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Opinion polling for the 1992 United Kingdom general election

In the run up to the 1992 general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in the United Kingdom. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the election to 8 April.

Almost every poll leading up to polling day predicted either a hung parliament with Labour the largest party, or a small Labour majority of around 19 to 23. Polls on the last few days before the country voted predicted a very slim Labour majority.[1] After the polls closed, the BBC and ITV exit polls still predicted that there would be a hung parliament and "that the Conservatives would only just get more seats than Labour".[2]

With opinion polls at the end of the campaign showing Labour and the Conservatives neck and neck, the actual election result, a small Conservative majority, was a surprise to many in the media and in polling organisations. The apparent failure of the opinion polls to come close to predicting the actual result led to an inquiry by the Market Research Society. Following the election, most opinion polling companies changed their methodology in the belief that a 'Shy Tory factor' affected the polling.

Graphical summary

 
UK opinion polling for the election (trendline is local regression)
  Conservative
  Labour
  Liberal-SDP Alliance
  Liberal Democrats
  SDP

Results

All data is from UK Polling Report.[3]

1992

Survey
end date
Pollster Client Con Lab Lib Dem Lead
9 Apr 1992 general election[4] 42.8% 35.2% 18.3% 7.6%
8 Apr NOP The Independent 39% 42% 17% 3%
8 Apr Gallup The Daily Telegraph 38.5% 38% 20% 0.5%
8 Apr MORI The Times 38% 39% 20% 1%
7 Apr ICM The Guardian 38% 38% 20% Tie
7 Apr Harris ITN 38% 40% 18% 2%
6 Apr MORI YTV 37% 40% 20% 3%
4 Apr Harris Daily Express 37% 38% 21% 1%
4 Apr Harris The Observer 38% 40% 17% 2%
3 Apr NOP The Mail on Sunday 35% 41% 20% 6%
3 Apr MORI The Sunday Times 37% 39% 21% 2%
3 Apr Gallup The Sunday Telegraph 37.5% 37.5% 21% Tie
3 Apr NOP The Independent on Sunday 38% 41% 17% 3%
3 Apr ICM Press Association 36.2% 38.7% 20.4% 2.5%
1 Apr ICM Sunday Express 37% 39% 19% 2%
1 Apr Gallup The Daily Telegraph 38% 37.5% 20.5% 0.5%
31 Mar NOP The Independent 37% 39% 19% 2%
31 Mar Neilsen N/A 39.8% 39.6% 17.2% 0.2%
31 Mar Harris ITN 35% 41% 19% 6%
30 Mar ICM The Guardian 37% 41% 18% 4%
30 Mar Harris Daily Express 40% 39% 17% 1%
29 Mar MORI The Times 35% 42% 19% 7%
28 Mar Audience Selection N/A 37% 39% 19% 2%
28 Mar NOP The Independent on Sunday 39% 40% 16% 1%
27 Mar NOP The Mail on Sunday 37% 41% 18% 4%
27 Mar MORI The Sunday Times 38% 40% 20% 2%
27 Mar Harris The Observer 40% 38% 17% 2%
25 Mar ICM Sunday Express 36% 38% 20% 2%
25 Mar NOP The Independent 39% 42% 14% 3%
24 Mar Gallup The Daily Telegraph 40% 40.5% 16.5% 0.5%
24 Mar MORI N/A 38% 41% 17% 3%
24 Mar ICM The Guardian 39% 40% 17% 1%
23 Mar NMR EUR 38% 39% 19% 1%
23 Mar Harris Daily Express 43% 38% 15% 5%
23 Mar Harris ITN 38% 42% 16% 4%
21 Mar MORI The Times 38% 41% 17% 3%
21 Mar NOP The Independent on Sunday 38% 40% 16% 2%
20 Mar NOP The Mail on Sunday 39% 41% 15% 2%
20 Mar MORI The Sunday Times 38% 41% 19% 3%
20 Mar Harris The Observer 40% 39% 17% 1%
18 Mar ICM Sunday Express 37% 42% 16% 5%
18 Mar Gallup The Daily Telegraph 40.5% 38.5% 18% 2%
17 Mar NOP The Independent 38% 42% 17% 4%
16 Mar ICM The Guardian 38% 43% 16% 5%
16 Mar Harris Daily Express 41% 38% 17% 3%
13 Mar MORI The Times 38% 43% 16% 5%
13 Mar Harris Daily Express 39% 40% 16% 1%
13 Mar Harris London Weekend Television 37% 41% 17% 4%
13 Mar MORI The Sunday Times 40% 39% 16% 1%
13 Mar NOP The Independent on Sunday 40% 41% 14% 1%
12 Mar ICM Sunday Express 39% 40% 16% 1%
12 Mar MORI The Times 38% 41% 16% 3%
12 Mar Harris The Observer 40% 43% 12% 3%
11 Mar Gallup N/A 41% 38.5% 15% 2.5%
10 Mar NOP The Mail on Sunday 41% 40% 15% 1%
7 Mar Gallup The Daily Telegraph 37% 38% 20% 1%
7 Mar NOP The Mail on Sunday 38% 41% 16% 3%
6 Mar ICM The Guardian 39% 42% 15% 3%
2 Mar Harris The Observer 39% 40% 14% 1%
25 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 38.5% 38.5% 18.5% Tie
25 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 37% 37.5% 20% 0.5%
23 Feb MORI The Sunday Times 39% 40% 18% 1%
22 Feb Audience Selection N/A 36% 38% 18% 2%
18 Feb ICM Daily Mail 38% 41% 17% 3%
17 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 39% 37% 19% 2%
14 Feb NOP The Independent 38% 42% 15% 4%
13 Feb ICM Sunday Express 40% 39% 16% 1%
11 Feb Harris The Observer 39% 40% 15% 1%
8 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 40% 37.5% 17.5% 2.5%
7 Feb ICM The Guardian 40% 40% 16% Tie
6 Feb NOP The Independent on Sunday 38% 42% 15% 4%
3 Feb Harris Daily Express 39% 40% 17% 1%
28 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 42.5% 37.5% 14% 5%
26 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 38% 39.5% 17.5% 1.5%
25 Jan Audience Selection N/A 40% 40% 15% Tie
23 Jan ICM Daily Mail 41% 40% 13% 1%
21 Jan Harris Daily Express 41% 40% 14% 1%
21 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 40% 38% 16.5% 2%
17 Jan MORI The Sunday Times 42% 39% 16% 3%
16 Jan ICM Sunday Express 41% 42% 14% 1%
13 Jan Harris The Observer 42% 43% 13% 1%
13 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 42% 37.5% 16% 4.5%
11 Jan NOP The Independent 40% 43% 13% 3%
8 Jan ICM The Guardian 42% 41% 12% 1%
8 Jan NOP The Independent on Sunday 40% 45% 12% 5%

