2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kano State

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kano State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.^[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kano State

← 2019 25 February 2023 2027 →
Registered	5,921,370
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi Party APC LP Home state Lagos Anambra Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed   Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar Party NNPP PDP Home state Kano Adamawa Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa
President before election Muhammadu Buhari APC Elected President TBD

Background

Kano State is a highly populated northwestern state mainly inhabited by ethnic Hausas and Fulanis but with significant non-indigenous populations of Igbo, Yoruba, and other ethnicities. The state has a growing economy but is facing an underdeveloped agricultural sector, overcrowded urban areas, desertification, and relatively low education rates.

Politically, the state's 2019 elections were categorized as a reassertion of the APC's federal dominance after mass 2018 defections away from the party led by outgoing Senator Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso and his allies. The APC was mainly successful federally, unseating almost all PDP senators and house members to sweep most House of Representatives and all three senate seats as the state was easily won by APC presidential nominee Muhammadu Buhari with over 75% but still swung towards the PDP and had lower turnout. However, state level elections were much closer as Umar Ganduje needed a disputed supplementary election to barely beat the PDP's Abba Kabir Yusuf; the House of Assembly elections were also closer but the APC won a sizeable majority.

Polling

Polling organisation/client	Fieldwork date	Sample size					Others	Undecided	Undisclosed	Not voting
			Tinubu APC	Obi LP	Kwankwaso NNPP	Abubakar PDP
BantuPage	December 2022	N/A	13%	3%	32%	14%	–	25%	5%	10%
Nextier (Kano crosstabs of national poll)	27 January 2023	N/A	19.3%	4.5%	57.9%	12.9%	2.0	3.5%	–	–
Stears	January 2023	500	17%	5%	20%	11%	–	40%
SBM Intelligence for EiE (Kano crosstabs of national poll)	22 January-6 February 2023	N/A	31%	18%	18%	27%	1%	3%	–	–

Projections

Source	Projection		As of
Africa Elects^[a]^[2]	Lean Kwankwaso		24 February 2023
Dataphyte^[b]^[3]
	Tinubu:	45.57%	11 February 2023
	Obi:	4.96%
	Abubakar:	45.57%
	Others:	3.89%
Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence^[c]^[4]	Tinubu		17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence^[d]^[5]	Too close to call		15 December 2022
ThisDay^[e]^[6]
	Tinubu:	30%	27 December 2022
	Obi:	5%
	Kwankwaso:	40%
	Abubakar:	20%
	Others/Undecided:	5%
The Nation^[f]^[7]^[8]	Tinubu		12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kano State

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	A	Christopher Imumolen	347
	AA	Hamza al-Mustapha	729
	ADP	Yabagi Sani	2,602
	APP	Osita Nnadi	533
	AAC	Omoyele Sowore	551
	ADC	Dumebi Kachikwu	2,845
	APC	Bola Tinubu	506,412	29%
	APGA	Peter Umeadi	1,253
	APM	Princess Chichi Ojei	3,170
	BP	Sunday Adenuga	364
	LP	Peter Obi	28,513	1%
	NRM	Felix Johnson Osakwe	1,540
	NNPP	Rabiu Kwankwaso	997,279	58%
	PRP	Kola Abiola	1,987
	PDP	Atiku Abubakar	131,716	7%
	SDP	Adewole Adebayo	504
	YPP	Malik Ado-Ibrahim	9,429
	ZLP	Dan Nwanyanwu	1,790
Total votes				100.00%
Invalid or blank votes				N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District	Bola Tinubu APC		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Others		Total Valid Votes
	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage
Kano Central Senatorial District^[g]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Kano North Senatorial District^[h]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Kano South Senatorial District^[i]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency	Bola Tinubu APC		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Others		Total Valid Votes
	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage
Albasu/Gaya/Ajingi Federal Constituency^[j]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Bebeji/Kiru Federal Constituency^[k]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Bichi Federal Constituency^[l]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Dala Federal Constituency^[m]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Dambatta/Makoda Federal Constituency^[n]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Doguwa/Tudun Wada Federal Constituency^[o]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Dawakin Kudu/Warawa Federal Constituency^[p]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Dawakin Tofa/Tofa/Rimin Gado Federal Constituency^[q]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Fagge Federal Constituency^[r]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Gabasawa/Gezawa Federal Constituency^[s]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Gwarzo/Kabo Federal Constituency^[t]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Gwale Federal Constituency^[u]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Kumbotso Federal Constituency^[v]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Kano Municipal Federal Constituency^[w]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Kunchi/Tsanyawa Federal Constituency^[x]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Karaye/Rogo Federal Constituency^[y]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Kura/Madobi/Garun Malam Federal Constituency^[z]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Minjibir/Ungogo Federal Constituency^[aa]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Nasarawa Federal Constituency^[ab]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Rano/Bunkure/Kibiya Federal Constituency^[ac]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Sumaila/Takai Federal Constituency^[ad]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Shanono/Bagwai Federal Constituency^[ae]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Tarauni Federal Constituency^[af]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Wudil/Garko Federal Constituency^[ag]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

