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2016 United States presidential election in Vermont

The 2016 United States presidential election in Vermont was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Vermont voters chose three electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Independent Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders received unsolicited write-in votes.

2016 United States presidential election in Vermont

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout67.95%
 
Nominee Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Bernie Sanders
(write-in)
Party Democratic Republican Independent
Home state New York New York Vermont
Running mate Tim Kaine Mike Pence none
Electoral vote 3 0 0
Popular vote 178,573 95,369 18,218
Percentage 55.72% 29.76% 5.68%


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

Clinton won Vermont with 55.7% of the vote and[1] a vote margin of 25.9%, a substantial decline from Barack Obama's 35.6% margin in 2012.[2] Trump received 29.8% of the vote statewide and carried Essex County—the most rural and sparsely populated county in the state, thus making him the first Republican presidential candidate to win a county in Vermont since George W. Bush in 2004.

After voting Republican in all but one election from 1856 to 1988, Vermont has since become one of the most reliably Democratic strongholds in the nation. In 2016, Trump became only the second Republican, after George W. Bush, to win the White House without carrying Vermont.

Vermont Senator and Democratic primary candidate Bernie Sanders, who had endorsed Clinton after she won the primary, received 5.7% of the vote through write-ins, the highest write-in draft campaign percentage for a statewide presidential candidate in history.[3] Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson, received 3.1%, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein received 2.1%.[4] Trump's 29.76% vote share is the worst for a Republican presidential nominee in Vermont history.

Primary elections edit

On March 1, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Vermont voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian parties. Voters who were unaffiliated chose any 1 primary in which to vote.

Democratic primary edit

The 2016 Vermont Democratic primary took place on March 1 as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

On the same day, dubbed "Super Tuesday," Democratic primaries were held in 10 other states plus American Samoa, while the Republican Party held primaries in 11 states including their own Vermont primary.

As Sanders was an extremely popular favorite son, there was no campaign to speak of and all pledged delegates were given to Sanders, due to Clinton getting less than 15% of the popular vote. Sanders won every municipality in the state.

Republican primary edit

Vermont Republican primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 19,974 32.34% 8 0 8
John Kasich 18,534 30.01% 8 0 8
Marco Rubio 11,781 19.08% 0 0 0
Ted Cruz 5,932 9.61% 0 0 0
Ben Carson 2,551 4.13% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 1,106 1.79% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 423 0.68% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 361 0.58% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 212 0.34% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 164 0.27% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 61,756 100.00% 16 0 16
Source: The Green Papers

General election edit

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
Los Angeles Times[5] Safe D November 6, 2016
CNN[6] Safe D November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[7] Safe D November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[8] Safe D November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[9] Safe D November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[11] Safe D November 8, 2016
Fox News[12] Safe D November 7, 2016

Polling edit

Hillary Clinton won every poll pre-election by double digits. Interestingly, she only reached 50% in the last poll, leading 50% to 22%, which may indicate support for writing in Bernie Sanders or other third party candidates. The average of the final three polls showed Hillary Clinton leading Trump 48% to 22%.[13]

Results edit

2016 United States presidential election in Vermont[14][15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Hillary Clinton 178,573 55.72%
Republican Donald Trump 95,369 29.76%
Independent Bernie Sanders (write-in) 18,218 5.68%
Libertarian Gary Johnson 10,078 3.14%
Green Jill Stein 6,758 2.11%
Reform Rocky De La Fuente 1,063 0.33%
Republican John Kasich (write-in) 831 0.26%
Independent Evan McMullin (write-in) 641 0.20%
Liberty Union Gloria La Riva 327 0.10%
Constitution Darrell Castle (write-in) 63 0.02%
Socialist Mimi Soltysik (write-in) 3 <0.01%
Write-in Other Write-in 3,143 1.00%
n/a No Name/None of the Above 257 0.09%
n/a Spoiled/blank 5,400 1.69%
Total votes 320,467 100.00%
Democratic win
Extended content
Other Write-ins Candidate Votes Percentage
Republican Mike Pence (write-in) 305 0.09%
Republican Paul Ryan (write-in) 209 0.06%
Republican Mitt Romney (write-in) 122 0.04%
Republican Marco Rubio (write-in) 93 0.03%
Republican Jeb Bush (write-in) 79 0.03%
Republican John McCain (write-in) 76 0.03%
Republican Ted Cruz (write-in) 63 0.02%
Libertarian Ron Paul (write-in) 25 0.02%
Republican Colin Powell (write-in) 25 0.02%
Democratic Martin O'Malley (write-in) 6 <0.01%
n/a Write-in (Other) 2,140 0.72%

