2024 United States gubernatorial elections
United States gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on November 5, 2024, in 11 states and two territories. The previous gubernatorial elections for this group of states took place in 2020, except in New Hampshire and Vermont where governors only serve two-year terms and elected their governors in 2022. In addition to state gubernatorial elections, the territories of American Samoa and Puerto Rico will also hold elections for their governors.
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13 governorships 11 states; 2 territories | |||||||
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Term-limited or retiring Democrat Republican incumbent Term-limited or retiring Republican New Progressive incumbent Nonpartisan No election | |||||||
The elections will take place concurrently with the 2024 presidential election, elections to the House of Representatives and Senate, and numerous state and local elections.
This will be the first election cycle since 2017 that no incumbent Democrats will be running for re-election.
Election predictions edit
Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, with the rating indicating a party's predicted advantage in winning that seat.
Most election predictors use:
- "tossup" or "battleground": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean": slight advantage
- "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
| State | PVI | Incumbent | Last race | Cook October 23, 2023[1] | IE September 1, 2023[2] | Sabato October 16, 2023[3] | ED July 12, 2023[4] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | D+7 | John Carney (term-limited) | 59.5% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D |
| Indiana | R+11 | Eric Holcomb (term-limited) | 56.5% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
| Missouri | R+10 | Mike Parson (term-limited) | 57.1% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
| Montana | R+11 | Greg Gianforte | 54.4% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
| New Hampshire | D+1 | Chris Sununu (retiring) | 57.0% R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
| North Carolina | R+3 | Roy Cooper (term-limited) | 51.5% D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
| North Dakota | R+20 | Doug Burgum | 65.8% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
| Utah | R+13 | Spencer Cox | 63.0% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
| Vermont | D+16 | Phil Scott | 69.2% R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R |
| Washington | D+8 | Jay Inslee (retiring) | 56.6% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D |
| West Virginia | R+22 | Jim Justice (term-limited) | 63.5% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
Race summary edit
States edit
| State | Governor | Party | First elected | Last race | Status | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | John Carney | Democratic | 2016 | 59.5% D | Term-limited |
|
| Indiana | Eric Holcomb | Republican | 2016 | 56.5% R | Term-limited |
|
| Missouri | Mike Parson | Republican | 2018[a] | 57.1% R | Term-limited |
|
| Montana | Greg Gianforte | Republican | 2020 | 54.4% R | Eligible |
|
| New Hampshire | Chris Sununu | Republican | 2016 | 57.0% R | Retiring[22] |
|
| North Carolina | Roy Cooper | Democratic | 2016 | 51.5% D | Term-limited |
|
| North Dakota | Doug Burgum | Republican | 2016 | 65.8% R | Eligible[37] |
|
| Utah | Spencer Cox | Republican | 2020 | 63.0% R | Running |
|
| Vermont | Phil Scott | Republican | 2016 | 69.2% R | Eligible |
|
| Washington | Jay Inslee | Democratic | 2012 | 56.6% D | Retiring[39] |
|
| West Virginia | Jim Justice | Republican | 2016[b] | 63.5% R | Term-limited |
|
Territories edit
| State | Governor | Party | First elected | Last race | Status | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Samoa | Lemanu Peleti Mauga | Nonpartisan/Democratic[c] | 2020 | 60.3% | Eligible |
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| Puerto Rico | Pedro Pierluisi | New Progressive[d] | 2020 | 32.9% PNP | Running |
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Delaware edit
Governor John Carney was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 59.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the Delaware Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third term.
New Castle County executive Matt Meyer became the first declared candidate on June 6, 2023.[6]
Indiana edit
Governor Eric Holcomb was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 56.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the Indiana Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third consecutive term. United States Senator Mike Braun,[59] lieutenant governor Suzanne Crouch,[60] former president of the Indiana Economic Development Corporation Eric Doden[10] and former attorney general Curtis Hill[61] are running for the Republican nomination.
