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Hubble's law

Hubble's law, also known as the Hubble–Lemaître law,[1] is the observation in physical cosmology that galaxies are moving away from Earth at speeds proportional to their distance. In other words, the farther they are, the faster they are moving away from Earth. The velocity of the galaxies has been determined by their redshift, a shift of the light they emit toward the red end of the visible spectrum. The discovery of Hubble's law is attributed to Edwin Hubble's work published in 1929. [2]

An analogy for explaining Hubble's law, using raisins in a rising loaf of bread in place of galaxies. If a raisin is twice as far away from a place as another raisin, then the farther raisin would move away from that place twice as quickly.

Hubble's law is considered the first observational basis for the expansion of the universe, and today it serves as one of the pieces of evidence most often cited in support of the Big Bang model.[3][4] The motion of astronomical objects due solely to this expansion is known as the Hubble flow.[5] It is described by the equation v = H0D, with H0 the constant of proportionality—the Hubble constant—between the "proper distance" D to a galaxy, which can change over time, unlike the comoving distance, and its speed of separation v, i.e. the derivative of proper distance with respect to the cosmological time coordinate. (See Comoving and proper distances § Uses of the proper distance for discussion of the subtleties of this definition of velocity.)

The Hubble constant is most frequently quoted in (km/s)/Mpc, thus giving the speed in km/s of a galaxy 1 megaparsec (3.09×1019 km) away, and its value is about 70 (km/s)/Mpc. However, crossing out units reveals that H0 is a unit of frequency (SI unit: s−1) and the reciprocal of H0 is known as the Hubble time. The Hubble constant can also be interpreted as the relative rate of expansion. In this form H0 = 7%/Gyr, meaning that at the current rate of expansion it takes a billion years for an unbound structure to grow by 7%.

Although widely attributed to Edwin Hubble,[6][7][8] the notion of the universe expanding at a calculable rate was first derived from general relativity equations in 1922 by Alexander Friedmann. Friedmann published a set of equations, now known as the Friedmann equations, showing that the universe might be expanding, and presenting the expansion speed if that were the case.[9] Then Georges Lemaître, in a 1927 article, independently derived that the universe might be expanding, observed the proportionality between recessional velocity of, and distance to, distant bodies, and suggested an estimated value for the proportionality constant; this constant, when Edwin Hubble confirmed the existence of cosmic expansion and determined a more accurate value for it two years later, came to be known by his name as the Hubble constant.[3][10][11][12][2] Hubble inferred the recession velocity of the objects from their redshifts, many of which were earlier measured and related to velocity by Vesto Slipher in 1917.[13][14][15] Though the Hubble constant H0 is constant at any given moment in time, the Hubble parameter H, of which the Hubble constant is the current value, varies with time, so the term constant is sometimes thought of as somewhat of a misnomer.[16][17]

Discovery edit

 
Three steps to the Hubble constant[18]

A decade before Hubble made his observations, a number of physicists and mathematicians had established a consistent theory of an expanding universe by using Einstein field equations of general relativity. Applying the most general principles to the nature of the universe yielded a dynamic solution that conflicted with the then-prevalent notion of a static universe.

Slipher's observations edit

In 1912, Vesto M. Slipher measured the first Doppler shift of a "spiral nebula" (the obsolete term for spiral galaxies) and soon discovered that almost all such nebulae were receding from Earth. He did not grasp the cosmological implications of this fact, and indeed at the time it was highly controversial whether or not these nebulae were "island universes" outside the Milky Way galaxy.[19][20]

FLRW equations edit

In 1922, Alexander Friedmann derived his Friedmann equations from Einstein field equations, showing that the universe might expand at a rate calculable by the equations.[21] The parameter used by Friedmann is known today as the scale factor and can be considered as a scale invariant form of the proportionality constant of Hubble's law. Georges Lemaître independently found a similar solution in his 1927 paper discussed in the following section. The Friedmann equations are derived by inserting the metric for a homogeneous and isotropic universe into Einstein's field equations for a fluid with a given density and pressure. This idea of an expanding spacetime would eventually lead to the Big Bang and Steady State theories of cosmology.

Lemaître's equation edit

In 1927, two years before Hubble published his own article, the Belgian priest and astronomer Georges Lemaître was the first to publish research deriving what is now known as Hubble's law. According to the Canadian astronomer Sidney van den Bergh, "the 1927 discovery of the expansion of the universe by Lemaître was published in French in a low-impact journal. In the 1931 high-impact English translation of this article, a critical equation was changed by omitting reference to what is now known as the Hubble constant."[22] It is now known that the alterations in the translated paper were carried out by Lemaître himself.[11][23]

Shape of the universe edit

Before the advent of modern cosmology, there was considerable talk about the size and shape of the universe. In 1920, the Shapley–Curtis debate took place between Harlow Shapley and Heber D. Curtis over this issue. Shapley argued for a small universe the size of the Milky Way galaxy, and Curtis argued that the universe was much larger. The issue was resolved in the coming decade with Hubble's improved observations.

Cepheid variable stars outside the Milky Way edit

Edwin Hubble did most of his professional astronomical observing work at Mount Wilson Observatory,[24] home to the world's most powerful telescope at the time. His observations of Cepheid variable stars in "spiral nebulae" enabled him to calculate the distances to these objects. Surprisingly, these objects were discovered to be at distances which placed them well outside the Milky Way. They continued to be called nebulae, and it was only gradually that the term galaxies replaced it.

Combining redshifts with distance measurements edit

 
Fit of redshift velocities to Hubble's law.[25] Various estimates for the Hubble constant exist. The HST Key H0 Group fitted type Ia supernovae for redshifts between 0.01 and 0.1 to find that H0 = 71 ± 2 (statistical) ± 6 (systematic) km⋅s−1⋅Mpc−1,[26] while Sandage et al. find H0 = 62.3 ± 1.3 (statistical) ± 5 (systematic) km⋅s−1⋅Mpc−1.[27]

The parameters that appear in Hubble's law, velocities and distances, are not directly measured. In reality we determine, say, a supernova brightness, which provides information about its distance, and the redshift z = ∆λ/λ of its spectrum of radiation. Hubble correlated brightness and parameter z.

Combining his measurements of galaxy distances with Vesto Slipher and Milton Humason's measurements of the redshifts associated with the galaxies, Hubble discovered a rough proportionality between redshift of an object and its distance. Though there was considerable scatter (now known to be caused by peculiar velocities—the 'Hubble flow' is used to refer to the region of space far enough out that the recession velocity is larger than local peculiar velocities), Hubble was able to plot a trend line from the 46 galaxies he studied and obtain a value for the Hubble constant of 500 (km/s)/Mpc (much higher than the currently accepted value due to errors in his distance calibrations; see cosmic distance ladder for details).[citation needed]

Hubble diagram edit

Hubble's law can be easily depicted in a "Hubble diagram" in which the velocity (assumed approximately proportional to the redshift) of an object is plotted with respect to its distance from the observer.[28] A straight line of positive slope on this diagram is the visual depiction of Hubble's law.

Cosmological constant abandoned edit

After Hubble's discovery was published, Albert Einstein abandoned his work on the cosmological constant, which he had designed to modify his equations of general relativity to allow them to produce a static solution, which he thought was the correct state of the universe. The Einstein equations in their simplest form model either an expanding or contracting universe, so Einstein's cosmological constant was artificially created to counter the expansion or contraction to get a perfect static and flat universe.[29] After Hubble's discovery that the universe was, in fact, expanding, Einstein called his faulty assumption that the universe is static his "biggest mistake".[29] On its own, general relativity could predict the expansion of the universe, which (through observations such as the bending of light by large masses, or the precession of the orbit of Mercury) could be experimentally observed and compared to his theoretical calculations using particular solutions of the equations he had originally formulated.

In 1931, Einstein went to Mount Wilson Observatory to thank Hubble for providing the observational basis for modern cosmology.[30]

The cosmological constant has regained attention in recent decades as a hypothetical explanation for dark energy.[31]

Interpretation edit

 
A variety of possible recessional velocity vs. redshift functions including the simple linear relation v = cz; a variety of possible shapes from theories related to general relativity; and a curve that does not permit speeds faster than light in accordance with special relativity. All curves are linear at low redshifts. See Davis and Lineweaver.[32]

The discovery of the linear relationship between redshift and distance, coupled with a supposed linear relation between recessional velocity and redshift, yields a straightforward mathematical expression for Hubble's law as follows:

 

where

  •   is the recessional velocity, typically expressed in km/s.
  • H0 is Hubble's constant and corresponds to the value of   (often termed the Hubble parameter which is a value that is time dependent and which can be expressed in terms of the scale factor) in the Friedmann equations taken at the time of observation denoted by the subscript 0. This value is the same throughout the universe for a given comoving time.
  •   is the proper distance (which can change over time, unlike the comoving distance, which is constant) from the galaxy to the observer, measured in mega parsecs (Mpc), in the 3-space defined by given cosmological time. (Recession velocity is just v = dD/dt).

Hubble's law is considered a fundamental relation between recessional velocity and distance. However, the relation between recessional velocity and redshift depends on the cosmological model adopted and is not established except for small redshifts.

For distances D larger than the radius of the Hubble sphere rHS , objects recede at a rate faster than the speed of light (See Uses of the proper distance for a discussion of the significance of this):

 

Since the Hubble "constant" is a constant only in space, not in time, the radius of the Hubble sphere may increase or decrease over various time intervals. The subscript '0' indicates the value of the Hubble constant today.[25] Current evidence suggests that the expansion of the universe is accelerating (see Accelerating universe), meaning that for any given galaxy, the recession velocity dD/dt is increasing over time as the galaxy moves to greater and greater distances; however, the Hubble parameter is actually thought to be decreasing with time, meaning that if we were to look at some fixed distance D and watch a series of different galaxies pass that distance, later galaxies would pass that distance at a smaller velocity than earlier ones.[33]

Redshift velocity and recessional velocity edit

Redshift can be measured by determining the wavelength of a known transition, such as hydrogen α-lines for distant quasars, and finding the fractional shift compared to a stationary reference. Thus, redshift is a quantity unambiguous for experimental observation. The relation of redshift to recessional velocity is another matter. For an extensive discussion, see Harrison.[34]

Redshift velocity edit

The redshift z is often described as a redshift velocity, which is the recessional velocity that would produce the same redshift if it were caused by a linear Doppler effect (which, however, is not the case, as the shift is caused in part by a cosmological expansion of space, and because the velocities involved are too large to use a non-relativistic formula for Doppler shift). This redshift velocity can easily exceed the speed of light.[35] In other words, to determine the redshift velocity vrs, the relation:

 

is used.[36][37] That is, there is no fundamental difference between redshift velocity and redshift: they are rigidly proportional, and not related by any theoretical reasoning. The motivation behind the "redshift velocity" terminology is that the redshift velocity agrees with the velocity from a low-velocity simplification of the so-called Fizeau–Doppler formula.[38]

 

Here, λo, λe are the observed and emitted wavelengths respectively. The "redshift velocity" vrs is not so simply related to real velocity at larger velocities, however, and this terminology leads to confusion if interpreted as a real velocity. Next, the connection between redshift or redshift velocity and recessional velocity is discussed. This discussion is based on Sartori.[39]

Recessional velocity edit

Suppose R(t) is called the scale factor of the universe, and increases as the universe expands in a manner that depends upon the cosmological model selected. Its meaning is that all measured proper distances D(t) between co-moving points increase proportionally to R. (The co-moving points are not moving relative to each other except as a result of the expansion of space.) In other words:

 

where t0 is some reference time.[40] If light is emitted from a galaxy at time te and received by us at t0, it is redshifted due to the expansion of space, and this redshift z is simply:

 

Suppose a galaxy is at distance D, and this distance changes with time at a rate dtD. We call this rate of recession the "recession velocity" vr:

 

We now define the Hubble constant as

 

and discover the Hubble law:

 

From this perspective, Hubble's law is a fundamental relation between (i) the recessional velocity contributed by the expansion of space and (ii) the distance to an object; the connection between redshift and distance is a crutch used to connect Hubble's law with observations. This law can be related to redshift z approximately by making a Taylor series expansion:

 

If the distance is not too large, all other complications of the model become small corrections, and the time interval is simply the distance divided by the speed of light:

 

or

 

According to this approach, the relation cz = vr is an approximation valid at low redshifts, to be replaced by a relation at large redshifts that is model-dependent. See velocity-redshift figure.

