2024 United States Senate elections
The 2024 United States Senate elections are scheduled to be held on November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections. 33 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate will be contested in regular elections, the winners of which will serve six-year terms in the U.S. Congress from January 3, 2025, to January 3, 2031, and one special election will be held to complete an unexpired term ending January 3, 2027. Senators are divided into three classes whose terms are staggered so that a different class is elected every two years. Class 1 senators, who were last elected in 2018, will be up for election again in 2024. Numerous other federal, state, and local elections, including the U.S. presidential election and elections to the House, will also be held on this date.
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
34 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate 51 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Map of the incumbents: Democratic incumbent Democratic incumbent retiring Republican incumbent Republican incumbent retiring Independent incumbent No election Rectangular inset (Nebraska): both seats up for election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
As of January 2023, 17 senators (thirteen Democrats and four Republicans) have announced plans to run for re-election. One Republican, Mike Braun, and one Democrat, Debbie Stabenow, have announced an intention to retire.[2][3] Another Republican, Ben Sasse, resigned early to accept a position as president of the University of Florida; the governor of Nebraska appointed Pete Ricketts as the state's interim senator and a special election will take place concurrently with the 2024 regular Senate elections to fill the seat for the remainder of the term.[4]
The map for these elections, like in the previous Class 1 Senate election in 2018, is considered by elections analysts to be unfavorable to Democrats, who will be defending 23 of the 33 seats of Class 1.[5] Three Democrats in this class represent states won by Donald Trump in both 2016 and 2020 (Montana, Ohio, and West Virginia), while no Republicans represent states won by Joe Biden in 2020. Further, Democrats are defending seats in six states that Biden won by a single-digit margin (Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Michigan, Minnesota, and Maine) while Republicans are defending only two seats in states that Trump won by a single-digit margin (Florida and Texas). Additionally, Kyrsten Sinema's first term is ending in Arizona, a state that Biden won by less than a quarter of a point in 2020; at the end of the 117th Congress, Sinema left the Democratic Party and became an independent, and it is currently unclear whether national Democrats will support her re-election campaign, if she chooses to run, or back a Democrat.[6] In the two previous Senate election cycles that coincided with presidential elections (2016 and 2020), only one senator (Republican Susan Collins of Maine in 2020) was elected in a state that was won by the presidential nominee of the opposite party.[7]
Partisan composition
All 33 Class 1 Senate seats and one Class 2 seat are up for election in 2024; Class 1 currently consists of 20 Democrats, 3 independents who caucus with the Senate Democrats, and 10 Republicans. If another vacancy occurs in other Class 2 or Class 3 Senate seats, that state might require a special election to take place during the 118th Congress, possibly concurrently with the other 2024 Senate elections.
Change in composition
Each block represents one of the one hundred seats in the U.S. Senate. "D#" is a Democratic/active senator, "I#" is an Independent senator, and "R#" is a Republican/active senator. They are arranged so that the parties are separated, and a majority is clear by crossing the middle.
Before the elections
Each block indicates an incumbent senator's actions going into the election.
D1 | D2 | D3 | D4 | D5 | D6 | D7 | D8 | D9 | D10 |
D20 | D19 | D18 | D17 | D16 | D15 | D14 | D13 | D12 | D11 |
D21 | D22 | D23 | D24 | D25 | D26 | D27 | D28 | D29 Calif. Undeclared | D30 Conn. Running |
D40 N.M. Running | D39 N.J. Running | D38 Nev. Running | D37 Mont. Undeclared | D36 Minn. Running | D35 Mich. Retiring | D34 Mass. Running | D33 Md. Undeclared | D32 Hawaii Running | D31 Del. Undeclared |
D41 N.Y. Running | D42 Ohio Running | D43 Pa. Running | D44 R.I. Undeclared | D45 Va. Running | D46 Wash. Running | D47 W.Va. Undeclared | D48 Wis. Running | I1 Ariz. Undeclared | I2 Maine Running |
Majority (with Independents) ↑ | |||||||||
R41 Miss. Running | R42 Mo. Running | R43 Neb. (reg) Running | R44 Neb. (sp) Running | R45 N.D. Undeclared | R46 Tenn. Undeclared | R47 Texas Running | R48 Utah Undeclared | R49 Wyo. Undeclared | I3 Vt. Undeclared |
R40 Ind. Retiring | R39 Fla. Running | R38 | R37 | R36 | R35 | R34 | R33 | R32 | R31 |
R21 | R22 | R23 | R24 | R25 | R26 | R27 | R28 | R29 | R30 |
R20 | R19 | R18 | R17 | R16 | R15 | R14 | R13 | R12 | R11 |