Former Republican Indiana Superintendent of Public Instruction Jennifer McCormick is running for the Democratic nomination, having switched parties in 2021.[12]
Missouri edit
Governor Mike Parson took office on June 1, 2018, upon the resignation of Eric Greitens and was elected to a full term in his own right in 2020 with 57.2% of the vote. Because Parson served more than two years of Greitens' term, he will be term-limited by the Missouri Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a second full term. Lieutenant Governor Mike Kehoe and Secretary of State Jay Ashcroft are running for the Republican gubernatorial nomination.[18][15] In the Democratic primary, Missouri House of Representatives minority leader Crystal Quade has declared her candidacy.[62]
Montana edit
Governor Greg Gianforte was elected in 2020 with 54.4% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so.
On June 13, 2023, Republican state representative Tanner Smith launched a primary challenge to Gianforte.[21]
New Hampshire edit
Governor Chris Sununu won re-election to a fourth term in 2022. However on July 19, 2023 he announced he would not seek re-election.[63] Former acting governor Chuck Morse and former U.S. senator Kelly Ayotte have announced their campaigns for the Republican nomination.[64][23] Former Hillsborough County Treasurer and 2022 Congressional nominee Robert Burns has expressed interest in running.[65] In the Democratic primary, Manchester mayor Joyce Craig[66] and Executive Council of New Hampshire member Cinde Warmington[67] have declared their candidacies.
North Carolina edit
Governor Roy Cooper was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 51.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the North Carolina Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third consecutive term. Attorney general Josh Stein and former North Carolina Supreme Court justice Michael Morgan are running for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination, while state treasurer Dale Folwell, lieutenant governor Mark Robinson, retired healthcare executive Jesse Thomas, former congressman Mark Walker and former state senator Andy Wells are running for the Republican gubernatorial nomination.[33][30][28][31][34][35][36]
North Dakota edit
Governor Doug Burgum was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 65.8% of the vote. In the November 2022 elections, voters amended the North Dakota Constitution to place a limit of two, four-year terms for succeeding governors sworn into office after the amendment's effective date of January 1, 2023.[68] Burgum, sworn into office before the amendment's effective date, remains eligible to run for re-election for a third term. Burgum is currently running for the Republican nomination in the 2024 United States presidential election,[69] though he may still run for re-election in the event his presidential campaign is not successful.[37]
Utah edit
Governor Spencer Cox was elected in 2020 with 63% of the vote and is running for reelection to a second term. Although Utah does not have gubernatorial term limits, he pledged to only serve two terms.[38]
Vermont edit
Governor Phil Scott won reelection to a fourth term in 2022. Because Vermont does not have gubernatorial term limits in its constitution, he will be eligible to run for re-election for a fifth term in 2024.
Washington edit
Governor Jay Inslee was re-elected to a third term in 2020 with 56.6% of the vote. Because Washington does not have gubernatorial term limits in its constitution, he is eligible to run for re-election for a fourth term but he has decided not to seek re-election.[70] Washington State Commissioner of Public Lands Hilary Franz and state senator Mark Mullet have declared their candidacies,[71][72] while Washington Attorney General Bob Ferguson has formed an exploratory committee.[73] In the Republican primary, former congressman Dave Reichert has declared his candidacy.[74]
West Virginia edit
Governor Jim Justice was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 63.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the West Virginia Constitution in 2024 and is ineligible to seek re-election for a third consecutive term.
Candidates in the Republican primary include state delegate Moore Capito,[75] businessman Chris Miller,[48] state attorney general Patrick Morrisey,[76] secretary of state Mac Warner[77] and preschool owner Rashida Yost.[75] Huntington mayor Steve Williams has declared he will run in the Democratic primary.[78][79]
Territories edit
American Samoa edit
Governor Lemanu Peleti Mauga was elected in 2020 with 60.3% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so.
Puerto Rico edit
Governor Pedro Pierluisi was elected in 2020 with 32.9% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, and stated that he would on March 20, 2022 during the New Progressive Party's general assembly.[55]
See also edit
Notes edit
- ^ Parson took office in 2018 after his predecessor (Eric Greitens) resigned. He was subsequently elected in the 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.
- ^ Governor Jim Justice was originally elected as a Democrat before switching back to a Republican in 2017. Justice won re-election as a Republican in 2020.[45]
- ^ The governor of American Samoa is elected on a non-partisan basis, although individuals do affiliate with national parties, in Mauga's case with the Democratic Party.
