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2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina

January 01, 1970

See also: 2020 United States Senate elections

The 2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2020 United States presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. North Carolina was one of just five states holding presidential, gubernatorial, and senatorial elections concurrently in 2020. On March 3, 2020, Republican incumbent Thom Tillis and Democratic former state senator Cal Cunningham won their respective primaries.[1]

2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina
← 2014 November 3, 2020 2026 →
 
Nominee Thom Tillis Cal Cunningham
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 2,665,598 2,569,965
Percentage 48.69% 46.94%
Tillis:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Cunningham:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%
U.S. senator before election

Thom Tillis
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Thom Tillis
Republican

Cunningham led Tillis in the polls throughout much of the campaign.[2]

In early October of 2020, it was reported that Cunningham had exchanged sexually suggestive messages with a married woman who was not his wife. Cunningham confirmed the texts were authentic and apologized for his behavior.[3][4] The woman stated that she had a consensual physical relationship with Cunningham in 2020.[5][6]

Incumbent Republican Senator Thom Tillis was re-elected to a second term. Tillis outperformed pre-election polling to win a narrow victory, successfully breaking the "one-term curse" that existed with this particular Senate seat for over thirty years; as many of Tillis's predecessors only served one term.[7][8][9] On November 10, 2020, a week after Election Day, Cunningham called Tillis to concede the race.[10] Tillis won by a margin of 1.8% over Cunningham, slightly larger than his 1.5% victory in 2014.[11][12]

Republican primary edit

Candidates edit

Nominee edit

Eliminated in primary edit

Withdrawn edit

Declined edit

Endorsements edit

Thom Tillis
U.S. presidents
U.S. executive branch officials
Organizations

Polling edit

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Sandy
Smith 		Thom
Tillis 		Garland
Tucker 		Mark
Walker 		Paul
Wright 		Other Undecided
High Point University March 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine February 21–28, 2020 247 (LV) – – 69% – – 8% 8%[b] 16%
444 (RV) – – 58% – – 7% 10%[c] 26%
Meredith College February 16–24, 2020 353 (LV) ± 3.0% – 53% – – 5% 6%[d] 36%
SurveyUSA February 13–16, 2020 501 (LV) ± 5.0% – 59% – – 3% 8%[e] 29%
High Point University February 12, 2020, at the Wayback Machine January 31 – February 6, 2020 198 (LV) – – 62% – – 7% 5%[f] 27%
400 (RV) – – 52% – – 6% 5%[g] 38%
December 20, 2019 Smith withdraws from the race; Wright announces his candidacy
December 16, 2019 Walker announces he will not run[23]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) December 2–4, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 11%[h] 63% – – – – 25%
December 2, 2019 Tucker withdraws from the race
FOX News November 10–13, 2019 574 (LV) ± 4.0% 4% 54% 11% – – 5%[i] 26%
Public Policy Polling August 19–20, 2019 564 (V) – –[j] 38% 31% – – – 31%
Diversified Research (R)[24][A] July 8–9, 2019 500 (V) – – 40% 30% – – – 30%
WPA Intelligence (R)[B] May 19–21, 2019 502 (LV) ± 4.5% 2%[k] 40% 11% 17% – – 30%
2%[l] 18% 8% 56% – – 16%
May 6, 2019 Tucker announces his candidacy[25]
Diversified Research (R)[24][A] Months before May, 2019 –[m] – – 63% 7% – – – 30%
Hypothetical polling
with only Thom Tillis and Mark Walker
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Thom
Tillis 		Mark
Walker 		Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[B] May 19–21, 2019 502 (LV) ± 4.5% 43%[k] 34% 23%
28%[n] 64% 8%
21%[o] 69% 10%
with Thom Tillis and Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Thom
Tillis 		Generic
Republican 		Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[B] May 19–21, 2019 502 (LV) ± 4.5% 17%[k] 18% 52%[p]
7%[l] 32% 57%[p]

Results edit

 
Results by county:
  Tillis
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Thom Tillis (incumbent) 608,943 78.08%
Republican Paul Wright 58,908 7.55%
Republican Larry Holmquist 57,356 7.35%
Republican Sharon Y. Hudson 54,651 7.01%
Total votes 779,858 100.00%

Democratic primary edit

Candidates edit

Nominee edit

Eliminated in primary edit

Withdrawn edit

Declined edit

Endorsements edit

Cal Cunningham
Federal officials
State officials
Local officials
Organizations
Newspapers
Individuals
Erica D. Smith
Federal officials
State officials
Newspapers
Organizations

Polling edit

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Cal
Cunningham 		Trevor
Fuller 		Atul
Goel 		Erica
Smith 		Steve
Swenson 		Undecided
High Point University March 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine February 21–28, 2020 274 (LV) – 50% 4% 1% 24% 3% 18%
474 (RV) – 42% 5% 1% 24% 4% 4%
Civitas Institute/Spry Strategies February 26–27, 2020 587 (LV) ± 4.1% 45% 2% 1% 23% 1% 28%
NBC News/Marist February 23–27, 2020 568 (LV) ± 5.1% 51% 3% 1% 18% 2% 25%
Public Policy Polling February 23–24, 2020 852 (LV) ± 3.4% 45% 4% 1% 18% 2% 30%
Meredith College February 16–24, 2020 429 (LV) ± 3.0% 43% 2% 1% 14% 2% 36%
Civitas Institute/Spry Strategies February 21–23, 2020 553 (LV) ± 3.8% 48% 1% 0% 21% 1% 29%
SurveyUSA February 13–16, 2020 698 (LV) ± 4.9% 42% 3% 1% 17% 3% 34%
High Point University February 12, 2020, at the Wayback Machine January 31 – February 6, 2020 224 (LV) – 37% 4% 0% 11% 4% 44%
397 (RV) – 29% 5% 1% 10% 5% 50%
Public Policy Polling February 4–5, 2020 604 (LV) – 29% 3% 2% 10% 4% 52%
Public Policy Polling January 10–12, 2020 509 (LV) – 22% 2% 3% 12% 1% 60%
FOX News November 10–13, 2019 669 (RV) ± 4.0% 13% 10% – 18% – 49%

Results edit

 
Results by county:
  Cunningham
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Smith
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Democratic primary results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cal Cunningham 717,941 56.93%
Democratic Erica D. Smith 438,969 34.81%
Democratic Trevor M. Fuller 48,168 3.82%
Democratic Steve Swenson 33,741 2.68%
Democratic Atul Goel 22,226 1.76%
Total votes 1,261,045 100.00%

Other candidates edit

Libertarian Party edit

Nominee edit

Constitution Party edit

Nominee edit

Independence Party edit

Withdrawn edit

Independent write-in candidates edit

Withdrawn edit

General election edit

Campaign edit

During the Democratic primary, a Republican-funded Super PAC spent $3 million on ads attacking Cunningham and promoting left-wing rival Erica D. Smith.[62][63]

Cunningham and Tillis participated in debates on September 13,[64] September 22,[65] and October 1.[66]

In July, Tillis claimed Cunningham had been "silent" on the issue of defunding the police, saying,—"I assume [his] silence is ...consent". In reality, Cunningham had spoken publicly about the issue and written an op-ed a month earlier stating his opposition to defunding the police, advocating police reform instead.[67]

On October 3, the New York Times wrote that the race had fallen into "utter mayhem" within a period of a few hours after Tillis tested positive for COVID-19 and Cunningham admitted to exchanging sexual text messages with a woman who was not his wife, damaging an image that leaned heavily on his character and military service. Days later, the woman stated that she had a consensual physical relationship with Cunningham in 2020.[68] The Army Reserve started an investigation into Cunningham.[69] The husband of the woman who stated that she had had an affair with Cunningham, himself an Army veteran, called on Cunningham to drop out of the Senate race.[70] Asked repeatedly whether he had had other extramarital affairs, Cunningham declined to answer.[71][72][73][74]

Tillis's diagnosis, which came after an outbreak at a White House ceremony for Supreme Court nominee Amy Coney Barrett, temporarily threw Barrett's confirmation into jeopardy, as two Republican senators had already stated their intention to vote against (though one of them would eventually vote in favor of her confirmation).[75][76]

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
538[77] Lean D (flip) November 2, 2020
Economist[78] Lean D (flip) November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[79] Tossup October 30, 2020
DDHQ[80] Lean D (flip) November 3, 2020
Inside Elections[81] Tilt D (flip) October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[82] Lean D (flip) November 2, 2020
RCP[83] Tossup October 23, 2020
The Cook Political Report[84] Tossup October 29, 2020
Politico[85] Tossup November 2, 2020

Endorsements edit

Thom Tillis (R)
U.S. presidents
U.S. executive branch officials
Organizations
Cal Cunningham (D)
U.S. presidents
U.S. senators, representatives, and federal officials
State officials
Local officials
Organizations
Newspapers
Individuals

Fundraising edit

In the first quarter of 2020, Cunningham outraised Tillis for the first time, receiving $4.4 million compared to the $2.1 million Tillis raised. Tillis's prior fundraising, however, left him with the advantage in cash on hand, with $6.5 million in the bank, compared to Cunningham's $3 million.[123]

Polling edit

Graphical summary edit

Aggregate polls edit

Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Cal Cunningham Thom Tillis Other/Undecided[q] Margin
270 to Win November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 47.0% 44.2% 8.8% Cunningham +2.8%
Real Clear Politics November 1, 2020 November 3, 2020 47.6% 45.0% 7.4% Cunningham +2.6%