Results by county edit

County Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Addison 11,219 58.95% 5,297 27.83% 2,515 13.22% 5,922 31.12% 19,031
Bennington 9,539 54.88% 5,925 34.09% 1,917 11.03% 3,614 20.79% 17,381
Caledonia 6,445 45.79% 5,534 39.32% 2,095 14.89% 911 6.47% 14,074
Chittenden 54,814 65.71% 18,601 22.30% 10,001 11.99% 36,213 43.41% 83,416
Essex 1,019 34.84% 1,506 51.49% 400 13.67% -487 -16.65% 2,925
Franklin 9,351 43.67% 8,752 40.88% 3,308 15.45% 599 2.79% 21,411
Grand Isle 2,094 50.96% 1,487 36.19% 528 12.85% 607 14.77% 4,109
Lamoille 7,241 56.74% 3,570 27.97% 1,951 15.29% 3,671 28.77% 12,762
Orange 7,541 51.48% 5,007 34.18% 2,101 14.34% 2,534 17.30% 14,649
Orleans 5,185 43.04% 5,159 42.83% 1,702 14.13% 26 0.21% 12,046
Rutland 13,635 46.04% 12,479 42.14% 3,501 11.82% 1,156 3.90% 29,615
Washington 18,594 59.81% 7,993 25.71% 4,499 14.48% 10,601 34.10% 31,086
Windham 14,340 63.36% 5,454 24.10% 2,840 12.54% 8,886 39.26% 22,634
Windsor 17,556 58.66% 8,605 28.75% 3,767 12.59% 8,951 29.91% 29,928
Totals 178,573 56.68% 95,369 30.27% 41,125 13.05% 83,204 26.41% 315,067
 
County Flips:

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican edit

By congressional district edit

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the At-Large district because it covers the entire state, is thus equivalent to the statewide election results.

District Trump Clinton Representative
At-large 29.76% 55.72% Peter Welch

See also edit

References edit

  1. ^ "2016 Presidential General Election Results - Vermont".
  2. ^ "Vermont Election Results 2016". The New York Times. August 1, 2017. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved January 11, 2020.
  3. ^ Weigel, David (November 17, 2016). "More than 18,000 Vermonters wrote in Bernie Sanders for president". The Washington Post. Retrieved January 11, 2020.
  4. ^ . sec state vt us/. Archived from the original on May 28, 2019. Retrieved November 12, 2016.
  5. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  6. ^ Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  7. ^ "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  8. ^ "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  9. ^ "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
  10. ^ Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  11. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  12. ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  13. ^ "RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Vermont: Trump vs. Clinton". www.realclearpolitics.com. 2017. Retrieved September 15, 2020.
  14. ^ . Vermont Secretary of State. Archived from the original on April 7, 2016. Retrieved November 26, 2016.
  15. ^ http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G16/VT The Green Papers
  16. ^ "Here's a map of the US counties that flipped to Trump from Democrats". www.cnbc.com. Retrieved September 1, 2020.

External links edit

  • RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process 2016-11-08 at the Wayback Machine
  • Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions

2016, united, states, presidential, election, vermont, main, article, 2016, united, states, presidential, election, held, november, 2016, part, 2016, united, states, presidential, election, which, states, plus, district, columbia, participated, vermont, voters. Main article 2016 United States presidential election The 2016 United States presidential election in Vermont was held on November 8 2016 as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated Vermont voters chose three electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party s nominee businessman Donald Trump and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine Independent Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders received unsolicited write in votes 2016 United States presidential election in Vermont 2012 November 8 2016 2020 Turnout67 95 Nominee Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Bernie Sanders write in Party Democratic Republican Independent Home state New York New York Vermont Running mate Tim Kaine Mike Pence none Electoral vote 3 0 0 Popular vote 178 573 95 369 18 218 Percentage 55 72 29 76 5 68 County resultsMunicipality resultsClinton 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 Trump 40 50 50 60 60 70 President before election Barack Obama Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican Treemap of the popular vote by county Clinton won Vermont with 55 7 of the vote and 1 a vote margin of 25 9 a substantial decline from Barack Obama s 35 6 margin in 2012 2 Trump received 29 8 of the vote statewide and carried Essex County the most rural and sparsely populated county in the state thus making him the first Republican presidential candidate to win a county in Vermont since George W Bush in 2004 After voting Republican in all but one election from 1856 to 1988 Vermont has since become one of the most reliably Democratic strongholds in the nation In 2016 Trump became only the second Republican after George W Bush to win the White House without carrying Vermont Vermont Senator and Democratic primary candidate Bernie Sanders who had endorsed Clinton after she won the primary received 5 7 of the vote through write ins the highest write in draft campaign percentage for a statewide presidential candidate in history 3 Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson received 3 1 and Green Party nominee Jill Stein received 2 1 4 Trump s 29 76 vote share is the worst for a Republican presidential nominee in Vermont history Contents 1 Primary elections 1 1 Democratic primary 1 2 Republican primary 2 General election 2 1 Predictions 2 2 Polling 2 3 Results 2 4 Results by county 2 4 1 Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican 2 5 By congressional district 3 See also 4 References 5 External linksPrimary elections editOn March 1 2016 in the presidential primaries Vermont voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic Republican and Libertarian parties Voters who were unaffiliated chose any 1 primary in which to vote Democratic primary edit Main article 2016 Vermont Democratic presidential primary The 2016 Vermont Democratic primary took place on March 1 as one of the Democratic Party s primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election On the same day dubbed Super Tuesday Democratic primaries were held in 10 other states plus American Samoa while the Republican Party held primaries in 11 states including their own Vermont primary As Sanders was an extremely popular favorite son there was no campaign to speak of and all pledged delegates were given to Sanders due to Clinton getting less than 15 of the popular vote Sanders won every municipality in the state Republican primary edit Main article 2016 Vermont Republican presidential primary Vermont Republican primary March 1 2016 Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count Bound Unbound Total Donald Trump 19 974 32 34 8 0 8 John Kasich 18 534 30 01 8 0 8 Marco Rubio 11 781 19 08 0 0 0 Ted Cruz 5 932 9 61 0 0 0 Ben Carson 2 551 4 13 0 0 0 Jeb Bush withdrawn 1 106 1 79 0 0 0 Rand Paul withdrawn 423 0 68 0 0 0 Chris Christie withdrawn 361 0 58 0 0 0 Carly Fiorina withdrawn 212 0 34 0 0 0 Rick Santorum withdrawn 164 0 27 0 0 0 Unprojected delegates 0 0 0 Total 61 756 100 00 16 0 16 Source The Green PapersGeneral election editPredictions edit Source Ranking As of Los Angeles Times 5 Safe D November 6 2016 CNN 6 Safe D November 4 2016 Cook Political Report 7 Safe D November 7 2016 Electoral vote com 8 Safe D November 8 2016 Rothenberg Political Report 9 Safe D November 7 2016 Sabato s Crystal Ball 10 Safe D November 7 2016 RealClearPolitics 11 Safe D November 8 2016 Fox News 12 Safe D November 7 2016 Polling edit See also Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election Vermont Hillary Clinton won every poll pre election by double digits Interestingly she only reached 50 in the last poll leading 50 to 22 which may indicate support for writing in Bernie Sanders or other third party candidates The average of the final three polls showed Hillary Clinton leading Trump 48 to 22 13 Results edit 2016 United