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2020 United States presidential election in Virginia

The 2020 United States presidential election in Virginia was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Virginia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Virginia has 13 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]

2020 United States presidential election in Virginia

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout75.08 5.8 pp[1]
 
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence
Electoral vote 13 0
Popular vote 2,413,568 1,962,430
Percentage 54.11% 44.00%

County and independent city results

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

Prior to the election, most news organizations considered this a state Biden would win, or a likely blue state. On the day of the election, Biden won Virginia with 54.11% of the vote, and by a margin of 10.11%, the best performance for a Democratic presidential candidate since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1944.[4] Biden became the first Democratic nominee to win Chesterfield County and Lynchburg City since 1948, Virginia Beach City since 1964, James City County since 1968, and Stafford County since 1976.[5] He also flipped Chesapeake City back to the Democratic Party. Trump flipped no counties or independent cities in the state. Nevertheless, Biden became the first Democrat since 1992 to win without Buckingham County, and the first since 1960 to win without Westmoreland County, a notable bellwether.

The diversification of Northern Virginia as well as sliding suburban support for Republicans allowed Biden to win the once-key battleground state without actively campaigning in it. Biden won Henrico County, Loudoun County, Prince William County, and Fairfax County with 63.7%, 61.5%, 62.6%, and 69.9%, respectively; all four were former suburban bastions of the Republican Party in Virginia, the first outside Richmond and the others in Northern Virginia. All four had voted Republican in every election from 1968 through 2000. In Arlington County, a closer DC-area suburban county that had turned Democratic several decades earlier, Biden won with 80.6% of the vote, becoming the first nominee of either party in more than a century to crack 80% there. Biden's combined margin in Fairfax, Prince William, Loudoun, and Arlington Counties was greater than his statewide margin of victory. Crucially for his performance in Northern Virginia, Biden carried government workers by 18%.[6]

In this election, Virginia voted 5.6% more Democratic than the nation as a whole. Although Virginia was considered a reliably Republican state at the presidential level from 1952 to 2004 (having only gone to the Democrats once during that period, in Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide), it has not voted Republican in a presidential election since 2004. Migration into counties in Northern Virginia close to Washington, D.C. has tilted these densely populated areas towards the Democrats. This was the first election since 1988 that a presidential candidate won Virginia by double digits (George H. W. Bush having carried the state by 20.5% in his first run), and the first election in which any presidential candidate received over 2 million votes in Virginia.

As fellow Southern state Georgia tilted towards Biden, he became the first Democrat since Harry Truman in 1948 to carry both states. Conversely, Virginia and Florida continued drifting apart after a more-than-100-year run (from 1880 through 2012) of voting alike in almost every election (only voting differently in 1976 and 1996, when the Democratic nominees won Florida but lost Virginia.) In 2016, Hillary Clinton became the first Democrat since Reconstruction to win Virginia while losing Florida, a pattern that would be repeated with Biden in 2020. This was also the first election in which a former Confederate state backed a Democratic candidate by a margin of victory greater than 10% since 1996, when Arkansas and Louisiana did so for Bill Clinton.

Primary elections

Canceled Republican primary

The Virginia Republican Party is one of several state GOP parties that have officially canceled their respective primaries and caucuses.[7] Donald Trump's re-election campaign and GOP officials have cited the fact that Republicans canceled several state primaries when George H. W. Bush and George W. Bush sought a second term in 1992 and 2004, respectively; and Democrats scrapped some of their primaries when Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were seeking reelection in 1996 and 2012, respectively.[8][9] At the Virginia State Republican Convention, originally scheduled for May 2020 but postponed to August 15, 2020, the state party will formally bind all 48 of its national pledged delegates to Trump.[7][10][11]

Democratic primary

The Virginia Democratic primary took place on March 3, 2020, as part of the "Super Tuesday" suite of elections.

Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, and Bernie Sanders were among the major declared candidates.[12]

 
Popular vote share by county
  Biden—30–40%
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%
  Biden—70–80%
  Sanders—30–40%
  Sanders—40–50%
 
Popular vote share by congressional district
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
2020 Virginia Democratic presidential primary[13][a]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[15]
Joe Biden 705,501 53.30 67
Bernie Sanders 306,388 23.15 31
Elizabeth Warren 142,546 10.77 1
Michael Bloomberg 128,030 9.67
Tulsi Gabbard 11,288 0.85
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[b] 11,199 0.85
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)[b] 8,414 0.64
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)[c] 3,361 0.25
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 1,910 0.14
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[b] 1,472 0.11
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)[c] 1,437 0.11
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 902 0.07
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 691 0.05
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)[c] 370 0.03
Write-in votes 184 0.01
Total 1,323,693 100% 99

Green primary

The Green Party of Virginia conducted an online ranked choice primary from April 20 to April 26, 2020.[16]

2020 Green Party of Virginia primary[16]
Candidate Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Howie Hawkins 42 62.7% 42 62.7% 43 64.2% 44 65.7%
Dario Hunter 17 25.4% 18 26.9% 21 31.3% 23 34.3%
Kent Mesplay 3 4.5% 3 4.5% 3 4.5% Eliminated
Sedinam Moyowasiza-Curry 2 3.0% 2 3.0% Eliminated
Jill Stein (write-in) 2 3.0% Eliminated
Jesse Ventura (write-in) 1 1.5% Eliminated
Total votes 67 100.0%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[17] Likely D November 3, 2020
Inside Elections[18] Solid D November 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] Likely D November 3, 2020
Politico[20] Likely D November 3, 2020
RCP[21] Lean D November 3, 2020
Niskanen[22] Safe D November 3, 2020
CNN[23] Solid D November 3, 2020
The Economist[24] Likely D November 3, 2020
CBS News[25] Likely D November 3, 2020
270towin[26] Likely D November 3, 2020
ABC News[27] Solid D November 3, 2020
NPR[28] Likely D September 16, 2020
NBC News[29] Likely D November 3, 2020
538[30] Solid D November 3, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[d]
Margin
270 to Win October 15–31, 2020 November 3, 2020 52.8% 41.0% 6.2% Biden +11.8
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 53.7% 41.9% 4.4% Biden +11.8
Average 53.1% 40.5% 5.3% Biden +11.8

