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2012 United States presidential election in Michigan

The 2012 United States presidential election in Michigan took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Voters chose 16 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.

2012 United States presidential election in Michigan

← 2008 November 6, 2012 2016 →
Turnout63% [1]
 
Nominee Barack Obama Mitt Romney
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Illinois Massachusetts
Running mate Joe Biden Paul Ryan
Electoral vote 16 0
Popular vote 2,564,569 2,115,256
Percentage 54.04% 44.58%

Michigan was won by Democrat Barack Obama with 54.04% of the vote to Romney's 44.58%, a victory margin of 9.46%.[2] It was the sixth presidential election in a row where Michigan voted in favor of the Democratic candidate, with Republicans last carrying the state in 1988. Obama's margin of victory was significantly decreased from 2008 when he carried the state by 16.44%, and he lost 26 counties that had voted for him four years prior. Many of those counties had gone Democratic for the first time in decades, such as Berrien County, which had not voted for a Democrat since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964. The state's Republican trend would continue, as Donald Trump would end up narrowly winning the state and flipping even more counties in 2016. Nevertheless, it would return to the Democratic column in the following cycle when it narrowly backed Joe Biden over Trump.

As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last time Michigan voted more Democratic than the nation, as well as the last time that Bay County, Calhoun County, Eaton County, Gogebic County, Isabella County, Lake County, Macomb County, Manistee County, Monroe County, Shiawassee County, and Van Buren County voted for a Democratic candidate.

Primaries edit

Democratic edit

The Democratic Party used a caucus system to determine the proportion of delegates awarded to Democratic candidates. The caucuses took place May 5; as the only Democratic candidate, President Obama won all 183 pledged delegates in the caucus. They, along with the other 20 unpledged delegates, voted for Obama at the 2012 Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Republican edit

2012 Michigan Republican presidential primary
 
← 2008 February 28, 2012 (2012-02-28) 2016 →
     
Candidate Mitt Romney Rick Santorum
Home state Massachusetts Pennsylvania
Delegate count 16 14
Popular vote 409,522 377,372
Percentage 41.10% 37.87%

     
Candidate Ron Paul Newt Gingrich
Home state Texas Georgia
Delegate count 0 0
Popular vote 115,911 65,027
Percentage 11.63% 6.53%

 
Michigan results by county
  Mitt Romney
  Rick Santorum

The Republican primary took place on February 28, 2012,[3] the same day as the Arizona Republican primary. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney won both of these elections.

This Michigan election used a semi-open primary system (which the state referred to as "closed") in which each voter made a public declaration at their election site and received the ballot for the appropriate party, rather than the fully open system used in the past.[4] The state had 7,286,556 registered voters as of February 15, and delegates were awarded proportionately.[5]

Michigan was given 59 delegates to the Republican (GOP) national convention, but that number was reduced to 30 as a penalty for bringing the election date forward before March 6 as the GOP rules set.[3] The candidate with the greatest number of votes in each of the 14 congressional districts will receive that district's two delegates. Two additional delegates for Michigan were announced by the media to be given proportionally before the election[3] but after the election the Michigan GOP announced there had been an error in the memo published and that the two delegates will be given to the winner, which sparked accusations of Mitt Romney rigging the results from Rick Santorum's team.[6]

Polling edit

Campaign edit

While Romney has close ties to Michigan, where he was born and grew up and his father was the Governor, Santorum, who once trailed Romney badly in the state, had a clear lead over him in mid February after Santorum won Colorado, Minnesota, and Missouri caucuses and primary on February 7. And the competition became a statistical tie between these two candidates before the primary.[7]

Since Michigan allows primary voters to declare their affiliation at the time they vote, Santorum campaign paid for robo-calls inviting Democrats to cross over and vote for him.[8] Romney called this tactic "outrageous" and "disgusting" but Santorum defended himself as not doing anything wrong but getting people to vote in an open primary.[9]

Some Democrats also urged their supporters to vote for Santorum in the Republican primary, in hopes of forcing the Republican candidates to use more resources and help make it easier for Barack Obama to win the general election.[10] This is similar to Rush Limbaugh's "Operation Chaos", where Limbaugh urged voters in the 2008 Democratic Presidential primaries to vote for Hillary Clinton, whom he saw as being a weaker candidate than Obama.[11] Michigan has a long history of such crossover voting; in 2000, strong Democratic crossover votes helped Senator John McCain win the Michigan Republican primary.[12] In 1972, Republican crossover votes propelled Governor George Wallace to victory in the Democratic primary.[13][14]

Results edit

Polls closed at 8 PM local time on election day.[15] While most of the state is in the Eastern time zone (UTC −5), four counties in the Upper Peninsula are on Central time (UTC −6), so the final closures came at 9 PM Eastern time. As of 2/28, results showed Romney winning 7 congressional districts and Santorum winning 7.

2012 Michigan Republican presidential primary[16]
Candidate Votes Percentage Projected delegate count
AP
[17]
CNN
[18]
GP
[19]
  Mitt Romney 409,522 41.10% 16 16 16
Rick Santorum 377,372 37.87% 14 14 14
Ron Paul 115,911 11.63% 0 0 0
Newt Gingrich 65,027 6.53% 0 0 0
Rick Perry (withdrawn) 1,816 0.18% 0 0 0
Buddy Roemer (withdrawn) 1,784 0.18% 0 0 0
Michele Bachmann (withdrawn) 1,735 0.17% 0 0 0
Jon Huntsman (withdrawn) 1,674 0.17% 0 0 0
Herman Cain (withdrawn) 1,211 0.12% 0 0 0
Fred Karger 1,180 0.12% 0 0 0
Gary Johnson (withdrawn) 458 0.05% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 18,809 1.89% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 2 0 0
Total: 996,499 100.00% 30 30 30

