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Fragile state

A fragile state or weak state is a country characterized by weak state capacity or weak state legitimacy leaving citizens vulnerable to a range of shocks. The World Bank, for example, deems a country to be ‘fragile’ if it (a) is eligible for assistance (i.e., a grant) from the International Development Association (IDA), (b) has had a UN peacekeeping mission in the last three years, and (c) has received a ‘governance’ score of less than 3.2 (as per the Country Policy and Institutional Assessment (CPIA) index of The World Bank). A more cohesive definition of the fragile state might also note a state's growing inability to maintain a monopoly on force in its declared territory. While a fragile state might still occasionally exercise military authority or sovereignty over its declared territory, its claim grows weaker as the logistical mechanisms through which it exercises power grow weaker.

While many countries are making progress toward achieving the Sustainable Development Goals, a group of 35 to 50 countries (depending on the measure used) are falling behind. It is estimated that out of the world's seven billion people, 26% live in fragile states, and this is where one-third of all people surviving on less than US$1.25 per day live, half of the world's children who die before the age of five, and one-third of maternal deaths occur.[1]

Not only are they falling behind, but the gap with other developing countries is widening since the 1970s. In 2006, per capita GDP grew only at 2% in fragile states, whereas it reached 6% in other low-income countries. Fragile states are projected (for example, World Bank, 2008) to constitute an even larger share of low-income countries in the future given that many better performing low-income countries graduate to a middle-income status. This is a major challenge for development efforts and it has been argued by the Overseas Development Institute that fragile states require fundamentally different approaches from the development models exercised in more resilient countries, because of the differences in their risk contexts.[2]

One common measure of state fragility is the World Bank's Country Policy and Institutional Assessment index,[3] but more complex indexes, for example ones that include security dimensions, are increasingly being used. A fragile state in the brink of collapse may result in a failed state.

Definition edit

Fragile states are also known as weak states.[4] Fragile states fail to fully meet key needs of their citizens. The shortcomings are termed gaps, with three core gaps: security gap, capacity gap, and legitimacy gap. The security gap means the state does not provide adequate protection to its citizens; the capacity gap means the state does not fully provide adequate services; and the legitimacy gap means that the authority of the state is not fully accepted. This differs from a failed state, whose governments totally lack legitimacy. Weak states may be difficult to define, as the states fail to collect thorough statistics on crime and education.[5]

In terms of dynamics, fragile states include:

  • Conflict/post-conflict/crisis/war or political transition situations.
  • Deteriorating governance environments.
  • Situations of gradual improvement.
  • Situations of prolonged political or economic crisis or impasse.

A fragile state is significantly susceptible to crisis in one or more of its sub-systems. It is a state that is particularly vulnerable to internal and external shocks and domestic and international conflicts. Fragile states are not only evaluated by degree of fragility but also types of state fragility and threat they pose in to help policymakers to appropriate responses.[6] In a fragile state, institutional arrangements embody and perhaps preserve the conditions of crisis: in economic terms, this could be institutions (importantly, property rights) that reinforce stagnation or low growth rates, or embody extreme inequality (in wealth, in access to property and land ownership, in access to the means to make a living); in social terms institutions may embody extreme inequality or lack of access altogether to health or education; in political terms, institutions may entrench exclusionary coalitions in power (in ethnic, religious, or perhaps regional terms), or extreme factionalism or significantly fragmented security organisations. In fragile states, statutory institutional arrangements are vulnerable to challenges by rival institutional systems be they derived from traditional authorities, devised by communities under conditions of stress that see little of the state (in terms of security, development or welfare), or be they derived from warlords, or other non-state power brokers. Fragile states might also offer citizens multiple, overlapping institutions from highly variant power sources that are competing for legitimacy. While, as opposed to a weak state, these different institutions might not be in direct conflict, they do offer strong competing narratives that hamper the progress of good governance.

The opposite of a "fragile state" is a "stable state" – one where dominant or statutory institutional arrangements appear able to withstand internal and external shocks and contestation remains within the boundaries of reigning institutional arrangements. With the right conditions, some countries – such as Mozambique and Burundi – have so far demonstrated a remarkable turn-around. To address the challenge of these countries falling behind, the international spotlight must be kept on countries where the Millennium Development Goals are hardest to achieve, using common principles for action; making the international aid architecture more rational; improving the organisational response of the wide range of actors involved (including "the 3Ds": diplomacy, defense and development); and measuring results.

While there are no universal criteria to determine state fragility, the World Bank, through its LICUS programme (Low Income Countries Under Stress) and its Country Policy and Institutional Assessment (CPIA) Index, has been able to establish a preeminent frame of reference for donor countries and other institutional partners. Based on four clusters (including economic management, structural policies, policies for social inclusion/equity and Public Sector Management and institutions) as well as 16 indicators, the CPIA index rates state performance, with those countries scoring under 3.2 out of a total of 6 qualifying as "fragile". Such low performing countries may then be, in turn, suitable for the allocation of financial assistance from a variety of international actors such as the International Development Association and other, similar bodies.[7][8]

Origins of the term and discussion edit

Fragile state is an analytical category that gained prominence from the mid 1990s onwards and gained further traction after the 9/11 terrorist attacks. Background is the belief held by many policy-makers and academics alike that the potential for contemporary conflict is harboured within, not between, states. Low capacity and low-income states of the Global South are thought to pose direct threats not only to their own populations, but by extension also to their neighboring Western countries. Following this logic, fragile states are in need of development in order to be able to provide security and basic services to its citizens, decreasing vulnerability and increasing resilience to internal and external shocks. In this way, fragile states exhibit a series of similar threats as failed states, but at a markedly lower magnitude. Their failures are an effective omen of what is to come if their administrative course remains unaltered.

Followed by many donor countries and international organisations and institutions, this approach has led to debate within academia and beyond. Some scholars deem the categorisation of states as fragile as useful, highlighting the potential to predict state collapse and assess the many possibilities to prevent it. Two main criticisms of this notion exist: I) the potential of abuse of the category of state fragility, legitimising external intervention at the expense of the local agency; II) the analytical utility of the categorization effort itself is disputed, with the state-centric grouping together of a wide range of diverse countries leading to highly standardised development responses that cannot take into account often highly divergent political, economic and social conditions.[9]

Indicators edit

The following factors are used by Fund For Peace to ascertain the status of a country.[10]

Social edit

  • Mounting demographic pressures and tribal, ethnic and/or religious conflicts.
  • Massive internal and external displacement of refugees, creating severe humanitarian emergencies.
  • Widespread vengeance-seeking group grievances.
  • Chronic and sustained human flight.

Economic edit

Political edit

  • Delegitimization of the state.
  • Deterioration of public services.
  • Suspension or arbitrary application of law; widespread human rights abuses.
  • Security forces operating as a "state within a state" often with impunity.
  • Rise of factionalized elites.
  • Intervention of external political agents and foreign states.

