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2012 United States Senate election in Virginia

The 2012 United States Senate election in Virginia took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Jim Webb retired instead of running for reelection to a second term, and former Democratic governor of Virginia Tim Kaine won the open seat over Republican former senator and governor George Allen.[2][3] Kaine was unopposed for the Democratic nomination, and the Republicans nominated Allen through a primary on June 12, 2012.[4] Allen had previously held this seat for one term before narrowly losing reelection to Webb in 2006.

2012 United States Senate election in Virginia

← 2006 November 6, 2012 2018 →
Turnout66.4% (voting eligible)[1]
 
Nominee Tim Kaine George Allen
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 2,010,067 1,785,542
Percentage 52.83% 46.92%

Kaine:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Allen:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%

U.S. senator before election

Jim Webb
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Tim Kaine
Democratic

Republican primary edit

In Virginia, parties have the option of whether to hold a primary or to nominate their candidate through a party convention. In November 2010, the Virginia GOP announced that it had chosen to hold a primary.[5]

Candidates edit

Declared edit

Withdrawn edit

  • Tim Donner, founder of Horizons Television and LibertyNation.com[10]
  • David McCormick, attorney[11]

Declined edit

Debates edit

Three debates between Republican candidates were announced before the primary on June 12, 2012. The debates took place in Richmond, Northern Virginia, and Hampton Roads.[16]

Polling edit

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
George
Allen
Other
candidates
Undecided
February 24–27, 2011 400 ±4.9% 52% 25% 23%
Public Policy Polling[permanent dead link] July 21–24, 2011 400 ±4.9% 58% 23% 19%
Public Policy Polling December 11–13, 2011 350 ±5.2% 53% 25% 22%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
George
Allen
E. W.
Jackson
Bob
Marshall
David
McCormick
Jamie
Radtke
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[permanent dead link] July 21–24, 2011 400 ±4.9% 68% 2% 2% 0% 6% 22%
Public Policy Polling December 11–13, 2011 350 ±5.2% 67% 2% 3% 2% 5% 21%
Public Policy Polling April 26–29, 2012 400 ±4.9% 66% 2% 8% 3% 20%
Washington Post April 28 – May 2, 2012 1,101 ±3.5% 62% 3% 12% 5% 18%

Endorsements edit

George Allen
Jamie Radtke
  • Bob Arment, Louisa County Republican Party Chairman
  • Steve Arrington, Bedford County Supervisor
  • James Fisher, Fauquier County Commonwealth’s Attorney
  • Jeff Frederick, former Virginia House of Delegates member
  • Joe Glover, Family Policy Network president
  • Jack Reid, former Virginia House of Delegates member
  • Eva Scott, Former Virginia state senator
  • John Sharp, Bedford County Supervisor
  • Richard Viguerie, conservative activist

Results edit

Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican George Allen 167,607 65.5
Republican Jamie Radtke 59,005 23.0
Republican Bob Marshall 17,302 6.8
Republican E. W. Jackson 12,083 4.7
Total votes 255,997 100


Hank the Cat edit

On February 27, 2012, a Maine Coon cat named Hank the Cat was announced to be running a write-in campaign as a joke candidate.[23] Hank's campaign raised $16,000 for animal charities throughout the world.[24]

General election edit

Candidates edit

Only Allen and Kaine qualified for the ballot.

Debates edit

David Gregory moderated a debate between Kaine and Allen on September 20, 2012. Topics included partisan gridlock in Washington policy making, job creation, tax policy, and Middle East unrest.[27]

External links
  • Complete video of debate, September 20, 2012 - C-SPAN
  • Complete video of debate, October 8, 2012 - C-SPAN
  • Complete video of debate, October 18, 2012 - C-SPAN

Campaign edit

Once incumbent U.S. Senator Jim Webb decided to retire, many Democratic candidates were speculated. These included U.S. Congressmen Rick Boucher,[28] Gerry Connolly,[29] Glenn Nye,[30] Tom Perriello[31] and Bobby Scott.[32] However, they all declined and encouraged Kaine to run for the seat, believing he would be by far the most electable candidate. Courtney Lynch, former Marine Corps Officer and Fairfax business consultant[33] and Julien Modica, former CEO of the Brain Trauma Recovery & Policy Institute,[33] eventually withdrew from the election, allowing Kaine to be unopposed in the Democratic primary.

Fundraising edit

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Tim Kaine (D) $10,390,929 $7,666,452 $2,724,476 $0
George Allen (R) $8,015,948 $4,678,004 $3,337,942 $0
Kevin Chisholm (I) $24,165 $24,162 $0 $0
Terrence Modglin (I) $5,655 $5,389 $266 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[34][35][36][37]

Top contributors edit

[38]

Tim Kaine Contribution George Allen Contribution Kevin Chisholm Contribution
League of Conservation Voters $76,568 McGuireWoods LLP $76,950 Valu Net $2,475
Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld $51,650 Altria Group $64,749 Geolq Inc $1,500
University of Virginia $42,075 Alpha Natural Resources $38,000
McGuireWoods LLP $38,550 Elliott Management Corporation $35,913
Covington & Burling $36,700 Koch Industries $35,000
DLA Piper $31,750 Lorillard Tobacco Company $34,715
Bain Capital $30,000 Alliance Resource Partners $33,500
Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom $28,250 Dominion Resources $31,800
Patton Boggs LLP $26,750 Norfolk Southern $31,550
Norfolk Southern $26,000 Boeing $23,750

Top industries edit

[39]