At the Republican state convention in May, it was reported that of the 30 voting delegates for the national convention in Tampa, 6 were Paul supporters, and 24 were Romney supporters.[20][21][22][23] Paul organizers disputed these numbers, stating that they had actually taken 8 (instead of 6) of the voting delegates, plus several non-voting slots.[24]

Delegate allocation controversy edit

A controversy arose over the delegate allocation in Michigan, where 28 congressional district delegates and two at-large delegates were awarded. The Republican Party of Michigan rules stated that the two at-large delegates would be awarded proportionally, meaning that Santorum and Romney would get one delegate each for a 15–15 tie. But the following day the party's credentials committee allocated both at-large delegates to Romney, saying it had changed the rules a few weeks prior to award the delegates to the statewide winner but "in error" sent a memo to the candidates saying they would be awarded proportionately.[25] Santorum's campaign protested, saying the committee's six members were mostly Romney supporters,[26] and filed a protest with the Republican National Committee. Santorum's general counsel wrote in a letter to the RNC, "It is our understanding that several public supporters and Michigan surrogates of an opposing campaign voted in favor of the delegate allocation change which assisted their chosen candidate. This request is not about the allocation of a single delegate; it is about ensuring a transparent process, avoiding unscrupulous tactics and backroom deals by establishment figures and campaigns who have not received the result they hoped for at the ballot box."[27] Committee member and former state attorney general Mike Cox endorsed Romney, but said the delegates should have been awarded 15-15: "I have this crazy idea that you follow the rules. I'd love to give the at-large delegates to Mitt Romney, but our rules provide for strict apportionment."[26]

General election edit

Candidate ballot access edit

Write-in candidate access:

Results edit

2012 United States presidential election in Michigan[5]
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 2,564,569 54.04% 16
Republican Mitt Romney Paul Ryan 2,115,256 44.58% 0
Green Jill Stein Cheri Honkala 21,897 0.46% 0
Constitution Virgil Goode Jim Clymer 16,119 0.34% 0
Libertarian (Write-in) Gary Johnson Jim Gray 7,774 0.16% 0
Natural Law Rocky Anderson Luis J. Rodriguez 5,147 0.11% 0
Socialist (Write-in) Stewart Alexander Alex Mendoza 89 0.00% 0
Socialist Equality
(Write-in)
Jerry White Phyllis Scherrer 68 0.00% 0
America's (Write-in) Tom Hoefling J.D. Ellis 42 0.00% 0
Totals 4,730,961 100.00% 16
Voter turnout (registered voters) [5] 63.46%