R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 |
After the elections
D1 | D2 | D3 | D4 | D5 | D6 | D7 | D8 | D9 | D10 |
D20 | D19 | D18 | D17 | D16 | D15 | D14 | D13 | D12 | D11 |
D21 | D22 | D23 | D24 | D25 | D26 | D27 | D28 | Ariz. TBD | Calif. TBD |
Minn. TBD | Mich. TBD | Mass. TBD | Md. TBD | Maine TBD | Ind. TBD | Hawaii TBD | Fla. TBD | Del. TBD | Conn. TBD |
Mont. TBD | Miss. TBD | Mo. TBD | N.D. TBD | Neb. (reg) TBD | Neb. (sp) TBD | Nev. TBD | N.J. TBD | N.M. TBD | N.Y. TBD |
Majority TBD → | |||||||||
W.Va. TBD | Wash. TBD | Va. TBD | Vt. TBD | Utah TBD | Texas TBD | Tenn. TBD | R.I. TBD | Pa. TBD | Ohio TBD |
Wis. TBD | Wyo. TBD | R38 | R37 | R36 | R35 | R34 | R33 | R32 | R31 |
R21 | R22 | R23 | R24 | R25 | R26 | R27 | R28 | R29 | R30 |
R20 | R19 | R18 | R17 | R16 | R15 | R14 | R13 | R12 | R11 |
R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 |
Key |
|
---|
Predictions
Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent was running for reelection) and the other candidates, and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. Most election predictors used:
- "tossup": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean" or "leans": slight advantage
- "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
Constituency | Incumbent | Ratings | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | PVI[8] | Senator | Last election[c] | Cook January 24, 2023[9] | IE January 6, 2023[10] | Sabato January 24, 2023[11] | ||||||||
Arizona | R+2 | Kyrsten Sinema | 50.0% D | Tossup | Battleground | Tossup | ||||||||
California | D+13 | Dianne Feinstein | 54.2% D[d] | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | ||||||||
Connecticut | D+7 | Chris Murphy | 59.5% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | ||||||||
Delaware | D+7 | Tom Carper | 60.0% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | ||||||||
Florida | R+3 | Rick Scott | 50.1% R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | ||||||||
Hawaii | D+14 | Mazie Hirono | 71.2% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | ||||||||
Indiana | R+11 | Mike Braun (retiring) | 50.7% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | ||||||||
Maine | D+2 | Angus King | 54.3% I | Solid D/I | Solid D/I | Likely D/I | ||||||||
Maryland | D+14 | Ben Cardin | 64.9% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | ||||||||
Massachusetts | D+15 | Elizabeth Warren | 60.3% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | ||||||||
Michigan | R+1 | Debbie Stabenow (retiring) | 52.3% D | Lean D | Battleground | Lean D | ||||||||
Minnesota | D+1 | Amy Klobuchar | 60.3% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | ||||||||
Mississippi | R+11 | Roger Wicker | 58.5% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | ||||||||
Missouri | R+10 | Josh Hawley | 51.4% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | ||||||||
Montana | R+11 | Jon Tester | 50.3% D | Lean D | Battleground | Tossup | ||||||||
Nebraska (regular) | R+13 | Deb Fischer | 57.7% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | ||||||||
Nebraska (special) | R+13 | Pete Ricketts | Appointed (2023)[e] | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | ||||||||
Nevada | R+1 | Jacky Rosen | 50.4% D | Lean D | Battleground | Lean D | ||||||||
New Jersey | D+6 | Bob Menendez | 54.0% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | ||||||||
New Mexico | D+3 | Martin Heinrich | 54.1% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | ||||||||
New York | D+10 | Kirsten Gillibrand | 67.0% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | ||||||||
North Dakota | R+20 | Kevin Cramer | 55.1% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | ||||||||
Ohio | R+6 | Sherrod Brown | 53.4% D | Tossup | Battleground | Tossup | ||||||||
Pennsylvania | R+2 | Bob Casey Jr. | 55.7% D | Lean D | Battleground | Likely D | ||||||||
Rhode Island | D+8 | Sheldon Whitehouse | 61.4% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | ||||||||
Tennessee | R+14 | Marsha Blackburn | 54.7% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | ||||||||
Texas | R+5 | Ted Cruz | 50.9% R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | ||||||||
Utah | R+13 | Mitt Romney | 62.6% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | ||||||||
Vermont | D+16 | Bernie Sanders | 67.4% I | Solid D/I | Solid D/I | Safe D/I | ||||||||
Virginia | D+3 | Tim Kaine | 57.0% D | Solid D | Battleground | Safe D | ||||||||
Washington | D+8 | Maria Cantwell | 58.3% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | ||||||||
West Virginia | R+22 | Joe Manchin | 49.6% D | Tossup | Battleground | Lean R (flip) | ||||||||
Wisconsin | R+2 | Tammy Baldwin | 55.4% D | Lean D | Battleground | Lean D | ||||||||
Wyoming | R+25 | John Barrasso | 67.0% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | ||||||||
Overall[f] | D - 48 R - 49 3 Tossups | D - 42 R - 49 9 battlegrounds | D - 47 R - 50 3 Tossups |
Retirements
As of January 2023, two senators have announced plans to retire.
