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Wikipedia

John Lott

John Richard Lott Jr. (born May 8, 1958) is an American economist, political commentator, and gun rights advocate. Lott was formerly employed at various academic institutions and at the American Enterprise Institute conservative think tank. He is the former president of the Crime Prevention Research Center, a nonprofit he founded in 2013. He worked in the Office of Justice Programs within the U.S. Department of Justice under the Donald Trump administration from October 2020 to January 2021. Lott holds a Ph.D. in economics from UCLA.

John Lott
Born
John Richard Lott Jr.

(1958-05-08) May 8, 1958 (age 65)
Academic career
InstitutionsUniversity of Chicago
Yale University
The Wharton School
University of Maryland, College Park
American Enterprise Institute
FieldEconomics
Alma materUniversity of California, Los Angeles (BA, MA, PhD)
Websitewww.johnrlott.com

He has written for both academic and popular publications. He has authored books such as More Guns, Less Crime, The Bias Against Guns, and Freedomnomics. He is best known as a gun rights advocate[1][2][3] and has argued against restrictions on owning and carrying guns. The New Yorker and The Trace have said "no one has had greater influence"[4] in the scientific debate over firearms while Newsweek referred to Lott as "The Gun Crowd's Guru."[5]

Academic career

John Lott studied economics at UCLA, receiving his B.A. in 1980, M.A. in 1982, and Ph.D. in 1984. Lott has held positions in law and economics at several institutions, including the Yale Law School, the Hoover Institution, UCLA, the Wharton Business School, Texas A&M University, and Rice University. Lott was the chief economist at the United States Sentencing Commission[6] (1988–1989). He spent five years at the University of Chicago, as a visiting professor from 1994 to 1995 and as a John M. Olin fellow from 1995 to 1999. Lott was a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute from 2001 to 2006. He left AEI for SUNY Binghamton.[7] From July 2007 to 2010, Lott was a senior research scientist at the University of Maryland Foundation at the University of Maryland, College Park and lectured on law and economics.[8][9]

Lott has written op-eds for The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, the Los Angeles Times, USA Today, and the Chicago Tribune. Since 2008, he has been a columnist for Fox News, initially weekly.[10][6]

Research on guns

Concealed weapons and crime rate

In a 1997 article written with David B. Mustard[11] and Lott's subsequent books More Guns, Less Crime and The Bias Against Guns, Lott argued that allowing adults to carry concealed weapons significantly reduces crime in America. In 2004, the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) National Research Council (NRC) conducted a review of current research and data on firearms and violent crime, including Lott's work, and concluded "that with the current evidence it is not possible to determine that there is a causal link between the passage of right-to-carry laws and crime rates."[12] The NAS report wrote of Lott's work, "The initial model specification, when extended to new data, does not show evidence that passage of right-to-carry laws reduces crime. The estimated effects are highly sensitive to seemingly minor changes in the model specification and control variables."[13] The criminologist James Q. Wilson was the only member on the 18-member NAS panel who dissented from this conclusion.[14][13] For similar reasons as highlighted by the NAS, as well as "multiple serious problems with data and methodology", a 2020 comprehensive review of existing research on concealed-carry by the RAND Corporation discounted Lott's studies.[15]

Other reviews said that there were problems with Lott's model. A replication by Dan A. Black and Daniel Nagin found that minor adjustments to Lott and Mustard's model led to the disappearance of the findings.[16][17] In the New England Journal of Medicine, David Hemenway argued that Lott failed to account for several key variables, including drug consumption.[18] Ian Ayres and John J. Donohue said that the model used by Lott contained significant coding errors and systemic bias.[19] In the American Journal of Public Health, Daniel Webster et al. also raised concerns about flaws in the study, such as misclassification of laws and endogeneity of predictor variables, which they said rendered the study's conclusions "insupportable".[20] Florida State University criminologist Gary Kleck considered it unlikely that such a large decrease in violent crime could be explained by a relatively modest increase in concealed carry.[21] A 1998 study by Jens Ludwig that said it "more effectively control[ed] for unobserved variables that may vary over time" than the Lott and Mustard study concluded that "shall-issue laws have resulted, if anything, in an increase in adult homicide rates."[22] A 2001 study in the Journal of Political Economy by University of Chicago economist Mark Duggan did robustness checks of Lott and Mustard's study and found that the findings of the Lott and Mustard study were inaccurate.[23]

Other academics praised Lott's methodology, including Florida State University economist Bruce Benson,[24] Cardozo School of Law professor John O. McGinnis,[25] College of William and Mary professor Carlisle Moody,[26] University of Mississippi professor William F. Shughart,[27] and SUNY economist Florenz Plassmann and University of Adelaide economist John Whitley.[28]

Referring to the research done on the topic, The Chronicle of Higher Education wrote in 2003 that "Mr. Lott's research has convinced his peers of at least one point: No scholars now claim that legalizing concealed weapons causes a major increase in crime."[29] As Lott critics Ian Ayres and John J. Donohue III pointed out, "Lott and Mustard have made an important scholarly contribution in establishing that these laws have not led to the massive bloodbath of death and injury that some of their opponents feared. On the other hand, we find that the statistical evidence that these laws have reduced crime is limited, sporadic, and extraordinarily fragile."[19] A 2008 article in Econ Journal Watch surveyed peer-reviewed empirical academic studies, and found that 10 supported the proposition that right-to-carry reduces crime, 8 supported no significant effect and none supported an increase.[30] The article was rebutted by Ian Ayres and John J. Donohue in the same journal in 2009.[31]

In 2013, Lott founded the nonprofit organization Crime Prevention Research Center to study the relationship between gun laws and crime. As of July 2015, he was also the organization's president.[32] The board of directors for the organization includes guitarist Ted Nugent, conservative talkshow host Lars Larson and former sheriff David Clarke.[33] In 2020, Lott left the organization to take a position in the Trump administration.[33]

Defensive gun use

Lott argues in both More Guns, Less Crime and The Bias Against Guns that defensive gun use (DGU) is underreported, noting that in general, only shootings ending in fatalities are discussed in news stories. In More Guns, Less Crime, Lott writes that "[s]ince in many defensive cases a handgun is simply brandished, and no one is harmed, many defensive uses are never even reported to the police." In May 1998, Lott wrote that "national surveys" suggested that "98 percent of the time that people use guns defensively, they merely have to brandish a weapon to break off an attack." Lott cited similar figures in op-eds in The Wall Street Journal[34] and the Los Angeles Times.[35]

In 2002, he said that brandishing a weapon was sufficient to stop an attack 95% of the time. Other researchers criticized his methodology. A study in Public Opinion Quarterly said that his sample size of 1,015 respondents was too small for the study to be accurate and that the majority of similar studies suggest a value between 70 and 80 percent.[36] According to Lott, Gary Kleck and Marc Gertz's 1994 estimate rises to 92 percent when brandishing and warning shots are added together.[37]: 8  Lott said that the lower rates found by others was at least in part due to the different questions that were asked.[38]

