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X Article

The "X Article" is an article, formally titled "The Sources of Soviet Conduct", written by George F. Kennan and published under the pseudonym "X" in the July 1947 issue of Foreign Affairs magazine. It widely introduced the term "containment" and advocated for its strategic use against the Soviet Union. It expanded on ideas expressed by Kennan in a confidential February 1946 telegram, formally identified by Kennan's State Department number, "511", but informally dubbed the "long telegram" for its size.

George F. Kennan in 1947, the same year Foreign Affairs published his piece "The Sources of Soviet Conduct" under the pseudonym "X".

Kennan composed the long telegram to respond to inquiries about the implications of a February 1946 speech by Joseph Stalin.[note 1] Though the speech was in line with previous statements by Stalin, it provoked fear in the American press and public; Time magazine called it "the most warlike pronouncement uttered by any top-rank statesman since V-J Day".[4] The long telegram explained Soviet motivations by recounting the history of Russian rulers as well as the ideology of Marxism–Leninism. It argued that the Soviet leaders used the ideology to characterize the external world as hostile, allowing them to justify their continued hold on power despite a lack of popular support. Washington bureaucrats quickly read the confidential message and accepted it as the best explanation of Soviet behavior. The reception elevated Kennan's reputation within the State Department as one of the government's foremost Soviet experts.

After hearing Kennan speak about Soviet foreign relations at the Council on Foreign Relations in January 1947, international banker R. Gordon Wasson suggested that he share his views in an article for Foreign Affairs. Kennan revised a piece he had submitted to Secretary of the Navy James Forrestal in late-January 1947, but his role in government precluded him from publishing under his name. His superiors granted him approval to publish the piece provided it was released anonymously; Foreign Affairs attributed the article only to "X". Expressing similar sentiments to that of the long telegram, the piece was strong in its anti-communism, introducing and outlining a basic theory of containment. The article was widely read; though it does not mention the Truman Doctrine, having mostly been written before Truman's speech, it quickly became seen as an expression of the doctrine's policy. Retrospective commentators dispute the impact of the article; Henry Kissinger referred to it as "the diplomatic doctrine of the era",[5] while some historians write that its impact in shaping governmental policy has been overstated.

Background edit

 
Joseph Stalin speaking at the Bolshoi Theatre, February 9, 1946. Kennan's long telegram began as an analysis of the speech.

Joseph Stalin, General Secretary and de facto leader of the Soviet Union, spoke at the Bolshoi Theatre on February 9, 1946, the night before the symbolic 1946 Supreme Soviet election. The speech did not discuss foreign policy, but instead made pledges to expand industry. He justified the expansion by pointing to Marxist–Leninist theory, warning that capitalism possessed a predisposition towards conflict.[2]

Stalin's speech provoked fear in the American press and public,[6] with Time magazine calling it "the most warlike pronouncement uttered by any top-rank statesman since V-J Day."[4] George F. Kennan, then working for the US State Department as chargé d'affaires in Moscow,[7] found the speech routine and reflective of previous statements from Stalin.[2] With this in mind, he issued only a quick summary of the speech for the State Department.[2] Despite the familiar statements from Stalin, the context in which they were made – including the Soviet Union's recent rejection of Bretton Woods and evidence of atomic espionage in the United States and Canada – alarmed officials in Washington.[8] In a 1982 interview, former diplomat Elbridge Durbrow expressed that Stalin's speech had in effect said, "to hell with the rest of the world."[9] US President Harry Truman was confused by the Soviet's policies, at times appearing belligerent and at others exercising self-restraint.[10] Leaders were increasingly coming to the conclusion that the existing quid pro quo strategy was ineffective against the Soviets, but had no replacement strategy.[11]

Durbrow and another diplomat, H. Freeman Matthews – both readers of Kennan's earlier telegrams – were confused by Kennan's relative silence about the speech. On 13 February, Matthews drafted a message, signed by Secretary of State James F. Byrnes, asking for an analysis. The message described the press and public's reaction having been, "to a degree not hitherto felt",[12] and expressed: "We should welcome receiving from you an interpretive analysis of what we may expect in the way of future implementation of these announced policies."[12] W. Averell Harriman, having recently returned from his ambassadorship to the Soviet Union, spoke to Kennan and encouraged him to write a thorough analysis.[12][note 1]

The "long telegram" edit

Kennan probably wrote rough drafts of a message before dictating a final version to his secretary, Dorothy Hessman, on February 22, 1946.[13] Finishing late at night, he took the message to the Mokhovaya code room in Moscow and had it telegraphed back to Washington.[14] The message was quickly dubbed the "long telegram" because, at a little over 5,000 words, it was the longest telegram sent in the history of the State Department.[15][note 2]

Identified as "511" by Kennan's State Department number,[16] the message is divided into five sections, covering the Soviet Union's background, current features, future prospects and the implications these would have for the United States.[17] It opens with an apology for its length but qualifies the necessity of responding to all the then pressing concerns at once.[16] Kennan begins by laying out the world from the Soviet perspective, splitting it into socialist and capitalist sectors.[18] The alliance between the United States and Great Britain was destined to fail,[19] and would either lead to war between them or a joint attack on the Soviet Union.[18] The Soviets believed they would ultimately prevail in such a conflict, but would need to grow their strength and exploit the capitalists' tendency towards conflict amongst one another in the meantime.[18] Kennan described these ideas as absurd, pointing out that capitalist countries were not failing and were not always in conflict.[20] Further, he described the idea that the United States and Great Britain would deliberately enter into a war against the Soviets as the "sheerest nonsense".[21]

Soviet policy will really be dominated by [the] pursuit of autarchy for [the] Soviet Union and Soviet-dominated adjacent areas taken together. ... [The Soviets are likely to turn] a cold official shoulder ... to the principle of general economic collaboration among nations.[7]

George F. Kennan, the "long telegram"

The Soviet leaders reached these illogical sentiments, he explained,[21] because "... at the bottom of the Kremlin's view of world affairs is a traditional and instinctive Russian sense of insecurity."[10] The authority of previous Russian rulers was "archaic in form, fragile and artificial in its psychological foundation, unable to stand comparison or contact with political systems of western countries."[21] This understanding of Russian history was joined with the ideology of Marxism-Leninism.[21] Their obstinacy in dealing with the West was born out of necessity;[22] seeing the rest of the world as hostile provided an excuse "for the dictatorship without which they did not know how to rule, for cruelties they did not dare not to inflict, for sacrifices they felt bound to demand."[22] Until the Soviet Union either experienced consistent failures or their leader was persuaded that they were negatively affecting their nation's interest, the West could not expect any reciprocity from the Soviets.[22]

The Soviet government, Kennan continued, could be understood as occupying two distinct spaces: an official, visible government and another operating without any official acknowledgement.[21] While the former would participate in international diplomacy, the latter would attempt to undermine the capitalist nations as much as possible,[21] including efforts to "disrupt national self confidence, to hamstring measures of national defense, to increase social and industrial unrest, to stimulate all forms of disunity."[21] He opined that the Soviets ultimately have no expectation of reconciliation with the West.[10]

Kennan concluded not by offering specific courses of action, but instead offered more general solutions, such as the necessity of maintaining courage and self-confidence in interactions with the Soviets.[11] Managing the threat would require "the same thoroughness and care as solution of major strategic problem in war, and if necessary, with no smaller outlay in planning effort."[23] He wrote that, compared to Nazi Germany, the Soviets are much more patient and often risk averse.[23] Being weaker than the West, not having regular procedures for replacing leaders, having absorbed too many territories, failing to inspire its people and being overly reliant on negative propaganda meant "we may approach calmly and with good heart [the] problem of how to deal with Russia."[23]

Kennan emphasized the need of educating the American public about the threat of international communism.[23] Keeping Western society strong was important to ward off the expansive tendencies of communism:[23] "The greatest danger that can befall us in coping with this problem of Soviet communism, is that we shall allow ourselves to become like those with whom we are coping."[24]

Impact of the "long telegram" edit

On American foreign policy edit

 
Secretary of the Navy James Forrestal (left) was largely responsible for the spread of the "long telegram", extending its readership to US President Harry S. Truman (right), amongst others.

