2022 United States Senate election in Georgia

See also: 2022 United States Senate elections

The 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the U.S. Senate to represent the state of Georgia. Incumbent Democratic senator Raphael Warnock won his first full term in office, defeating Republican former football player Herschel Walker. Under Georgia's two-round system, Warnock was re-elected in a runoff election on December 6 after neither candidate received over 50% of the vote on November 8.^[1]

2022 United States Senate election in Georgia

← 2020–21 (special) November 8, 2022 (first round) December 6, 2022 (runoff) 2028 →

Candidate Raphael Warnock Herschel Walker Party Democratic Republican First round 1,946,117 49.44% 1,908,442 48.49% Runoff 1,820,633 51.40% 1,721,244 48.60%

First round county results First round precinct results Runoff county results Runoff congressional district results Runoff precinct results Warnock:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%     >90% Walker:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. senator before election Raphael Warnock Democratic Elected U.S. Senator Raphael Warnock Democratic

Warnock, who won a shortened term to the seat in a 2020–21 special election, was nominated in the May 24 primary for a full term with minimal opposition. Walker, who was endorsed by former president Donald Trump and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, won the Republican nomination with 68% of the vote. It was the first U.S. Senate election in Georgia history and among five nationwide since the passage of the Seventeenth Amendment^[a] in which both major party nominees were Black.^[2][3] This was the fifth runoff in Georgia since they were introduced in 1964.

In the November 8 election, Warnock received 49.4% of the vote and Walker received 48.5%, triggering the December 6 runoff.^[4] Warnock defeated Walker by a 2.8% margin in the runoff and became the first African-American from Georgia elected to a full term in the U.S. Senate. Warnock's victory also secured an outright majority for Senate Democrats for the first time since 2015, with a net gain of one seat in the 2022 midterms.^[5][6] It was the third-closest Senate election of the 2022 midterms after Nevada and Wisconsin.

This is the first time since 1990 that a Democratic senator from Georgia won re-election and the first time since 1974 that a Democrat won re-election to the Class 3 seat. This was the first time a Democrat won a full term to this seat since 1986.

Democratic primary

Warnock easily won renomination in the Democratic primary over Tamara Johnson-Shealey, a left-wing activist and businesswoman, who ran a low-profile campaign focused around reparations for slavery.^[7][8]

Candidates

Nominee

• Raphael Warnock, incumbent U.S. Senator^[9]

Eliminated in primary

• Tamara Johnson-Shealey, DeKalb County businesswoman and perennial candidate^[10]

Endorsements

Raphael Warnock

State officials

• Demetrius Douglas, former professional football player and state representative from the 78th district (2013–present)^[11]

Organizations

• End Citizens United^[12]
• Feminist Majority PAC^[13]
• Giffords^[14]
• Human Rights Campaign^[15]
• Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund^[16]
• Jewish Dems^[17]
• League of Conservation Voters^[18]
• Let America Vote^[12]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America^[19]
• Natural Resources Defense Council^[20]
• Peace Action^[21]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund^[22]
• Population Connection Action Fund^[23]
• March On^[24]
• Sierra Club^[25]

Labor unions

• Communications Workers of America^[26]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Tamara Johnson-Shealey	Raphael Warnock	Undecided
Emerson College	April 1–3, 2022	453 (LV)	± 4.6%	6%	85%	10%

Results

 

Results by county:

  Warnock

•   80–90%
•   90–100%

Democratic primary results^[27]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Raphael Warnock (incumbent)	702,610	96.04%
	Democratic	Tamara Johnson-Shealey	28,984	3.96%
Total votes			731,594	100.0%

Republican primary

 

Georgia Agriculture Commissioner Gary Black was the runner-up in the Republican primary.

Candidates

Nominee

• Herschel Walker, former running back for the Georgia Bulldogs, former professional football player, and co-chair of the President's Council on Sports, Fitness, and Nutrition and CEO of Renaissance Man Food Services^[28]

Eliminated in primary

• Gary Black, Agriculture Commissioner of Georgia^[29]
• Josh Clark, former state representative and businessman^[30]
• Kelvin King, U.S. Air Force veteran, businessman, and founder of Osprey Management^[31][32]
• Jonathan McColumn, former U.S. Army Special Forces brigadier general and pastor^[10]
• Latham Saddler, former director of intelligence programs on the National Security Council and former Navy SEAL officer^[31]

