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2015 Portuguese legislative election

The 2015 Portuguese legislative election was held on 4 October.[1] All 230 seats of the Assembly of the Republic were in contention.

2015 Portuguese legislative election

← 2011 4 October 2015 2019 →

230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic
116 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered9,684,922 0.6%
Turnout5,408,092 (55.8%)
2.2 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Pedro Passos Coelho António Costa Catarina Martins
Party PSD PS BE
Alliance PàF
Leader since 26 March 2010[a] 28 September 2014 30 November 2014
Leader's seat Lisbon[b] Lisbon Porto
Last election 132 seats, 50.4%[c] 74 seats, 28.0% 8 seats, 5.2%
Seats won 107 86 19
Seat change 25 12 11
Popular vote 2,085,465 1,747,730 550,945
Percentage 38.6% 32.3% 10.2%
Swing 11.8 pp 4.3 pp 5.0 pp

  Fourth party Fifth party
 
Leader Jerónimo de Sousa André Silva
Party PCP PAN
Alliance CDU
Leader since 27 November 2004 26 October 2014
Leader's seat Lisbon Lisbon
Last election 16 seats, 7.9% 0 seats, 1.0%
Seats won 17 1
Seat change 1 1
Popular vote 445,901 75,170
Percentage 8.3% 1.4%
Swing 0.4 pp 0.4 pp

Results by district or autonomous region.
PSD ran alone in the Azores and Madeira.

Prime Minister before election

Pedro Passos Coelho
PSD

Prime Minister after election

Pedro Passos Coelho[d]
PSD

The right-wing coalition Portugal Ahead (PàF), composed of the Social Democratic Party (PSD) and the People's Party (CDS-PP), won the single largest vote with 38.6% and securing almost 47% of the seats in the Assembly. Compared with 2011, this was a loss of 12% in support (although the PSD and the CDS–PP did not contest the 2011 election in coalition). On the electoral map, the coalition won every district in the North and in the Centre except Castelo Branco. They also won in the big districts of Lisbon and Porto. The map shows a clear north–south divide, with the conservative coalition winning almost everything in the North and Centre and the PS winning in the South.

The Socialist Party (PS) was the second most voted political force, winning 32.3% of the vote and 37% of the seats in the Parliament. The PS received a higher share of the vote than in 2011, but did not increase its share by as much of a margin as had been predicted by the opinion polls prior to September 2015. António Costa, former mayor of Lisbon, was not able to win the city of Lisbon, where the PS lost to PàF 35% to 37%. Although the PS and the other left-wing parties did win a clear overall majority in Parliament, in his concession speech Costa said that he would not support "a negative coalition" with the Left Bloc and Communist Party and that he would rather talk and negotiate with the PSD/CDS–PP coalition.[2]

The Left Bloc (BE), despite predictions by opinion polls, achieved its best result in history,[3] with more than 10% of the vote, becoming the third largest parliamentary group. The CDU's (Communists and Greens) share of the vote increased slightly compared to 2011, receiving 8% of the vote and one additional MP. The People-Animals-Nature (PAN) also elected one member of parliament becoming the first time since 1999 in which a new party entered the Assembly.[4] Voter turnout reached a new low, with just 55.8% of the electorate casting their ballot on election day.[3]

Passos Coelho was asked, by the President of the Republic, to form a minority government that took the oath of office on October 30, 2015. The government fell after the approval of a motion to bring it down on 10 November. On 24 November, António Costa was appointed by the President of the Republic as Prime Minister-designate. Costa was sworn in on 26 November 2015.

Background edit

2011–2014 Portugal bailout management edit

After the PSD/CDS–PP government was sworn in, a series of austerity policies, following the bailout deal, were enacted and created several backlash and protests.[5] In September 2012, further austerity policies led to one of the biggest demonstrations against a government in Portuguese democracy, with more than 1 million people going out to the streets across the country.[6] Because of this massive protest, the coalition government was deeply shaken and was forced to drop several policies.[7]

In the summer of 2013, another crisis in the coalition government emerged. The Finance Minister Vítor Gaspar resigned in late June 2013,[8] and Prime Minister Pedro Passos Coelho choose the Treasury Secretary, Maria Luís Albuquerque, to be the next Finance minister.[9] However, CDS – People's Party (CDS-PP) leader, Paulo Portas, criticized the choice of the new minister and announced his "irrevocable" resignation from the government.[10] Prime Minister Passos Coelho didn't accepted Portas's resignation and refused also to leave his office, opting, instead, to negotiate a new government organization with Portas.[11] A deal was reached a few days later, in which Portas would become Deputy Prime Minister and with more powers on economic affairs.[12] But, President Aníbal Cavaco Silva refused to accept the deal and forced negotiations between PSD and PS, in which a deal between parties to maintain economic stability and snap elections in 2014 were on the table.[13] Despite the Presidential preassures, talks between PSD and PS fell apart and Cavaco Silva was forced to accept the PSD/CDS–PP original deal.[14]

The Social Democrats (PSD) suffered a considerable setback in the 2013 local elections by gathering just 31% of the votes and 106 mayors, a drop of 33 cities, while the Socialists (PS) obtained their best result till that date, 150 mayors, a gain of 18, and won almost 37% of the votes.[15] In May 2014, Portugal was successful in exiting the economic bailout that was negotiated in 2011.[16]

Leadership changes and challenges edit

Socialist Party edit

After José Sócrates resignation from the party's leadership, due to the poor result of the Socialists in the 2011 elections,[17] a snap leadership election was called to elect a new leader for 22 and 23 July 2011.[18] There were two candidates on the ballot: António José Seguro and Francisco Assis.[19] Seguro was elected by a landslide and the results were the following:

Ballot: 22 and 23 July 2011
Candidate Votes %
António José Seguro 23,903 68.0
Francisco Assis 11,257 32.0
Blank/Invalid ballots 367
Turnout 35,527
Source:

The 2014 Portuguese Socialist Party prime ministerial primary was held on 28 September 2014. Following the party's disappointing result in the 2014 European elections, in which the PS got just 31% of the votes against the 28% of the PSD/CDS coalition, then Mayor of Lisbon António Costa called the results "tiny" (poucochinho), and challenged António José Seguro for the leadership.[20] It was the first open primary in the history of the party, and of Portugal, and elected the party's candidate for Prime Minister for the 2015 general election. In end, only two candidates ran: António José Seguro, General Secretary of the party at the time of the primary, and António Costa, mayor of Lisbon. António Costa won the primary by a landslide with 67.9% of the vote against the 31.7% of Antonio José Seguro, resulting in Seguro conceding defeat and resigning as General Secretary of the party. Thereafter, Costa was elected as the new Socialist General Secretary on 22 November 2014.[21] The results were the following:

Ballot: 28 September 2014
Candidate Votes %
António Costa 120,188 67.8
António José Seguro 55,928 31.5
Blank/Invalid ballots 1,234 0.7
Turnout 177,350 70.71
Source:

Left Bloc edit

One year after the disappointing results of the party in the 2011 elections, the then Left Bloc leader, Francisco Louçã, decided to leave the leadership[22] and a party convention was held to elect a new leader. In November 2012, the party elected a dual leadership headed by João Semedo and Catarina Martins.[23]

Ballot: 30 November 2012
Candidate Votes %
João Semedo
Catarina Martins
359 76.5
João Madeira 110 23.5
Turnout 469
Source: Results

However, bad polling and election results, specially the 2014 European elections results, put pressure in the party's leadership,[24] and a new party convention, in 2014, showed a very divided party as the dual leadership of Semedo and Martins was reelected by a very slim margin. The results were the following:

Ballot: 23 November 2014
Candidate Votes %
João Semedo
Catarina Martins
266 50.8
Pedro Filipe Soares 258 49.2
Turnout 524
Source: Results

Just 7 days after the very close result in the party's convention, on 30 November 2014, João Semedo resigned as party coordinator and Catarina Martins became to sole party coordinator.[25]

Date edit

 
Official logo of the election.