Matthews sent Kennan a cable praising the telegram, describing it as "magnificent", adding, "I cannot overestimate its importance to those of us here struggling with the problem."[14] Byrnes praised it as well, writing he had read it "with the greatest interest" and describing it as "a splendid analysis".[14] Harriman was less enthused, calling it "fairly long, and a little bit slow reading in spots."[14] He nonetheless sent a copy to Secretary of the Navy James Forrestal. Forrestal was largely responsible for the spread of the long telegram, sending copies across Washington.[14] It gained a larger readership than was typical for a classified document, with readers including ambassador to Cuba Henry Norweb, British diplomat Frank Roberts, General George C. Marshall and President Truman.[25]

The long telegram was quickly read and accepted by Washington bureaucrats as the best explanation of Soviet behavior.[26] Policymakers, military officials and intelligence analysts generally came to understand that the Soviet Union's primary foreign policy goal was world domination under a Communist state.[27] Historian John Lewis Gaddis writes that the ultimate impact of the long telegram is that it "became the basis for United States strategy toward the Soviet Union throughout the rest of the Cold War",[22] and that it "won [Kennan] the reputation of being the government's foremost Soviet expert".[28] In 1967, Kennan reflected "My reputation was made. My voice now carried."[29] In mid-April 1946, at Forrestal's insistence Kennan received an appointment in the National War College as Deputy for Foreign Affairs.[30]

The Truman administration quickly accepted Kennan's conclusion that the Soviets had no reasonable grievances with the West and would never cooperate with capitalist states. It was therefore senseless to try and address Soviet concerns, leaving a policy of containing Soviet interests as the best response.[31] Historian Louis Halle writes that the timing of the long telegram's appearance was important, "[coming] right at a time when the Department ... was floundering about, looking for new intellectual moorings."[32] He continues that the telegram served as "a new and realistic conception to which it might attach itself."[32] Gaddis and historian Wilson D. Miscamble both believe that Halle overstates Kennan's impact on State Department thinking, emphasizing that the Department was already moving towards a more adversarial position against the Soviets,[33] though Miscamble concedes, "there can be no doubt that Kennan's cable exercised a catalytic effect upon departmental thinking especially as regards the possibility of the United States achieving any non-adversary relationship with the Soviet Union."[34]

If none of my previous literary efforts had seemed to evoke even the faintest tinkle from the bell at which they were aimed, this one, to my astonishment, struck it squarely and set it vibrating with a resonance that was not to die down for many months."[35]

– Kennan reflecting on the long telegram, 1967

Offering a different perspective, Matthews notes in a March 12, 1946 letter that the administration had already moved in the direction of not catering to Soviet interests before the long telegram, pointing to a speech Byrnes delivered on 28 February, drafted before Byrnes had read Kennan's message.[36] In the speech, Byrnes explains: "We will not and we cannot stand aloof if force or threat is used contrary to the purposes of the [United Nations] Charter. ... If we are to be a great power we must act as a great power, not only in order to ensure our own security but in order to preserve the peace of the world."[36] Matthews explains that long telegram would instead serve as the administration's rationale for subsequent actions.[36][note 3] Historian Melvyn P. Leffler points out that before the long telegram had circulated widely, the Joint Chiefs of Staff had already resolved in February 1946 that "collaboration with the Soviet Union should stop short not only of compromise of principle but also of expansion of Russian influence in Europe and in the Far East.[37]

On the Soviet Union edit

Though the long telegram was a classified document, it circulated widely enough that a copy leaked out to Soviet intelligence. Stalin was among its readers and called on his American ambassador, Nikolai Novikov, to send a similar telegram from Washington to Moscow.[38] Ghostwritten by Soviet Foreign Minister Vyacheslav Molotov,[39] the piece was sent on September 27, 1946.[19] Representative of Stalin's opinions,[19] Novikov's telegram argued in part: "The foreign policy of the United States reflects the imperialistic tendencies of American monopolistic capitalism, [and] is characterized ... by a striving for world supremacy."[40] America would attempt to achieve supremacy by cooperating with Great Britain,[41] but their cooperation was "plagued with great internal contradictions and cannot be lasting ... It is quite possible that the Near East will become a center of Anglo-American contradictions that will explode the agreements now reached between the United States and England."[40]

Kennan provided commentary on Novikov's telegram in a 1991 piece for the journal Diplomatic History.[42] He wrote in part, "These poor people, put on the spot, produced the thing," but "it was only a way of saying to their masters in Moscow: 'How true, sir!'".[43]

Foreign Affairs article edit

 
R. Gordon Wasson encouraged Kennan to write an article for Foreign Affairs after hearing him speak to the Council on Foreign Relations at the Harold Pratt House (pictured) in January 1947.

Origins edit

On January 7, 1947, Kennan spoke at the Council on Foreign Relations, based at the Harold Pratt House in New York City.[44] The theme of the meeting was "Soviet Foreign Relations", presented to a small group and designated as "not for attribution". Kennan did not prepare a written speech, having given dozens of similar talks in the years before. In his talk, he discussed the Soviet leaders' perspectives on the rest of the world, rooted in both their Marxist-Leninist ideology and Russian history. The Soviets justified their dictatorship by pointing to external enemies, most of which were imaginary. For change to occur, the United States and its allies would need to "contain" the Soviets in a "non-provocative way".[45]

International banker R. Gordon Wasson attended the discussion and was impressed by Kennan, suggesting that the Council revise the talk for publication in their journal Foreign Affairs. Journal editor Hamilton Fish Armstrong had not attended the discussion but requested on 10 January that Kennan revise his talk into an article.[46] Kennan responded to Armstrong in a 4 February letter, writing, "I really can not write anything of value on Russia for publication under my own name. If you would be interested in an anonymous article, or one under a pen name, ... I might be able to make the necessary arrangements."[46] Armstrong replied on 7 March, agreeing to Kennan's suggestion, writing that the "disadvantage of anonymity" was outweighed by the potential importance of the article.[46]

Taking time off from the State Department, Kennan worked as a lecturer at the National War College. His work left him little time to write a new essay, so he searched for previous work to repurpose. In January 1946, Forrestal had asked Kennan for an analysis of a piece by Smith College professor Edward F. Willett entitled "Dialectical Materialism And Russian Objectives". Kennan was unimpressed with the work, but decided that rather than denigrating the piece he would instead publish a new analysis.[47] The paper, titled "Psychological Background of Soviet Foreign Policy", was around six-thousand words. In late-January 1946, he sent it to Forrestal, who described it as "extremely well-done" before sending it on to General Marshall.[48][note 4] In a 10 March letter to John T. Connor, an aide of Forrestal, Kennan inquired as to whether it would be appropriate to publish this piece anonymously in Foreign Affairs.[51] Forrestal agreed, as did the State Department's Committee on Unofficial Publications.[48]

Kennan made several minor corrections to the piece, along with scratching his name out and writing "X" in its place. He added a note on authorship, writing: "The author of this article is one who has had long experience with Russian affairs, both practically and academically, but whose position makes it impossible for him to write about them under his own name."[48] Armstrong published Kennan's piece under the title "The Sources of Soviet Conduct", removing Kennan's note and leaving only the "X" as an identifier.[52]

"The Sources of Soviet Conduct" edit

... it is clear that the main element of any United States policy toward the Soviet Union must be that of a long-term, patient but firm and vigilant containment of Russian expansive tendencies.[53]

– "X" (Kennan), The Sources of Soviet Conduct, Section II

Kennan's piece opens with a description of how the Soviet leaders were shaped by Marxism-Leninism, serving as the "pseudo-scientific justification"[54] for why Stalin and the other leaders ought to remain in power despite lacking popular support.[48] At times quoting Edward Gibbon's The Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire,[55] he writes that the Soviet leaders' "aggressive intransigence" against the outside world compelled them "to chastise the contumacy" which they had provoked.[56] To maintain power, the Soviet leaders would need to maintain the illusion of external threats:[48]

... the [Soviet] leadership is at liberty to put forward for tactical purposes any particular thesis which it finds useful to the cause at any particular moment and to require the faithful and unquestioning acceptance of that thesis by the members of the movement as a whole. This means that truth is not a constant but is actually created, for all intents and purposes, by the Soviet leaders themselves.[57]

The Soviets, however, were not prepared to attempt an immediate overthrow of the West, it being implicit in their ideology that capitalism would inevitably fail.[58] They would instead turn their focus to the long-term goal of "[filling] every nook and cranny available to it in the basin of world power."[59] To oppose them, the United States would need long-term strategies to contain Soviet expansionary ambitions. Containment against the Soviets, Kennan explains, would require an application of "counter-force" along shifting points of geographical and political interests.[58] This "perimeter defense" concept, wherein all geographic area were considered of equal importance,[60] required the United States "to confront the Russians with unalterable counter-force at every point where they show signs of encroaching upon the interests of a peaceful and stable world."[61]

