Second Arab Spring

Second Arab Spring
Date	1 January 2018 – present
Location	Arab League countries in North Africa, Central Africa and Middle East (i.e. MENA)
Caused by	Authoritarianism Energy crisis Human rights violations Inflation Kleptocracy Political corruption Poor basic services Poverty Sectarianism (Lebanon and Iraq) State terrorism Unemployment
Goals	Democracy Economic equality Employment Free elections Human rights Nationalism Regime change
Methods	Civil resistance Civil war Demonstrations Insurgency Internet activism Labor strike Mutiny Protests Rebellion Riots Self-immolation
Status	Full result by country Tunisia: Repeal of the 2018 budget Sudan: President Omar al-Bashir ousted, arrested, charged, government overthrown. Transitional authority established. Algeria: President Abdelaziz Bouteflika resigned, government overthrown. Presidential elections were delayed until December 2019. Abdelmadjid Tebboune elected as new president Gaza: Gaza economic protests. Protests were violently suppressed. Jordan: Resignation of Hani Mulki's government, Omar Razzaz forms new government and controversial tax bill withdrawn for further discussion. Iraq: Defeat in parliamentary elections of pro-Western Haider al-Abadi and election of pro-Iran government led by Adil Abdul-Mahdi. Abdul-Mahdi's government resigns in November 2019 following protests against Iran's growing influence in Iraqi politics. Mustafa Al-Kadhimi appointed as new prime minister. Early elections held in October 2021 Lebanon: Resignation of Prime Ministers Saad Hariri and Hassan Diab. Najib Mikati appointed as prime minister on 10 September 2021 Syria: Sacking of Prime Minister Imad Khamis.

The Second Arab Spring,^[1] also known as the Arab Spring 2.0,^[2][3][4] was a series of anti-government protests which took place in Algeria, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Oman, Sudan, Syria and Tunisia,^[5] with several starting in late 2018.^[4] Economic protests also took place in the Gaza Strip.^[6]

The deadliest incident of civil unrest in Iraq since the fall of Saddam Hussein resulted in its Prime Minister being replaced.^[7][8][9] Sustained civil disobedience in Sudan resulted in the overthrow of president Omar al-Bashir in a military coup d'état,^[10] the Khartoum massacre, and the transfer of power from a military junta to a combined military–civilian Sovereignty Council that is legally committed to a 39-month transition to democracy.

The alternative names "New Arab Spring" and "Arab Summer" refer as well to similarity with the preceding Arab Spring wave of pro-democracy protests which took place in 2010–2013.^[11] However, in this wave of protests "the similarities and differences suggest more an upgrading than a replay of the Arab Spring."^[12] The wider call for democracy and human rights was replaced by more day-to-day demands, on issues including excessive costs of living and high unemployment rates.^[12]

Context and background

Main articles: Arab Spring and Arab Winter

Tesbih Habbal and Muzna Hasnawi, Syrian editors writing in The Nation in October 2019, argued that the 2018–2019 sustained street protests in the Arab world starting with Sudan in December 2018, Algeria in February 2019, Egypt and Iraq in September and October 2019, Syria and Lebanon in October 2019, constituted a second wave of the process that started with the 2010–2011 Arab Spring. Syrian protestors in October held signs stating, "Syria—Egypt—Iraq: You've revived the spirit of the Arab people, from the [Atlantic] Ocean to the [Persian] Gulf!" Habbal and Hansawi described the process as having "profoundly changed the political consciousness of the region", overcoming fear of political activity and "setting a crucial precedent for challenging the persistence of authoritarianism". Habbal and Hansawi argued that the October protests in Syria "[proved] that even ruthless repression and tyranny cannot deter the resistance."^[13]

Habbal and Hansawi argued that the new wave of protests frequently included usage of the slogan "Al-shab yurid isqat al- nizam!" (The people want the fall of the regime!) used during the 2010–2011 Arab Spring.^[13] The protests have often been described as being inherently "anti-systemic" to the entirety of the political establishment instead of opposition to a single policy, fueling this is large scale unemployment specifically youth unemployment. As well as frustration towards many Arab government policies, reliance on international aid for basic necessities, corruption and reliance of hydrocarbons (fossil fuels) has all led to discontent towards the often cronyistic system widely in use in Middle Eastern countries.^[14]

