International opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election
This article lists international opinion polls taken in various countries around the world during 2008 relating to the 2008 United States presidential election. Most polls measured foreign preference for Democratic candidate Barack Obama and Republican candidate John McCain. For international reaction to the election, see International reaction to the United States presidential election, 2008.
Summary edit
Most polls during the 2008 election year showed greater global support for Senator Barack Obama over Senator John McCain. A poll for the BBC World Service conducted in 22 countries found Obama favored in each one by varying margins, with an overall average of 49% preference for Obama, 12% for McCain, and 40% with no preference.[3] Similarly, a 73 country Gallup poll found that 24% of those polled favored Obama compared with 7% who favored McCain; 69% of those surveyed had no opinion.[4] An international Reader's Digest survey also reported more support for Obama than McCain in all 16 foreign countries polled, though not in the U.S. itself.[5] However, certain countries did prefer McCain to Obama in some polls, including Israel, Georgia, Laos by a small margin, and the Philippines (which is in contrast to the capital Manila).[6]
A poll done by the Pew Global Attitudes Project investigated whether other countries believed American foreign policy "will change for the better" with a new president. Although majorities held this belief in several major European and African countries, 67% of Japanese respondents said it would not change very much and more Jordanians and Egyptians believed American foreign policy would get worse than better. In terms of confidence in the candidates, the Pew poll found most but not all countries had more confidence in Obama to do the right thing in global affairs. In several countries a majority of those polled said they were following the campaign closely, including Australia, Germany, Jordan, and the United Kingdom.[7]
A global non-scientific Internet vote conducted by The Economist, with 52,000 respondents, indicated that Obama was favored over McCain by a vast majority of poll respondents, with over 44,000 votes for Obama, or roughly 85% (there were no third party or abstain options).[8]
Multi-country polls edit
| Country | Candidates | YouGov/ Daily Telegraph May 27–29[9] | Reader's Digest/ Synovate Omnibus June 2-July 7[10] | BBC/ GlobeScan July 28-Aug 27[3] | Gallup May-Oct[11] | Harris/ France24/IHT Oct 1-13[1] | Various Oct[12] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 31% 6% | - | - |
| Armenia | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 43% 10% | - | - |
| Australia | Obama McCain | - | 76% 10% | 67% 13% | 64% 14% | - | - |
| Austria | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 58% 10% | - | - |
| Bangladesh | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 19% 8% | - | - |
| Belgium | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 64% 6% | - | 62% 8% |
| Benin | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 20% 2% | - | - |
| Bolivia | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 30% 8% | - | - |
| Botswana | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 62% 6% | - | - |
| Brazil | Obama McCain | - | 78% 11% | 51% 8% | - | - | - |
| Burkina Faso | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 50% 7% | - | - |
| Burundi | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 61% 8% | - | - |
| Cambodia | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 4% 9% | - | - |
| Cameroon | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 44% 7% | - | - |
| Canada | Obama McCain | - | 64% 14% | 66% 14% | 67% 22% | - | 70% 14% |
| Chile | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 43% 9% | - | - |
| China | Obama McCain | - | - | 35% 15% | 12% 5% | - | - |
| Colombia | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 38% 16% | - | - |
| Costa Rica | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 44% 9% | - | - |
| Denmark | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 69% 8% | - | - |
| Egypt | Obama McCain | - | - | 26% 13% | - | - | - |
| El Salvador | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 24% 14% | - | - |
| Estonia | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 22% 17% | - | - |
| Ethiopia | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 76% 6% | - | - |