Containment would prove its success in the long-term because the Soviet economy was rudimentary and the government leadership lacked procedures for orderly succession.[58] Any disruption in Soviet politics held the possibility of "[changing the state] overnight from one of the strongest to one of the weakest and most pitiable of national societies."[62] Containment was particularly suited for use against the Soviets, Kennan thought, because of their Marxist-Leninist ideology, which encourages a patience not evident with leaders like Napoleon or Adolf Hitler.[63] He continues: "... the Kremlin is under no ideological compulsion to accomplish its purposes in a hurry. Like the Church, it is dealing in ideological concepts which are of long-term valididty ... It has no right to risk the existing achievements of the revolution for the sake of vain baubles of the future."[64]

... the possibility remains (and in the opinion of this writer it is a strong one) that Soviet power, like the capitalist world of its conception, bears within it the seeds of its own decay, and that the sprouting of these seeds is well advanced.[65]

– "X" (Kennan), The Sources of Soviet Conduct, Section III

The end result of containment would allow for "either the break-up or the gradual mellowing of Soviet power."[66] The indefinite frustration the Soviets were bound to face would necessitate their adjustment to the reality of their situation.[50] The strategy would require the United States to manage its own issues successfully,[50] with Kennan concluding: "To avoid destruction the United States need only measure up to its own best traditions and prove itself worthy of preservation as a great nation. Surely, there was never a fairer test of national quality than this.[67]

Impact of the Foreign Affairs article edit

Immediate edit

Armstrong wrote to Kennan in May 1947:[68] "It's a pleasure for an editor to deal with something that needs practically no revision. ... I only wish for your sake as well as for ours that it could carry your name."[50] The long delay between its writing and publication – some five months – meant the piece did not discuss either of the recent communist uprisings in Greece and Turkey, nor did it mention the Truman Doctrine.[50] The piece was due for inclusion in Foreign Affairs' next issue, July 1947.[69][note 5] With a little over 19,000 subscribers and an expensive cover price for the time of $1.25 (equivalent to $17 in 2023), the magazine did not circulate widely. The July issue did not deviate from regular buying trends, until journalist Arthur Krock drew attention to the "X" article in an 8 July The New York Times column.[70] Krock suggested that the main thrust of "The Sources of Soviet Conduct" was "exactly that adopted by the American government after appeasement of the Kremlin proved a failure",[71] and wrote that the piece's author had clearly studied the Soviet Union "at the closest range possible for a foreigner."[71] Krock concludes that the author's views "closely resemble those marked 'Top Secret' in several official files in Washington."[71]

Krock's column resulted in a rush for copies of Foreign Affairs.[70] He had not identified Kennan as "X" in his column,[70] but proved responsible for revealing Kennan's identity;[72] Forrestal had let Krock see the draft copy sent to Foreign Affairs which still contained Kennan's name at its end.[70] Other diplomats suspected Kennan's authorship due to the piece's distinct prose as well as the quoting of Edward Gibbon.[73] As the rumor spread, the State Department offered no comment. The Daily Worker, the newspaper of the Communist Party of the United States, broke the story on Kennan's identity, with a headline on 9 July reading: "'X' Bared as State Dep't Aid [sic]: Calls for Overthrow of Soviet Government".[74]

Kennan's role in the State Department lent the article the authority of an official policy declaration.[72] Though he had not intended for the article to be a comprehensive statement on American foreign policy,[72] a piece in the 21 July issue of Newsweek explained that the "X" article provided a rationale for both the Truman Doctrine and the Marshall Plan and "[charted] the course that this country is likely to pursue for years to come."[75] Marshall, concerned by the amount of attention both Kennan and the article were drawing, spoke with Kennan in a private meeting.[74] Kennan's explanation that the article had been "cleared for publication by the competent official committee" satisfied Marshall, "[b]ut it was long, I suspect, before he recovered from his astonishment over the strange ways of the department he now headed."[76]

Walter Lippmann's critique edit

Political commentator Walter Lippmann responded to the article,[72] published in the New York Herald Tribune across fourteen different columns, the first which appeared on September 2, 1947.[77] Lippmann's analysis was widely read and collected in his 1947 book, The Cold War.[77][note 6] Lippmann critiqued the article as having presented a "strategic monstrosity", providing the Soviets with the initiative in any conflict, resulting in the United States depending on "a coalition of disorganized, disunited, feeble or disorderly nations, tribes and factions."[77]

Lippmann incorrectly concluded that Kennan's article had inspired the Truman Doctrine, which Lippmann opposed.[78] Kennan's article was completed in late January 1947 and Truman announced his Doctrine in a March 12, 1947 speech. Despite this chronology, Gaddis writes: "there is no evidence that it influenced the drafting of that address and abundant evidence that Kennan had sought to remove the language in it to which Lippmann later objected."[77] For Lippmann, however, the piece was "not only an analytical interpretation of the sources of Soviet conduct. It is also a document of primary importance on the sources of American foreign policy – of at least that part of it which is known as the Truman Doctrine."[77]

Because of the rushed nature in which Kennan had written the article, he regretted some views expressed within and agreed with some of Lippmann's critiques.[72] Though Kennan did not send the final draft of the piece until 11 April – a month after the announcement of the Truman Doctrine – he did not revise it despite having qualms with sections of the Doctrine.[78] Kennan's position in the State Department made him hesitant to offer any public clarification,[79] and he would not respond until the publication of the first volume of his memoirs in 1967.[72]

Long term edit

"The Sources of Soviet Conduct" widely introduced the term "containment".[80] Reflecting on the article in his 1979 memoir, Henry Kissinger writes, "George Kennan came as close to authoring the diplomatic doctrine of his era as any diplomat in our history."[5] Gaddis writes that Kennan's silence to Lippmann's critiques resulted in the idea of containment becoming "synonymous, in the minds of most people who knew the phrase, with Truman's doctrine."[79] Gaddis further writes that some have misinterpreted Kennan's views by placing undue emphasis on the "conspicuous but misleading 'X' article."[81][note 7]

In the article, Kennan uses the term "counterforce" rather than "counter-pressure" and does not explain its meaning, something he admitted in his memoirs led to confusion for readers.[83] Kennan reassessed his views on perimeter defense after the article was published, instead shifting to the idea of "strongpoint defense", where defense was instead focused on particular areas.[84]

In Kennan's memoirs he recalled that his "entire diplomatic experience took place in rather high northern latitudes."[85] Thomas Borstelmann writes that Kennan's few experiences outside of Europe contributed to his detestation of the people of Africa, Asia, the Middle East and Latin America: "He tended to lump them together as impulsive, fanatical, ignorant, lazy, unhappy, and prone to mental disorders and other biological deficiencies."[86] In the first of his memoirs, published in 1967, Kennan links Soviet despotism to its leaders "attitude of Oriental secretiveness and conspiracy."[87] In a 1942 lecture, he explained that the Bolshevik Revolution of 1917 revealed the Russians were not "westernized" but instead "17th century semi-Asiatic people."[86] Borstelmann further writes that Kennan's perspectives on race were not unique to him but were instead common in his contemporary American policymaking circles.[86]

See also edit

  • "A National Strategic Narrative" by Mr. Y, also known as the Y Article, which was later inspired by the "X Article"
  • Martin Malia, whose essay on the decline of the Soviet Union, "To the Stalin Mausoleum", was published under the pseudonym "Z"

Notes edit

  1. ^ a b In Kennan's memoirs, he writes that the telegram was a reply to the Treasury Department's "anguished cry of bewilderment" at the Soviet Union's refusal to join the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, despite having participated in the Bretton Woods Conference organizing both institutions.[1] Gaddis disputes this account, writing Kennan had already provided an explainer on this issue in January 1946, predating the long telegram.[2] Gaddis further writes: "I myself have perpetuated [this error] in several books and in far too many classroom lectures."[3]
  2. ^ In Kennan's memoirs, he incorrectly describes the telegram's length as "some eight thousand words".[1] Gaddis writes: "I myself have perpetuated [this error] in several books and in far too many classroom lectures."[3]
  3. ^ In the same letter, Matthews writes that the long telegram is "to my mind the finest piece of analytical writing that I have ever seen come out of the [Foreign] Service ..., [it] has been received in the highest quarters here as a basic outline of future Soviet policy."[36] He counts among its reader the Secretaries of State, War and Navy, and those highest in the Army and Navy.[36]
  4. ^ In his memoirs, Kennan writes that he originally wrote the piece only for Forrestal's "private and personal edification".[49] Gaddis disputes this characterization, writing that the piece seems too carefully constructed to have been only intended for one person: "the tone is that of a stem-winding sermon [that] preachers normally seek out [in] pulpits."[50]
  5. ^ The July 1947 issue first became available in late June.[70]
  6. ^ Lippmann's book was one of the first times the term "cold war" was applied to the geopolitical conflict.[77] Refer to Lippmann 1947.
  7. ^ As examples, Gaddis points to Wright 1976, Mark 1978 and Halle 1967, pp. 106–108.[82]

