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2015 Castilian-Manchegan regional election

January 01, 1970

The 2015 Castilian-Manchegan regional election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 9th Cortes of the autonomous community of Castilla–La Mancha. All 33 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

2015 Castilian-Manchegan regional election
← 2011 24 May 2015 2019 →
All 33 seats in the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha
17 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered1,576,351 0.6%
Turnout1,127,147 (71.5%)
4.5 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader María Dolores de Cospedal Emiliano García-Page José García Molina
Party PP PSOE Podemos
Leader since 14 June 2006 26 February 2012 1 April 2015
Leader's seat Toledo Toledo Toledo
Last election 25 seats, 48.1% 24 seats, 43.4% Did not contest
Seats won 16 15 2
Seat change 9 9 2
Popular vote 413,349 398,104 107,463
Percentage 37.5% 36.1% 9.7%
Swing 10.6 pp 7.3 pp New party
Constituency results map for the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha

Overview edit

Electoral system edit

The Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Castilla–La Mancha, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Castilian-Manchegan Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Junta of Communities.[1] Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Castilla–La Mancha and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Castilian-Manchegan people abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2]

The 33 members of the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Additionally, the use of the D'Hondt method might result in an effective threshold over three percent, depending on the district magnitude.[3] Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Albacete, Ciudad Real, Cuenca, Guadalajara and Toledo. Each constituency was entitled to an initial minimum of three seats, with the remaining 18 allocated among the constituencies in proportion to their populations.[a][1][4]

The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they sought election. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[4][5][6]

Election date edit

The term of the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha expired four years after the date of their previous election. Elections to the Cortes were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 22 May 2011, setting the election date for the Cortes on Sunday, 24 May 2015.[1][4][5][6]

The President of the Junta of Communities had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the candidate from the party with the highest number of seats was to be deemed automatically elected.[1]

Opinion polls edit

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates edit

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 17 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha (25 until 13 August 2012 and 27 from 13 August 2012 to 21 July 2014).

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls   Exit poll

Voting preferences edit

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences edit

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Victory likelihood edit

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred President edit

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Junta of Communities of Castilla–La Mancha.

Results edit

Overall edit

← Summary of the 24 May 2015 Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha election results →
 
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
People's Party (PP) 413,349 37.49 –10.62 16 –9
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 398,104 36.11 –7.29 15 –9
We Can (Podemos) 107,463 9.75 New 2 +2
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 95,230 8.64 New 0 ±0
Let's Win Castilla–La Mancha–The Greens–United Left (Ganemos–LV–IU)1 34,230 3.10 –0.67 0 ±0
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 10,866 0.99 –0.76 0 ±0
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 8,943 0.81 +0.46 0 ±0
Vox (Vox) 5,302 0.48 New 0 ±0
Union of Independent Citizens (UCIN)2 5,061 0.46 +0.34 0 ±0
The Greens–Green Group (LV–GV) 1,918 0.17 –0.03 0 ±0
Castilian Party–Castilian Unity (PCAS–UdCa)3 1,532 0.14 –0.15 0 ±0
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) 987 0.09 New 0 ±0
Independents and Liberals for Manzanares (LIM) 287 0.03 New 0 ±0
Blank ballots 19,256 1.75 +0.08
Total 1,102,528 33 –16
Valid votes 1,102,528 97.82 –0.87
Invalid votes 24,619 2.18 +0.87
Votes cast / turnout 1,127,147 71.50 –4.46
Abstentions 449,204 28.50 +4.46
Registered voters 1,576,351
Sources[7][8][9]
Footnotes:
Popular vote
PP
 
 37.49%
PSOE
 
 36.11%
Podemos
 
 9.75%
C's
 
 8.64%
Ganemos–LV–IU
 
 3.10%
Others
 
 3.17%
Blank ballots
 
 1.75%
Seats
PP
 
 48.48%
PSOE
 
 45.45%
Podemos
 
 6.06%

Distribution by constituency edit

Constituency PP PSOE Podemos
% S % S % S
Albacete 36.7 3 33.8 3 11.2 −
Ciudad Real 37.1 4 38.8 4 8.4 −
Cuenca 41.5 3 37.6 2 8.0 −
Guadalajara 33.7 2 30.0 2 14.6 1
Toledo 38.3 4 36.9 4 8.8 1
Total 37.5 16 36.1 15 9.7 2
Sources[7][8][9]