According to the Portuguese Constitution, an election must be called between 14 September and 14 October of the year that the legislature ends. The election is called by the President of Portugal but is not called at the request of the Prime Minister, however the President must listen all the parties represented in Parliament and the election day must be announced at least 60 days before the election.[26] If an election is called in the middle of the legislature (Dissolution of Parliament) it must be held at least in 55 days. Election day is the same in all multi-seats constituencies, and should fall on a Sunday or national holiday. The next legislative election must, therefore, took place no later than 11 October 2015.[27] After meeting with all of the parties represented in parliament on 21 July 2015, the President Aníbal Cavaco Silva called the election for 4 October.[1]

Electoral system edit

The Assembly of the Republic has 230 members elected to four-year terms. Governments do not require absolute majority support of the Assembly to hold office, as even if the number of opposers of government is larger than that of the supporters, the number of opposers still needs to be equal or greater than 116 (absolute majority) for both the Government's Programme to be rejected or for a motion of no confidence to be approved.[28]

The number of seats assigned to each district depends on the district magnitude.[29] The use of the d'Hondt method makes for a higher effective threshold than certain other allocation methods such as the Hare quota or Sainte-Laguë method, which are more generous to small parties.[30]

For these elections, and compared with the 2011 elections, the MPs distributed by districts were the following:[31]

District Number of MPs Map
Lisbon 47
Porto 39
Braga 19
Setúbal(+1) 18
Aveiro 16
Leiria 10
Coimbra, Faro, Viseu and Santarém(–1) 9
Madeira and Viana do Castelo 6
Azores and Vila Real 5
Castelo Branco and Guarda 4
Beja, Bragança, Évora 3
Portalegre, Europe and Outside Europe 2

Parties edit

Parliamentary factions edit

The table below lists the parties represented in the Assembly of the Republic during the 12th legislature (2011–2015):

Name Ideology Political position Leader 2011 result
Votes (%) Seats
PPD/PSD Social Democratic Party
Partido Social Democrata
Liberal conservatism
Classical liberalism
Centre-right Pedro Passos Coelho 38.7%
108 / 230
PS Socialist Party
Partido Socialista
Social democracy Centre-left António Costa 28.1%
74 / 230
CDS-PP CDS – People's Party
Centro Democrático e Social – Partido Popular
Christian democracy
Conservatism
Centre-right
to right-wing
Paulo Portas 11.7%
24 / 230
PCP Portuguese Communist Party
Partido Comunista Português
Communism
Marxism–Leninism
Far-left Jerónimo de Sousa 7.9%
[e]
14 / 230
PEV Ecologist Party "The Greens"
Partido Ecologista "Os Verdes"
Eco-socialism
Green politics
Left-wing Heloísa Apolónia
2 / 230
BE Left Bloc
Bloco de Esquerda
Democratic socialism
Anti-capitalism
Left-wing Catarina Martins 5.2%
8 / 230

Contesting parties edit

The parties and coalitions that contested seats to the Portuguese parliament, and their leaders, were:

Political party Leader Political spectrum Political groups of the European Parliament
Portugal Ahead (Portugal à Frente)
Social Democratic Party (PSD)
CDS – People's Party (CDS-PP)
Pedro Passos Coelho Centre-right to
Right-wing
European People's Party Group (EPP)
Socialist Party (PS) António Costa Centre-left Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats (S&D)
Unitary Democratic Coalition (CDU)
Portuguese Communist Party (PCP)
Ecologist Party "The Greens" (PEV)
Jerónimo de Sousa Left-wing European United Left–Nordic Green Left (GUE/NGL)
Left Bloc (BE) Catarina Martins Left-wing European United Left–Nordic Green Left (GUE/NGL)
Portuguese Workers' Communist Party (PCTP-MRPP) António Garcia Pereira Far-left -
Earth Party (MPT) José Inácio Faria Centre-right Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe Group (ALDE/ADLE)
People-Animals-Nature (PAN) André Silva Centre-left -
National Renovator Party (PNR) José Pinto Coelho Far-right -
We, the Citizens! (NC) Mendo Castro Henriques Centre to
Centre-right[32]
-
LIVRE/Tempo de Avançar (L/TDA) Rui Tavares Centre-left to Left-wing -
Democratic Republican Party (PDR) António Marinho e Pinto Centre Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe Group (ALDE/ADLE)
ACT! (AGIR)
Portuguese Labour Party (PTP)
Socialist Alternative Movement (MAS)
Joana Amaral Dias Centre-left to Far-left -
People's Monarchist Party (PPM) Paulo Estevão Right-wing -
Christian Democratic and Citizenship (CDC/PPV) Tânia Avillez Right-wing -
United Party of Retirees and Pensioners (PURP) António Mateus Dias Big tent -
Together for the People (JPP) Filipe Sousa Centre -

Campaign period edit

Party slogans edit

Party or alliance Original slogan English translation Refs
PàF « Agora Portugal pode mais » "Now Portugal can do more" [33]
PS « É tempo de confiança » "It's time for trust" [34]
CDU « Soluções para um Portugal com futuro » "Solutions for a Portugal with a future" [35]
BE « Faz a diferença. Gente de verdade » "Make a difference. Real people" [36]
PAN « A causa de todos » "The cause of all" [37]

Candidates' debates edit

After changes in the electoral law that obligated that all of the parties contesting an election should be represented in debates, the 3 main TV networks RTP, SIC and TVI proposed 3 debates between the two main candidates António Costa and Pedro Passos Coelho and also a series of head-to-head debates between various party leaders and one debate with all party leaders.[38] After meetings with the various parties, it was decided to hold two face-to-face debates between António Costa and Pedro Passos Coelho in which one would be broadcast on television and the other on radio. There was also going to be a debate between all the parties represented in Parliament but it was cancelled by the refusal of the PSD/CDS-PP coalition to have only the leader of the PSD on the debate and not also the leader of the CDS-PP, Paulo Portas[39][40]

Completed televised debates:

Portuguese legislative election debates, 2015
 N°. Date Broadcaster Moderator(s) Invitees Notes
 Name  Invited Participant.    N  Non-invitee.          
1 1 September RTP Informação Vítor Gonçalves N N Jerónimo Martins
2 8 September SIC Notícias Ana Lourenço Portas N N Martins
3 9 September RTP1
SIC
TVI
Judite de Sousa
Clara de Sousa
João Adelino Faria
P. Coelho Costa N N Broadcast simultaneously on the 3 major TV networks.
4 11 September RTP Informação Vítor Gonçalves P. Coelho N N Martins
5 14 September TVI24 Pedro Pinto N Costa N Martins
6 16 September SIC Notícias Ana Lourenço N Costa Jerónimo N
7 17 September Antena 1
RR
TSF
Graça Franco
Maria Flor Pedroso
Paulo Baldaia
P. Coelho Costa N N Broadcast simultaneously on 3 national radio stations.
8 18 September TVI24 José Alberto Carvalho Portas N Apolónia N
Candidate viewed as "most convincing" in each debate
Debate Poll source         Notes
3 9 September RTP1/SIC/TVI Aximage 35.7 48.0 16.3% said it was a tie.
Eurosondagem 31.8 40.0 28.2% said neither won or it was a tie.
7 17 September Antena 1/RR/TSF Marktest 42.5 29.5 14.2% said neither won and 13.8% were undecided.

Opinion polling edit

Voter turnout edit

The table below shows voter turnout throughout election day including voters from Overseas.

