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Flip-flop (politics)

A "flip-flop" (used mostly in the United States), U-turn (used in the United Kingdom, Ireland, Pakistan, Malaysia, etc.), or backflip (used in Australia and New Zealand) is a derogatory term for a sudden real or apparent change of policy or opinion by a public official, sometimes while trying to claim that both positions are consistent with each other. It carries connotations of pandering and hypocrisy. Often, flip-flops occur during the period prior to or following an election in order to maximize the candidate's popularity.

History

In his "On Language" column in The New York Times, William Safire wrote in 1988 that "flip-flop" has a long history as a synonym for "somersault". (He cited George Lorimer in 1902: "when a fellow's turning flip-flops up among the clouds, he's naturally going to have the farmers gaping at him".) In the late 19th century, a US politician was called "the Florida flopper" by an opponent, Safire noted. The "fl" sound appearing twice is an indication of ridicule, he wrote. Citing grammarian Randolph Quirk, Safire pointed out that the doubling of the sound is also a feature in other two-word phrases used to disparage the actions or words of others, including "mumbo jumbo", "wishy-washy", and "higgledy-piggledy".[1]

In the archives of The New York Times, which go back to 1851, the earliest unequivocal mention of "flip-flop" as a change in someone's opinion, is in an October 23, 1890, report of a campaign speech in New York City. John W. Goff, candidate for district attorney, said of one of his opponents: "I would like to hear Mr. Nicoll explain his great flip-flop, for three years ago, you know, as the Republican candidate for District Attorney, he bitterly denounced Tammany as a party run by bosses and in the interest of bossism. ... Nicoll, who three years ago was denouncing Tammany, is its candidate to-day."[2]

The term was also used in 1967, when a New York Times editorial and Times columnist Tom Wicker used it in commenting on different events. It was also in the 1976 election, when President Gerald Ford used the phrase against his opponent Jimmy Carter.[3] In the 1988 U.S. presidential election, Michael Dukakis used the term against opponent Richard Gephardt, saying, "There's a flip-flopper over here" about Gephardt.[1]

The term also was used extensively in the 2004 U.S. presidential election campaign. It was used by critics as a catch-phrase attack on John Kerry, claiming he was "flip-flopping" his stance on several issues, including the ongoing war in Iraq. Famously, on March 16, 2004, during an appearance at Marshall University Kerry tried to explain his vote for an $87 billion supplemental appropriation for military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan by telling the crowd, "I actually did vote for the $87 billion, before I voted against it." After the remark became controversial, he explained that he had supported an earlier Democratic measure that would have paid for the $87 billion in war funding by reducing Bush's tax cuts.[4]

FactCheck stated that "Kerry has never wavered from his support for giving Bush authority to use force in Iraq, nor has he changed his position that he, as President, would not have gone to war without greater international support."[5]

The term "U-turn" in the United Kingdom was famously applied to Edward Heath, the prime minister of the United Kingdom from 1970 to 1974. Prior to the 1970 general election, the Conservative Party compiled a manifesto that highlighted free-market economic policies. Heath abandoned such policies when his government nationalised Rolls-Royce (hence the actual "U-turn"). The Conservative government was later attacked for such a move because nationalisation was seen (by the Thatcher era) as antithetical to Conservative beliefs. This later led to one of Margaret Thatcher's most famous phrases: "you turn [U-turn] if you want to. The lady's not for turning." The Conservatives would adopt the free market under her.

