2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
Presidential primaries and caucuses are being organized by state Republican parties and legislatures to select their delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention, to determine the party's nominee for president in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. The elections will take place individually in all 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories, between January and June 2024. The 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled to be held in July at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.[3]
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2,467 delegates (2,392 pledged and 75 unpledged) to the Republican National Convention[2][a] 1,234[2] votes needed to win | |||
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| Opinion polls | |||
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First place by first-instance vote | |||
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Former President Donald Trump initiated his run for president on November 15, 2022, a week after the 2022 midterm elections and two years ahead of the 2024 election. Former Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley became the first to follow him on February 14, followed by wealth management executive Vivek Ramaswamy one week later, businessman Perry Johnson on March 2, former Arkansas governor Asa Hutchinson on April 6, radio host Larry Elder on April 20, businessman Ryan Binkley on April 23, U.S. Senator Tim Scott on May 19, Florida governor Ron DeSantis on May 24, former Vice President Mike Pence on June 5, former New Jersey governor Chris Christie on June 6, North Dakota governor Doug Burgum on June 7, Miami mayor Francis Suarez on June 14, and former U.S. Representative Will Hurd on June 22.
Trump is the frontrunner as of March 2023, and has maintained a consistent lead in primary polling since 2020. Some Republicans have expressed concerns about his nomination due to his loss in 2020, ongoing criminal investigations, and the results of the 2022 midterms, when several Trump-endorsed candidates lost key races.[4] However, many others have supported him and decried the investigations as politically motivated.[5] Among non-Trump candidates, DeSantis is polling in second place and narrowly ahead of several other candidates.[6][7]
Trump is the first president to run after leaving office since Herbert Hoover in 1940; if he wins the Republican nomination, he will be the first Republican to be nominated for president three seperate times since Richard Nixon (Republican nominee in 1960, 1968, and 1972), and the first person to be the Republican presidential nominee in three consecutive elections. If he wins the general election, he will be the first president to serve non-consecutive terms since Grover Cleveland, who won his second term in 1892.[8] Meanwhile, Pence's candidacy makes him the first vice president to run against the president under whom they served since John Nance Garner in 1940,[9] while Burgum is the first major North Dakota native to seek the Republican presidential nomination.[10]
Candidates
As of August 2023, more than 290 candidates have filed with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) to run for the Republican nomination in 2024.[11] In previous cycles, the vast majority of these have been minor candidates who did not appear on any ballots, raise money, or otherwise attempt to formally run a campaign.[11][12]
Declared major candidates
The candidates in this section have declared their candidacies and meet one or more of the following criteria: campaign has received substantial major media coverage; current or previous holder of significant elected office (president, vice president, governor, U.S. senator, U.S. representative); have been included in at least five national polls.
| Name | Born | Experience | Home state | Campaign Announcement date | Ref. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Binkley | November 19, 1967 (age 55) Columbus, Georgia | Co-founder and CEO of Generational Equity Group (2006–present) Co-founder and lead pastor of Create Church | Campaign April 23, 2023 FEC filing[13] | [14] | ||
| Doug Burgum | August 1, 1956 (age 67) Arthur, North Dakota | Governor of North Dakota (2016–present) Senior Vice President of Microsoft Business Solutions Group (2002–2007) President of Great Plains Software (1984–2001) | Campaign June 7, 2023 FEC filing[15] | [16] | ||
| Chris Christie | September 6, 1962 (age 60) Newark, New Jersey | Governor of New Jersey (2010–2018) Candidate for president (2016) U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey (2002–2008) | Campaign June 6, 2023 FEC filing[17] | [18] | ||
