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Rodwell–Hoskins mechanism

Rodwell–Hoskins mechanism is a hypothesis about a climatic teleconnection between the Indian/Asian summer monsoon and the climate of the Mediterranean. It stipulates that ascending air in the monsoon region induces atmospheric circulation features named Rossby waves that expand westward and interact with the mean westerly winds of the midlatitudes, eventually inducing descent of the air. Descending air warms and its humidity decreases, thus resulting in a drier climate during the summer months. The interaction of this atmospheric flow with the topography such as the Atlas and Zagros mountains further modifies the effect.

This hypothesis has been advanced to explain the dry climate of the eastern Mediterranean during the summer months, as other explanations involving the Hadley circulation are not plausible during that season. Together with sea and land surface feedbacks it may also explain the existence of deserts and subtropical anticyclones elsewhere in the world, as well as changes in the Mediterranean climate that coincide with variations of the monsoon.

Theory Edit

The existence of the subtropical anticyclones[1] and of deserts in the subtropics used to be attributed to the descent of air in the Hadley cell, which reduces its humidity. This descent occurs because the air is cooling through radiation and the energy loss is balanced by adiabatic heating. The lack of vegetation due to the dryness increases the albedo of the ground and thus the cooling, acting as a positive feedback.[2][3] Air-sea coupling, in particular the upwelling of cold waters east of the subtropical anticyclones induced by their winds and the resulting impediment to convection performs the same role over the oceans.[4]

However, the Hadley cell is weak during the summer months when the anticyclones still exist[1][3] and dryness often reaches its peak in the deserts, and the latitudes of the Sahara coincide with these of wet climates. Mark J. Rodwell and Brian J. Hoskins in 1996 proposed that instead, a Gill-type response to the Asian monsoon induces a Rossby wave response to the west which triggers descent west of the monsoon.[5] This involves similar processes as the Hadley cell theory but east–west horizontal advection modifies the energy balance, focusing descent at certain longitudes[6] unlike in equatorial regions where horizontal advection is less important.[7] The descending air does not originate in the monsoonal regions, thus it is not a Walker circulation; rather it originates in the mid-latitude westerlies[8] and descends along atmospheric isentropes. In the Rodwell and Hoskins 1996 simulation the location of the descent is controlled by orography just west of the descending region, which induce anticyclonic (clockwise) flow and thus southward movement of cold air to their east[9] through the heating over the topography,[10] although the direction of the mean wind modulates the longitude direction of the forcing.[11] The Etesian winds over Greece can be interpreted as the southward flow linked to the Rossby wave.[12] Ossó et al. 2019 showed that coupled sea surface temperature responses are important in inducing the descent west of the eastern Mediterranean as otherwise the Indian monsoon is located too far south to induce a Rossby wave train.[13]

Later research has indicated that the Rodwell–Hoskins mechanism can be induced by monsoons other than the Indian monsoon, for example the South American monsoon may induce subsidence in the Southeastern Pacific[14] and western slope of the Andes,[15] and the North Pacific High may be a product of the North American monsoon. The subtropical anticyclones are subsequently strengthened by cooling over the oceans and cloud feedbacks[16] and according to Miyasaka and Nakamura 2005 by solar (sensible) heating of the dry landmass under the descent region.[17] Thus, the Rodwell–Hoskins mechanism may play a role over most of the global subtropics and tropics,[18] especially over the Mediterranean where the subtropical anticyclones are less influential than in other Mediterranean climates.[11] It may play a lesser role in Southern Hemisphere anticyclone dynamics according to Seager et al. 2003,[19] and only a minor role in intensifying the North Pacific High.[20]

According to Kelly and Mapes 2013, in the Community Atmosphere Model a strong Asian monsoon can extend the Rodwell–Hoskins mechanism to North America, resulting in drying of the western Atlantic.[21] Smaller scale features such as the Thar Desert may also result from this mechanism.[22]