Intergovernmental organisations edit

Fragile states and post-conflict countries have participated in many intergovernmental groups and associations since the Second World War, including the Group of 77 and regional groups such as ASEAN and the African Union. However until recently countries affected by conflict had no dedicated international platform. In 2010 the g7+ was founded by a group of post-conflict countries to better represent their interests on the international stage. The g7+ is an intergovernmental organisation bringing together countries that have recent experience of conflict. The group aims to draw attention to the special challenges faced by fragile states, provides a platform for conflict-affected countries to come together to discuss their shared development challenges, and advocates for better international policies to address the needs of conflict-affected countries. The g7+ has created own index for measuring state fragility, identifying five clusters (political legitimacy, justice, security, economic foundation, revenue and services), which are located on a fragility spectrum consisting of five stages. Main differences with other indices are constituted by privileged role of individual, state-specific characteristics and self- rather than external assessment.[11] It is important to remember, however, that concepts such as a "State Fragility Index" are affirmatively placed in a philosophical tradition that places a strong emphasis on the inherent "goodness" of state formation. Therefore, it should be viewed NOT as a strictly value-neutral metric, but simply as an administrative one.

Origins edit

American international studies professor Joel Migdal looked into the relationship between state and society, where there is a disparity between the officially announced policies and the actual distribution of state resources. The list of countries included India, Mexico, Egypt and Sierra Leone etc. He traced this disparity to the lack of social control by the government - “the actual ability to make the operative rules of the game for people in the society."[12] This not only includes existence of government agencies over the territory and extraction of resources but also the ability to appropriate resources and to regulate people's behavior.

Migdal stated the expansion of European economy and world trade in the 19th century led to drastic changes in people's strategies of survival in countries of Asia, Africa and Latin America.[13] State policies enforced by Europeans, including land tenure laws, taxation and new modes of transportation, changed people's life situation and needs in these countries rapidly and deeply. Old rewards, sanctions and symbols became irrelevant under the new situation and previous social control and institutions were eroded.

However, unlike western Europe in the earlier centuries, these countries did not establish a new concentration of social control as the base of a strong and capable state. This is because although these countries had the necessary condition for creating a strong state - old social control weakened by the world trade before World War I - they did not have the sufficient conditions: 1) world historical timing that encourages concentrated social control; 2) military threat either from outside or within the country; 3) the basis for an independent bureaucracy; 4) skillful top leadership that would take advantage of all the above conditions.[14]

Basic services provision edit

There is a relationship between state fragility and service delivery and they are both seen as interrelated and mutually reinforcing, yet some also suggest that the provision of basic services can reduce state fragility.[15] In fragile states service delivery may be impacted by financial constraints, limited expertise and a lack of information[15] Long and protracted violence leads to the neglect and subsequent decay of the infrastructure required for provision.[15] Governance and the breakdown of social order can also heighten the social exclusion of specific groups along ethnic, religious, political and gender lines.[15] Such violence can be political, including conflict and terrorism, but can also be social or criminal, leading to a broad combination of security-based obstacles to effective service provision.[16]

Education, health, access to water and adequate sanitation are important not only for survival, but are also recognised human rights whose provision is demonstrated to be necessary for a transition away from conflict.[15] States can develop trust and legitimacy over the long term through the provision of these basic services (known as the "peace dividend").[15] Education, for instance, can protect children and non-combatants during conflict, facilitate intergenerational change and lead to the socialisation of children and youth, be a catalyst for broader transformation, as well as provide a sense of normalcy and continuity.[15] Furthermore, the delivery of some of these services can be seen as more neutral, such as immunisation, and can lead to conflicting groups uniting on specific issues and further result in increased legitimacy.[15]

However, how support is given to fragile states to provide these services is not so simple.[15] Aid agencies who act independently of the state and provide parallel services risk undermining state legitimacy and capacity.[15] On the other hand, supporting the state's own provision can be problematic as the state itself may be the cause of social divisions and a source of conflict.[15]

Limited evidence of varying quality on basic services and social protection in conflicted affected situations has been found. Research into the gaps in provision, delivery and access of basic services has queried whether social protection interventions have contributed to state-building processes. It highlighted that this assumption has already significantly begun shaping policy and programmes and that state-building outcomes in policy may outweigh other outcomes like better water, healthcare and education.[17]

State building and peacebuilding edit

Whether or not to provide services in parallel is often framed as a debate between state building and peacebuilding.[18] State building is argued to lead to peace when it involves seeking to develop an inclusive state, where legitimacy is built as the result of the state responding to the demands of all of society and providing public goods and services.[18] However, supporting the state in this direction is not a simple task, especially for the following reasons:[18]

  • State-building may not automatically lead to peace as it is an inherently political process and will not automatically be inclusive or democratic.
  • Political settlements that seek to appease those that threaten peace can strengthen the rule of repressive rulers.
  • Political settlements that create power sharing agreements can weaken the state and lead to further entrenching divides.
  • Focussing on state institutions may lead to overlooking domestic non-state actors, including traditional local leaders, and prevent the long term of a civil society.

Equally, peacebuilding efforts that do not include the state can undermine its ability to function.[18] Researchers at the Overseas Development Institute emphasise the need for NGOs and other development actors to deepen knowledge of the context and maintain a constant awareness of the relationship between state- and peace-building.[18] If NGOS and international organizations refuse to place additional authority on local state institutions, they risk creating an environment in which the perceived role of the state is less than what it ought to be as populations refuse to give newly constructed institutions necessary adherence.

Case study: Sierra Leone edit

The correct balance of state-building and peacebuilding has been argued to be highly elusive, even when peacebuilding and security have been achieved through the development of the state's own capacity.[19] The UK government supported reforms in Sierra Leone along the principle of "security first" over the last decade, which is believed to have improved security, increased access to and the quality of justice, decreased corruption and positively reformed public service.[18] Since the end of the civil war in 2002, there has been no major violence, peaceful elections were held in 2007 and there has been enough stability to help build sustainable institutions.[18] Yet Sierra Leone suffers severe underdevelopment and ranked third to last on the UN Human Development Index for 2010. This in turn has created frustration and disappointment amongst the younger generation and poses a significant risk of a return to violence.[18]

International intervention or autonomous recovery edit

Debates have been among scholars if post-conflict reconstruction intervention is the best strategy for state-building in fragile states. It is widely believed that multilateral intervention can interrupt the conflict trap of fragile states and set countries on a path toward postwar economic and political development. Responding to the failure of governance in fragile states, scholars have proposed new models of intervention, including neo-trusteeship and shared sovereignty. Supporters of International intervention encourage interventions led by the major powers or regional actors with the greatest national security or economic interest in restoring stability and democracy to the fragile state. They support developing agreements that authorize international intervention whereby the costs of third-party peacekeeping and state-building would increasingly be borne by the state being reconstructed.[20]

Another kind of opinion has been the autonomous recovery - fragile states can recover from a conflict in the absence of intervention and may be able to develop effective institutions of government out of warfare. Supporters of autonomous recovery argue that international assistance and external support undermines the self-sustaining nature of the compact between rulers and constituents. Examples of Uganda, Eritrea, and Somalia support the theory of autonomous recovery, where these weak states successfully achieved a lasting peace, a systematic reduction in violence, and post-war political and economic development in the absence of international intervention.[21]

Promoting democracy edit

According to Samuel Huntington,[22] “The most important political distinction among countries concerns, not their form of government but their degree of government.” The purpose of democratization and institutional development in fragile states is to help them improve both state capacity and development of inclusive institutions. Knutsen and Nygard (2015)[23] emphasize that semi-democracies (fragile states in our discussion) are less stable than both autocracies and democracies. In other words, once the process of democratization begins, it is dangerous to stop midway.