Observability of parameters edit

Strictly speaking, neither v nor D in the formula are directly observable, because they are properties now of a galaxy, whereas our observations refer to the galaxy in the past, at the time that the light we currently see left it.

For relatively nearby galaxies (redshift z much less than unity), v and D will not have changed much, and v can be estimated using the formula   where c is the speed of light. This gives the empirical relation found by Hubble.

For distant galaxies, v (or D) cannot be calculated from z without specifying a detailed model for how H changes with time. The redshift is not even directly related to the recession velocity at the time the light set out, but it does have a simple interpretation: (1 + z) is the factor by which the universe has expanded while the photon was travelling towards the observer.

Expansion velocity vs. peculiar velocity edit

In using Hubble's law to determine distances, only the velocity due to the expansion of the universe can be used. Since gravitationally interacting galaxies move relative to each other independent of the expansion of the universe,[41] these relative velocities, called peculiar velocities, need to be accounted for in the application of Hubble's law. Such peculiar velocities give rise to redshift-space distortions.

Time-dependence of Hubble parameter edit

The parameter   is commonly called the "Hubble constant", but that is a misnomer since it is constant in space only at a fixed time; it varies with time in nearly all cosmological models, and all observations of far distant objects are also observations into the distant past, when the “constant” had a different value. "Hubble parameter" is a more correct term, with   denoting the present-day value.

Another common source of confusion is that the accelerating universe does not imply that the Hubble parameter is actually increasing with time; since  , in most accelerating models   increases relatively faster than  , so H decreases with time. (The recession velocity of one chosen galaxy does increase, but different galaxies passing a sphere of fixed radius cross the sphere more slowly at later times.)

On defining the dimensionless deceleration parameter  , it follows that

 

From this it is seen that the Hubble parameter is decreasing with time, unless  ; the latter can only occur if the universe contains phantom energy, regarded as theoretically somewhat improbable.

However, in the standard Lambda cold dark matter model (Lambda-CDM or ΛCDM model),   will tend to −1 from above in the distant future as the cosmological constant becomes increasingly dominant over matter; this implies that   will approach from above to a constant value of ≈ 57 (km/s)/Mpc, and the scale factor of the universe will then grow exponentially in time.

Idealized Hubble's law edit

The mathematical derivation of an idealized Hubble's law for a uniformly expanding universe is a fairly elementary theorem of geometry in 3-dimensional Cartesian/Newtonian coordinate space, which, considered as a metric space, is entirely homogeneous and isotropic (properties do not vary with location or direction). Simply stated, the theorem is this:

Any two points which are moving away from the origin, each along straight lines and with speed proportional to distance from the origin, will be moving away from each other with a speed proportional to their distance apart.

In fact, this applies to non-Cartesian spaces as long as they are locally homogeneous and isotropic, specifically to the negatively and positively curved spaces frequently considered as cosmological models (see shape of the universe).

An observation stemming from this theorem is that seeing objects recede from us on Earth is not an indication that Earth is near to a center from which the expansion is occurring, but rather that every observer in an expanding universe will see objects receding from them.

Ultimate fate and age of the universe edit

 
The age and ultimate fate of the universe can be determined by measuring the Hubble constant today and extrapolating with the observed value of the deceleration parameter, uniquely characterized by values of density parameters (ΩM for matter and ΩΛ for dark energy). A "closed universe" with ΩM > 1 and ΩΛ = 0 comes to an end in a Big Crunch and is considerably younger than its Hubble age. An "open universe" with ΩM ≤ 1 and ΩΛ = 0 expands forever and has an age that is closer to its Hubble age. For the accelerating universe with nonzero ΩΛ that we inhabit, the age of the universe is coincidentally very close to the Hubble age.

The value of the Hubble parameter changes over time, either increasing or decreasing depending on the value of the so-called deceleration parameter  , which is defined by

 

In a universe with a deceleration parameter equal to zero, it follows that H = 1/t, where t is the time since the Big Bang. A non-zero, time-dependent value of   simply requires integration of the Friedmann equations backwards from the present time to the time when the comoving horizon size was zero.

It was long thought that q was positive, indicating that the expansion is slowing down due to gravitational attraction. This would imply an age of the universe less than 1/H (which is about 14 billion years). For instance, a value for q of 1/2 (once favoured by most theorists) would give the age of the universe as 2/(3H). The discovery in 1998 that q is apparently negative means that the universe could actually be older than 1/H. However, estimates of the age of the universe are very close to 1/H.

Olbers' paradox edit

The expansion of space summarized by the Big Bang interpretation of Hubble's law is relevant to the old conundrum known as Olbers' paradox: If the universe were infinite in size, static, and filled with a uniform distribution of stars, then every line of sight in the sky would end on a star, and the sky would be as bright as the surface of a star. However, the night sky is largely dark.[42][43]

Since the 17th century, astronomers and other thinkers have proposed many possible ways to resolve this paradox, but the currently accepted resolution depends in part on the Big Bang theory, and in part on the Hubble expansion: in a universe that existed for a finite amount of time, only the light of a finite number of stars has had enough time to reach us, and the paradox is resolved. Additionally, in an expanding universe, distant objects recede from us, which causes the light emanated from them to be redshifted and diminished in brightness by the time we see it.[42][43]

Dimensionless Hubble constant edit

Instead of working with Hubble's constant, a common practice is to introduce the dimensionless Hubble constant, usually denoted by h and commonly referred to as "little h",[44] then to write Hubble's constant H0 as h × 100 km⋅s−1Mpc−1, all the relative uncertainty of the true value of H0 being then relegated to h.[45] The dimensionless Hubble constant is often used when giving distances that are calculated from redshift z using the formula dc/H0 × z. Since H0 is not precisely known, the distance is expressed as:

 

In other words, one calculates 2998×z and one gives the units as   or  

Occasionally a reference value other than 100 may be chosen, in which case a subscript is presented after h to avoid confusion; e.g. h70 denotes  , which implies  .

This should not be confused with the dimensionless value of Hubble's constant, usually expressed in terms of Planck units, obtained by multiplying H0 by 1.75 × 10−63 (from definitions of parsec and tP), for example for H0 = 70, a Planck unit version of 1.2 × 10−61 is obtained.

Acceleration of the expansion edit

A value for   measured from standard candle observations of Type Ia supernovae, which was determined in 1998 to be negative, surprised many astronomers with the implication that the expansion of the universe is currently "accelerating"[46] (although the Hubble factor is still decreasing with time, as mentioned above in the Interpretation section; see the articles on dark energy and the ΛCDM model).

Derivation of the Hubble parameter edit

Start with the Friedmann equation:

 

where   is the Hubble parameter,   is the scale factor, G is the gravitational constant,   is the normalised spatial curvature of the universe and equal to −1, 0, or 1, and   is the cosmological constant.

Matter-dominated universe (with a cosmological constant) edit

If the universe is matter-dominated, then the mass density of the universe   can be taken to include just matter so

 

where   is the density of matter today. From the Friedmann equation and thermodynamic principles we know for non-relativistic particles that their mass density decreases proportional to the inverse volume of the universe, so the equation above must be true. We can also define (see density parameter for  )

 

therefore:

 

Also, by definition,

 

where the subscript 0 refers to the values today, and  . Substituting all of this into the Friedmann equation at the start of this section and replacing   with   gives

 

Matter- and dark energy-dominated universe edit

If the universe is both matter-dominated and dark energy-dominated, then the above equation for the Hubble parameter will also be a function of the equation of state of dark energy. So now:

 

where   is the mass density of the dark energy. By definition, an equation of state in cosmology is  , and if this is substituted into the fluid equation, which describes how the mass density of the universe evolves with time, then

 

If w is constant, then

 

implying:

 

Therefore, for dark energy with a constant equation of state w,  . If this is substituted into the Friedman equation in a similar way as before, but this time set  , which assumes a spatially flat universe, then (see shape of the universe)

 

If the dark energy derives from a cosmological constant such as that introduced by Einstein, it can be shown that  . The equation then reduces to the last equation in the matter-dominated universe section, with   set to zero. In that case the initial dark energy density   is given by[47]

 
and  

If dark energy does not have a constant equation-of-state w, then

 

and to solve this,   must be parametrized, for example if  , giving[48]

 

Other ingredients have been formulated.[49][50][51]

Units derived from the Hubble constant edit

Hubble time edit

The Hubble constant   has units of inverse time; the Hubble time tH is simply defined as the inverse of the Hubble constant,[52] i.e.

 

This is slightly different from the age of the universe, which is approximately 13.8 billion years. The Hubble time is the age it would have had if the expansion had been linear, and it is different from the real age of the universe because the expansion is not linear; it depends on the energy content of the universe (see § Derivation of the Hubble parameter).

We currently appear to be approaching a period where the expansion of the universe is exponential due to the increasing dominance of vacuum energy. In this regime, the Hubble parameter is constant, and the universe grows by a factor e each Hubble time:

 

Likewise, the generally accepted value of 2.27 Es−1 means that (at the current rate) the universe would grow by a factor of   in one exasecond.

Over long periods of time, the dynamics are complicated by general relativity, dark energy, inflation, etc., as explained above.

Hubble length edit

The Hubble length or Hubble distance is a unit of distance in cosmology, defined as   — the speed of light multiplied by the Hubble time. It is equivalent to 4,420 million parsecs or 14.4 billion light years. (The numerical value of the Hubble length in light years is, by definition, equal to that of the Hubble time in years.) The Hubble distance would be the distance between the Earth and the galaxies which are currently receding from us at the speed of light, as can be seen by substituting   into the equation for Hubble's law, v = H0D.

Hubble volume edit

The Hubble volume is sometimes defined as a volume of the universe with a comoving size of   The exact definition varies: it is sometimes defined as the volume of a sphere with radius   or alternatively, a cube of side   Some cosmologists even use the term Hubble volume to refer to the volume of the observable universe, although this has a radius approximately three times larger.