| Finland | Obama McCain | - | 71% 13% | - | 54% 14% | - | - |
| France | Obama McCain | 65% 8% | 75% 10% | 69% 6% | 64% 4% | 78% 1% | 68% 5% |
| Georgia | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 15% 23% | - | - |
| Germany | Obama McCain | 67% 6% | 61% 26% | 65% 7% | 62% 10% | 72% 5% | - |
| Ghana | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 31% 13% | - | - |
| Guatemala | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 27% 11% | - | - |
| Honduras | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 27% 9% | - | - |
| India | Obama McCain | - | 85% 7% | 24% 15% | 7% 2% | - | - |
| Indonesia | Obama McCain | - | 67% 17% | 46% 11% | - | - | - |
| Ireland | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 67% 19% | - | - |
| Italy | Obama McCain | 70% 15% | - | 76% 12% | 56% 6% | 66% 12% | - |
| Japan | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 66% 15% | - | 61% 13% |
| Kenya | Obama McCain | - | - | 87% 5% | 89% 3% | - | - |
| Kuwait (nationals for Gallup) | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 32% 12% | - | - |
| Laos | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 24% 25% | - | - |
| Latvia | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 23% 15% | - | - |
| Lebanon | Obama McCain | - | - | 39% 27% | 45% 18% | - | - |
| Liberia | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 45% 27% | - | - |
| Lithuania | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 13% 13% | - | - |
| Madagascar | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 47% 28% | - | - |
| Mali | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 70% 16% | - | - |
| Mauritania | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 68% 3% | - | - |
| Mexico | Obama McCain | - | 70% 25% | 54% 16% | 27% 9% | - | 46% 13% |
| Netherlands | Obama McCain | - | 92% 8% | - | 74% 10% | - | - |
| Nicaragua | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 23% 7% | - | - |
| Nigeria | Obama McCain | - | - | 66% 11% | 23% 11% | - | - |
| Norway | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 71% 13% | - | - |
| Pakistan | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 5% 5% | - | - |
| Palestine | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 33% 11% | - | - |
| Panama | Obama McCain | - | - | 43% 15% | 35% 10% | - | - |
| Paraguay | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 26% 11% | - | - |
| Peru | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 31% 11% | - | - |
| Philippines | Obama McCain | - | - | 46% 22% | 20% 28% | - | - |
| Poland | Obama McCain | - | 65% 19% | 38% 13% | 43% 24% | - | 43% 26% |
| Russia | Obama McCain | 31% 24% | 52% 17% | 18% 7% | - | - | - |
| Rwanda | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 57% 12% | - | - |
| Saudi Arabia | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 50% 19% | - | - |
| Senegal | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 54% 15% | - | - |
| Sierra Leone | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 68% 18% | - | - |
| Singapore | Obama McCain | - | - | 29% 7% | 21% 11% | - | - |
| South Africa | Obama McCain | - | 70% 26% | - | - | - | - |
| South Korea | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 50% 24% | - | - |
| Spain | Obama McCain | - | 76% 13% | - | 49% 6% | 68% 8% | - |
| Sweden | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 64% 6% | - | - |
| Switzerland | Obama McCain | - | - | - | - | - | 83% 7% |
| Taiwan | Obama McCain | - | 81% 6% | - | - | - | - |
| Tanzania | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 76% 9% | - | - |
| Togo | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 38% 6% | - | - |
| Turkey | Obama McCain | - | - | 26% 11% | 22% 8% | - | - |
| UAE | Obama McCain | - | - | 46% 13% | - | - | - |
| Uganda | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 85% 8% | - | - |
| United Kingdom | Obama McCain | 49% 14% | 70% 14% | 59% 9% | 60% 15% | 48% 11% | 64% 15% |
| Uruguay | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 39% 7% | - | - |
| Zambia | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 47% 12% | - | - |
| Zimbabwe | Obama McCain | - | - | - | 41% 15% | - | - |
Individual country polls edit
Argentina edit
A poll taken on August 26 by Ibarómetro reported that 53.2% of those polled preferred Obama against 8.8% for McCain; 38% were unsure.[13]
Canada edit
Polls taken in Canada showed widespread and overwhelming support for Obama, even in traditionally conservative parts of the country.