Evidence Edit

In June to August, ascent occurs over Africa and Asia, with centres over the northern Bay of Bengal and equatorial Africa. Descent occurs to the west of the Asian monsoon, that is over the Kyzylkum Desert, the eastern Mediterranean including southeastern Europe and eastern Sahara and in the eastern Atlantic.[5] The longitude of the descent is connected to the underlying orography of the Zagros and Atlas Mountains[23] and summer precipitation is negligible in the descent areas.[9] The Rodwell–Hoskins mechanism appears to be less important for the Arabian Desert, where the cooling through radiation and subsequent descent may instead be the key factor.[24]

The "monsoon-desert" mechanism has been identified both in climate reanalyses, idealized simulations and climate models.[25] Other phenomena linked to the Rodwell–Hoskins mechanism are oxygen isotope variations in corals of the northern Red Sea which appear to correlate with the intensity of the Indian Monsoon,[26] the synchrony of Near East atmospheric circulation changes with the monsoon[10] and fluctuations in the intensity of the African monsoon after the onset of the Indian one which are mediated by dry air intrusions[27] and include a temporary weakening of precipitation.[28]

Implications Edit

The intensity of the Rodwell–Hoskins mechanism is a function of the latitude of the monsoon; ascent close to the equator (such as during the pre-monsoon season) does not induce it effectively.[4] According to Rodwell and Hoskins 2001, the African monsoon being a tropical monsoon does not induce a substantial Rodwell–Hoskins effect.[29]

The air forced to descend by the Rodwell–Hoskins mechanism can in turn flow into the convergence zones of the monsoon region and alter the monsoon behaviour; this is known as the "interactive Rodwell–Hoskins mechanism"[30] and it reduces the precipitation in the western sector of a monsoon by importing dry/low energy air into the monsoon region.[31] It appears to play a role in restricting the westward extent of the North American monsoon, inducing dryness along the West Coast,[32] and likewise in limiting the southward extent of the South American monsoon.[33]

Enomoto 2003 recognized that the descent forced by the Rodwell–Hoskins mechanism over the Mediterranean and Aral Sea coincide with the "inlet" region of the Asian jet stream and consequently Rossby waves could enter the jet stream through these regions ("Silk Road pattern"). Enomoto 2004 proposed that the Rossby waves travelling through this jet stream eventually accumulate over Japan and induce the formation of a second anticyclone there – a process they called the "Monsoon-Desert-Jet mechanism"[34] and which they suggested may induce heat waves in Japan.[35] This structure of the atmospheric circulation has also been described by other researchers.[36] Additionally, vorticity anomalies originating directly from the monsoon outflow may enter into the jet stream as Rossby waves.[37]

Di Capua et al. 2020 noted that La Niña in the Pacific Ocean boosts the monsoon-desert mechanism through a coupling with the Walker circulation.[38] Wu and Shaw 2016 proposed that the Rodwell–Hoskins mechanism alters the potential temperature of the tropopause by shifting its monsoon-related maxima.[39]

Paleoclimate Edit

The strength of the Rodwell–Hoskins-induced descent is a function of the strength of the monsoon and climate variability impacting monsoon intensity can thus alter the descent as well.[40] Through the Rodwell–Hoskins mechanism the development of the Tibetan Plateau during the Cretaceous to Eocene and its effect on the Indian monsoon may have had remote effects on Africa and the Mediterranean,[41] and the same mechanism may be responsible for the drying of northwestern India between 11–7 million years ago.[42] The climate effects of the Rodwell-Hoskins mechanism may have influenced oceanic climate during the existence and breakup of Pangea in the last 250 million years.[43]

