Wikipedia
2020 São Paulo mayoral election
The 2020 São Paulo municipal election took place in the city of São Paulo, Brazil, with the first round taking place on 15 November 2020 and the second round taking place on 29 November 2020. Voters voted to elect the Mayor, the Vice Mayor and 55 city councillors for the administration of the city. The result was a 2nd round victory for incumbent Mayor Bruno Covas of the Brazilian Social Democratic Party (PSDB), winning 3,169,121 votes and a share of 59,38% of the popular vote, defeating political activist Guilherme Boulos of the Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL), who took 2,168,109 votes and a share of 40.62% of the popular vote.
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Mayoral election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 70.71% (first round) 69.19% (second round) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Most voted candidate per electoral zone in the second round: Boulos: 50–59% Covas: 50–59% 60–69% 70–79% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Background edit
In the 2016 São Paulo mayoral election, João Doria of the Brazilian Social Democratic Party (PSDB) was elected Mayor of São Paulo in first round with a share of 53,29% of the popular vote, defeating then incumbent Mayor Fernando Haddad, of the Workers' Party (PT).[1] Later, Doria resigned to run for governor of the State of São Paulo in the 2018 São Paulo gubernatorial election against then incumbent governor Márcio França, leaving his Vice Mayor Bruno Covas to assume as Mayor of São Paulo.[2] While facing cancer since October 2019,[3] Covas was nevertheless confirmed as candidate for the Brazilian Social Democratic Party (PSDB) for reelection.[4]
Other candidates edit
A traditional runner in the mayoral elections and federal deputy for the State of São Paulo, Celso Russomanno of the Republicanos, was endorsed by incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro as a more aligned candidate to his government, in opposition to Covas' coalition and somewhat opposition to the government, particularly in his handling of the Coronavirus Pandemic.[5]
The election would see the rise of well known and famous political and social activist Guilherme Boulos, who had previously disputed the 2018 Brazilian general election as a presidential candidate and who now had been elected in the primaries of the Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL) to run as their candidate for the city of São Paulo.[6] Slowly, he would rise to become the dominant left-wing opponent to Covas' more ideologically broad coalition of voters and Russomano's base of Bolsonaro's supporters. He would later become the front-runner in the second round alongside Covas.
Similarly to Boulos' profile, the election would also see the rise of political YouTuber and influencer Arthur do Val, known by his pseudonym "Mamãefalei" and YouTube channel of the same name, who had previously been elected in the 2018 São Paulo gubernatorial election as state deputy. He ran on a platform of right-wing liberal economic policies to revitalize and embellish São Paulo's town center and proposals to dealing with the "Cracolândia" area of São Paulo,[7] known for its high incidence of drug trafficking and drug use. He was endorsed to run for the Patriota[8] in a broad opposition to both Boulos' left-wing, Covas' coalition and Russomanos' base of Bolsonaro supporters.