Timeline by country

Morocco

Multiple demonstrations occurred in Morocco during this period, mainly stemming from issues existing since the Arab Spring. These issues at their core, while exacerbated by the death of Mouhcine Fikri, are due to the lack of a suitable standard of living for the "lower middle class and the poorest segments of society" in Morocco.^[15] Massive projects have been undertaken to improve infrastructure and development in the country, including a high-speed train running from Casablanca to Tangier,^[16] but young and poor people, many of whom reside in rural areas in the countryside, are unable to benefit from such projects and feel that their needs are still being ignored. Many in particular still suffer from the poor quality of transportation within major cities like the bus system in Casablanca,^[17] and connecting smaller cities and towns within Morocco. Most poorer Moroccans lack basic access to food and water and 22% of the country is unemployed.^[18] These recent projects have highlighted economic disparity and inequality between social classes in Morocco, which were further exacerbated by the impact of COVID-19,^[19][15] and have generated more social unrest among the poor. One recent protest started in late 2017 and continued into 2018 over the lack of food and water. During this period, a stampede occurred in Sidi Boulaalam, a small village outside Essaouira, when supplies arrived to a marketplace, resulting in the trampling and deaths of at least 15 people.^[20] The situation is worse in the country's interior in places like Zagora, a small village in Drâa-Tafilalet, where for years people have been surviving off drinking imported bottled water.^[21]

While the country was mainly spared from the violence seen in other Arab countries, it still occasionally sees protests over economic and social conditions.^[22] Methods of protesting against corruption and poor standards of living included singing political chants at soccer stadiums,^[23][24] with mostly young football fans gathering in the tens of thousands at Moroccan soccer club stadiums.^[25]

Most riots and civil unrest were a result of the 2016–2017 protests organized by the Hirak Rif Movement followed by a lack of reform on behalf of King Mohammed VI of Morocco. The aftermath of the Hirak Rif protests led to the imprisonment, detainment and trial of what is thought to be more than 400 protesters, journalists and political activists.^[26] In 2019, several activists were sentenced to 20 years in prison following a lengthy trial period, including Hirak Rif leader Nasser Zefzafi. The upholding of these sentences sparked outrage among the relatives of the accused and thousands protested in Rabat against their sentencing.^[27] In July 2019, the King granted royal pardon to 4,764 prisoners, including an unknown number of Hirak protesters.^[22]

In February 2021, protests in Fnideq against the closure of the borders with Ceuta and Melilla, which led to worsened socioeconomic conditions, were met with police repression, with authorities saying that the protests were "unauthorized" and "in violation" of the state of health emergency imposed in response to the COVID-19 pandemic.^[28][29]

In July 2021, local authorities in Sidi Bennour confiscated a food cart belonging to a 25-year-old man, Yassine Lekhmidi, as he wasn't wearing a face mask. Lekhmidi paid a fine, but the police did not return the cart. In protest, he self-immolated and eventually died of his injuries on 6 August.^[30] Lekhmidi's death led to demonstrations in Sidi Bennour which garnered nationwide attention, but otherwise failed to make any significant changes in the political landscape.^[30][31]

Anti-vaccine pass protests

On 18 October 2021, the new government of Aziz Akhannouch announced that a COVID-19 vaccine pass would be mandatory effective 21 October to enter public facilities and enclosed locations including restaurants, cafes and shops, as well as for both international and domestic travel.^[32] While over 58% of the population had been vaccinated by this point,^[33] the decision still angered many in the working-class,^[34] as well as politicians including Nabila Mounib, head of the Unified Socialist Party (PSU), who refused to get vaccinated.^[35] The decision in particular to impose the pass requirement despite vaccination being only voluntary was also criticized.