| Ron DeSantis | September 14, 1978 (age 44) Jacksonville, Florida | Governor of Florida (2019–present) U.S. Representative from FL-06 (2013–2018) | Campaign May 24, 2023 FEC filing[19] | [20] | ||
| Larry Elder | April 27, 1952 (age 71) Los Angeles, California | Host of The Larry Elder Show (1993–2022) Candidate for Governor of California in the 2021 recall election | Campaign April 20, 2023 FEC filing[21] | [22] | ||
| Nikki Haley | January 20, 1972 (age 51) Bamberg, South Carolina | Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018) Governor of South Carolina (2011–2017) South Carolina State Representative (2005–2011) | Campaign February 14, 2023 FEC filing[23] | [24] | ||
| Will Hurd | August 19, 1977 (age 46) San Antonio, Texas | U.S. Representative from TX-23 (2015–2021) | Campaign June 22, 2023 FEC filing[25] | [26] | ||
| Asa Hutchinson | December 3, 1950 (age 72) Bentonville, Arkansas | Governor of Arkansas (2015–2023) Under Secretary of Homeland Security (2003–2005) Administrator of the Drug Enforcement Administration (2001–2003) | Campaign April 6, 2023 FEC filing[27] | [28] | ||
| Perry Johnson | January 23, 1948 (age 75) Dolton, Illinois | Founder of Perry Johnson Registrars, Inc. (1994–present) Disqualified candidate for Governor of Michigan in 2022 | Campaign March 2, 2023 FEC filing[29] | [30] | ||
| Mike Pence | June 7, 1959 (age 64) Columbus, Indiana | Vice President of the United States (2017–2021) Governor of Indiana (2013–2017) U.S. Representative from IN-06 (2003–2013) U.S. Representative from IN-02 (2001–2003) | Campaign June 5, 2023 FEC filing[31] | [32] | ||
| Vivek Ramaswamy | August 9, 1985 (age 38) Cincinnati, Ohio | Executive chairman of Strive Asset Management (2022–present) CEO of Roivant Sciences (2014–2021) | Campaign February 21, 2023 FEC filing[33] | [34] | ||
| Tim Scott | September 19, 1965 (age 57) North Charleston, South Carolina | U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2013–present) U.S. Representative from SC-01 (2011–2013) South Carolina State Representative (2009–2011) | Campaign May 19, 2023 FEC filing[35] | [36] | ||
| Francis Suarez | October 6, 1977 (age 45) Miami, Florida | Mayor of Miami (2017–present) Member of the Miami City Commission (2009–2017) | Campaign June 14, 2023 FEC filing[37] | [38] | ||
| Donald Trump | June 14, 1946 (age 77) Queens, New York | President of the United States (2017–2021) Chairman of The Trump Organization (1971–2017) | Campaign November 15, 2022 FEC filing[39][40] | [41] | ||
Other declared candidates
The candidates in this section are otherwise notable, but have not met the criteria outlined above.
- John Anthony Castro, tax consultant and perennial candidate[42]
- E. W. Jackson, pastor, conservative activist, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2012 and 2018, and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Virginia in 2013[43]
- Steve Laffey, mayor of Cranston, Rhode Island (2003–2007)[44]
- Corey Stapleton, Montana Secretary of State (2017–2021), member of the Montana Senate from the 27th district (2001–2009)[45]
Publicly expressed interest
As of August 2023[update], the following notable individuals have expressed an interest in running for president within the previous six months.
- John Bolton, 27th United States National Security Advisor (2018–2019), 25th United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2005–2006), 3rd Under Secretary of State for Arms Control and International Security Affairs (2001–2005), 18th Assistant Secretary of State for International Organization Affairs (1989–1993), U.S. Assistant Attorney General (1985–1989)[46]
- Rick Perry, 14th United States Secretary of Energy (2017–2019), 47th Governor of Texas (2000–2015), 39th Lieutenant Governor of Texas (1999–2000), 9th Agriculture Commissioner of Texas (1991–1999), Member of the Texas House of Representatives (1985–1991)[47]
- Mike Rogers, Former Chairman of the House Intelligence Committee (2011–2015), United States Representative from MI-08 (2001–2015), member of the Michigan Senate from the 26th district (1995–2001), FBI Special Agent (1989–1994), Second Lieutenant, Company Commander in U.S. Army (1985–1989)[48]
Potential candidates
As of August 2023[update], there has been speculation about the potential candidacy of the following notable individuals within the previous six months.
- Glenn Youngkin, 74th Governor of Virginia (2022–present)[49][50] (will consider after the 2023 Virginia elections)
Declined to be candidates
The following notable individuals have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy but have publicly denied interest in running.
- Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2019–present), United States Representative from TN-07 (2003–2019), member of the Tennessee Senate from the 23rd district (1999–2003)[51] (endorsed Trump)[52]
- Tucker Carlson, host of Tucker Carlson Tonight (2016–2023) and co-founder of The Daily Caller[53][54][55]
- Liz Cheney, United States Representative from WY-AL (2017–2023), Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs (2002–2004, 2005–2009) (considering independent run)[56]
- Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–present), United States Representative from AR-04 (2013–2015)[57]
- Dan Crenshaw, United States Representative from TX-02 (2019–present)[58][59]
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present), 3rd Texas Solicitor General (2003–2008), candidate for president in 2016 (running for re-election)[60][61]
- Joni Ernst, U.S. Senator from Iowa (2015–present), member of the Iowa Senate from the 12th district (2011–2014), Montgomery County Auditor (2005–2011)[62][63]
- Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2019–present), 42nd Missouri Attorney General (2017–2019)[64] (running for re-election)[65]
- Larry Hogan, 62nd Governor of Maryland (2015–2023), Maryland Secretary of Appointments (2003–2007)[66] (considering independent run)[67]
- Brian Kemp, 83rd Governor of Georgia (2019–present), 27th Georgia Secretary of State (2010–2018), member of the Georgia Senate from the 46th district (2003–2007)[68][69]
- Adam Kinzinger, United States Representative from IL-16 (2011–2023)[70][71]
- Pat McCrory, 74th Governor of North Carolina (2013–2017) and 53rd Mayor of Charlotte (1995–2009)[72]
- Kristi Noem, 33rd Governor of South Dakota (2019–present), United States Representative from SD-AL (2011–2019)[73]
- Dan Patrick, 42nd Lieutenant Governor of Texas (2015–present), member of the Texas Senate from the 7th district (2007–2015)[74][75] (endorsed Trump)[76]
- Rand Paul, U.S. Senator from Kentucky (2011–present), candidate for president in 2016[77][78]
- Mike Pompeo, 70th United States Secretary of State (2018–2021), 6th Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (2017–2018), United States Representative from KS-04 (2011–2017)[79]
- Mitt Romney, U.S. Senator from Utah (2019–present), 70th Governor of Massachusetts (2003–2007), nominee for president in 2012 and candidate in 2008[80][81]
- Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator from Florida (2011–present), 94th Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives (2006–2008) from the 111th district (2000–2008), member of the West Miami City Commission (1998–2000), candidate for president in 2016[82][83][84]
- Paul Ryan, 54th Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (2015–2019) from WI-01 (1999–2019) and nominee for vice president in 2012[85][86]
- Rick Scott, U.S. Senator from Florida (2019–present), 45th Governor of Florida (2011–2019) (running for re-election)[87]
- Chris Sununu, 82nd Governor of New Hampshire (2017–present), member of the New Hampshire Executive Council (2011–2017)[88][89]
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman, executive vice president of The Trump Organization, son of former president Donald Trump[90][91]
- Ivanka Trump, Senior Advisor to the President of the United States (2017–2021), daughter of former president Donald Trump[92][93]
- Scott Walker, 45th Governor of Wisconsin (2011–2019), 5th Milwaukee County Executive (2002–2010), member of the Wisconsin State Assembly from the 14th district (1993–2002), candidate for president in 2016[94][83]
Vice presidential speculation
Timeline
2022
November 2022
A week after the 2022 midterm elections, at Mar-a-Lago, former president Donald Trump announced that he would run again for the presidency in 2024. If elected, he would become the only president other than Grover Cleveland to serve two non-consecutive terms.[95]
2023
February 2023
On February 14, former South Carolina governor and former U.N. ambassador Nikki Haley released a video announcing her presidential candidacy.[96]
On February 21, anti-ESG activist Vivek Ramaswamy announced his presidential candidacy on Tucker Carlson Tonight.[97]
March 2023
On March 2, businessman Perry Johnson, a Michigan gubernatorial candidate in 2022, who had been deemed ineligible to appear on the primary ballot by the Board of State Canvassers due to alleged fraudulent signatures, announced his intent to run for president of the United States.[30]
April 2023