Former governor of the State of São Paulo Márcio França, who had lost reelection in the 2018 São Paulo gubernatorial election to João Doria, was endorsed to run as the candidate for the Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB).[9] He ran on a moderate and traditional social democratic platform. Among his proposals he defended free bus tickets during Sundays and holidays, as well as a reduction of the working time to 6 hours a day, and 3 working days during the week.[10]
The Worker's Party (PT), struggling to maintain leadership ever since the impeachment of former president Dilma Rousseff, decided to seek out for a new figure and endorsed Jilmar Tatto as their candidate.[11] He also ran as a traditional social democrat. Among his proposals were an increase to property tax for the rich, and creation of a communication channel for the city's government, which would serve as its official broadcasting service on news agencies, TV and public newsletters.[12]
Among other lesser known candidates were Joice Hasselmann (PSL), Andrea Matarazzo (PSD), Marina Helou (REDE), Levy Fidelix (PRTB), Orlando Silva (PCdoB), Antonio Carlos (PCO) and Vera Lúcia (PSTU).[13]
Extinction of Sabarás' candidacy edit
Filipe Sabará was nominated candidate for the New Party (NOVO), but later he would be expelled from the party due to alleged inconsistencies in his curriculum, violating the party's code of ethics. Ultimately, the Regional Electoral Tribunal of São Paulo, at the party's request, ruled to extinguish his candidacy and the end of his campaign after his vice candidate Maria Helena declined to continue running.[14]
Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic edit
Amidst the COVID-19 Pandemic, the city recorded the highest abstention rate ever, with around 29.29% of voters abstaining from voting in the first round, and around 30,78% of voters abstaining from voting in the second round, also resulting in one of the lowest turnouts seen for the municipal elections of São Paulo.[15]
Candidates edit
Candidates in runoff edit
| Party | Candidate | Most relevant political office or occupation | Party | Running mate | Coalition | Electoral number | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Covas | Mayor of São Paulo (2018–2021) | Ricardo Nunes | All for São Paulo
| 45 | ||||
| Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL) | Guilherme Boulos | Professor, activist and writer | Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL) | Luiza Erundina | To Turn the Tide
| 50 | ||
Candidates failing to make runoff edit
| Party | Candidate | Most relevant political office or occupation | Party | Running mate | Coalition | Electoral number | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celso Russomanno | Member of the Chamber of Deputies (since 2015) | [[File:|100x100px|Brazilian Labour Party]] Brazilian Labour Party (PTB) | Marcos da Costa | Alliance for São Paulo | 10 | |||
| Workers' Party (PT) | Jilmar Tatto | Secretary of Transports of São Paulo (2013–2017) | Workers' Party (PT) | Carlos Zarattini | — | 13 | ||
| Vera Lúcia Salgado | Labour organizer | Lucas Nizuma | — | 16 | ||||
| Social Liberal Party (PSL) | Joice Hasselmann | Member of the Chamber of Deputies (2019–2023) | Social Liberal Party (PSL) | Ivan Sayeg | SP Deserves More
| 17 | ||
| Sustainability Network (REDE) | Marina Helou | Member of the Legislative Assembly of São Paulo (since 2019) | Sustainability Network (REDE) | Marco DiPreto | — | 18 | ||
| Brazilian Labour Renewal Party (PRTB) | Levy Fidelix | PRTB National President (1994–2021) | Brazilian Labour Renewal Party (PRTB) | Jairo Glikson | — | 28 | ||
| Workers' Cause Party (PCO) | Antonio Carlos | Member of PCO National Executive | Workers' Cause Party (PCO) | Henrique Áreas | — | 29 | ||