By late October and early November, hundreds were demonstrating across the country against the vaccine pass.^[36][32] In Rabat, police dispersed around a hundred protesters planning to hold an "unauthorized rally", while an online petition criticizing the "arbitrary" introduction of the vaccine pass received thousands of signatures.^[37]

By December, most restaurants and shops had backtracked and no longer required a vaccine pass for access.^[38] A Qantara.de columnist noted that the mass protests made the Akhannouch government "the first in Morocco's history to clash with the public during its first few weeks in office".^[39]

Jordan

Main article: 2018 Jordanian protests

The 2018 Jordanian protests started as a general strike organized by more than 30 trade unions on 31 May 2018 after the government of Hani Mulki submitted a new tax law to Parliament. The bill followed IMF-backed austerity measures adopted by Mulki's government since 2016 that aimed to tackle Jordan's growing public debt. Although Jordan had been relatively unscathed from the violence that swept the region following the 2011 Arab Spring, its economy had taken a hit from the surrounding turmoil and from an influx of a large number of Syrian refugees into the country. Jordan also hosts a large contingent of Iraqi and Palestinian refugees, further straining its finances. The UNHCR places Jordan as the world's second largest host of refugees per capita.^[40]

The day following the strike on the 31st of May, the government raised fuel and electricity prices responding to an increase in international oil prices. This led to crowds of protesters pouring onto the 4th circle in Amman, near the Prime Ministry's offices that night. Other Jordanians also gathered across the country in protest of the measure in unprecedented large numbers. On the 1st of June King Abdullah intervened and ordered the freeze of the price hikes; the government acquiesced but said the decision would cost the treasury $20 million. The protests continued for four days until Mulki submitted his resignation to the King on the 4th of June, and Omar Razzaz, his Education Minister, became Prime Minister. Protests only ceased after Razzaz announced his intention of withdrawing the new tax bill.

The protests have not been led by traditional opposition groups like the Muslim Brotherhood or leftists but by diverse crowds from the middle and poor classes. Although some protesters set aflame tires and blocked roads multiple nights, protests were largely peaceful and few casualties were reported. They were staged after daylight hours as it was during the month of Ramadan.

Tunisia

Main article: 2018 Tunisian protests

The 2018 Tunisian protests were a series of protests occurring throughout Tunisia. Beginning January 2018, protests erupted in multiple towns and cities across Tunisia over issues related to the cost of living and taxes.^[41] As of 9 January, the demonstrations had claimed at least one life, and revived worries about the fragile political situation in Tunisia.^[41]

The Popular Front, an alliance of leftist opposition parties, called for continued protests against the government's "unjust" austerity measures while Tunisian Prime Minister Youssef Chahed denounced the violence and called for calm, claiming that he and his government believe 2018 "would be the last difficult year for Tunisians".^[42]

A new series of protests started on 15 January 2021, amidst the 10th anniversary of the Tunisian Revolution. Thousands rioted in cities and towns across Tunisia, which saw looting, arson, as well as mass deployment of police and army in several cities and the arrests of hundreds of people.

After 7 months of discontinuous protests, on 25 July, President Kais Saied sacked the prime minister and froze the parliament which resulted in a political crisis.

Iraq

Main articles: 2015–2018 Iraqi protests and 2019–2021 Iraqi protests

 

2 October 2019 in Iraq

The 2018–2019 Iraqi protests over deteriorating economic conditions and state corruption started in July 2018 in Baghdad and other major Iraqi cities, mainly in the central and southern provinces. During the nationwide protests erupting in October 2019, Iraqi security forces killed over 500^[43] people and over 27,000 have been injured, leading Iraq's president Barham Salih to call the actions of security forces "unacceptable."^[44] Some police have also been killed in the protests.^[45][46] The protests are the deadliest unrest in Iraq since the fall of Saddam Hussein,^[9] with the death toll reaching 511 by 2 January 2020^[43] and 669 by 13 January 2020.^[47]

Algeria

Main article: 2019–2021 Algerian protests

The 2019 Algerian protests, also called Revolution of Smiles^[48][49] or Hirak Movement,^[50] began on 16 February 2019, ten days after Abdelaziz Bouteflika announced his candidacy for a fifth presidential term in a signed statement. These protests, without precedent since the Algerian Civil War, have been peaceful and led the military to insist on Bouteflika's immediate resignation, which took place on 2 April 2019.^[51] By early May, a significant number of power-brokers close to the deposed administration, including the former president's younger brother Saïd, had been arrested.^[52][53]