Tillis vs. Cunningham edit

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Thom
Tillis (R) 		Cal
Cunningham (D) 		Shannon
Bray (L) 		Other /
Undecided
Change Research/CNBC October 29 – November 1, 2020 473 (LV) ± 4.51% 46% 50% – 5%[r]
Swayable November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine October 27 – November 1, 2020 619 (LV) ± 5.6% 47% 53% – –
Ipsos/Reuters October 27 – November 1, 2020 707 (LV) ± 4.2% 46% 48% – 6%[s]
Data for Progress October 27 – November 1, 2020 908 (LV) ± 3.3% 46% 51% 1% 1%[t]
Frederick Polls[C] October 30–31, 2020 676 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 50% 3% 2%[u]
Emerson College October 29–31, 2020 855 (LV) ± 3.3% 47%[v] 50% – 2%[w]
Morning Consult October 22–31, 2020 1,982 (LV) ± 2% 43% 47% – –
CNN/SSRS October 31, 2020, at the Wayback Machine October 23–30, 2020 901 (LV) ± 4% 44% 47% 2% 5%[x]
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports October 28–29, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 47% – 9%[y]
East Carolina University October 27–28, 2020 1,103 (LV) ± 3.4% 46%[v] 48% – 5%[z]
Cardinal Point Analytics (R) October 27–28, 2020 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 46% 41% 6% 7%[aa]
Marist College/NBC October 25–28, 2020 800 (LV) ± 4.7% 43% 53% – 4%[ab]
Gravis Marketing October 26–27, 2020 614 (LV) ± 4% 44% 46% – 9%[ac]
Public Policy Polling (D)[D] October 26–27, 2020 937 (V) ± 3.2% 44% 47% – 9%[ac]
Meeting Street Insights/Carolina Partnership for Reform (R) October 31, 2020, at the Wayback Machine October 24–27, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 43% 47% – –
Siena College/NYT Upshot October 23–27, 2020 1,034 (LV) ± 3.4% 43% 46% 2% 9%[ad]
Ipsos/Reuters October 21–27, 2020 647 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 48% – 4%[ae]
RMG Research November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[af] October 24–26, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 42%[k] 49% – 9%[ag]
40%[ah] 51% – 9%[ag]
43%[ai] 48% – 9%[ag]
Swayable October 23–26, 2020 363 (LV) ± 7.1% 50% 50% – –
SurveyUSA October 23–26, 2020 627 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 48% – 7%[aj]
YouGov/UMass Lowell October 20–26, 2020 911 (LV) ± 4.2% 45% 49% – 7%[ak]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) October 22–25, 2020 504 (LV) ± 4.37% 43% 46% 2% 8%[al]
YouGov/CBS October 20–23, 2020 1,022 (LV) ± 4.1% 43% 49% – 8%[am]
Trafalgar Group October 20–22, 2020 1,098 (LV) ± 2.89% 49% 47% 2% 2%[an]
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports October 20–21, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 45% – 10%[ao]
Citizen Data October 17–20, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 42% 48% – 9%[ap]
Ipsos/Reuters October 14–20, 2020 660 (LV) ± 4.3% 47% 47% – 6%[aq]
Morning Consult October 11–20, 2020 1,904 (LV) ± 2.2% 42% 48% – –
Meredith College October 16–19, 2020 732 (LV) ± 3.5% 38% 43% 4% 15%[ar]
Change Research/CNBC October 16–19, 2020 521 (LV)[as] – 45% 51% – –
Data for Progress (D) October 15–18, 2020 929 (LV) ± 3.2% 42% 46% 1% 11%[at]
East Carolina University October 15–18, 2020 1,155 (LV) ± 3.4% 47% 48% – 5%[au]
ABC/Washington Post October 12–17, 2020 646 (LV) ± 4.5% 47% 49% – 4%[av]
Emerson College October 13–14, 2020 721 (LV) ± 3.6% 44% 45% – 12%[aw]
Civiqs/Daily Kos October 11–14, 2020 1,211 (LV) ± 3.3% 45% 51% 2% 3%[ax]
Siena College/NYT Upshot October 9–13, 2020 627 (LV) ± 4.5% 37% 41% 4% 19%[ay]
Ipsos/Reuters October 7–13, 2020 660 (LV) ± 4.3% 42% 46% – 12%[az]
Monmouth University October 8–11, 2020 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 48% 3% 4%[ba]
500 (LV)[bb] 44% 49% – 6%[bc]
500 (LV)[bd] 47% 48% – 4%[ab]
SurveyUSA October 8–11, 2020 669 (LV) ± 4.8% 39% 49% – 11%[be]
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)[E] October 7–11, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 44% 46% – 9%[bf]
RMG Research October 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[bg] October 7–11, 2020 800 (LV) – 36% 46% 4% 15%[bh]
Morning Consult October 2–11, 2020 1,993 (LV) ± 2.2% 41% 47% – –
Ipsos/Reuters September 29 – October 6, 2020 693 (LV) ± 4.2% 42% 47% – 11%[bi]
Public Policy Polling October 4–5, 2020 911 (V) ± 3.3% 42% 48% – 11%[bj]
Data For Progress (D) September 30 – October 5, 2020 1,285 (LV) ± 2.7% 39% 50% 2% 9%[bk]
Change Research/CNBC October 2–4, 2020 396 (LV) – 46% 50% – 4%[bl]
East Carolina University October 2–4, 2020 1,232 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 46% – 7%[bm]
ALG Research (D)[F] September 22–28, 2020 822 (V) – 41% 53% – –
Hart Research Associates (D)[G] September 24–27, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 41% 54% – –
YouGov/CBS September 22–25, 2020 1,213 (LV) ± 3.6% 38% 48% – 14%[bn]
YouGov/UMass Lowell September 18–25, 2020 921 (LV) ± 4.1% 43% 49% – 8%[bo]
Meredith College September 18–22, 2020 705 (RV) ± 3.5% 42% 43% 4% 13%[bp]
Change Research/CNBC September 18–20, 2020 579 (LV) – 43% 48% – 9%[bq]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) September 17–20, 2020 612 (LV) ± 3.96% 38% 44% 3% 15%[br]
Morning Consult September 11–20, 2020 1,604 (LV) ± (2% – 7%) 38%[bs] 47% – –
Emerson College September 16–18, 2020 717 (LV) ± 3.6% 43% 49% – 8%[bt]
Morning Consult September 8–17, 2020 1,664 (LV)[as] ± (2% – 4%) 39% 46% – –
Ipsos/Reuters September 11–16, 2020 586 (LV) ± 4.6% 44% 48% – 9%[bu]
Siena College/NYT Upshot September 11–16, 2020 653 (LV) ± 4.3% 37% 42% 2% 19%[bv]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies September 12–15, 2020 1,092 (LV) ± 2.97% 38% 49% – 13%[bw]
Suffolk University September 10–14, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 38% 42% 6% 15%[bx]
SurveyUSA September 10–13, 2020 596 (LV) ± 5.6% 40% 47% – 13%[by]
CNN/SSRS September 9–13, 2020 787 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 47% 3% 4%[bz]
893 (RV) ± 4.1% 44% 46% 4% 6%[ca]
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report August 29 – September 13, 2020 1,116 (RV) – 37% 41% – 22%[cb]
The Trafalgar Group (R) September 9–11, 2020 1,046 (LV) ± 3.0% 45% 46% 3% 6%[cc]
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 7–8, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% – 10%[cd]
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group[H] August 8 – September 8, 2020 1,600 (LV) ± 2.5% 39% 42% 5% 13%[ce]
Change Research/CNBC September 4–6, 2020 442 (LV) ± 4.6% 44% 51% – 5%[cf]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 30 – September 3, 2020 951 (LV) ± 3.2% 37% 47% – 16%[cg]
Monmouth University August 29 – September 1, 2020 401 (RV) ± 4.9% 45% 46% 2% 7%[ch]
401 (LV)[ci] 45% 47% – 8%[cj]
401 (LV)[ck] 46% 46% – 8%[cj]
FOX News August 29 – September 1, 2020 722 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 48% 3% 8%[cl]
804 (RV) 40% 47% 3% 10%[cm]
East Carolina University August 29–30, 2020 1,101 (LV) ± 3.4% 44% 44% – 12%[cn]
Change Research/CNBC August 21–23, 2020 560 (LV) ± 3.6% 42% 52% – 6%[co]
Morning Consult August 14–23, 2020 1,541 (LV) ± 2.0% 39% 47% – 14%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies August 16–18, 2020 856 (LV) ± 3.4% 38% 47% – 16%[cp]
East Carolina University August 12–13, 2020 1,255 (RV) ± 3.2% 40% 44% – 16%[cq]
Emerson College August 8–10, 2020 673 (LV) ± 3.8% 42% 44% – 14%[cr]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) August 6–10, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 41% 2% 18%[cs]
Change Research/CNBC August 7–9, 2020 491 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 48% – 10%[ct]
Public Policy Polling (D)[I] July 30–31, 2020 934 (V) ± 3.2% 44% 48% – 8%[bt]
Data for Progress July 24 – August 2, 2020 1,170 (LV) ± 3.2% 41% 49% – 10%[cu]
YouGov/CBS July 28–31, 2020 1,121 (LV) ± 3.8% 39% 48% – 12%[cv]
HIT Strategies (D)[J] July 23–31, 2020 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 32% 48% – 21%[cw]
Change Research/CNBC July 24–26, 2020 284 (LV) ± 5.6% 40% 52% – 8%
Morning Consult July 17–26, 2020 1,504 (LV) ± 3.0% 37% 46% – 17%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R) July 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[cx] July 22–24, 2020 735 (LV) ± 3.6% 43% 43% 1% 13%[cy]
Public Policy Polling July 22–23, 2020 939 (V) ± 3.2% 40% 48% – 13%[cz]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 19–23, 2020 919 (LV) ± 3.2% 36% 47% – 16%[da]
Marist College/NBC News July 14–22, 2020 882 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 50% – 10%[db]
Spry Strategies (R)[K] July 11–16, 2020 750 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% 40% – 20%[dc]
Cardinal Point Analytics (R) July 13–15, 2020 547 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 47% 1% 7%[dd]
Change Research/CNBC July 10–12, 2020 655 (LV) ± 3.8% 42% 49% – 9%[de]
Public Policy Polling July 7–8, 2020 818 (V) ± 3.4% 39% 47% – 15%[df]
Change Research/CNBC June 26–28, 2020 468 (LV)[as] ± 3.9% 41% 51% – 8%[dg]
East Carolina University June 22–25, 2020 1,149 (RV) ± 3.4% 41% 41% – 18%[dh]
Public Policy Polling June 22–23, 2020 1,157 (V) ± 2.9% 40% 44% – 16%[di]
FOX News June 20–23, 2020 1,012 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 39% 3% 20%[dj]
NYT Upshot/Siena College June 8–18, 2020 653 (RV) ± 4.1% 39% 42% – 19%[dk]
Gravis Marketing (R)[L] June 17, 2020 631 (RV) ± 3.9% 46% 45% – 9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies June 14–17, 2020 902 (LV) ± 3.3% 36% 45% – 19%[dl]
Public Policy Polling June 2–3, 2020 913 (V) ± 3.2% 41% 43% – 16%[di]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) May 26–28, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 38% 36% 3% 24%[dm]
Meeting Street Insights (R) June 5, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[dn] May 9–13, 2020 500 (RV) ± 3.8% 44% 46% – 8%[bt]
East Carolina University May 7–9, 2020 1,111 (RV) ± 3.4% 40% 41% – 19%[do]
Civiqs/Daily Kos (D) May 2–4, 2020 1,362 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 50% – 9%[dp]
Meredith College April 27–28, 2020 604 (RV) ± 4.0% 34% 44% – 22%
SurveyUSA April 23–26, 2020 580 (LV) ± 5.5% 39% 41% – 20%[dq]
Public Policy Polling April 14–15, 2020 1,318 (LV) ± 3.4% 40% 47% – 13%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine April 5–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 38% 34% – 28%
East Carolina University February 27–28, 2020 1,288 (RV) ± 3.2% 44% 42% – 14%
NBC News/Marist February 23–27, 2020 2,120 (RV) ± 2.6% 43% 48% – 9%
Public Policy Polling[M] February 25–26, 2020 [as] 911 (RV) – 41% 46% – 13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[N] January 11–15, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 44% – 8%
ALG Research (D)[O] January 8–13, 2020 700 (LV) – 42% 44% – 13%
Meredith College September 29 – October 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3% 33% 33% – 32%
Public Policy Polling (D)[O] September 16–17, 2019 628 (V) ± 3.9% 43% 45% – 12%
Fabrizio Ward[H] July 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 42% – 17%
Public Policy Polling[P] June 17–18, 2019 610 (RV) ± 4.0% 40% 41% – 19%
Hypothetical polling
with Erica D. Smith
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Thom
Tillis (R) 		Erica D.
Smith (D) 		Undecided
Meredith College September 29 – October 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3% 33% 34% 17%
Emerson College June 4, 2019, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – June 3, 2019 932 (RV) ± 3.1% 39% 46% 15%
with Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Thom
Tillis (R) 		Generic
Democrat 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[Q] June 30 – July 1, 2017 1,102 (V) ± 3.6% 44% 48% 8%
with Thom Tillis and Generic Opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Thom
Tillis (R) 		Generic
Opponent 		Other Undecided
Fabrizio Ward[H] July 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 26% 52%[dr] 3%[ds] 19%
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Republican 		Generic
Democrat 		Other/Undecided
Ipsos/Reuters September 11–16, 2020 586 (LV) ± 4.6% 47% 48% 5%[dt]
Siena College/NYT Upshot September 11–16, 2020 653 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 44% 8%[du]
Emerson College August 8–10, 2020 673 (LV) ± 3.8% 45% 44% 11%[bj]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) August 6–10, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 42% 43% 16%[dv]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) May 26–28, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 43% 40% 17%[dw]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine April 5–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 41% 42% 17%[dw]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) Released March 17, 2020 –[m] – 44% 41% 15%[dx]
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 675 (RV) ± 3.9% 43% 46% 11%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) Released October 17, 2019 –[m] – 40% 41% 20%[dy]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) Released September 11, 2019 –[m] – 37% 42% 21%[dz]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) Released August 4, 2019 –[m] – 39% 37% 24%[ea]
Fabrizio Ward[H] July 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 44% 11%[eb]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) Released June 10, 2019 –[m] – 38% 38% 24%[ec]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) Released May 5, 2019 –[m] – 39% 39% 22%[ed]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) Released March 17, 2019 –[m] – 37% 40% 22%[ee]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) Released February 13, 2019 –[m] – 37% 38% 25%[ef]

Results edit

Like many Republican Senate candidates in 2020, Tillis did much better on Election Day than pre-election prediction polling indicated. The senator narrowly defeated Cunningham 48.7 to 46.9 and slightly outperformed President Trump in terms of margin of victory. Tillis's upset victory has been largely attributed to Cunningham's response to his alleged affair as well as Tillis's fierce campaigning during the last few weeks of the campaign.[124]

