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2015 Castilian-Leonese regional election

January 05, 2023

The 2015 Castilian-Leonese regional election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 9th Cortes of the autonomous community of Castile and León. All 84 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

2015 Castilian-Leonese regional election
← 2011 24 May 2015 2019 →
All 84 seats in the Cortes of Castile and León
43 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered2,151,993 0.7%
Turnout1,391,797 (64.7%)
2.8 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Juan Vicente Herrera Luis Tudanca Pablo Fernández
Party PP PSOE Podemos
Leader's seat Burgos Burgos León
Last election 53 seats, 51.6% 29 seats, 29.7% Did not contest
Seats won 42 25 10
Seat change 11 4 10
Popular vote 514,301 353,575 165,475
Percentage 37.7% 25.9% 12.1%
Swing 13.9 pp 3.7 pp New party
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Luis Fuentes José Sarrión Luis Mariano Santos
Party C's IU–Equo UPL
Leader's seat Valladolid Valladolid León
Last election 0 seats, 0.3%[a] 1 seat, 4.9% 1 seat, 1.9%
Seats won 5 1 1
Seat change 5 0 0
Popular vote 139,954 56,516 19,176
Percentage 10.3% 4.1% 1.4%
Swing 10.0 pp 0.8 pp 0.5 pp
Constituency results map for the Cortes of Castile and León

The ruling People's Party (PP) sustained a sharp decline in its support, with a decrease of almost fourteen percentage points in the vote share and falling short of an overall majority for the first time since 1987. Concurrently, the opposition Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) secured its worst historical result with only 25.9% and 25 seats, whereas the Leonese People's Union (UPL) had its worst showing since 1991. Newcomers Podemos (Spanish for "We Can") and Citizens (C's) made substantial inroads, both securing over 10% of the share.

The election result forced the PP candidate and incumbent regional president Juan Vicente Herrera to secure the support of C's in order to be re-elected for a fifth term in office, which would also end up being his last.

Overview

Electoral system

The Cortes of Castile and León were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Castile and León, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Castilian-Leonese Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]

Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Castile and León and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Castilian-Leonese people abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2] All members of the Cortes of Castile and León were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Ávila, Burgos, León, Palencia, Salamanca, Segovia, Soria, Valladolid and Zamora, with each being allocated an initial minimum of three seats, as well as one additional member per each 45,000 inhabitants or fraction greater than 22,500.[1][3]

The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[4]

Election date

The term of the Cortes of Castile and León expired four years after the date of their previous election, unless they were dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Castile and León (BOCYL), with election day taking place between the fifty-fourth and sixtieth days from publication. The previous election was held on 22 May 2011, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 22 May 2015. The election decree was required to be published in the BOCYL no later than 28 April 2015, with the election taking place up to the sixtieth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Cortes on Saturday, 27 June 2015.[1][3][5]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Castile and León and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]

Parliamentary composition

The Cortes of Castile and León were officially dissolved on 31 March 2015, after the publication of the dissolution decree in the Official Gazette of Castile and León.[6] The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Cortes at the time of dissolution.[7]

Parliamentary composition in March 2015
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
People's Parliamentary Group PP 53 53
Socialist Parliamentary Group PSOE 29 29
Mixed Parliamentary Group IUCyL 1 2
UPL 1

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[3][5]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances 		Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Votes (%) Seats
PP
List
   Juan Vicente Herrera Conservatism
Christian democracy 		51.55% 53  Y [8]
[9]
PSOE
List
   Luis Tudanca Social democracy 29.68% 29  N [10]
[11]
IU–Equo
List
   José Sarrión Socialism
Communism 		4.87% 1  N [12]
UPL
List
   Luis Mariano Santos Regionalism
Autonomism 		1.86% 1  N [13]
C's
List
   Luis Fuentes Liberalism 0.26%[a] 0  N [14]
Podemos
List
   Pablo Fernández Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism 		New party  N [15]
[16]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 43 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Castile and León.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Junta of Castile and León.