On April 1, businessman and pastor Ryan Binkley filed to run with the Federal Election Commission.[98]
On April 2, former Arkansas governor Asa Hutchinson announced his candidacy during an interview with ABC News' Jonathan Karl.[99]
On April 6, Hutchinson filed to run with the Federal Election Commission.[27]
On April 12, the junior U.S. Senator from South Carolina Tim Scott announced an exploratory committee to run for president.[100]
On April 20, former California gubernatorial candidate Larry Elder announced his campaign on Tucker Carlson Tonight.[101]
On April 23, Binkley announced his presidential campaign at the University of Texas at Dallas campus[102]
May 2023
On May 19, Tim Scott submitted FEC paperwork to run;[103] he announced his presidential run publicly on May 22.[104]
On May 24, Florida governor and former U.S. representative Ron DeSantis submitted his FEC paperwork to run,[105] and announced that he was running for president during a Twitter Spaces interview with Twitter owner Elon Musk.[106]
June 2023
On June 5, former Vice President Mike Pence filed paperwork to run for president[107] and North Dakota governor Doug Burgum released a campaign video.[108]
On June 6, Burgum published an announcement opinion-editorial piece announcing his presidential run in the Wall Street Journal,[109] making him the first person born in North Dakota to seek a major party's president nomination.[10][c] The same day, former New Jersey governor and 2016 presidential candidate Chris Christie publicly announced a presidential campaign in New Hampshire.[111]
On June 7, Pence publicly announced his bid with a campaign video.[112] Also, Burgum delivered a public announcement speech in Fargo.[113]
On June 14, Miami mayor Francis Suarez filed his run with the Federal Election Commission. He delivered a speech the next day at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library to publicly announce his campaign, as four other Republicans in the race had done in the last year.[114][115][116][117][118]
On June 22, former CIA agent and representative of Texas Will Hurd launched a run, after previously expressing interest in launching a presidential bid.[119]
August 2023
On August 1, Donald Trump was indicted a third time for trying to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election.[citation needed]
On August 14, Donald Trump was indicted a fourth time for trying to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election in the state of Georgia.[citation needed]
Trump said he would not attend the first debate, and instead planned a show with Tucker Carlson during the same time slot.[120]
On August 21, the slate of candidates that will attend the debate was released: Doug Burgum, Chris Christie, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Asa Hutchinson, Mike Pence, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Tim Scott.[121]
On August 23, the first Republican candidates debate took place in Milwaukee, broadcast by Fox News and moderated by Bret Baier and Martha MacCallum.[122] To be eligible for this debate, a candidate must have polled with at least 1% of voter support, received donations from 40,000 individuals, and signed a loyalty pledge to back whoever ultimately wins the party presidential nomination.[123]
September 2023
On September 27, the second Republican presidential debate will take place at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, California.[124]
January 2024
On January 15, the first election of the cycle takes place with the Iowa caucus, followed by the New Hampshire primary.
Overview
| Active campaign | Exploratory committee | Withdrawn candidate | Republican National Convention | ||||
| Midterm elections | Debates | Primaries |
Background
Despite losing his re-election bid in 2020, Trump remains the main front-runner of the GOP and endorsed challengers to several House members who had voted to impeach him, as well as pushing several candidates through for open races. These candidates had a lackluster performance resulting in the Republicans taking control of the house with only a small majority and causing a dip in Trump's popularity within the party. Many Republicans cited Trump endorsing low-quality candidates as the reason for their slim majority.[125] At the same time Ron DeSantis, the governor of Florida, won nearly 60% of the vote in a landslide victory in his gubernatorial re-election.[126]