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[e]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 4,550 (LV) ± 2% 41%[f] 57% - -
Swayable November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 467 (LV) ± 6.4% 39% 59% 2% 1%
Data for Progress Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 690 (LV) ± 3.7% 43% 54% 1% 0% 1%[g]
Roanoke College Oct 23–29, 2020 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 53% 2% - 1% 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 7,663 (LV) 43% 55% - -
Christopher Newport University Oct 15–27, 2020 908 (LV) ± 3.4% 41% 53% - - 2%[h] 4%
Swayable Oct 23–26, 2020 351 (LV) ± 5.2% 44% 55% 1% -
Virginia Commonwealth University Oct 13–22, 2020 709 (LV) ± 4.93% 39% 51% - - 2%[i] 8%[j]
Schar School/Washington Post Oct 13–19, 2020 908 (LV) ± 4% 41% 52% 3% - 0%[k] 4%
Civiqs/Daily Kos Oct 11–14, 2020 1,231 (LV) ± 3.1% 42% 55% - - 3%[l] 1%
Reconnect Research/Roanoke College Sep 30 – Oct 12, 2020 602 (LV) 39%[m] 54% 4% - - 4%
Survey Monkey/Tableau Sep 15 – Oct 12, 2020 4,248 (LV) 43% 55% - - 2%
Cygnal/Gade for Virginia[A] Oct 9–11, 2020 607 (LV) 42% 51% - -
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 2,882 (LV) 42% 56% - - 2%
Cygnal/Gade for Virginia[1][A] Sep 22–25, 2020 600 (LV) 41% 52% - -
Christopher Newport University Sep 9–21, 2020 796 (LV) ± 3.9% 43% 48% - - 2%[n] 7%
Virginia Commonwealth University Aug 28 – Sep 7, 2020 693 (LV) ± 6.22% 39% 52% - - 1%[o] 8%[j]
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 2,626 (LV) 41% 57% - - 2%
Roanoke College Aug 9–22, 2020 566 (LV) ± 4.1% 39% 53% - - 3%[p] 5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 3,178 (LV) 43% 55% - - 2%
Morning Consult Jul 17–26, 2020 1,156 (LV) ± 2.9% 41% 52% - -
Virginia Commonwealth University Jul 11–19, 2020 725 (LV) ± 6.2% 39% 50% - - 1% 10%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 1,619 (LV) 42% 57% - - 1%
Morning Consult May 17–26, 2020 1,148 (LV) 42%[q] 52% - -
Roanoke College May 3–16, 2020 563 (LV) ± 4.1% 39% 51% - -
Virginia Commonwealth University Mar 25 – Apr 8, 2020 812 (A) ± 4.5% 41% 51% - - 8%
Hampton University Feb 25–28, 2020 768 (RV) ± 3.8% 38% 45% - -
Roanoke College Feb 9–18, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 40% 48% - -
Mason-Dixon Dec 12–16, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 49% - - 6%
Virginia Commonwealth University Dec 2–13, 2019 728 (LV) ± 5.1% 46% 49% - - 5%[j]
Virginia Commonwealth University Sep 23 – Oct 4, 2019 645 (LV) ± 5.0% 44% 52% - - 4%[j]
University of Mary Washington/Research America Sep 3–15, 2019 1,009 (A) ± 3.1% 37% 55% - - 1% 4%
Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[e]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Hampton University Feb 25–28, 2020 768 (RV) ± 3.8% 38% 43%
Roanoke College Feb 9–18, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 40% 46%

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[e]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
Hampton University Feb 25–28, 2020 768 (RV) ± 3.8% 38% 41%
Roanoke College Feb 9–18, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 40% 47%
Mason-Dixon Dec 12–16, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 45% 8%

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[e]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Other Undecided
University of Mary Washington Sep 3–15, 2019 1,009 (A) ± 3.1% 38% 50% 2% 5%

with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[e]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Hampton University Feb 25–28, 2020 768 (RV) ± 3.8% 37% 39%
Roanoke College Feb 9–18, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 39% 46%

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[e]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
Hampton University Feb 25–28, 2020 768 (RV) ± 3.8% 39% 44%
Roanoke College Feb 9–18, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 40% 49%
Mason-Dixon Dec 12–16, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 45% 4%
Virginia Commonwealth University Dec 2–13, 2019 728 (LV) ± 5.1% 48% 45% 7%[j]
Virginia Commonwealth University Sep 2 – Oct 4, 2019 645 (LV) ± 5.0% 47% 48% 5%[j]
University of Mary Washington/Research America Sep 3–15, 2019 1,009 (A) ± 3.1% 38% 53% 2% 4%

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[e]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Other Undecided
Hampton University Feb 25–28, 2020 768 (RV) ± 3.8% 40% 42%
Roanoke College Feb 9–18, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 41% 48%
Mason-Dixon Dec 12–16, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 44% 8%
Virginia Commonwealth University Dec 2–13, 2019 728 (LV) ± 5.1% 47% 47% 6%[j]
Virginia Commonwealth University Sep 23 – Oct 4, 2019 645 (LV) ± 5.0% 46% 50% 4%[j]
University of Mary Washington Sep 3–15, 2019 1,009 (A) ± 3.1% 38% 53% 1% 5%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[e]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Democrat
Other Undecided
Wason Center, Christopher
Newport University
Sep 4–30, 2019 726 (RV) ± 4.1% 36% 51% 6%[r] 6%

with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[e]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Opponent
Other Undecided
Wason Center, Christopher
Newport University
Feb 3–23, 2020 866 (RV) ± 3.5% 38% 59%[s] 0%[t] 2%

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[e]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Other Undecided
Virginia Commonwealth University Sep 23 – Oct 4, 2019 645 (LV) ± 5.0% 48% 49% 3%[j]
Ipsos/University of Virginia Feb 15–19, 2019 636 (A) ± 4.0% 25% 45% 3% 20%

Results

 
Line for early voting in Herndon
2020 United States presidential election in Virginia[31]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
2,413,568 54.11% +4.38%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
1,962,430 44.00% -0.41%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
64,761 1.45% -1.52%
Write-in 19,765 0.44% -0.41%
Total votes 4,460,524 100.00%

Results by city and county

Independent cities have been italicized.

