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Wikipedia

Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election

February 16, 2024

This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016.

Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016, despite losing the popular vote while winning the electoral college.[1][2] Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Clinton, but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts. Retrospective analyses differ as to why the polls and commentators interpreting them were unable to correctly forecast the result of the election.[1][2] Two daily tracking polls, the UPI/CVoter poll and the University of Southern California/Los Angeles Times poll were the only polls that often incorrectly predicted a Trump popular vote victory or showed a nearly tied election.[3]

Aggregate polls edit

Poll numbers verified as of November 8, 2016.

Race Poll model Hillary
Clinton
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Gary
Johnson
Libertarian 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Leading by
(points)
Two-way 270 to Win[4] 47.2% 43.6% — 3.6
BBC 48.0% 44.0% 4.0
HuffPost Pollster[5] 47.3% 42.0% 5.3
New York Times 45.9% 42.8% 3.1
Real Clear Politics 46.8% 43.6% 3.2
48.8% 43.9% 4.9
Three-way FiveThirtyEight 45.7% 41.8% 4.8% — 3.9
HuffPost Pollster[5] 45.7% 40.8% 5.0% 4.9
New York Times 45.4% 42.3% 5.0% 3.1
46.0% 44.1% 4.9% 1.9
Four-way 270 to Win[4] 45.6% 42.5% 4.8% 2.1% 3.1
Real Clear Politics 45.5% 42.2% 4.7% 1.9% 3.3
CNN Poll of Polls 46.0% 42.0% 5.0% 2.0% 4.0
46.6% 43.8% 4.6% 2.7% 2.8
Election results (popular vote) 48.2% 46.1% 3.3% 1.1% 2.1

Individual polls edit

Two-way race edit

After convention nominations edit

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton
Democratic 		Donald Trump
Republican 		Leading by
(points) 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error
UPI/CVoter[6] November 1–7, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,728 ± 3.0%
YouGov/The Economist[7] November 4–7, 2016 49% 45% 4 3,677 ± 1.7%
Bloomberg News/Selzer[8] November 4–6, 2016 46% 43% 3 799 ± 3.5%
ABC News/Washington Post[9] November 3–6, 2016 49% 46% 3 2,220 ± 2.5%
Fox News[10] November 3–6, 2016 48% 44% 4 1,295 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP[11] November 3–6, 2016 43% 42% 1 1,026 ± 3.1%
Monmouth University[12] November 3–6, 2016 50% 44% 6 802 ± 3.6%
Ipsos/Reuters[13] November 2–6, 2016 44% 39% 5 2,195 ± 2.4%
CBS News/New York Times[14] November 2–6, 2016 47% 43% 4 1,426 ± 3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[15] October 31 – November 6, 2016 51% 44% 7 70,194 ± 1.0%
CCES/YouGov[16] October 4 – November 6, 2016 43% 39% 4 84,292 ±%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[17] November 3–5, 2016 48% 43% 5 1,282 ± 2.73%
ABC News/Washington Post[18] November 2–5, 2016 49% 45% 4 1,937 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP[19] November 2–5, 2016 45% 44% 1 903 ± 3.3%
UPI/CVoter[20] October 30 – November 5, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,572 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[21] October 30 – November 5, 2016 43% 48% 5 2,988 ± 4.5%
ABC News/Washington Post[22] November 1–4, 2016 49% 44% 5 1,685 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP[23] November 1–4, 2016 46% 43% 3 804 ± 3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[24] October 31 – November 4, 2016 44% 40% 4 2,244 ± 2.4%
UPI/CVoter[25] October 29 – November 4, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,497 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[26] October 29 – November 4, 2016 43% 48% 5 2,987 ± 4.5%
Fox News[27] November 1–3, 2016 46% 45% 1 1,107 ± 3.0%
McClatchy/Marist[28] November 1–3, 2016 46% 44% 2 940 ± 3.2%
Ipsos/Reuters[29] October 30 – November 3, 2016 44% 39% 5 2,021 ± 2.6%
ABC News/Washington Post[30] October 31 – November 3, 2016 49% 45% 4 1,419 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[31] October 30 – November 3, 2016 45% 44% 1 898 ± 3.3%
UPI/CVoter[32] October 28 – November 3, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,395 ± 3.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[33] October 30 – November 2, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,151 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[34] October 29 – November 2, 2016 45% 39% 6 1,858 ± 2.6%
IBD/TIPP[35] October 29 – November 2, 2016 44% 44% Tied 867 ± 3.4%
UPI/CVoter[36] October 27 – November 2, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,329 ± 3.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[37] October 29 – November 1, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,167 ± 3.0%
CBS News/New York Times[38] October 28 – November 1, 2016 47% 44% 3 1,333 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[39] October 28 – November 1, 2016 45% 39% 6 1,772 ± 3.0%
YouGov/The Economist[40] October 30 – November 1, 2016 48% 45% 3 1,233 ± 3.2%
IBD/TIPP[41] October 27 – November 1, 2016 44% 44% Tied 862 ± 3.4%
UPI/CVoter[42] October 26 – November 1, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,383 ±3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[43] October 26 – November 1, 2016 42% 48% 6 3,004 ± 4.5%
ABC News/Washington Post[44] October 28–31, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,182 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[45] October 26–31, 2016 45% 44% 1 1,018 ± 3.2%
Politico/Morning Consult[46] October 29–30, 2016 46% 43% 3 1,772 ± 2.0%
Politico/Morning Consult[47] October 27–30, 2016 52% 47% 5 2,075 ± 3.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[48] October 27–30, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,167 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[49] October 26–30, 2016 44% 39% 5 1,264 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[50] October 25–30, 2016 45% 43% 2 993 ± 3.2%
UPI/CVoter[51] October 24–30, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,299 ±3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[52] October 24–30, 2016 51% 44% 7 40,816 ± 1.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[53] October 26–29, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,165 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[54] October 24–29, 2016 45% 41% 4 1,039 ± 3.3%
UPI/CVoter[55] October 23–29, 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,317 ± 3.0%
Morning Consult[56] October 27–28, 2016 46% 41% 5 1,794 ± 2.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[57] October 25–28, 2016 46% 45% 1 1,160 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[58] October 23–28, 2016 46% 41% 5 1,013 ± 3.3%
ABC News/Washington Post[59] October 24–27, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,148 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[60] October 22–27, 2016 45% 42% 3 973 ± 3.3%
Ipsos/Reuters[61] October 21–27, 2016 42% 36% 6 1,627 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[62] October 21–27, 2016 44% 46% 2 3,248 ± 4.5%
ABC News/Washington Post[63] October 23–26, 2016 50% 45% 5 1,150 ± 3.0%
YouGov/The Economist[64] October 22–26, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,376 ± 3.1%
IBD/TIPP[65] October 21–26, 2016 44% 42% 2 945 ± 3.3%
UPI/CVoter[66] October 20–26, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,363 ± 3.0%
Fox News[67] October 22–25, 2016 49% 44% 5 1,221 ± 2.5%
ABC News/Washington Post[68] October 22–25, 2016 51% 44% 7 1,135 ± 3.0%
Pew Research Center[69] October 20–25, 2016 50% 43% 7 2,120 ± 2.4%
IBD/TIPP[70] October 20–25, 2016 43% 41% 2 921 ± 3.3%
UPI/CVoter[71] October 19–25, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,349 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[72] October 19–25, 2016 44% 45% 1 3,145 ± 4.5%
CNBC[73] October 21–24, 2016 47% 37% 10 804 ± 3.5%
ABC News[74] October 21–24, 2016 51% 43% 8 1,119 ± 3.0%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[75] October 21–24, 2016 53% 41% 12 900 ± 3.27%
Associated Press/GFK[76] October 20–24, 2016 54% 41% 13 1,546 ± 2.75%
USA Today/Suffolk University[77] October 20–24, 2016 49% 39% 10 1,000 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[78] October 20–24, 2016 43% 37% 6 1,170 ± 3.3%
IBD/TIPP[79] October 19–24, 2016 43% 42% 1 873 ± 3.6%
ABC News[80] October 20–23, 2016 53% 41% 12 1,155 ± 3.0%
CNN/ORC[81] October 20–23, 2016 51% 45% 6 779 ± 3.5%
IBD/TIPP[82] October 18–23, 2016 42% 42% Tied 815 ± 3.6%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[83] October 17–23, 2016 50% 44% 6 32,225 ± 1.0%
UPI/CVoter[84] October 17–23, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,414 ± 3.0%
ABC News[85] October 20–22, 2016 53% 41% 12 874 ± 3.5%
IBD/TIPP[86] October 17–22, 2016 42% 43% 1 783 ± 3.6%
IBD/TIPP[87] October 16–21, 2016 42% 42% Tied 791 ± 3.6%
Politico/Morning Consult[88] October 19–20, 2016 46% 40% 6 1,395 ± 3.0%
American Research Group[89] October 17–20, 2016 49% 42% 7 1,006 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[90] October 15–20, 2016 43% 41% 2 789 ± 3.6%
USC/Los Angeles Times[91] October 14–20, 2016 44% 45% 1 3,001 ± 4.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[92] October 14–20, 2016 44% 40% 4 1,640 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[93] October 14–19, 2016 43% 41% 2 779 ± 3.6%
Quinnipiac University[94] October 17–18, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,007 ± 3.1%
YouGov/The Economist[95] October 15–18, 2016 47% 43% 4 1,300 ± 4.0%
IBD/TIPP[96] October 13–18, 2016 44% 41% 3 782 ± 3.6%
Fox News[97] October 15–17, 2016 49% 42% 7 912 ± 3.0%
Bloomberg Politics[98] October 14–17, 2016 50% 41% 9 1,006 ± 3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters[99] October 13–17, 2016 43% 39% 4 1,190 ± 3.2%
Public Religion Research Institute/The Atlantic[100] October 12–17, 2016 51% 36% 15 692 ±4.4%
UPI/CVoter[101] October 11–17, 2016 51% 46% 5 1,326 ± 3.0%
Monmouth University[102] October 14–16, 2016 53% 41% 12 805 ± 3.5%
CBS News[103] October 12–16, 2016 51% 40% 11 1,411 ± 3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[104] October 10–16, 2016 51% 43% 8 24,804 ± 1.0%
UPI/CVoter[105] October 10–16, 2016 50% 46% 4 1,325 ± 3.0%
Politico/Morning Consult[106] October 13–15, 2016 46% 41% 5 1,737 ± 2.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[107] October 10–13, 2016 51% 41% 10 905 ±3.3%
ABC News/Washington Post[108] October 10–13, 2016 50% 46% 4 740 ±4.0%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[109] October 9–13, 2016 46% 41% 5 1,001 ±3.1%
George Washington University[110] October 8–13, 2016 47% 39% 8 1,000 ± 3.1%
UPI/CVoter[111] October 7–13, 2016 50% 45% 5 1,482 ± 3.0%
Fox News[112] October 10–12, 2016 49% 41% 8 917 ± 3.0%
Politico/Morning Consult[113] October 10, 2016 46% 41% 5 1,757 ± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[114] October 8–10, 2016 50% 40% 10 900 ± 3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[115] October 6–10, 2016 44% 37% 7 2,363 ± 2.3%
UPI/CVoter[116] October 4–10, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,367 ± 3.0%
Pew Research Center[117] September 27 – October 10, 2016 53% 44% 9 3,616 ± 2.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[118] October 8–9, 2016 52% 38% 14 422 ± 4.6%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[119] October 3–9, 2016 51% 44% 7 23,329 ± 1.0%
UPI/CVoter[120] October 3–9, 2016 49% 44% 5 1,801 ± 3.0%
Politico/Morning Consult[121] October 8, 2016 45% 41% 4 1,390 ± 3.0%
YouGov/The Economist[122] October 7–8, 2016 48% 43% 5 1,300 ± 4.2%
Morning Consult[123] October 5–6, 2016 44% 42% 2 1,775 ± 2.0%
Quinnipiac University[124] October 5–6, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,064 ± 3.0%
Fox News[125] October 3–6, 2016 48% 44% 4 896 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[126] September 30 – October 6, 2016 43% 38% 5 1,695 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[127] September 30 – October 6, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,774 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[128] September 28 – October 4, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,274 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[129] September 28 – October 4, 2016 43% 47% 4 2,369 ± 4.5%
YouGov/The Economist[130] October 1–3, 2016 48% 43% 5 911 ± 3.9%
Ipsos/Reuters[131] September 29 – October 3, 2016 44% 37% 7 1,928 ± 2.5%
Politico/Morning Consult[132] September 30 – October 2, 2016 46% 39% 7 1,778 ± 2.0%
Farleigh Dickinson/SSRS[133] September 28 – October 2, 2016 50% 40% 10 788 ± 4.4%
CBS News/New York Times[134] September 28 – October 2, 2016 49% 43% 6 1,501 ± 3.0%
CNN/ORC[135] September 28 – October 2, 2016 47% 42% 5 1,501 ± 2.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[136] September 26 – October 2, 2016 50% 44% 6 26,925 ± 1.0%
UPI/CVoter[137] September 26 – October 2, 2016 47% 49% 2 1,285 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[138] September 24–30, 2016 42% 47% 5 2,526 ± 4.5%
Fox News[139] September 27–29, 2016 49% 44% 5 911 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[140] September 23–29, 2016 43% 38% 5 2,501 ± 2.0%
UPI/CVoter[141] September 23–29, 2016 47% 49% 2 1,236 ± 3.0%
Public Policy Polling[142] September 27–28, 2016 49% 45% 4 993 ± 3.2%
Ipsos/Reuters[143] September 27–28, 2016 42% 38% 4 1,336 ± 3.1%
Echelon Insights[144] September 26–27, 2016 47% 42% 5 1,833 ±%
Morning Consult[145] September 26–27, 2016 45% 41% 4 1,253 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[146] September 21–27, 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,239 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[147] September 22–26, 2016 44% 38% 6 1,041 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[148] September 22–25, 2016 47% 46% 1 1,115 ± 2.9%
Monmouth University[149] September 22–25, 2016 49% 46% 3 729 ± 3.6%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[150] September 19–25, 2016 51% 44% 7 13,598 ± 1.1%
USC/Los Angeles Times[151] September 19–25, 2016 42% 46% 4 2,726 ± 4.5%
UPI/CVoter[152] September 19–25, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,052 ± 3.0%
Morning Consult[153] September 22–24, 2016 44% 42% 2 1,712 ± 2.0%
Bloomberg/Selzer[154] September 21–24, 2016 46% 46% Tied 1,002 ± 3.1%
ABC News/Washington Post[155] September 19–22, 2016 49% 47% 2 651 ± 4.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[156] September 16–22, 2016 41% 37% 4 1,559 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[157] September 15–21, 2016 43% 45% 2 2,623 ± 2.3%
American Research Group[158] September 17–20, 2016 47% 44% 3 990 ± 3.2%
McClatchy/Marist[159] September 15–20, 2016 48% 41% 7 758 ± 3.6%
USC/Los Angeles Times[160] September 14–20, 2016 42% 46% 4 2,629 ± 2.3%
YouGov/Economist[161] September 18–19, 2016 45% 44% 1 936 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[162] September 16–19, 2016 48% 41% 7 922 ± 3.23%
Ipsos/Reuters[163] September 15–19, 2016 39% 39% Tied 1,111 ± 3.4%
Associated Press/GFK[164] September 15–19, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,251 ± 2.5%
USC/Los Angeles Times[165] September 13–19, 2016 42% 47% 5 2,524 ± 2.2%
UPI/CVoter[166] September 12–18, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,203 ± 3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[167] September 12–18, 2016 50% 45% 5 13,230 ± 1.2%
UPI/CVoter[168] September 10–16, 2016 47% 47% Tied 1,246 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[169] September 9–15, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,229 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[170] September 9–15, 2016 42% 38% 4 1,579 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[171] September 9–15, 2016 41% 47% 6 2,497 ± 2.8%
Fox News[172] September 11–14, 2016 45% 46% 1 867 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[173] September 8–14, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,265 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[174] September 8–14, 2016 41% 47% 6 2,499 ± 3.1%
YouGov/Economist[175] September 10–13, 2016 46% 44% 2 1,087 ± 4.0%
CBS News/New York Times[176] September 9–13, 2016 46% 44% 2 1,433 ± 3%
Quinnipiac University[177] September 8–13, 2016 48% 43% 5 960 ± 3.2%
UPI/CVoter[178] September 7–13, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,245 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[179] September 7–13, 2016 42% 47% 5 2,550 ± 2.7%
Ipsos/Reuters[180] September 8–12, 2016 40% 39% 1 1,127 ± 3.3%
UPI/CVoter[181] September 6–12, 2016 46% 49% 3 1,232 ± 3.0%
Pew Research[182] August 16 – September 12, 2016 52% 44% 8 3,941 ± 2.6%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[183] September 5–11, 2016 48% 44% 4 16,220 ± 1.1%
UPI/CVoter[184] September 5–11, 2016 46% 49% 3 1,260 ± 3.0%
Morning Consult[185] September 6–8, 2016 44% 43% 1 1,710 ± 2.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[186] September 5–8, 2016 51% 43% 8 642 ± 4.5%
USC/Los Angeles Times[187] September 2–8, 2016 45% 44% 1 2,653 ± 2.4%
UPI/CVoter[188] September 2–8, 2016 46% 48% 2 1,256 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[189] September 1–7, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,226 ± 3.0%
YouGov/Economist[190] September 4–6, 2016 44% 42% 2 1,077 ± 4.7%
UPI/CVoter[191] August 31 – September 6, 2016 47% 47% Tied 1,262 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[192] September 1–5, 2016 40% 38% 2 1,084 ± 3.5%
UPI/CVoter[193] August 30 – September 5, 2016 48% 46% 2 1,220 ± 3.0%
CNN/ORC[194] September 1–4, 2016 48% 49% 1 786 ± 3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[195] August 29 – September 4, 2016 48% 42% 6 32,226 ± 1.0%
UPI/CVoter[196] August 29 – September 4, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,237 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[197] August 28 – September 3, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,242 ± 3.0%
Morning Consult[198] September 1–2, 2016 42% 40% 2 2,001 ± 2%
Ipsos/Reuters[199] August 26 – September 1, 2016 39% 40% 1 1,804 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[200] August 26 – September 1, 2016 44% 43% 1 861 ± 3.4%
Fox News[201] August 28–30, 2016 48% 42% 6 1,011 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[202] August 24–30, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,162 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[203] August 25–29, 2016 40% 39% 1 1,404 ± 3.0%
Suffolk University/USA Today[204] August 24–29, 2016 48% 41% 7 1,000 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[205] August 23–29, 2016 50% 47% 3 1,173 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[206] August 23–29, 2016 42% 45% 3 2,500 ± 2.5%
Public Policy Polling[207] August 26–28, 2016 48% 43% 5 881 ± 3.3%
Monmouth University[208] August 25–28, 2016 49% 42% 7 689 ± 3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[209] August 22–28, 2016 48% 42% 6 24,104 ± 1.0%
UPI/CVoter[210] August 22–28, 2016 50% 47% 3 1,145 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[211] August 21–27, 2016 50% 47% 3 1,682 ± 3.0%
Morning Consult[212] August 24–26, 2016 43% 40% 3 2,007 ± 2%
Ipsos/Reuters[213] August 22–25, 2016 41% 36% 5 1,154 ± 3%
Ipsos/Reuters[214] August 20–24, 2016 42% 35% 7 1,049 ± 2.9%
UPI/CVoter[215] August 18–24, 2016 48% 49% 1 1,720 ± 3.0%
Quinnipiac University[216] August 18–24, 2016 51% 41% 10 1,496 ± 2.5%
USC/Los Angeles Times[217] August 18–24, 2016 44% 44% Tied 2,434 ± 2.3%
YouGov/Economist[218] August 19–23, 2016 47% 44% 3 1,080 ± 4.1%
UPI/CVoter[219] August 17–23, 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,737 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[220] August 18–22, 2016 45% 33% 12 1,115 ± 3%
UPI/CVoter[221] August 16–22, 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,752 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[222] August 15–21, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,795 ± 3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[223] August 15–21, 2016 50% 42% 8 17,451 ± 1.1%
American Research Group[224] August 17–20, 2016 47% 42% 5 994 ± 3.2%
Morning Consult[225] August 16–20, 2016 44% 38% 6 2,001 ± 2%
UPI/CVoter[226] August 14–20, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,191 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[227] August 14–20, 2016 43% 45% 2 2,385 ± 2.8%
Ipsos/Reuters[228] August 13–17, 2016 41% 36% 5 1,049 ± 2.8%
UPI/CVoter[229] August 11–17, 2016 50% 46% 4 1,009 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[230] August 9–16, 2016 51% 44% 7 1,069 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[231] August 11–15, 2016 41% 35% 6 1,132 ± 3%
Normington, Petts & Associates[232] August 9–15, 2016 50% 40% 10 1,000 ± 3.1%
UPI/CVoter[233] August 9–15, 2016 51% 44% 7 1,035 ± 3.0%
Morning Consult[234] August 11–14, 2016 44% 37% 7 2,001 ± 2%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[235] August 8–14, 2016 50% 41% 9 15,179 ± 1.2%
UPI/CVoter[236] August 7–14, 2016 50% 45% 5 975 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[237] August 7–13, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,403 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[238] August 3–10, 2016 49% 45% 4 1,077 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[239] August 6–10, 2016 42% 36% 6 974 ± 2.9%
YouGov/Economist[240] August 6–9, 2016 48% 41% 7 1,300 ± 4.2%
UPI/CVoter[241] August 3–9, 2016 48% 46% 2 1,002 ± 3.0%
Bloomberg Politics[242] August 5–8, 2016 50% 44% 6 749 ± 3.6%
Ipsos/Reuters[243] August 4–8, 2016 42% 35% 7 1,152 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[244] August 2–8, 2016 49% 45% 4 993 ± 3.0%
PSRAI[245] August 4–7, 2016 45% 39% 6 798 ± 3.9%
UPI/CVoter[246] August 1–7, 2016 49% 44% 5 1,407 ± 3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[247] August 1–7, 2016 51% 41% 10 11,480 ± 1.2%
UPI/CVoter[248] July 31 – August 6, 2016 50% 43% 7 1,036 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[249] July 31 – August 6, 2016 45% 44% 1 2,146 ± 2.8%
Morning Consult[250] August 4–5, 2016 46% 37% 9 2,001 ± 2%
ABC News/Washington Post[251] August 1–4, 2016 51% 44% 7 1,002 ± 3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[252] July 31 – August 4, 2016 42% 39% 3 1,154 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[253] July 29 – August 4, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,060 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[254] July 29 – August 4, 2016 46% 39% 7 921 ± 3.4%
McClatchy/Marist[255] August 1–3, 2016 48% 33% 15 983 ± 3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[256] July 31 – August 3, 2016 47% 38% 9 800 ± 3.46%
Ipsos/Reuters[257] July 30 – August 3, 2016 43% 39% 4 1,072 ± 3.5%
USC/Los Angeles Times[258] July 28 – August 3, 2016 45% 44% 1 2,175 ± 2.4%
UPI/CVoter[259] July 27 – August 2, 2016 49% 46% 3 989 ± 3.0%
Fox News[260] July 31 – August 2, 2016 49% 39% 10 1,022 ± 3%
USC/Los Angeles Times[261] July 27 – August 2, 2016 44% 45% 1 2,186 ± 2.2%
YouGov/Economist[262] July 31 – August 1, 2016 46% 43% 3 1,300 ± 4%
Ipsos/Reuters[263] July 28 – August 1, 2016 43% 35% 8 1,289 ± 3%
USC/Los Angeles Times[264] July 26 – August 1, 2016 43% 45% 2 2,171 ± 2.5%
CNN/ORC[265] July 29–31, 2016 52% 43% 9 1,003 ± 3%
CBS News[266] July 29–31, 2016 47% 41% 6 1,131 ± 3%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[267] July 25–31, 2016 50% 42% 8 12,742 ± 1.2%
Morning Consult[268] July 29–30, 2016 43% 40% 3 1,931 ± 2%
Public Policy Polling[269] July 29–30, 2016 50% 45% 5 1,276 ± 2.7%