- ^ Pierluisi affiliates with the Democratic Party on the national level.
References edit
- ^ "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2023-07-20.
- ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 20, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. 2023-07-22. Retrieved 2023-07-23.
- ^ Newman, Meredith (12 September 2023). "Lt. Gov. Bethany Hall-Long announces 2024 run for governor. To face Matt Meyer in primary". Delaware Online. Retrieved 12 September 2023.
- ^ a b Newman, Meredith (6 June 2023). "New Castle County Executive Matt Meyer becomes first to enter 2024 governor's race". The News Journal.
- ^ Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul (September 22, 2022). "Braun to Run for Governor". Indy Politics. Retrieved September 22, 2022.
- ^ Dwyer, Kayla. "Former IEDC head Brad Chambers announces bid for Indiana governor".
- ^ Herron, Arika (December 12, 2022). "Lt. Gov. Suzanne Crouch launches campaign for governor". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved December 12, 2022.
- ^ a b "Former state official announces 2024 gubernatorial run 3 years ahead of Election Day". Indy Star. May 6, 2021. Retrieved September 7, 2021.
- ^ Dwyer, Karla (10 July 2023). "Curtis Hill, the former Indiana attorney general, to run for governor". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved 10 July 2023.
- ^ a b Herron, Arika (May 4, 2023). "Jennifer McCormick is running for governor — as a Democrat". Axios Indianapolis.
- ^ "Donald Rainwater to run for Indiana governor as Libertarian candidate". WANE 15. 2023-04-28. Retrieved 2023-04-28.
- ^ Johnson, Maura (20 January 2023). "Jamie Reitenour announces candidacy for Indiana governor". ABC 57. Retrieved 2 September 2023.
- ^ a b Shorman, Jonathan (April 6, 2023). "Missouri's top election official Jay Ashcroft launches Republican campaign for governor". The Kansas City Star.
- ^ Singer, Jeff (17 August 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 8/17". Daily Kos. Retrieved 17 August 2023.
- ^ Keller, Rudi (October 27, 2023). "Springfield businessman Mike Hamra joins Democratic race for Missouri governor". Missouri Independent. Retrieved October 27, 2023.
- ^ a b "Mike Kehoe passes on 2022 Senate run to focus on 2024 Missouri governor's race". Missouri Independent. March 22, 2021. Retrieved September 7, 2021.
- ^ Sellem, Lucas (9 July 2023). "Rep. Crystal Quade announces run for MO governor". KMOV. Retrieved 9 July 2023.
- ^ Hanson, Amy; Brown, Matthew (September 14, 2023). "Former firearms executive Busse seeks Democratic nomination for Montana governor". Associated Press. Retrieved September 14, 2023.
- ^ a b Larson, Seaborn (13 June 2023). "Freshman GOP Rep. announces run for governor". Independent Record.
- ^ "Gov. Chris Sununu decides against run for reelection". WMUR9. July 19, 2023. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
- ^ a b Richards, Charlene (24 July 2023). "Former GOP Senator Kelly Ayotte announces bid for New Hampshire governor". NBC News. Retrieved 24 July 2023.
- ^ Sexton, Adam (July 11, 2023). "Manchester Mayor Craig officially launches campaign for governor". WMUR. Retrieved July 11, 2023.
- ^ Tasolides, Justin (19 June 2023). "N.H. GOP Gov. Sununu says he will not seek fifth term". Spectrum News. Retrieved 19 June 2023.
- ^ Sexton, Adam (June 1, 2023). "NH Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington launches campaign for governor". WMUR. Retrieved 2023-06-01.
- ^ Doyle, Steve (May 25, 2023). "Shannon Bray becomes second Libertarian in race for North Carolina governor". WAVY News 10. Retrieved May 31, 2023.
- ^ a b Craver, Richard (March 25, 2023). "'Uniquely qualified': Winston-Salem native and NC Treasurer Dale Folwell will run for governor". The Winston-Salem Journal. Retrieved March 25, 2023.