1991

Survey
end date
Pollster Client Con Lab Lib Dem Lead
27 Dec MORI The Sunday Times 38% 44% 14% 6%
15 Dec Gallup The Sunday Telegraph 42% 41.5% 13% 0.5%
13 Dec NOP The Independent on Sunday 41% 40% 14% 1%
7 Dec ICM The Guardian 39% 42% 14% 3%
5 Dec MORI The Times 40% 43% 12% 3%
2 Dec Gallup The Daily Telegraph 39.5% 37% 19% 2.5%
2 Dec Audience Selection N/A 39% 40% 16% 1%
25 Nov MORI The Sunday Times 40% 42% 15% 2%
25 Nov NOP The Independent 40% 41% 15% 1%
23 Nov MORI The Sunday Times 41% 43% 13% 2%
23 Nov ICM Daily Mail 39% 41% 16% 2%
14 Nov Harris The Observer 39% 44% 13% 5%
9 Nov ICM The Guardian 41% 43% 13% 2%
7 Nov Hemsworth, Kincardine and Deeside and Langbaurgh by-elections
4 Nov Gallup The Daily Telegraph 36% 44% 15.5% 8%
1 Nov MORI The Sunday Times 42% 41% 13% 1%
28 Oct Audience Selection N/A 37% 42% 16% 5%
27 Oct Harris The Observer 39% 45% 12% 6%
26 Oct ICM Daily Mail 40% 42% 13% 2%
21 Oct MORI The Sunday Times 39% 45% 12% 6%
21 Oct NOP The Independent 39% 45% 12% 6%
17 Oct Harris The Observer 39% 46% 12% 7%
12 Oct ICM The Guardian 41% 43% 12% 2%
5 Oct NOP The Independent on Sunday 39% 46% 13% 7%
4 Oct Gallup The Daily Telegraph 39.5% 41.5% 15% 2%
3 Oct ICM Press Association 40% 42% 13% 2%
30 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 42% 38% 15% 4%
30 Sep Audience Selection N/A 41% 37% 14% 4%
28 Sep ICM Daily Mail 40% 42% 14% 2%
26 Sep Harris The Observer 40% 41% 13% 1%
26 Sep NOP The Mail on Sunday 40% 39% 16% 1%
24 Sep MORI The Sunday Times 39% 39% 17% Tie
23 Sep Gallup The Sunday Telegraph 40% 38.5% 16% 1.5%
23 Sep NOP The Independent 39% 42% 14% 3%
20 Sep MORI N/A 39% 43% 14% 4%
14 Sep ICM The Guardian 39% 39% 17% Tie
13 Sep ICM Sunday Express 41% 37% 17% 4%
12 Sep Harris The Observer 43% 38% 16% 5%
7 Sep NOP The Independent on Sunday 41% 39% 15% 2%
2 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 39.5% 35% 19.5% 4.5%
27 Aug MORI The Sunday Times 42% 40% 14% 2%
24 Aug ICM Daily Mail 40% 43% 12% 3%
19 Aug NOP The Independent 38% 44% 12% 6%
15 Aug Harris The Observer 40% 41% 14% 1%
10 Aug ICM The Guardian 36% 45% 16% 9%
5 Aug Gallup The Daily Telegraph 36% 41% 16.5% 5%
1 Aug Audience Selection N/A 39% 40% 15% 1%
29 Jul Audience Selection N/A 35% 43% 15% 8%
24 Jul ICM Daily Express 38% 44% 13% 6%
22 Jul MORI N/A 38% 43% 15% 5%
20 Jul ICM Daily Mail 37% 44% 16% 7%
18 Jul Harris The Observer 39% 42% 14% 3%
15 Jul NOP The Independent 39% 43% 13% 4%
6 Jul ICM The Guardian 37% 43% 16% 6%
4 Jul Liverpool Walton by-election
1 Jul Gallup The Daily Telegraph 37% 40.5% 17% 3.5%
27 Jun NOP The Mail on Sunday 41% 42% 13% 1%
24 Jun MORI N/A 39% 41% 15% 2%
21 Jun ICM Daily Mail 35% 44% 17% 9%
21 Jun MORI Sunday Express 39% 38% 17% 1%
17 Jun NOP The Independent 37% 45% 14% 8%
13 Jun Harris The Observer 35% 45% 16% 10%
8 Jun ICM The Guardian 34% 44% 17% 10%
3 Jun Gallup The Daily Telegraph 33.5% 41.5% 21% 8%
2 Jun Harris TV-AM 36% 43% 15% 7%
1 Jun NMR The Independent on Sunday 37% 43% 16% 6%
1 Jun Audience Selection N/A 41% 42% 13% 1%
28 May MORI The Sunday Times 37% 43% 16% 6%
25 May ICM Daily Mail 37% 41% 16% 4%
20 May NOP The Independent 36% 44% 15% 8%
18 May Audience Selection N/A 39% 39% 19% Tie
16 May Harris The Observer 38% 42% 16% 4%
16 May Monmouth by-election
11 May ICM The Guardian 37% 43% 16% 6%
6 May Gallup The Daily Telegraph 38.5% 38% 18% 0.5%
2 May 1991 local elections[5]
29 Apr Audience Selection N/A 43% 38% 14% 5%
27 Apr NMR The Independent on Sunday 47% 37% 14% 10%
27 Apr ICM Daily Mail 39% 41% 14% 2%
26 Apr Harris Sunday Express 41% 41% 14% Tie
26 Apr Gallup The Sunday Telegraph 42% 39% 14% 3%
22 Apr MORI The Sunday Times 42% 40% 15% 2%
22 Apr NOP The Independent 41% 41% 13% Tie
18 Apr Harris The Observer 40% 40% 14% Tie
6 Apr ICM The Guardian 39% 43% 13% 4%
4 Apr Neath by-election
3 Apr ICM Daily Express 38% 40% 19% 2%
30 Mar Gallup The Daily Telegraph 39.5% 34.5% 18% 5%
25 Mar MORI The Sunday Times 40% 40% 16% Tie
24 Mar ICM Daily Mail 41% 40% 15% 1%
22 Mar MORI Sunday Express 38% 44% 15% 6%
21 Mar ICM Daily Express 37% 40% 14% 3%
14 Mar Harris The Observer 40% 39% 17% 1%
12 Mar Audience Selection N/A 44% 32% 19% 12%
11 Mar NOP The Independent 38% 39% 18% 1%
9 Mar ICM The Guardian 39% 40% 16% 1%
8 Mar MORI Sunday Express 41% 37% 16% 4%
7 Mar Ribble Valley by-election
5 Mar NOP N/A 43% 38% 11% 5%
4 Mar Harris The Observer 47% 39% 9% 8%
1 Mar Gallup The Daily Telegraph 45% 36.5% 13% 8.5%
25 Feb MORI The Sunday Times 44% 41% 11% 3%
23 Feb ICM Daily Mail 44% 43% 9% 1%
16 Feb NMR The Independent on Sunday 47% 40% 8% 7%
14 Feb Harris The Observer 46% 42% 8% 4%
13 Feb NOP The Independent 45% 42% 9% 3%
9 Feb ICM The Guardian 44% 42% 9% 2%
4 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 42% 42.5% 10% 0.5%
4 Feb Audience Selection N/A 46% 39% 8% 7%
3 Feb Harris The Observer 47% 39% 9% 8%
28 Jan Audience Selection N/A 51% 34% 8% 17%
21 Jan MORI The Sunday Times 46% 41% 9% 5%
17 Jan Harris The Observer 46% 41% 9% 5%
14 Jan NOP The Independent 43% 44% 8% 1%
12 Jan ICM The Guardian 43% 43% 10% Tie
11 Jan Harris ITN 47% 41% 7% 6%
10 Jan MORI The Times 44% 42% 11% 2%
7 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 43% 41.5% 10% 1.5%
6 Jan Audience Selection N/A 39% 43% 11% 4%