Determining the Hubble constant edit

 
Value of the Hubble constant in (km/s)/Mpc, including measurement uncertainty, for recent surveys[53]

The value of the Hubble constant, H0, tells the rate at which the universe is expanding. In 1929, Edwin Hubble determined for the first time this constant to be 500 km/sec per million parsecs. Since then, Hubble constant has been actively measured using various methods. In the early days, Hubble, for example, used bright stars and the light of the "nebula" to estimate the redshift and determined the constant. Later, after type Ia supernova was found to be a better "standard candle" of distant galaxies, people used supernova to determining the redshift. These measurements need to determine the distance of the target stars or galaxies first. Uncertainties in the physical assumptions used to determine these distances have caused varying estimates of the Hubble constant.[3] More recently, scientists use CMB measurements (such as Planck's data) to determine the Hubble constant. The challenge of using this method is its result various depends on the cosmology models used. Due to the different values of Hubble constant estimated using different technique, the determination of Hubble constant is an active research field (Hubble tension). The high accuracy measurement using James Webb Space Telescope in 2023 has confirmed the earlier observation of the Hubble Space Telescope, which gave a Hubble constant about H0=74 km/sec per Mpc. [54][55]

Hubble tension edit

Multiple methods have been used to determine the Hubble constant. "Late universe" measurements using calibrated distance ladder techniques have converged on a value of approximately 73 (km/s)/Mpc. Since 2000, "early universe" techniques based on measurements of the cosmic microwave background have become available, and these agree on a value near 67.7 (km/s)/Mpc. [56] (This is accounting for the change in the expansion rate since the early universe, so is comparable to the first number.) As techniques have improved, the estimated measurement uncertainties have shrunk, but the range of measured values has not, to the point that the disagreement is now highly statistically significant. This discrepancy is called the "Hubble tension".[57][58]

The cause of the Hubble tension discrepancy is unknown,[59] and there are many possible proposed solutions. The most conservative is that there is an unknown systematic error affecting either early-universe or late-universe observations. Although intuitively appealing, this explanation requires multiple unrelated effects regardless of whether early-universe or late-universe observations are incorrect, and there are no obvious candidates.[58] Furthermore, any such systematic error would need to affect multiple different instruments, since both the early-universe and late-universe observations come from different telescopes.[a][b]

Alternatively, it could be that the observations are correct, but some unaccounted-for effect is causing the discrepancy. If the cosmological principle fails (see "Violations of the cosmological principle" in the "Lambda-CDM model" article), then the existing interpretations of the Hubble constant and the Hubble tension have to be revised, which might resolve the Hubble tension.[61] In particular, we would need to be located within a very large void, up to about a redshift of 0.5, for such an explanation to not be in tension with supernovae & baryon acoustic oscillation observations.[58] Yet another possibility is that the uncertainties in the measurements could have been underestimated.[62][63]

The most exciting possibility is new physics beyond the current Standard Model of cosmology, i.e., ΛCDM model.[58][64] There are very many theories in this category, e.g. replacing general relativity with modified Newtonian dynamics could potentially resolve the tension,[65][66] as can a dark energy component in the early universe,[c][67] dark energy with a time-varying equation of state,[d][68] or dark matter that decays into dark radiation.[69] A problem faced by all these theories is that both early-universe and late-universe measurements rely on multiple independent lines of physics, and it is difficult to modify any of those lines while preserving their successes elsewhere. The scale of the challenge can be seen from how some authors have argued that new early-universe physics alone is not sufficient;[70][71] while other authors argue that new late-universe physics alone is also not sufficient.[72] Nonetheless, astronomers are trying, with interest in the Hubble tension growing strongly in the past several years.[58]

Earlier measurement and discussion approaches edit

The observations of astronomer Walter Baade led him to define distinct "populations" for stars (Population I and Population II). The same observations led him to discover that there are two types of Cepheid variable stars. Using this discovery, he recalculated the size of the known universe, doubling the previous calculation made by Hubble in 1929.[73][74][75] He announced this finding to considerable astonishment at the 1952 meeting of the International Astronomical Union in Rome.

For most of the second half of the 20th century, the value of   was estimated to be between 50 and 90 (km/s)/Mpc.

The value of the Hubble constant was the topic of a long and rather bitter controversy between Gérard de Vaucouleurs, who claimed the value was around 100, and Allan Sandage, who claimed the value was near 50.[76] In one demonstration of vitriol shared between the parties, when Sandage and Gustav Andreas Tammann (Sandage's research colleague) formally acknowledged the shortcomings of confirming the systematic error of their method in 1975, Vaucouleurs responded “It is unfortunate that this sober warning was so soon forgotten and ignored by most astronomers and textbook writers”.[77] In 1996, a debate moderated by John Bahcall between Sidney van den Bergh and Gustav Tammann was held in similar fashion to the earlier Shapley–Curtis debate over these two competing values.

This previously wide variance in estimates was partially resolved with the introduction of the ΛCDM model of the universe in the late 1990s. With the ΛCDM model observations of high-redshift clusters at X-ray and microwave wavelengths using the Sunyaev–Zel'dovich effect, measurements of anisotropies in the cosmic microwave background radiation, and optical surveys all gave a value of around 70 for the constant.[citation needed]

21st century measurements edit

 
Landscape of H0 measurements around 2021 with Planck (2018) and SH0ES (2020) values highlighted in pink and cyan respectively.[58]

More recent measurements from the Planck mission published in 2018 indicate a lower value of 67.66±0.42 (km/s)/Mpc, although, even more recently, in March 2019, a higher value of 74.03±1.42 (km/s)/Mpc has been determined using an improved procedure involving the Hubble Space Telescope.[78] The two measurements disagree at the 4.4σ level, beyond a plausible level of chance.[79] The resolution to this disagreement is an ongoing area of active research.[80]

In October 2018, scientists presented a new third way (two earlier methods, one based on redshifts and another on the cosmic distance ladder, gave results that do not agree), using information from gravitational wave events (especially those involving the merger of neutron stars, like GW170817), of determining the Hubble constant.[81][82]

In July 2019, astronomers reported that a new method to determine the Hubble constant, and resolve the discrepancy of earlier methods, has been proposed based on the mergers of pairs of neutron stars, following the detection of the neutron star merger of GW170817, an event known as a dark siren.[83][84] Their measurement of the Hubble constant is 73.3+5.3
−5.0
(km/s)/Mpc.[85]

Also in July 2019, astronomers reported another new method, using data from the Hubble Space Telescope and based on distances to red giant stars calculated using the tip of the red-giant branch (TRGB) distance indicator. Their measurement of the Hubble constant is 69.8+1.9
−1.9
(km/s)/Mpc.[86][87][88]

In February 2020, the Megamaser Cosmology Project published independent results that confirmed the distance ladder results and differed from the early-universe results at a statistical significance level of 95%.[89] In July 2020, measurements of the cosmic background radiation by the Atacama Cosmology Telescope predict that the Universe should be expanding more slowly than is currently observed.[90]

In July 2023, an independent estimate of the Hubble constant was derived from the optical counterpart of a neutron-star merger, a so-called kilonova.[91] Due to the blackbody nature of early kilonova spectra,[92] such systems provide strongly constraining estimators of cosmic distance. Using the kilonova AT2017gfo, these measurements indicate a local-estimate of the Hubble constant of 67.0±3.6 (km/s)/Mpc.[93][91]

