2024 São Paulo mayoral election

The 2024 São Paulo municipal election will take place in the city of São Paulo, Brazil on 6 October 2024. Voters will elect a mayor, vice mayor, and 55 city council members. The incumbent mayor, Ricardo Nunes of the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB), intends to run for reelection.^[1]

2024 São Paulo municipal election

← 2020 6 October 2024 (2024-10-06) (first round) 27 October 2024 (2024-10-27) (second round, if necessary) 2028 →

Mayoral election

Opinion polls

Incumbent Mayor Ricardo Nunes MDB

Parliamentary election

Party Leader Current seats Municipal Chamber PSDB João Jorge 8 PT Senival Moura 8 UNIÃO Milton Leite 7 PSOL Silvia Ferraro 6 MDB 5 Republicanos Sansão Pereira 4 PL Isac Félix 4 PODE Milton Ferreira 3 PSD Edir Sales 3 Avante Camilo Cristófaro 1 NOVO Cris Monteiro 1 PP Marcos Palumbo 1 PSB Eliseu Gabriel 1 PSC Rodolfo de Souza 1 PRD Paulo Frange 1 PV Roberto Tripoli 1 Solidarity Sidney Cruz 1

Candidates

Pre-candidates

Brazilian Democratic Movement

• Ricardo Nunes - Former city councillor of São Paulo and incumbent mayor since 2021.^[1]

Liberal Party

• Marcos Pontes - Astronaut, former Minister of Science, Technology and Innovation and Senator of the Republic from São Paulo since 2023.^[2]

Brazilian Socialist Party

• Tabata Amaral - Educational activist and Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2019.^[3][4][5]

Free Brazil Movement (part of Brazil Union)

• Kim Kataguiri - Anti-corruption activist, MBL leader, and federal deputy from São Paulo since 2019.

New Party

• Marina Helena - Former director of the Special Secretariat of Privatizations, founder of Brazil Without Privileges movement.^[6]

Socialism and Liberty Party

• Guilherme Boulos - Professor, activist, candidate for President of Brazil in 2018, candidate for Mayor of São Paulo in 2020, Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2023.^[7][8]

Brazilian Social Democracy Party

• Marco Vinholi - Business administrator, communicator and superintendent of Sebrae in São Paulo; PSDB party's state president (2019-2023).

•  
  Mayor
  Ricardo Nunes (MDB)
  from São Paulo
•  
  Federal Deputy
  Tabata Amaral (PSB)
  from São Paulo
•  
  Senator
  Marcos Pontes (PL)
  from Bauru
•  
  Federal Deputy
  Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)
  from São Paulo
•  
  Federal Deputy
  Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO)
  from Salto
•  
  Superintendent of SEBRAE São Paulo
  Marco Vinholi (PSDB)
  from São Paulo

Withdrawn candidates

• Ricardo Salles (PL) - Former Minister of the Environment and Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2023.^[9][10]
• José Luiz Datena - TV presenter and journalist.^[11][12]

•  
  Federal Deputy
  Ricardo Salles (PL)
  from São Paulo
•  
  TV presenter
  José Luiz Datena (PDT)
  from Ribeirão Preto

Outgoing Municipal Chamber

The result of the last municipal election and the current situation in the Municipal Chamber is given below:

Affiliation		Members		+/–
		Elected^[13]	Current^[14]
	PSDB	8	8
	PT	8	8
	UNIÃO	didn't exist	7	7
	PSOL	6	6
	MDB	3	5	2
	Republicanos	4	5	1
	PODE	3	3
	PSD	3	3
	PL	2	2
	Avante	0	1	1
	PRD	didn't exist	1	1
	Solidarity	0	1	1
	PP	1	1
	PSC	1	1
	PV	1	1
	NOVO	2	1	1
	PSB	2	1	1
	PSL	1	extinct party^[a]	1
	PTB	1	extinct party^[b]	1
	Patriota	3	extinct party^[b]	3
	DEM	6	extinct party^[a]	6
Total		55

Opinion polls

First Round

2023

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Nunes MDB	Boulos PSOL	Generic Candidate PL	Amaral PSB	Kataguiri UNIÃO	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Paraná Pesquisas	6–9 December	1,046	25.4%	31.1%	8.3%^[c]	8.9%	5.4%	3.7%^[d]	17.3%	5.7%
			29.1%	32.4%	—	9.2%	6.4%	3.9%^[e]	19.0%	3.3%
Badra Comunicação	2–4 October	2,500	25%	30%	—	9%	—	—	36%	5%
			21%	29%	—	7%	5%	3%^[f]	35%	8%
Paraná Pesquisas	21–24 September	1,066	29%	35%	—	7.5%	5.3%	2.8%^[g]	20.4%	6%
20 September 2023			The party Solidariedade announce support to Nunes' reelection.^[17]
Datafolha	29–30 August	1,092	24%	32%	—	11%	8%	2%^[h]	23%	8%
5 August 2023			Workers' Party (PT) announce support to Boulos' candidacy.^[18]
Instituto Gerp	10–17 July	800	6%	26%	18%^[i]	5%	2%	4%^[j]	39%	8%
28 June 2023			José Luiz Datena withdraw his pre-candidacy.^[12]
5 June 2023			Ricardo Salles (PL) withdraw his pre-candidacy.^[19]
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Nunes MDB	Boulos PSOL	Datena PDT	Salles PL	Amaral PSB	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Paraná Pesquisas	30 Apr–4 May	1,208	17.8%	31.5%	—	10.9%	7.1%	5.4%^[k]	27.3%	13.7%
			13.6%^[l]	39.2%^[m]	—	20.4%^[n]	7.7%^[o]	5.0%^[p]	—	18.8%
Paraná Pesquisas	23–26 Feb	1,012	7.9%	26.3%	24.3%	4.8%	3.9%	13.4%^[q]	19.4%	2.0%
			8.6%	32.0%	—	—	5.1%	33.6%^[r]	20.7%	12.1%
			11.1%	32.9%	—	7.5%	5.2%	17.4%^[s]	25.9%	21.8%
			15.0%	36.7%	—	10.1%	—	8.4%^[t]	29.8%	11.7%