2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina[125]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Thom Tillis (incumbent) 2,665,598 48.69% −0.13%
Democratic Cal Cunningham 2,569,965 46.94% −0.32%
Libertarian Shannon Bray 171,571 3.13% −0.61%
Constitution Kevin E. Hayes 67,818 1.24% N/A
Total votes 5,474,952 100.0%
Republican hold
By county
County[126] Thom Tillis
Republican 		Cal Cunningham
Democratic 		Shannon Bray
Libertarian 		Kevin Hayes
Constitution 		Margin Total
votes
# % # % # % # % # %
Alamance 44,246 51.74 38,038 44.49 2,302 2.69 922 1.08 6,208 7.26 85,508
Alexander 14,739 73.53 4,287 21.39 563 2.81 455 2.27 10,452 52.15 20,044
Alleghany 4,082 67.95 1,587 26.42 192 3.20 146 2.43 2,495 41.53 6,007
Anson 4,981 44.84 5,756 51.82 204 1.84 167 1.50 -775 -6.98 11,108
Ashe 10,619 67.91 4,279 27.37 457 2.92 281 1.80 6,340 40.55 15,636
Avery 6,865 73.65 2,079 22.30 246 2.64 131 1.41 4,786 51.35 9,321
Beaufort 15,448 59.31 9,439 36.24 706 2.71 453 1.74 6,009 23.07 26,046
Bertie 3,597 37.11 5,825 60.09 158 1.63 114 1.18 -2,228 -22.98 9,694
Bladen 8,967 53.12 7,280 43.13 399 2.36 235 1.39 1,687 9.99 16,881
Brunswick 52,971 59.38 32,180 36.08 2,881 3.23 1,170 1.31 20,791 23.31 89,202
Buncombe 60,688 37.92 92,664 57.90 5,054 3.16 1,636 1.02 -31,976 -19.98 160,042
Burke 28,934 65.51 13,108 29.68 1,309 2.96 819 1.85 15,826 35.83 44,170
Cabarrus 61,231 52.74 48,886 42.11 4,261 3.67 1,724 1.48 12,345 10.63 116,102
Caldwell 29,971 70.76 10,288 24.29 1,299 3.07 799 1.89 19,683 46.47 42,357
Camden 4,181 71.62 1,403 24.03 183 3.13 71 1.22 2,778 47.59 5,838
Carteret 28,492 67.47 11,823 28.00 1,312 3.11 601 1.42 16,669 39.47 42,228
Caswell 6,643 55.54 4,916 41.10 278 2.32 124 1.04 1,727 14.44 11,961
Catawba 54,004 65.16 24,845 29.98 2,550 3.08 1,484 1.79 29,159 35.18 82,883
Chatham 21,039 43.52 25,697 53.16 1,171 2.42 431 0.89 -4,658 -9.64 48,338
Cherokee 12,048 73.98 3,589 22.04 408 2.50 241 1.48 8,459 51.94 16,286
Chowan 4,353 56.61 3,124 40.63 139 1.81 73 0.95 1,229 15.98 7,689
Clay 4,897 71.90 1,676 24.61 140 2.05 98 1.44 3,221 47.29 6,811
Cleveland 32,022 63.06 16,752 32.99 1,235 2.43 768 1.51 15,270 30.07 50,777
Columbus 15,563 59.62 9,599 36.77 516 1.98 424 1.62 5,964 22.85 26,102
Craven 29,542 56.25 20,416 38.87 1,772 3.37 791 1.51 9,126 17.38 52,521
Cumberland 57,121 39.20 81,001 55.59 5,379 3.69 2,218 1.52 -23,880 -16.39 145,719
Currituck 11,368 71.29 3,849 24.14 554 3.47 175 1.10 7,519 47.15 15,946
Dare 13,581 56.98 9,284 38.95 766 3.21 204 0.86 4,297 18.03 23,835
Davidson 60,686 68.81 23,660 26.83 2,496 2.83 1,346 1.53 37,026 41.99 88,188
Davie 17,415 69.21 6,570 26.11 781 3.10 396 1.57 10,845 43.10 25,162
Duplin 12,954 57.75 8,689 38.73 477 2.13 312 1.39 4,265 19.01 22,432
Durham 34,152 19.20 138,429 77.40 5,041 2.82 1,224 0.68 -104,277 -58.30 178,846
Edgecombe 8,582 33.90 15,952 63.01 506 2.00 278 1.10 -7,370 -29.11 25,318
Forsyth 83,228 41.72 107,277 53.77 6,533 3.27 2,471 1.24 -24,049 -12.05 199,509
Franklin 19,654 52.94 15,659 42.18 1,246 3.36 565 1.52 3,995 10.76 37,124
Gaston 69,398 60.77 39,595 34.67 3,548 3.11 1,660 1.45 29,803 26.07 114,201
Gates 3,205 54.46 2,474 42.04 132 2.24 74 1.26 731 12.42 5,885
Graham 3,355 73.75 1,013 22.27 94 2.07 87 1.91 2,342 51.48 4,549
Granville 15,687 50.02 14,368 45.82 908 2.90 396 1.26 1,319 4.21 31,359
Greene 4,591 52.78 3,842 44.17 189 2.17 77 0.89 749 8.61 8,699
Guilford 104,908 37.18 165,823 58.77 8,587 3.04 2,819 1.00 -60,915 -21.59 282,137
Halifax 9,446 36.93 15,438 60.36 456 1.78 237 0.93 -5,992 -23.43 25,577
Harnett 33,321 57.57 21,523 37.18 2,128 3.68 911 1.57 11,798 20.38 57,883
Haywood 21,502 59.26 13,113 36.14 1,081 2.98 587 1.62 8,389 23.12 36,283
Henderson 39,359 57.99 25,782 37.99 1,964 2.89 768 1.13 13,577 20.00 67,873
Hertford 3,305 31.80 6,815 65.58 154 1.48 118 1.14 -3,510 -33.78 10,392
Hoke 8,638 40.40 11,466 53.62 909 4.25 370 1.73 -2,828 -13.22 21,383
Hyde 1,315 53.26 1,075 43.54 53 2.15 26 1.05 240 9.72 2,469
Iredell 64,319 63.44 31,893 31.46 3,487 3.44 1,687 1.66 32,426 31.98 101,386
Jackson 10,763 50.68 9,382 44.17 788 3.71 306 1.44 1,381 6.50 21,239
Johnston 64,822 58.82 39,771 36.09 3,953 3.59 1,667 1.51 25,051 22.73 110,213
Jones 3,046 55.85 2,124 38.94 182 3.34 102 1.87 922 16.91 5,454
Lee 15,419 53.70 11,851 41.27 979 3.41 465 1.62 3,568 12.43 28,714
Lenoir 13,898 49.43 13,284 47.24 591 2.10 346 1.23 614 2.18 28,119
Lincoln 34,673 69.66 12,858 25.83 1,482 2.98 763 1.53 21,815 43.83 49,776
Macon 13,408 65.35 6,248 30.45 521 2.54 340 1.66 7,160 34.90 20,517
Madison 7,399 57.17 4,987 38.53 362 2.80 195 1.51 2,412 18.64 12,943
Martin 6,034 48.57 5,973 48.08 257 2.07 160 1.29 61 0.49 12,424
McDowell 15,894 69.87 5,934 26.09 565 2.48 354 1.56 9,960 43.79 22,747
Mecklenburg 186,693 33.18 350,775 62.34 19,764 3.51 5,440 0.97 -164,082 -29.16 562,672
Mitchell 6,735 75.32 1,919 21.46 181 2.02 107 1.20 4,816 53.86 8,942
Montgomery 7,741 60.95 4,379 34.48 324 2.55 256 2.02 3,362 26.47 12,700
Moore 35,682 61.71 19,633 33.95 1,760 3.04 748 1.29 16,049 27.76 57,823
Nash 24,719 47.63 25,474 49.09 1,117 2.15 585 1.13 -755 -1.46 51,895
New Hanover 61,415 47.13 61,702 47.35 5,516 4.23 1,685 1.29 -287 -0.22 130,318
Northampton 3,720 37.16 6,005 59.98 187 1.87 99 0.99 -2,285 -22.82 10,011
Onslow 42,868 60.21 23,344 32.79 3,627 5.09 1,363 1.91 19,524 27.42 71,202
Orange 20,862 24.68 61,214 72.42 1,961 2.32 488 0.58 -40,352 -47.74 84,525
Pamlico 4,589 60.53 2,681 35.36 188 2.48 123 1.62 1,908 25.17 7,581
Pasquotank 9,491 48.31 9,421 47.95 538 2.74 198 1.01 70 0.36 19,648
Pender 20,660 61.20 11,272 33.39 1,274 3.77 553 1.64 9,388 27.81 33,759
Perquimans 4,817 64.87 2,382 32.08 139 1.87 88 1.19 2,435 32.79 7,426
Person 12,192 56.49 8,475 39.27 600 2.78 315 1.46 3,717 17.22 21,582
Pitt 37,947 43.67 45,598 52.47 2,510 2.89 846 0.97 -7,651 -8.80 86,901
Polk 7,394 60.35 4,436 36.21 286 2.33 136 1.11 2,958 24.14 12,252
Randolph 53,357 73.52 15,973 22.01 2,097 2.89 1,143 1.58 37,384 51.51 72,570
Richmond 11,002 53.85 8,510 41.65 566 2.77 352 1.72 2,492 12.20 20,430
Robeson 25,211 54.87 19,135 41.64 955 2.08 648 1.41 6,076 13.22 45,949
Rockingham 28,971 61.23 16,189 34.22 1,473 3.11 680 1.44 12,782 27.02 47,313
Rowan 46,446 63.84 22,615 31.09 2,254 3.10 1,433 1.97 23,831 32.76 72,748
Rutherford 23,596 69.26 9,136 26.82 781 2.29 554 1.63 14,460 42.45 34,067
Sampson 16,521 58.25 10,818 38.15 636 2.24 385 1.36 5,703 20.11 28,360
Scotland 7,066 48.86 6,850 47.37 322 2.23 223 1.54 216 1.49 14,461
Stanly 23,891 71.17 8,045 23.96 961 2.86 674 2.01 15,846 47.20 33,571
Stokes 18,599 72.99 5,611 22.02 812 3.19 458 1.80 12,988 50.97 25,480
Surry 25,475 70.17 9,267 25.53 1,030 2.84 531 1.46 16,208 44.65 36,303
Swain 3,846 55.17 2,696 38.67 298 4.27 131 1.88 1,150 16.50 6,971
Transylvania 11,209 55.48 8,158 40.38 552 2.73 286 1.42 3,051 15.10 20,205
Tyrrell 945 52.97 778 43.61 37 2.07 24 1.35 167 9.36 1,784
Union 79,645 61.34 45,096 34.73 3,765 2.90 1,338 1.03 34,549 26.61 129,844
Vance 7,876 37.84 12,247 58.84 455 2.19 237 1.14 -4,371 -21.00 20,815
Wake 232,388 37.05 367,718 58.63 22,230 3.54 4,893 0.78 -135,330 -21.58 627,229
Warren 3,520 34.30 6,437 62.72 194 1.89 112 1.09 -2,917 -28.42 10,263
Washington 2,584 42.05 3,329 54.17 128 2.08 104 1.69 -745 -12.12 6,145
Watauga 14,216 44.59 16,193 50.80 1,138 3.57 331 1.04 -1,977 -6.20 31,878
Wayne 29,174 53.10 23,528 42.82 1,419 2.58 823 1.50 5,646 10.28 54,944
Wilkes 25,488 72.67 8,074 23.02 924 2.64 587 1.67 17,414 49.65 35,073
Wilson 18,642 46.13 20,445 50.59 885 2.19 439 1.09 -1,803 -4.46 40,411
Yadkin 14,798 74.86 4,036 20.42 553 2.80 381 1.93 10,762 54.44 19,768
Yancey 7,038 62.39 3,833 33.98 250 2.22 159 1.41 3,205 28.41 11,280
Totals 2,665,598 48.69 2,569,965 46.94 171,571 3.13 67,818 1.24 95,633 1.75 5,474,952
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also edit

Notes edit

Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Garland Tucker campaign
  2. ^ a b c Poll conducted by the Club for Growth, a pro-Republican PAC
  3. ^ Compete Everywhere primarily supports Democratic candidates
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organization.
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by The American Greatness PAC, which is pro-Trump.
  6. ^ Poll sponsored by Piedmont Rising, a pro-Affordable Care Act organization.
  7. ^ Poll sponsored by The Human Rights Campaign, which has endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period.
  8. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by AARP.
  9. ^ This poll's sponsor had endorsed Cunningham prior to the sampling period
  10. ^ This poll’s sponsor, DFER, primarily supports Democratic candidates
  11. ^ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501 that supports the Republican Party.
  12. ^ Polling was sponsored by OANN.
  13. ^ Poll sponsored by private client
  14. ^ Internal poll
  15. ^ a b Poll sponsored by End Citizens United, an organization that has exclusively endorsed Democratic candidates
  16. ^ Poll sponsored by VoteVets.org
  17. ^ Poll sponsored by Save My Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
Voter samples and additional candidates
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Hudson with 8%; Holmquist with 5%
  3. ^ Holmquist and Hudson with 5%
  4. ^ Holmquist and Hudson with 3%
  5. ^ Holmquist and Hudson with 4%
  6. ^ Holmquist with 3%; Hudson with 2%
  7. ^ Hudson with 3%; Holmquist with 2%
  8. ^ If the only candidates were Smith and Tillis
  9. ^ "None of the above" with 5%; "other" with 0%
  10. ^ If the only candidates were Tillis and Tucker
  11. ^ a b c d Standard VI response
  12. ^ a b Response after pollster addresses respondents with talking points about Tillis
  13. ^ a b c d e f g h i Not yet released
  14. ^ Response after pollster addresses respondents with short biographies for Tillis and Walker
  15. ^ Response after short biographies and talking points about Tillis
  16. ^ a b Listed as "would consider another candidate in a Republican primary"
  17. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  18. ^ "Refused" with 2%; Did not vote, would not vote and Undecided with 1%
  19. ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 2%
  20. ^ Hayes (C) with 1%; "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
  21. ^ Hayes (C) with 2%
  22. ^ a b With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  23. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  24. ^ Hayes (C) and Undecided with 2%; "None of these" with 1%; "Other" with 0%
  25. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 6%
  26. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%; "Refused" with 2%; Did/would not vote with 0%; Undecided with no voters
  27. ^ Hayes (C) with 2%; Undecided with 6%
  28. ^ a b "Other" and Undecided with 2%
  29. ^ a b Undecided with 9%
  30. ^ Would not vote with 2%; Hayes (C) with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 6%
  31. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 1%
  32. ^ November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  33. ^ a b c "Someoene else" with 4%; Undecided with 5%
  34. ^ Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
  35. ^ Results generated with high Republican turnout model
  36. ^ "Other" with 3%; Undecided with 4%
  37. ^ Did not vote with 1%; "Another candidate" with no voters; Undecided with 6%
  38. ^ Hays (C) with 1%; Undecided with 7%
  39. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Undecided with 5%
  40. ^ Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 2%
  41. ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%; Undecided with 6%
  42. ^ "Other" with 3%; Undecided with 6%
  43. ^ "Some other candidate" and "Undecided/Refused" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
  44. ^ Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 14%
  45. ^ a b c d Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  46. ^ Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 10%
  47. ^ Did/would not vote and "Some other candidate" with 1%; "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 3%
  48. ^ "Neither" with 1%; "Other" and would not vote with 0%; Undecided with 3%
  49. ^ Undecided with 12%
  50. ^ Hayes (C) with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 2%
  51. ^ Hayes (C) with 3%; would not vote with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 15%
  52. ^ "Some other candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 7%
  53. ^ "No one" with 1%; Hayes (C) with 0%; "Other candidate" with no voters; Undecided with 3%
  54. ^ With a likely voter turnout model featuring high turnout
  55. ^ "Other" and Undecided with 3%
  56. ^ With a likely voter turnout model featuring low turnout
  57. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 8%
  58. ^ "Other" and "Refused" with 1%; Undecided with 7%
  59. ^ October 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  60. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 12%
  61. ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 7%
  62. ^ a b Undecided with 11%
  63. ^ Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 8%
  64. ^ Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 3%
  65. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%; "Refused" and would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 2%
  66. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Undecided with 11%
  67. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 7%
  68. ^ Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 12%
  69. ^ Would not vote with 2%; "Don't recall" with 0%; Undecided with 7%
  70. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Undecided with 13%
  71. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  72. ^ a b c Undecided with 8%
  73. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 6%
  74. ^ Hayes (C), "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%; "Undecided/Refused" with 16%
  75. ^ "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 4%; Undecided with 9%
  76. ^ Bray (L) with 6%; Hayes (C) and "Other" with 2%; "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 11%
  77. ^ "Another candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 10%
  78. ^ Hayes (C) with 1%; "None of these" and "Other" with no voters; Undecided with 3%
  79. ^ Hayes (C) with 1%; "None of these" and "Other" with 0%; Undecided with 5%
  80. ^ "Neither/Another Party" with 3%; "Undecided/Don't know/Refused" with 19%
  81. ^ Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 5%
  82. ^ "Another candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 7%
  83. ^ Hayes with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 12%
  84. ^ Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  85. ^ "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 3%; Undecided with 13%
  86. ^ Hayes (C) and "No one" with 1%; "Other candidate" with <1%; Undecided with 5%
  87. ^ With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  88. ^ a b "Other" and Undecided with 4%
  89. ^ With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  90. ^ Hayes (C), "Other" and would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 5%
  91. ^ Hayes (C) with 2%; "Other" and would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 6%
  92. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%; Would not vote with 0%; Undecided with 9%
  93. ^ Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 5%
  94. ^ "Third party/write-in" with 3%; Undecided with 13%
  95. ^ "Some other candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 10%
  96. ^ Undecided with 14%
  97. ^ Hayes (C) with 2%; Undecided with 16%
  98. ^ Would not vote with 2%; Undecided with 8%
  99. ^ "No one" with 10%
  100. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Undecided with 9%
  101. ^ "Third party candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 2%; Undecided with 15%
  102. ^ July 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  103. ^ Hayes (C) with 2%; Undecided with 11%
  104. ^ Undecided with 13%
  105. ^ "Third party/write-in" with 2%; Undecided with 14%
  106. ^ "Other" with 1%; Undecided with 9%
  107. ^ "Another candidate" with 6%; Undecided with 13%
  108. ^ Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 6%
  109. ^ Undecided with 7%; would not vote with 2%
  110. ^ Undecided with 15%
  111. ^ Undecided with 7%; would not vote with 1%
  112. ^ Undecided with 10%; "Some other candidate" with 8%
  113. ^ a b Undecided with 16%
  114. ^ Undecided with 15%; Hayes (C) with 3%; "other" and would not vote with 1%
  115. ^ Undecided with 17%; "Another candidate" and would not vote with 1%
  116. ^ Undecided with 16%; "Another third party/write in" with 3%
  117. ^ Hayes (C) with 2%; Undecided with 21%
  118. ^ June 5, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  119. ^ Undecided with 11%; "other candidate" with 8%
  120. ^ Undecided with 5%; "Someone else" with 4%
  121. ^ Undecided with 20%
  122. ^ "It is time to give a new person a chance to do better" with 50% as opposed to "Thillis has performed his job as U.S. Senator well enough to deserve re-election"
  123. ^ "Refused" with 3%
  124. ^ "Prefer not to answer/Refused" with 4%; "Candidate from another political party" with 1%; "Will not vote/not sure" with 0%
  125. ^ "Undecided/Refused" with 8%
  126. ^ "Neither" and "Other Party" with 1%; Undecided with 14%
  127. ^ a b Undecided with 14%; "Neither/other/independent" with 3%
  128. ^ Undecided with 11%; "Neither/other/independent" with 4%
  129. ^ Undecided with 17%; "Neither/other/independent" with 3%
  130. ^ Undecided with 16%; "Neither/other/independent" with 5%
  131. ^ Undecided with 19%; "Neither/other/independent" with 5%
  132. ^ "Undecided" with 8%; "don't know/refused" with 3%
  133. ^ Undecided with 18%; "Neither/other/independent" with 6%
  134. ^ Undecided with 17%; "Neither/other/independent" with 5%
  135. ^ Undecided with 15%; "Neither/other/independent" with 7%
  136. ^ Undecided with 21%; "Neither/other/independent" with 4%