Defamation suit

On April 10, 2006, John Lott filed suit[39] for defamation against Steven Levitt and HarperCollins Publishers over the book Freakonomics and against Levitt over a series of emails to John McCall. In the book Freakonomics, Levitt and coauthor Stephen J. Dubner claimed that the results of Lott's research in More Guns, Less Crime had not been replicated by other academics. In the emails to economist John McCall, who had pointed to a number of papers in different academic publications that had replicated Lott's work, Levitt wrote that the work by several authors supporting Lott in a special 2001 issue of the Journal of Law and Economics had not been peer reviewed, Lott had paid the University of Chicago Press to publish the papers, and that papers with results opposite of Lott's had been blocked from publication in that issue.[40] A federal judge found that Levitt's replication claim in Freakonomics was not defamation but found merit in Lott's complaint over the email claims.[41] The dismissal was affirmed by a three-judge panel of The United States Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit on February 11, 2009.[42][43]

A settlement was reached over the claims made by Levitt in the emails to McCall whereby Levitt did not have to issue a formal apology but rather send a letter of clarification to John McCall that the issue of the Journal of Law and Economics was peer-reviewed, and that Lott had not improperly influenced the editors.[44][45][46] The Chronicle of Higher Education characterized Levitt's letter as offering "a doozy of a concession."[47]

Disputed survey

In the course of a dispute with Otis Dudley Duncan in 1999–2000,[48][49] Lott claimed to have undertaken a national survey of 2,424 respondents in 1997, the results of which were the source for claims he had made beginning in 1997.[49] However, in 2000 Lott was unable to produce the data or any records showing that the survey had been undertaken. He said the 1997 hard drive crash that had affected several projects with co-authors had destroyed his survey data set,[50] the original tally sheets had been abandoned with other personal property in his move from Chicago to Yale, and he could not recall the names of any of the students who he said had worked on it. Critics questioned whether the survey had ever taken place,[51] but Lott defends the survey's existence and accuracy.[52]

Mary Rosh persona

In response to the dispute surrounding the missing survey, Lott used a sock puppet by the name of "Mary Rosh" to defend his own works on Usenet and elsewhere. After investigative work by libertarian blogger Julian Sanchez, Lott admitted to using the Mary Rosh persona.[51]

Further accusations claimed that Lott praised himself while posing as one of his former students[53][54] and that "Rosh" was used to post a favorable review of More Guns, Less Crime on Amazon.com. Lott has claimed that the review was written by his son and wife.[54] "I probably shouldn't have done it—I know I shouldn't have done it—but it's hard to think of any big advantage I got except to be able to comment fictitiously," Lott told The Washington Post in 2003.[54]

Safe storage gun laws

In a 2001 study, Lott and John E. Whitley reported that safe-storage gun laws not only did not reduce juvenile suicides or accidental gun deaths, but that they also increased rates of violent and property crime.[55] The study was criticized by Webster et al. in the Journal of the American Medical Association for using Tobit regression despite the fact that the data used in the study on youth suicides was "highly skewed and heteroskedastic", and because the vast majority of crimes that Lott and Whitley claimed increased due to safe-storage laws occurred outside the home.[56] Webster and Carroll also wrote in Guns in American Society: An Encyclopedia of History, Politics, Culture, and the Law that the Lott and Whitley study's findings with respect to crime were inconsistent with prior research.[57]

Other research and events

In a study published in 2000, Lott concluded that most of the large recent increases in campaign spending for state and federal offices can be explained by higher government spending.[58] Lott also supports the conclusion that higher quality judges, measured by their output once they are on the court (e.g., number of citations to their opinions or number of published opinions), take longer to get confirmed.[59]

Lost Bush votes in the 2000 presidential election

In 2000, Lott argued, using a regression analysis, that George W. Bush lost at least 10,000 votes in Florida after the media incorrectly called the state for Al Gore while voting was still ongoing in the more conservative parts of the state.[60] Lott's argument is used in the influential social science methodology textbook Rethinking Social Inquiry (edited by Henry Brady and David Collier) as an example of poor methodology. Contrary to Lott's study, they show that the number of lost Bush votes ranged from 28 to 56.[60]

Abortion and crime

With John Whitley at the University of Adelaide, Lott published a study that argued that liberalization of abortion laws led to higher murder rates.[61] In a review of the literature on the relationship between abortion and crime, Theodore Joyce, an economist at Baruch College and the National Bureau of Economic Research, praised Lott and Whitley for gathering additional data on abortion but criticized the methodology that they used.[62]

Illegal immigration and crime

Lott has non-peer-reviewed research that purports to show that undocumented immigrants are more crime-prone than U.S. citizens. In doing so, Lott lumped together both legal and illegal immigrants in prison into a category for illegal immigrants, leading to an elevated crime rate for illegal immigrants.[63][64] The Washington Post fact-checker wrote that this was a "significant flaw in Lott's study that undercuts his conclusion. Lott says the overall thrust of his study still holds, but the issue muddles his research and invites guesswork as to the actual crime rate for the undocumented immigrant population in Arizona."[65]

Lott's claims were heavily promoted by the Trump administration to justify its anti-immigration policies, in particular their attempts to end DACA.[63][66]

Women's suffrage and government growth

According to a study by Lott and Larry Kenny, "women's suffrage coincided with immediate increases in state government expenditures and revenue and more liberal voting patterns for federal representatives, and these effects continued growing over time as more women took advantage of the franchise."[67]

Affirmative action in police departments

Lott published a study arguing that affirmative action in the hiring of police reduced the overall quality of all officers and increased crime. The most adverse effects of these hiring policies have occurred in the most heavily black-populated cities. There is no consistent evidence that crime rates rise when standards for hiring women are changed.[68]

Environmental regulations

Together with John Karpoff and Eric Wehrly at the University of Washington, Lott has worked to show the importance of government regulations through both legal and regulatory penalties and the weaknesses of reputational penalties in reducing pollution.[69] Firms violating environmental laws suffer statistically significant losses in the market value of firm equity. The losses are of similar magnitudes to the legal penalties imposed; and in the cross section, the market value loss is related to the size of the legal penalty.

Voter fraud claims

In October 2020, Lott was appointed as a senior adviser for research and statistics at the Office of Justice Programs within the U.S. Department of Justice[33] Lott resigned from the DoJ on January 16, 2021.[70] Lott has claimed there was voter fraud in the 2020 United States presidential election.[71] He argued there was "irregularities" in the absentee ballots in Missoula County, and later wrote a paper claiming there was evidence of fraud in the absentee ballots in Georgia and Pennsylvania.[72] A 2021 PNAS study by political scientists at Stanford University and the University of Chicago rebutted Lott's paper as being not even remotely convincing, writing that his analysis was "entirely dependent on the completely arbitrary order in which pairs of precincts in other counties are entered in the dataset" and that his conclusions about voter fraud were "utterly baseless."[72][73][74]

2021 "graduation address" event

On June 4, 2021, two parents of a child killed in the 2018 shooting at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School invited Lott and David Keene to deliver what they falsely said was a dress rehearsal for a 2021 graduation address for a fictitious school called "the James Madison Academy". The space for the audience contained 3,044 empty folding chairs. Lott first realized that the event was a staged attempt to call attention to school shootings, and not a genuine commencement address dress rehearsal, when news media asked him to comment on segments of video of the "dress rehearsal" that the organizers posted on the internet. They said that the empty chairs were intended to represent the victims of school shootings who would never graduate from high school. In a local Las Vegas news interview, Lott said that he is not opposed to all forms of background checks but simply believes that background checks broadly discriminate against persons of color, primarily black and Hispanic, among potential gun buyers.[75][76]