Tim Kaine Contribution George Allen Contribution Kevin Chisholm Contribution Terrence Modglin Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $1,297,792 Retired $709,693 Misc Energy $250 Lawyers/Law Firms $200
Retired $762,722 Real Estate $384,038
Financial Institutions $477,700 Lawyers/Law Firms $348,459
Business Services $373,900 Financial Institutions $299,115
Real Estate $372,829 Leadership PACs $277,000
Lobbyists $287,545 Lobbyists $275,600
Education $282,475 Mining $197,206
Misc Finance $218,600 Oil & Gas $196,400
Leadership PACs $201,500 Insurance $159,065
Entertainment industry $156,279 Misc Finance $157,963

Independent expenditures edit

In early October 2012, Crossroads GPS announced it would launch a $16 million advertising buy in national races, of which four were this and three other Senate elections.[40]

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[41] Tossup November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[42] Lean D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[43] Tossup November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[44] Tossup November 5, 2012

Polling edit

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tim
Kaine (D)
George
Allen (R)
Other Undecided
November 10–13, 2010 551 ±4.2% 50% 44% 6%
February 24–27, 2011 524 ±3.5% 47% 47% 6%
Washington Post April 28 – May 4, 2011 1,040 ±3.5% 46% 46% 6%
May 5–8, 2011 547 ±4.2% 46% 44% 10%
June 21–27, 2011 1,434 ±2.6% 43% 42% 2% 11%
July 21–24, 2011 500 ±4.4% 46% 43% 11%
September 7–12, 2011 1,368 ±4.0% 44% 45% 1% 9%
Rasmussen Reports September 28, 2011 500 ±4.5% 46% 45% 3% 7%
October 3–8, 2011 1,027 ±3.1% 44% 42% 3% 12%
October 3–9, 2011 1,459 ±2.6% 45% 44% 1% 9%
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2011 600 ±4.0% 47% 42% 11%
December 13–19, 2011 1,135 ±2.9% 42% 44% 1% 12%
January 16–18, 2012 625 ±3.9% 46% 46% 8%
Quinnipiac September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine February 1–6, 2012 1,544 ±2.5% 45% 44% 1% 9%
February 4–13, 2012 1,018 ±3.1% 40% 42% 2% 16%
Rasmussen Reports February 21, 2012 500 ±4.5% 46% 46% 3% 5%
Roanoke College February 13–26, 2012 607 ±4.0% 37% 45% 19%
February 29 – March 2, 2012 2,518 ±2% 48% 39% 14%
Quinnipiac March 20, 2012, at the Wayback Machine March 13–18, 2012 1,034 ±3.1% 47% 44% 1% 8%
Rasmussen Reports March 20, 2012 500 ±4.5% 44% 46% 3% 7%
March 26 – April 5, 2012 537 ±4.2% 39% 46% 15%
Rasmussen Reports April 23, 2012 500 ±4.5% 45% 46% 4% 5%
Public Policy Polling April 26–29, 2012 680 ±3.8% 46% 45% 9%
Washington Post April 28 – May 2, 2012 964 ±4% 46% 46% 8%
May 17–20, 2012 1,076 ±3% 49% 43% 9%
Rasmussen Reports June 3, 2012 500 ±4.5% 46% 44% 3% 6%
Quinnipiac June 6, 2012, at the Wayback Machine May 30 – June 4, 2012 1,282 ±2.7% 44% 43% 2% 10%
June 25, 2012 1,106 ±2.95% 35% 44% 21%
Public Policy Polling July 5–8, 2012 647 ±3.9% 46% 44% 11%
Quinnipiac September 25, 2012, at the Wayback Machine July 10–16, 2012 1,673 ±2.4% 44% 46% 1% 10%
Rasmussen Reports July 16–17, 2012 500 ±4.5% 46% 45% 5% 5%
Quinnipiac September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine July 31 – August 6, 2012 1,412 ±2.6% 48% 46% 6%
Rasmussen Reports August 7, 2012 500 ±4.5% 46% 46% 2% 6%
Public Policy Polling August 16–19, 2012 855 ±3.4% 46% 46% 9%
Rasmussen Reports August 23, 2012 500 ±4.5% 45% 45% 2% 8%
Gravis Marketing September 8–9, 2012 2,238 ±2.2% 43% 48% 10%
September 9–11, 2012 996 ±3.1% 46% 46% 8%
Rasmussen Reports September 13, 2012 500 ±4.5% 47% 45% 2% 6%
Washington Post September 12–16, 2012 847 ±4% 51% 43% 3% 4%
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2012 1,021 ±3.1% 47% 46% 7%
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac September 27, 2012, at the Wayback Machine September 11–17, 2012 1,485 ±2.5% 51% 44% 5%
September 16–18, 2012 1,006 ±3% 47% 43% 1% 9%
Gravis Marketing September 17, 2012 2,238 ±2.2% 43% 48% 9%
Huffpost Politics September 4, 2012, at the Wayback Machine September 20, 2012 1,000 ±3% 46% 45% 9%
Suffolk University September 24–26, 2012 600 ±4% 44% 44% 12%