| Márcio França | Governor of São Paulo (2018–2019) | Democratic Labour Party (PDT) | Antonio Neto | Here We Have Word | 40 | |||
| Arthur do Val | Member of Legislative Assembly of São Paulo (2019–2022) | Adelaide Oliveira | — | 51 | ||||
| Social Democratic Party (PSD) | Andrea Matarazzo | Member of the Municipal Chamber of São Paulo (2013–2017) | Social Democratic Party (PSD) | Marta Costa | — | 55 | ||
| Communist Party of Brazil (PCdoB) | Orlando Silva | Member of the Chamber of Deputies (since 2015) | Communist Party of Brazil (PCdoB) | Andrea Barcelos | — | 65 | ||
Candidacy denied edit
| Party | Candidate | Most relevant political office or occupation | Party | Running mate | Coalition | Electoral number | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Party (NOVO) | Filipe Sabará | Secretary of Assistance and Social Development of São Paulo (2017) | New Party (NOVO) | Maria Helena | — | 30 | ||
Withdrawn candidates edit
- Antonio Carlos Mazzeo (PCB) – professor and writer.[16]
- Gil Diniz – State Deputy of São Paulo since 2019.[17][18][19]
- Henrique Meirelles (MDB) – State Secretary of Economy and Planning of São Paulo since 2019; Minister of Finances 2016–2018; President of the Central Bank of Brazil 2003–2011.[20]
- José Luiz Datena (MDB) – Journalist and TV presenter.[21]
- Vivian Mendes (UP) – President of Popular Unity in São Paulo since 2019.[22]
Declined candidates edit
- Aloizio Mercadante (PT) – Minister of Education 2012–2014, 2015–2016; Chief of Staff of the Presidency 2014–2015; Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation 2011–2012; Senator for São Paulo 2003–2011; Federal Deputy from São Paulo 1991–1995, 1999–2003.[23][24]
- Ana Estela Haddad (PT) – First Lady of São Paulo 2013–2017.[25][26][24]
- Fernando Haddad (PT) – Mayor of São Paulo 2013–2017; Minister of Education 2005–2012; candidate for Mayor of São Paulo in 2016; candidate for President of Brazil in 2018.[27][24]
- Janaína Paschoal (PSL) – State Deputy of São Paulo since 2019.[28][29][30]
- Tabata Amaral – Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2019.[23][24][31][32]
Lost in primaries or conventions edit
- Alexandre Padilha – Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2019; Municipal Secretary of Health of São Paulo 2015–2017; Minister of Health 2011–2014; Secretary of Institutional Relations 2009–2010.[23][33][34]
- Antônio Ribas Paiva (PTC) – Rural producer, entrepreneur and lawyer.[35]
- Carlos Giannazi (PSOL) – State Deputy of São Paulo since 2007; City Councillor of São Paulo 2001–2007. Candidate for Mayor of São Paulo in 2012.[18]
- Carlos Zarattini (PT) – Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2007; State Deputy of São Paulo 1999–2003.[26][24][33]
- Christian Lohbauer (NOVO) – political scientist and professor. Candidate for Vice President of Brazil in 2018.[18]
- Eduardo Jorge (PV) – Federal Deputy from São Paulo 1987–2005; State Deputy of São Paulo 1983–1987. Candidate for President of Brazil in 2014.[36]
- Eduardo Suplicy (PT) – City Councillor of São Paulo since 2017, 1989−1990; Senator for São Paulo 1991−2015; Federal Deputy from São Paulo 1983−1987; State Deputy of São Paulo 1979−1982.[24][33]
- José Eduardo Cardozo (PT) – Attorney General of the Union 2016; Minister of Justice and Public Security 2011−2016; Federal Deputy from São Paulo 2003−2011; City Councillor of São Paulo 1995−2003.[31][33]
- Kika da Silva (PT) – Activist.[37][38][33]
- Luiz Antonio de Medeiros Neto (PDT) – Federal Deputy from São Paulo 1999–2007.[18][39]