Declined

• Christopher M. Carr, Attorney General of Georgia (ran for re-election)^[31]
• Buddy Carter, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 1st congressional district (ran for re-election; endorsed Walker)^[33][34]
• Doug Collins, former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 9th congressional district and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2020^[35][36]
• Geoff Duncan, Lieutenant Governor of Georgia and former state representative^[37][38]
• Randy Evans, former U.S. Ambassador to Luxembourg^[37][39] (endorsed Walker)
• Drew Ferguson, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 3rd congressional district (ran for re-election)^[40]
• Vernon Jones, former Democratic state representative and CEO of DeKalb County (ran for the U.S. House in GA-10)^[41]
• Brian Kemp, Governor of Georgia (ran for re-election)^[42]
• Jack Kingston, former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 1st congressional district^[31]
• Kelly Loeffler, former U.S. Senator^[43] (endorsed Walker)
• Harold Melton, former chief justice of Georgia Supreme Court^[44][45]
• David Perdue, former U.S. Senator^[46][47][48] (initially filed paperwork; ran for Governor)^[49]
• David Ralston, Speaker of the Georgia House of Representatives^[50]

Debates

2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in Georgia debates
No.	Date	Organizer	Location	Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn						Source
				Gary Black	Josh Clark	Kelvin King	Jonathan McColumn	Latham Saddler	Herschel Walker
1	April 9, 2022	Georgia's 9th congressional district Republican Party	Gainesville	P	P	P	P	P	A	^[51]
2	May 3, 2022	Atlanta Press Club, Georgia Public Broadcasting	Atlanta	P	P	P	P	P	A	^[52]

Endorsements

Gary Black

Governors

• Nathan Deal, 82nd Governor of Georgia (2011–2019)^[53]

U.S. Representatives

• Andrew Clyde, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 9th congressional district (2021–present)^[54]
• Doug Collins, former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 9th congressional district (2013–2021), and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020^[54]

State Officials

• Bubba McDonald, Georgia Public Service Commissioner^[54]

Herschel Walker

Executive branch officials

• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)^[55]

U.S. Senators

• Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2019–present)^[56]
• Steve Daines, U.S. Senator from Montana (2015–present)^[57]
• Lindsey Graham, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2003–present)^[57]
• Roger Marshall, U.S. Senator from Kansas (2021–present)^[57]
• Mitch McConnell, U.S Senator from Kentucky (1985–present), Senate Minority Leader (2021–present, 2007–2015), and former Senate Majority Leader (2015–2021)^[58]
• Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2013–present)^[57]
• John Thune, U.S. Senator from South Dakota (2005–present), Senate Minority Whip (2021–present), and former Senate Majority Whip (2019–2021)^[57]
• Tommy Tuberville, U.S. Senator from Alabama (2021–present)^[59]
• Bill Hagerty, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2021–present)^[60]
• Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present)^[60]

U.S. Representatives

• Buddy Carter, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 1st congressional district (2015–present)^[34]
• Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 14th congressional district (2021–present)^[61]

Individuals

• Sean Hannity, American talk show host and conservative political commentator^[62]

Organizations

• Black America's Political Action Committee^[63]
• National Right to Life^[64]
• American Conservative Union^[65]

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Gary Black	Josh Clark	Kelvin King	Jonathan McColumn	Latham Saddler	Herschel Walker	Other ^[c]	Margin
Real Clear Politics	May 12–23, 2022	May 24, 2022	9.0%	2.7%	4.0%	1.7%	9.0%	64.7%	12.9%	Walker +55.7

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Gary Black	Josh Clark	Kelvin King	Jonathan McColumn	Latham Saddler	Herschel Walker	Other	Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)	May 21–23, 2022	1,074 (LV)	± 2.9%	10%	3%	4%	2%	10%	67%	–	4%
Landmark Communications (R)	May 22, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	9%	3%	5%	2%	12%	60%	–	9%
Fox News	May 12–16, 2022	1,004 (LV)	± 3.0%	8%	2%	3%	1%	5%	66%	1%	11%
ARW Strategies (R)	April 30 – May 1, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	10%	1%	3%	1%	4%	59%	–	23%
SurveyUSA	April 22–27, 2022	559 (LV)	± 4.8%	6%	3%	2%	2%	3%	62%	–	21%
University of Georgia	April 10–22, 2022	886 (LV)	± 3.3%	7%	1%	1%	1%	2%	66%	–	23%
Landmark Communications (R)	April 9–10, 2022	660 (LV)	± 3.8%	9%	3%	4%	0%	5%	64%	–	14%
Spry Strategies (R)	April 6–10, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	7%	2%	4%	–	2%	64%	–	21%
University of Georgia	March 20 – April 8, 2022	~329 (LV)	± 5.4%	8%	0%	2%	0%	2%	64%	–	24%
Emerson College	April 1–3, 2022	509 (LV)	± 4.3%	13%	4%	5%	3%	2%	57%	2%^[d]	16%
Fox News	March 2–6, 2022	914 (LV)	± 3.0%	8%	1%	3%	–	2%	66%	1%	16%
InsiderAdvantage (R)	February 28 – March 1, 2022	750 (LV)	± 3.6%	6%	3%	4%	–	3%	63%	2%	20%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	February 11–13, 2022	1,072 (LV)	± 3.0%	6%	–	2%	–	3%	70%	–	19%
Quinnipiac University	January 19–24, 2022	666 (LV)	± 3.8%	6%	0%	2%	–	1%	81%	0%^[e]	9%
OnMessage Inc. (R)^[A]	October 11–14, 2021	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	6%	–	1%	–	1%	74%	2%^[f]	16%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	September 2–4, 2021	1,078 (LV)	± 3.0%	6%	–	2%	–	3%	76%	–	13%
Fabrizio Lee (R)^[B]	August 11–12, 2021	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	5%	–	2%	–	1%	54%	3%^[g]	35%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Doug Collins	Marjorie Taylor Greene	Kelly Loeffler	Herschel Walker	Undecided
OnMessage Inc. (R)	March 14–15, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	35%	7%	22%	27%	11%
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage	March 7–9, 2021	– (LV)^[h]	–	33%	–	24%	33%	11%