September 30 – October 1, 2012 969 ±3.1% 49% 44% 1% 7%
Rasmussen Reports October 4, 2012 500 ±4.5% 52% 45% 3%
Public Policy Polling October 4–7, 2012 725 ±3.6% 51% 44% 5%
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac October 4–9, 2012 1,288 ±2.7% 51% 44% 5%
October 7–9, 2012 1,296 ±2.9% 41% 46% 13%
October 7–9, 2012 981 ±3.1% 47% 46% 7%
Rasmussen Reports October 11, 2012 750 ±4.0% 48% 47% 1% 4%
Old Dominion University September 19 – October 17, 2012 465 ±3.4% 50% 43% 6%
Rasmussen Reports October 18, 2012 500 ±4.0% 49% 48% 3%
Rasmussen Reports October 24, 2012 750 ±4.0% 49% 48% 3%
Washington Post October 22–26, 2012 1,228 ±3.5% 51% 44% 5%
October 23–26, 2012 638 ±4.0% 42% 47% 10%
Gravis Marketing October 30, 2012, at the Wayback Machine October 26, 2012 645 ±3.9% 46% 48% 5%
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac October 23–28, 2012 1,074 ±3% 50% 46% 4%
Reuters/Ipsos October 29–31, 2012 703 ±4.2% 47% 45% 1% 7%
855 ±3.8% 50% 38% 1% 11%
October 30 – November 1, 2012 1,069 ±3% 50% 50%
November 1–2, 2012 1,165 ±2.9% 49% 46% 4%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 975 ±3.1% 52% 46% 2%
Rasmussen Reports November 4, 2012 750 ±4% 49% 47% 1% 4%
Hypothetical polling
Democratic primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Boucher
Tim
Kaine
Tom
Perriello
Gerry
Connolly
Glenn
Nye
Bobby
Scott
Doug
Wilder
Other/
Undecided
February 24–27, 2011 400 ±4.9% 9% 53% 9% 3% 1% 9% 8% 9%
11% 65% 15% N/A 9%
General election
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tim
Kaine (D)
Bob
Marshall (R)
Other Undecided
February 24–27, 2011 524 ±3.5% 49% 35% 16%
February 4–13, 2012 1,018 ±3.1% 39% 28% 4% 29%
Public Policy Polling April 26–29, 2012 680 ±3.8% 49% 36% 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tim
Kaine (D)
Jamie
Radtke (R)
Other Undecided
February 24–27, 2011 524 ±3.5% 49% 33% 17%
Washington Post April 28 – May 4, 2011 1,040 ±3.5% 57% 31% 1% 9%
May 5–8, 2011 547 ±4.2% 49% 33% 18%
July 21–24, 2011 500 ±4.4% 47% 31% 22%
October 3–8, 2011 1,027 ±3.1% 46% 32% 3% 19%
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2011 600 ±4.0% 49% 33% 19%
February 4–13, 2012 1,018 ±3.1% 40% 26% 3% 31%
Public Policy Polling April 26–29, 2012 680 ±3.8% 50% 35% 15%
with Rick Boucher
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Boucher (D)
George
Allen (R)
Other Undecided
February 24–27, 2011 524 ±3.5 42% 47% 11%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Boucher (D)
Bob
Marshall (R)
Other Undecided
February 24–27, 2011 524 ±3.5% 40% 32% 28%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Boucher (D)
Jamie
Radtke (R)
Other Undecided
February 24–27, 2011 524 ±3.5% 40% 29% 31%
with Tom Perriello
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tom
Perriello (D)
George
Allen (R)
Other Undecided
November 10–13, 2010 551 ±4.2% 42% 47% 11%
February 24–27, 2011 524 ±3.5% 41% 48% 11%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tom
Perriello (D)
Bob
Marshall (R)
Other Undecided
February 24–27, 2011 524 ±3.5% 39% 35% 26%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tom
Periello (D)
Jamie
Radtke (R)
Other Undecided
February 24–27, 2011 524 ±3.5% 40% 32% 28%
with Bobby Scott
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bobby
Scott (D)
George
Allen (R)
Other Undecided
May 5–8, 2011 547 ±4.2% 39% 44% 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bobby
Scott (D)
Jamie
Radtke (R)
Other Undecided
May 5–8, 2011 547 ±4.2% 39% 34% 27%
with Jim Webb
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jim
Webb (D)
George
Allen (R)
Other Undecided
[permanent dead link] Public Policy Polling[permanent dead link] July 31 – August 3, 2009 579 43% 44% 13%
November 10–13, 2010 551 ±4.2% 49% 45% 6%
December 7–9, 2010 600 ±4.0% 41% 40% 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jim
Webb (D)
Bill
Bolling (R)
Other Undecided
November 10–13, 2010 551 ±4.2% 48% 39% 12%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jim
Webb (D)
Bob
McDonnell (R)
Other Undecided
December 7–9, 2010 600 ±4.0% 39% 42% 19%