Bibliography

  • Uncertainty and Economic Evolution (ISBN 0-415-15166-X)
  • Are Predatory Commitments Credible? (ISBN 0-226-49355-5)
  • More Guns, Less Crime (ISBN 0-226-49364-4)
  • The Bias Against Guns (ISBN 0-89526-114-6)
  • Straight Shooting (ISBN 0-936783-47-8)
  • Freedomnomics (ISBN 978-1-596-98506-3)
  • Debacle: Obama's War on Jobs and Growth and What We Can Do Now to Regain Our Future (ISBN 978-1118186176)
  • At the Brink: Will Obama Push Us Over the Edge? (ISBN 978-1621570516)
  • Dumbing Down the Courts: How Politics Keeps the Smartest Judges Off the Bench (ISBN 978-1626522497)
  • The War on Guns, Regnery Publishing 2016 (ISBN 978-1-62157-580-1)

See also

References

  1. ^ Frum, David (January 14, 2014). "With Guns, the Threatened Can Quickly Become the Threat". Daily Beast. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
  2. ^ Blake, Meredith (December 16, 2012). "Piers Morgan on gun control: 'How many kids have to die?'". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
  3. ^ Bovard, James. . press.uchicago.edu. University of Chicago Press. Archived from the original on September 19, 2018. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
  4. ^ Spies, Mike (November 3, 2022). "The Right's Favorite Gun Researcher". The Trace. Retrieved January 24, 2023.
  5. ^ Bai, Matt (March 12, 2001). . Newsweek. Archived from the original on May 2, 2015.
  6. ^ a b "Dr. John R. Lott Jr". Fox News. July 27, 2016. Retrieved July 27, 2016.
  7. ^ Curriculum Vitae of John R. Lott Jr., dated March 17, 2008.
  8. ^ Social Science Research Network
  9. ^ Blogspot.com
  10. ^ Fox News
  11. ^ John R. Lott Jr. and David B. Mustard, "Crime, Deterrence and Right-To-Carry Concealed Handguns", 26 Journal of Legal Studies 1 (1997) working paper PDF 2010-06-16 at the Wayback Machine; journal article PDF (subscription required).
  12. ^ NAS, Firearms and Violence: A Critical Review (2004) Executive Summary, Major Conclusions, page 2. Chapter 6 Right-to-Carry Laws, pages 120–151, reviews research by Lott and others on this issue.
  13. ^ a b Farley, Robert; Robertson, Lori; Kiely, Eugene (December 20, 2012). "Gun Rhetoric vs. Gun Facts". FactCheck.org. Retrieved January 2, 2021.
  14. ^ Wilson, James Q. (2004). "Appendix A Dissent". . pp. 269–270. ISBN 0-309-09124-1. Archived from the original on October 16, 2012.
  15. ^ "Effects of Concealed-Carry Laws on Violent Crime". rand.org. Retrieved January 2, 2021.
  16. ^ Black, Dan A.; Daniel S. Nagin (January 1998). "Do Right-to-Carry Laws Deter Violent Crime?". Journal of Legal Studies. 27 (1): 214. doi:10.1086/468019. S2CID 154626760.
  17. ^ Ted Goertzel, "Myths of Murder and Multiple Regression", The Skeptical Inquirer, Volume 26, No 1, January/February 2002, pp. 19–23. Expanded as: Ted Goertzel, "Econometric Modeling as Junk Science"
  18. ^ Hemenway, David (December 31, 1998). "More Guns, Less Crime: Understanding crime and gun-control laws / Making A Killing: The business of guns in America". The New England Journal of Medicine. 339 (27): 2029–30. doi:10.1056/NEJM199812313392719.
  19. ^ a b Ayres, Ian; John J. Donohue III (April 2003). "Shooting Down the 'More Guns, Less Crime' Hypothesis". Stanford Law Review. 55 (4): 1193. doi:10.2139/ssrn.343781. S2CID 55757925.
  20. ^ Webster, D W; Vernick, J S; Ludwig, J; Lester, K J (June 1997). "Flawed gun policy research could endanger public safety". American Journal of Public Health. 87 (6): 918–921. doi:10.2105/AJPH.87.6.918. PMC 1380922. PMID 9224169.
  21. ^ Kleck, Gary (1997). Targeting Guns: Firearms and Their Control. New York, NY: Aldine de Gruyter.
  22. ^ Ludwig, Jens (September 1998). "Concealed-gun-carrying laws and violent crime: evidence from state panel data" (PDF). International Review of Law and Economics. 18 (3): 239–254. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.487.5452. doi:10.1016/S0144-8188(98)00012-X. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 9, 2022.
  23. ^ Duggan, Mark (October 1, 2001). "More Guns, More Crime". Journal of Political Economy. 109 (5): 1086–1114. doi:10.1086/322833. ISSN 0022-3808. S2CID 33899679.
  24. ^ Benson, Bruce L. (September 1999). "Review of More Guns, Less Crime". Public Choice. 100 (3–4): 309–313. doi:10.1023/A:1018689310638. S2CID 150500420.
  25. ^ McGinnis, John O. (July 20, 1998). "Trigger Happiness". National Review. 50 (13): 49.
  26. ^ Moody, Carlisle E. (October 2001). "Testing for the Effects of Concealed Weapons Laws: Specification Errors and Robustness*". The Journal of Law and Economics. 44 (s2): 799–813. doi:10.1086/323313. S2CID 154918586.
  27. ^ Shughart, William F.; Lott, John R. (April 1, 1999). "More Guns, Less Crime: Understanding Crime and Gun Control Laws: Review". Southern Economic Journal. 65 (4): 978–981. doi:10.2307/1061296. JSTOR 1061296.
  28. ^ "Plassmann and Whitley Stanford Law Review (2003)" Confirming More Guns, Less Crime, by Florenz Plassmann and John Whitley, 2003, p. 1361
  29. ^ Glenn, David (May 9, 2003). "'More Guns, Less Crime' Thesis Rests on a Flawed Statistical Design, Scholars Argue". The Chronicle of Higher Education. 49 (35): A18. Retrieved May 27, 2007.
  30. ^ Carlisle E. Moody and Thomas B. Marvell, "The Debate on Shall-Issue Laws", Econ Journal Watch Vol. 5, Iss. 3 (2008).
  31. ^ "Yet Another Refutation of the More Guns, Less Crime Hypothesis—With Some Help From Moody and Marvell · Econ Journal Watch: Law and economics, criminal justice policy, guns and crime". econjwatch.org. Retrieved September 13, 2017.
  32. ^ Lurie, Julia (July 28, 2015). "When the Gun Lobby Tries to Justify Firearms Everywhere, It Turns to This Guy". Mother Jones. Retrieved February 6, 2016.
  33. ^ a b c Gerstein, Josh (November 24, 2020). "Controversial gun advocate hired by Justice Department last month". Politico. Retrieved November 24, 2020.
  34. ^ Lott Jr., John R. (June 23, 1998). "Keep Guns out of Lawyers' Hands". Wall Street Journal. p. 1.
  35. ^ Lott Jr., John R. (December 1, 1998). "Cities Target Gun Makers in Bogus Lawsuits". Los Angeles Times. p. 7.
  36. ^ McDowall, David (Summer 2005). "John R. Lott Jr.'s Defensive Gun Brandishing Estimates". Public Opinion Quarterly. 69 (2): 246–263. doi:10.1093/poq/nfi015.
  37. ^ Lott, John. "What Surveys Can Help Us Understand About Guns?" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on October 9, 2022. Retrieved June 22, 2016.
