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Bucklin voting

Bucklin voting is a class of voting methods that can be used for single-member and multi-member districts. As in highest median rules like the majority judgment, the Bucklin winner will be one of the candidates with the highest median ranking or rating. It is named after its original promoter, the Georgist politician[1] James W. Bucklin of Grand Junction, Colorado, and is also known as the Grand Junction system.

Voting process edit

Bucklin rules varied, but here is a typical example:

Voters are allowed rank preference ballots (first, second, third, etc.).

First choice votes are first counted. If one candidate has a majority, that candidate wins. Otherwise the second choices are added to the first choices. Again, if a candidate with a majority vote is found, the winner is the candidate with the most votes accumulated. Lower rankings are added as needed.

A majority is determined based on the number of valid ballots. Since, after the first round, there may be more votes cast than voters, it is possible for more than one candidate to have majority support.

Variants and relationships to other methods edit

The term Bucklin voting refers to the process of counting all votes on all ballots that are above some threshold, and then adjusting that threshold down until a majority is reached. In some variants which have been used, equal ranking was allowed at some or all ranks. Some variants had a predetermined number of ranks available (usually 2 or 3), while others had unlimited ranks. There were also variants akin to Borda voting in that lower-ranked votes counted for less.

The Bucklin procedure is one way to ensure that the winning candidate will be among those with the highest median vote. When used with a cardinal voting scale instead of ordinal ranking, Bucklin's balloting method is the same as that of highest median rules like the Majority Judgment. However, Bucklin's selection algorithm starts with the highest rated votes and adds lower ones until a median winner is reached, whereas Majority Judgment starts with the median votes and removes them until all but one candidate is eliminated. Due to this difference, Bucklin passes some voting criteria that Majority Judgment fails, and vice versa.

Bucklin applied to multiwinner elections edit

Bucklin was used for multiwinner elections. [citation needed] For multi-member districts, voters marked as many first choices as there are seats to be filled. Voters marked the same number of second and further choices. In some localities, the voter was required to mark a full set of first choices for his or her ballot to be valid. However, allowing voters to cast three simultaneous votes for three seats (block voting) could allow an organized 51%, or the largest minority in a contest with three or more slates, to win all three seats in the first round, so this method does not give proportional representation.

History and usage edit

The method was proposed by Condorcet in 1793.[2] It was re-invented under its current name and used in many political elections in the United States in the early 20th century, as were other experimental election methods during the progressive era. Bucklin voting was first used in 1909 in Grand Junction, Colorado, and then used in more than sixty other cities including Denver and San Francisco.[3][4]

In two states, it was found to violate the state constitution and overturned; in the remainder of states using it, it was repealed. In Minnesota, it was ruled unconstitutional, in a decision that disallowed votes for multiple candidates, in opposition to some voters' single expressed preference,[5] and in a variant used in Oklahoma, the particular application required voters in multi-candidate elections to rank more than one candidate, or the vote would not be counted; and the preferential primary was therefore found unconstitutional. The canvassing method itself was not rejected in Oklahoma.[6]

Adoption by Location[a]
State Election Year Adopted Notes
Washington State Primaries 1907 Predates traditional Bucklin voting and is slightly modified: candidates could win with 40% of the vote. The idea may have been based on a proposed primary law for Wisconsin suggested by Governor La Follete a year earlier.[7]
Colorado Grand Junction 1909
Washington Spokane 1910
Colorado Pueblo 1911
Louisiana New Iberia 1912
Minnesota Duluth 1913
Colorado Denver 1913
Colorado Colorado Springs 1913
Oregon Portland 1913
New Hampshire Nashua 1913
Ohio Cleveland 1913
Colorado Fort Collins 1913
Oregon La Grande 1913
California San Francisco 1917
Sources[8]

Satisfied and failed criteria edit

Bucklin voting satisfies the majority criterion, the mutual majority criterion and the monotonicity criterion.[9]

Bucklin voting without equal rankings allowed[clarification needed] fails the Condorcet criterion, independence of clones criterion,[10] later-no-harm, participation, consistency, reversal symmetry, the Condorcet loser criterion and the independence of irrelevant alternatives criterion.

If equal and skipped rankings are allowed, Bucklin passes or fails the same criteria as highest median rules like the Majority Judgment.

Example application edit

 

Suppose that Tennessee is holding an election on the location of its capital. The population is concentrated around four major cities. All voters want the capital to be as close to them as possible. The options are:

  • Memphis, the largest city, but far from the others (42% of voters)
  • Nashville, near the center of the state (26% of voters)
  • Chattanooga, somewhat east (15% of voters)
  • Knoxville, far to the northeast (17% of voters)

The preferences of each region's voters are:

42% of voters
Far-West
26% of voters
Center
15% of voters
Center-East
17% of voters
Far-East
  1. Memphis
  2. Nashville
  3. Chattanooga
  4. Knoxville
  1. Nashville
  2. Chattanooga
  3. Knoxville
  4. Memphis
  1. Chattanooga
  2. Knoxville
  3. Nashville
  4. Memphis
  1. Knoxville
  2. Chattanooga
  3. Nashville
  4. Memphis


City Round 1 Round 2
Memphis 42 42
Nashville 26 68
Chattanooga 15 58
Knoxville 17 32

The first round has no majority winner. Therefore, the second rank votes are added. This moves Nashville and Chattanooga above 50%, so a winner can be determined. Since Nashville is supported by a higher majority (68% versus 58%), Nashville is the winner.

