United States presidential elections in Arizona

Since Arizona's admission to the Union in February 1912,^[1] it has participated in 28 United States presidential elections. In the 1912 presidential election, the incumbent president William Howard Taft finished fourth in Arizona, receiving just 12.75% of the popular vote.^[2] In the 1936 presidential election, the Democratic Party's candidate Franklin D. Roosevelt won Arizona, defeating the Republican Party's candidate Alf Landon by 42.92%,^[3] which remains the largest margin of victory in the state's history. Ross Perot, the independent candidate in the 1992 presidential election, received the highest vote share (23.79%) ever won by a third-party candidate in Arizona.^[4]

Presidential elections in Arizona

Number of elections	28
Voted Democratic	9
Voted Republican	19
Voted other	0
Voted for winning candidate	22
Voted for losing candidate	6

Joe Biden, the Democratic Party's candidate in the 2020 presidential election, won Arizona, defeating the incumbent president Donald Trump by a close margin of 0.3%.^[5] During the 2021 joint session of the Congress for ascertaining the electoral votes, 69 members objected to the certification of electoral votes of Arizona, asserting that "they were not, under all of the known circumstances, regularly given".^[6] The objection failed by a vote of 6–93 in the Senate and 121–303 in the House of Representatives.^[7] However, Trump's campaign has launched various post-election lawsuits challenging the results.^[8] As of 2022, no Republican has won the presidency without carrying Arizona since its statehood in 1912, but Democrats have won the presidency without carrying the state six times, most recently Barack Obama in 2012.

Since the 1952 presidential election, Arizona has been considered a stronghold state for the Republican Party, as it won Arizona in all elections since except 1996 and 2020.^[9] However, recent political realignment has led some to consider Arizona as a swing state, and demographic changes and trends in Maricopa County, Pinal County and Pima County has led others to believe Arizona will slowly solidify into a Democratic stronghold, much like the trends seen in Florida in recent decades. ^[9][10]

Presidential elections

Key for parties

American Independent Party – (AI)   Communist Party USA – (CPUSA)   Constitution Party – (CP)   Democratic Party – (D)   Green Party – (G)   Independent candidate – (I)   Libertarian Party – (LI)   Prohibition Party – (PRO)   Progressive Party (1912) – (PR)   Progressive Party (1948) – (PR)   Reform Party – (RE)   Republican Party – (R)   Socialist Party of America – (S)   Socialist Labor Party of America – (SLP)   Union Party – (U) Note – A double dagger (‡) indicates the national winner. Note – Percentages may not total 100.0% because of rounding.

