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2026 Victorian state election

The 61st Victorian state election is expected to be held on 28 November 2026[1] to elect the 61st Parliament of Victoria. All 88 seats in the Legislative Assembly (lower house) and all 40 seats in the Legislative Council (upper house) will be up for election, presuming there are no new electorates added in a redistribution.

2026 Victorian state election

← 2022 28 November 2026 2030 →

All 88 seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly
All 40 seats in the Victorian Legislative Council
45 Assembly seats are needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Daniel Andrews John Pesutto Samantha Ratnam
Party Labor Liberal/National coalition Greens
Leader since 3 December 2010 8 December 2022 12 October 2017
Leader's seat Mulgrave Hawthorn MLC for Northern
Metropolitan
Last election 56 seats 28 seats[a] 4 seats
Current seats 56 seats 28 seats 4 seats
Seats needed 17 41

The election will be administered by the Victorian Electoral Commission.

Background

Previous election and parliament

The Daniel Andrews led Labor government was returned to power in 2014 after winning a majority of seats in the Legislative Assembly at the 2014 state election. The Labor party was re-elected at the 2018 state election and again at the 2022 state election, winning 56 seats. The Liberal/National Coalition gained one seat to 28 seats, the Greens won 4 seats. In the Legislative Council, the Labor party won 15 of the 40 seats.

Daniel Andrews and the Labor government are expected to be seeking a fourth four-year term, assuming he is not handing power to the deputy premier, Jacinta Allan. Opposition Leader Matthew Guy stood down as Liberal leader a day after the party's poor result at the 2022 election, with John Pesutto elected as the new leader after an ensuing leadership spill.

Electorial system

Eligible Victorian electors are required to cast a ballot due to compulsory voting laws. The eligibility criteria for enrolment to vote includes being 18 years or older, an Australian citizen, and to have lived in Victoria for longer than a month.[1]

Legislative Assembly

For the election of members to single seats of the Legislative Assembly, the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) uses full preferential voting where for a vote to count, it is required to number every box on the ballot in the order of the most preferred candidate for the particular electoral district an elector is registered to vote in.[2] The election will cover all 88 Seats of the Victorian Legislative Assembly.[3]

Legislative Council

For the election of members to multi-member state regions in the Legislative Council the VEC uses optional preferential voting where voters can either vote for a political party or a group voting ticket 'above the line' or vote for individual candidates 'below the line'.[2] Members of the Legislative Council represent state regions. There are currently eight state regions, they make up of eleven Legislative Assembly districts and are each represented by five members of Parliament in the Legislative Council.[4]

When voting 'above the line', for a vote to count, voters are required to write the number 1 for the political party or group of candidates they prefer. Preferences will then be automatically distributed based on the registered preference order provided to the VEC by the group voting ticket.[2]

When voting 'below the line', for a vote to count, voters are required to number a minimum of 5 boxes on the ballot in the order of their most preferred candidate.[2]

Date of Election

In accordance to the timetable set out in the Electoral Act 2002 (VIC), the terms of elected officials to Victorian Parliament are on a fixed term basis. All elections since the 2006 have occurred every four years on the last Saturday of November. Unless the Governor of Victoria unexpectedly dissolves parliament, the election is expected to be held on 28 November 2026.[5]

Expected timeline of the election

  • 3 November 2026: The Legislative Assembly expires prompting the need for an election to be held. This also means that there are no longer any members, business of parliament ends until a new parliament is formed, and parliament enters into a caretaker period.[6]
  • 3 November 2026: On the same day that the Legislative Assembly expires, the Governor of Victoria issues a writ for the VEC to hold an election.[5]
  • 10 November 2026: 7 days after the writ is issued, at 8:00 pm, the electoral roll is closed meaning people can no longer be added to the electoral roll, update the electorate they live in, or update any other information.[5]
  • 13 November 2026: 10 days after the writ is issued, at noon, the period for submitting candidate nominations closes.[5]
  • 28 November 2026: The last Saturday of November, nearest to the fourth year following of the previous election date, is the Election Day.[5]
  • 19 December 2026: Within 21 days following election day, the Electoral Commissioner returns the writ with information regarding the successful candidates.[5]