Egypt

Main articles: 2019 Egyptian protests and 2020 Egyptian protests

The 2019 Egyptian protests consisted of protests by thousands of people in Cairo, Alexandria, Damietta and five other Egyptian cities starting on 20 and 21 September 2019 in which the protestors called for President of Egypt Abdel Fattah el-Sisi to be removed from power.^[54][55] Security forces responded with tear gas, rubber bullets and live bullets^[55] and, as of 6 October 2019^[update], 3000 arrests had been made,^[56] based on data from the Egyptian Center for Economic and Social Rights, the Egyptian Commission for Rights and Freedoms and the Arabic Network for Human Rights Information.^[57][58] Prominent arrestees included human rights lawyer Mahienour el-Massry,^[59] journalist and former leader of the Constitution Party Khaled Dawoud and two professors of political science at Cairo University, Hazem Hosny and Hassan Nafaa.^[57] The wave of arrests was the biggest in Egypt since Sisi formally became president in 2014.^[60][56] Human Rights Watch called for all those arrested for peacefully expressing their opinions to be released immediately.^[61] Amnesty International described the Sisi government being "shaken to its core" by 20–21 September protests and that the authorities had "launched a full-throttle clampdown to crush demonstrations and intimidate activists, journalists and others into silence".^[62] Two thousand people, including Sudanese Professionals Association (SPA) representatives, protested in Khartoum on 26 September in support of Waleed Abdelrahman Hassan, a Sudanese anti-Islamist student detained by Egyptian authorities, who gave a forced confession on MBC Masr television.^[63][64] The SPA stated, "the era when Sudanese citizens were humiliated inside or outside their country has gone and will never return".^[63] The Sudanese Foreign Ministry summoned the Egyptian ambassador^[65] and Waleed Abdelrahman Hassan was freed on 2 October 2019.^[66]

Gaza

Main article: 2019 Gaza economic protests

The 2019 Gaza economic protests^[67][68] began in February, and it was initiated with the popular calls "We want to live" and “Revolt of the hungry” by groups of civilians and activists. The group has been nicknamed the 14 March movement.^[67]

The protests aim at the overall dire conditions of living in the Gaza Strip. Half of the 2 million residents live in poverty.^[69] Civilians claimed that the nonviolent protests were not meant to threaten the current ruling power, but rather asking to improve social and economic conditions. Among their requests, one is to strengthen labour organizations to safeguard workers’ rights, ease taxes, reduce the extremely high costs of living, and establish check and balance mechanisms to contrast corruption within the private sector.^[70] The majority of the protestors were young people who cried out about the urgency of labour reforms. According to the World Bank, Gaza’s economic conditions are in decline every year, with a rate of youth unemployment of 70 percent.^[68][71][72]

Over the last decade, Gazans were already dependent on external humanitarian aid. The already difficult due to internal mismanagement worsened also due to "Trump’s drastic cuts to US-funded Palestinian aid programme",^[71] the continued war crimes by the hand of Israel, and the lack of support from the Palestinian Authority.

The peaceful protests were brutally crushed by the ruling Hamas, which dispatched security forces to disperse people. The neutralization by Hamas saw a spillover of violence: there have been reports of armed patrols breaking into people’s homes, mass arrests and beatings in Gaza City, Jabaliya refugee camp, Deir al-Balah, Khan Yunis and Rafah.^[68] Although there are no killings recorded, over 1000 people got threatened, beaten, and detained. Journalists, photographers and activists were forbidden to cover the manifestation. Local correspondents who were able to document parts of the protests have been assaulted by Hamas officers.^[73]