Voter strategy edit

Voters supporting a strong candidate have an incentive to bullet vote (offer only one first-rank vote), in hopes that other voters will add enough votes to help their candidate win. This strategy is most secure if the supported candidate appears likely to gain many second-rank votes.

In the above example, Memphis voters have the most first-place votes and might not offer a second preference in hopes of winning, but the strategy fails, unless other voters also bullet vote, because they are not a second-place choice of competitors.

If all Memphis voters bullet vote, Chattanooga voters could cause their city to win by all bullet voting. However, if all Nashville voters also do the same, Memphis would win on the fourth and final round. In that case, Knoxville voters could do nothing to change the outcome.

In this particular example (but not always), bullet voting benefits one group of voters only if another group or groups do it as well. The example shows that, depending upon who does it, bullet voting may distort the outcome and could be counterproductive for some voters who do it (here, those from Chattanooga and Nashville).

To prevent bullet voting, voters could be required to rank all candidates on the ballot. This would provide the voter with a disincentive to bullet vote, as the vote would not be counted unless all candidates are ranked.

See also edit

References edit

Specific
  1. ^ Hermann, J. R. "A Remembrance of James W. Bucklin". Single Tax Review, Vol. XIX, No.2, March-April 1919. http://cooperative-individualism.org/hermann-j-r_a-remembrance-of-james-bucklin-1919.htm
  2. ^ Principles and problems of government, Haines and Hanes, 1921
  3. ^ Barber, Kathleen L. (2000). A Right to Representation: Proportional Election Systems for the Twenty-first Century. Ohio State University Press. p. 167. ISBN 9780814208540.
  4. ^ Kneier, Charles Mayard (1957). City government in the United States. Harper. pp. 365–370. OCLC 610214970.
  5. ^ Brown v. Smallwood, 130 Minn. 492, 153 N. W. 953
  6. ^ "Dove v. Oglesby". oscn.net.
  7. ^ Merriam, Charles Edward (1908). Primary Elections: A Study of the History and Tendencies of Primary Election Legislation. University of Chicago Press.
  8. ^ Mason, Haven A.; Locke, William James (1914). Pacific Municipalities.
  9. ^ Collective decisions and voting: the potential for public choice, Nicolaus Tideman, 2006, p. 204
  10. ^ Tideman, 2006, ibid
General

Notes edit

  1. ^ All instances of this system were later abolished, but the dates are unknown.

