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2023 Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election

A by-election took place in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Rutherglen and Hamilton West on 5 October 2023,[1] following the recall of incumbent MP Margaret Ferrier.[2]

2023 Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election
← 2019 5 October 2023 Next →

Rutherglen and Hamilton West constituency
Turnout37.2%
  First party Second party
 
SNP
Candidate Michael Shanks Katy Loudon
Party Labour Co-op SNP
Popular vote 17,845 8,399
Percentage 58.6% 27.6%
Swing 24.1pp 16.6pp

Ferrier, elected for the Scottish National Party, was suspended from the House of Commons in June 2023 for 30 days for breaching COVID-19 regulations in 2020. In accordance with the Recall of MPs Act 2015, this suspension triggered a recall petition in the constituency. This petition was successful, resulting in her removal from the seat and thus triggering a by-election.

The by-election was won by Michael Shanks of Labour with 58.6% of the vote, while Katy Loudon of the SNP finished in second place with 27.6% of the vote.[3] Twelve other candidates stood in the by-election, although none of them exceeded the 5% of the vote required to retain their deposits.[4] Turnout was recorded at 37.19%.[4]

Constituency edit

 
Boundary of the Rutherglen and Hamilton West constituency in Scotland

Rutherglen and Hamilton West is a suburban constituency in Greater Glasgow, stretching eastwards along the River Clyde and south into Lanarkshire.[5] A former centre of heavy industry, its historical coal mining industry died out as far back as 1950. Significant swathes of the seat have been highlighted as some of the most deprived areas of Scotland.[6] Most constituents live in the town of Rutherglen and the western parts of the town of Hamilton.

The constituency was created for the 2005 general election, out of the abolished Glasgow Rutherglen and Hamilton South constituencies. Labour MP Tommy McAvoy, who was the longest-serving government whip, stood down at the 2010 election,[7] and the seat was retained for the party by Tom Greatrex with an increased majority.[8]

The constituency was regarded as a safe seat for Labour until the 2015 general election, when Margaret Ferrier took it from Greatrex by nearly 10,000 votes amidst a Scottish National Party landslide.[9] In the snap 2017 general election, the seat was taken back by Labour's Ged Killen with a majority of just 265 votes.[10] In the 2019 general election, Ferrier defeated Killen by a majority of 5,000 votes,[11] nonetheless making it one of the most marginal SNP seats in Scotland.[12]

Recall petition edit

Background edit

Ferrier, standing for the Scottish National Party (SNP), was first elected MP for the constituency in the 2015 general election, lost her seat in 2017 and then regained it in 2019. In September 2020, Ferrier made serious breaches of COVID-19 regulations. She noted symptoms of COVID-19 and took a test, then visited various public places.[13] She took a train from Scotland to London, on 28 September, and while waiting for results, she spoke in a parliamentary debate that evening.[14] She received a positive test result the same evening and returned to Scotland the next morning, again by train.[14]

Ferrier was subsequently suspended from the SNP, and referred herself to the police and the Parliamentary standards authorities.[15] On 4 January 2021, she was arrested and charged by Police Scotland[16] with "culpable and reckless conduct."[17] She pleaded guilty[18] and was sentenced to 270 hours of community service.[19]

On 30 March 2023, the Commons Select Committee on Standards, recommended that she be suspended from Parliament for 30 days.[20] She lost her appeal on the recommendation on 22 May 2023[21] with the independent panel finding that she "acted with blatant and deliberate dishonest intent. She acted with a high degree of recklessness to the public and to colleagues and staff at the House of Commons. She acted selfishly, putting her own interests above the public interest."[22] On 6 June 2023, the House of Commons voted to suspend Ferrier for 30 days.[23] The Recall of MPs Act 2015 provides that a recall petition is automatically initiated by any of several events happening to an MP, one of which is suspension from the House of Commons for a period of more than 10 sitting days or 14 calendar days.

Parliament was in recess when the petition closed; the SNP moved the writ of election on the first day after it reconvened, fixing the by-election for 5 October, the earliest available date.[2][24] By-elections in Mid Bedfordshire and Tamworth would be held a fortnight later, on 19 October.[25]

The by-election was the first in Scotland under the provisions of the Elections Act 2022 that required voters to show a form of identification (ID) in order to vote.[26][27]

Petition process edit

On 6 June 2023, South Lanarkshire Council was formally notified by Speaker of the House of Commons that a petition was to be opened. The petition opened at 9am on 20 June 2023 for a period of six weeks, closing at 5pm on 31 July.[28] Electors were able to sign in person at seven locations within the constituency,[28] as well as via post or proxy.[28]

At the announcement of the petition, the electorate of the constituency was determined to be 81,124 persons, meaning that 8,113 signatures were required for the petition to succeed.[28] Per the petition rules, no information on the progress of the petition was reported until the end of the signing period. The Labour Party and the SNP were both registered as campaigners for the success of the petition.[29]

It was the fourth petition to occur since the procedure was introduced, as well as the first in Scotland and the second petition during the present Parliament.[30]