1990

Survey
end date
Pollster Client Con Lab Lib Dem SDP Lead
28 Dec MORI The Sunday Times 41% 45% 9% 4%
13 Dec Harris The Observer 44% 40% 10% 4%
10 Dec Gallup The Daily Telegraph 43% 40.5% 10.5% 2.5%
10 Dec NOP The Independent 47% 42% 7% 5%
8 Dec ICM The Guardian 45% 43% 9% 2%
3 Dec Audience Selection N/A 49% 36% 9% 13%
1 Dec NMR The Independent on Sunday 48% 40% 8% 8%
29 Nov Paisley North & Paisley South by-elections
28 Nov Harris ITN 49% 38% 9% 11%
27 Nov John Major is elected leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister[6]
26 Nov Audience Selection N/A 44% 37% 12% 7%
26 Nov Gallup The Daily Telegraph 44% 41% 10% 3%
26 Nov NOP The Independent 49% 38% 9% 11%
23 Nov Gallup The Sunday Telegraph 43% 41.5% 11% 1.5%
23 Nov ICM The Sunday Correspondent 46% 40% 10% 6%
22 Nov Margaret Thatcher resigns as Prime Minister[7]
19 Nov MORI The Sunday Times 38% 46% 12% 8%
19 Nov Gallup The Daily Telegraph 36% 44.5% 10.5% 8.5%
19 Nov NOP The Independent 40% 45% 11% 5%
18 Nov Gallup The Sunday Telegraph 35% 48% 11% 13%
17 Nov NMR The Independent on Sunday 42% 44% 11% 2%
16 Nov MORI The Sunday Times 37% 48% 11% 11%
16 Nov ICM The Sunday Correspondent 37% 49% 9% 12%
15 Nov Harris ITN 34% 49% 13% 15%
15 Nov Harris The Observer 34% 49% 13% 15%
15 Nov MORI The Times 41% 45% 10% 4%
14 Nov NOP The Independent 32% 46% 15% 14%
10 Nov ICM The Guardian 33% 49% 13% 16%
8 Nov Bootle & Bradford North by-elections
3 Nov NMR The Independent on Sunday 32% 49% 13% 17%
3 Nov NOP The Mail on Sunday 30% 51% 12% 21%
29 Oct Audience Selection N/A 36% 40% 13% 4%
29 Oct Gallup The Daily Telegraph 31.5% 46% 15.5% 14.5%
28 Oct Harris The Observer 32% 48% 14% 16%
27 Oct ICM The Sunday Correspondent 34% 44% 14% 10%
22 Oct MORI The Sunday Times 33% 49% 14% 16%
22 Oct NOP The Independent 35% 45% 15% 10%
18 Oct Eastbourne by-election
13 Oct ICM The Guardian 36% 49% 9% 13%
1 Oct Gallup The Sunday Telegraph 31.5% 46% 14% 14.5%
29 Sep NMR The Independent on Sunday 33% 52% 10% 19%
27 Sep Knowsley South by-election
24 Sep MORI The Sunday Times 38% 45% 12% 7%
24 Sep NOP The Independent 39% 44% 12% 5%
22 Sep ICM The Sunday Correspondent 35% 44% 12% 9%
20 Sep Harris The Observer 38% 46% 10% 8%
8 Sep ICM The Guardian 37% 50% 8% 13%
8 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 31.5% 46% 14% 14.5%
3 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 35.5% 48% 8.5% 12.5%
3 Sep Audience Selection N/A 38% 45% 6% 7%
1 Sep Audience Selection N/A 32% 45% 15% 13%
25 Aug ICM The Sunday Correspondent 37% 51% 6% 14%
23 Aug Harris The Observer 38% 46% 10% 8%
20 Aug MORI The Sunday Times 35% 50% 10% 15%
13 Aug NOP The Independent 36% 48% 7% 12%
11 Aug ICM The Guardian 38% 49% 9% 11%
30 Jul Audience Selection N/A 35% 46% 9% 11%
30 Jul Gallup The Daily Telegraph 33.5% 48% 11.5% 14.5%
23 Jul MORI The Sunday Times 38% 46% 10% 8%
21 Jul ICM The Sunday Correspondent 36% 52% 7% 16%
19 Jul Harris The Observer 37% 49% 7% 12%
16 Jul NOP The Independent 37% 50% 7% 13%
7 Jul ICM The Guardian 35% 51% 8% 16%
2 Jul Gallup The Daily Telegraph 36% 47% 9% 11%
2 Jul Audience Selection N/A 39% 44% 7% 5%
23 Jun ICM The Sunday Correspondent 36% 53% 5% 17%
21 Jun Harris The Observer 37% 48% 8% 11%
18 Jun NOP The Independent 37% 48% 8% 11%
18 Jun MORI The Sunday Times 38% 49% 8% 11%
9 Jun ICM The Guardian 35% 54% 5% 19%
8 Jun NMR The Independent on Sunday 36% 49% 9% 13%
4 Jun Gallup The Daily Telegraph 29.5% 53% 7.5% 2.5% 23.5%
28 May Audience Selection N/A 37% 47% 5% 3% 10%
26 May ICM The Sunday Correspondent 36% 50% 5% 1% 14%
24 May Harris The Observer 32% 50% 9% 1% 18%
24 May Bootle by-election
21 May NOP The Independent 34% 49% 8% 2% 15%
21 May MORI The Sunday Times 35% 48% 8% 4% 13%
17 May Upper Bann by-election
12 May ICM The Guardian 32% 50% 8% 4% 18%
4 May NOP The Mail on Sunday 34% 47% 8% 3% 13%
3 May 1990 local elections[8]
30 Apr Audience Selection N/A 32% 49% 6% 4% 17%
30 Apr Gallup The Daily Telegraph 32% 47% 7.5% 4% 15%
28 Apr NOP The Independent on Sunday 31% 51% 7% 3% 20%
28 Apr ICM The Sunday Correspondent 30% 53% 8% 2% 23%
24 Apr MORI The Sunday Times 31% 54% 6% 3% 23%
22 Apr NOP The Independent 29% 54% 7% 3% 25%
19 Apr Harris The Observer 32% 54% 7% 1% 22%
7 Apr NMR The Independent on Sunday 30% 54% 5% 4% 24%
7 Apr ICM The Guardian 32% 56% 4% 2% 24%
6 Apr ICM N/A 32% 54% 5% 2% 22%
2 Apr Gallup The Daily Telegraph 28% 52.5% 7.5% 3.5% 24.5%
26 Mar Audience Selection N/A 30% 51% 6% 3% 21%
24 Mar NOP The Independent on Sunday 33% 52% 6% 3% 19%
23 Mar ICM N/A 28% 55% 7% 2% 27%
22 Mar Harris The Observer 29% 57% 6% 3% 28%
22 Mar Mid Staffordshire by-election
20 Mar MORI The Sunday Times 31% 54% 6% 2% 23%
12 Mar NOP The Independent 33% 51% 6% 3% 18%
10 Mar ICM The Guardian 31% 52% 5% 4% 21%
26 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 31% 49.5% 7% 3.5% 18.5%
26 Feb Audience Selection N/A 34% 46% 7% 3% 12%
24 Feb ICM N/A 33% 52% 6% 3% 19%
22 Feb Harris The Observer 36% 48% 8% 2% 12%
19 Feb MORI The Sunday Times 34% 51% 5% 4% 17%
12 Feb NOP The Independent 36% 48% 6% 3% 12%
10 Feb ICM The Guardian 36% 51% 5% 3% 15%
29 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 32.5% 48% 8% 3% 15.5%
29 Jan Audience Selection N/A 38% 47% 5% 4% 9%
27 Jan ICM N/A 37% 48% 4% 3% 11%
25 Jan Harris The Observer 36% 49% 6% 2% 13%
22 Jan MORI The Sunday Times 36% 48% 5% 3% 12%
18 Jan Harris The Observer 37% 48% 6% 3% 11%
15 Jan NOP The Independent 40% 44% 7% 4%
13 Jan ICM The Guardian 38% 47% 5% 3% 9%
8 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 35% 45.5% 7.5% 3.5% 10.5%

1989

Survey
end date
Pollster Client Con Lab Lib Dem SDP Lead
28 Dec MORI The Sunday Times 39% 46% 6% 3% 7%
18 Dec Audience Selection N/A 40% 42% 6% 4% 2%
17 Dec ICM The Sunday Correspondent 38% 49% 4% 3% 11%
14 Dec Harris The Observer 39% 46% 6% 1% 7%
8 Dec ICM The Guardian 37% 49% 4% 3% 12%
4 Dec NOP N/A 38% 45% 7% 7%
4 Dec Gallup The Daily Telegraph 37.5% 43.5% 9% 3% 6%
27 Nov MORI N/A 42% 46% 5% 3% 4%
27 Nov Audience Selection N/A 37% 44% 4% 3% 7%
26 Nov MORI The Sunday Times 37% 51% 4% 3% 14%
25 Nov ICM The Sunday Correspondent 38% 48% 3% 4% 10%
23 Nov Harris The Observer 36% 47% 9% 1% 11%
13 Nov NOP N/A 34% 46% 9% 12%
11 Nov ICM The Guardian 36% 49% 6% 3% 13%
31 Oct Harris BBC 37% 50% 6% 2% 13%
30 Oct Audience Selection N/A 33% 50% 4% 2% 17%
30 Oct Gallup The Daily Telegraph 35% 44% 8% 2.5% 9%
29 Oct MORI The Sunday Times 39% 46% 0% 7%
28 Oct NOP The Mail on Sunday 41% 47% 6% 6%
23 Oct MORI The Sunday Times 38% 48% 5% 3% 10%
21 Oct ICM The Sunday Correspondent 35% 50% 4% 3% 15%
19 Oct Harris The Observer 38% 48% 6% 1% 10%
9 Oct Gallup The Daily Telegraph 38% 47.5% 4.5% 2.5% 9.5%
7 Oct ICM The Guardian 39% 49% 4% 2% 10%
5 Oct Harris The Observer 38% 49% 5% 2% 11%
4 Oct NOP Evening Standard 37% 46% 5% 9%
3 Oct ICM Press Association 37% 45% 4% 3% 8%
3 Oct Audience Selection N/A 37% 39% 6% 3% 2%
2 Oct Gallup The Daily Telegraph 35% 41.5% 8.5% 5% 6.5%
28 Sep Harris The Observer 38% 45% 5% 3% 7%
26 Sep MORI The Sunday Times 38% 43% 6% 3% 5%
25 Sep Gallup The Sunday Telegraph 36.5% 42% 7.5% 2% 5.5%
25 Sep NOP The Mail on Sunday 34% 46% 7% 12%
23 Sep ICM The Sunday Correspondent 39% 45% 4% 2% 6%
20 Sep Harris The Observer 39% 42% 6% 3% 3%
14 Sep Harris The Observer 37% 45% 6% 3% 8%
9 Sep ICM The Guardian 36% 46% 7% 4% 10%
4 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 36.5% 43% 6.5% 3% 6.5%
4 Sep NOP The Independent 38% 40% 8% 2% 4%
28 Aug Audience Selection N/A 37% 42% 5% 4% 5%
26 Aug ICM The Sunday Correspondent 38% 46% 6% 3% 8%
24 Aug Harris The Observer 37% 45% 7% 2% 8%
21 Aug NOP N/A 40% 41% 7% 1% 1%
21 Aug MORI The Sunday Times 40% 45% 4% 3% 5%
12 Aug ICM The Guardian 36% 44% 6% 3% 8%
31 Jul Audience Selection N/A 38% 41% 4% 5% 3%
26 Jul MORI The Sunday Times 36% 45% 4% 4% 9%
20 Jul Harris The Observer 37% 44% 6% 3% 7%
10 Jul NOP N/A 36% 42% 7% 2% 6%
8 Jul ICM The Guardian 38% 42% 5% 4% 4%
7 Jul Gallup The Daily Telegraph 34% 44.5% 5.5% 4.5% 10.5%
3 Jul Gallup The Daily Telegraph 34% 47% 6% 3.5% 13%
3 Jul Audience Selection N/A 35% 43% 4% 3% 8%
27 Jun MORI The Sunday Times 37% 47% 4% 3% 10%
22 Jun Harris The Observer 34% 48% 6% 2% 14%
15 Jun Glasgow Central & Vauxhall by-elections
15 Jun 1989 European Parliament election[9]
12 Jun NOP N/A 40% 42% 8% 4% 2%
10 Jun ICM The Guardian 38% 42% 8% 4% 4%
10 Jun MORI The Times 39% 44% 7% 4% 5%
5 Jun Gallup The Daily Telegraph 36.5% 43.5% 8% 3% 7%
29 May Audience Selection N/A 41% 45% 6% 4% 4%
23 May Harris The Observer 46% 41% 7% 2% 5%
22 May NOP N/A 42% 41% 8% 3% 1%
22 May MORI The Sunday Times 41% 43% 7% 4% 2%
17 May 1989 Northern Ireland local elections
13 May ICM The Guardian 43% 43% 8% 3% Tie
4 May Vale of Glamorgan by-election[10]
4 May 1989 local elections[11]
1 May Gallup The Daily Telegraph 40.5% 37.5% 10% 7% 3%
30 Apr Audience Selection N/A 42% 38% 7% 9% 4%
24 Apr NOP N/A 43% 37% 9% 4% 6%
24 Apr MORI The Sunday Times 41% 41% 9% 6% Tie
20 Apr Harris The Observer 42% 39% 11% 4% 3%
8 Apr ICM The Guardian 44% 40% 7% 6% 4%
3 Apr Gallup The Daily Telegraph 37.5% 40% 10% 8% 2.5%
27 Mar MORI The Times 43% 39% 8% 6% 4%
23 Mar Harris The Observer 41% 41% 9% 3% Tie
20 Mar NOP N/A 42% 37% 0% 5%
19 Mar MORI The Sunday Times 41% 40% 9% 6% 1%
19 Mar MORI The Sunday Times 44% 40% 6% 6% 4%
13 Mar ICM The Guardian 41% 39% 8% 7% 2%
5 Mar MORI BBC 41% 37% 9% 4% 4%
28 Feb MORI N/A 42% 41% 8% 4% 1%
28 Feb MORI The Sunday Times 42% 39% 9% 7% 3%
27 Feb Audience Selection N/A 44% 35% 7% 11% 9%
27 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 37.5% 37.5% 11.5% 8.5% Tie
23 Feb Harris The Observer 41% 42% 10% 3% 1%
23 Feb Pontypridd & Richmond by-elections
20 Feb NOP N/A 41% 37% 11% 4% 4%
20 Feb Gallup The Sunday Telegraph 39% 39% 11% 5% Tie
13 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 40.5% 39% 11.5% 4.5% 1.5%
11 Feb ICM The Guardian 42% 39% 7% 7% 3%
30 Jan MORI The Sunday Times 47% 36% 8% 5% 11%
30 Jan Audience Selection N/A 44% 39% 8% 5% 5%
29 Jan Harris BBC 50% 37% 6% 13%
23 Jan NOP N/A 46% 34% 10% 3% 12%
19 Jan Harris The Observer 47% 37% 10% 4% 10%
16 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 42.5% 34% 14% 5.5% 8.5%
16 Jan ICM The Guardian 44% 40% 8% 4% 4%
15 Jan Harris/Channel 4 N/A 44% 41% 10% 3%