Polls conducted in 2016 edit

Polls in 2016
Poll source Date Democratic
candidate 		% Republican
candidate 		% Leading
by % 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error
Ipsos/Reuters[270] July 25–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 35% 5 1,290 ± 2.4%
Rasmussen Reports[271] July 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 42% 1 1,000 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[272] July 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 39% 2 963 ± 4.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[273] July 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 47% 7 2,150 ± 3%
Economist/YouGov[274] July 23–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 1,300 ± 4.5%
Morning Consult[275] July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 44% 4 2,502 ± 2%
CBS News[276] July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 44% 1 1,118 ± 4%
CNN/ORC[277] July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 48% 3 882 ± 3.5%
University of Delaware[278] July 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% 4 818 ± 4%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[279] July 18–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 45% 1 12,931 ± 1.2%
USC/Los Angeles Times[273] July 18–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% 4 2,083 ± 3%
Echelon Insights[280] July 21–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% 4 912 ± ?%
Ipsos/Reuters[281] July 18–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 38% 3 1,036 ± 4.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[282] July 16–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% 2 2,010 ± %
American Research Group[283] July 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 42% 1 990 ± 3.2%
Ipsos/Reuters[284] July 16–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 36% 4 1,522 ± 2.9%
Rasmussen Reports[285] July 18–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 43% 1 1,000 ± 3.0%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[286] July 13–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 43% 7 900 ± 3.27%
Economist/YouGov[287] July 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% 4 925 ± 4.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[288] July 11–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 45% 1 9,436 ± 1.4%
Morning Consult[289] July 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 39% 2 2,002 ± 2%
CNN/ORC[290] July 13–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 42% 7 872 ± 3.5%
icitizen[291] July 12–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 1,000 ± %
ABC News/Washington Post[292] July 11–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 43% 4 1,003 ± 3.5%
USC/Los Angeles Times[293] July 8–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 43% 3 1,608 ± 3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[294] July 12–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 44% 7 1,000 ± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[295] July 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 1,000 ± 3.1%
CBS News/New York Times[296] July 8–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 40% Tied 1,358 ± 3.0%
The Economist/YouGov[297] July 9–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% 2 1,300 ± 4.2%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[298] July 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 44% 3 7,869 ± 1.4%
Morning Consult[299] July 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 41% 1 2,001 ± 2%
McClatchy-Marist[300] July 5–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% 3 1,053 ± 3%
Ipsos/Reuters[301] July 2–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 33% 11 1,345 ± 2.8%
Rasmussen Reports[302] July 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 42% 2 1,000 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[303] July 1–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 33% 13 1,441 ± 3.0%
The Economist/YouGov[304] July 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 1,300 ± 3.9%
Morning Consult[305] June 30 – July 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 40% 1 2,001 ± 2%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[306] June 27 – July 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% 5 10,072 ± 1.3%
Ipsos/Reuters[307] June 27 – July 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% 9.4 1,080 ± 3.5%
Rasmussen Reports[308] June 28–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 43% 4 1,000 ± 3.0%
Suffolk University/USA Today[309] June 26–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% 5.2 1,000 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[310] June 25–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 32% 10 1,247 ± 2.8%
IBD/TIPP[311] June 24–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% 4 837 ± 3.5%
One America News Network/Gravis Marketing[312] June 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 50% Tied 2,162 ± 2.1%
Public Policy Polling[313] June 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 44% 4 947 ± 3.2%
Fox News[314] June 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 38% 6 1,017 ± 3%
Morning Consult[315] June 24–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% 5 1,998 ± 2%
Quinnipiac University[316] June 21–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 40% 2 1,610 ± 2.4%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[317] June 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 41% 8 5,818 ± 1.8%
Pew Research[318] June 15–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 42% 9 1,655 ± 2.7%
Ipsos/Reuters[319] June 20–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 33% 14 1,201 ± 3.3%
ABC News/Washington Post[320] June 20–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 39% 12 1,001 ± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[321] June 19–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 1,000 ± 3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters[322] June 18–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 34% 10 1,339 ± 2.8%
Rasmussen Reports[323] June 20–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% 5 1,000 ± 3%
Economist/YouGov[324] June 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 39% 4 1,011 ± 4.2%
American Research Group[325] June 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 41% 9 987 ± 3.2%
Morning Consult[326] June 15–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 40% 2 3,891 ± 2%
CNN/ORC[327] June 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 891 ± 3.5%
Monmouth University[328] June 15–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% 7 803 ± 3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[329] June 13–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% 6 16,135 ± 1.1%
Reuters/Ipsos[330] June 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 35% 10.7 1,133 ± 3.4%
One America News Network/Gravis Marketing[331] June 16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 49% 2 2,197 ± 2.1%
Rasmussen Reports[332] June 14–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% 5 1,000 ± 3%
Ipsos/Reuters[333] June 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 32% 9 1,323 ± 2.8%
CNBC[334] June 11–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 35% 5 801 ± 3.5%
CBS News[335] June 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 37% 6 1,048 ± 3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[336] June 6–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 42% 7 9,355 ± 1.4%
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 39% 13
Morning Consult[337] June 8–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 37% 5 1,362 ± 3%
Fox News[338] June 5–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% 3 1,004 ± 3%
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 38% 11
Ipsos/Reuters[339] June 4–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 34% 8 1,716 ± 2.7%
Rasmussen Reports[340] June 6–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 38% 4 1,000 ± 3%
Morning Consult[341] June 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% 4 4,002 ± 2%
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
YouGov/Economist[342] June 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 41% 3 1,636 ± 3.2%
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 37% 11
IBD/TIPP[343] May 31 – June 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5 828 ± 3.3%
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 39% 10
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[344] May 30 – June 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 44% 4 9,240 ± 1.4%
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 40% 12
Rasmussen Reports[345] May 31 – June 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 38% 1 1,000 ± 3%
Ipsos/Reuters[346] May 28 – June 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 34% 9 1,332 ± 2.8%
Morning Consult[347] May 24–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% 3 4,002 ± 2%
Quinnipiac University[348] May 24–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% 4 1,561 ± 2.5%
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 39% 9
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[349] May 23–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 45% 2 12,969 ± 1.2%
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 40% 12
Ipsos/Reuters[350] May 21–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% 5 1,576 ± 2.8%
Rasmussen Reports[351] May 23–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 39% 1 1,000 ± 3.0%
YouGov/Economist[352] May 20–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 41% 1 2,000 ± 3.1%
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 39% 9
Morning Consult[353] May 19–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 35% 3 2,001 ± 2%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[354] May 16–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 43% 4 14,513 ± 1%
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 41% 12
American Research Group[355] May 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 46% Tie 2,001 ± 2%
ABC News/Washington Post[356] May 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 46% 2 829 ± 3.5%
Schoen Consulting[357] May 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% 2 1,000 ± 3%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[358] May 15–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% 3 1,000 ± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 39% 15
Rasmussen Reports[359] May 17–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 42% 5 1,000 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[360] May 14–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% 5 1,677 ± 2.7%
Fox News[361] May 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 45% 3 1,021 ± 3%
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 42% 4
CBS News/New York Times[362] May 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% 6 1,300 ± 3%
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
McLaughlin[363] May 11–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% 4 1,000 ± 3.1%
Morning Consult[364] May 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 40% 2 3,971 ± 2%
Bernie Sanders 50% Donald Trump 37% 13
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[365] May 9–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 45% 3 12,507 ± 1.2%
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 41% 12
Ipsos/Reuters[366] May 7–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 37% 4 1,611 ± 2.8%
Ipsos/Reuters[367] May 6–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 40% 1 1,289 ± 3.0%
Public Policy Polling[368] May 6–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% 6 1,222 ± 3.2%
Bernie Sanders 50% Donald Trump 39% 11
Ipsos/Reuters[369] April 30 – May 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% 9 1,277 ± 3.1%
Morning Consult[370] April 29 – May 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5 1,976 ± 2.0%
CNN/ORC[371] April 28 – May 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 41% 13 1,001 ± 3.5%
Rasmussen Reports[372] April 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 41% 2 1,000 ± 3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[373] April 25–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Tied 1,000 ± 3.0%
GWU/Battleground[374] April 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% 3 1,000 ± 3.1%
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 40% 11
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[375] April 10–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 39% 11 1,000 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 51% 12
Bernie Sanders 52% Ted Cruz 40% 12
Fox News[376] April 11–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 41% 7 1,021 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 40% John Kasich 49% 9
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 39% 14
Bernie Sanders 51% Ted Cruz 39% 12
Bernie Sanders 47% John Kasich 43% 4
CBS News[377] April 8–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 40% 10 1,098 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 47% 6
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 36% 17
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 38% 12
Bernie Sanders 46% John Kasich 41% 5
IBD/TIPP[378] March 28 – April 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 35% 12 902 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 38% John Kasich 45% 7
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 36% 17
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 38% 12
Bernie Sanders 45% John Kasich 42% 3
McClatchy-Marist[379] March 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 41% 9 1,297 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 47% Tied
Hillary Clinton 42% John Kasich 51% 9
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 37% 20
Bernie Sanders 53% Ted Cruz 41% 12
Bernie Sanders 52% John Kasich 41% 11
Public Policy Polling[380] March 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 41% 7 1,083 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% Paul Ryan 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 45% Mitt Romney 32% 13
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 40% 8
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 41% 7
Bernie Sanders 41% John Kasich 44% 3
Bernie Sanders 45% Paul Ryan 38% 7
Bernie Sanders 48% Mitt Romney 31% 17
Bloomberg Politics[381] March 19–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 36% 18 815 ± 5.1%
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 42% 9
Hillary Clinton 43% John Kasich 47% 4
Quinnipiac University[382] March 16–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% 6 1,451 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 47% 8
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 38% 14
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 39% 11
Bernie Sanders 44% John Kasich 45% 1
CBS News/New York Times[383] March 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 40% 10 1,058 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% John Kasich 47% 4
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 38% 15
CNN/ORC[384] March 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 41% 12 925 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 48% Tied
Hillary Clinton 45% John Kasich 51% 6
Bernie Sanders 58% Donald Trump 38% 20
Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 42% 13
Bernie Sanders 51% John Kasich 45% 6
Monmouth University[385] March 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 38% 10 848 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 45% 6
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[386] March 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 38% 13 1,200 ± 2.83%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 46% Tied
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 37% 18
ABC News/Washington Post[387] March 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 41% 9 864 ± 4%
Rasmussen Reports[388] February 29 – March 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% 5 1,000 ± 3%
CNN/ORC[389] February 24–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 44% 8 920 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 49% 1
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 50% 3
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 43% 12
Bernie Sanders 57% Ted Cruz 40% 17
Bernie Sanders 53% Marco Rubio 45% 8
Fox News[390] February 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 1,031 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 46% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% John Kasich 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 46% 1
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 38% 15
Suffolk University/USA Today[391] February 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% 2 1,000 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 48% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 38% John Kasich 49% 11
Bernie Sanders 42% Marco Rubio 46% 4
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 42% 2
Bernie Sanders 41% John Kasich 44% 3
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 44% 1
Quinnipiac University[392] February 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 43% 1 1,342 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 48% 7
Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 47% 8
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 42% 6
Bernie Sanders 49% Ted Cruz 39% 10
Bernie Sanders 47% Marco Rubio 41% 6
Bernie Sanders 49% Jeb Bush 39% 10
Bernie Sanders 45% John Kasich 41% 4
Quinnipiac University[393] February 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 1,125 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 48% 7
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 45% Tied
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 39% 10
Bernie Sanders 46% Ted Cruz 42% 4
Bernie Sanders 43% Marco Rubio 43% Tied
Public Policy Polling February 2–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 39% 7 1,236
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 46% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% 7
Bernie Sanders 46% Jeb Bush 40% 6
Bernie Sanders 44% Ben Carson 44% Tied
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 42% 2
Bernie Sanders 43% Marco Rubio 45% 2
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 42% 4
CNN/ORC[394] January 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 47% 1 1,002 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 50% 3
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 50% 3
Bernie Sanders 50% Donald Trump 47% 3
Bernie Sanders 49% Marco Rubio 48% 1
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 47% 3
Morning Consult[395] January 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 39% 4 4060 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 39% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Ben Carson 42% Tied
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 41% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 41% 2
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[396] January 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 41% 10 800 ± 3.5%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 39% 15
Morning Consult[397] January 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 40% 3 2173 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 39% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Ben Carson 41% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 40% 3
Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 40% 4
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[398] January 10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 51% 2 2416 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 50% Tied
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 52% 4
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 51% 2
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 50% Tied
Hillary Clinton 49% Ben Carson 51% 2
Hillary Clinton 50% Carly Fiorina 50% Tied
Fox News[399] January 4–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 44% Tied 1006 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 50% 7
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 50% 9

Polls conducted in 2015 edit

Polls in 2015
Poll source Date Democratic
candidate 		% Republican
candidate 		% Leading by % Sample
Size 		Margin of error
Rasmussen Reports[400] December 22–23, 2015 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 36% 1 1000 ± 3.0%
CNN/ORC[401] December 17–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 47% 2 927 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 49% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 48% 2
Ipsos/Reuters[402] December 16–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 27% 12 1627 ± 2.8–3.7%
Emerson College Polling Society[403] December 17–20, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5 754 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 45% Tied
Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 46% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 45% 2
Quinnipiac University[404] December 16–20, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% 7 1140 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 44% Tied
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
Bernie Sanders 42% Marco Rubio 45% 3
Bernie Sanders 43% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Fox News[405] December 16–17, 2015 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 38% 11 1013 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 45% Tied
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 44% 2
Public Policy Polling[406] December 16–17, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% 3 1267 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 45% Tied
Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 39% 5
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 43% 2
Bernie Sanders 41% Ted Cruz 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 39% Marco Rubio 42% 3
Bernie Sanders 41% Ben Carson 41% Tied
Bernie Sanders 41% Jeb Bush 42% 1
Morning Consult[407] December 11–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 38% 8 4038 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 35% 11
Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 39% 6
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 36% 9
Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 37% 9
ABC News/Washington Post[408] December 10–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 44% 6 851 ± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[409] December 6–9, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 40% 10 1000 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 47% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 48% 3
Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 49% 2
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 50% Tied
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 49% 2
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 51% Ben Carson 49% 2
Hillary Clinton 52% Carly Fiorina 48% 4
Morning Consult[410] December 3–7, 2015
Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 41% Tied 2047 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 40% Chris Christie 40% Tied
Hillary Clinton 40% Ben Carson 45% 5
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 41% 1
Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 45% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 40% 2
USA Today/Suffolk University[411] December 2–6, 2015 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 44% 4 1000 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 48% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 45% 1
Saint Leo University Polling Institute[412] November 29 – December 3, 2015 Hillary Clinton 51% Ben Carson 38% 13 1007 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 38% 10
Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 37% 14
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 36% 16
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 35% 14
Hillary Clinton 51% Carly Fiorina 32% 19
MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist[413] November 15 – December 2, 2015 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 41% 11 2360 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 44% 7
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 48% Ben Carson 47% 1
CNN/ORC[414] November 27 – December 1, 2015
Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 46% 3 1020 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 50% 3
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 49% 1
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 47% 2
Quinnipiac University[415] November 23–30, 2015
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 43% 3 1453 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 42% 5
Bernie Sanders 47% Ben Carson 41% 6
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 41% 8
Bernie Sanders 44% Marco Rubio 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 49% Ted Cruz 39% 10
ABC News/Washington Post[416] November 16–19, 2015
Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 43% 3 1004 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 42% 8
Hillary Clinton 49% Ben Carson 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 43% 4
Fox News[417] November 16–19, 2015
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 46% 5 1016 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 46% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Ben Carson 47% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 50% 8
Hillary Clinton 41% Ted Cruz 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 39% Jeb Bush 45% 6
Hillary Clinton 42% Carly Fiorina 42% Tied
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 46% 3
Public Policy Polling[418] November 16–17, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 41% 2 1360 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Carly Fiorina 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% 1
Bernie Sanders 39% Jeb Bush 42% 3
Bernie Sanders 39% Ben Carson 46% 7
Bernie Sanders 39% Ted Cruz 44% 5
Bernie Sanders 40% Carly Fiorina 42% 2
Bernie Sanders 38% Marco Rubio 44% 6
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 44% 3
McClatchy-Marist[419] October 29 – November 4, 2015 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 41% 15 540 ± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 50% Ben Carson 48% 2
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 45% 5
Hillary Clinton 52% Jeb Bush 44% 8
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 43% 10
Hillary Clinton 53% Carly Fiorina 43% 10
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 41% 12
Bernie Sanders 45% Ben Carson 47% 2
Bernie Sanders 48% Marco Rubio 45% 3
Bernie Sanders 51% Jeb Bush 41% 10
Bernie Sanders 51% Ted Cruz 39% 12
Bernie Sanders 53% Carly Fiorina 39% 14
Quinnipiac University[420] October 29 – November 2, 2015 Hillary Clinton 40% Ben Carson 50% 10 1144 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 46% 5
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Chris Christie 46% 5
Bernie Sanders 39% Ben Carson 51% 12
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 44% 2
Bernie Sanders 41% Marco Rubio 47% 6
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 45% 1
Bernie Sanders 42% Chris Christie 45% 3
Morning Consult[421] October 29 – November 1, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 39% 6 2350 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 37% 10
Hillary Clinton 43% Ben Carson 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 39% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied
Hillary Clinton 46% Carly Fiorina 36% 10
Bay News 9/News 13/SurveyUSA[422] October 28 – November 1, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 47% 4 2712 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 48% Carly Fiorina 42% 6
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 50% 9
Bernie Sanders 40% Ben Carson 48% 8
Bernie Sanders 44% Jeb Bush 46% 2
Bernie Sanders 44% Marco Rubio 46% 2
Bernie Sanders 46% Carly Fiorina 43% 3
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[423] October 25–29, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 42% 8 847 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 47% Tied
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 43% 4
Bernie Sanders 50% Donald Trump 41% 9
Bernie Sanders 46% Marco Rubio 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 50% Tied
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 50% Tied
Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 47% 6
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 47% 6
Hillary Clinton 49% Ben Carson 51% 2
Hillary Clinton 52% Carly Fiorina 48% 4
Morning Consult[424] October 22–25, 2015 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 41% Tied 1689 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 38% 6
Hillary Clinton 41% Ben Carson 42% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 38% 5
Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Tied
Hillary Clinton 44% Carly Fiorina 37% 7
Saint Leo University Polling Institute[425] October 17–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% 9 1005 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 47% Carly Fiorina 36% 11
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 34% 11
Rasmussen Reports[426] October 18–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 38% 2 1000 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 40% Carly Fiorina 34% 6
Morning Consult[427] October 15–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 37% 9 2017 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 35% 13
Hillary Clinton 43% Ben Carson 41% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 35% 12
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Carly Fiorina 34% 11
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[428] October 15–18, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 45% 2 400 ± 4.9%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 41% 8
Bernie Sanders 44% Ben Carson 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 45% Marco Rubio 41% 4
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 38% 12
Emerson College Polling Society[429] October 15–18, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 45% 2 783 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 48% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 46% 2
Bernie Sanders 42% Donald Trump 46% 4
Hillary Clinton 45% Carly Fiorina 44% 1
CNN/ORC[430] October 14–17, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 45% 5 956 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 48% 1
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 44% 9
Bernie Sanders 46% Ben Carson 48% 2
Joe Biden 53% Donald Trump 43% 10
Joe Biden 52% Ben Carson 44% 8
Morning Consult[431] October 8–12, 2015 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 41% Tied 2002 ± 2%
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 37% 6
Hillary Clinton 41% Ben Carson 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 39% 4
Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% 2
Hillary Clinton 41% Carly Fiorina 36% 5
Fox News[432] October 10–12, 2015 Hillary Clinton 39% Carly Fiorina 42% 3 1004 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 40% Jeb Bush 42% 2
Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 45% 5
Hillary Clinton 39% Ben Carson 50% 11
Joe Biden 50% Donald Trump 37% 13
Joe Biden 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5
Joe Biden 46% Carly Fiorina 42% 4
Joe Biden 46% Ben Carson 42% 4
Joe Biden 44% Marco Rubio 43% 1
Public Policy Polling[433] October 1–4, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 43% 1 1338 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 48% 4
Joe Biden 42% Ben Carson 45% 3
Bernie Sanders 35% Ben Carson 46% 11
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% Carly Fiorina 42% 1
Joe Biden 46% Carly Fiorina 40% 6
Bernie Sanders 38% Carly Fiorina 44% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 42% John Kasich 39% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 43% Tied
Joe Biden 45% Marco Rubio 40% 5
Bernie Sanders 38% Marco Rubio 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied
Joe Biden 48% Donald Trump 40% 8
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[434] September 20–24, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 44% 1 1000 ± 3.10%
Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 46% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Carly Fiorina 45% 1
Joe Biden 48% Jeb Bush 40% 8
Joe Biden 56% Donald Trump 35% 21
Joe Biden 49% Ben Carson 41% 8
Joe Biden 47% Carly Fiorina 41% 6
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 36% 16
Quinnipiac University[435] September 17–24, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 44% 2 1574 ± 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 42% Ben Carson 49% 7
Hillary Clinton 43% Carly Fiorina 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% 2
Joe Biden 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5
Joe Biden 45% Ben Carson 45% Tied
Joe Biden 46% Carly Fiorina 43% 3
Joe Biden 51% Donald Trump 40% 11
Bernie Sanders 44% Jeb Bush 44% Tied
Bernie Sanders 39% Ben Carson 49% 10
Bernie Sanders 43% Carly Fiorina 44% 1
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 42% 5
Fox News[436] September 20–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% 4 1013 ± 3%
MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist[437] August 26 – September 9, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 44% 6 1115 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 40% 13
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 41% 11
Joe Biden 50% Marco Rubio 42% 8
Joe Biden 56% Donald Trump 38% 18
Joe Biden 50% Jeb Bush 42% 8
Joe Biden 54% Ted Cruz 41% 13
ABC News/Washington Post[438] September 7–10, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% 3 1003 ± 4%
CNN/ORC[439] September 4–8, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 49% 2 1012 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 48% Tied
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 51% 5
Joe Biden 52% Jeb Bush 44% 8
Joe Biden 54% Donald Trump 44% 10
Joe Biden 47% Ben Carson 50% 3
SurveyUSA[440] September 2–3, 2015 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 45% 5 1000 ± 3.3%
Bernie Sanders 40% Donald Trump 44% 4
Joe Biden 42% Donald Trump 44% 2
Al Gore 41% Donald Trump 44% 3
Public Policy Polling[441] August 28–30, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 44% Tied 1254 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 45% Carly Fiorina 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 42% 4
Bernie Sanders 39% Carly Fiorina 38% 1
Bernie Sanders 42% Donald Trump 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 36% Ben Carson 42% 6
Bernie Sanders 40% Jeb Bush 41% 1
Joe Biden 47% Donald Trump 41% 6
Joe Biden 44% Jeb Bush 41% 3
Fox News[442] August 11–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Carly Fiorina 40% 7 1008 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 46% 2
Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 44% 2
Morning Consult[443] August 7–9, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 41% 3 2029 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 35% 13
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 39% 7
Gravis Marketing[444] August 5, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 50% Tied 1535 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 51% 2
Hillary Clinton 50% Scott Walker 50% Tied
Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 47% 6
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 47% 6
Hillary Clinton 52% Ben Carson 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 52% Rick Perry 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 54% Carly Fiorina 46% 8
McClatchy-Marist[445] July 22–28, 2015 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 43% 6 964 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 49% Ben Carson 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 53% Carly Fiorina 35% 18
Hillary Clinton 53% Jim Gilmore 32% 21
Hillary Clinton 52% Lindsey Graham 35% 17
Hillary Clinton 50% Mike Huckabee 41% 9
Hillary Clinton 52% Bobby Jindal 36% 16
Hillary Clinton 49% John Kasich 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% George Pataki 37% 13
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 43% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Rick Perry 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 51% Rick Santorum 39% 12
Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 38% 16
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 41% 7
Quinnipiac University[446] July 23–28, 2015 Joe Biden 43% Jeb Bush 42% 1 1,644 ± 2.4%
Joe Biden 49% Donald Trump 37% 12
Joe Biden 43% Scott Walker 43% Tied
Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 42% 1
Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 36% 12
Hillary Clinton 44% Scott Walker 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 39% Jeb Bush 44% 5
Bernie Sanders 45% Donald Trump 37% 8
Bernie Sanders 37% Scott Walker 42% 5
CNN/ORC[447] July 22–25, 2015 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 46% 5 898 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 40% 16
Hillary Clinton 53% Scott Walker 44% 9
Bernie Sanders 47% Jeb Bush 48% 1
Bernie Sanders 59% Donald Trump 38% 21
Bernie Sanders 48% Scott Walker 43% 5
Public Policy Polling[448] July 20–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5 1,087 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 39% 8
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 38% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 47% Carly Fiorina 37% 10
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 40% 6
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 37% 13
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 41% 5
Bernie Sanders 37% Jeb Bush 44% 7
Bernie Sanders 36% Marco Rubio 41% 5
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 37% 10
Bernie Sanders 39% Scott Walker 40% 1
ABC News/Washington Post[449] July 16–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 44% 6 815 ± 4.0%
CNN/ORC[450] June 26–28, 2015 Hillary Clinton 54% Jeb Bush 41% 13 1,017 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 55% Chris Christie 39% 16
Hillary Clinton 56% Marco Rubio 40% 16
Hillary Clinton 59% Donald Trump 35% 24
Hillary Clinton 57% Scott Walker 40% 17
Zogby Analytics[451] June 23–25, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 33% 9 1,341 ± ?
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 33% 9
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 32% 11
Hillary Clinton 43% Scott Walker 33% 10
Fox News[452] June 21–23, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Michael Bloomberg 38% 6 1,005 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 43% Tied
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 45% Carly Fiorina 39% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Mitt Romney 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 47% Scott Walker 41% 6
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[453] June 14–18, 2015 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 40% 8 1,000 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 51% Scott Walker 37% 14
Public Policy Polling[454] June 11–14, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 41% 4 1,129 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 41% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Carly Fiorina 40% 6
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 42% 4
Lincoln Chafee 27% Scott Walker 39% 12
Martin O'Malley 31% Scott Walker 39% 8
Bernie Sanders 32% Scott Walker 40% 8
Jim Webb 28% Scott Walker 39% 11
CNN/ORC[455] May 29–31, 2015 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 43% 8 1,025 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 43% 9
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 47% 1
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 49% Scott Walker 46% 3
ABC News/Washington Post[456] May 28–31, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 44% 3 836 ± 4.0%
Quinnipiac University[457] May 19–26, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 37% 10 1,711 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 37% 9
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 37% 11
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 41% 4
Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 32% 18
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 38% 8
Fox News[458] May 9–12, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 45% 1 1,006 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ben Carson 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 43% 5
Hillary Clinton 49% Carly Fiorina 37% 12
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 48% John Kasich 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 42% 6
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[459] April 26–30, 2015 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 43% 6 1,000 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 43% 6
Hillary Clinton 50% Scott Walker 40% 10
Joe Biden 40% Jeb Bush 48% 8
The Economist/YouGov[460] April 25–27, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 34% 12 854 ± ?
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 34% 12
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 34% 14
Fox News[461] April 19–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 41% 4 1,012 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 40% 6
Quinnipiac University[462] April 16–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 39% 7 1,353 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 41% 5
CNN/ORC[463] April 16–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 56% Jeb Bush 39% 17 1,018 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 60% Ben Carson 36% 24
Hillary Clinton 58% Chris Christie 39% 19
Hillary Clinton 60% Ted Cruz 36% 24
Hillary Clinton 58% Mike Huckabee 37% 21
Hillary Clinton 58% Rand Paul 39% 19
Hillary Clinton 55% Marco Rubio 41% 14
Hillary Clinton 59% Scott Walker 37% 22
Rasmussen Reports[464] April 9 & 12, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 38% 9 1,000 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 37% 10
Fox News[465] March 29–31, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 45% Tied 1,025 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 42% 6
Public Policy Polling[466] March 26–31, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 40% 6 989 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 37% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 43% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Rick Perry 39% 9
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 42% 4
Joe Biden 40% Scott Walker 46% 6
Elizabeth Warren 39% Scott Walker 43% 4
ABC News/Washington Post[467] March 26–29, 2015 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 41% 12 ? ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 56% Ted Cruz 39% 17
Hillary Clinton 54% Marco Rubio 39% 15
Hillary Clinton 54% Scott Walker 40% 14
CNN/ORC[468] March 13–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 55% Jeb Bush 40% 15 1,009 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 56% Ben Carson 40% 16
Hillary Clinton 55% Chris Christie 40% 15
Hillary Clinton 55% Mike Huckabee 41% 14
Hillary Clinton 54% Rand Paul 43% 11
Hillary Clinton 55% Marco Rubio 42% 13
Hillary Clinton 55% Scott Walker 40% 15
McClatchy-Marist[469] March 1–4, 2015 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 42% 7 1,036 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 39% 14
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 40% 11
Hillary Clinton 51% Rick Perry 42% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 42% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 44% 4
Quinnipiac University[470] February 26 – March 2, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 42% 3 1,286 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 38% 10
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 39% 9
Rasmussen Reports[471] February 28 – March 1, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 36% 9 1,000 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 36% 11
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 41% 5
Public Policy Polling[472] February 20–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 40% 10 691 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ben Carson 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% Mike Huckabee 41% 9
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Rick Perry 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 40% 8
Joe Biden 39% Jeb Bush 45% 6
Elizabeth Warren 41% Jeb Bush 43% 2
Fox News[473] January 25–27, 2015 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 43% 5 1,009 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Mitt Romney 46% Tied
Public Policy Polling[474] January 20–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 41% 4 861 ± ?
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Mitt Romney 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 45% Scott Walker 42% 3
ABC News/Washington Post[475] January 12–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 54% Jeb Bush 41% 13 843 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 53% Chris Christie 40% 13
Hillary Clinton 56% Mike Huckabee 39% 17
Hillary Clinton 54% Rand Paul 41% 13
Hillary Clinton 55% Mitt Romney 40% 15
The Economist/YouGov[476] January 10–12, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 32% 11 1,000 ± 4.8%
Greenberg Quinlan Roser Research[477] January 5–11, 2015 Hillary Clinton 52% Jeb Bush 40% 12 950 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 49% Mitt Romney 43% 6

Polls conducted in 2014 edit

Polls in 2014
Poll source Date Democratic
candidate 		% Republican
candidate 		% Leading by % Sample
Size 		Margin of error
CNN/ORC[478] December 18–21 Hillary Clinton 54% Jeb Bush 41% 13 1,011 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 56% Ben Carson 35% 21
Hillary Clinton 56% Chris Christie 39% 17
Hillary Clinton 60% Ted Cruz 35% 25
Hillary Clinton 59% Mike Huckabee 38% 21
Hillary Clinton 58% Rand Paul 38% 20
Hillary Clinton 56% Paul Ryan 41% 15
Fox News[479] December 7–9 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 42% 7 1,043 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 52% Chris Christie 40% 12
Hillary Clinton 53% John Kasich 37% 16
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 40% 11
McClatchy-Marist[480] December 3–9 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 40% 13 923 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 53% Chris Christie 41% 12
Hillary Clinton 54% Rand Paul 40% 14
Hillary Clinton 53% Mitt Romney 41% 12
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co.[481] December 3–5 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 37% 6 753 ± 3.6%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 36% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 33% 13
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 37% 8
Hillary Clinton 45% Mitt Romney 39% 6
Quinnipiac University[482] November 18–23 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5 1,623 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 42% 1
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 37% 11
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 44% Mitt Romney 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 46% Paul Ryan 42% 4
McClatchy-Marist[483] September 24–29 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 42% 11 884 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 51% Chris Christie 42% 11
Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 43% 9
McClatchy-Marist[484] August 4–7 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 41% 7 806 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 42% 6
Fox News[485] July 20–22 Hillary Clinton 52% Jeb Bush 39% 13 1,057 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 54% John Kasich 35% 19
Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 41% 11
CNN/ORC[486] July 18–20 Hillary Clinton 55% Mitt Romney 42% 13 899 ± 3%
Quinnipiac University[487] June 24–30 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 41% 7 1,446 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 38% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 48% Paul Ryan 41% 7
Rasmussen[488] June 14–17 & 20–21 Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 38% 7 1,000 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 33% 14
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 37% 13
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 50% Rick Perry 36% 14
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 36% 11
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co.[489] June 6–9 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 38% 9 723
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 38% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 38% 9
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 36% 11
Saint Leo University[490] May 28 – June 4 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 35% 18 802 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 52% Chris Christie 34% 18
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 30% 24
Hillary Clinton 55% Rand Paul 34% 21
Hillary Clinton 54% Paul Ryan 33% 21
Hillary Clinton 53% Marco Rubio 31% 22
ABC News/Washington Post[491] May 29 – June 1 Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 43% 10 1,002 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[492] June 2 Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 42% 7 735 ± 3.6%
ABC News/Washington Post[493] April 24–27 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 41% 12 855 ± 3.5%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[494] April 21–27 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 33% 16 1,051 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 36% 10
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 36% 13
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 37% 11
Hillary Clinton 46% Paul Ryan 38% 8
Fox News[495] April 13–15 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 42% 9 1,012 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 42% 8
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 42% 9
McClatchy-Marist[496] April 7–10 Hillary Clinton 55% Jeb Bush 39% 16 1,036 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 53% Chris Christie 42% 11
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 39% 15
Hillary Clinton 53% Mike Huckabee 40% 13
Hillary Clinton 54% Rand Paul 40% 14
Hillary Clinton 54% Marco Rubio 38% 16
Hillary Clinton 51% Paul Ryan 43% 8
Public Policy Polling[497] March 6–9 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 44% 3 1,152 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 40% 11
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 42% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Mitt Romney 43% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Paul Ryan 43% 5
Joe Biden 41% Mike Huckabee 46% 5
Elizabeth Warren 33% Mike Huckabee 44% 11
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co.[498] March 7–10 Hillary Clinton 52% Chris Christie 39% 13 678 ± >3.1%
Rasmussen[499] March 4–5 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 33% 14 1,000 ± 3%
Fox News[500] March 2–4 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 38% 13 1,002 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 38% 11
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 36% 16
McClatchy-Marist[501] February 4–9 Hillary Clinton 58% Jeb Bush 38% 20 970 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 58% Chris Christie 37% 21
Hillary Clinton 56% Ted Cruz 39% 17
Hillary Clinton 55% Mike Huckabee 41% 14
Hillary Clinton 62% Sarah Palin 35% 27
Hillary Clinton 58% Rand Paul 38% 20
Hillary Clinton 53% Mitt Romney 44% 9
Hillary Clinton 58% Marco Rubio 37% 21
Hillary Clinton 52% Paul Ryan 44% 8
CNN/ORC[502] January 31 – February 2 Hillary Clinton 57% Jeb Bush 37% 20 900 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 55% Chris Christie 39% 16
Hillary Clinton 56% Mike Huckabee 39% 16
Hillary Clinton 57% Rand Paul 39% 18
Hillary Clinton 55% Paul Ryan 40% 15
Public Policy Polling[503] January 23–26 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 43% 2 845 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Paul Ryan 44% 2
Joe Biden 35% Chris Christie 46% 11
Elizabeth Warren 34% Chris Christie 43% 9
ABC News/Washington Post[504] January 20–23 Hillary Clinton 53% Chris Christie 41% 12 873 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[505] January 15–19 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 38% 11 1,933 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 38% 8
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 35% 15
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 39% 10
NBC News/Marist Poll[506] January 12–14 Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 37% 13 1,039 ± 3%