- Luiz Philippe of Orléans-Braganza (PSL) – Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2019.[40][41][42]
- Marta Suplicy (SD) – Senator for São Paulo 2011–2019; Minister of Culture 2012–2014; Minister of Tourism 2007–2008; Mayor of São Paulo 2001–2005; candidate for Mayor of São Paulo in 2004, 2008 and 2016.[43][44][45]
- Nabil Bonduki (PT) – Municipal Secretary of Culture of São Paulo 2015–2016; City Councillor of São Paulo 2001–2005; 2013–2017.[46][33]
- Nádia Campeão (PCdoB) – Vice Mayor of São Paulo 2013−2017; Municipal Secretary of Sports of São Paulo 2001−2005; candidate for Vice Governor in 2006.[24][47]
- Nelson Marconi (PDT) – economist, Getúlio Vargas Foundation professor.[18][39]
- Paulo Teixeira (PT) – Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2007; City Councillor of São Paulo 2005–2007; Director-President of Metropolitan Housing Company of São Paulo (COHAB) 2003–2004; Municipal Secretary of Housing and Urban Development of São Paulo 2001–2004; State Deputy of São Paulo 1995–2001.[26][24][33]
- Sâmia Bomfim (PSOL) – Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2019; City Councillor of São Paulo 2017−2019.[48]
Debates edit
| 2020 São Paulo mayoral election debates | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | Date | Host and Location | Moderator | Participants | ||||||||||
| Key: P Present A Absent N Not invited W Withdrawn Out Out of the election | PSOL | PSDB | PSB | PSL | REDE | PSD | Republicanos | NOVO | PT | PCdoB | Patriota | |||
| Boulos | Covas | França | Hasselmann | Helou | Matarazzo | Russomanno | Sabará | Tatto | Silva | Val | ||||
| 1.1 | Wednesday, 1 October 2020 | Band TV São Paulo, Morumbi | Eduardo Oinegue | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P |
| 1.2 | Friday, 6 November 2020 | Veja & ESPM São Paulo, Vila Mariana | Ricardo Ferraz | P | P | P | P | N | N | A | W | P | N | P |
| 1.3 | Tuesday, 10 November 2020 | O Estado de S. Paulo & FAAP São Paulo, Consolação | Vera Magalhães | P | P | P | N | N | N | P | W | P | N | P |
| 1.4 | Wednesday, 11 November 2020 | UOL & Folha de S. Paulo São Paulo, Pinheiros | Luciana Coelho Thais Oyama | P | P | P | N | N | N | P | W | N | N | N |
| 1.5 | Thursday, 12 November 2020 | TV Cultura São Paulo, Latin America Memorial | Leão Serva | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | W | P | P | P |
| 2.1 | Monday, 16 November 2020 | CNN Brazil Brazilian Financial Center, Paulista Avenue | Monalisa Perrone | P | P | Out | ||||||||
| 2.2 | Thursday, 19 November 2020 | Band TV São Paulo, Morumbi | Eduardo Oinegue | P | P | |||||||||
| 2.3 | Monday, 26 November 2020 | TV Cultura São Paulo, Lapa | Vera Magalhães | P | P | |||||||||
Outgoing Municipal Chamber edit
The result of the last municipal election and the current situation in the Municipal Chamber is given below:
Opinion polls edit
First round edit
| Active candidates |
| Bruno Covas (PSDB) |
| Celso Russomanno (REP) |
| Guilherme Boulos (PSOL) |
| Márcio França (PSB) |
| Others |
| Abstentions/Undecided |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki wiki. |
2020 edit
Published after the campaign's start edit
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Covas PSDB | Russomanno REP | Boulos PSOL | França PSB | Matarazzo PSD | Tatto PT | Val PATRI | Hasselmann PSL | Fidelix PRTB | Lúcia PSTU | Silva PCdoB | Carlos PCO | Sabará NOVO | Helou REDE | Abst. Undec. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 Election | 15 Nov | 5,338,156 | 32.85% | 10.50% | 20.24% | 13.64% | 1.55% | 8.65% | 9.78% | 1.84% | 0.22% | 0.06% | 0.23% | 0.01% | – | 0.41% | 15.98% | 12.61% |