References edit

Citations edit

  1. ^ a b Kennan 1983, quoted in Gaddis 2011, p. 216.
  2. ^ a b c d Gaddis 2011, p. 216.
  3. ^ a b Gaddis 2011, p. 718n40.
  4. ^ a b Gaddis 2011, p. 227.
  5. ^ a b Kissinger 1979, p. 135, quoted in Gaddis 2011, p. 249.
  6. ^ Gaddis 2011, pp. 226–227.
  7. ^ a b Gaddis 1997, p. 193.
  8. ^ Gaddis 2011, pp. 216–217.
  9. ^ Gaddis 2011, pp. 217, 718n43.
  10. ^ a b c Leffler 2007, p. 55.
  11. ^ a b Gaddis 2005a, p. 21.
  12. ^ a b c Gaddis 2011, p. 217.
  13. ^ Gaddis 2011, pp. 217–218.
  14. ^ a b c d e Gaddis 2011, p. 218.
  15. ^ Gaddis 2011, pp. 216, 218.
  16. ^ a b Gaddis 2011, pp. 218–219.
  17. ^ Miscamble 1993, p. 25.
  18. ^ a b c Gaddis 2011, p. 219.
  19. ^ a b c Gaddis 2005b, p. 30.
  20. ^ Gaddis 2011, pp. 219–220.
  21. ^ a b c d e f g Gaddis 2011, p. 220.
  22. ^ a b c d Gaddis 2005b, p. 29.
  23. ^ a b c d e Gaddis 2011, p. 221.
  24. ^ Gaddis 1997, p. 288.
  25. ^ Gaddis 2011, pp. 218, 229.
  26. ^ Gaddis 2005a, p. 20.
  27. ^ Leffler 2005, p. 26.
  28. ^ Gaddis 2005a, p. 24.
  29. ^ Kennan 1983, quoted in Gaddis 2011, p. 222.
  30. ^ Miscamble 1993, p. 28.
  31. ^ Schmitz 1999, p. 149.
  32. ^ a b Halle 1967, p. 105, quoted in Miscamble 1993, p. 26.
  33. ^ Gaddis 2005a, p. 404n2; Miscamble 1993, pp. 26–27.
  34. ^ Miscamble 1993, p. 26.
  35. ^ Kennan 1983, quoted in Gaddis 2005a, p. 20.
  36. ^ a b c d e Gaddis 2011, p. 226.
  37. ^ Leffler 2005, p. 28.
  38. ^ Gaddis 2005b, pp. 29–30.
  39. ^ Jensen 1993, p. 75, quoted in Gaddis 2005b, p. 30.
  40. ^ a b Jensen 1993, pp. 3–16, quoted in Gaddis 2005b, p. 30.
  41. ^ Gaddis 2011, p. 229.
  42. ^ Gaddis 2011, pp. 718n11, 762.
  43. ^ Kennan 1991, pp. 540–541, quoted in Gaddis 2011, p. 230.
  44. ^ Gaddis 2011, pp. 249–250.
  45. ^ Gaddis 2011, p. 250.
  46. ^ a b c Gaddis 2011, p. 251.
  47. ^ Gaddis 2011, p. 258.
  48. ^ a b c d e Gaddis 2011, p. 259.
  49. ^ Kennan 1983, quoted in Gaddis 2011, p. 261.
  50. ^ a b c d e Gaddis 2011, p. 261.
  51. ^ Gaddis 2011, pp. 259, 720n23.
  52. ^ Gaddis 2011, pp. 259, 262.
  53. ^ Kennan 2012, p. 125.
  54. ^ Kennan 2012, p. 115, quoted in Gaddis 2011, p. 259.
  55. ^ Kennan 2012, p. 115.
  56. ^ Kennan 2012, p. 118, quoted in Gaddis 2011, p. 259.
  57. ^ Kennan 2012, p. 123, quoted in Gaddis 2011, pp. 259–260.
  58. ^ a b c Gaddis 2011, p. 260.
  59. ^ Kennan 2012, p. 125, quoted in Gaddis 2011, p. 260.
  60. ^ Gaddis 2005a, p. 56.
  61. ^ Kennan 2012, p. 132, quoted in Gaddis 2005a, p. 57.
  62. ^ Kennan 2012, p. 131, quoted in Gaddis 2011, p. 260.
  63. ^ Gaddis 2005a, pp. 381–382.
  64. ^ Kennan 2012, p. 124, quoted in Gaddis 2005a, p. 382.
  65. ^ Kennan 2012, p. 132.
  66. ^ Kennan 2012, p. 134, quoted in Gaddis 2011, p. 261.
  67. ^ Kennan 2012, p. 134, quoted in Gaddis 2005a, p. 35.
  68. ^ Gaddis 2011, pp. 261, 720n25.
  69. ^ Gaddis 2011, pp. 261, 271.
  70. ^ a b c d e Gaddis 2011, p. 271.
  71. ^ a b c Krock 1947, quoted in Gaddis 2011, p. 271.
  72. ^ a b c d e f Gaddis 2005a, p. 25.
  73. ^ Gaddis 2011, pp. 271–272.
  74. ^ a b Gaddis 2011, p. 272.
  75. ^ Gaddis 2011, pp. 272, 721n47.
  76. ^ Kennan 1983, quoted in Gaddis 2011, p. 272.
  77. ^ a b c d e f Gaddis 2011, p. 273.
  78. ^ a b Gaddis 2011, pp. 273–274.
  79. ^ a b Gaddis 2011, p. 275.
  80. ^ Gaddis 2005a, pp. 24–25.
  81. ^ Gaddis 2005a, p. 53.
  82. ^ Gaddis 2005a, pp. 53, 404n2.
  83. ^ Gaddis 2005a, p. 48n.
  84. ^ Gaddis 2005a, p. 57.
  85. ^ Kennan 1983, p. 181, quoted in Borstelmann 2005, p. 321.
  86. ^ a b c Borstelmann 2005, p. 321.
  87. ^ Kennan 1983, p. 551, quoted in Borstelmann 2005, p. 321.

Sources edit

Books edit

  • Borstelmann, Thomas (2005). "The United States, the Cold War, and the color line". In Leffler, Melvyn P.; Painter, David S. (eds.). Origins of the Cold War: An International History (Second ed.). New York: Routledge. pp. 317–332. ISBN 0-415-34109-4.
  • Gaddis, John Lewis (1997). We Now Know: Rethinking Cold War History. Oxford: Oxford University Press. ISBN 0-19-878071-0.
  • Gaddis, John Lewis (2005a) [1982]. Strategies of Containment: A Critical Appraisal of American National Security Policy during the Cold War (Revised and Expanded ed.). New York: Oxford University Press. ISBN 978-0-19-517447-2.
  • Gaddis, John Lewis (2005b). The Cold War: A New History. New York: Penguin Press. ISBN 978-0-14-303827-6.
  • Gaddis, John Lewis (2011). George F. Kennan: An American Life. New York: Penguin Books. ISBN 978-0-14-312215-9.
  • Halle, Louis (1967). The Cold War as History. New York.{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: location missing publisher (link)
  • Jensen, Kenneth M., ed. (1993). Origins of the Cold War: The Novikov, Kennan, and Roberts "Long Telegrams" of 1946. Washington: United States Institute of Peace Press. ISBN 1-878379-27-5.
  • Kennan, George F. (1983) [1967]. Memoirs: 1925–1950. New York: Pantheon.
  • Kennan, George F. (2012). "The Sources of Soviet Conduct". American Diplomacy (60th-Anniversary Expanded ed.). Chicago: University of Chicago Press. pp. 113–134. ISBN 978-0-226-43148-2.
  • Kissinger, Henry A. (1979). White House Years. Boston: Little, Brown. ISBN 0-316-49661-8.
  • Leffler, Melvyn P. (2005). "National security and US foreign policy". In Leffler, Melvyn P.; Painter, David S. (eds.). Origins of the Cold War: An International History (Second ed.). New York: Routledge. pp. 15–41. ISBN 0-415-34109-4.
  • Leffler, Melvyn P. (2007). For the Soul of Mankind: The United States, the Soviet Union, and the Cold War. New York: Hill and Wang. ISBN 978-0-374-53142-3.
  • Lippmann, Walter (1947). The Cold War: A Study in U.S. Foreign Policy. New York: Harper & Row. ISBN 9780061317231.
  • Miscamble, Wilson D. (1993). George F. Kennan and the Making of American Foreign Policy, 1947–1950. Princeton: Princeton University Press. ISBN 978-0-691-02483-7.
  • Schmitz, David F. (1999). "Cold War (1945–91): Causes". In Chambers, John Whiteclay; Anderson, Fred; Eden, Lynn; Glatthaar, Joseph T.; Spector, Ronald H. (eds.). The Oxford Companion to American Military History. New York: Oxford University Press. ISBN 0-19-507198-0.