1988

Survey
end date
Pollster Client Con Lab SLD SDP Lead
31 Dec Audience Selection N/A 45% 37% 8% 6% 8%
29 Dec MORI The Sunday Times 46% 36% 6% 7% 10%
15 Dec Epping Forest by-election
12 Dec Gallup The Daily Telegraph 43% 32% 13% 6.5% 11%
6 Dec Marplan The Guardian 45% 39% 8% 4% 6%
2 Dec NOP N/A 41% 36% 11% 4% 5%
30 Nov MORI The Sunday Times 45% 37% 8% 6% 8%
30 Nov MORI N/A 44% 39% 8% 6% 5%
28 Nov Audience Selection N/A 40% 39% 9% 6% 1%
24 Nov Harris The Observer 44% 39% 9% 3% 5%
14 Nov Gallup The Daily Telegraph 42.5% 36% 12.5% 4.5% 6.5%
10 Nov Glasgow Govan by-election
7 Nov NOP N/A 45% 36% 10% 4% 9%
7 Nov Marplan The Guardian 42% 42% 8% 5% Tie
31 Oct MORI The Sunday Times 44% 39% 8% 6% 5%
31 Oct Audience Selection N/A 46% 35% 7% 6% 11%
24 Oct Gallup The Daily Telegraph 45.5% 34% 12.5% 5% 11.5%
20 Oct Harris The Observer 49% 40% 7% 2% 9%
12 Oct NOP N/A 46% 36% 9% 4% 10%
11 Oct Marplan N/A 45% 40% 8% 2% 5%
11 Oct Marplan The Guardian 44% 40% 7% 5% 4%
10 Oct MORI N/A 46% 39% 8% 4% 7%
29 Sep Harris TV-AM 48% 36% 11% 2% 12%
26 Sep MORI The Sunday Times 44% 39% 8% 6% 5%
22 Sep Harris The Observer 47% 38% 8% 5% 9%
14 Sep Marplan The Guardian 44% 42% 9% 3% 2%
14 Sep NOP N/A 46% 38% 8% 3% 8%
12 Sep Audience Selection N/A 42% 40% 8% 6% 2%
12 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 43% 36.5% 12.5% 5% 6.5%
22 Aug MORI The Sunday Times 50% 36% 8% 4% 14%
15 Aug Gallup The Daily Telegraph 45.5% 33.5% 10.5% 6.5% 12.5%
9 Aug Marplan The Guardian 45% 41% 7% 4% 4%
29 Jul Paddy Ashdown is elected leader of the Social and Liberal Democrats[12][13]
25 Jul NOP N/A 46% 36% 10% 4% 10%
25 Jul MORI The Sunday Times 46% 41% 8% 4% 5%
21 Jul Harris The Observer 46% 41% 9% 3% 5%
18 Jul Gallup The Daily Telegraph 41.5% 39% 9% 7% 2.5%
14 Jul Kensington by-election
12 Jul Marplan The Guardian 45% 43% 6% 4% 2%
11 Jul MORI N/A 48% 38% 7% 5% 10%
3 Jul Harris TV-AM 47% 38% 9% 3% 9%
28 Jun MORI The Sunday Times 48% 38% 7% 5% 10%
28 Jun Audience Selection N/A 45% 38% 8% 5% 7%
27 Jun NOP N/A 49% 34% 10% 4% 15%
23 Jun Harris The Observer 48% 36% 9% 3% 12%
13 Jun Gallup The Daily Telegraph 42% 43% 7% 4% 1%
11 Jun MORI N/A 47% 40% 7% 4% 7%
7 Jun Marplan The Guardian 47% 42% 5% 3% 5%
4 Jun Harris TV-AM 43% 40% 12% 2% 3%
1 Jun MORI The Sunday Times 44% 40% 7% 6% 4%
29 May Audience Selection N/A 40% 43% 6% 8% 3%
23 May NOP N/A 47% 37% 8% 4% 10%
19 May Harris The Observer 44% 41% 10% 2% 3%
16 May Gallup The Daily Telegraph 45% 36% 8.5% 6% 9%
10 May Marplan The Guardian 44% 42% 7% 4% 1%
5 May 1988 local elections[14]
2 May Harris TV-AM 43% 38% 11% 5%
26 Apr MORI The Sunday Times 44% 42% 6% 5% 1%
21 Apr Harris The Observer 44% 39% 10% 5% 5%
18 Apr Gallup The Daily Telegraph 40.5% 41.5% 11% 4% 1%
12 Apr Marplan The Guardian 43% 42% 8% 5% 1%
11 Apr NOP N/A 45% 36% 15% 9%
28 Mar MORI The Sunday Times 46% 37% 8% 6% 9%
24 Mar Harris The Observer 46% 39% 11% 1% 7%
21 Mar Gallup The Daily Telegraph 42% 36.5% 13% 6.5% 5.5%
20 Mar MORI N/A 46% 39% 6% 7% 7%
13 Mar Audience Selection N/A 45% 40% 11% 5%
8 Mar Marplan The Guardian 43% 42% 14% 1%
3 Mar The Liberal Party and the SDP merge to form the Social and Liberal Democrats[15]
3 Mar Harris The Observer 47% 36% 12% 2% 11%
1 Mar MORI The Sunday Times 46% 38% 14% 8%
29 Feb Harris N/A 44% 43% 12% 1%
15 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 46% 36% 15% 10%
14 Feb Audience Selection N/A 45% 41% 11% 4%
9 Feb Marplan The Guardian 45% 41% 8% 4% 4%
8 Feb NOP N/A 45% 37% 14% 8%
26 Jan MORI The Sunday Times 50% 36% 12% 14%
18 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 45.5% 37% 15% 7.5%
11 Jan NOP N/A 47% 35% 16% 12%
11 Jan Marplan The Guardian 42% 40% 17% 2%

1987

Survey
end date
Pollster Client Con Lab All Lead
30 Dec MORI The Sunday Times 48% 36% 15% 12%
14 Dec NOP N/A 47% 35% 15% 12%
8 Dec Marplan The Guardian 47% 37% 13% 10%
7 Dec Gallup The Daily Telegraph 46.5% 34.5% 16% 12%
30 Nov NOP N/A 49% 34% 15% 15%
25 Nov MORI The Sunday Times 50% 38% 11% 12%
16 Nov Gallup The Daily Telegraph 46.5% 33% 17% 13.5%
3 Nov NOP N/A 45% 36% 15% 9%
26 Oct MORI The Sunday Times 47% 37% 14% 10%
19 Oct Gallup The Daily Telegraph 52% 31.5% 13.5% 20.5%
19 Oct MORI N/A 50% 34% 14% 16%
13 Oct Marplan The Guardian 45% 39% 13% 6%
30 Sep MORI The Sunday Times 49% 36% 12% 13%
28 Sep NOP N/A 50% 34% 13% 16%
21 Sep Gallup The Sunday Telegraph 48% 35.5% 14% 12.5%
20 Sep Harris The Observer 47% 35% 16% 12%
7 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 44% 33% 20% 11%
3 Sep NOP N/A 49% 33% 16% 16%
26 Aug MORI The Sunday Times 48% 36% 14% 12%
24 Aug NOP N/A 48% 33% 17% 15%
17 Aug Gallup The Daily Telegraph 45.5% 35.5% 17.5% 10%
28 Jul MORI The Sunday Times 49% 33% 17% 16%
16 Jul Harris The Observer 48% 33% 17% 15%
13 Jul Gallup The Daily Telegraph 44.5% 33% 20.5% 11.5%
2 Jul Harris TV-AM 42% 36% 20% 6%
1 Jul MORI The Sunday Times 49% 31% 17% 18%
29 Jun NOP N/A 42% 33% 23% 9%
11 Jun 1987 general election 43.3% 31.5% 23.1% 11.8%