Polls conducted in 2013 edit

Polls in 2013
Poll source Date Democratic
candidate 		% Republican
candidate 		% Leading by % Sample
Size 		Margin of error
CNN/ORC[507] December 16–19 Hillary Clinton 58% Jeb Bush 37% 21 950 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 48% 2
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 39% 19
Hillary Clinton 55% Mike Huckabee 40% 15
Hillary Clinton 54% Rand Paul 41% 13
Hillary Clinton 56% Rick Perry 39% 17
Hillary Clinton 56% Marco Rubio 37% 19
Hillary Clinton 52% Paul Ryan 44% 8
Hillary Clinton 57% Rick Santorum 38% 19
Public Policy Polling[508] December 12–15 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 43% 5 1,316 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 41% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 43% 5
Joe Biden 35% Chris Christie 49% 14
Howard Dean 29% Chris Christie 51% 22
John Kerry 35% Chris Christie 46% 11
Elizabeth Warren 33% Chris Christie 49% 16
Quinnipiac University[509] December 3–9 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 39% 9 2,692 ± 1.9%
Hillary Clinton 41% Chris Christie 42% 1
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 37% 13
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 41% 7
McClatchy-Marist[510] December 3–5 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 41% 12 1,173 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 35% 22
Hillary Clinton 59% Sarah Palin 36% 23
Hillary Clinton 55% Rand Paul 40% 15
Hillary Clinton 58% Rick Perry 37% 21
Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 42% 10
Hillary Clinton 56% Paul Ryan 40% 16
Quinnipiac University[511] November 6–11 Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 43% 1 2,545 ± 1.9%
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 36% 15
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Paul Ryan 40% 9
NBC News[512] November 7–10 Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 34% 10 1,003 ± 3.6%
Rasmussen[513] November 7–8 Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 41% 2 1,000 ± 3%
Public Policy Polling[514] October 29–31 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 39% 9 649 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 33% 17
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 37% 12
Joe Biden 42% Jeb Bush 43% 1
Joe Biden 38% Chris Christie 45% 7
Joe Biden 46% Ted Cruz 36% 10
Joe Biden 45% Rand Paul 38% 7
Quinnipiac University[515] September 23–29 Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 36% 13 1,497 ± 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 31% 23
Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 36% 17
Rasmussen[516] September 16–17 Joe Biden 35% Chris Christie 39% 4 1,000 ± 3%
Monmouth University[517] July 25–30 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 37% 10 850 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 39% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 32% 16
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 36% 11
Public Policy Polling[518] July 19–21 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 41% 3 800 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 42% 1
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 39% 8
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Paul Ryan 44% 2
Joe Biden 41% Jeb Bush 45% 4
Joe Biden 39% Chris Christie 45% 6
Joe Biden 43% Rand Paul 43% Tied
Joe Biden 42% Marco Rubio 42% Tied
Joe Biden 43% Paul Ryan 46% 3
McClatchy-Marist[519] July 15–18 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 40% 8 491 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 52% Rick Perry 36% 16
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 53% Paul Ryan 37% 16
Quinnipiac University[520] June 28 – July 8 Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 40% 6 2,014 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 38% 12
Joe Biden 35% Chris Christie 46% 11
Joe Biden 42% Rand Paul 42% Tied
Quinnipiac University[521] May 22–28 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 40% 8 1,419 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 41% 8
Joe Biden 38% Jeb Bush 44% 6
Joe Biden 39% Rand Paul 43% 4
Public Policy Polling[522] May 6–9 Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 44% 3 1,099 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 41% 10
Hillary Clinton 51% Marco Rubio 41% 10
Joe Biden 40% Chris Christie 49% 9
Joe Biden 46% Rand Paul 44% 2
Joe Biden 46% Marco Rubio 45% 1
Public Policy Polling[523] March 27–30 Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 42% 4 1,247 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 43% 6
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 42% 7
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 43% 7
Joe Biden 40% Chris Christie 49% 9
Joe Biden 47% Rand Paul 43% 4
Joe Biden 46% Marco Rubio 44% 2
Joe Biden 48% Paul Ryan 45% 3
McClatchy-Marist[524] March 25–27 Hillary Clinton 54% Jeb Bush 38% 16 519 ± 4.3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 41% 11
Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 40% 12
Joe Biden 49% Jeb Bush 41% 8
Joe Biden 43% Chris Christie 46% 3
Joe Biden 50% Rand Paul 41% 9
Joe Biden 53% Marco Rubio 39% 14
Quinnipiac University[525] February 27 – March 4 Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 37% 8 1,944 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 34% 16
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 38% 12
Joe Biden 40% Chris Christie 43% 3
Joe Biden 45% Marco Rubio 38% 7
Joe Biden 45% Paul Ryan 42% 3
Andrew Cuomo 28% Chris Christie 45% 17
Andrew Cuomo 37% Marco Rubio 37% Tie
Andrew Cuomo 37% Paul Ryan 42% 5
Public Policy Polling[526] January 31 – February 3 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 43% 6 800 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 41% 8
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 44% 6
Joe Biden 48% Jeb Bush 45% 3
Joe Biden 44% Chris Christie 44% Tie
Joe Biden 48% Marco Rubio 43% 5
Joe Biden 49% Paul Ryan 45% 4
Purple Strategies[527] December 8–10, 2012 Hillary Clinton 53% Paul Ryan 36% 17 1,000 ± 3.1%

Three-way race edit

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton
Democratic 		Donald Trump
Republican 		Gary Johnson
Libertarian 		Leading by
(points) 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error
Google Consumer Surveys[528] November 1–7, 2016 38% 36% 5% 2 26,574 ± 0.65%
Angus Reid Institute[529] November 1–4, 2016 48% 44% 6% 4 1,151 ± 2.9%
RAND American Life Panel[530] October 20 – November 1, 2016 44% 35% 8% 9 2,269 ± 1.9%
Google Consumer Surveys[531] October 20–24, 2016 39% 34% 6% 5 21,240 ±0.73%
Public Policy Polling[532] October 20–21, 2016 46% 40% 5% 6 990 ±3.18%
Google Consumer Surveys[533] October 15–19, 2016 39% 34% 6% 5 22,826 ±0.70%
Google Consumer Surveys[534] October 10–14, 2016 38% 33% 7% 5 19,900 ±0.75%
Public Religion Research Institute/The Atlantic[535] September 28 – October 2, 2016 47% 41% 3% 6 609 ±3.6%
Google Consumer Surveys[536] September 27 – October 3, 2016 39% 34% 7% 5 22,006 ±0.71%
Google Consumer Surveys[537] September 14–20, 2016 36% 35% 8% 1 20,864 ±0.73%
Polls up to August 2, when three-way polls paused
Poll source Date Democratic
candidate 		% Republican
candidate 		% Libertarian
candidate 		% Lead
margin
Fox News[260]

Sample size: 1,022
Margin of error: ±3%

July 31 – August 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 12% 9
Penn Schoen Berland[538]

Sample size: 1,000
Margin of error: ±3%

July 29 – August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 15% 5
CBS News[266]

Sample size: 1,131
Margin of error: ±3%

July 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 10% 5
Morning Consult[268]

Sample size: 1,931
Margin of error: ±2%

July 29–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 11% 5
Morning Consult[275]

Sample size: 2,502
Margin of error: ±2%

July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 10% 4
CBS News[276]

Sample size: 1,118 adults
Margin of error ±4%

July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 12% 1
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[286]

Sample size: 900
Margin of error: ±3.27%

July 13–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 11% 3
Morning Consult[289]

Sample size: 2,002
Margin of error: ±2%

July 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 11% 3
CBS News/New York Times[296]

Sample size: 1,358
Margin of error: ±3%

July 8–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 12% Tied
Morning Consult[299]

Sample size: 2,001
Margin of error: ±2%

July 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 12% 2
Rasmussen Reports[539]

Sample size: 1,000
Margin of error: ±3%

July 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 9% 2
Morning Consult[305]

Sample size: 2,001
Margin of error: ±2%

June 30 – July 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 11% 1
Fox News[314]

Sample size: 1,017
Margin of error: ±3%

June 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 10% 5
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[540]

Sample size: 900
Margin of error: ±3.27%

June 23–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% 11
The Economist/YouGov[541]

Sample size: 1,300
Margin of error: ±3.9%

June 24–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 8% 5
Morning Consult[315]

Sample size: 4001
Margin of error: ±2%

June 24–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 11% 3
Pew Research[318]

Sample size: 1,655
Margin of error: ±2.7%

June 15–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 11% 9
Morning Consult[542]

Sample size: 3891
Margin of error: ±2%

June 15–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 10% Tied
CBS News[335]

Sample size: 1048
Margin of error: ± 3.0%

June 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 11% 7
Bloomberg Politics[543]

Sample size: 750
Margin of error: ± 3.6%

June 10–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 9% 12
Morning Consult[544]

Sample size: 1004
Margin of error: ± 3%

June 8–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 10% 6
Fox News[545]

Sample size: 1004
Margin of error: ± 3%

June 5–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 12% 3
Rasmussen Report[340]

Sample size: 1000
Margin of error: ± 3%

June 6–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% 1
Morning Consult[546]

Sample size: 2001
Margin of error: ± 2%

June 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson (identified as Independent) 10% 2
Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson (identified as Libertarian) 10% 1
Morning Consult[353]

Sample size: 2001
Margin of error: ± 2%

May 19–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 10% 3
Fox News[361]

Sample size: 1,021
Margin of error: ± 3.0%

May 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 10% 3
Monmouth University[385]

Sample size: 848
Margin of error ±3.4%

March 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 11% 8
Poll source Date Democratic
candidate 		% Republican
candidate 		% Third
candidate 		% Lead
margin
ABC News/Washington Post[356]

Sample size: 823
Margin of error: ± 3.5%

May 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 35% Mitt Romney 22% 2
Public Policy Polling[380]

Sample size: 1,083
Margin of error ±3.0%

March 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 37% Deez Nuts 10% 5
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 37% Deez Nuts 8% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% Rick Perry 12% 9
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 34% Rick Perry 12% 9
Quinnipiac University[547]

Sample size: 1,342
Margin of error ±2.7%

February 10–15, 2016 Bernie Sanders 38% Donald Trump 38% Michael Bloomberg 12% Tied
Bernie Sanders 39% Ted Cruz 33% Michael Bloomberg 14% 6
Suffolk University/USA Today[548]

Sample size: 1,000
Margin of error ± 3%

February 11–15, 2016 Bernie Sanders 30% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 16% 7
Quinnipiac University[393]

Sample size: 1,125
Margin of error ±2.9%

February 2–4, 2016 Bernie Sanders 35% Donald Trump 36% Michael Bloomberg 15% 1
Bernie Sanders 37% Ted Cruz 36% Michael Bloomberg 15% 1
Public Policy Polling[549]

Sample size: 1,236
Margin of error

February 2–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 11% 4
Bernie Sanders 36% Donald Trump 39% Michael Bloomberg 13% 3
Luntz Global[550]

Sample size: 900
Margin of error ±3.3%

January 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 29% 4
Hillary Clinton 37% Ted Cruz 35% Michael Bloomberg 28% 2
Hillary Clinton 35% Marco Rubio 38% Michael Bloomberg 28% 3
Morning Consult[551]

Sample size: 1,439
Margin of error ±3%

January 21–24, 2016 Bernie Sanders 35% Donald Trump 34% Michael Bloomberg 12% 1
Bernie Sanders 36% Ted Cruz 28% Michael Bloomberg 11% 8
Bernie Sanders 36% Marco Rubio 29% Michael Bloomberg 10% 7
Morning Consult[552]

Sample size: 4,060
Margin of error ±2%

January 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Ted Cruz 34% Michael Bloomberg 11% 4
Hillary Clinton 38% Marco Rubio 33% Michael Bloomberg 10% 5
Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 13% 1
Saint Leo University Polling Institute[553] November 29 – December 3, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45.4% Ted Cruz 19.9% Donald Trump 26.1% 19.3
Hillary Clinton 44.8% Carly Fiorina 14.9% Donald Trump 29.6% 15.2
Hillary Clinton 44.0% Ben Carson 20.1% Donald Trump 25.7% 18.3
Hillary Clinton 43.3% Marco Rubio 21.8% Donald Trump 25.9% 17.4
Hillary Clinton 43.3% Jeb Bush 19.6% Donald Trump 29.5% 13.8
Saint Leo University Polling Institute[425]

Margin of error ±6.0%
Sample size: 1005

October 17–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42.7% Jeb Bush 22.8% Donald Trump 24.2% 18.5
Hillary Clinton 43.7% Carly Fiorina 22.6% Donald Trump 23.8% 19.9
Hillary Clinton 43.1% Ben Carson 27.9% Donald Trump 20.2% 15.2
Hillary Clinton 43.7% Marco Rubio 24.6% Donald Trump 22.9% 19.1
Hillary Clinton 44.9% Ted Cruz 18.6% Donald Trump 24.1% 20.8
Public Policy Polling[554]
Margin of error: ±2.8%
Sample size: 1254 		August 28–30, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 23% Donald Trump 27% 15
Fox News[442]

Sample size: 1008

August 11–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Carly Fiorina 24% Donald Trump 25% 17
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 30% Donald Trump 22% 12
Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 29% Donald Trump 23% 13
McClatchy-Marist[445]
Margin of error: ±2.8%
Sample size: 964 		July 22–28, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 29% Donald Trump 20% 15
Public Policy Polling[448]
Margin of error: ±4.0%
Sample size: 1,087 		July 20–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 25% Donald Trump 23% 18
ABC News/Washington Post[449]
Margin of error: ±4.0%
Sample size: 815 		July 16–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 30% Donald Trump 20% 17