Presidential elections in Arizona from 1912 to present

Year	Winner				Runner-up				Other candidate^[a]				EV	Ref.
	Candidate		Votes	%	Candidate		Votes	%	Candidate		Votes	%
1912		Woodrow Wilson (D)‡	10,324	43.6%		Theodore Roosevelt (PR)	6,949	29.3%		Eugene Debs (S)	3,163	13.4%	3	^[b]^[2]^[11]^[12]
1916		Woodrow Wilson (D)‡	33,170	57.2%		Charles Evans Hughes (R)	20,522	35.4%		Allan L. Benson (S)	3,174	5.5%	3	^[13]^[14]^[15]
1920		Warren G. Harding (R) ‡	37,016	55.4%		James M. Cox (D)	29,546	44.2%		Eugene Debs (S)	222	0.3%	3	^[16]^[17]^[18]
1924		Calvin Coolidge (R) ‡	30,516	41.3%		John W. Davis (D)	26,235	35.5%		Robert M. La Follette (PR)	17,210	23.3%	3	^[19]^[20]^[21]
1928		Herbert Hoover (R)‡	52,533	57.6%		Al Smith (D)	38,537	42.2%		William Z. Foster (CPUSA)	184	0.2%	3	^[22]^[23]^[24]
1932		Franklin D. Roosevelt (D)‡	79,264	67.0%		Herbert Hoover (R)	36,104	30.5%		Norman Thomas (S)	2,618	2.2%	3	^[25]^[26]^[27]
1936		Franklin D. Roosevelt (D)‡	86,722	69.8%		Alf Landon (R)	33,433	26.9%		William Lemke (U)	3,307	2.7%	3	^[3]^[28]^[29]
1940		Franklin D. Roosevelt (D)‡	95,267	63.5%		Wendell Willkie (R)	54,030	36.0%		Roger Babson (PRO)	742	0.5%	3	^[30]^[31]^[32]
1944		Franklin D. Roosevelt (D)‡	80,926	58.8%		Thomas E. Dewey (R)	56,287	40.9%		Claude A. Watson (PRO)	421	0.3%	4	^[33]^[34]^[35]
1948		Harry S. Truman (D) ‡	95,251	53.8%		Thomas E. Dewey (R)	77,597	43.8%		Henry A. Wallace (PR)	3,310	1.9%	4	^[36]^[37]^[38]
1952		Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) ‡	152,042	58.3%		Adlai Stevenson (D)	108,528	41.7%	–		–	–	4	^[39]^[40]^[41]
1956		Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) ‡	176,990	61.0%		Adlai Stevenson (D)	112,880	38.9%		T. Coleman Andrews (C)	303	0.1%	4	^[42]^[43]^[44]
1960		Richard Nixon (R)	221,241	55.5%		John F. Kennedy (D) ‡	176,781	44.4%		Eric Hass (SLP)	469	0.1%	4	^[45]^[46]^[47]
1964		Barry Goldwater^[c] (R)	242,535	50.4%		Lyndon B. Johnson (D) ‡	237,753	49.5%		Eric Hass (SLP)	482	0.1%	5	^[48]^[49]^[50]
1968		Richard Nixon (R) ‡	266,721	54.8%		Hubert Humphrey (D)	170,514	35.0%		George Wallace (AI)	46,573	9.6%	5	^[51]^[52]^[53]
1972		Richard Nixon (R) ‡	402,812	64.7%		George McGovern (D)	198,540	31.9%		John G. Schmitz (AI)	21,208	3.4%	6	^[54]^[55]
1976		Gerald Ford (R)	418,642	56.4%		Jimmy Carter (D) ‡	295,602	39.8%		Eugene McCarthy (I)	19,229	2.6%	6	^[56]^[57]^[58]
1980		Ronald Reagan (R) ‡	529,688	60.6%		Jimmy Carter (D)	246,843	28.2%		John B. Anderson (I)	76,952	8.8%	6	^[59]^[60]^[61]
1984		Ronald Reagan (R) ‡	681,416	66.4%		Walter Mondale (D)	333,854	32.5%		David Bergland (LI)	10,585	1.0%	7	^[62]^[63]^[64]
1988		George H. W. Bush (R) ‡	702,541	60.0%		Michael Dukakis (D)	454,029	38.7%		Ron Paul (LI)	13,351	1.1%	7	^[65]^[66]^[67]
1992		George H. W. Bush (R)	572,086	38.5%		Bill Clinton (D) ‡	543,050	36.5%		Ross Perot (I)	353,741	23.8%	8	^[4]
1996		Bill Clinton (D) ‡	653,288	46.5%		Bob Dole (R)	622,073	44.3%		Ross Perot (RE)	112,072	8.0%	8	^[68]
2000		George W. Bush (R) ‡	781,652	51.0%		Al Gore (D)	685,341	44.7%		Ralph Nader (G)	45,645	3.0%	8	^[69]
2004		George W. Bush (R)‡	1,104,294	54.9%		John Kerry (D)	893,524	44.4%		Michael Badnarik (LI)	11,856	0.6%	10	^[70]
2008		John McCain^[d] (R)	1,230,111	53.6%		Barack Obama (D)‡	1,034,707	45.1%		Bob Barr (LI)	12,555	0.5%	10	^[71]
2012		Mitt Romney (R)	1,233,654	53.7%		Barack Obama (D)‡	1,025,232	44.6%		Gary Johnson (LI)	32,100	1.4%	11	^[72]
2016		Donald Trump (R)‡	1,252,401	48.7%		Hillary Clinton (D)	1,161,167	45.1%		Gary Johnson (LI)	106,327	4.1%	11	^[73]
2020		Joe Biden (D)‡	1,672,143	49.4%		Donald Trump (R)	1,661,686	49.1%		Jo Jorgensen (LI)	51,465	1.5%	11	^[5]

Graph

See also

• Elections in Arizona
• List of United States presidential election results by state

Notes

1. For purposes of these lists, other candidates are defined as those who were in third place in Arizona.
2. The incumbent president William Howard Taft finished fourth in Arizona, receiving 3,021 votes (12.8%).^[2]
3. Arizona was the home state of Barry Goldwater.
4. Arizona was the home state of John McCain.