Turnout Time
12:00 16:00 19:00
2011 2015 ± 2011 2015 ± 2011 2015 ±
Total 20.01% 20.65%   0.64 pp 41.98% 44.38%   2.40 pp 58.03% 55.84%   2.19 pp
Sources[41][42]

Results edit

The results display a relative victory of the right-wing coalition, but they also display a combined victory of the left-wing parties (including the Socialist Party), with a hung parliament (a right-wing single winner and a left-wing majority parliament).[43][44]

National summary edit

Summary of the 4 October 2015 Assembly of the Republic elections results
 
Parties Votes % ±pp swing MPs MPs %/
votes %
2011 2015 ± % ±
Portugal Ahead (PSD/CDS–PP)[f] 1,993,504 36.86  10.9 124 102  22 44.35  10.5 1.20
Socialist 1,747,730 32.32  4.3 74 86  12 37.39  5.2 1.16
Left Bloc 550,945 10.19  5.0 8 19  11 8.26  4.8 0.81
Unitary Democratic Coalition 445,901 8.25  0.4 16 17  1 7.39  0.4 0.90
Social Democratic[g] 80,841 1.49 7 5  2 2.17  0.9 1.45
People-Animals-Nature 75,170 1.39  0.4 0 1  1 0.43  0.4 0.31
Democratic Republican 61,920 1.13 0 0.00 0.0
Portuguese Workers' Communist 60,045 1.11  0.0 0 0  0 0.00  0.0 0.0
LIVRE/Time to move forward 39,330 0.73 0 0.00 0.0
National Renovator 27,286 0.50  0.2 0 0  0 0.00  0.0 0.0
Earth 22,627 0.42  0.0 0 0  0 0.00  0.0 0.0
We, the Citizens! 21,382 0.40 0 0.00 0.0
ACT! (Labour/Socialist Alternative) 20,793 0.38 0 0.00 0.0
People's Monarchist 14,916 0.28  0.0 0 0  0 0.00  0.0 0.0
Together for the People 14,275 0.26 0 0.00 0.0
United Party of Retirees and Pensioners 13,899 0.26 0 0.00 0.0
People's[h] 7,496 0.14 1 0  1 0.00  0.4 0.0
Alliance Azores (CDS–PP/PPM)[i] 3,624 0.07 0 0  0 0.00  0.0 0.0
Citizenship and Christian Democracy 2,685 0.05  0.1 0 0  0 0.00  0.0 0.0
Labour[j] 1,744 0.03 0 0  0 0.00  0.0 0.0
Total valid 5,206,113 96.27  0.4 230 230  0 100.00  0.0
Blank ballots 112,955 2.09  0.6
Invalid ballots 89,024 1.65  0.3
Total 5,408,092 100.00
Registered voters/turnout 9,684,922 55.84  2.2
Source: Diário da República - Resultados Oficias
Vote share
PàF
36.86%
PS
32.32%
BE
10.19%
CDU
8.25%
PSD
1.49%
PAN
1.39%
PDR
1.13%
PCTP/MRPP
1.11%
L/TDA
0.73%
PNR
0.50%
Others
2.29%
Blank/Invalid
3.74%
Parliamentary seats
PàF
44.35%
PS
37.39%
BE
8.26%
CDU
7.39%
PSD
2.17%
PAN
0.43%

Distribution by constituency edit

Results of the 2015 election of the Portuguese Assembly of the Republic
by constituency
Constituency % S % S % S % S % S % S Total
S
PàF PS BE CDU PSD PAN
Azores 40.3 3 7.8 - 2.5 - 36.1 2 0.9 - 5
Aveiro 48.1 10 27.9 5 9.6 1 4.4 - 1.0 - 16
Beja 20.1 1 37.3 1 8.2 - 25.0 1 0.8 - 3
Braga 45.6 10 30.9 7 8.8 1 5.2 1 0.8 - 19
Bragança 49.4 2 34.1 1 5.5 - 3.1 - 0.6 - 3
Castelo Branco 35.3 2 38.9 2 10.0 - 6.0 - 0.8 - 4
Coimbra 37.2 4 35.3 4 9.9 1 7.0 - 1.0 - 9
Évora 23.9 1 37.5 1 8.6 - 21.9 1 0.9 - 3
Faro 31.5 3 32.8 4 14.1 1 8.7 1 2.0 - 9
Guarda 45.6 2 33.8 2 7.4 - 4.0 - 0.9 - 4
Leiria 48.4 6 24.8 3 9.7 1 5.1 - 1.2 - 10
Lisbon 34.7 18 33.5 18 10.9 5 9.8 5 2.0 1 47
Madeira 20.9 2 10.7 1 3.6 - 37.8 3 1.8 - 6
Portalegre 27.6 1 42.4 1 9.2 - 12.2 - 0.8 - 2
Porto 39.6 17 32.7 14 11.1 5 6.8 3 1.6 - 39
Santarém 35.8 4 32.9 3 10.8 1 9.6 1 1.2 - 9
Setúbal 22.6 5 34.3 7 13.1 2 18.8 4 1.9 - 18
Viana do Castelo 45.5 4 29.8 2 8.0 - 5.2 - 0.9 - 6
Vila Real 51.0 3 33.1 2 5.2 - 3.0 - 0.6 - 5
Viseu 51.1 6 29.7 3 6.7 - 3.5 - 0.7 - 9
Europe 39.1 1 29.9 1 5.8 - 5.9 - 0.9 - 2
Outside Europe 48.5 2 10.8 - 1.6 - 1.5 - 1.8 - 2
Total 36.9 102 32.3 86 10.2 19 8.3 17 1.5 5 1.4 1 230
Source:

Maps edit

Aftermath edit

Government formation edit

The Socialists, the Left Bloc, the Communists and the Greens started negotiations to form a left-wing majority coalition government.[45][46] On 19 October 2015, the Secretary-General of the Socialist Party, António Costa, rejected the proposal for a post-election coalition government with the right-wing alliance PàF.[47] On the next day, Costa said that the Socialist Party would reject in the parliament any government that would be led by Pedro Passos Coelho and supported by the right-wing coalition Portugal Ahead. During the same day, António Costa guaranteed to President Aníbal Cavaco Silva that the Socialist Party had the conditions to form a government, supported in the parliament by the Left Bloc and the Communist Party.[48] After being consulted by the President, the Socialist Party, the Left Bloc, the Communist Party and the Greens expressed their intention to support a government of the Socialist Party, led by António Costa.

Among the most likely scenarios that were considered for a new government were:[49][50]

  • A right-wing (PàF) minority government without the support of the Socialists (without majority support from the new parliament; rejected by Costa);
  • A right-wing (PàF) minority government with the parliamentary support of the Socialists (rejected by Costa);
  • A grand coalition government including the right-wing coalition (PàF) and the Socialists (rejected by Costa);
  • A minority government of the Socialist Party with the parliamentary support of the Left Bloc and the Communists (most likely);
  • A left-wing coalition government including the Socialists, the Left Bloc and the Communists;
  • A caretaker government, until new elections are held, if the parties fail to reach an agreement.

On 22 October, President Aníbal Cavaco Silva controversially designated Pedro Passos Coelho to form a new government,[51] which after taking the oath of office had 10 days to submit its programme in Parliament. But the PS, BE and CDU had already stated that they would call a motion of rejection to bring down the government.[52]

On 23 October, the new Assembly of the Republic was opened. Eduardo Ferro Rodrigues, a Socialist, was elected as President of the Assembly with the support of the Socialists, the Communists, the Left Bloc and the Greens. He received 120 votes against 108 votes for the government's candidate.[53]

The members of the second Passos Coelho government took the oath of office on 30 October.[54][55] The government programme was to be voted in the Parliament on 10 November.[56]

Fall of the government edit

The Socialist Party reached agreements with the three other left-wing parties: the Left Bloc, the Communists and the Greens. Those agreements were eventually approved by the national organs of the Socialist Party on 8 November.[57][58] On 10 November, the Portugal Ahead government programme was rejected in a motion of rejection by a vote of 123 to 107 MPs.[59]

Motion of Rejection
Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
Ballot → 10 November 2015
Required majority → 116 out of 230  Y
No
107 / 230
Yes
123 / 230
Abstentions
0 / 230
Absentees
0 / 230
Sources[60]

On 26 November, a new government was established as a Socialist Party minority government led by António Costa, Socialist Party leader, with the confidence and supply of the Left Bloc, the Communist Party and the Green Party.[61]

See also edit

Notes edit

  1. ^ As leader of the Social Democratic Party (PSD). The leader of the People's Party (CDS–PP) is the deputy prime minister Paulo Portas.
  2. ^ In the 2011 election, Pedro Passos Coelho was elected in the district of Vila Real.
  3. ^ Sum of votes and seats of the PSD and the CDS–PP in the 2011 election. PSD: 38.7%, 108 seats; CDS–PP: 11.7%, 24 seats.
  4. ^ Following the election, Pedro Passos Coelho was first designated as Prime Minister by the President of the Republic with a PSD/CDS-PP minority government. He took the oath of office for his second term on October 30, 2015. On November 10, 2015, Coelho's government was defeated in a motion of no confidence vote, 123 against 107, prompting the fall of his government. The President of the Republic, Aníbal Cavaco Silva, then invited PS leader António Costa to form a minority government with the support of BE and CDU. Costa's minority government was sworn in on 26 November 2015.
  5. ^ The Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Ecologist Party "The Greens" (PEV) contested the 2011 election in a coalition called Unitary Democratic Coalition (CDU) and won a combined 7.9% of the vote and elected 16 MPs to parliament.
  6. ^ Electoral lists only in continental Portugal.
  7. ^ Electoral list only in Madeira and Azores.
  8. ^ Electoral list only in Madeira.
  9. ^ Electoral list only in Azores.
  10. ^ Electoral list only in Madeira.

References edit

  1. ^ a b "Cavaco Silva marca eleições legislativas para dia 4 de outubro" (in Portuguese). 22 July 2015. Retrieved 22 July 2015.
  2. ^ "António Costa recusa coligação negativa e só viabiliza políticas do PS" (in Portuguese). 4 October 2015. Retrieved 5 October 2015.
  3. ^ a b "As cores finais do país que votou" (in Portuguese). 15 October 2015. Retrieved 26 November 2015.
  4. ^ "PAN elege um deputado. Livre e PDR falham" (in Portuguese). 5 October 2015. Retrieved 26 November 2015.
  5. ^ "Contra a austeridade, protestos na cidade". Público (in Portuguese). Lisbon. 27 November 2011. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
  6. ^ "Manifestação de 15 de setembro terá sido a maior desde o 25 de abril". Dinheiro Vivo (in Portuguese). Lisbon. 15 September 2012. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
  7. ^ "Portugal após o recuo do Governo na TSU". Público (in Portuguese). Lisbon. 23 September 2012. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
  8. ^ "Vítor Gaspar sai e queixa-se de falta de coesão do Governo". Público (in Portuguese). Lisbon. 1 July 2013. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
  9. ^ "Maria Luís Albuquerque é a nova ministra das Finanças". RTP (in Portuguese). Lisbon. 1 July 2013. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
  10. ^ "Paulo Portas afirma que a decisão de se demitir é irrevogável". RTP (in Portuguese). Lisbon. 2 July 2013. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
  11. ^ "Passos não se demite, nem aceitou ainda a demissão de Portas". Público (in Portuguese). Lisbon. 3 July 2013. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
  12. ^ "Portas é vice-primeiro-ministro com coordenação económica, troika e reforma do Estado". Público (in Portuguese). Lisbon. 6 July 2013. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
  13. ^ "Cavaco quer conclusão das negociações entre partidos "num prazo muito curto" (act)". Jornal de Negócios (in Portuguese). Lisbon. 12 July 2013. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
  14. ^ "Cavaco aceita Governo remodelado com Portas em vice-primeiro-ministro". RTP (in Portuguese). Lisbon. 23 July 2013. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
  15. ^ "Passos Coelho assume derrota". Jornal de Notícias (in Portuguese). Lisbon. 29 September 2013. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
  16. ^ "PM anuncia hoje modelo de saída do resgate financeiro". Diário de Notícias (in Portuguese). Lisbon. 4 May 2014. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
  17. ^ "Sócrates demite-se de líder do PS e recusa novo cargo político", Público, 5 June 2011. Retrieved 21 November 2021.
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External links edit

  • Popstar Poll Tracker
  • Marktest Opinion Poll Tracker
  • Official results site, Portuguese Internal Administration Ministry
  • Portuguese Electoral Commission
  • ERC - Official publication of polls
  • NSD: European Election Database - Portugal 2014-12-20 at the Wayback Machine publishes regional level election data; allows for comparisons of election results, 1991-2011