Results edit

United States Senate election in Virginia, 2012[45]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Tim Kaine 2,010,067 52.83% +3.24%
Republican George Allen 1,785,542 46.92% -2.28%
Write-in 9,410 0.25% +0.15%
Total votes 3,805,019 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties and independent cities that flipped from Democratic to Republican edit

Counties and independent cities that flipped from Republican to Democratic edit

By congressional district edit

Kaine won 6 of 11 congressional districts, including three held by Republicans.[46]

District Allen Kaine Representative
1st 52.75% 47.25% Rob Wittman
2nd 47.94% 52.06% Scott Rigell
3rd 20.65% 79.35% Robert C. Scott
4th 49.92% 50.08% Randy Forbes
5th 52.96% 47.04% Robert Hurt
6th 59.04% 40.96% Bob Goodlatte
7th 55.17% 44.83% Eric Cantor
8th 30.54% 69.46% Jim Moran
9th 61.86% 38.14% Morgan Griffith
10th 49.55% 50.45% Frank Wolf
11th 36.24% 63.76% Gerry Connolly

See also edit

References edit

  1. ^ McDonald, Michael (February 9, 2013). . George Mason University. Archived from the original on April 24, 2013. Retrieved March 4, 2013.
  2. ^ "Kaine hits the road to tout economic plan", The Washington Post.
  3. ^ Trygstad, Kyle (February 9, 2011). "Webb Won't Seek Re-Election". Roll Call. Retrieved February 9, 2011.
  4. ^ . The Pilot Online. September 20, 2011. Archived from the original on September 30, 2011. Retrieved February 9, 2012.
  5. ^ Heiderman, Rosalind (November 20, 2010). "UPDATED: Virginia GOP chooses primary over convention for 2012 senate race". The Washington Post.
  6. ^ a b Catanese, David (January 24, 2011). "Allen e-mails supporters; Webb reacts". Politico. Retrieved January 24, 2011.
  7. ^ Sherfinski, David (May 8, 2011) http://washingtonexaminer.com/local/virginia/2011/05/dark-horse-candidates-expand-gop-field-va-senate-race[permanent dead link] Retrieved May 9, 2011
  8. ^ GOP State Delegate Bob Marshall to Enter Va. Senate Race : Roll Call Politics
  9. ^ King, Neil (December 27, 2010). "Tea Party Organizer Jumps Into Va. Senate Race". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved December 27, 2010.
  10. ^ Cain, Andrew (December 28, 2011). "Donner drops out of Virginia's U.S. Senate race". WSLS. Retrieved December 28, 2011.[permanent dead link]
  11. ^ Kumar, Anita (March 29, 2012). "McCormick fails to make GOP Senate primary ballot; four others submit signatures". The Washington Post. Retrieved March 30, 2012.
  12. ^ Brown, Carrie (October 2, 2011). "Liz Cheney won't run for office in 2012". Politico. Retrieved October 2, 2011.
  13. ^ Kumar, Anita (August 16, 2011). "Cuccinelli says he may challenge Warner for U.S. Senate in 2014". The Washington Post. Retrieved August 16, 2011.
  14. ^ Goodin, Emily (December 13, 2010). "Former Rep. Davis said it's unlikely he'll run for Virginia Senate in 2012". The Hill. Retrieved December 14, 2010.
  15. ^ Corey Stewart Endorses George Allen in Virginia : Roll Call Politics
  16. ^ Pershing, Ben (November 10, 2011). "Virginia Republicans announce plans for three 2012 Senate primary debates". The Washington Post.
  17. ^ Bolling Backs Allen In U.S. Senate Race | Virginia Right!
  18. ^ Pershing, Ben (April 20, 2012). "George Allen gets endorsement from tea party-backed Sen. Ron Johnson". Washington Post. Retrieved April 24, 2012.
  19. ^ Camia, Catalina (November 11, 2011). "Va. Gov. McDonnell endorses George Allen for Senate". USA Today. Retrieved December 6, 2011.
  20. ^ "Allen wins Rubio's backing in bid for U.S. Senate". Washington Times. June 14, 2012. Retrieved June 14, 2012.
  21. ^ "George Allen Getting Corey Stewart's Endorsement". NBC Washington. November 1, 2011. Retrieved April 9, 2012.
  22. ^ . Archived from the original on June 14, 2012. Retrieved June 13, 2012.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  23. ^ "Meow! Hank the cat running for Senate". NBC News. Retrieved January 21, 2023.
  24. ^ . November 12, 2012. Archived from the original on November 12, 2012. Retrieved January 21, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  25. ^ Cillizza, Chris (April 5, 2011) "Tim Kaine announces for Senate in Virginia", Washington Post. Retrieved April 5, 2011.
  26. ^ O'Brien, Michael (April 5, 2011) "Tim Kaine launches Virginia Senate bid", The Hill. Retrieved April 5, 2011
  27. ^ . CNN. September 20, 2012. Archived from the original on September 24, 2012. Retrieved October 5, 2012.
  28. ^ Gruenwald, Juliana (March 2, 2011). . National Journal. Archived from the original on January 25, 2012. Retrieved February 16, 2012.
  29. ^ D'Aprile, Shane (March 4, 2011). "Rep. Connolly rules out 2012 Senate run; hopes for Kaine". The Hill. Retrieved March 4, 2011.
  30. ^ Catanese, David; Martin, Jonathan (February 11, 2011). "Nye has "no interest," Kaine wary of run". Politico. Retrieved February 11, 2011.
  31. ^ Pershing, Ben (February 16, 2011). "Ex-rep. Perriello might run for U.S. Senate in Va. if Kaine doesn't". The Washington Post. Retrieved February 16, 2011.
  32. ^ Wilson, Todd Allen (September 5, 2011). "Rep. Scott says he won't run for Senate". Newport News Daily Press. Retrieved September 5, 2011.[permanent dead link]
  33. ^ a b Hester, Wesley P. (March 25, 2012). . Richmond Times-Dispatch. Archived from the original on March 29, 2012. Retrieved March 30, 2012.
  34. ^
  35. ^
  36. ^
  37. ^
  38. ^ [http://www.opensecrets.org/races/contrib.php?cycle=2012&id=vas1 OpenSecrets
  39. ^ Donors by industry (opensecrets.org)
  40. ^ Haberman, Maggie (October 2, 2012). "Crossroads launches $16 million buy in Senate, presidential contests". Politico.com. Retrieved October 2, 2012.
  41. ^ "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  42. ^ "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  43. ^ "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  44. ^ "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  45. ^ "Virginia Elections Database » Search Elections".
  46. ^ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.