The purpose of democratization itself though is of concern before thinking about the means to achieve it. Ake (2000)[24] says that democracy has mostly been analyzed in the context of its propensity to foster economic development. But in the context of its feasibility in Africa, the utility of democracy as measured by the “values, concerns and priorities of African peoples”, will determine to a considerable extent how far they will accept democracy. In general, the process of democratization is strongly mediated by normative values of the population of concern.

In order to design interventions aimed at promoting inclusive institutions when the status quo witnesses prevalently weak state structures, tractability of theoretically analyzing regime transitions is critical. But according to Geddes (1999),[25] this is because different kinds of authoritarianism differ from each other as much they differ from democracy. To facilitate the analysis of these differences, she classifies authoritarian regimes as 'personalist', military, single-party, or amalgams of the pure types. It is important to note that all of them can be conceptualized from the perspective of “Limited Access Order” societies (North 1999).[26]

According to Larry Diamond, in many of the fragile states promoting democracy is difficult simply because they lack the classic facilitating conditions for democracy—more developed levels of per capita income, civil society, independent mass media, political parties, mass democratic attitudes and values, and so on—but because they lack as well the more basic conditions of a viable political order. In these states, the challenge is not only (or in some cases, even at all) to pressure authoritarian state leaders to surrender power but rather to figure out how to regenerate legitimate power in the first place. The imperative is not only to empower citizens and their independent organizations but to endow state institutions as well with resources, training, organization, and a sense of a common mission.

One point of caution is that progress in democratization in fragile states are vulnerable. According to Samuels (2013),[27] history has witnessed regime changes from democracy to autocracy during the periods of 1925-1945 [e.g. Germany (1933) ] and 1960-1974 [e.g. Brazil (1964), Chile (1973)]. What he identifies as domestic causes of regime change are also the factors to be mitigated through institutional design. Some of these factors are civic culture, class conflicts arising from the unequal distribution of economic gains and military identity. Some of the international causes are the foreign policy of superpowers, the degree of participation in multilateral institutions, the extent of globalization and supranational impact of religious institutions on domestic political institutions.

Non-state actors edit

Individuals in fragile states often rely on non-state actors such as chiefs, tribal elders, secret societies, gangs, militias, insurgents, community or religious leaders to meet their justice and security needs. Lisa Denney, of the Overseas Development Institute, therefore stresses the need for development donors to engage with these non-state actors when attempting to reform justice and security services in fragile states.[28] She suggests four rules of engagement:

  1. Accept that non-state actors are risky, but no more than many state partners
  2. Be fit for purpose – non-state support needs different skills and procedures
  3. Understand context
  4. Only engage when it adds value

Non-state actors in a fragile state often compete for authority and legitimacy with both established federal institutions and other ambitious non-state actors.

Private sector development edit

Researchers found little evidence in literature on the impact of private sector development (PSD) on state society relations and whether PSD and state relations meet public expectations. They thought one reason could be the lack of empirical data gathered from interviews and public surveys on the ground. The interlinkage of PSD on state society relations therefore definitely remain an area for further exploration and should receive greater attention in academic circles and among practitioners in respective publications.[29] Key findings include:[29]

  • Legal reform requirements in fragile states' legal frameworks to boost Private sector Development are underestimated and deserve greater attention in development assistance. However, law-making is a long-term process and shouldn't violate tenets of representation and legitimacy.
  • Although connections between economic growth and infrastructure are well established in literature, infrastructure project impact assessments that look beyond the first few years after a project are rare.
  • Apart from the success in Cambodia the importance of instituting a solid labour rights regime in fragile states needs to be further explored. It's a balancing act to create labour rights and protect workers while maintaining flexibility to bring efficient levels of employment to foster PSD and for business.
  • Microfinance isn't a one-stop solution to poverty reduction and depends on the fragile state in question.
  • CSR interventions can potentially do more harm than good and should not substitute government services or any other forms of development assistance.
  • Lack of access to capital to launch business and a dearth of local financial institutions like reliable central banks remain a major constraints to PSD especially in sub-Saharan African fragile states.
  • The literature reveals a mixed picture of the effects of FDI on conflict and stability as success relies on context and environment.

Relationships with other factors edit

Economic performance edit

A 2012 study by EPS-PEAKS investigated the relationship between state fragility, conflict and economic performance.[30] It describes a large degree of variation among countries' experiences of conflict and foreign direct investment (FDI), with conflict accompanied by high levels of FDI in some countries and low levels of FDI in others. The study suggests that the majority of FDI in fragile states is driven by the motives of resource-seeking multinationals. While this investment can lead to economic growth, this potential is often not realised, and receiving investment solely for resource extraction can lead to further conflict: a phenomenon known as the resource curse.

If a state cannot tax reasonably or spend responsibly a key element of statehood is missing, claim researchers at the Overseas Development Institute and World Bank. They explain that substantial progress can be made in public financial management in fragile states, with most progress made on budget execution, though critical gaps remain in knowledge of the relationship between PFM, statehood and development progress.[31]

An important economic component for failed states is reintegrating ex-fighters into society and the economy. Blattman and Annan conducted a study on how employment reduced risk of returning to violence for high-risk men after the Second Liberian Civil War.[32] The study was on a program that provided agricultural training and capital inputs to the ex-fighters who still own rubber plantations or participated in illicit mining for precious minerals or logging. They found that the men responded well to agricultural training, reduced their illicit extraction of materials by roughly 20%, and about a quarter were less likely to be willing to fight in the election crisis in Côte d'Ivoire.[32] However, the illicit activity did not stop completely. They also found that a promise of future returns was crucial in deterring men from fighting.

Climate change edit

A 2015 study, commissioned by the G7 member states, identifies seven climate-fragility risks that pose threats to the stability of states and societies in the decades ahead.[33] The report finds that in fragile regions, where inequality persists and the government is unable to respond to stresses, the impacts of climate change on water, food and land will multiply existing pressures. It suggests that dynamics of state fragility, social and political fragility, may be exacerbated by climate change impacts and that the consequence of this is reduced adaptation capacity. A downward spiral of fragility or 'vicious climate-fragility cycle' begins.[33] The report also describes how one can measure the capacity of states and societies to meet the challenges of environmental change along a 'spectrum of fragility', from 'most fragile' to 'most resilient'. In fragile situations, where the government lacks ability to carry out basic functions, the state is more vulnerable to and less able to cope with climate change pressures such as natural resource scarcity, land use change, extreme weather events or volatile food prices, and hence more at risk from further instability.