2015, portuguese, legislative, election, held, october, seats, assembly, republic, were, contention, 2011, october, 2015, 2019, seats, assembly, republic116, seats, needed, majorityopinion, pollsregistered9, turnout5, first, party, second, party, third, party,. The 2015 Portuguese legislative election was held on 4 October 1 All 230 seats of the Assembly of the Republic were in contention 2015 Portuguese legislative election 2011 4 October 2015 2019 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic116 seats needed for a majorityOpinion pollsRegistered9 684 922 0 6 Turnout5 408 092 55 8 2 2 pp First party Second party Third party Leader Pedro Passos Coelho Antonio Costa Catarina MartinsParty PSD PS BEAlliance PaFLeader since 26 March 2010 a 28 September 2014 30 November 2014Leader s seat Lisbon b Lisbon PortoLast election 132 seats 50 4 c 74 seats 28 0 8 seats 5 2 Seats won 107 86 19Seat change 25 12 11Popular vote 2 085 465 1 747 730 550 945Percentage 38 6 32 3 10 2 Swing 11 8 pp 4 3 pp 5 0 pp Fourth party Fifth party Leader Jeronimo de Sousa Andre SilvaParty PCP PANAlliance CDULeader since 27 November 2004 26 October 2014Leader s seat Lisbon LisbonLast election 16 seats 7 9 0 seats 1 0 Seats won 17 1Seat change 1 1Popular vote 445 901 75 170Percentage 8 3 1 4 Swing 0 4 pp 0 4 ppResults by district or autonomous region PSD ran alone in the Azores and Madeira Prime Minister before electionPedro Passos CoelhoPSD Prime Minister after election Pedro Passos Coelho d PSDThe right wing coalition Portugal Ahead PaF composed of the Social Democratic Party PSD and the People s Party CDS PP won the single largest vote with 38 6 and securing almost 47 of the seats in the Assembly Compared with 2011 this was a loss of 12 in support although the PSD and the CDS PP did not contest the 2011 election in coalition On the electoral map the coalition won every district in the North and in the Centre except Castelo Branco They also won in the big districts of Lisbon and Porto The map shows a clear north south divide with the conservative coalition winning almost everything in the North and Centre and the PS winning in the South The Socialist Party PS was the second most voted political force winning 32 3 of the vote and 37 of the seats in the Parliament The PS received a higher share of the vote than in 2011 but did not increase its share by as much of a margin as had been predicted by the opinion polls prior to September 2015 Antonio Costa former mayor of Lisbon was not able to win the city of Lisbon where the PS lost to PaF 35 to 37 Although the PS and the other left wing parties did win a clear overall majority in Parliament in his concession speech Costa said that he would not support a negative coalition with the Left Bloc and Communist Party and that he would rather talk and negotiate with the PSD CDS PP coalition 2 The Left Bloc BE despite predictions by opinion polls achieved its best result in history 3 with more than 10 of the vote becoming the third largest parliamentary group The CDU s Communists and Greens share of the vote increased slightly compared to 2011 receiving 8 of the vote and one additional MP The People Animals Nature PAN also elected one member of parliament becoming the first time since 1999 in which a new party entered the Assembly 4 Voter turnout reached a new low with just 55 8 of the electorate casting their ballot on election day 3 Passos Coelho was asked by the President of the Republic to form a minority government that took the oath of office on October 30 2015 The government fell after the approval of a motion to bring it down on 10 November On 24 November Antonio Costa was appointed by the President of the Republic as Prime Minister designate Costa was sworn in on 26 November 2015 Contents 1 Background 1 1 2011 2014 Portugal bailout management 1 2 Leadership changes and challenges 1 2 1 Socialist Party 1 2 2 Left Bloc 1 3 Date 1 4 Electoral system 2 Parties 2 1 Parliamentary factions 2 2 Contesting parties 3 Campaign period 3 1 Party slogans 3 2 Candidates debates 4 Opinion polling 5 Voter turnout 6 Results 6 1 National summary 6 2 Distribution by constituency 6 3 Maps 7 Aftermath 7 1 Government formation 7 2 Fall of the government 8 See also 9 Notes 10 References 11 External linksBackground edit2011 2014 Portugal bailout management edit See also Economic Adjustment Programme for Portugal See also 2011 Portuguese legislative election 2013 political crisis After the PSD CDS PP government was sworn in a series of austerity policies following the bailout deal were enacted and created several backlash and protests 5 In September 2012 further austerity policies led to one of the biggest demonstrations against a government in Portuguese democracy with more than 1 million people going out to the streets across the country 6 Because of this massive protest the coalition government was deeply shaken and was forced to drop several policies 7 In the summer of 2013 another crisis in the coalition government emerged The Finance Minister Vitor Gaspar resigned in late June 2013 8 and Prime Minister Pedro Passos Coelho choose the Treasury Secretary Maria Luis Albuquerque to be the next Finance minister 9 However CDS People s Party CDS PP leader Paulo Portas criticized the choice of the new minister and announced his irrevocable resignation from the government 10 Prime Minister Passos Coelho didn t accepted Portas s resignation and refused also to leave his office opting instead to negotiate a new government organization with Portas 11 A deal was reached a few days later in which Portas would become Deputy Prime Minister and with more powers on economic affairs 12 But President Anibal Cavaco Silva refused to accept the deal and forced negotiations between PSD and PS in which a deal between parties to maintain economic stability and snap elections in 2014 were on the table 13 Despite the Presidential preassures talks between PSD and PS fell apart and Cavaco Silva was forced to accept the PSD CDS PP original deal 14 The Social Democrats PSD suffered a considerable setback in the 2013 local elections by gathering just 31 of the votes and 106 mayors a drop of 33 cities while the Socialists PS obtained their best result till that date 150 mayors a gain of 18 and won almost 37 of the votes 15 In May 2014 Portugal was successful in exiting the economic bailout that was negotiated in 2011 16 Leadership changes and challenges edit Socialist Party edit After Jose Socrates resignation from the party s leadership due to the poor result of the Socialists in the 2011 elections 17 a snap leadership election was called to elect a new leader for 22 and 23 July 2011 18 There were two candidates on the ballot Antonio Jose Seguro and Francisco Assis 19 Seguro was elected by a landslide and the results were the following Ballot 22 and 23 July 2011 Candidate Votes Antonio Jose Seguro 23 903 68 0Francisco Assis 11 257 32 0Blank Invalid ballots 367 Turnout 35 527Source Official resultsMain article Portuguese Socialist Party prime ministerial primary 2014 The 2014 Portuguese Socialist Party prime ministerial primary was held on 28 September 2014 Following the party s disappointing result in the 2014 European elections in which the PS got just 31 of the votes against the 28 of the PSD CDS coalition then Mayor of Lisbon Antonio Costa called the results tiny poucochinho and challenged Antonio Jose Seguro for the leadership 20 It was the first open primary in the history of the party and of Portugal and elected the party s candidate for Prime Minister for the 2015 general election In end only two candidates ran Antonio Jose Seguro General Secretary of the party at the time of the primary and Antonio Costa mayor of Lisbon Antonio Costa won the primary by a landslide with 67 9 of the vote against the 31 7 of Antonio Jose Seguro resulting in Seguro conceding defeat and resigning as General Secretary of the party Thereafter Costa was elected as the new Socialist General Secretary on 22 November 2014 21 The results were the following Ballot 28 September 2014 Candidate Votes Antonio Costa 120 188 67 8Antonio Jose Seguro 55 928 31 5Blank Invalid ballots 1 234 0 7Turnout 177 350 70 71Source Official ResultsLeft Bloc edit One year after the disappointing results of the party in the 2011 elections the then Left Bloc leader Francisco Louca decided