Journal and newspaper articles edit

  • Gati, Charles (1972). "What Containment Meant". Foreign Policy (7): 22–40. doi:10.2307/1147751. ISSN 0015-7228. JSTOR 1147751.
  • Kennan, George F. (1991). "Commentary". Diplomatic History. 15 (4): 539–543. doi:10.1111/j.1467-7709.1991.tb00147.x. ISSN 0145-2096. JSTOR 24912135.
  • Krock, Arthur (July 8, 1947). "A Guide to Official Thinking About Russia". The New York Times. p. 22.
  • Mark, Eduard (1978). "The Question of Containment: A Reply to John Lewis Gaddis". Foreign Affairs. 56 (2): 430–441. doi:10.2307/20039861. ISSN 0015-7120. JSTOR 20039861.
  • Wright, C. Ben (1976). "Mr. "X" and Containment". Slavic Review. 35 (1): 1–31. doi:10.2307/2494817. ISSN 0037-6779. JSTOR 2494817.

Further reading edit

  • Kennan, George F. (July 1947). "The Sources of Soviet Conduct". Foreign Affairs. 25 (4): 566–582. doi:10.2307/20030065. ISSN 0015-7120. JSTOR 20030065.

External links edit

Listen to this article (10 minutes)
 
This audio file was created from a revision of this article dated 17 December 2012 (2012-12-17), and does not reflect subsequent edits.
  • Original scan of George Kennan's 'Long Telegram' on the Wilson Center Digital Archive, retrieved on June 3, 2022
  • "The Novikov Telegram. Russian response to Kennan"
  • Stalin's warning for the future CNN short on Stalin's February 9, 1946 speech, featuring an interview with Kennan.