Aftermath edit

Investiture
Emiliano García-Page (PSOE)
Ballot → 1 July 2015
Required majority → 17 out of 33  Y
Yes
17 / 33
No
  • • PP (16)
16 / 33
Abstentions
0 / 33
Absentees
0 / 33
Sources[9]

Notes edit

  1. ^ The electoral law was amended twice, in 2012 and 2014. The 2012 amendment provided for a 53 seat-Cortes and a fixed allocation of seats among constituencies: 10 for Albacete, 12 for Ciudad Real, 9 for Cuenca, 9 for Guadalajara and 13 for Toledo. As a result of them being superseded by the 2014 amendment, no election was fought under these rules.

References edit

Opinion poll sources
  1. ^ "Los sondeos a pie de urna dan la victoria a María Dolores Cospedal, que tendrá entre 15 y 17 diputados". Voces de Cuenca (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
  2. ^ "El PP obtendría entre 15 y 17 diputados en Castilla–La Mancha y el PSOE entre 13 y 15". ABC (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
  3. ^ "Encuestas y resultados - elecciones autonómicas y municipales del 24 de mayo de 2015". GAD3 (in Spanish). 28 May 2015.
  4. ^ "Cospedal, ante su primera reválida". ABC (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  5. ^ "Rajoy cree un éxito ser el más votado aunque pierda plazas simbólicas". ABC (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  6. ^ "El PP mantendría sin apoyos Castilla y León, Castilla–La Mancha, Murcia y La Rioja". La Razón (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  7. ^ "Castilla–La Mancha: Cospedal se mantiene en el límite de revalidar su mandato". La Razón (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  8. ^ (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 17 May 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on 18 May 2015.
  9. ^ "Cospedal se queda al filo de la mayoría absoluta en Castilla–La Mancha". El Mundo (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  10. ^ "Intención de voto en Castilla–La Mancha. Gráfico". El Mundo (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  11. ^ "Las últimas encuestas internas dan a Cospedal la mayoría absoluta en Castilla-La Mancha". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 10 May 2015.
  12. ^ . El Digital de Castilla-La Mancha (in Spanish). 11 May 2015. Archived from the original on 18 May 2015.
  13. ^ Díez, Anabel (9 May 2015). "Cospedal vence sin mayoría absoluta tras la irrupción de Ciudadanos". El País (in Spanish).
  14. ^ "Situación política en Castilla–La Mancha". El País (in Spanish). 9 May 2015.
  15. ^ (PDF). Noxa Consulting (in Spanish). 10 May 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on 18 May 2015.
  16. ^ "Castilla–La Mancha, Mayo 2015. Sondeo Noxa". Electograph (in Spanish). 10 May 2015.
  17. ^ "Cospedal ganará las elecciones y superará a Page en las 5 provincias". La Tribuna de Toledo (in Spanish). 14 May 2015.
  18. ^ "Page vencería aunque sin mayoría, en la encuesta de La Voz del Tajo". lavozdeltajo.com (in Spanish). 5 May 2015.
  19. ^ "Cospedal, cerca de obtener su segunda mayoría absoluta en Castilla–La Mancha". ABC (in Spanish). 3 May 2015.
  20. ^ a b c d e "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas 2015. Comunidad Autónoma de Castilla–La Mancha (Estudio nº 3071. Marzo-Abril 2015)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 7 May 2015.
  21. ^ "Sánchez se lanza al ataque como "única alternativa a la derecha"". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 8 May 2015.
  22. ^ . La Calle (in Spanish). 22 April 2015. Archived from the original on 30 April 2015.
  23. ^ a b "Cospedal pierde la mayoría y empata con Page, mejor valorado por los ciudadanos". La Calle (in Spanish). 24 March 2015.
  24. ^ "El PP seguirá siendo el más votado en las CC AA pese a la caída en apoyos". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 April 2015.