France edit
A poll conducted on September 2–3 by TNS Sofres/Logica for the French-American Foundation and Fondation Robert Schuman found that 80% of the French polled hoped for an Obama victory, 8% for a McCain victory, 7% for neither, and 5% without an opinion.[14] A later poll done on October 10–11 by BVA for La Tribune found an even higher 86% who preferred to see Obama elected, with 6% hoping the same for McCain and 8% not expressing an opinion.[15]
The day after the election, a poll conducted by CSA for Le Parisien found that 84% of those polled were satisfied with the election of Obama, while 6% were dissatisfied and 10% expressed no opinion.[16]
Germany edit
During the Democratic primary campaign, 43% of Germans supported Obama and 39% supported challenger Senator Hillary Clinton according to a poll by Forsa for Stern.[17] In terms of the general election, a Forsa poll carried out on August 20–21 found 74% of respondents would vote for Obama, 11% for McCain, and 15% other or not sure.[2]
Israel edit
The Rabin Center for Israel Studies commissioned a poll by TNS Teleseker in the months before the election, which found that 46.4% of those polled supported McCain, 34% supported Obama, and 18.6% were undecided.[6]
Palestinian territories edit
A poll by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion taken September 1–10 reported 33.5% of respondents favoring McCain, 27.7% Obama, 30.4% neither, and 8.3% unsure.[18]
See also edit
References edit
- ^ a b "Harris Interactive/France 24/International Herald Tribune opinion poll" (PDF). France 24. Retrieved 2008-06-11. See also article . Archived from the original on 2008-11-01. Retrieved 2008-11-06..
- ^ a b "Germans Clearly Support Obama in U.S. Race". Angus Reid Global Monitor. 2008-09-03. Retrieved 2008-11-08.
- ^ a b "All Countries in BBC Poll Prefer Obama to McCain" (PDF). BBC World Service. 2008-09-10. Retrieved 2008-11-06.
- ^ "World Citizens Prefer Obama to McCain by More Than 3-to-1". Gallup. 2008-10-28. Retrieved 2008-11-07.
- ^ Cannon, Carl M. "Global Poll: How the World Sees the 2008 Election". Reader's Digest. Retrieved 2008-11-08.
- ^ a b "Poll: Israel votes McCain in US elections". Ynet. 2008-10-27. Retrieved 2008-11-07.
- ^ (PDF). The Pew Global Attitudes Project. 2008-06-12. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2008-07-04. Retrieved 2008-11-10. See also an article on the poll [1].
- ^ "Obama sweeps the board: Global Electoral College". The Economist. 2008-10-28. Retrieved 2008-11-06.
- ^ Blair, David (2008-06-03). . Daily Telegraph. Archived from the original on 2008-07-30. Retrieved 2008-11-06. See also spreadsheet of results [2] (xls).
- ^ "The Global Presidential Poll". Reader's Digest. Retrieved 2008-11-06. See also methodology [3].
- ^ "World Citizens Prefer Obama to McCain by More Than 3-to-1". Gallup. 2008-10-28. Retrieved 2008-11-06. See also methodology . Archived from the original on 2008-11-03. Retrieved 2008-11-06..
- ^ Glover, Julian (2008-10-17). "Foreign poll favours Democrat but shows hostility to US". The Guardian. Retrieved 2008-11-06.
- ^ "Argentinean Majority Picks Obama for U.S." Angus Reid Global Monitor. 2008-09-08. Retrieved 2008-11-08.
- ^ "L'Élection Présidentielle Américaine De 2008 Vue Par Les Français" (PDF) (in French). Le Figaro. 2008-09-03. Retrieved 2008-11-07.
- ^ "Les Français préfèrent Barack Obama à 86%" (in French). Le Nouvel Observateur. 2008-11-03. Retrieved 2008-11-07.
- ^ "84 % des Français satisfaits de la victoire d'Obama" (in French). Le Parisien. 2008-11-05. Retrieved 2008-11-07.
- ^ "'Next President Will Demand More From Europe'". Der Spiegel. 2008-02-06. Retrieved 2008-11-08.
- ^ "McCain Leads Obama in Palestinian Territories". Angus Reid Global Monitor. 2008-09-29. Retrieved 2008-11-08.