CVoter

Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research, or CVoter, is an Indian international polling agency headquartered in Delhi, India.^[1]

History

Yashwant Deshmukh is the director and founding editor of CVoter.^[1][2]

Clients

CVoter India states that it has covered 15 union budgets, more than 100 state elections and more than 30 international events. Since 2000 it has worked with Times Now, ANN7,^[3] United Press International,^[4] Reuters, Bloomberg News, BBC News, Aaj Tak, ABP News, Zee News, Zee Business, the Development and Educational Communication Unit of the Indian Space Research Organisation, India TV, Lok Sabha TV, UTVi business news channel (owned by UTV Software Communications), Sahara Samay (owned by Sahara India Pariwar), Jain TV, Asianet, ETV, CNEB and other news and information providers.^[5][6] Studies have included market research,^[7][8] conflict resolution research,^[9] and opinion polls.^[10][11][12]

2022 State Elections

Goa

Opinion polls

Date Published	Polling agency						Lead	Remarks
		NDA	UPA	AAP	AITC+	Others
7 February 2022	ABP News C-voter^[13]	14-18	10-14	4-8	3-7	0-2	0-8	Hung
10 January 2022	ABP News C-voter^[14]	19-23	4-8	5-9	2-6	0-4	10-18	Hung
11 December 2021	ABP News C-Voter^[15]	17-21	4-8	5-9	6-10		7-15	Hung
12 November 2021	ABP News C-voter^[16]	19-23	2-6	3-7	8-12		7-15	Hung
8 October 2021	ABP News C-voter^[17]	24-28	1-5	3-7	4-8		16-24	BJP majority
3 Sept 2021	ABP News C-voter^[18]	22-26	3-7	4-8	3-7		14-22	BJP majority
10 March 2022	Election results	20	12	2	2	4	8	Hung

Exit polls

Polling agency						Lead	Remarks
	NDA	UPA	AAP	AITC+	Others
ABP-CVoter^[19]	13-17	12-16	1-5	5-9	0-2	0-1	Hung
Election results	20	12	2	2	4	8	Hung

Manipur

Opinion polls

Date Published	Polling agency					Lead	Remarks
		INC	BJP	NPF	Others
10 January 2022	ABP News C-Voter^[20]	22-26	23-27	2-6	5-9	0-5	Hung
11 December 2021	ABP News C-Voter^[21]	23-27	29-33	2-6	0-2	2-10	Hung
12 November 2021	ABP News C-Voter^[22]	20-24	25-29	4-8	3-7	1-9	Hung
8 October 2021	ABP News C-Voter^[23]	21-25	26-30	4-8	1-5	1-9	Hung
3 September 2021	ABP News C-Voter^[24]	18-22	32-36	2-6	0-4	10-18	BJP majority
10 March 2022	Election results	5	32	5	18	14	NDA majority

Exit polls

Polling agency						Lead	Remarks
	BJP	INC	NPP	NPF	Others
ABP News-CVoter^[25]	23-27	12-16	10-14	3-7	2-6	7-15	Hung
Election results	32	5	7	5	11	21	NDA majority

Punjab

Opinion Polls

Date published	Polling agency						Lead	Remarks
		UPA	AAP	SAD+	NDA	Others
7 February 2022	ABP News - C-Voter^[26]	24-30	55-63	20-26	3-11	0-2	25-39	Hung
10 January 2022	ABP News - C-Voter^[27]	37-43	52-58	17-23	1-3	0-1	9-21	Hung
11 December 2021	ABP News - C-Voter^[28]	39-45	50-56	17-23	0-3	0-1	5-16	Hung
12 November 2021	ABP News - C-Voter^[29]	42-50	47-53	16-24	0-1	0-1	0-11	Hung
8 October 2021	ABP News - C-Voter^[30]	39-47	49-55	17-25	0-1	0-1	2-16	Hung
4 September 2021	ABP News - C-Voter^[31]	38-46	51-57	16-24	0-1	0-1	5-19	Hung
19 March 2021	ABP News - C-Voter^[32]	43-49	51-57	12-18	0-3	0-5	2-14	Hung
10 March 2022	Election results	18	92	4	2	1	74	AAP Majority

Exit polls

Polling agency						Lead	Remarks
	UPA	AAP	SAD+	NDA	Others
ABP News - C Voter^[33]	22-28	51-61	20-26	7-13	1-5	23-39	Hung
Election results	18	92	4	2	1	74	AAP Majority

Uttar Pradesh

Opinion polls

	Polling agency	NDA						Lead	Remarks
Date Published			SP+	BSP	UPA	Others
18 March 2021	ABP-CVoter^[34]^[35]	284-294	54-64	33-43	1-7	10-16	220-240	NDA majority
3 September 2021	ABP-CVoter^[36]	259-267	109-117	12-16	3-7	6-10	142-158	NDA majority
8 October 2021	ABP-CVoter^[37]	241-249	130-138	15-19	3-7	0-4	103-119	NDA majority
13 November 2021	ABP-CVoter^[38]	213-221	152-160	16-20	6-10	NA	53-69	NDA majority
11 December 2021	ABP-CVoter^[39]	212-224	151-163	12-24	2-10	2-6	49-73	NDA majority
10 January 2022	ABP-CVoter^[40]	223-235	145-157	8-16	3-7	4-8	66-90	NDA majority
10 March 2022	Election results	273	125	1	2	2	178	NDA majority

Exit polls

	NDA						Lead	Remarks
		SP+	BSP	UPA	Others
ABP News - CVoter^[41]	228-244	132-148	13-21	4-8	NA	80-112	NDA majority
Election results	273	125	1	2	2	178	NDA majority

Uttarakhand

Opinion polls

Date	Polling agency					Lead	Remarks
		NDA	UPA	AAP	Others
7 February 2022	ABP News - C-Voter^[42]	31-37	30-36	2-4	0-1	0-7	Hung
10 January 2022	ABP News - C-Voter^[43]^[44]	31-37	30-36	2-4	0-1	0-7	Hung
11 December 2021	ABP News - C-Voter^[45]	33-39	29-35	1-3	0-1	0-10	Hung
12 November 2021	ABP News - C-Voter^[46]	36-40	30-34	0-2	0-1	2-10	BJP majority
8 October 2021	ABP News - C-Voter^[47]	42-46	21-25	0-4	0-2	17-25	BJP majority
3 September 2021	ABP News - C-Voter^[48]	44-48	19-23	0-4	0-2	21-29	BJP majority
18 March 2021	ABP News - C-Voter^[49]	24-30	32-38	2-8	0-9	2-14	Hung
10 March	Election results	47	19	0	4	28	NDA majority

Exit polls

Polling agency					Lead	Remarks
	NDA	UPA	AAP	Others
ABP News C-Voter^[50]	26-32	32-38	0-2	3-7	0-12	Hung
Election results	47	19	0	4	28	NDA majority

2021 State Elections (West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam & Puducherry)

Assam

Poll type	Date published	Polling agency				Lead	Ref.
			NDA	Mahajot	Others
Exit poll	29 April 2021	ABP News- CVoter	58-71	53-66	0-5	Hung	^[51]
		Times Now-CVoter	65	59	2	6	^[52]
Opinion poll	24 March 2021	Times Now-CVoter	65-73	52-60	0-4	5-21	^[53]
		ABP News- CVoter	65-73	52-60	0-4	5-21	^[54]
	15 March 2021	ABP News- CVoter	64-72	52-60	0-2	4-20	^[55]
	8 March 2021	Times Now-CVoter	67	57	2	10	^[56]
	27 February 2021	ABP News- CVoter	68-76	47-55	0-3	13-29	^[57]
	18 January 2021	ABP News- CVoter	73-81	41-49	0-4	24-40	^[58]

Election Results

Election Results	Date published	Election Results				Lead	Ref.
			NDA	Mahajot	Independent
Election Results	2 May 2021	Election Results	75	50	1	25	^[59]

Kerala

Type of polls	Date published	Polling agency				Lead	Ref.
			LDF	UDF	NDA
Opinion Poll	24 March 2021	Mathrubhumi–CVoter	73–83	56–66	0–1	2–12	^[60]
		Times Now–CVoter	77	62	1	6	^[61]
	19 March 2021	Mathrubhumi News–CVoter	75-83 (79)	55–60 (57)	0–2 (1)	4–12 (8)	^[62]
	15 March 2021	ABP News–CVoter	77–85	54–62	0–2	6–14	^[63]
	8 March 2021	Times Now–CVoter	82	56	1	11	^[64]
	27 February 2021	ABP News–CVoter	83–91	47–55	0–2	12–20	^[65]
	18 January 2021	ABP News–CVoter	81–89	41–47	0–2	10–18	^[66]
Exit polls	29 April 2021	Times Now / ABP - C-Voter	71 - 77	62 - 68	0 - 2	1 - 6	^[67]

Election Results

Election Results	Date published	Election Results				Lead	Ref.
			LDF	UDF	NDA
Election Results	2 May 2021	Election Results	99	41	0	58	^[67]

Tamil Nadu

Election outcome projections as surveyed by various agencies prior to the election day

Type of Poll	Date published	Polling agency							Lead
			DMK+	AIADMK+	AMMK+	MNM+	NTK	Others ^[a]
Opinion Poll	24 Mar 21	Times Now - CVoter^[68]	177	49	3	3	–	2	128
	15 Mar 21	ABP News - CVoter^[69]	161 - 169	53 - 61	1 - 5	2 - 6	–	3 - 7	100 - 116
	8 Mar 21	Times Now- CVoter^[70]	158	65	–	–	–	–	88- 104
	27 Feb 21	ABP News- CVoter^[71]	154 - 162	58 - 66	1 - 5	2 - 6	–	5 - 9	88- 104
	18 Jan 21	ABP News- CVoter^[72]	158 - 166	60 - 68	2 - 6	0 - 4	–	0 - 4	90 - 106
Exit polls	29 Apr 21	ABP/Times Now - CVoter^[73]^[74]	160 - 172	58 - 70	0 - 4	0 - 2	0 - 3		90 - 114

Election Results

Election Results	Date published	Election Results							Lead
			DMK+	AIADMK+	AMMK+	MNM+	NTK	Others ^[a]
Election Results	2 May 2021	Election Results	159	75	0	0	0		84

West Bengal

Type of poll	Date published	Polling agency					Lead
			AITC+	BJP+	SM	Others
Opinion Poll	24 March 2021	Times Now C-Voter ^[75]	152-168	104-120	18-26	0-2	32-64
	15 March 2021	ABP News - C Voter^[76]^[77]^[78]	150-166	98-114	23-31	3-5	36-52
	8 March 2021	Times Now - C Voter^[79]	146-162	99-112	29-37	0	31-63
	27 February 2021	ABP News - C Voter^[80]^[81]	148-164	92-108	31-39	1-5	40-72
	18 January 2021	ABP News - CVoter^[82]	158	102	30	4	56
Exit poll	29 April 2021	ABP News - C-Voter^[83]^[84]	152-164	109-121	14-25	-	31-55

Election Results

Election Results	Date published	Election Results					Lead
			AITC+	BJP+	SM	Others
Election Results	2 May 2021	Election Results	215	77	1	1	138

2021 Desh Ka Mood by Team Cvoter & ABP News

ABP News-CVoter gauges the nation's sentiments with ‘Desh ka Mood’ Survey^[85]

58% of people favor NDA government, 28% favor UPA: ABP News’ Desh Ka Mood survey ^[86]

Naveen country's best CM ^[87]

2020 Trust on Media Institutions

CVoter carried out a survey Trust on Indian media institutions ^{[88][89][90][91][92]}

Indian readers place higher credibility to newspapers, survey finds^[93]

2020 Bihar elections

Bihar Assembly polls: It had projected 104-128 seats for the NDA and 108-131 seats for the opposition grand alliance. NDA secured a total of 125 seats (37.26% votes) while MGB won 110 seats (37.23% votes).^{[94][95] [96][97][98]}

Polling type	Date	Polling Agency					Majority	Ref
			NDA	MGB	LJP	Others
Opinion poll
	24 October 2020	ABP-CVoter	135-159	77-98	5-13		13-37	^[99]
	12 October 2020	Times Now-CVoter	160	76	7		39	^[100]
	25 September 2020	ABP-CVoter	141-161	64-84	13-23		20–40	^[101]
Exit poll
		Times Now-CVoter	116	120	1	6	HUNG	^[102]
		ABP News-CVoter	104-128	108-131	1-3	4-8	HUNG
Election Results	10 November 2020		125	110	1	7	NDA

2021 State Elections (West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam)

May 2016 saw elections in Bengal, Assam, Tamil Nadu and Kerala. CVoter was the only one of five polling agencies to predict the Tamil Nadu outcome correctly.^[103]

2016 United States elections

The UPI/CVoter poll wrongly predicted a Hillary Clinton victory in the 2016 United States presidential election.^[104] When the results were declared Donald Trump won the election.

2016 United States presidential election

Agency	Prediction	Actual Winner	Prediction accuracy
UPI/CVoter	Hillary Clinton	Donald Trump	N Wrong

Poll source	Date	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Leading by %	Sample size	Margin of error
UPI/CVoter^[105]	1 – 7 November 2016	48.7%	46.2%	2.5	1,728	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[106]	30 October – 5 November 2016	49%	46%	3	1,572	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[107]	29 October – 4 November 2016	49%	48%	1	1,497	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[108]	28 October – 3 November 2016	49%	48%	1	1,395	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[109]	27 October – 2 November 2016	49%	48%	1	1,329	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[110]	26 October – 1 November 2016	49%	48%	1	1,383	±3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[111]	24–30 October 2016	49%	48%	1	1,299	±3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[112]	23–29 October 2016	48%	48%	Tied	1,317	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[113]	20–26 October 2016	49%	47%	2	1,363	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[114]	19–25 October 2016	49%	47%	2	1,349	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[115]	17–23 October 2016	49%	46%	3	1,414	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[116]	11–17 October 2016	51%	46%	5	1,326	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[117]	10–16 October 2016	50%	46%	4	1,325	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[118]	7–13 October 2016	50%	45%	5	1,482	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[119]	4–10 October 2016	50%	44%	6	1,367	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[120]	3–9 October 2016	49%	44%	5	1,801	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[121]	30 September – 6 October 2016	48%	47%	1	1,774	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[122]	28 September – 4 October 2016	47%	48%	1	1,274	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[123]	26 September – 2 October 2016	47%	49%	2	1,285	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[124]	23–29 September 2016	47%	49%	2	1,236	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[125]	21–27 September 2016	48%	48%	Tied	1,239	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[126]	19–25 September 2016	48%	47%	1	1,052	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[127]	12–18 September 2016	48%	47%	1	1,203	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[128]	10–16 September 2016	47%	47%	Tied	1,246	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[129]	9–15 September 2016	47%	48%	1	1,229	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[130]	8–14 September 2016	47%	48%	1	1,265	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[131]	7–13 September 2016	47%	48%	1	1,245	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[132]	6–12 September 2016	46%	49%	3	1,232	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[133]	5–11 September 2016	46%	49%	3	1,260	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[134]	2–8 September 2016	46%	48%	2	1,256	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[135]	1–7 September 2016	47%	48%	1	1,226	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[136]	31 August – 6 September 2016	47%	47%	Tied	1,262	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[137]	30 August – 5 September 2016	48%	46%	2	1,220	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[138]	29 August – 4 September 2016	49%	47%	2	1,237	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[139]	28 August – 3 September 2016	49%	46%	3	1,242	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[140]	24–30 August 2016	49%	46%	3	1,162	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[141]	23–29 August 2016	50%	47%	3	1,173	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[142]	22–28 August 2016	50%	47%	3	1,145	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[143]	21–27 August 2016	50%	47%	3	1,682	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[144]	18–24 August 2016	48%	49%	1	1,720	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[145]	17–23 August 2016	48%	48%	Tied	1,737	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[146]	16–22 August 2016	48%	48%	Tied	1,752	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[147]	15–21 August 2016	48%	47%	1	1,795	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[148]	14–20 August 2016	48%	47%	1	1,191	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[149]	11–17 August 2016	50%	46%	4	1,009	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[150]	9–16 August 2016	51%	44%	7	1,069	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[151]	9–15 August 2016	51%	44%	7	1,035	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[152]	7–14 August 2016	50%	45%	5	975	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[153]	7–13 August 2016	49%	46%	3	1,403	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[154]	3–10 August 2016	49%	45%	4	1,077	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[155]	3–9 August 2016	48%	46%	2	1,002	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[156]	2–8 August 2016	49%	45%	4	993	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[157]	1–7 August 2016	49%	44%	5	1,407	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[158]	31 July – 6 August 2016	50%	43%	7	1,036	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[159]	29 July – 4 August 2016	50%	44%	6	1,060	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter^[160]	27 July – 2 August 2016	49%	46%	3	989	± 3.0%

2009 Indian general elections

The CVoter exit poll projections for India TV showed the UPA with 189–201 seats. It gives the Congress 149–155, the DMK between 9 and 13, the NCP 12–16 and the Trinamool between 12 and 16. The poll showed the BJP-led Front getting between 183 and 195 seats. It includes the BJP (140–146), the JD (U) 17–21.^[161] In the end, in 2009 Indian general election, UPA got 262 (Congress – 206) and NDA 159 (BJP – 116).

2004 Indian general elections

The CVoter exit poll projections for Star News predicted NDA getting between 267–279 and Congress+Allies between 169 and 181.^[162][163] In the end, in 2004 Indian general election, Congress+Allies (UPA) got 218 (Congress 145) and NDA got 181 (BJP – 138).^{[citation needed]}

Controversy

CVoter allegedly carried out tracking polls for Indian news networks Times Now, India Today & India TV. A television news channel claimed in a sting operation conducted by it that some of the agencies which conduct opinion polls before elections are willing to tweak their findings for money.^[164][165] It included global giants like Ipsos and CVoter. After the expose, India Today Group suspended its CVoter contract.^[166][167]

Notes

1. May include NTK and other parties not asked in survey

References

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