State | Senator | Ref |
---|---|---|
Indiana | Mike Braun | [2] |
Michigan | Debbie Stabenow | [3] |
Race summary
Special elections during the preceding Congress
In each special election, the winner's term begins immediately after their election is certified by their state's government.
Elections are sorted by date then state.
State (linked to summaries below) | Incumbent | Status | Candidates | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Senator | Party | Electoral history | |||
Nebraska (Class 2) | Pete Ricketts[g] | Republican | 2023 (Appointed) | Interim appointee running |
|
Elections leading to the next Congress
In these general elections, the winners will be elected for the term beginning January 3, 2025.
State (linked to summaries below) | Incumbent | Results | Candidates | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Senator | Party | Electoral history | Last race | |||
Arizona | Kyrsten Sinema | Independent | 2018[h] | 50.0% D | Incumbent's intent unknown |
|
California | Dianne Feinstein | Democratic | 1992 (Special) 1994 2000 2006 2012 2018 | 54.2% D[d] | Incumbent's intent unknown |
|
Connecticut | Chris Murphy | Democratic | 2012 2018 | 59.5% D | Incumbent running |
|
Delaware | Tom Carper | Democratic | 2000 2006 2012 2018 | 60.0% D | Incumbent's intent unknown |
|
Florida | Rick Scott | Republican | 2018 | 50.1% R | Incumbent running |
|
Hawaii | Mazie Hirono | Democratic | 2012 2018 | 71.2% D | Incumbent running |
|
Indiana | Mike Braun | Republican | 2018 | 50.7% R | Incumbent retiring to run for governor of Indiana[2] | |
Maine | Angus King | Independent | 2012 2018 | 54.3% I | Incumbent running |
|
Maryland | Ben Cardin | Democratic | 2006 2012 2018 | 64.9% D | Incumbent's intent unknown |
|
Massachusetts | Elizabeth Warren | Democratic | 2012 2018 | 60.3% D | Incumbent running |
|
Michigan | Debbie Stabenow | Democratic | 2000 2006 2012 2018 | 52.3% D | Incumbent retiring[3] |
|
Minnesota | Amy Klobuchar | Democratic | 2006 2012 2018 | 60.3% D | Incumbent running |
|
Mississippi | Roger Wicker | Republican | 2007 (Appointed) 2008 (Special) 2012 2018 | 58.5% R | Incumbent running |
|
Missouri | Josh Hawley | Republican | 2018 | 51.4% R | Incumbent running |
|
Montana | Jon Tester | Democratic | 2006 2012 2018 | 50.3% D | Incumbent's intent unknown |
|
Nebraska | Deb Fischer | Republican | 2012 2018 | 57.7% R | Incumbent running |
|
Nevada | Jacky Rosen | Democratic | 2018 | 50.4% D | Incumbent running |
|
New Jersey | Bob Menendez | Democratic | 2006 (Appointed) 2006 2012 2018 | 54.0% D | Incumbent running |
|
New Mexico | Martin Heinrich | Democratic | 2012 2018 | 54.1% D | Incumbent running |
|
New York | Kirsten Gillibrand | Democratic | 2009 (Appointed) 2010 (Special) 2012 2018 | 67.0% D | Incumbent running |
|
North Dakota | Kevin Cramer | Republican | 2018 | 55.1% R | Incumbent's intent unknown |
|
Ohio | Sherrod Brown | Democratic | 2006 2012 2018 | 53.4% D | Incumbent running |
|
Pennsylvania | Bob Casey Jr. | Democratic | 2006 2012 2018 | 55.7% D | Incumbent running |
|
Rhode Island | Sheldon Whitehouse | Democratic | 2006 2012 2018 | 61.4% D | Incumbent's intent unknown |
|
Tennessee | Marsha Blackburn | Republican | 2018 | 54.7% R | Incumbent's intent unknown |
|
Texas | Ted Cruz | Republican | 2012 2018 | 50.9% R | Incumbent running | |
Utah | Mitt Romney | Republican | 2018 | 62.6% R | Incumbent's intent unknown |
|
Vermont | Bernie Sanders | Independent | 2006 2012 2018 | 67.4% I | Incumbent's intent unknown |
|
Virginia | Tim Kaine | Democratic | 2012 2018 | 57.0% D | Incumbent running | |
Washington | Maria Cantwell | Democratic | 2000 2006 2012 2018 | 58.3% D | Incumbent running |
|
West Virginia | Joe Manchin | Democratic | 2010 (Special) 2012 2018 | 49.6% D | Incumbent's intent unknown |
|
Wisconsin | Tammy Baldwin | Democratic | 2012 2018 | 55.4% D | Incumbent running |
|
Wyoming | John Barrasso | Republican | 2007 (Appointed) 2008 (Special) 2012 2018 | 67.0% R | Incumbent's intent unknown |
|
Arizona
One-term independent Kyrsten Sinema was elected in 2018 as a Democrat with 50.0% of the vote. She left the Democratic Party in December 2022.[39] She has filed paperwork to run for a second term, but has not made an official announcement.[40]