References edit

  1. ^ a b c "NC SBE Contest Results". er.ncsbe.gov. North Carolina Board of Elections. Retrieved March 7, 2020.
  2. ^ "Thom Tillis claims victory, Cal Cunningham waiting on all votes to be counted". wcnc.com. November 3, 2020.
  3. ^ Robertson, Gary D. (October 3, 2020). "N. Carolina Senate race upended by sexting, virus diagnosis". Associated Press.
  4. ^ Buck, Rebecca (October 3, 2020). "Democratic Senate candidate in North Carolina confirms romantic texts with woman who isn't his wife". CNN. Retrieved July 21, 2022.
  5. ^ Arkin, James (October 6, 2020). "Cal Cunningham under fire after more texts revealed". Politico. Retrieved October 7, 2020.
  6. ^ Copp, Tara; Murphy, Brian; Alexander, Ames (October 7, 2020). "After woman confirms affair, her husband calls on Cunningham to drop out of NC Senate race". News & Observer. Retrieved October 9, 2020.
  7. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". economist.com. Retrieved February 12, 2021.
  8. ^ "Latest Polls". fivethirtyeight.com. June 28, 2018. Retrieved February 12, 2021.
  9. ^ "Despite A Sexting Scandal, Democrat Cal Cunningham Is Favored In North Carolina's Senate Race". fivethirtyeight.com. October 15, 2020. Retrieved February 12, 2021.
  10. ^ "Cunningham concedes to US Sen. Tillis in North Carolina". Associated Press. Retrieved February 12, 2021.
  11. ^ Snell, Kelsey; Walsh, Deirdre (November 10, 2020). "GOP Sen. Thom Tillis Wins Reelection In North Carolina After Democrat Concedes". NPR.org. Retrieved January 4, 2021.
  12. ^ Fordham, Evie (November 10, 2020). "Cal Cunningham concedes to Thom Tillis in North Carolina Senate race". Fox News. Retrieved November 10, 2020.
  13. ^ Cohen, Zach C. (December 5, 2018). . National Journal. Archived from the original on July 9, 2019. Retrieved December 5, 2018.
  14. ^ a b c Robertson, Gary D. (December 20, 2019). . Raleigh News & Observer. Archived from the original on December 25, 2019. Retrieved December 20, 2019.
  15. ^ Woolverton, Paul (April 17, 2019). "Near-death experience inspires Eric Mansfield to consider US Senate race". The Fayetteville Observer. Retrieved April 26, 2019.
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Further reading edit

  • Amber Phillips (October 9, 2020), "The Senate seats most likely to flip parties in November", Washingtonpost.com

External links edit

  • "League of Women Voters of North Carolina". July 29, 2019. (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
  • National Institute on Money in Politics; Campaign Finance Institute, "North Carolina 2019 & 2020 Elections", OpenSecrets
  • Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "North Carolina", Voting & Elections Toolkits
  • "North Carolina: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
  • North Carolina at Ballotpedia
Official campaign websites
  • Shannon Bray (L) for Senate
  • Cal Cunningham (D) for Senate
  • Thom Tillis (R) for Senate
  • "League of Women Voters of North Carolina". July 29, 2019. (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)