  38. ^ Discussion of different surveys on defensive gun use Johnlott.org
  39. ^ (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on September 27, 2007. Retrieved August 27, 2007.
  40. ^ Higgins, Michael (April 11, 2006). "Best-seller leads scholar to file lawsuit; Defamation allegation targets U. of C. author". Chicago Tribune. p. 3.
  41. ^ "Judge Castillo issues decision on Lott v. Levitt" on John Lott's website
  42. ^ "7th Circuit Affirmation of District Court Dismissal of Defamation Lawsuit 2009-02-16 at the Wayback Machine"
  43. ^ Staff, Courthouse News (February 13, 2009). "Professor Wasn't Defamed by 'Freakonomics' Author". Retrieved January 2, 2021.
  44. ^ Gajda, Amy (February 15, 2010). The Trials of Academe. Harvard University Press: Harvard University Press. pp. 166–170. doi:10.2307/j.ctvjghvr3. ISBN 978-0-674-05386-1. S2CID 198001655.
  45. ^ Glenn, David (August 10, 2007). "Dueling Economists Reach Settlement in Defamation Lawsuit". Chronicle of Higher Education. 53 (49): 10.
  46. ^ "Unusual Agreement Means Settlement May Be Near in 'Lott v. Levitt,' July 27, 2007"
  47. ^ "Unusual Agreement Means Settlement May Be Near in 'Lott v. Levitt'," Chronicle of Higher Education, July 27, 2007
  48. ^ Otis Dudley Duncan, "Gun Use Surveys: In Numbers We Trust?" 2012-05-25 at the Wayback Machine, The Criminologist, Vol. 25, No. 1, Jan/Feb 2000, p. 1, 3–7.
  49. ^ a b "John R. Lott Jr.'s Reply to Otis Dudley Duncan's Recent Article in The Criminologist", The Criminologist, Vol. 25, No. 5, Sep/Oct 2000, page 1, 6.
  50. ^ Sanchez, Julian (February 13, 2003). "Red Herrings". Julian Sanchez — blog. Retrieved July 28, 2016. (Julian Sanchez noted that the 1997 hard drive crash is widely accepted as a fact; the dispute is over the lack of solid evidence that Lott lost a survey data set in that crash)
  51. ^ a b Sanchez, Julian (May 2003). "The Mystery of Mary Rosh". Reason. Retrieved June 15, 2007.
  52. ^ "Evidence of Survey"., "2002 Survey".
  53. ^ Chris Mooney in Mother Jones: Double Barreled Double Standards. October 13, 2003
  54. ^ a b c Morin, Richard (February 1, 2003). "Scholar Invents Fan to Answer His Critics". The Washington Post. p. C01.
  55. ^ Lott Jr., John R.; Whitley, John E. (October 2001). "Safe‐Storage Gun Laws: Accidental Deaths, Suicides, and Crime" (PDF). The Journal of Law and Economics. 44 (S2): 659–689. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.180.3066. doi:10.1086/338346. S2CID 154446568. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 9, 2022.
  56. ^ Webster, Daniel W. (August 4, 2004). "Association Between Youth-Focused Firearm Laws and Youth Suicides". JAMA. 292 (5): 594–601. doi:10.1001/jama.292.5.594. PMID 15292085.
  57. ^ Carter, Gregg Lee (2002). Guns in American Society. ABC-CLIO. p. 151. ISBN 978-0-313-38670-1.
  58. ^ Lott, John R. Jr. (October 2000). "A Simple Explanation for Why Campaign Expenditures are Increasing: The Government is Getting Bigger". Journal of Law and Economics. doi:10.2139/ssrn.245336. S2CID 153298336.
  59. ^ Lott, John R. (2005). "The Judicial Confirmation Process: The Difficulty with Being Smart". Journal of Empirical Legal Studies. 2 (3): 407–447. doi:10.1111/j.1740-1461.2005.00056.x.
  60. ^ a b Brady, Henry E.; Collier, David (2004). Rethinking Social Inquiry: Diverse Tools, Shared Standards. Rowman & Littlefield. ISBN 978-0-7425-1125-5.
  61. ^ John R. Lott Jr. and John E. Whitley, "Abortion and Crime: Unwanted Children and Out-of-Wedlock Births", (2001) SSRN Yale Law & Economics Research Paper No. 254 working paper and Economic Inquiry, Vol. 45, No. 2, pp. 304–324, April 2007 published article.
  62. ^ Joyce, Theodore J. (June 2009). "Abortion and Crime: A Review". National Bureau of Economic Research. Working Paper Series. doi:10.3386/w15098. S2CID 74738947.
  63. ^ a b Lind, Dara (March 1, 2018). "The right-wing effort to paint DREAMers as a nightmare". Vox. Retrieved January 4, 2021.
  64. ^ "The Fatal Flaw in John R. Lott Jr.'s Study on Illegal Immigrant Crime in Arizona". Cato Institute. February 5, 2018. Retrieved January 4, 2021.
  65. ^ "Questions raised about study that links undocumented immigrants to higher crime". The Washington Post. 2018.
  66. ^ Exstrum, Olivia. "The guy behind the bogus immigration report has a long history of terrible and misleading research". Mother Jones. Retrieved January 4, 2021.
  67. ^ Lott, John R. Jr.; Kenny, Larry (1999). "How Dramatically Did Women's Suffrage Change the Size and Scope of Government?". Journal of Political Economy. doi:10.2139/ssrn.160530.
  68. ^ Lott, John R. Jr. (April 2000). "Does a Helping Hand Put Others At Risk?: Affirmative Action, Police Departments, and Crime". Economic Inquiry. 38 (2): 239–277. doi:10.1093/ei/38.2.239.
  69. ^ Karpoff, Jonathan M.; Lott, John R. Jr.; Wehrly, Eric (August 16, 2005). "The Reputational Penalties for Environmental Violations: Empirical Evidence". Journal of Law and Economics. 48 (2): 653–675. doi:10.1086/430806. S2CID 154290101.
  70. ^ "John Lott, Discredited Gun Researcher, Leaves DOJ". The Trace. January 21, 2021. Retrieved January 22, 2021.
  71. ^ Gerstein, Josh (November 24, 2020). "Controversial gun advocate hired by Justice Department last month". POLITICO. Retrieved January 2, 2021.
  72. ^ a b Hansen, Jordan (March 30, 2021). "GOP-backed group claims 'irregularities' on Missoula County 2020 ballots". missoulian.com. Retrieved September 14, 2021.
  73. ^ Eggers, Andrew C.; Garro, Haritz; Grimmer, Justin (November 9, 2021). "No evidence for systematic voter fraud: A guide to statistical claims about the 2020 election". Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 118 (45). Bibcode:2021PNAS..11803619E. doi:10.1073/pnas.2103619118. ISSN 0027-8424. PMC 8609310. PMID 34728563.
  74. ^ Grimmer, Justin (January 5, 2021). "Comment On "A Simple Test For The Extent Of Voter Fraud With Absentee Ballots In The 2020 Presidential Election"". Hoover Institution. Retrieved September 14, 2021.
  75. ^ Clark, Lauren (June 23, 2021). "Gun activists tricked into speaking at fake Las Vegas high school graduation". 3LV News. Retrieved September 8, 2021.
  76. ^ "A Parkland Victim's Dad Tricked a Former NRA President into Speaking at a Fake Graduation". BuzzFeed News. June 23, 2021.