Four-way race edit

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton
Democratic 		Donald Trump
Republican 		Gary Johnson
Libertarian 		Jill Stein
Green 		Leading by
(points) 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error
YouGov/The Economist[7] November 4–7, 2016 45% 41% 5% 2% 4 3,677 ± 1.7%
Insights West[555] November 4–7, 2016 49% 45% 4% 1% 4 940 ± 3.2%
Bloomberg News/Selzer[8] November 4–6, 2016 44% 41% 4% 2% 3 799 ± 3.5%
Gravis Marketing[556] November 3–6, 2016 47% 43% 3% 2% 4 16,639 ± 0.8%
ABC News/Washington Post[9] November 3–6, 2016 47% 43% 4% 1% 4 2,220 ± 2.5%
Fox News[10] November 3–6, 2016 48% 44% 3% 2% 4 1,295 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP[11] November 3–6, 2016 41% 43% 6% 2% 2 1,026 ± 3.1%
Monmouth University[12] November 3–6, 2016 50% 44% 4% 1% 6 802 ± 3.6%
Ipsos/Reuters[13] November 2–6, 2016 42% 39% 6% 3% 3 2,195 ± 2.4%
CBS News/New York Times[14] November 2–6, 2016 45% 41% 5% 2% 4 1,426 ± 3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[557] November 2–6, 2016 45% 43% 4% 2% 2 1,500 ± 2.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[15] October 31– November 6, 2016 47% 41% 6% 3% 6 70,194 ± 1.0%
Politico/Morning Consult[558] November 4–5, 2016 45% 42% 8% 2% 3 1,482 ± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[17] November 3–5, 2016 44% 40% 6% 2% 4 1,282 ± 2.73%
ABC News/Washington Post[18] November 2–5, 2016 47% 43% 4% 2% 4 1,937 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP[19] November 2–5, 2016 43% 44% 5% 2% 1 903 ± 3.3%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[559] November 1–5, 2016 48% 44% 4% 2% 4 1,009 ± 3.1%
ABC News/Washington Post[22] November 1–4, 2016 48% 43% 4% 2% 5 1,685 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP[23] November 1–4, 2016 44% 44% 5% 2% Tied 804 ± 3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[24] October 31 – November 4, 2016 43% 39% 6% 2% 4 2,244 ± 2.4%
Rasmussen Reports[560] November 1–3, 2016 44% 44% 4% 1% Tied 1,500 ± 2.5%
Fox News[27] November 1–3, 2016 45% 43% 5% 2% 2 1,107 ± 3.0%
McClatchy/Marist[28] November 1–3, 2016 44% 43% 6% 2% 1 940 ± 3.2%
IBD/TIPP[31] October 30 – November 3, 2016 44% 44% 4% 2% Tied 898 ± 3.3%
ABC News/Washington Post[30] October 31 – November 3, 2016 47% 43% 4% 2% 4 1,419 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[29] October 30 – November 3, 2016 44% 37% 6% 2% 7 2,021 ± 2.6%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[561] November 1–2, 2016 47% 45% 3% 1% 2 2,435 ± 2.0%
Rasmussen Reports[562] October 31 – November 2, 2016 42% 45% 4% 1% 3 1,500 ± 2.5%
ABC News/Washington Post[33] October 30 – November 2, 2016 47% 44% 3% 2% 3 1,151 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[35] October 29 – November 2, 2016 44% 44% 4% 2% Tied 867 ± 3.4%
Ipsos/Reuters[34] October 29 – November 2, 2016 45% 37% 5% 2% 8 1,858 ± 2.6%
Rasmussen Reports[563] October 30 – November 1, 2016 44% 44% 5% 2% Tied 1,500 ± 2.5%
YouGov/Economist[40] October 30 – November 1, 2016 46% 43% 4% 2% 3 1,233 ± 3.2%
ABC News/Washington Post[37] October 29 – November 1, 2016 47% 45% 3% 2% 2 1,167 ± 3.0%
CBS News/New York Times[38] October 28 – November 1, 2016 45% 42% 5% 4% 3 862 ± 3.4%
Ipsos/Reuters[39] October 28 – November 1, 2016 45% 37% 5% 2% 8 1,772 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[41] October 27 – November 1, 2016 44% 44% 4% 2% Tied 862 ± 3.4%
ABC News/Washington Post[44] October 28–31, 2016 46% 46% 3% 2% Tied 1,167 ± 3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[564] October 27–31, 2016 45% 45% 5% 2% Tied 1,500 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP[45] October 26–31, 2016 45% 44% 4% 2% 1 1,018 ± 3.2%
Politico/Morning Consult[46] October 29–30, 2016 42% 39% 7% 5% 3 1,772 ±2.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[48] October 27–30, 2016 45% 46% 3% 2% 1 1,167 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[49] October 26–30, 2016 43% 37% 6% 1% 6 1,264 ± 3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[565] October 26–30, 2016 45% 42% 5% 2% 3 1,500 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP[50] October 25–30, 2016 45% 44% 4% 2% 1 993 ± 3.2%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[52] October 24–30, 2016 47% 41% 6% 3% 6 40,816 ±1.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[53] October 26–29, 2016 46% 45% 4% 2% 1 1,165 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[54] October 24–29, 2016 44% 42% 6% 2% 2 1,039 ± 3.3%
Red Oak Strategic/Google Consumer Surveys[566] October 27–28, 2016 37% 37% 6% 2% Tied 943 ± 3.7%
Morning Consult[56] October 27–28, 2016 42% 39% 8% 4% 3 1,794 ± 2.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[57] October 25–28, 2016 46% 45% 4% 2% 1 1,160 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[58] October 23–28, 2016 45% 41% 7% 2% 4 1,013 ± 3.3%
Rasmussen Reports[567] October 25–27, 2016 45% 45% 3% 2% Tied 1,500 ±2.5%
ABC News/Washington Post[59] October 24–27, 2016 47% 45% 4% 2% 2 1,148 ±3.0%
IBD/TIPP[60] October 22–27, 2016 44% 41% 7% 2% 3 973 ± 3.3%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart[568] October 25–26, 2016 46% 45% 3% 1% 1 1,824 ±2.3%
Rasmussen Reports[569] October 24–26, 2016 45% 44% 4% 1% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
ABC News/Washington Post[63] October 23–26, 2016 48% 44% 4% 1% 4 1,150 ±3.0%
YouGov/Economist[64] October 22–26, 2016 46% 41% 4% 2% 5 1,376 ±3.1%
Saint Leo University[570] October 22–26, 2016 45% 34% 6% 2% 11 1,050 ±%
IBD/TIPP[65] October 21–26, 2016 43% 41% 8% 2% 2 945 ± 3.3%
Rasmussen Reports[571] October 23–25, 2016 44% 43% 4% 1% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Fox News[67] October 22–25, 2016 44% 41% 7% 3% 3 1,221 ±2.5%
ABC News/Washington Post[68] October 22–25, 2016 48% 42% 5% 1% 6 1,135 ±3.0%
Pew Research Center[69] October 20–25, 2016 46% 40% 6% 3% 6 2,120 ± 2.4%
IBD/TIPP[70] October 20–25, 2016 42% 41% 8% 3% 1 921 ± 3.3%
CNBC[73] October 21–24, 2016 43% 34% 7% 2% 9 804 ± 3.5%
ABC News[74] October 21–24, 2016 49% 40% 5% 2% 9 1,119 ±3.0%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[75] October 21–24, 2016 50% 38% 5% 2% 12 900 ± 3.27%
Associated Press/GFK[76] October 20–24, 2016 51% 37% 6% 2% 14 1,546 ± 2.75%
USA Today/Suffolk University[77] October 20–24, 2016 47% 38% 4% 2% 9 1,000 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[78] October 20–24, 2016 42% 38% 7% 2% 4 1,170 ±3.3%
Rasmussen Reports[572] October 20–24, 2016 43% 42% 5% 2% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
IBD/TIPP[79] October 19–24, 2016 42% 41% 8% 3% 1 873 ± 3.6%
ABC News[80] October 20–23, 2016 50% 38% 5% 2% 12 1,155 ±3.0%
CNN/ORC[81] October 20–23, 2016 49% 44% 3% 2% 5 779 ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports[573] October 19–23, 2016 41% 43% 5% 3% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
IBD/TIPP[82] October 18–23, 2016 41% 41% 7% 3% Tied 815 ± 3.6%
Centre College[574] October 18–23, 2016 45% 40% 6% 1% 5 569 ±4.1%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[83] October 17–23, 2016 46% 41% 7% 3% 5 32,225 ± 1.0%
ABC News[85] October 20–22, 2016 50% 38% 5% 2% 12 1,391 ±3.5%
IBD/TIPP[86] October 17–22, 2016 41% 43% 7% 3% 2 783 ± 3.6%
IBD/TIPP[87] October 16–21, 2016 40% 42% 7% 4% 2 791 ±3.6%
Politico/Morning Consult[88] October 19–20, 2016 42% 36% 9% 4% 6 1,395 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[575] October 18–20, 2016 41% 43% 5% 3% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[92] October 14–20, 2016 43% 39% 6% 2% 4 1,640 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[576] October 17–19, 2016 40% 43% 6% 3% 3 1,500 ±2.5%
IBD/TIPP[93] October 14–19, 2016 40% 41% 7% 5% 1 779 ±3.6%
Quinnipiac University[94] October 17–18, 2016 47% 40% 7% 1% 7 1,007 ±3.1%
YouGov/Economist[95] October 15–18, 2016 42% 38% 6% 1% 4 1,300 ±3.9%
IBD/TIPP[96] October 13–18, 2016 40% 41% 8% 6% 1 782 ±3.6%
Fox News[97] October 15–17, 2016 45% 39% 5% 3% 6 912 ±3.0%
Bloomberg Politics[98] October 14–17, 2016 47% 38% 8% 3% 9 1,006 ±3.1%
Rasmussen Reports[577] October 13–17, 2016 42% 41% 7% 2% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[99] October 13–17, 2016 42% 38% 6% 2% 4 1,190 ±3.2%
Monmouth University[102] October 14–16, 2016 50% 38% 5% 2% 12 805 ±3.5%
CBS News[103] October 12–16, 2016 47% 38% 8% 3% 9 1,411 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[578] October 12–16, 2016 43% 41% 5% 2% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[104] October 10–16, 2016 46% 40% 8% 4% 6 24,804 ± 1.0%
Politico/Morning Consult[106] October 13–15, 2016 42% 36% 10% 3% 6 1,737 ±2.0%
SurveyUSA/Boston Globe[579] October 11–14, 2016 46% 36% 5% 2% 10 845 ±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports[580] October 11–13, 2016 41% 43% 6% 2% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[107] October 10–13, 2016 48% 37% 7% 2% 11 1,000 ±3.1%
ABC News/Washington Post[108] October 10–13, 2016 47% 43% 5% 2% 4 740 ±4.0%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[109] October 9–13, 2016 46% 41% 6% 2% 5 1,011 ±3.1%
George Washington University[110] October 8–13, 2016 47% 39% 8% 2% 8 1,000 ±3.1%
Fox News[112] October 10–12, 2016 45% 38% 7% 3% 7 917 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[581] October 10–12, 2016 41% 43% 6% 2% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
Insights West[582] October 10–11, 2016 47% 41% 7% 3% 6 953 ±3.2%
Rasmussen Reports[583] October 9–11, 2016 43% 39% 7% 2% 4 1,500 ±2.5%
Politico/Morning Consult[113] October 10, 2016 42% 37% 10% 3% 5 1,757 ±3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[114] October 8–10, 2016 45% 36% 8% 2% 9 806 ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports[584] October 6–10, 2016 44% 39% 7% 2% 5 1,500 ±2.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[115] October 6–10, 2016 44% 37% 6% 2% 7 2,363 ±2.3%
Pew Research[117] September 27 – October 10, 2016 46% 39% 10% 4% 7 3,616 ± 2.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[118] October 8–9, 2016 46% 35% 9% 2% 11 422 ±4.6%
Rasmussen Reports[585] October 5–9, 2016 45% 38% 7% 2% 7 1,500 ±2.5%
Public Religion Research Institute/The Atlantic[586] October 5–9, 2016 49% 38% 2% 0% 11 886 ±3.9%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[119] October 3–9, 2016 46% 41% 8% 3% 5 23,329 ±1.0%
Politico/Morning Consult[121] October 8, 2016 42% 38% 8% 3% 4 1,390 ±3.0%
YouGov/Economist[122] October 7–8, 2016 44% 38% 5% 1% 6 1,300 ±4.3%
Morning Consult[123] October 5–6, 2016 41% 39% 9% 3% 2 1,775 ±2.0%
Quinnipiac University[124] October 5–6, 2016 45% 40% 6% 2% 5 1,064 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[587] October 4–6, 2016 43% 42% 7% 2% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Fox News[125] October 3–6, 2016 44% 42% 6% 2% 2 896 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[126] September 30 – October 6, 2016 42% 37% 8% 2% 5 1,695 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[588] October 3–5, 2016 41% 43% 8% 3% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[589] October 3, 2016 44% 44% 5% 1% Tied 1,690 ±2.5%
YouGov/Economist[130] October 1–3, 2016 43% 40% 5% 3% 3 911 ±3.9%
Ipsos/Reuters[131] September 29 – October 3, 2016 42% 36% 8% 2% 6 1,239 ±3.2%
Rasmussen Reports[590] September 29 – October 3, 2016 42% 41% 9% 2% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Politico/Morning Consult[132] September 30 – October 2, 2016 42% 36% 9% 3% 6 1,778 ±2.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[133] September 28 – October 2, 2016 45% 36% 11% 3% 9 385 ±5.0%
CBS News/New York Times[134] September 28 – October 2, 2016 45% 41% 8% 3% 4 1,217 ±3.0%
CNN/ORC[135] September 28 – October 2, 2016 47% 42% 7% 2% 5 N/A ±N/A%
Rasmussen Reports[591] September 28 – October 2, 2016 43% 40% 8% 2% 3 1,500 ±2.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[136] September 26 – October 2, 2016 46% 40% 9% 3% 6 26,925 ±1.0%
Fox News[139] September 27–29, 2016 43% 40% 8% 4% 3 911 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[140] September 23–29, 2016 42% 38% 7% 3% 4 2,501 ±2.0%
Rasmussen Reports[592] September 26–28, 2016 42% 41% 7% 2% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Morning Consult[145] September 26–27, 2016 41% 38% 8% 4% 3 1,253 ±3.0%
Public Religion Research Institute[593] September 1–27, 2016 49% 41% 4% 1% 8 2,010 ±2.8%
Ipsos/Reuters[147] September 22–26, 2016 42% 38% 7% 2% 4 1,041 ±3.5%
Quinnipiac University[148] September 22–25, 2016 44% 43% 8% 2% 1 1,115 ±2.9%
Monmouth University[149] September 22–25, 2016 46% 42% 8% 2% 4 729 ±3.6%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[150] September 19–25, 2016 45% 40% 10% 3% 5 13,598 ±1.1%
Morning Consult[153] September 22–24, 2016 38% 39% 9% 4% 1 1,712 ±2.0%
YouGov/Economist[594] September 22–24, 2016 44% 41% 5% 2% 3 948 ±3.8%
Bloomberg/Selzer[154] September 21–24, 2016 41% 43% 8% 4% 2 1,002 ±3.1%
ABC News/Washington Post[155] September 19–22, 2016 46% 44% 5% 1% 2 651 ±4.5%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[595] September 18–22, 2016 45% 43% 6% 2% 2 1,017 ±3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters[156] September 16–22, 2016 39% 37% 7% 2% 2 1,559 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[596] September 20–21, 2016 39% 44% 8% 2% 5 1,000 ±3.0%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[citation needed] September 20, 2016 44% 40% 5% 2% 4 1,560 ±2.5%
McClatchy/Marist[159] September 15–20, 2016 45% 39% 10% 4% 6 758 ±3.6%
YouGov/Economist[161] September 18–19, 2016 40% 38% 7% 2% 2 936 ±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[162] September 16–19, 2016 43% 37% 9% 3% 6 922 ±3.2%
iCitizen[597] September 15–19, 2016 42% 37% 5% 3% 5 1,000 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[163] September 15–19, 2016 37% 39% 7% 2% 2 1,111 ±3.4%
Associated Press/GFK[164] September 15–19, 2016 45% 39% 9% 2% 6 1,251 ±2.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[167] September 12–18, 2016 45% 40% 10% 4% 5 13,230 ±1.2%
Morning Consult[598] September 15–16, 2016 42% 40% 8% 3% 2 1,639 ±2.0%
Saint Leo University[599] September 12–16, 2016 46% 41% 9% 4% 5 1,005 ±3.0%
Fox News[172] September 11–14, 2016 41% 40% 8% 3% 1 867 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[600] September 12–13, 2016 40% 42% 7% 2% 2 1,000 ±3.0%
Emerson College[601] September 11–13, 2016 41% 43% 9% 2% 2 800 ±3.4%
YouGov/Economist[175] September 10–13, 2016 42% 40% 5% 3% 2 1,087 ±4.0%
CBS News/New York Times[176] September 9–13, 2016 42% 42% 8% 4% Tied 1,433 ±3.0%
Quinnipiac University[177] September 8–13, 2016 41% 39% 13% 4% 2 960 ±3.2%
Ipsos/Reuters[180] September 8–12, 2016 39% 39% 8% 2% Tied 1,127 ±3.3%
Pew Research[182] August 16 – September 12, 2016 45% 38% 10% 4% 2 3,941 ±2.6%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[183] September 5–11, 2016 42% 40% 11% 4% 2 16,220 ±1.1%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart[citation needed] September 7–8, 2016 43% 40% 7% 1% 3 2,348 ±2.0%
Morning Consult[185] September 6–8, 2016 43% 41% 10% 3% 2 1,710 ±2.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[186] September 5–8, 2016 46% 41% 9% 2% 5 642 ±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports[602] September 6–7, 2016 43% 39% 9% 2% 4 1,000 ±3.0%
YouGov/Economist[190] September 4–6, 2016 40% 38% 7% 5% 2 1,077 ±4.7%
Ipsos/Reuters[192] September 1–5, 2016 40% 38% 8% 3% 2 1,084 ±3.5%
CNN/ORC[194] September 1–4, 2016 43% 45% 7% 2% 2 786 ±3.5%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[603] August 31 – September 4, 2016 44% 41% 8% 3% 3 1,025 ±3.1%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[195] August 29 – September 4, 2016 41% 37% 12% 4% 4 32,226 ±1.0%
Morning Consult[198] September 1–2, 2016 38% 36% 9% 4% 2 2,001 ±2.0%
George Washington University[604] August 28 – September 1, 2016 42% 40% 11% 3% 2 1,000 ±3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters[199] August 26 – September 1, 2016 39% 39% 7% 2% Tied 1,804 ±3.0%
IBD/TPP[200] August 26 – September 1, 2016 39% 39% 12% 3% Tied 861 ±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports[605] August 29–30, 2016 39% 40% 7% 3% 1 1,000 ±3.0%
Fox News[201] August 28–30, 2016 41% 39% 9% 4% 2 1,011 ±3.0%
YouGov/Economist[606] August 27–29, 2016 42% 37% 7% 3% 5 1,119 ±4.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[203] August 25–29, 2016 40% 38% 6% 2% 2 1,404 ±3.0%
Suffolk University/USA Today[204] August 25–29, 2016 42% 35% 9% 4% 7 1,000 ±3.0%
Monmouth University[208] August 25–28, 2016 43% 36% 8% 2% 7 689 ±3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[209] August 22–28, 2016 41% 37% 11% 5% 4 24,104 ±1.0%
Morning Consult[212] August 24–26, 2016 39% 37% 8% 3% 2 2,007 ±2.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[213] August 22–25, 2016 39% 36% 7% 3% 3 1,154 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[607] August 23–24, 2016 42% 38% 9% 2% 4 1,000 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[214] August 20–24, 2016 39% 36% 7% 2% 3 1,049 ±2.9%
Quinnipiac University[216] August 18–24, 2016 45% 38% 10% 4% 7 1,498 ±2.5%
Gravis Marketing[608] August 22–23, 2016 42% 41% 4% 1% 1 1,493 ±2.5%
YouGov/Economist[218] August 19–23, 2016 42% 38% 6% 4% 4 1,080 ±4.1%
Ipsos/Reuters[220] August 18–22, 2016 41% 33% 7% 2% 8 1,115 ±3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[223] August 15–21, 2016 43% 38% 11% 5% 5 17,451 ±1.1%
Morning Consult[225] August 16–20, 2016 39% 36% 8% 4% 3 2,001 ±2.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[228] August 13–17, 2016 39% 35% 7% 2% 4 1,049 ±2.8%
Rasmussen Reports[609] August 15–16, 2016 41% 39% 9% 3% 2 1,000 ±3.0%
YouGov/Economist[610] August 11–16, 2016 41% 35% 7% 3% 6 1,076 ±4.1%
Pew Research[611] August 9–16, 2016 41% 37% 10% 4% 4 1,567 ±2.8%
Normington, Petts & Associates[232] August 9–15, 2016 45% 37% 8% 4% 8 1,000 ±3.1%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[235] August 8–14, 2016 43% 37% 11% 4% 6 15,179 ±1.2%
Zogby Analytics[612] August 12–13, 2016 38% 36% 8% 5% 2 1,277 ±2.8%
Morning Consult[234] August 11–14, 2016 39% 33% 9% 4% 6 2,001 ±2.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[239] August 6–10, 2016 40% 35% 7% 3% 5 974 ±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports[613] August 9–10, 2016 43% 40% 8% 2% 3 1,000 ±3.0%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[citation needed] August 9, 2016 42% 37% 9% 3% 5 2,832 ±1.8%
YouGov/Economist[240] August 6–9, 2016 42% 36% 9% 2% 6 1,300 ±4.2%
Bloomberg Politics[242] August 5–8, 2016 44% 40% 9% 4% 4 749 ±3.6%
Princeton Survey[245] August 4–7, 2016 45% 39% 2% 1% 6 1,000 ±3.9%
Monmouth University[614] August 4–7, 2016 46% 34% 7% 2% 12 803 ±3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[247] August 1–7, 2016 44% 38% 10% 4% 6 11,480 ±1.2%
Morning Consult[250] August 4–5, 2016 41% 33% 9% 5% 8 2,001 ±2.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[251] August 1–4, 2016 45% 37% 8% 4% 8 1,002 ±3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[252] July 31 – August 4, 2016 42% 40% 6% 3% 2 1,154 ±3.0%
IBD/TPP[254] July 29 – August 4, 2016 39% 35% 12% 5% 4 851 ±3.4%
McClatchy/Marist[255] August 1–3, 2016 45% 31% 10% 6% 14 983 ±3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[256] July 31 – August 3, 2016 43% 34% 10% 5% 9 800 ±3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[257] July 30 – August 3, 2016 42% 38% 6% 2% 4 1,072 ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports[615] August 1–2, 2016 44% 40% 6% 3% 4 1,000 ±3.0%
The Economist/YouGov[262] July 31 – August 1, 2016 41% 36% 8% 4% 5 1,300 ±4.0%
CNN/ORC[265] July 29–31, 2016 45% 37% 9% 5% 8 894 ±3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[267] July 25–31, 2016 43% 38% 9% 4% 5 12,742 ±1.2%
Public Policy Polling[269] July 29–30, 2016 46% 41% 6% 2% 5 1,276 ±2.7%
RABA Research[616] July 29, 2016 46% 31% 7% 2% 15 956 ±3.2%
Ipsos/Reuters[270] July 25–29, 2016 37% 37% 5% 1% Tied 1,788 ±2.4%
YouGov/Economist[274] July 23–24, 2016 40% 38% 5% 3% 2 1,300 ±4.5%
CNN/ORC[277] July 22–24, 2016 39% 44% 9% 3% 5 882 ±3.5%
University of Delaware[617] July 21–24, 2016 46% 42% 1% 1% 4 818 ±4.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[279] July 18–24, 2016 39% 41% 10% 5% 2 12,931 ±1.2%
RABA Research[618] July 22, 2016 39% 34% 8% 3% 5 909 ±3.3%
Echelon Insights[619] July 21–22, 2016 40% 39% 3% 2% 1 912 ±N/A%
Ipsos/Reuters[284] July 16–20, 2016 39% 35% 7% 3% 4 1,522 ±2.9%
YouGov/Economist[620] July 15–17, 2016 40% 37% 5% 4% 3 1,300 ±4.2%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[288] July 11–17, 2016 39% 40% 10% 5% 1 9,436 ±1.4%
Monmouth University[621] July 14–16, 2016 45% 43% 5% 1% 2 688 ±3.7%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[622] July 13–16, 2016 44% 41% 7% 2% 3 1,007 ±3.1%
CNN/ORC[290] July 13–16, 2016 42% 37% 13% 5% 5 872 ±3.5%
icitizen[291] July 11–14, 2016 39% 35% 9% 3% 4 1,000 ±N/A%
ABC News/Washington Post[292] July 11–14, 2016 42% 38% 8% 5% 4 1,003 ±3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[295] July 9–13, 2016 41% 35% 11% 6% 6 1,000 ±3.1%
The Economist/YouGov[297] July 9–11, 2016 40% 37% 5% 2% 3 1,300 ±4.2%
AP-GfK[623] July 7–11, 2016 40% 36% 6% 2% 4 837 ±3.3%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[298] July 4–10, 2016 40% 38% 11% 6% 2 7,869 ±1.4%
Raba Research[624] July 7–9, 2016 41% 29% 9% 2% 12 781 ±3.5%
McClatchy/Marist[300] July 5–9, 2016 40% 35% 10% 5% 5 1,249 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[301] July 2–6, 2016 42% 33% 6% 4% 9 1,345 ±2.8%
The Economist/YouGov[304] July 2–4, 2016 42% 37% 4% 3% 5 1,300 ±3.9%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[306] June 27 – July 3, 2016 41% 38% 9% 5% 3 10,072 ±1.3%
Suffolk University/USA Today[309] June 26–29, 2016 39% 35% 8% 3% 4 1,000 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[310] June 25–29, 2016 42% 31% 5% 4% 11 1,247 ±2.8%
IBD/TIPP[311] June 24–29, 2016 37% 36% 9% 5% 1 837 ±3.5%
Public Policy Polling[313] June 27–28, 2016 45% 41% 5% 2% 4 947 ±3.2%
Quinnipiac University[316] June 21–27, 2016 39% 37% 8% 4% 2 1,610 ±2.4%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[317] June 20–26, 2016 42% 36% 9% 5% 6 5,818 ±1.8%
ABC News/Washington Post[320] June 20–23, 2016 47% 37% 7% 3% 10 836 ±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[321] June 19–23, 2016 39% 38% 10% 6% 1 1,000 ±3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters[322] June 18–22, 2016 43% 34% 6% 5% 9 1,339 ±2.8%
CNN/ORC[327] June 16–19, 2016 42% 38% 9% 7% 4 891 ±3.5%
Monmouth University[328] June 15–19, 2016 42% 36% 9% 4% 6 803 ±3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[329] June 13–19, 2016 42% 38% 9% 5% 4 16,135 ±1.1%
Ipsos/Reuters[625] June 11–15, 2016 39% 29% 6% 4% 10 1,323 ±2.8%
NBC/Survey Monkey[336] June 6–12, 2016 42% 38% 9% 5% 4 10,604 ±1.3%
SurveyUSA[626] June 8, 2016 39% 36% 6% 4% 3 1,408 ±2.7%
Zogby[627] May 30 – June 5, 2016 40% 34% 6% 2% 6 837 ±3.5%
NBC News[628] May 30 – June 5, 2016 39% 40% 9% 4% 1 9,240 ±1.4%
Quinnipiac University[629] May 24–30, 2016 40% 38% 5% 3% 2 1,561 ±2.5%

Five-way race edit

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton
Democratic 		Donald Trump
Republican 		Gary Johnson
Libertarian 		Jill Stein
Green 		Evan McMullin
Independent 		Leading by
(points) 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error
Saint Leo University[570] October 22–26, 2016 42% 31% 6% 1% 5% 11 1,050 –
Public Policy Polling[142] September 27–28, 2016 44% 40% 6% 1% 2% 4 933 ±3.2%
Echelon Insights[144] September 26–27, 2016 44% 39% 6% 2% 1% 5 1,833 –
Public Policy Polling[207] August 26–28, 2016 42% 37% 6% 4% 1% 5 881 ±3.3%

Post-election analysis edit

BBC News discussed whether polling should be abandoned due to its perceived failure.[1] Forbes magazine contributor astrophysicist Ethan Siegel performed a scientific analysis and raised whether the statistical population sampled for the polling was inaccurate, and cited the cautionary adage "Garbage in, garbage out".[2] He concluded there may have been sampling bias on the part of the pollsters.[2] Siegel compared the 2016 election to the failure of prognosticator Arthur Henning in the "Dewey Defeats Truman" incident from the 1948 presidential election.[2] Despite all this, however, nationwide polling was not far off from the actual popular vote result, and in fact very few states had results that deviated from the margin of error in the polling average. In a FiveThirtyEight article, Nate Silver defended the performance of the polls in 2016 as historically average, and argued that "Media organizations need to do a better job of informing their readers about the uncertainties associated with polling".[630]

A particular case was the USC/Los Angeles Times Daybreak tracking poll, which was different from other polls as it had Donald Trump in the lead more often than not.[631] The poll's findings caused skepticism, especially from other pollsters and media outlets, who have denounced it and often criticized the LA Times for running it.[632] Before the election, Nate Silver deemed as positive the fact that the poll allowed people to assign themselves a probability of voting for either candidate instead of saying they're 100 percent sure, saying if people are "going to browbeat a pollster, [let's] do it to a pollster who is doing things cheaply—some of the robopolls qualify—and not one that’s trying to move the ball forward, like the LA Times poll."[633] The LA Times concluded after the preliminary results of the election were published: "That doesn't necessarily mean that a poll conducted online, the way the Daybreak poll is, necessarily will be more accurate than polls conducted by phone. But it is yet another indication that polling needs more, diverse ways to look at public opinion, not fewer."[634]