January 01, 1970
2020, united, states, senate, election, north, carolina, also, 2020, united, states, senate, elections, held, november, 2020, elect, member, united, states, senate, represent, state, north, carolina, concurrently, with, 2020, united, states, presidential, elec. See also 2020 United States Senate elections The 2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on November 3 2020 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Carolina concurrently with the 2020 United States presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections North Carolina was one of just five states holding presidential gubernatorial and senatorial elections concurrently in 2020 On March 3 2020 Republican incumbent Thom Tillis and Democratic former state senator Cal Cunningham won their respective primaries 1 2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina 2014 November 3 2020 2026 Nominee Thom Tillis Cal Cunningham Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 2 665 598 2 569 965 Percentage 48 69 46 94 County resultsCongressional district resultsPrecinct resultsTillis 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 gt 90 Cunningham 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 gt 90 Tie 40 50 U S senator before election Thom Tillis Republican Elected U S Senator Thom Tillis Republican Cunningham led Tillis in the polls throughout much of the campaign 2 In early October of 2020 it was reported that Cunningham had exchanged sexually suggestive messages with a married woman who was not his wife Cunningham confirmed the texts were authentic and apologized for his behavior 3 4 The woman stated that she had a consensual physical relationship with Cunningham in 2020 5 6 Incumbent Republican Senator Thom Tillis was re elected to a second term Tillis outperformed pre election polling to win a narrow victory successfully breaking the one term curse that existed with this particular Senate seat for over thirty years as many of Tillis s predecessors only served one term 7 8 9 On November 10 2020 a week after Election Day Cunningham called Tillis to concede the race 10 Tillis won by a margin of 1 8 over Cunningham slightly larger than his 1 5 victory in 2014 11 12 Contents 1 Republican primary 1 1 Candidates 1 1 1 Nominee 1 1 2 Eliminated in primary 1 1 3 Withdrawn 1 1 4 Declined 1 2 Endorsements 1 3 Polling 1 4 Results 2 Democratic primary 2 1 Candidates 2 1 1 Nominee 2 1 2 Eliminated in primary 2 1 3 Withdrawn 2 1 4 Declined 2 2 Endorsements 2 3 Polling 2 4 Results 3 Other candidates 3 1 Libertarian Party 3 1 1 Nominee 3 2 Constitution Party 3 2 1 Nominee 3 3 Independence Party 3 3 1 Withdrawn 3 4 Independent write in candidates 3 4 1 Withdrawn 4 General election 4 1 Campaign 4 2 Predictions 4 3 Endorsements 4 4 Fundraising 4 5 Polling 4 5 1 Graphical summary 4 5 2 Aggregate polls 4 5 3 Tillis vs Cunningham 4 6 Results 5 See also 6 Notes 7 References 8 Further reading 9 External linksRepublican primary editCandidates edit Nominee edit Thom Tillis incumbent U S senator 13 Eliminated in primary edit Larry Holmquist candidate for U S Senate in 2016 14 Sharon Hudson activist 14 Paul Wright former North Carolina Superior Court judge perennial candidate and candidate for U S Senate in 2016 14 Withdrawn edit Sandy Smith farm owner 15 running for U S House in NC 01 Garland Tucker former CEO and chairman of Triangle Capital 16 Declined edit Mark Meadows former U S representative for North Carolina s 11th congressional district 17 Ted Budd incumbent U S representative for North Carolina s 13th congressional district 18 Mark Walker incumbent U S representative for North Carolina s 6th congressional district 19 Endorsements edit Thom TillisU S presidents George W Bush 43rd president of the United States 20 U S executive branch officials John Bolton former United States National Security Advisor 21 Organizations Susan B Anthony List 22 Polling edit Poll source Date s administered Samplesize a Marginof error SandySmith ThomTillis GarlandTucker MarkWalker PaulWright Other Undecided High Point University Archived March 2 2020 at the Wayback Machine February 21 28 2020 247 LV 69 8 8 b 16 444 RV 58 7 10 c 26 Meredith College February 16 24 2020 353 LV 3 0 53 5 6 d 36 SurveyUSA February 13 16 2020 501 LV 5 0 59 3 8 e 29 High Point University Archived February 12 2020 at the Wayback Machine January 31 February 6 2020 198 LV 62 7 5 f 27 400 RV 52 6 5 g 38 December 20 2019 Smith withdraws from the race Wright announces his candidacy December 16 2019 Walker announces he will not run 23 Harper Polling Civitas R December 2 4 2019 500 LV 4 38 11 h 63 25 December 2 2019 Tucker withdraws from the race FOX News November 10 13 2019 574 LV 4 0 4 54 11 5 i 26 Public Policy Polling August 19 20 2019 564 V j 38 31 31 Diversified Research R 24 A July 8 9 2019 500 V 40 30 30 WPA Intelligence R B May 19 21 2019 502 LV 4 5 2 k 40 11 17 30 2 l 18 8 56 16 May 6 2019 Tucker announces his candidacy 25 Diversified Research R 24 A Months before May 2019 m 63 7 30 Hypothetical pollingwith only Thom Tillis and Mark Walker Poll source Date s administered Samplesize a Marginof error ThomTillis MarkWalker Undecided WPA Intelligence R B May 19 21 2019 502 LV 4 5 43 k 34 23 28 n 64 8 21 o 69 10 with Thom Tillis and Generic Republican Poll source Date s administered Samplesize a Marginof error ThomTillis GenericRepublican Undecided WPA Intelligence R B May 19 21 2019 502 LV 4 5 17 k 18 52 p 7 l 32 57 p Results edit nbsp Results by county Tillis 60 70 70 80 80 90 Republican primary results 1 Party Candidate Votes Republican Thom Tillis incumbent 608 943 78 08 Republican Paul Wright 58 908 7 55 Republican Larry Holmquist 57 356 7 35 Republican Sharon Y Hudson 54 651 7 01 Total votes 779 858 100 00 Democratic primary editCandidates edit Nominee edit Cal Cunningham former state senator and candidate for the U S Senate in 2010 26 Eliminated in primary edit Trevor Fuller Mecklenburg County commissioner 27 Atul Goel physician and former United States Air Force officer 28 Erica D Smith state senator 29 Steve Swenson 28 Withdrawn edit Katherine Bell Moore 30 Eva F Lee attorney 31 running for North Carolina Commissioner of Labor 32 Eric L Mansfield former state senator 33 Steve Williams 30 Declined edit Janet Cowell former North Carolina State Treasurer 34 endorsed Cunningham Anthony Foxx former U S Secretary of Transportation and former mayor of Charlotte 34 endorsed Cunningham Rachel Hunt state representative 34 Vi Lyles mayor of Charlotte 35 Dan McCready former U S Marine businessman and nominee for North Carolina s 9th congressional district in 2018 and 2019 special election 34 Deborah K Ross former state representative and nominee for U S Senate in 2016 36 running for North Carolina s 2nd congressional district Thomas W Ross former president of the University of North Carolina system 37 Josh Stein North Carolina Attorney General 38 running for reelection Brian Turner state representative 34 Endorsements edit Cal CunninghamFederal officials Sherrod Brown U S senator OH 39 Bob Casey Jr U S senator PA 40 Kay Hagan former U S senator NC 2009 2015 41 deceased Tim Kaine U S senator VA 42 Amy Klobuchar U S senator MN 43 State officials Howard Nathaniel Lee former North Carolina State Senator and former mayor of Chapel Hill 41 Local officials Harvey Gantt former mayor of Charlotte and Democratic nominee in 1990 and 1996 U S Senate elections 44 Organizations Brady Campaign 45 Council for a Livable World 46 Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee 47 J Street PAC 48 National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare 49 Replacements Ltd PAC 50 Newspapers The Charlotte Observer The News amp Observer 51 The Charlotte Post 52 Indy Week also endorsed Erica D Smith 53 Individuals Alex Hirsch writer artist and animator 54 Erica D SmithFederal officials Eva Clayton former U S representative from North Carolina s 1st district and Assistant Director General of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations 55 State officials Linda Coleman former North Carolina State Representative 2012 and 2016 Lieutenant Governor Democratic nominee and 2018 Democratic nominee to North Carolina s 2nd congressional district 55 Mickey Michaux North Carolina State Senator 55 Newspapers Indy Week also endorsed Cal Cunningham 53 Organizations Equality North Carolina 56 Polling edit Poll source Date s administered Samplesize a Marginof error CalCunningham TrevorFuller AtulGoel EricaSmith SteveSwenson Undecided High Point University Archived March 2 2020 at the Wayback Machine February 21 28 2020 274 LV 50 4 1 24 3 18 474 RV 42 5 1 24 4 4 Civitas Institute Spry Strategies February 26 27 2020 587 LV 4 1 45 2 1 23 1 28 NBC News Marist February 23 27 2020 568 LV 5 1 51 3 1 18 2 25 Public Policy Polling February 23 24 2020 852 LV 3 4 45 4 1 18 2 30 Meredith College February 16 24 2020 429 LV 3 0 43 2 1 14 2 36 Civitas Institute Spry Strategies February 21 23 2020 553 LV 3 8 48 1 0 21 1 29 SurveyUSA February 13 16 2020 698 LV 4 9 42 3 1 17 3 34 High Point University Archived February 12 2020 at the Wayback Machine January 31 February 6 2020 224 LV 37 4 0 11 4 44 397 RV 29 5 1 10 5 50 Public Policy Polling February 4 5 2020 604 LV 29 3 2 10 4 52 Public Policy Polling January 10 12 2020 509 LV 22 2 3 12 1 60 FOX News November 10 13 2019 669 RV 4 0 13 10 18 49 Results edit nbsp Results by county Cunningham 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 Smith 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 Democratic primary results 1 Party Candidate Votes Democratic Cal Cunningham 717 941 56 93 Democratic Erica D Smith 438 969 34 81 Democratic Trevor M Fuller 48 168 3 82 Democratic Steve Swenson 33 741 2 68 Democratic Atul Goel 22 226 1 76 Total votes 1 261 045 100 00 Other candidates editLibertarian Party edit Nominee edit Shannon Bray U S Navy veteran author and candidate for North Carolina s 3rd congressional district in 2019 57 Constitution Party edit Nominee edit Kevin E Hayes candidate for the North Carolina House of Representatives in 2012 and 2018 58 Independence Party edit Withdrawn edit Jeremy Thomas 59 60 Independent write in candidates edit Withdrawn edit Marcia Abrams 61 Lee Brian 61 Matthew Cisneros 61 Michelle Parks 61 Sunita Singh 61 General election editCampaign edit During the Democratic primary a Republican funded Super PAC spent 3 million on ads attacking Cunningham and promoting left wing rival Erica D Smith 62 63 Cunningham and Tillis participated in debates on September 13 64 September 22 65 and October 1 66 In July Tillis claimed Cunningham had been silent on the issue of defunding the police saying I assume his silence is consent In reality Cunningham had spoken publicly about the issue and written an op ed a month earlier stating his opposition to defunding the police advocating police reform instead 67 On October 3 the New York Times wrote that the race had fallen into utter mayhem within a period of a few hours after Tillis tested positive for COVID 19 and Cunningham admitted to exchanging sexual text messages with a woman who was not his wife damaging an image that leaned heavily on his character and military service Days later the woman stated that she had a consensual physical relationship with Cunningham in 2020 68 The Army Reserve started an investigation into Cunningham 69 The husband of the woman who stated that she had had an affair with Cunningham himself an Army veteran called on Cunningham to drop out of the Senate race 70 Asked repeatedly whether he had had other extramarital affairs Cunningham declined to answer 71 72 73 74 Tillis s diagnosis which came after an outbreak at a White House ceremony for Supreme Court nominee Amy Coney Barrett temporarily threw Barrett s confirmation into jeopardy as two Republican senators had already stated their intention to vote against though one of them would eventually vote in favor of her confirmation 75 76 Predictions edit Source Ranking As of 538 77 Lean D flip November 2 2020 Economist 78 Lean D flip November 2 2020 Daily Kos 79 Tossup October 30 2020 DDHQ 80 Lean D flip November 3 2020 Inside Elections 81 Tilt D flip October 28 2020 Sabato s Crystal Ball 82 Lean D flip November 2 2020 RCP 83 Tossup October 23 2020 The Cook Political Report 84 Tossup October 29 2020 Politico 85 Tossup November 2 2020 Endorsements edit Thom Tillis R U S presidents Donald Trump 45th president of the United States George W Bush 43rd president of the United States 20 U S executive branch officials Nikki Haley former ambassador to the United Nations and former governor of South Carolina 86 John Bolton former United States National Security Advisor 21 Organizations Susan B Anthony List 22 Campaign for Working Families 87 Huck PAC 88 NRA Political Victory Fund 89 87 Republican Jewish Coalition 90 National Right to Life 91 Cal Cunningham D U S presidents Barack Obama 44th president of the United States 92 U S senators representatives and federal officials Alma Adams U S representative from North Carolina s 12th congressional district 93 Sherrod Brown U S senator OH 39 G K Butterfield U S representative from North Carolina s 1st congressional district 93 Bob Casey Jr U S senator PA 40 Kay Hagan former U S senator NC 2009 2015 41 Tim Kaine U S senator VA 42 Amy Klobuchar U S senator MN 94 Seth Moulton U S representative from Massachusetts s 6th congressional district 95 David Price U S representative from North Carolina s 4th congressional district 93 State officials Stacey Abrams former minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives and Democratic nominee in 2018 Georgia gubernatorial election 96 Linda Coleman former North Carolina State Representative 2012 and 2016 Lieutenant Governor Democratic nominee and 2018 Democratic nominee to North Carolina s 2nd congressional district 97 Howard Nathaniel Lee former North Carolina State Senator and former mayor of Chapel Hill 41 Local officials Pete Buttigieg former mayor of South Bend Indiana and former 2020 presidential candidate 98 99 Harvey Gantt former mayor of Charlotte and Democratic nominee in 1990 and 1996 U S Senate elections 44 Organizations Bend the Arc Jewish Action 100 Black Economic Alliance 101 Brady Campaign 45 Center for Biological Diversity 102 Communications Workers of America 103 Council for a Livable World 46 Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee 47 End Citizens United 104 Equality NC 105 Everytown for Gun Safety 106 Feminist Majority PAC 107 Giffords 108 Human Rights Campaign 109 Indivisible District 9 110 J Street PAC 48 Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs 111 League of Conservation Voters 112 NARAL 113 National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare 49 National Education Association 114 National Organization for Women 115 Natural Resources Defense Council 116 North Carolina State AFL CIO 117 Patriotic Millionaires 118 Planned Parenthood Action Fund 119 Replacements Ltd PAC 50 Sierra Club 120 United Auto Workers 121 VoteVets org 122 Newspapers Indy Week 53 Individuals Alex Hirsch writer artist and animator 54 Fundraising edit In the first quarter of 2020 Cunningham outraised Tillis for the first time receiving 4 4 million compared to the 2 1 million Tillis raised Tillis s prior fundraising however left him with the advantage in cash on hand with 6 5 million in the bank compared to Cunningham s 3 million 123 Polling edit Graphical summary edit Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki org Aggregate polls edit Cal Cunningham vs Thom Tillis Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Cal Cunningham Thom Tillis Other Undecided q Margin 270 to Win November 2 2020 November 3 2020 47 0 44 2 8 8 Cunningham 2 8 Real Clear Politics November 1 2020 November 3 2020 47 6 45 0 7 4 Cunningham 2 6 Tillis vs Cunningham edit Poll source Date s administered Samplesize a Marginof error ThomTillis R CalCunningham D ShannonBray L Other Undecided Change Research CNBC October 29 November 1 2020 473 LV 4 51 46 50 5 r Swayable Archived November 13 2020 at the Wayback Machine October 27 November 1 2020 619 LV 5 6 47 53 Ipsos Reuters October 27 November 1 2020 707 LV 4 2 46 48 6 s Data for Progress October 27 November 1 2020 908 LV 3 3 46 51 1 1 t Frederick Polls C October 30 31 2020 676 LV 3 7 46 50 3 2 u Emerson College October 29 31 2020 855 LV 3 3 47 v 50 2 w Morning Consult October 22 31 2020 1 982 LV 2 43 47 CNN SSRS Archived October 31 2020 at the Wayback Machine October 23 30 2020 901 LV 4 44 47 2 5 x Pulse Opinion Research Rasmussen Reports October 28 29 2020 800 LV 3 5 44 47 9 y East Carolina University October 27 28 2020 1 103 LV 3 4 46 v 48 5 z Cardinal Point Analytics R October 27 28 2020 750 LV 3 6 46 41 6 7 aa Marist College NBC October 25 28 2020 800 LV 4 7 43 53 4 ab Gravis Marketing October 26 27 2020 614 LV 4 44 46 9 ac Public Policy Polling D D October 26 27 2020 937 V 3 2 44 47 9 ac Meeting Street Insights Carolina Partnership for Reform R Archived October 31 2020 at the Wayback Machine October 24 27 2020 600 LV 4 43 47 Siena College NYT Upshot October 23 27 2020 1 034 LV 3 4 43 46 2 9 ad Ipsos Reuters October 21 27 2020 647 LV 4 4 47 48 4 ae RMG Research Archived November 1 2020 at the Wayback Machine af October 24 26 2020 800 LV 3 5 42 k 49 9 ag 40 ah 51 9 ag 43 ai 48 9 ag Swayable October 23 26 2020 363 LV 7 1 50 50 SurveyUSA October 23 26 2020 627 LV 4 9 45 48 7 aj YouGov UMass Lowell October 20 26 2020 911 LV 4 2 45 49 7 ak Harper Polling Civitas R October 22 25 2020 504 LV 4 37 43 46 2 8 al YouGov CBS October 20 23 2020 1 022 LV 4 1 43 49 8 am Trafalgar Group October 20 22 2020 1 098 LV 2 89 49 47 2 2 an Pulse Opinion Research Rasmussen Reports October 20 21 2020 800 LV 3 5 45 45 10 ao Citizen Data October 17 20 2020 1 000 LV 3 1 42 48 9 ap Ipsos Reuters October 14 20 2020 660 LV 4 3 47 47 6 aq Morning Consult October 11 20 2020 1 904 LV 2 2 42 48 Meredith College October 16 19 2020 732 LV 3 5 38 43 4 15 ar Change Research CNBC October 16 19 2020 521 LV as 45 51 Data for Progress D October 15 18 2020 929 LV 3 2 42 46 1 11 at East Carolina University October 15 18 2020 1 155 LV 3 4 47 48 5 au ABC Washington Post October 12 17 2020 646 LV 4 5 47 49 4 av Emerson College October 13 14 2020 721 LV 3 6 44 45 12 aw Civiqs Daily Kos October 11 14 2020 1 211 LV 3 3 45 51 2 3 ax Siena College NYT Upshot October 9 13 2020 627 LV 4 5 37 41 4 19 ay Ipsos Reuters October 7 13 2020 660 LV 4 3 42 46 12 az Monmouth University October 8 11 2020 500 RV 4 4 44 48 3 4 ba 500 LV bb 44 49 6 bc 500 LV bd 47 48 4 ab SurveyUSA October 8 11 2020 669 LV 4 8 39 49 11 be Susquehanna Polling amp Research Inc R E October 7 11 2020 500 LV 4 3 44 46 9 bf RMG Research Archived October 14 2020 at the Wayback Machine bg October 7 11 2020 800 LV 36 46 4 15 bh Morning Consult October 2 11 2020 1 993 LV 2 2 41 47 Ipsos Reuters September 29 October 6 2020 693 LV 4 2 42 47 11 bi Public Policy Polling October 4 5 2020 911 V 3 3 42 48 11 bj Data For Progress D September 30 October 5 2020 1 285 LV 2 7 39 50 2 9 bk Change Research CNBC October 2 4 2020 396 LV 46 50 4 bl East Carolina University October 2 4 2020 1 232 LV 3 2 47 46 7 bm ALG Research D F September 22 28 2020 822 V 41 53 Hart Research Associates D G September 24 27 2020 400 LV 4 9 41 54 YouGov CBS September 22 25 2020 1 213 LV 3 6 38 48 14 bn YouGov UMass Lowell September 18 25 2020 921 LV 4 1 43 49 8 bo Meredith College September 18 22 2020 705 RV 3 5 42 43 4 13 bp Change Research CNBC September 18 20 2020 579 LV 43 48 9 bq Harper Polling Civitas R September 17 20 2020 612 LV 3 96 38 44 3 15 br Morning Consult September 11 20 2020 1 604 LV 2 7 38 bs 47 Emerson College September 16 18 2020 717 LV 3 6 43 49 8 bt Morning Consult September 8 17 2020 1 664 LV as 2 4 39 46 Ipsos Reuters September 11 16 2020 586 LV 4 6 44 48 9 bu Siena College NYT Upshot September 11 16 2020 653 LV 4 3 37 42 2 19 bv Redfield amp Wilton Strategies September 12 15 2020 1 092 LV 2 97 38 49 13 bw Suffolk University September 10 14 2020 500 LV 4 4 38 42 6 15 bx SurveyUSA September 10 13 2020 596 LV 5 6 40 47 13 by CNN SSRS September 9 13 2020 787 LV 4 4 46 47 3 4 bz 893 RV 4 1 44 46 4 6 ca Kaiser Family Foundation Cook Political Report August 29 September 13 2020 1 116 RV 37 41 22 cb The Trafalgar Group R September 9 11 2020 1 046 LV 3 0 45 46 3 6 cc Rasmussen Reports Pulse Opinion Research September 7 8 2020 1 000 LV 3 0 44 47 10 cd Benenson Strategy Group GS Strategy Group H August 8 September 8 2020 1 600 LV 2 5 39 42 5 13 ce Change Research CNBC September 4 6 2020 442 LV 4 6 44 51 5 cf Redfield amp Wilton Strategies August 30 September 3 2020 951 LV 3 2 37 47 16 cg Monmouth University August 29 September 1 2020 401 RV 4 9 45 46 2 7 ch 401 LV ci 45 47 8 cj 401 LV ck 46 46 8 cj FOX News August 29 September 1 2020 722 LV 3 5 42 48 3 8 cl 804 RV 40 47 3 10 cm East Carolina University August 29 30 2020 1 101 LV 3 4 44 44 12 cn Change Research CNBC August 21 23 2020 560 LV 3 6 42 52 6 co Morning Consult August 14 23 2020 1 541 LV 2 0 39 47 14 Redfield and Wilton Strategies August 16 18 2020 856 LV 3 4 38 47 16 cp East Carolina University August 12 13 2020 1 255 RV 3 2 40 44 16 cq Emerson College August 8 10 2020 673 LV 3 8 42 44 14 cr Harper Polling Civitas R August 6 10 2020 600 LV 4 0 38 41 2 18 cs Change Research CNBC August 7 9 2020 491 LV 4 4 43 48 10 ct Public Policy Polling D I July 30 31 2020 934 V 3 2 44 48 8 bt Data for Progress July 24 August 2 2020 1 170 LV 3 2 41 49 10 cu YouGov CBS July 28 31 2020 1 121 LV 3 8 39 48 12 cv HIT Strategies D J July 23 31 2020 400 RV 4 9 32 48 21 cw Change Research CNBC July 24 26 2020 284 LV 5 6 40 52 8 Morning Consult July 17 26 2020 1 504 LV 3 0 37 46 17 Cardinal Point Analytics R Archived July 30 2020 at the Wayback Machine cx July 22 24 2020 735 LV 3 6 43 43 1 13 cy Public Policy Polling July 22 23 2020 939 V 3 2 40 48 13 cz Redfield amp Wilton Strategies July 19 23 2020 919 LV 3 2 36 47 16 da Marist College NBC News July 14 22 2020 882 RV 4 0 41 50 10 db Spry Strategies R K July 11 16 2020 750 LV 3 5 40 40 20 dc Cardinal Point Analytics R July 13 15 2020 547 LV 4 2 44 47 1 7 dd Change Research CNBC July 10 12 2020 655 LV 3 8 42 49 9 de Public Policy Polling July 7 8 2020 818 V 3 4 39 47 15 df Change Research CNBC June 26 28 2020 468 LV as 3 9 41 51 8 dg East Carolina University June 22 25 2020 1 149 RV 3 4 41 41 18 dh Public Policy Polling June 22 23 2020 1 157 V 2 9 40 44 16 di FOX News June 20 23 2020 1 012 RV 3 0 37 39 3 20 dj NYT Upshot Siena College June 8 18 2020 653 RV 4 1 39 42 19 dk Gravis Marketing R L June 17 2020 631 RV 3 9 46 45 9 Redfield amp Wilton Strategies June 14 17 2020 902 LV 3 3 36 45 19 dl Public Policy Polling June 2 3 2020 913 V 3 2 41 43 16 di Harper Polling Civitas R May 26 28 2020 500 LV 4 4 38 36 3 24 dm Meeting Street Insights R Archived June 5 2020 at the Wayback Machine dn May 9 13 2020 500 RV 3 8 44 46 8 bt East Carolina University May 7 9 2020 1 111 RV 3 4 40 41 19 do Civiqs Daily Kos D May 2 4 2020 1 362 RV 3 0 41 50 9 dp Meredith College April 27 28 2020 604 RV 4 0 34 44 22 SurveyUSA April 23 26 2020 580 LV 5 5 39 41 20 dq Public Policy Polling April 14 15 2020 1 318 LV 3 4 40 47 13 Harper Polling Civitas R Archived April 23 2020 at the Wayback Machine April 5 7 2020 500 LV 4 4 38 34 28 East Carolina University February 27 28 2020 1 288 RV 3 2 44 42 14 NBC News Marist February 23 27 2020 2 120 RV 2 6 43 48 9 Public Policy Polling M February 25 26 2020 as 911 RV 41 46 13 Public Opinion Strategies R N January 11 15 2020 800 LV 3 5 48 44 8 ALG Research D O January 8 13 2020 700 LV 42 44 13 Meredith College September 29 October 7 2019 996 RV 3 33 33 32 Public Policy Polling D O September 16 17 2019 628 V 3 9 43 45 12 Fabrizio Ward H July 29 31 2019 600 LV 4 0 41 42 17 Public Policy Polling P June 17 18 2019 610 RV 4 0 40 41 19 Hypothetical pollingwith Erica D Smith Poll source Date s administered Samplesize a Marginof error ThomTillis R Erica D Smith D Undecided Meredith College September 29 October 7 2019 996 RV 3 33 34 17 Emerson College Archived June 4 2019 at the Wayback Machine May 31 June 3 2019 932 RV 3 1 39 46 15 with Generic Democrat Poll source Date s administered Samplesize a Marginof error ThomTillis R GenericDemocrat Undecided Public Policy Polling D Q June 30 July 1 2017 1 102 V 3 6 44 48 8 with Thom Tillis and Generic Opponent Poll source Date s administered Samplesize a Marginof error ThomTillis R GenericOpponent Other Undecided Fabrizio Ward H July 29 31 2019 600 LV 4 0 26 52 dr 3 ds 19 with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat Poll source Date s administered Samplesize a Marginof error GenericRepublican GenericDemocrat Other Undecided Ipsos Reuters September 11 16 2020 586 LV 4 6 47 48 5 dt Siena College NYT Upshot September 11 16 2020 653 LV 4 3 48 44 8 du Emerson College August 8 10 2020 673 LV 3 8 45 44 11 bj Harper Polling Civitas R August 6 10 2020 600 LV 4 42 43 16 dv Harper Polling Civitas R May 26 28 2020 500 LV 4 38 43 40 17 dw Harper Polling Civitas R Archived April 23 2020 at the Wayback Machine April 5 7 2020 500 LV 4 4 41 42 17 dw Harper Polling Civitas R Released March 17 2020 m 44 41 15 dx Climate Nexus Feb 11 15 2020 675 RV 3 9 43 46 11 Harper Polling Civitas R Released October 17 2019 m 40 41 20 dy Harper Polling Civitas R Released September 11 2019 m 37 42 21 dz Harper Polling Civitas R Released August 4 2019 m 39 37 24 ea Fabrizio Ward H July 29 31 2019 600 LV 4 0 44 44 11 eb Harper Polling Civitas R Released June 10 2019 m 38 38 24 ec Harper Polling Civitas R Released May 5 2019 m 39 39 22 ed Harper Polling Civitas R Released March 17 2019 m 37 40 22 ee Harper Polling Civitas R Released February 13 2019 m 37 38 25 ef Results edit Like many Republican Senate candidates in 2020 Tillis did much better on Election Day than pre election prediction polling indicated The senator narrowly defeated Cunningham 48 7 to 46 9 and slightly outperformed President Trump in terms of margin of victory Tillis s upset victory has been largely attributed to Cunningham s response to his alleged affair as well as Tillis s fierce campaigning during the last few weeks of the campaign 124 2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina 125 Party Candidate Votes Republican Thom Tillis incumbent 2 665 598 48 69 0 13 Democratic Cal Cunningham 2 569 965 46 94 0 32 Libertarian Shannon Bray 171 571 3 13 0 61 Constitution Kevin E Hayes 67 818 1 24 N A Total votes 5 474 952 100 0 Republican hold By county County 126 Thom TillisRepublican Cal CunninghamDemocratic Shannon BrayLibertarian Kevin HayesConstitution Margin Totalvotes Alamance 44 246 51 74 38 038 44 49 2 302 2 69 922 1 08 6 208 7 26 85 508 Alexander 14 739 73 53 4 287 21 39 563 2 81 455 2 27 10 452 52 15 20 044 Alleghany 4 082 67 95 1 587 26 42 192 3 20 146 2 43 2 495 41 53 6 007 Anson 4 981 44 84 5 756 51 82 204 1 84 167 1 50 775 6 98 11 108 Ashe 10 619 67 91 4 279 27 37 457 2 92 281 1 80 6 340 40 55 15 636 Avery 6 865 73 65 2 079 22 30 246 2 64 131 1 41 4 786 51 35 9 321 Beaufort 15 448 59 31 9 439 36 24 706 2 71 453 1 74 6 009 23 07 26 046 Bertie 3 597 37 11 5 825 60 09 158 1 63 114 1 18 2 228 22 98 9 694 Bladen 8 967 53 12 7 280 43 13 399 2 36 235 1 39 1 687 9 99 16 881 Brunswick 52 971 59 38 32 180 36 08 2 881 3 23 1 170 1 31 20 791 23 31 89 202 Buncombe 60 688 37 92 92 664 57 90 5 054 3 16 1 636 1 02 31 976 19 98 160 042 Burke 28 934 65 51 13 108 29 68 1 309 2 96 819 1 85 15 826 35 83 44 170 Cabarrus 61 231 52 74 48 886 42 11 4 261 3 67 1 724 1 48 12 345 10 63 116 102 Caldwell 29 971 70 76 10 288 24 29 1 299 3 07 799 1 89 19 683 46 47 42 357 Camden 4 181 71 62 1 403 24 03 183 3 13 71 1 22 2 778 47 59 5 838 Carteret 28 492 67 47 11 823 28 00 1 312 3 11 601 1 42 16 669 39 47 42 228 Caswell 6 643 55 54 4 916 41 10 278 2 32 124 1 04 1 727 14 44 11 961 Catawba 54 004 65 16 24 845 29 98 2 550 3 08 1 484 1 79 29 159 35 18 82 883 Chatham 21 039 43 52 25 697 53 16 1 171 2 42 431 0 89 4 658 9 64 48 338 Cherokee 12 048 73 98 3 589 22 04 408 2 50 241 1 48 8 459 51 94 16 286 Chowan 4 353 56 61 3 124 40 63 139 1 81 73 0 95 1 229 15 98 7 689 Clay 4 897 71 90 1 676 24 61 140 2 05 98 1 44 3 221 47 29 6 811 Cleveland 32 022 63 06 16 752 32 99 1 235 2 43 768 1 51 15 270 30 07 50 777 Columbus 15 563 59 62 9 599 36 77 516 1 98 424 1 62 5 964 22 85 26 102 Craven 29 542 56 25 20 416 38 87 1 772 3 37 791 1 51 9 126 17 38 52 521 Cumberland 57 121 39 20 81 001 55 59 5 379 3 69 2 218 1 52 23 880 16 39 145 719 Currituck 11 368 71 29 3 849 24 14 554 3 47 175 1 10 7 519 47 15 15 946 Dare 13 581 56 98 9 284 38 95 766 3 21 204 0 86 4 297 18 03 23 835 Davidson 60 686 68 81 23 660 26 83 2 496 2 83 1 346 1 53 37 026 41 99 88 188 Davie 17 415 69 21 6 570 26 11 781 3 10 396 1 57 10 845 43 10 25 162 Duplin 12 954 57 75 8 689 38 73 477 2 13 312 1 39 4 265 19 01 22 432 Durham 34 152 19 20 138 429 77 40 5 041 2 82 1 224 0 68 104 277 58 30 178 846 Edgecombe 8 582 33 90 15 952 63 01 506 2 00 278 1 10 7 370 29 11 25 318 Forsyth 83 228 41 72 107 277 53 77 6 533 3 27 2 471 1 24 24 049 12 05 199 509 Franklin 19 654 52 94 15 659 42 18 1 246 3 36 565 1 52 3 995 10 76 37 124 Gaston 69 398 60 