 
Estimated values of the Hubble constant, 2001–2020. Estimates in black represent calibrated distance ladder measurements which tend to cluster around 73 (km/s)/Mpc; red represents early universe CMB/BAO measurements with ΛCDM parameters which show good agreement on a figure near 67 (km/s)/Mpc, while blue are other techniques, whose uncertainties are not yet small enough to decide between the two.
Measurement of the Hubble constant
Date published Hubble constant
(km/s)/Mpc
Observer Citation Remarks / methodology
2023-07-19 67.0±3.6 Sneppen et al. [93][91] Due to the blackbody spectra of the optical counterpart of neutron-star mergers, these systems provide strongly constraining estimators of cosmic distance.
2023-07-13 68.3±1.5 SPT-3G [94] CMB TT/TE/EE power spectrum. Less than 1σ discrepancy with Planck.
2023-05-11 66.6+4.1
−3.3
P. L. Kelly et al. [95] Timing delay of gravitationally lensed images of Supernova Refsdal. Independent of cosmic distance ladder or the CMB.
2022-12-14 67.3+10.0
−9.1
S. Contarini et al. [96] Statistics of cosmic voids using BOSS DR12 data set (Preprint).[97]
2022-02-08 73.4+0.99
−1.22
Pantheon+ [98] SN Ia distance ladder (+SH0ES)
2022-06-17 75.4+3.8
−3.7
T. de Jaeger et al. [99] Use Type II supernovae as standardisable candles to obtain an independent measurement of the Hubble constant—13 SNe II with host-galaxy distances measured from Cepheid variables, the tip of the red giant branch, and geometric distance (NGC 4258).
2021-12-08 73.04±1.04 SH0ES [100] Cepheids-SN Ia distance ladder (HST+Gaia EDR3+"Pantheon+"). 5σ discrepancy with planck.
2021-09-17 69.8±1.7 W. Freedman [101] Tip of the red-giant branch (TRGB) distance indicator (HST+Gaia EDR3)
2020-12-16 72.1±2.0 Hubble Space Telescope and Gaia EDR3 [102] Combining earlier work on red giant stars, using the tip of the red-giant branch (TRGB) distance indicator, with parallax measurements of Omega Centauri from Gaia EDR3.
2020-12-15 73.2±1.3 Hubble Space Telescope and Gaia EDR3 [103] Combination of HST photometry and Gaia EDR3 parallaxes for Milky Way Cepheids, reducing the uncertainty in calibration of Cepheid luminosities to 1.0%. Overall uncertainty in the value for   is 1.8%, which is expected to be reduced to 1.3% with a larger sample of type Ia supernovae in galaxies that are known Cepheid hosts. Continuation of a collaboration known as Supernovae,  , for the Equation of State of Dark Energy (SHoES).
2020-12-04 73.5±5.3 E. J. Baxter, B. D. Sherwin [104] Gravitational lensing in the CMB is used to estimate   without referring to the sound horizon scale, providing an alternative method to analyze the Planck data.
2020-11-25 71.8+3.9
−3.3
P. Denzel et al. [105] Eight quadruply lensed galaxy systems are used to determine   to a precision of 5%, in agreement with both "early" and "late" universe estimates. Independent of distance ladders and the cosmic microwave background.
2020-11-07 67.4±1.0 T. Sedgwick et al. [106] Derived from 88 0.02 <   < 0.05 Type Ia supernovae used as standard candle distance indicators. The   estimate is corrected for the effects of peculiar velocities in the supernova environments, as estimated from the galaxy density field. The result assumes Ωm = 0.3, ΩΛ = 0.7 and a sound horizon of 149.3 Mpc, a value taken from Anderson et al. (2014).[107]
2020-09-29 67.6+4.3
−4.2
S. Mukherjee et al. [108] Gravitational waves, assuming that the transient ZTF19abanrh found by the Zwicky Transient Facility is the optical counterpart to GW190521. Independent of distance ladders and the cosmic microwave background.
2020-06-18 75.8+5.2
−4.9
T. de Jaeger et al. [109] Use Type II supernovae as standardisable candles to obtain an independent measurement of the Hubble constant—7 SNe II with host-galaxy distances measured from Cepheid variables or the tip of the red giant branch.
2020-02-26 73.9±3.0 Megamaser Cosmology Project [89] Geometric distance measurements to megamaser-hosting galaxies. Independent of distance ladders and the cosmic microwave background.
2019-10-14 74.2+2.7
−3.0
STRIDES [110] Modelling the mass distribution & time delay of the lensed quasar DES J0408-5354.
2019-09-12 76.8±2.6 SHARP/H0LiCOW [111] Modelling three galactically lensed objects and their lenses using ground-based adaptive optics and the Hubble Space Telescope.
2019-08-20 73.3+1.36
−1.35
K. Dutta et al. [112] This   is obtained analysing low-redshift cosmological data within ΛCDM model. The datasets used are type-Ia supernovae, baryon acoustic oscillations, time-delay measurements using strong-lensing,   measurements using cosmic chronometers and growth measurements from large scale structure observations.
2019-08-15 73.5±1.4 M. J. Reid, D. W. Pesce, A. G. Riess [113] Measuring the distance to Messier 106 using its supermassive black hole, combined with measurements of eclipsing binaries in the Large Magellanic Cloud.
2019-07-16 69.8±1.9 Hubble Space Telescope [86][87][88] Distances to red giant stars are calculated using the tip of the red-giant branch (TRGB) distance indicator.
2019-07-10 73.3+1.7
−1.8
H0LiCOW collaboration [114] Updated observations of multiply imaged quasars, now using six quasars, independent of the cosmic distance ladder and independent of the cosmic microwave background measurements.
2019-07-08 70.3+5.3
−5.0
The LIGO Scientific Collaboration and The Virgo Collaboration [85] Uses radio counterpart of GW170817, combined with earlier gravitational wave (GW) and electromagnetic (EM) data.
2019-03-28 68.0+4.2
−4.1
Fermi-LAT [115] Gamma ray attenuation due to extragalactic light. Independent of the cosmic distance ladder and the cosmic microwave background.
2019-03-18 74.03±1.42 Hubble Space Telescope [79] Precision HST photometry of Cepheids in the Large Magellanic Cloud (LMC) reduce the uncertainty in the distance to the LMC from 2.5% to 1.3%. The revision increases the tension with CMB measurements to the 4.4σ level (P=99.999% for Gaussian errors), raising the discrepancy beyond a plausible level of chance. Continuation of a collaboration known as Supernovae,  , for the Equation of State of Dark Energy (SHoES).
2019-02-08 67.78+0.91
−0.87
Joseph Ryan et al. [116] Quasar angular size and baryon acoustic oscillations, assuming a flat ΛCDM model. Alternative models result in different (generally lower) values for the Hubble constant.
2018-11-06 67.77±1.30 Dark Energy Survey [117] Supernova measurements using the inverse distance ladder method based on baryon acoustic oscillations.
2018-09-05 72.5+2.1
−2.3
H0LiCOW collaboration [118] Observations of multiply imaged quasars, independent of the cosmic distance ladder and independent of the cosmic microwave background measurements.
2018-07-18 67.66±0.42 Planck Mission [119] Final Planck 2018 results.
2018-04-27 73.52±1.62 Hubble Space Telescope and Gaia [120][121] Additional HST photometry of galactic Cepheids with early Gaia parallax measurements. The revised value increases tension with CMB measurements at the 3.8σ level. Continuation of the SHoES collaboration.
2018-02-22 73.45±1.66 Hubble Space Telescope [122][123] Parallax measurements of galactic Cepheids for enhanced calibration of the distance ladder; the value suggests a discrepancy with CMB measurements at the 3.7σ level. The uncertainty is expected to be reduced to below 1% with the final release of the Gaia catalog. SHoES collaboration.
2017-10-16 70.0+12.0
−8.0
The LIGO Scientific Collaboration and The Virgo Collaboration [124] Standard siren measurement independent of normal "standard candle" techniques; the gravitational wave analysis of a binary neutron star (BNS) merger GW170817 directly estimated the luminosity distance out to cosmological scales. An estimate of fifty similar detections in the next decade may arbitrate tension of other methodologies.[125] Detection and analysis of a neutron star-black hole merger (NSBH) may provide greater precision than BNS could allow.[126]
2016-11-22 71.9+2.4
−3.0
Hubble Space Telescope [127] Uses time delays between multiple images of distant variable sources produced by strong gravitational lensing. Collaboration known as   Lenses in COSMOGRAIL's Wellspring (H0LiCOW).
2016-08-04 76.2+3.4
−2.7
Cosmicflows-3 [128] Comparing redshift to other distance methods, including Tully–Fisher, Cepheid variable, and Type Ia supernovae. A restrictive estimate from the data implies a more precise value of 75±2.
2016-07-13 67.6+0.7
−0.6
SDSS-III Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS) [129] Baryon acoustic oscillations. An extended survey (eBOSS) began in 2014 and is expected to run through 2020. The extended survey is designed to explore the time when the universe was transitioning away from the deceleration effects of gravity from 3 to 8 billion years after the Big Bang.[130]
2016-05-17 73.24±1.74 Hubble Space Telescope [131] Type Ia supernova, the uncertainty is expected to go down by a factor of more than two with upcoming Gaia measurements and other improvements. SHoES collaboration.
2015-02 67.74±0.46 Planck Mission [132][133] Results from an analysis of Planck's full mission were made public on 1 December 2014 at a conference in Ferrara, Italy. A full set of papers detailing the mission results were released in February 2015.
2013-10-01 74.4±3.0 Cosmicflows-2 [134] Comparing redshift to other distance methods, including Tully–Fisher, Cepheid variable, and Type Ia supernovae.
2013-03-21 67.80±0.77 Planck Mission [53][135][136][137][138] The ESA Planck Surveyor was launched in May 2009. Over a four-year period, it performed a significantly more detailed investigation of cosmic microwave radiation than earlier investigations using HEMT radiometers and bolometer technology to measure the CMB at a smaller scale than WMAP. On 21 March 2013, the European-led research team behind the Planck cosmology probe released the mission's data including a new CMB all-sky map and their determination of the Hubble constant.
2012-12-20 69.32±0.80 WMAP (9 years), combined with other measurements [139]
2010 70.4+1.3
−1.4
WMAP (7 years), combined with other measurements [140] These values arise from fitting a combination of WMAP and other cosmological data to the simplest version of the ΛCDM model. If the data are fit with more general versions, H0 tends to be smaller and more uncertain: typically around 67±4 (km/s)/Mpc although some models allow values near 63 (km/s)/Mpc.[141]
2010 71.0±2.5 WMAP only (7 years). [140]
2009-02 70.5±1.3 WMAP (5 years), combined with other measurements [142]
2009-02 71.9+2.6
−2.7
WMAP only (5 years) [142]
2007 70.4+1.5
−1.6
WMAP (3 years), combined with other measurements [143]
2006-08 76.9+10.7
−8.7
Chandra X-ray Observatory [144] Combined Sunyaev–Zeldovich effect and Chandra X-ray observations of galaxy clusters. Adjusted uncertainty in table from Planck Collaboration 2013.[145]
2003 72±5 WMAP (First year) only .[146]
2001-05 72±8 Hubble Space Telescope Key Project [26] This project established the most precise optical determination, consistent with a measurement of H0 based upon Sunyaev–Zel'dovich effect observations of many galaxy clusters having a similar accuracy.
before 1996 5090 (est.) [76]
1994 67±7 Supernova 1a Light Curve Shapes [147] Determined relationship between luminosity of SN 1a's and their Light Curve Shapes. Riess et al. used this ratio of the light curve of SN 1972E and the Cepheid distance to NGC 5253 to determine the constant.
mid 1970's 100±10 Gérard de Vaucouleurs [77] De Vaucouleurs believed he had improved the accuracy of Hubble's constant from Sandage's because he used 5x more primary indicators, 10x more calibration methods, 2x more secondary indicators, and 3x as many galaxy data points to derive his 100 ± 10.
early 1970s 55 (est.) Allan Sandage and Gustav Tammann [148]
1958 75 (est.) Allan Sandage [149] This was the first good estimate of H0, but it would be decades before a consensus was achieved.
1956 180 Humason, Mayall and Sandage [148]
1929 500 Edwin Hubble, Hooker telescope [150][148][151]
1927 625 Georges Lemaître [152] First measurement and interpretation as a sign of the expansion of the universe.

Notes edit

  1. ^ For example, the South Pole Telescope, Atacama Cosmology Telescope and Planck (spacecraft) all provide independent measurements of the Hubble parameter during the early universe.
  2. ^ The latest data from the James Webb Space Telescope support earlier results from the Hubble Space Telescope, suggesting that systematic errors in Hubble's Cepheid photometry are not significant enough to cause the Hubble tension.[60]
  3. ^ In standard ΛCDM, dark energy only comes into play in the late universe – its effect in the early universe is too small to have an effect.
  4. ^ In standard ΛCDM, dark energy has a constant equation of state w = −1.