During maxima in precession, a key Milankovitch cycle, and minima in global ice area, an intensified Indian monsoon may have induced a more intense summer drought over the eastern Mediterranean, although increased autumn/winter rainfall may have negated the drying.[44] An anticorrelation between wetter Northern Hemisphere monsoons during the Holocene and drier subtropics may also be explained by the Rodwell–Hoskins effect,[45] as is drying in Oman and the Near East during the Medieval Climate Anomaly and the Early Holocene.[46] Conversely, wetter subtropics during the Pliocene may thus relate to decreased rainfall over the eastern Indian Ocean and the Bay of Bengal.[47]

Climate variability Edit

The Rodwell–Hoskins effect may explain why:

  • Teleconnections associated with the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD),[48] in particular the development of Rossby wave trains.[49] A positive IOD would tend to intensify the monsoon and the Rodwell–Hoskins mechanism while a negative IOD would tend to weaken them.[50]
  • During years where the monsoon is unusually wet over Arizona, the Great Plains, Midcontinent and Pacific Northwest are unusually dry.[51]
  • Monsoon breaks in India and the low level temperature inversion over the Arabian Sea.[52]
  • When the Indian monsoon is weaker, e.g. after the 1912 Mount Katmai eruption, cloudiness and precipitation increase over the Mediterranean.[53]
  • Volcanic eruptions resulting in wetter climates over the dry regions.[54]
  • The wet summers 2002[55] and 2014 in Southern Europe when the Indian monsoon was weaker than normal.[56]
  • Bollasina and Nigam 2011 proposed that the subsidence northwest of the Hindu Kush interacts with the topography to produce the Indo-Pakistani heat low.[57]
  • Yang 2021 proposed that the Sahel drought stemmed from an intensified Rodwell–Hoskins descent over Africa[58] and ended when warming Atlantic sea surface temperatures decreased the Africa-Asia temperature gradients.[59]
  • Anticorrelations between Middle East precipitation and the Asian monsoon.[60]
  • Maximum temperatures occur in the northern Arabian Peninsula.[61]
  • Dipole-like precipitation biases in certain climate models.[62]
  • The development of tropical upper-tropospheric troughs over the Northern Hemisphere oceans in summer.[63]
  • Increased precipitation in the eastern Mediterranean after sulfate aerosol release.[64]
  • Correlations between monsoon biases on the Indian Ocean and India, and climate biases over Africa.[65]
  • Xiang et al. 2023 suggested that aerosol-driven decreases in the Indian monsoon increase rainfall over the Sahel and central Africa.[66]
  • Increased drought occurrence in the mid-latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere due to increased monsoon activity.[67]

Atmospheric waves similar to these of the Rodwell–Hoskins mechanism are also found in climate simulations where the monsoons have been modified by vegetation changes induced through man-made carbon dioxide increases[68] or increased condensational heating.[69] They may play a role in altering European climate according to Douville et al. 2000[70] and Gregory, Mitchell and Brady 1997,[69] such as causing drying in the Mediterranean.[71] Studying the output of some climate models, Cherchi et al. 2016 found both increased descent and a westward shift of the descent in response to increased monsoon precipitation during the 21st century.[72]

Alternative processes Edit

Chen et al. 2001 proposed that upstream monsoon heating can induce Rossby waves that generate the subtropical anticyclones[16] through an eastward-directed forcing, which acts in the opposite direction to the westward-directed Rodwell–Hoskins hypothesis.[73] According to Chen et al. 2022 however this process does not explain the structure of the summer atmospheric circulation.[74] A Hadley cell-like interaction between the Mediterranean and the African monsoon intensifies Mediterranean drought.[75]

Eastward propagating Kelvin waves can induce descent to the east of the monsoon region,[14] which is important in inducing the North Pacific High in response to the Asian and the South Atlantic High in response of the South American monsoon and are also connected to the low-level inflow of moisture into the monsoons.[29]