See also edit

General election polling

Democratic primary polling

Republican primary polling

After the election

References edit

  1. ^ a b c Peter Barnes, Senior elections and political analyst, BBC News (11 November 2016), "Reality Check: Should we give up on election polling?", BBC News, retrieved 12 November 2016{{citation}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  2. ^ a b c d e Ethan Siegel (9 November 2016), "The Science Of Error: How Polling Botched The 2016 Election", Forbes magazine, retrieved 12 November 2016
  3. ^ "A Quick and Dirty Guide to Polls for the 2016 Election".
  4. ^ a b . Archived from the original on 2016-11-06.
  5. ^ a b . Archived from the original on 2016-10-02.
  6. ^ "UPI/CVoter poll: Clinton holds slim lead over Trump in last poll before election day". Team CVoter. UPI. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
  7. ^ a b "The Economist/YouGov Poll (Likely Voters)" (PDF). The Economist. YouGov. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 8, 2016.
  8. ^ a b "Bloomberg Politics National Poll". Selzer & Company. Bloomberg News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
  9. ^ a b . Langer Research Associates. ABC News/The Washington Post. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on November 10, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
  10. ^ a b
February 16, 2024
nationwide, opinion, polling, 2016, united, states, presidential, election, this, page, lists, nationwide, public, opinion, polls, that, have, been, conducted, relating, 2016, united, states, presidential, election, major, party, candidates, were, chosen, demo. This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016 Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday November 8 2016 despite losing the popular vote while winning the electoral college 1 2 Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Clinton but overestimated the size of her lead with the result that Trump s electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts Retrospective analyses differ as to why the polls and commentators interpreting them were unable to correctly forecast the result of the election 1 2 Two daily tracking polls the UPI CVoter poll and the University of Southern California Los Angeles Times poll were the only polls that often incorrectly predicted a Trump popular vote victory or showed a nearly tied election 3 Contents 1 Aggregate polls 2 Individual polls 2 1 Two way race 2 1 1 After convention nominations 2 1 2 Polls conducted in 2016 2 1 3 Polls conducted in 2015 2 1 4 Polls conducted in 2014 2 1 5 Polls conducted in 2013 2 2 Three way race 2 3 Four way race 2 4 Five way race 3 Post election analysis 4 See also 5 ReferencesAggregate polls editPoll numbers verified as of November 8 2016 update Race Poll model HillaryClintonDemocratic DonaldTrumpRepublican GaryJohnsonLibertarian Jill SteinGreen Leading by points Two way 270 to Win 4 47 2 43 6 3 6BBC 48 0 44 0 4 0HuffPost Pollster 5 47 3 42 0 5 3New York Times 45 9 42 8 3 1Real Clear Politics 46 8 43 6 3 2TPM Polltracker 48 8 43 9 4 9Three way FiveThirtyEight 45 7 41 8 4 8 3 9HuffPost Pollster 5 45 7 40 8 5 0 4 9New York Times 45 4 42 3 5 0 3 1TPM Polltracker 46 0 44 1 4 9 1 9Four way 270 to Win 4 45 6 42 5 4 8 2 1 3 1Real Clear Politics 45 5 42 2 4 7 1 9 3 3CNN Poll of Polls 46 0 42 0 5 0 2 0 4 0TPM Polltracker 46 6 43 8 4 6 2 7 2 8Election results popular vote 48 2 46 1 3 3 1 1 2 1Individual polls editTwo way race edit After convention nominations edit Poll source Date Hillary ClintonDemocratic Donald TrumpRepublican Leading by points Samplesize Marginof errorUPI CVoter 6 November 1 7 2016 49 46 3 1 728 3 0 YouGov The Economist 7 November 4 7 2016 49 45 4 3 677 1 7 Bloomberg News Selzer 8 November 4 6 2016 46 43 3 799 3 5 ABC News Washington Post 9 November 3 6 2016 49 46 3 2 220 2 5 Fox News 10 November 3 6 2016 48 44 4 1 295 2 5 IBD TIPP 11 November 3 6 2016 43 42 1 1 026 3 1 Monmouth University 12 November 3 6 2016 50 44 6 802 3 6 Ipsos Reuters 13 November 2 6 2016 44 39 5 2 195 2 4 CBS News New York Times 14 November 2 6 2016 47 43 4 1 426 3 0 NBC News SurveyMonkey 15 October 31 November 6 2016 51 44 7 70 194 1 0 CCES YouGov 16 October 4 November 6 2016 43 39 4 84 292 NBC News Wall Street Journal 17 November 3 5 2016 48 43 5 1 282 2 73 ABC News Washington Post 18 November 2 5 2016 49 45 4 1 937 2 5 IBD TIPP 19 November 2 5 2016 45 44 1 903 3 3 UPI CVoter 20 October 30 November 5 2016 49 46 3 1 572 3 0 USC Los Angeles Times 21 October 30 November 5 2016 43 48 5 2 988 4 5 ABC News Washington Post 22 November 1 4 2016 49 44 5 1 685 2 5 IBD TIPP 23 November 1 4 2016 46 43 3 804 3 5 Ipsos Reuters 24 October 31 November 4 2016 44 40 4 2 244 2 4 UPI CVoter 25 October 29 November 4 2016 49 48 1 1 497 3 0 USC Los Angeles Times 26 October 29 November 4 2016 43 48 5 2 987 4 5 Fox News 27 November 1 3 2016 46 45 1 1 107 3 0 McClatchy Marist 28 November 1 3 2016 46 44 2 940 3 2 Ipsos Reuters 29 October 30 November 3 2016 44 39 5 2 021 2 6 ABC News Washington Post 30 October 31 November 3 2016 49 45 4 1 419 3 0 IBD TIPP 31 October 30 November 3 2016 45 44 1 898 3 3 UPI CVoter 32 October 28 November 3 2016 49 48 1 1 395 3 0 ABC News Washington Post 33 October 30 November 2 2016 49 46 3 1 151 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 34 October 29 November 2 2016 45 39 6 1 858 2 6 IBD TIPP 35 October 29 November 2 2016 44 44 Tied 867 3 4 UPI CVoter 36 October 27 November 2 2016 49 48 1 1 329 3 0 ABC News Washington Post 37 October 29 November 1 2016 49 47 2 1 167 3 0 CBS News New York Times 38 October 28 November 1 2016 47 44 3 1 333 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 39 October 28 November 1 2016 45 39 6 1 772 3 0 YouGov The Economist 40 October 30 November 1 2016 48 45 3 1 233 3 2 IBD TIPP 41 October 27 November 1 2016 44 44 Tied 862 3 4 UPI CVoter 42 October 26 November 1 2016 49 48 1 1 383 3 0 USC Los Angeles Times 43 October 26 November 1 2016 42 48 6 3 004 4 5 ABC News Washington Post 44 October 28 31 2016 48 47 1 1 182 3 0 IBD TIPP 45 October 26 31 2016 45 44 1 1 018 3 2 Politico Morning Consult 46 October 29 30 2016 46 43 3 1 772 2 0 Politico Morning Consult 47 October 27 30 2016 52 47 5 2 075 3 0 ABC News Washington Post 48 October 27 30 2016 48 47 1 1 167 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 49 October 26 30 2016 44 39 5 1 264 3 0 IBD TIPP 50 October 25 30 2016 45 43 2 993 3 2 UPI CVoter 51 October 24 30 2016 49 48 1 1 299 3 0 NBC News SurveyMonkey 52 October 24 30 2016 51 44 7 40 816 1 0 ABC News Washington Post 53 October 26 29 2016 49 47 2 1 165 3 0 IBD TIPP 54 October 24 29 2016 45 41 4 1 039 3 3 UPI CVoter 55 October 23 29 2016 48 48 Tied 1 317 3 0 Morning Consult 56 October 27 28 2016 46 41 5 1 794 2 0 ABC News Washington Post 57 October 25 28 2016 46 45 1 1 160 3 0 IBD TIPP 58 October 23 28 2016 46 41 5 1 013 3 3 ABC News Washington Post 59 October 24 27 2016 49 46 3 1 148 3 0 IBD TIPP 60 October 22 27 2016 45 42 3 973 3 3 Ipsos Reuters 61 October 21 27 2016 42 36 6 1 627 3 0 USC Los Angeles Times 62 October 21 27 2016 44 46 2 3 248 4 5 ABC News Washington Post 63 October 23 26 2016 50 45 5 1 150 3 0 YouGov The Economist 64 October 22 26 2016 49 46 3 1 376 3 1 IBD TIPP 65 October 21 26 2016 44 42 2 945 3 3 UPI CVoter 66 October 20 26 2016 49 47 2 1 363 3 0 Fox News 67 October 22 25 2016 49 44 5 1 221 2 5 ABC News Washington Post 68 October 22 25 2016 51 44 7 1 135 3 0 Pew Research Center 69 October 20 25 2016 50 43 7 2 120 2 4 IBD TIPP 70 October 20 25 2016 43 41 2 921 3 3 UPI CVoter 71 October 19 25 2016 49 47 2 1 349 3 0 USC Los Angeles Times 72 October 19 25 2016 44 45 1 3 145 4 5 CNBC 73 October 21 24 2016 47 37 10 804 3 5 ABC News 74 October 21 24 2016 51 43 8 1 119 3 0 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 75 October 21 24 2016 53 41 12 900 3 27 Associated Press GFK 76 October 20 24 2016 54 41 13 1 546 2 75 USA Today Suffolk University 77 October 20 24 2016 49 39 10 1 000 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 78 October 20 24 2016 43 37 6 1 170 3 3 IBD TIPP 79 October 19 24 2016 43 42 1 873 3 6 ABC News 80 October 20 23 2016 53 41 12 1 155 3 0 CNN ORC 81 October 20 23 2016 51 45 6 779 3 5 IBD TIPP 82 October 18 23 2016 42 42 Tied 815 3 6 NBC News SurveyMonkey 83 October 17 23 2016 50 44 6 32 225 1 0 UPI CVoter 84 October 17 23 2016 49 46 3 1 414 3 0 ABC News 85 October 20 22 2016 53 41 12 874 3 5 IBD TIPP 86 October 17 22 2016 42 43 1 783 3 6 IBD TIPP 87 October 16 21 2016 42 42 Tied 791 3 6 Politico Morning Consult 88 October 19 20 2016 46 40 6 1 395 3 0 American Research Group 89 October 17 20 2016 49 42 7 1 006 3 0 IBD TIPP 90 October 15 20 2016 43 41 2 789 3 6 USC Los Angeles Times 91 October 14 20 2016 44 45 1 3 001 4 5 Ipsos Reuters 92 October 14 20 2016 44 40 4 1 640 3 0 IBD TIPP 93 October 14 19 2016 43 41 2 779 3 6 Quinnipiac University 94 October 17 18 2016 50 44 6 1 007 3 1 YouGov The Economist 95 October 15 18 2016 47 43 4 1 300 4 0 IBD TIPP 96 October 13 18 2016 44 41 3 782 3 6 Fox News 97 October 15 17 2016 49 42 7 912 3 0 Bloomberg Politics 98 October 14 17 2016 50 41 9 1 006 3 1 Ipsos Reuters 99 October 13 17 2016 43 39 4 1 190 3 2 Public Religion Research Institute The Atlantic 100 October 12 17 2016 51 36 15 692 4 4 UPI CVoter 101 October 11 17 2016 51 46 5 1 326 3 0 Monmouth University 102 October 14 16 2016 53 41 12 805 3 5 CBS News 103 October 12 16 2016 51 40 11 1 411 3 0 NBC News SurveyMonkey 104 October 10 16 2016 51 43 8 24 804 1 0 UPI CVoter 105 October 10 16 2016 50 46 4 1 325 3 0 Politico Morning Consult 106 October 13 15 2016 46 41 5 1 737 2 0 NBC News Wall Street Journal 107 October 10 13 2016 51 41 10 905 3 3 ABC News Washington Post 108 October 10 13 2016 50 46 4 740 4 0 Franklin Pierce University Boston Herald 109 October 9 13 2016 46 41 5 1 001 3 1 George Washington University 110 October 8 13 2016 47 39 8 1 000 3 1 UPI CVoter 111 October 7 13 2016 50 45 5 1 482 3 0 Fox News 112 October 10 12 2016 49 41 8 917 3 0 Politico Morning Consult 113 October 10 2016 46 41 5 1 757 3 0 NBC News Wall Street Journal 114 October 8 10 2016 50 40 10 900 3 5 Ipsos Reuters 115 October 6 10 2016 44 37 7 2 363 2 3 UPI CVoter 116 October 4 10 2016 50 44 6 1 367 3 0 Pew Research Center 117 September 27 October 10 2016 53 44 9 3 616 2 9 NBC News Wall Street Journal 118 October 8 9 2016 52 38 14 422 4 6 NBC News SurveyMonkey 119 October 3 9 2016 51 44 7 23 329 1 0 UPI CVoter 120 October 3 9 2016 49 44 5 1 801 3 0 Politico Morning Consult 121 October 8 2016 45 41 4 1 390 3 0 YouGov The Economist 122 October 7 8 2016 48 43 5 1 300 4 2 Morning Consult 123 October 5 6 2016 44 42 2 1 775 2 0 Quinnipiac University 124 October 5 6 2016 50 44 6 1 064 3 0 Fox News 125 October 3 6 2016 48 44 4 896 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 126 September 30 October 6 2016 43 38 5 1 695 3 0 UPI CVoter 127 September 30 October 6 2016 48 47 1 1 774 3 0 UPI CVoter 128 September 28 October 4 2016 47 48 1 1 274 3 0 USC Los Angeles Times 129 September 28 October 4 2016 43 47 4 2 369 4 5 YouGov The Economist 130 October 1 3 2016 48 43 5 911 3 9 Ipsos Reuters 131 September 29 October 3 2016 44 37 7 1 928 2 5 Politico Morning Consult 132 September 30 October 2 2016 46 39 7 1 778 2 0 Farleigh Dickinson SSRS 133 September 28 October 2 2016 50 40 10 788 4 4 CBS News New York Times 134 September 28 October 2 2016 49 43 6 1 501 3 0 CNN ORC 135 September 28 October 2 2016 47 42 5 1 501 2 5 NBC News SurveyMonkey 136 September 26 October 2 2016 50 44 6 26 925 1 0 UPI CVoter 137 September 26 October 2 2016 47 49 2 1 285 3 0 USC Los Angeles Times 138 September 24 30 2016 42 47 5 2 526 4 5 Fox News 139 September 27 29 2016 49 44 5 911 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 140 September 23 29 2016 43 38 5 2 501 2 0 UPI CVoter 141 September 23 29 2016 47 49 2 1 236 3 0 Public Policy Polling 142 September 27 28 2016 49 45 4 993 3 2 Ipsos Reuters 143 September 27 28 2016 42 38 4 1 336 3 1 Echelon Insights 144 September 26 27 2016 47 42 5 1 833 Morning Consult 145 September 26 27 2016 45 41 4 1 253 3 0 UPI CVoter 146 September 21 27 2016 48 48 Tied 1 239 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 147 September 22 26 2016 44 38 6 1 041 3 5 Quinnipiac University 148 September 22 25 2016 47 46 1 1 115 2 9 Monmouth University 149 September 22 25 2016 49 46 3 729 3 6 NBC News SurveyMonkey 150 September 19 25 2016 51 44 7 13 598 1 1 USC Los Angeles Times 151 September 19 25 2016 42 46 4 2 726 4 5 UPI CVoter 152 September 19 25 2016 48 47 1 1 052 3 0 Morning Consult 153 September 22 24 2016 44 42 2 1 712 2 0 Bloomberg Selzer 154 September 21 24 2016 46 46 Tied 1 002 3 1 ABC News Washington Post 155 September 19 22 2016 49 47 2 651 4 5 Ipsos Reuters 156 September 16 22 2016 41 37 4 1 559 3 0 USC Los Angeles Times 157 September 15 21 2016 43 45 2 2 623 2 3 American Research Group 158 September 17 20 2016 47 44 3 990 3 2 McClatchy Marist 159 September 15 20 2016 48 41 7 758 3 6 USC Los Angeles Times 160 September 14 20 2016 42 46 4 2 629 2 3 YouGov Economist 161 September 18 19 2016 45 44 1 936 4 0 NBC News Wall Street Journal 162 September 16 19 2016 48 41 7 922 3 23 Ipsos Reuters 163 September 15 19 2016 39 39 Tied 1 111 3 4 Associated Press GFK 164 September 15 19 2016 50 44 6 1 251 2 5 USC Los Angeles Times 165 September 13 19 2016 42 47 5 2 524 2 2 UPI CVoter 166 September 12 18 2016 48 47 1 1 203 3 0 NBC News SurveyMonkey 167 September 12 18 2016 50 45 5 13 230 1 2 UPI CVoter 168 September 10 16 2016 47 47 Tied 1 246 3 0 UPI CVoter 169 September 9 15 2016 47 48 1 1 229 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 170 September 9 15 2016 42 38 4 1 579 3 0 USC Los Angeles Times 171 September 9 15 2016 41 47 6 2 497 2 8 Fox News 172 September 11 14 2016 45 46 1 867 3 0 UPI CVoter 173 September 8 14 2016 47 48 1 1 265 3 0 USC Los Angeles Times 174 September 8 14 2016 41 47 6 2 499 3 1 YouGov Economist 175 September 10 13 2016 46 44 2 1 087 4 0 CBS News New York Times 176 September 9 13 2016 46 44 2 1 433 3 Quinnipiac University 177 September 8 13 2016 48 43 5 960 3 2 UPI CVoter 178 September 7 13 2016 47 48 1 1 245 3 0 USC Los Angeles Times 179 September 7 13 2016 42 47 5 2 550 2 7 Ipsos Reuters 180 September 8 12 2016 40 39 1 1 127 3 3 UPI CVoter 181 September 6 12 2016 46 49 3 1 232 3 0 Pew Research 182 August 16 September 12 2016 52 44 8 3 941 2 6 NBC News SurveyMonkey 183 September 5 11 2016 48 44 4 16 220 1 1 UPI CVoter 184 September 5 11 2016 46 49 3 1 260 3 0 Morning Consult 185 September 6 8 2016 44 43 1 1 710 2 0 ABC News Washington Post 186 September 5 8 2016 51 43 8 642 4 5 USC Los Angeles Times 187 September 2 8 2016 45 44 1 2 653 2 4 UPI CVoter 188 September 2 8 2016 46 48 2 1 256 3 0 UPI CVoter 189 September 1 7 2016 47 48 1 1 226 3 0 YouGov Economist 190 September 4 6 2016 44 42 2 1 077 4 7 UPI CVoter 191 August 31 September 6 2016 47 47 Tied 1 262 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 192 September 1 5 2016 40 38 2 1 084 3 5 UPI CVoter 193 August 30 September 5 2016 48 46 2 1 220 3 0 CNN ORC 194 September 1 4 2016 48 49 1 786 3 5 NBC News SurveyMonkey 195 August 29 September 4 2016 48 42 6 32 226 1 0 UPI CVoter 196 August 29 September 4 2016 49 47 2 1 237 3 0 UPI CVoter 197 August 28 September 3 2016 49 46 3 1 242 3 0 Morning Consult 198 September 1 2 2016 42 40 2 2 001 2 Ipsos Reuters 199 August 26 September 1 2016 39 40 1 1 804 3 0 IBD TIPP 200 August 26 September 1 2016 44 43 1 861 3 4 Fox News 201 August 28 30 2016 48 42 6 1 011 3 0 UPI CVoter 202 August 24 30 2016 49 46 3 1 162 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 203 August 25 29 2016 40 39 1 1 404 3 0 Suffolk University USA Today 204 August 24 29 2016 48 41 7 1 000 3 0 UPI CVoter 205 August 23 29 2016 50 47 3 1 173 3 0 USC Los Angeles Times 206 August 23 29 2016 42 45 3 2 500 2 5 Public Policy Polling 207 August 26 28 2016 48 43 5 881 3 3 Monmouth University 208 August 25 28 2016 49 42 7 689 3 5 NBC News SurveyMonkey 209 August 22 28 2016 48 42 6 24 104 1 0 UPI CVoter 210 August 22 28 2016 50 47 3 1 145 3 0 UPI CVoter 211 August 21 27 2016 50 47 3 1 682 3 0 Morning Consult 212 August 24 26 2016 43 40 3 2 007 2 Ipsos Reuters 213 August 22 25 2016 41 36 5 1 154 3 Ipsos Reuters 214 August 20 24 2016 42 35 7 1 049 2 9 UPI CVoter 215 August 18 24 2016 48 49 1 1 720 3 0 Quinnipiac University 216 August 18 24 2016 51 41 10 1 496 2 5 USC Los Angeles Times 217 August 18 24 2016 44 44 Tied 2 434 2 3 YouGov Economist 218 August 19 23 2016 47 44 3 1 080 4 1 UPI CVoter 219 August 17 23 2016 48 48 Tied 1 737 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 220 August 18 22 2016 45 33 12 1 115 3 UPI CVoter 221 August 16 22 2016 48 48 Tied 1 752 3 0 UPI CVoter 222 August 15 21 2016 48 47 1 1 795 3 0 NBC News SurveyMonkey 223 August 15 21 2016 50 42 8 17 451 1 1 American Research Group 224 August 17 20 2016 47 42 5 994 3 2 Morning Consult 225 August 16 20 2016 44 38 6 2 001 2 UPI CVoter 226 August 14 20 2016 48 47 1 1 191 3 0 USC Los Angeles Times 227 August 14 20 2016 43 45 2 2 385 2 8 Ipsos Reuters 228 August 13 17 2016 41 36 5 1 049 2 8 UPI CVoter 229 August 11 17 2016 50 46 4 1 009 3 0 UPI CVoter 230 August 9 16 2016 51 44 7 1 069 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 231 August 11 15 2016 41 35 6 1 132 3 Normington Petts amp Associates 232 August 9 15 2016 50 40 10 1 000 3 1 UPI CVoter 233 August 9 15 2016 51 44 7 1 035 3 0 Morning Consult 234 August 11 14 2016 44 37 7 2 001 2 NBC News SurveyMonkey 235 August 8 14 2016 50 41 9 15 179 1 2 UPI CVoter 236 August 7 14 2016 50 45 5 975 3 0 UPI CVoter 237 August 7 13 2016 49 46 3 1 403 3 0 UPI CVoter 238 August 3 10 2016 49 45 4 1 077 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 239 August 6 10 2016 42 36 6 974 2 9 YouGov Economist 240 August 6 9 2016 48 41 7 1 300 4 2 UPI CVoter 241 August 3 9 2016 48 46 2 1 002 3 0 Bloomberg Politics 242 August 5 8 2016 50 44 6 749 3 6 Ipsos Reuters 243 August 4 8 2016 42 35 7 1 152 3 0 UPI CVoter 244 August 2 8 2016 49 45 4 993 3 0 PSRAI 245 August 4 7 2016 45 39 6 798 3 9 UPI CVoter 246 August 1 7 2016 49 44 5 1 407 3 0 NBC News SurveyMonkey 247 August 1 7 2016 51 41 10 11 480 1 2 UPI CVoter 248 July 31 August 6 2016 50 43 7 1 036 3 0 USC Los Angeles Times 249 July 31 August 6 2016 45 44 1 2 146 2 8 Morning Consult 250 August 4 5 2016 46 37 9 2 001 2 ABC News Washington Post 251 August 1 4 2016 51 44 7 1 002 3 5 Ipsos Reuters 252 July 31 August 4 2016 42 39 3 1 154 3 0 UPI CVoter 253 July 29 August 4 2016 50 44 6 1 060 3 0 IBD TIPP 254 July 29 August 4 2016 46 39 7 921 3 4 McClatchy Marist 255 August 1 3 2016 48 33 15 983 3 1 NBC News Wall Street Journal 256 July 31 August 3 2016 47 38 9 800 3 46 Ipsos Reuters 257 July 30 August 3 2016 43 39 4 1 072 3 5 USC Los Angeles Times 258 July 28 August 3 2016 45 44 1 2 175 2 4 UPI CVoter 259 July 27 August 2 2016 49 46 3 989 3 0 Fox News 260 July 31 August 2 2016 49 39 10 1 022 3 USC Los Angeles Times 261 July 27 August 2 2016 44 45 1 2 186 2 2 YouGov Economist 262 July 31 August 1 2016 46 43 3 1 300 4 Ipsos Reuters 263 July 28 August 1 2016 43 35 8 1 289 3 USC Los Angeles Times 264 July 26 August 1 2016 43 45 2 2 171 2 5 CNN ORC 265 July 29 31 2016 52 43 9 1 003 3 CBS News 266 July 29 31 2016 47 41 6 1 131 3 NBC News SurveyMonkey 267 July 25 31 2016 50 42 8 12 742 1 2 Morning Consult 268 July 29 30 2016 43 40 3 1 931 2 Public Policy Polling 269 July 29 30 2016 50 45 5 1 276 2 7 Polls conducted in 2016 edit Polls in 2016Poll source Date Democraticcandidate Republicancandidate Leadingby Samplesize Marginof error Ipsos Reuters 270 July 25 29 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 35 5 1 290 2 4 Rasmussen Reports 271 July 26 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 42 1 1 000 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 272 July 22 26 2016 Hillary Clinton 37 Donald Trump 39 2 963 4 0 USC Los Angeles Times 273 July 20 26 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 47 7 2 150 3 Economist YouGov 274 July 23 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 42 5 1 300 4 5 Morning Consult 275 July 22 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 44 4 2 502 2 CBS News 276 July 22 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 44 1 1 118 4 CNN ORC 277 July 22 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 48 3 882 3 5 University of Delaware 278 July 21 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 42 4 818 4 NBC News SurveyMonkey 279 July 18 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 45 1 12 931 1 2 USC Los Angeles Times 273 July 18 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 45 4 2 083 3 Echelon Insights 280 July 21 22 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 41 4 912 Ipsos Reuters 281 July 18 22 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 38 3 1 036 4 0 USC Los Angeles Times 282 July 16 22 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 44 2 2 010 American Research Group 283 July 17 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 42 1 990 3 2 Ipsos Reuters 284 July 16 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 36 4 1 522 2 9 Rasmussen Reports 285 July 18 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 43 1 1 000 3 0 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 286 July 13 18 2016 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 43 7 900 3 27 Economist YouGov 287 July 15 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 41 4 925 4 5 NBC News SurveyMonkey 288 July 11 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 45 1 9 436 1 4 Morning Consult 289 July 14 16 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 39 2 2 002 2 CNN ORC 290 July 13 16 2016 Hillary Clinton 49 Donald Trump 42 7 872 3 5 icitizen 291 July 12 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 41 5 1 000 ABC News Washington Post 292 July 11 14 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 43 4 1 003 3 5 USC Los Angeles Times 293 July 8 14 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 43 3 1 608 3 0 Rasmussen Reports 294 July 12 13 2016 Hillary Clinton 37 Donald Trump 44 7 1 000 3 0 NBC News Wall Street Journal 295 July 9 13 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 41 5 1 000 3 1 CBS News New York Times 296 July 8 12 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 40 Tied 1 358 3 0 The Economist YouGov 297 July 9 11 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 43 2 1 300 4 2 NBC News SurveyMonkey 298 July 4 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 44 3 7 869 1 4 Morning Consult 299 July 8 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 41 1 2 001 2 McClatchy Marist 300 July 5 9 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 39 3 1 053 3 Ipsos Reuters 301 July 2 6 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 33 11 1 345 2 8 Rasmussen Reports 302 July 5 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 42 2 1 000 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 303 July 1 5 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 33 13 1 441 3 0 The Economist YouGov 304 July 2 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 42 5 1 300 3 9 Morning Consult 305 June 30 July 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 40 1 2 001 2 NBC News SurveyMonkey 306 June 27 July 3 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 43 5 10 072 1 3 Ipsos Reuters 307 June 27 July 1 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 35 9 4 1 080 3 5 Rasmussen Reports 308 June 28 29 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 43 4 1 000 3 0 Suffolk University USA Today 309 June 26 29 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 40 5 2 1 000 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 310 June 25 29 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 32 10 1 247 2 8 IBD TIPP 311 June 24 29 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 40 4 837 3 5 One America News Network Gravis Marketing 312 June 27 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 50 Tied 2 162 2 1 Public Policy Polling 313 June 27 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 44 4 947 3 2 Fox News 314 June 26 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 38 6 1 017 3 Morning Consult 315 June 24 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 39 5 1 998 2 Quinnipiac University 316 June 21 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 40 2 1 610 2 4 NBC News SurveyMonkey 317 June 20 26 2016 Hillary Clinton 49 Donald Trump 41 8 5 818 1 8 Pew Research 318 June 15 26 2016 Hillary Clinton 51 Donald Trump 42 9 1 655 2 7 Ipsos Reuters 319 June 20 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 33 14 1 201 3 3 ABC News Washington Post 320 June 20 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 51 Donald Trump 39 12 1 001 3 5 NBC News Wall Street Journal 321 June 19 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 41 5 1 000 3 1 Ipsos Reuters 322 June 18 22 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 34 10 1 339 2 8 Rasmussen Reports 323 June 20 21 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 39 5 1 000 3 Economist YouGov 324 June 18 