
57. "Other" with 2%
58. "Another candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
59. "Libertarian Party candidate/Green Party candidate" with 5%
60. "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
61. "Third party/write-in" with 3%
62. "Neither" with 3%; "Refused" with 1%
63. "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 1%
64. "Neither" with 4%; "Refused" with 0%
65. "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 3%
66. "Other" with 6%; would not vote with 2%
67. "Neither" with 1%; "refused" with 1%
68. A third party candidate with 6%; would not vote with 2%
69. "Neither" with 4%; "refused" with 1%
70. "Neither" with 3%; "refused" with 0%
71. "Neither" with 5%; "refused" with 1%
72. "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 3%
73. A third party candidate with 8%; would not vote with 2%
74. "Neither" with 3%; "refused" with 2%
75. "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 4%
76. "Other" with 7%; would not vote with 3%
77. "Neither" with 2%; "refused" with 2%
78. "Neither" with 5%; "refused" with 2%
79. "Neither" with 5%; "refused" with 0%
80. "Other" with 7%; would not vote with 2%
81. "Other" with 6%; would not vote with 3%
82. Figures for each candidate in this poll include undecided voters who were reported to lean towards that candidate at the time of polling.
83. "It depends on who the Democrats nominate" with 1.9%; "unsure" with 0.9%
84. "Third-party candidate" with 3%
85. "Would probably or definitely vote for someone other than Trump" with 57%
86. "Refused" with 0%
87. Listed as "unlikely to vote for Trump" as opposed to "likely to vote for Trump"
88. Jorgensen and Cohen were nominated by the Libertarian Party of Wisconsin but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.
89. Carroll and Cohen patel were nominated by the American Solidarity Party but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.
90. Hawkins and Walker were nominated by the Wisconsin Green Party but registered as independent write-in candidates because the party was not recognized by the Wisconsin Secretary of State.
91. La Riva and Freeman were nominated by the Party for Socialism and Liberation but registered as independent write-in candidates because the party was not recognized by the Wisconsin Secretary of State.

Partisan clients

1. The Center for American Greatness is a pro-Trump organization
2. This poll’s sponsor, DFER, primarily supports Democratic candidates
3. The Restoration PAC is a 501 non-profit which supports Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign
4. Rust Belt Rising is affiliated with the Democratic Party
5. The Human Rights Campaign endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
6. Heritage Action is the sister organisation of the Heritage Foundation, which exclusively endorses Republican candidates
7. This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
8. Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
9. CAP Action is a political advocacy group that exclusively supports Democratic candidates
10. Poll sponsored by the Sanders campaign
11. Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care

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Further reading

• Summary: State Laws on Presidential Electors (PDF), Washington DC: National Association of Secretaries of State, August 2020, Wisconsin
• David Weigel; Lauren Tierney (August 16, 2020), , Washingtonpost.com, archived from the original on September 9, 2020, retrieved September 7, 2020
• Nick Corasaniti; Stephanie Saul; Patricia Mazzei (September 13, 2020), , New York Times, archived from the original on September 13, 2020, Both parties are waging legal battles around the country over who gets to vote and how
• "Wisconsin Supreme Court keeps Green Party off presidential ballot and allows ballots to be mailed on time", Cnn.com, September 14, 2020
• David Wasserman (October 6, 2020), "The 10 Bellwether Counties That Show How Trump Is in Serious Trouble", The New York Times. (describes bellwether Sauk County, Wisconsin)
• Peter Slevin (October 10, 2020), "What Wisconsin Democrats Learned from 2016", Newyorker.com

External links

• Wisconsin Elections Commission
• Wisconsin at Ballotpedia
•   US state of Wisconsin holds 2020 election amidst COVID-19 concerns at Wikinews
• "League of Women Voters of Wisconsin". September 7, 2017. (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)