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Ageing of Europe

The ageing of Europe, also known as the greying of Europe, is a demographic phenomenon in Europe characterised by a decrease in fertility, a decrease in mortality rate, and a higher life expectancy among European populations.[1] Low birth rates and higher life expectancy contribute to the transformation of Europe's population pyramid shape. The most significant change is the transition towards a much older population structure, resulting in a decrease in the proportion of the working age while the number of the retired population increases. The total number of the older population is projected to increase greatly within the coming decades, with rising proportions of the post-war baby-boom generations reaching retirement. This will cause a high burden on the working age population as they provide for the increasing number of the older population.[2][3]

Percentage of the population over 65 in Europe in 2020
Population pyramid of the European Union in 2023
Europe population pyramid from 1950 to 2023

Throughout history many states have worked to keep high birth rates in order to have moderate taxes, more economic activity and more troops for their military.[4]

Population ageing is observed in most European countries today.

Overall trends edit

Giuseppe Carone and Declan Costello of the International Monetary Fund projected in September 2006 that the ratio of retirees to workers in Europe will double to 0.54 by 2050 (from four workers per retiree to two workers per retiree).[1][5] William H. Frey, an analyst for the Brookings Institution think tank, predicts the median age in Europe will increase from 37.7 years old in 2003 to 52.3 years old by 2050 while the median age of Americans will rise to only 45.4 years old.[citation needed]

Máire Geoghegan-Quinn, the former European Commissioner for Research, Innovation and Science, stated in 2014 that by 2020 a quarter of the population of Europe will be 60 years or older. This shift in demographics will drastically change the economic, labor market, health care, and social security of Europe.[6]

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development estimates 39% of Europeans between the ages of 55 to 65 work.[7]

Austria's Social Affairs Minister said in 2006 that, by 2010, the 55- to 64-year-old age bracket in the European Union would be larger than the 15- to 24-year-old bracket. The Economic Policy Committee and the European Commission issued a report in 2006 estimating the working age population in the EU will decrease by 48 million, a 16% reduction, between 2010 and 2050, while the elderly population will increase by 58 million, a gain of 77%.[citation needed]

In 2002, the U.S. Census Bureau estimates the European Union will experience a 14% decrease in its workforce and a 7% decrease in its consumer populations by 2030.[8]

The feminisation of old age is reflected by an increasing number of females age 65 and older. The longer life span is prevalent amongst women across the world.[9] In Europe the life expectancy for women is 81 years old, while men's life expectancy is only 74 years old, which gives 7 years' difference.[10] Life expectancy at age 60 is four years longer for women in comparison to men. Projections show additional 24 years for females and 20 years for males in Europe.[10]

Causes edit

Population ageing in Europe is caused primarily by three factors: declining fertility rates, increased life expectancy, and migration.[10] The causes of population ageing vary among countries.

Fertility edit

 
Trends in total fertility 1950–2010

The high number of people aged 60 and older in Europe is the result of high fertility rates which occurred 1950–1960.[10] The period after the end of World War II was characterised by good social and economic status of the population in the child-bearing age and resulted in a "baby boom".[11]

Current low fertility levels also contribute to the ageing of Europe.[10] As the fertility levels drop, the age structure of the population changes, and the number of the younger groups decrease in relation to the older age groups.[10] Europe's fertility rates have been less than the 2.1 children per woman (standard) replacement level and are projected to remain below the replacement level in the future.[12]

Mortality edit

People are living longer with projections of average life expectancy reaching 84.6 years for men and 89.1 for women by 2060, an increase of 7.9 years of life for men and 6.6 years of life for women compared to 2010.[12] The longer life span results in the changing age structure in the population by increasing the numbers of people in the older age group.[10] The average life expectancy of the older population will depend on the progress in medicine to prevent the diseases which are the leading causes of death.[10] Among the top three causes of death are ischemic artery disease, stroke and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.[10]

Migration edit

People immigrating and emigrating from the country will cause fluctuations, in particular, in the size of the working age group of the population.[9] If there are high numbers of young immigrants coming to the country it will result in a decrease of the proportion of the ageing population.[10] In the following countries immigration is projected to slow the population ageing: Luxembourg, Switzerland, Norway, Germany, Sweden, Finland, Belgium, Denmark, Austria and United Kingdom.[10] Emigration would cause the opposite effect on population ageing by having people in the working age leaving the country, and accelerating the ageing of the population as a result.[10] Increase of the ageing population caused by emigration is projected to occur in Latvia.[10]

Effects edit

 
Proportion of population aged 65 and over (% of total population) in 2008 and 2018. Source: Eurostat.

Populations in Europe react in different ways to demographic changes, depending on what is happening in their countries. Both ageing, emigration and immigration can cause anxiety in populations of individual countries.[13] Demographic studies and resultant reports conducted by the European Commission[14] point to the declining birth rate of the population of the native European peoples, which would need to be reversed from its present level of about 1.4 in order to preclude a population decline of the native European peoples by nearly half in each generation, back to a replacement level of 2.1. Some have claimed that in order to compensate, it is necessary to allow migrants to settle in Europe in order to prevent labour shortages. It has been argued that such immigration leads to ethnic conflicts, such as the 2005 civil unrest in France.[15][16][17]

Long-term decreasing rates in fertility and increasing life expectancy could have damaging consequences for almost every European nation. These demographic trends provoked debate over the best policies that can reverse these trends and lessen their consequences. RAND Europe, an independent not-for-profit research institute, was able to collect these policies through research and analysis. There were three broad policy approaches that were generated from the debate. The first policy is to encourage childbearing among younger couples that involves marriage and cohabitation. The second policy states that there should be an increase in the immigration of working-age people. Thirdly, there should be an improvement of social policy in general, to mitigate negative consequences of these trends. The research intends to examine the relationship between demographic trends and European government policies and determine which policies can reduce the consequences of low fertility and population ageing.[18]

Countries edit

Belgium edit

 
Population pyramid of Belgium in 2022

The International Monetary Fund's (IMF) High Council of Finance's (HCF) Study Committee on Ageing (SCA) predicted in 2007 that Belgium's population will increase by 5% by 2050 due to immigration, a higher fertility rate, and longer life expectancy. However, the IMF's study indicates Belgium's elderly population will increase by over 25% to over 63% of the country's overall population.[citation needed]

The Belgian government spent 9.1% of its GDP on pensions and 7.1% on health care expenses in 2005. By 2050 total social spending is expected to increase by 5.8%, assuming there is no change in the age of retirement. Most of this higher social spending comes from pension and health care, rising by 3.9% to 13.0% of GDP and 3.7% to 10.8% of GDP, respectively.[citation needed]

The decline in the workforce will partly compensate by lowering unemployment which will in turn lower the cost of childcare.[19] The IMF also predicts that by 2050 the percentage of Belgian population over the age of 65 will increase from 16% to 25%.[20]

In 2017 24.6% of the population of Belgium was over 60 years old, and it is projected to increase to 32.4% by the year 2050.[10] The life expectancy at birth in 2010–2015 is projected to be 83 years for females and 78 years for males.[10]

Finland edit

 
Population pyramid of Finland in 2020

Finland has one of the oldest populations of Europe. The so-called baby boomer generation born between 1945 and 1949 has already retired, and the share of over-65-year-olds of the population will increase from 20 percent in late 2010s to 26 percent by 2030 and to 29 percent by 2060.[21] In comparison to its Nordic neighbours, a low share of Finnish people older than 61 years are still working. The government has aimed to increase their share in work life following the OECD recommendations.[22] The increasing share of old people is predicted to burden the Finnish social welfare and pension system heavily in the following decades, increasing pressure to raise taxes. The collapse in fertility rates from 1.81 to just 1.34 in Finland during 2010s has made the future forecasts even more severe, as the share of working aged population will decrease by hundreds of thousands by 2050s.[23] Also regional distribution of older people is uneven: the peripheric Finnish provinces will have a much higher share of elderly people than growing regions such as Uusimaa and Pirkanmaa.