article, article, formally, titled, sources, soviet, conduct, written, george, kennan, published, under, pseudonym, july, 1947, issue, foreign, affairs, magazine, widely, introduced, term, containment, advocated, strategic, against, soviet, union, expanded, id. The X Article is an article formally titled The Sources of Soviet Conduct written by George F Kennan and published under the pseudonym X in the July 1947 issue of Foreign Affairs magazine It widely introduced the term containment and advocated for its strategic use against the Soviet Union It expanded on ideas expressed by Kennan in a confidential February 1946 telegram formally identified by Kennan s State Department number 511 but informally dubbed the long telegram for its size George F Kennan in 1947 the same year Foreign Affairs published his piece The Sources of Soviet Conduct under the pseudonym X Wikisource has original text related to this article The Long Telegram Wikisource has original text related to this article The Sources of Soviet Conduct Kennan composed the long telegram to respond to inquiries about the implications of a February 1946 speech by Joseph Stalin note 1 Though the speech was in line with previous statements by Stalin it provoked fear in the American press and public Time magazine called it the most warlike pronouncement uttered by any top rank statesman since V J Day 4 The long telegram explained Soviet motivations by recounting the history of Russian rulers as well as the ideology of Marxism Leninism It argued that the Soviet leaders used the ideology to characterize the external world as hostile allowing them to justify their continued hold on power despite a lack of popular support Washington bureaucrats quickly read the confidential message and accepted it as the best explanation of Soviet behavior The reception elevated Kennan s reputation within the State Department as one of the government s foremost Soviet experts After hearing Kennan speak about Soviet foreign relations at the Council on Foreign Relations in January 1947 international banker R Gordon Wasson suggested that he share his views in an article for Foreign Affairs Kennan revised a piece he had submitted to Secretary of the Navy James Forrestal in late January 1947 but his role in government precluded him from publishing under his name His superiors granted him approval to publish the piece provided it was released anonymously Foreign Affairs attributed the article only to X Expressing similar sentiments to that of the long telegram the piece was strong in its anti communism introducing and outlining a basic theory of containment The article was widely read though it does not mention the Truman Doctrine having mostly been written before Truman s speech it quickly became seen as an expression of the doctrine s policy Retrospective commentators dispute the impact of the article Henry Kissinger referred to it as the diplomatic doctrine of the era 5 while some historians write that its impact in shaping governmental policy has been overstated Contents 1 Background 2 The long telegram 3 Impact of the long telegram 3 1 On American foreign policy 3 2 On the Soviet Union 4 Foreign Affairs article 4 1 Origins 4 2 The Sources of Soviet Conduct 5 Impact of the Foreign Affairs article 5 1 Immediate 5 2 Walter Lippmann s critique 5 3 Long term 6 See also 7 Notes 8 References 8 1 Citations 8 2 Sources 8 2 1 Books 8 2 2 Journal and newspaper articles 9 Further reading 10 External linksBackground edit nbsp Joseph Stalin speaking at the Bolshoi Theatre February 9 1946 Kennan s long telegram began as an analysis of the speech Joseph Stalin General Secretary and de facto leader of the Soviet Union spoke at the Bolshoi Theatre on February 9 1946 the night before the symbolic 1946 Supreme Soviet election The speech did not discuss foreign policy but instead made pledges to expand industry He justified the expansion by pointing to Marxist Leninist theory warning that capitalism possessed a predisposition towards conflict 2 Stalin s speech provoked fear in the American press and public 6 with Time magazine calling it the most warlike pronouncement uttered by any top rank statesman since V J Day 4 George F Kennan then working for the US State Department as charge d affaires in Moscow 7 found the speech routine and reflective of previous statements from Stalin 2 With this in mind he issued only a quick summary of the speech for the State Department 2 Despite the familiar statements from Stalin the context in which they were made including the Soviet Union s recent rejection of Bretton Woods and evidence of atomic espionage in the United States and Canada alarmed officials in Washington 8 In a 1982 interview former diplomat Elbridge Durbrow expressed that Stalin s speech had in effect said to hell with the rest of the world 9 US President Harry Truman was confused by the Soviet s policies at times appearing belligerent and at others exercising self restraint 10 Leaders were increasingly coming to the conclusion that the existing quid pro quo strategy was ineffective against the Soviets but had no replacement strategy 11 Durbrow and another diplomat H Freeman Matthews both readers of Kennan s earlier telegrams were confused by Kennan s relative silence about the speech On 13 February Matthews drafted a message signed by Secretary of State James F Byrnes asking for an analysis The message described the press and public s reaction having been to a degree not hitherto felt 12 and expressed We should welcome receiving from you an interpretive analysis of what we may expect in the way of future implementation of these announced policies 12 W Averell Harriman having recently returned from his ambassadorship to the Soviet Union spoke to Kennan and encouraged him to write a thorough analysis 12 note 1 The long telegram editKennan probably wrote rough drafts of a message before dictating a final version to his secretary Dorothy Hessman on February 22 1946 13 Finishing late at night he took the message to the Mokhovaya code room in Moscow and had it telegraphed back to Washington 14 The message was quickly dubbed the long telegram because at a little over 5 000 words it was the longest telegram sent in the history of the State Department 15 note 2 Identified as 511 by Kennan s State Department number 16 the message is divided into five sections covering the Soviet Union s background current features future prospects and the implications these would have for the United States 17 It opens with an apology for its length but qualifies the necessity of responding to all the then pressing concerns at once 16 Kennan begins by laying out the world from the Soviet perspective splitting it into socialist and capitalist sectors 18 The alliance between the United States and Great Britain was destined to fail 19 and would either lead to war between them or a joint attack on the Soviet Union 18 The Soviets believed they would ultimately prevail in such a conflict but would need to grow their strength and exploit the capitalists tendency towards conflict amongst one another in the meantime 18 Kennan described these ideas as absurd pointing out that capitalist countries were not failing and were not always in conflict 20 Further he described the idea that the United States and Great Britain would deliberately enter into a war against the Soviets as the sheerest nonsense 21 Soviet policy will really be dominated by the pursuit of autarchy for the Soviet Union and Soviet dominated adjacent areas taken together The Soviets are likely to turn a cold official shoulder to the principle of general economic collaboration among nations 7 George F Kennan the long telegram The Soviet leaders reached these illogical sentiments he explained 21 because at the bottom of the Kremlin s view of world affairs is a traditional and instinctive Russian sense of insecurity 10 The authority of previous Russian rulers was archaic in form fragile and artificial in its psychological foundation unable to stand comparison or contact with political systems of western countries 21 This understanding of Russian history was joined with the ideology of Marxism Leninism 21 Their obstinacy in dealing with the West was born out of necessity 22 seeing the rest of the world as hostile provided an excuse for the dictatorship without which they did not know how to rule for cruelties they did not dare not to inflict for sacrifices they felt bound to demand 22 Until the Soviet Union either experienced consistent failures or their leader was persuaded that they were negatively affecting their nation s interest the West could not expect any reciprocity from the Soviets 22 The Soviet government Kennan continued could be understood as occupying two distinct spaces an official visible government and another operating without any official acknowledgement 21 While the former would participate in international diplomacy the latter would attempt to undermine the capitalist nations as much as possible 21 including efforts to disrupt national self confidence to hamstring measures of national defense to increase social and industrial unrest to stimulate all forms of disunity 21 He opined that the Soviets ultimately have no expectation of reconciliation with the West 10 Kennan concluded not by offering specific courses of action but instead offered more general solutions such as the necessity of maintaining courage and self confidence in interactions with the Soviets 11 Managing the threat would require the same thoroughness and care as solution of major strategic problem in war and if necessary with no smaller outlay in planning effort 23 He wrote that compared to Nazi Germany the Soviets are much more patient and often risk averse 23 Being weaker than the West not having regular procedures for replacing leaders having absorbed too many territories failing to inspire its people and being overly reliant on negative propaganda meant we may approach calmly and with good heart the problem of how to deal with Russia 23 Kennan emphasized the need of educating the American public about the threat of international communism 23 Keeping Western society strong was important to ward off the expansive tendencies of communism 23 The greatest danger that can befall us in coping with this problem of Soviet communism is that we shall allow ourselves to become like those with whom we are coping 24 Impact of the long telegram editOn American foreign policy edit nbsp Secretary of the Navy James Forrestal left was largely responsible for the spread of the long telegram extending its readership to US President Harry S Truman right amongst others Matthews sent Kennan a cable praising the telegram describing it as magnificent adding I cannot overestimate its importance to those of us here struggling with the problem 14 Byrnes praised it as well writing he had read it with the greatest interest and describing it as a splendid analysis 14 Harriman was less enthused calling it fairly long and a little bit slow reading in spots 14 He nonetheless sent a copy to Secretary of the Navy James Forrestal Forrestal was largely responsible for the spread of the long telegram sending copies across Washington 14 It gained a larger readership than was typical for a classified document with readers including ambassador to Cuba Henry Norweb British diplomat Frank Roberts General George C Marshall and President Truman 25 The long telegram was quickly read and accepted by Washington bureaucrats as the best explanation of Soviet behavior 26 Policymakers military officials and intelligence analysts generally came to understand that the Soviet Union s primary foreign policy goal was world domination under a Communist state 27 Historian John Lewis Gaddis writes that the ultimate impact of the long telegram is that it became the basis for United States strategy toward the Soviet Union throughout the rest of the Cold War 22 and that it won Kennan the reputation of being the government s foremost Soviet expert 28 In 1967 Kennan reflected My reputation was made My voice now carried 29 In mid April 1946 at Forrestal s insistence Kennan received an appointment in the National War College as Deputy for Foreign Affairs 30 The Truman administration quickly accepted Kennan s conclusion that the Soviets had no reasonable grievances with the West and would never cooperate with capitalist states It was therefore senseless to try and address Soviet concerns leaving a policy of containing Soviet interests as the best response 31 Historian Louis Halle writes that