Pre-electoral pendulum

Extended content
Labor seats (56)
Seat Member Party Margin
Marginal
Bass Jordan Crugnale ALP 0.2%
Northcote Kat Theophanous ALP 0.2% v GRN
Pakenham Emma Vulin ALP 0.4%
Hastings Paul Mercurio ALP 1.4%
Pascoe Vale Anthony Cianflone ALP 2.0% v GRN
Preston Nathan Lambert ALP 2.1% v GRN
Ripon Martha Haylett ALP 3.0%
Glen Waverley John Mullahy ALP 3.3%
Bayswater Jackson Taylor ALP 4.2%
Footscray Katie Hall ALP 4.2% v GRN
Yan Yean Lauren Kathage ALP 4.5%
Melton Steve McGhie ALP 4.6%
Fairly safe
Ashwood Matt Fregon ALP 6.2%
Sunbury Josh Bull ALP 6.4%
Niddrie Ben Carroll ALP 6.7%
Greenvale Iwan Walters ALP 6.9%
Box Hill Paul Hamer ALP 7.2%
Eureka Michaela Settle ALP 7.2%
Ringwood Will Fowles ALP 7.5%
Monbulk Daniela De Martino ALP 7.6%
Bentleigh Nick Staikos ALP 8.0%
Mordialloc Tim Richardson ALP 8.2%
Point Cook Mathew Hilakari ALP 8.3%
Bellarine Alison Marchant ALP 8.5%
Narre Warren South Gary Maas ALP 8.5%
Frankston Paul Edbrooke ALP 8.7%
Sydenham Natalie Hutchins ALP 8.7%
Cranbourne Pauline Richards ALP 9.0%
Eltham Vicki Ward ALP 9.0%
Narre Warren North Belinda Wilson ALP 9.2%
Macedon Mary-Anne Thomas ALP 9.5%
St Albans Natalie Suleyman ALP 9.6%
South Barwon Darren Cheeseman ALP 9.8%
Carrum Sonya Kilkenny ALP 9.9%
Safe
Mulgrave Daniel Andrews ALP 10.2%
Clarinda Meng Heang Tak ALP 10.4%
Werribee Tim Pallas ALP 10.9%
Bendigo East Jacinta Allan ALP 10.9%
Albert Park Nina Taylor ALP 11.2%
Mill Park Lily D'Ambrosio ALP 11.4%
Essendon Danny Pearson ALP 12.5%
Tarneit Dylan Wight ALP 12.6%
Bundoora Colin Brooks ALP 12.7%
Ivanhoe Anthony Carbines ALP 13.0%
Williamstown Melissa Horne ALP 13.4%
Oakleigh Steve Dimopoulos ALP 13.5%
Wendouree Juliana Addison ALP 13.5%
Kororoit Luba Grigorovitch ALP 14.2%
Bendigo West Maree Edwards ALP 14.3%
Geelong Christine Couzens ALP 14.7%
Broadmeadows Kathleen Matthews-Ward ALP 15.5%
Thomastown Bronwyn Halfpenny ALP 16.0%
Lara Ella George ALP 16.2%
Kalkallo Ros Spence ALP 16.4%
Laverton Sarah Connolly ALP 18.0%
Dandenong Gabrielle Williams ALP 19.1%
Liberal/National seats (28)
Seat Member Party Margin
Marginal
Mornington Chris Crewther LIB 0.7% v IND
Benambra Bill Tilley LIB 0.9% v IND
Mildura Jade Benham NAT 1.2% v IND
Croydon David Hodgett LIB 1.4%
Hawthorn John Pesutto LIB 1.7%
Polwarth Richard Riordan LIB 1.8%
Caulfield David Southwick LIB 2.1%
Shepparton Kim O'Keeffe NAT 2.8% v IND
Rowville Kim Wells LIB 3.7%
Kew Jess Wilson LIB 4.0%
Brighton James Newbury LIB 4.2%
Warrandyte Ryan Smith LIB 4.2%
Morwell Martin Cameron NAT 4.4%
Berwick Brad Battin LIB 4.7%
Sandringham Brad Rowswell LIB 5.1%
Evelyn Bridget Vallence LIB 5.2%
Bulleen Matthew Guy LIB 5.9%
Fairly safe
Nepean Sam Groth LIB 6.7%
Eildon Cindy McLeish LIB 7.1%
South-West Coast Roma Britnell LIB 8.0%
Malvern Michael O'Brien LIB 8.4%
Safe
Euroa Annabelle Cleeland NAT 12.0%
Narracan Wayne Farnham[b] LIB 12.9% v IND
Gippsland South Danny O'Brien NAT 15.2%
Ovens Valley Tim McCurdy NAT 18.0%
Very safe
Lowan Emma Kealy NAT 21.6%
Murray Plains Peter Walsh NAT 23.0%
Gippsland East Tim Bull NAT 23.9%
Crossbench seats (4)
Seat Member Party Margin
Fairly safe
Richmond Gabrielle de Vietri GRN 7.3% v ALP
Safe
Melbourne Ellen Sandell GRN 10.2% v ALP
Prahran Sam Hibbins GRN 12.0% v LIB
Brunswick Tim Read GRN 13.5% v ALP