| Ibope (exit poll) | 15 Nov[a] | 6,000 | 29% | 7% | 22% | 11% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | 1% | 13% | 7% |
| Ibope | 12–14 Nov | 1,204 | 33% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | 1% | 13% | 19% |
| Datafolha | 13–14 Nov | 2,987 | 33% | 11% | 15% | 12% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | – | 1% | 12% | 18% |
| RealTime Big Data/CNN Brasil | 12–13 Nov | 1,200 | 31% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | – | 0% | 12% | 16% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 10–12 Nov | 1,000 | 30.8% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 2,4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | – | 0.2% | 15.2% | 15.6% |
| Datafolha | 9–10 Nov | 1,092 | 32% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | – | 1% | 10% | 16% |
| Ibope | 7–9 Nov | 1,204 | 32% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | – | <1% | 16% | 20% |
| Datafolha | 3–4 Nov | 1,260 | 28% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | – | 1% | 12% | 12% |
| XP/Ipespe | 2–3 Nov | 800 | 26% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | – | 0% | 18% | 7% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 29 Oct–1 Nov | 1,000 | 25.6% | 19.5% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | – | 0.4% | 16.3% | 6.1% |
| Ibope | 28–30 Oct | 1,204 | 26% | 20% | 13% | 11% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 15% | 6% |
| XP/Ipespe | 26–27 Oct | 800 | 27% | 22% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 5% |
| 26 Oct | Filipe Sabará's candidacy is denied by the Regional Electoral Court of São Paulo, due to his expulsion from New Party.[50] | |||||||||||||||||
| Datafolha | 20–21 Oct | 1,204 | 23% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 16% | 3% |
| RealTime Big Data | 14–17 Oct | 1,050 | 24% | 25% | 12% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 19% | 1% |
| Ibope | 13–15 Oct | 1,001 | 22% | 25% | 10% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 24% | 3% |
| Datafolha | 5–6 Oct | 1,092 | 21% | 27% | 12% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 6% |
| Ibope | 30 Sep–1 Oct | 805 | 21% | 26% | 8% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 28% | 5% |
| Exame/Ideia | 19–22 Sep | 800 | 22% | 21% | 11% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 1% |
Published before the campaign's start edit
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Russomanno REP | Datena MDB | Skaf MDB | França PSB | Suplicy SDD/PMDB | Covas PSDB | Doria PSDB | Hasselmann PSL | Boulos PSOL | Bomfim PSOL | Erundina PSOL | Matarazzo PSD | Amaral PDT | Tatto PT | Haddad PT | Others | Abst. Undec. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Datafolha | 21–22 Sep | 1,092 | 29.0% | – | – | 8% | 20% | – | 1% | 9% | – | – | 2% | – | 2% | – | 8% | 21% | 9.0% | |
| Ibope | 14–20 Sep | 1,001 | 24.0% | – | – | 6.0% | 18.0% | – | 2.0% | 8.0% | – | – | 1.0% | – | 1.0% | – | 4.0% | 33.0% | 6.0% | |
| Consultoria Atlas | 26 Aug–1 Sep | 1,514 | 12.3% | – | – | 11.5% | 4.2% | 16.0% | – | 2.1% | 12.4% | – | – | 2.1% | – | 2.1% | – | 3.8% | 24.9% | 4.4% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 15–19 Aug | 1,100 | 20.5% | – | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 20.1% | – | 1% | 6.2% | – | – | 2.1% | – | 2.3% | – | 5.5% | 16.9% | 0.4% |
| RealTimeBigData | 12–13 Aug | 1,200 | 22% | – | – | 7% | 7% | 26% | – | 1% | 7% | – | – | 3% | – | 3% | – | 3% | 21% | 4% |
| 23% | – | – | 8% | – | 27% | – | 1% | 7% | – | – | 5% | – | 3% | – | 3% | 23% | 4% | |||