Due to Sinema's opposition to some of President Joe Biden's agenda, she is considered vulnerable to challengers from the Democratic Party,[41] with U.S. representative Ruben Gallego running for the Democratic nomination.[42][43]
2022 gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake and 2022 Senate nominee Blake Masters are considering running for the Republican nomination.[44]
California
Five-term Democrat Dianne Feinstein was re-elected in 2018 with 54.2% of the vote. Despite being 91 in 2024, Feinstein has filed paperwork to run. Feinstein's staff later clarified that this was due to election law technicalities; it was not indicative of her intentions in 2024.[45]
Should Feinstein decide to retire, Barbara Lee and Ro Khanna have been speculated upon as possible candidates.[46][47][48][49]
On January 10, 2023, U.S. representative Katie Porter became the first candidate to declare a primary challenge for the seat.[17] The following day, Lee told lawmakers that she was also running, though she has not made an official announcement or decision.[50]
On January 26, 2023, U.S. representative Adam Schiff became the second candidate to declare a primary challenge for the seat.[51]
Connecticut
Two-term Democrat Chris Murphy was re-elected in 2018 with 59.5% of the vote. Murphy plans to run for a third term.[19]
Delaware
Four-term Democrat Tom Carper was re-elected in 2018 with 60.0% of the vote. During the Democratic primary of that race, Carper implied that he might not seek re-election in 2024, and, when asked about it, said, "This may be the last time."[52] He has said "the options are wide open" on whether he runs again.[5]
Florida
Former governor and incumbent one-term Republican Rick Scott was elected in 2018 with 50.06% of the vote. He is running for reelection to a second term.[20]
State prosecutor and Republican Keith Gross is expected to announce a primary challenge against the narrowly elected incumbent.[53]
Hawaii
Two-term Democrat Mazie Hirono was re-elected in 2018 with 71.2% of the vote. Hirono is running for a third term.[19]
Indiana
One-term Republican Mike Braun was elected in 2018 with 50.8% of the vote. Braun is retiring to prepare to run for Governor of Indiana instead.[2] U.S. representative Jim Banks is running,[54] while fellow representative Victoria Spartz, former representative Trey Hollingsworth, as well as Indiana attorney general and 2018 Senate candidate Todd Rokita are all seen as potential candidates for the Republican nomination to succeed Braun.[55][56]
Maine
Two-term Independent incumbent Angus King was re-elected in 2018 with 54.3% of the vote. He intends to run for a third-term despite previously hinting that he may retire.[22]
Maryland
Three-term Democrat Ben Cardin was re-elected in 2018 with 64.9% of the vote. Should Cardin retire, U.S. representatives Jamie Raskin and David Trone, and Prince George's County executive Angela Alsobrooks are seen as potential candidates in the Democratic primary.[57]
Massachusetts
Two-term Democrat Elizabeth Warren was re-elected in 2018 with 60.3% of the vote. On May 8, 2021, Warren confirmed that she plans to run for a third term.[23]
Michigan
Four-term Democrat Debbie Stabenow was re-elected in 2018 with 52.3% of the vote. She is retiring, and will not run for a fifth term.[3]
Minnesota
Three-term Democrat Amy Klobuchar was re-elected in 2018 with 60.3% of the vote. She has announced her intent to run for a fourth term.[19]
Mississippi
Two-term Republican Roger Wicker was re-elected in 2018 with 58.5% of the vote. Democrat Ty Pinkins is running against Wicker.[25]
Missouri
One-term Republican Josh Hawley was elected in 2018 with 51.4% of the vote. He is running for re-election.[27] Democrat and former Marine Lucas Kunce, who ran for Missouri's open Senate seat in 2022, has announced he is running again.[28]
Montana
Three-term Democrat Jon Tester was re-elected in 2018 with 50.3% of the vote. Tester has stated he is "undecided" on whether to seek re-election and a decision is expected by April.[58]
Nebraska
There will be two elections in Nebraska, due to the resignation of Ben Sasse.