Opinion polling

Graphical summary

Primary vote

Voting intention

Legislative Assembly (lower house) polling
Date Firm Primary vote TPP vote
ALP LIB NAT GRN OTH ALP L/NP
19 February 2023 Resolve Strategic[7][c] 41% 30%* 13% 17%
8 December 2022 John Pesutto becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
26 November 2022 election[8] 37.0% 29.6% 4.8% 11.5% 17.1% 55% 45%
21 – 24 November 2022 Newspoll[9] 38% 35%* 12% 15% 54.5% 45.5%
* Indicates a combined Liberal/National primary vote.
Newspoll polling is published in The Australian.[10]

Preferred Premier and satisfaction

Better Premier and satisfaction polling*
Date Firm Better Premier Andrews Pesutto
Andrews Pesutto Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied
19 February 2023 Resolve Strategic[7] 50% 26% not asked not asked
8 December 2022 Pesutto replaces Guy Andrews Guy Andrews Guy
26 November 2022 election
21 – 24 November 2022 Newspoll[9] 51% 35% 46% 48% 31% 56%
* Remainder were "uncommitted" or "other/neither".
† Participants were forced to choose.
Newspoll polling is published in The Australian.[10]

Notes

  1. ^ The election for the District of Narracan was deferred. A supplementary election was held on 28 January 2023.
  2. ^ Farnham was elected at a supplementary election, held on 28 January 2023.
  3. ^ TPP vote not calculated

References

  1. ^ a b "State elections". Victorian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 4 November 2022.
  2. ^ a b c d "Preferential voting". Victorian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 6 November 2022.
  3. ^ "State districts". Victorian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 6 November 2022.
  4. ^ "State regions". Victorian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 6 November 2022.
  5. ^ a b c d e f "Fact Sheet G3: Elections". Parliament of Victoria. 10 March 2015. Retrieved 6 November 2022.
  6. ^ "Fact Sheet A2: Terminology used in Parliament". Parliament of Victoria. 24 March 2015. Retrieved 7 November 2022.
  7. ^ a b Smethurst, Annika (20 February 2023). "Support for Daniel Andrews rises as he marks 3000 days in office". The Age. Retrieved 21 February 2023.
  8. ^ "2022 State election results". Victorian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 20 February 2023.
  9. ^ a b Baxendale, Rachel (25 November 2022). "Victorian election: Despite a swing, Newspoll puts Daniel Andrews on track to win". The Australian. Archived from the original on 25 November 2022. Retrieved 25 November 2022.
  10. ^ a b . Archived from the original on 27 February 2015. Retrieved 16 July 2020.