See also edit

References edit

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hubble, also, known, hubble, lemaître, observation, physical, cosmology, that, galaxies, moving, away, from, earth, speeds, proportional, their, distance, other, words, farther, they, faster, they, moving, away, from, earth, velocity, galaxies, been, determine. Hubble s law also known as the Hubble Lemaitre law 1 is the observation in physical cosmology that galaxies are moving away from Earth at speeds proportional to their distance In other words the farther they are the faster they are moving away from Earth The velocity of the galaxies has been determined by their redshift a shift of the light they emit toward the red end of the visible spectrum The discovery of Hubble s law is attributed to Edwin Hubble s work published in 1929 2 An analogy for explaining Hubble s law using raisins in a rising loaf of bread in place of galaxies If a raisin is twice as far away from a place as another raisin then the farther raisin would move away from that place twice as quickly Hubble s law is considered the first observational basis for the expansion of the universe and today it serves as one of the pieces of evidence most often cited in support of the Big Bang model 3 4 The motion of astronomical objects due solely to this expansion is known as the Hubble flow 5 It is described by the equation v H0D with H0 the constant of proportionality the Hubble constant between the proper distance D to a galaxy which can change over time unlike the comoving distance and its speed of separation v i e the derivative of proper distance with respect to the cosmological time coordinate See Comoving and proper distances Uses of the proper distance for discussion of the subtleties of this definition of velocity The Hubble constant is most frequently quoted in km s Mpc thus giving the speed in km s of a galaxy 1 megaparsec 3 09 1019 km away and its value is about 70 km s Mpc However crossing out units reveals that H0 is a unit of frequency SI unit s 1 and the reciprocal of H0 is known as the Hubble time The Hubble constant can also be interpreted as the relative rate of expansion In this form H0 7 Gyr meaning that at the current rate of expansion it takes a billion years for an unbound structure to grow by 7 Although widely attributed to Edwin Hubble 6 7 8 the notion of the universe expanding at a calculable rate was first derived from general relativity equations in 1922 by Alexander Friedmann Friedmann published a set of equations now known as the Friedmann equations showing that the universe might be expanding and presenting the expansion speed if that were the case 9 Then Georges Lemaitre in a 1927 article independently derived that the universe might be expanding observed the proportionality between recessional velocity of and distance to distant bodies and suggested an estimated value for the proportionality constant this constant when Edwin Hubble confirmed the existence of cosmic expansion and determined a more accurate value for it two years later came to be known by his name as the Hubble constant 3 10 11 12 2 Hubble inferred the recession velocity of the objects from their redshifts many of which were earlier measured and related to velocity by Vesto Slipher in 1917 13 14 15 Though the Hubble constant H0 is constant at any given moment in time the Hubble parameter H of which the Hubble constant is the current value varies with time so the term constant is sometimes thought of as somewhat of a misnomer 16 17 Contents 1 Discovery 1 1 Slipher s observations 1 2 FLRW equations 1 3 Lemaitre s equation 1 4 Shape of the universe 1 5 Cepheid variable stars outside the Milky Way 1 6 Combining redshifts with distance measurements 1 6 1 Hubble diagram 1 7 Cosmological constant abandoned 2 Interpretation 2 1 Redshift velocity and recessional velocity 2 1 1 Redshift velocity 2 1 2 Recessional velocity 2 2 Observability of parameters 2 3 Expansion velocity vs peculiar velocity 2 4 Time dependence of Hubble parameter 2 5 Idealized Hubble s law 2 6 Ultimate fate and age of the universe 2 7 Olbers paradox 2 8 Dimensionless Hubble constant 2 9 Acceleration of the expansion 3 Derivation of the Hubble parameter 3 1 Matter dominated universe with a cosmological constant 3 2 Matter and dark energy dominated universe 4 Units derived from the Hubble constant 4 1 Hubble time 4 2 Hubble length 4 3 Hubble volume 5 Determining the Hubble constant 5 1 Hubble tension 5 2 Earlier measurement and discussion approaches 5 3 21st century measurements 6 Notes 7 See also 8 References 8 1 Bibliography 8 2 Further reading 9 External linksDiscovery edit nbsp Three steps to the Hubble constant 18 A decade before Hubble made his observations a number of physicists and mathematicians had established a consistent theory of an expanding universe by using Einstein field equations of general relativity Applying the most general principles to the nature of the universe yielded a dynamic solution that conflicted with the then prevalent notion of a static universe Slipher s observations edit In 1912 Vesto M Slipher measured the first Doppler shift of a spiral nebula the obsolete term for spiral galaxies and soon discovered that almost all such nebulae were receding from Earth He did not grasp the cosmological implications of this fact and indeed at the time it was highly controversial whether or not these nebulae were island universes outside the Milky Way galaxy 19 20 FLRW equations edit In 1922 Alexander Friedmann derived his Friedmann equations from Einstein field equations showing that the universe might expand at a rate calculable by the equations 21 The parameter used by Friedmann is known today as the scale factor and can be considered as a scale invariant form of the proportionality constant of Hubble s law Georges Lemaitre independently found a similar solution in his 1927 paper discussed in the following section The Friedmann equations are derived by inserting the metric for a homogeneous and isotropic universe into Einstein s field equations for a fluid with a given density and pressure This idea of an expanding spacetime would eventually lead to the Big Bang and Steady State theories of cosmology Lemaitre s equation edit In 1927 two years before Hubble published his own article the Belgian priest and astronomer Georges Lemaitre was the first to publish research deriving what is now known as Hubble s law According to the Canadian astronomer Sidney van den Bergh the 1927 discovery of the expansion of the universe by Lemaitre was published in French in a low impact journal In the 1931 high impact English translation of this article a critical equation was changed by omitting reference to what is now known as the Hubble constant 22 It is now known that the alterations in the translated paper were carried out by Lemaitre himself 11 23 Shape of the universe edit Before the advent of modern cosmology there was considerable talk about the size and shape of the universe In 1920 the Shapley Curtis debate took place between Harlow Shapley and Heber D Curtis over this issue Shapley argued for a small universe the size of the Milky Way galaxy and Curtis argued that the universe was much larger The issue was resolved in the coming decade with Hubble s improved observations Cepheid variable stars outside the Milky Way edit Edwin Hubble did most of his professional astronomical observing work at Mount Wilson Observatory 24 home to the world s most powerful telescope at the time His observations of Cepheid variable stars in spiral nebulae enabled him to calculate the distances to these objects Surprisingly these objects were discovered to be at distances which placed them well outside the Milky Way They continued to be called nebulae and it was only gradually that the term galaxies replaced it Combining redshifts with distance measurements edit nbsp Fit of redshift velocities to Hubble s law 25 Various estimates for the Hubble constant exist The HST Key H0 Group fitted type Ia supernovae for redshifts between 0 01 and 0 1 to find that H0 71 2 statistical 6 systematic km s 1 Mpc 1 26 while Sandage et al find H0 62 3 1 3 statistical 5 systematic km s 1 Mpc 1 27 The parameters that appear in Hubble s law velocities and distances are not directly measured In reality we determine say a supernova brightness which provides information about its distance and the redshift z l l of its spectrum of radiation Hubble correlated brightness and parameter z Combining his measurements of galaxy distances with Vesto Slipher and Milton Humason s measurements of the redshifts associated with the galaxies Hubble discovered a rough proportionality between redshift of an object and its distance Though there was considerable scatter now known to be caused by peculiar velocities the Hubble flow is used to refer to the region of space far enough out that the recession velocity is larger than local peculiar velocities Hubble was able to plot a trend line from the 46 galaxies he studied and obtain a value for the Hubble constant of 500 km s Mpc much higher than the currently accepted value due to errors in his distance calibrations see cosmic distance ladder for details citation needed Hubble diagram edit Hubble s law can be easily depicted in a Hubble diagram in which the velocity assumed approximately proportional to the redshift of an object is plotted with respect to its distance from the observer 28 A straight line of positive slope on this diagram is the visual depiction of Hubble s law Cosmological constant abandoned edit Main article Cosmological constant After Hubble s discovery was published Albert Einstein abandoned his work on the cosmological constant which he had designed to modify his equations of general relativity to allow them to produce a static solution which he thought was the correct state of the universe The Einstein equations in their simplest form model either an expanding or contracting universe so Einstein s cosmological constant was artificially created to counter the expansion or contraction to get a perfect static and flat universe 29 After Hubble s discovery that the universe was in fact expanding Einstein called his faulty assumption that the universe is static his biggest mistake 29 On its own general relativity could predict the expansion of the universe which through observations such as the bending of light by large masses or the precession of the orbit of Mercury could be experimentally observed and compared to his theoretical calculations using particular solutions of the equations he had originally formulated In 1931 Einstein went to Mount Wilson Observatory to thank Hubble for providing the observational basis for modern cosmology 30 The cosmological constant has regained attention in recent decades as a hypothetical explanation for dark energy 31 Interpretation edit nbsp A variety of possible recessional velocity vs redshift functions including the simple linear relation v cz a variety of possible shapes from theories related to general relativity and a curve that does not permit speeds faster than light in accordance with special relativity All curves are linear at low redshifts See Davis and Lineweaver 32 The discovery of the linear relationship between redshift and distance coupled with a supposed linear relation between recessional velocity and redshift yields a straightforward mathematical expression for Hubble s law as follows v H 0 D displaystyle v H 0 D nbsp where v displaystyle v nbsp is the recessional velocity typically expressed in km s H0 is Hubble s constant and corresponds to the value of H displaystyle H nbsp often termed the Hubble parameter which is a value that is time dependent and which can be expressed in terms of the scale factor in the Friedmann equations taken at the time of observation denoted by the subscript 0 This value is the same throughout the universe for a given comoving time D displaystyle D nbsp is the proper distance which can change over time unlike the comoving distance which is constant from the galaxy to the observer measured in mega parsecs Mpc in the 3 space defined by given cosmological time Recession velocity is just v dD dt Hubble s law is considered a fundamental relation between recessional velocity and distance However the relation between recessional velocity and redshift depends on the cosmological model adopted and is not established except for small redshifts For distances D larger than the radius of the Hubble sphere rHS objects recede at a rate faster than the speed of light See Uses of the proper distance for a discussion of the significance of this r HS c H 0 displaystyle r text HS frac c H 0 nbsp Since the Hubble constant is a constant only in space not in time the radius of the Hubble sphere may increase or decrease over various time intervals The subscript 0 indicates the value of the Hubble constant today 25 Current evidence suggests that the expansion of the universe is accelerating see Accelerating universe meaning that for any given galaxy the recession velocity dD dt is increasing over time as the galaxy moves to greater and greater distances however the Hubble parameter is actually thought to be decreasing with time meaning that if we were to look at some fixed distance D and watch a series of different galaxies pass that distance later galaxies would pass that distance at a smaller velocity than earlier ones 33 Redshift velocity and recessional velocity edit Redshift can be measured by determining the wavelength of a known transition such as hydrogen a lines for distant quasars and finding the fractional shift compared to a stationary reference Thus redshift is a quantity unambiguous for experimental observation The relation of redshift to recessional velocity is