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For the modern graded voting variant with equal and skipped ranks see Graduated majority judgment Bucklin voting is a class of voting methods that can be used for single member and multi member districts As in highest median rules like the majority judgment the Bucklin winner will be one of the candidates with the highest median ranking or rating It is named after its original promoter the Georgist politician 1 James W Bucklin of Grand Junction Colorado and is also known as the Grand Junction system Contents 1 Voting process 2 Variants and relationships to other methods 3 Bucklin applied to multiwinner elections 4 History and usage 5 Satisfied and failed criteria 6 Example application 7 Voter strategy 8 See also 9 References 10 NotesVoting process editBucklin rules varied but here is a typical example Voters are allowed rank preference ballots first second third etc First choice votes are first counted If one candidate has a majority that candidate wins Otherwise the second choices are added to the first choices Again if a candidate with a majority vote is found the winner is the candidate with the most votes accumulated Lower rankings are added as needed A majority is determined based on the number of valid ballots Since after the first round there may be more votes cast than voters it is possible for more than one candidate to have majority support Variants and relationships to other methods editThe term Bucklin voting refers to the process of counting all votes on all ballots that are above some threshold and then adjusting that threshold down until a majority is reached In some variants which have been used equal ranking was allowed at some or all ranks Some variants had a predetermined number of ranks available usually 2 or 3 while others had unlimited ranks There were also variants akin to Borda voting in that lower ranked votes counted for less The Bucklin procedure is one way to ensure that the winning candidate will be among those with the highest median vote When used with a cardinal voting scale instead of ordinal ranking Bucklin s balloting method is the same as that of highest median rules like the Majority Judgment However Bucklin s selection algorithm starts with the highest rated votes and adds lower ones until a median winner is reached whereas Majority Judgment starts with the median votes and removes them until all but one candidate is eliminated Due to this difference Bucklin passes some voting criteria that Majority Judgment fails and vice versa Bucklin applied to multiwinner elections editBucklin was used for multiwinner elections citation needed For multi member districts voters marked as many first choices as there are seats to be filled Voters marked the same number of second and further choices In some localities the voter was required to mark a full set of first choices for his or her ballot to be valid However allowing voters to cast three simultaneous votes for three seats block voting could allow an organized 51 or the largest minority in a contest with three or more slates to win all three seats in the first round so this method does not give proportional representation History and usage editThe method was proposed by Condorcet in 1793 2 It was re invented under its current name and used in many political elections in the United States in the early 20th century as were other experimental election methods during the progressive era Bucklin voting was first used in 1909 in Grand Junction Colorado and then used in more than sixty other cities including Denver and San Francisco 3 4 In two states it was found to violate the state constitution and overturned in the remainder of states using it it was repealed In Minnesota it was ruled unconstitutional in a decision that disallowed votes for multiple candidates in opposition to some voters single expressed preference 5 and in a variant used in Oklahoma the particular application required voters in multi candidate elections to rank more than one candidate or the vote would not be counted and the preferential primary was therefore found unconstitutional The canvassing method itself was not rejected in Oklahoma 6 Adoption by Location a State Election Year Adopted NotesWashington State Primaries 1907 Predates traditional Bucklin voting and is slightly modified candidates could win with 40 of the vote The idea may have been based on a proposed primary law for Wisconsin suggested by Governor La Follete a year earlier 7 Colorado Grand Junction 1909Washington Spokane 1910Colorado Pueblo 1911Louisiana New Iberia 1912Minnesota Duluth 1913Colorado Denver 1913Colorado Colorado Springs 1913Oregon Portland 1913New Hampshire Nashua 1913Ohio Cleveland 1913Colorado Fort Collins 1913Oregon La Grande 1913California San Francisco 1917Sources 8 Satisfied and failed criteria editBucklin voting satisfies the majority criterion the mutual majority criterion and the monotonicity criterion 9 Bucklin voting without equal rankings allowed clarification needed fails the Condorcet criterion independence of clones criterion 10 later no harm participation consistency reversal symmetry the Condorcet loser criterion and the independence of irrelevant alternatives criterion If equal and skipped rankings are allowed Bucklin passes or fails the same criteria as highest median rules like the Majority Judgment Example application editvte nbsp Suppose that Tennessee is holding an election on the location of its capital The population is concentrated around four major cities All voters want the capital to be as close to them as possible The options are Memphis the largest city but far from the others 42 of voters Nashville near the center of the state 26 of voters Chattanooga somewhat east 15 of voters Knoxville far to the northeast 17 of voters The preferences of each region s voters are 42 of votersFar West 26 of votersCenter 15 of votersCenter East 17 of votersFar EastMemphisNashvilleChattanoogaKnoxville NashvilleChattanoogaKnoxvilleMemphis ChattanoogaKnoxvilleNashvilleMemphis KnoxvilleChattanoogaNashvilleMemphis City Round 1 Round 2Memphis 42 42Nashville 26 68Chattanooga 15 58Knoxville 17 32 The first round has no majority winner Therefore the second rank votes are added This moves Nashville and Chattanooga above 50 so a winner can be determined Since Nashville is supported by a higher majority 68 versus 58 Nashville is the winner Voter strategy editVoters supporting a strong candidate have an incentive to bullet vote offer only one first rank vote in hopes that other voters will add enough votes to help their candidate win This strategy is most secure if the supported candidate appears likely to gain many second rank votes In the above example Memphis voters have the most first place votes and might not offer a second preference in hopes of winning but the strategy fails unless other voters also bullet vote because they are not a second place choice of competitors If all Memphis voters bullet vote Chattanooga voters could cause their city to win by all bullet voting However if all Nashville voters also do the same Memphis would win on the fourth and final round In that case Knoxville voters could do nothing to change the outcome In this particular example but not always bullet voting benefits one group of voters only if another group or groups do it as well The example shows that depending upon who does it bullet voting may distort the outcome and could be counterproductive for some voters who do it here those from Chattanooga and Nashville To prevent bullet voting voters could be required to rank all candidates on the ballot This would provide the voter with a disincentive to bullet vote as the vote would not be counted unless all candidates are ranked See also editList of democracy and elections related topics Voting system Plurality voting system Instant runoff voting Approval voting Score voting Borda count Expanding Approvals RuleReferences editSpecific Hermann J R A Remembrance of James W Bucklin Single Tax Review Vol XIX No 2 March April 1919 http cooperative individualism org hermann j r a remembrance of james bucklin 1919 htm Principles and problems of government Haines and Hanes 1921 Barber Kathleen L 2000 A Right to Representation Proportional Election Systems for the Twenty first Century Ohio State University Press p 167 ISBN 9780814208540 Kneier Charles Mayard 1957 City government in the United States Harper pp 365 370 OCLC 610214970 Brown v Smallwood 130 Minn 492 153 N W 953 Dove v Oglesby oscn net Merriam Charles Edward 1908 Primary Elections A Study of the History and Tendencies of Primary Election Legislation University of Chicago Press Mason Haven A Locke William James 1914 Pacific Municipalities Collective decisions and voting the potential for public choice Nicolaus Tideman 2006 p 204 Tideman 2006 ibid GeneralMunicipal Voting System Reform Overcoming the Legal Obstacles History of use of Bucklin voting in Duluth Minnesota in 1912 Grand Junction people James BucklinNotes edit All instances of this system were later abolished but the dates are unknown Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title Bucklin voting amp oldid 1211313085, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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