Primary runoff polling

Doug Collins vs. Kelly Loeffler

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Doug Collins	Kelly Loeffler	Undecided
OnMessage Inc. (R)	March 14–15, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	55%	36%	10%
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage	March 7–9, 2021	– (LV)^[h]	–	52%	32%	16%

Herschel Walker vs. Doug Collins

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Herschel Walker	Doug Collins	Undecided
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage	March 7–9, 2021	– (LV)^[h]	–	50%	36%	14%

Herschel Walker vs. Kelly Loeffler

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Herschel Walker	Kelly Loeffler	Undecided
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage	March 7–9, 2021	– (LV)^[h]	–	62%	26%	11%

Results

 

Results by county:

  Walker

•   50–60%
•   60–70%
•   70–80%
•   80–90%
•   90–100%

Republican primary results^[27]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Herschel Walker	803,560	68.18%
	Republican	Gary Black	157,370	13.35%
	Republican	Latham Saddler	104,471	8.86%
	Republican	Josh Clark	46,693	3.96%
	Republican	Kelvin King	37,930	3.22%
	Republican	Jonathan McColumn	28,601	2.43%
Total votes			1,178,625	100.0%

Libertarian primary

 

Libertarian nominee Chase Oliver

Candidates

Declared

• Chase Oliver, chair of the Atlanta Libertarian Party, customer service specialist, and candidate for Georgia's 5th congressional district in the 2020 special election^[66][67]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[68]	Tossup	March 4, 2022
Inside Elections^[69]	Tossup	April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[70]	Lean R (flip)	November 7, 2022
Politico^[71]	Tossup	April 1, 2022
RCP^[72]	Tossup	February 24, 2022
Fox News^[73]	Tossup	October 25, 2022
DDHQ^[74]	Tossup	October 25, 2022
FiveThirtyEight^[75]	Lean R (flip)	November 7, 2022
The Economist^[76]	Tossup	November 1, 2022

Debates

2022 United States Senate general election in Georgia debates

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Republican	Libertarian
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Raphael Warnock	Herschel Walker	Chase Oliver
1	Oct. 14, 2022	Nexstar Media Group	Buck Lanford Tina Tyus-Shaw		P	P	N
2	Oct. 16, 2022	Georgia Public Broadcasting	Scott Slade	^[77]	P	A	P

Endorsements

Raphael Warnock (D)

Executive Branch officials

• Joe Biden, 46th president of the United States (2021–present)^[78]
• Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017)^[79]

U.S. Senators

• Cory Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey (2013–present)^[80]
• John Fetterman, U.S. Senator-elect from Pennsylvania and Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania (2019–2023)^[81]
• Jon Ossoff, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2021–present)^[82]
• Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)^[78]

U.S. Representatives

• Sanford Bishop, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 2nd congressional district (1993–present)^[83]
• Nancy Pelosi, Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (2019–2023; 2007–2011) and U.S. Representative for California's 12th congressional district (2013–present)^[84]
• Nikema Williams, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 5th congressional district (2021–present)^[85]

State officials

• Stacey Abrams, former Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives, founder of Fair Fight Action, and nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2018 and 2022^[86]
• James Beverly, state representative from the 143rd district (2013–present)^[83]
• William Boddie, state representative from the 62nd district (2017–present)^[83]
• Demetrius Douglas, former professional football player and state representative from the 78th district (2013–present)^[11]
• Gloria Frazier, state representative from the 126th district (2013–present)^[87]
• Harold V. Jones II, state senator for the 22nd district (2015–present)^[88]
• Jen Jordan, state senator for the 6th district (2017–2023)^[89]
• David Lucas, state senator for the 26th district (2013–present)^[83]
• Miriam Paris, state representative from the 142nd district (2017–present)^[83]

Local officials

• Kelly Girtz, Mayor of Athens (2019–present)^[89]

