Fredericton (federal electoral district)

Fredericton (formerly Fredericton—York—Sunbury) is a federal electoral district in New Brunswick, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1988. Its population in 2021 was 87,436. Its predecessor riding, York—Sunbury, was represented in the House of Commons from 1917 to 1988. Following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, the riding will be re-named Fredericton—Oromocto, at the first election held after approximately April 2024. Its border with Tobique—Mactaquac will be rerouted to follow the northern border of the City of Fredericton (2023 borders), and it will lose the remainder of the Parishes of Maugerville, Sheffield and Canning to Miramichi—Grand Lake; and will lose Burton Parish to Saint John—St. Croix, except for those parts of the parish that will be transferred to the Town of Oromocto in 2023.^[2]

Fredericton

New Brunswick electoral district
Fredericton in relation to other New Brunswick federal electoral districts (2012 boundaries)
Coordinates:	45°57′18″N 66°27′47″W / 45.955°N 66.463°W / 45.955; -66.463
Federal electoral district
Legislature	House of Commons
MP	Jenica Atwin Liberal
District created	1914
First contested	1917
Last contested	2021
District webpage	profile, map
Demographics
Population (2021)^[1]	87,436
Electors (2021)	66,043
Area (km²)^[1]	1,499.26
Pop. density (per km²)	58.3
Census division(s)	Sunbury, Queens, York
Census subdivision(s)	Fredericton, Oromocto, Lincoln, Burton, New Maryland, St. Mary's 24, Minto

The district includes the city of Fredericton, and the towns of Oromocto, and Minto and vicinity.

The neighbouring ridings are Miramichi, Beauséjour, Fundy Royal, New Brunswick Southwest, and Tobique—Mactaquac.

Political geography

Historical population

Year	Pop.	±%
2001	82,782	—
2006	85,886	+3.7%
2011	93,181	+8.5%

"York—Sunbury" riding was created in 1914 from parts of Sunbury—Queen's and York ridings. Previously, York County was its own riding and Sunbury County was joined with Queens County.

The riding was named after York and Sunbury counties of which it was composed.

In 1987, York—Sunbury was abolished. Some rural areas in the southern parts of the riding were transferred to Carleton—Charlotte riding, and a largely uninhabited area, moved to Miramichi. The remainder was incorporated into "Fredericton" riding. It was renamed "Fredericton—York—Sunbury" shortly after the 1988 election.

Fredericton-York-Sudbury was abolished in 1996 when more rural areas were moved into other districts (particularly Tobique—Mactaquac and New Brunswick Southwest, and a new riding named "Fredericton" was created. The Minto and Chipman areas were added to the riding in 2003. As per the 2012 federal electoral redistribution, this riding will lost territory to Miramichi—Grand Lake, New Brunswick Southwest and Tobique—Mactaquac, and gained some land from New Brunswick Southwest.

In the 2008 election, the Conservatives gained this seat from the Liberals. The Conservatives were strongest in the rural parts of this riding, outside of Fredericton proper. Within the city, the Liberals still held their own with the NDP capturing a handful of polls, including the University of New Brunswick, and a couple along Parkside Drive.

In the 2019 election, the riding got its first-ever "third party" MP from the Greens. Jenica Atwin won the seat from the former incumbent Liberal MP, Matt DeCourcey, who came third behind the Conservative candidate.

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following Members of Parliament:

Parliament	Years	Member		Party
York—Sunbury Riding created from Sunbury—Queen's and York
13th	1917–1921		Harry Fulton McLeod	Government (Unionist)
	1921–1921		Richard Hanson	Conservative
14th	1921–1925
15th	1925–1926
16th	1926–1930
17th	1930–1935
18th	1935–1940		William George Clark	Liberal
19th	1940–1945		Richard Hanson	National Government
20th	1945–1947		Hedley Francis Gregory Bridges	Liberal
	1947–1949		Milton Fowler Gregg
21st	1949–1953
22nd	1953–1957
23rd	1957–1958		John Chester MacRae	Progressive Conservative
24th	1958–1962
25th	1962–1963
26th	1963–1965
27th	1965–1968
28th	1968–1972
29th	1972–1974		Robert Howie
30th	1974–1979
31st	1979–1980
32nd	1980–1984
33rd	1984–1988
Fredericton
34th	1988–1993		Bud Bird	Progressive Conservative
Fredericton—York—Sunbury
35th	1993–1997		Andy Scott	Liberal
Fredericton
36th	1997–2000		Andy Scott	Liberal
37th	2000–2004
38th	2004–2006
39th	2006–2008
40th	2008–2011		Keith Ashfield	Conservative
41st	2011–2015
42nd	2015–2019		Matt DeCourcey	Liberal
43rd	2019–2021		Jenica Atwin	Green
	2021–2021			Liberal
44th	2021–present