References Edit

  1. ^ a b Rodwell & Hoskins 2001, p. 3194.
  2. ^ Rodwell & Hoskins 1996, p. 1385.
  3. ^ a b Tyrlis, Lelieveld & Steil 2013, pp. 1104–1105.
  4. ^ a b Rodwell & Hoskins 2001, p. 3196.
  5. ^ a b Rodwell & Hoskins 1996, p. 1386.
  6. ^ Rodwell & Hoskins 1996, p. 1387.
  7. ^ Rodwell & Hoskins 1996, p. 1388.
  8. ^ Rodwell & Hoskins 1996, p. 1396.
  9. ^ a b Rodwell & Hoskins 1996, p. 1399.
  10. ^ a b Tyrlis, Lelieveld & Steil 2013, p. 1121.
  11. ^ a b Simpson et al. 2015, p. 3.
  12. ^ Tyrlis, Lelieveld & Steil 2013, p. 1105.
  13. ^ Ossó et al. 2019, p. 5076.
  14. ^ a b Clement, Hall & Broccoli 2004, p. 331.
  15. ^ Moraes et al. 2023, p. 980.
  16. ^ a b Miyasaka & Nakamura 2005, p. 5047.
  17. ^ Miyasaka & Nakamura 2005, p. 5064.
  18. ^ Wang et al. 2017, p. 89.
  19. ^ Miyasaka & Nakamura 2010, p. 2116.
  20. ^ Miyasaka & Nakamura 2005, p. 5062.
  21. ^ Kelly & Mapes 2013, p. 2750.
  22. ^ Barros et al. 2004, p. 42.
  23. ^ Rodwell & Hoskins 1996, p. 1397.
  24. ^ Rodwell & Hoskins 1996, p. 1402.
  25. ^ Tyrlis et al. 2015, p. 6777.
  26. ^ Felis et al. 2000, p. 690.
  27. ^ Flaounas et al. 2012, p. 967.
  28. ^ Camberlin et al. 2010, p. 2057.
  29. ^ a b Rodwell & Hoskins 2001, p. 3209.
  30. ^ Chou & Neelin 2003, p. 407.
  31. ^ Chou 2003, p. 14.
  32. ^ Chou & Neelin 2003, p. 416.
  33. ^ Chou & Neelin 2001, p. 2436.
  34. ^ Enomoto 2004, p. 1020.
  35. ^ Enomoto 2004, p. 1033.
  36. ^ Wu et al. 2010, p. 5.
  37. ^ Liu et al. 2020, p. 7095.
  38. ^ Di Capua et al. 2020, p. 532.
  39. ^ Wu & Shaw 2016, p. 8695.
  40. ^ Clement, Hall & Broccoli 2004, p. 334.
  41. ^ Lippert, van Hinsbergen & Dupont-Nivet 2014, p. 17.
  42. ^ Molnar & Rajagopalan 2012, p. 1.
  43. ^ Han, Hu & Liu 2021, p. EGU21-3690.
  44. ^ Tzedakis 2007, p. 2053.
  45. ^ Wang et al. 2017, p. 240.
  46. ^ Miller et al. 2016, p. 130.
  47. ^ Kamae, Ueda & Kitoh 2011, pp. 489–490.
  48. ^ Guan, Ashok & Yamagata 2003, p. 548.
  49. ^ Takemura & Shimpo 2019, p. 75.
  50. ^ Ratna et al. 2017, p. 67.
  51. ^ Harrison et al. 2003, p. 665.
  52. ^ Wu, Lee & Chiang 2018, p. 239.
  53. ^ Oman 2005, p. 9.
  54. ^ Zuo, Zhou & Man 2019, p. 13658.
  55. ^ Cherchi et al. 2014, p. 6894.
  56. ^ Ratna et al. 2017, p. 64.
  57. ^ Bollasina & Nigam 2011, p. 969.
  58. ^ Yang et al. 2021, p. 321.
  59. ^ He, Yang & Li 2017, p. 5.
  60. ^ Dogar & Sato 2018, p. 13087.
  61. ^ Attada et al. 2019, p. 445.
  62. ^ Hanf et al. 2017, p. 4882.
  63. ^ Kelly & Mapes 2016, p. 7539.
  64. ^ Mitchell & Johns 1997, p. 264.
  65. ^ Di Capua et al. 2023, pp. 715–716.
  66. ^ Xiang et al. 2023, p. 4.
  67. ^ Fan et al. 2022, p. 2.
  68. ^ Douville et al. 2000, p. 14857.
  69. ^ a b Gregory, Mitchell & Brady 1997, p. 675.
  70. ^ Douville et al. 2000, p. 14859.
  71. ^ De Luca et al. 2020, p. 794.
  72. ^ Cherchi et al. 2016, p. 2370.
  73. ^ Kosaka & Matsuda 2005, p. 482.
  74. ^ Chen et al. 2022, p. 1884.
  75. ^ Lionello et al. 2006, p. 7-8.