Nebraska (regular)
Two-term Republican Deb Fischer was re-elected in 2018 with 57.7% of the vote. On May 14, 2021, Fischer announced she intends to seek re-election, despite previously declaring an intention to retire.[29]
Democrat Alisha Shelton, a mental health practitioner from Omaha, plans to challenge Fischer.[30]
Nebraska (special)
Two-term Republican Ben Sasse resigned his seat on January 8, 2023, to become President of the University of Florida.[59][4] Former governor and 2006 Senate nominee Pete Ricketts was appointed by Governor Jim Pillen and a special election for the seat will take place concurrently with the 2024 regular Senate elections.
Nevada
One-term Democrat Jacky Rosen was elected in 2018 with 50.4% of the vote. Rosen is running for a second term.[19]
New Jersey
Three-term Democrat Bob Menendez was re-elected in 2018 with 54.0% of the vote. On July 13, 2021, The New Jersey Globe stated that Menendez plans to run for a fourth term.[31]
New Mexico
Two-term Democrat Martin Heinrich was re-elected in 2018 with 54.1% of the vote. Heinrich has announced his intent to run for a third term.[19]
New York
Two-term Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected in 2018 with 67.0% of the vote. Gillibrand is running for a third full term.[60]
North Dakota
One-term Republican Kevin Cramer was elected in 2018 with 55.1% of the vote.
Democrat Kristin Hedger, a businesswoman and nominee for North Dakota secretary of state in 2006 has filed paperwork to run for this seat.[61]
Ohio
Three-term Democrat Sherrod Brown was re-elected in 2018 with 53.4% of the vote. Brown is running for a fourth term.[32]
Republican State Senator Matt Dolan has announced his candidacy,[62] and Ohio secretary of state Frank LaRose is considered another potential challenger to Brown.[63]
Pennsylvania
Three-term Democrat Bob Casey, Jr., was re-elected in 2018 with 55.7% of the vote. Casey has announced his intention to run for a fourth term.[19]
Republican businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 David McCormick has expressed interest in challenging Casey.[64]
Rhode Island
Three-term Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse was re-elected in 2018 with 61.4% of the vote.
Tennessee
One-term Republican Marsha Blackburn was elected in 2018 with 54.7% of the vote.
Texas
Two-term Republican Ted Cruz was re-elected in 2018 with 50.9% of the vote. Cruz is running for a third-term despite advocating for congressional term limits. He has also expressed interest in running for president in 2024.[65]
Democratic U.S. representative Joaquin Castro and his twin brother Julian Castro, former San Antonio mayor, former United States secretary of housing and urban development and 2020 presidential candidate, are considered potential frontrunners for the Democratic nomination.[66]
Utah
One-term Republican Mitt Romney was elected in 2018 with 62.6% of the vote. Romney has expressed uncertainty over his political future following his votes to convict Trump on impeachment.[67] Utah attorney general Sean Reyes has expressed interest in challenging Romney in the Republican primary.[68]
Former U.S. representative Jason Chaffetz is also seen as a potential primary challenger.[67]
Vermont
Three-term independent Bernie Sanders was re-elected in 2018 with 67.4% of the vote.
