Hawaii was the first state in the 2020 election cycle to exceed the voter turnout in 2016, causing the state to attract attention as a representation of an overall trend in increased early voting during the general election.[4]
Biden won Hawaii with 63.7% of the vote, with a 29.5% margin over Trump, who earned 34.3%. Both major parties improved over 2016, when third parties earned nearly 8% of the vote; Biden's percentage of the vote was slightly higher than Hillary Clinton's 62.9%, while Trump improved over his 30.3% share of the 2016 vote. However, Biden's margin of victory was smaller than Clinton's 32.5%. Hawaii was one of three states where Biden won every county, the other two being Massachusetts and Rhode Island. It was the eighth consecutive election that the Democratic nominee carried every county in the state.
Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden had support in Hawaii across different ethnic groups, with 63% of whites and 66% of Asians voting for him.[5]Japanese Americans make up a large percentage of the Hawaiian population, and they are among the most Democratic constituencies.[6] Hawaii was the only state in which the electorate was majority-minority in 2020, with whites comprising only 29% of the electorate.[5]
On December 11, 2019, the Hawaii Republican Party became one of several state GOP parties to officially cancel their respective primaries and caucuses.[7] Donald Trump's re-election campaign and GOP officials have cited the fact that Republicans canceled several state primaries when George H. W. Bush and George W. Bush sought a second term in 1992 and 2004, respectively; and Democrats scrapped some of their primaries when Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were seeking re-election in 1996 and 2012, respectively.[8][9] Because this was the first of the cancelled Republican state races to directly bind its delegates to the national convention (as opposed to a walking subcaucus-type system), Trump automatically was awarded his first 19 pledged delegates of the nomination campaign.[7][10]
The Hawaii Democratic primary was originally scheduled for April 4, 2020. On March 20, due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic, the Hawaii Democratic Party canceled in-person voting in favor of mail-in voting.[11] The deadline was then extended to May 22.[12]
The primary was conducted by ranked-choice voting. Voters were instructed to mark their top three choices on paper ballots. Any voter with a first choice other than Biden or Sanders had their ballot count in the final round if ranking one of those candidates as a second or third choice.
2020 Hawaii Democratic presidential primary[13][14]
Kainoa Kaumeheiwa-Rego - a community advocate for the Office of Hawaiian Affairs from Oahu
Analysisedit
Hawaii was one of only seven states and the District of Columbia where Trump's margin increased from 2016, and its 2.7% shift was the largest. Trump won more precincts than he did in 2016, winning more of the west coast of Oahu than he did before and every single vote on Niihau.[32] Trump won more votes in Hawaii than any Republican in history (but not a larger percentage), narrowly beating George W. Bush's performance in 2004.[33] Despite this modest pro-Trump margin swing, Biden received more votes than Clinton, as was the case for the six other states (California, Nevada, Utah, Arkansas, Florida, and Illinois) and the District of Columbia that he won.[34]
Despite Biden's overwhelming victory in the state, this was the first election since 2004 in which Hawaii was not the most Democratic state in terms of margin or percentage; that title went to Vermont instead, with Massachusetts and Maryland also being ahead of Hawaii.
^ ab"GENERAL ELECTION 2020 - State of Hawaii – Statewide November 3, 2020 **FINAL SUMMARY REPORT**" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. November 19, 2020. Retrieved November 22, 2020.
^Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
^ ab"Hawaii Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
^Mehta, Dhrumil (September 18, 2020). "How Asian Americans Are Thinking About The 2020 Election". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
^ ab"Hawaii GOP cancels presidential preference poll, commits delegates to Trump". The Hill. December 12, 2019. Retrieved December 12, 2019.
^Karni, Annie (September 6, 2019). "GOP plans to drop presidential primaries in 4 states to impede Trump challengers". Boston Globe. MSN. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
^Steakin, Will; Karson, Kendall (September 6, 2019). "GOP considers canceling at least 3 GOP primaries and caucuses, Trump challengers outraged". ABC News. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
^"Hawaii Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved February 20, 2020.