On 1 August, it was announced that 11,896 people had signed the petition, exceeding the threshold and triggering the by-election.[31] It was the first by-election during the premiership of Humza Yousaf.[32]

Campaign edit

Anticipating the vacancy, campaigning began before the closure of the petition. The Scottish Labour leader, Anas Sarwar, and the SNP leader, Humza Yousaf, both repeatedly visited the seat, which was seen as an SNP/Labour marginal. The contest was the first major electoral test of Yousaf's period as SNP leader and First Minister.[33] It was also described as a "must-win" for Labour under Keir Starmer.[34]

Commentator Polly Toynbee suggested that one issue in the by-election would be the two-child benefit cap. Labour support the cap, whereas the SNP and the Greens oppose it.[35] However, Labour's candidate Michael Shanks supports abolishing the cap and pledged to vote to scrap it should he win the seat, disagreeing with the party leadership on the matter.[36][37] He also supports gender self-identification, which Starmer opposes.[36] UK Labour deputy leader Angela Rayner suggested that Shanks would not be disciplined for voting against the party whip on the two-child benefit cap in parliament.[37] However, SNP leader Humza Yousaf dismissed Shanks' claims to oppose the cap, claiming that a Labour MP would "do whatever... Keir Starmer tells him to do".[36] The Economist reported that the ambivalence of SNP voters in the constituency as a result of the resignation of Nicola Sturgeon was a bad sign for the SNP holding the seat.[38]

One local issue commented on by candidates was council tax in South Lanarkshire, which was set to rise, exacerbating the cost-of-living crisis.[39][40] The local council had been in controversy following the suspension of the Labour council leader Joe Fagan in June for reportedly "leaking classified information".[41] On 25 August he survived a no confidence vote to remove him as head of the local authority.[42] The local Labour party had been also criticised by councillor Mathew Buchanan (East Kilbride South), who wrote to Leader of the Scottish Labour Party Anas Sarwar alerting him to the allegedly "toxic culture" of the group.[43] On 15 August, Keir Starmer and Anas Sarwar met with voters at Rutherglen Town Hall.[44] On 21 August, deputy Labour leaders Jackie Baillie and Angela Rayner campaigned in the seat.[45] Yousaf visited a nursery with Loudon on 15 September.[46]

The Scottish Conservative leader Douglas Ross was accused of avoiding the by-election campaign.[47] He said he would visit the constituency at a later date but did not.[48] Just before the election, plans of tactical voting (Conservatives switching to Labour to ensure SNP defeat) were reported.[49]

Candidates edit

Anticipating its success, some candidates were selected by parties before the closure of the petition.[50] Ferrier confirmed on 1 August that she would not stand for re-election.[2] Nominations closed on 12 September.[51]

Labour selected their candidate, Michael Shanks, in anticipation that the by-election would occur.[52] Shanks was the Labour candidate in Glasgow North West at the 2017 general election.[53] Shanks had resigned from the party on the day of the 2019 European Parliament election, citing antisemitism in the party and "complacency" with regards to Brexit, but re-joined after Keir Starmer's election as leader.[54] The others shortlisted were Dr Greg Irwin, Aberdeen councillor Deena Tissera and South Lanarkshire councillor Maureen Devlin.[55]

On 9 June 2023, the SNP selected local councillor and former primary school teacher Katy Loudon as their candidate.[56] She is a member of South Lanarkshire Council, representing the Cambuslang East ward.[57]

On 27 August, the Alba Party announced that they would not contest the by-election "to prevent splitting the pro-independence vote".[58][59]

On 12 June, the Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition (TUSC) announced that Unison shop steward Chris Sermanni would be their candidate.[60] He campaigned on "above-inflation pay and benefit rises, and socialist nationalisation of energy, the banks, and big industries like Royal Mail".[61]

The Scottish Socialist Party chose Bill Bonnar as their candidate.[62] He campaigned on a £15 an hour minimum wage and scrapping zero-hours contracts in favour of guaranteed minimum hours.[63] Bonnar made a pledge to "take no more than the average skilled worker's wage" if elected.[61][64]

On 3 August, the Scottish Conservatives selected Thomas Kerr as their candidate.[65] Kerr has been a member of Glasgow City Council for Shettleston Ward since 2017.[66] He became leader of the Conservative grouping on the council in 2019 after serving as deputy for two years.[67]

On 7 August, Reform UK announced David Stark as their candidate.[68] Stark, a retired architect, previously stood as the Conservative Party candidate for the Cumbernauld East ward in the 2017 North Lanarkshire Council election.[69]

On 11 August, the Scottish Liberal Democrats selected Gloria Adebo as their candidate.[70] Adebo previously stood as a candidate for the party in the Rutherglen Central and North ward in the 2022 South Lanarkshire Council election.[71][72]

Volt UK selected Ewan Hoyle as their candidate.[73] He previously stood as a candidate for the party in the Pollokshields ward in the 2022 Glasgow City Council election.[74] Formerly a Liberal Democrat, he previously stood as a candidate in Glasgow South in the 2015 and 2017 general elections, and Hamilton, Larkhill and Stonehouse in the 2011 Scottish Parliament election.[75][76][77]

Cameron Eadie, a 20-year-old student at the University of Glasgow, stood for the Scottish Greens.[78][79]

Results edit

 
Bar chart of the election result.