Election results

Graph of election results in York—Sunbury, Fredericton (1987-1989), Fredericton—York—Sunbury, Fredericton (1997-present) (1914-, minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

Fredericton, 1997-present

Graph of election results in Fredericton (1996-, minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

2021 general election

v t e 2021 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Jenica Atwin	16,316	37.03	+9.62	$74,982.23
	Conservative	Andrea Johnson	15,814	35.89	+5.51	$60,825.30
	Green	Nicole O'Byrne	5,666	12.86	-20.82	$91,899.74
	New Democratic	Shawn Oldenburg	5,564	12.63	+6.67	$1,870.60
	Independent	Jen Smith	310	0.70	N/A	none listed
	Libertarian	Brandon Kirby	234	0.53	+0.28	$0.00
	Communist	June Patterson	158	0.36	+0.20	$0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit			44,062	100.00	–	$104,943.51
Total rejected ballots			301
Turnout			44,363	66.72	-7.92
Registered voters			66,043
	Liberal gain from Green		Swing		+15.22
Source: Elections Canada^[3]^[4]

2019 general election

v t e 2019 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Green	Jenica Atwin	16,640	33.68	+21.26	$55,541.51
	Conservative	Andrea Johnson	15,011	30.38	+1.96	$81,269.70
	Liberal	Matt DeCourcey	13,544	27.41	−21.85	$82,534.73
	New Democratic	Mackenzie Thomason	2,946	5.96	−3.93	$1,197.20
	People's	Jason Paull	776	1.57	New	$1,322.69
	Animal Protection	Lesley Thomas	286	0.58	New	$2,894.40
	Libertarian	Brandon Kirby	126	0.26	New	$965.26
	Communist	Jacob Patterson	80	0.16	New	$476.56
Total valid votes/expense limit			49,409	99.39		$101,795.92
Total rejected ballots			301	0.61	+0.20
Turnout			49,710	74.63	−1.10
Eligible voters			66,606
	Green gain from Liberal		Swing		+9.65
Source: Elections Canada^[5]^[6]

2015 general election

v t e 2015 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Matt DeCourcey	23,016	49.26	+25.24	$98,991.33
	Conservative	Keith Ashfield	13,280	28.42	-18.55	$79,507.14
	Green	Mary Lou Babineau	5,804	12.42	+8.27	$159,022.44
	New Democratic	Sharon Scott-Levesque	4,622	9.89	-14.41	–
Total valid votes/expense limit			46,722	100.0		$195,873.36
Total rejected ballots			188	0.40	–
Turnout			46,910	77.43	–
Eligible voters			60,587
	Liberal gain from Conservative		Swing		+21.90
Source: Elections Canada^[7]^[8]^[9]

2011 federal election redistributed results^[10]
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	18,213	46.97
	New Democratic	9,423	24.30
	Liberal	9,314	24.02
	Green	1,609	4.15
	Others	213	0.55

2011 general election

v t e 2011 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Keith Ashfield	21,573	48.38	+5.85	$80,569.94
	New Democratic	Jesse Travis	10,626	23.83	+8.47	$8,535.27
	Liberal	Randy McKeen	10,336	23.18	-8.35	$53,834.28
	Green	Louise Comeau	1,790	4.01	-6.15	$8,177.72
	Independent	Adam Scott Ness	266	0.60	–	$101.69
Total valid votes/expense limit			44,591	100.0		$83,547.51
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			207	0.46	-0.11
Turnout			44,798	64.24	+2.11
Eligible voters			69,732
	Conservative hold		Swing		-1.31
Sources:^[11]^[12]