Results by county edit

County Barack Obama
Democratic
Mitt Romney
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Alcona 2,472 40.50% 3,571 58.50% 61 1.00% -1,099 -18.00% 6,104
Alger 2,212 47.90% 2,330 50.45% 76 1.65% -118 -2.55% 4,618
Allegan 20,806 39.42% 31,123 58.97% 846 1.61% -10,317 -19.55% 52,775
Alpena 6,549 46.48% 7,298 51.79% 244 1.73% -749 -5.31% 14,091
Antrim 5,107 38.70% 7,917 60.00% 171 1.30% -2,810 -21.30% 13,195
Arenac 3,669 46.79% 4,057 51.74% 115 1.47% -388 -4.95% 7,841
Baraga 1,574 45.10% 1,866 53.47% 50 1.43% -292 -8.37% 3,490
Barry 11,491 40.15% 16,655 58.20% 471 1.65% -5,164 -18.05% 28,617
Bay 27,877 52.02% 24,911 46.49% 798 1.49% 2,966 5.53% 53,586
Benzie 4,685 47.32% 5,075 51.26% 141 1.42% -390 -3.94% 9,901
Berrien 33,465 45.99% 38,209 52.51% 1,088 1.50% -4,744 -6.52% 72,762
Branch 6,913 40.32% 10,035 58.52% 199 1.16% -3,122 -18.20% 17,147
Calhoun 29,267 50.18% 28,333 48.58% 727 1.24% 934 1.60% 58,327
Cass 9,591 42.65% 12,659 56.29% 240 1.06% -3,068 -13.64% 22,490
Charlevoix 5,939 42.05% 8,000 56.64% 186 1.31% -2,061 -14.59% 14,125
Cheboygan 5,831 43.68% 7,286 54.58% 233 1.74% -1,455 -10.90% 13,350
Chippewa 7,100 45.34% 8,278 52.86% 282 1.80% -1,178 -7.52% 15,660
Clare 6,338 46.83% 6,988 51.63% 209 1.54% -650 -4.80% 13,535
Clinton 18,191 46.36% 20,650 52.63% 394 1.01% -2,459 -6.27% 39,235
Crawford 2,994 43.94% 3,744 54.95% 76 1.11% -750 -11.01% 6,814
Delta 8,330 45.95% 9,534 52.59% 266 1.46% -1,204 -6.64% 18,130
Dickinson 4,952 38.53% 7,688 59.82% 211 1.65% -2,736 -21.29% 12,851
Eaton 27,913 50.95% 26,197 47.82% 678 1.23% 1,716 3.13% 54,788
Emmet 7,225 40.67% 10,253 57.71% 287 1.62% -3,028 -17.04% 17,765
Genesee 128,978 63.30% 71,808 35.24% 2,956 1.46% 57,170 28.06% 203,742
Gladwin 5,760 45.78% 6,661 52.94% 162 1.28% -901 -7.16% 12,583
Gogebic 4,058 53.30% 3,444 45.24% 111 1.46% 614 8.06% 7,613
Grand Traverse 20,875 43.31% 26,534 55.05% 788 1.64% -5,659 -11.74% 48,197
Gratiot 7,610 47.46% 8,241 51.39% 184 1.15% -631 -3.93% 16,035
Hillsdale 7,106 37.20% 11,727 61.40% 267 1.40% -4,621 -24.20% 19,100
Houghton 6,801 44.27% 8,196 53.36% 364 2.37% -1,395 -9.09% 15,361
Huron 6,518 42.10% 8,806 56.87% 160 1.03% -2,288 -14.77% 15,484
Ingham 80,847 63.01% 45,306 35.31% 2,157 1.68% 35,541 27.70% 128,310
Ionia 11,018 42.61% 14,315 55.36% 523 2.03% -3,297 -12.75% 25,856
Iosco 6,242 46.63% 6,909 51.62% 234 1.75% -667 -4.99% 13,385
Iron 2,687 44.69% 3,224 53.63% 101 1.68% -537 -8.94% 6,012
Isabella 13,038 53.74% 10,800 44.52% 422 1.74% 2,238 9.22% 24,260
Jackson 32,301 46.35% 36,298 52.09% 1,086 1.56% -3,997 -5.74% 69,685
Kalamazoo 69,051 55.83% 52,662 42.58% 1,977 1.59% 16,389 13.25% 123,690
Kalkaska 3,272 39.43% 4,901 59.06% 126 1.51% -1,629 -19.63% 8,299
Kent 133,408 45.35% 155,925 53.00% 4,873 1.65% -22,517 -7.65% 294,206
Keweenaw 582 41.81% 774 55.60% 36 2.59% -192 -13.79% 1,392
Lake 2,752 51.83% 2,487 46.84% 71 1.33% 265 4.99% 5,310
Lapeer 18,796 43.60% 23,734 55.05% 585 1.35% -4,938 -11.45% 43,115
Leelanau 6,576 46.25% 7,483 52.63% 160 1.12% -907 -6.38% 14,219
Lenawee 21,776 48.47% 22,351 49.75% 801 1.78% -575 -1.28% 44,928
Livingston 37,216 37.73% 60,083 60.91% 1,341 1.36% -22,867 -23.18% 98,640
Luce 991 38.17% 1,580 60.86% 25 0.97% -589 -22.69% 2,596
Mackinac 2,652 43.35% 3,397 55.53% 68 1.12% -745 -12.18% 6,117
Macomb 208,016 51.30% 191,913 47.33% 5,586 1.37% 16,103 3.97% 405,515
Manistee 6,473 52.19% 5,737 46.26% 192 1.55% 736 5.93% 12,402
Marquette 18,115 56.00% 13,606 42.06% 625 1.94% 4,509 13.94% 32,346
Mason 6,856 46.75% 7,580 51.69% 229 1.56% -724 -4.94% 14,665
Mecosta 7,515 44.26% 9,176 54.04% 289 1.70% -1,661 -9.78% 16,980
Menominee 5,242 47.80% 5,564 50.73% 161 1.47% -322 -2.93% 10,967
Midland 17,450 41.57% 23,919 56.98% 610 1.45% -6,469 -15.41% 41,979
Missaukee 2,274 32.36% 4,665 66.39% 88 1.25% -2,391 -34.03% 7,027
Monroe 36,310 49.68% 35,593 48.69% 1,192 1.63% 717 0.99% 73,095
Montcalm 11,430 44.74% 13,621 53.32% 497 1.94% -2,191 -8.58% 25,548
Montmorency 2,049 40.57% 2,928 57.97% 74 1.46% -879 -17.40% 5,051
Muskegon 44,436 58.16% 30,884 40.43% 1,077 1.41% 13,552 17.73% 76,397
Newaygo 8,728 40.64% 12,457 58.00% 293 1.36% -3,729 -17.36% 21,478
Oakland 349,002 53.40% 296,514 45.37% 8,055 1.23% 52,488 8.03% 653,571
Oceana 5,063 44.22% 6,239 54.49% 148 1.29% -1,176 -10.27% 11,450
Ogemaw 4,791 46.09% 5,437 52.31% 166 1.60% -646 -6.22% 10,394
Ontonagon 1,586 44.81% 1,906 53.86% 47 1.33% -320 -9.05% 3,539
Osceola 3,981 38.73% 6,141 59.75% 156 1.52% -2,160 -21.02% 10,278
Oscoda 1,657 40.88% 2,308 56.95% 88 2.17% -651 -16.07% 4,053
Otsego 4,681 39.37% 7,011 58.96% 199 1.67% -2,330 -19.59% 11,891
Ottawa 42,737 32.19% 88,166 66.41% 1,854 1.40% -45,429 -34.22% 132,757
Presque Isle 3,192 44.97% 3,794 53.45% 112 1.58% -602 -8.48% 7,098
Roscommon 6,198 47.40% 6,701 51.24% 178 1.36% -503 -3.84% 13,077
Saginaw 54,381 55.33% 42,720 43.46% 1,191 1.21% 11,661 11.87% 98,292
St. Clair 33,983 45.81% 39,271 52.94% 927 1.25% -5,288 -7.13% 74,181
St. Joseph 10,112 43.13% 12,978 55.36% 355 1.51% -2,866 -12.23% 23,445
Sanilac 7,212 39.09% 10,963 59.42% 275 1.49% -3,751 -20.33% 18,450
Schoolcraft 1,865 45.92% 2,142 52.75% 54 1.33% -277 -6.83% 4,061
Shiawassee 17,197 51.06% 15,962 47.39% 520 1.55% 1,235 3.67% 33,679
Tuscola 11,425 43.76% 14,240 54.54% 445 1.70% -2,815 -10.78% 26,110
Van Buren 16,290 49.61% 16,141 49.15% 406 1.24% 149 0.46% 32,837
Washtenaw 120,890 67.04% 56,412 31.28% 2,965 1.68% 64,478 35.76% 180,337
Wayne 595,846 72.83% 213,814 26.13% 8,476 1.04% 382,032 46.70% 818,136
Wexford 6,184 41.51% 8,450 56.72% 264 1.77% -2,266 -15.21% 14,898
Totals 2,564,569 54.04% 2,115,256 44.58% 65,491 1.38% 449,313 9.46% 4,745,316
 