Potential Democratic candidates include former Vermont attorney general, T. J. Donovan,[69] and incumbent Vermont lieutenant governor, David Zuckerman,[70] a Progressive.[71]
Virginia
Two-term Democrat Tim Kaine was re-elected in 2018 with 57.0% of the vote. Republican governor Glenn Youngkin is term-limited in 2025 and may run against Kaine.[72]
Washington
Four-term Democrat Maria Cantwell was re-elected in 2018 with 58.3% of the vote. She has announced her intent to run for a fifth term.[19]
West Virginia
Two-term Democrat Joe Manchin was re-elected in 2018 with 49.6% of the vote. There have been reports that Manchin plans to run for a third full term.[73] However, on October 5, 2022, Manchin said, "What I do in 2024 has nothing to do with what I do right now," and was watching the 2022 elections before making a decision.[19]
Republican congressman Alex Mooney has announced he is challenging Manchin, while governor Jim Justice and attorney general Patrick Morrisey have publicly expressed interest in entering the race.[37]
Manchin has received cross-party endorsements from fellow senators Susan Collins (R-ME) and Lisa Murkowski (R-AK).[74]
Wisconsin
Two-term Democrat Tammy Baldwin was re-elected in 2018 with 55.4% of the vote. She has announced her intention to run for a third term.[19]
Wyoming
Two-term Republican John Barrasso was re-elected in 2018 with 67.0% of the vote.
Notes
- ^ a b The independent senators Bernie Sanders (Vermont) and Angus King (Maine) caucus with Senate Democrats, while Kyrsten Sinema (Arizona) aligns with the Senate Democratic Caucus.[1]
- ^ The U.S. Vice President, who will be determined in 2024, breaks ties in a 50–50 Senate. Republicans need 50 seats if they win the vice presidency or 51 if they do not.
- ^ The last elections for this group of senators were in 2018, except for those elected in a special election or who were appointed after the resignation or passing of a sitting senator, as noted.
- ^ a b Against fellow Democrat
- ^ Republican Ben Sasse won with 62.7% of the vote in 2020, but resigned January 8, 2023, to become president of the University of Florida.
- ^ Democratic total includes 3 Independents who caucus with the Democrats.
- ^ Incumbent Ben Sasse resigned on January 8, 2023. Pete Ricketts was appointed as interim senator by Nebraska governor Jim Pillen on January 12, 2023, until a special election is held to fill the remainder of the term.
- ^ Sinema was elected as a Democrat and switched to become an independent in December 2022.
References
- ^ 2023 Congressional Record, Vol. 169, Page S22 (January 3, 2023)
- ^ a b c d Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul (September 22, 2022). "Braun to Run for Governor". Indy Politics. Retrieved September 22, 2022.
- ^ a b c d Burke, Melissa Nann (January 5, 2023). "Michigan's U.S. Sen. Stabenow won't seek reelection in 2024". Detroit News. Retrieved January 5, 2023.
- ^ a b Everett, Burgess; Levine, Marianne (October 5, 2022). "Sasse expected to resign from Senate". Politico.
- ^ a b Everett, Burgess (October 5, 2022). "Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents". Politico.
- ^ Cowan, Richard; Chiacu, Doina (December 9, 2022). "Kyrsten Sinema leaves Democratic Party, adding drama to tight Senate margin". Reuters. Retrieved December 9, 2022.
- ^ "Georgia's Runoff is the Opening Battle of the 2024 Senate Cycle". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 17, 2022.
- ^ Coleman, Miles (December 15, 2017). . Decision Desk HQ. Archived from the original on June 13, 2018. Retrieved July 27, 2019.
- ^ "2024 Senate Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 24, 2023.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ "Initial Senate Ratings: Democrats Have a Lot of Defending to Do". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved January 24, 2023.
- ^ Weaver, Al. "Former Nebraska Gov. Pete Ricketts tapped to fill Sasse's Senate seat". thehill.com. The Hill. Retrieved January 12, 2023.
Pillen also noted that Ricketts has committed to running in 2024 and 2026
- ^ Kapur, Sahil; Hillyard, Vaughn (January 23, 2023). "Democrat Ruben Gallego launches run for Senate in Arizona as Sinema stays silent". NBC News. Retrieved January 23, 2023.
- ^ "Long Beach RWF to welcome future Senate candidate Denice Gary Pandol to June 11 breakfast meeting". May 16, 2022. Retrieved November 18, 2022.
- ^ "Peter Yuan Liu FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). November 14, 2022. Retrieved November 15, 2022.
- ^ "Barack Obama Mandela FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). July 18, 2022. Retrieved September 23, 2022.
- ^ a b Bradner, Eric; Wright, David (January 10, 2023). "Progressive Rep. Katie Porter launches bid for Feinstein's California Senate seat | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ McCammond, Alex (January 26, 2023). "Anti-Trump stalwart Rep. Adam Schiff enters California Senate race". Axios. Retrieved January 26, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s Everett, Burgess. "Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents". Politico. Retrieved October 5, 2022.