City or
county
Joe Biden
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Jo Jorgensen
Libertarian
Write-in Total
votes
% # % # % # % #
Accomack 44.68% 7,578 54.07% 9,172 1.11% 188 0.14% 24 16,962
Albemarle 65.68% 42,466 32.18% 20,804 1.57% 1,014 0.58% 373 64,657
Alexandria 80.28% 66,240 17.63% 14,544 1.24% 1,022 0.85% 702 82,508
Alleghany 27.34% 2,243 71.43% 5,859 1.08% 89 0.15% 12 8,203
Amelia 30.55% 2,411 68.29% 5,390 1.01% 80 0.15% 12 7,893
Amherst 33.35% 5,672 64.93% 11,041 1.48% 251 0.24% 41 17,005
Appomattox 26.09% 2,418 72.31% 6,702 1.28% 119 0.31% 29 9,268
Arlington 80.60% 105,344 17.08% 22,318 1.40% 1,836 0.92% 1,201 130,699
Augusta 25.64% 10,840 72.65% 30,714 1.44% 608 0.27% 116 42,278
Bath 25.83% 646 73.33% 1,834 0.64% 16 0.20% 5 2,501
Bedford 25.02% 12,176 73.15% 35,600 1.45% 708 0.38% 185 48,669
Bland 15.29% 532 83.44% 2,903 1.15% 40 0.11% 4 3,479
Botetourt 26.99% 5,700 71.49% 15,099 1.25% 264 0.27% 57 21,120
Bristol 29.63% 2,313 68.50% 5,347 1.60% 125 0.27% 21 7,806
Brunswick 57.27% 4,552 42.24% 3,357 0.43% 34 0.06% 5 7,948
Buchanan 15.94% 1,587 83.50% 8,311 0.44% 44 0.11% 11 9,953
Buckingham 42.71% 3,471 55.92% 4,544 1.14% 93 0.22% 18 8,126
Buena Vista 29.72% 825 67.11% 1,863 2.59% 72 0.58% 16 2,776
Campbell 27.00% 8,070 71.07% 21,245 1.64% 490 0.29% 87 29,892
Caroline 47.01% 7,657 51.18% 8,336 1.59% 259 0.22% 36 16,288
Carroll 18.16% 2,842 80.88% 12,659 0.75% 118 0.20% 32 15,651
Charles City 59.09% 2,624 39.65% 1,761 1.22% 54 0.05% 2 4,441
Charlotte 37.43% 2,317 61.62% 3,815 0.78% 48 0.18% 11 6,191
Charlottesville 85.50% 20,696 12.78% 3,094 1.28% 311 0.43% 104 24,205
Chesapeake 52.22% 66,377 45.77% 58,180 1.65% 2,098 0.36% 453 127,108
Chesterfield 52.45% 106,935 45.77% 93,326 1.44% 2,927 0.34% 696 203,884
Clarke 41.98% 3,920 55.61% 5,192 1.91% 178 0.50% 47 9,337
Colonial Heights 32.50% 2,972 65.68% 6,007 1.48% 135 0.35% 32 9,146
Covington 37.03% 964 60.70% 1,580 1.92% 50 0.35% 9 2,603
Craig 18.52% 587 80.03% 2,536 1.26% 40 0.19% 6 3,169
Culpeper 39.15% 10,617 59.05% 16,012 1.50% 406 0.30% 81 27,116
Cumberland 41.94% 2,227 56.85% 3,019 1.00% 53 0.21% 11 5,310
Danville 60.40% 11,710 38.31% 7,428 1.01% 195 0.29% 56 19,389
Dickenson 20.58% 1,503 78.71% 5,748 0.60% 44 0.11% 8 7,303
Dinwiddie 41.24% 6,224 57.61% 8,695 0.95% 144 0.19% 29 15,092
Emporia 67.70% 1,612 31.67% 754 0.55% 13 0.08% 2 2,381
Essex 49.17% 3,038 49.77% 3,075 0.94% 58 0.11% 7 6,178
Fairfax City 68.04% 9,174 29.72% 4,007 1.49% 201 0.75% 101 13,483
Fairfax County 69.89% 419,943 28.03% 168,401 1.33% 8,014 0.74% 4,465 600,823
Falls Church 81.03% 7,146 16.90% 1,490 1.29% 114 0.78% 69 8,819
Fauquier 40.23% 17,565 57.50% 25,106 1.78% 777 0.49% 213 43,661
Floyd 31.93% 3,004 66.17% 6,225 1.56% 147 0.34% 32 9,408
Fluvanna 46.81% 7,414 51.48% 8,155 1.43% 226 0.28% 45 15,840
Franklin City 62.22% 2,525 36.64% 1,487 0.86% 35 0.27% 11 4,058
Franklin County 28.22% 8,381 70.35% 20,895 1.19% 354 0.24% 72 29,702
Frederick 35.33% 17,207 62.74% 30,558 1.60% 781 0.32% 157 48,703
Fredericksburg 66.22% 8,517 31.39% 4,037 1.87% 240 0.53% 68 12,862
Galax 29.45% 777 69.67% 1,838 0.68% 18 0.19% 5 2,638
Giles 23.50% 2,156 74.93% 6,876 1.36% 125 0.21% 19 9,176
Gloucester 31.25% 6,964 66.76% 14,875 1.75% 389 0.24% 54 22,282
Goochland 39.44% 6,685 58.80% 9,966 1.43% 242 0.34% 57 16,950
Grayson 18.88% 1,535 80.30% 6,529 0.69% 56 0.14% 11 8,131
Greene 36.80% 4,163 60.70% 6,866 2.13% 241 0.36% 41 11,311
Greensville 57.43% 2,627 41.85% 1,914 0.50% 23 0.22% 10 4,574
Halifax 42.01% 7,666 57.09% 10,418 0.77% 140 0.13% 24 18,248
Hampton 70.14% 46,220 27.97% 18,430 1.53% 1,006 0.37% 245 65,901
Hanover 35.66% 25,307 62.45% 44,318 1.55% 1,103 0.34% 239 70,967
Harrisonburg 64.51% 11,022 32.72% 5,591 2.13% 364 0.64% 109 17,086
Henrico 63.65% 116,572 34.64% 63,440 1.32% 2,414 0.40% 726 183,152
Henry 34.96% 9,127 64.07% 16,725 0.85% 223 0.11% 30 26,105
Highland 27.20% 417 71.23% 1,092 1.44% 22 0.13% 2 1,533
Hopewell 56.52% 5,430 41.84% 4,020 1.36% 131 0.28% 27 9,608
Isle of Wight 40.07% 9,399 58.44% 13,707 1.40% 328 0.09% 22 23,456
James City 51.50% 25,553 46.66% 23,153 1.43% 710 0.42% 206 49,622
King and Queen 38.64% 1,590 59.54% 2,450 1.56% 64 0.27% 11 4,115
King George 37.99% 5,404 59.38% 8,446 2.21% 314 0.42% 60 14,224
King William 30.37% 3,260 68.18% 7,320 1.32% 142 0.13% 14 10,736
Lancaster 47.09% 3,368 51.69% 3,697 0.99% 71 0.22% 16 7,152
Lee 14.97% 1,489 84.10% 8,365 0.78% 78 0.14% 14 9,946
Lexington 64.84% 1,791 32.80% 906 1.74% 48 0.62% 17 2,762
Loudoun 61.54% 138,372 36.51% 82,088 1.40% 3,139 0.56% 1,263 224,862
Louisa 37.73% 8,269 60.66% 13,294 1.35% 295 0.26% 57 21,915
Lunenburg 40.30% 2,418 58.95% 3,537 0.67% 40 0.08% 5 6,000
Lynchburg 49.63% 18,048 47.02% 17,097 2.36% 857 0.99% 361 36,363
Madison 33.19% 2,698 65.20% 5,300 1.30% 106 0.31% 25 8,129
Manassas 61.03% 10,356 36.87% 6,256 1.65% 280 0.45% 76 16,968
Manassas Park 65.58% 3,992 32.51% 1,979 1.64% 100 0.26% 16 6,087
Martinsville 62.63% 3,766 36.01% 2,165 1.21% 73 0.15% 9 6,013
Mathews 31.33% 1,825 66.96% 3,901 1.49% 87 0.22% 13 5,826
Mecklenburg 41.98% 6,803 57.18% 9,266 0.70% 113 0.14% 22 16,204
Middlesex 36.71% 2,491 61.84% 4,196 1.13% 77 0.31% 21 6,785
Montgomery 51.55% 23,218 45.80% 20,629 2.09% 942 0.55% 248 45,037
Nelson 46.45% 4,327 51.65% 4,812 1.61% 150 0.29% 27 9,316
New Kent 31.95% 4,621 66.59% 9,631 1.19% 172 0.27% 39 14,463
Newport News 65.39% 53,099 32.48% 26,377 1.77% 1,438 0.36% 289 81,203
Norfolk 71.69% 64,440 26.08% 23,443 1.79% 1,608 0.43% 390 89,881
Northampton 54.47% 3,667 43.89% 2,955 1.49% 100 0.15% 10 6,732
Northumberland 41.61% 3,252 57.39% 4,485 0.72% 56 0.28% 22 7,815
Norton 28.98% 464 69.27% 1,109 1.31% 21 0.44% 7 1,601
Nottoway 41.98% 2,971 56.89% 4,027 1.02% 72 0.11% 8 7,078
Orange 38.54% 7,995 59.91% 12,426 1.29% 267 0.26% 54 20,742
Page 24.03% 3,007 74.68% 9,345 1.07% 134 0.22% 28 12,514
Patrick 20.50% 1,954 78.51% 7,485 0.85% 81 0.15% 14 9,534
Petersburg 87.75% 12,389 11.22% 1,584 0.76% 108 0.26% 37 14,118
Pittsylvania 29.55% 10,115 69.39% 23,751 0.83% 285 0.22% 76 34,227
Poquoson 26.14% 2,054 71.34% 5,605 2.04% 160 0.48% 38 7,857
Portsmouth 69.42% 30,948 28.61% 12,755 1.62% 723 0.35% 156 44,582
Powhatan 26.96% 5,320 71.24% 14,055 1.63% 321 0.17% 34 19,730
Prince Edward 51.94% 4,973 46.31% 4,434 1.42% 136 0.32% 31 9,574
Prince George 40.75% 7,103 57.96% 10,103 1.12% 195 0.18% 31 17,432
Prince William 62.64% 142,863 35.61% 81,222 1.42% 3,242 0.32% 729 228,056
Pulaski 28.34% 4,925 69.79% 12,127 1.58% 275 0.28% 49 17,376
Radford 53.13% 3,358 44.08% 2,786 2.29% 145 0.49% 31 6,320
Rappahannock 42.11% 2,096 56.49% 2,812 1.12% 56 0.28% 14 4,978
Richmond City 82.92% 92,175 14.94% 16,603 1.52% 1,691 0.62% 690 111,159
Richmond County 36.88% 1,513 62.09% 2,547 0.76% 31 0.27% 11 4,102
Roanoke City 61.80% 26,773 36.02% 15,607 1.79% 777 0.38% 166 43,323
Roanoke County 38.12% 21,801 59.93% 34,268 1.59% 910 0.36% 205 57,184
Rockbridge 33.02% 4,086 65.37% 8,088 1.33% 165 0.27% 34 12,373
Rockingham 28.86% 12,644 69.27% 30,349 1.49% 653 0.38% 165 43,811
Russell 17.73% 2,373 81.27% 10,879 0.87% 116 0.13% 18 13,386
Salem 39.45% 5,148 58.87% 7,683 1.69% 220 0.00% 0 13,051
Scott 15.57% 1,692 83.38% 9,063 0.83% 90 0.22% 24 10,869
Shenandoah 28.86% 6,836 69.51% 16,463 1.46% 346 0.16% 39 23,684
Smyth 21.28% 3,008 77.55% 10,963 0.94% 133 0.23% 32 14,136
Southampton 40.56% 3,969 58.55% 5,730 0.89% 87 0.00% 0 9,786
Spotsylvania 45.55% 34,307 52.33% 39,411 1.73% 1,301 0.40% 298 75,317
Stafford 50.54% 40,245 47.27% 37,636 1.73% 1,376 0.46% 368 79,625
Staunton 53.74% 6,981 43.84% 5,695 1.92% 249 0.50% 65 12,990
Suffolk 57.77% 28,676 40.45% 20,082 1.46% 724 0.32% 160 49,642
Surry 53.61% 2,397 45.29% 2,025 0.89% 40 0.20% 9 4,471
Sussex 55.56% 2,827 43.61% 2,219 0.69% 35 0.14% 7 5,088
Tazewell 15.92% 3,205 83.10% 16,731 0.79% 159 0.19% 39 20,134
Virginia Beach 51.59% 117,393 46.18% 105,087 1.85% 4,208 0.38% 873 227,561
Warren 31.22% 6,603 66.53% 14,069 1.73% 365 0.52% 110 21,147
Washington 23.07% 6,617 75.58% 21,679 1.06% 304 0.30% 85 28,685
Waynesboro 46.29% 4,961 51.39% 5,507 1.95% 209 0.37% 40 10,717
Westmoreland 45.31% 4,501 53.54% 5,318 0.91% 90 0.24% 24 9,933
Williamsburg 69.59% 4,790 28.52% 1,963 1.34% 92 0.55% 38 6,883
Winchester 54.60% 6,610 43.13% 5,221 1.76% 213 0.51% 62 12,106
Wise 18.72% 3,110 80.45% 13,366 0.65% 108 0.19% 31 16,615
Wythe 20.85% 3,143 77.85% 11,733 1.13% 170 0.17% 26 15,072
York 45.59% 17,683 52.19% 20,241 1.75% 680 0.47% 183 38,787