- ^ Solano, Christina (October 18, 2023). "North Carolina's race for governor grows with campaign announcement by Bill Graham". WXII-TV. Retrieved October 18, 2023.
- ^ a b Schoenbaum, Hannah (September 12, 2023). "Former North Carolina justice enters Democratic primary for governor in 2024". Associated Press.
- ^ a b Mikkelsen, Emily; Stamps, Brayden (22 April 2023). "Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson announces run for governor at cloudy Ace Speedway rally". Fox 8. Retrieved 22 April 2023.
- ^ Doyle, Steve (March 24, 2023). "Libertarian from Gaston County enters North Carolina governor's race". Fox 8. Retrieved April 22, 2023.
- ^ a b Schneider, Elena (January 18, 2023). "North Carolina AG Josh Stein launches bid for governor". Politico.
- ^ a b "Retired health care executive entering North Carolina's 2024 governor's race as a Republican". WUNC (FM). 8 August 2023.
- ^ a b Montellaro, Zach (20 May 2023). "Mark Walker launches North Carolina gubernatorial bid". Politico. Retrieved 20 May 2023.
- ^ a b Fain, Travis (20 July 2023). "Another Republican joins NC's 2024 governor's race". WRAL-TV.
- ^ a b Rubashkin, Jacob (Jun 15, 2023). "North Dakota Governor: Burgum Bows Out?". Inside Elections.
If he doesn't take off, he would absolutely come back and run for governor," one Republican strategist with extensive North Dakota experience told Inside Elections. Another longtime strategist plugged into the state concurred, saying "Burgum is the one to watch. All indications are that he would indeed run for a third term should the presidential race turn south for him.
- ^ a b McKellar, Katie (April 21, 2022). "Are Utah Republicans mad at Gov. Cox for transgender veto? Let political chips fall, he says". Deseret News. Retrieved April 25, 2022.
Cox has said he does intend to run for reelection in 2024. On Thursday, he told reporters he stands by his pledge to only serve two terms.
- ^ "WA Gov. Jay Inslee won't seek reelection for fourth term". The Seattle Times. May 1, 2023. Retrieved May 1, 2023.
- ^ Sowersby, Shauna (November 12, 2022). "Controversial Richland school board member announces bid for Washington governor in 2024". The Olympian. Retrieved November 15, 2022.
- ^ "Washington AG Bob Ferguson officially launches gubernatorial campaign". KOMO. 9 September 2023. Retrieved 11 September 2023.
- ^ Gilbert, L.B. (10 May 2023). "Lands Commissioner Hilary Franz announces campaign for WA governor". MYNorthwest.
- ^ Withycombe, Claire (1 June 2023). "State Sen. Mark Mullet announces bid for WA governor". Seattle Times. Archived from the original on 2 June 2023.
- ^ Mikkelsen, Drew (7 July 2023). "Dave Reichert wants to be state's 'servant' as governor". KING 5. Retrieved 7 July 2023.
- ^ Tatum, Sophie; Bradner, Eric; Merica, Dan (August 4, 2017). "Jim Justice of West Virginia governor announces plan to switch parties - CNN Politics". CNN.
- ^ a b c McElhinny, Brad (2022-11-29). "Moore Capito, whose name likely rings a bell, says he's running for West Virginia governor". WV MetroNews. Retrieved 2022-11-29.
- ^ "Linko-Looper seeking Mountain Party nomination for governor". The Register-Herald. 2023-05-12. Retrieved 2023-05-15.
- ^ a b Adams, Steven. "Chris Miller, Son of Congresswoman Carol Miller, Announces 2024 Run for West Virginia Governor". The Intelligencer. Wheeling-News Register. Retrieved December 24, 2021.
- ^ "AG Morrisey announces 2024 run for Governor". WDTV. April 4, 2023. Retrieved April 4, 2023.
- ^ "Mac Warner announces campaign for West Virginia governor in 2024". WVNews.com. January 10, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ Staff, WSAZ News (2023-09-04). "Huntington Mayor says he plans to file to run for Governor of W.Va". WSAZ. Retrieved 2023-09-04.