  25. ^ "Castilla–La Mancha: Cospedal aguanta el tipo ante un PSOE desgastado en la oposición". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 April 2015.
  26. ^ (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 20 April 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on 27 April 2015.
  27. ^ . VozPópuli (in Spanish). 25 February 2015. Archived from the original on 26 February 2015.
  28. ^ "Castilla–La Mancha, Febrero 2015. Sondeos internos PP y PSOE". Electograph (in Spanish). 25 February 2015.
  29. ^ "Castilla–La Mancha, Febrero 2015. Sondeo interno PP". Electograph (in Spanish). 20 February 2015.
  30. ^ "Cospedal revalida". ABC (in Spanish). 28 January 2015.
  31. ^ "Cospedal repetirá en Castilla La Mancha". La Gaceta (in Spanish). 29 January 2015.
  32. ^ "Castilla–La Mancha, Enero 2015. Sondeo interno PP". Electograph (in Spanish). 2 February 2015.
  33. ^ "Cospedal renovará la mayoría absoluta en Castilla–La Mancha". ABC (in Spanish). 1 March 2015.
  34. ^ "El PP revalidaría la mayoría absoluta en Castilla–La Mancha con 17 diputados". ABC (in Spanish). 1 February 2015.
  35. ^ "El reparto del poder territorial en España en 2015" (PDF). desarrollando-ideas.com (in Spanish). 31 October 2014.
  36. ^ "Cospedal revalidaría la mayoría absoluta en las elecciones regionales". La Tribuna de Albacete (in Spanish). 17 November 2014.
  37. ^ "El PP refuerza su mayoría absoluta con 28 diputados frente a los 23 del PSOE". ABC (in Spanish). 4 May 2014.
  38. ^ "Cospedal repetiría mayoría absoluta con 4 diputados más que el PSOE". La Tribuna de Albacete (in Spanish). 16 December 2013.
  39. ^ . La Razón (in Spanish). 18 November 2013. Archived from the original on 3 March 2016.
  40. ^ (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 18 November 2013. Archived from the original (PDF) on 3 March 2016. Retrieved 25 February 2015.
  41. ^ "Cospedal volvería a ganar por mayoría absoluta". La Tribuna de Albacete (in Spanish). 20 May 2013.
  42. ^ "El PP mantiene el poder autonómico". La Razón (in Spanish). 13 May 2013.
  43. ^ "Repite la mayoría absoluta: Castilla–La Mancha, Baleares, Castilla y León, Región de Murcia y La Rioja". La Razón (in Spanish). 13 May 2013.
  44. ^ . Electómetro (in Spanish). 13 May 2013. Archived from the original on 4 March 2016.
  45. ^ "Cospedal aumentaría su mayoría absoluta en Castilla–La Mancha". ABC (in Spanish). 31 May 2013.
Other
  1. ^ a b c d Statute of Autonomy of Castilla–La Mancha of 1982. Official State Gazette (Organic Law 9) (in Spanish). 10 August 1982. Retrieved 15 September 2017.
  2. ^ Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  3. ^ Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). . Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  4. ^ a b c Castilla–La Mancha Electoral Law of 1986. Official Journal of Castilla–La Mancha (Law 5) (in Spanish). 23 December 1986. Retrieved 15 September 2017.
  5. ^ a b General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985. Official State Gazette (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  6. ^ a b "Representation of the people Institutional Act". www.juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.
  7. ^ a b "Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha election results, 24 May 2015" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of Castilla–La Mancha. 15 June 2015. Retrieved 29 September 2017.
  8. ^ a b "IX Legislature. Regional election, 24 May 2015". www.cortesclm.es (in Spanish). Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha. Retrieved 29 September 2017.
  9. ^ a b c "Elecciones a las Cortes de Castilla - La Mancha (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 29 September 2017.

