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2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey

December 15, 2023

Main article: 2004 United States presidential election

The 2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 15 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey
← 2000 November 2, 2004 2008 →
 
Nominee John Kerry George W. Bush
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Massachusetts Texas
Running mate John Edwards Dick Cheney
Electoral vote 15 0
Popular vote 1,911,430 1,670,003
Percentage 52.92% 46.24%
President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

New Jersey was won by Democratic nominee John Kerry by a 6.68% margin of victory. Prior to the election, most news organizations considered it as a state Kerry would win, or a blue state. Due to the impact of the September 11, 2001 attacks, however, and Governor James McGreevey's resignation amidst scandal, the state was considered a potentially closer than usual race. Polls showed Senator John F. Kerry with a slim lead throughout the campaign and the Republicans invested some campaign funds in the state. In the end, Kerry carried New Jersey by a comfortable margin, albeit narrower than usual for a 21st-century Democrat.

This remains the only election since 1880 in which the Republican nominee won the popular vote without New Jersey, and the only time it voted for the popular vote loser since 1976. As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last election in which the Democratic margin of victory was in single digits, or that the Republican won Somerset County.

Primaries edit

Campaign edit

Predictions edit

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[1]

Source Ranking
D.C. Political Report Lean D
Cook Political Report Likely D
Research 2000 Solid D
Zogby International Likely D
Washington Post Likely D
Washington Dispatch Likely D
Washington Times Solid D
The New York Times Lean D
CNN Likely D
Newsweek Lean D
Associated Press Solid D
Rasmussen Reports Likely D

Polling edit

Kerry won most of the pre-election polls taken in this state, but mostly by small margins. The final 3 polling average showed the Democratic leading 49% to 42%.[2]

Fundraising edit

Bush raised $5,934,011.[3] Kerry raised $6,513,274.[4]

Advertising and visits edit

President George W. Bush visited Marlton, New Jersey, in Burlington County for a rally on October 18, 2004.[5]

Analysis edit

Generally, Kerry was very dominant in the urban centers of the state, particularly in Essex, Hudson, and Camden Counties. However, Bush made inroads in Bergen County, where many wealthy residents reside, and in other South Jersey counties. Bush controlled largely rural parts of the state, such as the Northwest (Hunterdon, Somerset, and Morris are also among the 10 wealthiest counties in America) and Salem County. Monmouth County's wealthy population and Ocean and Cape May Counties' older population also contributed to Bush's relative success in this largely Democratic state.

This would also be the first election in which a Northern Democrat carried New Jersey since 1960 when fellow Massachusetts Democrat John F. Kennedy did so. The previous three Democratic presidential candidates to carry the state were all from the South (Lyndon B. Johnson was from Texas, Bill Clinton from Arkansas, and Al Gore from Tennessee), even though New Jersey is a northern state. This is the only time a president was elected twice without ever carrying any of the state's electoral votes either time, and only the second occasion (after 1864) that any president won two terms without ever carrying the state's popular vote either time.

Results edit

2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey[6][7]
Party Candidate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Democratic John Kerry 1,911,430 52.92% 15
Republican George W. Bush (Inc.) 1,670,003 46.24% 0
Independent Ralph Nader 19,418 0.54% 0
Libertarian Michael Badnarik 4,514 0.12% 0
Constitution Michael Peroutka 2,750 0.08% 0
Green David Cobb 1,807 0.05% 0
Socialist Walt Brown 664 0.02% 0
Socialist Equality Bill Van Auken 575 0.02% 0
Socialist Workers Roger Calero 530 0.01% 0
Totals 3,611,691 100.00% 15
Voter Turnout (Voting age/Registered) 56%/72%