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 24 May 2015 Cortes of Castile and León election results →
 
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
People's Party (PP) 514,301 37.73 –13.82 42 –11
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 353,575 25.94 –3.74 25 –4
We Can (Podemos) 165,475 12.14 New 10 +10
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's)1 139,954 10.27 +10.01 5 +5
United Left–Equo: Convergence for Castile and León (IU–Equo) 56,516 4.15 –0.72 1 ±0
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 19,597 1.44 –1.84 0 ±0
Leonese People's Union (UPL) 19,176 1.41 –0.45 1 ±0
Independent Candidacy–Citizens of Democratic Centre (CI–CCD)2 12,748 0.94 +0.19 0 ±0
Vox (Vox) 9,333 0.68 New 0 ±0
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 7,263 0.53 +0.16 0 ±0
Coalition for El Bierzo (CB)3 5,032 0.37 +0.20 0 ±0
Castilian Party–Commoners' Land: Pact (PCAS–TC–Pacto) 4,504 0.33 –0.61 0 ±0
Let's Win the Fracking Castile and León (Ganemos al Fracking) 2,445 0.18 New 0 ±0
Zamoran Independent Electors (ADEIZA) 2,380 0.17 –0.06 0 ±0
Decide Now–Socialist Alternative (Ahora Decide–AS) 2,285 0.17 New 0 ±0
Leonese Autonomist Party–Leonesist Unity (PAL–UL) 1,963 0.14 –0.13 0 ±0
Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS) 1,779 0.13 +0.02 0 ±0
Grouped Rural Citizens (CRA) 1,698 0.12 New 0 ±0
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) 1,408 0.10 +0.07 0 ±0
Regionalist Party of the Leonese Country (PREPAL) 1,374 0.10 –0.04 0 ±0
Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn) 973 0.07 –0.02 0 ±0
Party for Freedom–With Clean Hands (PxL) 934 0.07 New 0 ±0
National Democracy (DN) 896 0.07 –0.08 0 ±0
Spanish Democratic Segovian Party (PSeDE) 874 0.06 New 0 ±0
Regionalist Democracy of Castile and León (DRCyL)4 848 0.06 –0.04 0 ±0
United Free Citizens (CILUS) 742 0.05 New 0 ±0
Regionalist Party of El Bierzo (PRB) 732 0.05 ±0.00 0 ±0
Cives (Cives) 628 0.05 New 0 ±0
Blank Seats (EB) 348 0.03 New 0 ±0
Blank ballots 33,274 2.44 –0.84
Total 1,363,055 84 ±0
Valid votes 1,363,055 97.93 –0.16
Invalid votes 28,742 2.07 +0.16
Votes cast / turnout 1,391,797 64.67 –2.83
Abstentions 760,196 35.33 +2.83
Registered voters 2,151,993
Sources[17][18][19]
Footnotes:
Popular vote
PP
 
 37.73%
PSOE
 
 25.94%
Podemos
 
 12.14%
C's
 
 10.27%
IU–Equo
 
 4.15%
UPyD
 
 1.44%
UPL
 
 1.41%
Others
 
 4.49%
Blank ballots
 
 2.44%
Seats
PP
 
 50.00%
PSOE
 
 29.76%
Podemos
 
 11.90%
C's
 
 5.95%
IU–Equo
 
 1.19%
UPL
 
 1.19%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PP PSOE Podemos C's IU–Equo UPL
% S % S % S % S % S % S
Ávila 45.3 4 22.1 2 10.1 − 11.9 1 4.0 −
Burgos 36.5 5 24.7 3 14.2 2 12.1 1 3.9 −
León 32.1 5 27.3 5 12.6 2 8.9 1 3.4 − 7.0 1
Palencia 41.0 4 29.0 2 10.8 1 9.9 − 3.9 −
Salamanca 41.5 6 25.3 3 10.8 1 13.3 1 3.0 −
Segovia 40.0 4 27.5 2 11.3 1 9.1 − 3.6 −
Soria 36.9 3 31.2 2 12.0 − 12.1 − 2.8 −
Valladolid 35.7 7 25.0 4 13.1 2 8.9 1 6.2 1
Zamora 41.3 4 25.5 2 11.0 1 7.8 − 4.3 − 0.7 −
Total 37.7 42 25.9 25 12.1 10 10.3 5 4.1 1 1.4 1
Sources[17][18][19]

Aftermath

Investiture
Juan Vicente Herrera (PP)
Ballot → 3 July 2015 3 July 2015
Required majority → 43 out of 84  N Simple  Y
Yes
  • • PP (42)
42 / 84
42 / 84
No
37 / 84
37 / 84
Abstentions
5 / 84
5 / 84
Absentees
0 / 84
0 / 84
Sources[19]