Results by congressional district

Biden won 7 out of Virginia’s 11 congressional districts.

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 51.4% 47% Rob Wittman
2nd 46.7% 51.4% Elaine Luria
3rd 31.2% 67.2% Bobby Scott
4th 36.8% 61.8% Donald McEachin
5th 53.6% 45.1% Denver Riggleman
Bob Good
6th 59.8% 38.6% Ben Cline
7th 48.7% 49.8% Abigail Spanberger
8th 21.1% 77.6% Don Beyer
9th 70.4% 28.4% Morgan Griffith
10th 39.6% 58.9% Jennifer Wexton
11th 28.3% 70.3% Gerry Connolly

Counties and independent cities that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

Notes

  1. ^ The "2020 March Democratic Presidential Primary" website published by the Virginia Department of Elections does not include the write-in votes.[14] This article includes them.
  2. ^ a b c Candidate withdrew during absentee voting, shortly before the primary.
  3. ^ a b c Candidate withdrew following the New Hampshire primary, when absentee voting had already begun.
  4. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  6. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  7. ^ "Other candidate or write-in" with 1%
  8. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  9. ^ "Third party candidate" with 2%
  10. ^ a b c d e f g h i Includes "refused"
  11. ^ "Other", "None of these" and would not vote with 0%
  12. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  13. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  14. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
  15. ^ "Third party candidate" with 1%
  16. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%
  17. ^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  18. ^ "Would vote for a third party candidate" with 6%
  19. ^ "It is time to have someone else in office" as opposed to "Trump should be re-elected" with 59%
  20. ^ "Refused" with 0%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b Poll conducted by Daniel Gade's campaign

References

  1. ^ "Virginia Department of Elections - Registration/Turnout Reports".
  2. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. ^ "Without Northern Virginia, Trump would have won the state". Inside Nova. Retrieved November 17, 2020.
  5. ^ "Chesterfield and Lynchburg hadn't backed a Democrat for president since 1948. Biden changed that". Virginia Mercury. November 5, 2020. Retrieved November 17, 2020.
  6. ^ "Virginia Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 13, 2020.
  7. ^ a b "Virginia Republicans Will Hold 2020 Presidential Preference Vote at State Convention". Frontloading. September 18, 2019. Retrieved September 19, 2019.
  8. ^ Karni, Annie (September 6, 2019). "GOP plans to drop presidential primaries in 4 states to impede Trump challengers". Boston Globe. MSN. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
  9. ^ Steakin, Will; Karson, Kendall (September 6, 2019). "GOP considers canceling at least 3 GOP primaries and caucuses, Trump challengers outraged". ABC News. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
  10. ^ "Virginia Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved February 20, 2020.
  11. ^ Mattingly, Justin (June 30, 2020). "Republican Party of Virginia reschedules 'unassembled' convention for August". Richmond Times-Dispatch. Retrieved July 10, 2020.
  12. ^ Taylor, Kate (February 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  13. ^ "2020 March Democratic Presidential Primary". Virginia.gov. Virginia Department of Elections. from the original on March 27, 2020. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
  14. ^ "2020 March Democratic Presidential Primary". Virginia Department of Elections. Retrieved March 11, 2020.
  15. ^ "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Virginia Democrat". The Green Papers. Retrieved July 4, 2020.
  16. ^ a b Jonah Thomas (May 12, 2020). "2020 GPVA Presidential Primary Results".
  17. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  18. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  19. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  20. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  21. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  22. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  23. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  24. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  25. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  26. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  27. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". ABC News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  28. ^ Montanaro, Domenico (September 16, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Landscape tightens some, but Biden is still ahead". NPR. Retrieved January 15, 2021.
  29. ^ "Biden continues to lead in our latest battleground map". NBC News. Retrieved January 15, 2021.
  30. ^ "Biden is very likely to win Virginia". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved January 15, 2021.
  31. ^ "2020 November General". results.elections.virginia.gov. Retrieved November 20, 2020.