County Flips:

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican edit

Results by congressional district edit

Despite losing the state, Mitt Romney won 9 of 14 congressional districts.[28]

District Obama Romney Representative
1st 45% 53% Dan Benishek
2nd 43% 56% Bill Huizenga
3rd 46% 53% Justin Amash
4th 46% 54% Dave Camp
5th 61% 38% Dan Kildee
6th 49% 50% Fred Upton
7th 48% 51% Tim Walberg
8th 48% 51% Mike Rogers
9th 57% 42% Sander Levin
10th 44% 55% Candice Miller
11th 47% 52% Kerry Bentivolio
12th 66% 33% John Dingell
13th 85% 14% John Conyers
14th 81% 18% Gary Peters

Analysis edit

All of the local polling firms had predicted a close election here, some even giving an advantage to native Michigander Romney over Obama; however, statistician Nate Silver pointed out several problems with the local pollsters' methodology and sampling errors, instead giving more credence to the national pollsters who posited a clear victory for Obama (by a mean of 7.3 points and a median of 7.0 over Romney).[29]

In the end, Silver and the National pollsters were correct: Obama defeated Romney by over 9 points in the November 2012 election. Obama dominated the population centers that had traditionally anchored Democratic strength in the state—Detroit, Lansing, Ann Arbor, and Flint—but he also retained two populous counties that had been Republican strongholds in the 1970s and 1980s, the Detroit-area suburban counties of Oakland and Macomb. Even in Kent County, which flipped back to the Republican column, Romney substantially underperformed what Bush had done in 2000 and 2004. While Romney did better in more rural areas, without better strength in some of the state's population centers, Romney was unable to flip the state.

See also edit

References edit

  1. ^ "Elections". www.michigan.gov.
  2. ^ "2012 Presidential Election – Michigan". Politico. Retrieved November 23, 2012.
  3. ^ a b c "Michigan Republican Delegation 2012". The Green Papers. Retrieved February 29, 2012.
  4. ^ Questions and Answers: Michigan's Feb. 28, 2012 Presidential Primary (PDF), Michigan Secretary of State, February 21, 2012, retrieved March 2, 2012
  5. ^ a b c "2012 Voter Registration Totals" (PDF). Michigan Secretary of State. February 15, 2012. Retrieved February 28, 2012.
  6. ^ . CNN. March 1, 2012. Archived from the original on March 1, 2012. Retrieved March 2, 2012.
  7. ^ "After Many Momentum Shifts, Michigan Is Too Close to Call". FiveThirtyEight. February 28, 2012. Retrieved March 2, 2012.
  8. ^ "Santorum Campaign Invites Democratic Votes In Michigan Robo-Call". ABC News. February 27, 2012. Retrieved March 2, 2012.
  9. ^ "Romney blasts Santorum for 'dirty trick' calls to Michigan Dems encouraging vote in GOP primary". Fox News. February 28, 2012. Retrieved March 2, 2012.
  10. ^ Angela Wittrock (February 28, 2012). "Yes, Michigan Democrats are voting for Rick Santorum". MLive. Retrieved February 28, 2012.
  11. ^ Jon Bershad (February 28, 2012). "Rush Limbaugh Has "No Problem" With Rick Santorum Copying His Operation Chaos Approach". Mediaite. Retrieved February 28, 2012.
  12. ^ Camia, Catalina (February 27, 2012). "Crossover voting encouraged in Mich. GOP primary". On Politics. USA Today. Retrieved March 1, 2012.
  13. ^ Mitchell, Steve (February 23, 2012). "Michigan's quirky primaries". The Detroit News. Retrieved March 1, 2012.[permanent dead link]
  14. ^ Rosenthal, Jack (May 17, 1972). "Survey Ties Issues, Not Shooting, to Wallace Victory". The New York Times. Retrieved March 1, 2012.
  15. ^ "What hours are the polls open on Election Day?". Michigan Secretary of State. Retrieved February 28, 2012.
  16. ^ . Archived from the original on May 2, 2012. Retrieved May 7, 2012.
  17. ^ "Michigan Primary – AP". USA Today.
  18. ^ "Michigan Primary – CNN". CNN.
  19. ^ "Michigan Republican Delegation 2012". www.thegreenpapers.com.
  20. ^ Mich GOP gets behind Romney convention[permanent dead link][dead link]
  21. ^ "Ron Paul supporters unhappy with results of Michigan Republican Party Convention". May 19, 2012.
  22. ^ "Republicans say Michigan will be crucial state in 2012 presidential race". May 20, 2012.
  23. ^ Anuzis, Saul [@sanuzis] (May 19, 2012). "Romney Dominates Michigan Convention winning 24 delegates to Paul's 6 delegates. MI GOP fired up to help elect President Romney!" (Tweet). Retrieved January 5, 2021 – via Twitter.
  24. ^ Det News. Update[permanent dead link]
  25. ^ "Mitt Romney gets Michigan's at-large delegates".
  26. ^ a b Reens, Nate (March 3, 2012). "Republican discord continues, national GOP to investigate Michigan party leaders?". mlive.
  27. ^ . Los Angeles Times. March 3, 2012. Archived from the original on March 9, 2012. Retrieved June 28, 2021.
  28. ^ "2012 election results: Presidential, U.S. Senate, U.S. House races". November 6, 2012.
  29. ^ Nate Silver (August 28, 2012). "Aug. 27: Michigan Isn't a Tossup". The New York Times. Retrieved October 15, 2013.

External links edit

  • The Green Papers: for Michigan
  • The Green Papers: Major state elections in chronological order.