^"Hawaii Democrats scrap in-person voting plan for primary". Associated Press. March 20, 2020.
^. Democratic Party of Hawaii. March 27, 2020. Archived from the original on March 28, 2020. Retrieved March 27, 2020.
^"Hawaii Primary Election Results 2020". The New York Times. May 23, 2020. Retrieved May 24, 2020.
^(PDF). Democratic Party of Hawai'i. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 7, 2020. Retrieved June 6, 2020.
^. OPAVOTE. Green Party of Hawaii. Archived from the original on May 25, 2020. Retrieved May 26, 2020.
^"2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
^"POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
^"Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
^"2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
^2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
^David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
^"Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
^"2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
^"2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
^"ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
^"Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
^"2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
^"Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012".
^"Hawaii's 4 electoral college members prepare to vote for Biden".
^Park, Alice; Smart, Charlie; Taylor, Rumsey; Watkins, Miles (February 2, 2021). "An Extremely Detailed Map of the 2020 Election". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
^Jung, Yoohyun (November 6, 2020). "Biden Easily Won Hawaii But Data Shows Support For Trump Has Grown". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
^Wasserman, David; Sophie; rews; Saenger, Leo; Cohen, Lev; Flinn, Ally; Tatarsky, Griff. "2020 Popular Vote Tracker". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved December 4, 2020.
2020, united, states, presidential, election, hawaii, main, article, 2020, united, states, presidential, election, held, tuesday, november, 2020, part, 2020, united, states, presidential, election, which, states, plus, district, columbia, participated, hawaii,. Main article 2020 United States presidential election The 2020 United States presidential election in Hawaii was held on Tuesday November 3 2020 as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated 2 Hawaii voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party s nominee incumbent President Donald Trump and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris Hawaii has four electoral votes in the Electoral College 3 2020 United States presidential election in Hawaii 2016 November 3 2020 2024 Turnout69 65 1 Nominee Joe Biden Donald TrumpParty Democratic RepublicanHome state Delaware FloridaRunning mate Kamala Harris Mike PenceElectoral vote 4 0Popular vote 366 130 196 864Percentage 63 73 34 27 County resultsResults by islandPrecinct resultsCongressional district resultsBiden 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 90 100 Trump 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 90 100 No Data President before electionDonald TrumpRepublican Elected President Joe BidenDemocraticHawaii was the first state in the 2020 election cycle to exceed the voter turnout in 2016 causing the state to attract attention as a representation of an overall trend in increased early voting during the general election 4 Biden won Hawaii with 63 7 of the vote with a 29 5 margin over Trump who earned 34 3 Both major parties improved over 2016 when third parties earned nearly 8 of the vote Biden s percentage of the vote was slightly higher than Hillary Clinton s 62 9 while Trump improved over his 30 3 share of the 2016 vote However Biden s margin of victory was smaller than Clinton s 32 5 Hawaii was one of three states where Biden won every county the other two being Massachusetts and Rhode Island It was the eighth consecutive election that the Democratic nominee carried every county in the state Per exit polls by the Associated Press Biden had support in Hawaii across different ethnic groups with 63 of whites