| Instituto Ideia Big Data | 14 Jul | 1,009 | – | – | – | 16% | 9% | 30% | – | 3% | 11% | – | – | 2% | – | 1% | – | – | – | 14% |
| – | – | – | 15% | 11% | 31% | – | – | – | 4% | – | – | – | 4% | – | – | – | 16% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 4–8 Jul | 1,200 | 18.3% | 12.9% | – | 7.8% | 6.5% | 22.6% | – | 1.3% | 5.7% | – | – | 3.8% | – | 2.1% | – | 4.3% | 14.9% | 4.3% |
| 20.0% | – | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 22.8% | – | 1.3% | 5.5% | – | – | 3.6% | – | 1.9% | – | 3.9% | 16.0% | 2.8% | |||
| – | 19.5% | – | 9.4% | 7.6% | 25.9% | – | 1.7% | 6.3% | – | – | 4.4% | – | 2.3% | – | 5.0% | 18.0% | 6.4% | |||
| – | – | – | 12.6% | – | 33.6% | – | 2.4% | 7.2% | – | – | 6.8% | – | 3.3% | – | 7.7% | 26.5% | 11.0% | |||
| Ibope | 17–19 Mar | 1,001 | 24% | – | – | 9% | – | 18% | – | 2% | 6% | – | – | 3% | – | 2% | – | 3% | 34% | 6% |
| Badra | 8–10 Jan | 2,408 | 16.0% | 7.6% | – | 9% | 13.0% | 11.2% | – | 1.5% | 4.3% | – | – | 1.7% | 1.4% | 4.0% | – | 3.8% | 27.6% | 3% |
| 2016 election | 2 Oct | – | 13.64% | – | – | – | 10.14% | – | 53.29% | – | – | – | 3.18% | – | – | – | 16.7% | 3.04% | 16.64 | 36.59% |
2019 edit
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Russomanno REP | Datena MDB | França PSB | Suplicy PMDB | Covas PSDB | Doria PSDB | Hasselmann PSL | Boulos PSOL | Erundina PSOL | Matarazzo PSD | Amaral PDT | Tatto PT | Haddad PT | Others | Abst. Undec. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XP/Ipespe 2020-03-17 at the Wayback Machine | 30 Sep–2 Oct | 1,000 | 19% | 22% | – | 11% | 10% | – | 7% | – | – | – | 3% | – | – | – | – | 3% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 20–24 Sep | 1,220 | 22.1% | 11.6% | – | – | 9.6% | – | 7.2% | 4.2% | – | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | – | 0.6% | 16.1 | 10.5% |
| 30.7% | – | 13.3% | – | 12.0% | – | 8.1% | 4.5% | – | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | – | 1.3% | 20.9% | 7.4% | |||
| 22.4% | 21.3% | 12.0% | – | 9.6% | – | 7.2% | 4.7% | – | 2.7% | 2.9% | – | – | 0.9% | 16.3% | 1.1% | |||
| 2016 election | 2 Oct | – | 13.64% | – | – | 10.14% | – | 53.29% | – | – | 3.18% | – | – | – | 16.7% | 3.04% | 16.64 | 36.59% |
Second round edit
| Active candidates |
| Bruno Covas (PSDB) |
| Guilherme Boulos (PSOL) |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki wiki. |
After the first round edit
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Covas PSDB | Boulos PSOL | Abst. Undec. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 election | 29 Nov | – | 59.38% | 40.62 | – | 18.76% |
| Valid votes | ||||||
| Ibope | 27–28 Nov | 1,204 | 57% | 43% | – | 14% |
| Datafolha | 27–28 Nov | 3,047 | 55% | 45% | – | 10% |
| Real Time Big Data | 25–26 Nov | 1,000 | 54% | 46% | – | 8% |
| Datafolha | 24–25 Nov | 1,512 | 54% | 46% | – | 8% |
| Ibope | 23–25 Nov | 1,001 | 57% | 43% | – | 14% |
| Datafolha | 23 Nov | 1,260 | 55% | 45% | – | 10% |
| Datafolha | 17–18 Nov | 1,254 | 58% | 42% | – | 16% |
| Ibope | 16–18 Nov | 1,001 | 58% | 42% | – | 16% |
| Exame/Ideia | 16–17 Nov | 800 | 64% | 36% | – | 28% |
| XP/Ipespe | 16–17 Nov | 800 | 60% | 40% | – | 20% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 16–17 Nov | 1,000 | 61.5% | 38.5% | – | 23% |
| Real Time Big Data | 16–17 Nov | 1,050 | 60% | 40% | – | 20% |
| Total votes | ||||||
| Ibope | 27–28 Nov | 1,204 | 48% | 36% | 17% | 12% |
| Datafolha | 27–28 Nov | 3,047 | 48% | 39% | 9% | 9% |
| Real Time Big Data | 25–26 Nov | 1,000 | 49% | 41% | 10% | 8% |
| Datafolha | 24–25 Nov | 1,512 | 47% | 40% | 13% | 7% |
| XP/Ipespe | 24–25 Nov | 800 | 48% | 41% | 8% | 7% |
| Ibope | 23–25 Nov | 1,001 | 48% | 37% | 15% | 11% |