According to 2019 estimate, the population of Finland will start decreasing by 2031, and in 2050 it will be some 100.000 lower than in 2019, given that migration will remain stable.[24]

France edit

 
Population pyramid of France in 2021

France overtook Ireland as the European Union member state with the highest birth rate in 2007.[25] Projected birth rates indicate that France will have the largest population in the EU by 2050, with 75 million citizens, overtaking Germany,[26] but only the second largest in Europe, with the UK having a larger estimated population. In 2011, France was the only European Union member with a fertility rate at replacement level, with an average rate of 2.08 children per woman while Ireland's fertility rate declined to 2.01 children per woman, slightly below replacement level.[27] The reason for an increase in children is due to the government family benefits that are provided to these families. They receive an allowance based on income and how many children they have in the household.[28]

The total fertility rate (TFR) fell to 1.99 children per woman in 2013 from 2.01 in 2012 and 2.03 in 2010. A rate of 2.1 children per woman is considered necessary to keep the population growing excluding migration.[29]

For the year 2017 the percentage of population aged 60 or older was 25.7%, and projected to increase to 32.2% by 2050.[10] The life expectancy at birth in 2010–2015 is projected to be 85 years for females and 79 years for males.[10]

Germany edit

With over 83 million inhabitants in September 2019,[30] Germany is the most populous country in the European Union. However, its fertility rate of 1.596 children per woman in 2020 is very low,[31] and the federal statistics office estimates the population will shrink to between 65 and 70 million by 2060 (65 million assuming a net migration of +100,000 per year; 70 million assuming a net migration of +200,000 per year).[32] With death rates continuously exceeding low-level birth rates, Germany is one of a few countries for which the demographic transition model would require a fifth stage in order to capture its demographic development.[33] In Germany, the population in some regions, especially the former Communist East Germany, is undergoing a current decline and depopulation. The Bauhaus Dessau Foundation came up with comprehensive plans to tear down numerous buildings and replace them with parks in various cities[16] and the government of Germany developed a plan to reduce at great expense the width of sewer pipes in various cities. The southern states, however, have net gain in population and Germany as the economic powerhouse of the EU is attracting immigrants overall.

In 2017 28.0% of the population of Germany was over 60 years old, and it is projected to increase to 37.6% by the year 2050.[10] The life expectancy at birth in 2010–2015 is projected to be 83 years for females and 78 years for males.[10]

Italy edit

 
Population pyramid of Italy over time

Under current fertility rates, Italy will need to raise its retirement age to 77 or admit 2.2 million immigrants annually to maintain its worker to retiree ratio.[34] About 25% of Italian women do not have children while another 25% only have one child.

The region of Liguria in northwestern Italy now has the highest ratio of elderly to youth in the world. Ten percent of Liguria's schools closed in the first decade of the 21st century. The city of Genoa, one of Italy's largest and the capital of Liguria, is declining faster than most European cities with a death rate of 13.7 deaths per 1,000 people, almost twice the birth rate, 7.7 births per 1,000 people, as of 2005.[citation needed]

The Italian government has tried to limit and reverse the trend by offering financial incentives to couples who have children, and by increasing immigration. While fertility has remained stagnant, immigration has minimised the drop in the workforce.[35]

In 2017 29.4% of the population of Italy was over 60 years old, and it is projected to increase to 40.3% by the year 2050.[10] The life expectancy at birth in 2010–2015 is projected to be 85 years for females and 80 years for males.[10]

Poland edit

 
Population pyramid of Poland in 2021

The economic effects of demographic shifts will be less concerning in Poland than in its neighboring countries even though it is expected to lose 15 percent of its population by mid-century.[12] It is projected that by 2050 population of Poland will decrease to 32 million due to the emigration and low birth rates. The fertility rates have dropped from 3.7 children per woman in 1950 to 1.32 children per woman in 2014. This drastic drop would affect the economy of Poland.[36]

In an effort to reverse declining birth rates, the Polish government in 2016 introduced a policy of paying 500 zlotys (about US$128) per month to families for every child below the age of 18 after the first child.[37] The policy has since then been extended to the first child as well.

Portugal edit

 
Population pyramid of Portugal in 2019

Portugal's population census of 1994 found that 13.1% of the population was above the age of 65. Average life expectancy for Portuguese increased by eight years between the 1980s and the first decade of the 21st century.[38] In 2017 the population of the people aged 60 and more was 27.9%, with an estimate to increase in 2050 to 41.7%.[10] The life expectancy at birth in 2010–2015 is projected to be 83 years for females and 77 years for males.[10]

In the 1960s life expectancy for men ranked comparatively low in relation to other Western European nations, with 61.2 years for men and 67.5 years for women. As of 2006, the average for both sexes was at 77.7 years. In 1999 demographers predicted the percentage of elderly Portuguese would increase to 16.2% and 17.6% in 2010.[39]

Recent studies in the newspaper Público showed that the population may shrink to 7.5 million (−29% of the current population, −0.7% of average populational growth per year) in 2050, if the fertility rate continues at 1.45 children per woman; taking into account the almost stationary emigration due to the economic crisis.[citation needed] In 2011, Portugal's fertility rate reached 1.51 children per woman, stemming the decline in the nation's fertility rate, although it is still below replacement level.[31]

Spain edit

 
Population pyramid of Spain in 2021

In 1970, Spain's TFR of 2.9 children per woman ranked second in Western Europe after Ireland’s's rate of 3.9. By 1993 Spanish fertility declined to 1.26 children per woman, the second-lowest after Italy.[citation needed]

In recent years, Spain's fertility rate has been more constant ranging from 1.23 (in 2000 and 2020) to 1.45 (in 2009).[31]

In 1999, Rocío Fernández-Ballesteros, Juan Díez-Nicolás, and Antonio Ruiz-Torres of Autónoma University in Madrid published a study on Spain's demography, predicting life expectancy of 77.7 for males and 83.8 for females by 2020.[40] Arup Banerji and economist Mukesh Chawla of the World Bank predicted in July 2007 that half of Spain's population will be older than 55 by 2050, giving Spain the highest median age of any nation in the world.[citation needed]

In 2017 25.3% of the population of Spain was over 60 years old, and it is projected to increase to 41.9% by the year 2050.[10] The life expectancy at birth in 2010–2015 is projected to be 85 years for females and 79 years for males.[10]

United Kingdom edit

 
Population pyramid of the United Kingdom in 2020

The UK had a fertility rate of 1.68 in 2018 according to the Office for National Statistics.[41] In 2019, England had a TFR of 1.66, and Wales had a TFR of just 1.54.[42] Scotland's TFR was 1.37 in 2019.[43] In 2017, N.Ireland had a TFR of 1.87.[42] By 2050, it is projected that one in four people in the UK will be aged 65 years and over – an increase from approximately one in five in 2018.[44] According to the ONS' principal projection for the UK from 2019 data, the population is due to rise to over 73.6 million by 2050.[45]

In mid-2019, there were 12.4 million people aged 65 years and over (18.5%) and 2.5% were aged 85 years and over.[46] The proportion aged over 65 is forecast to rise to a quarter by 2050.[47][10] Life expectancy at birth in the UK in 2020, using the 2017 to 2019 tables to make projections, was 79.4 years for males and 83.1 years for females.[48]

Other regions edit

Russia edit

 
Population pyramid of Russia in 2023

The current[when?] Russian total fertility rate is 1.7 children per woman.[49] While this represents an increase over previous rates, it remains sub-replacement fertility, below the replacement rate of 2.10–2.14.