External links

2020, united, states, presidential, election, virginia, main, article, 2020, united, states, presidential, election, held, tuesday, november, 2020, part, 2020, united, states, presidential, election, which, states, plus, district, columbia, participated, virgi. Main article 2020 United States presidential election The 2020 United States presidential election in Virginia was held on Tuesday November 3 2020 as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated 2 Virginia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party s nominee incumbent President Donald Trump and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris Virginia has 13 electoral votes in the Electoral College 3 2020 United States presidential election in Virginia 2016 November 3 2020 2024 Turnout75 08 5 8 pp 1 Nominee Joe Biden Donald TrumpParty Democratic RepublicanHome state Delaware FloridaRunning mate Kamala Harris Mike PenceElectoral vote 13 0Popular vote 2 413 568 1 962 430Percentage 54 11 44 00 County and independent city results Biden 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 Trump 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 President before electionDonald TrumpRepublican Elected President Joe BidenDemocraticPrior to the election most news organizations considered this a state Biden would win or a likely blue state On the day of the election Biden won Virginia with 54 11 of the vote and by a margin of 10 11 the best performance for a Democratic presidential candidate since Franklin D Roosevelt in 1944 4 Biden became the first Democratic nominee to win Chesterfield County and Lynchburg City since 1948 Virginia Beach City since 1964 James City County since 1968 and Stafford County since 1976 5 He also flipped Chesapeake City back to the Democratic Party Trump flipped no counties or independent cities in the state Nevertheless Biden became the first Democrat since 1992 to win without Buckingham County and the first since 1960 to win without Westmoreland County a notable bellwether The diversification of Northern Virginia as well as sliding suburban support for Republicans allowed Biden to win the once key battleground state without actively campaigning in it Biden won Henrico County Loudoun County Prince William County and Fairfax County with 63 7 61 5 62 6 and 69 9 respectively all four were former suburban bastions of the Republican Party in Virginia the first outside Richmond and the others in Northern Virginia All four had voted Republican in every election from 1968 through 2000 In Arlington County a closer DC area suburban county that had turned Democratic several decades earlier Biden won with 80 6 of the vote becoming the first nominee of either party in more than a century to crack 80 there Biden s combined margin in Fairfax Prince William Loudoun and Arlington Counties was greater than his statewide margin of victory Crucially for his performance in Northern Virginia Biden carried government workers by 18 6 In this election Virginia voted 5 6 more Democratic than the nation as a whole Although Virginia was considered a reliably Republican state at the presidential level from 1952 to 2004 having only gone to the Democrats once during that period in Lyndon B Johnson s 1964 landslide it has not voted Republican in a presidential election since 2004 Migration into counties in Northern Virginia close to Washington D C has tilted these densely populated areas towards the Democrats This was the first election since 1988 that a presidential candidate won Virginia by double digits George H W Bush having carried the state by 20 5 in his first run and the first election in which any presidential candidate received over 2 million votes in Virginia As fellow Southern state Georgia tilted towards Biden he became the first Democrat since Harry Truman in 1948 to carry both states Conversely Virginia and Florida continued drifting apart after a more than 100 year run from 1880 through 2012 of voting alike in almost every election only voting differently in 1976 and 1996 when the Democratic nominees won Florida but lost Virginia In 2016 Hillary Clinton became the first Democrat since Reconstruction to win Virginia while losing Florida a pattern that would be repeated with Biden in 2020 This was also the first election in which a former Confederate state backed a Democratic candidate by a margin of victory greater than 10 since 1996 when Arkansas and Louisiana did so for Bill Clinton Contents 1 Primary elections 1 1 Canceled Republican primary 1 2 Democratic primary 1 3 Green primary 2 General election 2 1 Predictions 2 2 Polling 2 3 Results 2 3 1 Results by city and county 2 3 2 Results by congressional district 2 3 3 Counties and independent cities that flipped from Republican to Democratic 3 See also 4 Notes 5 References 6 External linksPrimary elections EditCanceled Republican primary Edit Further information 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries Cancellation of state caucuses or primaries The Virginia Republican Party is one of several state GOP parties that have officially canceled their respective primaries and caucuses 7 Donald Trump s re election campaign and GOP officials have cited the fact that Republicans canceled several state primaries when George H W Bush and George W Bush sought a second term in 1992 and 2004 respectively and Democrats scrapped some of their primaries when Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were seeking reelection in 1996 and 2012 respectively 8 9 At the Virginia State Republican Convention originally scheduled for May 2020 but postponed to August 15 2020 the state party will formally bind all 48 of its national pledged delegates to Trump 7 10 11 Democratic primary Edit Further information 2020 Virginia Democratic primary The Virginia Democratic primary took place on March 3 2020 as part of the Super Tuesday suite of elections Joe Biden Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders were among the major declared candidates 12 This section is an excerpt from 2020 Virginia Democratic presidential primary VAresults edit Popular vote share by county Biden 30 40 Biden 40 50 Biden 50 60 Biden 60 70 Biden 70 80 Sanders 30 40 Sanders 40 50 Popular vote share by congressional district Biden 40 50 Biden 50 60 2020 Virginia Democratic presidential primary 13 a Candidate Votes Delegates 15 Joe Biden 705 501 53 30 67Bernie Sanders 306 388 23 15 31Elizabeth Warren 142 546 10 77 1Michael Bloomberg 128 030 9 67Tulsi Gabbard 11 288 0 85Pete Buttigieg withdrawn b 11 199 0 85Amy Klobuchar withdrawn b 8 414 0 64Andrew Yang withdrawn c 3 361 0 25Cory Booker withdrawn 1 910 0 14Tom Steyer withdrawn b 1 472 0 11Michael Bennet withdrawn c 1 437 0 11Marianne Williamson withdrawn 902 0 07Julian Castro withdrawn 691 0 05Deval Patrick withdrawn c 370 0 03Write in