Wikipedia
2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012 to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election.
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All 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic gain | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Overview edit
| United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire, 2012[1][2] | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |
| Democratic | 340,925 | 49.96% | 2 | +2 | |
| Republican | 311,636 | 45.66% | 0 | -2 | |
| Libertarian | 29,457 | 4.32% | 0 | — | |
| Scattering | 398 | 0.06% | 0 | — | |
| Totals | 682,416 | 100.00% | 2 | — | |
District 1 edit
The redrawn 1st district currently represents all municipalities in Belknap (except for the town of Center Harbor); the entirety of Carroll, and Strafford counties; all of Rockingham County; the municipalities of Bedford, Goffstown, Manchester, and Merrimack in Hillsborough County; the town of Campton in Grafton County; and, the town of Hooksett in Merrimack County.[3]
Republican Frank Guinta, who had represented the 1st district since January 2011, ran for re-election.[4]
Republican primary edit
Candidates edit
Nominee edit
- Frank Guinta, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary edit
- Vern Clough, retired barber
- Rick Parent, candidate for this seat in 2010[5]
Primary results edit
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Frank Guinta (incumbent) | 46,979 | 84.4 | |
| Republican | Rick Parent | 6,923 | 12.4 | |
| Republican | Vern Clough | 1,639 | 3.0 | |
| Republican | Write-ins | 130 | 0.2 | |
| Total votes | 55,671 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary edit
Candidates edit
Nominee edit
- Carol Shea-Porter, former U.S. Representative[7]
Withdrawn edit
- Joanne Dowdell, businesswoman and Democratic National Committeewoman[8][9]
- Matthew Hancock, software developer[10] [11]
- Andrew Hosmer, businessman[12][13]
Primary results edit
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Carol Shea-Porter | 38,623 | 99.1 | |
| Democratic | Write-ins | 358 | 0.9 | |
| Total votes | 38,981 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary edit
Brendan Kelly, the chairman of the Seabrook Board of Selectmen, ran as a Libertarian.[15]
General election edit
Endorsements edit
Frank Guinta (R)
- Organizations
- GOProud[16]
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program[17]
Carol Shea-Porter (D)
- Organizations
Debates edit
- Complete video of debate, September 17, 2012
- Complete video of debate, October 9, 2012
Polling edit
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Frank Guinta (R) | Carol Shea-Porter (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 1–4, 2012 | 366 | ± 5.1% | 46% | 49% | 5% | — | |
| October 29–31, 2012 | 511 | ± 4.3% | 48% | 41% | 2% | 9% | |
| October 17–21, 2012 | 364 | ± 5.1% | 41% | 38% | 4% | 17% | |
| September 30 - October 6, 2012 | 200 | ± 6.9% | 45% | 35% | 3% | 17% | |
| September 27–30, 2012 | 273 | ± 5.9% | 35% | 46% | – | 18% | |
| Public Policy Polling | September 24–25, 2012 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 48% | – | 4% |
| August 1–12, 2012 | 258 | ± 6.1% | 43% | 45% | – | 12% | |
| Public Policy Polling | May 10–13, 2012 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 43% | 47% | – | 10% |
| April 9–20, 2012 | 230 | ± 6.5% | 39% | 44% | 1% | 16% | |
| Pulse Opinion Research LLC | January 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 41% | 41% | 7% | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 299 | ± 5.7% | 48% | 41% | – | 10% |
Predictions edit
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[21] | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[22] | Tossup | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[23] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[25] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[26] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[27] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results edit
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Carol Shea-Porter | 171,650 | 49.7 | |
| Republican | Frank Guinta (incumbent) | 158,659 | 46.0 | |
| Libertarian | Brendan Kelly | 14,521 | 4.2 | |
| n/a | Write-ins | 192 | 0.1 | |
| Total votes | 345,022 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
District 2 edit
The redrawn 2nd district will represent all of Cheshire, Coos, Grafton (except for the town of Campton), Merrimack (except for the town of Hooksett), and Sullivan counties; most of Hillsborough County; the towns of Atkinson, Deerfield, Northwood, Salem, and Windham in Rockingham County; and, the town of Center Harbor in Belknap County.[3]
Republican Charles Bass, who had represented the 2nd district from 1995 to 2007, and since 2011 ran for re-election. Bass won by just 1% in 2010.