Notes

  1. ^ a b Results for UPSa–C's in the 2011 election.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. ^ "Encuestas y resultados - elecciones autonómicas y municipales del 24 de mayo de 2015". GAD3 (in Spanish). 28 May 2015.
  2. ^ "El PP mantendría sin apoyos Castilla y León, Castilla-La Mancha, Murcia y La Rioja". La Razón (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  3. ^ "Castilla y León: Herrera remonta y seguiría cuatro años más como presidente". La Razón (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  4. ^ (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 17 May 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on 4 March 2016.
  5. ^ "El PP perdería la mayoría absoluta y el PSOE obtendría sus peores resultados". ABC (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  6. ^ "Herrera, la "isla mínima" del PP". ABC (in Spanish). 19 May 2015.
  7. ^ "Rajoy cree un éxito ser el más votado aunque pierda plazas simbólicas". ABC (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  8. ^ . Salamanca RTV al día (in Spanish). 10 May 2015. Archived from the original on 11 May 2015.
  9. ^ "CASTILLA Y LEÓN, Mayo 2015. Sondeo Madison MK". Electograph (in Spanish). 10 May 2015.
  10. ^ "Herrera sujeta la mayoría absoluta". Diario de Valladolid (in Spanish). 7 May 2015.
  11. ^ "CASTILLA Y LEÓN, Abril 2015. Sondeo Celeste-Tel". Electograph (in Spanish). 7 May 2015.
  12. ^ a b c d e "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas 2015. Comunidad Autónoma de Castilla y León (Estudio nº 3072. Marzo-Abril 2015)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 7 May 2015.
  13. ^ "Sánchez se lanza al ataque como "única alternativa a la derecha"". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 8 May 2015.
  14. ^ "Encuesta Ical elecciones autonómicas: muchos cambios en la provincia de León". Ileón (in Spanish). 6 April 2015.
  15. ^ "CASTILLA Y LEÓN, Marzo 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 6 April 2015.
  16. ^ "El PP seguirá siendo el más votado en las CC AA pese a la caída en apoyos". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 April 2015.
  17. ^ "Castilla y León: Juan Vicente Herrera, el talismán de los populares". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 April 2015.
  18. ^ (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 20 April 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on 4 March 2016.
  19. ^ "El PP roza las puertas de la mayoría absoluta y Podemos irrumpe como tercera fuerza en Castilla y León". RTVCyL (in Spanish). 27 February 2015.
  20. ^ . RTVCyL (in Spanish). 27 February 2015. Archived from the original on 27 February 2015.
  21. ^ "CASTILLA Y LEÓN, Enero 2015. Sondeo Pnyx". Electograph (in Spanish). 27 February 2015.
  22. ^ "El reparto del poder territorial en España en 2015" (PDF). desarrollando-ideas.com (in Spanish). 31 October 2014.
  23. ^ "Proyección del resultado de las europeas en los parlamentos autonómicos". El País (in Spanish). 31 May 2014.
  24. ^ . La Razón (in Spanish). 18 November 2013. Archived from the original on 3 March 2016.
  25. ^ (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 18 November 2013. Archived from the original (PDF) on 3 March 2016. Retrieved 27 February 2015.
  26. ^ "El PP mantiene el poder autonómico". La Razón (in Spanish). 13 May 2013.
  27. ^ "Repite la mayoría absoluta: Castilla-La Mancha, Baleares, Castilla y León, Región de Murcia y La Rioja". La Razón (in Spanish). 13 May 2013.
  28. ^ . Electómetro (in Spanish). 13 May 2013. Archived from the original on 4 March 2016.
Other
  1. ^ a b c d "Ley Orgánica 14/2007, de 30 de noviembre, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de Castilla y León". Organic Law No. 14 of 30 November 2007. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 15 September 2017.
  2. ^ Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  3. ^ a b c "Ley 3/1987, de 30 de marzo, Electoral de Castilla y León". Law No. 3 of 30 March 1987. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 15 September 2017.
  4. ^ Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). . Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  5. ^ a b "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  6. ^ "Decreto 1/2015, de 30 de marzo, del Presidente de la Junta de Castilla y León, por el que se convocan elecciones a las Cortes de Castilla y León" (PDF). Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish) (77): 27329–27330. 31 March 2015. ISSN 0212-033X.
  7. ^ "El Parlamento. Legislaturas anteriores. VIII Legislatura". Cortes of Castile and León (in Spanish). Retrieved 29 January 2022.
  8. ^ "Juan Vicente Herrera confirma que será el candidato del PP a presidir la Junta". Tribuna Burgos (in Spanish). 12 February 2015. Retrieved 15 January 2022.
  9. ^ "Juan Vicente Herrera, candidato oficial por el PP a la presidencia de la Junta de Castilla y León". iLeón (in Spanish). Ical. 13 February 2015. Retrieved 15 January 2022.
  10. ^ S. Maeso, Antonio (5 October 2014). "El PSCyL elige a Tudanca secretario general y echa tierra sobre las heridas abiertas". El Confidencial (in Spanish). Retrieved 15 January 2022.
  11. ^ "Luis Tudanca: "El PSOE está más fuerte y vivo que nunca"". iLeón (in Spanish). Ical. 18 October 2014. Retrieved 15 January 2022.
  12. ^ De la Calle, Isabel (15 February 2015). "José Sarrión, elegido candidato de IUCyL a la presidencia de la Junta de Castilla y León". Tribuna Burgos (in Spanish). Retrieved 15 January 2022.
  13. ^ "Luis Mariano Santos encabeza la lista de UPL a las Cortes de Castilla y León" (in Spanish). León: Europa Press. 27 March 2015. Retrieved 24 December 2021.
  14. ^ "Luis Fuentes se convierte en el candidato regional de Ciudadanos a la Junta". Diario de Burgos (in Spanish). Valladolid. 13 March 2015. Retrieved 15 January 2022.
  15. ^ "El abogado leonés Pablo Fernández, elegido secretario general de Podemos Castilla y León". La Nueva Crónica (in Spanish). Ical. 14 February 2015. Retrieved 15 January 2022.
  16. ^ "Pablo Fernández será el candidato de Podemos a las Cortes". La Nueva Crónica (in Spanish). 1 April 2015. Retrieved 15 January 2022.
  17. ^ a b "Elections to the Cortes of Castile and León". servicios.jcyl.es (in Spanish). Junta of Castile and León. Retrieved 14 January 2018.
  18. ^ a b "Cortes of Castile and León election results, 24 May 2015" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of Castile and León. 6 July 2015. Retrieved 24 September 2017.
  19. ^ a b c "Elecciones a Cortes de Castilla y León (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 24 September 2017.

