2016 United States presidential election in Idaho

Main article: 2016 United States presidential election

The 2016 United States presidential election in Idaho was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Idaho voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Idaho has four electoral votes in the Electoral College.^[2]

2016 United States presidential election in Idaho

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout	75.87% ^[1]
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Evan McMullin Party Republican Democratic Independent Home state New York New York Utah Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine Nathan Johnson Electoral vote 4 0 0 Popular vote 409,055 189,765 46,476 Percentage 59.25% 27.48% 6.73%
County results Precinct results Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90-100% Clinton   30–40%   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80% Tie/No Data
President before election Barack Obama Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

Results by county with number of votes shown by size

Treemap of the popular vote by county

Trump was expected to win Idaho; Idaho is a Republican stronghold that has not voted for a Democratic candidate for president since Lyndon B. Johnson's national landslide in 1964, and even then it was Johnson’s narrowest victory in the nation, winning by less than 2%. Trump ultimately carried the state with 59.25% of the vote, while Clinton received 27.48%. Third party candidate Evan McMullin carried 6.75% of the popular vote, making Idaho his second-strongest state, only after neighboring Utah.^[3] Trump got the lowest percentage of the vote for a Republican since 1996, and Clinton got the lowest percentage for a Democrat since 1984.

Primaries and Caucuses

Republican primary

 

Republican primary results by county.

  Ted Cruz

•   30–40%
•   40–50%
•   50–60%

  Donald Trump

•   30–40%
•   40–50%

Thirteen candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot. The only requirement to appear on the ballot was a filing fee of $1,000.^[4]

Idaho Republican primary, March 8, 2016

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Ted Cruz	100,889	45.44%	20	0	20
Donald Trump	62,413	28.11%	12	0	12
Marco Rubio	35,290	15.90%	0	0	0
John Kasich	16,514	7.44%	0	0	0
Ben Carson (withdrawn)	3,853	1.74%	0	0	0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)	939	0.42%	0	0	0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)	834	0.38%	0	0	0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)	358	0.16%	0	0	0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	353	0.16%	0	0	0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)	242	0.11%	0	0	0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)	211	0.10%	0	0	0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)	80	0.04%	0	0	0
Peter Messina (withdrawn)	28	0.01%	0	0	0
Unprojected delegates:			0	0	0
Total:	222,004	100.00%	32	0	32
Source: The Green Papers

Democratic caucuses

Main article: 2016 Idaho Democratic presidential caucuses

 

Results of the Democratic primary by county.

e • d 2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Idaho
– Summary of results –

Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Bernie Sanders	18,640	78.04%	18	2	20
Hillary Clinton	5,065	21.21%	5	1	6
Rocky De La Fuente	4	0.02%
Uncommitted	175	0.73%		1	1
Total	23,884	100%	23	4	27
Source: The Green Papers Idaho Democratic Party - Official Delegation for Pledged Delegates

Constitution primary

The Constitution Party of Idaho held its primary on March 8.

 

Election results, by county, of the 2016 constitution Presidential Primary in Idaho.

  Scott Copeland

  J.R. Myers

  Patrick Anthony Ockander

  Tie

  No votes

Idaho Constitution Party presidential primary, 2016^[5]^[6]^[7]
Candidate	Popular vote		Pledged delegates
	Count	Percentage
Scott Copeland	250	51.7%	8
J.R. Myers	139	28.7%	0
Patrick Anthony Ockander	95	19.6%	0
Total:	484	100%	8

Key:	Withdrew prior to contest

Polling

See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election § Idaho

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Los Angeles Times^[8]	Safe R	November 6, 2016
CNN^[9]	Safe R	November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report^[10]	Safe R	November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com^[11]	Safe R	November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report^[12]	Safe R	November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[13]	Safe R	November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics^[14]	Safe R	November 8, 2016
Fox News^[15]	Safe R	November 7, 2016