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 39 4 1 011 4 2 American Research Group 325 June 17 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 41 9 987 3 2 Morning Consult 326 June 15 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 40 2 3 891 2 CNN ORC 327 June 16 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 42 5 891 3 5 Monmouth University 328 June 15 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 40 7 803 3 5 NBC News SurveyMonkey 329 June 13 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 42 6 16 135 1 1 Reuters Ipsos 330 June 13 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 35 10 7 1 133 3 4 One America News Network Gravis Marketing 331 June 16 2016 Hillary Clinton 51 Donald Trump 49 2 2 197 2 1 Rasmussen Reports 332 June 14 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 39 5 1 000 3 Ipsos Reuters 333 June 11 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 32 9 1 323 2 8 CNBC 334 June 11 13 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 35 5 801 3 5 CBS News 335 June 9 13 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 37 6 1 048 3 0 NBC News SurveyMonkey 336 June 6 12 2016 Hillary Clinton 49 Donald Trump 42 7 9 355 1 4 Bernie Sanders 52 Donald Trump 39 13Morning Consult 337 June 8 9 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 37 5 1 362 3 Fox News 338 June 5 8 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 39 3 1 004 3 Bernie Sanders 49 Donald Trump 38 11Ipsos Reuters 339 June 4 8 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 34 8 1 716 2 7 Rasmussen Reports 340 June 6 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 38 4 1 000 3 Morning Consult 341 June 3 5 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 40 4 4 002 2 Bernie Sanders 51 Donald Trump 38 13YouGov Economist 342 June 2 5 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 41 3 1 636 3 2 Bernie Sanders 48 Donald Trump 37 11IBD TIPP 343 May 31 June 5 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 40 5 828 3 3 Bernie Sanders 49 Donald Trump 39 10NBC News SurveyMonkey 344 May 30 June 5 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 44 4 9 240 1 4 Bernie Sanders 52 Donald Trump 40 12Rasmussen Reports 345 May 31 June 1 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 38 1 1 000 3 Ipsos Reuters 346 May 28 June 1 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 34 9 1 332 2 8 Morning Consult 347 May 24 30 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 39 3 4 002 2 Quinnipiac University 348 May 24 30 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 41 4 1 561 2 5 Bernie Sanders 48 Donald Trump 39 9NBC News SurveyMonkey 349 May 23 29 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 45 2 12 969 1 2 Bernie Sanders 52 Donald Trump 40 12Ipsos Reuters 350 May 21 25 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 36 5 1 576 2 8 Rasmussen Reports 351 May 23 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 39 1 1 000 3 0 YouGov Economist 352 May 20 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 41 1 2 000 3 1 Bernie Sanders 48 Donald Trump 39 9Morning Consult 353 May 19 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 35 3 2 001 2 NBC News SurveyMonkey 354 May 16 22 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 43 4 14 513 1 Bernie Sanders 53 Donald Trump 41 12American Research Group 355 May 17 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 46 Tie 2 001 2 ABC News Washington Post 356 May 16 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 46 2 829 3 5 Schoen Consulting 357 May 16 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 42 2 1 000 3 NBC News Wall Street Journal 358 May 15 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 43 3 1 000 3 0 Bernie Sanders 54 Donald Trump 39 15Rasmussen Reports 359 May 17 18 2016 Hillary Clinton 37 Donald Trump 42 5 1 000 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 360 May 14 18 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 36 5 1 677 2 7 Fox News 361 May 14 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 45 3 1 021 3 Bernie Sanders 46 Donald Trump 42 4CBS News New York Times 362 May 13 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 41 6 1 300 3 Bernie Sanders 51 Donald Trump 38 13McLaughlin 363 May 11 16 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 42 4 1 000 3 1 Morning Consult 364 May 11 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 40 2 3 971 2 Bernie Sanders 50 Donald Trump 37 13NBC News SurveyMonkey 365 May 9 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 45 3 12 507 1 2 Bernie Sanders 53 Donald Trump 41 12Ipsos Reuters 366 May 7 11 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 37 4 1 611 2 8 Ipsos Reuters 367 May 6 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 40 1 1 289 3 0 Public Policy Polling 368 May 6 9 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 41 6 1 222 3 2 Bernie Sanders 50 Donald Trump 39 11Ipsos Reuters 369 April 30 May 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 36 9 1 277 3 1 Morning Consult 370 April 29 May 2 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 40 5 1 976 2 0 CNN ORC 371 April 28 May 1 2016 Hillary Clinton 54 Donald Trump 41 13 1 001 3 5 Rasmussen Reports 372 April 27 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 41 2 1 000 3 0 Rasmussen Reports 373 April 25 26 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 38 Tied 1 000 3 0 GWU Battleground 374 April 17 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 43 3 1 000 3 1 Bernie Sanders 51 Donald Trump 40 11NBC News Wall Street Journal 375 April 10 14 2016 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 39 11 1 000 3 1 Hillary Clinton 46 Ted Cruz 44 2Hillary Clinton 39 John Kasich 51 12Bernie Sanders 52 Ted Cruz 40 12Fox News 376 April 11 13 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 41 7 1 021 3 Hillary Clinton 45 Ted Cruz 44 1Hillary Clinton 40 John Kasich 49 9Bernie Sanders 53 Donald Trump 39 14Bernie Sanders 51 Ted Cruz 39 12Bernie Sanders 47 John Kasich 43 4CBS News 377 April 8 12 2016 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 40 10 1 098 3 0 Hillary Clinton 45 Ted Cruz 42 3Hillary Clinton 41 John Kasich 47 6Bernie Sanders 53 Donald Trump 36 17Bernie Sanders 50 Ted Cruz 38 12Bernie Sanders 46 John Kasich 41 5IBD TIPP 378 March 28 April 2 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 35 12 902 3 3 Hillary Clinton 44 Ted Cruz 39 5Hillary Clinton 38 John Kasich 45 7Bernie Sanders 53 Donald Trump 36 17Bernie Sanders 50 Ted Cruz 38 12Bernie Sanders 45 John Kasich 42 3McClatchy Marist 379 March 29 31 2016 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 41 9 1 297 2 7 Hillary Clinton 47 Ted Cruz 47 TiedHillary Clinton 42 John Kasich 51 9Bernie Sanders 57 Donald Trump 37 20Bernie Sanders 53 Ted Cruz 41 12Bernie Sanders 52 John Kasich 41 11Public Policy Polling 380 March 24 26 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 41 7 1 083 3 0 Hillary Clinton 45 Ted Cruz 42 3Hillary Clinton 41 John Kasich 45 4Hillary Clinton 44 Paul Ryan 39 5Hillary Clinton 45 Mitt Romney 32 13Bernie Sanders 48 Donald Trump 40 8Bernie Sanders 48 Ted Cruz 41 7Bernie Sanders 41 John Kasich 44 3Bernie Sanders 45 Paul Ryan 38 7Bernie Sanders 48 Mitt Romney 31 17Bloomberg Politics 381 March 19 22 2016 Hillary Clinton 54 Donald Trump 36 18 815 5 1 Hillary Clinton 51 Ted Cruz 42 9Hillary Clinton 43 John Kasich 47 4Quinnipiac University 382 March 16 21 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 40 6 1 451 2 6 Hillary Clinton 45 Ted Cruz 42 3Hillary Clinton 39 John Kasich 47 8Bernie Sanders 52 Donald Trump 38 14Bernie Sanders 50 Ted Cruz 39 11Bernie Sanders 44 John Kasich 45 1CBS News New York Times 383 March 17 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 40 10 1 058 3 0 Hillary Clinton 47 Ted Cruz 44 3Hillary Clinton 43 John Kasich 47 4Bernie Sanders 53 Donald Trump 38 15CNN ORC 384 March 17 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 53 Donald Trump 41 12 925 3 0 Hillary Clinton 48 Ted Cruz 48 TiedHillary Clinton 45 John Kasich 51 6Bernie Sanders 58 Donald Trump 38 20Bernie Sanders 55 Ted Cruz 42 13Bernie Sanders 51 John Kasich 45 6Monmouth University 385 March 17 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 38 10 848 3 4 Hillary Clinton 45 Ted Cruz 40 5Hillary Clinton 39 John Kasich 45 6NBC News Wall Street Journal 386 March 3 6 2016 Hillary Clinton 51 Donald Trump 38 13 1 200 2 83 Hillary Clinton 47 Ted Cruz 45 2Hillary Clinton 46 Marco Rubio 46 TiedBernie Sanders 55 Donald Trump 37 18ABC News Washington Post 387 March 3 6 2016 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 41 9 864 4 Rasmussen Reports 388 February 29 March 1 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 36 5 1 000 3 CNN ORC 389 February 24 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 52 Donald Trump 44 8 920 3 Hillary Clinton 48 Ted Cruz 49 1Hillary Clinton 47 Marco Rubio 50 3Bernie Sanders 55 Donald Trump 43 12Bernie Sanders 57 Ted Cruz 40 17Bernie Sanders 53 Marco Rubio 45 8Fox News 390 February 15 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 42 5 1 031 3 Hillary Clinton 45 Ted Cruz 46 1Hillary Clinton 44 Marco Rubio 48 4Hillary Clinton 44 John Kasich 47 3Hillary Clinton 45 Jeb Bush 46 1Bernie Sanders 53 Donald Trump 38 15Suffolk University USA Today 391 February 11 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 45 2 1 000 3 Hillary Clinton 42 Marco Rubio 48 6Hillary Clinton 44 Ted Cruz 45 1Hillary Clinton 38 John Kasich 49 11Bernie Sanders 42 Marco Rubio 46 4Bernie Sanders 44 Ted Cruz 42 2Bernie Sanders 41 John Kasich 44 3Bernie Sanders 43 Donald Trump 44 1Quinnipiac University 392 February 10 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 43 1 1 342 2 7 Hillary Clinton 43 Ted Cruz 46 3Hillary Clinton 41 Marco Rubio 48 7Hillary Clinton 43 Jeb Bush 44 1Hillary Clinton 39 John Kasich 47 8Bernie Sanders 48 Donald Trump 42 6Bernie Sanders 49 Ted Cruz 39 10Bernie Sanders 47 Marco Rubio 41 6Bernie Sanders 49 Jeb Bush 39 10Bernie Sanders 45 John Kasich 41 4Quinnipiac University 393 February 2 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 41 5 1 125 2 9 Hillary Clinton 41 Marco Rubio 48 7Hillary Clinton 45 Ted Cruz 45 TiedBernie Sanders 49 Donald Trump 39 10Bernie Sanders 46 Ted Cruz 42 4Bernie Sanders 43 Marco Rubio 43 TiedPublic Policy Polling February 2 3 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Jeb Bush 39 7 1 236Hillary Clinton 47 Ben Carson 44 3Hillary Clinton 46 Ted Cruz 44 2Hillary Clinton 44 Marco Rubio 46 2Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 40 7Bernie Sanders 46 Jeb Bush 40 6Bernie Sanders 44 Ben Carson 44 TiedBernie Sanders 44 Ted Cruz 42 2Bernie Sanders 43 Marco Rubio 45 2Bernie Sanders 46 Donald Trump 42 4CNN ORC 394 January 21 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 47 1 1 002 3 0 Hillary Clinton 47 Marco Rubio 50 3Hillary Clinton 47 Ted Cruz 50 3Bernie Sanders 50 Donald Trump 47 3Bernie Sanders 49 Marco Rubio 48 1Bernie Sanders 50 Ted Cruz 47 3Morning Consult 395 January 14 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Jeb Bush 39 4 4060 2 0 Hillary Clinton 43 Chris Christie 39 4Hillary Clinton 42 Ben Carson 42 TiedHillary Clinton 43 Marco Rubio 41 2Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 42 2Hillary Clinton 43 Ted Cruz 41 2NBC News Wall Street Journal 396 January 9 13 2016 Hillary Clinton 51 Donald Trump 41 10 800 3 5 Bernie Sanders 54 Donald Trump 39 15Morning Consult 397 January 8 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Jeb Bush 40 3 2173 2 0 Hillary Clinton 43 Chris Christie 39 4Hillary Clinton 42 Ben Carson 41 1Hillary Clinton 43 Marco Rubio 40 3Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 44 2Hillary Clinton 44 Ted Cruz 40 4Gravis Marketing One America News Network 398 January 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 49 Donald Trump 51 2 2416 2 0 Hillary Clinton 50 Jeb Bush 50 TiedHillary Clinton 48 Marco Rubio 52 4Hillary Clinton 49 Rand Paul 51 2Hillary Clinton 50 Ted Cruz 50 TiedHillary Clinton 49 Ben Carson 51 2Hillary Clinton 50 Carly Fiorina 50 TiedFox News 399 January 4 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Jeb Bush 44 Tied 1006 3 0 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 47 3Hillary Clinton 43 Ted Cruz 50 7Hillary Clinton 41 Marco Rubio 50 9 Polls conducted in 2015 edit Polls in 2015Poll source Date Democraticcandidate Republicancandidate Leading by Sample Size Margin of errorRasmussen Reports 400 December 22 23 2015 Hillary Clinton 37 Donald Trump 36 1 1000 3 0 CNN ORC 401 December 17 21 2015 Hillary Clinton 49 Donald Trump 47 2 927 3 0 Hillary Clinton 46 Marco Rubio 49 3Hillary Clinton 46 Ted Cruz 48 2Ipsos Reuters 402 December 16 21 2015 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 27 12 1627 2 8 3 7 Emerson College Polling Society 403 December 17 20 2015 Hillary Clinton 46 Jeb Bush 41 5 754 3 4 Hillary Clinton 45 Marco Rubio 45 TiedHillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 46 2Hillary Clinton 47 Ted Cruz 45 2Quinnipiac University 404 December 16 20 2015 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 40 7 1140 2 9 Hillary Clinton 44 Marco Rubio 43 1Hillary Clinton 44 Ted Cruz 44 TiedBernie Sanders 51 Donald Trump 38 13Bernie Sanders 42 Marco Rubio 45 3Bernie Sanders 43 Ted Cruz 44 1Fox News 405 December 16 17 2015 Hillary Clinton 49 Donald Trump 38 11 1013 3 0 Hillary Clinton 45 Ted Cruz 45 TiedHillary Clinton 43 Marco Rubio 45 2Hillary Clinton 46 Ben Carson 44 2Public Policy Polling 406 December 16 17 2015 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 43 3 1267 2 8 Hillary Clinton 45 Ted Cruz 43 2Hillary Clinton 43 Marco Rubio 44 1Hillary Clinton 45 Ben Carson 45 TiedHillary Clinton 44 Jeb Bush 39 5Bernie Sanders 41 Donald Trump 43 2Bernie Sanders 41 Ted Cruz 42 1Bernie Sanders 39 Marco Rubio 42 3Bernie Sanders 41 Ben Carson 41 TiedBernie Sanders 41 Jeb Bush 42 1Morning Consult 407 December 11 15 2015 Hillary Clinton 46 Jeb Bush 38 8 4038 2 0 Hillary Clinton 46 Chris Christie 35 11Hillary Clinton 45 Ben Carson 39 6Hillary Clinton 45 Marco Rubio 36 9Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 41 5Hillary Clinton 48 Ted Cruz 37 9ABC News Washington Post 408 December 10 13 2015 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 44 6 851 3 5 NBC News Wall Street Journal 409 December 6 9 2015 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 40 10 1000 3 4 Hillary Clinton 48 Ted Cruz 45 3Hillary Clinton 46 Ben Carson 47 1Hillary Clinton 45 Marco Rubio 48 3Hillary Clinton 51 Jeb Bush 49 2Hillary Clinton 50 Marco Rubio 50 TiedHillary Clinton 51 Rand Paul 49 2Hillary Clinton 52 Ted Cruz 48 4Hillary Clinton 51 Ben Carson 49 2Hillary Clinton 52 Carly Fiorina 48 4Morning Consult 410 December 3 7 2015Hillary Clinton 41 Jeb Bush 41 Tied 2047 2 0 Hillary Clinton 40 Chris Christie 40 TiedHillary Clinton 40 Ben Carson 45 5Hillary Clinton 40 Marco Rubio 41 1Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 45 5Hillary Clinton 42 Ted Cruz 40 2USA Today Suffolk University 411 December 2 6 2015 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 44 4 1000 3 0 Hillary Clinton 47 Ted Cruz 45 2Hillary Clinton 45 Marco Rubio 48 3Hillary Clinton 46 Ben Carson 45 1Saint Leo University Polling Institute 412 November 29 December 3 2015 Hillary Clinton 51 Ben Carson 38 13 1007 3 0 Hillary Clinton 48 Marco Rubio 38 10Hillary Clinton 51 Donald Trump 37 14Hillary Clinton 52 Ted Cruz 36 16Hillary Clinton 49 Jeb Bush 35 14Hillary Clinton 51 Carly Fiorina 32 19MSNBC Telemundo Marist 413 November 15 December 2 2015 Hillary Clinton 52 Donald Trump 41 11 2360 2 0 Hillary Clinton 51 Ted Cruz 44 7Hillary Clinton 49 Jeb Bush 45 4Hillary Clinton 48 Marco Rubio 45 3Hillary Clinton 48 Ben Carson 47 1CNN ORC 414 November 27 December 1 2015Hillary Clinton 49 Donald Trump 46 3 1020 3 0 Hillary Clinton 47 Ben Carson 50 3Hillary Clinton 48 Marco Rubio 49 1Hillary Clinton 50 Ted Cruz 47 3Hillary Clinton 49 Jeb Bush 47 2Quinnipiac University 415 November 23 30 2015Hillary Clinton 46 Ben Carson 43 3 1453 2 6 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 41 6Hillary Clinton 45 Marco Rubio 44 1Hillary Clinton 47 Ted Cruz 42 5Bernie Sanders 47 Ben Carson 41 6Bernie Sanders 49 Donald Trump 41 8Bernie Sanders 44 Marco Rubio 43 1Bernie Sanders 49 Ted Cruz 39 10ABC News Washington Post 416 November 16 19 2015Hillary Clinton 46 Jeb Bush 43 3 1004 3 5 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 42 8Hillary Clinton 49 Ben Carson 40 9Hillary Clinton 47 Ted Cruz 40 7Hillary Clinton 47 Marco Rubio 43 4Fox News 417 November 16 19 2015Bernie Sanders 41 Donald Trump 46 5 1016 3 0 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 46 5Hillary Clinton 42 Ben Carson 47 5Hillary Clinton 42 Marco Rubio 50 8Hillary Clinton 41 Ted Cruz 45 4Hillary Clinton 39 Jeb Bush 45 6Hillary Clinton 42 Carly Fiorina 42 TiedHillary Clinton 43 Chris Christie 46 3Public Policy Polling 418 November 16 17 2015 Hillary Clinton 43 Jeb Bush 41 2 1360 2 7 Hillary Clinton 46 Ben Carson 45 1Hillary Clinton 46 Ted Cruz 44 2Hillary Clinton 46 Carly Fiorina 41 5Hillary Clinton 43 Marco Rubio 45 2Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 44 1Bernie Sanders 39 Jeb Bush 42 3Bernie Sanders 39 Ben Carson 46 7Bernie Sanders 39 Ted Cruz 44 5Bernie Sanders 40 Carly Fiorina 42 2Bernie Sanders 38 Marco Rubio 44 6Bernie Sanders 41 Donald Trump 44 3McClatchy Marist 419 October 29 November 4 2015 Hillary Clinton 56 Donald Trump 41 15 540 4 2 Hillary Clinton 50 Ben Carson 48 2Hillary Clinton 50 Marco Rubio 45 5Hillary Clinton 52 Jeb Bush 44 8Hillary Clinton 53 Ted Cruz 43 10Hillary Clinton 53 Carly Fiorina 43 10Bernie Sanders 53 Donald Trump 41 12Bernie Sanders 45 Ben Carson 47 2Bernie Sanders 48 Marco Rubio 45 3Bernie Sanders 51 Jeb Bush 41 10Bernie Sanders 51 Ted Cruz 39 12Bernie Sanders 53 Carly Fiorina 39 14Quinnipiac University 420 October 29 November 2 2015 Hillary Clinton 40 Ben Carson 50 10 1144 2 9 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 43 3Hillary Clinton 41 Marco Rubio 46 5Hillary Clinton 43 Ted Cruz 46 3Hillary Clinton 41 Chris Christie 46 5Bernie Sanders 39 Ben Carson 51 12Bernie Sanders 46 Donald Trump 44 2Bernie Sanders 41 Marco Rubio 47 6Bernie Sanders 44 Ted Cruz 45 1Bernie Sanders 42 Chris Christie 45 3Morning Consult 421 October 29 November 1 2015 Hillary Clinton 45 Jeb Bush 39 6 2350 2 0 Hillary Clinton 47 Rand Paul 37 10Hillary Clinton 43 Ben Carson 44 1Hillary Clinton 45 Marco Rubio 39 6Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 44 TiedHillary Clinton 46 Carly Fiorina 36 10Bay News 9 News 13 SurveyUSA 422 October 28 November 1 2015 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 47 4 2712 2 0 Hillary Clinton 44 Ben Carson 47 3Hillary Clinton 46 Jeb Bush 44 2Hillary Clinton 46 Marco Rubio 45 1Hillary Clinton 48 Carly Fiorina 42 6Bernie Sanders 41 Donald Trump 50 9Bernie Sanders 40 Ben Carson 48 8Bernie Sanders 44 Jeb Bush 46 2Bernie Sanders 44 Marco Rubio 46 2Bernie Sanders 46 Carly Fiorina 43 3NBC News Wall Street Journal 423 October 25 29 2015 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 42 8 847 3 4 Hillary Clinton 47 Ben Carson 47 TiedHillary Clinton 47 Marco Rubio 42 5Hillary Clinton 47 Jeb Bush 43 4Bernie Sanders 50 Donald Trump 41 9Bernie Sanders 46 Marco Rubio 41 5Hillary Clinton 50 Jeb Bush 50 TiedHillary Clinton 50 Marco Rubio 50 TiedHillary Clinton 53 Rand Paul 47 6Hillary Clinton 53 Ted Cruz 47 6Hillary Clinton 49 Ben Carson 51 2Hillary Clinton 52 Carly Fiorina 48 4Morning Consult 424 October 22 25 2015 Hillary Clinton 41 Jeb Bush 41 Tied 1689 2 0 Hillary Clinton 44 Rand Paul 38 6Hillary Clinton 41 Ben Carson 42 1Hillary Clinton 43 Marco Rubio 38 5Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 43 TiedHillary Clinton 44 Carly Fiorina 37 7Saint Leo University Polling Institute 425 October 17 22 2015 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 38 9 1005 3 0 Hillary Clinton 46 Ben Carson 42 4Hillary Clinton 47 Carly Fiorina 36 11Hillary Clinton 46 Marco Rubio 39 7Hillary Clinton 45 Jeb Bush 34 11Rasmussen Reports 426 October 18 19 2015 Hillary Clinton 36 Donald Trump 38 2 1000 3 Hillary Clinton 40 Carly Fiorina 34 6Morning Consult 427 October 15 19 2015 Hillary Clinton 46 Jeb Bush 37 9 2017 2 0 Hillary Clinton 48 Rand Paul 35 13Hillary Clinton 43 Ben Carson 41 2Hillary Clinton 47 Marco Rubio 35 12Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 41 3Hillary Clinton 45 Carly Fiorina 34 11NBC News Wall Street Journal 428 October 15 18 2015 Hillary Clinton 47 Ben Carson 45 2 400 4 9 Hillary Clinton 46 Marco Rubio 45 1Hillary Clinton 49 Ted Cruz 41 8Bernie Sanders 44 Ben Carson 43 1Bernie Sanders 45 Marco Rubio 41 4Bernie Sanders 50 Ted Cruz 38 12Emerson College Polling Society 429 October 15 18 2015 Hillary Clinton 43 Jeb Bush 45 2 783 3 4 Hillary Clinton 45 Ben Carson 48 3Hillary Clinton 45 Marco Rubio 44 1Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 46 2Bernie Sanders 42 Donald Trump 46 4Hillary Clinton 45 Carly Fiorina 44 1CNN ORC 430 October 14 17 2015 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 45 5 956 3 Hillary Clinton 47 Ben Carson 48 1Bernie Sanders 53 Donald Trump 44 9Bernie Sanders 46 Ben Carson 48 2Joe Biden 53 Donald Trump 43 10Joe Biden 52 Ben Carson 44 8Morning Consult 431 October 8 12 2015 Hillary Clinton 41 Jeb Bush 41 Tied 2002 2 Hillary Clinton 43 Rand Paul 37 6Hillary Clinton 41 Ben Carson 43 2Hillary Clinton 43 Marco Rubio 39 4Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 41 2Hillary Clinton 41 Carly Fiorina 36 5Fox News 432 October 10 12 2015 Hillary Clinton 39 Carly Fiorina 42 3 1004 3 Hillary Clinton 40 Jeb Bush 42 2Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 45 5Hillary Clinton 39 Ben Carson 50 11Joe Biden 50 Donald Trump 37 13Joe Biden 46 Jeb Bush 41 5Joe Biden 46 Carly Fiorina 42 4Joe Biden 46 Ben Carson 42 4Joe Biden 44 Marco Rubio 43 1Public Policy Polling 433 October 1 4 2015 Hillary Clinton 42 Jeb Bush 43 1 1338 2 7 Hillary Clinton 44 Ben Carson 48 4Joe Biden 42 Ben Carson 45 3Bernie Sanders 35 Ben Carson 46 11Hillary Clinton 46 Ted Cruz 42 4Hillary Clinton 44 Carly Fiorina 42 1Joe Biden 46 Carly Fiorina 40 6Bernie Sanders 38 Carly Fiorina 44 6Hillary Clinton 46 Mike Huckabee 39 7Hillary Clinton 42 John Kasich 39 3Hillary Clinton 43 Marco Rubio 43 TiedJoe Biden 45 Marco Rubio 40 5Bernie Sanders 38 Marco Rubio 42 4Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 44 TiedJoe Biden 48 Donald Trump 40 8Bernie Sanders 44 Donald Trump 44 TiedNBC News Wall Street Journal 434 September 20 24 2015 Hillary Clinton 45 Jeb Bush 44 1 1000 3 10 Hillary Clinton 49 Donald Trump 39 10Hillary Clinton 45 Ben Carson 46 1Hillary Clinton 44 Carly Fiorina 45 1Joe Biden 48 Jeb Bush 40 8Joe Biden 56 Donald Trump 35 21Joe Biden 49 Ben Carson 41 8Joe Biden 47 Carly Fiorina 41 6Bernie Sanders 52 Donald Trump 36 16Quinnipiac University 435 September 17 24 2015 Hillary Clinton 42 Jeb Bush 44 2 1574 2 5 Hillary Clinton 42 Ben Carson 49 7Hillary Clinton 43 Carly Fiorina 44 1Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 43 2Joe Biden 46 Jeb Bush 41 5Joe Biden 45 Ben Carson 45 TiedJoe Biden 46 Carly Fiorina 43 3Joe Biden 51 Donald Trump 40 11Bernie Sanders 44 Jeb Bush 44 TiedBernie Sanders 39 Ben Carson 49 10Bernie Sanders 43 Carly Fiorina 44 1Bernie Sanders 47 Donald Trump 42 5Fox News 436 September 20 22 2015 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 42 4 1013 3 MSNBC Telemundo Marist 437 August 26 September 9 2015 Hillary Clinton 50 Marco Rubio 44 6 1115 2 9 Hillary Clinton 53 Donald Trump 40 13Hillary Clinton 49 Jeb Bush 45 4Hillary Clinton 52 Ted Cruz 41 11Joe Biden 50 Marco Rubio 42 8Joe Biden 56 Donald Trump 38 18Joe Biden 50 Jeb Bush 42 8Joe Biden 54 Ted Cruz 41 13ABC News Washington Post 438 September 7 10 2015 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 43 3 1003 4 CNN ORC 439 September 4 8 2015 Hillary Clinton 47 Jeb Bush 49 2 1012 3 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 48 TiedHillary Clinton 46 Ben Carson 51 5Joe Biden 52 Jeb Bush 44 8Joe Biden 54 Donald Trump 44 10Joe Biden 47 Ben Carson 50 3SurveyUSA 440 September 2 3 2015 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 45 5 1000 3 3 Bernie Sanders 40 Donald Trump 44 4Joe Biden 42 Donald Trump 44 2Al Gore 41 Donald Trump 44 3Public Policy Polling 441 August 28 30 2015 Hillary Clinton 44 Ben Carson 44 Tied 1254 2 8 Hillary Clinton 45 Carly Fiorina 43 2Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 44 2Hillary Clinton 46 Jeb Bush 42 4Bernie Sanders 39 Carly Fiorina 38 1Bernie Sanders 42 Donald Trump 43 1Bernie Sanders 36 Ben Carson 42 6Bernie Sanders 40 Jeb Bush 41 1Joe Biden 47 Donald Trump 41 6Joe Biden 44 Jeb Bush 41 3Fox News 442 August 11 13 2015 Hillary Clinton 47 Carly Fiorina 40 7 1008 3 0 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 42 5Hillary Clinton 44 Marco Rubio 46 2Hillary Clinton 42 Jeb Bush 44 2Morning Consult 443 August 7 9 2015 Hillary Clinton 44 Jeb Bush 41 3 2029 2 0 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 41 6Hillary Clinton 48 Scott Walker 35 13Hillary Clinton 46 Rand Paul 39 7Hillary Clinton 46 Marco Rubio 39 7Gravis