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rodwell, hoskins, mechanism, hypothesis, about, climatic, teleconnection, between, indian, asian, summer, monsoon, climate, mediterranean, stipulates, that, ascending, monsoon, region, induces, atmospheric, circulation, features, named, rossby, waves, that, ex. Rodwell Hoskins mechanism is a hypothesis about a climatic teleconnection between the Indian Asian summer monsoon and the climate of the Mediterranean It stipulates that ascending air in the monsoon region induces atmospheric circulation features named Rossby waves that expand westward and interact with the mean westerly winds of the midlatitudes eventually inducing descent of the air Descending air warms and its humidity decreases thus resulting in a drier climate during the summer months The interaction of this atmospheric flow with the topography such as the Atlas and Zagros mountains further modifies the effect This hypothesis has been advanced to explain the dry climate of the eastern Mediterranean during the summer months as other explanations involving the Hadley circulation are not plausible during that season Together with sea and land surface feedbacks it may also explain the existence of deserts and subtropical anticyclones elsewhere in the world as well as changes in the Mediterranean climate that coincide with variations of the monsoon Contents 1 Theory 1 1 Evidence 2 Implications 2 1 Paleoclimate 2 2 Climate variability 3 Alternative processes 4 References 4 1 SourcesTheory EditThe existence of the subtropical anticyclones 1 and of deserts in the subtropics used to be attributed to the descent of air in the Hadley cell which reduces its humidity This descent occurs because the air is cooling through radiation and the energy loss is balanced by adiabatic heating The lack of vegetation due to the dryness increases the albedo of the ground and thus the cooling acting as a positive feedback 2 3 Air sea coupling in particular the upwelling of cold waters east of the subtropical anticyclones induced by their winds and the resulting impediment to convection performs the same role over the oceans 4 However the Hadley cell is weak during the summer months when the anticyclones still exist 1 3 and dryness often reaches its peak in the deserts and the latitudes of the Sahara coincide with these of wet climates Mark J Rodwell and Brian J Hoskins in 1996 proposed that instead a Gill type response to the Asian monsoon induces a Rossby wave response to the west which triggers descent west of the monsoon 5 This involves similar processes as the Hadley cell theory but east west horizontal advection modifies the energy balance focusing descent at certain longitudes 6 unlike in equatorial regions where horizontal advection is less important 7 The descending air does not originate in the monsoonal regions thus it is not a Walker circulation rather it originates in the mid latitude westerlies 8 and descends along atmospheric isentropes In the Rodwell and Hoskins 1996 simulation the location of the descent is controlled by orography just west of the descending region which induce anticyclonic clockwise flow and thus southward movement of cold air to their east 9 through the heating over the topography 10 although the direction of the mean wind modulates the longitude direction of the forcing 11 The Etesian winds over Greece can be interpreted as the southward flow linked to the Rossby wave 12 Osso et al 2019 showed that coupled sea surface temperature responses are important in inducing the descent west of the eastern Mediterranean as otherwise the Indian monsoon is located too far south to induce a Rossby wave train 13 Later research has indicated that the Rodwell Hoskins mechanism can be induced by monsoons other than the Indian monsoon for example the South American