External links

Lott's websites

  • Crime Prevention Research Center website
  • John Lott's blog
  • John Lott's data, available for downloading
  • Blog For John Lott's 2007 Book, Freedomnomics
  • Lott's Fox News columns

Lott's research

  • John Lott's Research Papers at the Social Science Research Network
  • Opinion pieces by Lott in the general press
  • NAS panel report on right-to-carry laws, National Academy of Science
  • John Lott publications indexed by Google Scholar
  • List of DOJ Publications

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For other people named John Lott see John Lott disambiguation John Richard Lott Jr born May 8 1958 is an American economist political commentator and gun rights advocate Lott was formerly employed at various academic institutions and at the American Enterprise Institute conservative think tank He is the former president of the Crime Prevention Research Center a nonprofit he founded in 2013 He worked in the Office of Justice Programs within the U S Department of Justice under the Donald Trump administration from October 2020 to January 2021 Lott holds a Ph D in economics from UCLA John LottBornJohn Richard Lott Jr 1958 05 08 May 8 1958 age 65 Academic careerInstitutionsUniversity of ChicagoYale UniversityThe Wharton SchoolUniversity of Maryland College ParkAmerican Enterprise InstituteFieldEconomicsAlma materUniversity of California Los Angeles BA MA PhD Websitewww wbr johnrlott wbr comHe has written for both academic and popular publications He has authored books such as More Guns Less Crime The Bias Against Guns and Freedomnomics He is best known as a gun rights advocate 1 2 3 and has argued against restrictions on owning and carrying guns The New Yorker and The Trace have said no one has had greater influence 4 in the scientific debate over firearms while Newsweek referred to Lott as The Gun Crowd s Guru 5 Contents 1 Academic career 2 Research on guns 2 1 Concealed weapons and crime rate 2 2 Defensive gun use 2 3 Defamation suit 2 4 Disputed survey 2 5 Mary Rosh persona 2 6 Safe storage gun laws 3 Other research and events 3 1 Lost Bush votes in the 2000 presidential election 3 2 Abortion and crime 3 3 Illegal immigration and crime 3 4 Women s suffrage and government growth 3 5 Affirmative action in police departments 3 6 Environmental regulations 3 7 Voter fraud claims 3 8 2021 graduation address event 4 Bibliography 5 See also 6 References 7 External links 7 1 Lott s websites 7 2 Lott s researchAcademic careerJohn Lott studied economics at UCLA receiving his B A in 1980 M A in 1982 and Ph D in 1984 Lott has held positions in law and economics at several institutions including the Yale Law School the Hoover Institution UCLA the Wharton Business School Texas A amp M University and Rice University Lott was the chief economist at the United States Sentencing Commission 6 1988 1989 He spent five years at the University of Chicago as a visiting professor from 1994 to 1995 and as a John M Olin fellow from 1995 to 1999 Lott was a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute from 2001 to 2006 He left AEI for SUNY Binghamton 7 From July 2007 to 2010 Lott was a senior research scientist at the University of Maryland Foundation at the University of Maryland College Park and lectured on law and economics 8 9 Lott has written op eds for The Wall Street Journal The New York Times the Los Angeles Times USA Today and the Chicago Tribune Since 2008 he has been a columnist for Fox News initially weekly 10 6 Research on gunsConcealed weapons and crime rate In a 1997 article written with David B Mustard 11 and Lott s subsequent books More Guns Less Crime and The Bias Against Guns Lott argued that allowing adults to carry concealed weapons significantly reduces crime in America In 2004 the National Academy of Sciences NAS National Research Council NRC conducted a review of current research and data on firearms and violent crime including Lott s work and concluded that with the current evidence it is not possible to determine that there is a causal link between the passage of right to carry laws and crime rates 12 The NAS report wrote of Lott s work The initial model specification when extended to new data does not show evidence that passage of right to carry laws reduces crime The estimated effects are highly sensitive to seemingly minor changes in the model specification and control variables 13 The criminologist James Q Wilson was the only member on the 18 member NAS panel who dissented from this conclusion 14 13 For similar reasons as highlighted by the NAS as well as multiple serious problems with data and methodology a 2020 comprehensive review of existing research on concealed carry by the RAND Corporation discounted Lott s studies 15 Other reviews said that there were problems with Lott s model A replication by Dan A Black and Daniel Nagin found that minor adjustments to Lott and Mustard s model led to the disappearance of the findings 16 17 In the New England Journal of Medicine David Hemenway argued that Lott failed to account for several key variables including drug consumption 18 Ian Ayres and John J Donohue said that the model used by Lott contained significant coding errors and systemic bias 19 In the American Journal of Public Health Daniel Webster et al also raised concerns about flaws in the study such as misclassification of laws and endogeneity of predictor variables which they said rendered the study s conclusions insupportable 20 Florida State University criminologist Gary Kleck considered it unlikely that such a large decrease in violent crime could be explained by a relatively modest increase in concealed carry 21 A 1998 study by Jens Ludwig that said it more effectively control ed for unobserved variables that may vary over time than the Lott and Mustard study concluded that shall issue laws have resulted if anything in an increase in adult homicide rates 22 A 2001 study in the Journal of Political Economy by University of Chicago economist Mark Duggan did robustness checks of Lott and Mustard s study and found that the findings of the Lott and Mustard study were inaccurate 23 Other academics praised Lott s methodology including Florida State University economist Bruce Benson 24 Cardozo School of Law professor John O McGinnis 25 College of William and Mary professor Carlisle Moody 26 University of Mississippi professor William F Shughart 27 and SUNY economist Florenz Plassmann and University of Adelaide economist John Whitley 28 Referring to the research done on the topic The Chronicle of Higher Education wrote in 2003 that Mr Lott s research has convinced his peers of at least one point No scholars now claim that legalizing concealed weapons causes a major increase in crime 29 As Lott critics Ian Ayres and John J Donohue III pointed out Lott and Mustard have made an important scholarly contribution in establishing that these laws have not led to the massive bloodbath of death and injury that some of their opponents feared On the other hand we find that the statistical evidence that these laws have reduced crime is limited sporadic and extraordinarily fragile 19 A 2008 article in Econ Journal Watch surveyed peer reviewed empirical academic studies and found that 10 supported the proposition that right to carry reduces crime 8 supported no significant effect and none supported an increase 30 The article was rebutted by Ian Ayres and John J Donohue in the same journal in 2009 31 In 2013 Lott founded the nonprofit organization Crime Prevention Research Center to study the relationship between gun laws and crime As of July 2015 he was also