External links edit

Official campaign websites

2012, united, states, senate, election, virginia, took, place, november, 2012, concurrently, with, 2012, presidential, election, well, other, elections, united, states, senate, house, representatives, various, state, local, elections, incumbent, democratic, se. The 2012 United States Senate election in Virginia took place on November 6 2012 concurrently with the 2012 U S presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections Incumbent Democratic U S Senator Jim Webb retired instead of running for reelection to a second term and former Democratic governor of Virginia Tim Kaine won the open seat over Republican former senator and governor George Allen 2 3 Kaine was unopposed for the Democratic nomination and the Republicans nominated Allen through a primary on June 12 2012 4 Allen had previously held this seat for one term before narrowly losing reelection to Webb in 2006 2012 United States Senate election in Virginia 2006 November 6 2012 2018 Turnout66 4 voting eligible 1 Nominee Tim Kaine George AllenParty Democratic RepublicanPopular vote 2 010 067 1 785 542Percentage 52 83 46 92 County and independent city resultsCongressional district resultsPrecinct resultsKaine 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 gt 90 Allen 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 gt 90 Tie 50 U S senator before electionJim WebbDemocratic Elected U S Senator Tim KaineDemocratic Contents 1 Republican primary 1 1 Candidates 1 1 1 Declared 1 1 2 Withdrawn 1 1 3 Declined 1 2 Debates 1 3 Polling 1 4 Endorsements 1 5 Results 2 Hank the Cat 3 General election 3 1 Candidates 3 2 Debates 3 3 Campaign 3 4 Fundraising 3 4 1 Top contributors 3 4 2 Top industries 3 4 3 Independent expenditures 3 5 Predictions 3 6 Polling 3 7 Results 3 7 1 Counties and independent cities that flipped from Democratic to Republican 3 7 2 Counties and independent cities that flipped from Republican to Democratic 3 8 By congressional district 4 See also 5 References 6 External linksRepublican primary editIn Virginia parties have the option of whether to hold a primary or to nominate their candidate through a party convention In November 2010 the Virginia GOP announced that it had chosen to hold a primary 5 Candidates edit Declared edit George Allen former U S Senator and former Governor of Virginia 6 E W Jackson minister and conservative activist 7 Bob Marshall State Delegate and candidate in 2008 8 Jamie Radtke conservative activist 9 Withdrawn edit Tim Donner founder of Horizons Television and LibertyNation com 10 David McCormick attorney 11 Declined edit Liz Cheney former Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs 12 Ken Cuccinelli Virginia Attorney General 13 Tom Davis former U S Representative 14 Corey Stewart Prince William County Board of Supervisors Chairman 15 Debates edit Three debates between Republican candidates were announced before the primary on June 12 2012 The debates took place in Richmond Northern Virginia and Hampton Roads 16 Polling edit Poll source Date s administered Samplesize Margin oferror GeorgeAllen Othercandidates UndecidedPublic Policy Polling February 24 27 2011 400 4 9 52 25 23 Public Policy Polling permanent dead link July 21 24 2011 400 4 9 58 23 19 Public Policy Polling December 11 13 2011 350 5 2 53 25 22 Poll source Date s administered Samplesize Margin oferror GeorgeAllen E W Jackson BobMarshall DavidMcCormick JamieRadtke UndecidedPublic Policy Polling permanent dead link July 21 24 2011 400 4 9 68 2 2 0 6 22 Public Policy Polling December 11 13 2011 350 5 2 67 2 3 2 5 21 Public Policy Polling April 26 29 2012 400 4 9 66 2 8 3 20 Washington Post April 28 May 2 2012 1 101 3 5 62 3 12 5 18 Endorsements edit George AllenBill Bolling Lt Governor of Virginia and President of the Virginia State Senate 17 Ron Johnson U S Senator from Wisconsin 18 Bob McDonnell governor of Virginia 19 Marco Rubio U S Senator from Florida 20 Corey Stewart Prince William County Board of Supervisors Chairman 21 Jamie RadtkeBob Arment Louisa County Republican Party Chairman Steve Arrington Bedford County Supervisor James Fisher Fauquier County Commonwealth s Attorney Jeff Frederick former Virginia House of Delegates member Joe Glover Family Policy Network president Jack Reid former Virginia House of Delegates member Eva Scott Former Virginia state senator John Sharp Bedford County Supervisor Richard Viguerie conservative activist Results edit Republican primary results 22 Party Candidate Votes Republican George Allen 167 607 65 5Republican Jamie Radtke 59 005 23 0Republican Bob Marshall 17 302 6 8Republican E W Jackson 12 083 4 7Total votes 255 997 100Hank the Cat editOn February 27 2012 a Maine Coon cat named Hank the Cat was announced to be running a write in campaign as a joke candidate 23 Hank s campaign raised 16 000 for animal charities throughout the world 24 General election editCandidates edit George Allen Republican former U S Senator and former Governor of Virginia 6 Tim Kaine Democrat former Governor of Virginia and former Democratic National Committee chairman 25 26 Only Allen and Kaine qualified for the ballot Debates edit David Gregory moderated a debate between Kaine and Allen on September 20 2012 Topics included partisan gridlock in Washington policy making job creation tax policy and Middle East unrest 27 External linksComplete video of debate September 20 2012 C SPAN Complete video of debate October 8 2012 C SPAN Complete video of debate October 18 2012 C SPANCampaign edit Once incumbent U S Senator Jim Webb decided to retire many Democratic candidates were speculated These