January 01, 1970
2015, castilian, manchegan, regional, election, held, sunday, 2015, elect, cortes, autonomous, community, castilla, mancha, seats, cortes, were, election, election, held, simultaneously, with, regional, elections, twelve, other, autonomous, communities, local,. The 2015 Castilian Manchegan regional election was held on Sunday 24 May 2015 to elect the 9th Cortes of the autonomous community of Castilla La Mancha All 33 seats in the Cortes were up for election The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain 2015 Castilian Manchegan regional election 2011 24 May 2015 2019 All 33 seats in the Cortes of Castilla La Mancha17 seats needed for a majorityOpinion pollsRegistered1 576 351 0 6 Turnout1 127 147 71 5 4 5 pp First party Second party Third party Leader Maria Dolores de Cospedal Emiliano Garcia Page Jose Garcia Molina Party PP PSOE Podemos Leader since 14 June 2006 26 February 2012 1 April 2015 Leader s seat Toledo Toledo Toledo Last election 25 seats 48 1 24 seats 43 4 Did not contest Seats won 16 15 2 Seat change 9 9 2 Popular vote 413 349 398 104 107 463 Percentage 37 5 36 1 9 7 Swing 10 6 pp 7 3 pp New partyConstituency results map for the Cortes of Castilla La ManchaPresident before election Maria Dolores de Cospedal PP Elected President Emiliano Garcia Page PSOE Contents 1 Overview 1 1 Electoral system 1 2 Election date 2 Opinion polls 2 1 Voting intention estimates 2 2 Voting preferences 2 3 Victory preferences 2 4 Victory likelihood 2 5 Preferred President 3 Results 3 1 Overall 3 2 Distribution by constituency 4 Aftermath 5 Notes 6 ReferencesOverview editElectoral system edit The Cortes of Castilla La Mancha were the devolved unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Castilla La Mancha having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Castilian Manchegan Statute of Autonomy as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Junta of Communities 1 Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age registered in Castilla La Mancha and in full enjoyment of their political rights Additionally Castilian Manchegan people abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote a system known as begged or expat vote Spanish Voto rogado 2 The 33 members of the Cortes of Castilla La Mancha were elected using the D Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes which included blank ballots being applied in each constituency Additionally the use of the D Hondt method might result in an effective threshold over three percent depending on the district magnitude 3 Seats were allocated to constituencies corresponding to the provinces of Albacete Ciudad Real Cuenca Guadalajara and Toledo Each constituency was entitled to an initial minimum of three seats with the remaining 18 allocated among the constituencies in proportion to their populations a 1 4 The electoral law provided that parties federations coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates However groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they sought election Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates Concurrently parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called 4 5 6 Election date edit The term of the Cortes of Castilla La Mancha expired four years after the date of their previous election Elections to the Cortes were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years The previous election was held on 22 May 2011 setting the election date for the Cortes on Sunday 24 May 2015 1 4 5 6 The President of the Junta of Communities had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Castilla La Mancha and call a snap