votes 184 0 01Total 1 323 693 100 99 Green primary Edit The Green Party of Virginia conducted an online ranked choice primary from April 20 to April 26 2020 16 2020 Green Party of Virginia primary 16 Candidate Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4Votes Votes Votes Votes Howie Hawkins 42 62 7 42 62 7 43 64 2 44 65 7 Dario Hunter 17 25 4 18 26 9 21 31 3 23 34 3 Kent Mesplay 3 4 5 3 4 5 3 4 5 EliminatedSedinam Moyowasiza Curry 2 3 0 2 3 0 EliminatedJill Stein write in 2 3 0 EliminatedJesse Ventura write in 1 1 5 EliminatedTotal votes 67 100 0 General election EditPredictions Edit Source Ranking As ofThe Cook Political Report 17 Likely D November 3 2020Inside Elections 18 Solid D November 3 2020Sabato s Crystal Ball 19 Likely D November 3 2020Politico 20 Likely D November 3 2020RCP 21 Lean D November 3 2020Niskanen 22 Safe D November 3 2020CNN 23 Solid D November 3 2020The Economist 24 Likely D November 3 2020CBS News 25 Likely D November 3 2020270towin 26 Likely D November 3 2020ABC News 27 Solid D November 3 2020NPR 28 Likely D September 16 2020NBC News 29 Likely D November 3 2020538 30 Solid D November 3 2020Polling Edit Graphical summary Aggregate polls Source of pollaggregation Dates administered Dates updated JoeBidenDemocratic DonaldTrumpRepublican Other Undecided d Margin270 to Win October 15 31 2020 November 3 2020 52 8 41 0 6 2 Biden 11 8FiveThirtyEight until November 2 2020 November 3 2020 53 7 41 9 4 4 Biden 11 8Average 53 1 40 5 5 3 Biden 11 8Polls Poll source Date s administered Samplesize e Marginof error DonaldTrumpRepublican JoeBidenDemocratic JoJorgensenLibertarian HowieHawkinsGreen Other UndecidedSurveyMonkey Axios Oct 20 Nov 2 2020 4 550 LV 2 41 f 57 Swayable Archived November 13 2020 at the Wayback Machine Oct 27 Nov 1 2020 467 LV 6 4 39 59 2 1 Data for Progress Oct 27 Nov 1 2020 690 LV 3 7 43 54 1 0 1 g Roanoke College Oct 23 29 2020 802 LV 3 5 42 53 2 1 2 SurveyMonkey Axios Oct 1 28 2020 7 663 LV 43 55 Christopher Newport University Oct 15 27 2020 908 LV 3 4 41 53 2 h 4 Swayable Oct 23 26 2020 351 LV 5 2 44 55 1 Virginia Commonwealth University Oct 13 22 2020 709 LV 4 93 39 51 2 i 8 j Schar School Washington Post Oct 13 19 2020 908 LV 4 41 52 3 0 k 4 Civiqs Daily Kos Oct 11 14 2020 1 231 LV 3 1 42 55 3 l 1 Reconnect Research Roanoke College Sep 30 Oct 12 2020 602 LV 39 m 54 4 4 Survey Monkey Tableau Sep 15 Oct 12 2020 4 248 LV 43 55 2 Cygnal Gade for Virginia A Oct 9 11 2020 607 LV 42 51 SurveyMonkey Axios Sep 1 30 2020 2 882 LV 42 56 2 Cygnal Gade for Virginia 1 A Sep 22 25 2020 600 LV 41 52 Christopher Newport University Sep 9 21 2020 796 LV 3 9 43 48 2 n 7 Virginia Commonwealth University Aug 28 Sep 7 2020 693 LV 6 22 39 52 1 o 8 j SurveyMonkey Axios Aug 1 31 2020 2 626 LV 41 57 2 Roanoke College Aug 9 22 2020 566 LV 4 1 39 53 3 p 5 SurveyMonkey Axios Jul 1 31 2020 3 178 LV 43 55 2 Morning Consult Jul 17 26 2020 1 156 LV 2 9 41 52 Virginia Commonwealth University Jul 11 19 2020 725 LV 6 2 39 50 1 10 SurveyMonkey Axios Jun 8 30 2020 1 619 LV 42 57 1 Morning Consult May 17 26 2020 1 148 LV 42 q 52 Roanoke College May 3 16 2020 563 LV 4 1 39 51 Virginia Commonwealth University Mar 25 Apr 8 2020 812 A 4 5 41 51 8 Hampton University Feb 25 28 2020 768 RV 3 8 38 45 Roanoke College Feb 9 18 2020 520 LV 4 3 40 48 Mason Dixon Dec 12 16 2019 625 RV 4 0 45 49 6 Virginia Commonwealth University Dec 2 13 2019 728 LV 5 1 46 49 5 j Virginia Commonwealth University Sep 23 Oct 4 2019 645 LV 5 0 44 52 4 j University of Mary Washington Research America Sep 3 15 2019 1 009 A 3 1 37 55 1 4 Former candidateswith Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg Poll source Date s administered Samplesize e Marginof error DonaldTrump R MichaelBloomberg D Hampton University Feb 25 28 2020 768 RV 3 8 38 43 Roanoke College Feb 9 18 2020 520 LV 4 3 40 46 with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg Poll source Date s administered Samplesize e Marginof error DonaldTrump R PeteButtigieg D UndecidedHampton University Feb 25 28 2020 768 RV 3 8 38 41 Roanoke College Feb 9 18 2020 520 LV 4 3 40 47 Mason Dixon Dec 12 16 2019 625 RV 4 0 47 45 8 with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris Poll source Date s administered Samplesize e Marginof error DonaldTrump R KamalaHarris D Other UndecidedUniversity of Mary Washington Sep 3 15 2019 1 009 A 3 1 38 50 2 5 with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar Poll source Date s administered Samplesize e Marginof error DonaldTrump R AmyKlobuchar D Hampton University Feb 25 28 2020 768 RV 3 8 37 39 Roanoke College Feb 9 18 2020 520 LV 4 3 39 46 with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders Poll source Date s administered Samplesize e Marginof error DonaldTrump R BernieSanders D Other UndecidedHampton University Feb 25 28 2020 768 RV 3 8 39 44 Roanoke College Feb 9 18 2020 520 LV 4 3 40 49 Mason Dixon Dec 12 16 2019 625 RV 4 0 51 45 4 Virginia Commonwealth University Dec 2 13 2019 728 LV 5 1 48 45 7 j Virginia Commonwealth University Sep 2 Oct 4 2019 645 LV 5 0 47 48 5 j University of Mary Washington Research America Sep 3 15 2019 1 009 A 3 1 38 53 2 4 with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren Poll source Date s administered Samplesize e Marginof error DonaldTrump R ElizabethWarren D Other UndecidedHampton University Feb 25 28 2020 768 RV 3 8 40 42 Roanoke College Feb 9 18 2020 520 LV 4 3 41 48 Mason Dixon Dec 12 16 2019 625 RV 4 0 48 44 8 Virginia Commonwealth University Dec 2 13 2019 728 LV 5 1 47 47 6 j Virginia Commonwealth University Sep 23 Oct 4 2019 645 LV 5 0 46 50 4 j University of Mary Washington Sep 3 15 2019 1 009 A 3 1 38 53 1 5 Hypothetical pollingwith Donald Trump and Generic Democrat Poll source Date s administered Samplesize e Marginof error DonaldTrump R GenericDemocrat Other UndecidedWason Center ChristopherNewport University Sep 4 30 2019 726 RV 4 1 36 51 6 r 6 with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent Poll source Date s administered Samplesize e Marginof error DonaldTrump R GenericOpponent Other UndecidedWason Center ChristopherNewport University Feb 3 23 2020 866 RV 3 5 38 59 s 0 t 2 with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat Poll source Date s administered Samplesize e Marginof error GenericRepublican GenericDemocrat Other UndecidedVirginia Commonwealth University Sep 23 Oct 4 2019 645 LV 5 0 48 49 3 j Ipsos University of Virginia Feb 15 19 2019 636 A 4 0 25 45 3 20 Results Edit Line for early voting in Herndon 2020 United States presidential election in Virginia 31 Party Candidate Votes Democratic Joe BidenKamala Harris 2 413 568 54 11 4 38 Republican Donald TrumpMike Pence 1 962 430 44 00 0 41 Libertarian Jo JorgensenSpike Cohen 64 761 1 45 1 52 Write in 19 765 0 44 0 41 Total votes 4 460 524 100 00 Results by city and county Edit Independent cities