Michael Shanks won the seat with a 20.4% SNP-to-Labour swing, winning over twice as many votes as second-placed SNP candidate Katy Loudon.[80] Of the fourteen candidates that stood in the by-election, only Shanks and Loudon received over 5% of the vote and therefore retained their deposits. The turnout was 37.2%.[4][3]

2023 Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election[81][4]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Co-op Michael Shanks 17,845 58.6  24.1
SNP Katy Loudon 8,399 27.6  16.6
Conservative Thomas Kerr 1,192 3.9  11.1
Liberal Democrats Gloria Adebo 895 2.9  2.3
Scottish Green Cameron Eadie 601 2.0 New
Reform UK David Stark 403 1.3 New
Scottish Family Niall Fraser 319 1.0 New
Scottish Socialist Bill Bonnar 271 0.9 New
ISP Colette Walker 207 0.7 New
TUSC Christopher Sermanni 178 0.6 New
Independent Andrew Daly 81 0.3 New
Volt Ewan Hoyle 46 0.2 New
No description Prince Ankit Love, Emperor of India 34 0.1 New
No description Garry Cooke 6 0.0 New
Majority 9,446 31.0 N/A
Turnout 30,477 37.2 –29.3
Labour gain from SNP Swing +20.4

Aftermath and analysis edit

This was the first Westminster by-election in which the SNP lost a seat it was defending.[82]

The variables in voting trend analysis associated with by-elections and low turnouts notwithstanding, it was calculated that Labour would win 42 seats if the 20% swing was replicated across Scotland in a general election (more than in 2010);[83] Professor John Curtice of the University of Strathclyde said that Labour had momentum comparable to that which they had before the 1997 landslide.[84] The Scottish Conservatives blamed 'tactical voting' as a cause of the collapse of the Conservative vote,[85] and the Electoral Reform Society raised concerns of the effects of the recently introduced photo-ID requirement.[86]

First Minister of Scotland Humza Yousaf called the result "disappointing".[87] The poor SNP result was attributed by some commentators to Yousaf's premiership,[88] which the SNP's Westminster leader Stephen Flynn rejected.[89]

Labour Leader Keir Starmer remarked that Shanks "blew the doors off".[90] BBC political editor Chris Mason called the election a "thunderbolt of a result"[91] The by-election was followed two weeks later by two more in Mid Bedfordshire and Tamworth, both of which were also Labour gains.[92]

Previous result edit

General election 2019: Rutherglen and Hamilton West[93][94][95]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
SNP Margaret Ferrier 23,775 44.2 +7.2
Labour Co-op Ged Killen 18,545 34.5 –3.0
Conservative Lynne Nailon 8,054 15.0 –4.5
Liberal Democrats Mark McGeever 2,791 5.2 +1.0
UKIP Janice MacKay 629 1.2 +0.3
Majority 5,230 9.7 N/A
Turnout 53,794 66.5 +3.0
SNP gain from Labour Co-op Swing +5.1

