2024 United States Senate election in California

The 2024 United States Senate election in California will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of California.^[1] Incumbent five-term Democratic Senator Dianne Feinstein was re-elected in the 2018 election with 54.2% of the vote. She will be 91 years old in 2024.^[2]

2024 United States Senate election in California

← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →

Incumbent U.S. senator Dianne Feinstein Democratic

Media sources have speculated that Feinstein may choose not to seek re-election in 2024 or resign before the end of her term, owing to her age, reports that her cognitive state is declining, and her decision not to take the position of Senate president pro tempore in the 118th Congress, third in line for the presidency, even though she would have been customarily offered the role as the most senior member of the majority caucus.^[3] In December 2022, Feinstein confirmed that she would not resign before the end of her term.^[4] Despite this, U.S. representatives Katie Porter and Adam Schiff have declared their intent to run for the seat.

If Feinstein does not seek re-election, this would be only the second open Senate race in California in the past thirty years,^[a] and the first open race for the Class I seat since 1982.

Candidates

Democratic Party

Declared

• Katie Porter, U.S. Representative for California's 47th congressional district (2019–present)^[5]
• Adam Schiff, U.S. Representative for California's 30th congressional district (2001–present)^[6]

Announcement pending

• Barbara Lee, U.S. Representative for California's 12th congressional district (1998–present)^[7]

Publicly expressed interest

• Dianne Feinstein, incumbent U.S. Senator (1992–present)^[2]
• Ro Khanna, U.S. Representative for California's 17th congressional district (2017–present)^[8]

Potential

• Xavier Becerra, U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services (2021–present), former Attorney General of California (2017–2021), and former U.S. Representative for California's 34th congressional district (1993–2017)^[9]
• Rob Bonta, Attorney General of California (2021–present)^[9]
• London Breed, Mayor of San Francisco (2018–present)^[10]
• Lou Correa, U.S. Representative for California's 47th congressional district (2017–present)^[11]
• Eleni Kounalakis, Lieutenant Governor of California (2019–present)^[9]
• Holly Mitchell, Los Angeles County supervisor (2020–present)^[12]
• Gavin Newsom, Governor of California (2019–present)^[13]
• Libby Schaaf, former Mayor of Oakland (2015–2023)^[12]
• Eric Swalwell, U.S. Representative for California's 14th congressional district (2013-present)^[9]

Republican Party

Declared

• Denice Gary-Pandol, educator^[14]

Filed paperwork

• Peter Liu, entrepreneur and candidate for Mayor of Oakland in 2018^[15][16]
• Barack Mandela, attorney^[17][18]

Primary election

Endorsements

Katie Porter (D)

U.S. Senators

• Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts^[19]

Organizations

• Progressive Change Campaign Committee^[20]

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Ro Khanna (D)	Barbara Lee (D)	Katie Porter (D)	Adam Schiff (D)	Generic Republican	Undecided
David Binder Research	November 19–21, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	6%	9%	30%	29%	9%	17%

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Inside Elections^[21]	Solid D	January 6, 2023
The Cook Political Report^[22]	Solid D	January 24, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[23]	Safe D	January 24, 2023

Polling

Katie Porter vs. Adam Schiff

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Katie Porter (D)	Adam Schiff (D)	Undecided
David Binder Research	November 19–21, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	37%	26%	37%^[c]

Notes

1. The other was the 2016 race following the retirement of Barbara Boxer.
2. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
3. Includes "None"

References

1. "United States Senate elections, 2024". Ballotpedia. Retrieved September 12, 2022.
2. White, Jeremy B. (April 23, 2022). "California Dems are eyeing Feinstein's seat — but they're not talking about it". Politico. Retrieved September 12, 2022.
3. Willon, Phil (November 18, 2022). "California's 2024 U.S. Senate race could be a hot one". The Los Angeles Times.
4. "Feinstein says she won't step down early from Senate". December 12, 2022.
5. Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (January 10, 2023). "Rep. Katie Porter launches a U.S. Senate bid". Orange County Register. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
6. Mason, Melanie (January 26, 2023). "California Rep. Adam Schiff enters marquee Senate race". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved January 26, 2023.
7. Wu, Nicholas. "Barbara Lee tells lawmakers she's running for Senate". POLITICO. Retrieved January 12, 2023.
8. "Semafor Americana 12/9/2022". December 9, 2022. Ro Khanna: 'If [Sen. Dianne] Feinstein were to retire, I've said I'd take a look at running for Senate.'
9. Wright, Davis; Bradner, Eric (January 10, 2023). "Progressive Rep. Katie Porter launches bid for Feinstein's California Senate seat". CNN. Retrieved January 18, 2023.
10. Rose Dickey, Megan; Bastone, Nick. "Mayor London Breed opposes her extra year in office". Axios. Retrieved November 14, 2022.
11. Seiler, John (January 13, 2023). "Lou Correa would be a much better Senate candidate than far-left Katie Porter". Orange County Register. Retrieved January 16, 2023.
12. "Rep. Katie Porter announces bid for Dianne Feinstein's Senate seat".
13. Skelton, George (December 19, 2022). "Column: Feinstein won't step down early. But when she does, these contenders have the best shot at her seat". LA Times.
14. "Long Beach RWF to welcome future Senate candidate Denice Gary Pandol to June 11 breakfast meeting". May 16, 2022. Retrieved November 18, 2022.
15. "Peter Yuan Liu FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). November 14, 2022. Retrieved November 15, 2022.
16. "Peter Yuan Liu". Ballotpedia. Retrieved January 18, 2023.
17. "Barack Obama Mandela FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). July 18, 2022. Retrieved September 23, 2022.
18. "Barack Obama Mandela". Ballotpedia. Retrieved January 18, 2023.
19. Vitali, Ali (January 12, 2023). "Warren backs Porter in California Senate primary". NBC News. Retrieved January 12, 2023.
20. Wang, Amy B.; Wells, Dylan (January 10, 2023). "Rep. Katie Porter announces run for U.S. Senate in California". Washington Post.
21. "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
22. "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
23. Kondik, Kyle. "Initial Senate Ratings: Democrats Have a Lot of Defending to Do – Sabato's Crystal Ball". Retrieved January 25, 2023.

External links

Official campaign websites

• Adam Schiff (D) for Senate
• Denard Ingram (D) for Senate
• Katie Porter (D) for Senate