to leave the leadership 22 and a party convention was held to elect a new leader In November 2012 the party elected a dual leadership headed by Joao Semedo and Catarina Martins 23 Ballot 30 November 2012 Candidate Votes Joao SemedoCatarina Martins 359 76 5Joao Madeira 110 23 5Turnout 469Source ResultsHowever bad polling and election results specially the 2014 European elections results put pressure in the party s leadership 24 and a new party convention in 2014 showed a very divided party as the dual leadership of Semedo and Martins was reelected by a very slim margin The results were the following Ballot 23 November 2014 Candidate Votes Joao SemedoCatarina Martins 266 50 8Pedro Filipe Soares 258 49 2Turnout 524Source ResultsJust 7 days after the very close result in the party s convention on 30 November 2014 Joao Semedo resigned as party coordinator and Catarina Martins became to sole party coordinator 25 Date edit nbsp Official logo of the election According to the Portuguese Constitution an election must be called between 14 September and 14 October of the year that the legislature ends The election is called by the President of Portugal but is not called at the request of the Prime Minister however the President must listen all the parties represented in Parliament and the election day must be announced at least 60 days before the election 26 If an election is called in the middle of the legislature Dissolution of Parliament it must be held at least in 55 days Election day is the same in all multi seats constituencies and should fall on a Sunday or national holiday The next legislative election must therefore took place no later than 11 October 2015 27 After meeting with all of the parties represented in parliament on 21 July 2015 the President Anibal Cavaco Silva called the election for 4 October 1 Electoral system edit The Assembly of the Republic has 230 members elected to four year terms Governments do not require absolute majority support of the Assembly to hold office as even if the number of opposers of government is larger than that of the supporters the number of opposers still needs to be equal or greater than 116 absolute majority for both the Government s Programme to be rejected or for a motion of no confidence to be approved 28 The number of seats assigned to each district depends on the district magnitude 29 The use of the d Hondt method makes for a higher effective threshold than certain other allocation methods such as the Hare quota or Sainte Lague method which are more generous to small parties 30 For these elections and compared with the 2011 elections the MPs distributed by districts were the following 31 District Number of MPs MapLisbon 47 nbsp 19 6 39 5 3 16 9 4 9 4 10 9 47 2 3 18 3 9 6 5 2 2Porto 39Braga 19Setubal 1 18Aveiro 16Leiria 10Coimbra Faro Viseu and Santarem 1 9Madeira and Viana do Castelo 6Azores and Vila Real 5Castelo Branco and Guarda 4Beja Braganca Evora 3Portalegre Europe and Outside Europe 2Parties editParliamentary factions edit The table below lists the parties represented in the Assembly of the Republic during the 12th legislature 2011 2015 Name Ideology Political position Leader 2011 resultVotes SeatsPPD PSD Social Democratic PartyPartido Social Democrata Liberal conservatismClassical liberalism Centre right Pedro Passos Coelho 38 7 108 230PS Socialist PartyPartido Socialista Social democracy Centre left Antonio Costa 28 1 74 230CDS PP CDS People s PartyCentro Democratico e Social Partido Popular Christian democracyConservatism Centre rightto right wing Paulo Portas 11 7 24 230PCP Portuguese Communist PartyPartido Comunista Portugues CommunismMarxism Leninism Far left Jeronimo de Sousa 7 9 e 14 230PEV Ecologist Party The Greens Partido Ecologista Os Verdes Eco socialismGreen politics Left wing Heloisa Apolonia 2 230BE Left BlocBloco de Esquerda Democratic socialismAnti capitalism Left wing Catarina Martins 5 2 8 230Contesting parties edit The parties and coalitions that contested seats to the Portuguese parliament and their leaders were Political party Leader Political spectrum Political groups of the European ParliamentPortugal Ahead Portugal a Frente Social Democratic Party PSD CDS People s Party CDS PP Pedro Passos Coelho Centre right toRight wing European People s Party Group EPP Socialist Party PS Antonio Costa Centre left Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats S amp D Unitary Democratic Coalition CDU Portuguese Communist Party PCP Ecologist Party The Greens PEV Jeronimo de Sousa Left wing European United Left Nordic Green Left GUE NGL Left Bloc BE Catarina Martins Left wing European United Left Nordic Green Left GUE NGL Portuguese Workers Communist Party PCTP MRPP Antonio Garcia Pereira Far left Earth Party MPT Jose Inacio Faria Centre right Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe Group ALDE ADLE People Animals Nature PAN Andre Silva Centre left National Renovator Party PNR Jose Pinto Coelho Far right We the Citizens NC Mendo Castro Henriques Centre to Centre right 32 LIVRE Tempo de Avancar L TDA Rui Tavares Centre left to Left wing Democratic Republican Party PDR Antonio Marinho e Pinto Centre Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe Group ALDE ADLE ACT AGIR Portuguese Labour Party PTP Socialist Alternative Movement MAS Joana Amaral Dias Centre left to Far left People s Monarchist Party PPM Paulo Estevao Right wing Christian Democratic and Citizenship CDC PPV Tania Avillez Right wing United Party of Retirees and Pensioners PURP Antonio Mateus Dias Big tent Together for the People JPP Filipe Sousa Centre Campaign period editParty slogans edit Party or alliance Original slogan English translation RefsPaF Agora Portugal pode mais Now Portugal can do more 33 PS E tempo de confianca It s time for trust 34 CDU Solucoes para um Portugal com futuro Solutions for a Portugal with a future 35 BE Faz a diferenca Gente de verdade Make a difference Real people 36 PAN A causa de todos The cause of all 37 Candidates debates edit After changes in the electoral law that obligated that all of the parties contesting an election should be represented in debates the 3 main TV networks RTP SIC and TVI proposed 3 debates between the two main candidates Antonio Costa and Pedro Passos Coelho and also a series of head to head debates between various party leaders and one debate with all party leaders 38 After meetings with the various parties it was decided to hold two face to face debates between Antonio Costa and Pedro Passos Coelho in which one would be broadcast on television and the other on radio There was also going to be a debate between all the parties represented in Parliament but it was cancelled by the refusal of the PSD CDS PP coalition to have only the leader of the PSD on the debate and not also the leader of the CDS PP Paulo Portas 39 40 Completed televised debates Portuguese legislative election debates 2015 N Date Broadcaster Moderator s Invitees Notes Name Invited Participant N Non invitee nbsp nbsp nbsp nbsp 1 1 September RTP Informacao Vitor Goncalves N N Jeronimo Martins2 8 September SIC Noticias Ana Lourenco Portas N N Martins3 9 September RTP1SICTVI Judite de SousaClara de SousaJoao Adelino Faria P Coelho Costa N N Broadcast simultaneously on the 3 major TV networks 4 11 September RTP Informacao Vitor Goncalves P Coelho N N Martins5 14 September TVI24 Pedro Pinto N Costa N Martins6 16 September SIC Noticias Ana Lourenco N Costa Jeronimo N7 17 September Antena 1RRTSF Graca FrancoMaria Flor PedrosoPaulo Baldaia P Coelho Costa N N Broadcast simultaneously on 3 national radio stations 8 18 September TVI24 Jose Alberto Carvalho Portas N Apolonia NCandidate viewed as most convincing in each debateDebate Poll source nbsp nbsp nbsp nbsp Notes3 9 September RTP1 SIC TVI Aximage 35 7 48 0 16 3 said it was a tie Eurosondagem 31 8 40 0 28 2 said neither won or it was a tie 7 17 September Antena 1 RR TSF Marktest 42 5 29 5 14 2 said neither won and 13 8 were undecided Opinion polling editMain article Opinion polling for the 2015 Portuguese legislative election Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues Voter turnout editThe table below shows voter turnout throughout election day including voters from Overseas Turnout Time12 00 16 00 19 002011 2015 2011 2015 2011 2015 Total 20 01 20 65 nbsp 0 64 pp 41 98 44 38 nbsp 