References

  1. ^ Heath, Anthony; Jowell, Roger; Curtice, John (29 May 1994). "How did Labour lose in '92?: The most authoritative study of the last general election is published tomorrow. Here, its authors present their conclusions and explode the myths about the greatest upset since 1945". The Independent. Archived from the original on 24 May 2022. Retrieved 24 March 2016.
  2. ^ Firth, David. "Exit polling explained". University of Warwick, Statistics Department.
  3. ^ "UK Polling Report". ukpollingreport.co.uk. Retrieved 26 November 2017.
  4. ^ "General Election Results, 1992" (PDF).
  5. ^ Timmins, Nicholas; Wolmar, Christian (3 May 1991). "Tory council losses rule out June election". The Independent. p. 1.
  6. ^ White, Michael (28 November 1990). "Major: we unite to win". The Guardian. p. 1.
  7. ^ "Margaret Thatcher resigns".
  8. ^ Timmins, Nicholas; Wolmar, Christian (4 May 1990). "Labour Sweeps to local poll gains". The Independent. p. 1.
  9. ^ Bevins, Anthony; Hughes, Colin (19 June 1989). "Labour triumphs in European poll". The Independent. p. 1.
  10. ^ Brown, Colin; Hughes, Colin (6 May 1989). "Labour Victory sends warning to Thatcher". The Independent. p. 1.
  11. ^ Travis, Alan (5 May 1989). "Polls boost Labour's prospects". The Guardian. p. 1.
  12. ^ Naughtie, James (29 July 2013). "From the archive, 29 July 1988: Paddy Ashdown elected leader of the Social and Liberal Democrats". The Guardian. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
  13. ^ Bevins, Anthony (29 July 1988). "Victorious Ashdown seeks to replace Labour". The Independent. p. 1.
  14. ^ Hughes, Colin (6 May 1988). "Labour makes strong gains in local elections". The Independent. p. 1.
  15. ^ Bevins, Anthony (3 March 1988). "Steel dismisses Owen 'splinter'". The Guardian. p. 6.