By county edit

 
Results of the general election by municipality, darker colors indicate higher win percentage:
-Blue municipalities won by Kerry
-Red municipalities won by Bush
County John Kerry
Democratic 		George W. Bush
Republican 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Atlantic 55,746 52.54% 49,487 46.64% 864 0.81% 6,259 5.90% 106,097
Bergen 207,666 51.88% 189,833 47.43% 2,745 0.69% 17,833 4.45% 400,244
Burlington 110,411 53.09% 95,936 46.13% 1,609 0.77% 14,475 6.96% 207,956
Camden 137,765 62.36% 81,427 36.86% 1,741 0.79% 56,338 25.50% 220,933
Cape May 21,475 42.31% 28,832 56.80% 455 0.90% -7,357 -14.49% 50,762
Cumberland 27,875 52.41% 24,362 45.81% 948 1.78% 3,513 6.60% 53,185
Essex 203,681 70.39% 83,374 28.81% 2,293 0.79% 120,307 41.58% 289,348
Gloucester 66,835 52.23% 60,033 46.91% 1,096 0.86% 6,802 5.32% 127,964
Hudson 127,447 67.24% 60,646 31.99% 1,461 0.77% 66,801 35.25% 189,554
Hunterdon 26,050 39.07% 39,888 59.82% 742 1.11% -13,838 -20.75% 66,680
Mercer 91,580 61.25% 56,604 37.86% 1,326 0.89% 34,976 23.39% 149,510
Middlesex 166,628 56.33% 126,492 42.76% 2,685 0.91% 40,136 13.57% 295,805
Monmouth 133,773 44.60% 163,650 54.56% 2,516 0.84% -29,877 -9.96% 299,939
Morris 98,066 41.70% 135,241 57.51% 1,847 0.79% -37,175 -15.81% 235,154
Ocean 99,839 38.93% 154,204 60.13% 2,424 0.95% -54,365 -21.20% 256,467
Passaic 94,962 55.43% 75,200 43.90% 1,149 0.67% 19,762 11.53% 171,311
Salem 13,749 46.17% 15,721 52.79% 311 1.04% -1,972 -6.62% 29,781
Somerset 66,476 47.39% 72,508 51.69% 1,295 0.92% -6,032 -4.30% 140,279
Sussex 23,990 34.54% 44,506 64.08% 962 1.38% -20,516 -29.54% 69,458
Union 119,372 58.66% 82,517 40.55% 1,613 0.79% 36,855 18.11% 203,502
Warren 18,044 37.43% 29,542 61.28% 622 1.29% -11,498 -23.85% 48,208
Totals 1,911,430 52.92% 1,670,003 46.23% 30,704 0.85% 241,427 6.69% 3,612,137
 
County Flips:


Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican edit

By congressional district edit

Kerry won 7 of 13 congressional districts.[8]

District Kerry Bush Representative
1st 61% 39% Rob Andrews
2nd 49% 50% Frank LoBiondo
3rd 49% 51% Jim Saxton
4th 44% 56% Chris Smith
5th 43% 57% Scott Garrett
6th 57% 43% Frank Pallone Jr.
7th 47% 53% Mike Ferguson
8th 59% 41% Bill Pascrell
9th 59% 41% Steve Rothman
10th 82% 18% Donald Payne
11th 42% 58% Rodney Frelinghuysen
12th 54% 46% Rush Holt Jr.
13th 69% 31% Bob Menendez

Electors edit

Main article: List of 2004 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of NJ cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. NJ is allocated 15 electors because it has 13 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 15 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 15 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 15 were pledged for Kerry/Edwards.[9]

  1. Warren Wallace
  2. Wilfredo Caraballo
  3. Tom Canzanella
  4. Carolyn Walch
  5. Peggy Anastos
  6. Bernard Kenny
  7. Ronald Rice
  8. Abed Awad
  9. Jack McGreevey - (Father of former Gov. James McGreevey)
  10. Wendy Benchle
  11. Loni Kaplan
  12. Carolyn Wade
  13. Riletta L. Cream
  14. Bernadette McPherson
  15. Upendra Chivukula

See also edit

References edit

  1. ^ . dcpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 21, 2010. Retrieved June 6, 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  2. ^ "Election poll data". uselectionatlas.org. 2004.
  3. ^ "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President". www.campaignmoney.com.
  4. ^ "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President". www.campaignmoney.com.
  5. ^ "George W Bush Campaign Rally - Marlton, NJ - Oct 18, 2004 - YouTube". www.youtube.com. Archived from the original on December 12, 2021. Retrieved December 19, 2020.
  6. ^ "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - New Jersey 2004".
  7. ^ "Official General Election Candidates List" (PDF).
  8. ^ "Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project".
  9. ^ "U. S. Electoral College 2004 Certificate". www.archives.gov. May 20, 2019.