77 39 595 34 67 3 548 3 11 1 660 1 45 29 803 26 07 114 201 Gates 3 205 54 46 2 474 42 04 132 2 24 74 1 26 731 12 42 5 885 Graham 3 355 73 75 1 013 22 27 94 2 07 87 1 91 2 342 51 48 4 549 Granville 15 687 50 02 14 368 45 82 908 2 90 396 1 26 1 319 4 21 31 359 Greene 4 591 52 78 3 842 44 17 189 2 17 77 0 89 749 8 61 8 699 Guilford 104 908 37 18 165 823 58 77 8 587 3 04 2 819 1 00 60 915 21 59 282 137 Halifax 9 446 36 93 15 438 60 36 456 1 78 237 0 93 5 992 23 43 25 577 Harnett 33 321 57 57 21 523 37 18 2 128 3 68 911 1 57 11 798 20 38 57 883 Haywood 21 502 59 26 13 113 36 14 1 081 2 98 587 1 62 8 389 23 12 36 283 Henderson 39 359 57 99 25 782 37 99 1 964 2 89 768 1 13 13 577 20 00 67 873 Hertford 3 305 31 80 6 815 65 58 154 1 48 118 1 14 3 510 33 78 10 392 Hoke 8 638 40 40 11 466 53 62 909 4 25 370 1 73 2 828 13 22 21 383 Hyde 1 315 53 26 1 075 43 54 53 2 15 26 1 05 240 9 72 2 469 Iredell 64 319 63 44 31 893 31 46 3 487 3 44 1 687 1 66 32 426 31 98 101 386 Jackson 10 763 50 68 9 382 44 17 788 3 71 306 1 44 1 381 6 50 21 239 Johnston 64 822 58 82 39 771 36 09 3 953 3 59 1 667 1 51 25 051 22 73 110 213 Jones 3 046 55 85 2 124 38 94 182 3 34 102 1 87 922 16 91 5 454 Lee 15 419 53 70 11 851 41 27 979 3 41 465 1 62 3 568 12 43 28 714 Lenoir 13 898 49 43 13 284 47 24 591 2 10 346 1 23 614 2 18 28 119 Lincoln 34 673 69 66 12 858 25 83 1 482 2 98 763 1 53 21 815 43 83 49 776 Macon 13 408 65 35 6 248 30 45 521 2 54 340 1 66 7 160 34 90 20 517 Madison 7 399 57 17 4 987 38 53 362 2 80 195 1 51 2 412 18 64 12 943 Martin 6 034 48 57 5 973 48 08 257 2 07 160 1 29 61 0 49 12 424 McDowell 15 894 69 87 5 934 26 09 565 2 48 354 1 56 9 960 43 79 22 747 Mecklenburg 186 693 33 18 350 775 62 34 19 764 3 51 5 440 0 97 164 082 29 16 562 672 Mitchell 6 735 75 32 1 919 21 46 181 2 02 107 1 20 4 816 53 86 8 942 Montgomery 7 741 60 95 4 379 34 48 324 2 55 256 2 02 3 362 26 47 12 700 Moore 35 682 61 71 19 633 33 95 1 760 3 04 748 1 29 16 049 27 76 57 823 Nash 24 719 47 63 25 474 49 09 1 117 2 15 585 1 13 755 1 46 51 895 New Hanover 61 415 47 13 61 702 47 35 5 516 4 23 1 685 1 29 287 0 22 130 318 Northampton 3 720 37 16 6 005 59 98 187 1 87 99 0 99 2 285 22 82 10 011 Onslow 42 868 60 21 23 344 32 79 3 627 5 09 1 363 1 91 19 524 27 42 71 202 Orange 20 862 24 68 61 214 72 42 1 961 2 32 488 0 58 40 352 47 74 84 525 Pamlico 4 589 60 53 2 681 35 36 188 2 48 123 1 62 1 908 25 17 7 581 Pasquotank 9 491 48 31 9 421 47 95 538 2 74 198 1 01 70 0 36 19 648 Pender 20 660 61 20 11 272 33 39 1 274 3 77 553 1 64 9 388 27 81 33 759 Perquimans 4 817 64 87 2 382 32 08 139 1 87 88 1 19 2 435 32 79 7 426 Person 12 192 56 49 8 475 39 27 600 2 78 315 1 46 3 717 17 22 21 582 Pitt 37 947 43 67 45 598 52 47 2 510 2 89 846 0 97 7 651 8 80 86 901 Polk 7 394 60 35 4 436 36 21 286 2 33 136 1 11 2 958 24 14 12 252 Randolph 53 357 73 52 15 973 22 01 2 097 2 89 1 143 1 58 37 384 51 51 72 570 Richmond 11 002 53 85 8 510 41 65 566 2 77 352 1 72 2 492 12 20 20 430 Robeson 25 211 54 87 19 135 41 64 955 2 08 648 1 41 6 076 13 22 45 949 Rockingham 28 971 61 23 16 189 34 22 1 473 3 11 680 1 44 12 782 27 02 47 313 Rowan 46 446 63 84 22 615 31 09 2 254 3 10 1 433 1 97 23 831 32 76 72 748 Rutherford 23 596 69 26 9 136 26 82 781 2 29 554 1 63 14 460 42 45 34 067 Sampson 16 521 58 25 10 818 38 15 636 2 24 385 1 36 5 703 20 11 28 360 Scotland 7 066 48 86 6 850 47 37 322 2 23 223 1 54 216 1 49 14 461 Stanly 23 891 71 17 8 045 23 96 961 2 86 674 2 01 15 846 47 20 33 571 Stokes 18 599 72 99 5 611 22 02 812 3 19 458 1 80 12 988 50 97 25 480 Surry 25 475 70 17 9 267 25 53 1 030 2 84 531 1 46 16 208 44 65 36 303 Swain 3 846 55 17 2 696 38 67 298 4 27 131 1 88 1 150 16 50 6 971 Transylvania 11 209 55 48 8 158 40 38 552 2 73 286 1 42 3 051 15 10 20 205 Tyrrell 945 52 97 778 43 61 37 2 07 24 1 35 167 9 36 1 784 Union 79 645 61 34 45 096 34 73 3 765 2 90 1 338 1 03 34 549 26 61 129 844 Vance 7 876 37 84 12 247 58 84 455 2 19 237 1 14 4 371 21 00 20 815 Wake 232 388 37 05 367 718 58 63 22 230 3 54 4 893 0 78 135 330 21 58 627 229 Warren 3 520 34 30 6 437 62 72 194 1 89 112 1 09 2 917 28 42 10 263 Washington 2 584 42 05 3 329 54 17 128 2 08 104 1 69 745 12 12 6 145 Watauga 14 216 44 59 16 193 50 80 1 138 3 57 331 1 04 1 977 6 20 31 878 Wayne 29 174 53 10 23 528 42 82 1 419 2 58 823 1 50 5 646 10 28 54 944 Wilkes 25 488 72 67 8 074 23 02 924 2 64 587 1 67 17 414 49 65 35 073 Wilson 18 642 46 13 20 445 50 59 885 2 19 439 1 09 1 803 4 46 40 411 Yadkin 14 798 74 86 4 036 20 42 553 2 80 381 1 93 10 762 54 44 19 768 Yancey 7 038 62 39 3 833 33 98 250 2 22 159 1 41 3 205 28 41 11 280 Totals 2 665 598 48 69 2 569 965 46 94 171 571 3 13 67 818 1 24 95 633 1 75 5 474 952 Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican Bladen largest municipality Elizabethtown Gates largest municipality Gatesville Granville largest municipality Oxford Hyde largest municipality Ocracoke Jackson largest municipality Cullowhee Lenoir largest municipality Kinston Martin largest municipality Williamston Pasquotank largest municipality Elizabeth City Richmond largest municipality Rockingham Robeson largest municipality Lumberton Scotland largest municipality Laurinburg Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic Nash largest municipality Rocky Mount New Hanover largest municipality Wilmington Watauga largest municipality Boone See also edit2020 North Carolina electionsNotes editPartisan clients a b Poll sponsored by the Garland Tucker campaign a b c Poll conducted by the Club for Growth a pro Republican PAC Compete Everywhere primarily supports Democratic candidates Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care a pro Affordable Care Act organization Poll sponsored by The American Greatness PAC which is pro Trump Poll sponsored by Piedmont Rising a pro Affordable Care Act organization Poll sponsored by The Human Rights Campaign which has endorsed Biden prior to this poll s sampling period a b c d Poll sponsored by AARP This poll s sponsor had endorsed Cunningham prior to the sampling period This poll s sponsor DFER primarily supports Democratic candidates This poll s sponsor is the American Principles Project a 501 that supports the Republican Party Polling was sponsored by OANN Poll sponsored by private client Internal poll a b Poll sponsored by End Citizens United an organization that has exclusively endorsed Democratic candidates Poll sponsored by VoteVets org Poll sponsored by Save My Care a pro Affordable Care Act organisation Voter samples and additional candidates a b c d e f g h i Key A all adultsRV registered votersLV likely votersV unclear Hudson with 8 Holmquist with 5 Holmquist and Hudson with 5 Holmquist and Hudson with 3 Holmquist and Hudson with 4 Holmquist with 3 Hudson with 2 Hudson with 3 Holmquist with 2 If the only candidates were Smith and Tillis None of the above with 5 other with 0 If the only candidates were Tillis and Tucker a b c d Standard VI response a b Response after pollster addresses respondents with talking points about Tillis a b c d e f g h i Not yet released Response after pollster addresses respondents with short biographies for Tillis and Walker Response after short biographies and talking points about Tillis a b Listed as would consider another candidate in a Republican primary Calculated by taking the difference of 100 and all other candidates combined Refused with 2 Did not vote would not vote and Undecided with 1 Some other candidate with 4 would not vote with 0 Undecided Refused with 2 Hayes C with 1 Other candidate or write in with 0 Hayes C with 2 a b With voters who lean towards a given candidate Someone else with 2 Hayes C and Undecided with 2 None of these with 1 Other with 0 Some other candidate with 3 Undecided with 6 Some other candidate with 3 Refused with 2 Did would not vote with 0 Undecided with no voters Hayes C with 2 Undecided with 6 a b Other and Undecided with 2 a b Undecided with 9 Would not vote with 2 Hayes C with 1 Someone else with 0 Undecided Refused with 6 Some other candidate with 3 would not vote with 0 Undecided Refused with 1 Archived November 1 2020 at the Wayback Machine a b c Someoene else with 4 Undecided with 5 Results generated with high Democratic turnout model Results generated with high Republican turnout model Other with 3 Undecided with 4 Did not vote with 1 Another candidate with no voters Undecided with 6 Hays C with 1 Undecided with 7 Someone else with 3 Undecided with 5 Hayes C with 1 Undecided with 2 Some other candidate with 4 Undecided with 6 Other with 3 Undecided with 6 Some other candidate and Undecided Refused with 3 would not vote with 0 Hayes C with 1 Undecided with 14 a b c d Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight Hayes C with 1 Undecided with 10 Did would not vote and Some other candidate with 1 Refused with 0 Undecided with 3 Neither with 1 Other and would not vote with 0 Undecided with 3 Undecided with 12 Hayes C with 1 Someone else with 0 Undecided with 2 Hayes C with 3 would not vote with 1 Someone else with 0 Undecided Refused with 15 Some other candidate with 5 would not vote with 0 Undecided Refused with 7 No one with 1 Hayes C with 0 Other candidate with no voters Undecided with 3 With a likely voter turnout model featuring high turnout Other and Undecided with 3 With a likely voter turnout model featuring low turnout Some other candidate with 3 Undecided with 8 Other and Refused with 1 Undecided with 7 Archived October 14 2020 at the Wayback Machine Some other candidate with 3 Undecided with 12 Some other candidate with 4 would not vote with 0 Undecided Refused with 7 a b Undecided with 11 Hayes C with 1 Undecided with 8 Would not vote with 1 Undecided with 3 Some other candidate with 3 Refused and would not vote with 1 Undecided with 2 Someone else with 3 Undecided with 11 Another candidate with 1 Undecided with 7 Hayes C with 1 Undecided with 12 Would not vote with 2 Don t recall with 0 Undecided with 7 Bray L with 2 Undecided with 13 Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll but more information available regarding sample size a b c Undecided with 8 Some other candidate with 2 would not vote with 1 Undecided with 6 Hayes C Someone else and would not vote with 1 Undecided Refused with 16 Another Third Party Write in with 4 Undecided with 9 Bray L with 6 Hayes C and Other with 2 Refused with 0 Undecided with 11 Another candidate with 3 Undecided with 10 Hayes C with 1 None of these and Other with no voters Undecided with 3 Hayes C with 1 None of these and Other with 0 Undecided with 5 Neither Another Party with 3 Undecided Don t know Refused with 19 Hayes C with 1 Undecided with 5 Another candidate with 3 Undecided with 7 Hayes with 1 Someone else with 0 Undecided with 12 Would not vote with 1 Undecided with 4 Another Third Party Write in with 3 Undecided with 13 Hayes C and No one with 1 Other candidate with lt 1 Undecided with 5 With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election a b Other and Undecided with 4 With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election Hayes C Other and would not vote with 1 Undecided with 5 Hayes C with 2 Other and would not vote with 1 Undecided with 6 Some other candidate with 3 Would not vote with 0 Undecided with 9 Would not vote with 1 Undecided with 5 Third party write in with 3 Undecided with 13 Some other candidate with 5 would not vote with 1 Undecided with 10 Undecided with 14 Hayes C with 2 Undecided with 16 Would not vote with 2 Undecided with 8 No one with 10 Someone else with 3 Undecided with 9 Third party candidate with 4 would not vote with 2 Undecided with 15 Archived July 30 2020 at the Wayback Machine Hayes C with 2 Undecided with 11 Undecided with 13 Third party write in with 2 Undecided with 14 Other with 1 Undecided with 9 Another candidate with 6 Undecided with 13 Hayes C with 1 Undecided with 6 Undecided with 7 would not vote with 2 Undecided with 15 Undecided with 7 would not vote with 1 Undecided with 10 Some other candidate with 8 a b Undecided with 16 Undecided with 15 Hayes C with 3 other and would not vote with 1 Undecided with 17 Another candidate and would not vote with 1 Undecided with 16 Another third party write in with 3 Hayes C with 2 Undecided with 21 Archived June 5 2020 at the Wayback Machine Undecided with 11 other candidate with 8 Undecided with 5 Someone else with 4 Undecided with 20 It is time to give a new person a chance to do better with 50 as opposed to Thillis has performed his job as U S Senator well enough to deserve re election Refused with 3 Prefer not to answer Refused with 4 Candidate from another political party with 1 Will not vote not sure with 0 Undecided Refused with 8 Neither and Other Party with 1 Undecided with 14 a b Undecided with 14 Neither other independent with 3 Undecided with 11 Neither other independent with 4 Undecided with 17 Neither other independent with 3 Undecided with 16 Neither other independent with 5 Undecided with 19 Neither other independent with 5 Undecided with 8 don t know refused with 3 Undecided with 18 Neither other independent with 6 Undecided with 17 Neither other independent with 5 Undecided with 15 Neither other independent with 7 Undecided with 21 Neither other independent with 4 References edit a b c NC SBE Contest Results er ncsbe gov North Carolina Board of Elections Retrieved March 7 2020 Thom Tillis claims victory Cal Cunningham waiting on all votes to be counted wcnc com November 3 2020 Robertson Gary D October 3 2020 N Carolina Senate race upended by sexting virus diagnosis Associated Press Buck Rebecca October 3 2020 Democratic Senate candidate in North Carolina confirms romantic texts with woman who isn t his wife CNN Retrieved July 21 2022 Arkin James October 6 2020 Cal Cunningham under fire after more texts revealed Politico Retrieved October 7 2020 Copp Tara Murphy Brian Alexander Ames October 7 2020 After woman confirms affair her husband calls on Cunningham to drop out of NC Senate race News amp Observer Retrieved October 9 2020 Forecasting the US elections economist com Retrieved February 12 2021 Latest Polls fivethirtyeight com June 28 2018 Retrieved February 12 2021 Despite A Sexting Scandal Democrat Cal Cunningham Is Favored In North Carolina s Senate Race fivethirtyeight com October 15 2020 Retrieved February 12 2021 Cunningham concedes to US Sen Tillis in North Carolina Associated Press Retrieved February 12 2021 Snell Kelsey Walsh Deirdre November 10 2020 GOP Sen Thom Tillis Wins Reelection In North Carolina After Democrat Concedes NPR org Retrieved January 4 2021 Fordham Evie November 10 2020 Cal Cunningham concedes to Thom Tillis