included U S Congressmen Rick Boucher 28 Gerry Connolly 29 Glenn Nye 30 Tom Perriello 31 and Bobby Scott 32 However they all declined and encouraged Kaine to run for the seat believing he would be by far the most electable candidate Courtney Lynch former Marine Corps Officer and Fairfax business consultant 33 and Julien Modica former CEO of the Brain Trauma Recovery amp Policy Institute 33 eventually withdrew from the election allowing Kaine to be unopposed in the Democratic primary Fundraising edit Candidate party Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand DebtTim Kaine D 10 390 929 7 666 452 2 724 476 0George Allen R 8 015 948 4 678 004 3 337 942 0Kevin Chisholm I 24 165 24 162 0 0Terrence Modglin I 5 655 5 389 266 0Source Federal Election Commission 34 35 36 37 Top contributors edit 38 Tim Kaine Contribution George Allen Contribution Kevin Chisholm ContributionLeague of Conservation Voters 76 568 McGuireWoods LLP 76 950 Valu Net 2 475Akin Gump Strauss Hauer amp Feld 51 650 Altria Group 64 749 Geolq Inc 1 500University of Virginia 42 075 Alpha Natural Resources 38 000McGuireWoods LLP 38 550 Elliott Management Corporation 35 913Covington amp Burling 36 700 Koch Industries 35 000DLA Piper 31 750 Lorillard Tobacco Company 34 715Bain Capital 30 000 Alliance Resource Partners 33 500Skadden Arps Slate Meagher amp Flom 28 250 Dominion Resources 31 800Patton Boggs LLP 26 750 Norfolk Southern 31 550Norfolk Southern 26 000 Boeing 23 750Top industries edit 39 Tim Kaine Contribution George Allen Contribution Kevin Chisholm Contribution Terrence Modglin ContributionLawyers Law Firms 1 297 792 Retired 709 693 Misc Energy 250 Lawyers Law Firms 200Retired 762 722 Real Estate 384 038Financial Institutions 477 700 Lawyers Law Firms 348 459Business Services 373 900 Financial Institutions 299 115Real Estate 372 829 Leadership PACs 277 000Lobbyists 287 545 Lobbyists 275 600Education 282 475 Mining 197 206Misc Finance 218 600 Oil amp Gas 196 400Leadership PACs 201 500 Insurance 159 065Entertainment industry 156 279 Misc Finance 157 963Independent expenditures edit In early October 2012 Crossroads GPS announced it would launch a 16 million advertising buy in national races of which four were this and three other Senate elections 40 Predictions edit Source Ranking As ofThe Cook Political Report 41 Tossup November 1 2012Sabato s Crystal Ball 42 Lean D November 5 2012Rothenberg Political Report 43 Tossup November 2 2012Real Clear Politics 44 Tossup November 5 2012Polling edit Poll source Date s administered Samplesize Margin oferror TimKaine D GeorgeAllen R Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling November 10 13 2010 551 4 2 50 44 6 Public Policy Polling February 24 27 2011 524 3 5 47 47 6 Washington Post April 28 May 4 2011 1 040 3 5 46 46 6 Public Policy Polling May 5 8 2011 547 4 2 46 44 10 Quinnipiac June 21 27 2011 1 434 2 6 43 42 2 11 Public Policy Polling July 21 24 2011 500 4 4 46 43 11 Quinnipiac September 7 12 2011 1 368 4 0 44 45 1 9 Rasmussen Reports September 28 2011 500 4 5 46 45 3 7 CNU Times Dispatch October 3 8 2011 1 027 3 1 44 42 3 12 Quinnipiac October 3 9 2011 1 459 2 6 45 44 1 9 Public Policy Polling December 10 12 2011 600 4 0 47 42 11 Quinnipiac December 13 19 2011 1 135 2 9 42 44 1 12 Mason Dixon January 16 18 2012 625 3 9 46 46 8 Quinnipiac Archived September 13 2012 at the Wayback Machine February 1 6 2012 1 544 2 5 45 44 1 9 CNU Times Dispatch February 4 13 2012 1 018 3 1 40 42 2 16 Rasmussen Reports February 21 2012 500 4 5 46 46 3 5 Roanoke College February 13 26 2012 607 4 0 37 45 19 NBC News Marist February 29 March 2 2012 2 518 2 48 39 14 Quinnipiac Archived March 20 2012 at the Wayback Machine March 13 18 2012 1 034 3 1 47 44 1 8 Rasmussen Reports March 20 2012 500 4 5 44 46 3 7 Roanoke College March 26 April 5 2012 537 4 2 39 46 15 Rasmussen Reports April 23 2012 500 4 5 45 46 4 5 Public Policy Polling April 26 29 2012 680 3 8 46 45 9 Washington Post April 28 May 2 2012 964 4 46 46 8 Marist May 17 20 2012 1 076 3 49 43 9 Rasmussen Reports June 3 2012 500 4 5 46 44 3 6 Quinnipiac Archived June 6 2012 at the Wayback Machine May 30 June 4 2012 1 282 2 7 44 43 2 10 We Ask America June 25 2012 1 106 2 95 35 44 21 Public Policy Polling July 5 8 2012 647 3 9 46 44 11 Quinnipiac Archived September 25 2012 at the Wayback Machine July 10 16 2012 1 673 2 4 44 46 1 10 Rasmussen Reports July 16 17 2012 500 4 5 46 45 5 5 Quinnipiac Archived September 13 2012 at the Wayback Machine July 31 August 6 2012 1 412 2 6 48 46 6 Rasmussen Reports August 7 2012 500 4 5 46 46 2 6 Public Policy Polling August 16 19 2012 855 3 4 46 46 9 Rasmussen Reports August 23 2012 500 4 5 45 45 2 8 Gravis Marketing September 8 9 2012 2 238 2 2 43 48 10 NBC WSJ Marist Poll September 9 11 2012 996 3 1 46 46 8 Rasmussen Reports September 13 2012 500 4 5 47 45 2 6 Washington Post September 12 16 2012 847 4 51 43 3 4 Public Policy Polling September 13 16 2012 1 021 3 1 47 46 7 CBS NYT Quinnipiac Archived September 27 2012 at the Wayback Machine September 11 17 2012 1 485 2 5 51 44 5 FOX NEWS Poll September 16 18 2012 1 006 3 47 43 1 9 Gravis Marketing September 17 2012 2 238 2 2 43 48 9 Huffpost Politics Archived September 4 2012 at the Wayback Machine September 20 2012 1 000 3 46 45 9 Suffolk University September 24 26 2012 600 4 44 44 12 NBC WSJ Marist Poll September 30 October 1 2012 969 3 1 49 44 1 7 Rasmussen Reports October 4 2012 500 4 5 52 45 3 Public Policy Polling October 4 7 2012 725 3 6 51 44 5 CBS NYT Quinnipiac October 4 9 2012 1 288 2 7 51 44 5 We Ask America October 7 9 2012 1 296 2 9 41 46 13 NBC WSJ Marist Poll October 7 9 