2012, united, states, presidential, election, michigan, main, article, 2012, united, states, presidential, election, some, this, article, listed, sources, reliable, please, help, this, article, looking, better, more, reliable, sources, unreliable, citations, c. Main article 2012 United States presidential election Some of this article s listed sources may not be reliable Please help this article by looking for better more reliable sources Unreliable citations may be challenged or deleted December 2022 Learn how and when to remove this template message The 2012 United States presidential election in Michigan took place on November 6 2012 as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated Voters chose 16 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate Vice President Joe Biden against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate Congressman Paul Ryan 2012 United States presidential election in Michigan 2008 November 6 2012 2016 Turnout63 1 Nominee Barack Obama Mitt RomneyParty Democratic RepublicanHome state Illinois MassachusettsRunning mate Joe Biden Paul RyanElectoral vote 16 0Popular vote 2 564 569 2 115 256Percentage 54 04 44 58 County ResultsMunicipality ResultsObama 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 90 100 Romney 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 Tie Michigan was won by Democrat Barack Obama with 54 04 of the vote to Romney s 44 58 a victory margin of 9 46 2 It was the sixth presidential election in a row where Michigan voted in favor of the Democratic candidate with Republicans last carrying the state in 1988 Obama s margin of victory was significantly decreased from 2008 when he carried the state by 16 44 and he lost 26 counties that had voted for him four years prior Many of those counties had gone Democratic for the first time in decades such as Berrien County which had not voted for a Democrat since Lyndon B Johnson in 1964 The state s Republican trend would continue as Donald Trump would end up narrowly winning the state and flipping even more counties in 2016 Nevertheless it would return to the Democratic column in the following cycle when it narrowly backed Joe Biden over Trump As of the 2020 presidential election this is the last time Michigan voted more Democratic than the nation as well as the last time that Bay County Calhoun County Eaton County Gogebic County Isabella County Lake County Macomb County Manistee County Monroe County Shiawassee County and Van Buren County voted for a Democratic candidate Contents 1 Primaries 1 1 Democratic 1 2 Republican 1 2 1 Polling 1 2 2 Campaign 1 2 3 Results 1 2 4 Delegate allocation controversy 2 General election 2 1 Candidate ballot access 2 2 Results 2 3 Results by county 2 3 1 Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican 2 4 Results by congressional district 3 Analysis 4 See also 5 References 6 External linksPrimaries editDemocratic edit The Democratic Party used a caucus system to determine the proportion of delegates awarded to Democratic candidates The caucuses took place May 5 as the only Democratic candidate President Obama won all 183 pledged delegates in the caucus They along with the other 20 unpledged delegates voted for Obama at the 2012 Democratic National Convention in Charlotte North Carolina Republican edit 2012 Michigan Republican presidential primary nbsp 2008 February 28 2012 2012 02 28 2016 nbsp nbsp Candidate Mitt Romney Rick SantorumHome state Massachusetts PennsylvaniaDelegate count 16 14Popular vote 409 522 377 372Percentage 41 10 37 87 nbsp nbsp Candidate Ron Paul Newt GingrichHome state Texas GeorgiaDelegate count 0 0Popular vote 115 911 65 027Percentage 11 63 6 53 nbsp Michigan results by county Mitt Romney Rick SantorumThe Republican primary took place on February 28 2012 3 the same day as the Arizona Republican primary Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney won both of these elections This Michigan election used a semi open primary system which the state referred to as closed in which each voter made a public declaration at their election site and received the ballot for the appropriate party rather than the fully open system used in the past 4 The state had 7 286 556 registered voters as of February 15 and delegates were awarded proportionately 5 Michigan was given 59 delegates to the Republican GOP national convention but that number was reduced to 30 as a penalty for bringing the election date forward before March 6 as the GOP rules set 3 The candidate with the greatest number of votes in each of the 14 congressional districts will receive that district s two delegates Two additional delegates for Michigan were announced by the media to be given proportionally before the election 3 but after the election the Michigan GOP announced there had been an error in the memo published and that the two delegates will be given to the winner which sparked accusations of Mitt Romney rigging the results from Rick Santorum s team 6 Polling edit Main article Statewide opinion polling for the February 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries Michigan February 28 Campaign edit While Romney has close ties to Michigan where he was born and grew up and his father was the Governor Santorum who once trailed Romney badly in the state had a clear lead over him in mid February after Santorum won Colorado Minnesota and Missouri caucuses and primary on