the organization s president 32 The board of directors for the organization includes guitarist Ted Nugent conservative talkshow host Lars Larson and former sheriff David Clarke 33 In 2020 Lott left the organization to take a position in the Trump administration 33 Defensive gun use Main article Defensive gun use Lott argues in both More Guns Less Crime and The Bias Against Guns that defensive gun use DGU is underreported noting that in general only shootings ending in fatalities are discussed in news stories In More Guns Less Crime Lott writes that s ince in many defensive cases a handgun is simply brandished and no one is harmed many defensive uses are never even reported to the police In May 1998 Lott wrote that national surveys suggested that 98 percent of the time that people use guns defensively they merely have to brandish a weapon to break off an attack Lott cited similar figures in op eds in The Wall Street Journal 34 and the Los Angeles Times 35 In 2002 he said that brandishing a weapon was sufficient to stop an attack 95 of the time Other researchers criticized his methodology A study in Public Opinion Quarterly said that his sample size of 1 015 respondents was too small for the study to be accurate and that the majority of similar studies suggest a value between 70 and 80 percent 36 According to Lott Gary Kleck and Marc Gertz s 1994 estimate rises to 92 percent when brandishing and warning shots are added together 37 8 Lott said that the lower rates found by others was at least in part due to the different questions that were asked 38 Defamation suit On April 10 2006 John Lott filed suit 39 for defamation against Steven Levitt and HarperCollins Publishers over the book Freakonomics and against Levitt over a series of emails to John McCall In the book Freakonomics Levitt and coauthor Stephen J Dubner claimed that the results of Lott s research in More Guns Less Crime had not been replicated by other academics In the emails to economist John McCall who had pointed to a number of papers in different academic publications that had replicated Lott s work Levitt wrote that the work by several authors supporting Lott in a special 2001 issue of the Journal of Law and Economics had not been peer reviewed Lott had paid the University of Chicago Press to publish the papers and that papers with results opposite of Lott s had been blocked from publication in that issue 40 A federal judge found that Levitt s replication claim in Freakonomics was not defamation but found merit in Lott s complaint over the email claims 41 The dismissal was affirmed by a three judge panel of The United States Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit on February 11 2009 42 43 A settlement was reached over the claims made by Levitt in the emails to McCall whereby Levitt did not have to issue a formal apology but rather send a letter of clarification to John McCall that the issue of the Journal of Law and Economics was peer reviewed and that Lott had not improperly influenced the editors 44 45 46 The Chronicle of Higher Education characterized Levitt s letter as offering a doozy of a concession 47 Disputed survey In the course of a dispute with Otis Dudley Duncan in 1999 2000 48 49 Lott claimed to have undertaken a national survey of 2 424 respondents in 1997 the results of which were the source for claims he had made beginning in 1997 49 However in 2000 Lott was unable to produce the data or any records showing that the survey had been undertaken He said the 1997 hard drive crash that had affected several projects with co authors had destroyed his survey data set 50 the original tally sheets had been abandoned with other personal property in his move from Chicago to Yale and he could not recall the names of any of the students who he said had worked on it Critics questioned whether the survey had ever taken place 51 but Lott defends the survey s existence and accuracy 52 Mary Rosh persona In response to the dispute surrounding the missing survey Lott used a sock puppet by the name of Mary Rosh to defend his own works on Usenet and elsewhere After investigative work by libertarian blogger Julian Sanchez Lott admitted to using the Mary Rosh persona 51 Further accusations claimed that Lott praised himself while posing as one of his former students 53 54 and that Rosh was used to post a favorable review of More Guns Less Crime on Amazon com Lott has claimed that the review was written by his son and wife 54 I probably shouldn t have done it I know I shouldn t have done it but it s hard to think of any big advantage I got except to be able to comment fictitiously Lott told The Washington Post in 2003 54 Safe storage gun laws In a 2001 study Lott and John E Whitley reported that safe storage gun laws not only did not reduce juvenile suicides or accidental gun deaths but that they also increased rates of violent and property crime 55 The study was criticized by Webster et al in the Journal of the American Medical Association for using Tobit regression despite the fact that the data used in the study on youth suicides was highly skewed and heteroskedastic and because the vast majority of crimes that Lott and Whitley claimed increased due to safe storage laws occurred outside the home 56 Webster and Carroll also wrote in Guns in American Society An Encyclopedia of History Politics Culture and the Law that the Lott and Whitley study s findings with respect to crime were inconsistent with prior research 57 Other research and eventsIn a study published in 2000 Lott concluded that most of the large recent increases in campaign spending for state and federal offices can be explained by higher government spending 58 Lott also supports the conclusion that higher quality judges measured by their output once they are on the court e g number of citations to their opinions or number of published opinions take longer to get confirmed 59 Lost Bush votes in the 2000 presidential election In 2000 Lott argued using a regression analysis that George W Bush lost at least 10 000 votes in Florida after the media incorrectly called the state for Al Gore while voting was still ongoing in the more conservative parts of the state 60 Lott s argument is used in the influential social science methodology textbook Rethinking Social Inquiry edited by Henry Brady and David Collier as an example of poor methodology Contrary to Lott s study they show that the number of lost Bush votes ranged from 28 to 56 60 Abortion and crime With John Whitley at the University of Adelaide Lott published a study that argued that liberalization of abortion laws led to higher murder rates 61 In a review of the literature on the relationship between abortion and crime Theodore Joyce an economist at Baruch College and the National Bureau of Economic Research praised Lott and Whitley for gathering additional data on abortion but criticized the methodology that they used 62 Illegal immigration and crime Lott has non peer reviewed research that purports to show that undocumented immigrants are more crime prone than U S citizens In doing so Lott lumped together both legal and illegal immigrants in prison into a category for illegal immigrants leading to an elevated crime rate for illegal immigrants 63 64 The Washington Post fact checker wrote that this was a significant flaw in Lott s study that undercuts his conclusion Lott says the overall thrust of his study still holds but the issue muddles his research and invites guesswork as to the actual crime rate for the undocumented immigrant population in Arizona 65 Lott s claims were heavily promoted by the Trump administration to justify