election provided that no motion of no confidence was in process no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met namely that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature s last year ahead of its scheduled expiry nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four year terms In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two month period from the first ballot the candidate from the party with the highest number of seats was to be deemed automatically elected 1 Opinion polls editThe tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done as opposed to the date of publication Where the fieldwork dates are unknown the date of publication is given instead The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party s colour If a tie ensues this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages The Lead column on the right shows the percentage point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll Voting intention estimates edit The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages while question wording and the treatment of don t know responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations When available seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below or in place of the percentages in a smaller font 17 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Castilla La Mancha 25 until 13 August 2012 and 27 from 13 August 2012 to 21 July 2014 Color key Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls Exit poll Polling firm Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout nbsp nbsp nbsp nbsp nbsp nbsp Lead 2015 regional election 24 May 2015 71 5 37 516 36 115 3 10 1 00 9 72 8 60 1 4 TNS Demoscopia RTVE FORTA p 1 p 2 24 May 2015 20 250 38 415 17 35 213 15 9 91 2 7 00 1 3 2 GAD3 Antena 3 p 3 11 22 May 2015 15 16 13 14 2 3 0 3 GAD3 ABC p 4 p 5 17 May 2015 39 416 17 27 510 11 10 62 3 14 23 4 11 9 NC Report La Razon p 6 p 7 p 8 17 May 2015 900 40 816 17 35 612 13 3 10 0 90 8 91 2 9 31 2 5 2 Sigma Dos El Mundo p 9 p 10 8 12 May 2015 1 200 37 915 17 32 911 13 4 30 10 73 9 62 3 5 0 PP p 11 p 12 27 Apr 8 May 2015 5 000 37 517 33 612 4 50 10 32 9 82 3 9 Metroscopia El Pais p 13 p 14 30 Apr 5 May 2015 2 000 77 35 114 26 610 12 64 17 65 8 5 Noxa PSOE p 15 p 16 28 Apr 4 May 2015 2 000 31 612 32 314 10 02 17 05 0 7 Sigma Dos La Tribuna p 17 27 Apr 4 May 2015 1 500 37 615 16 28 811 6 40 11 43 4 11 12 4 8 8 lavozdeltajo com p 18 23 Apr 4 May 2015 7 274 39 513 14 40 114 15 1 20 0 20 10 73 4 8 52 3 0 6 GAD3 ABC p 19 23 28 Apr 2015 1 004 40 117 18 25 59 10 3 60 0 80 9 12 3 16 93 5 14 6 CIS p 20 p 21 23 Mar 19 Apr 2015 1 961 34 914 15 35 113 3 30 1 40 9 92 12 03 4 0 2 Noxa La Calle p 22 11 17 Apr 2015 2 000 75 6 35 114 37 114 3 10 2 90 11 24 8 51 2 0 Noxa La Calle p 23 7 14 Mar 2015 2 000 73 6 35 414 36 414 2 80 3 60 11 94 7 81 1 0 NC Report La Razon p 24 p 25 p 26 2 11 Mar 2015 900 42 317 18 33 110 11 2 80 1 10 10 02 3 9 22 3 9 2 PSOE p 27 p 28 25 Feb 2015 14 15 15 16 3 5 PP p 29 20 Feb 2015 17 11 14 1 2 4 5 PP p 30 p 31 p 32 28 Jan 2015 18 10 5 GAD3 ABC p 33 7 21 Jan 2015 2 002 42 318 32 511 11 64 9 8 Asturbarometro p 34 10 Dec 9 Jan 2015 42 917 28 110 2 70 2 80 16 46 2 40 14 8 Llorente amp Cuenca p 35 31 Oct 2014 13 15 14 16 2 4 NC Report La Tribuna p 36 12 23 Oct 2014 3 000 70 7 42 617 35 513 3 20 3 40 12 43 7 1 2014 EP election 25 May 2014 46 4 37 724 28 818 8 74 7 24 6 43 2 20 8 9 GAD3 ABC p 37 26 Mar 10 Apr 2014 1 500 44 828 38 723 8 22 6 1 NC Report La Tribuna p 38 18 28 Nov 2013 3 000 69 0 41 327 38 923 7 53 5 60 2 4 NC Report La Razon p 39 p 40 15 Oct 12 Nov 2013 27 23 24 1 2 0 1 NC Report La Tribuna p 41 2 15 May 