February 7 And the competition became a statistical tie between these two candidates before the primary 7 Since Michigan allows primary voters to declare their affiliation at the time they vote Santorum campaign paid for robo calls inviting Democrats to cross over and vote for him 8 Romney called this tactic outrageous and disgusting but Santorum defended himself as not doing anything wrong but getting people to vote in an open primary 9 Some Democrats also urged their supporters to vote for Santorum in the Republican primary in hopes of forcing the Republican candidates to use more resources and help make it easier for Barack Obama to win the general election 10 This is similar to Rush Limbaugh s Operation Chaos where Limbaugh urged voters in the 2008 Democratic Presidential primaries to vote for Hillary Clinton whom he saw as being a weaker candidate than Obama 11 Michigan has a long history of such crossover voting in 2000 strong Democratic crossover votes helped Senator John McCain win the Michigan Republican primary 12 In 1972 Republican crossover votes propelled Governor George Wallace to victory in the Democratic primary 13 14 Results edit Polls closed at 8 PM local time on election day 15 While most of the state is in the Eastern time zone UTC 5 four counties in the Upper Peninsula are on Central time UTC 6 so the final closures came at 9 PM Eastern time As of 2 28 results showed Romney winning 7 congressional districts and Santorum winning 7 2012 Michigan Republican presidential primary 16 Candidate Votes Percentage Projected delegate countAP 17 CNN 18 GP 19 nbsp Mitt Romney 409 522 41 10 16 16 16Rick Santorum 377 372 37 87 14 14 14Ron Paul 115 911 11 63 0 0 0Newt Gingrich 65 027 6 53 0 0 0Rick Perry withdrawn 1 816 0 18 0 0 0Buddy Roemer withdrawn 1 784 0 18 0 0 0Michele Bachmann withdrawn 1 735 0 17 0 0 0Jon Huntsman withdrawn 1 674 0 17 0 0 0Herman Cain withdrawn 1 211 0 12 0 0 0Fred Karger 1 180 0 12 0 0 0Gary Johnson withdrawn 458 0 05 0 0 0Uncommitted 18 809 1 89 0 0 0Unprojected delegates 2 0 0Total 996 499 100 00 30 30 30At the Republican state convention in May it was reported that of the 30 voting delegates for the national convention in Tampa 6 were Paul supporters and 24 were Romney supporters 20 21 22 23 Paul organizers disputed these numbers stating that they had actually taken 8 instead of 6 of the voting delegates plus several non voting slots 24 Delegate allocation controversy edit A controversy arose over the delegate allocation in Michigan where 28 congressional district delegates and two at large delegates were awarded The Republican Party of Michigan rules stated that the two at large delegates would be awarded proportionally meaning that Santorum and Romney would get one delegate each for a 15 15 tie But the following day the party s credentials committee allocated both at large delegates to Romney saying it had changed the rules a few weeks prior to award the delegates to the statewide winner but in error sent a memo to the candidates saying they would be awarded proportionately 25 Santorum s campaign protested saying the committee s six members were mostly Romney supporters 26 and filed a protest with the Republican National Committee Santorum s general counsel wrote in a letter to the RNC It is our understanding that several public supporters and Michigan surrogates of an opposing campaign voted in favor of the delegate allocation change which assisted their chosen candidate This request is not about the allocation of a single delegate it is about ensuring a transparent process avoiding unscrupulous tactics and backroom deals by establishment figures and campaigns who have not received the result they hoped for at the ballot box 27 Committee member and former state attorney general Mike Cox endorsed Romney but said the delegates should have been awarded 15 15 I have this crazy idea that you follow the rules I d love to give the at large delegates to Mitt Romney but our rules provide for strict apportionment 26 General election editCandidate ballot access edit Mitt Romney Paul Ryan Republican Barack Obama Joseph Biden Democratic Virgil Goode Jim Clymer US Taxpayers Jill Stein Cheri Honkala Green Rocky Anderson Luis J Rodriguez Natural LawWrite in candidate access Gary Johnson James P Gray LibertarianResults edit 2012 United States presidential election in Michigan 5 Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votesDemocratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 2 564 569 54 04 16Republican Mitt Romney Paul Ryan 2 115 256 44 58 0Green Jill Stein Cheri Honkala 21 897 0 46 0Constitution Virgil Goode Jim Clymer 16 119 0 34 0Libertarian Write in Gary Johnson Jim Gray 7 774 0 16 0Natural Law Rocky Anderson Luis J Rodriguez 5 147 0 11 0Socialist Write in Stewart Alexander Alex Mendoza 89 0 00 0Socialist Equality Write in Jerry White Phyllis Scherrer 68 0 00 0America s Write in Tom Hoefling J D Ellis 42 0 00 0Totals 4 730 961 100 00 16Voter turnout registered voters 5 63 46 Results by county edit County Barack ObamaDemocratic Mitt RomneyRepublican Various candidatesOther parties Margin Total votes cast Alcona 2 472 40 50 3 571 58 50 61 1 00 1 099 18 00 6 104Alger 2 212 47 90 2 330 50 45 76 1 65 118 2 55 4 618Allegan 20 806 39 42 31 123 58 97 846 1 61 10 317 19 55 52 775Alpena 6 549 46 48 7 298 51 79 244 1 73 749 5 31 14 091Antrim 5 107 38 70 7 917 60 00 171 1 30 2 810 21 30 13 