2023 Nigerian presidential election in Borno State

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Borno State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.^[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Borno State

← 2019 25 February 2023 2027 →
Registered	2,513,281
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi Party APC LP Home state Lagos Anambra Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed   Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar Party NNPP PDP Home state Kano Adamawa Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa
President before election Muhammadu Buhari APC Elected President TBD

Background

Borno State is a large, diverse northeastern state in the process of recovering from the worst of the Boko Haram insurgency. Still facing large-scale threats by and partial occupation from Boko Haram and ISWAP terrorists, the state also has to contend with an underdeveloped yet vital agricultural sector, desertification, and low education rates. Politically, the 2019 elections confirmed the state's status as one of the most staunchly APC states in the nation as both Buhari and APC gubernatorial nominee Babagana Umara Zulum won the state by wide margins and every single legislative seat on the senatorial, house of representatives, and house of assembly levels were carried by APC nominees.

Polling

Polling organisation/client	Fieldwork date	Sample size					Others	Undecided	Undisclosed	Not voting
			Tinubu APC	Obi LP	Kwankwaso NNPP	Abubakar PDP
Nextier (Borno crosstabs of national poll)	27 January 2023	N/A	62.9%	32.6%	3.4%	1.1%	–	–	–	–
SBM Intelligence for EiE (Borno crosstabs of national poll)	22 January-6 February 2023	N/A	24%	10%	2%	42%	3%	20%	–	–

Projections

Source	Projection		As of
Africa Elects^[a]^[2]	Safe Tinubu		24 February 2023
Dataphyte^[b]^[3]
	Tinubu:	45.37%	11 February 2023
	Obi:	4.95%
	Abubakar:	45.37%
	Others:	4.32%
Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence^[c]^[4]	Abubakar		17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence^[d]^[5]	Tinubu		15 December 2022
ThisDay^[e]^[6]
	Tinubu:	40%	27 December 2022
	Obi:	–
	Kwankwaso:	20%
	Abubakar:	35%
	Others/Undecided:	5%
The Nation^[f]^[7]^[8]	Tinubu		12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Borno State

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	A	Christopher Imumolen
	AA	Hamza al-Mustapha
	ADP	Yabagi Sani
	APP	Osita Nnadi
	AAC	Omoyele Sowore
	ADC	Dumebi Kachikwu
	APC	Bola Tinubu
	APGA	Peter Umeadi
	APM	Princess Chichi Ojei
	BP	Sunday Adenuga
	LP	Peter Obi
	NRM	Felix Johnson Osakwe
	NNPP	Rabiu Kwankwaso
	PRP	Kola Abiola
	PDP	Atiku Abubakar
	SDP	Adewole Adebayo
	YPP	Malik Ado-Ibrahim
	ZLP	Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes				100.00%
Invalid or blank votes				N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District	Bola Tinubu APC		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Others		Total Valid Votes
	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage
Borno Central Senatorial District^[g]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Borno North Senatorial District^[h]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Borno South Senatorial District^[i]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency	Bola Tinubu APC		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Others		Total Valid Votes
	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage
Askira-Uba/Hawul Federal Constituency^[j]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Bama/Ngala/Kala-Balge Federal Constituency^[k]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Biu/Kwaya Kusar/Shani/Bayo Federal Constituency^[l]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Chibok/Damboa/Gwoza Federal Constituency^[m]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Dikwa/Mafa/Konduga Federal Constituency^[n]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Gubio/Kaga/Magumeri Federal Constituency^[o]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Jere Federal Constituency^[p]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Kukawa/Mobbar/Abadam/Guzamala Federal Constituency^[q]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Maiduguri (Metropolitan) Federal Constituency^[r]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Monguno/Marte/Nganzai Federal Constituency^[s]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

LGA	Bola Tinubu APC		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Others		Total Valid Votes	Turnout Percentage
	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage
Abadam	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Askira/Uba	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Bama	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Bayo	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Biu	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Chibok	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Damboa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Dikwa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Gubio	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Guzamala	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Gwoza	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Hawul	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Jere	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kaga	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kala/Balge	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kukawa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kwaya Kusar	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Mafa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Magumeri	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Maiduguri	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Marte	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Mobbar	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Monguno	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ngala	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Nganzai	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Shani	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%

See also

• 2023 Borno State elections
• 2023 Nigerian presidential election

Notes

1. AfricaElects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
2. Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
3. EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
4. SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
5. ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
6. The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
7. Comprising the local government areas of Bama, Dikwa, Jere, Kaga, Kala/Balge, Konduga, Mafa, Maiduguri, and Ngala.
8. Comprising the local government areas of Abadam, Gubio, Guzamala, Kukawa, Magumeri, Marte, Mobbar, Monguno, and Nganzai.
9. Comprising the local government areas of Askira/Uba, Bayo, Biu, Chibok, Damboa, Gwoza, Hawul, Kwaya Kusar, and Shani.
10. Comprising the local government areas of Askira/Uba and Hawul.
11. Comprising the local government areas of Bama, Kala/Balge, and Ngala.
12. Comprising the local government areas of Bayo, Biu, Kwaya Kusar, and Shani.
13. Comprising the local government areas of Chibok, Damboa, and Gwoza.
14. Comprising the local government areas of Dikwa, Konduga, and Mafa.
15. Comprising the local government areas of Gubio, Kaga, and Magumeri.
16. Comprising the local government areas of Jere.
17. Comprising the local government areas of Abadam, Guzamala, Kukawa, and Mobbar.
18. Comprising the local government area of Maiduguri.
19. Comprising the local government areas of Monguno.

References

1. Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
2. Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
3. "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
4. "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
5. "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
6. "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
7. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
8. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.