Impacts edit

Weak states have been hypothesized to contribute to terrorist activity. English philosopher Thomas Hobbes was the first to make the connection between the strength of a state and violence. He opined that a strong state with a monopoly on force was the only way to avoid a war of "all against all". After the September 11 attacks, US President George W. Bush said that it "taught us that weak states, like Afghanistan, can pose as great a danger to our national interests as strong states. Poverty does not make poor people into terrorists and murderers. Yet poverty, weak institutions, and corruption can make weak states vulnerable to terrorist networks and drug cartels within their borders".[34] The link between weak states and terrorism has been disputed. In 2003, historian Walter Laqueur noted that a majority of poor, weak states had almost no terrorist activity.[5]

Weak states may also be more vulnerable to public health crises such as infectious disease, which can have spillover effects on other countries.[5]

See also edit

References edit

  1. ^ World Bank. . Archived from the original on 2009-01-25. Retrieved 2009-01-21.
  2. ^ Manuel, Marcus. "Getting better results from assistance to fragile states". ODI Briefing Papers. Overseas Development Institute. Retrieved 12 January 2012.
  3. ^ World Bank. "Country Policy and Institutional Assessment Index". Retrieved 2015-01-26.
  4. ^ Albertson, Andrew; Moran, Ashley (2017). Untangling the Complexity of Fragile States (PDF) (Report). Truman Center.
  5. ^ a b c Tyagi, Juhi (2012). "Weak States". The Wiley-Blackwell Encyclopedia of Globalization. doi:10.1002/9780470670590.wbeog809. ISBN 9780470670590.
  6. ^ MENKHAUS, K. (2010). State Fragility as a Wicked Problem. PRISM, 1(2), 85-100.
  7. ^ "CPIA public sector management and institutions cluster average (1=low to 6=high) | Data".
  8. ^ Nay, Olivier. "International Organisations and the Production of Hegemonic Knowledge: How the World Bank and the OECD helped Invent the Fragile State Concept." Third World Quarterly 35.2 (2014): 210–31
  9. ^ Nay Olivier. "Fragile and Failed States: Critical Perspectives on Conceptual Hybrids", International Political Science Review 33.1 (2013): 326–341, Grimm, Sonja, Nicolas Lemay-Hébert, and Olivier Nay. "‘Fragile States’: Introducing a Political Concept." Third World Quarterly 35.2 (2014): 197–209
  10. ^ "Fragile States Index and CAST Framework Methodology". The Fund for Peace.
  11. ^ Siqueira, Isabel Rocha De. "Measuring and Managing ‘state Fragility’: The Production of Statistics by the World Bank, Timor-Leste and the G7." Third World Quarterly 35.2 (2014): 268-83
  12. ^ Migdal, Joel S. (1988). Strong societes and weak states : state-society relations and state capabilities in the third world. Princeton University press. p. 261. ISBN 9780691010731. OCLC 876100982.
  13. ^ Migdal, Joel S. (1988). Strong societes and weak states : state-society relations and state capabilities in the third world. Princeton University press. pp. 57–84. ISBN 9780691010731. OCLC 876100982.
  14. ^ Migdal, Joel S. (1988). Strong societes and weak states : state-society relations and state capabilities in the third world. Princeton University press. pp. 269–275. ISBN 9780691010731. OCLC 876100982.
  15. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Sara Pavanello and James Darcy (2008) Improving the provision of basic services for the poor in fragile environments: International Literature Review Synthesis Paper Overseas Development Institute
  16. ^ Lewis, Alexandra (14 May 2013). "Violence in Yemen: Thinking About Violence in Fragile States Beyond the Confines of Conflict and Terrorism". Stability: International Journal of Security and Development. 2 (1).
  17. ^ Slater, R. Mallett, R. and Carpenter, October 2012, Social protection and basic services in fragile and conflict-affected situations, Researching livelihoods and services affected by conflict http://www.securelivelihoods.org/publications_details.aspx?ResourceID=145 2016-03-13 at the Wayback Machine
  18. ^ a b c d e f g h Alina Rocha Menocal (2009) 'State-building for peace': navigating an arena of contradictions, Overseas Development Institute
  19. ^ Vicki Metcalfe, Ellen Martin and Sara Pantuliano 2011. Risk in humanitarian action: towards a common approach? London: Overseas Development Institute
  20. ^ Fearon, James D, and David D Laitin (2004). "Neotrusteeship and the Problem of Weak States". International Security. 28 (4): 5–43. doi:10.1162/0162288041588296. S2CID 57559356.{{cite journal}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  21. ^ "Autonomous Recovery and International Intervention in Comparative Perspective - Working Paper 57". Center For Global Development. Retrieved 2017-04-15.
  22. ^ Huntington, Samuel (1973). Political Order in Changing Societies. Yale University Press. ISBN 978-0-300-01171-5.
  23. ^ Knutsen, Carl; Nygard, Havard (July 2015). "Institutional Characteristics and Regime Survival: Why Are Semi-Democracies Less Durable Than Autocracies and Democracies?". American Journal of Political Science. 59 (3): 656–670. doi:10.1111/ajps.12168.
  24. ^ Ake, Claude (2000). The Feasibility of Democracy in Africa. Council for the Development of Social Science Research in Africa. ISBN 978-2-86978-093-4.
  25. ^ Geddes, Barbara (1999). "What Do We Know About Democratization After Twenty Years?". Annual Review of Political Science. 2 (1): 115–144. doi:10.1146/annurev.polisci.2.1.115.
  26. ^ North, Douglass C. Wallis, John Joseph Webb, Steven B. Weingast, Barry R. (2007-11-09). Limited Access Orders In The Developing World :A New Approach To The Problems Of Development (PDF). Policy Research Working Papers. The World Bank. doi:10.1596/1813-9450-4359. hdl:10986/7341. S2CID 10695345.{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  27. ^ Samuels, David (2013). Comparative Politics. Pearson Education. ISBN 9780321449740.
  28. ^ Denney, L. (2012) Non-state security and justice in fragile states: Lessons from Sierra Leone. Overseas Development Institute Briefing Paper http://www.odi.org.uk/sites/odi.org.uk/files/odi-assets/publications-opinion-files/7640.pdf 2020-09-05 at the Wayback Machine
  29. ^ a b Simone Datzberger and Mike Denison, Private Sector Development in Fragile States, September 2013, ECONOMIC AND PRIVATE SECTOR PROFESSIONAL EVIDENCE AND APPLIED KNOWLEDGE SERVICES
  30. ^ Holden, J. and Pagel, J. (2012) Fragile states' economices: What does fragility mean for economic performance? EPS-PEAKS query response.
  31. ^ Hedger, E. Krause, P. and Tavakoli, H. Public financial management reform in fragile states: Grounds for cautious optimism? ODI briefing paper 77, October 2012.
  32. ^ a b Blattman1 Annan2, Christopher1 Jeannie2 (2015). "Can Employment Reduce Lawlessness and Rebellion? A Field Experiment with High-Risk Men in a Fragile State" (PDF). American Political Science Review. 110: 1–17. doi:10.1017/s0003055415000520. S2CID 229170512. SSRN 2431293.{{cite journal}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  33. ^ a b Rüttinger, Lukas; Gerald Stang; Dan Smith; Dennis Tänzler; Janani Vivekananda; et al. (2015). A New Climate For Peace. Berlin/London/ Washington/Paris: adelphi, International Alert, The Wilson Center, EUISS. p. 109.
  34. ^ Kleinfeld, Rachel; Barham, Elena (2018). "Complicit States and the Governing Strategy of Privilege Violence: When Weakness is Not the Problem". Annual Review of Political Science. 21: 215–238. doi:10.1146/annurev-polisci-041916-015628.
  • Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development "Policy Commitment and Principles for Good International Engagement in Fragile States and Situations" (2007)