Results

2016 United States presidential election in Idaho
Party	Candidate	Popular vote	Percentage
Republican	Donald Trump	409,055	59.25%
Democratic	Hillary Clinton	189,765	27.48%
Independent	Evan McMullin	46,476	6.73%
Libertarian	Gary Johnson	28,331	4.10%
Green	Jill Stein	8,496	1.23%
National Constitution	Darrell L. Castle	4,403	0.64%
Constitution	Scott Copeland	2,356	0.34%
Reform	Roque De La Fuente	1,373	0.20%
	Other/Write-in	178	0.03%
Total		690,433	100.00%
Source: Idaho Secretary of State Election Division New York Times

By county

County	Donald Trump Republican		Hillary Clinton Democratic		Evan McMullin Independent		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Ada	93,752	47.91%	75,677	38.68%	11,226	5.74%	15,014	7.67%	18,075	9.23%	195,669
Adams	1,556	71.28%	415	19.01%	80	3.66%	132	6.05%	1,141	52.27%	2,183
Bannock	17,180	51.41%	10,342	30.95%	3,449	10.32%	2,445	7.32%	6,838	20.46%	33,416
Bear Lake	2,203	75.24%	255	8.71%	366	12.50%	104	3.55%	1,837	62.74%	2,928
Benewah	3,103	74.15%	770	18.40%	61	1.46%	251	5.99%	2,333	55.75%	4,185
Bingham	10,907	65.61%	2,924	17.59%	2,002	12.04%	792	4.76%	7,983	48.02%	16,625
Blaine	3,340	31.15%	6,416	59.83%	289	2.69%	679	6.33%	-3,076	-28.68%	10,724
Boise	2,673	70.08%	777	20.37%	112	2.94%	252	6.61%	1,896	49.71%	3,814
Bonner	13,343	63.71%	5,819	27.78%	372	1.78%	1,409	6.73%	7,524	35.93%	20,943
Bonneville	26,699	60.38%	8,930	20.19%	6,022	13.62%	2,570	5.81%	17,769	40.19%	44,221
Boundary	3,789	73.39%	933	18.07%	130	2.52%	311	6.02%	2,856	55.32%	5,163
Butte	914	74.31%	160	13.01%	114	9.27%	42	3.41%	754	61.30%	1,230
Camas	410	69.49%	110	18.64%	33	5.59%	37	6.28%	300	50.85%	590
Canyon	47,222	64.88%	16,883	23.20%	4,216	5.79%	4,464	6.13%	30,339	41.68%	72,785
Caribou	2,275	74.96%	271	8.93%	372	12.26%	117	3.85%	1,903	62.70%	3,052
Cassia	5,949	72.74%	1,036	12.67%	853	10.43%	340	4.16%	4,913	60.07%	8,178
Clark	203	71.73%	44	15.55%	23	8.13%	13	4.59%	159	56.18%	283
Clearwater	2,852	75.03%	704	18.52%	72	1.89%	173	4.56%	2,148	56.51%	3,801
Custer	1,777	73.61%	427	17.69%	82	3.40%	128	5.30%	1,350	55.92%	2,414
Elmore	5,816	68.25%	1,814	21.29%	376	4.41%	516	6.05%	4,002	46.96%	8,522
Franklin	3,901	70.94%	385	7.00%	912	16.58%	301	5.48%	2,989	54.36%	5,499
Fremont	4,090	71.57%	651	11.39%	751	13.14%	223	3.90%	3,339	58.43%	5,715
Gem	5,980	75.18%	1,229	15.45%	357	4.49%	388	4.88%	4,751	59.73%	7,954
Gooding	3,743	72.11%	930	17.92%	293	5.64%	225	4.33%	2,813	54.19%	5,191
Idaho	6,441	78.23%	1,196	14.53%	165	2.00%	431	5.24%	5,245	63.70%	8,233
Jefferson	8,436	73.52%	976	8.51%	1,560	13.59%	503	4.38%	6,876	59.93%	11,475
Jerome	4,644	68.79%	1,329	19.69%	419	6.21%	359	5.31%	3,315	49.10%	6,751
Kootenai	44,449	67.03%	16,264	24.53%	1,557	2.35%	4,040	6.09%	28,185	42.50%	66,310
Latah	7,265	39.98%	8,093	44.53%	696	3.83%	2,119	11.66%	-828	-4.55%	18,173
Lemhi	3,011	73.51%	733	17.90%	139	3.39%	213	5.20%	2,278	55.61%	4,096
Lewis	1,202	75.60%	270	16.98%	17	1.07%	101	6.35%	932	58.62%	1,590
Lincoln	1,184	67.73%	360	20.59%	102	5.84%	102	5.84%	824	47.14%	1,748
Madison	8,941	56.99%	1,201	7.66%	4,669	29.76%	877	5.59%	4,272	27.23%	15,688
Minidoka	4,887	71.13%	1,167	16.98%	463	6.74%	354	5.15%	3,720	54.15%	6,871
Nez Perce	10,699	62.20%	4,828	28.07%	352	2.05%	1,322	7.68%	5,871	34.13%	17,201
Oneida	1,531	74.03%	184	8.90%	271	13.10%	82	3.97%	1,260	60.93%	2,068
Owyhee	3,052	77.76%	591	15.06%	108	2.75%	174	4.43%	2,461	62.70%	3,925
Payette	6,489	74.55%	1,507	17.31%	314	3.61%	394	4.53%	4,982	57.24%	8,704
Power	1,666	60.41%	699	25.34%	233	8.45%	160	5.80%	967	35.07%	2,758
Shoshone	3,297	64.39%	1,384	27.03%	87	1.70%	352	6.88%	1,913	37.36%	5,120
Teton	2,167	43.55%	2,159	43.39%	327	6.57%	323	6.49%	8	0.16%	4,976
Twin Falls	19,828	66.37%	6,233	20.86%	2,065	6.91%	3,813	5.86%	13,595	45.51%	29,874
Valley	2,906	54.33%	1,913	35.76%	194	3.63%	326	6.28%	993	18.57%	5,349
Washington	3,283	73.69%	776	17.42%	175	3.93%	221	4.96%	2,507	56.27%	4,455
Totals	409,055	59.25%	189,765	27.48%	46,476	6.73%	45,137	6.54%	219,290	31.77%	690,433