Republican primary edit
Candidates edit
Nominee edit
- Charles Bass, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary edit
- Gerald Beloin
- Will Dean
- Miroslaw Dziedzic
- Dennis Lamare, insurance agent and candidate for Senate in 2010[5][30]
Primary results edit
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Charles Bass (incumbent) | 39,605 | 81.2 | |
| Republican | Dennis Lamare | 4,263 | 8.8 | |
| Republican | Will Dean | 2,129 | 4.4 | |
| Republican | Miroslaw Dziedzic | 1,310 | 2.7 | |
| Republican | Gerard Beloin | 1,127 | 2.3 | |
| Republican | Write-ins | 316 | 0.6 | |
| Total votes | 48,750 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary edit
Candidates edit
Nominee edit
- Ann McLane Kuster, attorney and nominee for this seat in 2010[31]
Primary results edit
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Anne McLane Kuster | 40,627 | 99.2 | |
| Democratic | Write-ins | 337 | 0.8 | |
| Total votes | 40,964 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary edit
Hardy Macia, owner of an iPhone/Android app development company, ran as a Libertarian.[33]
General election edit
Endorsements edit
Charlie Bass (R)
- Organizations
- GOProud[16]
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program[17]
Anne McLane Kuster (D)
- Organizations
Debates edit
- Complete video of debate, September 18, 2012
- Complete video of debate, October 10, 2012
Polling edit
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Charlie Bass (R) | Ann Kuster (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 1–4, 2012 | 423 | ± 4.8% | 43% | 53% | 4% | — | |
| October 29–31, 2012 | 511 | ± 4.33% | 41% | 47% | 1% | 11% | |
| October 17–21, 2012 | 408 | ± 4.9% | 36% | 39% | 3% | 22% | |
| September 30-October 6, 2012 | 211 | ± 6.7% | 35% | 38% | 3% | 25% | |
| September 27–30, 2012 | 325 | ± 5.4% | 34% | 36% | 2% | 28% | |
| Public Policy Polling | September 24–25, 2012 | 461 | ± 4.6% | 45% | 51% | – | 4% |
| August 1–12, 2012 | 284 | ± 5.8% | 42% | 37% | – | 21% | |
| Public Policy Polling | May 10–13, 2012 | 642 | ± 3.9% | 42% | 42% | – | 15% |
| April 9–20, 2012 | 251 | ± 6.2% | 39% | 40% | 1% | 20% | |
| Pulse Opinion Research LLC | January 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 39% | 35% | 14% | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 363 | ± 5.1% | 43% | 42% | – | 15% |
Predictions edit
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[22] | Tossup | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[23] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[25] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[26] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[27] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
Results edit
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ann McLane Kuster | 169,275 | 50.2 | |
| Republican | Charles Bass (incumbent) | 152,977 | 45.3 | |
| Libertarian | Hardy Macia | 14,936 | 4.4 | |
| n/a | Write-ins | 206 | 0.1 | |
| Total votes | 337,394 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
References edit
- ^ "Representative in Congress 2012". Elections Division, Secretary of State for New Hampshire. November 6, 2012. Retrieved April 7, 2013.
- ^ "Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election of November 6, 2012" (PDF). February 28, 2013. Retrieved April 7, 2013.
- ^ a b "SB 202-As Amended by the Senate". New Hampshire General Court. March 28, 2012. Retrieved April 28, 2012.
- ^ Cook, Robert (February 21, 2012). "Guinta to Make Several Stops in City This Week". Portsmouth, NH Patch. Retrieved April 28, 2012.