its anti immigration policies in particular their attempts to end DACA 63 66 Women s suffrage and government growth According to a study by Lott and Larry Kenny women s suffrage coincided with immediate increases in state government expenditures and revenue and more liberal voting patterns for federal representatives and these effects continued growing over time as more women took advantage of the franchise 67 Affirmative action in police departments Lott published a study arguing that affirmative action in the hiring of police reduced the overall quality of all officers and increased crime The most adverse effects of these hiring policies have occurred in the most heavily black populated cities There is no consistent evidence that crime rates rise when standards for hiring women are changed 68 Environmental regulations Together with John Karpoff and Eric Wehrly at the University of Washington Lott has worked to show the importance of government regulations through both legal and regulatory penalties and the weaknesses of reputational penalties in reducing pollution 69 Firms violating environmental laws suffer statistically significant losses in the market value of firm equity The losses are of similar magnitudes to the legal penalties imposed and in the cross section the market value loss is related to the size of the legal penalty Voter fraud claims Further information Attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election In October 2020 Lott was appointed as a senior adviser for research and statistics at the Office of Justice Programs within the U S Department of Justice 33 Lott resigned from the DoJ on January 16 2021 70 Lott has claimed there was voter fraud in the 2020 United States presidential election 71 He argued there was irregularities in the absentee ballots in Missoula County and later wrote a paper claiming there was evidence of fraud in the absentee ballots in Georgia and Pennsylvania 72 A 2021 PNAS study by political scientists at Stanford University and the University of Chicago rebutted Lott s paper as being not even remotely convincing writing that his analysis was entirely dependent on the completely arbitrary order in which pairs of precincts in other counties are entered in the dataset and that his conclusions about voter fraud were utterly baseless 72 73 74 2021 graduation address event On June 4 2021 two parents of a child killed in the 2018 shooting at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School invited Lott and David Keene to deliver what they falsely said was a dress rehearsal for a 2021 graduation address for a fictitious school called the James Madison Academy The space for the audience contained 3 044 empty folding chairs Lott first realized that the event was a staged attempt to call attention to school shootings and not a genuine commencement address dress rehearsal when news media asked him to comment on segments of video of the dress rehearsal that the organizers posted on the internet They said that the empty chairs were intended to represent the victims of school shootings who would never graduate from high school In a local Las Vegas news interview Lott said that he is not opposed to all forms of background checks but simply believes that background checks broadly discriminate against persons of color primarily black and Hispanic among potential gun buyers 75 76 BibliographyUncertainty and Economic Evolution ISBN 0 415 15166 X Are Predatory Commitments Credible ISBN 0 226 49355 5 More Guns Less Crime ISBN 0 226 49364 4 The Bias Against Guns ISBN 0 89526 114 6 Straight Shooting ISBN 0 936783 47 8 Freedomnomics ISBN 978 1 596 98506 3 Debacle Obama s War on Jobs and Growth and What We Can Do Now to Regain Our Future ISBN 978 1118186176 At the Brink Will Obama Push Us Over the Edge ISBN 978 1621570516 Dumbing Down the Courts How Politics Keeps the Smartest Judges Off the Bench ISBN 978 1626522497 The War on Guns Regnery Publishing 2016 ISBN 978 1 62157 580 1 See alsoGun violence in the United States Stephen Halbrook Gary Kleck List of American Enterprise Institute scholars and fellows Rudolph RummelReferences Frum David January 14 2014 With Guns the Threatened Can Quickly Become the Threat Daily Beast Retrieved January 16 2014 Blake Meredith December 16 2012 Piers Morgan on gun control How many kids have to die Los Angeles Times Retrieved January 16 2014 Bovard James Review quotes press uchicago edu University of Chicago Press Archived from the original on September 19 2018 Retrieved January 16 2014 Spies Mike November 3 2022 The Right s Favorite Gun Researcher The Trace Retrieved January 24 2023 Bai Matt March 12 2001 The Gun Crowd s Guru John Lott has a high profile and a target on his back Newsweek Archived from the original on May 2 2015 a b Dr John R Lott Jr Fox News July 27 2016 Retrieved July 27 2016 Curriculum Vitae of John R Lott Jr dated March 17 2008 Social Science Research Network Blogspot com Fox News John R Lott Jr and David B Mustard Crime Deterrence and Right To Carry Concealed Handguns 26 Journal of Legal Studies 1 1997 working paper PDF Archived 2010 06 16 at the Wayback Machine journal article PDF subscription required NAS Firearms and Violence A Critical Review 2004 Executive Summary Major Conclusions page 2 Chapter 6 Right to Carry Laws pages 120 151 reviews research by Lott and others on this issue a b Farley Robert Robertson Lori Kiely Eugene December 20 2012 Gun Rhetoric vs Gun Facts FactCheck org Retrieved January 2 2021 Wilson James Q 2004 Appendix A Dissent Firearms and Violence A Critical Review pp 269 270 ISBN 0 309 09124 1 Archived from the original on October 16 2012 Effects of Concealed Carry Laws on Violent Crime rand org Retrieved January 2 2021 Black Dan A Daniel S Nagin January 1998 Do Right to Carry Laws Deter Violent Crime Journal of Legal Studies 27 1 214 doi 10 1086 468019 S2CID 154626760 Ted Goertzel Myths of Murder and Multiple Regression The Skeptical Inquirer Volume 26 No 1 January February 2002 pp 19 23 Expanded as Ted Goertzel Econometric Modeling as Junk Science Hemenway David December 31 1998 More Guns Less Crime Understanding crime and gun control laws Making A Killing The business of guns in America The New England Journal of Medicine 339 27 2029 30 doi 10 1056 NEJM199812313392719 a b Ayres Ian John J Donohue III April 2003 Shooting Down the More Guns Less Crime Hypothesis Stanford Law Review 55 4 1193 doi 10 2139 ssrn 343781 S2CID 55757925 Webster D W Vernick J S Ludwig J Lester K J June 1997 Flawed gun policy research could endanger public safety American Journal of Public Health 87 6 918 921 doi 10 2105 AJPH 87 6 918 PMC 1380922 PMID 9224169 Kleck Gary 1997 Targeting Guns Firearms and Their Control New York NY Aldine de Gruyter Ludwig Jens September 1998 Concealed gun carrying laws and violent crime evidence from state panel data PDF International Review of Law and Economics 18 3 239 254 CiteSeerX 10 1 1 487 5452 doi 10 1016 S0144 8188 98 00012 X Archived PDF from the original on October 9 2022 Duggan Mark October 1 2001 More Guns More Crime Journal of Political Economy 109 5 1086 1114 doi 10 1086 322833 ISSN 0022 3808 S2CID 33899679 Benson Bruce L September 1999 Review of More Guns Less Crime Public Choice 100 3 4 309 313 doi 10 1023 A 1018689310638 S2CID 150500420 McGinnis John O July 20 1998 Trigger Happiness National Review 50 13 49 Moody Carlisle E October 2001 Testing for the Effects of Concealed Weapons Laws Specification Errors and Robustness The Journal of Law and Economics 44 s2 799 813 doi 10 1086 323313 S2CID 154918586 Shughart William F Lott John R April 1 1999 More Guns Less Crime Understanding