External links edit

  • For more information on options to guide better policies for better lives in fragile contexts from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
  • For more information on the World Bank's engagement in fragile and conflict-affected states
  • For more information on the Asian Development Bank's engagement in fragile and conflict-affected situations
  • For more information on the European Union's engagement in situations of fragility
  • For more information on fragile states from Crisis States Research Centre's website 2020-07-02 at the Wayback Machine
  • For links to some of the most recent donor, practitioner and academic literature on fragile states, see the Governance and Social Development Resource Centre's topic guide on fragile states
  • For more information on aid and public finances in fragile states, ODI's Budget Strengthening Initiative's website
  • War, Conflict and Fragile States in Asia and the Pacific

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A fragile state or weak state is a country characterized by weak state capacity or weak state legitimacy leaving citizens vulnerable to a range of shocks The World Bank for example deems a country to be fragile if it a is eligible for assistance i e a grant from the International Development Association IDA b has had a UN peacekeeping mission in the last three years and c has received a governance score of less than 3 2 as per the Country Policy and Institutional Assessment CPIA index of The World Bank A more cohesive definition of the fragile state might also note a state s growing inability to maintain a monopoly on force in its declared territory While a fragile state might still occasionally exercise military authority or sovereignty over its declared territory its claim grows weaker as the logistical mechanisms through which it exercises power grow weaker While many countries are making progress toward achieving the Sustainable Development Goals a group of 35 to 50 countries depending on the measure used are falling behind It is estimated that out of the world s seven billion people 26 live in fragile states and this is where one third of all people surviving on less than US 1 25 per day live half of the world s children who die before the age of five and one third of maternal deaths occur 1 Not only are they falling behind but the gap with other developing countries is widening since the 1970s In 2006 per capita GDP grew only at 2 in fragile states whereas it reached 6 in other low income countries Fragile states are projected for example World Bank 2008 to constitute an even larger share of low income countries in the future given that many better performing low income countries graduate to a middle income status This is a major challenge for development efforts and it has been argued by the Overseas Development Institute that fragile states require fundamentally different approaches from the development models exercised in more resilient countries because of the differences in their risk contexts 2 One common measure of state fragility is the World Bank s Country Policy and Institutional Assessment index 3 but more complex indexes for example ones that include security dimensions are increasingly being used A fragile state in the brink of collapse may result in a failed state Contents 1 Definition 1 1 Origins of the term and discussion 2 Indicators 2 1 Social 2 2 Economic 2 3 Political 3 Intergovernmental organisations 4 Origins 5 Basic services provision 6 State building and peacebuilding 6 1 Case study Sierra Leone 6 2 International intervention or autonomous recovery 6 3 Promoting democracy 7 Non state actors 8 Private sector development 9 Relationships with other factors 9 1 Economic performance 9 2 Climate change 10 Impacts 11 See also 12 References 13 External linksDefinition editFragile states are also known as weak states 4 Fragile states fail to fully meet key needs of their citizens The shortcomings are termed gaps with three core gaps security gap capacity gap and legitimacy gap The security gap means the state does not provide adequate protection to its citizens the capacity gap means the state does not fully provide adequate services and the legitimacy gap means that the authority of the state is not fully accepted This differs from a failed state whose governments totally lack legitimacy Weak states may be difficult to define as the states fail to collect thorough statistics on crime and education 5 In terms of dynamics fragile states include Conflict post conflict crisis war or political transition situations Deteriorating governance environments Situations of gradual improvement Situations of prolonged political or economic crisis or impasse A fragile state is significantly susceptible to crisis in one or more of its sub systems It is a state that is particularly vulnerable to internal and external shocks and domestic and international conflicts Fragile states are not only evaluated by degree of fragility but also types of state fragility and threat they pose in to help policymakers to appropriate responses 6 In a fragile state institutional arrangements embody and perhaps preserve the conditions of crisis in economic terms this could be institutions importantly property rights that reinforce stagnation or low growth rates or embody extreme inequality in wealth in access to property and land ownership in access to the means to make a living in social terms institutions may embody extreme inequality or lack of access altogether to health or education in political terms institutions may entrench exclusionary coalitions in power in ethnic religious or perhaps regional terms or extreme factionalism or significantly fragmented security organisations In fragile states statutory institutional arrangements are vulnerable to challenges by rival institutional systems be they derived from traditional authorities devised by communities under conditions of stress that see little of the state in terms of security development or welfare or be they derived from warlords or other non state power brokers Fragile states might also offer citizens multiple overlapping institutions from highly variant power sources that are competing for legitimacy While as opposed to a weak state these different institutions might not be in direct conflict they do offer strong competing narratives that hamper the progress of good governance The opposite of a fragile state is a stable state one where dominant or statutory institutional arrangements appear able to withstand internal and external shocks and contestation remains within the boundaries of reigning institutional arrangements With the right conditions some countries such as Mozambique and Burundi have so far demonstrated a remarkable turn around To address the challenge of these countries falling behind the international spotlight must be kept on countries where the Millennium Development Goals are hardest to achieve using common principles for action making the international aid architecture more rational improving the organisational response of the wide range of actors involved including the 3Ds diplomacy defense and development and measuring results While there are no universal criteria to determine state fragility the World Bank through its LICUS programme Low Income Countries Under Stress and its Country Policy and Institutional Assessment CPIA Index has been able to establish a preeminent frame of reference for donor countries and other institutional partners Based on four clusters including economic management structural policies policies for social inclusion equity and Public Sector Management and institutions as well as 16 indicators the CPIA index rates state performance with those countries scoring under 3 2 out of a total of 6 qualifying as fragile Such low performing countries may then be in turn suitable for the allocation of financial assistance from a variety of international actors such as the International Development Association and other similar bodies 7 8 Origins of the term and discussion edit Fragile state is an analytical category that gained prominence from the mid 1990s onwards and gained further traction after the 9 11 terrorist attacks Background is the belief held by many policy makers and academics alike that the potential for contemporary conflict is harboured within not between states Low capacity and low income states of the Global South are thought to pose direct threats not only to their own populations but by extension also to their neighboring Western countries Following this logic fragile states are in need of development in order to be able to provide security and basic services to its citizens decreasing vulnerability and increasing resilience to internal and external shocks In this way fragile states exhibit a series of similar threats as failed states but at a markedly lower magnitude Their failures are an effective omen of what is to come if their administrative course remains unaltered Followed by many donor countries and international organisations and institutions this approach has led to debate within academia and beyond Some scholars deem the categorisation of states as fragile as useful highlighting the potential to predict state collapse and assess the many possibilities to prevent it Two main criticisms of this notion exist I the potential of abuse of the category of state fragility legitimising external intervention at the expense of the local agency II the analytical utility of the categorization effort itself is disputed with the state centric grouping together of a wide range of diverse countries leading to highly standardised development responses that cannot take into account often highly divergent