another matter For an extensive discussion see Harrison 34 Redshift velocity edit The redshift z is often described as a redshift velocity which is the recessional velocity that would produce the same redshift if it were caused by a linear Doppler effect which however is not the case as the shift is caused in part by a cosmological expansion of space and because the velocities involved are too large to use a non relativistic formula for Doppler shift This redshift velocity can easily exceed the speed of light 35 In other words to determine the redshift velocity vrs the relation v rs c z displaystyle v text rs equiv cz nbsp is used 36 37 That is there is no fundamental difference between redshift velocity and redshift they are rigidly proportional and not related by any theoretical reasoning The motivation behind the redshift velocity terminology is that the redshift velocity agrees with the velocity from a low velocity simplification of the so called Fizeau Doppler formula 38 z l o l e 1 1 v c 1 v c 1 v c displaystyle z frac lambda text o lambda text e 1 sqrt frac 1 frac v c 1 frac v c 1 approx frac v c nbsp Here lo le are the observed and emitted wavelengths respectively The redshift velocity vrs is not so simply related to real velocity at larger velocities however and this terminology leads to confusion if interpreted as a real velocity Next the connection between redshift or redshift velocity and recessional velocity is discussed This discussion is based on Sartori 39 Recessional velocity edit Suppose R t is called the scale factor of the universe and increases as the universe expands in a manner that depends upon the cosmological model selected Its meaning is that all measured proper distances D t between co moving points increase proportionally to R The co moving points are not moving relative to each other except as a result of the expansion of space In other words D t D t 0 R t R t 0 displaystyle frac D t D t 0 frac R t R t 0 nbsp where t0 is some reference time 40 If light is emitted from a galaxy at time te and received by us at t0 it is redshifted due to the expansion of space and this redshift z is simply z R t 0 R t e 1 displaystyle z frac R t 0 R t text e 1 nbsp Suppose a galaxy is at distance D and this distance changes with time at a rate dtD We call this rate of recession the recession velocity vr v r d t D d t R R D displaystyle v text r d t D frac d t R R D nbsp We now define the Hubble constant asH d t R R displaystyle H equiv frac d t R R nbsp and discover the Hubble law v r H D displaystyle v text r HD nbsp From this perspective Hubble s law is a fundamental relation between i the recessional velocity contributed by the expansion of space and ii the distance to an object the connection between redshift and distance is a crutch used to connect Hubble s law with observations This law can be related to redshift z approximately by making a Taylor series expansion z R t 0 R t e 1 R t 0 R t 0 1 t e t 0 H t 0 1 t 0 t e H t 0 displaystyle z frac R t 0 R t e 1 approx frac R t 0 R t 0 left 1 t e t 0 H t 0 right 1 approx t 0 t e H t 0 nbsp If the distance is not too large all other complications of the model become small corrections and the time interval is simply the distance divided by the speed of light z t 0 t e H t 0 D c H t 0 displaystyle z approx t 0 t text e H t 0 approx frac D c H t 0 nbsp orc z D H t 0 v r displaystyle cz approx DH t 0 v r nbsp According to this approach the relation cz vr is an approximation valid at low redshifts to be replaced by a relation at large redshifts that is model dependent See velocity redshift figure Observability of parameters edit Strictly speaking neither v nor D in the formula are directly observable because they are properties now of a galaxy whereas our observations refer to the galaxy in the past at the time that the light we currently see left it For relatively nearby galaxies redshift z much less than unity v and D will not have changed much and v can be estimated using the formula v z c displaystyle v zc nbsp where c is the speed of light This gives the empirical relation found by Hubble For distant galaxies v or D cannot be calculated from z without specifying a detailed model for how H changes with time The redshift is not even directly related to the recession velocity at the time the light set out but it does have a simple interpretation 1 z is the factor by which the universe has expanded while the photon was travelling towards the observer Expansion velocity vs peculiar velocity edit In using Hubble s law to determine distances only the velocity due to the expansion of the universe can be used Since gravitationally interacting galaxies move relative to each other independent of the expansion of the universe 41 these relative velocities called peculiar velocities need to be accounted for in the application of Hubble s law Such peculiar velocities give rise to redshift space distortions Time dependence of Hubble parameter edit The parameter H displaystyle H nbsp is commonly called the Hubble constant but that is a misnomer since it is constant in space only at a fixed time it varies with time in nearly all cosmological models and all observations of far distant objects are also observations into the distant past when the constant had a different value Hubble parameter is a more correct term with H 0 displaystyle H 0 nbsp denoting the present day value Another common source of confusion is that the accelerating universe does not imply that the Hubble parameter is actually increasing with time since H t a t a t displaystyle H t equiv dot a t a t nbsp in most accelerating models a displaystyle a nbsp increases relatively faster than a displaystyle dot a nbsp so H decreases with time The recession velocity of one chosen galaxy does increase but different galaxies passing a sphere of fixed radius cross the sphere more slowly at later times On defining the dimensionless deceleration parameter q a a a 2 textstyle q equiv frac ddot a a dot a 2 nbsp it follows thatd H d t H 2 1 q displaystyle frac dH dt H 2 1 q nbsp From this it is seen that the Hubble parameter is decreasing with time unless q lt 1 displaystyle q lt 1 nbsp the latter can only occur if the universe contains phantom energy regarded as theoretically somewhat improbable However in the standard Lambda cold dark matter model Lambda CDM or LCDM model q displaystyle q nbsp will tend to 1 from above in the distant future as the cosmological constant becomes increasingly dominant over matter this implies that H displaystyle H nbsp will approach from above to a constant value of 57 km s Mpc and the scale factor of the universe will then grow exponentially in time Idealized Hubble s law edit The mathematical derivation of an idealized Hubble s law for a uniformly expanding universe is a fairly elementary theorem of geometry in 3 dimensional Cartesian Newtonian coordinate space which considered as a metric space is entirely homogeneous and isotropic properties do not vary with location or direction Simply stated the theorem is this Any two points which are moving away from the origin each along straight lines and with speed proportional to distance from the origin will be moving away from each other with a speed proportional to their distance apart In fact this applies to non Cartesian spaces as long as they are locally homogeneous and isotropic specifically to the negatively and positively curved spaces frequently considered as cosmological models see shape of the universe An observation stemming from this theorem is that seeing objects recede from us on Earth is not an indication that Earth is near to a center from which the expansion is occurring but rather that every observer in an expanding universe will see objects receding from them Ultimate fate and age of the universe edit nbsp The age and ultimate fate of the universe can be determined by measuring the Hubble constant today and extrapolating with the observed value of the deceleration parameter uniquely characterized by values of density parameters WM for matter and WL for dark energy A closed universe with WM gt 1 and WL 0 comes to an end in a Big Crunch and is considerably younger than its Hubble age An open universe with WM 1 and WL 0 expands forever and has an age that is closer to its Hubble age For the accelerating universe with nonzero WL that we inhabit the age of the universe is coincidentally very close to the Hubble age The value of the Hubble parameter changes over time either increasing or decreasing depending on the value of the so called deceleration parameter q displaystyle q nbsp which is defined byq 1 H H 2 displaystyle q left 1 frac dot H H 2 right nbsp In a universe with a deceleration parameter equal to zero it follows that H 1 t where t is the time since the Big Bang A non zero time dependent value of q displaystyle q nbsp simply requires integration of the Friedmann equations backwards from the present time to the time when the comoving horizon size was zero It was long thought that q was positive indicating that the expansion is slowing down due to gravitational attraction This would imply an age of the universe less than 1 H which is about 14 billion years For instance a value for q of 1 2 once favoured by most theorists would give the age of the universe as 2 3H The discovery in 1998 that q is apparently negative means that the universe could actually be older than 1 H However estimates of the age of the universe are very close to 1 H Olbers paradox edit Main article Olbers paradox The expansion of space summarized by the Big Bang interpretation of Hubble s law is relevant to the old conundrum known as Olbers paradox If the universe were infinite in size static and filled with a uniform distribution of stars then every line of sight in the sky would end on a star and the sky would be as bright as the surface of a star However the night sky is largely dark 42 43 Since the 17th century astronomers and other thinkers have proposed many possible ways to resolve this paradox but the currently accepted resolution depends in part on the Big Bang theory and in part on the Hubble expansion in a universe that existed for a finite amount of time only the light of a finite number of stars has had enough time to reach us and the paradox is resolved Additionally in an expanding universe distant objects recede from us which causes the light emanated from them to be redshifted and diminished in brightness by the time we see it 42 43 Dimensionless Hubble constant edit Instead of working with Hubble s constant a common practice is to introduce the dimensionless Hubble constant usually denoted by h and commonly referred to as little h 44 then to write Hubble s constant H0 as h 100 km s 1 Mpc 1 all the relative uncertainty of the true value of H0 being then relegated to h 45 The dimensionless Hubble constant is often used when giving distances that are calculated from redshift z using the formula d c H0 z Since H0 is not precisely known the distance is expressed as c z H 0 2998 z Mpc h 1 displaystyle cz H 0 approx 2998 times z text Mpc h 1 nbsp In other words one calculates 2998 z and one gives the units as Mpc h 1 displaystyle text Mpc h 1 nbsp or h 1 Mpc displaystyle h 1 text Mpc nbsp Occasionally a reference value other than 100 may be chosen in which case a subscript is presented after h to avoid confusion e g h70 denotes H 0 70 h 70 k m s 1 M p c 1 displaystyle H 0 70 h 70 mathrm km cdot s 1 cdot Mpc 1 nbsp which implies h 70 h 0 7 displaystyle h 70 h 0 7 nbsp This should not be confused with the dimensionless value of Hubble s constant usually expressed in terms of Planck units obtained by multiplying H0 by 1 75 10 63 from definitions of parsec and tP for example for H0 70 a Planck unit version of 1 2 10 61 is obtained Acceleration of the expansion edit Main article Accelerating expansion of the universe A value for q displaystyle q nbsp measured from standard candle observations of Type Ia supernovae which was determined in 1998 to be negative surprised many astronomers with the implication that the expansion of the universe is currently accelerating 46 although the Hubble factor is still decreasing with time as mentioned above in the Interpretation section see the articles on dark energy and the LCDM model Derivation of the Hubble parameter editThis section needs additional citations for verification Please help improve this article by adding citations to reliable sources in this section Unsourced material may be challenged and removed March 2014 Learn how and when to remove this template message Start with the Friedmann equation H 2 a a 2 8 p G 3 r k c 2 a 2 L c 2 3 displaystyle H 2 equiv left frac dot a a right 2 frac 8 pi G 3 rho frac kc 2 a 2 frac Lambda c 2 3 nbsp where H displaystyle H nbsp is the Hubble parameter a displaystyle a nbsp is the scale factor G is the gravitational constant k displaystyle k nbsp is the normalised spatial curvature of the universe and equal to 1 0 or 1 and L displaystyle Lambda nbsp is the cosmological constant Matter dominated universe with a cosmological constant edit If the universe is matter dominated then the mass density of the universe r displaystyle rho nbsp can be taken to include just matter sor r m a r m 0 a 3 displaystyle rho rho m a frac rho m 0 a 3 nbsp where r m 0 displaystyle rho m 0 nbsp is the density of matter today From the Friedmann equation and thermodynamic principles we know for non relativistic particles that their mass density decreases proportional to the inverse volume of the universe so the equation above must be true We can also define see density parameter for W m displaystyle Omega m nbsp r c 3 H 0 2 8 p G W m r m 0 r c 8 p G 3 H 0 2 r m 0 displaystyle begin aligned rho c amp frac 3H 0 2 8 pi G Omega m