- ^ a b Fineout, Gary (November 12, 2021). "Rick Scott to run for reelection in '24". Politico. Retrieved November 12, 2021.
- ^ Wright, David (January 17, 2023). "GOP Rep. Jim Banks announces Indiana US Senate campaign". CNN. Retrieved January 17, 2023.
- ^ a b Hirschkorn, Phil. "Maine Independent Senator Angus King intends to seek third term in U.S. Senate in 2024". WMTW. Retrieved December 1, 2022.
- ^ a b Thompson, Alex (May 8, 2021). "Warren says she will run for reelection in 2024". Politico.
- ^ DiNatale, Sara (January 3, 2023). "Ty Pinkins, Army veteran and Delta advocate, announces U.S. Senate run". Mississippi Today. Retrieved January 3, 2023.
- ^ a b Vance, Taylor (January 4, 2023). "Army veteran Ty Pinkins announces campaign against US Sen. Roger Wicker". Daily Journal. Retrieved January 3, 2023.
Phillip Waller, the communications director for Wicker, said in a statement that Wicker will also run for re-election next year.
- ^ Southey, Stephanie (January 16, 2023). "Columbia activist announces bid for U.S. Senate". KOMU News. Retrieved January 17, 2023.
- ^ a b Ketz, Jonathan (December 8, 2022). "Hawley says he's not interested in presidential run at this time". Fox 4. Retrieved December 10, 2022.
- ^ a b Ingram, Nick (January 6, 2023). "Lucas Kunce announces candidacy for U.S. Senate". KQTV. Retrieved January 6, 2023.
- ^ a b Walton, Don (September 7, 2021). "Fischer says she'll seek third Senate term in 2024". JournalStar.com. Retrieved November 17, 2022.
- ^ a b "Watch Now: Chris Janicek Won't Quit Senate Race, Democrats Eye Write-In Candidate". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved February 17, 2021.
- ^ a b Wildstein, David (July 14, 2021). "Menendez builds warchest for 2024 re-election campaign". New Jersey Globe.
- ^ a b Tobias, Andrew (September 13, 2022). "Ohio's Sen. Sherrod Brown says he's running for reelection in 2024". Cleveland.com. Retrieved September 16, 2022.
- ^ "Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown draws his first GOP challenger in key 2024 race". January 16, 2023. Retrieved January 16, 2023.
- ^ "U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz confirms he will seek a third term in 2024". November 19, 2022. Retrieved November 19, 2022.
- ^ Randle, Caitlin (June 4, 2021). "Former Midland councilman announces U.S. Senate run in 2024". www.mrt.com. Retrieved November 30, 2022.
- ^ Churchill, Victoria (January 31, 2023). "Constitutional Litigator Jonathan Emord Announces U.S. Senate Run". The Republican Standard. Retrieved January 31, 2023.
- ^ a b Hauf, Patrick (November 15, 2022). "Joe Manchin gets a GOP challenger for his West Virginia Senate seat". Fox News.
- ^ Howell, Craig (October 17, 2022). "GOP candidates, voters rally in Weirton". The Weirton Daily Times.
- ^ Everett, Burgess (December 9, 2022). "Sinema switches to independent, shaking up the Senate". Politico. Retrieved December 9, 2022.
- ^ "Sinema files campaign papers, but re-election decision unclear". MSN. Retrieved January 28, 2023.
- ^ Roche, Darragh (January 21, 2022). "Kyrsten Sinema 'Staggeringly Vulnerable' in 2024 After Filibuster Vote". Newsweek. Retrieved July 31, 2022.
- ^ Schwartz, Brian (January 26, 2022). "'I have given up': Democratic donors plot to finance primary challenge against Kyrsten Sinema". CNBC.
- ^ Seitz-Wald, Alex; Kapur, Sahil (September 30, 2021). "Could Sen. Kyrsten Sinema face a primary? These progressives are trying to make it happen". NBC News. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
- ^ Goodwin, Liz; Wingett Sanchez, Yvonne (January 18, 2023). "2024 Senate map is a GOP dream. But candidate strength is unsettled". The Washington Post.
- ^ Tom, Matthew (January 13, 2021). "Sen. Feinstein, 87, files initial paperwork to run for re-election in 2024". SFGATE. Retrieved January 15, 2021.