political economic and social conditions 9 Indicators editThe following factors are used by Fund For Peace to ascertain the status of a country 10 Social edit Mounting demographic pressures and tribal ethnic and or religious conflicts Massive internal and external displacement of refugees creating severe humanitarian emergencies Widespread vengeance seeking group grievances Chronic and sustained human flight Economic edit Widespread corruption High economic inequality Uneven economic development along group lines Severe economic decline Political edit Delegitimization of the state Deterioration of public services Suspension or arbitrary application of law widespread human rights abuses Security forces operating as a state within a state often with impunity Rise of factionalized elites Intervention of external political agents and foreign states Intergovernmental organisations editFragile states and post conflict countries have participated in many intergovernmental groups and associations since the Second World War including the Group of 77 and regional groups such as ASEAN and the African Union However until recently countries affected by conflict had no dedicated international platform In 2010 the g7 was founded by a group of post conflict countries to better represent their interests on the international stage The g7 is an intergovernmental organisation bringing together countries that have recent experience of conflict The group aims to draw attention to the special challenges faced by fragile states provides a platform for conflict affected countries to come together to discuss their shared development challenges and advocates for better international policies to address the needs of conflict affected countries The g7 has created own index for measuring state fragility identifying five clusters political legitimacy justice security economic foundation revenue and services which are located on a fragility spectrum consisting of five stages Main differences with other indices are constituted by privileged role of individual state specific characteristics and self rather than external assessment 11 It is important to remember however that concepts such as a State Fragility Index are affirmatively placed in a philosophical tradition that places a strong emphasis on the inherent goodness of state formation Therefore it should be viewed NOT as a strictly value neutral metric but simply as an administrative one Origins editAmerican international studies professor Joel Migdal looked into the relationship between state and society where there is a disparity between the officially announced policies and the actual distribution of state resources The list of countries included India Mexico Egypt and Sierra Leone etc He traced this disparity to the lack of social control by the government the actual ability to make the operative rules of the game for people in the society 12 This not only includes existence of government agencies over the territory and extraction of resources but also the ability to appropriate resources and to regulate people s behavior Migdal stated the expansion of European economy and world trade in the 19th century led to drastic changes in people s strategies of survival in countries of Asia Africa and Latin America 13 State policies enforced by Europeans including land tenure laws taxation and new modes of transportation changed people s life situation and needs in these countries rapidly and deeply Old rewards sanctions and symbols became irrelevant under the new situation and previous social control and institutions were eroded However unlike western Europe in the earlier centuries these countries did not establish a new concentration of social control as the base of a strong and capable state This is because although these countries had the necessary condition for creating a strong state old social control weakened by the world trade before World War I they did not have the sufficient conditions 1 world historical timing that encourages concentrated social control 2 military threat either from outside or within the country 3 the basis for an independent bureaucracy 4 skillful top leadership that would take advantage of all the above conditions 14 Basic services provision editThere is a relationship between state fragility and service delivery and they are both seen as interrelated and mutually reinforcing yet some also suggest that the provision of basic services can reduce state fragility 15 In fragile states service delivery may be impacted by financial constraints limited expertise and a lack of information 15 Long and protracted violence leads to the neglect and subsequent decay of the infrastructure required for provision 15 Governance and the breakdown of social order can also heighten the social exclusion of specific groups along ethnic religious political and gender lines 15 Such violence can be political including conflict and terrorism but can also be social or criminal leading to a broad combination of security based obstacles to effective service provision 16 Education health access to water and adequate sanitation are important not only for survival but are also recognised human rights whose provision is demonstrated to be necessary for a transition away from conflict 15 States can develop trust and legitimacy over the long term through the provision of these basic services known as the peace dividend 15 Education for instance can protect children and non combatants during conflict facilitate intergenerational change and lead to the socialisation of children and youth be a catalyst for broader transformation as well as provide a sense of normalcy and continuity 15 Furthermore the delivery of some of these services can be seen as more neutral such as immunisation and can lead to conflicting groups uniting on specific issues and further result in increased legitimacy 15 However how support is given to fragile states to provide these services is not so simple 15 Aid agencies who act independently of the state and provide parallel services risk undermining state legitimacy and capacity 15 On the other hand supporting the state s own provision can be problematic as the state itself may be the cause of social divisions and a source of conflict 15 Limited evidence of varying quality on basic services and social protection in conflicted affected situations has been found Research into the gaps in provision delivery and access of basic services has queried whether social protection interventions have contributed to state building processes It highlighted that this assumption has already significantly begun shaping policy and programmes and that state building outcomes in policy may outweigh other outcomes like better water healthcare and education 17 State building and peacebuilding editWhether or not to provide services in parallel is often framed as a debate between state building and peacebuilding 18 State building is argued to lead to peace when it involves seeking to develop an inclusive state where legitimacy is built as the result of the state responding to the demands of all of society and providing public goods and services 18 However supporting the state in this direction is not a simple task especially for the following reasons 18 State building may not automatically lead to peace as it is an inherently political process and will not automatically be inclusive or democratic Political settlements that seek to appease those that threaten peace can strengthen the rule of repressive rulers Political settlements that create power sharing agreements can weaken the state and lead to further entrenching divides Focussing on state institutions may lead to overlooking domestic non state actors including traditional local leaders and prevent the long term of a civil society Equally peacebuilding efforts that do not include the state can undermine its ability to function 18 Researchers at the Overseas Development Institute emphasise the need for NGOs and other development actors to deepen knowledge of the context and maintain a constant awareness of the relationship between state and peace building 18 If NGOS and international organizations refuse to place additional authority on local state institutions they risk creating an environment in which the perceived role of the state is less than what it ought to be as populations refuse to give newly constructed institutions necessary adherence Case study Sierra Leone edit The correct balance of state building and peacebuilding has been argued to be highly elusive even when peacebuilding and security have been achieved through the development of the state s own capacity 19 The UK government supported reforms in Sierra Leone along the principle of security first over the last decade which is believed to have improved security increased access to and the quality of justice decreased corruption and positively reformed public service 18 Since the end of the civil war in 2002 there has been no major violence peaceful elections were held in 2007 and there has been enough stability to help build sustainable institutions 18 Yet Sierra Leone suffers severe underdevelopment and ranked third to last on the UN Human Development Index for 2010 This in turn has created frustration and disappointment amongst the younger generation and poses a significant risk of a return to violence 18 International intervention or autonomous recovery edit Debates have been among scholars if post conflict reconstruction intervention is the best strategy for state building in fragile states It is widely believed that multilateral intervention can interrupt the conflict trap of fragile states and set countries on a path toward postwar economic and political development