have been italicized City orcounty Joe BidenDemocratic Donald TrumpRepublican Jo JorgensenLibertarian Write in Totalvotes Accomack 44 68 7 578 54 07 9 172 1 11 188 0 14 24 16 962Albemarle 65 68 42 466 32 18 20 804 1 57 1 014 0 58 373 64 657Alexandria 80 28 66 240 17 63 14 544 1 24 1 022 0 85 702 82 508Alleghany 27 34 2 243 71 43 5 859 1 08 89 0 15 12 8 203Amelia 30 55 2 411 68 29 5 390 1 01 80 0 15 12 7 893Amherst 33 35 5 672 64 93 11 041 1 48 251 0 24 41 17 005Appomattox 26 09 2 418 72 31 6 702 1 28 119 0 31 29 9 268Arlington 80 60 105 344 17 08 22 318 1 40 1 836 0 92 1 201 130 699Augusta 25 64 10 840 72 65 30 714 1 44 608 0 27 116 42 278Bath 25 83 646 73 33 1 834 0 64 16 0 20 5 2 501Bedford 25 02 12 176 73 15 35 600 1 45 708 0 38 185 48 669Bland 15 29 532 83 44 2 903 1 15 40 0 11 4 3 479Botetourt 26 99 5 700 71 49 15 099 1 25 264 0 27 57 21 120Bristol 29 63 2 313 68 50 5 347 1 60 125 0 27 21 7 806Brunswick 57 27 4 552 42 24 3 357 0 43 34 0 06 5 7 948Buchanan 15 94 1 587 83 50 8 311 0 44 44 0 11 11 9 953Buckingham 42 71 3 471 55 92 4 544 1 14 93 0 22 18 8 126Buena Vista 29 72 825 67 11 1 863 2 59 72 0 58 16 2 776Campbell 27 00 8 070 71 07 21 245 1 64 490 0 29 87 29 892Caroline 47 01 7 657 51 18 8 336 1 59 259 0 22 36 16 288Carroll 18 16 2 842 80 88 12 659 0 75 118 0 20 32 15 651Charles City 59 09 2 624 39 65 1 761 1 22 54 0 05 2 4 441Charlotte 37 43 2 317 61 62 3 815 0 78 48 0 18 11 6 191Charlottesville 85 50 20 696 12 78 3 094 1 28 311 0 43 104 24 205Chesapeake 52 22 66 377 45 77 58 180 1 65 2 098 0 36 453 127 108Chesterfield 52 45 106 935 45 77 93 326 1 44 2 927 0 34 696 203 884Clarke 41 98 3 920 55 61 5 192 1 91 178 0 50 47 9 337Colonial Heights 32 50 2 972 65 68 6 007 1 48 135 0 35 32 9 146Covington 37 03 964 60 70 1 580 1 92 50 0 35 9 2 603Craig 18 52 587 80 03 2 536 1 26 40 0 19 6 3 169Culpeper 39 15 10 617 59 05 16 012 1 50 406 0 30 81 27 116Cumberland 41 94 2 227 56 85 3 019 1 00 53 0 21 11 5 310Danville 60 40 11 710 38 31 7 428 1 01 195 0 29 56 19 389Dickenson 20 58 1 503 78 71 5 748 0 60 44 0 11 8 7 303Dinwiddie 41 24 6 224 57 61 8 695 0 95 144 0 19 29 15 092Emporia 67 70 1 612 31 67 754 0 55 13 0 08 2 2 381Essex 49 17 3 038 49 77 3 075 0 94 58 0 11 7 6 178Fairfax City 68 04 9 174 29 72 4 007 1 49 201 0 75 101 13 483Fairfax County 69 89 419 943 28 03 168 401 1 33 8 014 0 74 4 465 600 823Falls Church 81 03 7 146 16 90 1 490 1 29 114 0 78 69 8 819Fauquier 40 23 17 565 57 50 25 106 1 78 777 0 49 213 43 661Floyd 31 93 3 004 66 17 6 225 1 56 147 0 34 32 9 408Fluvanna 46 81 7 414 51 48 8 155 1 43 226 0 28 45 15 840Franklin City 62 22 2 525 36 64 1 487 0 86 35 0 27 11 4 058Franklin County 28 22 8 381 70 35 20 895 1 19 354 0 24 72 29 702Frederick 35 33 17 207 62 74 30 558 1 60 781 0 32 157 48 703Fredericksburg 66 22 8 517 31 39 4 037 1 87 240 0 53 68 12 862Galax 29 45 777 69 67 1 838 0 68 18 0 19 5 2 638Giles 23 50 2 156 74 93 6 876 1 36 125 0 21 19 9 176Gloucester 31 25 6 964 66 76 14 875 1 75 389 0 24 54 22 282Goochland 39 44 6 685 58 80 9 966 1 43 242 0 34 57 16 950Grayson 18 88 1 535 80 30 6 529 0 69 56 0 14 11 8 131Greene 36 80 4 163 60 70 6 866 2 13 241 0 36 41 11 311Greensville 57 43 2 627 41 85 1 914 0 50 23 0 22 10 4 574Halifax 42 01 7 666 57 09 10 418 0 77 140 0 13 24 18 248Hampton 70 14 46 220 27 97 18 430 1 53 1 006 0 37 245 65 901Hanover 35 66 25 307 62 45 44 318 1 55 1 103 0 34 239 70 967Harrisonburg 64 51 11 022 32 72 5 591 2 13 364 0 64 109 17 086Henrico 63 65 116 572 34 64 63 440 1 32 2 414 0 40 726 183 152Henry 34 96 9 127 64 07 16 725 0 85 223 0 11 30 26 105Highland 27 20 417 71 23 1 092 1 44 22 0 13 2 1 533Hopewell 56 52 5 430 41 84 4 020 1 36 131 0 28 27 9 608Isle of Wight 40 07 9 399 58 44 13 707 1 40 328 0 09 22 23 456James City 51 50 25 553 46 66 23 153 1 43 710 0 42 206 49 622King and Queen 38 64 1 590 59 54 2 450 1 56 64 0 27 11 4 115King George 37 99 5 404 59 38 8 446 2 21 314 0 42 60 14 224King William 30 37 3 260 68 18 7 320 1 32 142 0 13 14 10 736Lancaster 47 09 3 368 51 69 3 697 0 99 71 0 22 16 7 152Lee 14 97 1 489 84 10 8 365 0 78 78 0 14 14 9 946Lexington 64 84 1 791 32 80 906 1 74 48 0 62 17 2 762Loudoun 61 54 138 372 36 51 82 088 1 40 3 139 0 56 1 263 224 862Louisa 37 73 8 269 60 66 13 294 1 35 295 0 26 57 21 915Lunenburg 40 30 2 418 58 95 3 537 0 67 40 0 08 5 6 000Lynchburg 49 63 18 048 47 02 17 097 2 36 857 0 99 361 36 363Madison 33 19 2 698 65 20 5 300 1 30 106 0 31 25 8 129Manassas 61 03 10 356 36 87 6 256 1 65 280 0 45 76 16 968Manassas Park 65 58 3 992 32 51 1 979 1 64 100 0 26 16 6 087Martinsville 62 63 3 766 36 01 2 165 1 21 73 0 15 9 6 013Mathews 31 33 1 825 66 96 3 901 1 49 87 0 22 13 5 826Mecklenburg 41 98 6 803 57 18 9 266 0 70 113 0 14 22 16 204Middlesex 36 71 2 491 61 84 4 196 1 13 77 0 31 21 6 785Montgomery 51 55 23 218 45 80 20 629 2 09 942 0 55 248 45 037Nelson 46 45 4 327 51 65 4 812 1 61 150 0 29 27 9 316New Kent 31 95 4 621 66 59 9 631 1 19 172 0 27 39 14 463Newport News 65 39 53 099 32 48 26 377 1 77 1 438 0 36 289 81 203Norfolk 71 69 64 440 26 08 23 443 1 79 1 608 0 43 390 89 881Northampton 54 47 3 667 43 89 2 955 1 49 100 0 15 10 6 732Northumberland 41 61 3 252 57 39 4 485 0 72 56 0 28 22 7 815Norton 28 98 464 69 27 1 109 1 31 21 0 44 7 1 601Nottoway 41 98 2 971 56 89 4 027 1 02 72 0 11 8 7 078Orange 38 54 7 995 59 91 12 426 1 29 267 0 26 54 20 742Page 24 03 3 007 74 68 9 345 1 07 134 0 22 28 12 514Patrick 20 50 1 954 78 51 7 485 0 85 81 0 15 14 9 534Petersburg 87 75 12 389 11 22 1 584 0 76 108 0 26 37 14 118Pittsylvania 29 55 10 115 69 39 23 751 0 83 285 0 22 76 34 227Poquoson 26 14 2 054 71 34 5 605 2 04 160 0 48 38 7 857Portsmouth 69 42 30 948 28 61 12 755 1 62 723 0 35 156 44 582Powhatan 26 96 5 320 71 24 14 055 1 63 321 0 17 34 19 730Prince Edward 51 94 4 973 46 31 4 434 1 42 136 0 32 31 9 574Prince George 40 75 7 103 57 96 10 103 1 12 195 0 18 31 17 432Prince William 62 64 142 863 35 61 81 222 1 42 3 242 0 32 729 228 056Pulaski 28 34 4 925 69 79 12 127 1 58 275 0 28 49 17 376Radford 53 13 3 358 44 08 2 786 2 29 145 0 49 31 6 320Rappahannock 42 11 2 096 56 49 2 812 1 12 56 0 28 14 4 978Richmond City 82 92 92 175 14 94 16 603 1 52 1 691 0 62 690 111 159Richmond County 36 88 1 513 62 09 2 547 0 76 31 0 27 11 4 102Roanoke City 61 80 26 773 36 02 15 607 1 79 777 0 38 166 43 323Roanoke County 38 12 21 801 59 93 34 268 1 59 910 0 36 205 57 184Rockbridge 33 02 4 086 65 37 8 088 1 33 165 0 27 34 12 373Rockingham 28 86 12 644 69 27 30 349 1 49 653 0 38 165 43 811Russell 17 73 2 373 81 27 10 879 0 87 116 0 13 18 13 386Salem 39 45 5 148 58 87 7 683 1 69 220 0 00 0 13 051Scott 15 57 1 692 83 38 9 063 0 83 90 0 22 24 10 869Shenandoah 28 86 6 836 69 51 16 463 1 46 346 0 16 39 23 684Smyth 21 28 3 008 77 55 10 963 0 94 133 0 23 32 14 136Southampton 40 56 3 969 58 55 5 730 0 89 87 0 00 0 9 786Spotsylvania 45 55 34 307 52 33 39 411 1 73 1 301 0 40 298 75 317Stafford 50 54 40 245 