| Datafolha | 23 Nov | 1,260 | 48% | 40% | 12% | 8% |
| Datafolha | 17–18 Nov | 1,254 | 48% | 35% | 17% | 13% |
| Ibope | 16–18 Nov | 1,001 | 47% | 35% | 18% | 12% |
| Exame/Ideia | 16–17 Nov | 800 | 56% | 31% | 13% | 25% |
| XP/Ipespe | 16–17 Nov | 800 | 48% | 32% | 20% | 14% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 16–17 Nov | 1,000 | 50% | 32% | 18% | 18% |
Before the first round edit
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Covas PSDB | Russomanno REP | Boulos PSOL | França PSB | Abst. Undec. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibope | 12–14 Nov | 1,204 | 53% | – | 26% | – | 21% | 27% |
| 46% | – | – | 34% | 20% | 12% | |||
| 56% | 23% | – | – | 21% | 35% | |||
| Datafolha | 13–14 Nov | 2,987 | 57% | – | 30% | – | 14% | 27% |
| 51% | – | – | 36% | 13% | 15% | |||
| 63% | 21% | – | – | 16% | 42% | |||
| RealTime Big Data/CNN Brasil | 12–13 Nov | 1,200 | 48% | – | – | 31% | 20% | 19% |
| 50% | – | 30% | – | 20% | 20% | |||
| 51% | 22% | – | – | 27% | 28% | |||
| Datafolha | 9–10 Nov | 1,096 | 59% | 25% | – | – | 16% | 34% |
| 56% | – | 30% | – | 14% | 26% | |||
| 53% | – | – | 34% | 14% | 19% | |||
| Ibope | 7–9 Nov | 1,204 | 52% | – | 24% | – | 24% | 28% |
| 54% | 22% | – | – | 25% | 32% | |||
| 47% | – | – | 30% | 23% | 17% | |||
| – | 36% | 32% | – | 32% | 4% | |||
| – | – | 24% | 45% | 30% | 21% | |||
| – | 27% | – | 45% | 28% | 18% | |||
| Datafolha | 3–4 Nov | 1,260 | 57% | 27% | – | – | 16% | 30% |
| 54% | – | 32% | – | 13% | 22% | |||
| 48% | – | – | 32% | 14% | 16% | |||
| – | 39% | 41% | – | 20% | 2% | |||
| Ibope | 28–30 Oct | 1,204 | – | – | 26% | 48% | 26% | 22% |
| – | 34% | – | 43% | 23% | 9% | |||
| – | 43% | 31% | – | 26% | 12% | |||
| 45% | – | – | 34% | 21% | 11% | |||
| 51% | – | 26% | – | 23% | 25% | |||
| 47% | 31% | – | – | 22% | 16% | |||
| Datafolha | 20–21 Oct | 1,204 | 48% | 36% | – | – | 14% | 12% |
| Ibope | 13–15 Oct | 1,001 | 40% | 39% | – | – | 21% | 1% |
| Datafolha | 5–6 Oct | 1,092 | 40% | 46% | – | – | 13% | 6% |
Results edit
Mayor edit
| Candidate | Running mate | Party | First round | Second round | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | ||||
| Bruno Covas (incumbent) | Ricardo Nunes (MDB) | PSDB | 1,754,013 | 32.85 | 3,169,121 | 59.38 | |
| Guilherme Boulos | Luiza Erundina | PSOL | 1,080,736 | 20.24 | 2,168,109 | 40.62 | |
| Márcio França | Antonio Neto (PDT) | PSB | 728,441 | 13.64 | |||
| Celso Russomanno | Marcos da Costa (PTB) | Republicanos | 560,666 | 10.50 | |||
| Arthur do Val | Adelaide Oliveira | Patriota | 522,210 | 9.78 | |||
| Jilmar Tatto | Carlos Zarattini | PT | 461,666 | 8.65 | |||
| Joice Hasselmann | Ivan Sayeg | PSL | 98,342 | 1.84 | |||
| Andrea Matarazzo | Marta Costa | PSD | 82,743 | 1.55 | |||
| Marina Helou | Marco Di'Preto | REDE | 22,073 | 0.41 | |||
| Orlando Silva | Andrea Barcelos | PCdoB | 12,254 | 0.23 | |||
| Levy Fidelix | Jairo Glikson | PRTB | 11,960 | 0.22 | |||
| Vera Lúcia Salgado | Lucas Nizuma | PSTU | 3,052 | 0.06 | |||
| Antonio Carlos | Henrique Áreas | PCO | 630 | 0.01 | |||
| Total | 5,338,786 | 100.00 | 5,337,230 | 100.00 | |||
| Valid votes | 5,338,786 | 84.02 | 5,337,230 | 85.84 | |||
| Invalid votes | 642,277 | 10.11 | 607,062 | 9.76 | |||
| Blank votes | 373,037 | 5.87 | 273,216 | 4.39 | |||
| Total votes | 6,354,100 | 100.00 | 6,217,508 | 100.00 | |||
| Registered voters/turnout | 8,986,687 | 70.71 | 8,986,687 | 69.19 | |||
| Source: UOL | |||||||
Municipal Chamber edit
Notes edit
- ^ Exit poll conducted on election day.
References edit
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