Even before DeSantis announced his presidential run, media coverage consistently portrayed him as Trump's main rival.[127][128] DeSantis rose in GOP aggregate polls throughout 2022, eventually reaching 11 points behind Trump. Since the beginning of the year, Trump has resurged and DeSantis has fallen behind. This has been fueled by sentiments against an indictment of Trump on March 30. National polling against incumbent president Biden shows nearly the exact result regardless of which is the GOP nominee, but because of DeSantis' prominence being more recent, more GOP voters are undecided on him than Trump.[129][130][131][132] In March 2023, Trump attacked DeSantis with nicknames like "Meatball Ron" and "Ron DeSanctimonious".[133]
Trump received his first indictment on March 30[134] and was arrested on April 4.[135] On April 25, Trump suggested he would skip Republican debates, saying he did not want to be "libeled and abused" in them and boasting that he already had a "seemingly insurmountable" lead.[136] On May 10, Trump conducted a live town hall with CNN, his first time with a major network other than Fox News since storming off an interview with 60 Minutes in October 2020.[137]
Trump's poll numbers surged immediately after the New York State indictment was announced. A Yahoo News poll shows that in a Republican primary, 57% of respondents would vote for Trump.[138] In a NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist College poll, 80% of Republicans surveyed said Trump was being unfairly targeted.[139]
In July, Trump's jury trial over possession of classified documents was scheduled for 10 months later, for between May 20 and July 3, which will be at the end of the primary season, but prior to the Republican convention and presidential election. The 37 counts carry possible sentences of jail time, however this would not interfere with ballot access.[140]
Debates
The first debate was held on August 23, 2023, in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, hosted by Fox News, with the possibility of a second the next day. It will be roughly five months before primaries begin.[141]
Participants were required to be constitutionally eligible, appropriately filed with the FEC and present to the RNC by August 21 that they had polled over one percent since July in three polls meeting its standards, attracted a wide range of donors, and signed pledges – including one to support the eventual presidential nominee.[142]
As of August 7, eight candidates had qualified for the first debate according to Politico: Trump, DeSantis, Ramaswamy, Pence, Haley, Scott, Christie, and Burgum.[143] Hutchinson has only met the polling requirement, while Johnson and Suarez have met the donor requirement, though Johnson has no qualifying polls and Suarez has one.[144]
The second debate is scheduled for September 27, 2023, in Simi Valley, California at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library. The requirements are similar to the first debate, but increase the number of individual donors required to 50,000 and require the candidates to poll at or above three percent in two national polls or in one national poll and two "early state" polls.[145]
Endorsements
Opinion polling
Campaign finance
This is an overview of the money used by each campaign as it is reported to the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Totals raised include individual contributions, loans from the candidate, and transfers from other campaign committees. Individual contributions are itemized (catalogued) by the FEC when the total value of contributions by an individual comes to more than $200. The last column, Cash On Hand (COH), shows the remaining cash each campaign had available for its future spending as of June 30, 2023. Campaign finance reports for the third quarter of 2023 will become available October 15.[146]
This table does not include contributions made to Super PACs or party committees supporting the candidate.
| Candidate | Total raised | Total raised since last quarter | Individual contributions | Debt | Spent | Spent since last quarter | COH | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Unitemized | Pct | |||||||
| Binkley[147] | $2,095,426 | $192,775 | $42,067 | 21.8% | $1,904,347 | $1,484,347 | $611,079 | ||
| Burgum[148] | $11,768,301 | $1,582,348 | $184,152 | 11.6% | $10,377,842 | $8,114,362 | $3,653,939 | ||
| Christie[149] | $1,656,386 | $1,647,980 | $570,905 | 34.6% | $0 | $66,212 | $1,590,173 | ||
| DeSantis[150] | $20,487,494 | $20,102,668 | $3,061,975 | 15.2% | $11,358 | $8,247,371 | $12,240,123 | ||