195Arenac 3 669 46 79 4 057 51 74 115 1 47 388 4 95 7 841Baraga 1 574 45 10 1 866 53 47 50 1 43 292 8 37 3 490Barry 11 491 40 15 16 655 58 20 471 1 65 5 164 18 05 28 617Bay 27 877 52 02 24 911 46 49 798 1 49 2 966 5 53 53 586Benzie 4 685 47 32 5 075 51 26 141 1 42 390 3 94 9 901Berrien 33 465 45 99 38 209 52 51 1 088 1 50 4 744 6 52 72 762Branch 6 913 40 32 10 035 58 52 199 1 16 3 122 18 20 17 147Calhoun 29 267 50 18 28 333 48 58 727 1 24 934 1 60 58 327Cass 9 591 42 65 12 659 56 29 240 1 06 3 068 13 64 22 490Charlevoix 5 939 42 05 8 000 56 64 186 1 31 2 061 14 59 14 125Cheboygan 5 831 43 68 7 286 54 58 233 1 74 1 455 10 90 13 350Chippewa 7 100 45 34 8 278 52 86 282 1 80 1 178 7 52 15 660Clare 6 338 46 83 6 988 51 63 209 1 54 650 4 80 13 535Clinton 18 191 46 36 20 650 52 63 394 1 01 2 459 6 27 39 235Crawford 2 994 43 94 3 744 54 95 76 1 11 750 11 01 6 814Delta 8 330 45 95 9 534 52 59 266 1 46 1 204 6 64 18 130Dickinson 4 952 38 53 7 688 59 82 211 1 65 2 736 21 29 12 851Eaton 27 913 50 95 26 197 47 82 678 1 23 1 716 3 13 54 788Emmet 7 225 40 67 10 253 57 71 287 1 62 3 028 17 04 17 765Genesee 128 978 63 30 71 808 35 24 2 956 1 46 57 170 28 06 203 742Gladwin 5 760 45 78 6 661 52 94 162 1 28 901 7 16 12 583Gogebic 4 058 53 30 3 444 45 24 111 1 46 614 8 06 7 613Grand Traverse 20 875 43 31 26 534 55 05 788 1 64 5 659 11 74 48 197Gratiot 7 610 47 46 8 241 51 39 184 1 15 631 3 93 16 035Hillsdale 7 106 37 20 11 727 61 40 267 1 40 4 621 24 20 19 100Houghton 6 801 44 27 8 196 53 36 364 2 37 1 395 9 09 15 361Huron 6 518 42 10 8 806 56 87 160 1 03 2 288 14 77 15 484Ingham 80 847 63 01 45 306 35 31 2 157 1 68 35 541 27 70 128 310Ionia 11 018 42 61 14 315 55 36 523 2 03 3 297 12 75 25 856Iosco 6 242 46 63 6 909 51 62 234 1 75 667 4 99 13 385Iron 2 687 44 69 3 224 53 63 101 1 68 537 8 94 6 012Isabella 13 038 53 74 10 800 44 52 422 1 74 2 238 9 22 24 260Jackson 32 301 46 35 36 298 52 09 1 086 1 56 3 997 5 74 69 685Kalamazoo 69 051 55 83 52 662 42 58 1 977 1 59 16 389 13 25 123 690Kalkaska 3 272 39 43 4 901 59 06 126 1 51 1 629 19 63 8 299Kent 133 408 45 35 155 925 53 00 4 873 1 65 22 517 7 65 294 206Keweenaw 582 41 81 774 55 60 36 2 59 192 13 79 1 392Lake 2 752 51 83 2 487 46 84 71 1 33 265 4 99 5 310Lapeer 18 796 43 60 23 734 55 05 585 1 35 4 938 11 45 43 115Leelanau 6 576 46 25 7 483 52 63 160 1 12 907 6 38 14 219Lenawee 21 776 48 47 22 351 49 75 801 1 78 575 1 28 44 928Livingston 37 216 37 73 60 083 60 91 1 341 1 36 22 867 23 18 98 640Luce 991 38 17 1 580 60 86 25 0 97 589 22 69 2 596Mackinac 2 652 43 35 3 397 55 53 68 1 12 745 12 18 6 117Macomb 208 016 51 30 191 913 47 33 5 586 1 37 16 103 3 97 405 515Manistee 6 473 52 19 5 737 46 26 192 1 55 736 5 93 12 402Marquette 18 115 56 00 13 606 42 06 625 1 94 4 509 13 94 32 346Mason 6 856 46 75 7 580 51 69 229 1 56 724 4 94 14 665Mecosta 7 515 44 26 9 176 54 04 289 1 70 1 661 9 78 16 980Menominee 5 242 47 80 5 564 50 73 161 1 47 322 2 93 10 967Midland 17 450 41 57 23 919 56 98 610 1 45 6 469 15 41 41 979Missaukee 2 274 32 36 4 665 66 39 88 1 25 2 391 34 03 7 027Monroe 36 310 49 68 35 593 48 69 1 192 1 63 717 0 99 73 095Montcalm 11 430 44 74 13 621 53 32 497 1 94 2 191 8 58 25 548Montmorency 2 049 40 57 2 928 57 97 74 1 46 879 17 40 5 051Muskegon 44 436 58 16 30 884 40 43 1 077 1 41 13 552 17 73 76 397Newaygo 8 728 40 64 12 457 58 00 293 1 36 3 729 17 36 21 478Oakland 349 002 53 40 296 514 45 37 8 055 1 23 52 488 8 03 653 571Oceana 5 063 44 22 6 239 54 49 148 1 29 1 176 10 27 11 450Ogemaw 4 791 46 09 5 437 52 31 166 1 60 646 6 22 10 394Ontonagon 1 586 44 81 1 906 53 86 47 1 33 320 9 05 3 539Osceola 3 981 38 73 6 141 59 75 156 1 52 2 160 21 02 10 278Oscoda 1 657 40 88 2 308 56 95 88 2 17 651 16 07 4 053Otsego 4 681 39 37 7 011 58 96 199 1 67 2 330 19 59 11 891Ottawa 42 737 32 19 88 166 66 41 1 854 1 40 45 429 34 22 132 757Presque Isle 3 192 44 97 3 794 53 45 112 1 58 602 8 48 7 098Roscommon 6 198 47 40 6 701 51 24 178 1 36 503 3 84 13 077Saginaw 54 381 55 33 42 720 43 46 1 191 1 21 11 661 11 87 98 292St Clair 33 983 45 81 39 271 52 94 927 1 25 5 288 7 13 74 181St Joseph 10 112 43 13 12 978 55 36 355 1 51 2 866 12 23 23 445Sanilac 7 212 39 09 10 963 59 42 275 1 49 3 751 20 33 18 450Schoolcraft 1 865 45 92 2 142 52 75 54 1 33 277 6 83 4 061Shiawassee 17 197 51 06 15 962 47 39 520 1 55 1 235 3 67 33 679Tuscola 11 425 43 76 14 240 54 54 445 1 70 2 815 10 78 26 110Van Buren 16 290 49 61 16 141 49 15 406 1 24 149 0 46 32 837Washtenaw 120 890 67 04 56 412 31 28 2 965 1 68 64 478 35 76 180 337Wayne 595 846 72 83 213 814 26 13 8 476 1 04 382 032 46 70 818 136Wexford 6 184 41 51 8 450 56 72 264 1 77 2 266 15 21 14 898Totals 2 564 569 54 04 2 115 256 44 58 65 491 1 38 449 313 9 46 4 745 316 nbsp County Flips Democratic Hold Republican Hold Gain from DemocraticCounties that flipped from Democratic to Republican edit Alger largest city Munising Alpena largest city Alpena Arenac largest city Standish Benzie largest city Frankfort Berrien largest city Niles Cass largest city Dowagiac Clare largest city Clare Clinton largest city St Johns Delta largest city Escanaba Gladwin largest city Gladwin Gratiot largest city Alma Iosco largest city East Tawas Iron largest city Iron River Jackson largest city Jackson Kent largest city Grand Rapids Leelanau largest settlement Greilickville Lenawee largest city Adrian Mason largest city Ludington Menominee largest city Menominee Oceana largest city Hart Ogemaw largest city West