Responding to the failure of governance in fragile states scholars have proposed new models of intervention including neo trusteeship and shared sovereignty Supporters of International intervention encourage interventions led by the major powers or regional actors with the greatest national security or economic interest in restoring stability and democracy to the fragile state They support developing agreements that authorize international intervention whereby the costs of third party peacekeeping and state building would increasingly be borne by the state being reconstructed 20 Another kind of opinion has been the autonomous recovery fragile states can recover from a conflict in the absence of intervention and may be able to develop effective institutions of government out of warfare Supporters of autonomous recovery argue that international assistance and external support undermines the self sustaining nature of the compact between rulers and constituents Examples of Uganda Eritrea and Somalia support the theory of autonomous recovery where these weak states successfully achieved a lasting peace a systematic reduction in violence and post war political and economic development in the absence of international intervention 21 Promoting democracy edit According to Samuel Huntington 22 The most important political distinction among countries concerns not their form of government but their degree of government The purpose of democratization and institutional development in fragile states is to help them improve both state capacity and development of inclusive institutions Knutsen and Nygard 2015 23 emphasize that semi democracies fragile states in our discussion are less stable than both autocracies and democracies In other words once the process of democratization begins it is dangerous to stop midway The purpose of democratization itself though is of concern before thinking about the means to achieve it Ake 2000 24 says that democracy has mostly been analyzed in the context of its propensity to foster economic development But in the context of its feasibility in Africa the utility of democracy as measured by the values concerns and priorities of African peoples will determine to a considerable extent how far they will accept democracy In general the process of democratization is strongly mediated by normative values of the population of concern In order to design interventions aimed at promoting inclusive institutions when the status quo witnesses prevalently weak state structures tractability of theoretically analyzing regime transitions is critical But according to Geddes 1999 25 this is because different kinds of authoritarianism differ from each other as much they differ from democracy To facilitate the analysis of these differences she classifies authoritarian regimes as personalist military single party or amalgams of the pure types It is important to note that all of them can be conceptualized from the perspective of Limited Access Order societies North 1999 26 According to Larry Diamond in many of the fragile states promoting democracy is difficult simply because they lack the classic facilitating conditions for democracy more developed levels of per capita income civil society independent mass media political parties mass democratic attitudes and values and so on but because they lack as well the more basic conditions of a viable political order In these states the challenge is not only or in some cases even at all to pressure authoritarian state leaders to surrender power but rather to figure out how to regenerate legitimate power in the first place The imperative is not only to empower citizens and their independent organizations but to endow state institutions as well with resources training organization and a sense of a common mission One point of caution is that progress in democratization in fragile states are vulnerable According to Samuels 2013 27 history has witnessed regime changes from democracy to autocracy during the periods of 1925 1945 e g Germany 1933 and 1960 1974 e g Brazil 1964 Chile 1973 What he identifies as domestic causes of regime change are also the factors to be mitigated through institutional design Some of these factors are civic culture class conflicts arising from the unequal distribution of economic gains and military identity Some of the international causes are the foreign policy of superpowers the degree of participation in multilateral institutions the extent of globalization and supranational impact of religious institutions on domestic political institutions Non state actors editIndividuals in fragile states often rely on non state actors such as chiefs tribal elders secret societies gangs militias insurgents community or religious leaders to meet their justice and security needs Lisa Denney of the Overseas Development Institute therefore stresses the need for development donors to engage with these non state actors when attempting to reform justice and security services in fragile states 28 She suggests four rules of engagement Accept that non state actors are risky but no more than many state partners Be fit for purpose non state support needs different skills and procedures Understand context Only engage when it adds valueNon state actors in a fragile state often compete for authority and legitimacy with both established federal institutions and other ambitious non state actors Private sector development editResearchers found little evidence in literature on the impact of private sector development PSD on state society relations and whether PSD and state relations meet public expectations They thought one reason could be the lack of empirical data gathered from interviews and public surveys on the ground The interlinkage of PSD on state society relations therefore definitely remain an area for further exploration and should receive greater attention in academic circles and among practitioners in respective publications 29 Key findings include 29 Legal reform requirements in fragile states legal frameworks to boost Private sector Development are underestimated and deserve greater attention in development assistance However law making is a long term process and shouldn t violate tenets of representation and legitimacy Although connections between economic growth and infrastructure are well established in literature infrastructure project impact assessments that look beyond the first few years after a project are rare Apart from the success in Cambodia the importance of instituting a solid labour rights regime in fragile states needs to be further explored It s a balancing act to create labour rights and protect workers while maintaining flexibility to bring efficient levels of employment to foster PSD and for business Microfinance isn t a one stop solution to poverty reduction and depends on the fragile state in question CSR interventions can potentially do more harm than good and should not substitute government services or any other forms of development assistance Lack of access to capital to launch business and a dearth of local financial institutions like reliable central banks remain a major constraints to PSD especially in sub Saharan African fragile states The literature reveals a mixed picture of the effects of FDI on conflict and stability as success relies on context and environment Relationships with other factors editEconomic performance edit A 2012 study by EPS PEAKS investigated the relationship between state fragility conflict and economic performance 30 It describes a large degree of variation among countries experiences of conflict and foreign direct investment FDI with conflict accompanied by high levels of FDI in some countries and low levels of FDI in others The study suggests that the majority of FDI in fragile states is driven by the motives of resource seeking multinationals While this investment can lead to economic growth this potential is often not realised and receiving investment solely for resource extraction can lead to further conflict a phenomenon known as the resource curse If a state cannot tax reasonably or spend responsibly a key element of statehood is missing claim researchers at the Overseas Development Institute and World Bank They explain that substantial progress can be made in public financial management in fragile states with most progress made on budget execution though critical gaps remain in knowledge of the relationship between PFM statehood and development progress 31 An important economic component for failed states is reintegrating ex fighters into society and the economy Blattman and Annan conducted a study on how employment reduced risk of returning to violence for high risk men after the Second Liberian Civil War 32 The study was on a program that provided agricultural training and capital inputs to the ex fighters who still own rubber plantations or participated in illicit mining for precious minerals or logging They found that the men responded well to agricultural training reduced their illicit extraction of materials by roughly 20 and about a quarter were less likely to be willing to fight in the election crisis in Cote d Ivoire 32 However the illicit activity did not stop completely They also found that a promise of future returns was crucial in deterring men from fighting Climate change edit A 2015 study commissioned by the G7 member states identifies seven climate fragility risks that pose threats to the stability of states and societies in the decades ahead 33 The report finds that in fragile regions where inequality persists and the government is unable to respond to stresses the impacts of climate change on water food and land will multiply existing pressures It suggests that dynamics of state fragility