| Elder[151] | $467,531 | $453,331 | $138,304 | 30.5% | $0 | $142,914 | $324,617 | ||
| Haley[152] | $10,468,903 | $5,343,472 | $7,610,990 | $1,668,571 | 21.9% | $0 | $3,655,370 | $2,599,489 | $6,813,533 |
| Hurd[153] | $273,513 | $270,075 | $54,155 | 20.1% | $0 | $28,394 | $245,118 | ||
| Hutchinson[154] | $582,521 | $497,200 | $80,375 | 16.2% | $0 | $203,844 | $378,678 | ||
| Johnson[155] | $7,010,764 | $3,247,369 | $61,269 | $0 | 0% | $6,615,658 | $6,735,111 | $5,008,191 | $275,653 |
| Pence[156] | $1,168,733 | $1,160,433 | $346,885 | 29.9% | $0 | $74,343 | $1,094,390 | ||
| Ramaswamy[157] | $19,164,680 | $7,758,468 | $3,156,362 | $1,645,444 | 52.1% | $15,250,000 | $10,134,041 | $8,095,117 | $9,030,639 |
| Scott[158] | $7,580,799 | $6,499,948 | $1,809,769 | 27.8% | $23,310 | $8,252,352 | $21,106,870[d] | ||
| Suarez[159] | $945,451 | $28,788 | 3.0% | $106,513 | $46,600 | $898,850 | |||
| Trump[160] | $35,987,476 | $17,714,573 | $90,906 | $24,093 | 26.5% | $48,453 | $13,471,085 | $9,130,130 | $22,516,391 |
Primaries and caucus calendar
| Date[161] | Total delegates | Primaries/caucuses | |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 15 | 40 | Iowa caucus | |
| January (TBD) | 22 | New Hampshire primary | |
| February 6 | - | Nevada primary[e] | |
| February 8 | 26 | Nevada caucus | |
| February 24 | 50 | South Carolina primary | |
| February 27 | 55 | Michigan primary | |
| March 2 | 32 | Idaho caucus | |
| March 3 | 19 | District of Columbia primary | |
| March 5 (Super Tuesday) | 865 | 49 28 40 169 37 20 40 39 75 43 58 162 40 17 48 | Alabama primary Alaska primary Arkansas primary California primary Colorado primary Maine primary Massachusetts primary Minnesota primary North Carolina primary Oklahoma primary Tennessee primary Texas primary Utah primary Vermont primary Virginia primary |
| March 12 | 141 | 59 39 43 | Georgia primary Mississippi primary Washington primary |
Timing
GOP rules mandate that changes to all contest dates must occur by September 2023, and there appears to be a trend of contests being scheduled earlier than usual.[162] They also specify that all must occur between March and June 11, 2024 – except for Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina – which are allowed to hold contests in February. Iowa, however, chose to hold its caucus the earliest in over a decade, on a federal holiday – January 15 – as the rules are not legally binding. New Hampshire is expected in late January, a result of state law requiring it to be held at least a week prior to other primaries. Nevada is expected on February 6, with South Carolina on February 24 and Michigan on February 27. The bulk of contests will be concentrated in March, as in previous presidential primaries.[163]
Nevada controversy
After the 2020 presidential election, the state of Nevada moved to establish a presidential primary for both parties. Previously, party-organized caucuses were used in Nevada to determine delegates in presidential elections.
In May 2023, the Nevada Republican Party sued the state of Nevada in an effort to continue the use of caucuses as the means to determine its delegate allocation. It was stated in a court filing from the Nevada Attorney General's office that the Nevada Republican Party was allowed to choose between a primary or caucus, since the primary is non-binding and because state law does not mandate specific rules governing how political parties are to choose its candidate for president.[164]
On August 14, 2023, the Nevada Republican Party announced it would hold its caucuses on February 8 with the February 6 state primary being non-binding.[165]
Michigan controversy
The Michigan primary will take place 2 weeks early, on February 27, 2024 – if its legislature adjourns as expected a month early by November 29, 2023. Michigan legislature laws not passed with a supermajority go into effect 90 days after the adjournment of its session.[166]
The Michigan primaries were originally scheduled to be held in March and thus in accordance with Republican rules, but Democrats (who are in control of the Michigan legislature and governorship after the 2022 midterm elections) decided to move up both primaries as part of their own 2024 presidential delegate selection plan. As a result, the earlier date of February 27 violates Republican rules – which state that only Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina can vote earlier than March 1, 2024.