References

1. "Territories to Statehood, the Southwest: Topics in Chronicling America". Library of Congress. from the original on September 15, 2021. Retrieved October 8, 2021.
2. Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 777.
3. Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 783.
4. "State of Arizona Official Canvass – 1992 General Election – November 3, 1992" (PDF). Secretary of State of Arizona. November 23, 1992. (PDF) from the original on October 7, 2021. Retrieved October 7, 2021.
5. "Official 2020 Presidential General Election Result" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. (PDF) from the original on February 10, 2021. Retrieved August 7, 2021.
6. "Objection to Counting the Electoral Votes of the State of Arizona" (PDF). CNN. January 6, 2021. (PDF) from the original on October 2, 2021. Retrieved October 8, 2021.
7. "Roll Call 10 – Motion". Clerk of the United States House of Representatives. January 6, 2021. from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved October 8, 2021.
8. Billeaud, Jacques (December 16, 2020). "8th lawsuit fails to overturn presidential voting in Arizona". Associated Press. from the original on February 23, 2021. Retrieved October 8, 2021.
9. Hansen, Ronald J. (October 12, 2020). "Arizona was once a sure bet for Republicans. Now it's a key swing state in the election". The Arizona Republic. from the original on October 8, 2021. Retrieved October 8, 2021.
10. Widakuswara, Patsy (October 23, 2020). "These US 'Swing' States May Decide 2020 Election". Voice of America. from the original on October 8, 2021. Retrieved October 8, 2021.
11. Presidential elections 1997, p. 106.
12. Leip, David. "1912 Presidential General Election Results – Arizona". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. from the original on October 6, 2021. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
13. Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 778.
14. Presidential elections 1997, p. 107.
15. Leip, David. "1916 Presidential General Election Results – Arizona". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. from the original on October 7, 2021. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
16. Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 779.
17. Presidential elections 1997, p. 108.
18. Leip, David. "1920 Presidential General Election Results – Arizona". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. from the original on October 7, 2021. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
19. Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 780.
20. Presidential elections 1997, p. 109.
21. Leip, David. "1924 Presidential General Election Results – Arizona". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. from the original on October 7, 2021. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
22. Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 781.
23. Presidential elections 1997, p. 110.
24. Leip, David. "1928 Presidential General Election Results – Arizona". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. from the original on October 7, 2021. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
25. Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 782.
26. Presidential elections 1997, p. 111.
27. Leip, David. "1932 Presidential General Election Results – Arizona". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. from the original on December 1, 2017. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
28. Presidential elections 1997, p. 112.
29. Leip, David. "1936 Presidential General Election Results – Arizona". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. from the original on October 7, 2021. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
30. Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 784.
31. Presidential elections 1997, p. 113.
32. Leip, David. "1940 Presidential General Election Results – Arizona". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. from the original on October 7, 2021. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
33. Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 785.
34. Presidential elections 1997, p. 114.
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36. Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 786.
37. Presidential elections 1997, p. 115.
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39. Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 787.
40. Presidential elections 1997, p. 116.
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42. Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 788.
43. Presidential elections 1997, p. 117.
44. Leip, David. "1956 Presidential General Election Results – Arizona". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. from the original on December 14, 2017. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
45. Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 789.
46. Presidential elections 1997, p. 118.
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48. Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 790.
49. Presidential elections 1997, p. 119.
50. Leip, David. "1964 Presidential General Election Results – Arizona". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. from the original on December 9, 2006. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
51. Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 791.
52. Presidential elections 1997, p. 120.
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54. Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 792.
55. Presidential elections 1997, p. 121.
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57. Presidential elections 1997, p. 122.
58. Leip, David. "1976 Presidential General Election Results – Arizona". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. from the original on December 2, 2008. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
59. Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 794.
60. Presidential elections 1997, p. 123.
61. Leip, David. "1980 Presidential General Election Results – Arizona". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. from the original on September 28, 2015. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
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63. Presidential elections 1997, p. 124.
64. Leip, David. "1984 Presidential General Election Results – Arizona". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. from the original on December 2, 2008. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
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67. Leip, David. "1988 Presidential General Election Results – Arizona". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. from the original on November 19, 2008. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
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70. "State of Arizona Official Canvass – 2004 General Election – November 2, 2004" (PDF). Secretary of State of Arizona. November 22, 2004. (PDF) from the original on January 26, 2021. Retrieved October 7, 2021.
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Works cited

• Guide to U.S. Elections. SAGE Publications. 2010. ISBN 978-1-60426-536-1.
• Presidential elections, 1789–1996. Congressional Quarterly. 1997. ISBN 978-1-56802-065-5. LCCN 97019084. OL 673017M.