in North Carolina Senate race Fox News Retrieved November 10 2020 Cohen Zach C December 5 2018 How 2014 s Outsiders Became 2020 s Insiders National Journal Archived from the original on July 9 2019 Retrieved December 5 2018 a b c Robertson Gary D December 20 2019 N Carolina candidates rush for legislature Meadows seat Raleigh News amp Observer Archived from the original on December 25 2019 Retrieved December 20 2019 Woolverton Paul April 17 2019 Near death experience inspires Eric Mansfield to consider US Senate race The Fayetteville Observer Retrieved April 26 2019 Pathe Simone December 2 2019 Garland Tucker drops Senate primary challenge to North Carolina s Thom Tillis Roll Call Retrieved December 2 2019 Frey Kevin KevinFreyTV April 30 2019 In interview with costareports Rep Mark Meadows says there s zero chance he will primary SenThomTillis but says he believes Tillis will have a legitimate primary opponent ncpol Tweet Retrieved April 30 2019 via Twitter Wong Scott Bolton Alexander March 13 2019 GOP s Tillis comes under pressure for taking on Trump The Hill Retrieved March 13 2019 Wong Scott Wilson Reid December 4 2019 NC rep explores Tillis primary challenge The Hill Retrieved December 4 2019 a b George W Bush to hold virtual fundraiser for Republican senators The Washington Post a b Fredericks Bob September 13 2019 John Bolton returns to former position as head of two PACs a b Thom Tillis Susan B Anthony List Archived from the original on December 6 2019 Retrieved February 27 2020 Murphy Brian December 16 2019 His House district was made a Democratic one Here s what s next for Mark Walker The News amp Observer Retrieved August 29 2020 a b Tweet Twitter com Retrieved May 10 2021 Pathe Simone May 6 2019 Trump loyalty is already at the heart of North Carolina Senate primary Roll Call Retrieved August 30 2020 Robertson Gary D June 17 2019 Democrat Cal Cunningham enters North Carolina Senate race Associated Press News Retrieved June 17 2019 Thom Tillis getting his first serious 2020 challenger charlotteobserver Retrieved January 29 2019 a b Daniel Nyamekye December 9 2019 U S Sen Tillis files for re election amid handful of challengers The Center Square Retrieved December 20 2019 Teacher becomes 3rd Democrat to seek Thom Tillis U S Senate seat in 2020 newsobserver Retrieved January 29 2019 a b North Carolina Senate 2020 Race Open Secrets Retrieved May 15 2020 Lee Eva F MS Candidate overview FEC gov Retrieved January 29 2019 Colin Campbell RaleighReporter February 8 2019 The first Democrat to announce a run for Tillis U S Senate seat is switching races to run for labor commissioner ncpol Tweet via Twitter Campbell Colin RaleighReporter July 5 2019 Just in Former state Sen Eric Mansfield announces he won t run for U S Senate after all This leaves Cal Cunningham Erica Smith and Trevor Fuller in the Democratic primary race ncpol Tweet Retrieved July 5 2019 via Twitter a b c d e Mills Thomas April 29 2019 Challengers for Tillis PoliticsNC Retrieved April 29 2019 A rising statewide star NC SPIN Balanced Debate for the Old North State January 24 2019 Retrieved January 29 2019 Morrill Jim January 30 2019 Tillis rivals gear up for a costly Senate race Could Democrats pick up a seat The Charlotte Observer Retrieved January 31 2019 Arkin James March 13 2019 Senate recruiting notebook Multiple Democrats eyeing Texas Politico Pro Retrieved March 13 2019 Tom Ross the president of the Volcker Alliance and former president of the University of North Carolina system is a potential candidate according to North Carolina Democrats Ross who was mentioned as a possible Senate candidate in 2016 but declined to run confirmed to POLITICO that people have talked to him about the race and he s considering what they have to say Schneider Elena March 6 2019 Democratic state AG won t challenge Tillis for North Carolina Senate seat Politico Retrieved March 6 2019 a b NC Sen Sen Sherrod Brown D OH Helps Cal Cunningham D Get Ready To Defeat Thom Tillis R Daily KOS December 30 2019 a b NC Sen Sen Bob Casey Jr D PA Helps Cal Cunningham D Defeat Thom Cover Up Tillis R Daily KOS February 10 2020 a b c d Morrill Jim June 17 2019 Democrat Cal Cunningham enters US Senate race and draws fire from both sides The Charlotte Observer Retrieved July 30 2019 a b NC Sen Sen Tim Kaine D VA Helps Cal Cunningham D Get Ready To Defeat Thom Tillis R Daily KOS December 30 2019 Schneider Elena May 1 2020 Klobuchar launches Campaign to aid Senate House Dems in 2020 Politico Retrieved May 1 2020 a b Harvey Gantt Endorses Cal Cunningham calfornc March 1 2020 Archived from the original on March 1 2020 Retrieved March 1 2020 a b Brown Kris December 19 2019 Brady Endorses Cal Cunningham for U S Senate A Common Sense Champion for Gun Violence Prevention Brady Campaign Retrieved December 28 2019 a b Cal Cunningham for Senate D NC Council for a Livable World Council for a Livable World a b Murphy Brian October 31 2019 National Democrats make their pick in North Carolina s Senate primary The News amp Observer Retrieved October 31 2019 a b JStreetPAC Candidates JStreetPAC Archived from the original on May 2 2018 Retrieved December 26 2019 a b Richtman Max October 29 2019 National Committee Endorses Cal Cunningham in NC Senate Race a b Endorsements replacementsltdpac Replacements Ltd PAC Editorial Board Observer February 14 2020 Our endorsement for the U S Senate Democratic primary in North Carolina The Charlotte Observer Editorial Board Charlotte Post February 27 2020 The Post endorses Mike Bloomberg for president Charlotte Post a b c Editorial Board Indy Week February 12 2020 The INDY s Endorsements for President U S Senate and Congress Indy Week a b Page by Page Report Display Page 945 of 1405 a b c Endorsements Erica Smith for Senate Archived from the original on November 11 2020 Retrieved May 10 2021 Equality North Carolina Endorsed Candidates 2020 Equality NC February 17 2020 FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy Shannon Bray PDF FEC July 16 2019 Retrieved August 22 2019 NC State Board of Elections Candidate List Grouped by Contest PDF The Green Papers North Carolina 2020 General Election The Green Papers April 22 2020 Retrieved May 15 2020 Candidate List Grouped by Contest PDF Forsyth Board of Elections April 22 2020 Retrieved June 7 2020 a b c d e Petition Search North Carolina Board of Elections August 5 2020 Retrieved August 19 2020 Morril Jim Murphy Brian February 22 2020 More successful than we could have imagined GOP group funds ads for Dem in NC race Lavelle Marianne September 14 2020 Senate 2020 In Storm Torn North Carolina an Embattled Republican Tries a Climate Friendly Image InsideClimate News Retrieved September 20 2020 Murphy Brian September 14 2020 Cunningham says during US Senate debate he d be hesitant to take COVID 19 vaccine www charlotteobserver com Retrieved May 9 2021 Murphy Brian September 22 2020 Cunningham Tillis spar over filling Supreme Court vacancy COVID 19 relief in debate www newsobserver com Retrieved May 9 2021 Article www newsobserver com Retrieved May 9 2021 Specht Paul August 19 2020 No Cunningham has not been silent on defunding police PolitiFact Retrieved September 24 2020 Arkin James October 6 2020 Cal Cunningham under fire after more texts revealed Politico Retrieved October 7 2020 Specht Paul October 6 2020 Army Reserve investigating Cunningham after woman confirms affair more texts emerge WRAL com Retrieved October 7 2020 Copp Tara Murphy Brian Alexander Ames October 7 2020 After woman confirms affair her husband calls on Cunningham to drop out of NC Senate race News amp Observer Retrieved October 9 2020 Kane Paul October 9 2020 Cunningham struggles to refocus N C Senate campaign after acknowledging extramarital relationship The Washington Post Retrieved October 10 2020 Leslie Laura October 9 2020 Asked four times whether there are more affairs not yet known Cunningham declined to say yes or no WRAL com Retrieved October 10 2020 Cal Cunningham dodges several questions during first news conference since sexting scandal WSOC October 9 2020 Retrieved October 10 2020 Greenwood Max October 9 2020 Cunningham dodges questions about text message scandal TheHill Retrieved October 10 2020 Edmondson Catie October 3 2020 Virus Diagnosis and Secret Texts Upend a Critical Senate Race in a Single Night The New York Times Retrieved October 4 2020 Berman Russell October 3 2020 Suddenly Amy Coney Barrett Might Not Have the Votes The Atlantic Silver Nate September 18 2020 Forecasting the race for the Senate FiveThirtyEight Retrieved September 18 2020 Forecasting the US elections The Economist November 2 2020 Retrieved March 13 2021 2020 Senate Race Ratings Daily Kos Elections Retrieved March 13 2021 2020 Senate Elections Model Decision Desk HQ September 2 2020 Retrieved September 2 2020 2020 Senate Ratings Senate Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report Retrieved March 11 2021 2020 Senate race ratings Sabato s Crystal Ball Retrieved March 12 2021 Battle for the Senate 2020 RCP October 23 2020 2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29 2020 The Cook Political Report Retrieved March 11 2021 2020 Election Forecast Politico November 19 2019 Defend Our GOP Senate Majority Donate NOW WinRed a b The Voter s Self Defense System Vote Smart PAC Huck Candidates Huck PAC www huckpac com Archived from the original on June 11 2020 a href Template Cite web html title Template Cite web cite web a CS1 maint unfit URL link North Carolina Grades amp Endorsements nrapvf org NRA PVF Archived from the original on November 3 2020 Retrieved February 15 2023 a href Template Cite web html title Template Cite web cite web a CS1 maint unfit URL link Republican Jewish Coalition www rjchq org Archived from the original on July 3 2020 National Right To Life And NC Right To Life Inc Endorse Thom Tillis For US Senate The Johnson County Report November 4 2019 Barack Obama wades into NC s 2020 elections with endorsements in key races The News amp Observer August 3 2020 a b c Cunningham Cal March 4 2020 North Carolina Democratic Congressional Delegation Endorses Cal Cunningham Archived from the original on May 8 2020 Retrieved April 7 2020 Schnieder Elena May 1 2020 Klobuchar launches campaign to aid Senate House Dems in 2020 Politico Serve America PAC endorses six new federal candidates Serve America PAC March 11 2020 Kinnard Meg May 21 2020 Stacey Abrams endorses candidates in 7 US Senate contests Associated Press Cunningham Cal March 5 2020 Cal Earns Additional North Carolina Endorsements Following Decisive Primary Victory Archived from the original on May 8 2020 Retrieved April 7 2020 NC Sen Mayor Pete Buttigieg D IN Helps Cal Cunningham D End Moscow Mitch s Reign Of Terror Daily KOS April 23 2020 Merica Dan May 13 2020 Buttigieg highlights importance of local officials in first post campaign endorsements CNN Retrieved May 14 2020 Bend the Arc Jewish Action PAC Bend the Arc Jewish Action Cal Cunningham Black Economic Alliance PAC Black Economic Alliance Archived from the original on May 5 2021 Retrieved September 24 2020 2020 Endorsements Communications Workers Of America Local 3611 Endorse Cal Cunningham For His Commitment To Economic Justice Calfornc Archived from the original on September 16 2020 Retrieved September 23 2020 Muller Tiffany July 30 2019 End Citizens United Endorses Cal Cunningham for U S Senate End Citizens United Equality North Carolina Releases Final Round Of 2020 Electoral Endorsements Equality NC April 23 2020 Everytown For Gun Safety Action Fund Endorses Cal Cunningham for U S Senate in North Carolina Everytown June 9 2020 2020 Feminist Majority PAC feministmajoritypac org In Key Senate Races Giffords Backs Challengers in Iowa and North Carolina Taking on NRA Backed Incumbents Giffords Human Rights Campaign Endorses 40 House 5 Senate Pro Equality Leaders Human Rights Campaign May 18 2020 Indivisible NC District 9 Indivisible NC District 9 Meet the 2020 Candidates Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs permanent dead link LCV Action Fund Endorses Cal Cunningham For Senate July 31 2019 Former North Carolina State Senator and Candidate for U S Senate Earns Endorsement from Nation s Leading Pro Choice Advocacy Group replacementsltdpac NARAL Pro Choice America March 5 2020 U S Senate Education Votes educationvotes nea org 2020 Federal Endorsements NOW PAC nowpac org Who We Support Environmental Candidates Natural Resources Defense Council NC Labor 2020 Voter Guide July 22 2020 2020 Endorsements Patriotic Millionaires patrioticmillionaires org Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Cal Cunningham and Deborah Ross to Fight for North Carolinians in Congress replacementsltdpac Planned Parenthood Action Sierra Club Endorses Cal Cunningham Calfornc Archived from the original on May 8 2020 Retrieved April 8 2020 North Carolina Official UAW Endorsements uawendorsements org United Automobile Workers Cal Cunningham for Senate VoteVets org Archived from the original on October 1 2020 Retrieved September 23 2020 Bravender Robin April 26 2020 With first quarter fundraising surge Cunningham outraises Tillis for the first time ncpolicywatch com NC Policy Watch Retrieved April 26 2020 Millard Drew December 11 2020 How the Safe Bet Lost in North Carolina The Nation Retrieved December 13 2020 State Composite Abstract Report Contest pdf PDF North Carolina State Board of Elections Retrieved November 24 2020 North Carolina Senate Election Results 2020 National Election Pool NBC News March 7 2021 Retrieved March 30 2022 Further reading editAmber Phillips October 9 2020 The Senate seats most likely to flip parties in November Washingtonpost comExternal links edit League of Women Voters of North Carolina July 29 2019 State affiliate of the U S League of Women Voters National Institute on Money in Politics Campaign Finance Institute North Carolina 2019 amp 2020 Elections OpenSecrets Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association North Carolina Voting amp Elections Toolkits North Carolina Election Tools Deadlines Dates Rules and Links Vote org Oakland CA North Carolina at Ballotpedia Official campaign websites Shannon Bray L for Senate Cal Cunningham D for Senate Thom Tillis R for Senate League of Women Voters of North Carolina July 29 2019 State affiliate of the U S League of Women Voters Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title 2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina amp oldid 1219228848, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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