monsoon may induce subsidence in the Southeastern Pacific 14 and western slope of the Andes 15 and the North Pacific High may be a product of the North American monsoon The subtropical anticyclones are subsequently strengthened by cooling over the oceans and cloud feedbacks 16 and according to Miyasaka and Nakamura 2005 by solar sensible heating of the dry landmass under the descent region 17 Thus the Rodwell Hoskins mechanism may play a role over most of the global subtropics and tropics 18 especially over the Mediterranean where the subtropical anticyclones are less influential than in other Mediterranean climates 11 It may play a lesser role in Southern Hemisphere anticyclone dynamics according to Seager et al 2003 19 and only a minor role in intensifying the North Pacific High 20 According to Kelly and Mapes 2013 in the Community Atmosphere Model a strong Asian monsoon can extend the Rodwell Hoskins mechanism to North America resulting in drying of the western Atlantic 21 Smaller scale features such as the Thar Desert may also result from this mechanism 22 Evidence Edit In June to August ascent occurs over Africa and Asia with centres over the northern Bay of Bengal and equatorial Africa Descent occurs to the west of the Asian monsoon that is over the Kyzylkum Desert the eastern Mediterranean including southeastern Europe and eastern Sahara and in the eastern Atlantic 5 The longitude of the descent is connected to the underlying orography of the Zagros and Atlas Mountains 23 and summer precipitation is negligible in the descent areas 9 The Rodwell Hoskins mechanism appears to be less important for the Arabian Desert where the cooling through radiation and subsequent descent may instead be the key factor 24 The monsoon desert mechanism has been identified both in climate reanalyses idealized simulations and climate models 25 Other phenomena linked to the Rodwell Hoskins mechanism are oxygen isotope variations in corals of the northern Red Sea which appear to correlate with the intensity of the Indian Monsoon 26 the synchrony of Near East atmospheric circulation changes with the monsoon 10 and fluctuations in the intensity of the African monsoon after the onset of the Indian one which are mediated by dry air intrusions 27 and include a temporary weakening of precipitation 28 Implications EditThe intensity of the Rodwell Hoskins mechanism is a function of the latitude of the monsoon ascent close to the equator such as during the pre monsoon season does not induce it effectively 4 According to Rodwell and Hoskins 2001 the African monsoon being a tropical monsoon does not induce a substantial Rodwell Hoskins effect 29 The air forced to descend by the Rodwell Hoskins mechanism can in turn flow into the convergence zones of the monsoon region and alter the monsoon behaviour this is known as the interactive Rodwell Hoskins mechanism 30 and it reduces the precipitation in the western sector of a monsoon by importing dry low energy air into the monsoon region 31 It appears to play a role in restricting the westward extent of the North American monsoon inducing dryness along the West Coast 32 and likewise in limiting the southward extent of the South American monsoon 33 Enomoto 2003 recognized that the descent forced by the Rodwell Hoskins mechanism over the Mediterranean and Aral Sea coincide with the inlet region of the Asian jet stream and consequently Rossby waves could enter the jet stream through these regions Silk Road pattern Enomoto 2004 proposed that the Rossby waves travelling through this jet stream eventually accumulate over Japan and induce the formation of a second anticyclone there a process they called the Monsoon Desert Jet mechanism 34 and which they suggested may induce heat waves in Japan 35 This structure of the atmospheric circulation has also been described