2016 Connecticut Democratic presidential primary
The 2016 Connecticut Democratic presidential primary were held on April 26 in the U.S. state of Connecticut as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
Results by county and township Clinton: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Sanders: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||||
The Democratic Party's primaries in Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island were held the same day, as are Republican primaries in the same five states, including their own Connecticut primary.
Clinton has many endorsements from the state's Congressional delegation, including the popular Senator Chris Murphy. Clinton campaigned to Sanders' left on gun control, which paid off for her with mothers[2] in the wake of the Sandy Hook Elementary School Shooting.[3]
Opinion polling edit
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Official Primary Results | April 26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 51.8% | Bernie Sanders 46.4% | Others / Uncommitted 1.8% |
| Public Policy Polling[4] Margin of error: ± 3.7% | April 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 48% | Bernie Sanders 46% | Others / Undecided 6% |
| Quinnipiac[5] Margin of error: ± 3.0% | April 12–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 51% | Bernie Sanders 42% | Others / Undecided 8% |
| Emerson College[6] Margin of error: ± 5.2% | April 10–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 49% | Bernie Sanders 43% | Others / Undecided 3% |
| Emerson College Polling Society[7] Margin of error: ± 6% | November 17, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 49.6% | Bernie Sanders 30.7% | Martin O’Malley 9.1% Other 3.2% Undecided 6.6% |
| Quinnipiac University[8] Margin of error: ± 4% | October 7–11, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 35% | Bernie Sanders 25% | Joe Biden 18% Lincoln Chafee 0% Lawrence Lessig 0% Martin O’Malley 0% Jim Webb 0% Other 1% Wouldn't vote 6% Undecided 12% |
| Hillary Clinton 47% | Bernie Sanders 29% | Jim Webb 1% Lincoln Chafee 0% Lawrence Lessig 0% Martin O’Malley 0% Other 1% Wouldn't vote 6% Undecided 16% | ||
| Quinnipiac University[9] Margin of error: ± 4.6% | March 6–9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 53% | Elizabeth Warren 15% | Joe Biden 8% Bernie Sanders 2% Martin O’Malley 1% Jim Webb 1% Other 2% Wouldn't vote 3% Undecided 15% |
Results edit
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 170,045 | 51.80% | 28 | 15 | 43 |
| Bernie Sanders | 152,379 | 46.42% | 27 | 0 | 27 |
| Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente | 960 | 0.29% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Uncommitted | 4,871 | 1.48% | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Total | 328,255 | 100% | 55 | 16 | 71 |
| Source: The Green Papers, Connecticut Secretary of State - Official Primary Results | |||||
Results by county edit
| County[10] | Clinton | % | Sanders | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield | 46,387 | 61.0% | 29,596 | 39.0% |
| Hartford | 47,823 | 54.3% | 40,183 | 45.7% |
| Litchfield | 6,643 | 42.4% | 9,022 | 57.6% |
| Middlesex | 8,498 | 46.4% | 9,829 | 53.6% |
| New Haven | 38,830 | 51.7% | 36,259 | 48.3% |
| New London | 10,518 | 44.5% | 13,142 | 55.5% |
| Tolland | 5,609 | 39.1% | 8,737 | 60.9% |
| Windham | 3,676 | 40.7% | 5,352 | 59.3% |
| Total | 170,045 | 51.8% | 152,379 | 46.4% |
Analysis edit
Clinton managed a five-point-win in Connecticut, a state she had narrowly lost to Barack Obama eight years earlier. She relied on turnout in larger cities, including Hartford (which she won 51–47), New Haven, and Bridgeport.[11] She managed a large win in Greenwich, bolstered by support from more affluent Democrats[12] and won in the New York City suburbs as a whole 59–40. Sanders held Clinton to a narrow margin statewide, thanks to his support in rural areas which he won 63–37.[2]
In terms of demographics, Clinton won the African American vote 69–30, older voters 62–35, and the votes of women 57–41. Clinton also won women with children 55–44, and women without children 58–40. Sanders won the youth vote by an overwhelming margin of 66–34, the votes of men 55–43, and won the Caucasian vote (74% of the electorate) by a narrow 50–48 margin. Sanders won among voters with an income of less than 50k and 100k, with Clinton winning more affluent voters.[13]
In terms of political ideology, Clinton won liberals 52–48 and moderates/conservatives 53–43. Clinton won Democrats 60–39 but lost self-identified independents to Sanders 74–23.
Clinton's stance on gun control resonated with voters in the wake of the Sandy Hook Elementary School Shooting in Newtown, Connecticut.[3]
References edit
- ^ (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on December 3, 2016. Retrieved June 25, 2016.
- ^ a b "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved September 25, 2016.
- ^ a b "NBC: Clinton wins CT Dem. primary". MSNBC. Retrieved August 7, 2016.
- ^ "Clinton, Sanders close in CT/PA/RI; Trump Headed for Big Wins" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. April 25, 2016. Retrieved April 25, 2016.
- ^ "TRUMP LEADS, KASICH TOPS CRUZ IN CONNECTICUT GOP RACE, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; WOMEN, BLACKS GIVE CLINTON LEAD AMONG DEMOCRATS" (PDF). Retrieved April 20, 2016.
- ^ "TRUMP COULD SWEEP CONNECTICUT; SANDERS IN STRIKING DISTANCE; KASICH BEATS BERNIE, HILLARY" (PDF). Retrieved April 12, 2016.
- ^ "Emerson College Poll" (PDF). Emerson College Polling Society. Retrieved November 18, 2015.
- ^ "Release Detail". Quinnipiac University. Retrieved October 13, 2015.
- ^ "Release Detail". Quinnipiac University. Retrieved July 9, 2015.
- ^ (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on August 21, 2016. Retrieved August 6, 2016.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) - ^ "Connecticut Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved August 7, 2016.
- ^ "Greenwich Presidential Primary Results: Who Did Residents Vote For?". April 27, 2016. Retrieved August 7, 2016.
- ^ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved August 31, 2016.