January 05, 2023
2015, castilian, leonese, regional, election, held, sunday, 2015, elect, cortes, autonomous, community, castile, león, seats, cortes, were, election, election, held, simultaneously, with, regional, elections, twelve, other, autonomous, communities, local, elec. The 2015 Castilian Leonese regional election was held on Sunday 24 May 2015 to elect the 9th Cortes of the autonomous community of Castile and Leon All 84 seats in the Cortes were up for election The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain 2015 Castilian Leonese regional election 2011 24 May 2015 2019 All 84 seats in the Cortes of Castile and Leon43 seats needed for a majorityOpinion pollsRegistered2 151 993 0 7 Turnout1 391 797 64 7 2 8 pp First party Second party Third party Leader Juan Vicente Herrera Luis Tudanca Pablo FernandezParty PP PSOE PodemosLeader s seat Burgos Burgos LeonLast election 53 seats 51 6 29 seats 29 7 Did not contestSeats won 42 25 10Seat change 11 4 10Popular vote 514 301 353 575 165 475Percentage 37 7 25 9 12 1 Swing 13 9 pp 3 7 pp New party Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party Leader Luis Fuentes Jose Sarrion Luis Mariano SantosParty C s IU Equo UPLLeader s seat Valladolid Valladolid LeonLast election 0 seats 0 3 a 1 seat 4 9 1 seat 1 9 Seats won 5 1 1Seat change 5 0 0Popular vote 139 954 56 516 19 176Percentage 10 3 4 1 1 4 Swing 10 0 pp 0 8 pp 0 5 ppConstituency results map for the Cortes of Castile and LeonPresident before electionJuan Vicente HerreraPP Elected President Juan Vicente HerreraPPThe ruling People s Party PP sustained a sharp decline in its support with a decrease of almost fourteen percentage points in the vote share and falling short of an overall majority for the first time since 1987 Concurrently the opposition Spanish Socialist Workers Party PSOE secured its worst historical result with only 25 9 and 25 seats whereas the Leonese People s Union UPL had its worst showing since 1991 Newcomers Podemos Spanish for We Can and Citizens C s made substantial inroads both securing over 10 of the share The election result forced the PP candidate and incumbent regional president Juan Vicente Herrera to secure the support of C s in order to be re elected for a fifth term in office which would also end up being his last Contents 1 Overview 1 1 Electoral system 1 2 Election date 2 Parliamentary composition 3 Parties and candidates 4 Opinion polls 4 1 Voting intention estimates 4 2 Voting preferences 4 3 Victory preferences 4 4 Victory likelihood 4 5 Preferred President 5 Results 5 1 Overall 5 2 Distribution by constituency 6 Aftermath 7 Notes 8 ReferencesOverview EditElectoral system Edit The Cortes of Castile and Leon were the devolved unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Castile and Leon having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Castilian Leonese Statute of Autonomy as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president 1 Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age registered in Castile and Leon and in full enjoyment of their political rights Additionally Castilian Leonese people abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote a system known as begged or expat vote Spanish Voto rogado 2 All members of the Cortes of Castile and Leon were elected using the D Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes which included blank ballots being applied in each constituency Seats were allocated to constituencies corresponding to the provinces of Avila Burgos Leon Palencia Salamanca Segovia Soria Valladolid and Zamora with each being allocated an initial minimum of three seats as well as one additional member per each 45 000 inhabitants or fraction greater than 22 500 1 3 The use of the D Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold depending on the district magnitude 4 Election date Edit The term of the Cortes of Castile and Leon expired four years after the