opinion, polling, 1992, united, kingdom, general, election, 1992, general, election, various, organisations, carried, opinion, polling, gauge, voting, intention, united, kingdom, results, such, polls, displayed, this, article, date, range, these, opinion, poll. In the run up to the 1992 general election various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in the United Kingdom Results of such polls are displayed in this article The date range for these opinion polls are from the election to 8 April Almost every poll leading up to polling day predicted either a hung parliament with Labour the largest party or a small Labour majority of around 19 to 23 Polls on the last few days before the country voted predicted a very slim Labour majority 1 After the polls closed the BBC and ITV exit polls still predicted that there would be a hung parliament and that the Conservatives would only just get more seats than Labour 2 With opinion polls at the end of the campaign showing Labour and the Conservatives neck and neck the actual election result a small Conservative majority was a surprise to many in the media and in polling organisations The apparent failure of the opinion polls to come close to predicting the actual result led to an inquiry by the Market Research Society Following the election most opinion polling companies changed their methodology in the belief that a Shy Tory factor affected the polling Contents 1 Graphical summary 2 Results 2 1 1992 2 2 1991 2 3 1990 2 4 1989 2 5 1988 2 6 1987 3 ReferencesGraphical summary Edit UK opinion polling for the election trendline is local regression Conservative Labour Liberal SDP Alliance Liberal Democrats SDPResults EditAll data is from UK Polling Report 3 1992 Edit Surveyend date Pollster Client Con Lab Lib Dem Lead9 Apr 1992 general election 4 42 8 35 2 18 3 7 6 8 Apr NOP The Independent 39 42 17 3 8 Apr Gallup The Daily Telegraph 38 5 38 20 0 5 8 Apr MORI The Times 38 39 20 1 7 Apr ICM The Guardian 38 38 20 Tie7 Apr Harris ITN 38 40 18 2 6 Apr MORI YTV 37 40 20 3 4 Apr Harris Daily Express 37 38 21 1 4 Apr Harris The Observer 38 40 17 2 3 Apr NOP The Mail on Sunday 35 41 20 6 3 Apr MORI The Sunday Times 37 39 21 2 3 Apr Gallup The Sunday Telegraph 37 5 37 5 21 Tie3 Apr NOP The Independent on Sunday 38 41 17 3 3 Apr ICM Press Association 36 2 38 7 20 4 2 5 1 Apr ICM Sunday Express 37 39 19 2 1 Apr Gallup The Daily Telegraph 38 37 5 20 5 0 5 31 Mar NOP The Independent 37 39 19 2 31 Mar Neilsen N A 39 8 39 6 17 2 0 2 31 Mar Harris ITN 35 41 19 6 30 Mar ICM The Guardian 37 41 18 4 30 Mar Harris Daily Express 40 39 17 1 29 Mar MORI The Times 35 42 19 7 28 Mar Audience Selection N A 37 39 19 2 28 Mar NOP The Independent on Sunday 39 40 16 1 27 Mar NOP The Mail on Sunday 37 41 18 4 27 Mar MORI The Sunday Times 38 40 20 2 27 Mar Harris The Observer 40 38 17 2 25 Mar ICM Sunday Express 36 38 20 2 25 Mar NOP The Independent 39 42 14 3 24 Mar Gallup The Daily Telegraph 40 40 5 16 5 0 5 24 Mar MORI N A 38 41 17 3 24 Mar ICM The Guardian 39 40 17 1 23 Mar NMR EUR 38 39 19 1 23 Mar Harris Daily Express 43 38 15 5 23 Mar Harris ITN 38 42 16 4 21 Mar MORI The Times 38 41 17 3 21 Mar NOP The Independent on Sunday 38 40 16 2 20 Mar NOP The Mail on Sunday 39 41 15 2 20 Mar MORI The Sunday Times 38 41 19 3 20 Mar Harris The Observer 40 39 17 1 18 Mar ICM Sunday Express 37 42 16 5 18 Mar Gallup The Daily Telegraph 40 5 38 5 18 2 17 Mar NOP The Independent 38 42 17 4 16 Mar ICM The Guardian 38 43 16 5 16 Mar Harris Daily Express 41 38 17 3 13 Mar MORI The Times 38 43 16 5 13 Mar Harris Daily Express 39 40 16 1 13 Mar Harris London Weekend Television 37 41 17 4 13 Mar MORI The Sunday Times 40 39 16 1 13 Mar NOP The Independent on Sunday 40 41 14 1 12 Mar ICM Sunday Express 39 40 16 1 12 Mar MORI The Times 38 41 16 3 12 Mar Harris The Observer 40 43 12 3 11 Mar Gallup N A 41 38 5 15 2 5 10 Mar NOP The Mail on Sunday 41 40 15 1 7 Mar Gallup The Daily Telegraph 37 38 20 1 7 Mar NOP The Mail on Sunday 38 41 16 3 6 Mar ICM The Guardian 39 42 15 3 2 Mar Harris The Observer 39 40 14 1 25 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 38 5 38 5 18 5 Tie25 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 37 37 5 20 0 5 23 Feb MORI The Sunday Times 39 40 18 1 22 Feb Audience Selection N A 36 38 18 2 18 Feb ICM Daily Mail 38 41 17 3 17 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 39 37 19 2 14 Feb NOP The Independent 38 42 15 4 13 Feb ICM Sunday Express 40 39 16 1 11 Feb Harris The Observer 39 40 15 1 8 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 40 37 5 17 5 2 5 7 Feb ICM The Guardian 40 40 16 Tie6 Feb NOP The Independent on Sunday 38 42 15 4 3 Feb Harris Daily Express 39 40 17 1 28 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 42 5 37 5 14 5 26 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 38 39 5 17 5 1 5 25 Jan Audience Selection N A 40 40 15 Tie23 Jan ICM Daily Mail 41 40 13 1 21 Jan Harris Daily Express 41 40 14 1 21 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 40 38 16 5 2 17 Jan MORI The Sunday Times 42 39 16 3 16 Jan ICM Sunday Express 41 42 14 1 13 Jan Harris The Observer 42 43 13 1 13 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 42 37 5 16 4 5 11 Jan NOP The Independent 40 43 13 3 8 Jan ICM The Guardian 42 41 12 1 8 Jan NOP The Independent on Sunday 40 45 12 5 1991 Edit Surveyend date Pollster Client Con Lab Lib Dem Lead27 Dec MORI The Sunday Times 38 44 14 6 15 Dec Gallup The Sunday Telegraph 42 41 5 13 0 5 13 Dec NOP The Independent on Sunday 41 40 14 1 7 Dec ICM The Guardian 39 42 14 3 5 Dec MORI The Times 40 43 12 3 2 Dec Gallup The Daily Telegraph 39 5 37 19 2 5 2 Dec Audience Selection N A 39 40 16 1 25 Nov MORI The Sunday Times 40 42 15 2 25 Nov NOP The Independent 40 41 15 1 23 Nov MORI The Sunday Times 41 43 13 2 23 Nov ICM Daily Mail 39 41 16 2 14 Nov Harris The Observer 39 44 13 5 9 Nov ICM The Guardian 41 43 13 2 7 Nov Hemsworth Kincardine and Deeside and Langbaurgh by elections4 Nov Gallup The Daily Telegraph 36 44 15 5 8 1 Nov MORI The Sunday Times 42 41 13 1 28 Oct Audience Selection N A 37 42 16 5 27 Oct Harris The Observer 39 45 12 6 26 Oct ICM Daily Mail 40 42 13 2 21 Oct MORI The Sunday Times 39 45 12 6 21 Oct NOP The Independent 39 45 12 6 17 Oct Harris The Observer 39 46 12 7 12 Oct ICM The Guardian 41 43 12 2 5 Oct NOP The Independent on Sunday 39 46 13 7 4 Oct Gallup The Daily Telegraph 39 5 41 5 15 2 3 Oct ICM Press Association 40 42 13 2 30 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 42 38 15 4 30 Sep Audience Selection N A 41 37 14 4 28 Sep ICM Daily Mail 40 42 14 2 26 Sep Harris The Observer 40 41 13 1 26 Sep NOP The Mail on Sunday 40 39 16 1 24 Sep MORI The Sunday Times 39 39 17 Tie23 Sep Gallup The Sunday Telegraph 40 38 5 16 1 5 23 Sep NOP The Independent 39 42 14 3 20 Sep MORI N A 39 43 14 4 14 Sep ICM The Guardian 39 39 17 Tie13 Sep ICM Sunday Express 41 37 17 4 12 Sep Harris The Observer 43 38 16 5 7 Sep NOP The Independent on Sunday 41 39 15 2 2 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 39 5 35 19 5 4 5 27 Aug MORI The Sunday Times 42 40 14 2 24 Aug ICM Daily Mail 40 43 12 3 19 Aug NOP The Independent 38 44 12 6 15 Aug Harris The Observer 40 41 14 1 10 Aug ICM The Guardian 36 45 16 9 5 Aug Gallup The Daily Telegraph 36 41 16 5 5 1 Aug Audience Selection N A 39 40 15 1 29 Jul Audience Selection N A 35 43 15 8 24 Jul ICM Daily Express 38 44 13 6 22 Jul MORI N A 38 43 15 5 20 Jul ICM Daily Mail 37 44 16 7 18 Jul Harris The Observer 39 42 14 3 15 Jul NOP The Independent 39 43 13 4 6 Jul ICM The Guardian 37 43 16 6 4 Jul Liverpool Walton by election1 Jul Gallup The Daily Telegraph 37 40 5 17 3 5 27 Jun NOP The Mail on Sunday 41 42 13 1 24 Jun MORI N A 39 41 15 2 21 Jun ICM Daily Mail 35 44 17 9 21 Jun MORI Sunday Express 39 38 17 1 17 Jun NOP The Independent 37 45 14 8 13 Jun Harris The Observer 35 45 16 10 8 Jun ICM The Guardian 34 44 17 10 3 Jun Gallup The Daily Telegraph 33 5 41 5 21 8 2 Jun Harris TV AM 36 43 15 7 1 Jun NMR The Independent on Sunday 37 43 16 6 1 Jun Audience Selection N A 41 42 13 1 28 May MORI The Sunday Times 37 43 16 6 25 May ICM Daily Mail 37 41 16 4 20 May NOP The Independent 36 44 15 8 18 May Audience Selection N A 39 39 19 Tie16 May Harris The Observer 38 42 16 4 16 May Monmouth by election11 May ICM The Guardian 37 43 16 6 6 May Gallup The Daily Telegraph 38 5 38 18 0 5 2 May 1991 local elections 5 29 Apr Audience Selection N A 43 38 14 5 27 Apr NMR The Independent on Sunday 47 37 14 10 27 Apr