- ^ a b "In NH, a big election year by the numbers, too". Nashua Telegraph. June 20, 2012. Retrieved August 10, 2012.
- ^ a b "2012 Representative In Congress - Republican Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved September 24, 2012.
- ^ Khan, Huma (April 18, 2011). "2010 Democratic Losers Plot 2012 Comeback -- Can Dems Regain the House?". ABC News. Retrieved June 12, 2011.
- ^ Langley, Karen (April 29, 2011). "Shea-Porter issued primary challenge". Concord Monitor. Retrieved June 12, 2011.
- ^ Dandurant, Karen (April 14, 2012). "Dowdell withdraws her bid for congressional seat". The Portsmouth Herald. Retrieved April 17, 2012.
- ^ Fortier, Marc (June 17, 2012). "GOP Candidates Hop on Romney's Bus". Windham, NH Patch. Archived from the original on January 31, 2013. Retrieved August 10, 2012.
- ^ Cook, Robert (March 29, 2012). "Hancock: Fixing Economy is Job One". Portsmouth Patch. Retrieved April 17, 2012.
- ^ Miller, Joshua (August 8, 2011). "Third Democrat Enters Race to Unseat Guinta in New Hampshire". Roll Call. Retrieved August 8, 2011.
- ^ Haddadin, Jim (March 21, 2012). "U. S. Congressional candidate Hosmer now vying for state Senate seat". Foster's Daily Democrat. Retrieved April 17, 2012.
- ^ . Archived from the original on March 6, 2019. Retrieved March 2, 2019.
- ^ Chiaramida, Angeljean (March 5, 2012). "Seabrook selectman to run for Congress". The Daily News of Newburyport. Retrieved April 28, 2012.
- ^ a b . October 25, 2012. Archived from the original on October 25, 2012.
- ^ a b . electgoppatriots.org/. NRCC. Archived from the original on October 16, 2012. Retrieved March 5, 2023.
- ^ a b . DCCC. Archived from the original on October 26, 2012. Retrieved March 5, 2023.
- ^ a b . emilyslist.org. Archived from the original on November 14, 2012. Retrieved January 31, 2023.
- ^ a b . boldprogressives.org. Archived from the original on April 24, 2013. Retrieved March 4, 2023.
- ^ "The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com. November 5, 2012. Retrieved November 6, 2012.
- ^ a b "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. November 2, 2012. Retrieved November 4, 2012.
- ^ a b Race ratings chart. 2012 House Elections, as of November 4, 2012[update]
- ^ a b Crystal Ball, as of November 5, 2012[update]
- ^ a b House Race Ratings, The New York Times, as of November 4, 2012[update]
- ^ a b 2012 elections, as of November 4, 2012[update]
- ^ a b "House Ratings". The Hill. November 3, 2012. Retrieved November 4, 2012.
- ^ "State of New Hampshire General Election Congressional District 1 2012". New Hampshire Secretary of State Elections Division. November 6, 2013. Retrieved April 7, 2013.
- ^ a b Scatterings votes are listed as they were reported to the Clerk of the United States House of Representatives
- ^ Pindell, James (April 4, 2012). . WMUR Political Scoop. Archived from the original on May 11, 2012. Retrieved April 28, 2012.
- ^ Catanese, David; Isenstadt, Alex (March 31, 2011). "Dems eye GOP rematches for 2012". Politico. Retrieved June 12, 2011.
- ^ Democratic primary resultsnh.gov March 6, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Schinella, Tony (September 17, 2012). "VIDEO: Who is Hardy Macia?". Concord, NH Patch. Retrieved September 23, 2012.
- ^ "State of New Hampshire General Election Congressional District 1 2012". New Hampshire Secretary of State Elections Division. November 6, 2013. Retrieved April 7, 2013.
External links edit
- at the New Hampshire Secretary of State
- United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire, 2012 at Ballotpedia
- New Hampshire U.S. House from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions for U.S. Congressional races in New Hampshire from OpenSecrets
- Outside spending at the Sunlight Foundation