See also edit

References edit

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  5. ^ Kettle, Martin (3 August 2023). "Can Labour retake Britain? Soon this Scottish byelection will let us know". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 23 August 2023.
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2023, rutherglen, hamilton, west, election, election, took, place, united, kingdom, parliamentary, constituency, rutherglen, hamilton, west, october, 2023, following, recall, incumbent, margaret, ferrier, 2019, october, 2023, next, rutherglen, hamilton, west, . A by election took place in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Rutherglen and Hamilton West on 5 October 2023 1 following the recall of incumbent MP Margaret Ferrier 2 2023 Rutherglen and Hamilton West by election 2019 5 October 2023 Next Rutherglen and Hamilton West constituencyTurnout37 2 First party Second party SNPCandidate Michael Shanks Katy LoudonParty Labour Co op SNPPopular vote 17 845 8 399Percentage 58 6 27 6 Swing 24 1pp 16 6ppMP before electionMargaret FerrierIndependent Elected MP Michael ShanksLabour and Co operativeFerrier elected for the Scottish National Party was suspended from the House of Commons in June 2023 for 30 days for breaching COVID 19 regulations in 2020 In accordance with the Recall of MPs Act 2015 this suspension triggered a recall petition in the constituency This petition was successful resulting in her removal from the seat and thus triggering a by election The by election was won by Michael Shanks of Labour with 58 6 of the vote while Katy Loudon of the SNP finished in second place with 27 6 of the vote 3 Twelve other candidates stood in the by election although none of them exceeded the 5 of the vote required to retain their deposits 4 Turnout was recorded at 37 19 4 Contents 1 Constituency 2 Recall petition 2 1 Background 2 2 Petition process 3 Campaign 4 Candidates 5 Results 6 Aftermath and analysis 7 Previous result 8 See also 9 ReferencesConstituency edit nbsp Boundary of the Rutherglen and Hamilton West constituency in ScotlandMain article Rutherglen and Hamilton West UK Parliament constituency Rutherglen and Hamilton West is a suburban constituency in Greater Glasgow stretching eastwards along the River Clyde and south into Lanarkshire 5 A former centre of heavy industry its historical coal mining industry died out as far back as 1950 Significant swathes of the seat have been highlighted as some of the most deprived areas of Scotland 6 Most constituents live in the town of Rutherglen and the western parts of the town of Hamilton The constituency was created for the 2005 general election out of the abolished Glasgow Rutherglen and Hamilton South constituencies Labour MP Tommy McAvoy who was the longest serving government whip stood down at the 2010 election 7 and the seat was retained for the party by Tom Greatrex with an increased majority 8 The constituency was regarded as a safe seat for Labour until the 2015 general election when Margaret Ferrier took it from Greatrex by nearly 10 000 votes amidst a Scottish National Party landslide 9 In the snap 2017 general election the seat was taken back by Labour s Ged Killen with a majority of just 265 votes 10 In the 2019 general election Ferrier defeated Killen by a majority of 5 000 votes 11 nonetheless making it one of the most marginal SNP seats in Scotland 12 Recall petition editBackground edit Main article Margaret Ferrier Breaches of COVID 19 regulations Ferrier standing for the Scottish National Party SNP was first elected MP for the constituency in the 2015 general election lost her seat in 2017 and then regained it in 2019 In September 2020 Ferrier made serious breaches of COVID 19 regulations She noted symptoms of COVID 19 and took a test then visited various public places 13 She took a train from Scotland to London on 28 September and while waiting for results she spoke in a parliamentary debate that evening 14 She received a positive test result the same evening and returned to Scotland the next morning again by train 14 Ferrier was subsequently suspended from the SNP and referred herself to the police and the Parliamentary standards authorities 15 On 4 January 2021 she was arrested and charged by Police Scotland 16 with culpable and reckless conduct 17 She pleaded guilty 18 and was sentenced to 270 hours of community service 19 On 30 March 2023 the Commons Select Committee on Standards recommended that she be suspended from Parliament for 30 days 20 She lost her appeal on the recommendation on 22 May 2023 21 with the independent panel finding that she acted with blatant and deliberate dishonest intent She acted with a high degree of recklessness to the public and to colleagues and staff at the House of Commons She acted selfishly putting her own interests above the public interest 22 On 6 June 2023 the House of Commons voted to suspend Ferrier for 30 days 23 The Recall of MPs Act 2015 provides that a recall petition is automatically initiated by any of several events happening to an MP one of which is suspension from the House of Commons for a period of more than 10 sitting days or 14 calendar days Parliament was in recess when the petition closed the SNP moved the writ of election on the first day after it reconvened fixing the by election for 5 October the earliest available date 2 24 By elections in Mid Bedfordshire and Tamworth would be held a fortnight later on 19 October 25 The by election was the first