Numerous political organisations and human rights groups condemned the aggressive repression by the hand of Hamas security forces to the nonviolent demonstrations.^[71][72] The Palestinian Center for Human Rights denounced their actions as “a crime and violation according to the national and international laws”, and urged the security forces to “respect the right to peaceful assembly and right to freedom of expression”.^[68] Human Rights Watch reported that "Hamas authorities routinely arrest and torture peaceful critics and opponents with impunity."^[73] Amnesty International called for a “thorough and transparent investigation into the unnecessary and excessive use of force, arbitrary arrest and detention, and torture and other ill-treatment by security forces.”^[72] Supporting groups of the demonstrators directed attention to a number of domestic political issues that worsened since the Israeli and Egyptian blockade in 2007 and the takeover of Hamas. Among those, the rivalry between Hamas and Fatah resulted in the failure to assure stability and security, notwithstanding the financial pressure put on by the Palestinian Authority.^[68]

The Hamas-led government responded with apologies on behalf of the security forces for the attacks on Palestinians and condemned their conduct. The protests were described as a moment that shook Hamas' authority since their takeover in 2007.^[67]

Lebanon

Main article: 17 October Revolution

 

19 October 2019 in Beirut

The Lebanese protests were a series of protests that constitute a reaction against sectarian rule, stagnant economy, unemployment,^[74] endemic corruption in the public sector, legislation (such as banking secrecy) that is perceived to shield the ruling class from accountability.^{[74][75][76][77]} It is suspected that the direct trigger to the protests were due to the planned imposed taxes on gasoline, tobacco and online phone calls such as through WhatsApp,^[78][79] as protests started breaking out right after unanimous Cabinet approval of the WhatsApp taxes, due to be ratified by 22 October.^[80]

In contrast to the 2005 Cedar Revolution, and similarly to a process started in the 2015–2016 Lebanese protests, the 2019 protests were non-sectarian, crossing the Sunni–Shia Muslim sociological and religious divide and bypassing traditional political party alignments.^[81]

Oman

Main article: 2018-2019 Oman protests

The 2018–2019 Omani protests were nationwide protests and rallies in which tens of thousands of protesters marched against skyrocketing unemployment and inflation in the Sultanate of Oman. Over a 13-month period between January 2018 and January 2019, Omani citizens went out into the streets on several occasions to rally against decisions made by their government, whilst demanding more employment opportunities as well as economic reforms.^[82]

Protests erupted in Omani capital Muscat outside the Ministry of Manpower on 22 January 2018. Demonstrations spread rapidly across the country, reaching other major cities such as Salalah, Sohar and Sur. Numerous people were reportedly arrested. In response, the Omani government announced that it would create 25 thousand public service jobs to accommodate protesters’ demands.^[83]

At the end of 2018 and into January 2019, mass protests resurfaced in Oman. Thousands of protesters rallied against economic hardship and once again requested more job opportunities. Demonstrations were oppressed by riot police, causing dozens of people to be arrested. The demonstrations triggered a swift response by the Omani government. On 6 January, the Omani government announced that it would establish a new body to alleviate the employment-crisis. The so-called National Center for Employment was created to help Omanis to navigate the national labor market.^[84] As a result, protests and strikes came to an end on 9 January 2019.

Libya

Main article: 2020 Libyan protests

Street protests took place in August and September 2020 over issues of poor provision of services in several cities in Libya, including both cities controlled by the Government of National Accord (GNA) in the west (Tripoli, Misrata, Zawiya)^[85] and by the Libyan National Army (LNA) in the east of Libya (Benghazi).^[86] The de facto LNA-associated government led by Abdullah al-Thani offered its resignation on 13 September 2020 in response to the protests.^[87]

Strikes against power cuts saw hundreds attend on 29–30 October. It was met with tear gas and plastic bullets and riots were met with rubber bullets. Riots occurred on 29 October by workers and ended violently with clashes. On 31 October 2020, Fayez al-Sarraj rescinded his decision to resign.^[88] Elections were scheduled to be held on 24 December 2021 but was postponed after the head of High National Election Commission (HNEC) ordered the dissolution of the electoral committees nationwide. Elections are indefinitely postponed.^[89]