by other researchers 36 Additionally vorticity anomalies originating directly from the monsoon outflow may enter into the jet stream as Rossby waves 37 Di Capua et al 2020 noted that La Nina in the Pacific Ocean boosts the monsoon desert mechanism through a coupling with the Walker circulation 38 Wu and Shaw 2016 proposed that the Rodwell Hoskins mechanism alters the potential temperature of the tropopause by shifting its monsoon related maxima 39 Paleoclimate Edit The strength of the Rodwell Hoskins induced descent is a function of the strength of the monsoon and climate variability impacting monsoon intensity can thus alter the descent as well 40 Through the Rodwell Hoskins mechanism the development of the Tibetan Plateau during the Cretaceous to Eocene and its effect on the Indian monsoon may have had remote effects on Africa and the Mediterranean 41 and the same mechanism may be responsible for the drying of northwestern India between 11 7 million years ago 42 The climate effects of the Rodwell Hoskins mechanism may have influenced oceanic climate during the existence and breakup of Pangea in the last 250 million years 43 During maxima in precession a key Milankovitch cycle and minima in global ice area an intensified Indian monsoon may have induced a more intense summer drought over the eastern Mediterranean although increased autumn winter rainfall may have negated the drying 44 An anticorrelation between wetter Northern Hemisphere monsoons during the Holocene and drier subtropics may also be explained by the Rodwell Hoskins effect 45 as is drying in Oman and the Near East during the Medieval Climate Anomaly and the Early Holocene 46 Conversely wetter subtropics during the Pliocene may thus relate to decreased rainfall over the eastern Indian Ocean and the Bay of Bengal 47 Climate variability Edit The Rodwell Hoskins effect may explain why Teleconnections associated with the Indian Ocean Dipole IOD 48 in particular the development of Rossby wave trains 49 A positive IOD would tend to intensify the monsoon and the Rodwell Hoskins mechanism while a negative IOD would tend to weaken them 50 During years where the monsoon is unusually wet over Arizona the Great Plains Midcontinent and Pacific Northwest are unusually dry 51 Monsoon breaks in India and the low level temperature inversion over the Arabian Sea 52 When the Indian monsoon is weaker e g after the 1912 Mount Katmai eruption cloudiness and precipitation increase over the Mediterranean 53 Volcanic eruptions resulting in wetter climates over the dry regions 54 The wet summers 2002 55 and 2014 in Southern Europe when the Indian monsoon was weaker than normal 56 Bollasina and Nigam 2011 proposed that the subsidence northwest of the Hindu Kush interacts with the topography to produce the Indo Pakistani heat low 57 Yang 2021 proposed that the Sahel drought stemmed from an intensified Rodwell Hoskins descent over Africa 58 and ended when warming Atlantic sea surface temperatures decreased the Africa Asia temperature gradients 59 Anticorrelations between Middle East precipitation and the Asian monsoon 60 Maximum temperatures occur in the northern Arabian Peninsula 61 Dipole like precipitation biases in certain climate models 62 The development of tropical upper tropospheric troughs over the Northern Hemisphere oceans in summer 63 Increased precipitation in the eastern Mediterranean after sulfate aerosol release 64 Correlations between monsoon biases on the Indian Ocean and India and climate biases over Africa 65 Xiang et al 2023 suggested that aerosol driven decreases in the Indian monsoon increase rainfall over the Sahel and central Africa 66 Increased drought occurrence in the mid latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere due to increased monsoon activity 67 Atmospheric waves similar to these of the