social and political fragility may be exacerbated by climate change impacts and that the consequence of this is reduced adaptation capacity A downward spiral of fragility or vicious climate fragility cycle begins 33 The report also describes how one can measure the capacity of states and societies to meet the challenges of environmental change along a spectrum of fragility from most fragile to most resilient In fragile situations where the government lacks ability to carry out basic functions the state is more vulnerable to and less able to cope with climate change pressures such as natural resource scarcity land use change extreme weather events or volatile food prices and hence more at risk from further instability Impacts editWeak states have been hypothesized to contribute to terrorist activity English philosopher Thomas Hobbes was the first to make the connection between the strength of a state and violence He opined that a strong state with a monopoly on force was the only way to avoid a war of all against all After the September 11 attacks US President George W Bush said that it taught us that weak states like Afghanistan can pose as great a danger to our national interests as strong states Poverty does not make poor people into terrorists and murderers Yet poverty weak institutions and corruption can make weak states vulnerable to terrorist networks and drug cartels within their borders 34 The link between weak states and terrorism has been disputed In 2003 historian Walter Laqueur noted that a majority of poor weak states had almost no terrorist activity 5 Weak states may also be more vulnerable to public health crises such as infectious disease which can have spillover effects on other countries 5 See also editCrisis States Research Centre Failed state State that has lost its ability to govern Fragile States Index Annual report for politically vulnerable countries G7 intergovernmental voluntary organisationPages displaying wikidata descriptions as a fallback Ochlocracy Democracy spoiled by demagoguery and the rule of passion over reasonPages displaying short descriptions of redirect targets Rogue state Country considered a threat to world peace Stabilization of fragile statesReferences edit World Bank Poverty Analysis Archived from the original on 2009 01 25 Retrieved 2009 01 21 Manuel Marcus Getting better results from assistance to fragile states ODI Briefing Papers Overseas Development Institute Retrieved 12 January 2012 World Bank Country Policy and Institutional Assessment Index Retrieved 2015 01 26 Albertson Andrew Moran Ashley 2017 Untangling the Complexity of Fragile States PDF Report Truman Center a b c Tyagi Juhi 2012 Weak States The Wiley Blackwell Encyclopedia of Globalization doi 10 1002 9780470670590 wbeog809 ISBN 9780470670590 MENKHAUS K 2010 State Fragility as a Wicked Problem PRISM 1 2 85 100 CPIA public sector management and institutions cluster average 1 low to 6 high Data Nay Olivier International Organisations and the Production of Hegemonic Knowledge How the World Bank and the OECD helped Invent the Fragile State Concept Third World Quarterly 35 2 2014 210 31 Nay Olivier Fragile and Failed States Critical Perspectives on Conceptual Hybrids International Political Science Review 33 1 2013 326 341 Grimm Sonja Nicolas Lemay Hebert and Olivier Nay Fragile States Introducing a Political Concept Third World Quarterly 35 2 2014 197 209 Fragile States Index and CAST Framework Methodology The Fund for Peace Siqueira Isabel Rocha De Measuring and Managing state Fragility The Production of Statistics by the World Bank Timor Leste and the G7 Third World Quarterly 35 2 2014 268 83 Migdal Joel S 1988 Strong societes and weak states state society relations and state capabilities in the third world Princeton University press p 261 ISBN 9780691010731 OCLC 876100982 Migdal Joel S 1988 Strong societes and weak states state society relations and state capabilities in the third world Princeton University press pp 57 84 ISBN 9780691010731 OCLC 876100982 Migdal Joel S 1988 Strong societes and weak states state society relations and state capabilities in the third world Princeton University press pp 269 275 ISBN 9780691010731 OCLC 876100982 a b c d e f g h i j k Sara Pavanello and James Darcy 2008 Improving the provision of basic services for the poor in fragile environments International Literature Review Synthesis Paper Overseas Development Institute Lewis Alexandra 14 May 2013 Violence in Yemen Thinking About Violence in Fragile States Beyond the Confines of Conflict and Terrorism Stability International Journal of Security and Development 2 1 Slater R Mallett R and Carpenter October 2012 Social protection and basic services in fragile and conflict affected situations Researching livelihoods and services affected by conflict http www securelivelihoods org publications details aspx ResourceID 145 Archived 2016 03 13 at the Wayback Machine a b c d e f g h Alina Rocha Menocal 2009 State building for peace navigating an arena of contradictions Overseas Development Institute Vicki Metcalfe Ellen Martin and Sara Pantuliano 2011 Risk in humanitarian action towards a common approach London Overseas Development Institute Fearon James D and David D Laitin 2004 Neotrusteeship and the Problem of Weak States International Security 28 4 5 43 doi 10 1162 0162288041588296 S2CID 57559356 a href Template Cite journal html title Template Cite journal cite journal a CS1 maint multiple names authors list link Autonomous Recovery and International Intervention in Comparative Perspective Working Paper 57 Center For Global Development Retrieved 2017 04 15 Huntington Samuel 1973 Political Order in Changing Societies Yale University Press ISBN 978 0 300 01171 5 Knutsen Carl Nygard Havard July 2015 Institutional Characteristics and Regime Survival Why Are Semi Democracies Less Durable Than Autocracies and Democracies American Journal of Political Science 59 3 656 670 doi 10 1111 ajps 12168 Ake Claude 2000 The Feasibility of Democracy in Africa Council for the Development of Social Science Research in Africa ISBN 978 2 86978 093 4 Geddes Barbara 1999 What Do We Know About Democratization After Twenty Years Annual Review of Political Science 2 1 115 144 doi 10 1146 annurev polisci 2 1 115 North Douglass C Wallis John Joseph Webb Steven B Weingast Barry R 2007 11 09 Limited Access Orders In The Developing World A New Approach To The Problems Of Development PDF Policy Research Working Papers The World Bank doi 10 1596 1813 9450 4359 hdl 10986 7341 S2CID 10695345 a href Template Cite book html title Template Cite book cite book a CS1 maint multiple names authors list link Samuels David 2013 Comparative Politics Pearson Education ISBN 9780321449740 Denney L 2012 Non state security and justice in fragile states Lessons from Sierra Leone Overseas Development Institute Briefing Paper http www odi org uk sites odi org uk files odi assets publications opinion files 7640 pdf Archived 2020 09 05 at the Wayback Machine a b Simone Datzberger and Mike Denison Private Sector Development in Fragile States September 2013 ECONOMIC AND PRIVATE SECTOR PROFESSIONAL EVIDENCE AND APPLIED KNOWLEDGE SERVICES Holden J and Pagel J 2012 Fragile states economices What does fragility mean for economic performance EPS PEAKS query response Hedger E Krause P and Tavakoli H Public financial management reform in fragile states Grounds for cautious optimism ODI briefing paper 77 October 2012 a b Blattman1 Annan2 Christopher1 Jeannie2 2015 Can Employment Reduce Lawlessness and Rebellion A Field Experiment with High Risk Men in a Fragile State PDF American Political Science Review 110 1 17 doi 10 1017 s0003055415000520 S2CID 229170512 SSRN 2431293 a href Template Cite journal html title Template Cite journal cite journal a CS1 maint numeric names authors list link a b Ruttinger Lukas Gerald Stang Dan Smith Dennis Tanzler Janani Vivekananda et al 2015 A New Climate For Peace Berlin London Washington Paris adelphi International Alert The Wilson Center EUISS p 109 Kleinfeld Rachel Barham Elena 2018 Complicit States and the Governing Strategy of Privilege Violence When Weakness is Not the Problem Annual Review of Political Science 21 215 238 doi 10 1146 annurev polisci 041916 015628 Organisation for Economic Co operation and Development Policy Commitment and Principles for Good International Engagement in Fragile States and Situations 2007 Department for International Development DFID paper on Fragile StatesExternal links editFor more information on options to guide better policies for better lives in fragile contexts from the Organisation for Economic Co operation and Development OECD For more information on the World Bank s engagement in fragile and conflict affected states For more information on the Asian Development Bank s engagement in fragile and conflict affected situations For more information on the European Union s engagement in situations of fragility For more information on fragile states from Crisis States Research Centre s website Archived 2020 07 02 at the Wayback Machine For links to some of the most recent donor practitioner and academic literature on fragile states see the Governance and Social Development Resource Centre s topic guide on fragile states For more information on the unique problems of these countries see the book Fixing Fragile States A New Paradigm for Development For more information on aid and public finances in fragile states ODI s Budget Strengthening Initiative s website War Conflict and Fragile States in Asia and the Pacific Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title Fragile state amp oldid 1207049812, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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