ICM Daily Mail 39 41 14 2 26 Apr Harris Sunday Express 41 41 14 Tie26 Apr Gallup The Sunday Telegraph 42 39 14 3 22 Apr MORI The Sunday Times 42 40 15 2 22 Apr NOP The Independent 41 41 13 Tie18 Apr Harris The Observer 40 40 14 Tie6 Apr ICM The Guardian 39 43 13 4 4 Apr Neath by election3 Apr ICM Daily Express 38 40 19 2 30 Mar Gallup The Daily Telegraph 39 5 34 5 18 5 25 Mar MORI The Sunday Times 40 40 16 Tie24 Mar ICM Daily Mail 41 40 15 1 22 Mar MORI Sunday Express 38 44 15 6 21 Mar ICM Daily Express 37 40 14 3 14 Mar Harris The Observer 40 39 17 1 12 Mar Audience Selection N A 44 32 19 12 11 Mar NOP The Independent 38 39 18 1 9 Mar ICM The Guardian 39 40 16 1 8 Mar MORI Sunday Express 41 37 16 4 7 Mar Ribble Valley by election5 Mar NOP N A 43 38 11 5 4 Mar Harris The Observer 47 39 9 8 1 Mar Gallup The Daily Telegraph 45 36 5 13 8 5 25 Feb MORI The Sunday Times 44 41 11 3 23 Feb ICM Daily Mail 44 43 9 1 16 Feb NMR The Independent on Sunday 47 40 8 7 14 Feb Harris The Observer 46 42 8 4 13 Feb NOP The Independent 45 42 9 3 9 Feb ICM The Guardian 44 42 9 2 4 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 42 42 5 10 0 5 4 Feb Audience Selection N A 46 39 8 7 3 Feb Harris The Observer 47 39 9 8 28 Jan Audience Selection N A 51 34 8 17 21 Jan MORI The Sunday Times 46 41 9 5 17 Jan Harris The Observer 46 41 9 5 14 Jan NOP The Independent 43 44 8 1 12 Jan ICM The Guardian 43 43 10 Tie11 Jan Harris ITN 47 41 7 6 10 Jan MORI The Times 44 42 11 2 7 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 43 41 5 10 1 5 6 Jan Audience Selection N A 39 43 11 4 1990 Edit Surveyend date Pollster Client Con Lab Lib Dem SDP Lead28 Dec MORI The Sunday Times 41 45 9 4 13 Dec Harris The Observer 44 40 10 4 10 Dec Gallup The Daily Telegraph 43 40 5 10 5 2 5 10 Dec NOP The Independent 47 42 7 5 8 Dec ICM The Guardian 45 43 9 2 3 Dec Audience Selection N A 49 36 9 13 1 Dec NMR The Independent on Sunday 48 40 8 8 29 Nov Paisley North amp Paisley South by elections28 Nov Harris ITN 49 38 9 11 27 Nov John Major is elected leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister 6 26 Nov Audience Selection N A 44 37 12 7 26 Nov Gallup The Daily Telegraph 44 41 10 3 26 Nov NOP The Independent 49 38 9 11 23 Nov Gallup The Sunday Telegraph 43 41 5 11 1 5 23 Nov ICM The Sunday Correspondent 46 40 10 6 22 Nov Margaret Thatcher resigns as Prime Minister 7 19 Nov MORI The Sunday Times 38 46 12 8 19 Nov Gallup The Daily Telegraph 36 44 5 10 5 8 5 19 Nov NOP The Independent 40 45 11 5 18 Nov Gallup The Sunday Telegraph 35 48 11 13 17 Nov NMR The Independent on Sunday 42 44 11 2 16 Nov MORI The Sunday Times 37 48 11 11 16 Nov ICM The Sunday Correspondent 37 49 9 12 15 Nov Harris ITN 34 49 13 15 15 Nov Harris The Observer 34 49 13 15 15 Nov MORI The Times 41 45 10 4 14 Nov NOP The Independent 32 46 15 14 10 Nov ICM The Guardian 33 49 13 16 8 Nov Bootle amp Bradford North by elections3 Nov NMR The Independent on Sunday 32 49 13 17 3 Nov NOP The Mail on Sunday 30 51 12 21 29 Oct Audience Selection N A 36 40 13 4 29 Oct Gallup The Daily Telegraph 31 5 46 15 5 14 5 28 Oct Harris The Observer 32 48 14 16 27 Oct ICM The Sunday Correspondent 34 44 14 10 22 Oct MORI The Sunday Times 33 49 14 16 22 Oct NOP The Independent 35 45 15 10 18 Oct Eastbourne by election13 Oct ICM The Guardian 36 49 9 13 1 Oct Gallup The Sunday Telegraph 31 5 46 14 14 5 29 Sep NMR The Independent on Sunday 33 52 10 19 27 Sep Knowsley South by election24 Sep MORI The Sunday Times 38 45 12 7 24 Sep NOP The Independent 39 44 12 5 22 Sep ICM The Sunday Correspondent 35 44 12 9 20 Sep Harris The Observer 38 46 10 8 8 Sep ICM The Guardian 37 50 8 13 8 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 31 5 46 14 14 5 3 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 35 5 48 8 5 12 5 3 Sep Audience Selection N A 38 45 6 7 1 Sep Audience Selection N A 32 45 15 13 25 Aug ICM The Sunday Correspondent 37 51 6 14 23 Aug Harris The Observer 38 46 10 8 20 Aug MORI The Sunday Times 35 50 10 15 13 Aug NOP The Independent 36 48 7 12 11 Aug ICM The Guardian 38 49 9 11 30 Jul Audience Selection N A 35 46 9 11 30 Jul Gallup The Daily Telegraph 33 5 48 11 5 14 5 23 Jul MORI The Sunday Times 38 46 10 8 21 Jul ICM The Sunday Correspondent 36 52 7 16 19 Jul Harris The Observer 37 49 7 12 16 Jul NOP The Independent 37 50 7 13 7 Jul ICM The Guardian 35 51 8 16 2 Jul Gallup The Daily Telegraph 36 47 9 11 2 Jul Audience Selection N A 39 44 7 5 23 Jun ICM The Sunday Correspondent 36 53 5 17 21 Jun Harris The Observer 37 48 8 11 18 Jun NOP The Independent 37 48 8 11 18 Jun MORI The Sunday Times 38 49 8 11 9 Jun ICM The Guardian 35 54 5 19 8 Jun NMR The Independent on Sunday 36 49 9 13 4 Jun Gallup The Daily Telegraph 29 5 53 7 5 2 5 23 5 28 May Audience Selection N A 37 47 5 3 10 26 May ICM The Sunday Correspondent 36 50 5 1 14 24 May Harris The Observer 32 50 9 1 18 24 May Bootle by election21 May NOP The Independent 34 49 8 2 15 21 May MORI The Sunday Times 35 48 8 4 13 17 May Upper Bann by election12 May ICM The Guardian 32 50 8 4 18 4 May NOP The Mail on Sunday 34 47 8 3 13 3 May 1990 local elections 8 30 Apr Audience Selection N A 32 49 6 4 17 30 Apr Gallup The Daily Telegraph 32 47 7 5 4 15 28 Apr NOP The Independent on Sunday 31 51 7 3 20 28 Apr ICM The Sunday Correspondent 30 53 8 2 23 24 Apr MORI The Sunday Times 31 54 6 3 23 22 Apr NOP The Independent 29 54 7 3 25 19 Apr Harris The Observer 32 54 7 1 22 7 Apr NMR The Independent on Sunday 30 54 5 4 24 7 Apr ICM The Guardian 32 56 4 2 24 6 Apr ICM N A 32 54 5 2 22 2 Apr Gallup The Daily Telegraph 28 52 5 7 5 3 5 24 5 26 Mar Audience Selection N A 30 51 6 3 21 24 Mar NOP The Independent on Sunday 33 52 6 3 19 23 Mar ICM N A 28 55 7 2 27 22 Mar Harris The Observer 29 57 6 3 28 22 Mar Mid Staffordshire by election20 Mar MORI The Sunday Times 31 54 6 2 23 12 Mar NOP The Independent 33 51 6 3 18 10 Mar ICM The Guardian 31 52 5 4 21 26 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 31 49 5 7 3 5 18 5 26 Feb Audience Selection N A 34 46 7 3 12 24 Feb ICM N A 33 52 6 3 19 22 Feb Harris The Observer 36 48 8 2 12 19 Feb MORI The Sunday Times 34 51 5 4 17 12 Feb NOP The Independent 36 48 6 3 12 10 Feb ICM The Guardian 36 51 5 3 15 29 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 32 5 48 8 3 15 5 29 Jan Audience Selection N A 38 47 5 4 9 27 Jan ICM N A 37 48 4 3 11 25 Jan Harris The Observer 36 49 6 2 13 22 Jan MORI The Sunday Times 36 48 5 3 12 18 Jan Harris The Observer 37 48 6 3 11 15 Jan NOP The Independent 40 44 7 4 13 Jan ICM The Guardian 38 47 5 3 9 8 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 35 45 5 7 5 3 5 10 5 1989 Edit Surveyend date Pollster Client Con Lab Lib Dem SDP Lead28 Dec MORI The Sunday Times 39 46 6 3 7 18 Dec Audience Selection N A 40 42 6 4 2 17 Dec ICM The Sunday Correspondent 38 49 4 3 11 14 Dec Harris The Observer 39 46 6 1 7 8 Dec ICM The Guardian 37 49 4 3 12 4 Dec NOP N A 38 45 7 7 4 Dec Gallup The Daily Telegraph 37 5 43 5 9 3 6 27 Nov MORI N A 42 46 5 3 4 27 Nov Audience Selection N A 37 44 4 3 7 26 Nov MORI The Sunday Times 37 51 4 3 14 25 Nov ICM The Sunday Correspondent 38 48 3 4 10 23 Nov Harris The Observer 36 47 9 1 11 13 Nov NOP N A 34 46 9 12 11 Nov ICM The Guardian 36 49 6 3 13 31 Oct Harris BBC 37 50 6 2 13 30 Oct Audience Selection N A 33 50 4 2 17 30 Oct Gallup The Daily Telegraph 35 44 8 2 5 9 29 Oct MORI The Sunday Times 39 46 0 7 28 Oct NOP The Mail on Sunday 41 47 6 6 23 Oct MORI The Sunday Times 38 48 5 3 10 21 Oct ICM The Sunday Correspondent 35 50 4 3 15 19 Oct Harris The Observer 38 48 6 1 10 9 Oct Gallup The Daily Telegraph 38 47 5 4 5 2 5 9 5 7 Oct ICM The Guardian 39 49 4 2 10 5 Oct Harris The Observer 38 49 5 2 11 4 Oct NOP Evening Standard 37 46 5 9 3 Oct ICM Press Association 37 45 4 3 8 3 Oct Audience Selection N A 37 39 6 3 2 2 Oct Gallup The Daily Telegraph 35 41 5 8 5 5 6 5 28 Sep Harris The Observer 38 45 5 3 7 26 Sep MORI The Sunday Times 38 43 6 3 5 25 Sep Gallup The Sunday Telegraph 36 5 42 7 5 2 5 5 25 Sep NOP The Mail on Sunday 34 46 7 12 23 Sep ICM The Sunday Correspondent 39 45 4 2 6 20 Sep Harris The Observer 39 42 6 3 3 14 Sep Harris The Observer 37 45 6 3 8 9 Sep ICM The Guardian 36 46 7 4 10 4 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 36 5 43 6 5 3 6 5 4 Sep NOP The Independent 38 40 8 2 4 28 Aug Audience Selection N A 37 42 5 4 5 26 Aug ICM The Sunday Correspondent 38 46 6 3 8 24 Aug Harris The Observer 37 45 7 2 8 21 Aug NOP N A 40 41 7 1 1 21 Aug MORI The Sunday Times 40 45 4 3 5 12 