Individuals

• J. J. Abrams, filmmaker^[90]
• Arianna Afsar, singer^[91]
• Waka Flocka Flame, rapper^[92]
• Maxwell Frost, U.S. Representative-elect for Florida's 10th congressional district^[93]
• LeBron James, professional basketball player^[94]
• Daniel Dae Kim, actor^[91]
• Min Jin Lee, author^[91]
• Spike Lee, film director^[95]
• John Legend, singer and songwriter^[96]
• Jeannie Mai, television host^[91]
• Gucci Mane, entertainer^[97]
• Dave Matthews, singer^[98]
• Killer Mike, rapper^[99]
• Lin-Manuel Miranda, composer and filmmaker^[100]
• Michelle Obama, former First Lady of the United States (2009–2017)^[101]
• Martin Sheen, actor^[102]
• Steven Spielberg, film director^[90]
• Kerry Washington, actress^[103]
• Oprah Winfrey, businesswoman and talk show host^[104]
• Henry Winkler, actor^[105]
• Stevie Wonder, singer and songwriter^[106]

Organizations

• Actors' Equity Association^[107]
• Asian-American Advocacy Fund^[108]
• End Citizens United^[12]
• Everytown for Gun Safety^[108]
• Feminist Majority PAC^[13]
• Giffords^[14]
• Human Rights Campaign^[15]
• Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund^[16]
• Jewish Dems^[17]
• League of Conservation Voters^[18]
• Let America Vote^[12]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America^[19]
• National Association of Social Workers^[109]
• National Organization for Women^[108]
• Natural Resources Defense Council^[20]
• Peace Action^[21]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund^[22]
• Population Connection Action Fund^[23]
• March On^[24]
• Sierra Club^[25]

Labor unions

• Communications Workers of America^[26]
• National Education Association^[110]
• United Auto Workers^[111]

Herschel Walker (R)

Executive Branch officials

• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)^[55]
• Nikki Haley, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2019) and former governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)^[112]
• Mike Pompeo, former U.S. Secretary of State (2018–2021) and former Director of the CIA (2017–2018)^[112]

State officials

• Pam Bondi, Attorney General of Florida (2011–2019)^[113]
• Ron DeSantis, Governor of Florida (2019–present)^[114]
• Brian Kemp, Governor of Georgia (2019–present)^[115]
• Mark Newton, state representative from the 123rd district (2017–present)^[116]
• Jodi Lott, state representative from the 122nd district (2015–present)^[116]
• Jesse Petrea, state representative from the 166th district (2015–present)^[117]
• Randy Robertson, state senator from the 29th district (2019–present)^[113]
• Ron Stephens, state representative from the 164th district (2005–present)^[117]

U.S. Senators

• Katie Britt, U.S. Senator-elect from Alabama^[118]
• Saxby Chambliss, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2003–2015)^[119]
• John Cornyn, U.S. Senator from Texas (2002–present)^[120]
• Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–present)^[121]
• Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present)^[60][122]
• Steve Daines, U.S. Senator from Montana (2015–present)^[57]
• Lindsey Graham, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2003–present)^[57]
• Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2019–present)^[123]
• John Kennedy, U.S. Senator from Louisiana (2017–present)^[124][125]
• Kelly Loeffler, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2020–2021)^[126]
• Roger Marshall, U.S. Senator from Kansas (2021–present)^[57]
• Mack Mattingly, U.S. Senator from Georgia (1981–1987)^[119]
• Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senator from Kentucky (1985–present), Senate Minority Leader (2021–present, 2007–2015), and former Senate Majority Leader (2015–2021)^[58]
• David Perdue, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2015–2021)^[119]
• Rick Scott, U.S. Senator from Florida (2019–present)^[127]
• Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2013–present)^[128]
• John Thune, U.S. Senator from South Dakota (2005–present), Senate Minority Whip (2021–present), and former Senate Majority Whip (2019–2021)^[57]
• Tommy Tuberville, U.S. Senator from Alabama (2021–present)^[59]

U.S. Representatives

• Rick W. Allen, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 12th congressional district (2015–present)^[116]
• Don Bacon, U.S. Representative for Nebraska's 2nd congressional district (2017–present)^[129]
• Buddy Carter, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 1st congressional district (2015–present)^[130]
• Tulsi Gabbard, former U.S. Representative for Hawaii's 2nd congressional district (2013–2021) (Independent)^[113]
• Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (1995–1999) and former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 6th congressional district (1979–1999)^[131]
• Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 14th congressional district (2021–present)^[61]

Individuals

• Bobby Christine, District Attorney of the Columbia County Judicial Circuit (2021–present)^[116]
• Vince Dooley, former head coach of the Georgia Bulldogs (deceased)^[132]
• Ric Flair, professional wrestler^[133]
• Doug Flutie, NFL and CFL quarterback^[133]
• Tom Glavine, pitcher for the Atlanta Braves^[133]
• Sean Hannity, talk show host and conservative political commentator^[62]
• Ronna McDaniel, chair of the Republican National Committee^[134]
• Chuck Norris, martial artist and actor^[135]
• Ralph Reed, political consultant^[136]
• Kanye West, rapper, businessman, and fashion designer^[137]

Organizations

• American Conservative Union^[65]
• Black America's Political Action Committee^[63]
• Campaign for Working Families^[138]
• National Right to Life^[64]