- ^ Ting, Eric (October 16, 2020). "Katie Porter joins chorus of Dianne Feinstein critics following Barrett hearings". SFGATE. Retrieved September 17, 2021.
- ^ Haberkorn, Jennifer (March 16, 2021). "Democrats loved Katie Porter when she bashed Trump. Now she is making them squirm". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved September 17, 2021.
- ^ Otterbein, Holly (March 17, 2022). "Sanders camp quietly pushes Khanna presidential bid". Politico. Retrieved March 17, 2022.
- ^ White, Jeremy B. (April 23, 2022). "California Dems are eyeing Feinstein's seat — but they're not talking about it". Politico. Retrieved April 23, 2022.
- ^ Wu, Nicholas. "Barbara Lee tells lawmakers she's running for Senate". POLITICO. Retrieved January 11, 2023.
- ^ McCammond, Alexi (January 26, 2023). "Anti-Trump stalwart Rep. Adam Schiff enters California Senate race". Axios.
- ^ Martin, Jonathan (September 5, 2018). "Delaware's Heated Senate Race Threatens to Rip Apart Its Centrist Political Fabric". The New York Times.
- ^ Gancarski, A. G. (January 25, 2023). "Melbourne lawyer floats Primary challenge to Rick Scott". Florida Politics - Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government. Retrieved January 31, 2023.
- ^ "GOP Rep. Banks jumps into race for open Indiana Senate seat". AP NEWS. January 17, 2023. Retrieved January 17, 2023.
- ^ Wren, Adam (September 22, 2022). "Hoosier free-for-all? Spartz eyes Senate run in 2024 as Braun pursues gov race". Politico. Retrieved September 22, 2022.
- ^ Solender, Andrew (November 23, 2022). "Rep. Jim Banks eyes Senate bid". Axios. Retrieved December 10, 2022.
- ^ Kurtz, Josh (December 22, 2022). "Raskin gets top Democratic slot on U.S. House Oversight Committee". Maryland Matters. Retrieved January 28, 2023.
- ^ Everett, Burgess. "Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents". POLITICO. Retrieved January 28, 2023.
- ^ "Senator Ben Sasse (R-Nebraska) officially resigned at 12:00 Noon today. Nebraska Gov. Jim Pillen will select his replacement". Twitter. Retrieved January 8, 2023.
- ^ "New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand launches reelection bid". AP NEWS. January 12, 2023. Retrieved January 13, 2023.
- ^ "Kristin Hedger FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). September 3, 2021. Retrieved July 7, 2022.
- ^ "Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown draws his first GOP challenger in key 2024 race". NBC News. Retrieved January 16, 2023.
- ^ Provance, Jim (May 3, 2022). "LaRose cruises to GOP nomination for secretary of state". Toledo Blade.
- ^ Otterbein, Holly (June 8, 2022). "GOP sets its sights on Bob Casey's Senate seat". Politico.
- ^ Chan, Sewell (November 19, 2022). "U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz confirms he will seek a third term in 2024". The Texas Tribute.
- ^ Conant, Ericka (January 12, 2021). "If Sen. Ted Cruz doesn't resign, who could defeat him in 2024?". Al Día. Retrieved March 20, 2022.
- ^ a b Bolton, Alexander (April 13, 2022). "Romney, now a GOP maverick, undecided on future in politics". The Hill.
- ^ Allison, Natalie; Lippman, Daniel (March 16, 2022). "Top Trump ally gears up for Romney primary challenge". Politico.com.
- ^ Davis, Eric (October 24, 2019). "Vermont elections may lack drama". Addison County Independent. Retrieved October 25, 2020.
- ^ Landen, Xander; Norton, Kit (October 29, 2019). "Democrats poll Zuckerman and Donovan for governor as Holcombe presses ahead". VTDigger. Retrieved October 25, 2020.
- ^ Landen, Xander (December 6, 2020). "Election results 'make room' for new leaders in the Progressive Party". VTDigger. Retrieved January 7, 2021.
- ^ Va. Gov. Glenn Youngkin: "I have my eyes on 2024" | Spicer and Co., May 26, 2022, retrieved June 11, 2022
- ^ Schwartz, Brian (October 12, 2021). "Billionaire Peltz draws GOP megadonors to $5,000-a-plate fundraiser for Democrat Sen. Joe Manchin". CNBC.
Over a lunch choice of chicken or fish, Manchin told the crowd of donors that he plans to run for reelection in 2024...
- ^ Everett, Burgess (July 26, 2021). "Manchin weighs another term as his influence peaks". politico.