Influence on public

The circumstances surrounding the flip-flop and its larger context can be crucial factors in whether or not a politician is hurt or helped more by a change in position. "Long hailed as a conservative champion, Ronald Reagan could shrug off his support of a tax increase in 1982 to curb the budget deficits his 1981 tax cut had exacerbated", according to an analysis of flip-flopping in The New York Times. "Long suspect on the Republican right, George [H. W.] Bush faced a crippling 1992 primary challenge after abandoning his 'no new taxes' campaign pledge in the White House."[6]

Kerry's perceived equivocation on the Iraq war damaged his 2004 campaign, according to both Democratic and Republican political operatives. "It spoke to a pattern of calculation and indecisiveness that make him look like a weak commander in chief compared to [George W.] Bush", said Jonathan Prince, a strategist for 2008 presidential candidate John Edwards, Kerry's running mate in 2004. In the 2008 primary season, Edwards simply stated that "I was wrong" when he had voted in the U.S. Senate to authorize the Iraq War. "Progressives loved it because it was taking responsibility, not abdicating it", according to Prince.[6]

United States commentator Jim Geraghty has written that politicians need to be allowed some leeway in changing their minds as the result of changing conditions. "I actually think that a candidate can even change his position in response to a changing political environment, as long as they're honest about it. 'The votes just aren't there, public support isn't there, so I have to put this proposal on the back burner for a while', is a perfectly legitimate response to a difficult position."[7] The same general point was made in 1988 by New York Times editorial columnist Tom Wicker, writing shortly after Dukakis' charge against Gephardt. Wicker commented that the accusation was not necessarily fair: "What's wrong with a Presidential candidate changing his position – though his opponents call it 'flip-flopping' – in order to improve his chances of winning? Nothing's wrong with it ... unless the flipper ... denies having done it." Wicker added that the charge can be "a tortured or dishonest interpretation of an opponent's record".[1]

"[T]here's a difference between changing your policy position and breaking a promise," John Dickerson, wrote in Slate online magazine. "Breaking a promise is a problem of a higher order than changing a policy position. Our mothers told us not to break promises".[8]

James Pethokoukis, the "money and politics blogger" for U.S. News & World Report online, referring to 2008 presidential candidate John McCain, noted that in changing a position a candidate can "trot out that famous John Maynard Keynes line, 'When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?'"[9] The Keynes quote also has been mentioned by other commentators with regard to flip-flops, including James Broder, in a 2007 article in the International Herald-Tribune.[10]

Non-political use

Outside politics the use of the term is not as pejorative. A scientist or mathematician can often obtain some experimental results or logical proofs which causes one to change a previously held belief. Lewis Eigen, in his essay on the cultural difference between politics and scientists, observes, "To the scientist, failure to flip-flop in the face of contradictory evidence is irrational and dangerous behavior."[11]

See also

References

  1. ^ a b c Safire, William, "Phantom of the Phrases ", "On Language" column, The New York Times Magazine, March 13, 1988 (comment from Wicker is as quoted by Safire), retrieved June 23, 2008
  2. ^ No byline, "Mighty cheers for Scott / A great meeting in Cooper Union last night", The New York Times, October 23, 1890, accessed June 23, 2008 (subscription required)
  3. ^ Search results for "flip-flop", New York Times archives, 1850–1981, retrieved June 23, 2008
  4. ^ "Kerry discusses $87 billion comment". CNN. September 30, 2004. Retrieved November 15, 2007.
  5. ^ "Bush Ad Twists Kerry's Words on Iraq". FactCheck, February 9, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
  6. ^ a b Harwood, John, "Flip-Flops Are Looking Like a Hot Summer Trend", "The Caucus" feature, The New York Times, June 23, 2008, retrieved same day
  7. ^ Geraghty, Jim, "Measuring the Flip-Flops"[permanent dead link] "The Campaign Spot" blog, National Review, June 23, 2008, 12:32 pm post, accessed same day[dead link]
  8. ^ Dickerson, John, "The Flip-Flop Brothers: Both McCain and Obama wobbled. Who will pay the price?", Slate magazine, June 20, 2008, 6:32 pm Eastern Time, retrieved June 23, 2008
  9. ^ Pethoukoukis, James, "7 Ways McCain Can Use Energy to Beat Obama", "Capital Commerce" blog, U.S. News & World Report, June 16, 2008, 01:02 pm ET, retrieved June 23, 2008[dead link]
  10. ^ Broder, John M. "In past, clues to way Fed chief met mortgage crisis", The International Herald-Tribune, August 19, 2007, retrieved June 23, 2008
  11. ^ Lewis D. Eigen, "Flip-Flop: Political Vice–Scientific Virtue". Scriptamus, 2009, http://scriptamus.wordpress.com/2009/10/23/flip-flop-political-vice-scientific-virtue/