2008 general election

v t e 2008 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Keith Ashfield	17,962	42.53	+7.87	$73,954.11
	Liberal	David Innes	13,319	31.53	-10.27	$64,776.23
	New Democratic	Jesse Travis	6,490	15.36	-5.89	$6,944.89
	Green	Mary Lou Babineau	4,293	10.16	+8.28	$8,526.99
	Canadian Action	Ben Kelly	168	0.39	–	none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit			42,232	100.0		$80,195
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			242	0.57	+0.13
Turnout			42,474	62.13	-5.86
Eligible voters			68,368
	Conservative gain from Liberal		Swing		+9.07

2006 general election

v t e 2006 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Andy Scott	19,649	41.80	-4.95	$63,544.32
	Conservative	Pat Lynch	16,292	34.66	+1.18	$57,563.68
	New Democratic	John Carty	9,988	21.25	+3.89	$33,143.96
	Green	Philip Duchastel	884	1.88	-0.47	none listed
	Independent	David Raymond Amos	198	0.42	–	none listed
Total valid votes/Expense limit			47,011	100.0		$75,043
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			207	0.44
Turnout			47,218	67.99
Eligible voters			69,453
	Liberal hold		Swing		-3.06

2004 general election

v t e 2004 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Andy Scott	19,819	46.75	+8.97	$60,726.40
	Conservative	Kent Fox	14,193	33.48	-21.22	$61,658.27
	New Democratic	John Carty	7,360	17.36	+10.41	$21,188.88
	Green	Daron Letts	997	2.35	–	$1,194.22
Total valid votes/Expense limit			42,396	100.0		$73,437
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			264	0.62
Turnout			42,633	61.82
Eligible voters			68,968
	Liberal notional hold		Swing		+15.10
Changes from 2000 are based on redistributed results. Conservative Party change is based on the combination of Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative Party totals.

2000 federal election redistributed results
Party		Vote	%
	Liberal	15,151	37.78
	Progressive Conservative	12,185	30.38
	Alliance	9,753	24.32
	New Democratic	2,787	6.95
	Others	228	0.57

2000 general election

v t e 2000 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Andy Scott	14,175	38.60	+4.48
	Progressive Conservative	Raj Venugopal	10,919	29.73	-0.44
	Alliance	Allan Neill	8,814	24.00	+2.24
	New Democratic	Michael Dunn	2,584	7.04	-6.02
	Natural Law	William Parker	233	0.63	-0.26
Total valid votes			36,725	100.00
Rejected ballots			213	0.58
Turnout			36,938	62.8

Change for the Canadian Alliance is based on the 1997 results of its predecessors, the Reform Party.

1997 general election

v t e 1997 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Andy Scott	12,252	34.12	-12.54
	Progressive Conservative	Cleveland Allaby	10,835	30.17	+0.95
	Reform	Mark McCready	7,815	21.76	+4.74
	New Democratic	Patricia Hughes	4,689	13.06	+8.06
	Natural Law	Jeanne Geldart	321	0.89	+0.07
Total valid votes			35,912	100.00

Change from 1993 is not based on redistributed results.

Fredericton—York—Sunbury, 1989–1997

v t e 1993 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Andy Scott	21,868	46.66	+6.94
	Progressive Conservative	Bud Bird	13,696	29.22	-13.76
	Reform	Jack Lamey	7,977	17.02	Ø
	New Democratic	Pauline MacKenzie	2,343	5.00	-5.32
	Natural Law	Neil Dickie	382	0.82	Ø
	Canada Party	Steven Gillrie	373	0.80	Ø
	Independent	Doreen Fraser	226	0.48	-5.30
Total valid votes			46 865	100.00

Doreen Fraser was nominated as a Confederation of Regions candidate, but was listed as an Independent because that party did not run enough candidates to be officially recognized.