External links

  • Victorian Electoral Commission Homepage

2026, victorian, state, election, this, article, needs, additional, citations, verification, please, help, improve, this, article, adding, citations, reliable, sources, unsourced, material, challenged, removed, find, sources, news, newspapers, books, scholar, . This article needs additional citations for verification Please help improve this article by adding citations to reliable sources Unsourced material may be challenged and removed Find sources 2026 Victorian state election news newspapers books scholar JSTOR November 2022 Learn how and when to remove this template message The 61st Victorian state election is expected to be held on 28 November 2026 1 to elect the 61st Parliament of Victoria All 88 seats in the Legislative Assembly lower house and all 40 seats in the Legislative Council upper house will be up for election presuming there are no new electorates added in a redistribution 2026 Victorian state election 2022 28 November 2026 2030 All 88 seats in the Victorian Legislative AssemblyAll 40 seats in the Victorian Legislative Council45 Assembly seats are needed for a majorityOpinion polls Leader Daniel Andrews John Pesutto Samantha RatnamParty Labor Liberal National coalition GreensLeader since 3 December 2010 8 December 2022 12 October 2017Leader s seat Mulgrave Hawthorn MLC for Northern MetropolitanLast election 56 seats 28 seats a 4 seatsCurrent seats 56 seats 28 seats 4 seatsSeats needed 17 41Incumbent PremierDaniel AndrewsLaborThe election will be administered by the Victorian Electoral Commission Contents 1 Background 1 1 Previous election and parliament 2 Electorial system 2 1 Legislative Assembly 2 2 Legislative Council 3 Date of Election 4 Expected timeline of the election 5 Pre electoral pendulum 6 Opinion polling 6 1 Graphical summary 6 2 Voting intention 6 3 Preferred Premier and satisfaction 7 Notes 8 References 9 External linksBackground EditPrevious election and parliament Edit See also Results of the 2022 Victorian state election Legislative Assembly Members of the Victorian Legislative Assembly 2022 2026 and Post election pendulum for the 2022 Victorian state election See also Results of the 2022 Victorian state election Legislative Council and Members of the Victorian Legislative Council 2022 2026 The Daniel Andrews led Labor government was returned to power in 2014 after winning a majority of seats in the Legislative Assembly at the 2014 state election The Labor party was re elected at the 2018 state election and again at the 2022 state election winning 56 seats The Liberal National Coalition gained one seat to 28 seats the Greens won 4 seats In the Legislative Council the Labor party won 15 of the 40 seats Daniel Andrews and the Labor government are expected to be seeking a fourth four year term assuming he is not handing power to the deputy premier Jacinta Allan Opposition Leader Matthew Guy stood down as Liberal leader a day after the party s poor result at the 2022 election with John Pesutto elected as the new leader after an ensuing leadership spill Electorial system EditEligible Victorian electors are required to cast a ballot due to compulsory voting laws The eligibility criteria for enrolment to vote includes being 18 years or older an Australian citizen and to have lived in Victoria for longer than a month 1 Legislative Assembly Edit For the election of members to single seats of the Legislative Assembly the Victorian Electoral Commission VEC uses full preferential voting where for a vote to count it is required to number every box on the ballot in the order of the most preferred candidate for the particular electoral district an elector is registered to vote in 2 The election will cover all 88 Seats of the Victorian Legislative Assembly 3 Legislative Council Edit For the election of members to multi member state regions in the Legislative Council the VEC uses optional preferential voting where voters can either vote for