in Scotland under the provisions of the Elections Act 2022 that required voters to show a form of identification ID in order to vote 26 27 Petition process edit See also Recall of MPs Act 2015 Recall procedure On 6 June 2023 South Lanarkshire Council was formally notified by Speaker of the House of Commons that a petition was to be opened The petition opened at 9am on 20 June 2023 for a period of six weeks closing at 5pm on 31 July 28 Electors were able to sign in person at seven locations within the constituency 28 as well as via post or proxy 28 At the announcement of the petition the electorate of the constituency was determined to be 81 124 persons meaning that 8 113 signatures were required for the petition to succeed 28 Per the petition rules no information on the progress of the petition was reported until the end of the signing period The Labour Party and the SNP were both registered as campaigners for the success of the petition 29 It was the fourth petition to occur since the procedure was introduced as well as the first in Scotland and the second petition during the present Parliament 30 On 1 August it was announced that 11 896 people had signed the petition exceeding the threshold and triggering the by election 31 It was the first by election during the premiership of Humza Yousaf 32 Campaign editAnticipating the vacancy campaigning began before the closure of the petition The Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar and the SNP leader Humza Yousaf both repeatedly visited the seat which was seen as an SNP Labour marginal The contest was the first major electoral test of Yousaf s period as SNP leader and First Minister 33 It was also described as a must win for Labour under Keir Starmer 34 Commentator Polly Toynbee suggested that one issue in the by election would be the two child benefit cap Labour support the cap whereas the SNP and the Greens oppose it 35 However Labour s candidate Michael Shanks supports abolishing the cap and pledged to vote to scrap it should he win the seat disagreeing with the party leadership on the matter 36 37 He also supports gender self identification which Starmer opposes 36 UK Labour deputy leader Angela Rayner suggested that Shanks would not be disciplined for voting against the party whip on the two child benefit cap in parliament 37 However SNP leader Humza Yousaf dismissed Shanks claims to oppose the cap claiming that a Labour MP would do whatever Keir Starmer tells him to do 36 The Economist reported that the ambivalence of SNP voters in the constituency as a result of the resignation of Nicola Sturgeon was a bad sign for the SNP holding the seat 38 One local issue commented on by candidates was council tax in South Lanarkshire which was set to rise exacerbating the cost of living crisis 39 40 The local council had been in controversy following the suspension of the Labour council leader Joe Fagan in June for reportedly leaking classified information 41 On 25 August he survived a no confidence vote to remove him as head of the local authority 42 The local Labour party had been also criticised by councillor Mathew Buchanan East Kilbride South who wrote to Leader of the Scottish Labour Party Anas Sarwar alerting him to the allegedly toxic culture of the group 43 On 15 August Keir Starmer and Anas Sarwar met with voters at Rutherglen Town Hall 44 On 21 August deputy Labour leaders Jackie Baillie and Angela Rayner campaigned in the seat 45 Yousaf visited a nursery with Loudon on 15 September 46 The Scottish Conservative leader Douglas Ross was accused of avoiding the by election campaign 47 He said he would visit the constituency at a later date but did not 48 Just before the election plans of tactical voting Conservatives switching to Labour to ensure SNP defeat were reported 49 Candidates editAnticipating its success some candidates were selected by parties before the closure of the petition 50 Ferrier confirmed on 1 August that she would not stand for re election 2 Nominations closed on 12 September 51 Labour selected their candidate Michael Shanks in anticipation that the by election would occur 52 Shanks was the Labour candidate in Glasgow North West at the 2017 general election 53 Shanks had resigned from the party on the day of the 2019 European Parliament election citing antisemitism in the party and complacency with regards to Brexit but re joined after Keir Starmer s election as leader 54 The others shortlisted were Dr Greg Irwin Aberdeen councillor Deena Tissera and South Lanarkshire councillor Maureen Devlin 55 On 9 June 2023 the SNP selected local councillor and former primary school teacher Katy Loudon as their candidate 56 She is a member of South Lanarkshire Council representing the Cambuslang East ward 57 On 27 August the Alba Party announced that they would not contest the by election to prevent splitting the pro independence vote 58 59 On 12 June the Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition TUSC announced that Unison shop steward Chris Sermanni would be their candidate 60 He campaigned on above inflation pay and benefit rises and socialist nationalisation of energy the banks and big industries like Royal Mail 61 The Scottish Socialist Party chose Bill Bonnar as their candidate 62 He campaigned on a 15 an hour minimum wage and scrapping zero hours contracts in favour of guaranteed minimum hours 63 Bonnar made a pledge to take no more than the average skilled worker s wage if elected 61 64 On 3 August the