the timing of the long telegram s appearance was important coming right at a time when the Department was floundering about looking for new intellectual moorings 32 He continues that the telegram served as a new and realistic conception to which it might attach itself 32 Gaddis and historian Wilson D Miscamble both believe that Halle overstates Kennan s impact on State Department thinking emphasizing that the Department was already moving towards a more adversarial position against the Soviets 33 though Miscamble concedes there can be no doubt that Kennan s cable exercised a catalytic effect upon departmental thinking especially as regards the possibility of the United States achieving any non adversary relationship with the Soviet Union 34 If none of my previous literary efforts had seemed to evoke even the faintest tinkle from the bell at which they were aimed this one to my astonishment struck it squarely and set it vibrating with a resonance that was not to die down for many months 35 Kennan reflecting on the long telegram 1967 Offering a different perspective Matthews notes in a March 12 1946 letter that the administration had already moved in the direction of not catering to Soviet interests before the long telegram pointing to a speech Byrnes delivered on 28 February drafted before Byrnes had read Kennan s message 36 In the speech Byrnes explains We will not and we cannot stand aloof if force or threat is used contrary to the purposes of the United Nations Charter If we are to be a great power we must act as a great power not only in order to ensure our own security but in order to preserve the peace of the world 36 Matthews explains that long telegram would instead serve as the administration s rationale for subsequent actions 36 note 3 Historian Melvyn P Leffler points out that before the long telegram had circulated widely the Joint Chiefs of Staff had already resolved in February 1946 that collaboration with the Soviet Union should stop short not only of compromise of principle but also of expansion of Russian influence in Europe and in the Far East 37 On the Soviet Union edit Though the long telegram was a classified document it circulated widely enough that a copy leaked out to Soviet intelligence Stalin was among its readers and called on his American ambassador Nikolai Novikov to send a similar telegram from Washington to Moscow 38 Ghostwritten by Soviet Foreign Minister Vyacheslav Molotov 39 the piece was sent on September 27 1946 19 Representative of Stalin s opinions 19 Novikov s telegram argued in part The foreign policy of the United States reflects the imperialistic tendencies of American monopolistic capitalism and is characterized by a striving for world supremacy 40 America would attempt to achieve supremacy by cooperating with Great Britain 41 but their cooperation was plagued with great internal contradictions and cannot be lasting It is quite possible that the Near East will become a center of Anglo American contradictions that will explode the agreements now reached between the United States and England 40 Kennan provided commentary on Novikov s telegram in a 1991 piece for the journal Diplomatic History 42 He wrote in part These poor people put on the spot produced the thing but it was only a way of saying to their masters in Moscow How true sir 43 Foreign Affairs article edit nbsp R Gordon Wasson encouraged Kennan to write an article for Foreign Affairs after hearing him speak to the Council on Foreign Relations at the Harold Pratt House pictured in January 1947 Origins edit On January 7 1947 Kennan spoke at the Council on Foreign Relations based at the Harold Pratt House in New York City 44 The theme of the meeting was Soviet Foreign Relations presented to a small group and designated as not for attribution Kennan did not prepare a written speech having given dozens of similar talks in the years before In his talk he discussed the Soviet leaders perspectives on the rest of the world rooted in both their Marxist Leninist ideology and Russian history The Soviets justified their dictatorship by pointing to external enemies most of which were imaginary For change to occur the United States and its allies would need to contain the Soviets in a non provocative way 45 International banker R Gordon Wasson attended the discussion and was impressed by Kennan suggesting that the Council revise the talk for publication in their journal Foreign Affairs Journal editor Hamilton Fish Armstrong had not attended the discussion but requested on 10 January that Kennan revise his talk into an article 46 Kennan responded to Armstrong in a 4 February letter writing I really can not write anything of value on Russia for publication under my own name If you would be interested in an anonymous article or one under a pen name I might be able to make the necessary arrangements 46 Armstrong replied on 7 March agreeing to Kennan s suggestion writing that the disadvantage of anonymity was outweighed by the potential importance of the article 46 Taking time off from the State Department Kennan worked as a lecturer at the National War College His work left him little time to write a new essay so he searched for previous work to repurpose In January 1946 Forrestal had asked Kennan for an analysis of a piece by Smith College professor Edward F Willett entitled Dialectical Materialism And Russian Objectives Kennan was unimpressed with the work but decided that rather than denigrating the piece he would instead publish a new analysis 47 The paper titled Psychological Background of Soviet Foreign Policy was around six thousand words In late January 1946 he sent it to Forrestal who described it as extremely well done before sending it on to General Marshall 48 note 4 In a 10 March letter to John T Connor an aide of Forrestal Kennan inquired as to whether it would be appropriate to publish this piece anonymously in Foreign Affairs 51 Forrestal agreed as did the State Department s Committee on Unofficial Publications 48 Kennan made several minor corrections to the piece along with scratching his name out and writing X in its place He added a note on authorship writing The author of this article is one who has had long experience with Russian affairs both practically and academically but whose position makes it impossible for him to write about them under his own name 48 Armstrong published Kennan s piece under the title The Sources of Soviet Conduct removing Kennan s note and leaving only the X as an identifier 52 The Sources of Soviet Conduct edit it is clear that the main element of any United States policy toward the Soviet Union must be that of a long term patient but firm and vigilant containment of Russian expansive tendencies 53 X Kennan The Sources of Soviet Conduct Section IIKennan s piece opens with a description of how the Soviet leaders were shaped by Marxism Leninism serving as the pseudo scientific justification 54 for why Stalin and the other leaders ought to remain in power despite lacking popular support 48 At times quoting Edward Gibbon s The Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire 55 he writes that the Soviet leaders aggressive intransigence against the outside world compelled them to chastise the contumacy which they had provoked 56 To maintain power the Soviet leaders would need to maintain the illusion of external threats 48 the Soviet leadership is at liberty to put forward for tactical purposes any particular thesis which it finds useful to the cause at any particular moment and to require the faithful and unquestioning acceptance of that thesis by the members of the movement as a whole This means that truth is not a constant but is actually created for all intents and purposes by the Soviet leaders themselves 57 The Soviets however were not prepared to attempt an immediate overthrow of the West it being implicit in their ideology that capitalism would inevitably fail 58 They would instead turn their focus to the long term goal of filling every nook and cranny available to it in the basin of world power 59 To oppose them the United States would need long term strategies to contain Soviet expansionary ambitions Containment against the Soviets Kennan explains would require an application of counter force along shifting points of geographical and political interests 58 This perimeter defense concept wherein all geographic area were considered of equal importance 60 required the United States to confront the Russians with unalterable counter force at every point where they show signs of encroaching upon the interests of a peaceful and stable world 61 Containment would prove its success in the long term because the Soviet economy was rudimentary and the government leadership lacked procedures for orderly succession 58 Any disruption in Soviet politics held the possibility of changing the state overnight from one of the strongest to one of the weakest and most pitiable of national societies 62 Containment was particularly suited for use against the Soviets Kennan thought because of their Marxist Leninist ideology which encourages a patience not evident with leaders like Napoleon or Adolf Hitler 63 He continues the Kremlin is under no ideological compulsion to accomplish its purposes in a hurry Like the Church it is dealing in ideological concepts which are of long term valididty It has no right to risk the existing achievements of the revolution for the sake of vain baubles of the future 64 the possibility remains and in the opinion of this writer it is a strong one that Soviet power like the capitalist world of its conception bears within it the seeds of its own decay and that the sprouting of these seeds is well advanced 65 X Kennan The Sources of Soviet Conduct Section III The end result of containment would allow for either the break up or the gradual mellowing of Soviet power 66 The indefinite frustration the Soviets were bound to face would necessitate their adjustment to the reality of their situation 50 The strategy would require the United States to manage its own issues successfully 50 with Kennan concluding To avoid destruction the United States need only measure up to its own best traditions and prove itself worthy of preservation as a great nation Surely there was never a fairer test of national quality than this 67 Impact of the Foreign Affairs article editImmediate edit Armstrong wrote to Kennan in May 1947 68 It s a pleasure for an editor to deal with something that needs practically no revision I only wish for your sake as well as for ours that it could carry your name 50 The long delay between its writing and publication some five months meant the piece did not discuss either of the recent communist uprisings in Greece and Turkey nor did it mention the Truman Doctrine 50 The piece was due for inclusion in Foreign Affairs next issue July 1947 69 note 5 With a little over 19 000 subscribers and an expensive cover price for the time of 1 25 equivalent to 17 in 2023 the magazine did not circulate widely The July issue did not deviate from regular buying trends until journalist Arthur Krock drew attention to the X article in an 8 July The New York Times column 70 Krock suggested that the main thrust of The Sources of Soviet Conduct was exactly that adopted by the American government after appeasement of the Kremlin proved a failure 71 and wrote that the piece s author had clearly studied the Soviet Union at the closest range possible for a foreigner 71 Krock concludes that the author s views closely resemble those marked Top Secret in several official files in Washington 71 Krock s column resulted in a rush for copies of Foreign Affairs 70 He had not identified Kennan as X in his column 70 but proved responsible for revealing Kennan s identity 72 Forrestal had let Krock see the draft copy sent to Foreign Affairs which still contained Kennan s name at its end 70 Other diplomats suspected Kennan s authorship due to the piece s distinct prose as well as the quoting of Edward Gibbon 73 As the rumor spread the State Department offered no comment The Daily Worker the newspaper of the Communist Party of the United States broke the story on Kennan s identity with a headline on 9 July reading X Bared as State Dep t Aid sic Calls for Overthrow of Soviet Government 74 Kennan s role in the State Department lent the article the authority of an official policy declaration 72 Though he had not intended for the article to be a comprehensive statement on American foreign policy 72 a piece in the 21 July issue of Newsweek explained