Marketing 444 August 5 2015 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 50 Tied 1535 2 5 Hillary Clinton 49 Jeb Bush 51 2Hillary Clinton 50 Scott Walker 50 TiedHillary Clinton 52 Marco Rubio 48 4Hillary Clinton 53 Rand Paul 47 6Hillary Clinton 53 Ted Cruz 47 6Hillary Clinton 52 Ben Carson 48 4Hillary Clinton 52 Rick Perry 48 4Hillary Clinton 54 Carly Fiorina 46 8McClatchy Marist 445 July 22 28 2015 Hillary Clinton 49 Jeb Bush 43 6 964 2 8 Hillary Clinton 49 Ben Carson 39 10Hillary Clinton 50 Chris Christie 40 10Hillary Clinton 49 Ted Cruz 40 9Hillary Clinton 53 Carly Fiorina 35 18Hillary Clinton 53 Jim Gilmore 32 21Hillary Clinton 52 Lindsey Graham 35 17Hillary Clinton 50 Mike Huckabee 41 9Hillary Clinton 52 Bobby Jindal 36 16Hillary Clinton 49 John Kasich 39 10Hillary Clinton 50 George Pataki 37 13Hillary Clinton 48 Rand Paul 43 5Hillary Clinton 47 Rick Perry 40 7Hillary Clinton 47 Marco Rubio 42 5Hillary Clinton 51 Rick Santorum 39 12Hillary Clinton 54 Donald Trump 38 16Hillary Clinton 48 Scott Walker 41 7Quinnipiac University 446 July 23 28 2015 Joe Biden 43 Jeb Bush 42 1 1 644 2 4 Joe Biden 49 Donald Trump 37 12Joe Biden 43 Scott Walker 43 TiedHillary Clinton 41 Jeb Bush 42 1Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 36 12Hillary Clinton 44 Scott Walker 43 1Bernie Sanders 39 Jeb Bush 44 5Bernie Sanders 45 Donald Trump 37 8Bernie Sanders 37 Scott Walker 42 5CNN ORC 447 July 22 25 2015 Hillary Clinton 51 Jeb Bush 46 5 898 3 5 Hillary Clinton 56 Donald Trump 40 16Hillary Clinton 53 Scott Walker 44 9Bernie Sanders 47 Jeb Bush 48 1Bernie Sanders 59 Donald Trump 38 21Bernie Sanders 48 Scott Walker 43 5Public Policy Polling 448 July 20 21 2015 Hillary Clinton 46 Jeb Bush 41 5 1 087 3 0 Hillary Clinton 47 Ben Carson 39 8Hillary Clinton 46 Chris Christie 38 8Hillary Clinton 48 Ted Cruz 40 8Hillary Clinton 47 Carly Fiorina 37 10Hillary Clinton 46 Mike Huckabee 40 6Hillary Clinton 45 Rand Paul 42 5Hillary Clinton 46 Marco Rubio 41 5Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 37 13Hillary Clinton 46 Scott Walker 41 5Bernie Sanders 37 Jeb Bush 44 7Bernie Sanders 36 Marco Rubio 41 5Bernie Sanders 47 Donald Trump 37 10Bernie Sanders 39 Scott Walker 40 1ABC News Washington Post 449 July 16 19 2015 Hillary Clinton 50 Jeb Bush 44 6 815 4 0 CNN ORC 450 June 26 28 2015 Hillary Clinton 54 Jeb Bush 41 13 1 017 3 0 Hillary Clinton 55 Chris Christie 39 16Hillary Clinton 56 Marco Rubio 40 16Hillary Clinton 59 Donald Trump 35 24Hillary Clinton 57 Scott Walker 40 17Zogby Analytics 451 June 23 25 2015 Hillary Clinton 42 Jeb Bush 33 9 1 341 Hillary Clinton 44 Rand Paul 33 9Hillary Clinton 43 Marco Rubio 32 11Hillary Clinton 43 Scott Walker 33 10Fox News 452 June 21 23 2015 Hillary Clinton 44 Michael Bloomberg 38 6 1 005 3 0 Hillary Clinton 43 Jeb Bush 43 TiedHillary Clinton 46 Ben Carson 41 5Hillary Clinton 48 Ted Cruz 42 6Hillary Clinton 45 Carly Fiorina 39 6Hillary Clinton 46 Rand Paul 42 4Hillary Clinton 48 Mitt Romney 42 6Hillary Clinton 45 Marco Rubio 44 1Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 42 6Hillary Clinton 47 Scott Walker 41 6NBC News Wall Street Journal 453 June 14 18 2015 Hillary Clinton 48 Jeb Bush 40 8 1 000 3 1 Hillary Clinton 50 Marco Rubio 40 10Hillary Clinton 51 Scott Walker 37 14Public Policy Polling 454 June 11 14 2015 Hillary Clinton 45 Jeb Bush 41 4 1 129 2 9 Hillary Clinton 46 Ben Carson 43 3Hillary Clinton 45 Chris Christie 41 4Hillary Clinton 48 Ted Cruz 42 6Hillary Clinton 46 Carly Fiorina 40 6Hillary Clinton 47 Mike Huckabee 42 5Hillary Clinton 47 Rand Paul 40 7Hillary Clinton 46 Marco Rubio 43 3Hillary Clinton 46 Scott Walker 42 4Lincoln Chafee 27 Scott Walker 39 12Martin O Malley 31 Scott Walker 39 8Bernie Sanders 32 Scott Walker 40 8Jim Webb 28 Scott Walker 39 11CNN ORC 455 May 29 31 2015 Hillary Clinton 51 Jeb Bush 43 8 1 025 3 0 Hillary Clinton 52 Ted Cruz 43 9Hillary Clinton 48 Rand Paul 47 1Hillary Clinton 49 Marco Rubio 46 3Hillary Clinton 49 Scott Walker 46 3ABC News Washington Post 456 May 28 31 2015 Hillary Clinton 47 Jeb Bush 44 3 836 4 0 Quinnipiac University 457 May 19 26 2015 Hillary Clinton 47 Jeb Bush 37 10 1 711 2 4 Hillary Clinton 46 Chris Christie 37 9Hillary Clinton 48 Ted Cruz 37 11Hillary Clinton 47 Mike Huckabee 40 7Hillary Clinton 46 Rand Paul 42 4Hillary Clinton 45 Marco Rubio 41 4Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 32 18Hillary Clinton 46 Scott Walker 38 8Fox News 458 May 9 12 2015 Hillary Clinton 44 Jeb Bush 45 1 1 006 3 Hillary Clinton 48 Ben Carson 42 6Hillary Clinton 48 Ted Cruz 43 5Hillary Clinton 49 Carly Fiorina 37 12Hillary Clinton 47 Mike Huckabee 44 3Hillary Clinton 48 John Kasich 40 8Hillary Clinton 47 Marco Rubio 43 4Hillary Clinton 48 Scott Walker 42 6NBC News Wall Street Journal 459 April 26 30 2015 Hillary Clinton 49 Jeb Bush 43 6 1 000 3 1 Hillary Clinton 47 Rand Paul 44 3Hillary Clinton 49 Marco Rubio 43 6Hillary Clinton 50 Scott Walker 40 10Joe Biden 40 Jeb Bush 48 8The Economist YouGov 460 April 25 27 2015 Hillary Clinton 46 Jeb Bush 34 12 854 Hillary Clinton 46 Chris Christie 34 12Hillary Clinton 48 Mike Huckabee 34 14Fox News 461 April 19 21 2015 Hillary Clinton 45 Jeb Bush 41 4 1 012 3 Hillary Clinton 47 Ted Cruz 42 5Hillary Clinton 46 Rand Paul 43 3Hillary Clinton 46 Marco Rubio 42 4Hillary Clinton 46 Scott Walker 40 6Quinnipiac University 462 April 16 21 2015 Hillary Clinton 46 Jeb Bush 39 7 1 353 2 7 Hillary Clinton 45 Chris Christie 40 5Hillary Clinton 48 Ted Cruz 41 7Hillary Clinton 47 Mike Huckabee 42 5Hillary Clinton 46 Rand Paul 42 4Hillary Clinton 45 Marco Rubio 43 2Hillary Clinton 46 Scott Walker 41 5CNN ORC 463 April 16 19 2015 Hillary Clinton 56 Jeb Bush 39 17 1 018 3 Hillary Clinton 60 Ben Carson 36 24Hillary Clinton 58 Chris Christie 39 19Hillary Clinton 60 Ted Cruz 36 24Hillary Clinton 58 Mike Huckabee 37 21Hillary Clinton 58 Rand Paul 39 19Hillary Clinton 55 Marco Rubio 41 14Hillary Clinton 59 Scott Walker 37 22Rasmussen Reports 464 April 9 amp 12 2015 Hillary Clinton 47 Ted Cruz 38 9 1 000 3 Hillary Clinton 47 Rand Paul 37 10Fox News 465 March 29 31 2015 Hillary Clinton 45 Jeb Bush 45 Tied 1 025 3 Hillary Clinton 48 Ted Cruz 42 6Hillary Clinton 47 Rand Paul 45 2Hillary Clinton 47 Marco Rubio 43 4Hillary Clinton 48 Scott Walker 42 6Public Policy Polling 466 March 26 31 2015 Hillary Clinton 46 Jeb Bush 40 6 989 3 1 Hillary Clinton 47 Ben Carson 42 5Hillary Clinton 46 Chris Christie 37 9Hillary Clinton 49 Ted Cruz 43 6Hillary Clinton 48 Mike Huckabee 41 7Hillary Clinton 46 Rand Paul 42 4Hillary Clinton 48 Rick Perry 39 9Hillary Clinton 46 Marco Rubio 43 3Hillary Clinton 46 Scott Walker 42 4Joe Biden 40 Scott Walker 46 6Elizabeth Warren 39 Scott Walker 43 4ABC News Washington Post 467 March 26 29 2015 Hillary Clinton 53 Jeb Bush 41 12 4 Hillary Clinton 56 Ted Cruz 39 17Hillary Clinton 54 Marco Rubio 39 15Hillary Clinton 54 Scott Walker 40 14CNN ORC 468 March 13 15 2015 Hillary Clinton 55 Jeb Bush 40 15 1 009 3 Hillary Clinton 56 Ben Carson 40 16Hillary Clinton 55 Chris Christie 40 15Hillary Clinton 55 Mike Huckabee 41 14Hillary Clinton 54 Rand Paul 43 11Hillary Clinton 55 Marco Rubio 42 13Hillary Clinton 55 Scott Walker 40 15McClatchy Marist 469 March 1 4 2015 Hillary Clinton 49 Jeb Bush 42 7 1 036 3 Hillary Clinton 53 Ted Cruz 39 14Hillary Clinton 51 Rand Paul 40 11Hillary Clinton 51 Rick Perry 42 9Hillary Clinton 49 Marco Rubio 42 7Hillary Clinton 48 Scott Walker 44 4Quinnipiac University 470 February 26 March 2 2015 Hillary Clinton 45 Jeb Bush 42 3 1 286 2 7 Hillary Clinton 46 Chris Christie 39 7Hillary Clinton 48 Ted Cruz 38 10Hillary Clinton 47 Mike Huckabee 40 7Hillary Clinton 47 Rand Paul 41 6Hillary Clinton 46 Marco Rubio 41 5Hillary Clinton 48 Scott Walker 39 9Rasmussen Reports 471 February 28 March 1 2015 Hillary Clinton 45 Jeb Bush 36 9 1 000 3 Hillary Clinton 47 Ben Carson 36 11Hillary Clinton 46 Scott Walker 41 5Public Policy Polling 472 February 20 22 2015 Hillary Clinton 50 Jeb Bush 40 10 691 3 7 Hillary Clinton 48 Ben Carson 40 8Hillary Clinton 48 Chris Christie 40 8Hillary Clinton 50 Ted Cruz 40 10Hillary Clinton 50 Mike Huckabee 41 9Hillary Clinton 47 Rand Paul 40 7Hillary Clinton 48 Rick Perry 41 7Hillary Clinton 48 Marco Rubio 41 7Hillary Clinton 48 Scott Walker 40 8Joe Biden 39 Jeb Bush 45 6Elizabeth Warren 41 Jeb Bush 43 2Fox News 473 January 25 27 2015 Hillary Clinton 48 Jeb Bush 43 5 1 009 3 Hillary Clinton 48 Chris Christie 42 6Hillary Clinton 47 Rand Paul 44 3Hillary Clinton 46 Mitt Romney 46 TiedPublic Policy Polling 474 January 20 21 2015 Hillary Clinton 45 Jeb Bush 41 4 861 Hillary Clinton 45 Chris Christie 40 5Hillary Clinton 46 Rand Paul 39 7Hillary Clinton 47 Mitt Romney 43 4Hillary Clinton 45 Scott Walker 42 3ABC News Washington Post 475 January 12 15 2015 Hillary Clinton 54 Jeb Bush 41 13 843 4 Hillary Clinton 53 Chris Christie 40 13Hillary Clinton 56 Mike Huckabee 39 17Hillary Clinton 54 Rand Paul 41 13Hillary Clinton 55 Mitt Romney 40 15The Economist YouGov 476 January 10 12 2015 Hillary Clinton 43 Jeb Bush 32 11 1 000 4 8 Greenberg Quinlan Roser Research 477 January 5 11 2015 Hillary Clinton 52 Jeb Bush 40 12 950 3 2 Hillary Clinton 49 Mitt Romney 43 6 Polls conducted in 2014 edit Polls in 2014Poll source Date Democraticcandidate Republicancandidate Leading by Sample Size Margin of errorCNN ORC 478 December 18 21 Hillary Clinton 54 Jeb Bush 41 13 1 011 3 Hillary Clinton 56 Ben Carson 35 21Hillary Clinton 56 Chris Christie 39 17Hillary Clinton 60 Ted Cruz 35 25Hillary Clinton 59 Mike Huckabee 38 21Hillary Clinton 58 Rand Paul 38 20Hillary Clinton 56 Paul Ryan 41 15Fox News 479 December 7 9 Hillary Clinton 49 Jeb Bush 42 7 1 043 3 Hillary Clinton 52 Chris Christie 40 12Hillary Clinton 53 John Kasich 37 16Hillary Clinton 51 Rand Paul 40 11McClatchy Marist 480 December 3 9 Hillary Clinton 53 Jeb Bush 40 13 923 3 2 Hillary Clinton 53 Chris Christie 41 12Hillary Clinton 54 Rand Paul 40 14Hillary Clinton 53 Mitt Romney 41 12Bloomberg Politics Selzer amp Co 481 December 3 5 Hillary Clinton 43 Jeb Bush 37 6 753 3 6 Hillary Clinton 42 Chris Christie 36 6Hillary Clinton 46 Ted Cruz 33 13Hillary Clinton 45 Rand Paul 37 8Hillary Clinton 45 Mitt Romney 39 6Quinnipiac University 482 November 18 23 Hillary Clinton 46 Jeb Bush 41 5 1 623 2 4 Hillary Clinton 43 Chris Christie 42 1Hillary Clinton 48 Ted Cruz 37 11Hillary Clinton 46 Mike Huckabee 41 5Hillary Clinton 46 Rand Paul 41 5Hillary Clinton 44 Mitt Romney 45 1Hillary Clinton 46 Paul Ryan 42 4McClatchy Marist 483 September 24 29 Hillary Clinton 53 Jeb Bush 42 11 884 3 3 Hillary Clinton 51 Chris Christie 42 11Hillary Clinton 52 Rand Paul 43 9McClatchy Marist 484 August 4 7 Hillary Clinton 48 Jeb Bush 41 7 806 3 5 Hillary Clinton 47 Chris Christie 41 6Hillary Clinton 48 Rand Paul 42 6Fox News 485 July 20 22 Hillary Clinton 52 Jeb Bush 39 13 1 057 3 Hillary Clinton 50 Chris Christie 40 10Hillary Clinton 54 John Kasich 35 19Hillary Clinton 52 Rand Paul 41 11CNN ORC 486 July 18 20 Hillary Clinton 55 Mitt Romney 42 13 899 3 Quinnipiac University 487 June 24 30 Hillary Clinton 48 Jeb Bush 41 7 1 446 2 6 Hillary Clinton 47 Chris Christie 38 9Hillary Clinton 49 Mike Huckabee 40 9Hillary Clinton 49 Rand Paul 40 9Hillary Clinton 48 Paul Ryan 41 7Rasmussen 488 June 14 17 amp 20 21 Hillary Clinton 45 Ben Carson 38 7 1 000 3 Hillary Clinton 47 Chris Christie 33 14Hillary Clinton 50 Ted Cruz 37 13Hillary Clinton 46 Rand Paul 39 7Hillary Clinton 50 Rick Perry 36 14Hillary Clinton 47 Marco Rubio 36 11Bloomberg Politics Selzer amp Co 489 June 6 9 Hillary Clinton 47 Jeb Bush 38 9 723Hillary Clinton 45 Chris Christie 38 7Hillary Clinton 47 Rand Paul 38 9Hillary Clinton 47 Marco Rubio 36 11Saint Leo University 490 May 28 June 4 Hillary Clinton 53 Jeb Bush 35 18 802 3 5 Hillary Clinton 52 Chris Christie 34 18Hillary Clinton 54 Ted Cruz 30 24Hillary Clinton 55 Rand Paul 34 21Hillary Clinton 54 Paul Ryan 33 21Hillary Clinton 53 Marco Rubio 31 22ABC News Washington Post 491 May 29 June 1 Hillary Clinton 53 Rand Paul 43 10 1 002 3 5 Public Policy Polling 492 June 2 Hillary Clinton 49 Marco Rubio 42 7 735 3 6 ABC News Washington Post 493 April 24 27 Hillary Clinton 53 Jeb Bush 41 12 855 3 5 Fairleigh Dickinson University 494 April 21 27 Hillary Clinton 49 Jeb Bush 33 16 1 051 3 Hillary Clinton 46 Chris Christie 36 10Hillary Clinton 49 Mike Huckabee 36 13Hillary Clinton 48 Rand Paul 37 11Hillary Clinton 46 Paul Ryan 38 8Fox News 495 April 13 15 Hillary Clinton 51 Jeb Bush 42 9 1 012 3 Hillary Clinton 50 Chris Christie 42 8Hillary Clinton 51 Rand Paul 42 9McClatchy Marist 496 April 7 10 Hillary Clinton 55 Jeb Bush 39 16 1 036 3 Hillary Clinton 53 Chris Christie 42 11Hillary Clinton 54 Ted Cruz 39 15Hillary Clinton 53 Mike Huckabee 40 13Hillary Clinton 54 Rand Paul 40 14Hillary Clinton 54 Marco Rubio 38 16Hillary Clinton 51 Paul Ryan 43 8Public Policy Polling 497 March 6 9 Hillary Clinton 47 Jeb Bush 44 3 1 152 2 9 Hillary Clinton 46 Chris Christie 42 4Hillary Clinton 51 Ted Cruz 40 11Hillary Clinton 49 Mike Huckabee 42 7Hillary Clinton 47 Rand Paul 42 5Hillary Clinton 48 Mitt Romney 43 5Hillary Clinton 48 Marco Rubio 40 8Hillary Clinton 48 Paul Ryan 43 5Joe Biden 41 Mike Huckabee 46 5Elizabeth Warren 33 Mike Huckabee 44 11Bloomberg Politics Selzer amp Co 498 March 7 10 Hillary Clinton 52 Chris Christie 39 13 678 gt 3 1 Rasmussen 499 March 4 5 Hillary Clinton 47 Jeb Bush 33 14 1 000 3 Fox News 500 March 2 4 Hillary Clinton 51 Jeb Bush 38 13 1 002 3 Hillary Clinton 49 Chris Christie 38 11Hillary Clinton 52 Ted Cruz 36 16McClatchy Marist 501 February 4 9 Hillary Clinton 58 Jeb Bush 38 20 970 3 1 Hillary Clinton 58 Chris Christie 37 21Hillary Clinton 56 Ted Cruz 39 17Hillary Clinton 55 Mike Huckabee 41 14Hillary Clinton 62 Sarah Palin 35 27Hillary Clinton 58 Rand Paul 38 20Hillary Clinton 53 Mitt Romney 44 9Hillary Clinton 58 Marco Rubio 37 21Hillary Clinton 52 Paul Ryan 44 8CNN ORC 502 January 31 February 2 Hillary Clinton 57 Jeb Bush 37 20 900 3 5 Hillary Clinton 55 Chris Christie 39 16Hillary Clinton 56 Mike Huckabee 39 16Hillary Clinton 57 Rand Paul 39 18Hillary Clinton 55 Paul Ryan 40 15Public Policy Polling 503 January 23 26 Hillary Clinton 45 Jeb Bush 43 2 845 3 4 Hillary Clinton 45 Chris Christie 43 2Hillary Clinton 47 Ted Cruz 41 6Hillary Clinton 46 Mike Huckabee 43 3Hillary Clinton 46 Rand Paul 43 3Hillary Clinton 46 Paul Ryan 44 2Joe Biden 35 Chris Christie 46 11Elizabeth Warren 34 Chris Christie 43 9ABC News Washington Post 504 January 20 23 Hillary Clinton 53 Chris Christie 41 12 873 3 5 Quinnipiac University 505 January 15 19 Hillary Clinton 49 Jeb Bush 38 11 1 933 2 2 Hillary Clinton 46 Chris Christie 38 8Hillary Clinton 50 Ted Cruz 35 15Hillary Clinton 49 Rand Paul 39 10NBC News Marist Poll 506 January 12 14 Hillary Clinton 50 Chris Christie 37 13 1 039 3 Polls conducted in 2013 edit Polls in 2013Poll source Date Democraticcandidate Republicancandidate Leading by Sample Size Margin of errorCNN ORC 507 December 16 19 Hillary Clinton 58 Jeb Bush 37 21 950 3 Hillary Clinton 46 Chris Christie 48 2Hillary Clinton 57 Ted Cruz 39 19Hillary Clinton 55 Mike Huckabee 40 15Hillary Clinton 54 Rand Paul 41 13Hillary Clinton 56 Rick Perry 39 17Hillary Clinton 56 Marco Rubio 37 19Hillary Clinton 52 Paul Ryan 44 8Hillary Clinton 57 Rick Santorum 38 19Public Policy Polling 508 December 12 15 Hillary Clinton 48 Jeb Bush 43 5 1 316 2 7 Hillary Clinton 42 Chris Christie 45 3Hillary Clinton 49 Ted Cruz 41 8Hillary Clinton 48 Mike Huckabee 42 6Hillary Clinton 48 Rand Paul 43 5Joe Biden 35 Chris Christie 49 14Howard Dean 29 Chris Christie 51 22John Kerry 35 Chris Christie 46 11Elizabeth Warren 33 Chris Christie 49 16Quinnipiac University 509 December 3 9 Hillary Clinton 48 Jeb Bush 39 9 2 692 1 9 Hillary Clinton 41 Chris Christie 42 1Hillary Clinton 50 Ted Cruz 37 13Hillary Clinton 48 Rand Paul 41 7McClatchy Marist 510 December 3 5 Hillary Clinton 53 Jeb Bush 41 12 1 173 2 9 Hillary Clinton 48 Chris Christie 45 3Hillary Clinton 57 Ted Cruz 35 22Hillary Clinton 59 Sarah Palin 36 23Hillary Clinton 55 Rand Paul 40 15Hillary Clinton 58 Rick Perry 37 21Hillary Clinton 52 Marco Rubio 42 10Hillary Clinton 56 Paul Ryan 40 16Quinnipiac University 511 November 6 11 Hillary Clinton 42 Chris Christie 43 1 2 545 1 9 Hillary Clinton 51 Ted Cruz 36 15Hillary Clinton 49 Rand Paul 40 9Hillary Clinton 49 Paul Ryan 40 9NBC News 512 November 7 10 Hillary Clinton 44 Chris Christie 34 10 1 003 3 6 Rasmussen 513 November 7 8 Hillary Clinton 43 Chris Christie 41 2 1 000 3 Public Policy Polling 514 October 29 31 Hillary Clinton 48 Jeb Bush 39 9 649 3 8 Hillary Clinton 44 Chris Christie 39 5Hillary Clinton 50 Ted Cruz 33 17Hillary Clinton 49 Rand Paul 37 12Joe Biden 42 Jeb Bush 43 1Joe Biden 38 Chris Christie 45 7Joe Biden 46 Ted Cruz 36 10Joe Biden 45 Rand Paul 38 7Quinnipiac University 515 September 23 29 Hillary Clinton 49 Chris Christie 36 13 1 497 2 5 Hillary Clinton 54 Ted Cruz 31 23Hillary Clinton 53 Rand Paul 36 17Rasmussen 516 September 16 17 Joe Biden 35 Chris Christie 39 4 1 000 3 Monmouth University 517 July 25 30 Hillary Clinton 47 Jeb Bush 37 10 850 3 4 Hillary Clinton 43 Chris Christie 39 4Hillary Clinton 48 Ted Cruz 32 16Hillary Clinton 47 Marco Rubio 36 11Public Policy Polling 518 July 19 21 Hillary Clinton 44 Jeb Bush 41 3 800 3 5 Hillary Clinton 43 Chris Christie 42 1Hillary Clinton 47 Rand Paul 39 8Hillary Clinton 45 Marco Rubio 40 5Hillary Clinton 46 Paul Ryan 44 2Joe Biden 41 Jeb Bush 45 4Joe Biden 39 Chris Christie 45 6Joe Biden 43 Rand Paul 43 TiedJoe Biden 42 Marco Rubio 42 TiedJoe Biden 43 Paul Ryan 46 3McClatchy Marist 519 July 15 18 Hillary Clinton 48 Jeb Bush 40 8 491 4 4 Hillary Clinton 47 Chris Christie 41 6Hillary Clinton 50 Rand Paul 38 12Hillary Clinton 52 Rick Perry 36 16Hillary Clinton 50 Marco Rubio 38 12Hillary Clinton 53 Paul Ryan 37 16Quinnipiac University 520 June 28 July 8 Hillary Clinton 46 Chris Christie 40 6 2 014 2 2 Hillary Clinton 50 Rand Paul 38 12Joe Biden 35 Chris Christie 46 11Joe Biden 42 Rand Paul 42 TiedQuinnipiac University 521 May 22 28 Hillary Clinton 48 Jeb Bush 40 8 1 419 2 6 Hillary Clinton 49 Rand Paul 41 8Joe Biden 38 Jeb Bush 44 6Joe Biden 39 Rand Paul 43 4Public Policy Polling 522 May 6 9 Hillary Clinton 47 Chris Christie 44 3 1 099 3 Hillary Clinton 51 Rand Paul 41 10Hillary Clinton 51 Marco Rubio 41 10Joe Biden 40 Chris Christie 49 9Joe Biden 46 Rand Paul 44 2Joe Biden 46 Marco Rubio 45 1Public Policy Polling 523 March 27 30 Hillary Clinton 46 Chris Christie 42 4 1 247 2 8 Hillary Clinton 49 Rand Paul 43 6Hillary Clinton 49 Marco Rubio 42 7Hillary Clinton 50 Paul Ryan 43 7Joe Biden 40 Chris Christie 49 9Joe Biden 47 Rand Paul 43 4Joe Biden 46 Marco Rubio 44 2Joe Biden 48 Paul Ryan 45 3McClatchy Marist 524 March 25 27 Hillary Clinton 54 Jeb Bush 38 16 519 4 3 Hillary Clinton 46 Chris Christie 43 3Hillary Clinton 52 Rand Paul 41 11Hillary Clinton 52 Marco Rubio 40 12Joe Biden 49 Jeb Bush 41 8Joe Biden 43 Chris Christie 46 3Joe Biden 50 Rand Paul 41 9Joe Biden 53 Marco Rubio 39 14Quinnipiac University 525 February 27 March 4 Hillary Clinton 45 Chris Christie 37 8 1 944 2 2 Hillary Clinton 50 Marco Rubio 34 16Hillary Clinton 50 Paul Ryan 38 12Joe Biden 40 Chris Christie 43 3Joe Biden 45 Marco Rubio 38 7Joe Biden 45 Paul Ryan 42 3Andrew Cuomo 28 Chris Christie 45 17Andrew Cuomo 37 Marco Rubio 37 TieAndrew Cuomo 37 Paul Ryan 42 5Public Policy Polling 526 January 31 February 3 Hillary Clinton 49 Jeb Bush 43 6 800 3 5 Hillary Clinton 46 Chris Christie 41 5Hillary Clinton 49 Marco Rubio 41 8Hillary Clinton 50 Paul Ryan 44 6Joe Biden 48 Jeb Bush 45 3Joe Biden 44 Chris Christie 44 TieJoe Biden 48 Marco Rubio 43 5Joe Biden 49 Paul Ryan 45 4Purple Strategies 527 December 8 10 2012 Hillary Clinton 53 Paul Ryan 36 17 1 000 3 1 Three way race edit Poll source Date Hillary ClintonDemocratic Donald TrumpRepublican Gary JohnsonLibertarian Leading by points Samplesize Marginof error Google Consumer Surveys 528 November 1 7 2016 38 36 5 2 26 574 0 65 Angus Reid Institute 529 November 1 4 2016 48 44 6 4 1 151 2 9 RAND American Life Panel 530 October 20 November 1 2016 44 35 8 9 2 269 1 9 Google Consumer Surveys 531 October 20 24 2016 39 34 6 5 21 240 0 73 Public Policy Polling 532 October 20 21 2016 46 40 5 6 990 3 18 Google Consumer Surveys 533 October 15 19 2016 39 34 6 5 22 826 0 70 Google Consumer Surveys 534 October 10 14 2016 38 33 7 5 19 900 0 75 Public Religion Research Institute The Atlantic 535 September 28 October 2 2016 47 41 3 6 609 3 6 Google Consumer Surveys 536 September 27 October 3 2016 39 34 7 5 22 006 0 71 Google Consumer Surveys 537 September 14 20 2016 36 35 8 1 20 864 0 73 Polls up to August 2 when three way polls pausedPoll source Date Democraticcandidate Republicancandidate Libertariancandidate Leadmargin Fox News 260 Sample size 1 022Margin of error 3 July 31 August 2 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 35 Gary Johnson 12 9Penn Schoen Berland 538 Sample size 1 000Margin of error 3 July 29 August 1 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 15 5CBS News 266 Sample size 1 131Margin of error 3 July 29 31 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 38 Gary Johnson 10 5Morning Consult 268 Sample size 1 931Margin of error 2 July 29 30 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 36 Gary Johnson 11 5Morning Consult 275 Sample size 2 502Margin of error 2 July 22 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 36 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 10 4CBS News 276 Sample size 1 118 adultsMargin of error 4 July 22 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 12 1Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 286 Sample size 900Margin of error 3 27 July 13 18 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 11 3Morning Consult 289 Sample size 2 002Margin of error 2 July 14 16 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 35 Gary Johnson 11 3CBS News New York Times 296 Sample size 1 358Margin of error 3 July 8 12 2016 Hillary Clinton 36 Donald Trump 36 Gary Johnson 12 TiedMorning Consult 299 Sample size 2 001Margin of error 2 July 8 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 37 Gary Johnson 12 2Rasmussen Reports 539 Sample size 1 000Margin of error 3 July 5 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 9 2Morning Consult 305 Sample size 2 001Margin of error 2 June 30 July 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 37 Gary Johnson 11 1Fox News 314 Sample size 1 017Margin of error 3 June 26 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 36 Gary Johnson 10 5Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 540 Sample size 900Margin of error 3 27 June 23 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 37 Gary Johnson 8 11The Economist YouGov 541 Sample size 1 300Margin of error 3 9 June 24 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 35 Gary Johnson 8 5Morning Consult 315 Sample size 4001Margin of error 2 June 24 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 36 Gary Johnson 11 3Pew Research 318 Sample size 1 655Margin of error 2 7 June 15 26 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 36 Gary Johnson 11 9Morning Consult 542 Sample size 3891Margin of error 2 June 15 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 38 Gary Johnson 10 TiedCBS News 335 Sample size 1048Margin of error 3 0 June 9 13 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 32 Gary Johnson 11 7Bloomberg Politics 543 Sample size 750Margin of error 3 6 June 10 13 2016 Hillary Clinton 49 Donald Trump 37 Gary Johnson 9 12Morning Consult 544 Sample size 1004Margin of error 3 June 8 9 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 33 Gary Johnson 10 6Fox News 545 Sample size 1004Margin of error 3 June 5 8 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 36 Gary Johnson 12 3Rasmussen Report 340 Sample size 1000Margin of error 3 June 6 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 37 Gary Johnson 8 1Morning Consult 546 Sample size 2001Margin of error 2 June 1 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 37 Donald Trump 35 Gary Johnson identified as Independent 10 2Hillary Clinton 36 Donald Trump 37 Gary Johnson identified as Libertarian 10 1Morning Consult 353 Sample size 2001Margin of error 2 May 19 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 35 Gary Johnson 10 3Fox News 361 Sample size 1 021Margin of error 3 0 May 14 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 42 Gary Johnson 10 3Monmouth University 385 Sample size 848Margin of error 3 4 March 17 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 34 Gary Johnson 11 8Poll source Date Democraticcandidate Republicancandidate Thirdcandidate Leadmargin ABC News Washington Post 356 Sample size 823Margin of error 3 5 May 16 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 37 Donald Trump 35 Mitt Romney 22 2Public Policy Polling 380 Sample size 1 083Margin of error 3 0 March 24 26 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 37 Deez Nuts 10 5Bernie Sanders 43 Donald Trump 37 Deez Nuts 8 6Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 35 Rick Perry 12 9Bernie Sanders 43 Donald Trump 34 Rick Perry 12 9Quinnipiac University 547 Sample size 1 342 Margin of