date of their previous election unless they were dissolved earlier The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Castile and Leon BOCYL with election day taking place between the fifty fourth and sixtieth days from publication The previous election was held on 22 May 2011 which meant that the legislature s term would have expired on 22 May 2015 The election decree was required to be published in the BOCYL no later than 28 April 2015 with the election taking place up to the sixtieth day from publication setting the latest possible election date for the Cortes on Saturday 27 June 2015 1 3 5 The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Castile and Leon and call a snap election provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two month period from the first ballot the Cortes were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called 1 Parliamentary composition EditThe Cortes of Castile and Leon were officially dissolved on 31 March 2015 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the Official Gazette of Castile and Leon 6 The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Cortes at the time of dissolution 7 Parliamentary composition in March 2015 Groups Parties LegislatorsSeats TotalPeople s Parliamentary Group PP 53 53Socialist Parliamentary Group PSOE 29 29Mixed Parliamentary Group IUCyL 1 2UPL 1Parties and candidates EditThe electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates 3 5 Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election Candidacy Parties andalliances Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov Ref Votes SeatsPP List People s Party PP Juan Vicente Herrera ConservatismChristian democracy 51 55 53 Y 8 9 PSOE List Spanish Socialist Workers Party PSOE Luis Tudanca Social democracy 29 68 29 N 10 11 IU Equo List United Left of Castile and Leon IUCyL Equo Equo Jose Sarrion SocialismCommunism 4 87 1 N 12 UPL List Leonese People s Union UPL Luis Mariano Santos RegionalismAutonomism 1 86 1 N 13 C s List Citizens Party of the Citizenry C s Luis Fuentes Liberalism 0 26 a 0 N 14 Podemos List We Can Podemos Pablo Fernandez Left wing populismDirect democracyDemocratic socialism New party N 15 16 Opinion polls EditThe tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done as opposed to the date of publication Where the fieldwork dates are unknown the date of publication is given instead The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party s colour If a tie ensues this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages The Lead column on the right shows the percentage point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll Voting intention estimates Edit The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages while question wording and the treatment of don t know responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations When available seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below or in place of the percentages in a smaller font 43 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Castile and Leon Color key Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls Polling firm Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout UPL Lead2015 regional election 24 May 2015 64 9 37 742 25 925 4 11 1 40 1 41 10 35 12 110 0 70 11 8GAD3 Antena 3 p 1 11 22 May 2015 39 42 23 25 1 0 1 8 10 8 10 NC Report La Razon p 2 p 3 p 4 17 May 2015 1 800 42 243 44 24 722 24 4 80 1 1 10 2 00 1 12 610 11 10 57 8 17 5GAD3 ABC p 5 p 6 p 7 6 11 May 2015 550 39 239 41 24 522 24 4 21 0 90 0 60 1 13 511 12 11 810 11 14 7Madison MK El Norte de Castilla p 8 p 9 29 Apr 6 May 2015 1 906 38 940 43 22 522 23 5 71 1 71 13 210 12 10 46 8 16 4Celeste Tel Edigrup p 10 p 11 22 30 Apr 2015 2 700 64 7 44 344 25 024 4 61 2 20 2 21 12 810 7 34 1 30 19 3CIS p 12 p 13 23 Mar 19 Apr 2015 2 989 40 943 44 22 920 21 3 81 2 00 1 81 11 19 10 38 10 18 0Sigma Dos Ical p 14 p 15 12 24 Mar 2015 2 200 39 639 43 