and 66 of Asians voting for him 5 Japanese Americans make up a large percentage of the Hawaiian population and they are among the most Democratic constituencies 6 Hawaii was the only state in which the electorate was majority minority in 2020 with whites comprising only 29 of the electorate 5 Contents 1 Primary elections 1 1 Canceled Republican primary 1 2 Democratic primary 1 3 Green primary 2 General election 2 1 Final predictions 2 2 Polling 2 2 1 Graphical summary 2 2 2 Aggregate polls 2 2 3 Polls 3 Results 3 1 By county 3 2 By congressional district 4 Electors 5 Analysis 6 See also 7 Notes 8 References 9 Further reading 10 External linksPrimary elections editCanceled Republican primary edit Further information 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries Cancellation of state caucuses or primaries On December 11 2019 the Hawaii Republican Party became one of several state GOP parties to officially cancel their respective primaries and caucuses 7 Donald Trump s re election campaign and GOP officials have cited the fact that Republicans canceled several state primaries when George H W Bush and George W Bush sought a second term in 1992 and 2004 respectively and Democrats scrapped some of their primaries when Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were seeking re election in 1996 and 2012 respectively 8 9 Because this was the first of the cancelled Republican state races to directly bind its delegates to the national convention as opposed to a walking subcaucus type system Trump automatically was awarded his first 19 pledged delegates of the nomination campaign 7 10 Democratic primary edit Further information 2020 Hawaii Democratic presidential primary The Hawaii Democratic primary was originally scheduled for April 4 2020 On March 20 due to concerns over the COVID 19 pandemic the Hawaii Democratic Party canceled in person voting in favor of mail in voting 11 The deadline was then extended to May 22 12 This section is an excerpt from 2020 Hawaii Democratic presidential primary Results edit The primary was conducted by ranked choice voting Voters were instructed to mark their top three choices on paper ballots Any voter with a first choice other than Biden or Sanders had their ballot count in the final round if ranking one of those candidates as a second or third choice 2020 Hawaii Democratic presidential primary 13 14 Candidate Votes DelegatesJoe Biden 21 215 60 54 16Bernie Sanders withdrawn 12 337 35 20 8Void Votes 68 0 19Inactive votes a 1 424 4 06Total 35 044 100 24 Green primary edit Green Party of Hawaii presidential primary May 23 2020 15 Candidate Percentage National delegatesDario Hunter 41 6 2Howie Hawkins 33 3 2Kent Mesplay 8 3 0Dennis Lambert 8 3 0Chad Wilson 8 3 0Susan Buchser Lochocki 0 0Sedinam Moyowasifza Curry 0 0David Rolde 0 0No Preference 0 0Total 100 00 4General election editFinal predictions edit Source RankingThe Cook Political Report 16 Solid DInside Elections 17 Solid DSabato s Crystal Ball 18 Safe DPolitico 19 Solid DRCP 20 Solid DNiskanen 21 Safe DCNN 22 Solid DThe Economist 23 Safe DCBS News 24 Likely D270towin 25 Safe DABC News 26 Solid DNPR 27 Likely DNBC News 28 Solid D538 29 Solid DPolling edit Graphical summary edit Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki wiki Aggregate polls edit Source of pollaggregation Dates administered Dates updated JoeBidenDemocratic DonaldTrumpRepublican Other Undecided b Margin270 to Win October 1 16 2020 November 2 2020 63 5 30 5 5 9 Biden 33 0FiveThirtyEight until November 2 2020 November 3 2020 64 3 30 0 5 7 Biden 34 3Average 63 8 30 6 5 6 Biden 33 2Polls edit Poll source Date s administered Samplesize c Marginof error DonaldTrumpRepublican JoeBidenDemocratic JoJorgensenLibertarian HowieHawkinsGreen Other UndecidedSurveyMonkey Axios Oct 20 Nov 2 2020 688 LV 5 31 d 67 SurveyMonkey Axios Oct 1 28 2020 1 263 LV 34 63 Mason Dixon Oct 12 14 2020 625 LV 4 29 58 5 8 MRG Research Civil Beat HNN Oct 2 7 2020 988 RV 3 1 28 61 4 e 7 SurveyMonkey Axios Sep 1 30 2020 474 LV 33 66 1 SurveyMonkey Axios Aug 1 31 2020 362 LV 37 61 