a political party or a group voting ticket above the line or vote for individual candidates below the line 2 Members of the Legislative Council represent state regions There are currently eight state regions they make up of eleven Legislative Assembly districts and are each represented by five members of Parliament in the Legislative Council 4 When voting above the line for a vote to count voters are required to write the number 1 for the political party or group of candidates they prefer Preferences will then be automatically distributed based on the registered preference order provided to the VEC by the group voting ticket 2 When voting below the line for a vote to count voters are required to number a minimum of 5 boxes on the ballot in the order of their most preferred candidate 2 Date of Election EditIn accordance to the timetable set out in the Electoral Act 2002 VIC the terms of elected officials to Victorian Parliament are on a fixed term basis All elections since the 2006 have occurred every four years on the last Saturday of November Unless the Governor of Victoria unexpectedly dissolves parliament the election is expected to be held on 28 November 2026 5 Expected timeline of the election Edit3 November 2026 The Legislative Assembly expires prompting the need for an election to be held This also means that there are no longer any members business of parliament ends until a new parliament is formed and parliament enters into a caretaker period 6 3 November 2026 On the same day that the Legislative Assembly expires the Governor of Victoria issues a writ for the VEC to hold an election 5 10 November 2026 7 days after the writ is issued at 8 00 pm the electoral roll is closed meaning people can no longer be added to the electoral roll update the electorate they live in or update any other information 5 13 November 2026 10 days after the writ is issued at noon the period for submitting candidate nominations closes 5 28 November 2026 The last Saturday of November nearest to the fourth year following of the previous election date is the Election Day 5 19 December 2026 Within 21 days following election day the Electoral Commissioner returns the writ with information regarding the successful candidates 5 Pre electoral pendulum EditExtended contentLabor seats 56 Seat Member Party MarginMarginalBass Jordan Crugnale ALP 0 2 Northcote Kat Theophanous ALP 0 2 v GRNPakenham Emma Vulin ALP 0 4 Hastings Paul Mercurio ALP 1 4 Pascoe Vale Anthony Cianflone ALP 2 0 v GRNPreston Nathan Lambert ALP 2 1 v GRNRipon Martha Haylett ALP 3 0 Glen Waverley John Mullahy ALP 3 3 Bayswater Jackson Taylor ALP 4 2 Footscray Katie Hall ALP 4 2 v GRNYan Yean Lauren Kathage ALP 4 5 Melton Steve McGhie ALP 4 6 Fairly safeAshwood Matt Fregon ALP 6 2 Sunbury Josh Bull ALP 6 4 Niddrie Ben Carroll ALP 6 7 Greenvale Iwan Walters ALP 6 9 Box Hill Paul Hamer ALP 7 2 Eureka Michaela Settle ALP 7 2 Ringwood Will Fowles ALP 7 5 Monbulk Daniela De Martino ALP 7 6 Bentleigh Nick Staikos ALP 8 0 Mordialloc Tim Richardson ALP 8 2 Point Cook Mathew Hilakari ALP 8 3 Bellarine Alison Marchant ALP 8 5 Narre Warren South Gary Maas ALP 8 5 Frankston Paul Edbrooke ALP 8 7 Sydenham Natalie Hutchins ALP 8 7 Cranbourne Pauline Richards ALP 9 0 Eltham Vicki Ward ALP 9 0 Narre Warren North Belinda Wilson ALP 9 2 Macedon Mary Anne Thomas ALP 9 5 St Albans Natalie Suleyman ALP 9 6 South Barwon Darren Cheeseman ALP 9 8 Carrum Sonya Kilkenny ALP 9 9 SafeMulgrave Daniel Andrews ALP 10 2 Clarinda Meng Heang Tak ALP 10 4 Werribee Tim Pallas ALP 10 9 Bendigo East Jacinta Allan ALP 10 9 Albert Park Nina Taylor ALP 11 2 Mill Park Lily D Ambrosio ALP 11 4 Essendon Danny Pearson ALP 12 5 Tarneit Dylan Wight ALP 12 6 Bundoora Colin Brooks ALP 12 7 Ivanhoe Anthony Carbines ALP 13 0 Williamstown Melissa Horne ALP 13 4 Oakleigh Steve Dimopoulos ALP 13 5 Wendouree Juliana Addison ALP 13 5 Kororoit Luba Grigorovitch ALP 14 2 Bendigo West Maree Edwards ALP 14 3 Geelong Christine Couzens