22 221 23 5 61 1 31 13 39 10 13 89 11 17 4NC Report La Razon p 16 p 17 p 18 4 20 Mar 2015 1 800 39 338 43 23 822 24 4 30 1 1 40 1 70 1 14 110 11 12 78 10 15 5Pnyx RTVCyL p 19 p 20 p 21 29 Dec 3 Jan 2015 2 000 71 37 640 43 24 124 3 91 6 12 3 1 51 5 62 3 11 710 12 2 30 13 5Llorente amp Cuenca p 22 31 Oct 2014 38 40 23 25 2 3 4 2 10 16 2014 EP election p 23 25 May 2014 45 9 37 5 43 23 4 24 8 3 6 8 3 6 2 7 0 8 1 5 2 5 0 14 1NC Report La Razon p 24 p 25 15 Oct 12 Nov 2013 43 44 25 26 6 7 5 6 2 3 NC Report La Razon p 26 p 27 p 28 15 Apr 10 May 2013 400 44 943 44 28 126 27 5 6 5 6 2 3 16 82011 general election 20 Nov 2011 71 3 55 4 56 29 2 25 5 6 1 6 1 2 26 22011 regional election 22 May 2011 67 5 51 653 29 729 4 91 3 30 1 91 0 30 21 9Voting preferences Edit The table below lists raw unweighted voting preferences Polling firm Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size UPL N Lead2015 regional election 24 May 2015 25 5 17 5 2 8 1 0 1 0 6 9 8 2 31 0 8 0CIS p 12 23 Mar 19 Apr 2015 2 989 20 3 12 5 2 6 0 7 0 4 7 3 7 7 34 6 10 2 7 82014 EP election 25 May 2014 17 8 11 1 3 9 4 0 1 3 3 9 51 3 6 72011 general election 20 Nov 2011 41 0 21 6 4 2 4 5 24 9 19 42011 regional election 22 May 2011 36 0 20 6 3 4 2 3 1 3 28 9 15 4Victory preferences Edit The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place Polling firm Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size UPL Other None LeadCIS p 12 23 Mar 19 Apr 2015 2 989 24 5 17 3 3 1 1 0 0 3 8 5 9 1 8 3 27 9 7 2Victory likelihood Edit The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place Polling firm Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other None LeadCIS p 12 23 Mar 19 Apr 2015 2 989 68 8 6 3 0 0 0 2 1 5 0 9 22 3 62 5Preferred President Edit The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Junta of Castile and Leon Polling firm Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other None Notcare LeadHerreraPP TudancaPSOE SarrionIUCyL FuentesC s FernandezPodemosCIS p 12 23 Mar 19 Apr 2015 2 989 25 7 9 7 1 4 1 6 2 3 2 8 56 3 16 0Results EditOverall Edit Summary of the 24 May 2015 Cortes of Castile and Leon election results Parties and alliances Popular vote SeatsVotes pp Total People s Party PP 514 301 37 73 13 82 42 11Spanish Socialist Workers Party PSOE 353 575 25 94 3 74 25 4We Can Podemos 165 475 12 14 New 10 10Citizens Party of the Citizenry C s 1 139 954 10 27 10 01 5 5United Left Equo Convergence for Castile and Leon IU Equo 56 516 4 15 0 72 1 0Union Progress and Democracy UPyD 19 597 1 44 1 84 0 0Leonese People s Union UPL 19 176 1 41 0 45 1 0Independent Candidacy Citizens of Democratic Centre CI CCD 2 12 748 0 94 0 19 0 0Vox Vox 9 333 0 68 New 0 0Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals PACMA 7 263 0 53 0 16 0 0Coalition for El Bierzo CB 3 5 032 0 37 0 20 0 0Castilian Party Commoners Land Pact PCAS TC Pacto 4 504 0 33 0 61 0 0Let s Win the Fracking Castile and Leon Ganemos al Fracking 2 445 0 18 New 0 0Zamoran Independent Electors ADEIZA 2 380 0 17 0 06 0 0Decide Now Socialist Alternative Ahora Decide AS 2 285 0 17 New 0 0Leonese Autonomist Party Leonesist Unity PAL UL 1 963 0 14 0 13 0 0Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO FE JONS 1 779 0 13 0 02 0 0Grouped Rural Citizens CRA 1 698 0 12 New 0 0Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain PCPE 1 408 0 10 0 07 0 0Regionalist Party of the Leonese Country PREPAL 1 374 0 10 0 04 0 0Internationalist Solidarity and Self Management SAIn 973 0 07 0 02 0 0Party for Freedom With Clean Hands PxL 934 0 07 New 0 0National Democracy DN 896 0 07 0 08 0 0Spanish Democratic Segovian Party PSeDE 874 0 06 New 0 0Regionalist Democracy of Castile and Leon DRCyL 4 848 0 06 0 04 0 0United Free Citizens CILUS 742 0 05 New 0 0Regionalist Party of El Bierzo PRB 732 0 05 0 00 0 0Cives Cives 628 0 05 New 0 0Blank Seats EB 348 0 03 New 0 0Blank ballots 33 274 2 44 0 84Total 1 363 055 84 0Valid votes 1 363 055 97 93 0 