flip, flop, politics, turn, politics, redirects, here, serbian, political, group, turn, serbian, coalition, other, uses, flip, flop, flip, flop, used, mostly, united, states, turn, used, united, kingdom, ireland, pakistan, malaysia, backflip, used, australia, . U turn politics redirects here For the Serbian political group see U Turn Serbian coalition For other uses see Flip flop A flip flop used mostly in the United States U turn used in the United Kingdom Ireland Pakistan Malaysia etc or backflip used in Australia and New Zealand is a derogatory term for a sudden real or apparent change of policy or opinion by a public official sometimes while trying to claim that both positions are consistent with each other It carries connotations of pandering and hypocrisy Often flip flops occur during the period prior to or following an election in order to maximize the candidate s popularity Contents 1 History 2 Influence on public 3 Non political use 4 See also 5 ReferencesHistory EditIn his On Language column in The New York Times William Safire wrote in 1988 that flip flop has a long history as a synonym for somersault He cited George Lorimer in 1902 when a fellow s turning flip flops up among the clouds he s naturally going to have the farmers gaping at him In the late 19th century a US politician was called the Florida flopper by an opponent Safire noted The fl sound appearing twice is an indication of ridicule he wrote Citing grammarian Randolph Quirk Safire pointed out that the doubling of the sound is also a feature in other two word phrases used to disparage the actions or words of others including mumbo jumbo wishy washy and higgledy piggledy 1 In the archives of The New York Times which go back to 1851 the earliest unequivocal mention of flip flop as a change in someone s opinion is in an October 23 1890 report of a campaign speech in New York City John W Goff candidate for district attorney said of one of his opponents I would like to hear Mr Nicoll explain his great flip flop for three years ago you know as the Republican candidate for District Attorney he bitterly denounced Tammany as a party run by bosses and in the interest of bossism Nicoll who three years ago was denouncing Tammany is its candidate to day 2 The term was also used in 1967 when a New York Times editorial and Times columnist Tom Wicker used it in commenting on different events It was also in the 1976 election when President Gerald Ford used the phrase against his opponent Jimmy Carter 3 In the 1988 U S presidential election Michael Dukakis used the term against opponent Richard Gephardt saying There s a flip flopper over here about Gephardt 1 The term also was used extensively in the 2004 U S presidential election campaign It was used by critics as a catch phrase attack on John Kerry claiming he was flip flopping his stance on several issues including the ongoing war in Iraq Famously on March 16 2004 during an appearance at Marshall University Kerry tried to explain his vote for an 87 billion supplemental appropriation for military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan by telling the crowd I actually did vote for the 87 billion before I voted against it After the remark became controversial he explained that he had supported an earlier Democratic measure that would have paid for the 87 billion in war funding by reducing Bush s tax cuts 4 FactCheck stated that Kerry has never wavered from his support for giving Bush authority to use force in Iraq nor has he changed his position that he as President would not have gone to war without greater international support 5 The term U turn in the United Kingdom was famously applied to Edward Heath the prime minister of the United Kingdom from 1970 to 1974 Prior to the 1970 general election the Conservative Party compiled a manifesto that highlighted free market economic policies Heath abandoned such policies when his government nationalised Rolls Royce hence the actual U turn The Conservative government was later attacked for such a move because nationalisation was seen by the Thatcher era as antithetical to Conservative beliefs This later led to one of Margaret Thatcher s most famous phrases you turn U turn if you want to The lady s not for turning The Conservatives would adopt the free market under her Influence on public EditThe circumstances surrounding the flip flop and its larger context can be crucial factors in whether or not a politician is hurt or helped more by a change in position Long hailed as a conservative champion Ronald Reagan could shrug off his support of a tax increase in 1982 to curb the budget deficits his 1981 tax cut had exacerbated according to an analysis of flip flopping in The New York Times Long