Rodwell Hoskins mechanism are also found in climate simulations where the monsoons have been modified by vegetation changes induced through man made carbon dioxide increases 68 or increased condensational heating 69 They may play a role in altering European climate according to Douville et al 2000 70 and Gregory Mitchell and Brady 1997 69 such as causing drying in the Mediterranean 71 Studying the output of some climate models Cherchi et al 2016 found both increased descent and a westward shift of the descent in response to increased monsoon precipitation during the 21st century 72 Alternative processes EditChen et al 2001 proposed that upstream monsoon heating can induce Rossby waves that generate the subtropical anticyclones 16 through an eastward directed forcing which acts in the opposite direction to the westward directed Rodwell Hoskins hypothesis 73 According to Chen et al 2022 however this process does not explain the structure of the summer atmospheric circulation 74 A Hadley cell like interaction between the Mediterranean and the African monsoon intensifies Mediterranean drought 75 Eastward propagating Kelvin waves can induce descent to the east of the monsoon region 14 which is important in inducing the North Pacific High in response to the Asian and the South Atlantic High in response of the South American monsoon and are also connected to the low level inflow of moisture into the monsoons 29 References Edit a b Rodwell amp Hoskins 2001 p 3194 Rodwell amp Hoskins 1996 p 1385 a b Tyrlis Lelieveld amp Steil 2013 pp 1104 1105 a b Rodwell amp Hoskins 2001 p 3196 a b Rodwell amp Hoskins 1996 p 1386 Rodwell amp Hoskins 1996 p 1387 Rodwell amp Hoskins 1996 p 1388 Rodwell amp Hoskins 1996 p 1396 a b Rodwell amp Hoskins 1996 p 1399 a b Tyrlis Lelieveld amp Steil 2013 p 1121 a b Simpson et al 2015 p 3 Tyrlis Lelieveld amp Steil 2013 p 1105 Osso et al 2019 p 5076 a b Clement Hall amp Broccoli 2004 p 331 Moraes et al 2023 p 980 a b Miyasaka amp Nakamura 2005 p 5047 Miyasaka amp Nakamura 2005 p 5064 Wang et al 2017 p 89 Miyasaka amp Nakamura 2010 p 2116 Miyasaka amp Nakamura 2005 p 5062 Kelly amp Mapes 2013 p 2750 Barros et al 2004 p 42 Rodwell amp Hoskins 1996 p 1397 Rodwell amp Hoskins 1996 p 1402 Tyrlis et al 2015 p 6777 Felis et al 2000 p 690 Flaounas et al 2012 p 967 Camberlin et al 2010 p 2057 a b Rodwell amp Hoskins 2001 p 3209 Chou amp Neelin 2003 p 407 Chou 2003 p 14 Chou amp Neelin 2003 p 416 Chou amp Neelin 2001 p 2436 Enomoto 2004 p 1020 Enomoto 2004 p 1033 Wu et al 2010 p 5 Liu et al 2020 p 7095 Di Capua et al 2020 p 532 Wu amp Shaw 2016 p 8695 Clement Hall amp Broccoli 2004 p 334 Lippert van Hinsbergen amp Dupont Nivet 2014 p 17 Molnar amp Rajagopalan 2012 p 1 Han Hu amp Liu 2021 p EGU21 3690 Tzedakis 2007 p 2053 Wang et al 2017 p 240 Miller et al 2016 p 130 Kamae Ueda amp Kitoh 2011 pp 489 490 Guan Ashok amp Yamagata 2003 p 548 Takemura amp Shimpo 2019 p 75 Ratna et al 2017 p 67 Harrison et al 2003 p 665 Wu Lee amp Chiang 2018 p 239 Oman 2005 p 9 Zuo Zhou amp Man 2019 p 13658 Cherchi et al 2014 p 6894 Ratna et al 2017 p 64 Bollasina amp Nigam 2011 p 969 Yang et al 2021 p 321 He Yang amp Li 2017 p 5 Dogar amp Sato 2018 p 13087 Attada et al 2019 p 445 Hanf et al 2017 p 4882 Kelly amp Mapes 2016 p 7539 Mitchell amp Johns 1997 p 264 Di Capua et al 2023 pp 715 716 Xiang et al 2023 p 4 Fan et al 2022 p 2 Douville et al 2000 p 14857 a b Gregory Mitchell amp Brady 1997 p 675 Douville et al 2000 p 14859 De Luca et al 2020 p 794 Cherchi et al 2016 p 2370 Kosaka amp Matsuda 2005 p 482 Chen et al 2022 p 1884 Lionello et al 2006 p 7 8 Sources Edit Attada Raju Dasari Hari Prasad Chowdary Jasti S Yadav Ramesh Kumar Knio Omar Hoteit Ibrahim 2019 Surface air temperature variability over the Arabian Peninsula and its links to 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