2013 3 000 41 927 39 723 7 23 5 50 2 2 NC Report La Razon p 42 p 43 p 44 15 Apr 10 May 2013 350 41 827 40 223 24 2 3 1 6 GAD3 ABC p 45 1 22 Apr 2013 1 500 43 528 40 122 8 93 3 30 3 4 2011 general election 20 Nov 2011 75 8 55 832 30 317 5 80 5 00 25 5 2011 regional election 22 May 2011 76 0 48 125 43 424 3 80 1 80 4 7 Voting preferences edit The table below lists raw unweighted voting preferences Polling firm Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size nbsp nbsp nbsp nbsp nbsp nbsp nbsp nbsp N Lead 2015 regional election 24 May 2015 26 7 25 7 2 2 0 7 6 9 6 1 27 2 1 0 CIS p 20 23 Mar 19 Apr 2015 1 961 18 5 14 9 2 8 0 5 8 0 8 3 34 7 7 8 3 6 2014 EP election 25 May 2014 17 3 13 2 4 0 3 3 2 9 1 0 52 9 4 1 2011 general election 20 Nov 2011 42 2 22 9 4 4 3 8 23 3 19 3 2011 regional election 22 May 2011 36 5 32 9 2 9 1 3 23 1 3 6 Victory preferences edit The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place Polling firm Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size nbsp nbsp nbsp nbsp nbsp nbsp Other None nbsp Lead CIS p 20 23 Mar 19 Apr 2015 1 961 22 7 20 3 2 9 0 8 8 8 9 1 8 3 27 1 2 4 Victory likelihood edit The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place Polling firm Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size nbsp nbsp nbsp nbsp Other None nbsp Lead CIS p 20 23 Mar 19 Apr 2015 1 961 42 4 18 0 2 0 0 5 1 0 36 1 24 4 Preferred President edit The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Junta of Communities of Castilla La Mancha Polling firm Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size nbsp nbsp nbsp nbsp nbsp Other None Notcare nbsp Lead CospedalPP PagePSOE AvilaIU MolinaPodemos LigeroC s CIS p 20 23 Mar 19 Apr 2015 1 961 25 7 17 1 1 4 2 5 2 0 3 6 47 8 8 6 Noxa La Calle p 23 7 14 Mar 2015 2 000 39 1 46 7 14 2 7 6Results editOverall edit Summary of the 24 May 2015 Cortes of Castilla La Mancha election results nbsp Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats Votes pp Total People s Party PP 413 349 37 49 10 62 16 9 Spanish Socialist Workers Party PSOE 398 104 36 11 7 29 15 9 We Can Podemos 107 463 9 75 New 2 2 Citizens Party of the Citizenry C s 95 230 8 64 New 0 0 Let s Win Castilla La Mancha The Greens United Left Ganemos LV IU 1 34 230 3 10 0 67 0 0 Union Progress and Democracy UPyD 10 866 0 99 0 76 0 0 Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals PACMA 8 943 0 81 0 46 0 0 Vox Vox 5 302 0 48 New 0 0 Union of Independent Citizens UCIN 2 5 061 0 46 0 34 0 0 The Greens Green Group LV GV 1 918 0 17 0 03 0 0 Castilian Party Castilian Unity PCAS UdCa 3 1 532 0 14 0 15 0 0 Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain PCPE 987 0 09 New 0 0 Independents and Liberals for Manzanares LIM 287 0 03 New 0 0 Blank ballots 19 256 1 75 0 08 Total 1 102 528 33 16 Valid votes 1 102 528 97 82 0 87 Invalid votes 24 619 2 18 0 87 Votes cast turnout 1 127 147 71 50 4 46 Abstentions 449 204 28 50 4 46 Registered voters 1 576 351 Sources 7 8 9 Footnotes 1 Let s Win Castilla La Mancha The Greens United Left results are compared to United Left of Castilla La Mancha totals in the 2011 election 2 Union of Independent Citizens results are compared to Union of Independent Citizens of Toledo totals in the 2011 election 3 Castilian Party Castilian Unity results are compared to the combined totals of Castilian Party and Castilian Unity in the 2011 election Popular vote PP 37 49 PSOE 36 11 Podemos 9 75 C s 8 64 Ganemos LV IU 3 10 Others 3 17 Blank ballots 1 75 Seats PP 48 48 PSOE 45 45 Podemos 6 06 Distribution by constituency edit Constituency PP PSOE Podemos S S S Albacete 36 7 3 33 8 3 11 2 Ciudad Real 37 1 4 38 8 