Declined to endorse

Statewide officials

• Gary Black, Agriculture Commissioner of Georgia (2011–2023) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 (Republican)^[139]
• Geoff Duncan, Lieutenant Governor of Georgia (2019–2023) (Republican)^[140]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Raphael Warnock (D)	Herschel Walker (R)	Other ^[c]	Margin
Real Clear Politics	October 29 – November 7, 2022	November 7, 2022	47.4%	48.8%	3.8%	Walker +1.4
FiveThirtyEight	October 13 – November 7, 2022	November 7, 2022	46.7%	47.7%	5.69%	Walker +1.0
270ToWin	November 4–7, 2022	November 7, 2022	47.3%	48.5%	5.1%	Walker +1.2
Average			47.1%	48.3%	4.6%	Walker +1.2

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Raphael Warnock (D)	Herschel Walker (R)	Chase Oliver (L)	Other	Undecided
AtlasIntel	November 5–7, 2022	791 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	49%	–	5%^[i]	–
Landmark Communications	November 4–7, 2022	1,214 (LV)	± 2.8%	46%	47%	5%	–	2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)	November 6, 2022	550 (LV)	± 4.2%	47%	49%	1%	–	4%
Research Co.	November 4–6, 2022	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	47%	47%	1%	–	5%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	November 4–6, 2022	1,103 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	50%	2%	–	2%
Data for Progress (D)	November 2–6, 2022	1,474 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%	–	–
Targoz Market Research	November 2–6, 2022	579 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	49%	1%	2%^[j]	–
East Carolina University	November 2–5, 2022	1,077 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	49%	2%	–	–
Amber Integrated (R)	November 1–2, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	48%	3%	–	4%
Remington Research Group (R)	November 1–2, 2022	1,150 (LV)	± 2.8%	45%	49%	2%	–	4%
Echleon Insights	October 31 – November 2, 2022	500 (LV)	± 5.4%	45%	49%	3%	–	3%
				45%	52%	–	–	3%
Marist College	October 31 – November 2, 2022	1,168 (RV)	± 3.9%	49%	45%	–	1%^[k]	6%
		1,009 (LV)	± 4.2%	48%	48%	–	1%^[k]	3%
Moore Information Group (R)^[C]	October 29 – November 2, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	44%	49%	2%	–	5%
SurveyUSA	October 29 – November 2, 2022	1,171 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	43%	3%	–	5%
Patinkin Research Strategies (D)^[D]	October 30 – November 1, 2022	700 (RV)	± 3.7%	49%	45%	4%	–	2%
Emerson College	October 28–31, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	1%	1%^[l]	2%
				50%	48%	2%	1%^[l]	–
Fox News	October 26–30, 2022	1,002 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	43%	–	6%^[m]	6%
InsiderAdvantage (R)	October 27, 2022	550 (LV)	± 4.2%	45%	48%	2%	<1%^[n]	5%
Siena College/NYT	October 24–27, 2022	604 (LV)	± 4.8%	49%	46%	1%	–	4%
University of Georgia	October 16–27, 2022	1,022 (LV)	± 3.1%	45%	46%	5%	–	5%
co/efficient (R)	October 24–25, 2022	946 (LV)	± 3.2%	44%	47%	3%	–	6%
Moore Information Group (R)^[C]	October 22–25, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	42%	46%	3%	–	–
Rasmussen Reports (R)	October 23–24, 2022	1,053 (LV)	± 3.0%	43%	48%	–	4%^[o]	4%
The Trafalgar Group (R)^[E]	October 21–23, 2022	1,076 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	49%	5%	–	–
East Carolina University	October 13–18, 2022	905 (LV)	± 3.8%	49%	47%	–	2%^[p]	3%
Landmark Communications	October 15–17, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	46%	46%	3%	–	2%
Data for Progress (D)	October 13–17, 2022	984 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	3%	–	3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)	October 16, 2022	550 (LV)	± 4.2%	46%	43%	4%	1%^[q]	6%
Wick Insights (R)	October 8–14, 2022	1,018 (LV)	± 3.1%	46%	46%	–	3%^[r]	5%
Civiqs	October 8–11, 2022	717 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	46%	–	3%^[r]	1%
Moore Information Group (R)^[C]	October 8–11, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	44%	46%	4%	–	–
The Trafalgar Group (R)	October 8–11, 2022	1,084 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	45%	4%	–	5%
Quinnipiac University	October 7–10, 2022	1,157 (LV)	± 2.9%	52%	45%	–	1%^[s]	1%
Emerson College	October 6–7, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	46%	1%	1%^[l]	4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)	October 4, 2022	550 (LV)	± 4.2%	47%	44%	3%	1%^[q]	5%