Aug ICM The Guardian 36 44 6 3 8 31 Jul Audience Selection N A 38 41 4 5 3 26 Jul MORI The Sunday Times 36 45 4 4 9 20 Jul Harris The Observer 37 44 6 3 7 10 Jul NOP N A 36 42 7 2 6 8 Jul ICM The Guardian 38 42 5 4 4 7 Jul Gallup The Daily Telegraph 34 44 5 5 5 4 5 10 5 3 Jul Gallup The Daily Telegraph 34 47 6 3 5 13 3 Jul Audience Selection N A 35 43 4 3 8 27 Jun MORI The Sunday Times 37 47 4 3 10 22 Jun Harris The Observer 34 48 6 2 14 15 Jun Glasgow Central amp Vauxhall by elections15 Jun 1989 European Parliament election 9 12 Jun NOP N A 40 42 8 4 2 10 Jun ICM The Guardian 38 42 8 4 4 10 Jun MORI The Times 39 44 7 4 5 5 Jun Gallup The Daily Telegraph 36 5 43 5 8 3 7 29 May Audience Selection N A 41 45 6 4 4 23 May Harris The Observer 46 41 7 2 5 22 May NOP N A 42 41 8 3 1 22 May MORI The Sunday Times 41 43 7 4 2 17 May 1989 Northern Ireland local elections13 May ICM The Guardian 43 43 8 3 Tie4 May Vale of Glamorgan by election 10 4 May 1989 local elections 11 1 May Gallup The Daily Telegraph 40 5 37 5 10 7 3 30 Apr Audience Selection N A 42 38 7 9 4 24 Apr NOP N A 43 37 9 4 6 24 Apr MORI The Sunday Times 41 41 9 6 Tie20 Apr Harris The Observer 42 39 11 4 3 8 Apr ICM The Guardian 44 40 7 6 4 3 Apr Gallup The Daily Telegraph 37 5 40 10 8 2 5 27 Mar MORI The Times 43 39 8 6 4 23 Mar Harris The Observer 41 41 9 3 Tie20 Mar NOP N A 42 37 0 5 19 Mar MORI The Sunday Times 41 40 9 6 1 19 Mar MORI The Sunday Times 44 40 6 6 4 13 Mar ICM The Guardian 41 39 8 7 2 5 Mar MORI BBC 41 37 9 4 4 28 Feb MORI N A 42 41 8 4 1 28 Feb MORI The Sunday Times 42 39 9 7 3 27 Feb Audience Selection N A 44 35 7 11 9 27 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 37 5 37 5 11 5 8 5 Tie23 Feb Harris The Observer 41 42 10 3 1 23 Feb Pontypridd amp Richmond by elections20 Feb NOP N A 41 37 11 4 4 20 Feb Gallup The Sunday Telegraph 39 39 11 5 Tie13 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 40 5 39 11 5 4 5 1 5 11 Feb ICM The Guardian 42 39 7 7 3 30 Jan MORI The Sunday Times 47 36 8 5 11 30 Jan Audience Selection N A 44 39 8 5 5 29 Jan Harris BBC 50 37 6 13 23 Jan NOP N A 46 34 10 3 12 19 Jan Harris The Observer 47 37 10 4 10 16 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 42 5 34 14 5 5 8 5 16 Jan ICM The Guardian 44 40 8 4 4 15 Jan Harris Channel 4 N A 44 41 10 3 1988 Edit Surveyend date Pollster Client Con Lab SLD SDP Lead31 Dec Audience Selection N A 45 37 8 6 8 29 Dec MORI The Sunday Times 46 36 6 7 10 15 Dec Epping Forest by election12 Dec Gallup The Daily Telegraph 43 32 13 6 5 11 6 Dec Marplan The Guardian 45 39 8 4 6 2 Dec NOP N A 41 36 11 4 5 30 Nov MORI The Sunday Times 45 37 8 6 8 30 Nov MORI N A 44 39 8 6 5 28 Nov Audience Selection N A 40 39 9 6 1 24 Nov Harris The Observer 44 39 9 3 5 14 Nov Gallup The Daily Telegraph 42 5 36 12 5 4 5 6 5 10 Nov Glasgow Govan by election7 Nov NOP N A 45 36 10 4 9 7 Nov Marplan The Guardian 42 42 8 5 Tie31 Oct MORI The Sunday Times 44 39 8 6 5 31 Oct Audience Selection N A 46 35 7 6 11 24 Oct Gallup The Daily Telegraph 45 5 34 12 5 5 11 5 20 Oct Harris The Observer 49 40 7 2 9 12 Oct NOP N A 46 36 9 4 10 11 Oct Marplan N A 45 40 8 2 5 11 Oct Marplan The Guardian 44 40 7 5 4 10 Oct MORI N A 46 39 8 4 7 29 Sep Harris TV AM 48 36 11 2 12 26 Sep MORI The Sunday Times 44 39 8 6 5 22 Sep Harris The Observer 47 38 8 5 9 14 Sep Marplan The Guardian 44 42 9 3 2 14 Sep NOP N A 46 38 8 3 8 12 Sep Audience Selection N A 42 40 8 6 2 12 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 43 36 5 12 5 5 6 5 22 Aug MORI The Sunday Times 50 36 8 4 14 15 Aug Gallup The Daily Telegraph 45 5 33 5 10 5 6 5 12 5 9 Aug Marplan The Guardian 45 41 7 4 4 29 Jul Paddy Ashdown is elected leader of the Social and Liberal Democrats 12 13 25 Jul NOP N A 46 36 10 4 10 25 Jul MORI The Sunday Times 46 41 8 4 5 21 Jul Harris The Observer 46 41 9 3 5 18 Jul Gallup The Daily Telegraph 41 5 39 9 7 2 5 14 Jul Kensington by election12 Jul Marplan The Guardian 45 43 6 4 2 11 Jul MORI N A 48 38 7 5 10 3 Jul Harris TV AM 47 38 9 3 9 28 Jun MORI The Sunday Times 48 38 7 5 10 28 Jun Audience Selection N A 45 38 8 5 7 27 Jun NOP N A 49 34 10 4 15 23 Jun Harris The Observer 48 36 9 3 12 13 Jun Gallup The Daily Telegraph 42 43 7 4 1 11 Jun MORI N A 47 40 7 4 7 7 Jun Marplan The Guardian 47 42 5 3 5 4 Jun Harris TV AM 43 40 12 2 3 1 Jun MORI The Sunday Times 44 40 7 6 4 29 May Audience Selection N A 40 43 6 8 3 23 May NOP N A 47 37 8 4 10 19 May Harris The Observer 44 41 10 2 3 16 May Gallup The Daily Telegraph 45 36 8 5 6 9 10 May Marplan The Guardian 44 42 7 4 1 5 May 1988 local elections 14 2 May Harris TV AM 43 38 11 5 26 Apr MORI The Sunday Times 44 42 6 5 1 21 Apr Harris The Observer 44 39 10 5 5 18 Apr Gallup The Daily Telegraph 40 5 41 5 11 4 1 12 Apr Marplan The Guardian 43 42 8 5 1 11 Apr NOP N A 45 36 15 9 28 Mar MORI The Sunday Times 46 37 8 6 9 24 Mar Harris The Observer 46 39 11 1 7 21 Mar Gallup The Daily Telegraph 42 36 5 13 6 5 5 5 20 Mar MORI N A 46 39 6 7 7 13 Mar Audience Selection N A 45 40 11 5 8 Mar Marplan The Guardian 43 42 14 1 3 Mar The Liberal Party and the SDP merge to form the Social and Liberal Democrats 15 3 Mar Harris The Observer 47 36 12 2 11 1 Mar MORI The Sunday Times 46 38 14 8 29 Feb Harris N A 44 43 12 1 15 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 46 36 15 10 14 Feb Audience Selection N A 45 41 11 4 9 Feb Marplan The Guardian 45 41 8 4 4 8 Feb NOP N A 45 37 14 8 26 Jan MORI The Sunday Times 50 36 12 14 18 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 45 5 37 15 7 5 11 Jan NOP N A 47 35 16 12 11 Jan Marplan The Guardian 42 40 17 2 1987 Edit Surveyend date Pollster Client Con Lab All Lead30 Dec MORI The Sunday Times 48 36 15 12 14 Dec NOP N A 47 35 15 12 8 Dec Marplan The Guardian 47 37 13 10 7 Dec Gallup The Daily Telegraph 46 5 34 5 16 12 30 Nov NOP N A 49 34 15 15 25 Nov MORI The Sunday Times 50 38 11 12 16 Nov Gallup The Daily Telegraph 46 5 33 17 13 5 3 Nov NOP N A 45 36 15 9 26 Oct MORI The Sunday Times 47 37 14 10 19 Oct Gallup The Daily Telegraph 52 31 5 13 5 20 5 19 Oct MORI N A 50 34 14 16 13 Oct Marplan The Guardian 45 39 13 6 30 Sep MORI The Sunday Times 49 36 12 13 28 Sep NOP N A 50 34 13 16 21 Sep Gallup The Sunday Telegraph 48 35 5 14 12 5 20 Sep Harris The Observer 47 35 16 12 7 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 44 33 20 11 3 Sep NOP N A 49 33 16 16 26 Aug MORI The Sunday Times 48 36 14 12 24 Aug NOP N A 48 33 17 15 17 Aug Gallup The Daily Telegraph 45 5 35 5 17 5 10 28 Jul MORI The Sunday Times 49 33 17 16 16 Jul Harris The Observer 48 33 17 15 13 Jul Gallup The Daily Telegraph 44 5 33 20 5 11 5 2 Jul Harris TV AM 42 36 20 6 1 Jul MORI The Sunday Times 49 31 17 18 29 Jun NOP N A 42 33 23 9 11 Jun 1987 general election 43 3 31 5 23 1 11 8 References Edit Heath Anthony Jowell Roger Curtice John 29 May 1994 How did Labour lose in 92 The most authoritative study of the last general election is published tomorrow Here its authors present their conclusions and explode the myths about the greatest upset since 1945 The Independent Archived from the original on 24 May 2022 Retrieved 24 March 2016 Firth David Exit polling explained University of Warwick Statistics Department UK Polling Report ukpollingreport co uk Retrieved 26 November 2017 General Election Results 1992 PDF Timmins Nicholas Wolmar Christian 3 May 1991 Tory council losses rule out June election The Independent p 1 White Michael 28 November 1990 Major we unite to win The Guardian p 1 Margaret Thatcher resigns Timmins Nicholas Wolmar Christian 4 May 1990 Labour Sweeps to local poll gains The Independent p 1 Bevins Anthony Hughes Colin 19 June 1989 Labour triumphs in European poll The Independent p 1 Brown Colin Hughes Colin 6 May 1989 Labour Victory sends warning to Thatcher The Independent p 1 Travis Alan 5 May 1989 Polls boost Labour s prospects The Guardian p 1 Naughtie James 29 July 2013 From the archive 29 July 1988 Paddy Ashdown elected leader of the Social and Liberal Democrats The Guardian Retrieved 21 July 2021 Bevins Anthony 29 July 1988 Victorious Ashdown seeks to replace Labour The Independent p 1 Hughes Colin 6 May 1988 Labour makes strong gains in local elections The Independent p 1 Bevins Anthony 3 March 1988 Steel dismisses Owen splinter The Guardian p 6 Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title Opinion polling for the 1992 United Kingdom general election amp oldid 1142903113, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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