4 8 4 Cuenca 41 5 3 37 6 2 8 0 Guadalajara 33 7 2 30 0 2 14 6 1 Toledo 38 3 4 36 9 4 8 8 1 Total 37 5 16 36 1 15 9 7 2 Sources 7 8 9 Aftermath editInvestitureEmiliano Garcia Page PSOE Ballot 1 July 2015 Required majority 17 out of 33 nbsp Y Yes PSOE 15 Podemos 2 17 33 No PP 16 16 33 Abstentions 0 33 Absentees 0 33 Sources 9 Notes edit The electoral law was amended twice in 2012 and 2014 The 2012 amendment provided for a 53 seat Cortes and a fixed allocation of seats among constituencies 10 for Albacete 12 for Ciudad Real 9 for Cuenca 9 for Guadalajara and 13 for Toledo As a result of them being superseded by the 2014 amendment no election was fought under these rules References editOpinion poll sources Los sondeos a pie de urna dan la victoria a Maria Dolores Cospedal que tendra entre 15 y 17 diputados Voces de Cuenca in Spanish 24 May 2015 El PP obtendria entre 15 y 17 diputados en Castilla La Mancha y el PSOE entre 13 y 15 ABC in Spanish 24 May 2015 Encuestas y resultados elecciones autonomicas y municipales del 24 de mayo de 2015 GAD3 in Spanish 28 May 2015 Cospedal ante su primera revalida ABC in Spanish 17 May 2015 Rajoy cree un exito ser el mas votado aunque pierda plazas simbolicas ABC in Spanish 17 May 2015 El PP mantendria sin apoyos Castilla y Leon Castilla La Mancha Murcia y La Rioja La Razon in Spanish 17 May 2015 Castilla La Mancha Cospedal se mantiene en el limite de revalidar su mandato La Razon in Spanish 17 May 2015 Castilla La Mancha Encuesta mayo 2015 PDF La Razon in Spanish 17 May 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 18 May 2015 Cospedal se queda al filo de la mayoria absoluta en Castilla La Mancha El Mundo in Spanish 17 May 2015 Intencion de voto en Castilla La Mancha Grafico El Mundo in Spanish 17 May 2015 Las ultimas encuestas internas dan a Cospedal la mayoria absoluta en Castilla La Mancha Libertad Digital in Spanish 10 May 2015 La ultima y muy reciente encuesta interna del PP mayoria absoluta de Cospedal y victoria en las cinco provincias El Digital de Castilla La Mancha in Spanish 11 May 2015 Archived from the original on 18 May 2015 Diez Anabel 9 May 2015 Cospedal vence sin mayoria absoluta tras la irrupcion de Ciudadanos El Pais in Spanish Situacion politica en Castilla La Mancha El Pais in Spanish 9 May 2015 Estudio politico Castilla La Mancha mayo de 2015 PDF Noxa Consulting in Spanish 10 May 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 18 May 2015 Castilla La Mancha Mayo 2015 Sondeo Noxa Electograph in Spanish 10 May 2015 Cospedal ganara las elecciones y superara a Page en las 5 provincias La Tribuna de Toledo in Spanish 14 May 2015 Page venceria aunque sin mayoria en la encuesta de La Voz del Tajo lavozdeltajo com in Spanish 5 May 2015 Cospedal cerca de obtener su segunda mayoria absoluta en Castilla La Mancha ABC in Spanish 3 May 2015 a b c d e Preelectoral elecciones autonomicas 2015 Comunidad Autonoma de Castilla La Mancha Estudio nº 3071 Marzo Abril 2015 PDF CIS in Spanish 7 May 2015 Sanchez se lanza al ataque como unica alternativa a la derecha La Vanguardia in Spanish 8 May 2015 Page ganaria a Cospedal en la mayoria de grandes localidades de la region La Calle in Spanish 22 April 2015 Archived from the original on 30 April 2015 a b Cospedal pierde la mayoria y empata con Page mejor valorado por los ciudadanos La Calle in Spanish 24 March 2015 El PP seguira siendo el mas votado en las CC AA pese a la caida en apoyos La Razon in Spanish 20 April 2015 Castilla La Mancha Cospedal aguanta el tipo ante un PSOE desgastado en la oposicion La Razon in Spanish 20 April 2015 Castilla La Mancha Encuesta marzo 2015 PDF La Razon in Spanish 20 