 

Swing by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +>15%
•   Democratic — +10-12.5%
•   Democratic — +7.5-10%
•   Democratic — +5-7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%
•   Republican — +10-12.5%
•   Republican — +12.5-15%
•   Republican — +>15%

Results by congressional district

Trump won both congressional districts.^[16]

District	Trump	Clinton	Representative
1st	63.7%	25.4%	Raúl Labrador
2nd	54.5%	29.8%	Mike Simpson

See also

• United States presidential elections in Idaho
• Presidency of Donald Trump
• 2016 Democratic Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2016 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries

References

1. Secretary of State: Lawerence Denney. "Nov 08, 2016 General Election Results". www.sos.idaho.gov. Retrieved May 16, 2020.
2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved November 25, 2020.
3. "2016 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved March 5, 2018.
4. (PDF). June 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 30, 2016. Retrieved January 7, 2024.
5. "Mar 08, 2016 Presidential Primary Election Results United States - by County". sos.idaho.gov. Idaho Secretary Of State. Retrieved November 25, 2016.
6. Gr, The; Inquirer (March 10, 2016). . The Grand Inquirer. Archived from the original on November 26, 2016. Retrieved November 26, 2016.
7. Gr, The; Inquirer (March 2, 2016). . The Grand Inquirer. Archived from the original on November 26, 2016. Retrieved November 26, 2016.
8. "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
9. Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
10. "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
11. "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
12. "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
13. Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
14. "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
15. "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
16. "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.

External links

• RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process November 8, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
• Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions