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January–August 2016 statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election

January 01, 1970

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2016 and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.

Note some states had not conducted polling yet or no updated polls were present from January 1 to August 31, 2016.

Alabama edit

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 60%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
News-5/Strategy Poll[1] July 19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 57% 24 4,100 ± 2.0%

Alaska edit

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Ivan Moore Research[2] June 16–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% 4 670 ?
Alaska Dispatch News/Ivan Moore Research[3] January 2016 Hillary Clinton 44.1% Donald Trump 49.3% 5.2 651 ?
Hillary Clinton 37.5% Ted Cruz 56.9% 19.4
Hillary Clinton 37.9% Marco Rubio 56.7% 18.8

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green Party % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Moore Information[4] August 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 29% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 10 500 ± 4%
Ivan Moore Research[2] June 16–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 16% Jill Stein 6% 9 670 ?

Arizona edit

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[5] August 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 46% 3 837 ± 3.4%
CNN/ORC[6] August 18–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 49% 5 809 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[7] June 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 44% 4 691 ± 3.7%
OH Predictive Insights[8] June 20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 1,060 ± 3.01%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 45% 6 300 ± 5.66%
Public Policy Polling[10] May 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% 4 896 ± 3.3%
Bernie Sanders 45% Donald Trump 44% 1
Behavior Research Center[11] April 4–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 35% 7 564 ± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 38% Ted Cruz 43% 5
Hillary Clinton 32% John Kasich 44% 12
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 33% 21
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 34% 14
Bernie Sanders 47% John Kasich 33% 14
Merrill Poll/WestGroup[12] March 7–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Tied 701 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 35% Ted Cruz 41% 6
Bernie Sanders 39% Donald Trump 36% 3
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News[13] August 17–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 1 704 ± 3.3%
OH Predictive Insights[14] August 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 1 728 ±3.63%
CNN/ORC[6] August 18–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 4% 7 809 ± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov[15] August 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 2 1,095 ± 4.8%
OH Predictive Insights[16][17] August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 2 996 ±3.0%
Integrated Web Strategy[18] July 29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 8 679 ± 3.76%
Public Policy Polling[10] May 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 2 896 ± 3.3%
Bernie Sanders 42% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 3

Arkansas edit

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%

Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Talk Business/Hendrix College[19] June 21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 8% 11 751 ± 3.6%

California edit

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Field Research[20] June 8 – July 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 58% Donald Trump 28% 30 956 ± 3.2%
SurveyMonkey/USC/Los Angeles Times[21] June 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 59% Donald Trump 32% 27 1,553 ± 3%
CBS News/YouGov[22] May 31 – June 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 33% 15 1,187 ± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 32% 23
USC/Los Angeles Times[23] May 19–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 30% 26 1,500 ± 2.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[24] May 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 31% 24 1,833 ± 2.3%
Bernie Sanders 62% Donald Trump 28% 34
Field Research[25] May 26–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 34% 19 1,002 ± 3.2%
Bernie Sanders 60% Donald Trump 31% 29
SurveyUSA/KABC/SCNG[26] May 19–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 38% 14 1,383 ± 2.7%
Public Policy Institute of California[27] May 13–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 39% 10 1,704 ± 4.3%
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 36% 17
SurveyUSA/KABC/SCNG[28] April 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 34% 22 1,683 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 29% 28
Hillary Clinton 53% John Kasich 34% 19
SurveyUSA[29] March 30 – April 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 60% Donald Trump 26% 34 1,507 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 32% 25
Hillary Clinton 56% John Kasich 33% 23
Bernie Sanders 63% Donald Trump 24% 39
Bernie Sanders 61% Ted Cruz 26% 35
Bernie Sanders 57% John Kasich 28% 29
Field Research[30] March 24 – April 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 59% Donald Trump 31% 28 1,400 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 55% Ted Cruz 32% 23
USC Dornsife College/LA Times[31] March 16–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 59% Donald Trump 28% 31 1,503 ± %
Hillary Clinton 59% Ted Cruz 31% 28
Hillary Clinton 54% John Kasich 35% 19
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Field Research[20] June 8 – July 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 26% Gary Johnson 10% 24 495 ± 4.4%
Hoover Institution/YouGov[32] May 4–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 4% 12 1,196 ± 3.97%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Institute of California[33] July 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 6% 16 1,703 ± 3.5%
SurveyMonkey/USC/Los Angeles Times[21] June 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 27% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 6% 24 1,553 ± 3%

Colorado edit

9 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[34] August 9–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 39% 10 830 ± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[35] August 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 32% 14 899 ± 3.3%
Fox News[36] July 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 34% 10 600 ± 4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[37] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 35% 8 794 ± 3.5%
Harper[38] July 7–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 38% 7 500 ± 4.38%
Gravis Marketing[39] July 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% 2 1,313 ± 2.7%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Magellan Strategies[40] August 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 3% 5 500 ± 4.38%
Quinnipiac University[34] August 9–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 16% Jill Stein 7% 8 830 ± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[35] August 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 29% Gary Johnson 15% Jill Stein 6% 12 899 ± 3.3%
Fox News[36] July 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 28% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 6% 9 600 ± 4%
Monmouth University[41] July 7–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 13 404 ± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[37] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 4% 6 794 ± 3.5%
Gravis Marketing[39] July 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 4% 1 1,313 ± 2.7%
CBS News/YouGov[42] June 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 1 996 ± 4.3%

Connecticut edit

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[43] June 1–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 38% 7 1,330 ± 2.7%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 35% 19
Emerson College[44] April 10–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 40% 8 1,043 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 31% 21
Hillary Clinton 38% John Kasich 49% 11
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 40% 9
Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 30% 25
Bernie Sanders 40% John Kasich 48% 8
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[43] June 1–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 5 1,330 ± 2.7%

Delaware edit

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 59%–40%

Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Fairleigh Dickinson University[45] July 20–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 9% 10 715 ± 4.1%

District of Columbia edit

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%
(Democratic in 2012) 91%–7%

No polling was conducted in 2016

Florida edit

Further information: Opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election in Florida

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%

Georgia edit

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[46] August 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% 4 847 ± 4.0%
Public Policy Polling[47] May 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 49% 9 724 ± 3.6%
Bernie Sanders 40% Donald Trump 48% 8
Fox 5/Opinion Savvy[48] May 15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 44% 3 587 ± 4.0%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[49] May 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% 4 822 ± 4.26%
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 42% 5
Landmark/RosettaStone[50] May 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 42% 1 570 ± 4.1%
Lake Research Partners[51] March 31 – April 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 37% 13 400 ± 4.9%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 40% 7
SurveyUSA[52] February 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 50% 9 1,261 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 50% 7
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 49% 7
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 49% 8
Bernie Sanders 41% Marco Rubio 49% 8
Bernie Sanders 42% Ted Cruz 48% 6
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta[53] August 17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 11% Tied 730 ± 3.6%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
CBS News/YouGov[54] August 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 4 988 ± 4.3%
JMC Analytics[55] August 6–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 7 615 ± 4.0%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[46] August 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 2% 3 847 ± 4.0%
Landmark/RosettaStone[56] August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% Tied 787 ± 3.5%
SurveyUSA[57] July 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 4 628 ± 4%
Landmark/RosettaStone[58] July 24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 2 500 ± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling[59] May 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 7 724 ± 3.6%
Bernie Sanders 36% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 10

Idaho edit

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Dan Jones & Associates[60] May 18 – June 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 32% Donald Trump 49% 17 603 ± 3.99%
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 46% 3
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green Party % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Dan Jones & Associates[61] August 18–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 23% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 2% 21 602 ± 4.0%
Dan Jones & Associates[62] July 5–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 23% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 21 601 ± 4.0%

Illinois edit

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Normington, Petts and Associates[63] August 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 32% 19 800 ± 3.5%
NBC News/WSJ/Marist[64] March 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 32% 25 1,968 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 40% 11
Bernie Sanders 60% Donald Trump 30% 30
Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 35% 20
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
The Illinois Observer[65] June 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 6% 18 732 ?
Capitol Fax/We Ask America[66] June 5–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 7% 12 1,231 RV ± 3%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green Party % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Victory Research[67] July 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 7% 17 1,200 ± 2.83%
Basswood Research[68] July 11–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 13 800 ± 3.5%

Indiana edit

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 54%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Tarrance Group[69] July 20–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 50% 14 503 ± 4.4%
Bellwether[70] May 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 31% Donald Trump 40% 9 600 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[71] April 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 48% 7 2,149 ± 2.1%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 50% 7
Hillary Clinton 37% John Kasich 56% 19
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 47% 1
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 45% 3
Bernie Sanders 46% John Kasich 47% 1
POS /Howey Politics Indiana/WTHR Channel 13 [72] April 18–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 47% 8 500 ± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton 36% Ted Cruz 53% 17
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Monmouth University[73] August 13–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 10% 11 403 ± 4.9%

Iowa edit

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[74] August 30–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% 2 827 ± 3.4%
Quinnipiac University[34] August 9–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 44% 3 846 ± 3.4%
Suffolk University[75] August 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 41% 1 500 ± 4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] August 3–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 37% 4 899 ± 3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[77] July 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% 3 822 ± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing[78] July 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 40% 2 1,318 ± 2.7%
Loras College[79] June 24–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 34% 14 600 ± 4%
Public Policy Polling[7] June 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 39% 2 897 ± 3.3%
Public Policy Polling[80] June 9–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 41% 3 630 ± 3.9%
Public Policy Polling[81] January 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Jeb Bush 43% 3 1,901 ± 2.3%
Hillary Clinton 42% Ben Carson 46% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 46% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 42% Tied
Bernie Sanders 47% Jeb Bush 39% 8
Bernie Sanders 44% Ben Carson 40% 4
Bernie Sanders 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Bernie Sanders 43% Marco Rubio 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 42% 5
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[82] January 2–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 40% 8 1,470 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 47% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 47% 5
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
Bernie Sanders 47% Ted Cruz 42% 5
Bernie Sanders 44% Marco Rubio 44% Tied
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[83] August 31 – September 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 1% 5 600 ± 3.9%
CBS News/YouGov[84] August 17–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% Tied 987 ± 4%
Quinnipiac University[34] August 9–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 3% 2 846 ± 3.4%
Suffolk University[75] August 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 1 500 ± 4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] August 3–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 6% Tied 899 ± 3.1%
CBS News/YouGov[85] July 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 1 998 ± 4.8%
Monmouth University[86] July 8–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 2 401 ± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[77] July 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 4% Tied 822 ± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing[78] July 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 2 1,318 ± 2.7%
Loras College[79] June 24–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 13 600 ± 4.0%

Kansas edit

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
John Zogby Strategies[87] June 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 36% 7 433 ± 4.7%
Fort Hays State University[88] February 19–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 46% 10 440 ± 5.0%
Hillary Clinton 35% Ted Cruz 49% 14
Hillary Clinton 32% Marco Rubio 51% 19
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 38% Ted Cruz 44% 6
Bernie Sanders 36% Marco Rubio 46% 10
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
SurveyUSA/KSN News[89] August 9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 8% 5 566 ±4.2%
Fort Hays State University[90] July 11–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 27% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 7% 17 542 ±4.4%
SurveyUSA/KSN News[91] July 8–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 8% 11 559 ± 4.2%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group[92] August 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 7 7,769 ± 1.5 %

Kentucky edit

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Bellwether[93] August 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 25% Donald Trump 41% 16 508 ± 4.0%
Bellwether[94] July 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 28% Donald Trump 34% 6 776 ± 3%


Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
RunSwitch PR/Harper[95] July 31 – August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 13 500 ± 4.4%

Louisiana edit

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–41%

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
JMC Analytics and Polling[96] May 5–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 52% 16 624 ± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders 32% Donald Trump 55% 23

Maine edit

Main article: United States presidential election in Maine, 2016

4 electoral votes (Statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st and 2nd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Univ. of N.H./PPH/Maine Sunday Telegram[97][98] June 15–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 35% 7 475 ± 4.5%
Bangor Daily News[99] March 3–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 34% 9 610 RV ± 3%
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 31% 26

Maryland edit

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[100] April 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 61% Donald Trump 28% 33 879 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 58% Ted Cruz 24% 34
Hillary Clinton 54% John Kasich 33% 21
Bernie Sanders 60% Donald Trump 29% 31
Bernie Sanders 62% Ted Cruz 24% 38
Bernie Sanders 52% John Kasich 32% 20
NBC4/Marist[101] April 5–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 63% Donald Trump 27% 36 2,563 ± 1.9%
Hillary Clinton 60% Ted Cruz 31% 29
Hillary Clinton 55% John Kasich 38% 17
Bernie Sanders 65% Donald Trump 26% 39
Bernie Sanders 63% Ted Cruz 28% 35
Bernie Sanders 55% John Kasich 36% 19
Washington Post/University of Maryland[102] March 30 – April 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 63% Donald Trump 28% 35 1,503 ± N/A%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
OpinionWorks[103] August 18–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 25% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 29 754 ± 3.6%

Massachusetts edit

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Boston Globe/Suffolk University[104] May 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 31% 24 500 ± 4.4%
Western New England University[105] April 1–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 62% Donald Trump 26% 36 497 ± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton 63% Ted Cruz 30% 33
Bernie Sanders 70% Donald Trump 23% 47
Bernie Sanders 71% Ted Cruz 24% 47

Michigan edit

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[106] August 9–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 39% 10 1,314 ± 2.7%
EPIC-MRA[107] July 30 – August 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 36% 10 600 ± 4%
Mitchell Research[108] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 34% 6 600 ± 4.0%
Gravis Marketing[109] July 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 41% 7 1,562 ± 2.4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 39% 11 300 ± 5.66%
Detroit News/WDIV-TV[110] May 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 39% 4 600 ± 4%
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 33% 19
SurveyUSA[111] March 23–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 38% 11 904 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 46% 5
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 36% 19
Bernie Sanders 56% Ted Cruz 35% 21
Bernie Sanders 47% John Kasich 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Mitt Romney 35% 13
Hillary Clinton 48% Paul Ryan 38% 10
EPIC-MRA[112] March 19–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% 10 600 ± 4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[113] March 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 36% 16 2,229 ± 2.1%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 41% 7
Bernie Sanders 56% Donald Trump 34% 22
Bernie Sanders 54% Ted Cruz 36% 18
Marketing Resource Group[114] February 22–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% 5 600 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 43% 2%
EPIC-MRA[115] January 23–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% 2 600 ± 4%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 12% 15 300 ± 5.66%
Detroit News/WDIV-TV[110] May 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 12% 4 600 ± 4%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[116] August 25–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 5 800 ± 3.4%
Suffolk University[117] August 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 7 500 ± 4.4%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[106] August 9–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 5% 11 1,314 ± 2.7%
EPIC-MRA[107] July 30 – August 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 11 600 ± 4%
The Detroit News/WDIV-TV[118] July 30 – August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 9 600 ± 4.0%
CBS News/YouGov[119] July 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 3 1,201 ± 4.1%
Marketing Resource Group[120] July 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 29% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 5 800 ± 3.46%
Gravis Marketing[109] July 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 3 1,562 ± 2.4%

Minnesota edit

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Star Tribune[121] April 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 35% 13 800 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 40% 9
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 38% 15
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 36% 14
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon[122] January 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% 5 800 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 49% 9
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 37% 16

Missouri edit

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49.4%–49.2%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[123] August 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 47% 6 1,055 ± 3.0%
Public Policy Polling[124] August 8–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 45% 3 947 ± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling[125] July 11–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 50% 10 959 ± 3.2%
Missouri Scout[126] May 20–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 46% 6 1301 ± 2.8%
DFM Research[127] March 17–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 40% 2 674 ± 3.8%
Fort Hayes State University[128] March 3–10, 2016 Bernie Sanders 37% Marco Rubio 43% 6 475 ± 4.6%
Hillary Clinton 31% Marco Rubio 49% 18
Bernie Sanders 36% Ted Cruz 45% 9
Hillary Clinton 34% Ted Cruz 51% 17
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 40% 3
Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 43% 5

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Monmouth University[129] August 19–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 8% 1 401 ± 4.9%
SurveyUSA/KSDK[130] July 20–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 8% 10 1,943 ± 2.3%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group[131] August 5–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 2 1,280 ± 3%
St. Louis/Post-Dispatch[132] July 23–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 1% 1 625 ± 4%
Public Policy Polling[125] July 11–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 10 959 ± 3.2%

Nevada edit

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 47% 2 300 ± 5.66%
TargetPoint/Just Win Strategies[133] June 14–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 45% 1 200 ?
Gravis Marketing[134] May 24–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 47% 5 1 637 ± 2%

Three-way

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Suffolk [135][136][137] August 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% 2 500 ± 4.4%
KTNV/Rasmussen Reports[138] July 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 10% 1 750 ± 4%
KTNV/Rasmussen Reports[139] July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 8% 5 750 ± 4%
Monmouth University[140] July 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 5% 4 408 ± 4.9%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 9% Tied 300 ± 5.66%
Gravis Marketing[134] May 24–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 8% 3 1 637 ± 2%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
CBS News/YouGov[15] August 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 2 993 ± 4.6%

Five-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % IAPN % Unaffiliated % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Suffolk University[135][136][137] August 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43.8% Donald Trump 41.6% Gary Johnson 4.8% Darrell Castle 1% Rocky De La Fuente 1% 2.2 500 ± 4.4%

New Hampshire edit

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[141] August 30–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 585 ± 4.1%
Public Policy Polling[142] August 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% 6 977 ± 3.1%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[143] August 20–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% 9 433 ± 4.7%
Public Policy Polling[144] August 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 37% 13 802 ± 3.5%
MassINC/WBUR[145] July 29 – August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 34% 17 609 ± 4%
NH Journal July 19–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 48% 9 1,166 ± 5.1%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[146] July 9–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 37% 2 469 ± 4.5%
American Research Group[147] June 24–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 533 ± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling[7] June 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 39% 4 578 ± 4.1%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 47% 4 300 ± 5.66%
TargetPoint/Just Win Strategies[133] June 14–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% 4 200 ?
Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University[148] May 25–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied 405 ± 4.9%
MassINC/WBUR[149] May 12–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% 2 501 ± 4.4%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 38% 16
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[150] April 7–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 31% 19 553 ± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 34% 14
Hillary Clinton 36% John Kasich 50% 14
Bernie Sanders 58% Donald Trump 31% 27
Bernie Sanders 61% Ted Cruz 30% 31
Bernie Sanders 50% John Kasich 44% 6
Dartmouth College[151] April 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 29% 5 362 ± 5.15%
Hillary Clinton 34% Ted Cruz 33% 1
Hillary Clinton 26% John Kasich 53% 27
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 28% 21
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 26% 22
Bernie Sanders 39% John Kasich 44% 5
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[152] February 20–28, 2016 Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 34% 21 628 ± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders 60% Ted Cruz 28% 32
Bernie Sanders 54% Marco Rubio 35% 19
Bernie Sanders 48% John Kasich 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 39% 8
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 35% 11
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 37% John Kasich 47% 10
UMass Lowell/7News[153] February 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5 1,411 ± 2.99%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 44% 4
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 34% 21
Bernie Sanders 56% Ted Cruz 31% 25
Bernie Sanders 54% Marco Rubio 34% 20
UMass Lowell/7News[154] February 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% 6 1,413 ± 2.97%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 39% 6
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 45% 5
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 33% 22
Bernie Sanders 57% Ted Cruz 30% 27
Bernie Sanders 55% Marco Rubio 35% 20
UMass Lowell/7News[155] February 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 39% 7 1,421 ± 2.90%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 34% 20
Bernie Sanders 57% Ted Cruz 30% 27
Bernie Sanders 54% Marco Rubio 35% 19
UMass Lowell/7News[156] February 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% 4 1,417 ± 2.89%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 44% 3
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 34% 20
Bernie Sanders 54% Ted Cruz 33% 21
Bernie Sanders 51% Marco Rubio 37% 14
CNN/WMUR[157] January 13–18, 2016 Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 34% 23 903 ± 3.4%
Bernie Sanders 56% Ted Cruz 33% 23
Bernie Sanders 55% Marco Rubio 37% 18
Bernie Sanders 57% Chris Christie 34% 23
Bernie Sanders 54% John Kasich 33% 21
Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 39% 9
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% John Kasich 43% Tied
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[158] January 2–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% 1 957 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 52% 12
Bernie Sanders 56% Donald Trump 37% 19
Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 36% 19
Bernie Sanders 50% Marco Rubio 41% 9
Public Policy Polling[159] January 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 40% 6 1,036 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 50% Ben Carson 39% 11
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 36% 14
Bernie Sanders 50% Jeb Bush 38% 12
Bernie Sanders 53% Ben Carson 34% 19
Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 35% 20
Bernie Sanders 51% Marco Rubio 37% 14
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 34% 20

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 10% Tied 300 ± 5.66%
MassInc/WBUR[149] May 12–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 33% Mitt Romney 21% 4 501 ± 4.4%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[150] April 7–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 22% Donald Trump 19% 22 553 ± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling[160] January 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 28% Donald Trump 18% 19 1,036 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 29% Donald Trump 20% 14

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[143] August 20–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 4% 11 433 ± 4.7%
CBS News/YouGov[54] August 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 9 990 ± 4.3%
Vox Populi[161] August 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 3% 10 820 ± 3.4%
MassInc/WBUR[145] July 29 – August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 15 609 ± 4%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[162] July 9–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 5% Tied 469 ± 4.2%

New Jersey edit

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Fairleigh Dickinson University[163] June 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 31% 21 712 ± 3.8%
CBS News/YouGov[164] May 31 – June 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 34% 15 1,194 ± 3.8%
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 34% 18
Monmouth University[165] May 23–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 34% 4 806 ± 3.7%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[166] May 18–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 37% 11 702 ± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 33% 24
Quinnipiac University[167] May 10–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 38% 7 1,989 ± 2.2%
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 37% 12
Rutgers[168] April 1–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 36% 14 738 ± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 35% 15
Hillary Clinton 43% John Kasich 43% Tied
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 34% 21
Fairleigh Dickinson University[169] February 24–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 36% 16 694 ± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 36% 15

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Fairleigh Dickinson University[163] June 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 9% 12 712 ± 3.8%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Monmouth University[165] May 23–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 4% 6 806 ± 3.7%

New Mexico edit

5 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%

Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[170] May 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 14% 8 802 ± 3.5%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[171] August 19–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 16% Jill Stein 4% 9 1,103 ± 3% [172]

New York edit

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Siena College[173] August 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 27% 30 717 ± 4.3%
Gravis Marketing[174] August 4–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 36% 17 1,717 ±2.4%
Quinnipiac University[175] July 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 35% 12 1,104 ± 3%
Siena College[176] June 22–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 31% 23 803 ± 4.0%
Siena College[177] May 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 31% 21 825 ± 3.9%
Siena College[178] April 24–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 30% 26 802 ± 4.1%
Emerson College[179] April 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 36% 19 1,047 ± 2.95%
Hillary Clinton 59% Ted Cruz 28% 31
Hillary Clinton 49% John Kasich 39% 10
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 37% 14
Bernie Sanders 58% Ted Cruz 27% 31
Public Policy Polling[180] April 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 35% 20 1,403 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 56% Ted Cruz 30% 26
Hillary Clinton 50% John Kasich 36% 14
Bernie Sanders 58% Donald Trump 33% 25
Bernie Sanders 59% Ted Cruz 27% 32
Bernie Sanders 54% John Kasich 35% 19
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[181] April 6–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 61% Donald Trump 32% 29 1,987 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 61% Ted Cruz 31% 30
Hillary Clinton 53% John Kasich 38% 15
Bernie Sanders 64% Donald Trump 31% 33
Bernie Sanders 65% Ted Cruz 28% 37
Bernie Sanders 57% John Kasich 35% 22
NY1/Baruch College[182] April 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 35% 16 1,306 ± 2.9%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 32% 22
Emerson College[183] April 6–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 36% 18 864 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 58% Ted Cruz 30% 28
Hillary Clinton 48% John Kasich 41% 7
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
Bernie Sanders 56% Ted Cruz 29% 27
Fox News[184] April 4–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 37% 16 1,403 ± 2.5%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 35% 19
Quinnipiac University[185] March 22–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 33% 20 1,667 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 32% 21
Hillary Clinton 46% John Kasich 41% 5
Bernie Sanders 56% Donald Trump 32% 24
Bernie Sanders 56% Ted Cruz 28% 28
Bernie Sanders 47% John Kasich 37% 10
Emerson College[186] March 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 36% 19 768 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 61% Ted Cruz 30% 31
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 36% 17
Siena College[187] February 28 – March 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Marco Rubio 35% 21 800 ± 4.1%
Hillary Clinton 58% Ted Cruz 33% 25
Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 34% 23
Hillary Clinton 49% John Kasich 42% 7
Bernie Sanders 58% Marco Rubio 32% 26
Bernie Sanders 63% Ted Cruz 26% 37
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 33% 24
Bernie Sanders 54% John Kasich 35% 19
Siena College[188] January 31 – February 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Marco Rubio 37% 17 930 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 34% 23
Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 32% 25
Hillary Clinton 57% Jeb Bush 33% 24
Hillary Clinton 57% John Kasich 31% 26
Hillary Clinton 55% Chris Christie 36% 19
Bernie Sanders 56% Marco Rubio 34% 22
Bernie Sanders 60% Ted Cruz 30% 30
Bernie Sanders 63% Donald Trump 30% 33
Bernie Sanders 61% Jeb Bush 30% 31
Bernie Sanders 59% John Kasich 29% 30
Bernie Sanders 58% Chris Christie 35% 23

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Siena College[187] February 28 – March 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 25% Michael Bloomberg 26% 16 800 ± 4.1%
Bernie Sanders 42% Donald Trump 24% Michael Bloomberg 28% 14

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian
Independence 		% Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[189] August 28–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 18 800 ± 3.4%
Siena College[173] August 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 25% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 6% 25 717 ± 4.3%
Gravis Marketing[174] August 4–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 4% 14 1,717 ±2.4%
Quinnipiac University[175] July 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 4% 12 1,104 ± 3%

North Carolina edit

15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[190] August 29 – September 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 43% 4 751 ± 3.6%
Public Policy Polling[191] August 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% 1 1,177
CNN/ORC[192] August 18–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 47% 1 803 ± 3.5%
Gravis Marketing[193] August 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 43% 1 723 ± 3.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[35] August 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 39% 9 921 ± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling[194] August 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 46% 1 830 ± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[37] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 38% 6 907 ± 3.3%
Public Policy Polling[195] June 20–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 48% 2 942 ± 3.2%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 41% 10 300 ± 5.66%
Public Policy Polling[196] May 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 47% 4 928 3.2%
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 44% 4
Civitas[197] April 23–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 37% 12 600 4.0%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 35% 19
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 40% 6
Bernie Sanders 52% Ted Cruz 36% 16
Public Policy Polling[198] April 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied 960 3.2
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 46% 7
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 43% 3
Bernie Sanders 46% Ted Cruz 38% 8
Bernie Sanders 41% John Kasich 43% 2
Elon University[199] April 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% 6 621 3.96
Hillary Clinton 41% Ted Cruz 44% 3
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
Bernie Sanders 49% Ted Cruz 39% 10
Public Policy Polling[200] March 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% 2 843 3.4
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 49% 8
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 41% 7
Bernie Sanders 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Bernie Sanders 41% John Kasich 44% 3
Elon University[201] February 15–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% 6 1,530 2.51
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 46% Tied
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 48% 3
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 40% 8
Bernie Sanders 47% Ted Cruz 43% 4
Bernie Sanders 43% Marco Rubio 46% 3
SurveyUSA[202] February 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% 2 1,250 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 48% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 49% 7
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied
Bernie Sanders 46% Ted Cruz 42% 4
Bernie Sanders 45% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Public Policy Polling[203] February 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 44% 2 1,291 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 49% 9
Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 44% 1
Bernie Sanders 43% Jeb Bush 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 43% Ted Cruz 43% Tied
Bernie Sanders 41% Marco Rubio 45% 4
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 42% 2
Public Policy Polling[204] January 18–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 45% 2 948 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 47% 5
Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% 2
Bernie Sanders 41% Jeb Bush 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 40% Ben Carson 44% 4
Bernie Sanders 38% Ted Cruz 43% 5
Bernie Sanders 39% Marco Rubio 43% 4
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 44% 1

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[190] August 29 – September 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 15% 4 751 ± 3.6%
Monmouth University[205] August 20–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 7% 2 401 ± 4.9%
CNN/ORC[192] August 18–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 9% Tied 803 ± 3.5%
Civitas/SurveyUSA[206] July 31 – August 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 6% 4 400 ± 5.0%
Civitas[207] June 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% 2 600 ± 4.0%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 8% 10 300 ± 5.66%
Civitas[208] May 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 8% 3 600 ± 4.0%
Public Policy Polling[203] February 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 39% Michael Bloomberg 14% 2 1,291 ± 2.7%
Bernie Sanders 34% Donald Trump 40% Michael Bloomberg 16% 6
Public Policy Polling[204] January 18–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 41% Michael Bloomberg 10% 1 948 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 42% Jim Webb 7% 2

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
CBS News/YouGov[209] August 30 – September 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 4 1,088 ± 4%
Emerson College[210] August 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 2 800 ± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing[193] August 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 2% 1 723 ± 3.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[35] August 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 2% 9 921 ± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling[194] August 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 2 830 ± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[37] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 6 907 ± 3.3%
CBS News/YouGov[211] June 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 2 988 ± 4%
Public Policy Polling[195] June 20–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% Tied 947 ± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling[196] May 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 2 928 3.2%
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 3

Ohio edit

18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[190] August 29 – September 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 46% 1 775 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[212] August 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% 4 1,134 ± 2.9%
OnMessage August 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Tied 600 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] August 3–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% 5 889 ± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University[213] July 30 – August 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 45% 4 812 ± 3.4%
Public Policy Polling[214] July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Tied 1,334 ± 2.7%
Suffolk University[215] July 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied 500 ± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University[216] June 30 – July 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 41% Tied 955 ± 3.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[217] July 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 39% Tied 848 ± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing/One America News[218] June 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 47% 1 1,270 ± 2.8%
Public Policy Polling[7] June 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% 4 708 ± 3.7%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 48% 1 300 ± 5.66%
Quinnipiac University[219] June 8–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 40% Tied 971 ± 3.1%
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 38% 10
Zogby Analytics[220] May 18–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% 6 679 ± 3.8%
CBS News/YouGov[221] May 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% 5 992 ± 3.7%
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 39% 9
Quinnipiac University[222] April 27 – May 8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 43% 4 1,042 ± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 42% 2
Public Policy Polling[223] April 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 42% 3 799 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 35% 9
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 43% 2
Bernie Sanders 45% Donald Trump 41% 4
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 35% 9
Bernie Sanders 37% John Kasich 47% 10
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[224] March 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% 6 2,052 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 47% 2
Hillary Clinton 36% John Kasich 57% 21
Bernie Sanders 50% Donald Trump 41% 9
Bernie Sanders 45% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Public Policy Polling[225] March 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 40% 5 1,248 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 37% John Kasich 52% 15
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 38% 6
Bernie Sanders 34% John Kasich 54% 20
Bernie Sanders 42% Marco Rubio 38% 4
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 40% 4
CNN/ORC[226] March 2–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 43% 7 884 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 46% 2
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 42% 9
Quinnipiac University[227] February 16–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3 1,539 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 37% John Kasich 54% 17
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 47% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% 2
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 42% 2
Bernie Sanders 35% John Kasich 54% 19
Bernie Sanders 42% Marco Rubio 44% 2
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 14% Tied 300 ± 5.66%
Public Policy Polling[225] March 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 15% Tied 1,248 ± 2.8%
Bernie Sanders 38% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 13% 1
Quinnipiac University[227] February 16–20, 2016 Bernie Sanders 37% Ted Cruz 37% Michael Bloomberg 11% Tied 1,539 ± 2.5%
Bernie Sanders 35% Donald Trump 38% Michael Bloomberg 13% 3

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[190] August 29 – September 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 14% Jill Stein 4% 4 775 ± 3.5%
Emerson College[116] August 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 2% Tied 800 ± 3.4%
Monmouth University[228] August 18–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein <1% 4 402 ± 4.9%
CBS News/YouGov[84] August 17–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 6 997 ± 3.9%
OnMessage August 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% Tied 600 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] August 3–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 4% 4 889 ± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University[213] July 30 – August 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 2 812 ± 3.4%
Public Policy Polling[214] July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 3 1,334 ± 2.7%
Suffolk University[215] July 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 4 500 ± 4.4%
CBS News/YouGov[229] July 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 4 1,104 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[216] June 30 – July 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 6% 1 955 ± 3.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[217] July 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 3 848 ± 3.4%
Quinnipiac University[219] June 8–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 2 971 ± 3.1%

Oklahoma edit

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 67%–33%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
SoonerPoll[230] July 20–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 29% Donald Trump 53% Gary Johnson 7% 24 298 ± 4.91%
Cole Hargrave[231] May 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 28% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 6% 20 500 ± 4.3%

Oregon edit

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Portland Tribune/iCitizen[232] June 23–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 32% 14 555 ± 4.0%
Clout Research[233] May 10–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% 2 657 ± 3.82%
DHM Research[234] May 6–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 32% 11 901 ± 3.3%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Clout Research[235] July 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 3 701 ± 3.7%

Pennsylvania edit

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[190] August 29 – September 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% 5 778 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[236] August 30–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 814 ± 3.4%
GBA Strategies[237] August 21–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% 5 1,200 ± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling[238] August 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% 5 1,194 ± %
Franklin & Marshall College[239] August 25–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% 7 496 ± 5.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] August 3–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 37% 11 834 ± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University[213] July 30 – August 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 42% 10 815 ± 3.4%
Susquehanna/ABC27 News[240] July 31 – August 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% 10 772 ± 3.53%
Franklin & Marshall College[241] July 29 – August 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 38% 11 389 ± 6.3%
Public Policy Polling[242] July 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 45% 4 1,505 ± 2.5%
Suffolk University[243] July 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 41% 9 500 ± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University[216] June 30 – July 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 43% 2 982 ± 3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[244] July 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% 9 829 ± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[245] June 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 47% 1 1,958 ± 2.2%
Public Policy Polling[7] June 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% 4 980 ± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University[219] June 8–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 41% 1 950 ± 3.2%
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 40% 7
Public Policy Polling[246] June 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied 1,106 ± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 39% 12
Quinnipiac University[222] April 27 – May 8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 42% 1 1,077 ± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 41% 6
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[247] April 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 39% 15 2,606 ± 1.9%
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 41% 11
Hillary Clinton 45% John Kasich 48% 3
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 37% 20
Bernie Sanders 58% Ted Cruz 36% 22
Bernie Sanders 50% John Kasich 44% 6
Fox News[248] April 4–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied 1,607 ± 2.5%
Quinnipiac University[249] March 30 – April 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 42% 3 1,737 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 43% Tied
Hillary Clinton 35% John Kasich 51% 16
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 40% 8
Bernie Sanders 46% Ted Cruz 38% 8
Bernie Sanders 40% John Kasich 46% 6
Franklin & Marshall College[250] March 14–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 33% 13 828 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 35% 10
Mercyhurst University[251] March 1–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 35% 8 421 ± 4.8%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 36% John Kasich 49% 13
Hillary Clinton 39% Marco Rubio 47% 8
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 37% 12
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 40% 8
Bernie Sanders 42% John Kasich 46% 4
Bernie Sanders 41% Marco Rubio 46% 5
Harper Polling[252] March 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5 662 ± 3.75%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 40% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 37% 11

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
GBA Strategies[237] August 21–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 10% 6 1,200 ± 4.4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 13% 9 300 ± 5.66%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[190] August 29 – September 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 5 778 ± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov[253] August 30 – September 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 8 1,091 ± 4.1%
Monmouth University[254] August 26–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 8 402 ± 4.9%
Franklin & Marshall College[239] August 25–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 3 736 ± 4.6%
Emerson College[116] August 25–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 3 800 ± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] August 3–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 9 834 ± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University[213] July 30 – August 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 9 815 ± 3.4%
Susquehanna/ABC27 News[240] July 31 – August 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 9 772 ± 3.53%
Franklin & Marshall College[241] July 29 – August 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 13 496 ± 6.1%
Public Policy Polling[242] July 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 3 1,505 ± 2.5%
Suffolk University[243] July 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 9 500 ± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University[216] June 30 – July 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 6 982 ± 3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[244] July 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 8 829 ± 3.4%
Quinnipiac University[219] June 8–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 4% 3 950 ± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling[246] June 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 1 1,106 ± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 9

South Carolina edit

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Feldman[255] August 18–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% 2 600 ± 4%
Gravis Marketing[256] August 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% 4 768 ± 3.5%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
First Tuesday Strategies[257] August 30 – September 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 50% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 12 775 ± 3.5%
Feldman[255] August 18–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% Tied 600 ± 4%
Gravis Marketing[256] August 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 4 768 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[258] August 9–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 2 1,290 ± 2.7%

Tennessee edit

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 59%–39%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
iCitizen[259] July 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 49% 16 655 ± N/A%
Vanderbilt University/PSRA[260] April 25 – May 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 44% 9 1,001 ± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 34% Ted Cruz 44% 10


Texas edit

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[261] August 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 50% 6 944 ± 3.2%
KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Poll[262] August 8–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 46% 11 1,018 ± 3.1%
Texas Tribune/YouGov[263] June 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 41% 8 1,200 ± 2.83%
SurveyUSA[264] February 21–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 47% 3 1,289 ± 3%
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 50% 8
Bernie Sanders 41% Ted Cruz 50% 9
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 51% 10
Bernie Sanders 40% Marco Rubio 50% 10

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Texas Tribune/YouGov[263] June 10–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 32% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 7% 7 1,200 ± 2.83%
Leland Beatty[265] June 13–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 3% 7 998 ± 3.1%

Five-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[261] August 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% Evan McMullin 0% 6 944 ± 3.2%

Utah edit

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 73%–25%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[266] August 19–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 53% 20 1,018 ± 3.1%
Gravis Marketing[267] May 31 – June 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 29% Donald Trump 36% 7 1,519 ± 2.5%
Dan Jones & Associates[268] May 2–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 43% 13 588 ± 4.04%
Bernie Sanders 37% Donald Trump 43% 6
Dan Jones & Associates[269] March 23 – April 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Tied 600 ± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton 26% Ted Cruz 67% 41
Hillary Clinton 23% John Kasich 68% 45
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 35% 14
Bernie Sanders 32% Ted Cruz 63% 31
Bernie Sanders 30% John Kasich 64% 34
Dan Jones & Associates[270] March 8–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 36% 2 500 ± 4.38%
Hillary Clinton 32% Ted Cruz 60% 28
Hillary Clinton 29% John Kasich 59% 30
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 37% 11
Bernie Sanders 39% Ted Cruz 53% 14
Bernie Sanders 35% John Kasich 54% 19
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
SurveyUSA/Salt Lake Tribune[271] June 2–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 13% Tied 1,238 ± 2.8%
Bernie Sanders 37% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 12% 2
Gravis Marketing[267] May 31 – June 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 26% Donald Trump 29% Gary Johnson 16% 3 1,519 ± 2.5%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Dan Jones & Associates[272] July 18 – August 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 25% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 16% Jill Stein 1% 12 858 ± 3.34%
Dan Jones & Associates[273] June 8–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 27% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 2% 9 614 ± 3.95%
Six-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Constitution % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[266] August 19–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 24% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 5% Darrell Castle 2% Evan McMullin 9% 15 1,018 ± 3.1%

Vermont edit

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
(Democratic in 2012) 67%–31%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
VPR[274] July 11–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 17% Gary Johnson 5% 22 637 ±3.9%
FM3 Research[275] June 27 – July 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 24% Gary Johnson 10% 15 600 ± ?%

Virginia edit

13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Hampton University[276] August 24–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% 2 801 ± 4.7%
Roanoke College[277] August 7–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 36% 19 803 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[34] August 9–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 38% 12 808 ± 3.5%
Washington Post[278] August 11–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 43% 8 707 ± 4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[35] August 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 33% 13 897 ± 3.3%
RABA Research[279] July 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% 4 655 ± 3.8%
Fox News[280] July 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 37% 7 601 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[37] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% 9 876 ± 3.3%
Hampton University[281] July 6–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 39% Tied 805 ± 4.6%
Public Policy Polling[282] June 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 45% 3 1,032 ± 3.1%
Gravis Marketing[283] May 24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% 4 1,728 ± 2%
Roanoke College[284] May 9–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Tied 610 ± 4.0%
Christopher Newport University[285] March 23 – April 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% 9 1,167 ± 3.1%
Roanoke College[286] January 18–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 35% 17 524 ± 4.3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 41% 4
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 33% 22
Bernie Sanders 48% Marco Rubio 38% 10
Bernie Sanders 49% Ted Cruz 37% 12

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
CBS News/YouGov[15] August 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 7% 12 1,181 ± 3.7%
Gravis Marketing[283] May 24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 6% 6 1,728 ± 2%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[83] August 30 – September 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 3% 1 800 ± 3.4%
Roanoke College[277] August 7–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 16 803 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[34] August 9–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 5% 11 808 ± 3.5%
Washington Post[278] August 11–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 7 707 ± 4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[35] August 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 5% 12 897 ± 3.3%
Fox News[280] July 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 5 601 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[37] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 2% 7 876 ± 3.3%
Public Policy Polling[282] June 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 3 1,032 ± 3.1%

Washington edit

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Elway Poll[287] August 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 24% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 4% 19 500 ± 4.5%

West Virginia edit

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[288] April 29 – May 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 57% 27 1,201 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 31% Ted Cruz 44% 13
Hillary Clinton 27% John Kasich 52% 25
Bernie Sanders 35% Donald Trump 56% 21
Bernie Sanders 39% Ted Cruz 40% 1
Bernie Sanders 31% John Kasich 48% 17

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green Party % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Repass Research[289] August 9–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 31% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 18 386 4.7%

Wisconsin edit

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[290] August 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 41% 7 1,054
Marquette University[291] August 25–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 42% 3 615 ± 5.0%
Marquette University[292] August 4–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 36% 10 805 ± 4.6%
Marquette University[293] July 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% 4 629 ± 4.5%
Public Policy Polling[7] June 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 39% 8 843 ± 3.4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 36% 11 300 ± 5.66%
Marquette University[294] June 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 37% 9 666 ± 4.9%
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 33% 24
Public Opinion Strategies[295] May 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 31% 12 600 ± 4.0%
St. Norbert College/WPR/WPT[296] April 12–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 34% 12 616 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 33% 19
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 40% 10
Emerson College[297] March 30 – April 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% 10 1,198 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 38% John Kasich 52% 14
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 37% 14
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 41% 9
Fox News[298] March 28–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 35% 14 1,602 ± 2.5%
Marquette University[299] March 24–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% 10 1,405 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 44% Tied
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 48% 9
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 35% 19
Bernie Sanders 52% Ted Cruz 39% 13
Bernie Sanders 46% John Kasich 44% 2
Emerson College[300] March 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% 9 922 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 45% 1
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 39% 9
Marquette University[301] February 18–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% 10 802 ± 4.5%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 43% Tied
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 34% 20
Bernie Sanders 53% Ted Cruz 35% 18
Bernie Sanders 53% Marco Rubio 35% 18
Marquette University[302] January 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% 9 806 ± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 34% 18
Bernie Sanders 49% Marco Rubio 38% 11
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 38% 12

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 16% 12 300 ± 5.66%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Monmouth University[303] August 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 5 404 ± 4.9%
Marquette University[291] August 25–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 3 615 ± 5.0%
Marquette University[292] August 4–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 9 805 ± 4.6%
Marquette University[293] July 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 6 629 ± 4.5%
CBS News/YouGov[304] June 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 5 993 ± 4.3%

See also edit

References edit

  1. ^ "Trump Wins Alabama but Some Supporters May Not Like Him". Strategy Research. 21 July 2016. Retrieved July 21, 2016.
  2. ^ a b "Voter dissatisfaction with Clinton and Trump has Libertarian Johnson hoping Alaskans go third-party". Ivan Moore Research. Alaska Dispatch News. August 21, 2016. Retrieved August 22, 2016.
  3. ^ "ADN poll: Alaskans like Trump, Sanders for president". Ivan Moore Research. Alaska Dispatch News. January 23, 2016. Retrieved July 7, 2016.
  4. ^ "Survey Results" (PDF). Moore Information. The Midnight Sun. September 1, 2016. Retrieved September 4, 2016.
  5. ^ "Arizona Survey Results" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. September 1, 2016.
  6. ^ a b "CNN/ORC International Poll". SSRS of Media. CNN. ORC International. August 24, 2016. Retrieved August 24, 2016.
  7. ^ a b c d e f (PDF). Public Policy Polling. June 28, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on August 3, 2016. Retrieved June 28, 2016.
  8. ^ "Arizona Electorate Indicates Clinton Beating Trump". OH Predictive Insights. Retrieved June 23, 2016.
  9. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n "Battleground 2016: new game" (PDF). Greenberg Quinlan Rosner. Democracy Corps/Women’s Vote Action Fund. June 30, 2016. Retrieved July 9, 2016.
  10. ^ a b "McCain In Deep Trouble in GOP Primary; Trump, Clinton Close in AZ" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved May 18, 2016.
  11. ^ (PDF). Behavior Research Center. April 11, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 2, 2016. Retrieved August 20, 2016.
  12. ^ "Presidential and Senate races are tight in Arizona" (PDF). Merrill Poll. WestGroup. March 17, 2016.
  13. ^ "Poll: Arizona a toss-up between Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump". www.azcentral.com. September 7, 2016. Retrieved September 7, 2016.
  14. ^ "Arizona Currently a Toss-Up Between Trump and Hillary for President". OH Predictive Insights. August 29, 2016. Retrieved August 30, 2016.
  15. ^ a b c "Battleground 2016: new game". YouGov. CBS News. August 7, 2016. Retrieved August 7, 2016.
  16. ^ "Poll: Clinton, Trump in statistical dead heat in new Arizona-based poll". Tucson.com. August 2, 2016. Retrieved August 3, 2016.
  17. ^ "Arizona poll: Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump 45-42". Phoenix Business Journal. August 2, 2016. Retrieved August 3, 2016.
  18. ^ (PDF). Integrated Web Strategy. July 29, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on January 24, 2017. Retrieved July 31, 2016.
  19. ^ "TB&P-Hendrix Poll: Trump holds lead over Clinton in Arkansas". Hendrix College. June 26, 2016. Retrieved June 26, 2016.
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January 01, 1970
january, august, 2016, statewide, opinion, polling, 2016, united, states, presidential, election, automated, process, detected, links, this, page, local, global, blacklist, links, appropriate, request, whitelisting, following, these, instructions, otherwise, c. An automated process has detected links on this page on the local or global blacklist If the links are appropriate you may request whitelisting by following these instructions otherwise consider removing or replacing them with more appropriate links To hide this tag set the invisible field to true List of blacklisted links https mgtvwhtm files wordpress com 2016 08 toplines statewideabc27 aug16 pdf Triggered by bfiles wordpress com b on the global blacklist Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows The polls listed here by state are from January 1 to August 31 2016 and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate Note some states had not conducted polling yet or no updated polls were present from January 1 to August 31 2016 Contents 1 Alabama 2 Alaska 3 Arizona 4 Arkansas 5 California 6 Colorado 7 Connecticut 8 Delaware 9 District of Columbia 10 Florida 11 Georgia 12 Idaho 13 Illinois 14 Indiana 15 Iowa 16 Kansas 17 Kentucky 18 Louisiana 19 Maine 20 Maryland 21 Massachusetts 22 Michigan 23 Minnesota 24 Missouri 25 Nevada 26 New Hampshire 27 New Jersey 28 New Mexico 29 New York 30 North Carolina 31 Ohio 32 Oklahoma 33 Oregon 34 Pennsylvania 35 South Carolina 36 Tennessee 37 Texas 38 Utah 39 Vermont 40 Virginia 41 Washington 42 West Virginia 43 Wisconsin 44 See also 45 ReferencesAlabama edit9 electoral votes Republican in 2008 60 39 Republican in 2012 61 38 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error News 5 Strategy Poll 1 July 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 33 Donald Trump 57 24 4 100 2 0 Alaska edit3 electoral votes Republican in 2008 59 38 Republican in 2012 55 41 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Ivan Moore Research 2 June 16 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 45 4 670 Alaska Dispatch News Ivan Moore Research 3 January 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 1 Donald Trump 49 3 5 2 651 Hillary Clinton 37 5 Ted Cruz 56 9 19 4 Hillary Clinton 37 9 Marco Rubio 56 7 18 8 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Party Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Moore Information 4 August 27 29 2016 Hillary Clinton 29 Donald Trump 39 Gary Johnson 10 Jill Stein 4 10 500 4 Ivan Moore Research 2 June 16 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 30 Donald Trump 39 Gary Johnson 16 Jill Stein 6 9 670 Arizona edit11 electoral votes Republican in 2008 53 45 Republican in 2012 53 44 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Public Policy Polling 5 August 26 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 46 3 837 3 4 CNN ORC 6 August 18 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 49 5 809 3 5 Public Policy Polling 7 June 22 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 44 4 691 3 7 OH Predictive Insights 8 June 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 42 5 1 060 3 01 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 9 June 11 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 45 6 300 5 66 Public Policy Polling 10 May 13 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 45 4 896 3 3 Bernie Sanders 45 Donald Trump 44 1 Behavior Research Center 11 April 4 11 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 35 7 564 4 2 Hillary Clinton 38 Ted Cruz 43 5 Hillary Clinton 32 John Kasich 44 12 Bernie Sanders 54 Donald Trump 33 21 Bernie Sanders 48 Ted Cruz 34 14 Bernie Sanders 47 John Kasich 33 14 Merrill Poll WestGroup 12 March 7 11 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 38 Tied 701 3 7 Hillary Clinton 35 Ted Cruz 41 6 Bernie Sanders 39 Donald Trump 36 3 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Arizona Republic Morrison Cronkite News 13 August 17 31 2016 Hillary Clinton 35 Donald Trump 34 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 2 1 704 3 3 OH Predictive Insights 14 August 25 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 39 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 1 1 728 3 63 CNN ORC 6 August 18 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 45 Gary Johnson 12 Jill Stein 4 7 809 3 5 CBS News YouGov 15 August 2 5 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 44 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Stein 2 2 1 095 4 8 OH Predictive Insights 16 17 August 1 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 43 Gary Johnson 4 Jill Stein 1 2 996 3 0 Integrated Web Strategy 18 July 29 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 49 Gary Johnson 3 Jill Stein 1 8 679 3 76 Public Policy Polling 10 May 13 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 6 Jill Stein 2 2 896 3 3 Bernie Sanders 42 Donald Trump 39 Gary Johnson 6 Jill Stein 2 3Arkansas edit6 electoral votes Republican in 2008 59 39 Republican in 2012 61 37 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Independent Third party candidate Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Talk Business Hendrix College 19 June 21 2016 Hillary Clinton 36 Donald Trump 47 Gary Johnson 8 11 751 3 6 California edit55 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 61 37 Democratic in 2012 60 37 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Field Research 20 June 8 July 2 2016 Hillary Clinton 58 Donald Trump 28 30 956 3 2 SurveyMonkey USC Los Angeles Times 21 June 7 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 59 Donald Trump 32 27 1 553 3 CBS News YouGov 22 May 31 June 3 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 33 15 1 187 3 9 Bernie Sanders 55 Donald Trump 32 23 USC Los Angeles Times 23 May 19 31 2016 Hillary Clinton 56 Donald Trump 30 26 1 500 2 9 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist College 24 May 29 31 2016 Hillary Clinton 55 Donald Trump 31 24 1 833 2 3 Bernie Sanders 62 Donald Trump 28 34 Field Research 25 May 26 31 2016 Hillary Clinton 53 Donald Trump 34 19 1 002 3 2 Bernie Sanders 60 Donald Trump 31 29 SurveyUSA KABC SCNG 26 May 19 22 2016 Hillary Clinton 52 Donald Trump 38 14 1 383 2 7 Public Policy Institute of California 27 May 13 22 2016 Hillary Clinton 49 Donald Trump 39 10 1 704 4 3 Bernie Sanders 53 Donald Trump 36 17 SurveyUSA KABC SCNG 28 April 27 30 2016 Hillary Clinton 56 Donald Trump 34 22 1 683 2 4 Hillary Clinton 57 Ted Cruz 29 28 Hillary Clinton 53 John Kasich 34 19 SurveyUSA 29 March 30 April 3 2016 Hillary Clinton 60 Donald Trump 26 34 1 507 2 6 Hillary Clinton 57 Ted Cruz 32 25 Hillary Clinton 56 John Kasich 33 23 Bernie Sanders 63 Donald Trump 24 39 Bernie Sanders 61 Ted Cruz 26 35 Bernie Sanders 57 John Kasich 28 29 Field Research 30 March 24 April 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 59 Donald Trump 31 28 1 400 3 2 Hillary Clinton 55 Ted Cruz 32 23 USC Dornsife College LA Times 31 March 16 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 59 Donald Trump 28 31 1 503 Hillary Clinton 59 Ted Cruz 31 28 Hillary Clinton 54 John Kasich 35 19 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Independent Third party candidate Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Field Research 20 June 8 July 2 2016 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 26 Gary Johnson 10 24 495 4 4 Hoover Institution YouGov 32 May 4 16 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 33 Gary Johnson 4 12 1 196 3 97 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Public Policy Institute of California 33 July 10 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 30 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 6 16 1 703 3 5 SurveyMonkey USC Los Angeles Times 21 June 7 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 51 Donald Trump 27 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 6 24 1 553 3 Colorado edit9 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 54 45 Democratic in 2012 51 46 Two way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Quinnipiac University 34 August 9 16 2016 Hillary Clinton 49 Donald Trump 39 10 830 3 4 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 35 August 4 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 32 14 899 3 3 Fox News 36 July 9 12 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 34 10 600 4 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 37 July 5 11 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 35 8 794 3 5 Harper 38 July 7 9 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 38 7 500 4 38 Gravis Marketing 39 July 7 8 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 41 2 1 313 2 7 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Magellan Strategies 40 August 29 31 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 36 Gary Johnson 13 Jill Stein 3 5 500 4 38 Quinnipiac University 34 August 9 16 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 33 Gary Johnson 16 Jill Stein 7 8 830 3 4 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 35 August 4 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 29 Gary Johnson 15 Jill Stein 6 12 899 3 3 Fox News 36 July 9 12 2016 Hillary Clinton 37 Donald Trump 28 Gary Johnson 13 Jill Stein 6 9 600 4 Monmouth University 41 July 7 12 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 35 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Stein 3 13 404 4 9 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 37 July 5 11 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 33 Gary Johnson 13 Jill Stein 4 6 794 3 5 Gravis Marketing 39 July 7 8 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 38 Gary Johnson 9 Jill Stein 4 1 1 313 2 7 CBS News YouGov 42 June 21 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 39 Gary Johnson 4 Jill Stein 1 1 996 4 3 Connecticut edit7 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 61 38 Democratic in 2012 58 41 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Quinnipiac University 43 June 1 5 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 38 7 1 330 2 7 Bernie Sanders 54 Donald Trump 35 19 Emerson College 44 April 10 11 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 40 8 1 043 3 Hillary Clinton 52 Ted Cruz 31 21 Hillary Clinton 38 John Kasich 49 11 Bernie Sanders 49 Donald Trump 40 9 Bernie Sanders 55 Ted Cruz 30 25 Bernie Sanders 40 John Kasich 48 8 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Quinnipiac University 43 June 1 5 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 36 Gary Johnson 6 Jill Stein 3 5 1 330 2 7 Delaware edit3 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 62 37 Democratic in 2012 59 40 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Fairleigh Dickinson University 45 July 20 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 32 Gary Johnson 9 10 715 4 1 District of Columbia edit3 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 92 7 Democratic in 2012 91 7 No polling was conducted in 2016Florida editFurther information Opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election in Florida 29 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 51 48 Democratic in 2012 50 49 Georgia edit16 electoral votes Republican in 2008 52 47 Republican in 2012 53 45 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Atlanta Journal Constitution 46 August 1 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 40 4 847 4 0 Public Policy Polling 47 May 27 30 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 49 9 724 3 6 Bernie Sanders 40 Donald Trump 48 8 Fox 5 Opinion Savvy 48 May 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 44 3 587 4 0 Atlanta Journal Constitution 49 May 9 12 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 45 4 822 4 26 Bernie Sanders 47 Donald Trump 42 5 Landmark RosettaStone 50 May 5 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 42 1 570 4 1 Lake Research Partners 51 March 31 April 3 2016 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 37 13 400 4 9 Hillary Clinton 47 Ted Cruz 40 7 SurveyUSA 52 February 22 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 50 9 1 261 2 8 Hillary Clinton 43 Marco Rubio 50 7 Hillary Clinton 42 Ted Cruz 49 7 Bernie Sanders 41 Donald Trump 49 8 Bernie Sanders 41 Marco Rubio 49 8 Bernie Sanders 42 Ted Cruz 48 6 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Opinion Savvy Fox 5 Atlanta 53 August 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 43 Gary Johnson 11 Tied 730 3 6 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error CBS News YouGov 54 August 10 12 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 45 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Stein 1 4 988 4 3 JMC Analytics 55 August 6 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 37 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 1 7 615 4 0 Atlanta Journal Constitution 46 August 1 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 38 Gary Johnson 11 Jill Stein 2 3 847 4 0 Landmark RosettaStone 56 August 1 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 46 Gary Johnson 4 Jill Stein 1 Tied 787 3 5 SurveyUSA 57 July 29 31 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 46 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Stein 2 4 628 4 Landmark RosettaStone 58 July 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 46 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Stein 3 2 500 4 4 Public Policy Polling 59 May 27 30 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 45 Gary Johnson 6 Jill Stein 2 7 724 3 6 Bernie Sanders 36 Donald Trump 46 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Stein 1 10Idaho edit4 electoral votes Republican in 2008 61 36 Republican in 2012 64 32 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Dan Jones amp Associates 60 May 18 June 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 32 Donald Trump 49 17 603 3 99 Bernie Sanders 43 Donald Trump 46 3 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Party Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Dan Jones amp Associates 61 August 18 31 2016 Hillary Clinton 23 Donald Trump 44 Gary Johnson 13 Jill Stein 2 21 602 4 0 Dan Jones amp Associates 62 July 5 16 2016 Hillary Clinton 23 Donald Trump 44 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Stein 3 21 601 4 0 Illinois edit20 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 62 37 Democratic in 2012 58 41 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Normington Petts and Associates 63 August 1 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 51 Donald Trump 32 19 800 3 5 NBC News WSJ Marist 64 March 4 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 57 Donald Trump 32 25 1 968 2 2 Hillary Clinton 51 Ted Cruz 40 11 Bernie Sanders 60 Donald Trump 30 30 Bernie Sanders 55 Ted Cruz 35 20 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Independent Third party candidate Lead margin Sample size Margin of error The Illinois Observer 65 June 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 30 Gary Johnson 6 18 732 Capitol Fax We Ask America 66 June 5 6 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 35 Gary Johnson 7 12 1 231 RV 3 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Party Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Victory Research 67 July 14 16 2016 Hillary Clinton 51 Donald Trump 34 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 7 17 1 200 2 83 Basswood Research 68 July 11 12 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 33 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Stein 3 13 800 3 5 Indiana edit11 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 50 49 Republican in 2012 54 44 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Tarrance Group 69 July 20 21 2016 Hillary Clinton 36 Donald Trump 50 14 503 4 4 Bellwether 70 May 11 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 31 Donald Trump 40 9 600 4 0 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 71 April 26 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 48 7 2 149 2 1 Hillary Clinton 43 Ted Cruz 50 7 Hillary Clinton 37 John Kasich 56 19 Bernie Sanders 46 Donald Trump 47 1 Bernie Sanders 48 Ted Cruz 45 3 Bernie Sanders 46 John Kasich 47 1 POS Howey Politics Indiana WTHR Channel 13 72 April 18 21 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 47 8 500 4 0 Hillary Clinton 36 Ted Cruz 53 17 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Independent Third party candidate Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Monmouth University 73 August 13 16 2016 Hillary Clinton 36 Donald Trump 47 Gary Johnson 10 11 403 4 9 Iowa edit6 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 54 44 Democratic in 2012 52 46 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Public Policy Polling 74 August 30 31 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 43 2 827 3 4 Quinnipiac University 34 August 9 16 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 44 3 846 3 4 Suffolk University 75 August 8 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 41 1 500 4 4 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 76 August 3 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 37 4 899 3 1 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 77 July 5 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 39 3 822 3 4 Gravis Marketing 78 July 7 8 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 40 2 1 318 2 7 Loras College 79 June 24 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 34 14 600 4 Public Policy Polling 7 June 22 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 39 2 897 3 3 Public Policy Polling 80 June 9 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 41 3 630 3 9 Public Policy Polling 81 January 8 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Jeb Bush 43 3 1 901 2 3 Hillary Clinton 42 Ben Carson 46 4 Hillary Clinton 42 Ted Cruz 45 3 Hillary Clinton 41 Marco Rubio 46 5 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 42 Tied Bernie Sanders 47 Jeb Bush 39 8 Bernie Sanders 44 Ben Carson 40 4 Bernie Sanders 45 Ted Cruz 42 3 Bernie Sanders 43 Marco Rubio 42 1 Bernie Sanders 47 Donald Trump 42 5 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 82 January 2 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 40 8 1 470 2 6 Hillary Clinton 43 Ted Cruz 47 4 Hillary Clinton 42 Marco Rubio 47 5 Bernie Sanders 51 Donald Trump 38 13 Bernie Sanders 47 Ted Cruz 42 5 Bernie Sanders 44 Marco Rubio 44 Tied Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Emerson College 83 August 31 September 1 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 44 Gary Johnson 8 Jill Stein 1 5 600 3 9 CBS News YouGov 84 August 17 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 2 Tied 987 4 Quinnipiac University 34 August 9 16 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 39 Gary Johnson 12 Jill Stein 3 2 846 3 4 Suffolk University 75 August 8 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 36 Donald Trump 37 Gary Johnson 6 Jill Stein 3 1 500 4 4 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 76 August 3 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 35 Donald Trump 35 Gary Johnson 12 Jill Stein 6 Tied 899 3 1 CBS News YouGov 85 July 13 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 3 Jill Stein 2 1 998 4 8 Monmouth University 86 July 8 11 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 44 Gary Johnson 6 Jill Stein 1 2 401 4 9 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 77 July 5 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 37 Donald Trump 37 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 4 Tied 822 3 4 Gravis Marketing 78 July 7 8 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 37 Gary Johnson 8 Jill Stein 2 2 1 318 2 7 Loras College 79 June 24 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 31 Gary Johnson 6 Jill Stein 2 13 600 4 0 Kansas edit6 electoral votes Republican in 2008 56 42 Republican in 2012 60 38 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error John Zogby Strategies 87 June 4 6 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 36 7 433 4 7 Fort Hays State University 88 February 19 26 2016 Hillary Clinton 36 Donald Trump 46 10 440 5 0 Hillary Clinton 35 Ted Cruz 49 14 Hillary Clinton 32 Marco Rubio 51 19 Bernie Sanders 43 Donald Trump 42 1 Bernie Sanders 38 Ted Cruz 44 6 Bernie Sanders 36 Marco Rubio 46 10 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Lead margin Sample size Margin of error SurveyUSA KSN News 89 August 9 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 44 Gary Johnson 8 5 566 4 2 Fort Hays State University 90 July 11 21 2016 Hillary Clinton 27 Donald Trump 44 Gary Johnson 7 17 542 4 4 SurveyUSA KSN News 91 July 8 11 2016 Hillary Clinton 36 Donald Trump 47 Gary Johnson 8 11 559 4 2 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Remington Research Group 92 August 22 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 37 Donald Trump 44 Gary Johnson 8 Jill Stein 2 7 7 769 1 5 Kentucky edit8 electoral votes Republican in 2008 57 41 Republican in 2012 60 38 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Bellwether 93 August 2 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 25 Donald Trump 41 16 508 4 0 Bellwether 94 July 5 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 28 Donald Trump 34 6 776 3 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error RunSwitch PR Harper 95 July 31 August 1 2016 Hillary Clinton 36 Donald Trump 49 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Stein 2 13 500 4 4 Louisiana edit8 electoral votes Republican in 2008 59 40 Republican in 2012 58 41 Two way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error JMC Analytics and Polling 96 May 5 6 2016 Hillary Clinton 36 Donald Trump 52 16 624 3 9 Bernie Sanders 32 Donald Trump 55 23Maine editMain article United States presidential election in Maine 2016 4 electoral votes Statewide vote worth 2 EVs 1st and 2nd congressional districts worth 1 EV each Democratic in 2008 58 40 Democratic in 2012 56 41 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Univ of N H PPH Maine Sunday Telegram 97 98 June 15 21 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 35 7 475 4 5 Bangor Daily News 99 March 3 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 34 9 610 RV 3 Bernie Sanders 57 Donald Trump 31 26Maryland edit10 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 62 36 Democratic in 2012 62 36 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Public Policy Polling 100 April 15 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 61 Donald Trump 28 33 879 3 3 Hillary Clinton 58 Ted Cruz 24 34 Hillary Clinton 54 John Kasich 33 21 Bernie Sanders 60 Donald Trump 29 31 Bernie Sanders 62 Ted Cruz 24 38 Bernie Sanders 52 John Kasich 32 20 NBC4 Marist 101 April 5 9 2016 Hillary Clinton 63 Donald Trump 27 36 2 563 1 9 Hillary Clinton 60 Ted Cruz 31 29 Hillary Clinton 55 John Kasich 38 17 Bernie Sanders 65 Donald Trump 26 39 Bernie Sanders 63 Ted Cruz 28 35 Bernie Sanders 55 John Kasich 36 19 Washington Post University of Maryland 102 March 30 April 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 63 Donald Trump 28 35 1 503 N A Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error OpinionWorks 103 August 18 30 2016 Hillary Clinton 54 Donald Trump 25 Gary Johnson 6 Jill Stein 2 29 754 3 6 Massachusetts edit11 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 62 36 Democratic in 2012 61 38 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Boston Globe Suffolk University 104 May 2 5 2016 Hillary Clinton 55 Donald Trump 31 24 500 4 4 Western New England University 105 April 1 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 62 Donald Trump 26 36 497 4 0 Hillary Clinton 63 Ted Cruz 30 33 Bernie Sanders 70 Donald Trump 23 47 Bernie Sanders 71 Ted Cruz 24 47Michigan edit16 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 57 41 Democratic in 2012 54 45 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Fox 2 Detroit Mitchell Poll 106 August 9 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 49 Donald Trump 39 10 1 314 2 7 EPIC MRA 107 July 30 August 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 36 10 600 4 Mitchell Research 108 July 5 11 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 34 6 600 4 0 Gravis Marketing 109 July 7 8 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 41 7 1 562 2 4 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 9 June 11 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 39 11 300 5 66 Detroit News WDIV TV 110 May 24 26 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 39 4 600 4 Bernie Sanders 52 Donald Trump 33 19 SurveyUSA 111 March 23 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 49 Donald Trump 38 11 904 3 3 Hillary Clinton 49 Ted Cruz 39 10 Hillary Clinton 41 John Kasich 46 5 Bernie Sanders 55 Donald Trump 36 19 Bernie Sanders 56 Ted Cruz 35 21 Bernie Sanders 47 John Kasich 42 5 Hillary Clinton 48 Mitt Romney 35 13 Hillary Clinton 48 Paul Ryan 38 10 EPIC MRA 112 March 19 22 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 37 10 600 4 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 113 March 1 3 2016 Hillary Clinton 52 Donald Trump 36 16 2 229 2 1 Hillary Clinton 48 Ted Cruz 41 7 Bernie Sanders 56 Donald Trump 34 22 Bernie Sanders 54 Ted Cruz 36 18 Marketing Resource Group 114 February 22 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 39 5 600 4 Hillary Clinton 44 Ted Cruz 39 5 Hillary Clinton 41 Marco Rubio 43 2 EPIC MRA 115 January 23 26 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 41 2 600 4 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Independent Third party candidate Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 9 June 11 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 33 Gary Johnson 12 15 300 5 66 Detroit News WDIV TV 110 May 24 26 2016 Hillary Clinton 37 Donald Trump 33 Gary Johnson 12 4 600 4 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Emerson College 116 August 25 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 3 5 800 3 4 Suffolk University 117 August 22 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 37 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Stein 3 7 500 4 4 Fox 2 Detroit Mitchell Poll 106 August 9 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 33 Gary Johnson 9 Jill Stein 5 11 1 314 2 7 EPIC MRA 107 July 30 August 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 32 Gary Johnson 8 Jill Stein 3 11 600 4 The Detroit News WDIV TV 118 July 30 August 1 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 32 Gary Johnson 8 Jill Stein 3 9 600 4 0 CBS News YouGov 119 July 13 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 39 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Stein 2 3 1 201 4 1 Marketing Resource Group 120 July 11 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 34 Donald Trump 29 Gary Johnson 3 Jill Stein 2 5 800 3 46 Gravis Marketing 109 July 7 8 2016 Hillary Clinton 37 Donald Trump 34 Gary Johnson 2 Jill Stein 1 3 1 562 2 4 Minnesota edit10 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 54 44 Democratic in 2012 53 45 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Star Tribune 121 April 25 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 35 13 800 3 5 Hillary Clinton 49 Ted Cruz 40 9 Bernie Sanders 53 Donald Trump 38 15 Bernie Sanders 50 Ted Cruz 36 14 Star Tribune Mason Dixon 122 January 18 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 38 5 800 3 5 Hillary Clinton 43 Ted Cruz 45 2 Hillary Clinton 40 Marco Rubio 49 9 Bernie Sanders 53 Donald Trump 37 16Missouri edit10 electoral votes Republican in 2008 49 4 49 2 Republican in 2012 53 44 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Public Policy Polling 123 August 26 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 47 6 1 055 3 0 Public Policy Polling 124 August 8 9 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 45 3 947 3 2 Public Policy Polling 125 July 11 12 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 50 10 959 3 2 Missouri Scout 126 May 20 21 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 46 6 1301 2 8 DFM Research 127 March 17 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 40 2 674 3 8 Fort Hayes State University 128 March 3 10 2016 Bernie Sanders 37 Marco Rubio 43 6 475 4 6 Hillary Clinton 31 Marco Rubio 49 18 Bernie Sanders 36 Ted Cruz 45 9 Hillary Clinton 34 Ted Cruz 51 17 Bernie Sanders 43 Donald Trump 40 3 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 43 5 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Monmouth University 129 August 19 22 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 44 Gary Johnson 8 1 401 4 9 SurveyUSA KSDK 130 July 20 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 37 Donald Trump 47 Gary Johnson 8 10 1 943 2 3 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Remington Research Group 131 August 5 6 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 44 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Stein 2 2 1 280 3 St Louis Post Dispatch 132 July 23 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 9 Jill Stein 1 1 625 4 Public Policy Polling 125 July 11 12 2016 Hillary Clinton 36 Donald Trump 46 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 1 10 959 3 2 Nevada edit6 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 55 43 Democratic in 2012 52 46 Two way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 9 June 11 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 47 2 300 5 66 TargetPoint Just Win Strategies 133 June 14 18 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 45 1 200 Gravis Marketing 134 May 24 25 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 47 5 1 637 2 Three way Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Suffolk 135 136 137 August 15 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 42 Gary Johnson 5 2 500 4 4 KTNV Rasmussen Reports 138 July 29 31 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 10 1 750 4 KTNV Rasmussen Reports 139 July 22 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 43 Gary Johnson 8 5 750 4 Monmouth University 140 July 7 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 41 Gary Johnson 5 4 408 4 9 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 9 June 11 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 44 Gary Johnson 9 Tied 300 5 66 Gravis Marketing 134 May 24 25 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 44 Gary Johnson 8 3 1 637 2 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error CBS News YouGov 15 August 2 5 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 41 Gary Johnson 4 Jill Stein 3 2 993 4 6 Five way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian IAPN Unaffiliated Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Suffolk University 135 136 137 August 15 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 8 Donald Trump 41 6 Gary Johnson 4 8 Darrell Castle 1 Rocky De La Fuente 1 2 2 500 4 4 New Hampshire edit4 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 54 45 Democratic in 2012 52 46 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Public Policy Polling 141 August 30 31 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 41 5 585 4 1 Public Policy Polling 142 August 26 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 40 6 977 3 1 WMUR University of New Hampshire 143 August 20 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 36 9 433 4 7 Public Policy Polling 144 August 5 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 37 13 802 3 5 MassINC WBUR 145 July 29 August 1 2016 Hillary Clinton 51 Donald Trump 34 17 609 4 NH Journal July 19 21 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 48 9 1 166 5 1 WMUR University of New Hampshire 146 July 9 18 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 37 2 469 4 5 American Research Group 147 June 24 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 42 5 533 4 2 Public Policy Polling 7 June 22 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 39 4 578 4 1 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 9 June 11 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 51 Donald Trump 47 4 300 5 66 TargetPoint Just Win Strategies 133 June 14 18 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 40 4 200 Boston Herald Franklin Pierce University 148 May 25 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 44 Tied 405 4 9 MassINC WBUR 149 May 12 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 42 2 501 4 4 Bernie Sanders 54 Donald Trump 38 16 WMUR University of New Hampshire 150 April 7 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 31 19 553 4 2 Hillary Clinton 48 Ted Cruz 34 14 Hillary Clinton 36 John Kasich 50 14 Bernie Sanders 58 Donald Trump 31 27 Bernie Sanders 61 Ted Cruz 30 31 Bernie Sanders 50 John Kasich 44 6 Dartmouth College 151 April 11 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 34 Donald Trump 29 5 362 5 15 Hillary Clinton 34 Ted Cruz 33 1 Hillary Clinton 26 John Kasich 53 27 Bernie Sanders 49 Donald Trump 28 21 Bernie Sanders 48 Ted Cruz 26 22 Bernie Sanders 39 John Kasich 44 5 WMUR University of New Hampshire 152 February 20 28 2016 Bernie Sanders 55 Donald Trump 34 21 628 3 9 Bernie Sanders 60 Ted Cruz 28 32 Bernie Sanders 54 Marco Rubio 35 19 Bernie Sanders 48 John Kasich 40 8 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 39 8 Hillary Clinton 46 Ted Cruz 35 11 Hillary Clinton 45 Marco Rubio 43 2 Hillary Clinton 37 John Kasich 47 10 UMass Lowell 7News 153 February 5 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 40 5 1 411 2 99 Hillary Clinton 45 Ted Cruz 40 5 Hillary Clinton 40 Marco Rubio 44 4 Bernie Sanders 55 Donald Trump 34 21 Bernie Sanders 56 Ted Cruz 31 25 Bernie Sanders 54 Marco Rubio 34 20 UMass Lowell 7News 154 February 4 6 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 39 6 1 413 2 97 Hillary Clinton 45 Ted Cruz 39 6 Hillary Clinton 40 Marco Rubio 45 5 Bernie Sanders 55 Donald Trump 33 22 Bernie Sanders 57 Ted Cruz 30 27 Bernie Sanders 55 Marco Rubio 35 20 UMass Lowell 7News 155 February 3 5 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 39 7 1 421 2 90 Hillary Clinton 46 Ted Cruz 39 7 Hillary Clinton 42 Marco Rubio 43 1 Bernie Sanders 54 Donald Trump 34 20 Bernie Sanders 57 Ted Cruz 30 27 Bernie Sanders 54 Marco Rubio 35 19 UMass Lowell 7News 156 February 2 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 40 4 1 417 2 89 Hillary Clinton 44 Ted Cruz 41 3 Hillary Clinton 41 Marco Rubio 44 3 Bernie Sanders 54 Donald Trump 34 20 Bernie Sanders 54 Ted Cruz 33 21 Bernie Sanders 51 Marco Rubio 37 14 CNN WMUR 157 January 13 18 2016 Bernie Sanders 57 Donald Trump 34 23 903 3 4 Bernie Sanders 56 Ted Cruz 33 23 Bernie Sanders 55 Marco Rubio 37 18 Bernie Sanders 57 Chris Christie 34 23 Bernie Sanders 54 John Kasich 33 21 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 39 9 Hillary Clinton 47 Ted Cruz 41 6 Hillary Clinton 44 Marco Rubio 45 1 Hillary Clinton 45 Chris Christie 42 3 Hillary Clinton 43 John Kasich 43 Tied NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 158 January 2 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 44 1 957 3 2 Hillary Clinton 44 Ted Cruz 48 4 Hillary Clinton 40 Marco Rubio 52 12 Bernie Sanders 56 Donald Trump 37 19 Bernie Sanders 55 Ted Cruz 36 19 Bernie Sanders 50 Marco Rubio 41 9 Public Policy Polling 159 January 4 6 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Jeb Bush 40 6 1 036 3 Hillary Clinton 50 Ben Carson 39 11 Hillary Clinton 48 Ted Cruz 40 8 Hillary Clinton 45 Marco Rubio 42 3 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 36 14 Bernie Sanders 50 Jeb Bush 38 12 Bernie Sanders 53 Ben Carson 34 19 Bernie Sanders 55 Ted Cruz 35 20 Bernie Sanders 51 Marco Rubio 37 14 Bernie Sanders 54 Donald Trump 34 20 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Independent Third party candidate Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 9 June 11 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 41 Gary Johnson 10 Tied 300 5 66 MassInc WBUR 149 May 12 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 37 Donald Trump 33 Mitt Romney 21 4 501 4 4 WMUR University of New Hampshire 150 April 7 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Ted Cruz 22 Donald Trump 19 22 553 4 2 Public Policy Polling 160 January 4 6 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Ted Cruz 28 Donald Trump 18 19 1 036 3 Hillary Clinton 43 Marco Rubio 29 Donald Trump 20 14 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error WMUR University of New Hampshire 143 August 20 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 32 Gary Johnson 12 Jill Stein 4 11 433 4 7 CBS News YouGov 54 August 10 12 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 36 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Stein 3 9 990 4 3 Vox Populi 161 August 7 8 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 31 Gary Johnson 11 Jill Stein 3 10 820 3 4 MassInc WBUR 145 July 29 August 1 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 32 Gary Johnson 8 Jill Stein 3 15 609 4 WMUR University of New Hampshire 162 July 9 18 2016 Hillary Clinton 37 Donald Trump 37 Gary Johnson 10 Jill Stein 5 Tied 469 4 2 New Jersey edit14 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 57 42 Democratic in 2012 58 41 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Fairleigh Dickinson University 163 June 22 26 2016 Hillary Clinton 52 Donald Trump 31 21 712 3 8 CBS News YouGov 164 May 31 June 3 2016 Hillary Clinton 49 Donald Trump 34 15 1 194 3 8 Bernie Sanders 52 Donald Trump 34 18 Monmouth University 165 May 23 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 34 4 806 3 7 Fairleigh Dickinson University 166 May 18 22 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 37 11 702 3 9 Bernie Sanders 57 Donald Trump 33 24 Quinnipiac University 167 May 10 16 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 38 7 1 989 2 2 Bernie Sanders 49 Donald Trump 37 12 Rutgers 168 April 1 8 2016 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 36 14 738 4 0 Hillary Clinton 50 Ted Cruz 35 15 Hillary Clinton 43 John Kasich 43 Tied Bernie Sanders 55 Donald Trump 34 21 Fairleigh Dickinson University 169 February 24 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 52 Donald Trump 36 16 694 3 9 Bernie Sanders 51 Donald Trump 36 15 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Independent Third party candidate Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Fairleigh Dickinson University 163 June 22 26 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 32 Gary Johnson 9 12 712 3 8 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Monmouth University 165 May 23 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 37 Donald Trump 31 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Stein 4 6 806 3 7 New Mexico edit5 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 57 42 Democratic in 2012 53 43 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Public Policy Polling 170 May 13 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 33 Gary Johnson 14 8 802 3 5 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Public Policy Polling 171 August 19 21 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 31 Gary Johnson 16 Jill Stein 4 9 1 103 3 172 New York edit29 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 63 36 Democratic in 2012 63 35 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Siena College 173 August 7 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 57 Donald Trump 27 30 717 4 3 Gravis Marketing 174 August 4 8 2016 Hillary Clinton 53 Donald Trump 36 17 1 717 2 4 Quinnipiac University 175 July 13 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 35 12 1 104 3 Siena College 176 June 22 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 54 Donald Trump 31 23 803 4 0 Siena College 177 May 22 26 2016 Hillary Clinton 52 Donald Trump 31 21 825 3 9 Siena College 178 April 24 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 56 Donald Trump 30 26 802 4 1 Emerson College 179 April 15 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 55 Donald Trump 36 19 1 047 2 95 Hillary Clinton 59 Ted Cruz 28 31 Hillary Clinton 49 John Kasich 39 10 Bernie Sanders 51 Donald Trump 37 14 Bernie Sanders 58 Ted Cruz 27 31 Public Policy Polling 180 April 7 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 55 Donald Trump 35 20 1 403 2 6 Hillary Clinton 56 Ted Cruz 30 26 Hillary Clinton 50 John Kasich 36 14 Bernie Sanders 58 Donald Trump 33 25 Bernie Sanders 59 Ted Cruz 27 32 Bernie Sanders 54 John Kasich 35 19 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 181 April 6 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 61 Donald Trump 32 29 1 987 2 2 Hillary Clinton 61 Ted Cruz 31 30 Hillary Clinton 53 John Kasich 38 15 Bernie Sanders 64 Donald Trump 31 33 Bernie Sanders 65 Ted Cruz 28 37 Bernie Sanders 57 John Kasich 35 22 NY1 Baruch College 182 April 5 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 51 Donald Trump 35 16 1 306 2 9 Bernie Sanders 54 Donald Trump 32 22 Emerson College 183 April 6 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 54 Donald Trump 36 18 864 3 3 Hillary Clinton 58 Ted Cruz 30 28 Hillary Clinton 48 John Kasich 41 7 Bernie Sanders 51 Donald Trump 38 13 Bernie Sanders 56 Ted Cruz 29 27 Fox News 184 April 4 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 53 Donald Trump 37 16 1 403 2 5 Bernie Sanders 54 Donald Trump 35 19 Quinnipiac University 185 March 22 29 2016 Hillary Clinton 53 Donald Trump 33 20 1 667 2 4 Hillary Clinton 53 Ted Cruz 32 21 Hillary Clinton 46 John Kasich 41 5 Bernie Sanders 56 Donald Trump 32 24 Bernie Sanders 56 Ted Cruz 28 28 Bernie Sanders 47 John Kasich 37 10 Emerson College 186 March 14 16 2016 Hillary Clinton 55 Donald Trump 36 19 768 3 5 Hillary Clinton 61 Ted Cruz 30 31 Bernie Sanders 53 Donald Trump 36 17 Siena College 187 February 28 March 3 2016 Hillary Clinton 56 Marco Rubio 35 21 800 4 1 Hillary Clinton 58 Ted Cruz 33 25 Hillary Clinton 57 Donald Trump 34 23 Hillary Clinton 49 John Kasich 42 7 Bernie Sanders 58 Marco Rubio 32 26 Bernie Sanders 63 Ted Cruz 26 37 Bernie Sanders 57 Donald Trump 33 24 Bernie Sanders 54 John Kasich 35 19 Siena College 188 January 31 February 3 2016 Hillary Clinton 54 Marco Rubio 37 17 930 3 8 Hillary Clinton 57 Ted Cruz 34 23 Hillary Clinton 57 Donald Trump 32 25 Hillary Clinton 57 Jeb Bush 33 24 Hillary Clinton 57 John Kasich 31 26 Hillary Clinton 55 Chris Christie 36 19 Bernie Sanders 56 Marco Rubio 34 22 Bernie Sanders 60 Ted Cruz 30 30 Bernie Sanders 63 Donald Trump 30 33 Bernie Sanders 61 Jeb Bush 30 31 Bernie Sanders 59 John Kasich 29 30 Bernie Sanders 58 Chris Christie 35 23 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Independent Third party candidate Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Siena College 187 February 28 March 3 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 25 Michael Bloomberg 26 16 800 4 1 Bernie Sanders 42 Donald Trump 24 Michael Bloomberg 28 14 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican LibertarianIndependence Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Emerson College 189 August 28 30 2016 Hillary Clinton 52 Donald Trump 34 Gary Johnson 8 Jill Stein 3 18 800 3 4 Siena College 173 August 7 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 25 Gary Johnson 9 Jill Stein 6 25 717 4 3 Gravis Marketing 174 August 4 8 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 34 Gary Johnson 6 Jill Stein 4 14 1 717 2 4 Quinnipiac University 175 July 13 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 33 Gary Johnson 6 Jill Stein 4 12 1 104 3 North Carolina edit15 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 50 49 Republican in 2012 50 48 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Quinnipiac University 190 August 29 September 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 43 4 751 3 6 Public Policy Polling 191 August 26 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 44 1 1 177 CNN ORC 192 August 18 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 47 1 803 3 5 Gravis Marketing 193 August 15 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 43 1 723 3 6 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 35 August 4 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 39 9 921 3 2 Public Policy Polling 194 August 5 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 46 1 830 3 4 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 37 July 5 11 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 38 6 907 3 3 Public Policy Polling 195 June 20 21 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 48 2 942 3 2 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 9 June 11 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 51 Donald Trump 41 10 300 5 66 Public Policy Polling 196 May 20 22 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 47 4 928 3 2 Bernie Sanders 48 Donald Trump 44 4 Civitas 197 April 23 26 2016 Hillary Clinton 49 Donald Trump 37 12 600 4 0 Bernie Sanders 54 Donald Trump 35 19 Hillary Clinton 46 Ted Cruz 40 6 Bernie Sanders 52 Ted Cruz 36 16 Public Policy Polling 198 April 22 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 44 Tied 960 3 2 Hillary Clinton 45 Ted Cruz 40 5 Hillary Clinton 39 John Kasich 46 7 Bernie Sanders 46 Donald Trump 43 3 Bernie Sanders 46 Ted Cruz 38 8 Bernie Sanders 41 John Kasich 43 2 Elon University 199 April 10 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 39 6 621 3 96 Hillary Clinton 41 Ted Cruz 44 3 Bernie Sanders 51 Donald Trump 38 13 Bernie Sanders 49 Ted Cruz 39 10 Public Policy Polling 200 March 18 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 42 2 843 3 4 Hillary Clinton 45 Ted Cruz 42 3 Hillary Clinton 41 John Kasich 49 8 Bernie Sanders 48 Donald Trump 41 7 Bernie Sanders 45 Ted Cruz 42 3 Bernie Sanders 41 John Kasich 44 3 Elon University 201 February 15 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 41 6 1 530 2 51 Hillary Clinton 46 Ted Cruz 46 Tied Hillary Clinton 45 Marco Rubio 48 3 Bernie Sanders 48 Donald Trump 40 8 Bernie Sanders 47 Ted Cruz 43 4 Bernie Sanders 43 Marco Rubio 46 3 SurveyUSA 202 February 14 16 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 45 2 1 250 2 8 Hillary Clinton 43 Ted Cruz 48 5 Hillary Clinton 42 Marco Rubio 49 7 Bernie Sanders 44 Donald Trump 44 Tied Bernie Sanders 46 Ted Cruz 42 4 Bernie Sanders 45 Marco Rubio 44 1 Public Policy Polling 203 February 14 16 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Jeb Bush 44 2 1 291 2 7 Hillary Clinton 43 Ted Cruz 46 3 Hillary Clinton 40 Marco Rubio 49 9 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 44 1 Bernie Sanders 43 Jeb Bush 42 1 Bernie Sanders 43 Ted Cruz 43 Tied Bernie Sanders 41 Marco Rubio 45 4 Bernie Sanders 44 Donald Trump 42 2 Public Policy Polling 204 January 18 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Jeb Bush 45 2 948 3 2 Hillary Clinton 44 Ben Carson 47 3 Hillary Clinton 43 Ted Cruz 46 3 Hillary Clinton 42 Marco Rubio 47 5 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 45 2 Bernie Sanders 41 Jeb Bush 42 1 Bernie Sanders 40 Ben Carson 44 4 Bernie Sanders 38 Ted Cruz 43 5 Bernie Sanders 39 Marco Rubio 43 4 Bernie Sanders 43 Donald Trump 44 1 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Independent Third party candidate Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Quinnipiac University 190 August 29 September 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 38 Gary Johnson 15 4 751 3 6 Monmouth University 205 August 20 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 42 Gary Johnson 7 2 401 4 9 CNN ORC 192 August 18 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 45 Gary Johnson 9 Tied 803 3 5 Civitas SurveyUSA 206 July 31 August 2 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 46 Gary Johnson 6 4 400 5 0 Civitas 207 June 21 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 6 2 600 4 0 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 9 June 11 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 38 Gary Johnson 8 10 300 5 66 Civitas 208 May 21 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 36 Donald Trump 39 Gary Johnson 8 3 600 4 0 Public Policy Polling 203 February 14 16 2016 Hillary Clinton 37 Donald Trump 39 Michael Bloomberg 14 2 1 291 2 7 Bernie Sanders 34 Donald Trump 40 Michael Bloomberg 16 6 Public Policy Polling 204 January 18 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 41 Michael Bloomberg 10 1 948 3 2 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 42 Jim Webb 7 2 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error CBS News YouGov 209 August 30 September 2 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 42 Gary Johnson 4 Jill Stein 2 4 1 088 4 Emerson College 210 August 27 29 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 45 Gary Johnson 8 Jill Stein 2 2 800 3 4 Gravis Marketing 193 August 15 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 39 Gary Johnson 10 Jill Stein 2 1 723 3 6 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 35 August 4 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 36 Gary Johnson 9 Jill Stein 2 9 921 3 2 Public Policy Polling 194 August 5 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 41 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 2 2 830 3 4 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 37 July 5 11 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 36 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 2 6 907 3 3 CBS News YouGov 211 June 21 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 42 Gary Johnson 2 Jill Stein 1 2 988 4 Public Policy Polling 195 June 20 21 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 43 Gary Johnson 4 Jill Stein 2 Tied 947 3 2 Public Policy Polling 196 May 20 22 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 43 Gary Johnson 3 Jill Stein 2 2 928 3 2 Bernie Sanders 43 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 3 Jill Stein 2 3Ohio edit18 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 51 47 Democratic in 2012 51 48 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Quinnipiac University 190 August 29 September 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 46 1 775 3 5 Public Policy Polling 212 August 26 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 42 4 1 134 2 9 OnMessage August 13 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 45 Tied 600 4 0 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 76 August 3 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 38 5 889 3 1 Quinnipiac University 213 July 30 August 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 49 Donald Trump 45 4 812 3 4 Public Policy Polling 214 July 22 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 45 Tied 1 334 2 7 Suffolk University 215 July 18 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 44 Tied 500 4 4 Quinnipiac University 216 June 30 July 11 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 41 Tied 955 3 2 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 217 July 5 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 39 Tied 848 3 4 Gravis Marketing One America News 218 June 27 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 47 1 1 270 2 8 Public Policy Polling 7 June 22 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 40 4 708 3 7 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 9 June 11 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 48 1 300 5 66 Quinnipiac University 219 June 8 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 40 Donald Trump 40 Tied 971 3 1 Bernie Sanders 48 Donald Trump 38 10 Zogby Analytics 220 May 18 22 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 39 6 679 3 8 CBS News YouGov 221 May 16 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 39 5 992 3 7 Bernie Sanders 48 Donald Trump 39 9 Quinnipiac University 222 April 27 May 8 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 43 4 1 042 3 0 Bernie Sanders 44 Donald Trump 42 2 Public Policy Polling 223 April 26 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 42 3 799 3 2 Hillary Clinton 44 Ted Cruz 35 9 Hillary Clinton 41 John Kasich 43 2 Bernie Sanders 45 Donald Trump 41 4 Bernie Sanders 44 Ted Cruz 35 9 Bernie Sanders 37 John Kasich 47 10 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 224 March 4 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 42 6 2 052 2 2 Hillary Clinton 45 Ted Cruz 47 2 Hillary Clinton 36 John Kasich 57 21 Bernie Sanders 50 Donald Trump 41 9 Bernie Sanders 45 Ted Cruz 44 1 Public Policy Polling 225 March 4 6 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Ted Cruz 40 5 1 248 2 8 Hillary Clinton 37 John Kasich 52 15 Hillary Clinton 44 Marco Rubio 41 3 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 40 5 Bernie Sanders 44 Ted Cruz 38 6 Bernie Sanders 34 John Kasich 54 20 Bernie Sanders 42 Marco Rubio 38 4 Bernie Sanders 44 Donald Trump 40 4 CNN ORC 226 March 2 6 2016 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 43 7 884 3 5 Hillary Clinton 48 Marco Rubio 46 2 Hillary Clinton 51 Ted Cruz 42 9 Quinnipiac University 227 February 16 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Ted Cruz 46 3 1 539 2 5 Hillary Clinton 37 John Kasich 54 17 Hillary Clinton 42 Marco Rubio 47 5 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 44 2 Bernie Sanders 44 Ted Cruz 42 2 Bernie Sanders 35 John Kasich 54 19 Bernie Sanders 42 Marco Rubio 44 2 Bernie Sanders 44 Donald Trump 44 Tied Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Independent Third party candidate Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 9 June 11 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 41 Gary Johnson 14 Tied 300 5 66 Public Policy Polling 225 March 4 6 2016 Hillary Clinton 37 Donald Trump 37 Michael Bloomberg 15 Tied 1 248 2 8 Bernie Sanders 38 Donald Trump 37 Michael Bloomberg 13 1 Quinnipiac University 227 February 16 20 2016 Bernie Sanders 37 Ted Cruz 37 Michael Bloomberg 11 Tied 1 539 2 5 Bernie Sanders 35 Donald Trump 38 Michael Bloomberg 13 3 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Quinnipiac University 190 August 29 September 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 37 Donald Trump 41 Gary Johnson 14 Jill Stein 4 4 775 3 5 Emerson College 116 August 25 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 43 Gary Johnson 10 Jill Stein 2 Tied 800 3 4 Monmouth University 228 August 18 21 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 39 Gary Johnson 10 Jill Stein lt 1 4 402 4 9 CBS News YouGov 84 August 17 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 6 Jill Stein 2 6 997 3 9 OnMessage August 13 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 42 Gary Johnson 8 Jill Stein 2 Tied 600 4 0 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 76 August 3 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 35 Gary Johnson 12 Jill Stein 4 4 889 3 1 Quinnipiac University 213 July 30 August 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 42 Gary Johnson 8 Jill Stein 3 2 812 3 4 Public Policy Polling 214 July 22 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 42 Gary Johnson 6 Jill Stein 2 3 1 334 2 7 Suffolk University 215 July 18 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 39 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Stein 1 4 500 4 4 CBS News YouGov 229 July 13 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Stein 3 4 1 104 3 5 Quinnipiac University 216 June 30 July 11 2016 Hillary Clinton 36 Donald Trump 37 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 6 1 955 3 2 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 217 July 5 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 35 Gary Johnson 9 Jill Stein 3 3 848 3 4 Quinnipiac University 219 June 8 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 36 Gary Johnson 8 Jill Stein 3 2 971 3 1 Oklahoma edit7 electoral votes Republican in 2008 66 34 Republican in 2012 67 33 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Independent Third party candidate Lead margin Sample size Margin of error SoonerPoll 230 July 20 25 2016 Hillary Clinton 29 Donald Trump 53 Gary Johnson 7 24 298 4 91 Cole Hargrave 231 May 2 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 28 Donald Trump 48 Gary Johnson 6 20 500 4 3 Oregon edit7 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 57 40 Democratic in 2012 54 42 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Portland Tribune iCitizen 232 June 23 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 32 14 555 4 0 Clout Research 233 May 10 13 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 44 2 657 3 82 DHM Research 234 May 6 9 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 32 11 901 3 3 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Clout Research 235 July 9 13 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 6 Jill Stein 3 3 701 3 7 Pennsylvania edit20 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 54 44 Democratic in 2012 52 47 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Quinnipiac University 190 August 29 September 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 43 5 778 3 5 Public Policy Polling 236 August 30 31 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 42 5 814 3 4 GBA Strategies 237 August 21 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 43 5 1 200 4 4 Public Policy Polling 238 August 26 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 43 5 1 194 Franklin amp Marshall College 239 August 25 29 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 40 7 496 5 6 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 76 August 3 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 37 11 834 3 1 Quinnipiac University 213 July 30 August 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 52 Donald Trump 42 10 815 3 4 Susquehanna ABC27 News 240 July 31 August 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 37 10 772 3 53 Franklin amp Marshall College 241 July 29 August 2 2016 Hillary Clinton 49 Donald Trump 38 11 389 6 3 Public Policy Polling 242 July 29 31 2016 Hillary Clinton 49 Donald Trump 45 4 1 505 2 5 Suffolk University 243 July 25 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 41 9 500 4 4 Quinnipiac University 216 June 30 July 11 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 43 2 982 3 1 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 244 July 5 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 36 9 829 3 4 Gravis Marketing One America News Network 245 June 27 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 47 1 1 958 2 2 Public Policy Polling 7 June 22 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 42 4 980 3 1 Quinnipiac University 219 June 8 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 41 1 950 3 2 Bernie Sanders 47 Donald Trump 40 7 Public Policy Polling 246 June 3 5 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 44 Tied 1 106 3 0 Bernie Sanders 51 Donald Trump 39 12 Quinnipiac University 222 April 27 May 8 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 42 1 1 077 3 0 Bernie Sanders 47 Donald Trump 41 6 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 247 April 18 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 54 Donald Trump 39 15 2 606 1 9 Hillary Clinton 52 Ted Cruz 41 11 Hillary Clinton 45 John Kasich 48 3 Bernie Sanders 57 Donald Trump 37 20 Bernie Sanders 58 Ted Cruz 36 22 Bernie Sanders 50 John Kasich 44 6 Fox News 248 April 4 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 44 Tied 1 607 2 5 Quinnipiac University 249 March 30 April 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 42 3 1 737 2 4 Hillary Clinton 43 Ted Cruz 43 Tied Hillary Clinton 35 John Kasich 51 16 Bernie Sanders 48 Donald Trump 40 8 Bernie Sanders 46 Ted Cruz 38 8 Bernie Sanders 40 John Kasich 46 6 Franklin amp Marshall College 250 March 14 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 33 13 828 3 3 Hillary Clinton 45 Ted Cruz 35 10 Mercyhurst University 251 March 1 11 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 35 8 421 4 8 Hillary Clinton 45 Ted Cruz 42 3 Hillary Clinton 36 John Kasich 49 13 Hillary Clinton 39 Marco Rubio 47 8 Bernie Sanders 49 Donald Trump 37 12 Bernie Sanders 48 Ted Cruz 40 8 Bernie Sanders 42 John Kasich 46 4 Bernie Sanders 41 Marco Rubio 46 5 Harper Polling 252 March 1 2 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 40 5 662 3 75 Hillary Clinton 46 Marco Rubio 40 6 Hillary Clinton 48 Ted Cruz 37 11 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Lead margin Sample size Margin of error GBA Strategies 237 August 21 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 10 6 1 200 4 4 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 9 June 11 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 36 Gary Johnson 13 9 300 5 66 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Quinnipiac University 190 August 29 September 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 39 Gary Johnson 9 Jill Stein 3 5 778 3 5 CBS News YouGov 253 August 30 September 2 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 37 Gary Johnson 6 Jill Stein 2 8 1 091 4 1 Monmouth University 254 August 26 29 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 6 Jill Stein 1 8 402 4 9 Franklin amp Marshall College 239 August 25 29 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 38 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 2 3 736 4 6 Emerson College 116 August 25 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 43 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 2 3 800 3 4 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 76 August 3 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 36 Gary Johnson 9 Jill Stein 3 9 834 3 1 Quinnipiac University 213 July 30 August 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 39 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 3 9 815 3 4 Susquehanna ABC27 News 240 July 31 August 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 37 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 3 9 772 3 53 Franklin amp Marshall College 241 July 29 August 2 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 34 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 3 13 496 6 1 Public Policy Polling 242 July 29 31 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 42 Gary Johnson 4 Jill Stein 2 3 1 505 2 5 Suffolk University 243 July 25 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 37 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Stein 3 9 500 4 4 Quinnipiac University 216 June 30 July 11 2016 Hillary Clinton 34 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 9 Jill Stein 3 6 982 3 1 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 244 July 5 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 35 Gary Johnson 8 Jill Stein 2 8 829 3 4 Quinnipiac University 219 June 8 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 36 Gary Johnson 9 Jill Stein 4 3 950 3 2 Public Policy Polling 246 June 3 5 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 6 Jill Stein 3 1 1 106 3 0 Bernie Sanders 45 Donald Trump 36 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Stein 1 9South Carolina edit9 electoral votes Republican in 2008 54 45 Republican in 2012 55 44 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Feldman 255 August 18 21 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 45 2 600 4 Gravis Marketing 256 August 15 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 46 4 768 3 5 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error First Tuesday Strategies 257 August 30 September 2 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 50 Gary Johnson 3 Jill Stein 1 12 775 3 5 Feldman 255 August 18 21 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 39 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Stein 1 Tied 600 4 Gravis Marketing 256 August 15 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 37 Donald Trump 41 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 3 4 768 3 5 Public Policy Polling 258 August 9 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 41 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Stein 2 2 1 290 2 7 Tennessee edit11 electoral votes Republican in 2008 57 42 Republican in 2012 59 39 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error iCitizen 259 July 25 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 33 Donald Trump 49 16 655 N A Vanderbilt University PSRA 260 April 25 May 11 2016 Hillary Clinton 35 Donald Trump 44 9 1 001 4 2 Hillary Clinton 34 Ted Cruz 44 10Texas edit38 electoral votes Republican in 2008 55 44 Republican in 2012 57 41 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Public Policy Polling 261 August 12 14 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 50 6 944 3 2 KTVT CBS 11 Dixie Strategies Poll 262 August 8 9 2016 Hillary Clinton 35 Donald Trump 46 11 1 018 3 1 Texas Tribune YouGov 263 June 10 19 2016 Hillary Clinton 33 Donald Trump 41 8 1 200 2 83 SurveyUSA 264 February 21 22 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 47 3 1 289 3 Bernie Sanders 44 Donald Trump 47 3 Hillary Clinton 42 Ted Cruz 50 8 Bernie Sanders 41 Ted Cruz 50 9 Hillary Clinton 41 Marco Rubio 51 10 Bernie Sanders 40 Marco Rubio 50 10 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Texas Tribune YouGov 263 June 10 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 32 Donald Trump 39 Gary Johnson 7 7 1 200 2 83 Leland Beatty 265 June 13 14 2016 Hillary Clinton 30 Donald Trump 37 Gary Johnson 3 7 998 3 1 Five way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Independent Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Public Policy Polling 261 August 12 14 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 44 Gary Johnson 6 Jill Stein 2 Evan McMullin 0 6 944 3 2 Utah edit6 electoral votes Republican in 2008 62 34 Republican in 2012 73 25 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Public Policy Polling 266 August 19 21 2016 Hillary Clinton 33 Donald Trump 53 20 1 018 3 1 Gravis Marketing 267 May 31 June 1 2016 Hillary Clinton 29 Donald Trump 36 7 1 519 2 5 Dan Jones amp Associates 268 May 2 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 30 Donald Trump 43 13 588 4 04 Bernie Sanders 37 Donald Trump 43 6 Dan Jones amp Associates 269 March 23 April 5 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 38 Tied 600 4 0 Hillary Clinton 26 Ted Cruz 67 41 Hillary Clinton 23 John Kasich 68 45 Bernie Sanders 49 Donald Trump 35 14 Bernie Sanders 32 Ted Cruz 63 31 Bernie Sanders 30 John Kasich 64 34 Dan Jones amp Associates 270 March 8 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 36 2 500 4 38 Hillary Clinton 32 Ted Cruz 60 28 Hillary Clinton 29 John Kasich 59 30 Bernie Sanders 48 Donald Trump 37 11 Bernie Sanders 39 Ted Cruz 53 14 Bernie Sanders 35 John Kasich 54 19 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Lead margin Sample size Margin of error SurveyUSA Salt Lake Tribune 271 June 2 8 2016 Hillary Clinton 35 Donald Trump 35 Gary Johnson 13 Tied 1 238 2 8 Bernie Sanders 37 Donald Trump 35 Gary Johnson 12 2 Gravis Marketing 267 May 31 June 1 2016 Hillary Clinton 26 Donald Trump 29 Gary Johnson 16 3 1 519 2 5 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Dan Jones amp Associates 272 July 18 August 4 2016 Hillary Clinton 25 Donald Trump 37 Gary Johnson 16 Jill Stein 1 12 858 3 34 Dan Jones amp Associates 273 June 8 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 27 Donald Trump 36 Gary Johnson 10 Jill Stein 2 9 614 3 95 Six way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Constitution Independent Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Public Policy Polling 266 August 19 21 2016 Hillary Clinton 24 Donald Trump 39 Gary Johnson 12 Jill Stein 5 Darrell Castle 2 Evan McMullin 9 15 1 018 3 1 Vermont edit3 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 67 30 Democratic in 2012 67 31 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Lead margin Sample size Margin of error VPR 274 July 11 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 17 Gary Johnson 5 22 637 3 9 FM3 Research 275 June 27 July 1 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 24 Gary Johnson 10 15 600 Virginia edit13 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 53 46 Democratic in 2012 51 47 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Hampton University 276 August 24 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 41 2 801 4 7 Roanoke College 277 August 7 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 55 Donald Trump 36 19 803 3 5 Quinnipiac University 34 August 9 16 2016 Hillary Clinton 50 Donald Trump 38 12 808 3 5 Washington Post 278 August 11 14 2016 Hillary Clinton 51 Donald Trump 43 8 707 4 5 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 35 August 4 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 33 13 897 3 3 RABA Research 279 July 26 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 46 4 655 3 8 Fox News 280 July 9 12 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 37 7 601 4 0 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 37 July 5 11 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 35 9 876 3 3 Hampton University 281 July 6 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 39 Tied 805 4 6 Public Policy Polling 282 June 13 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 45 3 1 032 3 1 Gravis Marketing 283 May 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 41 4 1 728 2 Roanoke College 284 May 9 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 38 Donald Trump 38 Tied 610 4 0 Christopher Newport University 285 March 23 April 3 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 35 9 1 167 3 1 Roanoke College 286 January 18 26 2016 Hillary Clinton 52 Donald Trump 35 17 524 4 3 Hillary Clinton 46 Marco Rubio 43 3 Hillary Clinton 45 Ted Cruz 41 4 Bernie Sanders 55 Donald Trump 33 22 Bernie Sanders 48 Marco Rubio 38 10 Bernie Sanders 49 Ted Cruz 37 12 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Independent Third party candidate Lead margin Sample size Margin of error CBS News YouGov 15 August 2 5 2016 Hillary Clinton 49 Donald Trump 37 Gary Johnson 7 12 1 181 3 7 Gravis Marketing 283 May 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 38 Gary Johnson 6 6 1 728 2 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Emerson College 83 August 30 September 1 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 43 Gary Johnson 11 Jill Stein 3 1 800 3 4 Roanoke College 277 August 7 17 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 32 Gary Johnson 8 Jill Stein 3 16 803 3 5 Quinnipiac University 34 August 9 16 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 34 Gary Johnson 11 Jill Stein 5 11 808 3 5 Washington Post 278 August 11 14 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 39 Gary Johnson 9 Jill Stein 3 7 707 4 5 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 35 August 4 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 31 Gary Johnson 9 Jill Stein 5 12 897 3 3 Fox News 280 July 9 12 2016 Hillary Clinton 39 Donald Trump 34 Gary Johnson 10 Jill Stein 4 5 601 4 0 NBC News Wall Street Journal Marist 37 July 5 11 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 34 Gary Johnson 10 Jill Stein 2 7 876 3 3 Public Policy Polling 282 June 13 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 39 Gary Johnson 6 Jill Stein 2 3 1 032 3 1 Washington edit12 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 57 40 Democratic in 2012 56 41 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Elway Poll 287 August 9 13 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 24 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 4 19 500 4 5 West Virginia edit5 electoral votes Republican in 2008 56 43 Republican in 2012 62 36 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Public Policy Polling 288 April 29 May 1 2016 Hillary Clinton 30 Donald Trump 57 27 1 201 2 8 Hillary Clinton 31 Ted Cruz 44 13 Hillary Clinton 27 John Kasich 52 25 Bernie Sanders 35 Donald Trump 56 21 Bernie Sanders 39 Ted Cruz 40 1 Bernie Sanders 31 John Kasich 48 17 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Party Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Repass Research 289 August 9 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 31 Donald Trump 49 Gary Johnson 10 Jill Stein 4 18 386 4 7 Wisconsin edit10 electoral votes Democratic in 2008 56 42 Democratic in 2012 53 46 Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Public Policy Polling 290 August 26 27 2016 Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 41 7 1 054 Marquette University 291 August 25 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 42 3 615 5 0 Marquette University 292 August 4 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 36 10 805 4 6 Marquette University 293 July 7 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 45 Donald Trump 41 4 629 4 5 Public Policy Polling 7 June 22 23 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 39 8 843 3 4 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 9 June 11 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 36 11 300 5 66 Marquette University 294 June 9 12 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 37 9 666 4 9 Bernie Sanders 57 Donald Trump 33 24 Public Opinion Strategies 295 May 10 12 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 31 12 600 4 0 St Norbert College WPR WPT 296 April 12 15 2016 Hillary Clinton 46 Donald Trump 34 12 616 4 Hillary Clinton 45 Ted Cruz 44 1 Bernie Sanders 52 Donald Trump 33 19 Bernie Sanders 50 Ted Cruz 40 10 Emerson College 297 March 30 April 3 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 37 10 1 198 2 8 Hillary Clinton 46 Ted Cruz 43 3 Hillary Clinton 38 John Kasich 52 14 Bernie Sanders 51 Donald Trump 37 14 Bernie Sanders 50 Ted Cruz 41 9 Fox News 298 March 28 30 2016 Hillary Clinton 49 Donald Trump 35 14 1 602 2 5 Marquette University 299 March 24 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 37 10 1 405 3 3 Hillary Clinton 44 Ted Cruz 44 Tied Hillary Clinton 39 John Kasich 48 9 Bernie Sanders 54 Donald Trump 35 19 Bernie Sanders 52 Ted Cruz 39 13 Bernie Sanders 46 John Kasich 44 2 Emerson College 300 March 20 22 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 38 9 922 3 2 Hillary Clinton 46 Ted Cruz 45 1 Bernie Sanders 47 Donald Trump 39 9 Marquette University 301 February 18 21 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 37 10 802 4 5 Hillary Clinton 43 Ted Cruz 43 Tied Hillary Clinton 44 Marco Rubio 43 1 Bernie Sanders 54 Donald Trump 34 20 Bernie Sanders 53 Ted Cruz 35 18 Bernie Sanders 53 Marco Rubio 35 18 Marquette University 302 January 21 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 38 9 806 4 0 Hillary Clinton 45 Marco Rubio 44 1 Hillary Clinton 45 Ted Cruz 44 1 Bernie Sanders 52 Donald Trump 34 18 Bernie Sanders 49 Marco Rubio 38 11 Bernie Sanders 50 Ted Cruz 38 12 Three way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 9 June 11 20 2016 Hillary Clinton 44 Donald Trump 32 Gary Johnson 16 12 300 5 66 Four way race Poll source Date administered Democrat Republican Libertarian Green Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Monmouth University 303 August 27 30 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 38 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 3 5 404 4 9 Marquette University 291 August 25 28 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 38 Gary Johnson 10 Jill Stein 4 3 615 5 0 Marquette University 292 August 4 7 2016 Hillary Clinton 42 Donald Trump 33 Gary Johnson 10 Jill Stein 4 9 805 4 6 Marquette University 293 July 7 10 2016 Hillary Clinton 43 Donald Trump 37 Gary Johnson 8 Jill Stein 2 6 629 4 5 CBS News YouGov 304 June 21 24 2016 Hillary Clinton 41 Donald Trump 36 Gary Johnson 3 Jill Stein 2 5 993 4 3 See also editPre 2016 statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential electionReferences edit Trump Wins Alabama but Some Supporters May Not Like Him Strategy Research 21 July 2016 Retrieved July 21 2016 a b Voter dissatisfaction with Clinton and Trump has Libertarian Johnson hoping Alaskans go third party Ivan Moore Research Alaska Dispatch News August 21 2016 Retrieved August 22 2016 ADN poll Alaskans like Trump Sanders for president Ivan Moore Research Alaska Dispatch News January 23 2016 Retrieved July 7 2016 Survey Results PDF Moore Information The Midnight Sun September 1 2016 Retrieved September 4 2016 Arizona Survey Results PDF Public Policy Polling September 1 2016 a b CNN ORC International Poll SSRS of Media CNN ORC International August 24 2016 Retrieved August 24 2016 a b c d e f Subject Swing State Voters Don t Trust Trump on Supreme Court Overwhelmingly Favor Hearings For Garland PDF Public Policy Polling June 28 2016 Archived from the original PDF on August 3 2016 Retrieved June 28 2016 Arizona Electorate Indicates Clinton Beating Trump OH Predictive Insights Retrieved June 23 2016 a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Battleground 2016 new game PDF Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Democracy Corps Women s Vote Action Fund June 30 2016 Retrieved July 9 2016 a b McCain In Deep Trouble in GOP Primary Trump Clinton Close in AZ PDF Public Policy Polling Retrieved May 18 2016 IS ARIZONA BECOMING A SWING STATE BERNIE SANDERS LEADS ALL THREE GOP CANDIDATES HILLARY CLINTON BEATS TRUMP BUT LOSES TO CRUZ AND KASICH PDF Behavior Research Center April 11 2016 Archived from the original PDF on July 2 2016 Retrieved August 20 2016 Presidential and Senate races are tight in Arizona PDF Merrill Poll WestGroup March 17 2016 Poll Arizona a toss up between Hillary Clinton Donald Trump www azcentral com September 7 2016 Retrieved September 7 2016 Arizona Currently a Toss Up Between Trump and Hillary for President OH Predictive Insights August 29 2016 Retrieved August 30 2016 a b c Battleground 2016 new game YouGov CBS News August 7 2016 Retrieved August 7 2016 Poll Clinton Trump in statistical dead heat in new Arizona based poll Tucson com August 2 2016 Retrieved August 3 2016 Arizona poll Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump 45 42 Phoenix Business Journal August 2 2016 Retrieved August 3 2016 Opinion Survey General Election PDF Integrated Web Strategy July 29 2016 Archived from the original PDF on January 24 2017 Retrieved July 31 2016 TB amp P Hendrix Poll Trump holds lead over Clinton in Arkansas Hendrix College June 26 2016 Retrieved June 26 2016 a b Poll sees Hillary Clinton trouncing Donald Trump in California Field Research Corporation July 7 2016 Retrieved July 7 2016 a b LAT USC Post Election Poll SurveyUSA Los Angeles Times Retrieved June 15 2016 CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker PDF YouGov CBS News Retrieved June 6 2016 Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton in a tight race in California as the campaign batters her popularity University of Southern California Los Angeles Times 2 June 2016 Retrieved June 3 2016 June 2016 California Questionnaire Marist College Retrieved June 2 2016 CALIFORNIA S DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY TIGHTENING CLINTON S LEAD OVER SANDERS DECLINES TO TWO POINTS STATE REPUBLICANS APPEAR TO BE WARMING TO TRUMP S CANDIDACY PDF Field Research Corporation Archived from the original PDF on June 29 2016 Retrieved June 2 2016 Hillary Clinton poised to defeat Bernie Sanders in California s presidential primary SurveyUSA poll shows SurveyUSA May 23 2016 Retrieved June 27 2016 PPIC Statewide Survey PDF Public Policy Polling Retrieved May 26 2016 California voters resigned to vote for Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton SurveyUSA poll shows SurveyUSA May 2 2016 Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll 22817 SurveyUSA Retrieved June 1 2016 TRUMP LEADS CRUZ IN CALIFORNIA BY SEVEN POINTS REGIONAL DIFFERENCES IN PREFERENCES COULD SPLIT THE STATE S ALLOCATION OF DELEGATES TO THE GOP CONVENTION PDF Field Research Corporation April 7 2016 Archived from the original PDF on April 19 2016 Retrieved August 20 2016 Frequency Questionnaire Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research Retrieved June 12 2016 Hoover Institution Golden State Poll PDF YouGov Retrieved June 1 2016 PPIC STATEWIDE SURVEY PDF Public Policy Institute of California Retrieved July 28 2016 a b c d e f CLINTON HAS BIG LEADS IN COLORADO VIRGINIA TIED IN IOWA QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FINDS Quinnipiac University August 17 2016 Archived from the original on August 19 2016 Retrieved August 18 2016 a b c d e f Polls Clinton Running The Table in Key Battlegrounds Marist NBC News August 12 2016 Retrieved August 12 2016 a b Fox News Poll 7 13 16 Trump trails Clinton in Colorado Anderson Robbins Research Shaw amp Company Research Fox News July 13 2016 Retrieved July 13 2016 a b c d e f Clinton Leads Trump in Diverse Battleground States in New Polls Marist College NBC News July 15 2016 Retrieved July 15 2016 The Race for President Harper Polling July 12 2016 Archived from the original on July 15 2016 Retrieved July 12 2016 a b Current Colorado Polling PDF Gravis Marketing Huffington Post Retrieved July 14 2016 Colorado 2016 Presidential Voter Opinion Survey Magellan Strategies September 8 2016 Retrieved September 8 2016 Clinton Enjoys Double Digit Lead Monmouth University 13 July 2016 Retrieved July 13 2016 CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker Colorado YouGov Retrieved June 26 2016 a b CLINTON TOPS TRUMP IN CONNECTICUT RACE OF THE UNLOVED QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS BLUMENTHAL LEADS UNKNOWN GOP CHALLENGERS 2 1 PDF Quinnipiac University Archived from the original PDF on June 25 2016 Retrieved June 7 2016 EMERSON POLL TRUMP COULD SWEEP CONNECTICUT SANDERS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE OF CLINTON KASICH BEATS BERNIE AND HILLARY PDF Emerson College Polling Society April 12 2016 Public Mind Poll Love for Clinton and Obama in Delaware Fairleigh Dickinson University July 28 2016 Retrieved August 4 2016 a b Poll Clinton leads Trump in Georgia Politico 5 August 2016 Retrieved August 5 2016 Trump Has Solid Lead Over Clinton in Georgia PDF Public Policy Polling Retrieved June 2 2016 FOX 5 Poll Trump would win Georgia if election were today Opinion Savvy Fox 5 Archived from the original on May 17 2016 Retrieved May 18 2016 Poll Clinton vs Trump a tossup in Georgia Atlanta Journal Constitution 14 May 2016 Landmark RosettaStone Statewide Poll of 570 Likely Georgia Voters PDF Landmark Communications Rosetta Stone Communications May 5 2016 Recent Research among Likely 2016 General Election Voters PDF Lake Research Partners April 11 2016 5 Days to Georgia Presidential Primary Trump Pulls Away from GOP Field Clinton Buries Sanders In November Head To Head General Election Match Ups Republican Nominee Whomever It Is Beats Either Democrat 16 Peach State Electoral Votes Stay Red SurveyUSA February 25 2016 Georgia 2016 General Election Poll PDF Opinion Savvy Fox 5 Atlanta August 18 2016 Retrieved August 19 2016 a b Poll Clinton up in Florida New Hampshire extends lead on electoral map YouGov CBS News August 14 2016 Retrieved August 15 2016 Georgia Poll Results Clinton 44 Trump 37 Others 8 10 undecided PDF JMC Analytics Retrieved August 8 2016 Landmark Rosetta Stone Releases Latest Georgia Presidential Poll 8 1 16 PDF Landmark Communications Rosetta Stone Communications Archived from the original PDF on September 15 2016 Retrieved August 2 2016 Coming Out of RNC and DNC Conventions Trump Leads Clinton in Georgia Though Way Too Close For GOP s Comfort Incumbent Republican Isakson 9 Atop Challenger Barksdale Democrats Unlikely to Pick Up This US Senate Seat in 2016 SurveyUSA August 1 2016 Retrieved August 2 2016 Landmark Rosetta Stone Releases Latest Georgia Presidential Poll PDF Landmark Communications Rosetta Stone Communications Archived from the original PDF on August 3 2016 Retrieved June 25 2016 Trump Has Solid Lead Over Clinton in Georgia PDF Retrieved June 2 2016 Poll Trump Would Best Clinton in Idaho Powered Mostly by Male Voters Dan Jones amp Associates Archived from the original on June 8 2016 Retrieved June 8 2016 Idaho Presidential Race Trump 44 Clinton 23 Johnson 13 Dan Jones amp Associates Idaho Politics Weekly September 5 2016 Retrieved September 5 2016 Poll Idaho Voters Favor Trump over Clinton Dan Jones amp Associates Idaho Politics Weekly July 17 2016 Retrieved July 19 2016 Normington Petts and Associates Memorandum August 8 2016 Retrieved August 9 2016 NBC News WSJ Marist Poll Illinois Adults Registered Voters amp Potential Electorates PDF Retrieved June 8 2016 Poll Trump 64 Unfavorable Rating Helps Give Clinton 19 Point Lead in Illinois The Illinois Observer June 15 2016 Retrieved July 14 2016 Rich Miller June 10 2016 CAPITOL FAX POLL VOTERS BLAME MICHAEL MADIGAN FOR BUDGET MESS Archived from the original on July 15 2016 Retrieved July 11 2016 The Illinois Poll PDF Victory Research June 18 2016 Retrieved July 18 2016 Poll gives Kirk edge over Duckworth while Clinton clobbers Trump Basswood Research July 22 2016 Retrieved July 25 2016 Key Findings from a Survey of Voters in Indiana SlideShare 25 July 2016 Retrieved July 26 2016 Indiana Statewide Survey Results Bellwether Research amp Consulting Retrieved May 21 2016 May 2016 Indiana Questionnaire PDF Marist Archived from the original PDF on May 8 2016 Retrieved June 14 2016 EXCLUSIVE WTHR HPI Poll Trump or Cruz would defeat Clinton in Indiana Howey Politics Indiana 22 April 2016 Archived from the original on 13 May 2016 Retrieved June 3 2016 Ticket Splitting Has Trump in Lead but Bayh With Senate Edge Monmouth University August 17 2016 Archived from the original on May 13 2016 Retrieved August 18 2016 Iowa Survey Results PDF Public Policy Polling September 7 2016 Retrieved September 7 2016 a b Suffolk University Iowa Poll Shows Trump Leading Clinton by 1 Point 41 40 Percent Suffolk University August 11 2016 Archived from the original on August 12 2016 Retrieved August 11 2016 a b c d e f Polls Clinton s Lead Over Trump Increases in Three Battleground States Marist NBC News Wall Street Journal 9 August 2016 Retrieved August 9 2016 a b July 2016 Iowa Questionnaire Marist NBC News Wall Street Journal Retrieved July 13 2016 a b Current Iowa Polling PDF Gravis Marketing July 11 2016 Retrieved July 14 2016 a b Loras College Statewide Iowa Survey June 2016 PDF Loras College Archived from the original PDF on June 30 2016 Retrieved July 1 2016 Iowa Survey Results Retrieved June 17 2016 Trump Cruz Close in Iowa Birther Issue Could Hurt Cruz Sanders Gaining on Clinton PDF January 12 2016 January 2016 Iowa Questionnaire PDF June 14 2016 Archived from the original PDF on November 8 2016 Retrieved August 20 2016 a b Emerson College Poll Clinton with Slight Lead in Virginia Trump Leads in Iowa as Grassley Gains in Popularity PDF Emerson College September 2 2016 Retrieved September 2 2016 a b Poll Hillary Clinton extends lead in Ohio YouGov CBS News August 21 2016 Retrieved August 22 2016 CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker Iowa PDF YouGov July 16 2016 Retrieved July 18 2016 Trump Has Slight Edge Over Clinton Monmouth University July 12 2016 Retrieved July 13 2016 Poll shows Clinton leading in Kansas broad dissatisfaction with Legislature John Zogby Strategies June 10 2016 New poll shows Donald Trump Hillary Clinton hold edge in Kansas caucuses Docking Institute February 26 2016 KSN News Poll Results Aug 9th 2016 KSN News August 9 2016 Retrieved August 9 2016 Kansas Newspaper Poll Final Report PDF Docking Institute July 24 2016 Archived from the original PDF on August 18 2016 Retrieved July 24 2016 KSN News Poll shows Trump would win in Kansas if election were held today SurveyUSA July 14 2016 Retrieved July 14 2016 Sam Brownback viewed unfavorably by 70 percent in confidential GOP poll blamed for budget woes Remington Research Group Topeka Capital Journal September 1 2016 Archived from the original on September 3 2016 Retrieved September 4 2016 Trump and Paul Hold Commanding Leads in Kentucky Presidential and Senate Poll Cofounder Pulse Poll Archived from the original on August 12 2016 Retrieved August 8 2016 Trump leads Clinton in Kentucky Cofounder Pulse Poll Archived from the original on July 14 2016 Retrieved July 7 2016 Kentucky Statewide Poll Harper Polling RunSwitch PR August 4 2016 Retrieved August 4 2016 Presidential Poll Results PDF Retrieved May 11 2016 Charts Portland Press Herald Maine Sunday Telegram poll results 26 June 2016 Retrieved June 26 2016 Christian Milneil June 25 2016 Charts Portland Press Herald Maine Sunday Telegram poll results Portland Press Herald Retrieved July 21 2016 Critical Insights on MaineTM Tracking Survey Spring 2016 PDF Retrieved July 21 2016 Maryland Likely To Continue Momentum for Trump Clinton PDF Public Policy Polling April 19 2016 April 2016 Maryland Questionnaire PDF Marist Archived from the original PDF on April 13 2016 Retrieved June 14 2016 Poll Clinton Trump lead in Maryland University of Maryland Washington Post Retrieved 2016 04 06 Poll finds Clinton Van Hollen with leads in Maryland OpinionWorks The Baltimore Sun September 6 2016 Retrieved September 7 2016 Results of Boston Globe poll on general election Suffolk University May 9 2016 POLL CLINTON SANDERS WELL AHEAD OF TRUMP AND CRUZ IN BAY STATE PDF Western New England University April 12 2016 Archived from the original PDF on April 22 2016 a b Clinton Leads Trump in Michigan by 10 PDF Mitchell Research and Communications Fox 2 Detroit August 16 2016 Retrieved August 17 2016 a b EPIC MRA MARCH STATEWIDE POLL OF ACTIVE amp LIKELY NOV 2016 VOTERS PDF EPIC MRA Retrieved August 6 2016 Clinton Leads Trump in Michigan PDF Mitchell Research and Communications Real Clear Politics July 22 2016 Retrieved July 22 2016 a b Current Michigan Polling PDF Gravis Marketing Huffington Post July 14 2016 Retrieved July 14 2016 a b Poll Clinton Sanders lead Trump in Michigan match ups Detroit News Retrieved June 2 2016 In Michigan Kasich Runs Strongest of 3 GOP Finalists But Sanders Beats All Comers Baselines Established for Possible Ryan or Romney Entries SurveyUSA March 25 2016 EPIC MRA MARCH STATEWIDE POLL OF ACTIVE amp LIKELY NOV 2016 VOTERS PDF EPIC MRA Retrieved June 17 2016 March 2016 Michigan Questionnaire PDF Marist NBC News Archived from the original PDF on March 27 2016 Retrieved June 17 2016 Trump amp Clinton Poised to Take Michigan PDF Marketing Resource Group Real Clear Politics February 29 2016 EPIC MRA STATEWIDE POLL JANUARY 2016 PDF EPIC MRA Retrieved June 17 2016 a b c FIRST EMERSON POLL OF THE GENERAL ELECTION SHOWS A CLOSE RACE IN OHIO MICHIGAN AND PENNSYLVANIA GOP SENATE SEATS LOOK SAFE PDF Emerson College August 29 2016 Retrieved August 29 2016 Suffolk University Michigan Poll Shows Clinton Leading Trump by 7 Points Suffolk University August 25 2016 Archived from the original on August 26 2016 Retrieved August 25 2016 Clinton jumps to a big lead over Trump in Michigan poll Glengariff Group The Detroit News August 4 2016 Retrieved August 4 2016 CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker Michigan PDF YouGov CBS News July 17 2016 Retrieved July 18 2016 Michigan Poll Trump Trails Clinton by Five Percent Heading Into GOP Convention Marketing Resource Group July 18 2016 Archived from the original on July 30 2016 Retrieved July 19 2016 Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump in Star Tribune Minnesota Poll Star Tribune May 1 2016 Archived from the original on August 13 2016 Retrieved August 20 2016 Minnesota Poll Results Presidential race Star Tribune January 23 2016 Missouri Survey Results PDF Public Policy Polling September 1 2016 Missouri Survey Results PDF Public Policy Polling ProtectMoFamilies August 18 2016 Retrieved August 18 2016 permanent dead link a b Trump Favored in Missouri Senate Race Competitive PDF Public Policy Polling July 15 2016 Retrieved July 15 2016 MISSOURI STATEWIDE PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY PDF Missouri Scout Archived from the original PDF on June 15 2016 Retrieved June 9 2016 New poll Clinton beats Trump in Missouri Blunt beats Kander The Kansas City Star Retrieved May 30 2016 Missouri Poll Results Fort Hayes State University 11 March 2016 Retrieved March 12 2016 Neck and Neck for Prez Blunt Has Small Senate Lead Monmouth University August 23 2016 Retrieved August 23 2016 Poll Trump leads Clinton in Mo by 10 points SurveyUSA KSDK TV St Louis Retrieved July 26 2016 In Missouri Voter Polls Show Tight Races for President Governor Remington Research Group August 8 2016 Retrieved August 9 2016 Poll Trump Clinton in virtual tie in Missouri Post Dispatch St Louis Post Dispatch Retrieved July 29 2016 a b National Survey PDF Archived from the original PDF on September 18 2016 Retrieved July 29 2016 a b Poll Current Nevada Polling PDF Gravis Marketing May 26 2016 Retrieved May 26 2016 a b Nevada General Election August 18 2016 Poll Documents www suffolk edu Suffolk University August 18 2016 Retrieved August 18 2016 a b Suffolk University Nevada Likely Voters August 2016 PDF www suffolk edu Suffolk University August 18 2016 Archived from the original PDF on August 27 2016 Retrieved August 18 2016 a b 8 18 2016 x tabs pdf PDF www suffolk edu Suffolk University August 18 2016 Archived from the original PDF on October 9 2016 Retrieved August 18 2016 KTNV RASMUSSEN POLL Poll shows post DNC narrow lead for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump Rasmussen Reports KTNV August 2 2016 Retrieved August 3 2016 Exclusive KTNV Rasmussen poll shows Trump Heck with post GOP convention leads in Nevada Rasmussen Reports KTNV July 25 2016 Retrieved July 25 2016 Poll Clinton leads Trump in Nevada Monmouth University July 11 2016 Retrieved July 12 2016 New Hampshire Survey Results PDF Public Policy Polling September 7 2016 New Hampshire Survey Results PDF Public Policy Polling September 1 2016 a b CLINTON LEADS TRUMP IN NEW HAMPSHIRE PDF University of New Hampshire September 2 2016 Archived from the original PDF on September 13 2016 Retrieved September 3 2016 Candidates out of touch on gun violence prevention could be in trouble on Election Day Stronger gun laws among top concerns this year for voters PDF Public Policy Polling August 11 2016 Archived from the original PDF on August 11 2016 Retrieved August 12 2016 a b WBUR Poll New Hampshire 2016 General Election PDF MassInc Polling Group WBUR August 4 2016 Retrieved August 4 2016 TRUMP AND CLINTON TIED BOTH CANDIDATES UNPOPULAR IN NEW HAMPSHIRE PDF University of New Hampshire July 21 2016 Archived from the original PDF on August 15 2016 Retrieved July 21 2016 2016 New Hampshire President Clinton 47 Trump 42 American Research Group Retrieved June 29 2016 Presumptive Republican Presidential Nominee Donald Trump is locked in a tight race with presumptive Democratic Presidential Nominee Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire PDF Franklin Pierce University Boston Herald Retrieved May 31 2016 span, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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