States presidential election in Vermont 14 15 Party Candidate Votes Democratic Hillary Clinton 178 573 55 72 Republican Donald Trump 95 369 29 76 Independent Bernie Sanders write in 18 218 5 68 Libertarian Gary Johnson 10 078 3 14 Green Jill Stein 6 758 2 11 Reform Rocky De La Fuente 1 063 0 33 Republican John Kasich write in 831 0 26 Independent Evan McMullin write in 641 0 20 Liberty Union Gloria La Riva 327 0 10 Constitution Darrell Castle write in 63 0 02 Socialist Mimi Soltysik write in 3 lt 0 01 Write in Other Write in 3 143 1 00 n a No Name None of the Above 257 0 09 n a Spoiled blank 5 400 1 69 Total votes 320 467 100 00 Democratic win Extended content Other Write ins Candidate Votes Percentage Republican Mike Pence write in 305 0 09 Republican Paul Ryan write in 209 0 06 Republican Mitt Romney write in 122 0 04 Republican Marco Rubio write in 93 0 03 Republican Jeb Bush write in 79 0 03 Republican John McCain write in 76 0 03 Republican Ted Cruz write in 63 0 02 Libertarian Ron Paul write in 25 0 02 Republican Colin Powell write in 25 0 02 Democratic Martin O Malley write in 6 lt 0 01 n a Write in Other 2 140 0 72 Results by county edit County Hillary ClintonDemocratic Donald TrumpRepublican Various candidatesOther parties Margin Total votes cast Addison 11 219 58 95 5 297 27 83 2 515 13 22 5 922 31 12 19 031 Bennington 9 539 54 88 5 925 34 09 1 917 11 03 3 614 20 79 17 381 Caledonia 6 445 45 79 5 534 39 32 2 095 14 89 911 6 47 14 074 Chittenden 54 814 65 71 18 601 22 30 10 001 11 99 36 213 43 41 83 416 Essex 1 019 34 84 1 506 51 49 400 13 67 487 16 65 2 925 Franklin 9 351 43 67 8 752 40 88 3 308 15 45 599 2 79 21 411 Grand Isle 2 094 50 96 1 487 36 19 528 12 85 607 14 77 4 109 Lamoille 7 241 56 74 3 570 27 97 1 951 15 29 3 671 28 77 12 762 Orange 7 541 51 48 5 007 34 18 2 101 14 34 2 534 17 30 14 649 Orleans 5 185 43 04 5 159 42 83 1 702 14 13 26 0 21 12 046 Rutland 13 635 46 04 12 479 42 14 3 501 11 82 1 156 3 90 29 615 Washington 18 594 59 81 7 993 25 71 4 499 14 48 10 601 34 10 31 086 Windham 14 340 63 36 5 454 24 10 2 840 12 54 8 886 39 26 22 634 Windsor 17 556 58 66 8 605 28 75 3 767 12 59 8 951 29 91 29 928 Totals 178 573 56 68 95 369 30 27 41 125 13 05 83 204 26 41 315 067 nbsp County Flips Democratic Hold Republican Gain from Democratic Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican edit Essex largest town Lunenburg 16 By congressional district edit Due to the state s low population only one congressional district is allocated This district called the At Large district because it covers the entire state is thus equivalent to the statewide election results District Trump Clinton Representative At large 29 76 55 72 Peter WelchSee also editUnited States presidential elections in Vermont 2016 Democratic Party presidential debates and forums 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries 2016 Republican Party presidential debates and forums 2016 Republican Party presidential primariesReferences edit 2016 Presidential General Election Results Vermont Vermont Election Results 2016 The New York Times August 1 2017 ISSN 0362 4331 Retrieved January 11 2020 Weigel David November 17 2016 More than 18 000 Vermonters wrote in Bernie Sanders for president The Washington Post Retrieved January 11 2020 Vermont Election Night Results sec state vt us Archived from the original on May 28 2019 Retrieved November 12 2016 Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes Compare your picks with ours Los Angeles Times November 6 2016 Retrieved November 13 2016 Chalian David November 4 2016 Road to 270 CNN s new election map CNN Retrieved March 3 2019 2016 Electoral Scorecard The Cook Political Report November 7 2016 Retrieved March 3 2019 2016 Electoral Map Prediction Electoral vote com November 8 2016 Retrieved March 3 2019 Presidential Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report Retrieved August 16 2021 Sabato Larry J November 7 2016 2016 President University of Virginia Center for Politics Retrieved March 3 2019 2016 Election Maps Battle for White House RealClearPolitics Retrieved November 13 2016 Electoral Scorecard Map shifts again in Trump s favor as Clinton holds edge Fox News November 7 2016 Retrieved November 13 2016 RealClearPolitics Election 2016 Vermont Trump vs Clinton www realclearpolitics com 2017 Retrieved September 15 2020 Presidential Election Statement of Votes Vermont Secretary of State Archived from the original on April 7 2016 Retrieved November 26 2016 http www thegreenpapers com G16 VT The Green Papers Here s a map of the US counties that flipped to Trump from Democrats www cnbc com Retrieved September 1 2020 External links editRNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process Archived 2016 11 08 at the Wayback Machine Green papers for 2016 primaries caucuses and conventions Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Vermont Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title 2016 United States presidential election in Vermont amp oldid 1195716758, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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