SurveyUSA	September 30 – October 4, 2022	1,076 (LV)	± 3.7%	50%	38%	–	5%^[t]	7%
University of Georgia	September 25 – October 4, 2022	1,030 (LV)	± 3.1%	46%	43%	4%	–	6%
Fox News	September 22–26, 2022	1,011 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	41%	–	6%^[u]	7%
Data for Progress (D)	September 16–20, 2022	1,006 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	46%	4%	–	3%
YouGov/CBS News	September 14–19, 2022	1,178 (RV)	± 4.0%	51%	49%	–	–	0%
University of Georgia	September 5–16, 2022	861 (LV)	± 3.3%	44%	46%	–	3%	7%
Marist College	September 12–15, 2022	1,202 (RV)	± 3.6%	47%	42%	4%	–	7%
		992 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	45%	4%	–	4%
Kurt Jetta (D)^[F]	September 9–12, 2022	949 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	37%	–	–	13%
		542 (LV)		49%	45%	–	–	7%
Quinnipiac University	September 8–12, 2022	1,278 (LV)	± 2.7%	52%	46%	–	1%	2%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	751 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	40%	–	–	10%
InsiderAdvantage (R)	September 6–7, 2022	550 (LV)	± 4.2%	44%	47%	4%	–	5%
Emerson College	August 28–29, 2022	600 (LV)	± 3.9%	44%	46%	–	4%	7%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	August 24–27, 2022	1,079 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	48%	3%	–	3%
Phillips Academy	August 3–7, 2022	971 (RV)	± 3.1%	44%	45%	–	–	11%
Research Affiliates (D)^[G]	July 26 – August 1, 2022	420 (LV)	± 4.8%	49%	46%	–	–	5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)	July 26–27, 2022	750 (LV)	± 3.6%	48%	45%	3%	1%	3%
Fox News	July 22–26, 2022	908 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	42%	–	1%	9%
PEM Management Corporation (R)^[H]	July 22–24, 2022	300 (LV)	± 5.7%	42%	46%	–	3%	9%
SurveyUSA	July 21–24, 2022	604 (LV)	± 5.3%	48%	39%	–	5%	8%
University of Georgia	July 14–22, 2022	902 (LV)	± 3.3%	46%	43%	3%	–	8%
Beacon Research (D)^[I]	July 5–20, 2022	1,003 (RV)	± 3.1%	48%	36%	–	2%	11%
		602 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	43%	–	1%	7%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)	July 5–11, 2022	1,197 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	47%	–	–	3%
Data for Progress (D)	July 1–6, 2022	1,131 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	–	–	4%
Change Research (D)^[J]	June 24–27, 2022	704 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	44%	–	–	8%
Quinnipiac University	June 23–27, 2022	1,497 (RV)	± 2.5%	54%	44%	–	0%	3%
Moore Information Group (R)^[C]	June 11–16, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	47%	–	–	6%
East Carolina University	June 6–9, 2022	868 (RV)	± 3.9%	47%	47%	–	2%	4%
SurveyUSA	April 22–27, 2022	1,278 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	45%	–	–	5%
Grassroots Targeting (R)^[A]	April 3–16, 2022	2,500 (RV)	± 2.0%	41%	51%	–	–	8%
Emerson College	April 1–3, 2022	1,013 (RV)	± 3.0%	45%	49%	–	–	6%
Blueprint Polling (D)	March 2–8, 2022	662 (LV)	± 3.9%	45%	49%	–	–	6%
Change Research (D)^[J]	March 2022	– (LV)	–	48%	49%	–	–	3%
Wick Insights (R)	February 2–6, 2022	1,290 (LV)	± 2.7%	46%	47%	–	–	8%
Quinnipiac University	January 19–24, 2022	1,702 (RV)	± 2.4%	48%	49%	–	0%	3%
University of Georgia	January 13–24, 2022	872 (RV)	± 3.3%	44%	47%	–	1%	8%
NRSC (R)^[K]	December 4–8, 2021	831 (LV)	± 3.4%	48%	49%	–	–	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 9, 2021	753 (RV)	± 3.6%	45%	39%	–	2%	8%
		733 (LV)		48%	42%	–	2%	6%
Public Policy Polling (D)	August 4–5, 2021	622 (V)	± 3.9%	48%	46%	–	–	6%
The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R)	March 7–9, 2021	1,093 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	48%	–	3%	4%

Hypothetical polling

Raphael Warnock vs. Gary Black

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Raphael Warnock (D)	Gary Black (R)	Other	Undecided
University of Georgia	January 13–24, 2022	872 (RV)	± 3.3%	46%	41%	1%	11%
Public Policy Polling (D)	August 4–5, 2021	622 (V)	± 3.9%	46%	38%	–	16%

Raphael Warnock vs. Kelly Loeffler

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Raphael Warnock (D)	Kelly Loeffler (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)	August 4–5, 2021	622 (V)	± 3.9%	47%	44%	–	9%
The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R)	March 7–9, 2021	1,093 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	41%	8%	5%