amp equiv frac rho m 0 rho c frac 8 pi G 3H 0 2 rho m 0 end aligned nbsp therefore r r c W m a 3 displaystyle rho frac rho c Omega m a 3 nbsp Also by definition W k k c 2 a 0 H 0 2 W L L c 2 3 H 0 2 displaystyle begin aligned Omega k amp equiv frac kc 2 a 0 H 0 2 Omega Lambda amp equiv frac Lambda c 2 3H 0 2 end aligned nbsp where the subscript 0 refers to the values today and a 0 1 displaystyle a 0 1 nbsp Substituting all of this into the Friedmann equation at the start of this section and replacing a displaystyle a nbsp with a 1 1 z displaystyle a 1 1 z nbsp givesH 2 z H 0 2 W m 1 z 3 W k 1 z 2 W L displaystyle H 2 z H 0 2 left Omega m 1 z 3 Omega k 1 z 2 Omega Lambda right nbsp Matter and dark energy dominated universe edit If the universe is both matter dominated and dark energy dominated then the above equation for the Hubble parameter will also be a function of the equation of state of dark energy So now r r m a r d e a displaystyle rho rho m a rho de a nbsp where r d e displaystyle rho de nbsp is the mass density of the dark energy By definition an equation of state in cosmology is P w r c 2 displaystyle P w rho c 2 nbsp and if this is substituted into the fluid equation which describes how the mass density of the universe evolves with time thenr 3 a a r P c 2 0 d r r 3 d a a 1 w displaystyle begin aligned dot rho 3 frac dot a a left rho frac P c 2 right 0 frac d rho rho 3 frac da a 1 w end aligned nbsp If w is constant thenln r 3 1 w ln a displaystyle ln rho 3 1 w ln a nbsp implying r a 3 1 w displaystyle rho a 3 1 w nbsp Therefore for dark energy with a constant equation of state w r d e a r d e 0 a 3 1 w displaystyle rho de a rho de0 a 3 1 w nbsp If this is substituted into the Friedman equation in a similar way as before but this time set k 0 displaystyle k 0 nbsp which assumes a spatially flat universe then see shape of the universe H 2 z H 0 2 W m 1 z 3 W d e 1 z 3 1 w displaystyle H 2 z H 0 2 left Omega m 1 z 3 Omega de 1 z 3 1 w right nbsp If the dark energy derives from a cosmological constant such as that introduced by Einstein it can be shown that w 1 displaystyle w 1 nbsp The equation then reduces to the last equation in the matter dominated universe section with W k displaystyle Omega k nbsp set to zero In that case the initial dark energy density r d e 0 displaystyle rho de0 nbsp is given by 47 r d e 0 L c 2 8 p G displaystyle rho de0 frac Lambda c 2 8 pi G nbsp and W d e W L displaystyle Omega de Omega Lambda nbsp If dark energy does not have a constant equation of state w thenr d e a r d e 0 e 3 d a a 1 w a displaystyle rho de a rho de0 e 3 int frac da a left 1 w a right nbsp and to solve this w a displaystyle w a nbsp must be parametrized for example if w a w 0 w a 1 a displaystyle w a w 0 w a 1 a nbsp giving 48 H 2 z H 0 2 W m a 3 W d e a 3 1 w 0 w a e 3 w a 1 a displaystyle H 2 z H 0 2 left Omega m a 3 Omega de a 3 left 1 w 0 w a right e 3w a 1 a right nbsp Other ingredients have been formulated 49 50 51 Units derived from the Hubble constant editThis section needs additional citations for verification Please help improve this article by adding citations to reliable sources in this section Unsourced material may be challenged and removed March 2014 Learn how and when to remove this template message Hubble time edit The Hubble constant H 0 displaystyle H 0 nbsp has units of inverse time the Hubble time tH is simply defined as the inverse of the Hubble constant 52 i e t H 1 H 0 1 67 8 k m s M p c 4 55 10 17 s 14 4 billion years displaystyle t H equiv frac 1 H 0 frac 1 67 8 mathrm km s Mpc 4 55 times 10 17 mathrm s 14 4 text billion years nbsp This is slightly different from the age of the universe which is approximately 13 8 billion years The Hubble time is the age it would have had if the expansion had been linear and it is different from the real age of the universe because the expansion is not linear it depends on the energy content of the universe see Derivation of the Hubble parameter We currently appear to be approaching a period where the expansion of the universe is exponential due to the increasing dominance of vacuum energy In this regime the Hubble parameter is constant and the universe grows by a factor e each Hubble time H a a constant a e H t e t t H displaystyle H equiv frac dot a a textrm constant quad Longrightarrow quad a propto e Ht e frac t t H nbsp Likewise the generally accepted value of 2 27 Es 1 means that at the current rate the universe would grow by a factor of e 2 27 displaystyle e 2 27 nbsp in one exasecond Over long periods of time the dynamics are complicated by general relativity dark energy inflation etc as explained above Hubble length edit The Hubble length or Hubble distance is a unit of distance in cosmology defined as c H 0 1 displaystyle cH 0 1 nbsp the speed of light multiplied by the Hubble time It is equivalent to 4 420 million parsecs or 14 4 billion light years The numerical value of the Hubble length in light years is by definition equal to that of the Hubble time in years The Hubble distance would be the distance between the Earth and the galaxies which are currently receding from us at the speed of light as can be seen by substituting D c H 0 1 displaystyle D cH 0 1 nbsp into the equation for Hubble s law v H0D Hubble volume edit Main article Hubble volume The Hubble volume is sometimes defined as a volume of the universe with a comoving size of c H 0 1 displaystyle cH 0 1 nbsp The exact definition varies it is sometimes defined as the volume of a sphere with radius c H 0 1 displaystyle cH 0 1 nbsp or alternatively a cube of side c H 0 1 displaystyle cH 0 1 nbsp Some cosmologists even use the term Hubble volume to refer to the volume of the observable universe although this has a radius approximately three times larger Determining the Hubble constant edit nbsp Value of the Hubble constant in km s Mpc including measurement uncertainty for recent surveys 53 The value of the Hubble constant H0 tells the rate at which the universe is expanding In 1929 Edwin Hubble determined for the first time this constant to be 500 km sec per million parsecs Since then Hubble constant has been actively measured using various methods In the early days Hubble for example used bright stars and the light of the nebula to estimate the redshift and determined the constant Later after type Ia supernova was found to be a better standard candle of distant galaxies people used supernova to determining the redshift These measurements need to determine the distance of the target stars or galaxies first Uncertainties in the physical assumptions used to determine these distances have caused varying estimates of the Hubble constant 3 More recently scientists use CMB measurements such as Planck s data to determine the Hubble constant The challenge of using this method is its result various depends on the cosmology models used Due to the different values of Hubble constant estimated using different technique the determination of Hubble constant is an active research field Hubble tension The high accuracy measurement using James Webb Space Telescope in 2023 has confirmed the earlier observation of the Hubble Space Telescope which gave a Hubble constant about H0 74 km sec per Mpc 54 55 Hubble tension edit Multiple methods have been used to determine the Hubble constant Late universe measurements using calibrated distance ladder techniques have converged on a value of approximately 73 km s Mpc Since 2000 early universe techniques based on measurements of the cosmic microwave background have become available and these agree on a value near 67 7 km s Mpc 56 This is accounting for the change in the expansion rate since the early universe so is comparable to the first number As techniques have improved the estimated measurement uncertainties have shrunk but the range of measured values has not to the point that the disagreement is now highly statistically significant This discrepancy is called the Hubble tension 57 58 The cause of the Hubble tension discrepancy is unknown 59 and there are many possible proposed solutions The most conservative is that there is an unknown systematic error affecting either early universe or late universe observations Although intuitively appealing this explanation requires multiple unrelated effects regardless of whether early universe or late universe observations are incorrect and there are no obvious candidates 58 Furthermore any such systematic error would need to affect multiple different instruments since both the early universe and late universe observations come from different telescopes a b Alternatively it could be that the observations are correct but some unaccounted for effect is causing the discrepancy If the cosmological principle fails see Violations of the cosmological principle in the Lambda CDM model article then the existing interpretations of the Hubble constant and the Hubble tension have to be revised which might resolve the Hubble tension 61 In particular we would need to be located within a very large void up to about a redshift of 0 5 for such an explanation to not be in tension with supernovae amp baryon acoustic oscillation observations 58 Yet another possibility is that the uncertainties in the measurements could have been underestimated 62 63 The most exciting possibility is new physics beyond the current Standard Model of cosmology i e LCDM model 58 64 There are very many theories in this category e g replacing general relativity with modified Newtonian dynamics could potentially resolve the tension 65 66 as can a dark energy component in the early universe c 67 dark energy with a time varying equation of state d 68 or dark matter that decays into dark radiation 69 A problem faced by all these theories is that both early universe and late universe measurements rely on multiple independent lines of physics and it is difficult to modify any of those lines while preserving their successes elsewhere The scale of the challenge can be seen from how some authors have argued that new early universe physics alone is not sufficient 70 71 while other authors argue that new late universe physics alone is also not sufficient 72 Nonetheless astronomers are trying with interest in the Hubble tension growing strongly in the past several years 58 Earlier measurement and discussion approaches edit The observations of astronomer Walter Baade led him to define distinct populations for stars Population I and Population II The same observations led him to discover that there are two types of Cepheid variable stars Using this discovery he recalculated the size of the known universe doubling the previous calculation made by Hubble in 1929 73 74 75 He announced this finding to considerable astonishment at the 1952 meeting of the International Astronomical Union in Rome For most of the second half of the 20th century the value of H 0 displaystyle H 0 nbsp was estimated to be between 50 and 90 km s Mpc The value of the Hubble constant was the topic of a long and rather bitter controversy between Gerard de Vaucouleurs who claimed the value was around 100 and Allan Sandage who claimed the value was near 50 76 In one demonstration of vitriol shared between the parties when Sandage and Gustav Andreas Tammann Sandage s research colleague formally acknowledged the shortcomings of confirming the systematic error of their method in 1975 Vaucouleurs responded It is unfortunate that this sober warning was so soon forgotten and ignored by most astronomers and textbook writers 77 In 1996 a debate moderated by John Bahcall between Sidney van den Bergh and Gustav Tammann was held in similar fashion to the earlier Shapley Curtis debate over these two competing values This previously wide variance in estimates was partially resolved with the introduction of the LCDM model of the universe in the late 1990s With the LCDM model observations of high redshift clusters at X ray and microwave wavelengths using the Sunyaev Zel dovich effect measurements of anisotropies in the cosmic microwave background radiation and optical surveys all gave a value of around 70 for the constant citation needed 21st century measurements edit nbsp Landscape of H0 measurements around 2021 with Planck 2018 and SH0ES 2020 values highlighted in pink and cyan respectively 58 More recent measurements from the Planck mission published in 2018 indicate a lower value of 67 66 0 42 km s Mpc although even more recently in March 2019 a higher value of 74 03 1 42 km s Mpc has been determined using an improved procedure involving the Hubble Space Telescope 78 The two measurements disagree at the 4 4s level beyond a plausible level of chance 79 The resolution to this disagreement is an ongoing area of active research 80 In October 2018 scientists presented a new third way two earlier methods one based on redshifts and another on the cosmic distance ladder gave results that do not agree using information from gravitational wave events especially those involving the merger of neutron stars like GW170817 of determining the Hubble constant 81 82 In July 2019 astronomers reported that a new method to determine the Hubble constant and resolve the discrepancy of earlier methods has been proposed based on the mergers of pairs of neutron stars following the detection of the neutron star merger of GW170817 an event known as a dark siren 83 84 Their measurement of the Hubble constant is 73 3 5 3 5 0 km s Mpc 85 Also in July 2019 astronomers reported another new method using data from the Hubble Space Telescope and based on distances to red giant stars calculated using the tip of the red giant branch TRGB distance indicator Their measurement of the Hubble constant is 69 8 1 9 1 9 km s Mpc 86 87 88 In February 2020 the Megamaser Cosmology Project published