Second Round

Guilherme Boulos and Ricardo Nunes (2023)

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Nunes MDB	Boulos PSOL	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Paraná Pesquisas	6–9 December	1,046	41.3%	39.8%	19%	1.5%

Notes

1. Democrats (DEM) and the Social Liberal Party (PSL) merged into the Brazil Union in February 2022.^[16]
2. Brazilian Labour Party (PTB) and Patriota merged in the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) in November 2023.^[15]
3. Ricardo Salles with 8.3%
4. Marina Helena (NOVO) with 3.1% and Marco Vinholi (PSDB) with 0.6%
5. Marina Helena (NOVO) with 3.9%
6. Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 3%
7. Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 2.8%
8. Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 2%
9. Eduardo Bolsonaro (PL) with 18%
10. Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 3% and Fernando Holiday (PL) with 1%.
11. Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 5.4%
12. If endorsed by Planning Minister Simone Tebet (MDB)
13. If endorsed by President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT)
14. If endorsed by former president Jair Bolsonaro (PL)
15. If endorsed by Vice President Geraldo Alckmin (PSB)
16. Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 5%, if endorsed by Minas Gerais Governor Romeu Zema (NOVO)
17. Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 8.5%, Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 3.3% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 1.6%
18. Eduardo Bolsonaro (PL) with 19.1%, Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 8.9%, Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 3.5% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 2.1%
19. Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 10.3%, Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 4.5% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 2.6%
20. Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 5.3% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 3.1%

References

1. Ribeiro, Bruno (3 April 2023). "De olho na reeleição, Nunes "refina" loteamento para agradar caciques". Metrópoles (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 12 April 2023.
2. "Quem são os pré-candidatos à prefeitura de São Paulo na eleição de 2024?". Estadão (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-07-15.
3. Gomes, Bianca (15 March 2023). "Candidatura de Tabata à prefeitura de SP vira obstáculo à federação do PSB com PDT e Solidariedade". O Globo (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 12 April 2023.
4. Venceslau, Pedro (12 April 2023). "Tabata Amaral: 'Falta uma esquerda com visão econômica de centro'". Estadão (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 12 April 2023.
5. Carneiro, Mariana; Côrtes, Gustavo (10 April 2023). "Apesar de divergências em São Paulo, PDT e PSB mantém costura por federação para 2024". Estadão (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 12 April 2023.
6. Fernandes, Danielly (16 November 2023). "Quem são os possíveis candidatos a prefeito de São Paulo nas eleições municipais de 2024". JOTA (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 10 December 2023.
7. "Boulos pinta como 'favorito' à prefeitura de SP em 2024, diz pesquisa". Veja (in Brazilian Portuguese). 28 February 2023. Retrieved 12 April 2023.
8. "O que Boulos pensa sobre disputar a prefeitura de São Paulo em 2024". Carta Capital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 10 March 2023. Retrieved 12 April 2023.
9. Ghirotto, Edoardo (3 March 2023). "Salles manda recado a prefeito de SP e diz que será candidato em 2024". Metrópoles (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 12 April 2023.
10. "Ricardo Salles desiste de concorrer à prefeitura de SP: Tomei uma rasteira". UOL Notícias (in Brazilian Portuguese). 5 June 2023. Retrieved 5 June 2023.
11. "Datena fecha com PDT de Ciro para concorrer à Prefeitura de São Paulo em 2024". Isto É Dinheiro (in Brazilian Portuguese). 14 March 2023. Retrieved 12 April 2023.
12. CASTRO, DANIEL (2023-06-28). "Para não pagar mico, Datena manda cancelar festa de candidatura a prefeito". Notícias da TV (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-07-30.
13. "São Paulo/SP - Eleição 2020 definida para prefeito e vereadores". UOL (in Brazilian Portuguese). 15 November 2020. Retrieved 12 April 2023.
14. "Vereadores". Câmara Municipal de São Paulo (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 6 June 2023.
15. Pontes, Felipe (9 November 2023). "TSE aprova criação do PRD, resultado de fusão entre PTB e Patriota". Agência Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 16 November 2023.
16. Vivas, Fernanda (8 February 2022). "TSE aprova registro e estatuto do União Brasil, partido resultante da fusão entre DEM e PSL". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 5 June 2023.
17. "Datafolha: Boulos lidera com 32% das intenções de voto para Prefeitura de SP; Nunes aparece em segundo, com 24%". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 31 August 2023. Retrieved 25 September 2023.
18. "PT oficializa apoio a Boulos para eleição à prefeitura de SP". Carta Capital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 5 August 2023. Retrieved 5 August 2023.
19. "Ricardo Salles desiste de concorrer à prefeitura de SP: Tomei uma rasteira". UOL Notícias (in Brazilian Portuguese). 5 June 2023. Retrieved 18 July 2023.