2 40 pp 58 03 55 84 nbsp 2 19 ppSources 41 42 Results editThe results display a relative victory of the right wing coalition but they also display a combined victory of the left wing parties including the Socialist Party with a hung parliament a right wing single winner and a left wing majority parliament 43 44 National summary edit For detailed results by constituency see Results breakdown of the 2015 Portuguese legislative election Summary of the 4 October 2015 Assembly of the Republic elections results nbsp Parties Votes pp swing MPs MPs votes 2011 2015 Portugal Ahead PSD CDS PP f 1 993 504 36 86 nbsp 10 9 124 102 nbsp 22 44 35 nbsp 10 5 1 20Socialist 1 747 730 32 32 nbsp 4 3 74 86 nbsp 12 37 39 nbsp 5 2 1 16Left Bloc 550 945 10 19 nbsp 5 0 8 19 nbsp 11 8 26 nbsp 4 8 0 81Unitary Democratic Coalition 445 901 8 25 nbsp 0 4 16 17 nbsp 1 7 39 nbsp 0 4 0 90Social Democratic g 80 841 1 49 7 5 nbsp 2 2 17 nbsp 0 9 1 45People Animals Nature 75 170 1 39 nbsp 0 4 0 1 nbsp 1 0 43 nbsp 0 4 0 31Democratic Republican 61 920 1 13 0 0 00 0 0Portuguese Workers Communist 60 045 1 11 nbsp 0 0 0 0 nbsp 0 0 00 nbsp 0 0 0 0LIVRE Time to move forward 39 330 0 73 0 0 00 0 0National Renovator 27 286 0 50 nbsp 0 2 0 0 nbsp 0 0 00 nbsp 0 0 0 0Earth 22 627 0 42 nbsp 0 0 0 0 nbsp 0 0 00 nbsp 0 0 0 0We the Citizens 21 382 0 40 0 0 00 0 0ACT Labour Socialist Alternative 20 793 0 38 0 0 00 0 0People s Monarchist 14 916 0 28 nbsp 0 0 0 0 nbsp 0 0 00 nbsp 0 0 0 0Together for the People 14 275 0 26 0 0 00 0 0United Party of Retirees and Pensioners 13 899 0 26 0 0 00 0 0People s h 7 496 0 14 1 0 nbsp 1 0 00 nbsp 0 4 0 0Alliance Azores CDS PP PPM i 3 624 0 07 0 0 nbsp 0 0 00 nbsp 0 0 0 0Citizenship and Christian Democracy 2 685 0 05 nbsp 0 1 0 0 nbsp 0 0 00 nbsp 0 0 0 0Labour j 1 744 0 03 0 0 nbsp 0 0 00 nbsp 0 0 0 0Total valid 5 206 113 96 27 nbsp 0 4 230 230 nbsp 0 100 00 nbsp 0 0 Blank ballots 112 955 2 09 nbsp 0 6Invalid ballots 89 024 1 65 nbsp 0 3Total 5 408 092 100 00Registered voters turnout 9 684 922 55 84 nbsp 2 2Source Diario da Republica Resultados OficiasVote sharePaF 36 86 PS 32 32 BE 10 19 CDU 8 25 PSD 1 49 PAN 1 39 PDR 1 13 PCTP MRPP 1 11 L TDA 0 73 PNR 0 50 Others 2 29 Blank Invalid 3 74 Parliamentary seatsPaF 44 35 PS 37 39 BE 8 26 CDU 7 39 PSD 2 17 PAN 0 43 Distribution by constituency edit Results of the 2015 election of the Portuguese Assembly of the Republicby constituency Constituency S S S S S S TotalSPaF PS BE CDU PSD PANAzores 40 3 3 7 8 2 5 36 1 2 0 9 5Aveiro 48 1 10 27 9 5 9 6 1 4 4 1 0 16Beja 20 1 1 37 3 1 8 2 25 0 1 0 8 3Braga 45 6 10 30 9 7 8 8 1 5 2 1 0 8 19Braganca 49 4 2 34 1 1 5 5 3 1 0 6 3Castelo Branco 35 3 2 38 9 2 10 0 6 0 0 8 4Coimbra 37 2 4 35 3 4 9 9 1 7 0 1 0 9Evora 23 9 1 37 5 1 8 6 21 9 1 0 9 3Faro 31 5 3 32 8 4 14 1 1 8 7 1 2 0 9Guarda 45 6 2 33 8 2 7 4 4 0 0 9 4Leiria 48 4 6 24 8 3 9 7 1 5 1 1 2 10Lisbon 34 7 18 33 5 18 10 9 5 9 8 5 2 0 1 47Madeira 20 9 2 10 7 1 3 6 37 8 3 1 8 6Portalegre 27 6 1 42 4 1 9 2 12 2 0 8 2Porto 39 6 17 32 7 14 11 1 5 6 8 3 1 6 39Santarem 35 8 4 32 9 3 10 8 1 9 6 1 1 2 9Setubal 22 6 5 34 3 7 13 1 2 18 8 4 1 9 18Viana do Castelo 45 5 4 29 8 2 8 0 5 2 0 9 6Vila Real 51 0 3 33 1 2 5 2 3 0 0 6 5Viseu 51 1 6 29 7 3 6 7 3 5 0 7 9Europe 39 1 1 29 9 1 5 8 5 9 0 9 2Outside Europe 48 5 2 10 8 1 6 1 5 1 8 2Total 36 9 102 32 3 86 10 2 19 8 3 17 1 5 5 1 4 1 230Source Legislativas 2015Maps edit nbsp Most voted political force by district or autonomous region nbsp Most voted political force by municipality nbsp Percentage of votes for the left wing parties represented in the Parliament by district or autonomous region nbsp Most voted for political fields by district autonomous regions Left PS BE CDU Right PaF Aftermath editGovernment formation edit The Socialists the Left Bloc the Communists and the Greens started negotiations to form a left wing majority coalition government 45 46 On 19 October 2015 the Secretary General of the Socialist Party Antonio Costa rejected the proposal for a post election coalition government with the right wing alliance PaF 47 On the next day Costa said that the Socialist Party would reject in the parliament any government that would be led by Pedro Passos Coelho and supported by the right wing coalition Portugal Ahead During the same day Antonio Costa guaranteed to President Anibal Cavaco Silva that the Socialist Party had the conditions to form a government supported in the parliament by the Left Bloc and the Communist Party 48 After being consulted by the President the Socialist Party the Left Bloc the Communist Party and the Greens expressed their intention to support a government of the Socialist Party led by Antonio Costa Among the most likely scenarios that were considered for a new government were 49 50 A right wing PaF minority government without the support of the Socialists without majority support from the new parliament rejected by Costa A right wing PaF minority government with the parliamentary support of the Socialists rejected by Costa A grand coalition government including the right wing coalition PaF and the Socialists rejected by Costa A minority government of the Socialist Party with the parliamentary support of the Left Bloc and the Communists most likely A left wing coalition government including the Socialists the Left Bloc and the Communists A caretaker government until new elections are held if the parties fail to reach an agreement On 22 October President Anibal Cavaco Silva controversially designated Pedro Passos Coelho to form a new government 51 which after taking the oath of office had 10 days to submit its programme in Parliament But the PS BE and CDU had already stated that they would call a motion of rejection to bring down the government 52 On 23 October the new Assembly of the Republic was opened Eduardo Ferro Rodrigues a Socialist was elected as President of the Assembly with the support of the Socialists the Communists the Left Bloc and the Greens He received 120 votes against 108 votes for the government s candidate 53 The members of the second Passos Coelho government took the oath of office on 30 October 54 55 The government programme was to be voted in the Parliament on 10 November 56 Fall of the government edit The Socialist Party reached agreements with the three other left wing parties the Left Bloc the Communists and the Greens Those agreements were eventually approved by the national organs of the Socialist Party on 8 November 57 58 On 10 November the Portugal Ahead government programme was rejected in a motion of rejection by a vote of 123 to 107 MPs 59 Motion of RejectionPedro Passos Coelho PSD Ballot 10 November 2015Required majority 116 out of 230 nbsp YNo PSD 89 CDS PP 18 107 230Yes PS 86 BE 19 PCP 15 PEV 2 PAN 1 123 230Abstentions 0 230Absentees 0 230Sources 60 On 26 November a new government was established as a Socialist Party minority government led by Antonio Costa Socialist Party leader with the confidence and supply of the Left Bloc the Communist Party and the Green Party 61 See also editElections in Portugal List of political parties in Portugal Politics of PortugalNotes edit As leader of the Social Democratic Party PSD The leader of the People s Party CDS PP is the deputy prime minister Paulo Portas In the 2011 election Pedro Passos Coelho was elected in the district of Vila Real Sum of votes and seats of the PSD and the CDS PP in the 2011 election PSD 38 7 108 seats CDS PP 11 7 24 seats Following the election Pedro Passos Coelho was first designated as Prime Minister by the President of the Republic with a PSD CDS PP minority government He took the oath of office for his second term on October 30 2015 On November 10 2015 Coelho s government was defeated in a motion of no confidence vote 123 against 107 prompting the fall of his government The President of the Republic Anibal Cavaco Silva then invited PS leader Antonio Costa to form a minority government with the support of BE and CDU Costa s minority government was sworn in on 26 November 2015 The Portuguese Communist Party PCP and the Ecologist Party The Greens PEV contested the 2011 election in a coalition called Unitary Democratic Coalition CDU and won a combined 7 9 of the vote and elected 16 MPs to parliament Electoral lists only in continental Portugal Electoral list only in Madeira and Azores Electoral list only in Madeira Electoral list