ALP 14 7 Broadmeadows Kathleen Matthews Ward ALP 15 5 Thomastown Bronwyn Halfpenny ALP 16 0 Lara Ella George ALP 16 2 Kalkallo Ros Spence ALP 16 4 Laverton Sarah Connolly ALP 18 0 Dandenong Gabrielle Williams ALP 19 1 Liberal National seats 28 Seat Member Party MarginMarginalMornington Chris Crewther LIB 0 7 v INDBenambra Bill Tilley LIB 0 9 v INDMildura Jade Benham NAT 1 2 v INDCroydon David Hodgett LIB 1 4 Hawthorn John Pesutto LIB 1 7 Polwarth Richard Riordan LIB 1 8 Caulfield David Southwick LIB 2 1 Shepparton Kim O Keeffe NAT 2 8 v INDRowville Kim Wells LIB 3 7 Kew Jess Wilson LIB 4 0 Brighton James Newbury LIB 4 2 Warrandyte Ryan Smith LIB 4 2 Morwell Martin Cameron NAT 4 4 Berwick Brad Battin LIB 4 7 Sandringham Brad Rowswell LIB 5 1 Evelyn Bridget Vallence LIB 5 2 Bulleen Matthew Guy LIB 5 9 Fairly safeNepean Sam Groth LIB 6 7 Eildon Cindy McLeish LIB 7 1 South West Coast Roma Britnell LIB 8 0 Malvern Michael O Brien LIB 8 4 SafeEuroa Annabelle Cleeland NAT 12 0 Narracan Wayne Farnham b LIB 12 9 v INDGippsland South Danny O Brien NAT 15 2 Ovens Valley Tim McCurdy NAT 18 0 Very safeLowan Emma Kealy NAT 21 6 Murray Plains Peter Walsh NAT 23 0 Gippsland East Tim Bull NAT 23 9 Crossbench seats 4 Seat Member Party MarginFairly safeRichmond Gabrielle de Vietri GRN 7 3 v ALPSafeMelbourne Ellen Sandell GRN 10 2 v ALPPrahran Sam Hibbins GRN 12 0 v LIBBrunswick Tim Read GRN 13 5 v ALPOpinion polling EditGraphical summary Edit Primary voteVoting intention Edit Legislative Assembly lower house polling Date Firm Primary vote TPP voteALP LIB NAT GRN OTH ALP L NP19 February 2023 Resolve Strategic 7 c 41 30 13 17 8 December 2022 John Pesutto becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition26 November 2022 election 8 37 0 29 6 4 8 11 5 17 1 55 45 21 24 November 2022 Newspoll 9 38 35 12 15 54 5 45 5 Indicates a combined Liberal National primary vote Newspoll polling is published in The Australian 10 Preferred Premier and satisfaction Edit Better Premier and satisfaction polling Date Firm Better Premier Andrews PesuttoAndrews Pesutto Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied19 February 2023 Resolve Strategic 7 50 26 not asked not asked8 December 2022 Pesutto replaces Guy Andrews Guy Andrews Guy26 November 2022 election 21 24 November 2022 Newspoll 9 51 35 46 48 31 56 Remainder were uncommitted or other neither Participants were forced to choose Newspoll polling is published in The Australian 10 Notes Edit The election for the District of Narracan was deferred A supplementary election was held on 28 January 2023 Farnham was elected at a supplementary election held on 28 January 2023 TPP vote not calculatedReferences Edit a b State elections Victorian Electoral Commission Retrieved 4 November 2022 a b c d Preferential voting Victorian Electoral Commission Retrieved 6 November 2022 State districts Victorian Electoral Commission Retrieved 6 November 2022 State regions Victorian Electoral Commission Retrieved 6 November 2022 a b c d e f Fact Sheet G3 Elections Parliament of Victoria 10 March 2015 Retrieved 6 November 2022 Fact Sheet A2 Terminology used in Parliament Parliament of Victoria 24 March 2015 Retrieved 7 November 2022 a b Smethurst Annika 20 February 2023 Support for Daniel Andrews rises as he marks 3000 days in office The Age Retrieved 21 February 2023 2022 State election results Victorian Electoral Commission Retrieved 20 February 2023 a b Baxendale Rachel 25 November 2022 Victorian election Despite a swing Newspoll puts Daniel Andrews on track to win The Australian Archived from the original on 25 November 2022 Retrieved 25 November 2022 a b Opinion Polls Archived from the original on 27 February 2015 Retrieved 16 July 2020 External links EditVictorian Electoral Commission Homepage Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title 2026 Victorian state election amp oldid 1142664913, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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