The population of the Russian Federation declined from its peak of 148,689,000 in 1991, to about 143 million people in 2013, a 4% decline. The World Bank predicted in 2005 that the population was set to decrease to 111 million by 2050, a 22% decline, if trends did not improve.[50] The United Nations similarly warned that the population could decline by one third by mid-century.[51]

In 2006 a national programme was developed with a goal to reverse the decline by 2026. A study published shortly after in 2007 showed that the rate of population decrease had slowed: According to the study, deaths exceeded births by 1.3 times, down from 1.5 times in the previous year, thus, if the net decrease in January–August 2006 was 408,200 people, in the same period during 2007 it was 196,600. The decline continued to slow in 2008 with only half the population loss compared to 2007. The reversal continued at the same pace in 2009 as death rates continued to fall, birth rates continued to rise and net migration stayed steady at about 250,000; in 2009 Russia saw population growth for the first time in 15 years.[52][53]

Year Population growth[54][55]
2000 −586,000
2001 −655,000
2002 −685,000
2003 −796,000
2004 −694,000
2005 −720,000
2006 −554,000
2007 −212,100
2008 −121,400
2009 +23,300
 
The trend in the number of births and deaths 1992–2010

The improving economy has had a positive impact on the country's low birth-rate, as it rose from its lowest point of 8.27 births per 1000 people in 1999 to 11.28 per 1,000 in 2007. Russian Ministry of Economic Development hopes that by 2020 the population will stabilise at 138–139 million, and that by 2025 it will begin to increase again to its present-day status of 142–145, also raising the life expectancy to 75 years.[56]

The two leading causes of death in Russia are heart disease and stroke, accounting for about 52% of all deaths.[57] While cardiovascular disease-related deaths decreased in Japan, North America, and Western Europe between 1965 and 2001, in Russia CVD deaths increased by 25% for women and 65% for men.

The percentage of infertile, married couples rose to 13% in the first decade of the 21st century, partially due to poorly performed abortions. According to expert Murray Feshbach 10–20% of women who have abortions in Russia are made infertile, though according to the 2002 census, only about 6–7% of women have not had children by the end of their reproductive years.[58][59]

Mothers who give birth on 12 June, Russia's national day, are rewarded with money and expensive consumer items. In the first round of the competition 311 women participated and 46 babies were born on the following 12 June. Over 500 women participated in the second round in 2006 and 78 gave birth. The province's birth rate rose 4.5% between 2006 and 2007.[60]

Large-scale immigration is suggested as a solution to declining workforces in western nations, but according to the BBC, would be unacceptable to most Russians. Organisations like the World Health Organization and the UN have called on the Russian government to take the problem more seriously, stressing that a number of simple measures such as raising the price of alcohol or forcing people to wear seat belts might make a lasting difference.[51]

Then-President Vladimir Putin said in a state of the nation address that "no sort of immigration will solve Russia's demographic problem". Yevgeny Krasinyev, head of migration studies at the state-run Institute of Social and Economic Population Studies in Moscow, said Russia should only accept immigrants from the Commonwealth of Independent States, a view echoed by Alexander Belyakov, the head of the Duma's Resources Committee.

Migration in Russia grew by 50.2% in 2007, and an additional 2.7% in 2008, helping stem the population decline. Migrants to Russia primarily come from CIS states and are Russians or Russian speakers.[61] Thousands of migrant workers from Ukraine, Moldova, and the rest of the CIS have also entered Russia illegally, working but avoiding taxes.[62] There are an estimated 10 million illegal immigrants from the ex-Soviet states in Russia.[63]

Central Europe and the former Soviet Union edit

The World Bank issued a report on 20 June 2007, "From Red To Grey: 'The Third Transition' of Aging Populations in central Europe and the Former Soviet Union", predicting that between 2007 and 2027 the populations of Georgia and Ukraine will decrease by 17% and 24%, respectively.[64] The World Bank estimates the population of 65 or older citizens in Poland and Slovenia will increase from 13% to 21% and 16% to 24%, respectively between 2005 and 2025.[50]

See also edit

General:

Demographic economics:

References edit

Notes
  1. ^ a b Giuseppe Carone and Declan Costello (2006). "Can Europe Afford to Grow Old?". International Monetary Fund Finance and Development magazine. Retrieved 15 December 2007.
  2. ^ "Population structure and ageing - Statistics Explained". Ec.europa.eu. Retrieved 28 December 2017.
  3. ^ Iburg, KM; Charalampous, P; Allebeck, P (24 November 2022). "Burden of disease among older adults in Europe—trends in mortality and disability, 1990–2019". European Journal of Public Health. 33 (1): 121–126. doi:10.1093/eurpub/ckac160. PMC 9897992. PMID 36421036.
  4. ^ "Europe's Shrinking, Aging Population". Stratfor.com. 13 June 2012. Retrieved 29 March 2017.
  5. ^ . Goldsea Asian American Daily. Archived from the original on 27 September 2007. Retrieved 15 December 2007.
  6. ^ European Commission (2014). "Population Aging in Europe: Facts, Implications, and Policies.". Retrieved 1 May 2017.
  7. ^ Richard Bernstein (29 June 2003). . The New York Times. Archived from the original on 8 March 2008. Retrieved 15 December 2007.
  8. ^ Paul S. Hewitt (2002). . International Politics and Society. Archived from the original on 27 December 2007. Retrieved 15 December 2007.
  9. ^ a b Weeks, John Robert (2012). Population : an introduction to concepts and issues (11th ed.). Belmont, CA: Wadsworth Cengage learning. ISBN 9781111185978. OCLC 697596943.
  10. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z "World Population Ageing 2017". United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017). Retrieved 26 March 2018.
  11. ^ Artzrouni, M; Easterlin, R (1982). "Birth History, Age Structure, and Post World War II Fertility in Ten Developed Countries: An Exploratory Empirical Analysis". Genus. 38 (3–4): 81–99. PMID 12312903.
  12. ^ a b c "Europe's Shrinking, Aging Population". Stratfor.com. Retrieved 28 December 2017.
  13. ^ "Europeans Credit EU with Promoting Peace and Prosperity, but Say Brussels is Out of Touch with Its Citizens". 19 March 2019.
  14. ^ Eurostat, Population Projections, European Commission, 2012
  15. ^ Steyn, Mark (2006) America Alone: The End of the World As We Know It Washington D.C., Regnery Publishing. On pages 10 and 54, birth rates among people of European ancestry populations in various nations are indicated that show all populations of European ancestry are reproducing at an average birth rate of only about 1.4, almost half the replacement rate of 2.1, and thus their population has a negative (declining) growth rate that will decline by almost half every generation.
  16. ^ a b "Childless Europe: What Happens to a Continent When it Stops Making Babies?" New York Times Magazine Sunday, 29 June 2008
  17. ^ Himmelfarb, Milton, and Victor Baras (eds). 1978. Zero Population Growth-For Whom?: differential fertility and minority group survival. Westport, CT: Praeger; Leuprecht, C. 2011. "'Deter or Engage?:Demographic Determinants of Bargains in Ethno-Nationalist Conflicts'." in Political Demography: identity, conflict and institutions ed. J. A. Goldstone, E. Kaufmann and M. Toft. Boulder, CO: Paradigm Press 26 February 2017 at the Wayback Machine
  18. ^ Grant, Jonathan (1 January 2004). "Low Fertility and Population Ageing": 172. {{cite journal}}: Cite journal requires |journal= (help)
  19. ^ Rodolfo Luzio and Jianping Zhou (2007). "March 2007, IMF Country Report No. 07/88, Belgium: Selected Issues" (PDF). International Monetary Fund. Retrieved 15 December 2007.
  20. ^ Rudolf Luzio (2007). "Belgium: Time to Shift to Higher Gear". International Monetary Fund. Retrieved 15 December 2007.
  21. ^ THL.fi (2018). "Ageing Policy". THL.fi. Retrieved 29 October 2020.
  22. ^ OECD (2020). "OECD recommends Finland to do more to help older people stay in work". OECD. Retrieved 29 October 2020.
  23. ^ Shleutker, Elina (2013). "Väestön ikääntyminen ja hyvinvointivaltio Mitä vaihtoehtoja meillä on?" (PDF). Julkari.fi. Retrieved 29 October 2020.
  24. ^ Statistics Finland (2019). "The decline in the birth rate is reflected in the population development of areas". Statistics Finland. Retrieved 29 October 2020.
  25. ^ Caroline Wyatt (16 January 2007). "France claims EU fertility crown". BBC News. Retrieved 15 December 2007.
  26. ^ "France has a baby boom". International Herald Tribune. 2005. Retrieved 15 December 2007.
  27. ^ . Washington DC: Central Intelligence Agency. 2009. Archived from the original on 28 October 2009. Retrieved 7 December 2009.
  28. ^ "The French Social Security System". Cleiss.fr. Archived from the original on 27 June 2017. Retrieved 9 May 2017.
  29. ^ 14 Jan 2014 (Reuters) "French birth rate falls below two children per woman"
  30. ^ "Bevölkerung nach Nationalität und Geschlecht".
  31. ^ a b c "Germany Fertility Rate 1950-2020". Washington DC: Central Intelligence Agency. 2009. from the original on 28 October 2009. Retrieved 7 December 2009.
  32. ^ Destatis. "Im Jahr 2060 wird jeder Siebente 80 Jahre oder älter sein" (in German). from the original on 7 January 2010. Retrieved 31 January 2010.
  33. ^ "Demographic Transition Model". Barcelona Field Studies Centre. 27 September 2009. from the original on 27 May 2010. Retrieved 23 May 2010.
  34. ^ Unknown (2000). . The Times of India. Archived from the original on 1 December 2007. Retrieved 15 December 2007.
  35. ^ "Empty playgrounds in an aging Italy". International Herald Tribune. 2006. from the original on 30 October 2007. Retrieved 15 December 2007.
  36. ^ Leszko, Magdalena; Zając-Lamparska, Ludmila; Trempala, Janusz (1 October 2015). "Aging in Poland". The Gerontologist. 55 (5): 707–715. doi:10.1093/geront/gnu171. ISSN 0016-9013. PMID 26315315.
  37. ^ "Poland's Taking a Stand Against Europe's Demographic Decline". Bloomberg.com. 9 November 2016. Retrieved 5 May 2017.
  38. ^ "Esperança de vida à nascença por sexo". Pordata. Retrieved 23 February 2011.
  39. ^ Schroots, J. J. F.; Rocío Fernández Ballesteros; Georg Rudinger (1999). Aging in Europe. pp. 101–102.
  40. ^ Schroots, J. J. F.; Rocío Fernández Ballesteros; Georg Rudinger (1999). Aging in Europe. pp. 107–108.
  41. ^ "National population projections, fertility assumptions: 2018-based - Office for National Statistics". www.ons.gov.uk. Retrieved 8 November 2020.
  42. ^ a b "Births in England and Wales - Office for National Statistics". www.ons.gov.uk. Retrieved 8 November 2020.
  43. ^ "Vital Events Reference Tables 2019" (PDF). National Records of Scotland. 23 June 2020. Retrieved 8 November 2020.
  44. ^ "Overview of the UK population - Office for National Statistics". www.ons.gov.uk. Retrieved 8 November 2020.
  45. ^ "National population projections - Office for National Statistics". www.ons.gov.uk. Retrieved 8 November 2020.
  46. ^ "Population estimates for the UK, England and Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland - Office for National Statistics". www.ons.gov.uk. Retrieved 8 November 2020.
  47. ^ "Ratio of people aged 15-64 to people aged over 65 years, 2015 and 2050". doi:10.1787/888933867607. Retrieved 8 November 2020. {{cite journal}}: Cite journal requires |journal= (help)
  48. ^ "National life tables – life expectancy in the UK - Office for National Statistics". www.ons.gov.uk. Retrieved 8 November 2020.
  49. ^ Russian Birth Rate above Regional Average 18 February 2013 at the Wayback Machine, Euromonitor International, retrieved on 26 March 2013.
  50. ^ a b "The Demographic Transition in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union" (PDF). World Bank. Retrieved 22 December 2007.
  51. ^ a b Steven Eke (23 June 2005). "Russia's population falling fast". BBC News. Retrieved 22 December 2007.
  52. ^ Russia sees first population increase in 15 years BBC Retrieved on 18 February 2009
  53. ^ 2009 demographic figures Rosstat Retrieved on 18 February 2010
  54. ^ Historic population growth of Russia 14 May 2011 at the Wayback Machine Retrieved on 26 May 2009
  55. ^ Population of Russia 1989–2008 Retrieved on 26 May 2009
  56. ^ Newsru, Население России за пять лет уменьшилось на 3,2 миллиона до 142 миллионов человек, 19.Oct.2007 Retrieved same date
  57. ^ WHO
  58. ^ Nicholas Eberstadt (2004). . The Washington Post. Archived from the original on 25 October 2008. Retrieved 22 December 2007.
  59. ^ World Bank report on Russia's demography World Bank Retrieved on 3 May 2008
  60. ^ Masha Stromova (12 September 2007). "Have Sex, Make A Baby, Win A Car?". CBS News. from the original on 30 December 2007. Retrieved 22 December 2007.
  61. ^ Демография 25 February 2008 at the Wayback Machine
  62. ^ Fred Weir (2002). "Russia's population decline spells trouble". The Christian Science Monitor. Retrieved 22 December 2007.
  63. ^ "Russia cracking down on illegal migrants". International Herald Tribune. 15 January 2007.
  64. ^ "East: 'If Countries Don't Act Now, It's Going To Be Too Late'". RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty. 2007. Retrieved 22 December 2007.

Further reading edit

  • Kunisch, Sven; Boehm, Stephan A.; Boppel, Michael (eds): From Grey to Silver: Managing the Demographic Change Successfully, Springer-Verlag, Berlin Heidelberg 2011, ISBN 978-3-642-15593-2
  • Sanchez-Gonzalez, Diego; Rodriguez-Rodriguez, Vicente (eds): Environmental Gerontology in Europe and Latin America. Policies and perspectives on environment and aging. Nueva York: Springer Publishing Company. ISBN 978-3-319-21418-4.
  • Scholefield, Anthony. The Death of Europe: How Demographic Decline Will Destroy the European Union. 2000.