Fredericton, 1987–1989

v t e 1988 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Bud Bird	20,494	42.98	-15.87
	Liberal	Brad Woodside	18,939	39.72	+16.66
	New Democratic	Allan Sharp	4,922	10.32	-6.89
	Confederation of Regions	Greg Hargrove	2,755	5.78	Ø
	Rhinoceros	Chris Fullerton	316	0.66	Ø
	Independent	Harry Marshall	253	0.53	-0.35
Total valid votes			47,679	100.00

York—Sunbury, 1917–1987

Graph of election results in York—Sunbury (1914-1987, minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

v t e 1984 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Robert Howie	25,190	58.85	+11.15
	Liberal	Loretta Washburn	9,873	23.06	-13.90
	New Democratic	Allan Sharp	7,366	17.21	+2.66
	Independent	Harry Marshall	377	0.88	+0.34
Total valid votes			42,806	100.00

v t e 1980 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Robert Howie	18,246	47.70	-7.35
	Liberal	Dan Hurley	14,138	36.96	+7.02
	New Democratic	Phillip Booker	5,567	14.55	+0.19
	Independent	Harry Marshall	205	0.54	-0.11
	Libertarian	Jay Nauss	95	0.25	Ø
Total valid votes			38,251	100.00

v t e 1979 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Robert Howie	21,722	55.05	+4.78
	Liberal	Pete Mockler	11,815	29.94	-10.32
	New Democratic	Phillip Booker	5,665	14.36	+4.90
	Independent	Harry Marshall	258	0.65	Ø
Total valid votes			39,460	100.00

v t e 1974 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Robert Howie	17,673	50.27	-2.70
	Liberal	John McNair	14,153	40.26	+2.97
	New Democratic	Kevin White	3,327	9.46	-0.27
Total valid votes			35,153	100.00

v t e 1972 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Robert Howie	20,362	52.97	-2.42
	Liberal	Ray Dixon	14,335	37.29	-4.05
	New Democratic	Beverley Wallace	3,741	9.73	+6.46
Total valid votes			38,438	100.00

v t e 1968 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	John Chester MacRae	17,394	55.39	+6.87
	Liberal	Paul Burden	12,983	41.34	-4.40
	New Democratic	Patrick Callaghan	1,028	3.27	-2.47
Total valid votes			31,405	100.00

v t e 1965 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	John Chester MacRae	15,813	48.52	+0.04
	Liberal	Paul Burden	14,909	45.74	+0.78
	New Democratic	Patrick Callaghan	1,872	5.74	+2.67
Total valid votes			32,594	100.00

v t e 1963 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	John Chester MacRae	15,827	48.48	-0.11
	Liberal	David Dickson	14,678	44.96	+2.09
	Social Credit	George Nickerson	1,142	3.50	-1.32
	New Democratic	Lovell Clark	1,001	3.07	-0.65
Total valid votes			32,648	100.00

v t e 1962 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	John Chester MacRae	15,255	48.59	-4.83
	Liberal	David Dickson	13,461	42.87	-1.45
	Social Credit	George Nickerson	1,513	4.82	Ø
	New Democratic	John Simonds	1,167	3.72	+1.46
Total valid votes			31,396	100.00

Changes for the New Democratic Party are based on the 1958 results of its predecessor, the Cooperative Commonwealth Federation.

v t e 1958 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	John Chester MacRae	15,813	53.42	+3.96
	Liberal	David Dickson	13,118	44.32	-3.89
	Co-operative Commonwealth	Lawrence Bright	669	2.26	-0.07
Total valid votes			29,600	100.00

v t e 1957 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	John Chester MacRae	13,356	49.46	+6.71
	Liberal	Milton Fowler Gregg	13,018	48.21	-4.49
	Co-operative Commonwealth	Lawrence Bright	628	2.33	-2.21
Total valid votes			27,002	100.00

v t e 1953 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Milton Fowler Gregg	12,888	52.70	+3.90
	Progressive Conservative	Ewart Clair Atkinson	10,455	42.75	-1.91
	Co-operative Commonwealth	Charles Watson	1,111	4.54	-1.99
Total valid votes			24,454	100.00

v t e 1949 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Milton Fowler Gregg	12,158	48.80	-2.47
	Progressive Conservative	Ewart Clair Atkinson	11,127	44.66	+10.65
	Co-operative Commonwealth	Murray Young	1,628	6.53	-8.19
Total valid votes			24,913	100.00