LGA	Bola Tinubu APC		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Others		Total Valid Votes	Turnout Percentage
	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage
Ajingi	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Albasu	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Bagwai	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Bebeji	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Bichi^[9]	31,673	%	178	%	20,862	%	1731	%	TBD	%	55,049	%
Bunkure^[10]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Dala	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Dambatta	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Dawakin Kudu^[11]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Dawakin Tofa^[12]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Doguwa^[13]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Fagge	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Gabasawa^[14]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Garko^[15]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Garun Mallam^[16]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Gaya^[17]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Gezawa^[18]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Gwale	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Gwarzo^[19]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kabo^[20]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kano Municipal	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Karaye^[21]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kibiya^[22]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kiru^[23]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kumbotso^[24]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kunchi^[25]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kura^[26]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Madobi	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Makoda^[27]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Minjibir^[28]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Nasarawa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Rano	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Rimin Gado^[29]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Rogo	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Shanono^[30]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Sumaila	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Takai	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Tofa^[31]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Tsanyawa^[32]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Tudun Wada^[33]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ungogo^[34]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Warawa^[35]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Wudil^[36]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%

See also

• 2023 Kano State elections
• 2023 Nigerian presidential election

Notes

1. Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
2. Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
3. EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
4. SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
5. ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
6. The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
7. Comprising the local government areas of Dala, Dawakin Kudu, Fagge, Garun Mallam, Gezawa, Gwale, Kano Municipal, Kumbotso, Kura, Madobi, Minjibir, Nasarawa, Tarauni, Ungogo, and Warawa.
8. Comprising the local government areas of Bagwai, Bichi, Dambatta, Dawakin Tofa, Gabasawa, Gwarzo, Kabo, Karaye, Kunchi, Makoda, Rimin Gado, Shanono, Tofa, and Tsanyawa.
9. Comprising the local government areas of Ajingi, Albasu, Bebeji, Doguwa, Garko, Gaya, Kibiya, Kiru, Rano, Rogo, Sumaila, Takai, Tudun Wada, and Wudil.
10. Comprising the local government areas of Ajingi, Albasu, and Gaya.
11. Comprising the local government areas of Bebeji and Kiru.
12. Comprising the local government area of Bichi.
13. Comprising the local government area of Dala.
14. Comprising the local government areas of Dambatta and Makoda.
15. Comprising the local government areas of Doguwa and Tudun Wada.
16. Comprising the local government areas of Dawakin Kudu and Warawa.
17. Comprising the local government areas of Dawakin Tofa, Rimin Gado, and Tofa.
18. Comprising the local government areas of Fagge.
19. Comprising the local government areas of Gabasawa and Gezawa.
20. Comprising the local government areas of Gwarzo and Kabo.
21. Comprising the local government area of Gwale.
22. Comprising the local government area of Kumbotso.
23. Comprising the local government area of Kano Municipal.
24. Comprising the local government areas of Kunchi and Tsanyawa.
25. Comprising the local government areas of Karaye and Rogo.
26. Comprising the local government areas of Garun Mallam, Kura, and Madobi.
27. Comprising the local government areas of Minjibir and Ungogo.
28. Comprising the local government area of Nasarawa.
29. Comprising the local government areas of Bunkure, Kibiya, and Rano.
30. Comprising the local government areas of Sumaila and Takai.
31. Comprising the local government areas of Bagwai and Shanono.
32. Comprising the local government area of Tarauni .
33. Comprising the local government areas of Garko and Wudil.

References

1. Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
2. Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
3. "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
4. "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
5. "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
6. "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
7. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
8. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
9. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Bichi LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
10. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Bunkure LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
11. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT DAWAKIN KUDU LG, KANO" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
12. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "BREAKING: Kwankwaso defeats Ganduje in his LG DAWAKIN TOFA LG, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
13. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "ALHASSAN DOGUWA, REPS' MAJORITY LEADER, DELIVERS LGA FOR APC PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Doguwa LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
14. Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Gabasawa Local Government Area" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
15. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Garko LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
16. Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Collated results from Kano state Garun Malam" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
17. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "@BashirAhmaad LOSES LGA TO KWANKWASO PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Gaya LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
18. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "RESULTS PRESIDENTIAL GEZAWA LG, KANO" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
19. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "Gwarzo LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
20. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Kabo LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
21. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT KARAYE LG, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
22. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "RESULTS PRESIDENTIAL RESULT FOR KANO KIBIYA LG" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
23. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Kiru LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
24. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "Kumbotso LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
25. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT KUNCHI LG, KANO" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
26. Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Kura 10 wards" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
27. Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Makoda 11 wards" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
28. Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Minjibir 11 wards" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
29. Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Rimin Gado 12 wards" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
30. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Shanono LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
31. Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Tofa LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
32. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT TOFA LG, KANO" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
33. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "Tudun Wada LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
34. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Ungogo LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
35. Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Warawa Local Government Area" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
36. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Wudil LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.