error 2 7 February 10 15 2016 Bernie Sanders 38 Donald Trump 38 Michael Bloomberg 12 TiedBernie Sanders 39 Ted Cruz 33 Michael Bloomberg 14 6Suffolk University USA Today 548 Sample size 1 000 Margin of error 3 February 11 15 2016 Bernie Sanders 30 Donald Trump 37 Michael Bloomberg 16 7Quinnipiac University 393 Sample size 1 125 Margin of error 2 9 February 2 4 2016 Bernie Sanders 35 Donald Trump 36 Michael Bloomberg 15 1Bernie Sanders 37 Ted Cruz 36 Michael Bloomberg 15 1Public Policy Polling 549 Sample size 1 236 Margin of error February 2 3 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 37 Michael Bloomberg 11 4Bernie Sanders 36 Donald Trump 39 Michael Bloomberg 13 3Luntz Global 550 Sample size 900 Margin of error 3 3 January 26 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 33 Donald Trump 37 Michael Bloomberg 29 4Hillary Clinton 37 Ted Cruz 35 Michael Bloomberg 28 2Hillary Clinton 35 Marco Rubio 38 Michael Bloomberg 28 3Morning Consult 551 Sample size 1 439 Margin of error 3 January 21 24 2016 Bernie Sanders 35 Donald Trump 34 Michael Bloomberg 12 1Bernie Sanders 36 Ted Cruz 28 Michael Bloomberg 11 8Bernie Sanders 36 Marco Rubio 29 Michael Bloomberg 10 7Morning Consult 552 Sample size 4 060 Margin of error 2 January 14 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Ted Cruz 34 Michael Bloomberg 11 4Hillary Clinton 38 Marco Rubio 33 Michael Bloomberg 10 5Hillary Clinton 36 Donald Trump 37 Michael Bloomberg 13 1Saint Leo University Polling Institute 553 November 29 December 3 2015 Hillary Clinton 45 4 Ted Cruz 19 9 Donald Trump 26 1 19 3Hillary Clinton 44 8 Carly Fiorina 14 9 Donald Trump 29 6 15 2Hillary Clinton 44 0 Ben Carson 20 1 Donald Trump 25 7 18 3Hillary Clinton 43 3 Marco Rubio 21 8 Donald Trump 25 9 17 4Hillary Clinton 43 3 Jeb Bush 19 6 Donald Trump 29 5 13 8Saint Leo University Polling Institute 425 Margin of error 6 0 Sample size 1005 October 17 22 2015 Hillary Clinton 42 7 Jeb Bush 22 8 Donald Trump 24 2 18 5Hillary Clinton 43 7 Carly Fiorina 22 6 Donald Trump 23 8 19 9Hillary Clinton 43 1 Ben Carson 27 9 Donald Trump 20 2 15 2Hillary Clinton 43 7 Marco Rubio 24 6 Donald Trump 22 9 19 1Hillary Clinton 44 9 Ted Cruz 18 6 Donald Trump 24 1 20 8Public Policy Polling 554 Margin of error 2 8 Sample size 1254 August 28 30 2015 Hillary Clinton 42 Jeb Bush 23 Donald Trump 27 15Fox News 442 Sample size 1008 August 11 13 2015 Hillary Clinton 42 Carly Fiorina 24 Donald Trump 25 17Hillary Clinton 42 Marco Rubio 30 Donald Trump 22 12Hillary Clinton 42 Jeb Bush 29 Donald Trump 23 13McClatchy Marist 445 Margin of error 2 8 Sample size 964 July 22 28 2015 Hillary Clinton 44 Jeb Bush 29 Donald Trump 20 15Public Policy Polling 448 Margin of error 4 0 Sample size 1 087 July 20 21 2015 Hillary Clinton 43 Jeb Bush 25 Donald Trump 23 18ABC News Washington Post 449 Margin of error 4 0 Sample size 815 July 16 19 2015 Hillary Clinton 47 Jeb Bush 30 Donald Trump 20 17 Four way race edit Poll source Date Hillary ClintonDemocratic Donald TrumpRepublican Gary JohnsonLibertarian Jill SteinGreen Leading by points Samplesize Marginof error YouGov The Economist 7 November 4 7 2016 45 41 5 2 4 3 677 1 7 Insights West 555 November 4 7 2016 49 45 4 1 4 940 3 2 Bloomberg News Selzer 8 November 4 6 2016 44 41 4 2 3 799 3 5 Gravis Marketing 556 November 3 6 2016 47 43 3 2 4 16 639 0 8 ABC News Washington Post 9 November 3 6 2016 47 43 4 1 4 2 220 2 5 Fox News 10 November 3 6 2016 48 44 3 2 4 1 295 2 5 IBD TIPP 11 November 3 6 2016 41 43 6 2 2 1 026 3 1 Monmouth University 12 November 3 6 2016 50 44 4 1 6 802 3 6 Ipsos Reuters 13 November 2 6 2016 42 39 6 3 3 2 195 2 4 CBS News New York Times 14 November 2 6 2016 45 41 5 2 4 1 426 3 0 Rasmussen Reports 557 November 2 6 2016 45 43 4 2 2 1 500 2 5 NBC News SurveyMonkey 15 October 31 November 6 2016 47 41 6 3 6 70 194 1 0 Politico Morning Consult 558 November 4 5 2016 45 42 8 2 3 1 482 3 0 NBC News Wall Street Journal 17 November 3 5 2016 44 40 6 2 4 1 282 2 73 ABC News Washington Post 18 November 2 5 2016 47 43 4 2 4 1 937 2 5 IBD TIPP 19 November 2 5 2016 43 44 5 2 1 903 3 3 Franklin Pierce University Boston Herald 559 November 1 5 2016 48 44 4 2 4 1 009 3 1 ABC News Washington Post 22 November 1 4 2016 48 43 4 2 5 1 685 2 5 IBD TIPP 23 November 1 4 2016 44 44 5 2 Tied 804 3 5 Ipsos Reuters 24 October 31 November 4 2016 43 39 6 2 4 2 244 2 4 Rasmussen Reports 560 November 1 3 2016 44 44 4 1 Tied 1 500 2 5 Fox News 27 November 1 3 2016 45 43 5 2 2 1 107 3 0 McClatchy Marist 28 November 1 3 2016 44 43 6 2 1 940 3 2 IBD TIPP 31 October 30 November 3 2016 44 44 4 2 Tied 898 3 3 ABC News Washington Post 30 October 31 November 3 2016 47 43 4 2 4 1 419 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 29 October 30 November 3 2016 44 37 6 2 7 2 021 2 6 Gravis Marketing Breitbart News 561 November 1 2 2016 47 45 3 1 2 2 435 2 0 Rasmussen Reports 562 October 31 November 2 2016 42 45 4 1 3 1 500 2 5 ABC News Washington Post 33 October 30 November 2 2016 47 44 3 2 3 1 151 3 0 IBD TIPP 35 October 29 November 2 2016 44 44 4 2 Tied 867 3 4 Ipsos Reuters 34 October 29 November 2 2016 45 37 5 2 8 1 858 2 6 Rasmussen Reports 563 October 30 November 1 2016 44 44 5 2 Tied 1 500 2 5 YouGov Economist 40 October 30 November 1 2016 46 43 4 2 3 1 233 3 2 ABC News Washington Post 37 October 29 November 1 2016 47 45 3 2 2 1 167 3 0 CBS News New York Times 38 October 28 November 1 2016 45 42 5 4 3 862 3 4 Ipsos Reuters 39 October 28 November 1 2016 45 37 5 2 8 1 772 3 0 IBD TIPP 41 October 27 November 1 2016 44 44 4 2 Tied 862 3 4 ABC News Washington Post 44 October 28 31 2016 46 46 3 2 Tied 1 167 3 0 Rasmussen Reports 564 October 27 31 2016 45 45 5 2 Tied 1 500 2 5 IBD TIPP 45 October 26 31 2016 45 44 4 2 1 1 018 3 2 Politico Morning Consult 46 October 29 30 2016 42 39 7 5 3 1 772 2 0 ABC News Washington Post 48 October 27 30 2016 45 46 3 2 1 1 167 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 49 October 26 30 2016 43 37 6 1 6 1 264 3 0 Rasmussen Reports 565 October 26 30 2016 45 42 5 2 3 1 500 2 5 IBD TIPP 50 October 25 30 2016 45 44 4 2 1 993 3 2 NBC News SurveyMonkey 52 October 24 30 2016 47 41 6 3 6 40 816 1 0 ABC News Washington Post 53 October 26 29 2016 46 45 4 2 1 1 165 3 0 IBD TIPP 54 October 24 29 2016 44 42 6 2 2 1 039 3 3 Red Oak Strategic Google Consumer Surveys 566 October 27 28 2016 37 37 6 2 Tied 943 3 7 Morning Consult 56 October 27 28 2016 42 39 8 4 3 1 794 2 0 ABC News Washington Post 57 October 25 28 2016 46 45 4 2 1 1 160 3 0 IBD TIPP 58 October 23 28 2016 45 41 7 2 4 1 013 3 3 Rasmussen Reports 567 October 25 27 2016 45 45 3 2 Tied 1 500 2 5 ABC News Washington Post 59 October 24 27 2016 47 45 4 2 2 1 148 3 0 IBD TIPP 60 October 22 27 2016 44 41 7 2 3 973 3 3 Gravis Marketing Breitbart 568 October 25 26 2016 46 45 3 1 1 1 824 2 3 Rasmussen Reports 569 October 24 26 2016 45 44 4 1 1 1 500 2 5 ABC News Washington Post 63 October 23 26 2016 48 44 4 1 4 1 150 3 0 YouGov Economist 64 October 22 26 2016 46 41 4 2 5 1 376 3 1 Saint Leo University 570 October 22 26 2016 45 34 6 2 11 1 050 IBD TIPP 65 October 21 26 2016 43 41 8 2 2 945 3 3 Rasmussen Reports 571 October 23 25 2016 44 43 4 1 1 1 500 2 5 Fox News 67 October 22 25 2016 44 41 7 3 3 1 221 2 5 ABC News Washington Post 68 October 22 25 2016 48 42 5 1 6 1 135 3 0 Pew Research Center 69 October 20 25 2016 46 40 6 3 6 2 120 2 4 IBD TIPP 70 October 20 25 2016 42 41 8 3 1 921 3 3 CNBC 73 October 21 24 2016 43 34 7 2 9 804 3 5 ABC News 74 October 21 24 2016 49 40 5 2 9 1 119 3 0 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 75 October 21 24 2016 50 38 5 2 12 900 3 27 Associated Press GFK 76 October 20 24 2016 51 37 6 2 14 1 546 2 75 USA Today Suffolk University 77 October 20 24 2016 47 38 4 2 9 1 000 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 78 October 20 24 2016 42 38 7 2 4 1 170 3 3 Rasmussen Reports 572 October 20 24 2016 43 42 5 2 1 1 500 2 5 IBD TIPP 79 October 19 24 2016 42 41 8 3 1 873 3 6 ABC News 80 October 20 23 2016 50 38 5 2 12 1 155 3 0 CNN ORC 81 October 20 23 2016 49 44 3 2 5 779 3 5 Rasmussen Reports 573 October 19 23 2016 41 43 5 3 2 1 500 2 5 IBD TIPP 82 October 18 23 2016 41 41 7 3 Tied 815 3 6 Centre College 574 October 18 23 2016 45 40 6 1 5 569 4 1 NBC News SurveyMonkey 83 October 17 23 2016 46 41 7 3 5 32 225 1 0 ABC News 85 October 20 22 2016 50 38 5 2 12 1 391 3 5 IBD TIPP 86 October 17 22 2016 41 43 7 3 2 783 3 6 IBD TIPP 87 October 16 21 2016 40 42 7 4 2 791 3 6 Politico Morning Consult 88 October 19 20 2016 42 36 9 4 6 1 395 3 0 Rasmussen Reports 575 October 18 20 2016 41 43 5 3 2 1 500 2 5 Ipsos Reuters 92 October 14 20 2016 43 39 6 2 4 1 640 3 0 Rasmussen Reports 576 October 17 19 2016 40 43 6 3 3 1 500 2 5 IBD TIPP 93 October 14 19 2016 40 41 7 5 1 779 3 6 Quinnipiac University 94 October 17 18 2016 47 40 7 1 7 1 007 3 1 YouGov Economist 95 October 15 18 2016 42 38 6 1 4 1 300 3 9 IBD TIPP 96 October 13 18 2016 40 41 8 6 1 782 3 6 Fox News 97 October 15 17 2016 45 39 5 3 6 912 3 0 Bloomberg Politics 98 October 14 17 2016 47 38 8 3 9 1 006 3 1 Rasmussen Reports 577 October 13 17 2016 42 41 7 2 1 1 500 2 5 Ipsos Reuters 99 October 13 17 2016 42 38 6 2 4 1 190 3 2 Monmouth University 102 October 14 16 2016 50 38 5 2 12 805 3 5 CBS News 103 October 12 16 2016 47 38 8 3 9 1 411 3 0 Rasmussen Reports 578 October 12 16 2016 43 41 5 2 2 1 500 2 5 NBC News SurveyMonkey 104 October 10 16 2016 46 40 8 4 6 24 804 1 0 Politico Morning Consult 106 October 13 15 2016 42 36 10 3 6 1 737 2 0 SurveyUSA Boston Globe 579 October 11 14 2016 46 36 5 2 10 845 3 4 Rasmussen Reports 580 October 11 13 2016 41 43 6 2 2 1 500 2 5 NBC News Wall Street Journal 107 October 10 13 2016 48 37 7 2 11 1 000 3 1 ABC News Washington Post 108 October 10 13 2016 47 43 5 2 4 740 4 0 Franklin Pierce University Boston Herald 109 October 9 13 2016 46 41 6 2 5 1 011 3 1 George Washington University 110 October 8 13 2016 47 39 8 2 8 1 000 3 1 Fox News 112 October 10 12 2016 45 38 7 3 7 917 3 0 Rasmussen Reports 581 October 10 12 2016 41 43 6 2 2 1 500 2 5 Insights West 582 October 10 11 2016 47 41 7 3 6 953 3 2 Rasmussen Reports 583 October 9 11 2016 43 39 7 2 4 1 500 2 5 Politico Morning Consult 113 October 10 2016 42 37 10 3 5 1 757 3 0 NBC News Wall Street Journal 114 October 8 10 2016 45 36 8 2 9 806 3 5 Rasmussen Reports 584 October 6 10 2016 44 39 7 2 5 1 500 2 5 Ipsos Reuters 115 October 6 10 2016 44 37 6 2 7 2 363 2 3 Pew Research 117 September 27 October 10 2016 46 39 10 4 7 3 616 2 9 NBC News Wall Street Journal 118 October 8 9 2016 46 35 9 2 11 422 4 6 Rasmussen Reports 585 October 5 9 2016 45 38 7 2 7 1 500 2 5 Public Religion Research Institute The Atlantic 586 October 5 9 2016 49 38 2 0 11 886 3 9 NBC News SurveyMonkey 119 October 3 9 2016 46 41 8 3 5 23 329 1 0 Politico Morning Consult 121 October 8 2016 42 38 8 3 4 1 390 3 0 YouGov Economist 122 October 7 8 2016 44 38 5 1 6 1 300 4 3 Morning Consult 123 October 5 6 2016 41 39 9 3 2 1 775 2 0 Quinnipiac University 124 October 5 6 2016 45 40 6 2 5 1 064 3 0 Rasmussen Reports 587 October 4 6 2016 43 42 7 2 1 1 500 2 5 Fox News 125 October 3 6 2016 44 42 6 2 2 896 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 126 September 30 October 6 2016 42 37 8 2 5 1 695 3 0 Rasmussen Reports 588 October 3 5 2016 41 43 8 3 2 1 500 2 5 Breitbart Gravis Marketing 589 October 3 2016 44 44 5 1 Tied 1 690 2 5 YouGov Economist 130 October 1 3 2016 43 40 5 3 3 911 3 9 Ipsos Reuters 131 September 29 October 3 2016 42 36 8 2 6 1 239 3 2 Rasmussen Reports 590 September 29 October 3 2016 42 41 9 2 1 1 500 2 5 Politico Morning Consult 132 September 30 October 2 2016 42 36 9 3 6 1 778 2 0 Fairleigh Dickinson University 133 September 28 October 2 2016 45 36 11 3 9 385 5 0 CBS News New York Times 134 September 28 October 2 2016 45 41 8 3 4 1 217 3 0 CNN ORC 135 September 28 October 2 2016 47 42 7 2 5 N A N A Rasmussen Reports 591 September 28 October 2 2016 43 40 8 2 3 1 500 2 5 NBC News SurveyMonkey 136 September 26 October 2 2016 46 40 9 3 6 26 925 1 0 Fox News 139 September 27 29 2016 43 40 8 4 3 911 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 140 September 23 29 2016 42 38 7 3 4 2 501 2 0 Rasmussen Reports 592 September 26 28 2016 42 41 7 2 1 1 500 2 5 Morning Consult 145 September 26 27 2016 41 38 8 4 3 1 253 3 0 Public Religion Research Institute 593 September 1 27 2016 49 41 4 1 8 2 010 2 8 Ipsos Reuters 147 September 22 26 2016 42 38 7 2 4 1 041 3 5 Quinnipiac University 148 September 22 25 2016 44 43 8 2 1 1 115 2 9 Monmouth University 149 September 22 25 2016 46 42 8 2 4 729 3 6 NBC News SurveyMonkey 150 September 19 25 2016 45 40 10 3 5 13 598 1 1 Morning Consult 153 September 22 24 2016 38 39 9 4 1 1 712 2 0 YouGov Economist 594 September 22 24 2016 44 41 5 2 3 948 3 8 Bloomberg Selzer 154 September 21 24 2016 41 43 8 4 2 1 002 3 1 ABC News Washington Post 155 September 19 22 2016 46 44 5 1 2 651 4 5 Franklin Pierce University Boston Herald 595 September 18 22 2016 45 43 6 2 2 1 017 3 1 Ipsos Reuters 156 September 16 22 2016 39 37 7 2 2 1 559 3 0 Rasmussen Reports 596 September 20 21 2016 39 44 8 2 5 1 000 3 0 Breitbart Gravis Marketing citation needed September 20 2016 44 40 5 2 4 1 560 2 5 McClatchy Marist 159 September 15 20 2016 45 39 10 4 6 758 3 6 YouGov Economist 161 September 18 19 2016 40 38 7 2 2 936 4 0 NBC News Wall Street Journal 162 September 16 19 2016 43 37 9 3 6 922 3 2 iCitizen 597 September 15 19 2016 42 37 5 3 5 1 000 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 163 September 15 19 2016 37 39 7 2 2 1 111 3 4 Associated Press GFK 164 September 15 19 2016 45 39 9 2 6 1 251 2 5 NBC News SurveyMonkey 167 September 12 18 2016 45 40 10 4 5 13 230 1 2 Morning Consult 598 September 15 16 2016 42 40 8 3 2 1 639 2 0 Saint Leo University 599 September 12 16 2016 46 41 9 4 5 1 005 3 0 Fox News 172 September 11 14 2016 41 40 8 3 1 867 3 0 Rasmussen Reports 600 September 12 13 2016 40 42 7 2 2 1 000 3 0 Emerson College 601 September 11 13 2016 41 43 9 2 2 800 3 4 YouGov Economist 175 September 10 13 2016 42 40 5 3 2 1 087 4 0 CBS News New York Times 176 September 9 13 2016 42 42 8 4 Tied 1 433 3 0 Quinnipiac University 177 September 8 13 2016 41 39 13 4 2 960 3 2 Ipsos Reuters 180 September 8 12 2016 39 39 8 2 Tied 1 127 3 3 Pew Research 182 August 16 September 12 2016 45 38 10 4 2 3 941 2 6 NBC News SurveyMonkey 183 September 5 11 2016 42 40 11 4 2 16 220 1 1 Gravis Marketing Breitbart citation needed September 7 8 2016 43 40 7 1 3 2 348 2 0 Morning Consult 185 September 6 8 2016 43 41 10 3 2 1 710 2 0 ABC News Washington Post 186 September 5 8 2016 46 41 9 2 5 642 4 5 Rasmussen Reports 602 September 6 7 2016 43 39 9 2 4 1 000 3 0 YouGov Economist 190 September 4 6 2016 40 38 7 5 2 1 077 4 7 Ipsos Reuters 192 September 1 5 2016 40 38 8 3 2 1 084 3 5 CNN ORC 194 September 1 4 2016 43 45 7 2 2 786 3 5 Franklin Pierce University Boston Herald 603 August 31 September 4 2016 44 41 8 3 3 1 025 3 1 NBC News SurveyMonkey 195 August 29 September 4 2016 41 37 12 4 4 32 226 1 0 Morning Consult 198 September 1 2 2016 38 36 9 4 2 2 001 2 0 George Washington University 604 August 28 September 1 2016 42 40 11 3 2 1 000 3 1 Ipsos Reuters 199 August 26 September 1 2016 39 39 7 2 Tied 1 804 3 0 IBD TPP 200 August 26 September 1 2016 39 39 12 3 Tied 861 3 4 Rasmussen Reports 605 August 29 30 2016 39 40 7 3 1 1 000 3 0 Fox News 201 August 28 30 2016 41 39 9 4 2 1 011 3 0 YouGov Economist 606 August 27 29 2016 42 37 7 3 5 1 119 4 0 Ipsos Reuters 203 August 25 29 2016 40 38 6 2 2 1 404 3 0 Suffolk University USA Today 204 August 25 29 2016 42 35 9 4 7 1 000 3 0 Monmouth University 208 August 25 28 2016 43 36 8 2 7 689 3 5 NBC News SurveyMonkey 209 August 22 28 2016 41 37 11 5 4 24 104 1 0 Morning Consult 212 August 24 26 2016 39 37 8 3 2 2 007 2 0 Ipsos Reuters 213 August 22 25 2016 39 36 7 3 3 1 154 3 0 Rasmussen Reports 607 August 23 24 2016 42 38 9 2 4 1 000 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 214 August 20 24 2016 39 36 7 2 3 1 049 2 9 Quinnipiac University 216 August 18 24 2016 45 38 10 4 7 1 498 2 5 Gravis Marketing 608 August 22 23 2016 42 41 4 1 1 1 493 2 5 YouGov Economist 218 August 19 23 2016 42 38 6 4 4 1 080 4 1 Ipsos Reuters 220 August 18 22 2016 41 33 7 2 8 1 115 3 0 NBC News SurveyMonkey 223 August 15 21 2016 43 38 11 5 5 17 451 1 1 Morning Consult 225 August 16 20 2016 39 36 8 4 3 2 001 2 0 Ipsos Reuters 228 August 13 17 2016 39 35 7 2 4 1 049 2 8 Rasmussen Reports 609 August 15 16 2016 41 39 9 3 2 1 000 3 0 YouGov Economist 610 August 11 16 2016 41 35 7 3 6 1 076 4 1 Pew Research 611 August 9 16 2016 41 37 10 4 4 1 567 2 8 Normington Petts amp Associates 232 August 9 15 2016 45 37 8 4 8 1 000 3 1 NBC News SurveyMonkey 235 August 8 14 2016 43 37 11 4 6 15 179 1 2 Zogby Analytics 612 August 12 13 2016 38 36 8 5 2 1 277 2 8 Morning Consult 234 August 11 14 2016 39 33 9 4 6 2 001 2 0 Ipsos Reuters 239 August 6 10 2016 40 35 7 3 5 974 2 9 Rasmussen Reports 613 August 9 10 2016 43 40 8 2 3 1 000 3 0 Breitbart Gravis Marketing citation needed August 9 2016 42 37 9 3 5 2 832 1 8 YouGov Economist 240 August 6 9 2016 42 36 9 2 6 1 300 4 2 Bloomberg Politics 242 August 5 8 2016 44 40 9 4 4 749 3 6 Princeton Survey 245 August 4 7 2016 45 39 2 1 6 1 000 3 9 Monmouth University 614 August 4 7 2016 46 34 7 2 12 803 3 5 NBC News SurveyMonkey 247 August 1 7 2016 44 38 10 4 6 11 480 1 2 Morning Consult 250 August 4 5 2016 41 33 9 5 8 2 001 2 0 ABC News Washington Post 251 August 1 4 2016 45 37 8 4 8 1 002 3 5 Ipsos Reuters 252 July 31 August 4 2016 42 40 6 3 2 1 154 3 0 IBD TPP 254 July 29 August 4 2016 39 35 12 5 4 851 3 4 McClatchy Marist 255 August 1 3 2016 45 31 10 6 14 983 3 1 NBC News Wall Street Journal 256 July 31 August 3 2016 43 34 10 5 9 800 3 5 Ipsos Reuters 257 July 30 August 3 2016 42 38 6 2 4 1 072 3 5 Rasmussen Reports 615 August 1 2 2016 44 40 6 3 4 1 000 3 0 The Economist YouGov 262 July 31 August 1 2016 41 36 8 4 5 1 300 4 0 CNN ORC 265 July 29 31 2016 45 37 9 5 8 894 3 5 NBC News SurveyMonkey 267 July 25 31 2016 43 38 9 4 5 12 742 1 2 Public Policy Polling 269 July 29 30 2016 46 41 6 2 5 1 276 2 7 RABA Research 616 July 29 2016 46 31 7 2 15 956 3 2 Ipsos Reuters 270 July 25 29 2016 37 37 5 1 Tied 1 788 2 4 YouGov Economist 274 July 23 24 2016 40 38 5 3 2 1 300 4 5 CNN ORC 277 July 22 24 2016 39 44 9 3 5 882 3 5 University of Delaware 617 July 21 24 2016 46 42 1 1 4 818 4 0 NBC News SurveyMonkey 279 July 18 24 2016 39 41 10 5 2 12 931 1 2 RABA Research 618 July 22 2016 39 34 8 3 5 909 3 3 Echelon Insights 619 July 21 22 2016 40 39 3 2 1 912 N A Ipsos Reuters 284 July 16 20 2016 39 35 7 3 4 1 522 2 9 YouGov Economist 620 July 15 17 2016 40 37 5 4 3 1 300 4 2 NBC News SurveyMonkey 288 July 11 17 2016 39 40 10 5 1 9 436 1 4 Monmouth University 621 July 14 16 2016 45 43 5 1 2 688 3 7 Franklin Pierce University Boston Herald 622 July 13 16 2016 44 41 7 2 3 1 007 3 1 CNN ORC 290 July 13 16 2016 42 37 13 5 5 872 3 5 icitizen 291 July 11 14 2016 39 35 9 3 4 1 000 N A ABC News Washington Post 292 July 11 14 2016 42 38 8 5 4 1 003 3 5 NBC News Wall Street Journal 295 July 9 13 2016 41 35 11 6 6 1 000 3 1 The Economist YouGov 297 July 9 11 2016 40 37 5 2 3 1 300 4 2 AP GfK 623 July 7 11 2016 40 36 6 2 4 837 3 3 NBC News SurveyMonkey 298 July 4 10 2016 40 38 11 6 2 7 869 1 4 Raba Research 624 July 7 9 2016 41 29 9 2 12 781 3 5 McClatchy Marist 300 July 5 9 2016 40 35 10 5 5 1 249 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 301 July 2 6 2016 42 33 6 4 9 1 345 2 8 The Economist YouGov 304 July 2 4 2016 42 37 4 3 5 1 300 3 9 NBC News SurveyMonkey 306 June 27 July 3 2016 41 38 9 5 3 10 072 1 3 Suffolk University USA Today 309 June 26 29 2016 39 35 8 3 4 1 000 3 0 Ipsos Reuters 310 June 25 29 2016 42 31 5 4 11 1 247 2 8 IBD TIPP 311 June 24 29 2016 37 36 9 5 1 837 3 5 Public Policy Polling 313 June 27 28 2016 45 41 5 2 4 947 3 2 Quinnipiac University 316 June 21 27 2016 39 37 8 4 2 1 610 2 4 NBC News SurveyMonkey 317 June 20 26 2016 42 36 9 5 6 5 818 1 8 ABC News Washington Post 320 June 20 23 2016 47 37 7 3 10 836 4 0 NBC News Wall Street Journal 321 June 19 23 2016 39 38 10 6 1 1 000 3 1 Ipsos Reuters 322 June 18 22 2016 43 34 6 5 9 1 339 2 8 CNN ORC 327 June 16 19 2016 42 38 9 7 4 891 3 5 Monmouth University 328 June 15 19 2016 42 36 9 4 6 803 3 5 NBC News SurveyMonkey 329 June 13 19 2016 42 38 9 5 4 16 135 1 1 Ipsos Reuters 625 June 11 15 2016 39 29 6 4 10 1 323 2 8 NBC Survey Monkey 336 June 6 12 2016 42 38 9 5 4 10 604 1 3 SurveyUSA 626 June 8 2016 39 36 6 4 3 1 408 2 7 Zogby 627 May 30 June 5 2016 40 34 6 2 6 837 3 5 NBC News 628 May 30 June 5 2016 39 40 9 4 1 9 240 1 4 Quinnipiac University 629 May 24 30 2016 40 38 5 3 2 1 561 2 5 Five way race edit Poll source Date Hillary ClintonDemocratic Donald TrumpRepublican Gary JohnsonLibertarian Jill SteinGreen Evan McMullinIndependent Leading by points Samplesize Marginof errorSaint Leo University 570 October 22 26 2016 42 31 6 1 5 11 1 050 Public Policy Polling 142 September 27 28 2016 44 40 6 1 2 4 933 3 2 Echelon Insights 144 September 26 27 2016 44 39 6 2 1 5 1 833 Public Policy Polling 207 August 26 28 2016 42 37 6 4 1 5 881 3 3 Post election analysis editBBC News discussed whether polling should be abandoned due to its perceived failure 1 Forbes magazine contributor astrophysicist Ethan Siegel performed a scientific analysis and raised whether the statistical population sampled for the polling was inaccurate and cited the cautionary adage Garbage in garbage out 2 He concluded there may have been sampling bias on the part of the pollsters 2 Siegel compared the 2016 election to the failure of prognosticator Arthur Henning in the Dewey Defeats Truman incident from the 1948 presidential election 2 Despite all this however nationwide polling was not far off from the actual popular vote result and in fact very few states had results that deviated from the margin of error in the polling average In a FiveThirtyEight article Nate Silver defended the performance of the polls in 2016 as historically average and argued that Media organizations need to do a better job of informing their readers about the uncertainties associated with polling 630 A particular case was the USC Los Angeles Times Daybreak tracking poll which was different from other polls as it had Donald Trump in the lead more often than not 631 The poll s findings caused skepticism especially from other pollsters and media outlets who have denounced it and often criticized the LA Times for running it 632 Before the election Nate Silver deemed as positive the fact that the poll allowed people to assign themselves a probability of voting for either candidate instead of saying they re 100 percent sure saying if people are going to browbeat a pollster let s do it to a pollster who is doing things cheaply some of the robopolls qualify and not one that s trying to move the ball forward like the LA Times poll 633 The LA Times concluded after the preliminary results of the election were published That doesn t necessarily mean that a poll conducted online the way the Daybreak poll is necessarily will be more accurate than polls conducted by phone But it is yet another indication that polling needs more diverse ways to look at public opinion not fewer 634 See also editGeneral election polling Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election by demographics 2016 Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election 2016 International opinion polling for the United States presidential election 2016Democratic primary polling Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2016 presidential primaries Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries 2016Republican primary polling Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2016 presidential primaries Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries 2016After the election Opinion polling on the Donald Trump administrationReferences edit a b c Peter Barnes Senior elections and political analyst BBC News 11 November 2016 Reality Check Should we give up on election polling BBC News retrieved 12 November 2016 a href Template Citation html title Template Citation citation a CS1 maint multiple names authors list link a b c d e Ethan Siegel 9 November 2016 The Science Of Error How Polling Botched The 2016 Election Forbes magazine retrieved 12 November 2016 A Quick and Dirty Guide to Polls for the 2016 Election a b National 2016 Presidential Election Polls Archived from the original on 2016 11 06 a b 2016 General Election Trump vs Clinton Archived from the original on 2016 10 02 UPI CVoter poll Clinton holds slim lead over Trump in last poll before election day Team CVoter UPI November 7 2016 Retrieved November 7 2016 a b The Economist YouGov Poll Likely Voters PDF The Economist YouGov November 7 2016 Retrieved November 8 2016 a b Bloomberg Politics National Poll Selzer amp Company Bloomberg News November 7 2016 Retrieved November 7 2016 a b Post ABC Tracking Poll Nov 3 6 2016 Langer Research Associates ABC News The Washington Post November 7 2016 Archived from the original on November 10 2016 Retrieved November 7 2016 a b a, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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