External links edit

  • Replacement Migration: Is it a solution for Russia?
  • Some EU nations offer benefits for births
  • European Countries Try to Stimulate Higher Birth Rates[permanent dead link]
  • Norway's welfare model 'helps birth rate'
  • Dossier "The Aging Society" – Goethe-Institut

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This article needs to be updated Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information August 2022 The ageing of Europe also known as the greying of Europe is a demographic phenomenon in Europe characterised by a decrease in fertility a decrease in mortality rate and a higher life expectancy among European populations 1 Low birth rates and higher life expectancy contribute to the transformation of Europe s population pyramid shape The most significant change is the transition towards a much older population structure resulting in a decrease in the proportion of the working age while the number of the retired population increases The total number of the older population is projected to increase greatly within the coming decades with rising proportions of the post war baby boom generations reaching retirement This will cause a high burden on the working age population as they provide for the increasing number of the older population 2 3 Percentage of the population over 65 in Europe in 2020Population pyramid of the European Union in 2023Europe population pyramid from 1950 to 2023Throughout history many states have worked to keep high birth rates in order to have moderate taxes more economic activity and more troops for their military 4 Population ageing is observed in most European countries today Contents 1 Overall trends 2 Causes 2 1 Fertility 2 2 Mortality 2 3 Migration 3 Effects 4 Countries 4 1 Belgium 4 2 Finland 4 3 France 4 4 Germany 4 5 Italy 4 6 Poland 4 7 Portugal 4 8 Spain 4 9 United Kingdom 5 Other regions 5 1 Russia 5 2 Central Europe and the former Soviet Union 6 See also 7 References 8 Further reading 9 External linksOverall trends editMain article Historical population of the world Giuseppe Carone and Declan Costello of the International Monetary Fund projected in September 2006 that the ratio of retirees to workers in Europe will double to 0 54 by 2050 from four workers per retiree to two workers per retiree 1 5 William H Frey an analyst for the Brookings Institution think tank predicts the median age in Europe will increase from 37 7 years old in 2003 to 52 3 years old by 2050 while the median age of Americans will rise to only 45 4 years old citation needed Maire Geoghegan Quinn the former European Commissioner for Research Innovation and Science stated in 2014 that by 2020 a quarter of the population of Europe will be 60 years or older This shift in demographics will drastically change the economic labor market health care and social security of Europe 6 The Organisation for Economic Co operation and Development estimates 39 of Europeans between the ages of 55 to 65 work 7 Austria s Social Affairs Minister said in 2006 that by 2010 the 55 to 64 year old age bracket in the European Union would be larger than the 15 to 24 year old bracket The Economic Policy Committee and the European Commission issued a report in 2006 estimating the working age population in the EU will decrease by 48 million a 16 reduction between 2010 and 2050 while the elderly population will increase by 58 million a gain of 77 citation needed In 2002 the U S Census Bureau estimates the European Union will experience a 14 decrease in its workforce and a 7 decrease in its consumer populations by 2030 8 The feminisation of old age is reflected by an increasing number of females age 65 and older The longer life span is prevalent amongst women across the world 9 In Europe the life expectancy for women is 81 years old while men s life expectancy is only 74 years old which gives 7 years difference 10 Life expectancy at age 60 is four years longer for women in comparison to men Projections show additional 24 years for females and 20 years for males in Europe 10 Causes editMain article Population ageing Population ageing in Europe is caused primarily by three factors declining fertility rates increased life expectancy and migration 10 The causes of population ageing vary among countries Fertility edit nbsp Trends in total fertility 1950 2010The high number of people aged 60 and older in Europe is the result of high fertility rates which occurred 1950 1960 10 The period after the end of World War II was characterised by good social and economic status of the population in the child bearing age and resulted in a baby boom 11 Current low fertility levels also contribute to the ageing of Europe 10 As the fertility levels drop the age structure of the population changes and the number of the younger groups decrease in relation to the older age groups 10 Europe s fertility rates have been less than the 2 1 children per woman standard replacement level and are projected to remain below the replacement level in the future 12 Mortality edit People are living longer with projections of average life expectancy reaching 84 6 years for men and 89 1 for women by 2060 an increase of 7 9 years of life for men and 6 6 years of life for women compared to 2010 12 The longer life span results in the changing age structure in the population by increasing the numbers of people in the older age group 10 The average life expectancy of the older population will depend on the progress in medicine to prevent the diseases which are the leading causes of death 10 Among the top three causes of death are ischemic artery disease stroke and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease 10 Migration edit People immigrating and emigrating from the country will cause fluctuations in particular in the size of the working age group of the population 9 If there are high numbers of young immigrants coming to the country it will result in a decrease of the proportion of the ageing population 10 In the following countries immigration is projected to slow the population ageing Luxembourg Switzerland Norway Germany Sweden Finland Belgium Denmark Austria and United Kingdom 10 Emigration would cause the opposite effect on population ageing by having people in the working age leaving the country and accelerating the ageing of the population as a result 10 Increase of the ageing population caused by emigration is projected to occur in Latvia 10 Effects edit nbsp Proportion of population aged 65 and over of total population in 2008 and 2018 Source Eurostat Populations in Europe react in different ways to demographic changes depending on what is happening in their countries Both ageing emigration and immigration can cause anxiety in populations of individual countries 13 Demographic studies and resultant reports conducted by the European Commission 14 point to the declining birth rate of the population of the native European peoples which would need to be reversed from its present level of about 1 4 in order to preclude a population decline of the native European peoples by nearly half in each generation back to a replacement level of 2 1 Some have claimed that in order to compensate it is necessary to allow migrants to settle in Europe in order to prevent labour shortages It has been argued that such immigration leads to ethnic conflicts such as the 2005 civil unrest in France 15 16 17 Long term decreasing rates in fertility and increasing life expectancy could have damaging consequences for almost every European nation These demographic trends provoked debate over the best policies that can reverse these trends and lessen their consequences RAND Europe an independent not for profit research institute was able to collect these policies through research and analysis There were three broad policy approaches that were generated from the debate The first policy is to encourage childbearing among younger couples that involves marriage and cohabitation The second policy states that there should be an increase in the immigration of working age people Thirdly there should be an improvement of social policy in general to mitigate negative consequences of these trends The research intends to examine the relationship between demographic trends and European government policies and determine which policies can reduce the consequences of low fertility and population ageing 18 Countries editBelgium edit Main article Demographics of Belgium nbsp Population pyramid of Belgium in 2022The International Monetary Fund s IMF High Council of Finance s HCF Study Committee on Ageing SCA predicted in 2007 that Belgium s population will increase by 5 by 2050 due to immigration a higher fertility rate and longer life expectancy However the IMF s study indicates Belgium s elderly population will increase by over 25 to over 63 of the country s overall population citation needed The Belgian government spent 9 1 of its GDP on pensions and 7 1 on health care expenses in 2005 By 2050 total social spending is expected to increase by 5 8 assuming there is no change in the age of retirement Most of this higher social spending comes from pension and health care rising by 3 9 to 13 0 of GDP and 3 7 to 10 8 of GDP respectively citation needed The decline in the workforce will partly compensate by lowering unemployment which will in turn lower the cost of childcare 19 The IMF also predicts that by 2050 the percentage of Belgian population over the age of 65 will increase from 16 to 25 20 In 2017 24 6 of the population of Belgium was over 60 years old and it is projected to increase to 32 4 by the year 2050 10 The life expectancy at birth in 2010 2015 is projected to be 83 years for females and 78 years for males 10 Finland edit Main article Demographics of Finland nbsp Population pyramid of Finland in 2020Finland has one of the oldest populations of Europe The so called baby boomer generation born between 1945 and 1949 has already retired and the share of over 65 year olds of the population will increase from 20 percent in late 2010s to 26 percent by 2030 and to 29 percent by 2060 21 In comparison to its Nordic neighbours a low share of Finnish people older than 61 years are still working The government has aimed to increase their share in work life following the OECD recommendations 22 The increasing share of old people is predicted to burden the Finnish social welfare and pension system heavily in the following decades increasing pressure to raise taxes The collapse in fertility rates from 1 81 to just 1 34 in Finland during 2010s has made the future forecasts even more severe as the share of working aged population will decrease by hundreds of thousands by 2050s 23 Also regional distribution of older people is uneven the peripheric Finnish provinces will have a much higher share of elderly people than growing regions such as Uusimaa and Pirkanmaa According to 2019 estimate the population of Finland will start decreasing by 2031 and in 2050 it will be some 100 000 lower than in 2019 given that migration will remain stable 24 France edit Main article Demographics of France nbsp Population pyramid of France in 2021France overtook Ireland as the European Union member state with the highest birth rate in 2007 25 Projected birth rates indicate that France will have the largest population in the EU by 2050 with 75 million citizens overtaking Germany 26 but only the second largest in Europe with the UK having a larger estimated population In 2011 France was the only European Union member with a fertility rate at replacement level with an average rate of 2 08 children per woman while Ireland s fertility rate declined to 2 01 children per woman slightly below replacement level 27 The reason for an increase in children is due to the government family benefits that are provided to these families They receive an allowance based on income and how many children they have in the household 28 The total fertility rate TFR fell to 1 99 children per woman in 2013 from 2 01 in 2012 and 2 03 in 2010 A rate of 2 1 children per woman is considered necessary to keep the population growing excluding migration 29 For the year 2017 the percentage of population aged 60 or older was 25 7 and projected to increase to 32 2 by 2050 10 The life expectancy at birth in 2010 2015 is projected to be 85 years for females and 79 years for males 10 Germany edit Main articles Germans Demographics of Germany and Social issues in Germany With over 83 million inhabitants in September 2019 30 Germany is the most populous country in the European Union However its fertility rate of 1 596 children per woman in 2020 is very low 31 and the federal statistics office estimates the population will shrink to between 65 and 70 million by 2060 65 million assuming a net migration of 100 000 per year 70 million assuming a net migration of 200 000 per year 32 With death rates continuously exceeding low level birth rates Germany is one of a few countries for which the demographic transition model would require a fifth stage in order to capture its demographic development 33 In Germany the population in some regions especially the former Communist East Germany is undergoing a current decline and depopulation The Bauhaus Dessau Foundation came up with comprehensive plans to tear down numerous buildings and replace them with parks in various cities 16 and the government of Germany developed a plan to reduce at great expense the width of sewer pipes in various cities The southern states however have net gain in population and Germany as the economic powerhouse of the EU is attracting immigrants overall In 2017 28 0 of the population of Germany was over 60 years old and it is projected to increase to 37 6 by the year 2050 10 The life expectancy at birth in 2010 2015 is projected to be 83 years for females and 78 years for males 10 nbsp Population of German territories 1800 2000 and immigrant population 1975 2000 nbsp Population pyramid of Germany at the end of 2020Italy edit Main article Demographics of Italy nbsp Population pyramid of Italy over timeUnder current fertility rates Italy will need to raise its retirement age to 77 or admit 2 2 million immigrants annually to maintain its worker to retiree ratio 34 About 25 of Italian women do not have children while another 25 only have one child The region of Liguria in northwestern Italy now has the highest ratio of elderly to youth in the world Ten percent of Liguria s schools closed in the first decade of the 21st century The city of Genoa one of Italy s largest and the capital of Liguria is declining faster than most European cities with a death rate of 13 7 deaths per 1 000 people almost twice the birth rate 7 7 births per 1 000 people as of 2005 update citation needed The Italian government has tried to limit and reverse the trend by offering financial incentives to couples who have children and by increasing immigration While fertility has remained stagnant immigration has minimised the drop in the workforce 35 In 2017 29 4 of the population of Italy was over 60 years old and it is projected to increase to 40 3 by the year 2050 10 The life expectancy at birth in 2010 2015 is projected to be 85 years for females and 80 years for males 10 Poland edit Main article Demographics of Poland nbsp Population pyramid of Poland in 2021The economic effects of demographic shifts will be less concerning in Poland than in its neighboring countries even though it is expected to lose 15 percent of its population by mid century 12 It is projected that by 2050 population of Poland will decrease to 32 million due to the emigration and low birth rates The fertility rates have dropped from 3 7 children per woman in 1950 to 1 32 children per woman in 2014 This drastic drop would affect the economy of Poland 36 In an effort to reverse declining birth rates the Polish government in 2016 introduced a policy of paying 500 zlotys about US 128 per month to families for every child below the age of 18 after the first child 37 The policy has since then been extended to the first child as well Portugal edit Main article Demographics of Portugal nbsp Population pyramid of Portugal in 2019Portugal s population census of 1994 found that 13 1 of the population was above the age of 65 Average life expectancy for Portuguese increased by eight years between the 1980s and the first decade of the 21st century 38 In 2017 the population of the people aged 60 and more was 27 9 with an estimate to increase in 2050 to 41 7 10 The life expectancy at birth in 2010 2015 is projected to be 83 years for females and 77 years for males 10 In the 1960s life expectancy for men ranked comparatively low in relation to other Western European nations with 61 2 years for men and 67 5 years for women As of 2006 the average for both sexes was at 77 7 years In 1999 demographers predicted the percentage of elderly Portuguese would increase to 16 2 and 17 6 in 2010 39 Recent studies in the newspaper Publico showed that the population may shrink to 7 5 million 29 of the current population 0 7 of average populational growth per year in 2050 if the fertility rate continues at 1 45 children per woman taking into account the almost stationary emigration due to the economic crisis citation needed In 2011 Portugal s fertility rate reached 1 51 children per woman stemming the decline in the nation s fertility rate although it is still below replacement level 31 Spain edit Main article Demographics of Spain nbsp Population pyramid of Spain in 2021In 1970 Spain s TFR of 2 9 children per woman ranked second in Western Europe after Ireland s s rate of 3 9 By 1993 Spanish fertility declined to 1 26 children per woman the second lowest after Italy citation needed In recent years Spain s fertility rate has been more constant ranging from 1 23 in 2000 and 2020 to 1 45 in 2009 31 In 1999 Rocio Fernandez Ballesteros Juan Diez Nicolas and Antonio Ruiz Torres of Autonoma University in Madrid published a study on Spain s demography predicting life expectancy of 77 7 for males and 83 8 for females by 2020 40 Arup Banerji and economist Mukesh Chawla of the World Bank predicted in July 2007 that half of Spain s population will be older than 55 by 2050 giving Spain the highest median age of any nation in the world citation needed In 2017 25 3 of the population of Spain was over 60 years old and it is projected to increase to 41 9 by the year 2050 10 The life expectancy at birth in 2010 2015 is projected to be 85 years for females and 79 years for males 10 United Kingdom edit Main article Ageing of the United Kingdom Main article Demography of the United Kingdom nbsp Population pyramid of the United Kingdom in 2020The UK had a fertility rate of 1 68 in 2018 according to the Office for National Statistics 41 In 2019 England had a TFR of 1 66 and Wales had a TFR of just 1 54 42 Scotland s TFR was 1 37 in 2019 43 In 2017 N Ireland had a TFR of 1 87 42 By 2050 it is projected that one in four people in the UK will be aged 65 years and over an increase from approximately one in five in 2018 44 According to the ONS principal projection for the UK from 2019 data the population is due to rise to over 73 6 million by 2050 45 In mid 2019 there were 12 4 million people aged 65 years and over 18 5 and 2 5 were aged 85 years and over 46 The proportion aged over 65 is forecast to rise to a quarter by 2050 47 10 Life expectancy at birth in the UK in 2020 using the 2017 to 2019 tables to make projections was 79 4 years for males and 83 1 years for females 48 Other regions editRussia edit This article needs to be updated Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information March 2022 Main articles Demographics of Russia and Russian Cross nbsp Population pyramid of Russia in 2023The current when Russian total fertility rate is 1 7 children per woman 49 While this represents an increase over previous rates it remains sub replacement fertility below the replacement rate of 2 10 2 14 The population of the Russian Federation declined from its peak of 148 689 000 in 1991 to about 143 million people in 2013 a 4 decline The World Bank predicted in 2005 that the population was set to decrease to 111 million by 2050 a 22 decline if trends did not improve 50 The United Nations similarly warned that the population could decline by one third by mid century 51 In 2006 a national programme was developed with a goal to reverse the decline by 2026 A study published shortly after in 2007 showed that the rate of population decrease had slowed According to the study deaths exceeded births by 1 3 times down from 1 5 times in the previous year thus if the net decrease in January August 2006 was 408 200 people in the same period during 2007 it was 196 600 The decline continued to slow in 2008 with only half the population loss compared to 2007 The reversal continued at the same pace in 2009 as death rates continued to fall birth rates continued to rise and net migration stayed steady at about 250 000 in 2009 Russia saw population growth for the first time in 15 years 52 53 Year Population growth 54 55 2000 586 0002001 655 0002002 685 0002003 796 0002004 694 0002005 720 0002006 554 0002007 212 1002008 121 4002009 23 300 nbsp The trend in the number of births and deaths 1992 2010The improving economy has had a positive impact on the country s low birth rate as it rose from its lowest point of 8 27 births per 1000 people in 1999 to 11 28 per 1 000 in 2007 Russian Ministry of Economic Development hopes that by 2020 the population will stabilise at 138 139 million and that by 2025 it will begin to increase again to its present day status of 142 145 also raising the life expectancy to 75 years 56 The two leading causes of death in Russia are heart disease and stroke accounting for about 52 of all deaths 57 While cardiovascular disease related deaths decreased in Japan North America and Western Europe between 1965 and 2001 in Russia CVD deaths increased by 25 for women and 65 for men The percentage of infertile married couples rose to 13 in the first decade of the 21st century partially due to poorly performed abortions According to expert Murray Feshbach 10 20 of women who have abortions in Russia are made infertile though according to the 2002 census only about 6 7 of women have not had children by the end of their reproductive years 58 59 Mothers who give birth on 12 June Russia s national day are rewarded with money and expensive consumer items In the first round of the competition 311 women participated and 46 babies were born on the following 12 June Over 500 women participated in the second round in 2006 and 78 gave birth The province s birth rate rose 4 5 between 2006 and 2007 60 Large scale immigration is suggested as a solution to declining workforces in western nations but according to the BBC would be unacceptable to most Russians Organisations like the World Health Organization and the UN have called on the Russian government to take the problem more seriously stressing that a number of simple measures such as raising the price of alcohol or forcing people to wear seat belts might make a lasting difference 51 Then President Vladimir Putin said in a state of the nation address that no sort of immigration will solve Russia s demographic problem Yevgeny Krasinyev head of migration studies at the state run Institute of Social and Economic Population Studies in Moscow said Russia should only accept immigrants from the Commonwealth of Independent States a view echoed by Alexander Belyakov the head of the Duma s Resources Committee Migration in Russia grew by 50 2 in 2007 and an additional 2 7 in 2008 helping stem the population decline Migrants to Russia primarily come from CIS states and are Russians or Russian speakers 61 Thousands of migrant workers from Ukraine Moldova and the rest of the CIS have also entered Russia illegally working but avoiding taxes 62 There are an estimated 10 million illegal immigrants from the ex Soviet states in Russia 63 Central Europe and the former Soviet Union edit Main articles Demographics of Georgia country and Demographics of Ukraine The World Bank issued a report on 20 June 2007 From Red To Grey The Third Transition of Aging Populations in central Europe and the Former Soviet Union predicting that between 2007 and 2027 the populations of Georgia and Ukraine will decrease by 17 and 24 respectively 64 The World Bank estimates the population of 65 or older citizens in Poland and Slovenia will increase from 13 to 21 and 16 to 24 respectively between 2005 and 2025 50 See also edit nbsp Europe portalAging of the United States Aging of Japan South Korea and China Russian Cross Demographics of Europe List of European countries by population growth rate Political demography Population decline Retirement in EuropeGeneral List of sovereign states and dependencies by total fertility rate Population ageing Population pyramid Sub replacement fertility World population Replacement migrationDemographic economics Dependency ratio Generational accounting Pensions crisisReferences editNotes a b Giuseppe Carone and Declan Costello 2006 Can Europe Afford to Grow Old International Monetary Fund Finance and Development magazine Retrieved 15 December 2007 Population structure and ageing Statistics Explained Ec europa eu Retrieved 28 December 2017 Iburg KM Charalampous P Allebeck P 24 November 2022 Burden of disease among older adults in Europe trends in mortality and disability 1990 2019 European Journal of Public Health 33 1 121 126 doi 10 1093 eurpub ckac160 PMC 9897992 PMID 36421036 Europe s Shrinking Aging Population Stratfor com 13 June 2012 Retrieved 29 March 2017 Europe s Aging Population Faces Social Problems Similar to Japan s Goldsea Asian American Daily Archived from the original on 27 September 2007 Retrieved 15 December 2007 European Commission 2014 Population Aging in Europe Facts Implications and Policies Retrieved 1 May 2017 Richard Bernstein 29 June 2003 Aging Europe Finds Its Pension Is Running Out The New York