2012 981 3 1 47 46 7 Rasmussen Reports October 11 2012 750 4 0 48 47 1 4 Old Dominion University September 19 October 17 2012 465 3 4 50 43 6 Rasmussen Reports October 18 2012 500 4 0 49 48 3 Rasmussen Reports October 24 2012 750 4 0 49 48 3 Washington Post October 22 26 2012 1 228 3 5 51 44 5 Roanoke College October 23 26 2012 638 4 0 42 47 10 Gravis Marketing Archived October 30 2012 at the Wayback Machine October 26 2012 645 3 9 46 48 5 CBS NYT Quinnipiac October 23 28 2012 1 074 3 50 46 4 Reuters Ipsos October 29 31 2012 703 4 2 47 45 1 7 855 3 8 50 38 1 11 WeAskAmerica October 30 November 1 2012 1 069 3 50 50 NBC WSJ Marist November 1 2 2012 1 165 2 9 49 46 4 Public Policy Polling November 3 4 2012 975 3 1 52 46 2 Rasmussen Reports November 4 2012 750 4 49 47 1 4 Hypothetical pollingDemocratic primaryPoll source Date s administered Samplesize Margin oferror RickBoucher TimKaine TomPerriello GerryConnolly GlennNye BobbyScott DougWilder Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling February 24 27 2011 400 4 9 9 53 9 3 1 9 8 9 11 65 15 N A 9 General electionPoll source Date s administered Samplesize Margin oferror TimKaine D BobMarshall R Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling February 24 27 2011 524 3 5 49 35 16 CNU Times Dispatch February 4 13 2012 1 018 3 1 39 28 4 29 Public Policy Polling April 26 29 2012 680 3 8 49 36 15 Poll source Date s administered Samplesize Margin oferror TimKaine D JamieRadtke R Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling February 24 27 2011 524 3 5 49 33 17 Washington Post April 28 May 4 2011 1 040 3 5 57 31 1 9 Public Policy Polling May 5 8 2011 547 4 2 49 33 18 Public Policy Polling July 21 24 2011 500 4 4 47 31 22 CNU Times Dispatch October 3 8 2011 1 027 3 1 46 32 3 19 Public Policy Polling December 10 12 2011 600 4 0 49 33 19 CNU Times Dispatch February 4 13 2012 1 018 3 1 40 26 3 31 Public Policy Polling April 26 29 2012 680 3 8 50 35 15 with Rick BoucherPoll source Date s administered Samplesize Margin oferror RickBoucher D GeorgeAllen R Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling February 24 27 2011 524 3 5 42 47 11 Poll source Date s administered Samplesize Margin oferror RickBoucher D BobMarshall R Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling February 24 27 2011 524 3 5 40 32 28 Poll source Date s administered Samplesize Margin oferror RickBoucher D JamieRadtke R Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling February 24 27 2011 524 3 5 40 29 31 with Tom PerrielloPoll source Date s administered Samplesize Margin oferror TomPerriello D GeorgeAllen R Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling November 10 13 2010 551 4 2 42 47 11 Public Policy Polling February 24 27 2011 524 3 5 41 48 11 Poll source Date s administered Samplesize Margin oferror TomPerriello D BobMarshall R Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling February 24 27 2011 524 3 5 39 35 26 Poll source Date s administered Samplesize Margin oferror TomPeriello D JamieRadtke R Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling February 24 27 2011 524 3 5 40 32 28 with Bobby ScottPoll source Date s administered Samplesize Margin oferror BobbyScott D GeorgeAllen R Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling May 5 8 2011 547 4 2 39 44 17 Poll source Date s administered Samplesize Margin oferror BobbyScott D JamieRadtke R Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling May 5 8 2011 547 4 2 39 34 27 with Jim WebbPoll source Date s administered Samplesize Margin oferror JimWebb D GeorgeAllen R Other Undecided permanent dead link Public Policy Polling permanent dead link July 31 August 3 2009 579 43 44 13 Public Policy Polling November 10 13 2010 551 4 2 49 45 6 Clarus Research Group December 7 9 2010 600 4 0 41 40 19 Poll source Date s administered Samplesize Margin oferror JimWebb D BillBolling R Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling November 10 13 2010 551 4 2 48 39 12 Poll source Date s administered Samplesize Margin oferror JimWebb D BobMcDonnell R Other UndecidedClarus Research Group December 7 9 2010 600 4 0 39 42 19 Results edit United States Senate election in Virginia 2012 45 Party Candidate Votes Democratic Tim Kaine 2 010 067 52 83 3 24 Republican George Allen 1 785 542 46 92 2 28 Write in 9 410 0 25 0 15 Total votes 3 805 019 100 00 N ADemocratic holdCounties and independent cities that flipped from Democratic to Republican edit Buchanan largest city Grundy Dickenson largest borough Clintwood Alleghany largest borough Clinfton Forge Russell Largest city Lebanon Norton Independent city Counties and independent cities that flipped from Republican to Democratic edit Buckingham largest borough Buckingham Chesapeake independent city Essex largest borough Tappahannock Harrisonburg independent city Henrico largest borough Richmond Hopewell independent city Manassas independent city Staunton independent city Winchester independent city Virginia Beach Independent city Prince Edward largest municipality Farmville Danville independent city By congressional district edit Kaine won 6 of 11 congressional districts including three held by Republicans 46 District Allen Kaine Representative1st 52 75 47 25 Rob Wittman2nd 47 94 52 06 Scott Rigell3rd 20 65 79 35 Robert C Scott4th 49 92 50 08 Randy Forbes5th 52 96 47 04 Robert Hurt6th 59 04 40 96 Bob Goodlatte7th 55 17 44 83 Eric Cantor8th 30 54 69 46 Jim Moran9th 61 86 38 14 Morgan Griffith10th 49 55 50 45 Frank Wolf11th 36 24 63 76 Gerry ConnollySee also editHank the Cat 2012 United States Senate elections 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in