independent results that confirmed the distance ladder results and differed from the early universe results at a statistical significance level of 95 89 In July 2020 measurements of the cosmic background radiation by the Atacama Cosmology Telescope predict that the Universe should be expanding more slowly than is currently observed 90 In July 2023 an independent estimate of the Hubble constant was derived from the optical counterpart of a neutron star merger a so called kilonova 91 Due to the blackbody nature of early kilonova spectra 92 such systems provide strongly constraining estimators of cosmic distance Using the kilonova AT2017gfo these measurements indicate a local estimate of the Hubble constant of 67 0 3 6 km s Mpc 93 91 nbsp Estimated values of the Hubble constant 2001 2020 Estimates in black represent calibrated distance ladder measurements which tend to cluster around 73 km s Mpc red represents early universe CMB BAO measurements with LCDM parameters which show good agreement on a figure near 67 km s Mpc while blue are other techniques whose uncertainties are not yet small enough to decide between the two Measurement of the Hubble constant Date published Hubble constant km s Mpc Observer Citation Remarks methodology2023 07 19 67 0 3 6 Sneppen et al 93 91 Due to the blackbody spectra of the optical counterpart of neutron star mergers these systems provide strongly constraining estimators of cosmic distance 2023 07 13 68 3 1 5 SPT 3G 94 CMB TT TE EE power spectrum Less than 1s discrepancy with Planck 2023 05 11 66 6 4 1 3 3 P L Kelly et al 95 Timing delay of gravitationally lensed images of Supernova Refsdal Independent of cosmic distance ladder or the CMB 2022 12 14 67 3 10 0 9 1 S Contarini et al 96 Statistics of cosmic voids using BOSS DR12 data set Preprint 97 2022 02 08 73 4 0 99 1 22 Pantheon 98 SN Ia distance ladder SH0ES 2022 06 17 75 4 3 8 3 7 T de Jaeger et al 99 Use Type II supernovae as standardisable candles to obtain an independent measurement of the Hubble constant 13 SNe II with host galaxy distances measured from Cepheid variables the tip of the red giant branch and geometric distance NGC 4258 2021 12 08 73 04 1 04 SH0ES 100 Cepheids SN Ia distance ladder HST Gaia EDR3 Pantheon 5s discrepancy with planck 2021 09 17 69 8 1 7 W Freedman 101 Tip of the red giant branch TRGB distance indicator HST Gaia EDR3 2020 12 16 72 1 2 0 Hubble Space Telescope and Gaia EDR3 102 Combining earlier work on red giant stars using the tip of the red giant branch TRGB distance indicator with parallax measurements of Omega Centauri from Gaia EDR3 2020 12 15 73 2 1 3 Hubble Space Telescope and Gaia EDR3 103 Combination of HST photometry and Gaia EDR3 parallaxes for Milky Way Cepheids reducing the uncertainty in calibration of Cepheid luminosities to 1 0 Overall uncertainty in the value for H 0 displaystyle H 0 nbsp is 1 8 which is expected to be reduced to 1 3 with a larger sample of type Ia supernovae in galaxies that are known Cepheid hosts Continuation of a collaboration known as Supernovae H 0 displaystyle H 0 nbsp for the Equation of State of Dark Energy SHoES 2020 12 04 73 5 5 3 E J Baxter B D Sherwin 104 Gravitational lensing in the CMB is used to estimate H 0 displaystyle H 0 nbsp without referring to the sound horizon scale providing an alternative method to analyze the Planck data 2020 11 25 71 8 3 9 3 3 P Denzel et al 105 Eight quadruply lensed galaxy systems are used to determine H 0 displaystyle H 0 nbsp to a precision of 5 in agreement with both early and late universe estimates Independent of distance ladders and the cosmic microwave background 2020 11 07 67 4 1 0 T Sedgwick et al 106 Derived from 88 0 02 lt z displaystyle z nbsp lt 0 05 Type Ia supernovae used as standard candle distance indicators The H 0 displaystyle H 0 nbsp estimate is corrected for the effects of peculiar velocities in the supernova environments as estimated from the galaxy density field The result assumes Wm 0 3 WL 0 7 and a sound horizon of 149 3 Mpc a value taken from Anderson et al 2014 107 2020 09 29 67 6 4 3 4 2 S Mukherjee et al 108 Gravitational waves assuming that the transient ZTF19abanrh found by the Zwicky Transient Facility is the optical counterpart to GW190521 Independent of distance ladders and the cosmic microwave background 2020 06 18 75 8 5 2 4 9 T de Jaeger et al 109 Use Type II supernovae as standardisable candles to obtain an independent measurement of the Hubble constant 7 SNe II with host galaxy distances measured from Cepheid variables or the tip of the red giant branch 2020 02 26 73 9 3 0 Megamaser Cosmology Project 89 Geometric distance measurements to megamaser hosting galaxies Independent of distance ladders and the cosmic microwave background 2019 10 14 74 2 2 7 3 0 STRIDES 110 Modelling the mass distribution amp time delay of the lensed quasar DES J0408 5354 2019 09 12 76 8 2 6 SHARP H0LiCOW 111 Modelling three galactically lensed objects and their lenses using ground based adaptive optics and the Hubble Space Telescope 2019 08 20 73 3 1 36 1 35 K Dutta et al 112 This H 0 displaystyle H 0 nbsp is obtained analysing low redshift cosmological data within LCDM model The datasets used are type Ia supernovae baryon acoustic oscillations time delay measurements using strong lensing H z displaystyle H z nbsp measurements using cosmic chronometers and growth measurements from large scale structure observations 2019 08 15 73 5 1 4 M J Reid D W Pesce A G Riess 113 Measuring the distance to Messier 106 using its supermassive black hole combined with measurements of eclipsing binaries in the Large Magellanic Cloud 2019 07 16 69 8 1 9 Hubble Space Telescope 86 87 88 Distances to red giant stars are calculated using the tip of the red giant branch TRGB distance indicator 2019 07 10 73 3 1 7 1 8 H0LiCOW collaboration 114 Updated observations of multiply imaged quasars now using six quasars independent of the cosmic distance ladder and independent of the cosmic microwave background measurements 2019 07 08 70 3 5 3 5 0 The LIGO Scientific Collaboration and The Virgo Collaboration 85 Uses radio counterpart of GW170817 combined with earlier gravitational wave GW and electromagnetic EM data 2019 03 28 68 0 4 2 4 1 Fermi LAT 115 Gamma ray attenuation due to extragalactic light Independent of the cosmic distance ladder and the cosmic microwave background 2019 03 18 74 03 1 42 Hubble Space Telescope 79 Precision HST photometry of Cepheids in the Large Magellanic Cloud LMC reduce the uncertainty in the distance to the LMC from 2 5 to 1 3 The revision increases the tension with CMB measurements to the 4 4s level P 99 999 for Gaussian errors raising the discrepancy beyond a plausible level of chance Continuation of a collaboration known as Supernovae H 0 displaystyle H 0 nbsp for the Equation of State of Dark Energy SHoES 2019 02 08 67 78 0 91 0 87 Joseph Ryan et al 116 Quasar angular size and baryon acoustic oscillations assuming a flat LCDM model Alternative models result in different generally lower values for the Hubble constant 2018 11 06 67 77 1 30 Dark Energy Survey 117 Supernova measurements using the inverse distance ladder method based on baryon acoustic oscillations 2018 09 05 72 5 2 1 2 3 H0LiCOW collaboration 118 Observations of multiply imaged quasars independent of the cosmic distance ladder and independent of the cosmic microwave background measurements 2018 07 18 67 66 0 42 Planck Mission 119 Final Planck 2018 results 2018 04 27 73 52 1 62 Hubble Space Telescope and Gaia 120 121 Additional HST photometry of galactic Cepheids with early Gaia parallax measurements The revised value increases tension with CMB measurements at the 3 8s level Continuation of the SHoES collaboration 2018 02 22 73 45 1 66 Hubble Space Telescope 122 123 Parallax measurements of galactic Cepheids for enhanced calibration of the distance ladder the value suggests a discrepancy with CMB measurements at the 3 7s level The uncertainty is expected to be reduced to below 1 with the final release of the Gaia catalog SHoES collaboration 2017 10 16 70 0 12 0 8 0 The LIGO Scientific Collaboration and The Virgo Collaboration 124 Standard siren measurement independent of normal standard candle techniques the gravitational wave analysis of a binary neutron star BNS merger GW170817 directly estimated the luminosity distance out to cosmological scales An estimate of fifty similar detections in the next decade may arbitrate tension of other methodologies 125 Detection and analysis of a neutron star black hole merger NSBH may provide greater precision than BNS could allow 126 2016 11 22 71 9 2 4 3 0 Hubble Space Telescope 127 Uses time delays between multiple images of distant variable sources produced by strong gravitational lensing Collaboration known as H 0 displaystyle H 0 nbsp Lenses in COSMOGRAIL s Wellspring H0LiCOW 2016 08 04 76 2 3 4 2 7 Cosmicflows 3 128 Comparing redshift to other distance methods including Tully Fisher Cepheid variable and Type Ia supernovae A restrictive estimate from the data implies a more precise value of 75 2 2016 07 13 67 6 0 7 0 6 SDSS III Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey BOSS 129 Baryon acoustic oscillations An extended survey eBOSS began in 2014 and is expected to run through 2020 The extended survey is designed to explore the time when the universe was transitioning away from the deceleration effects of gravity from 3 to 8 billion years after the Big Bang 130 2016 05 17 73 24 1 74 Hubble Space Telescope 131 Type Ia supernova the uncertainty is expected to go down by a factor of more than two with upcoming Gaia measurements and other improvements SHoES collaboration 2015 02 67 74 0 46 Planck Mission 132 133 Results from an analysis of Planck s full mission were made public on 1 December 2014 at a conference in Ferrara Italy A full set of papers detailing the mission results were released in February 2015 2013 10 01 74 4 3 0 Cosmicflows 2 134 Comparing redshift to other distance methods including Tully Fisher Cepheid variable and Type Ia supernovae 2013 03 21 67 80 0 77 Planck Mission 53 135 136 137 138 The ESA Planck Surveyor was launched in May 2009 Over a four year period it performed a significantly more detailed investigation of cosmic microwave radiation than earlier investigations using HEMT radiometers and bolometer technology to measure the CMB at a smaller scale than WMAP On 21 March 2013 the European led research team behind the Planck cosmology probe released the mission s data including a new CMB all sky map and their determination of the Hubble constant 2012 12 20 69 32 0 80 WMAP 9 years combined with other measurements 139 2010 70 4 1 3 1 4 WMAP 7 years combined with other measurements 140 These values arise from fitting a combination of WMAP and other cosmological data to the simplest version of the LCDM model If the data are fit with more general versions H0 tends to be smaller and more uncertain typically around 67 4 km s Mpc although some models allow values near 63 km s Mpc 141 2010 71 0 2 5 WMAP only 7 years 140 2009 02 70 5 1 3 WMAP 5 years combined with other measurements 142 2009 02 71 9 2 6 2 7 WMAP only 5 years 142 2007 70 4 1 5 1 6 WMAP 3 years combined with other measurements 143 2006 08 76 9 10 7 8 7 Chandra X ray Observatory 144 Combined Sunyaev Zeldovich effect and Chandra X ray observations of galaxy clusters Adjusted uncertainty in table from Planck Collaboration 2013 145 2003 72 5 WMAP First year only 146 2001 05 72 8 Hubble Space Telescope Key Project 26 This project established the most precise optical determination consistent with a measurement of H0 based upon Sunyaev Zel dovich effect observations of many galaxy clusters having a similar accuracy before 1996 50 90 est 76 1994 67 7 Supernova 1a Light Curve Shapes 147 Determined relationship between luminosity of SN 1a s and their Light Curve Shapes Riess et al used this ratio of the light curve of SN 1972E and the Cepheid distance to NGC 5253 to determine the constant mid 1970 s 100 10 Gerard de Vaucouleurs 77 De Vaucouleurs believed he had improved the accuracy of Hubble s constant from Sandage s because he used 5x more primary indicators 10x more calibration methods 2x more secondary indicators and 3x as many galaxy data points to derive his 100 10 early 1970s 55 est Allan Sandage and Gustav Tammann 148 1958 75 est Allan Sandage 149 This was the first good estimate of H0 but it would be decades before a consensus was achieved 1956 180 Humason Mayall and Sandage 148 1929 500 Edwin Hubble Hooker telescope 150 148 151 1927 625 Georges Lemaitre 152 First measurement and interpretation as a sign of the expansion of the universe Notes edit For example the South Pole Telescope Atacama Cosmology Telescope and Planck spacecraft all provide independent measurements of the Hubble parameter during the early universe The latest data from the James Webb Space Telescope support earlier results from the Hubble Space Telescope suggesting that systematic errors in Hubble s Cepheid photometry are not significant enough to cause the Hubble tension 60 In standard LCDM dark energy only comes into play in the late universe its effect in the early universe is too small to have an effect In standard LCDM dark energy has a constant equation of state w 1 See also editAccelerating expansion of the universe Cosmological phenomenon Cosmology Scientific study of the origin evolution and eventual fate of the universe Dark matter Hypothetical form of matter that interacts with gravity but not with light or electromagnetic field List of scientists whose names are used in physical constants Tests of general relativity Scientific experimentsReferences edit IAU members vote to recommend renaming the Hubble law as the Hubble 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