Times Archived from the original on 8 March 2008 Retrieved 15 December 2007 Paul S Hewitt 2002 Depopulation and Aging in Europe and Japan The Hazardous Transition to a Labor Shortage Economy International Politics and Society Archived from the original on 27 December 2007 Retrieved 15 December 2007 a b Weeks John Robert 2012 Population an introduction to concepts and issues 11th ed Belmont CA Wadsworth Cengage learning ISBN 9781111185978 OCLC 697596943 a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z World Population Ageing 2017 United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs Population Division 2017 Retrieved 26 March 2018 Artzrouni M Easterlin R 1982 Birth History Age Structure and Post World War II Fertility in Ten Developed Countries An Exploratory Empirical Analysis Genus 38 3 4 81 99 PMID 12312903 a b c Europe s Shrinking Aging Population Stratfor com Retrieved 28 December 2017 Europeans Credit EU with Promoting Peace and Prosperity but Say Brussels is Out of Touch with Its Citizens 19 March 2019 Eurostat Population Projections European Commission 2012 Steyn Mark 2006 America Alone The End of the World As We Know It Washington D C Regnery Publishing On pages 10 and 54 birth rates among people of European ancestry populations in various nations are indicated that show all populations of European ancestry are reproducing at an average birth rate of only about 1 4 almost half the replacement rate of 2 1 and thus their population has a negative declining growth rate that will decline by almost half every generation a b Childless Europe What Happens to a Continent When it Stops Making Babies New York Times Magazine Sunday 29 June 2008 Himmelfarb Milton and Victor Baras eds 1978 Zero Population Growth For Whom differential fertility and minority group survival Westport CT Praeger Leuprecht C 2011 Deter or Engage Demographic Determinants of Bargains in Ethno Nationalist Conflicts in Political Demography identity conflict and institutions ed J A Goldstone E Kaufmann and M Toft Boulder CO Paradigm Press Archived 26 February 2017 at the Wayback Machine Grant Jonathan 1 January 2004 Low Fertility and Population Ageing 172 a href Template Cite journal html title Template Cite journal cite journal a Cite journal requires journal help Rodolfo Luzio and Jianping Zhou 2007 March 2007 IMF Country Report No 07 88 Belgium Selected Issues PDF International Monetary Fund Retrieved 15 December 2007 Rudolf Luzio 2007 Belgium Time to Shift to Higher Gear International Monetary Fund Retrieved 15 December 2007 THL fi 2018 Ageing Policy THL fi Retrieved 29 October 2020 OECD 2020 OECD recommends Finland to do more to help older people stay in work OECD Retrieved 29 October 2020 Shleutker Elina 2013 Vaeston ikaantyminen ja hyvinvointivaltio Mita vaihtoehtoja meilla on PDF Julkari fi Retrieved 29 October 2020 Statistics Finland 2019 The decline in the birth rate is reflected in the population development of areas Statistics Finland Retrieved 29 October 2020 Caroline Wyatt 16 January 2007 France claims EU fertility crown BBC News Retrieved 15 December 2007 France has a baby boom International Herald Tribune 2005 Retrieved 15 December 2007 The World Factbook 2009 Washington DC Central Intelligence Agency 2009 Archived from the original on 28 October 2009 Retrieved 7 December 2009 The French Social Security System Cleiss fr Archived from the original on 27 June 2017 Retrieved 9 May 2017 14 Jan 2014 Reuters French birth rate falls below two children per woman Bevolkerung nach Nationalitat und Geschlecht a b c Germany Fertility Rate 1950 2020 Washington DC Central Intelligence Agency 2009 Archived from the original on 28 October 2009 Retrieved 7 December 2009 Destatis Im Jahr 2060 wird jeder Siebente 80 Jahre oder alter sein in German Archived from the original on 7 January 2010 Retrieved 31 January 2010 Demographic Transition Model Barcelona Field Studies Centre 27 September 2009 Archived from the original on 27 May 2010 Retrieved 23 May 2010 Unknown 2000 Aging Populations in Europe Japan Korea Require Action The Times of India Archived from the original on 1 December 2007 Retrieved 15 December 2007 Empty playgrounds in an aging Italy International Herald Tribune 2006 Archived from the original on 30 October 2007 Retrieved 15 December 2007 Leszko Magdalena Zajac Lamparska Ludmila Trempala Janusz 1 October 2015 Aging in Poland The Gerontologist 55 5 707 715 doi 10 1093 geront gnu171 ISSN 0016 9013 PMID 26315315 Poland s Taking a Stand Against Europe s Demographic Decline Bloomberg com 9 November 2016 Retrieved 5 May 2017 Esperanca de vida a nascenca por sexo Pordata Retrieved 23 February 2011 Schroots J J F Rocio Fernandez Ballesteros Georg Rudinger 1999 Aging in Europe pp 101 102 Schroots J J F Rocio Fernandez Ballesteros Georg Rudinger 1999 Aging in Europe pp 107 108 National population projections fertility assumptions 2018 based Office for National Statistics www ons gov uk Retrieved 8 November 2020 a b Births in England and Wales Office for National Statistics www ons gov uk Retrieved 8 November 2020 Vital Events Reference Tables 2019 PDF National Records of Scotland 23 June 2020 Retrieved 8 November 2020 Overview of the UK population Office for National Statistics www ons gov uk Retrieved 8 November 2020 National population projections Office for National Statistics www ons gov uk Retrieved 8 November 2020 Population estimates for the UK England and Wales Scotland and Northern Ireland Office for National Statistics www ons gov uk Retrieved 8 November 2020 Ratio of people aged 15 64 to people aged over 65 years 2015 and 2050 doi 10 1787 888933867607 Retrieved 8 November 2020 a href Template Cite journal html title Template Cite journal cite journal a Cite journal requires journal help National life tables life expectancy in the UK Office for National Statistics www ons gov uk Retrieved 8 November 2020 Russian Birth Rate above Regional Average Archived 18 February 2013 at the Wayback Machine Euromonitor International retrieved on 26 March 2013 a b The Demographic Transition in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union PDF World Bank Retrieved 22 December 2007 a b Steven Eke 23 June 2005 Russia s population falling fast BBC News Retrieved 22 December 2007 Russia sees first population increase in 15 years BBC Retrieved on 18 February 2009 2009 demographic figures Rosstat Retrieved on 18 February 2010 Historic population growth of Russia Archived 14 May 2011 at the Wayback Machine Retrieved on 26 May 2009 Population of Russia 1989 2008 Retrieved on 26 May 2009 Newsru Naselenie Rossii za pyat let umenshilos na 3 2 milliona do 142 millionov chelovek 19 Oct 2007 Retrieved same date Mortality Country Fact Sheet 2006 WHO Nicholas Eberstadt 2004 The Emptying of Russia The Washington Post Archived from the original on 25 October 2008 Retrieved 22 December 2007 World Bank report on Russia s demography World Bank Retrieved on 3 May 2008 Masha Stromova 12 September 2007 Have Sex Make A Baby Win A Car CBS News Archived from the original on 30 December 2007 Retrieved 22 December 2007 Demografiya Archived 25 February 2008 at the Wayback Machine Fred Weir 2002 Russia s population decline spells trouble The Christian Science Monitor Retrieved 22 December 2007 Russia cracking down on illegal migrants International Herald Tribune 15 January 2007 East If Countries Don t Act Now It s Going To Be Too Late RadioFreeEurope RadioLiberty 2007 Retrieved 22 December 2007 Further reading editKunisch Sven Boehm Stephan A Boppel Michael eds From Grey to Silver Managing the Demographic Change Successfully Springer Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2011 ISBN 978 3 642 15593 2 Sanchez Gonzalez Diego Rodriguez Rodriguez Vicente eds Environmental Gerontology in Europe and Latin America Policies and perspectives on environment and aging Nueva York Springer Publishing Company ISBN 978 3 319 21418 4 Scholefield Anthony The Death of Europe How Demographic Decline Will Destroy the European Union 2000 External links editFLASH POINTS AND TIPPING POINTS Security Implications of Global Population Changes 2005 2025 CoViVE Research Consortium on Population Aging in Flanders and Europe The Emptying of Russia Replacement Migration Is it a solution for Russia Some EU nations offer benefits for births European Countries Try to Stimulate Higher Birth Rates permanent dead link Norway s welfare model helps birth rate Dossier The Aging Society Goethe Institut Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title Ageing of Europe amp oldid 1195670087, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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