Crime and Gun Control Laws Review Southern Economic Journal 65 4 978 981 doi 10 2307 1061296 JSTOR 1061296 Plassmann and Whitley Stanford Law Review 2003 Confirming More Guns Less Crime by Florenz Plassmann and John Whitley 2003 p 1361 Glenn David May 9 2003 More Guns Less Crime Thesis Rests on a Flawed Statistical Design Scholars Argue The Chronicle of Higher Education 49 35 A18 Retrieved May 27 2007 Carlisle E Moody and Thomas B Marvell The Debate on Shall Issue Laws Econ Journal Watch Vol 5 Iss 3 2008 Yet Another Refutation of the More Guns Less Crime Hypothesis With Some Help From Moody and Marvell Econ Journal Watch Law and economics criminal justice policy guns and crime econjwatch org Retrieved September 13 2017 Lurie Julia July 28 2015 When the Gun Lobby Tries to Justify Firearms Everywhere It Turns to This Guy Mother Jones Retrieved February 6 2016 a b c Gerstein Josh November 24 2020 Controversial gun advocate hired by Justice Department last month Politico Retrieved November 24 2020 Lott Jr John R June 23 1998 Keep Guns out of Lawyers Hands Wall Street Journal p 1 Lott Jr John R December 1 1998 Cities Target Gun Makers in Bogus Lawsuits Los Angeles Times p 7 McDowall David Summer 2005 John R Lott Jr s Defensive Gun Brandishing Estimates Public Opinion Quarterly 69 2 246 263 doi 10 1093 poq nfi015 Lott John What Surveys Can Help Us Understand About Guns PDF Archived PDF from the original on October 9 2022 Retrieved June 22 2016 Discussion of different surveys on defensive gun use Johnlott org PDF of Lott s complaint v Levitt PDF Archived from the original PDF on September 27 2007 Retrieved August 27 2007 Higgins Michael April 11 2006 Best seller leads scholar to file lawsuit Defamation allegation targets U of C author Chicago Tribune p 3 Judge Castillo issues decision on Lott v Levitt on John Lott s website 7th Circuit Affirmation of District Court Dismissal of Defamation Lawsuit Archived 2009 02 16 at the Wayback Machine Staff Courthouse News February 13 2009 Professor Wasn t Defamed by Freakonomics Author Retrieved January 2 2021 Gajda Amy February 15 2010 The Trials of Academe Harvard University Press Harvard University Press pp 166 170 doi 10 2307 j ctvjghvr3 ISBN 978 0 674 05386 1 S2CID 198001655 Glenn David August 10 2007 Dueling Economists Reach Settlement in Defamation Lawsuit Chronicle of Higher Education 53 49 10 Unusual Agreement Means Settlement May Be Near in Lott v Levitt July 27 2007 Unusual Agreement Means Settlement May Be Near in Lott v Levitt Chronicle of Higher Education July 27 2007 Otis Dudley Duncan Gun Use Surveys In Numbers We Trust Archived 2012 05 25 at the Wayback Machine The Criminologist Vol 25 No 1 Jan Feb 2000 p 1 3 7 a b John R Lott Jr s Reply to Otis Dudley Duncan s Recent Article in The Criminologist The Criminologist Vol 25 No 5 Sep Oct 2000 page 1 6 Sanchez Julian February 13 2003 Red Herrings Julian Sanchez blog Retrieved July 28 2016 Julian Sanchez noted that the 1997 hard drive crash is widely accepted as a fact the dispute is over the lack of solid evidence that Lott lost a survey data set in that crash a b Sanchez Julian May 2003 The Mystery of Mary Rosh Reason Retrieved June 15 2007 Evidence of Survey 2002 Survey Chris Mooney in Mother Jones Double Barreled Double Standards October 13 2003 a b c Morin Richard February 1 2003 Scholar Invents Fan to Answer His Critics The Washington Post p C01 Lott Jr John R Whitley John E October 2001 Safe Storage Gun Laws Accidental Deaths Suicides and Crime PDF The Journal of Law and Economics 44 S2 659 689 CiteSeerX 10 1 1 180 3066 doi 10 1086 338346 S2CID 154446568 Archived PDF from the original on October 9 2022 Webster Daniel W August 4 2004 Association Between Youth Focused Firearm Laws and Youth Suicides JAMA 292 5 594 601 doi 10 1001 jama 292 5 594 PMID 15292085 Carter Gregg Lee 2002 Guns in American Society ABC CLIO p 151 ISBN 978 0 313 38670 1 Lott John R Jr October 2000 A Simple Explanation for Why Campaign Expenditures are Increasing The Government is Getting Bigger Journal of Law and Economics doi 10 2139 ssrn 245336 S2CID 153298336 Lott John R 2005 The Judicial Confirmation Process The Difficulty with Being Smart Journal of Empirical Legal Studies 2 3 407 447 doi 10 1111 j 1740 1461 2005 00056 x a b Brady Henry E Collier David 2004 Rethinking Social Inquiry Diverse Tools Shared Standards Rowman amp Littlefield ISBN 978 0 7425 1125 5 John R Lott Jr and John E Whitley Abortion and Crime Unwanted Children and Out of Wedlock Births 2001 SSRN Yale Law amp Economics Research Paper No 254 working paper and Economic Inquiry Vol 45 No 2 pp 304 324 April 2007 published article Joyce Theodore J June 2009 Abortion and Crime A Review National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series doi 10 3386 w15098 S2CID 74738947 a b Lind Dara March 1 2018 The right wing effort to paint DREAMers as a nightmare Vox Retrieved January 4 2021 The Fatal Flaw in John R Lott Jr s Study on Illegal Immigrant Crime in Arizona Cato Institute February 5 2018 Retrieved January 4 2021 Questions raised about study that links undocumented immigrants to higher crime The Washington Post 2018 Exstrum Olivia The guy behind the bogus immigration report has a long history of terrible and misleading research Mother Jones Retrieved January 4 2021 Lott John R Jr Kenny Larry 1999 How Dramatically Did Women s Suffrage Change the Size and Scope of Government Journal of Political Economy doi 10 2139 ssrn 160530 Lott John R Jr April 2000 Does a Helping Hand Put Others At Risk Affirmative Action Police Departments and Crime Economic Inquiry 38 2 239 277 doi 10 1093 ei 38 2 239 Karpoff Jonathan M Lott John R Jr Wehrly Eric August 16 2005 The Reputational Penalties for Environmental Violations Empirical Evidence Journal of Law and Economics 48 2 653 675 doi 10 1086 430806 S2CID 154290101 John Lott Discredited Gun Researcher Leaves DOJ The Trace January 21 2021 Retrieved January 22 2021 Gerstein Josh November 24 2020 Controversial gun advocate hired by Justice Department last month POLITICO Retrieved January 2 2021 a b Hansen Jordan March 30 2021 GOP backed group claims irregularities on Missoula County 2020 ballots missoulian com Retrieved September 14 2021 Eggers Andrew C Garro Haritz Grimmer Justin November 9 2021 No evidence for systematic voter fraud A guide to statistical claims about the 2020 election Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118 45 Bibcode 2021PNAS 11803619E doi 10 1073 pnas 2103619118 ISSN 0027 8424 PMC 8609310 PMID 34728563 Grimmer Justin January 5 2021 Comment On A Simple Test For The Extent Of Voter Fraud With Absentee Ballots In The 2020 Presidential Election Hoover Institution Retrieved September 14 2021 Clark Lauren June 23 2021 Gun activists tricked into speaking at fake Las Vegas high school graduation 3LV News Retrieved September 8 2021 A Parkland Victim s Dad Tricked a Former NRA President into Speaking at a Fake Graduation BuzzFeed News June 23 2021 External links nbsp Wikimedia Commons has media related to John Lott Lott s websites Crime Prevention Research Center website John Lott s blog John Lott s data available for downloading Blog For John Lott s 2007 Book Freedomnomics Lott s Fox News columnsLott s research John Lott s Research Papers at the Social Science Research Network Opinion pieces by Lott in the general press NAS panel report on right to carry laws National Academy of Science John Lott publications indexed by Google Scholar List of DOJ Publications Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title John Lott amp oldid 1182720722, 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