47 27 37 636 1 73 1 376 0 46 368 79 625Staunton 53 74 6 981 43 84 5 695 1 92 249 0 50 65 12 990Suffolk 57 77 28 676 40 45 20 082 1 46 724 0 32 160 49 642Surry 53 61 2 397 45 29 2 025 0 89 40 0 20 9 4 471Sussex 55 56 2 827 43 61 2 219 0 69 35 0 14 7 5 088Tazewell 15 92 3 205 83 10 16 731 0 79 159 0 19 39 20 134Virginia Beach 51 59 117 393 46 18 105 087 1 85 4 208 0 38 873 227 561Warren 31 22 6 603 66 53 14 069 1 73 365 0 52 110 21 147Washington 23 07 6 617 75 58 21 679 1 06 304 0 30 85 28 685Waynesboro 46 29 4 961 51 39 5 507 1 95 209 0 37 40 10 717Westmoreland 45 31 4 501 53 54 5 318 0 91 90 0 24 24 9 933Williamsburg 69 59 4 790 28 52 1 963 1 34 92 0 55 38 6 883Winchester 54 60 6 610 43 13 5 221 1 76 213 0 51 62 12 106Wise 18 72 3 110 80 45 13 366 0 65 108 0 19 31 16 615Wythe 20 85 3 143 77 85 11 733 1 13 170 0 17 26 15 072York 45 59 17 683 52 19 20 241 1 75 680 0 47 183 38 787Results by congressional district Edit Biden won 7 out of Virginia s 11 congressional districts District Trump Biden Representative1st 51 4 47 Rob Wittman2nd 46 7 51 4 Elaine Luria3rd 31 2 67 2 Bobby Scott4th 36 8 61 8 Donald McEachin5th 53 6 45 1 Denver RigglemanBob Good6th 59 8 38 6 Ben Cline7th 48 7 49 8 Abigail Spanberger8th 21 1 77 6 Don Beyer9th 70 4 28 4 Morgan Griffith10th 39 6 58 9 Jennifer Wexton11th 28 3 70 3 Gerry ConnollyCounties and independent cities that flipped from Republican to Democratic Edit Chesapeake independent city Chesterfield no municipalities Lynchburg independent city James City no municipalities Stafford no municipalities Virginia Beach independent city See also EditUnited States presidential elections in Virginia 2020 United States presidential election 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries 2020 United States electionsNotes Edit The 2020 March Democratic Presidential Primary website published by the Virginia Department of Elections does not include the write in votes 14 This article includes them a b c Candidate withdrew during absentee voting shortly before the primary a b c Candidate withdrew following the New Hampshire primary when absentee voting had already begun Calculated by taking the difference of 100 and all other candidates combined a b c d e f g h i j Key A all adultsRV registered votersLV likely votersV unclear Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey Axios poll but more information available regarding sample size Other candidate or write in with 1 Someone else with 2 Third party candidate with 2 a b c d e f g h i Includes refused Other None of these and would not vote with 0 Someone else with 3 With voters who lean towards a given candidate Another candidate with 2 Third party candidate with 1 Some other candidate with 3 Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight Would vote for a third party candidate with 6 It is time to have someone else in office as opposed to Trump should be re elected with 59 Refused with 0 Partisan clients a b Poll conducted by Daniel Gade s campaignReferences Edit Virginia Department of Elections Registration Turnout Reports Kelly Ben August 13 2018 US elections key dates When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign The Independent Archived from the original on August 2 2018 Retrieved January 3 2019 Distribution of Electoral Votes National Archives and Records Administration Retrieved January 3 2019 Without Northern Virginia Trump would have won the state Inside Nova Retrieved November 17 2020 Chesterfield and Lynchburg hadn t backed a Democrat for president since 1948 Biden changed that Virginia Mercury November 5 2020 Retrieved November 17 2020 Virginia Voter Surveys How Different Groups Voted The New York Times November 3 2020 ISSN 0362 4331 Retrieved November 13 2020 a b Virginia Republicans Will Hold 2020 Presidential Preference Vote at State Convention Frontloading September 18 2019 Retrieved September 19 2019 Karni Annie September 6 2019 GOP plans to drop presidential primaries in 4 states to impede Trump challengers Boston Globe MSN Retrieved September 7 2019 Steakin Will Karson Kendall September 6 2019 GOP considers canceling at least 3 GOP primaries and caucuses Trump challengers outraged ABC News Retrieved September 7 2019 Virginia Republican Delegation 2020 The Green Papers Retrieved February 20 2020 Mattingly Justin June 30 2020 Republican Party of Virginia reschedules unassembled convention for August Richmond Times Dispatch Retrieved July 10 2020 Taylor Kate February 9 2019 Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence Mass The New York Times Retrieved February 10 2019 2020 March Democratic Presidential Primary Virginia gov Virginia Department of Elections Archived from the original on March 27 2020 Retrieved March 25 2020 2020 March Democratic Presidential Primary Virginia Department of Elections Retrieved March 11 2020 2020 Presidential Primaries Caucuses and Conventions Virginia Democrat The Green Papers Retrieved July 4 2020 a b Jonah Thomas May 12 2020 2020 GPVA Presidential Primary Results 2020 POTUS Race ratings PDF The Cook Political Report Retrieved May 21 2019 POTUS Ratings Inside Elections insideelections com Retrieved May 21 2019 Larry J Sabato s Crystal Ball 2020 President crystalball centerforpolitics org Retrieved May 21 2019 2020 Election Forecast Politico November 19 2019 Battle for White House RCP April 19 2019 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23 2020 at the Wayback Machine Niskanen Center March 24 2020 retrieved April 19 2020 David Chalian Terence Burlij June 11 2020 Road to 270 CNN s debut Electoral College map for 2020 CNN Retrieved June 16 2020 Forecasting the US elections The Economist Retrieved July 7 2020 2020 Election Battleground Tracker CBS News July 12 2020 Retrieved July 13 2020 2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map 270 to Win ABC News Race Ratings ABC News July 24 2020 Retrieved July 24 2020 Montanaro Domenico September 16 2020 2020 Electoral Map Ratings Landscape tightens some but Biden is still ahead NPR Retrieved January 15 2021 Biden continues to lead in our latest battleground map NBC News Retrieved January 15 2021 Biden is very likely to win Virginia FiveThirtyEight August 12 2020 Retrieved January 15 2021 2020 November General results elections virginia gov Retrieved November 20 2020 External links EditGovernment Documents Round Table of the American Library Association Virginia Voting amp Elections Toolkits Virginia Election Tools Deadlines Dates Rules and Links Vote org Oakland CA League of Women Voters of Virginia State affiliate of the U S League of Women Voters Virginia at Ballotpedia Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title 2020 United States presidential election in Virginia amp oldid 1132967743, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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