By-election on 1947 On the death of Francis Bridges
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Milton Fowler Gregg	12,237	51.27	+3.05
	Progressive Conservative	Ernest William Sansom	8,119	34.01	-10.31
	Co-operative Commonwealth	Murray Young	3,514	14.72	+7.27
Total valid votes			23,870	100.00

v t e 1945 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Hedley Francis Gregory Bridges	10,828	48.22	-0.68
	Progressive Conservative	Ernest William Sansom	9,953	44.32	-6.78
	Co-operative Commonwealth	Murray Young	1,674	7.45	Ø
Total valid votes			22,455	100.00

v t e 1940 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	National Government	Richard Hanson	10,352	51.10	+5.53
	Liberal	Peter J. Hughes	9,908	48.90	+2.05
Total valid votes			20,260	100.00

v t e 1935 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	William George Clark	9,296	46.85	+15.92
	Conservative	Richard Hanson	9,042	45.57	-23.50
	Reconstruction	Errol MacDonald	1,506	7.59	Ø
Total valid votes			19,844	100.00

v t e 1930 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Richard Hanson	10,166	69.07	+3.61
	Liberal	Fraser Winslow	4,552	30.93	-3.61
Total valid votes			14,718	100.00

v t e 1926 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Richard Hanson	8,451	65.46	-7.46
	Liberal	Peter J. Hughes	4,459	34.54	+7.46
Total valid votes			12,910	100.00

v t e 1925 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Richard Hanson	8,636	72.92	+19.97
	Liberal	Charles Robert Hawkins	3,207	27.08	-19.97
Total valid votes			11,843	100.00

v t e 1921 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Richard Hanson	7,777	52.95	-0.62
	Liberal	William James Osborne	6,911	47.05	+0.62
Total valid votes			14,688	100.00

By-election on 1921
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Richard Hanson	7,107	53.57	-15.65
	Liberal	Ernest W. Stairs	6,160	46.43	+15.65
Total valid votes			13,267	100.00

v t e 1917 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party	Candidate	Votes	%
	Government (Unionist)	Harry Fulton McLeod	6,957	69.22
	Liberal	Nelson Brown	3,093	30.78
Total valid votes			10,050	100.00

Student Vote results

2011 election

In 2011, a Student Vote was conducted at participating Canadian schools to parallel the 2011 Canadian federal election results. The vote was designed to educate students and simulate the electoral process for persons who have not yet reached the legal majority. Schools with a large student body that reside in another electoral district had the option to vote for candidates outside of the electoral district then where they were physically located.^[13]

2011 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%
	New Democratic	Jesse Travis	1,067	30.02
	Conservative	Keith Ashfield	1,035	29.12
	Green	Louise Comeau	648	18.23
	Liberal	Randy McKeen	631	17.75
	Independent	Adam Scott Ness	173	4.87
Total valid votes			3,554	100.00

See also

• List of Canadian federal electoral districts
• Historical federal electoral districts of Canada

References

• "Fredericton (federal electoral district) (Code 13003) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.
• Campaign expense data from Elections Canada

Riding history from the Library of Parliament

• York-Sunbury 1917-1987
• Fredericton 1987-1989
• Fredericton—York—Sunbury 1989-1996
• Fredericton 1996-present

Notes

1. Statistics Canada: 2022
2. "New Federal Electoral Map for New Brunswick". Federal Electoral Districts Redistribution 2022. April 18, 2023. Retrieved April 18, 2023.
3. "September 20, 2021 General Election Election Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved September 22, 2021.
4. "Candidate Campaign Returns". Elections Canada. Retrieved July 19, 2022.
5. "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved September 22, 2021.
6. "Final Election Expense Limits for Candidates: 43rd General Election - October 21, 2019". Elections Canada. Retrieved December 2, 2019.
7. Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Fredericton, 30 September 2015
8. Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates August 15, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
9. [1]
10. Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections
11. Elections Canada – Official voting results, Forty-first general election, 2011
12. Elections Canada – Candidate's electoral campaign return, 41st general election
13. "School by School results". Student Vote Canada. Retrieved June 12, 2013.