only in Azores Electoral list only in Madeira References edit a b Cavaco Silva marca eleicoes legislativas para dia 4 de outubro in Portuguese 22 July 2015 Retrieved 22 July 2015 Antonio Costa recusa coligacao negativa e so viabiliza politicas do PS in Portuguese 4 October 2015 Retrieved 5 October 2015 a b As cores finais do pais que votou in Portuguese 15 October 2015 Retrieved 26 November 2015 PAN elege um deputado Livre e PDR falham in Portuguese 5 October 2015 Retrieved 26 November 2015 Contra a austeridade protestos na cidade Publico in Portuguese Lisbon 27 November 2011 Retrieved 21 October 2022 Manifestacao de 15 de setembro tera sido a maior desde o 25 de abril Dinheiro Vivo in Portuguese Lisbon 15 September 2012 Retrieved 21 October 2022 Portugal apos o recuo do Governo na TSU Publico in Portuguese Lisbon 23 September 2012 Retrieved 21 October 2022 Vitor Gaspar sai e queixa se de falta de coesao do Governo Publico in Portuguese Lisbon 1 July 2013 Retrieved 21 October 2022 Maria Luis Albuquerque e a nova ministra das Financas RTP in Portuguese Lisbon 1 July 2013 Retrieved 21 October 2022 Paulo Portas afirma que a decisao de se demitir e irrevogavel RTP in Portuguese Lisbon 2 July 2013 Retrieved 21 October 2022 Passos nao se demite nem aceitou ainda a demissao de Portas Publico in Portuguese Lisbon 3 July 2013 Retrieved 21 October 2022 Portas e vice primeiro ministro com coordenacao economica troika e reforma do Estado Publico in Portuguese Lisbon 6 July 2013 Retrieved 21 October 2022 Cavaco quer conclusao das negociacoes entre partidos num prazo muito curto act Jornal de Negocios in Portuguese Lisbon 12 July 2013 Retrieved 21 October 2022 Cavaco aceita Governo remodelado com Portas em vice primeiro ministro RTP in Portuguese Lisbon 23 July 2013 Retrieved 21 October 2022 Passos Coelho assume derrota Jornal de Noticias in Portuguese Lisbon 29 September 2013 Retrieved 21 October 2022 PM anuncia hoje modelo de saida do resgate financeiro Diario de Noticias in Portuguese Lisbon 4 May 2014 Retrieved 21 October 2022 Socrates demite se de lider do PS e recusa novo cargo politico Publico 5 June 2011 Retrieved 21 November 2021 Diretas no PS marcadas para 22 e 23 de julho RTP 8 July 2011 Retrieved 21 November 2021 Antonio Jose Seguro votou tranquilo e muito confiante nos resultados das directas do PS SIC Noticias 22 July 2011 Retrieved 21 November 2021 Costa diz que nao basta ganhar por poucochinho Diario de Noticias 12 July 2014 Retrieved 8 December 2022 Antonio Costa eleito secretario geral do PS com 96 dos votos Jornal de Negocios 23 November 2014 Retrieved 18 December 2014 Francisco Louca abandona lideranca do Bloco de Esquerda Jornal de Negocios 18 August 2012 Retrieved 21 November 2021 Joao Semedo e Catarina Martins eleitos lideres do Bloco Publico 11 November 2012 Retrieved 21 November 2021 BE Rosas critica rotura sem principio Fazenda recusa anatema de divisionista Sol 22 November 2014 Retrieved 21 November 2021 Joao Semedo deixa lideranca do Bloco de Esquerda e Catarina Martins passa a porta voz Jornal de Noticias 30 November 2014 Retrieved 11 November 2021 Archived copy PDF Archived from the original PDF on 2014 10 22 Retrieved 2015 10 07 a href Template Cite web html title Template Cite web cite web a CS1 maint archived copy as title link Electoral law to the Assembly of the Republic Constitution of the Portuguese Republic PDF Archived from the original PDF on 2016 03 03 Retrieved 2020 05 30 Effective threshold in electoral systems Trinity College Dublin Retrieved 2015 10 21 Gallaher Michael 1992 Comparing Proportional Representation Electoral Systems Quotas Thresholds Paradoxes and Majorities Mapa Oficial n º 2 A 2015 PDF CNE Comissao Nacional de Eleicoes Diario da Republica 1 ª serie N º 154 10 de agosto de 2015 Retrieved 3 January 2020 Nos Cidadaos e o novo partido de centro direita ELEICOES LEGISLATIVAS DE 2015 PAF EPHEMERA in Portuguese Retrieved 11 May 2020 ELEICOES LEGISLATIVAS DE 2015 PS EPHEMERA in Portuguese Retrieved 11 May 2020 CDU Legislativas 2015 CDU in Portuguese Retrieved 11 May 2020 Legislativas2015 Materiais de campanha do Bloco BE in Portuguese Retrieved 11 May 2020 ELEICOES LEGISLATIVAS DE 2015 PAN EPHEMERA in Portuguese Retrieved 11 May 2020 Televisoes propoem frente a frentes cruzados com todos os lideres partidarios in Portuguese 24 July 2015 Retrieved 24 July 2015 Debates entre 9 e 22 de setembro Portas fica de fora in Portuguese 4 August 2015 Retrieved 4 August 2015 Generalistas cancelam debate final referente as legislativas in Portuguese 23 August 2015 Retrieved 24 August 2015 Legislativas 2015 Afluencia eleicoes mai gov pt legislativas2015 index html in Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration Retrieved 8 June 2023 Legislativas 2011 Afluencia eleicoes mai gov pt legislativas2011 index html in Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration Retrieved 8 June 2023 Portugal election centre right coalition retains power but could lose majority The Guardian 5 October 2015 Retrieved 5 October 2015 Loss of majority in Portuguese election a headache for coalition The Irish Times 5 October 2015 Retrieved 5 October 2015 Esquerda disponivel para formar Governo com PS Left wing parties available to form government with the Socialist Party in Portuguese RTP 7 October 2015 Retrieved 11 October 2015 PS desafia Bloco e PCP a clarificarem condicoes para formacao de Governo Socialist Party challenges the Left Bloc and the Communist Party to clarify their conditions for the formation of the government in Portuguese RTP 7 October 2015 Retrieved 11 October 2015 Costa recusa bloco central alargado Costa refuses extended Central Block in Portuguese Diario Economico 19 October 2015 Archived from the original on 20 October 2015 Retrieved 19 October 2015 Costa desafia Cavaco a indigita lo primeiro ministro Costa defies Cavaco to appoint him Prime Minister Diario Economico 20 October 2015 Archived from the original on 21 October 2015 Retrieved 22 October 2015 Que mais nos ira acontecer Cenarios de governo e ingovernabilidade What else will happen to us Scenarios of government and ungovernability in Portuguese Expresso 14 October 2015 Retrieved 19 October 2015 Novo governo os cenarios que poderao colocar se ao Presidente New government The scenarios that the President may face in Portuguese Jornal de Negocios 12 October 2015 Archived from the original on 16 October 2015 Retrieved 19 October 2015 Coelho invited to stay as Portugal PM BBC News 2015 10 22 Retrieved 2017 12 15 PS prepara mocao de rejeicao ao programa da coligacao PSD CDS PP in Portuguese SIC Noticias 23 October 2015 Retrieved 23 October 2015 Portugal parliament elects Socialist speaker with support of left Yahoo 23 October 2015 Archived from the original on 2015 10 29 Retrieved 2017 12 15 Passos ja tomou posse in Portuguese Expresso 30 October 2015 Retrieved 9 November 2015 Cavaco pede ao Governo esforco de dialogo com outras forcas partidarias in Portuguese Expresso 30 October 2015 Retrieved 9 November 2015 Programa de Governo discutido dias 9 e 10 in Portuguese Expresso 28 October 2015 Retrieved 9 November 2015 Antonio Costa anuncia que acordo a esquerda esta fechado in Portuguese TVI24 8 November 2015 Retrieved 9 November 2015 PS mandata Costa para formalizar acordo a esquerda e rejeitar Governo in Portuguese Expresso 9 November 2015 Retrieved 9 November 2015 Angelique Chrisafis 10 November 2015 Portuguese MPs force minority government to quit over austerity The Guardian Retrieved 4 December 2015 Mocao de rejeicao aprovada Cai o Governo Radio Renascenca in Portuguese Lisbon 10 November 2015 Retrieved 30 May 2022 As 16h02 Antonio Costa tomou posse como primeiro ministro Expresso 26 November 2015 Retrieved 20 December 2022 External links editPopstar Poll Tracker Marktest Opinion Poll Tracker Official results site Portuguese Internal Administration Ministry Portuguese Electoral Commission ERC Official publication of polls NSD European Election Database Portugal Archived 2014 12 20 at the Wayback Machine publishes regional level election data allows for comparisons of election results 1991 2011 Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title 2015 Portuguese legislative election amp oldid 1173592990, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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