Branch Ontonagon largest village Ontonagon Presque Isle largest city Rogers City Roscommon largest settlement Houghton Lake Schoolcraft largest city Manistique St Clair largest city Port Huron Results by congressional district edit Despite losing the state Mitt Romney won 9 of 14 congressional districts 28 District Obama Romney Representative1st 45 53 Dan Benishek2nd 43 56 Bill Huizenga3rd 46 53 Justin Amash4th 46 54 Dave Camp5th 61 38 Dan Kildee6th 49 50 Fred Upton7th 48 51 Tim Walberg8th 48 51 Mike Rogers9th 57 42 Sander Levin10th 44 55 Candice Miller11th 47 52 Kerry Bentivolio12th 66 33 John Dingell13th 85 14 John Conyers14th 81 18 Gary PetersAnalysis editAll of the local polling firms had predicted a close election here some even giving an advantage to native Michigander Romney over Obama however statistician Nate Silver pointed out several problems with the local pollsters methodology and sampling errors instead giving more credence to the national pollsters who posited a clear victory for Obama by a mean of 7 3 points and a median of 7 0 over Romney 29 In the end Silver and the National pollsters were correct Obama defeated Romney by over 9 points in the November 2012 election Obama dominated the population centers that had traditionally anchored Democratic strength in the state Detroit Lansing Ann Arbor and Flint but he also retained two populous counties that had been Republican strongholds in the 1970s and 1980s the Detroit area suburban counties of Oakland and Macomb Even in Kent County which flipped back to the Republican column Romney substantially underperformed what Bush had done in 2000 and 2004 While Romney did better in more rural areas without better strength in some of the state s population centers Romney was unable to flip the state See also editUnited States presidential elections in Michigan 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries Timeline of the 2012 United States presidential election 2012 Republican Party presidential debates and forums Results of the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries Michigan Republican PartyReferences edit Elections www michigan gov 2012 Presidential Election Michigan Politico Retrieved November 23 2012 a b c Michigan Republican Delegation 2012 The Green Papers Retrieved February 29 2012 Questions and Answers Michigan s Feb 28 2012 Presidential Primary PDF Michigan Secretary of State February 21 2012 retrieved March 2 2012 a b c 2012 Voter Registration Totals PDF Michigan Secretary of State February 15 2012 Retrieved February 28 2012 Michigan results provoke accusations ire CNN March 1 2012 Archived from the original on March 1 2012 Retrieved March 2 2012 After Many Momentum Shifts Michigan Is Too Close to Call FiveThirtyEight February 28 2012 Retrieved March 2 2012 Santorum Campaign Invites Democratic Votes In Michigan Robo Call ABC News February 27 2012 Retrieved March 2 2012 Romney blasts Santorum for dirty trick calls to Michigan Dems encouraging vote in GOP primary Fox News February 28 2012 Retrieved March 2 2012 Angela Wittrock February 28 2012 Yes Michigan Democrats are voting for Rick Santorum MLive Retrieved February 28 2012 Jon Bershad February 28 2012 Rush Limbaugh Has No Problem With Rick Santorum Copying His Operation Chaos Approach Mediaite Retrieved February 28 2012 Camia Catalina February 27 2012 Crossover voting encouraged in Mich GOP primary On Politics USA Today Retrieved March 1 2012 Mitchell Steve February 23 2012 Michigan s quirky primaries The Detroit News Retrieved March 1 2012 permanent dead link Rosenthal Jack May 17 1972 Survey Ties Issues Not Shooting to Wallace Victory The New York Times Retrieved March 1 2012 What hours are the polls open on Election Day Michigan Secretary of State Retrieved February 28 2012 2012 Official Michigan Presidential Primary Election Results President of the United States 4 Year Term 1 Position Archived from the original on May 2 2012 Retrieved May 7 2012 Michigan Primary AP USA Today Michigan Primary CNN CNN Michigan Republican Delegation 2012 www thegreenpapers com Mich GOP gets behind Romney convention permanent dead link dead link Ron Paul supporters unhappy with results of Michigan Republican Party Convention May 19 2012 Republicans say Michigan will be crucial state in 2012 presidential race May 20 2012 Anuzis Saul sanuzis May 19 2012 Romney Dominates Michigan Convention winning 24 delegates to Paul s 6 delegates MI GOP fired up to help elect President Romney Tweet Retrieved January 5 2021 via Twitter Det News Update permanent dead link Mitt Romney gets Michigan s at large delegates a b Reens Nate March 3 2012 Republican discord continues national GOP to investigate Michigan party leaders mlive Rick Santorum files protest over Michigan delegates latimes com Los Angeles Times March 3 2012 Archived from the original on March 9 2012 Retrieved June 28 2021 2012 election results Presidential U S Senate U S House races November 6 2012 Nate Silver August 28 2012 Aug 27 Michigan Isn t a Tossup The New York Times Retrieved October 15 2013 External links editThe Green Papers for Michigan The Green Papers Major state elections in chronological order Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title 2012 United States presidential election in Michigan amp oldid 1178667084 Republican, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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