2 SurveyMonkey Axios Jul 1 31 2020 356 LV 37 62 2 MRG Research Jul 27 30 2020 975 RV 3 1 29 56 6 f 10 SurveyMonkey Axios Jun 8 30 2020 207 LV 30 67 3 Results edit2020 United States presidential election in Hawaii 1 Party Candidate Votes Democratic Joe BidenKamala Harris 366 130 63 73 0 85Republican Donald TrumpMike Pence 196 864 34 27 3 91Libertarian Jo JorgensenSpike Cohen 5 539 0 96 2 80Green Howie HawkinsAngela Walker 3 822 0 67 2 33American Shopping Brock PierceKarla Ballard 1 183 0 21 N AConstitution Don BlankenshipWilliam Mohr 931 0 16 0 89Total votes 574 469 100 0By county edit County Joe BidenDemocratic Donald TrumpRepublican Jo JorgensenLibertarian Howie HawkinsGreen Brock PierceAmerican Shopping Don BlankenshipConstitution Margin Total votes cast Hawaii 58 731 66 88 26 897 30 63 1 027 1 17 805 0 92 220 0 25 134 0 15 31 834 36 25 87 814Honolulu 238 869 62 51 136 259 35 66 3 437 0 90 2 178 0 57 741 0 19 630 0 16 102 610 26 85 382 114Kalawao 23 95 83 1 4 17 0 0 00 0 0 00 0 0 00 0 0 00 22 91 66 24Kauai 21 225 63 36 11 582 34 58 303 0 90 254 0 76 77 0 23 56 0 17 9 643 28 78 33 497Maui 47 305 66 59 22 126 31 14 772 1 09 585 0 82 145 0 20 111 0 16 25 179 35 45 71 044Totals 366 130 63 73 196 864 34 27 5 539 0 96 3 822 0 67 1 183 0 21 931 0 16 169 266 29 46 574 469 nbsp Swing by countyLegend Democratic gt 15 Democratic 2 5 5 Democratic 0 2 5 Republican 0 2 5 Republican 2 5 5 nbsp Trend relative to the state by countyLegend Democratic gt 15 Democratic 2 5 5 Democratic 0 2 5 Republican 0 2 5 Republican 2 5 5 By congressional district edit Biden won both congressional districts in the state 30 District Trump Biden Representative1st 34 5 63 8 Ed Case2nd 34 1 63 6 Tulsi GabbardKai KaheleElectors editThe Democratic Party of Hawaii selected the following individuals to cast Electoral College votes for Biden 31 John Bickel a government and history teacher from Oahu Mike Golojuch Sr an Air Force veteran and long time Democratic activist from Oahu Hermina Mina Morita a retired state lawmaker from Kaua i Kainoa Kaumeheiwa Rego a community advocate for the Office of Hawaiian Affairs from OahuAnalysis editHawaii was one of only seven states and the District of Columbia where Trump s margin increased from 2016 and its 2 7 shift was the largest Trump won more precincts than he did in 2016 winning more of the west coast of Oahu than he did before and every single vote on Niihau 32 Trump won more votes in Hawaii than any Republican in history but not a larger percentage narrowly beating George W Bush s performance in 2004 33 Despite this modest pro Trump margin swing Biden received more votes than Clinton as was the case for the six other states California Nevada Utah Arkansas Florida and Illinois and the District of Columbia that he won 34 Despite Biden s overwhelming victory in the state this was the first election since 2004 in which Hawaii was not the most Democratic state in terms of margin or percentage that title went to Vermont instead with Massachusetts and Maryland also being ahead of Hawaii See also editUnited States presidential elections in Hawaii 2020 Hawaii elections 2020 United States presidential election 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries 2020 Green Party presidential primaries 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries 2020 United States electionsNotes edit Votes which had all its 3 ranked vote choices allocated towards eliminated candidates who did not reach the threshold of 15 Calculated by taking the difference of 100 and all other candidates combined Key A all adultsRV registered votersLV likely votersV unclear Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey Axios poll but more information available regarding sample size Neither with 4 Neither with 6 References edit a b GENERAL ELECTION 2020 State of Hawaii Statewide November 3 2020 FINAL SUMMARY REPORT PDF Hawaii Office of Elections November 19 2020 Retrieved November 22 2020 Kelly Ben August 13 2018 US elections key dates When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign The Independent Archived from the