Raphael Warnock vs. Doug Collins

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Raphael Warnock (D)	Doug Collins (R)	Other	Undecided
The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R)	March 7–9, 2021	1,093 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	45%	5%	5%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Undecided
Grassroots Targeting (R)^[A]	April 3–16, 2022	2,500 (RV)	± 2.0%	40%	52%	8%

Results

Despite a strong gubernatorial performance by incumbent governor Brian Kemp in his reelection bid, and leading the polls since October, Walker ended up one point behind Warnock and was forced into a runoff. Ticket splitting was evident, as Walker underperformed Brian Kemp by 200,000 votes, while Warnock did 100,000 votes better than Abrams.^[141]

2022 United States Senate election in Georgia^[142]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Raphael Warnock (incumbent)	1,946,117	49.44%	+1.05%
	Republican	Herschel Walker	1,908,442	48.49%	−0.88%
	Libertarian	Chase Oliver	81,365	2.07%	+1.35%
Total votes			3,935,924	100.0%

Runoff

Following the projection of incumbent Democratic senator Catherine Cortez Masto's victory in Nevada, it became clear that, unlike in the previous cycle, the results of the Georgia runoff would not determine control of the United States Senate. With all Democratic incumbents besides Warnock winning re-election and Democrat John Fetterman flipping an open seat in Pennsylvania that had been held by retiring Republican Pat Toomey, Democrats held their majority in the Senate.^[v][143] Nevertheless, national Democrats and Republicans began spending on advertising and volunteer mobilization efforts as soon as it became apparent that a runoff election would be necessary.^[144] Historically, runoff elections in Georgia have favored Republicans as turnout decreased disproportionately amongst Democratic voters, but in 2021, with Senate control to be determined, turnout was historically high.^[145] Prior to the runoff, elections analysts questioned whether Georgia voters would turn out in such high numbers again and tried to determine which candidate's coalition of supporters would be more likely to turn out.^[146]

The early vote window was shorter in 2022 than in 2021 due to Georgia's Election Integrity Act of 2021, which reduced the gap between general and runoff elections from nine to four weeks.^[147] State officials also said that there could be no weekend early voting: Georgia state law bars early voting from taking place the Saturday immediately before an election (December 3), and Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger argued that early voting also could not take place the next preceding Saturday (November 26), as it fell two days after Thanksgiving (November 24) and the day after a Georgia state holiday established to commemorate Confederate general Robert E. Lee's birthday (November 25).^[w][150] On Friday, November 18, a Fulton County Superior Court judge ruled that, despite the holidays, county boards of election could legally offer early voting on Saturday, November 26;^[151] that decision was upheld by the Georgia Court of Appeals on Monday, November 21,^[152] and by the Supreme Court of Georgia on Wednesday, November 23.^[153] Ultimately, 27 of Georgia's 159 counties chose to offer early voting on Saturday,^[154] including the state's four largest counties, Fulton, Gwinnett, Cobb, and DeKalb.^[155]

While Democrats retained control of the Senate during the 118th Congress regardless of the outcome of the Georgia runoff, Warnock's victory affected the functioning of that majority. During the 117th Congress, Senate Democrats made power-sharing agreements with Republicans, such as evenly dividing committee memberships between the two parties and giving Republicans greater ability to delay judicial appointments; with Warnock's win, Democrats attained an outright 51–49 majority,^[1] allowing them to take full control of Senate committees and expedite judicial confirmations.^[156] Looking beyond the 118th Congress, many analysts have noted that the outcome of this race will affect Democrats' prospects in the 2024 U.S. Senate elections. Election forecasters have noted that Democrats hold a number of seats up for election in 2024 which will be difficult for the party to defend,^[x] and therefore that holding Georgia's seat bolstered the party's chances to maintain Senate control going forward.^{[156][157][158]}

According to Ron Brownstein of CNN in 2023, Warnock won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Walker's defeat.^[159]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[160]	Tossup	November 18, 2022
Inside Elections^[161]	Tilt D	December 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[162]	Lean D	December 5, 2022
DDHQ^[163]	Lean D	December 6, 2022

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Raphael Warnock (D)	Herschel Walker (R)	Undecided ^[c]	Margin
Real Clear Politics	November 11 – December 4, 2022	December 5, 2022	51.0%	47.3%	1.5%	Warnock +3.7
FiveThirtyEight	November 26 – December 5, 2022	December 5, 2022	51.1%	47.2%	2.1%	Warnock +3.9
270ToWin	November 22 – December 5, 2022	December 5, 2022	51.0%	47.7%	1.5%	Warnock +3.3
Average			51.0%	47.4%	1.7%	Warnock +3.6