that the X article provided a rationale for both the Truman Doctrine and the Marshall Plan and charted the course that this country is likely to pursue for years to come 75 Marshall concerned by the amount of attention both Kennan and the article were drawing spoke with Kennan in a private meeting 74 Kennan s explanation that the article had been cleared for publication by the competent official committee satisfied Marshall b ut it was long I suspect before he recovered from his astonishment over the strange ways of the department he now headed 76 Walter Lippmann s critique edit Political commentator Walter Lippmann responded to the article 72 published in the New York Herald Tribune across fourteen different columns the first which appeared on September 2 1947 77 Lippmann s analysis was widely read and collected in his 1947 book The Cold War 77 note 6 Lippmann critiqued the article as having presented a strategic monstrosity providing the Soviets with the initiative in any conflict resulting in the United States depending on a coalition of disorganized disunited feeble or disorderly nations tribes and factions 77 Lippmann incorrectly concluded that Kennan s article had inspired the Truman Doctrine which Lippmann opposed 78 Kennan s article was completed in late January 1947 and Truman announced his Doctrine in a March 12 1947 speech Despite this chronology Gaddis writes there is no evidence that it influenced the drafting of that address and abundant evidence that Kennan had sought to remove the language in it to which Lippmann later objected 77 For Lippmann however the piece was not only an analytical interpretation of the sources of Soviet conduct It is also a document of primary importance on the sources of American foreign policy of at least that part of it which is known as the Truman Doctrine 77 Because of the rushed nature in which Kennan had written the article he regretted some views expressed within and agreed with some of Lippmann s critiques 72 Though Kennan did not send the final draft of the piece until 11 April a month after the announcement of the Truman Doctrine he did not revise it despite having qualms with sections of the Doctrine 78 Kennan s position in the State Department made him hesitant to offer any public clarification 79 and he would not respond until the publication of the first volume of his memoirs in 1967 72 Long term edit The Sources of Soviet Conduct widely introduced the term containment 80 Reflecting on the article in his 1979 memoir Henry Kissinger writes George Kennan came as close to authoring the diplomatic doctrine of his era as any diplomat in our history 5 Gaddis writes that Kennan s silence to Lippmann s critiques resulted in the idea of containment becoming synonymous in the minds of most people who knew the phrase with Truman s doctrine 79 Gaddis further writes that some have misinterpreted Kennan s views by placing undue emphasis on the conspicuous but misleading X article 81 note 7 In the article Kennan uses the term counterforce rather than counter pressure and does not explain its meaning something he admitted in his memoirs led to confusion for readers 83 Kennan reassessed his views on perimeter defense after the article was published instead shifting to the idea of strongpoint defense where defense was instead focused on particular areas 84 In Kennan s memoirs he recalled that his entire diplomatic experience took place in rather high northern latitudes 85 Thomas Borstelmann writes that Kennan s few experiences outside of Europe contributed to his detestation of the people of Africa Asia the Middle East and Latin America He tended to lump them together as impulsive fanatical ignorant lazy unhappy and prone to mental disorders and other biological deficiencies 86 In the first of his memoirs published in 1967 Kennan links Soviet despotism to its leaders attitude of Oriental secretiveness and conspiracy 87 In a 1942 lecture he explained that the Bolshevik Revolution of 1917 revealed the Russians were not westernized but instead 17th century semi Asiatic people 86 Borstelmann further writes that Kennan s perspectives on race were not unique to him but were instead common in his contemporary American policymaking circles 86 See also edit A National Strategic Narrative by Mr Y also known as the Y Article which was later inspired by the X Article Martin Malia whose essay on the decline of the Soviet Union To the Stalin Mausoleum was published under the pseudonym Z Notes edit a b In Kennan s memoirs he writes that the telegram was a reply to the Treasury Department s anguished cry of bewilderment at the Soviet Union s refusal to join the International Monetary Fund and World Bank despite having participated in the Bretton Woods Conference organizing both institutions 1 Gaddis disputes this account writing Kennan had already provided an explainer on this issue in January 1946 predating the long telegram 2 Gaddis further writes I myself have perpetuated this error in several books and in far too many classroom lectures 3 In Kennan s memoirs he incorrectly describes the telegram s length as some eight thousand words 1 Gaddis writes I myself have perpetuated this error in several books and in far too many classroom lectures 3 In the same letter Matthews writes that the long telegram is to my mind the finest piece of analytical writing that I have ever seen come out of the Foreign Service it has been received in the highest quarters here as a basic outline of future Soviet policy 36 He counts among its reader the Secretaries of State War and Navy and those highest in the Army and Navy 36 In his memoirs Kennan writes that he originally wrote the piece only for Forrestal s private and personal edification 49 Gaddis disputes this characterization writing that the piece seems too carefully constructed to have been only intended for one person the tone is that of a stem winding sermon that preachers normally seek out in pulpits 50 The July 1947 issue first became available in late June 70 Lippmann s book was one of the first times the term cold war was applied to the geopolitical conflict 77 Refer to Lippmann 1947 As examples Gaddis points to Wright 1976 Mark 1978 and Halle 1967 pp 106 108 82 References editCitations edit a b Kennan 1983 quoted in Gaddis 2011 p 216 a b c d Gaddis 2011 p 216 a b Gaddis 2011 p 718n40 a b Gaddis 2011 p 227 a b Kissinger 1979 p 135 quoted in Gaddis 2011 p 249 Gaddis 2011 pp 226 227 a b Gaddis 1997 p 193 Gaddis 2011 pp 216 217 Gaddis 2011 pp 217 718n43 a b c Leffler 2007 p 55 a b Gaddis 2005a p 21 a b c Gaddis 2011 p 217 Gaddis 2011 pp 217 218 a b c d e Gaddis 2011 p 218 Gaddis 2011 pp 216 218 a b Gaddis 2011 pp 218 219 Miscamble 1993 p 25 a b c Gaddis 2011 p 219 a b c Gaddis 2005b p 30 Gaddis 2011 pp 219 220 a b c d e f g Gaddis 2011 p 220 a b c d Gaddis 2005b p 29 a b c d e Gaddis 2011 p 221 Gaddis 1997 p 288 Gaddis 2011 pp 218 229 Gaddis 2005a p 20 Leffler 2005 p 26 Gaddis 2005a p 24 Kennan 1983 quoted in Gaddis 2011 p 222 Miscamble 1993 p 28 Schmitz 1999 p 149 a b Halle 1967 p 105 quoted in Miscamble 1993 p 26 Gaddis 2005a p 404n2 Miscamble 1993 pp 26 27 Miscamble 1993 p 26 Kennan 1983 quoted in Gaddis 2005a p 20 a b c d e Gaddis 2011 p 226 Leffler 2005 p 28 Gaddis 2005b pp 29 30 Jensen 1993 p 75 quoted in Gaddis 2005b p 30 a b Jensen 1993 pp 3 16 quoted in Gaddis 2005b p 30 Gaddis 2011 p 229 Gaddis 2011 pp 718n11 762 Kennan 1991 pp 540 541 quoted in Gaddis 2011 p 230 Gaddis 2011 pp 249 250 Gaddis 2011 p 250 a b c Gaddis 2011 p 251 Gaddis 2011 p 258 a b c d e Gaddis 2011 p 259 Kennan 1983 quoted in Gaddis 2011 p 261 a b c d e Gaddis 2011 p 261 Gaddis 2011 pp 259 720n23 Gaddis 2011 pp 259 262 Kennan 2012 p 125 Kennan 2012 p 115 quoted in Gaddis 2011 p 259 Kennan 2012 p 115 Kennan 2012 p 118 quoted in Gaddis 2011 p 259 Kennan 2012 p 123 quoted in Gaddis 2011 pp 259 260 a b c Gaddis 2011 p 260 Kennan 2012 p 125 quoted in Gaddis 2011 p 260 Gaddis 2005a p 56 Kennan 2012 p 132 quoted in Gaddis 2005a p 57 Kennan 2012 p 131 quoted in Gaddis 2011 p 260 Gaddis 2005a pp 381 382 Kennan 2012 p 124 quoted in Gaddis 2005a p 382 Kennan 2012 p 132 Kennan 2012 p 134 quoted in Gaddis 2011 p 261 Kennan 2012 p 134 quoted in Gaddis 2005a p 35 Gaddis 2011 pp 261 720n25 Gaddis 2011 pp 261 271 a b c d e Gaddis 2011 p 271 a b c Krock 1947 quoted in Gaddis 2011 p 271 a b c d e f Gaddis 2005a p 25 Gaddis 2011 pp 271 272 a b Gaddis 2011 p 272 Gaddis 2011 pp 272 721n47 Kennan 1983 quoted in Gaddis 2011 p 272 a b c d e f Gaddis 2011 p 273 a b Gaddis 2011 pp 273 274 a b Gaddis 2011 p 275 Gaddis 2005a pp 24 25 Gaddis 2005a p 53 Gaddis 2005a pp 53 404n2 Gaddis 2005a p 48n Gaddis 2005a p 57 Kennan 1983 p 181 quoted in Borstelmann 2005 p 321 a b c Borstelmann 2005 p 321 Kennan 1983 p 551 quoted in Borstelmann 2005 p 321 Sources edit Books edit Borstelmann Thomas 2005 The United States the Cold War and the color line In Leffler Melvyn P Painter David S eds Origins of the Cold War An International History Second ed New York Routledge pp 317 332 ISBN 0 415 34109 4 Gaddis John Lewis 1997 We Now Know Rethinking Cold War History Oxford Oxford University Press ISBN 0 19 878071 0 Gaddis John Lewis 2005a 1982 Strategies of Containment A Critical Appraisal of American National Security Policy during the Cold War Revised and Expanded ed New York Oxford University Press ISBN 978 0 19 517447 2 Gaddis John Lewis 2005b The Cold War A New History New York Penguin Press ISBN 978 0 14 303827 6 Gaddis John Lewis 2011 George F Kennan An American Life New York Penguin Books ISBN 978 0 14 312215 9 Halle Louis 1967 The Cold War as History New York a href Template Cite book html title Template Cite book cite book a CS1 maint location missing publisher link Jensen Kenneth M ed 1993 Origins of the Cold War The Novikov Kennan and Roberts Long Telegrams of 1946 Washington United States Institute of Peace Press ISBN 1 878379 27 5 Kennan George F 1983 1967 Memoirs 1925 1950 New York Pantheon Kennan George F 2012 The Sources of Soviet Conduct American Diplomacy 60th Anniversary Expanded ed Chicago University of Chicago Press pp 113 134 ISBN 978 0 226 43148 2 Kissinger Henry A 1979 White House Years Boston Little Brown ISBN 0 316 49661 8 Leffler Melvyn P 2005 National security and US foreign policy In Leffler Melvyn P Painter David S eds Origins of the Cold War An International History Second ed New York Routledge pp 15 41 ISBN 0 415 34109 4 Leffler Melvyn P 2007 For the Soul of Mankind The United States the Soviet Union and the Cold War New York Hill and Wang ISBN 978 0 374 53142 3 Lippmann Walter 1947 The Cold War A Study in U S Foreign Policy New York Harper amp Row ISBN 9780061317231 Miscamble Wilson D 1993 George F Kennan and the Making of American Foreign Policy 1947 1950 Princeton Princeton University Press ISBN 978 0 691 02483 7 Schmitz David F 1999 Cold War 1945 91 Causes In Chambers John Whiteclay Anderson Fred Eden Lynn Glatthaar Joseph T Spector Ronald H eds The Oxford Companion to American Military History New York Oxford University Press ISBN 0 19 507198 0 Journal and newspaper articles edit Gati Charles 1972 What Containment Meant Foreign Policy 7 22 40 doi 10 2307 1147751 ISSN 0015 7228 JSTOR 1147751 Kennan George F 1991 Commentary Diplomatic History 15 4 539 543 doi 10 1111 j 1467 7709 1991 tb00147 x ISSN 0145 2096 JSTOR 24912135 Krock Arthur July 8 1947 A Guide to Official Thinking About Russia The New York Times p 22 Mark Eduard 1978 The Question of Containment A Reply to John Lewis Gaddis Foreign Affairs 56 2 430 441 doi 10 2307 20039861 ISSN 0015 7120 JSTOR 20039861 Wright C Ben 1976 Mr X and Containment Slavic Review 35 1 1 31 doi 10 2307 2494817 ISSN 0037 6779 JSTOR 2494817 Further reading editKennan George F July 1947 The Sources of Soviet Conduct Foreign Affairs 25 4 566 582 doi 10 2307 20030065 ISSN 0015 7120 JSTOR 20030065 External links editListen to this article 10 minutes source source nbsp This audio file was created from a revision of this article dated 17 December 2012 2012 12 17 and does not reflect subsequent edits Audio help More spoken articles Original scan of George Kennan s Long Telegram on the Wilson Center Digital Archive retrieved on June 3 2022 The Novikov Telegram Russian response to Kennan Stalin s warning for the future CNN short on Stalin s February 9 1946 speech featuring an interview with Kennan Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title X Article amp oldid 1193080134 The long telegram, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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