- ^ Winger, Richard (September 5, 2023). "Leaders of the West Virginia Americans Coming Together Party Join the Constitution Party". Ballot Access News. Retrieved October 3, 2023.
- ^ El nuevo día, ElNUEVODIA.COM. "Carlos "Charlie" Delgado Altieri dice que aspirará a la gobernación en las elecciones de 2024".
- ^ Primera, Hora (March 9, 2023). "¡Gracias!". Primera Hora. Retrieved March 9, 2023.
- ^ a b c "Pierluisi calienta motores para las elecciones del 2024". www.noticel.com. Retrieved 2022-10-19.
- ^ "César Vázquez tiene contrincante en su aspiración a la gobernación por el Proyecto Dignidad". Metro Puerto Rico (in Spanish). 2023-05-23. Retrieved 2023-06-23.
- ^ "Alcalde de San Sebastián confirma que aspirará a la gobernación por el Proyecto Dignidad". Metro. October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 3, 2023.
- ^ "Juan Zaragoza confirma que aspirará a la gobernación". Telemundo Puerto Rico (in Spanish). Retrieved 2022-10-19.
- ^ "U.S. Senator Mike Braun launches campaign for governor". The Indianapolis Star. December 12, 2022.
- ^ "Lt. Gov. Suzanne Crouch launches campaign for governor". The Indianapolis Star. December 12, 2022.
- ^ Dwyer, Karla (10 July 2023). "Curtis Hill, the former Indiana attorney general, to run for governor". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved 10 July 2023.
- ^ "Democrat Crystal Quade shows off roller derby skills in Missouri governor campaign launch video". AP News. 2023-07-09. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
- ^ Astor, Maggie (2023-07-19). "Chris Sununu Won't Run for Re-Election as Governor of New Hampshire". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2023-07-19.
- ^ "N.H. GOP Gov. Sununu says he will not seek fifth term". spectrumlocalnews.com. Retrieved 2023-07-20.
- ^ @BurnsForNH (January 12, 2023). "With Governor Sununu moving onto the Presidential race, I'm very flattered with all the calls I received urging me to run for Governor" (Tweet) – via Twitter.[better source needed]
- ^ Sexton, Adam (2023-07-11). "Manchester Mayor Craig officially launches campaign for governor". WMUR. Retrieved 2023-07-20.
- ^ Sexton, Adam (2023-06-01). "NH Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington launches campaign for governor". WMUR. Retrieved 2023-07-20.
- ^ MacPherson, James (November 8, 2022). . St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Associated Press. Archived from the original on November 10, 2022. Retrieved November 20, 2022.
- ^ "A North Dakota governor running for president? You betcha". NBC News. 2023-05-26. Retrieved 2023-05-27.
- ^ Furtado, David (2023-05-01). "Governor Inslee announces he will not seek re-election". KEPR. Retrieved 2023-05-01.
- ^ "Hilary Franz announces run for governor, vying with AG Ferguson". The Seattle Times. 2023-05-10. Retrieved 2023-06-12.
- ^ Withycombe, Claire (2023-06-01). "What to know about state Sen. Mark Mullet as he joins race for WA governor". The Seattle Times. Retrieved 2023-07-15.
- ^ "WA Attorney General Bob Ferguson announces campaign for governor". The Seattle Times. 2023-05-02. Retrieved 2023-07-15.
- ^ "Dave Reichert wants to be state's 'servant' as governor". king5.com. July 7, 2023. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
- ^ a b McElhinny, Brad (2022-11-29). "Moore Capito, whose name likely rings a bell, says he's running for West Virginia governor". WV MetroNews. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
- ^ "AG Morrisey announces 2024 run for Governor". WDTV. 2023-04-04. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
- ^ "W.Va. Secretary of State Mac Warner announces he will run for governor". WCHS. 2023-01-10. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
- ^ Nolting, Mike (April 5, 2023). "Huntington mayor eyes run for governor as 'a climb worth taking'". West Virginia MetroNews.
- ^ "Steve Williams becomes 1st Democrat to enter West Virginia governor's race". Associated Press. September 4, 2023. Retrieved September 4, 2023.