April 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 27 April 2015 Los sondeos preven la entrada de Podemos en Castilla La Mancha y la salida de Cospedal del Gobierno VozPopuli in Spanish 25 February 2015 Archived from the original on 26 February 2015 Castilla La Mancha Febrero 2015 Sondeos internos PP y PSOE Electograph in Spanish 25 February 2015 Castilla La Mancha Febrero 2015 Sondeo interno PP Electograph in Spanish 20 February 2015 Cospedal revalida ABC in Spanish 28 January 2015 Cospedal repetira en Castilla La Mancha La Gaceta in Spanish 29 January 2015 Castilla La Mancha Enero 2015 Sondeo interno PP Electograph in Spanish 2 February 2015 Cospedal renovara la mayoria absoluta en Castilla La Mancha ABC in Spanish 1 March 2015 El PP revalidaria la mayoria absoluta en Castilla La Mancha con 17 diputados ABC in Spanish 1 February 2015 El reparto del poder territorial en Espana en 2015 PDF desarrollando ideas com in Spanish 31 October 2014 Cospedal revalidaria la mayoria absoluta en las elecciones regionales La Tribuna de Albacete in Spanish 17 November 2014 El PP refuerza su mayoria absoluta con 28 diputados frente a los 23 del PSOE ABC in Spanish 4 May 2014 Cospedal repetiria mayoria absoluta con 4 diputados mas que el PSOE La Tribuna de Albacete in Spanish 16 December 2013 El PP ganaria de nuevo en 9 de 13 autonomias La Razon in Spanish 18 November 2013 Archived from the original on 3 March 2016 Encuesta autonomicas NC Report noviembre 2013 PDF La Razon in Spanish 18 November 2013 Archived from the original PDF on 3 March 2016 Retrieved 25 February 2015 Cospedal volveria a ganar por mayoria absoluta La Tribuna de Albacete in Spanish 20 May 2013 El PP mantiene el poder autonomico La Razon in Spanish 13 May 2013 Repite la mayoria absoluta Castilla La Mancha Baleares Castilla y Leon Region de Murcia y La Rioja La Razon in Spanish 13 May 2013 El PP ganaria en la mayoria de las autonomias La Razon Electometro in Spanish 13 May 2013 Archived from the original on 4 March 2016 Cospedal aumentaria su mayoria absoluta en Castilla La Mancha ABC in Spanish 31 May 2013 Other a b c d Statute of Autonomy of Castilla La Mancha of 1982 Official State Gazette Organic Law 9 in Spanish 10 August 1982 Retrieved 15 September 2017 Reig Pellicer Naiara 16 December 2015 Spanish elections Begging for the right to vote cafebabel co uk Retrieved 17 July 2017 Gallagher Michael 30 July 2012 Effective threshold in electoral systems Trinity College Dublin Archived from the original on 30 July 2017 Retrieved 22 July 2017 a b c Castilla La Mancha Electoral Law of 1986 Official Journal of Castilla La Mancha Law 5 in Spanish 23 December 1986 Retrieved 15 September 2017 a b General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985 Official State Gazette Organic Law 5 in Spanish 19 June 1985 Retrieved 28 December 2016 a b Representation of the people Institutional Act www juntaelectoralcentral es Central Electoral Commission Retrieved 16 June 2017 a b Cortes of Castilla La Mancha election results 24 May 2015 PDF www juntaelectoralcentral es in Spanish Electoral Commission of Castilla La Mancha 15 June 2015 Retrieved 29 September 2017 a b IX Legislature Regional election 24 May 2015 www cortesclm es in Spanish Cortes of Castilla La Mancha Retrieved 29 September 2017 a b c Elecciones a las Cortes de Castilla La Mancha 1983 2019 Historia Electoral com in Spanish Retrieved 29 September 2017 Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title 2015 Castilian Manchegan regional election amp oldid 1209727272, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, 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