Scottish Conservatives selected Thomas Kerr as their candidate 65 Kerr has been a member of Glasgow City Council for Shettleston Ward since 2017 66 He became leader of the Conservative grouping on the council in 2019 after serving as deputy for two years 67 On 7 August Reform UK announced David Stark as their candidate 68 Stark a retired architect previously stood as the Conservative Party candidate for the Cumbernauld East ward in the 2017 North Lanarkshire Council election 69 On 11 August the Scottish Liberal Democrats selected Gloria Adebo as their candidate 70 Adebo previously stood as a candidate for the party in the Rutherglen Central and North ward in the 2022 South Lanarkshire Council election 71 72 Volt UK selected Ewan Hoyle as their candidate 73 He previously stood as a candidate for the party in the Pollokshields ward in the 2022 Glasgow City Council election 74 Formerly a Liberal Democrat he previously stood as a candidate in Glasgow South in the 2015 and 2017 general elections and Hamilton Larkhill and Stonehouse in the 2011 Scottish Parliament election 75 76 77 Cameron Eadie a 20 year old student at the University of Glasgow stood for the Scottish Greens 78 79 Results edit nbsp Bar chart of the election result Michael Shanks won the seat with a 20 4 SNP to Labour swing winning over twice as many votes as second placed SNP candidate Katy Loudon 80 Of the fourteen candidates that stood in the by election only Shanks and Loudon received over 5 of the vote and therefore retained their deposits The turnout was 37 2 4 3 2023 Rutherglen and Hamilton West by election 81 4 Party Candidate Votes Labour Co op Michael Shanks 17 845 58 6 nbsp 24 1SNP Katy Loudon 8 399 27 6 nbsp 16 6Conservative Thomas Kerr 1 192 3 9 nbsp 11 1Liberal Democrats Gloria Adebo 895 2 9 nbsp 2 3Scottish Green Cameron Eadie 601 2 0 NewReform UK David Stark 403 1 3 NewScottish Family Niall Fraser 319 1 0 NewScottish Socialist Bill Bonnar 271 0 9 NewISP Colette Walker 207 0 7 NewTUSC Christopher Sermanni 178 0 6 NewIndependent Andrew Daly 81 0 3 NewVolt Ewan Hoyle 46 0 2 NewNo description Prince Ankit Love Emperor of India 34 0 1 NewNo description Garry Cooke 6 0 0 NewMajority 9 446 31 0 N ATurnout 30 477 37 2 29 3Labour gain from SNP Swing 20 4Aftermath and analysis editThis was the first Westminster by election in which the SNP lost a seat it was defending 82 The variables in voting trend analysis associated with by elections and low turnouts notwithstanding it was calculated that Labour would win 42 seats if the 20 swing was replicated across Scotland in a general election more than in 2010 83 Professor John Curtice of the University of Strathclyde said that Labour had momentum comparable to that which they had before the 1997 landslide 84 The Scottish Conservatives blamed tactical voting as a cause of the collapse of the Conservative vote 85 and the Electoral Reform Society raised concerns of the effects of the recently introduced photo ID requirement 86 First Minister of Scotland Humza Yousaf called the result disappointing 87 The poor SNP result was attributed by some commentators to Yousaf s premiership 88 which the SNP s Westminster leader Stephen Flynn rejected 89 Labour Leader Keir Starmer remarked that Shanks blew the doors off 90 BBC political editor Chris Mason called the election a thunderbolt of a result 91 The by election was followed two weeks later by two more in Mid Bedfordshire and Tamworth both of which were also Labour gains 92 Previous result editGeneral election 2019 Rutherglen and Hamilton West 93 94 95 Party Candidate Votes SNP Margaret Ferrier 23 775 44 2 7 2Labour Co op Ged Killen 18 545 34 5 3 0Conservative Lynne Nailon 8 054 15 0 4 5Liberal Democrats Mark McGeever 2 791 5 2 1 0UKIP Janice MacKay 629 1 2 0 3Majority 5 230 9 7 N ATurnout 53 794 66 5 3 0SNP gain from Labour Co op Swing 5 1See also editList of United Kingdom by elections 2010 present References edit Rutherglen and Hamilton West By election proposed for 5 October BBC News 5 September 2023 Retrieved 4 September 2023 a b c Margaret Ferrier Covid breach MP loses seat after recall petition BBC News 1 August 2023 Retrieved 1 August 2023 a b Seismic night in Scotland Labour crushes SNP in Rutherglen and Hamilton West byelection Libby Brooks The Guardian 6 October 2023 a b c d Meighan Craig 6 October 2023 Scottish Labour wins key Rutherglen and Hamilton West by election STV News Retrieved 6 October 2023 Kettle Martin 3 August 2023 Can Labour retake Britain Soon this Scottish byelection will let us know The Guardian ISSN 0261 3077 Retrieved 23 August 2023 Finlay Molly 2 August 2023 Rutherglen and Hamilton West A major electoral test for both Labour and the SNP Holyrood Website Retrieved 23 August 2023 Longest serving whip is to retire BBC News 20 February 2010 Retrieved 27 August 2023 Labour hold Hamilton East with new member Greatrex Daily Record 7 May 2010 Retrieved 27 August 2023 Election 2015 SNP wins 56 of 59 seats in Scots landslide BBC News 7 May 2015 Retrieved 27 August 2023 Balls Katy 1 August 2023 The Rutherglen and Hamilton West by election is a big test for Labour The Spectator Retrieved 27 August 2023 Gaddi Billy 21 August 2023 Labour chiefs insist they re not taking Lanarkshire by election for granted Daily Record Retrieved 27 August 2023 Johnson Simon 2 August 2023 Labour must win Covid rulebreaker s seat The Telegraph ISSN 0307 1235 Retrieved 27 August 2023 Brooks Libby Walker Peter 2 October 2020 Police investigate Margaret