Michigan Republicans are facing a harsh penalty of up to 90% of their delegates being stripped, if they go forward with their earlier primary. Republicans in Michigan have criticized Democrats in Michigan for their unilateral move and are considering boycotting the earlier primary and instead are considering a party-run caucus later in March.[167]
Delegates
There will be an estimated total of 2,467 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention. In contests until March 15, delegates must be awarded on a proportional basis, either by percentage of statewide vote or share of congressional districts won. However, some states have established thresholds between 4 and 20% for proportionality to kick in, under which a candidate receives no delegates. A vast majority, 41 contests totaling 1,920 delegates, operate this way using methods that are hybrid between proportionality and majority-take-all. New York for example has a 20% threshold for proportionality but if a candidate wins a majority, they take all delegates. North Dakota, Wyoming, American Samoa, Guam, Virgin Islands, and 51 of Pennsylvania's 67 delegates are unpledged (free to vote for anyone at the convention), totaling 119. Florida, New Jersey, Ohio, Colorado, Arizona, Nebraska, South Dakota, and Montana's delegates are strictly awarded on a plurality-take-all basis, totaling 428. It will be possible for a candidate to take all 928 delegates of 19 contests by simply winning a threshold of votes. By Super Tuesday, over 40% of delegates will have been awarded, and most by March 19. GOP rules mandate changes to delegate allocation methods happen by September 30. The primaries will conclude with a final vote on the nominee by a majority of delegates at the newly elected Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, which will be held July 15–18.[168][169]
Candidate filing deadlines
As of August 2023, at least 20 states have announced their filing deadlines for presidential candidates seeking the nomination of their party in order to appear on the state's ballots. Between September 1 and October 15, 2023, Nevada has the nation's first filing window and deadline for its February 8, 2024, presidential caucus. 13 additional states, including populous California and Texas, have filing deadlines by December 22, 2023.[170][171]
See also
Notes
- ^ This delegate count is accurate as of August 2023. Delegate counts are subject to change based on the number of Republicans elected to the state legislatures, governorships, U.S. House, and U.S. Senate through December 31, 2023.
- ^ Trump's original state of residence was New York, but that changed when he moved to Mar-a-Lago in 2019.
- ^ The first North Dakotan to run for president was U.S. Representative William Lemke who ran as the Union Party's nominee in 1936, but Lemke was not born in the state. The first person born in the state to run for president was Gary Johnson who ran as the Libertarian Party's nominee in 2012 and 2016.[110]
- ^ Scott's principal campaign committee, Tim Scott for America, was also used for his earlier congressional campaigns. Much of the cash the campaign has on hand, therefore, is left over from those previous candidacies.
- ^ The state-organized primary will be boycotted by the Nevada Republican Party and its results ignored in favor of the party-organized caucus two days later.
References
- ^ "The Rules of the Republican Party" (PDF). gop.com. April 14, 2022. p. 22. (PDF) from the original on August 30, 2022. Retrieved November 16, 2022.
- ^ a b "The Green Papers". from the original on November 5, 2022. Retrieved November 5, 2022.
- ^ Hooper, Kelly (August 5, 2022). "RNC approves Milwaukee as 2024 convention host". POLITICO. Retrieved July 8, 2023.
- ^ Greenwood, Max (March 29, 2023). "GOP's Trump critics fear party isn't ready to move on". The Hill. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
- ^ Mascaro, Lisa (June 15, 2023). "'Stand with Trump' becomes rallying cry as Republicans amplify attacks on US justice system". Associated Press. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
- ^ Fedor, Lauren (August 19, 2023). "Fading DeSantis primary bid opens up Republican race for second place". Financial Times. Retrieved August 20, 2023.
- ^ Shepard, Steven (March 20, 2023). "The 2024 GOP field: How they win, how they lose". POLITICO. Retrieved June 29, 2023.
- ^ Zeitz, Joshua (November 15, 2022). "4 Ex-Presidents Who Ran Again — And What They Mean for Trump". Politico. Retrieved June 8, 2023.
- ^ Waxman, Olivia (June 6, 2023). "Pence Is First VP to Run Against His Former Boss in 83 Years". Time Magazine. Retrieved June 8, 2023.
- ^ a b Carvell, Tasha (June 1, 2023). "The first North Dakotan to run for President". KFGO. Retrieved July 14, 2023.
- ^ a b "Browse Candidates for president:Republican Party". FEC.gov. Retrieved July 6, 2023.
- ^ "2020 Primary Election Results and Map | Upcoming Presidential Primary Races". www.nbcnews.com. Retrieved July 7, 2023.
- ^ "Form 1 for Binkley For President 2024". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved August 21, 2023.
- ^ "Ryan Binkley, Texas CEO and pastor, announces 2024 Republican presidential run". The Hill. Retrieved August 21, 2023.
- ^ "Form 1 for Doug Burgum for America, Inc". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved June 7, 2023.
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