suspect on the Republican right George H W Bush faced a crippling 1992 primary challenge after abandoning his no new taxes campaign pledge in the White House 6 Kerry s perceived equivocation on the Iraq war damaged his 2004 campaign according to both Democratic and Republican political operatives It spoke to a pattern of calculation and indecisiveness that make him look like a weak commander in chief compared to George W Bush said Jonathan Prince a strategist for 2008 presidential candidate John Edwards Kerry s running mate in 2004 In the 2008 primary season Edwards simply stated that I was wrong when he had voted in the U S Senate to authorize the Iraq War Progressives loved it because it was taking responsibility not abdicating it according to Prince 6 United States commentator Jim Geraghty has written that politicians need to be allowed some leeway in changing their minds as the result of changing conditions I actually think that a candidate can even change his position in response to a changing political environment as long as they re honest about it The votes just aren t there public support isn t there so I have to put this proposal on the back burner for a while is a perfectly legitimate response to a difficult position 7 The same general point was made in 1988 by New York Times editorial columnist Tom Wicker writing shortly after Dukakis charge against Gephardt Wicker commented that the accusation was not necessarily fair What s wrong with a Presidential candidate changing his position though his opponents call it flip flopping in order to improve his chances of winning Nothing s wrong with it unless the flipper denies having done it Wicker added that the charge can be a tortured or dishonest interpretation of an opponent s record 1 T here s a difference between changing your policy position and breaking a promise John Dickerson wrote in Slate online magazine Breaking a promise is a problem of a higher order than changing a policy position Our mothers told us not to break promises 8 James Pethokoukis the money and politics blogger for U S News amp World Report online referring to 2008 presidential candidate John McCain noted that in changing a position a candidate can trot out that famous John Maynard Keynes line When the facts change I change my mind What do you do sir 9 The Keynes quote also has been mentioned by other commentators with regard to flip flops including James Broder in a 2007 article in the International Herald Tribune 10 Non political use EditOutside politics the use of the term is not as pejorative A scientist or mathematician can often obtain some experimental results or logical proofs which causes one to change a previously held belief Lewis Eigen in his essay on the cultural difference between politics and scientists observes To the scientist failure to flip flop in the face of contradictory evidence is irrational and dangerous behavior 11 See also EditElection promise Pandering politics Political gaffe Reverse ferret Turncoat Volte faceReferences Edit a b c Safire William Phantom of the Phrases On Language column The New York Times Magazine March 13 1988 comment from Wicker is as quoted by Safire retrieved June 23 2008 No byline Mighty cheers for Scott A great meeting in Cooper Union last night The New York Times October 23 1890 accessed June 23 2008 subscription required Search results for flip flop New York Times archives 1850 1981 retrieved June 23 2008 Kerry discusses 87 billion comment CNN September 30 2004 Retrieved November 15 2007 Bush Ad Twists Kerry s Words on Iraq FactCheck Archived February 9 2012 at the Wayback Machine a b Harwood John Flip Flops Are Looking Like a Hot Summer Trend The Caucus feature The New York Times June 23 2008 retrieved same day Geraghty Jim Measuring the Flip Flops permanent dead link The Campaign Spot blog National Review June 23 2008 12 32 pm post accessed same day dead link Dickerson John The Flip Flop Brothers Both McCain and Obama wobbled Who will pay the price Slate magazine June 20 2008 6 32 pm Eastern Time retrieved June 23 2008 Pethoukoukis James 7 Ways McCain Can Use Energy to Beat Obama Capital Commerce blog U S News amp World Report June 16 2008 01 02 pm ET retrieved June 23 2008 dead link Broder John M In past clues to way Fed chief met mortgage crisis The International Herald Tribune August 19 2007 retrieved June 23 2008 Lewis D Eigen Flip Flop Political Vice Scientific Virtue Scriptamus 2009 http scriptamus wordpress com 2009 10 23 flip flop political vice scientific virtue Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title Flip flop politics amp oldid 1106494306, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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