Sudan

Revolution

The Sudanese Revolution was a major shift of political power in Sudan that started with street protests throughout Sudan on 19 December 2018^[90][91] and continued with sustained civil disobedience for about eight months, during which the 2019 Sudanese coup d'état deposed President Omar al-Bashir after thirty years in power, Khartoum massacre took place under the leadership of the Transitional Military Council (TMC) that replaced al-Bashir, and in July and August 2019 the TMC and the Forces of Freedom and Change alliance (FFC) signed a Political Agreement and a Draft Constitutional Declaration legally defining a planned 39-month phase of transitional state institutions and procedures to return Sudan to a civilian democracy.^[92][93][94] In August and September 2019, the TMC formally transferred executive power to a mixed military–civilian collective head of state, the Sovereignty Council of Sudan, and to a civilian prime minister (Abdalla Hamdok) and a mostly civilian cabinet, while judicial power was transferred to Nemat Abdullah Khair, Sudan's first female Chief Justice.^[95]

Later protests

• Late-2019 Sudanese protests – a continuation of street protests during the 39-month planned transitionary institution period

Syria

In southwest Syria in June 2020, worsening economic conditions led to rare anti-government protests in the city of Suweida, where demonstrators called for the removal of President Bashar al-Assad, as well as the withdrawal of Iran-backed militias and Russian troops from the region.^[96] The protests led Assad to dismiss Prime Minister Imad Khamis. In addition, counter-demonstrations in support of the Assad government were also held.^[97] Both Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch condemned the use of "arbitrary detentions", beatings and arrests by Syrian security forces, and called on the government to "immediately release" those detained.^[98][99]

Summary of conflicts by country

Country	Date started	Status of protests	Outcome	Death toll	Situation
Tunisia	1 January 2018	Ended in February 2018	2018 budget repealed	1^[41]	2018 Tunisian protests
Jordan	30 May 2018	Ended on 7 June 2018	Prime Minister Hani Mulki resigns and is replaced with Omar Razzaz. Tax bill withdrawn		2018 Jordanian protests
Iraq	16 July 2018	Ended on 18 July 2021	Resignation of the Iraqi Prime minister Adil Abdul-Mahdi (remained as caretaker for two months^[100])	669^[47]	2015–2018 Iraqi protests 2019–2021 Iraqi protests
Sudan	19 December 2018	Ended on 10 June 2021	Ousting of Omar al-Bashir in a military coup d'état April 2019: Seizure of power by Transitional Military Council June 2019: Khartoum massacre September 2019: Executive power transferred to military–civilian Sovereignty Council and civilian Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok October 2019: Judicial power transferred to Chief Justice Nemat Khair^[95]	246^[101]	Sudanese Revolution Transitionary period protests
Algeria	16 February 2019	Ended on 28 April 2021	Resignation of Abdelaziz Bouteflika under pressure added by the military	3^[102]^[103]	2019–2021 Algerian protests 2021 Algerian protests
Gaza	14 March 2019	Ended in March 2019	Protests repressed by Hamas security forces		2019 Gaza economic protests
Egypt	20 September 2019	Protests ended on 27 September 2019; prisoners unreleased as of November 2019			2019 Egyptian protests
Lebanon	17 October 2019	Ongoing	Prime Ministers Saad Hariri and Hassan Diab resign. New cabinet formed by Najib Mikati on 10 September 2021	11^[104]^[105]^[106]	17 October Revolution
Oman	22 January 2018	Ended on 9 January 2019	Economic reforms by Sultan Qaboos.		2018-2019 Oman protests
Syria	7 June 2020	Ended on 15 June 2020	Sacking of Prime Minister Imad Khamis.		2020 Suweida protests
Total death toll and other consequences:	926+ (combined estimate)	2 heads of state and 3 heads of government left office as part of the events.†
†Count excludes ousted short-term leaders: Ahmed Awad Ibn Auf in Sudan quit after one day in response to protests; Abdel Fattah al-Burhan led the military-only TMC in Sudan and in response to protests became the chair of the mixed civilian–military Sovereignty Council of Sudan that replaced the TMC.

See also

• 2019–2021 Algerian protests
• 2021–2022 Tunisian political crisis
• 2020s in political history
• Arab Revolt (disambiguation)
• Arab Spring
• Arab Winter
• Hirak Rif Movement
• 2019 Sudanese coup d'état
• 2019–2020 Iranian protests
• List of protests in the 21st century

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