16Invalid votes 28 742 2 07 0 16Votes cast turnout 1 391 797 64 67 2 83Abstentions 760 196 35 33 2 83Registered voters 2 151 993Sources 17 18 19 Footnotes 1 Citizens Party of the Citizenry results are compared to Yes for Salamanca totals in the 2011 election 2 Independent Candidacy Citizens of Democratic Centre results are compared to The Party of Castile and Leon Independent Candidacy totals in the 2011 election 3 Coalition for El Bierzo results are compared to Party of El Bierzo totals in the 2011 election 4 Regionalist Democracy of Castile and Leon results are compared to Regionalist Unity of Castile and Leon totals in the 2011 election Popular votePP 37 73 PSOE 25 94 Podemos 12 14 C s 10 27 IU Equo 4 15 UPyD 1 44 UPL 1 41 Others 4 49 Blank ballots 2 44 SeatsPP 50 00 PSOE 29 76 Podemos 11 90 C s 5 95 IU Equo 1 19 UPL 1 19 Distribution by constituency Edit Constituency PP PSOE Podemos C s IU Equo UPL S S S S S SAvila 45 3 4 22 1 2 10 1 11 9 1 4 0 Burgos 36 5 5 24 7 3 14 2 2 12 1 1 3 9 Leon 32 1 5 27 3 5 12 6 2 8 9 1 3 4 7 0 1Palencia 41 0 4 29 0 2 10 8 1 9 9 3 9 Salamanca 41 5 6 25 3 3 10 8 1 13 3 1 3 0 Segovia 40 0 4 27 5 2 11 3 1 9 1 3 6 Soria 36 9 3 31 2 2 12 0 12 1 2 8 Valladolid 35 7 7 25 0 4 13 1 2 8 9 1 6 2 1Zamora 41 3 4 25 5 2 11 0 1 7 8 4 3 0 7 Total 37 7 42 25 9 25 12 1 10 10 3 5 4 1 1 1 4 1Sources 17 18 19 Aftermath EditInvestitureJuan Vicente Herrera PP Ballot 3 July 2015 3 July 2015Required majority 43 out of 84 N Simple YYes PP 42 42 84 42 84No PSOE 25 Podemos 10 IU 1 UPL 1 37 84 37 84Abstentions C s 5 5 84 5 84Absentees 0 84 0 84Sources 19 Notes Edit a b Results for UPSa C s in the 2011 election References EditOpinion poll sources Encuestas y resultados elecciones autonomicas y municipales del 24 de mayo de 2015 GAD3 in Spanish 28 May 2015 El PP mantendria sin apoyos Castilla y Leon Castilla La Mancha Murcia y La Rioja La Razon in Spanish 17 May 2015 Castilla y Leon Herrera remonta y seguiria cuatro anos mas como presidente La Razon in Spanish 17 May 2015 Castilla y Leon Encuesta mayo 2015 PDF La Razon in Spanish 17 May 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 4 March 2016 El PP perderia la mayoria absoluta y el PSOE obtendria sus peores resultados ABC in Spanish 17 May 2015 Herrera la isla minima del PP ABC in Spanish 19 May 2015 Rajoy cree un exito ser el mas votado aunque pierda plazas simbolicas ABC in Spanish 17 May 2015 El PP roza la mayoria absoluta de nuevo en Castilla y Leon Salamanca RTV al dia in Spanish 10 May 2015 Archived from the original on 11 May 2015 CASTILLA Y LEoN Mayo 2015 Sondeo Madison MK Electograph in Spanish 10 May 2015 Herrera sujeta la mayoria absoluta Diario de Valladolid in Spanish 7 May 2015 CASTILLA Y LEoN Abril 2015 Sondeo Celeste Tel Electograph in Spanish 7 May 2015 a b c d e Preelectoral elecciones autonomicas 2015 Comunidad Autonoma de Castilla y Leon Estudio nº 3072 Marzo Abril 2015 PDF CIS in Spanish 7 May 2015 Sanchez se lanza al ataque como unica alternativa a la derecha La Vanguardia in Spanish 8 May 2015 Encuesta Ical elecciones autonomicas muchos cambios en la provincia de Leon Ileon in Spanish 6 April 2015 CASTILLA Y LEoN Marzo 2015 Sondeo SigmaDos Electograph in Spanish 6 April 2015 El PP seguira siendo el mas votado en las CC AA pese a la caida en apoyos La Razon in Spanish 20 April 2015 Castilla y Leon Juan Vicente Herrera el talisman de los populares La Razon in Spanish 20 April 2015 Castilla y Leon Encuesta marzo 2015 PDF La Razon in Spanish 20 April 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 4 March 2016 El PP roza las puertas de la mayoria absoluta y Podemos irrumpe como tercera fuerza en Castilla y Leon RTVCyL in Spanish 27 February 2015 Encuesta CyL RTVCyL in Spanish 27 February 2015 Archived from the original on 27 February 2015 CASTILLA Y LEoN Enero 2015 Sondeo Pnyx Electograph in Spanish 27 February 2015 El reparto del poder territorial en Espana en 2015 PDF desarrollando ideas com in