Ferrier as MP defies calls to step down The Guardian Retrieved 4 October 2020 a b Weaver Matthew Brooks Libby 1 October 2020 SNP MP Margaret Ferrier suspended for taking train after positive Covid test The Guardian Retrieved 1 October 2020 SNP MP Margaret Ferrier suspended after knowingly travelling on 4 hour train journey with virus The Herald 1 October 2020 Retrieved 1 October 2020 Hutchison Caitlin 4 January 2021 MP Margaret Ferrier arrested by police over breach of Covid rules The Herald Retrieved 4 January 2021 Carrell Severin 4 January 2021 Scottish MP Margaret Ferrier arrested over alleged Covid rule breach The Guardian Retrieved 4 January 2021 MP Margaret Ferrier pleads guilty to exposing public to Covid BBC News 18 August 2022 Retrieved 18 August 2022 Cameron Lucinda 13 September 2022 Margaret Ferrier MP who took train while she had Covid given 270 hour community service order Evening Standard Retrieved 13 September 2022 Margaret Ferrier Probe says MP should be suspended for Covid breach BBC News 30 March 2023 Retrieved 30 March 2023 Margaret Ferrier Covid train trip MP loses appeal over Commons ban BBC News 22 May 2023 Retrieved 22 May 2023 Appeal by Margaret Ferrier MP PDF 22 May 2023 Sparrow Andrew 6 June 2023 Labour and SNP face byelection battle after Margaret Ferrier suspension as it happened The Guardian via www theguardian com Quinn Andrew 4 September 2023 Rutherglen and Hamilton West by election date confirmed Daily Record Retrieved 4 September 2023 Labour favourites to win the seats in Tamworth and Mid Bedfordshire forecast suggests Sky News Retrieved 19 September 2023 Rutherglen and Hamilton West Polls close in by election BBC News 5 October 2023 Retrieved 5 October 2023 Voter ID warning ahead of Rutherglen and Hamilton West by election BBC News 13 September 2023 Retrieved 5 October 2023 a b c d Sneddon Cleland Recall of MPs Act 2015 Recall Petition Notice of Petition South Lanarkshire Council Retrieved 15 June 2023 Sneddon Cleland Recall Petition Rutherglen and Hamilton West Constituency South Lanarkshire Council Retrieved 13 June 2023 Margaret Ferrier Covid breach MP loses seat after recall petition BBC News 1 August 2023 Retrieved 1 August 2023 Mitchell James 1 August 2023 By election to be held after COVID rule breaker MP Margaret Ferrier loses seat Sky News Retrieved 1 August 2023 Drury Paul 3 September 2023 The secret that lies behind Rutherglen s Union Jack The Times ISSN 0140 0460 Retrieved 3 September 2023 Sim Philip 1 August 2023 Why the Rutherglen and Hamilton West by election matters via www bbc co uk Maguire Patrick 4 September 2023 Scottish by election is a must win for Starmer The Times ISSN 0140 0460 Retrieved 4 September 2023 Toynbee Polly 22 August 2023 Labour is parading its true leftwing credentials in the byelection fight against the SNP The Guardian ISSN 0261 3077 Retrieved 23 August 2023 a b c Johnson Simon 2 August 2023 Labour by election candidate clashes with Keir Starmer on gender self ID The Telegraph ISSN 0307 1235 Retrieved 30 September 2023 a b Grant Alistair 17 August 2023 Rutherglen candidate would not be disciplined for rebelling over two child cap suggests Angela Rayner The Scotsman Retrieved 30 September 2023 Can Scotland help Labour form Britain s next government The Economist ISSN 0013 0613 Retrieved 3 September 2023 Thomson Ross 30 August 2023 Rutherglen by election candidates put council tax at top of their agenda Daily Record Retrieved 3 September 2023 Walker James 9 September 2023 SNP focus on cost of living at Rutherglen by election campaign launch The National Retrieved 9 September 2023 Mitchell Jenness 28 June 2023 South Lanarkshire Council leader Joe Fagan suspended for leaking confidential information Sky News Retrieved 3 September 2023 Milmine Shannon 25 August 2023 Vote of no confidence in South Lanarkshire Council leader Joe Fagan is defeated Daily Record Retrieved 3 September 2023 Morrison Hamish 30 August 2023 Blow for Labour in Rutherglen by election as councillor brands own party poisonous Yahoo News Retrieved 3 September 2023 Sir Keir Starmer and Anas Sarwar deny divisions ahead of by election BBC News 15 August 2023 Retrieved 3 September 2023 Gaddi Billy 21 August 2023 Labour chiefs insist they re not taking Lanarkshire by election for granted Daily Record Retrieved 3 September 2023 Humza Yousaf puts focus on families ahead of by election campaign visit The National 15 September 2023 Douglas Ross I m not avoiding Rutherglen by election campaign The Leader 17 August 2023 Retrieved 3 September 2023 Paton Craig 17 August 2023 Douglas Ross I m not avoiding Rutherglen by election campaign Evening Standard Retrieved 3 September 2023 Cochrane Alan 4 October 2023 For Scottish Tories the message is Vote Labour just don t say it out loud The Telegraph ISSN 0307 1235 Retrieved 6 October 2023 Who is standing in the Rutherglen and Hamilton West by election BBC News 22 August 2023 Retrieved 22 August 2023 Stirling Marlene Rutherglen and Hamilton West By election Thursday 5 October 2023 www southlanarkshire gov uk Margaret Ferrier suspended from Commons over Covid rule breach BBC News 6 June 2023 Retrieved 11 June 2023 LabourList 2 May 2017 The full list of the Labour Party s general election candidates in Scotland LabourList Retrieved 6 August 2023 Learmonth Andrew 9 May 2023 Labour pick activist who quit party to be by election candidate The Herald Archived from the original on 28 July 2023 Retrieved 28 July 2023 Hutcheon Paul 1 May 2023 