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Raphael Warnock (D)	Herschel Walker (R)	Other	Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)	December 3–5, 2022	1,099 (LV)	± 2.9%	51%	47%	–	2%
Data for Progress (D)	December 1–5, 2022	1,229 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	49%	–	–
InsiderAdvantage (R)	December 4, 2022	750 (LV)	± 3.6%	51%	48%	–	1%
Landmark Communications	December 4, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	52%	47%	–	1%
Mitchell Research	December 4, 2022	625 (LV)	± 3.6%	50%	45%	–	5%
Patriot Polling	November 30 – December 2, 2022	818 (RV)	–	49%	47%	–	4%
Emerson College	November 28–30, 2022	888 (LV)	± 3.2%	51%	49%	–	–
				49%	47%	–	4%
SurveyUSA	November 26–30, 2022	1,214 (LV)	± 3.6%	50%	47%	–	3%
				50%	46%	–	4%
CNN/SSRS	November 25–29, 2022	1,886 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	44%	5%^[y]	–
		1,184 (LV)	± 3.8%	52%	48%	1%^[z]	–
UMass Lowell/YouGov	November 18–28, 2022	1,300 (LV)	± 3.2%	51%	46%	–	2%
Phillips Academy	November 26–27, 2022	862 (LV)	± 3.3%	47%	48%	–	5%
Frederick Polls (D)^[L]	November 23–26, 2022	939 (LV)	± 3.1%	50%	50%	–	–
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)	November 11–17, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	51%	47%	–	2%

Results

Warnock won Washington and Baldwin counties in the runoff, after having lost them in the general election, although he did win them in 2020.

2022 United States Senate runoff election in Georgia^[164]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Raphael Warnock (incumbent)	1,820,633	51.40%	+0.36%
	Republican	Herschel Walker	1,721,244	48.60%	−0.36%
Total votes			3,541,877	100.0%
	Democratic hold

By congressional district

Despite losing the state, Walker won 9 of 14 congressional districts.^[165]

District	Warnock	Walker	Representative
1st	44%	56%	Buddy Carter
2nd	56%	44%	Sanford Bishop
3rd	36%	64%	Drew Ferguson
4th	82%	18%	Hank Johnson
5th	87%	13%	Nikema Williams
6th	44%	56%	Lucy McBath (117th Congress)
			Rich McCormick (118th Congress)
7th	66%	34%	Carolyn Bourdeaux (117th Congress)
			Lucy McBath (118th Congress)
8th	35%	65%	Austin Scott
9th	31%	69%	Andrew Clyde
10th	39%	61%	Jody Hice (117th Congress)
			Mike Collins (118th Congress)
11th	43%	57%	Barry Loudermilk
12th	44%	56%	Rick Allen
13th	84%	16%	David Scott
14th	32%	68%	Marjorie Taylor Greene

See also

• 2022 Georgia gubernatorial election
• 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Georgia
• 2022 United States Senate elections
• 2022 Georgia state elections

Notes

1. After Illinois in 2004 and South Carolina in 2014 and 2016, and concurrently with South Carolina in 2022.
2. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
4. Nestor with 2%
5. Craig and Nestor with 0%
6. Craig and Nestor with 1%
7. Carter with 3%
8. Likely Republican primary voter subsample of 1,093 likely general election voters
9. "Other candidate/Don't know" with 5%
10. "All others" with 2%
11. "Another party's candidate" with 1%
12. "Someone else" with 1%
13. "Other" with 4%; "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
14. "Other" with <1%
15. "Some other candidate" with 4%
16. "Some other candidate" with 2%
17. "Other" with 1%
18. "Someone else" with 3%
19. "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
20. "Other candidate" with 5%
21. "Other" with 3%; "Wouldn't vote" with 3%
22. Two independent senators caucus with Senate Democrats and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris casts the tie-breaking vote.
23. While Lee's birthday was January 19, the state of Georgia had traditionally observed the holiday on the Friday after Thanksgiving. Since 2016, Georgia no longer references Lee on its official calendar, but the day is still observed as a state holiday and government operations are closed.^[148][149]
24. Three Class 1 Democrats represent states won by Trump in 2020 (Montana, Ohio, and West Virginia), while no Class 1 Republicans represent states won by Biden. In addition, five Class 1 Democrats represent states won by Biden by less than his national popular vote margin (Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin).
25. "Do not plan to vote" with 5%
26. "Do not plan to vote" with 1%

Partisan clients

1. This poll was sponsored by 34N22 Leadership, which supports Walker
2. This poll was sponsored by Save America PAC
3. This poll was sponsored by Walker's campaign
4. This poll was sponsored by Progress Georgia, an organization affiliated with the Georgia Democratic Party.
5. This poll was sponsored by The Daily Wire
6. This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Walker
7. This poll was sponsored by Charlie Bailey's campaign for lieutenant governor
8. This poll was conducted for John Bolton Super PAC
9. This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project
10. This poll was sponsored by Future Majority and America's Future Majority Fund
11. This poll was sponsored by the National Republican Senatorial Committee
12. Poll conducted for COMPETE Everywhere, a digital marketing firm associated with the Democratic Party.

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External links

Official campaign websites

• Chase Oliver (L) for Senate
• Herschel Walker (R) for Senate
• Raphael Warnock (D) for Senate