Spanish 31 October 2014 Proyeccion del resultado de las europeas en los parlamentos autonomicos El Pais in Spanish 31 May 2014 El PP ganaria de nuevo en 9 de 13 autonomias La Razon in Spanish 18 November 2013 Archived from the original on 3 March 2016 Encuesta autonomicas NC Report noviembre 2013 PDF La Razon in Spanish 18 November 2013 Archived from the original PDF on 3 March 2016 Retrieved 27 February 2015 El PP mantiene el poder autonomico La Razon in Spanish 13 May 2013 Repite la mayoria absoluta Castilla La Mancha Baleares Castilla y Leon Region de Murcia y La Rioja La Razon in Spanish 13 May 2013 El PP ganaria en la mayoria de las autonomias La Razon Electometro in Spanish 13 May 2013 Archived from the original on 4 March 2016 Other a b c d Ley Organica 14 2007 de 30 de noviembre de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomia de Castilla y Leon Organic Law No 14 of 30 November 2007 Boletin Oficial del Estado in Spanish Retrieved 15 September 2017 Reig Pellicer Naiara 16 December 2015 Spanish elections Begging for the right to vote cafebabel co uk Retrieved 17 July 2017 a b c Ley 3 1987 de 30 de marzo Electoral de Castilla y Leon Law No 3 of 30 March 1987 Boletin Oficial del Estado in Spanish Retrieved 15 September 2017 Gallagher Michael 30 July 2012 Effective threshold in electoral systems Trinity College Dublin Archived from the original on 30 July 2017 Retrieved 22 July 2017 a b Ley Organica 5 1985 de 19 de junio del Regimen Electoral General Organic Law No 5 of 19 June 1985 Boletin Oficial del Estado in Spanish Retrieved 28 December 2016 Decreto 1 2015 de 30 de marzo del Presidente de la Junta de Castilla y Leon por el que se convocan elecciones a las Cortes de Castilla y Leon PDF Boletin Oficial del Estado in Spanish 77 27329 27330 31 March 2015 ISSN 0212 033X El Parlamento Legislaturas anteriores VIII Legislatura Cortes of Castile and Leon in Spanish Retrieved 29 January 2022 Juan Vicente Herrera confirma que sera el candidato del PP a presidir la Junta Tribuna Burgos in Spanish 12 February 2015 Retrieved 15 January 2022 Juan Vicente Herrera candidato oficial por el PP a la presidencia de la Junta de Castilla y Leon iLeon in Spanish Ical 13 February 2015 Retrieved 15 January 2022 S Maeso Antonio 5 October 2014 El PSCyL elige a Tudanca secretario general y echa tierra sobre las heridas abiertas El Confidencial in Spanish Retrieved 15 January 2022 Luis Tudanca El PSOE esta mas fuerte y vivo que nunca iLeon in Spanish Ical 18 October 2014 Retrieved 15 January 2022 De la Calle Isabel 15 February 2015 Jose Sarrion elegido candidato de IUCyL a la presidencia de la Junta de Castilla y Leon Tribuna Burgos in Spanish Retrieved 15 January 2022 Luis Mariano Santos encabeza la lista de UPL a las Cortes de Castilla y Leon in Spanish Leon Europa Press 27 March 2015 Retrieved 24 December 2021 Luis Fuentes se convierte en el candidato regional de Ciudadanos a la Junta Diario de Burgos in Spanish Valladolid 13 March 2015 Retrieved 15 January 2022 El abogado leones Pablo Fernandez elegido secretario general de Podemos Castilla y Leon La Nueva Cronica in Spanish Ical 14 February 2015 Retrieved 15 January 2022 Pablo Fernandez sera el candidato de Podemos a las Cortes La Nueva Cronica in Spanish 1 April 2015 Retrieved 15 January 2022 a b Elections to the Cortes of Castile and Leon servicios jcyl es in Spanish Junta of Castile and Leon Retrieved 14 January 2018 a b Cortes of Castile and Leon election results 24 May 2015 PDF www juntaelectoralcentral es in Spanish Electoral Commission of Castile and Leon 6 July 2015 Retrieved 24 September 2017 a b c Elecciones a Cortes de Castilla y Leon 1983 2019 Historia Electoral com in Spanish Retrieved 24 September 2017 Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title 2015 Castilian Leonese regional election amp oldid 1107901056, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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