Scottish Labour contender in by election seat quit party over Brexit Daily Record Retrieved 28 June 2023 Katy Loudon interview Of course it s been a difficult few months HeraldScotland 3 September 2023 Retrieved 3 September 2023 Nutt Kathleen 9 June 2023 SNP select candidate for potential Rutherglen and Hamilton West by election The Herald Retrieved 11 June 2023 Rutherglen by election Alba decides not to contest seat BBC News 26 August 2023 Retrieved 27 August 2023 Delaney James 27 August 2023 Alba not to contest by election after SNP rebuffed independence pact STV News Retrieved 27 August 2023 Gaddi Billy 12 June 2023 Lanarkshire trade unionist launches campaign ahead of potential Rutherglen and Hamilton West by election Daily Record Retrieved 15 June 2023 a b Learmonth Andrew 4 October 2023 Rutherglen and Hamilton West by election Who are the candidates The Herald Glasgow Retrieved 5 October 2023 Gaddi Billy 27 June 2023 Scottish Socialist Party urges locals to sign Rutherglen and Hamilton West recall petition Daily Record Retrieved 30 June 2023 McCall Chris 4 October 2023 Rutherglen and Hamilton West by election Meet the fringe candidates bidding to become an MP Daily Record Retrieved 5 October 2023 Pringle Michael 20 July 2023 Candidate in potential Lanarkshire by election throws down salary challenge to others Daily Record Retrieved 5 October 2023 Glasgow councillor in the run for Margaret Ferrier s former seat Glasgow Times 3 August 2023 Retrieved 3 August 2023 Thomas Kerr The 20 year old Conservative from Shettleston BBC News 6 May 2017 Retrieved 3 August 2023 Councillor Thomas Kerr Glasgow Conservatives Retrieved 3 August 2023 Thomson Ross 7 August 2023 Reform UK announce candidate for Rutherglen and Hamilton West by election Daily Record Retrieved 16 August 2023 Local Elections Archive Project Cumbernauld East Ward 2017 Andrew Teale Retrieved 27 August 2023 Lib Dems name Gloria Adebo as candidate for Rutherglen by election The Northern Echo PA News Agency 11 August 2023 Retrieved 12 August 2023 Ward 12 Rutherglen Central and North Declaration of Results Elections South Lanarkshire Council 6 May 2022 Retrieved 7 May 2022 Ward 12 Rutherglen Central and North Candidate Votes Per Stage Elections South Lanarkshire Council 6 May 2022 Retrieved 7 May 2022 Learmonth Andrew 5 August 2023 Scottish Tories accused of gutter politics in Labour trans row The Herald Retrieved 22 August 2023 Declaration of Results Ward 6 Pollokshields Glasgow City Council 6 May 2022 Retrieved 19 August 2023 UK Parliamentary Election 2017 Results Glasgow City Council 6 June 2017 Retrieved 20 August 2023 2015 general election results Glasgow South UK Parliament Retrieved 20 August 2023 Return of constituency members 2011 PDF South Lanarkshire Council 6 May 2011 Mitchell Jenness 22 August 2023 Scottish Greens announce Cameron Eadie as Rutherglen and Hamilton West by election candidate to replace Margaret Ferrier Sky News Retrieved 27 August 2023 Who is the student running for Scottish Greens in the Rutherglen by election HeraldScotland 22 August 2023 Retrieved 3 September 2023 It s the best of a bad bunch voters react to by election BBC News Retrieved 6 October 2023 Rutherglen and Hamilton West By election Thursday 5 October 2023 South Lanarkshire Council 12 September 2023 Retrieved 13 September 2023 Baston Lewis 6 October 2023 Rutherglen result shows Labour closing in on an impossible election turnaround The Guardian ISSN 0261 3077 Retrieved 6 October 2023 Rutherglen and Hamilton West What Labour s victory in Scottish seat might mean for general election Sky News Retrieved 6 October 2023 Wingate Sophie 6 October 2023 Rutherglen and Hamilton West by election Sir John Curtice says Labour could win 40 seats in Scotland if swing replicated at general election and compares victory to Tony Blair 1997 landslide The Scotsman The National 6 10 2023 Scottish Tories blame tactical voting for by election loss https www thenational scot news 23837939 scottish tories blame tactical voting by election loss Voter ID makes its unwelcome Scottish debut in Rutherglen and Hamilton West www electoral reform org uk Retrieved 13 January 2024 Humza Yousaf reflects on disappointing by election result The Herald 6 October 2023 Retrieved 6 October 2023 Analysis The SNP defeat in Rutherglen and Hamilton West belongs to Humza Yousaf The Herald 6 October 2023 Retrieved 6 October 2023 The National 7 10 2023 page 4 Suggestion Yousef in trouble rejected by Flynn Rutherglen and Hamilton West Labour blew the doors off in by election win Starmer BBC News 6 October 2023 Retrieved 6 October 2023 Chris Mason Thunderbolt by election transforms political weather BBC News 6 October 2023 Retrieved 6 October 2023 Labour favourites to win the seats in Tamworth and Mid Bedfordshire forecast suggests Sky News Retrieved 6 October 2023 UK Parliamentary general election Thursday 12 December 2019 South Lanarkshire Council Retrieved 16 November 2019 Rutherglen amp Hamilton West parliamentary constituency Election 2019 BBC News Retrieved 16 December 2019 Commons Briefing Paper 8749 General Election 2019 results and analysis PDF London House of Commons Library 28 January 2020 Archived PDF from the original on 18 November 2021 Retrieved 19 January 2022 Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title 2023 Rutherglen and Hamilton West by election amp oldid 1215028537, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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