original on August 2 2018 Retrieved January 3 2019 Distribution of Electoral Votes National Archives and Records Administration Retrieved January 3 2019 2020 General Election Early Vote Statistics a b Hawaii Voter Surveys How Different Groups Voted The New York Times November 3 2020 ISSN 0362 4331 Retrieved November 9 2020 Mehta Dhrumil September 18 2020 How Asian Americans Are Thinking About The 2020 Election FiveThirtyEight Retrieved November 9 2020 a b Hawaii GOP cancels presidential preference poll commits delegates to Trump The Hill December 12 2019 Retrieved December 12 2019 Karni Annie September 6 2019 GOP plans to drop presidential primaries in 4 states to impede Trump challengers Boston Globe MSN Retrieved September 7 2019 Steakin Will Karson Kendall September 6 2019 GOP considers canceling at least 3 GOP primaries and caucuses Trump challengers outraged ABC News Retrieved September 7 2019 Hawaii Republican Delegation 2020 The Green Papers Retrieved February 20 2020 Hawaii Democrats scrap in person voting plan for primary Associated Press March 20 2020 Party run Presidential Primary UPDATE Democratic Party of Hawaii March 27 2020 Archived from the original on March 28 2020 Retrieved March 27 2020 Hawaii Primary Election Results 2020 The New York Times May 23 2020 Retrieved May 24 2020 Ranked Choice Results PDF Democratic Party of Hawai i Archived from the original PDF on June 7 2020 Retrieved June 6 2020 Green Party of Hawai i Presidential Preference Poll Results OPAVOTE Green Party of Hawaii Archived from the original on May 25 2020 Retrieved May 26 2020 2020 POTUS Race ratings PDF The Cook Political Report Retrieved May 21 2019 POTUS Ratings Inside Elections insideelections com Retrieved May 21 2019 Larry J Sabato s Crystal Ball 2020 President crystalball centerforpolitics org Retrieved May 21 2019 2020 Election Forecast Politico November 19 2019 Battle for White House RCP April 19 2019 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23 2020 at the Wayback Machine Niskanen Center March 24 2020 retrieved April 19 2020 David Chalian Terence Burlij June 11 2020 Road to 270 CNN s debut Electoral College map for 2020 CNN Retrieved June 16 2020 Forecasting the US elections The Economist Retrieved July 7 2020 2020 Election Battleground Tracker CBS News July 12 2020 Retrieved July 13 2020 2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map 270 to Win ABC News Race Ratings CBS News July 24 2020 Retrieved July 24 2020 Montanaro Domenico August 3 2020 2020 Electoral Map Ratings Trump Slides Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes NPR org Retrieved August 3 2020 Biden dominates the electoral map but here s how the race could tighten NBC News August 6 2020 Retrieved August 6 2020 2020 Election Forecast FiveThirtyEight August 12 2020 Retrieved August 14 2020 Daily Kos Elections presidential results by congressional district for 2020 2016 and 2012 Hawaii s 4 electoral college members prepare to vote for Biden Park Alice Smart Charlie Taylor Rumsey Watkins Miles February 2 2021 An Extremely Detailed Map of the 2020 Election The New York Times ISSN 0362 4331 Retrieved November 28 2022 Jung Yoohyun November 6 2020 Biden Easily Won Hawaii But Data Shows Support For Trump Has Grown Honolulu Civil Beat Retrieved February 4 2021 Wasserman David Sophie rews Saenger Leo Cohen Lev Flinn Ally Tatarsky Griff 2020 Popular Vote Tracker The Cook Political Report Retrieved December 4 2020 Further reading editSummary State Laws on Presidential Electors PDF Washington DC National Association of Secretaries of State August 2020 HawaiiExternal links editGovernment Documents Round Table of the American Library Association Hawaii Voting amp Elections Toolkits Hawaii Election Tools Deadlines Dates Rules and Links Vote org Oakland CA League of Women Voters of Hawaii state affiliate of the U S League of Women Voters Hawaii at Ballotpedia Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title 2020 United States presidential election in Hawaii amp oldid 1188135832, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,