External links edit

  • Official Results (New Jersey Division of Elections)
  • Official Results by municipality

December 15, 2023
2004, united, states, presidential, election, jersey, main, article, 2004, united, states, presidential, election, took, place, november, 2004, part, 2004, united, states, presidential, election, voters, chose, representatives, electors, electoral, college, vo. Main article 2004 United States presidential election The 2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey took place on November 2 2004 and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election Voters chose 15 representatives or electors to the Electoral College who voted for president and vice president 2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey 2000 November 2 2004 2008 Nominee John Kerry George W BushParty Democratic RepublicanHome state Massachusetts TexasRunning mate John Edwards Dick CheneyElectoral vote 15 0Popular vote 1 911 430 1 670 003Percentage 52 92 46 24 County ResultsMunicipality ResultsKerry 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 Bush 50 60 60 70 President before electionGeorge W BushRepublican Elected President George W BushRepublicanNew Jersey was won by Democratic nominee John Kerry by a 6 68 margin of victory Prior to the election most news organizations considered it as a state Kerry would win or a blue state Due to the impact of the September 11 2001 attacks however and Governor James McGreevey s resignation amidst scandal the state was considered a potentially closer than usual race Polls showed Senator John F Kerry with a slim lead throughout the campaign and the Republicans invested some campaign funds in the state In the end Kerry carried New Jersey by a comfortable margin albeit narrower than usual for a 21st century Democrat This remains the only election since 1880 in which the Republican nominee won the popular vote without New Jersey and the only time it voted for the popular vote loser since 1976 As of the 2020 presidential election update this is the last election in which the Democratic margin of victory was in single digits or that the Republican won Somerset County Contents 1 Primaries 2 Campaign 2 1 Predictions 2 2 Polling 2 3 Fundraising 2 4 Advertising and visits 3 Analysis 4 Results 4 1 By county 4 1 1 Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican 4 2 By congressional district 5 Electors 6 See also 7 References 8 External linksPrimaries edit2004 New Jersey Democratic presidential primaryCampaign editPredictions edit There were 12 news organizations who made state by state predictions of the election Here are their last predictions before election day 1 Source RankingD C Political Report Lean DCook Political Report Likely DResearch 2000 Solid DZogby International Likely DWashington Post Likely DWashington Dispatch Likely DWashington Times Solid DThe New York Times Lean DCNN Likely DNewsweek Lean DAssociated Press Solid DRasmussen Reports Likely DPolling edit Kerry won most of the pre election polls taken in this state but mostly by small margins The final 3 polling average showed the Democratic leading 49 to 42 2 Fundraising edit Bush raised 5 934 011 3 Kerry raised 6 513 274 4 Advertising and visits edit President George W Bush visited Marlton New Jersey in Burlington County for a rally on October 18 2004 5 Analysis editGenerally Kerry was very dominant in the urban centers of the state particularly in Essex Hudson and Camden Counties However Bush made inroads in Bergen County where many wealthy residents reside and in other South Jersey counties Bush controlled largely rural parts of the state such as the Northwest Hunterdon Somerset and Morris are also among the 10 wealthiest counties in America and Salem County Monmouth County s wealthy population and Ocean and Cape May Counties older population also contributed to Bush s relative success in this largely Democratic state This would also be the first election in which a Northern Democrat carried New Jersey since 1960 when fellow Massachusetts Democrat John F Kennedy did so The previous three Democratic presidential candidates to carry the state were all from the South Lyndon B Johnson was from Texas Bill Clinton from Arkansas and Al Gore from Tennessee even though New Jersey is a northern state This is the only time a president was elected twice without ever carrying any of the state s electoral votes either time and only the second occasion after 1864 that any president won two terms without ever carrying the state s popular vote either time Results edit2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey 6 7 Party Candidate Votes Percentage Electoral votesDemocratic John Kerry 1 911 430 52 92 15Republican George W Bush Inc 1 670 003 46 24 0Independent Ralph Nader 19 418 0 54 0Libertarian Michael Badnarik 4 514 0 12 0Constitution Michael Peroutka 2 750 0 08 0Green David Cobb 1 807 0 05 0Socialist Walt Brown 664 0 02 0Socialist Equality Bill Van Auken 575 0 02 0Socialist Workers Roger Calero 530 0 01 0Totals 3 611 691 100 00 15Voter Turnout Voting age Registered 56 72 By county edit nbsp Results of the general election by municipality darker colors indicate higher win percentage Blue municipalities won by Kerry Red municipalities won by BushCounty John KerryDemocratic George W BushRepublican Various candidatesOther parties Margin Total votes cast Atlantic 55 746 52 54 49 487 46 64 864 0 81 6 259 5 90 106 097Bergen 207 666 51 88 189 833 47 43 2 745 0 69 17 833 4 45 400 244Burlington 110 411 53 09 95 936 46 13 1 609 0 77 14 475 6 96 207 956Camden 137 765 62 36 81 427 36 86 1 741 0 79 56 338 25 50 220 933Cape May 21 475 42 31 28 832 56 80 455 0 90 7 357 14 49 50 762Cumberland 27 875 52 41 24 362 45 81 948 1 78 3 513 6 60 53 185Essex 203 681 70 39 83 374 28 81 2 293 0 79 120 307 41 58 289 348Gloucester 66 835 52 23 60 033 46 91 1 096 0 86 6 802 5 32 127 964Hudson 127 447 67 24 60 646 31 99 1 461 0 77 66 801 35 25 189 554Hunterdon 26 050 39 07 39 888 59 82 742 1 11 13 838 20 75 66 680Mercer 91 580 61 25 56 604 37 86 1 326 0 89 34 976 23 39 149 510Middlesex 166 628 56 33 126 492 42 76 2 685 0 91 40 136 13 57 295 805Monmouth 133 773 44 60 163 650 54 56 2 516 0 84 29 877 9 96 299 939Morris 98 066 41 70 135 241 57 51 1 847 0 79 37 175 15 81 235 154Ocean 99 839 38 93 154 204 60 13 2 424 0 95 54 365 21 20 256 467Passaic 94 962 55 43 75 200 43 90 1 149 0 67 19 762 11 53 171 311Salem 13 749 46 17 15 721 52 79 311 1 04 1 972 6 62 29 781Somerset 66 476 47 39 72 508 51 69 1 295 0 92 6 032 4 30 140 279Sussex 23 990 34 54 44 506 64 08 962 1 38 20 516 29 54 69 458Union 119 372 58 66 82 517 40 55 1 613 0 79 36 855 18 11 203 502Warren 18 044 37 43 29 542 61 28 622 1 29 11 498 23 85 48 208Totals 1 911 430 52 92 1 670 003 46 23 30 704 0 85 241 427 6 69 3 612 137 nbsp County Flips Democratic Hold Republican Hold Gain from Democratic Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican edit Salem largest municipality Pennsville Township Monmouth largest municipality Middletown Township By congressional district edit Kerry won 7 of 13 congressional districts 8 District Kerry Bush Representative1st 61 39 Rob Andrews2nd 49 50 Frank LoBiondo3rd 49 51 Jim Saxton4th 44 56 Chris Smith5th 43 57 Scott Garrett6th 57 43 Frank Pallone Jr 7th 47 53 Mike Ferguson8th 59 41 Bill Pascrell9th 59 41 Steve Rothman10th 82 18 Donald Payne11th 42 58 Rodney Frelinghuysen12th 54 46 Rush Holt Jr 13th 69 31 Bob MenendezElectors editMain article List of 2004 United States presidential electors Technically the voters of NJ cast their ballots for electors representatives to the Electoral College NJ is allocated 15 electors because it has 13 congressional districts and 2 senators All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write in votes must submit a list of 15 electors who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 15 electoral votes Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate they are not obligated to vote for them An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13 2004 to cast their votes for president and vice president The Electoral College itself never meets as one body Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state All 15 were pledged for Kerry Edwards 9 Warren Wallace Wilfredo Caraballo Tom Canzanella Carolyn Walch Peggy Anastos Bernard Kenny Ronald Rice Abed Awad Jack McGreevey Father of former Gov James McGreevey Wendy Benchle Loni Kaplan Carolyn Wade Riletta L Cream Bernadette McPherson Upendra ChivukulaSee also editUnited States presidential elections in New Jersey Presidency of George W BushReferences edit Archived copy dcpoliticalreport com Archived from the original on November 21 2010 Retrieved June 6 2022 a href Template Cite web html title Template Cite web cite web a CS1 maint archived copy as title link Election poll data uselectionatlas org 2004 George W Bush 374 659 453 raised 04 election cycle Republican Party President www campaignmoney com John F Kerry 345 826 176 raised 04 election cycle Democrat Party President www campaignmoney com George W Bush Campaign Rally Marlton NJ Oct 18 2004 YouTube www youtube com Archived from the original on December 12 2021 Retrieved December 19 2020 Dave Leip s Atlas of U S Presidential Elections New Jersey 2004 Official General Election Candidates List PDF Presidential Results by Congressional District 2000 2008 Swing State Project U S Electoral College 2004 Certificate www archives gov May 20 2019 External links editOfficial Results New Jersey Division of Elections Official Results by municipality Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title 2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey amp oldid 1189474081, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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