VirginiaReferences edit McDonald Michael February 9 2013 2012 General Election Turnout Rates George Mason University Archived from the original on April 24 2013 Retrieved March 4 2013 Kaine hits the road to tout economic plan The Washington Post Trygstad Kyle February 9 2011 Webb Won t Seek Re Election Roll Call Retrieved February 9 2011 Va Dems will choose U S Senate nominee in June primary The Pilot Online September 20 2011 Archived from the original on September 30 2011 Retrieved February 9 2012 Heiderman Rosalind November 20 2010 UPDATED Virginia GOP chooses primary over convention for 2012 senate race The Washington Post a b Catanese David January 24 2011 Allen e mails supporters Webb reacts Politico Retrieved January 24 2011 Sherfinski David May 8 2011 http washingtonexaminer com local virginia 2011 05 dark horse candidates expand gop field va senate race permanent dead link Retrieved May 9 2011 GOP State Delegate Bob Marshall to Enter Va Senate Race Roll Call Politics King Neil December 27 2010 Tea Party Organizer Jumps Into Va Senate Race The Wall Street Journal Retrieved December 27 2010 Cain Andrew December 28 2011 Donner drops out of Virginia s U S Senate race WSLS Retrieved December 28 2011 permanent dead link Kumar Anita March 29 2012 McCormick fails to make GOP Senate primary ballot four others submit signatures The Washington Post Retrieved March 30 2012 Brown Carrie October 2 2011 Liz Cheney won t run for office in 2012 Politico Retrieved October 2 2011 Kumar Anita August 16 2011 Cuccinelli says he may challenge Warner for U S Senate in 2014 The Washington Post Retrieved August 16 2011 Goodin Emily December 13 2010 Former Rep Davis said it s unlikely he ll run for Virginia Senate in 2012 The Hill Retrieved December 14 2010 Corey Stewart Endorses George Allen in Virginia Roll Call Politics Pershing Ben November 10 2011 Virginia Republicans announce plans for three 2012 Senate primary debates The Washington Post Bolling Backs Allen In U S Senate Race Virginia Right Pershing Ben April 20 2012 George Allen gets endorsement from tea party backed Sen Ron Johnson Washington Post Retrieved April 24 2012 Camia Catalina November 11 2011 Va Gov McDonnell endorses George Allen for Senate USA Today Retrieved December 6 2011 Allen wins Rubio s backing in bid for U S Senate Washington Times June 14 2012 Retrieved June 14 2012 George Allen Getting Corey Stewart s Endorsement NBC Washington November 1 2011 Retrieved April 9 2012 Archived copy Archived from the original on June 14 2012 Retrieved June 13 2012 a href Template Cite web html title Template Cite web cite web a CS1 maint archived copy as title link Meow Hank the cat running for Senate NBC News Retrieved January 21 2023 Hank the cat third in senate race Yahoo 7 News November 12 2012 Archived from the original on November 12 2012 Retrieved January 21 2023 a href Template Cite web html title Template Cite web cite web a CS1 maint bot original URL status unknown link Cillizza Chris April 5 2011 Tim Kaine announces for Senate in Virginia Washington Post Retrieved April 5 2011 O Brien Michael April 5 2011 Tim Kaine launches Virginia Senate bid The Hill Retrieved April 5 2011 Va Senate debate Kaine open to minimum tax Allen sidesteps Romney CNN September 20 2012 Archived from the original on September 24 2012 Retrieved October 5 2012 Gruenwald Juliana March 2 2011 Boucher Appears Unlikely To Seek Senate Seat National Journal Archived from the original on January 25 2012 Retrieved February 16 2012 D Aprile Shane March 4 2011 Rep Connolly rules out 2012 Senate run hopes for Kaine The Hill Retrieved March 4 2011 Catanese David Martin Jonathan February 11 2011 Nye has no interest Kaine wary of run Politico Retrieved February 11 2011 Pershing Ben February 16 2011 Ex rep Perriello might run for U S Senate in Va if Kaine doesn t The Washington Post Retrieved February 16 2011 Wilson Todd Allen September 5 2011 Rep Scott says he won t run for Senate Newport News Daily Press Retrieved September 5 2011 permanent dead link a b Hester Wesley P March 25 2012 Allen to face host of GOP challengers Kaine none Richmond Times Dispatch Archived from the original on March 29 2012 Retrieved March 30 2012 Tim Kaine Campaign Finances George Allen Campaign Finances Kevin Chisholm Campaign Finances Terrence Modglin Campaign Finances http www opensecrets org races contrib php cycle 2012 amp id vas1 OpenSecrets Donors by industry opensecrets org Haberman Maggie October 2 2012 Crossroads launches 16 million buy in Senate presidential contests Politico com Retrieved October 2 2012 2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1 2012 The Cook Political Report Retrieved September 20 2018 2012 Senate Sabato s Crystal Ball Retrieved September 20 2018 2012 Senate Ratings Senate Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report Retrieved September 20 2018 2012 Elections Map Battle for the Senate 2012 Real Clear Politics Retrieved September 20 2018 Virginia Elections Database Search Elections Daily Kos Elections statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts Daily Kos Retrieved August 11 2020 External links editVirginia State Board of Elections Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets org Outside spending at Sunlight Foundation Candidate issue positions at On the IssuesOfficial campaign websitesGeorge Allen for U S Senate Tim Kaine for U S Senate Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title 2012 United States Senate election in Virginia amp oldid 1203609205, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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