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Canadian public debt

Canadian public debt, or general government debt, is the liabilities of the government sector.[1]: 23  Government gross debt consists of liabilities that are a financial claim that requires payment of interest and/or principal in future.[2]: 207  They consist mainly of Treasury bonds, but also include public service employee pension liabilities.[1]: 23, 26  Changes in debt arise primarily from new borrowing, due to government expenditures exceeding revenues.[1]: 21–23 

For 2021 (the fiscal year ending 31 March 2022), the market value of gross debt was $2,942 billion ($76,135 per capita) for the consolidated Canadian general government – federal, plus provincial, territorial and local governments (PTLGs) combined.[3] As a ratio of GDP, gross debt was 117.2% (GDP was $2,510 billion in 2021[4]), down from 130.0% in 2020, the highest level ever recorded, but significantly above the pre-pandemic level (105.6% in 2019).[5]

The sustainability of government debt depends on sound fiscal management by the provincial, territorial and local governments (PTLGs), given that Canada is one of the world's most decentralized federations.[6] Approximately half of Canadian general government gross debt in 2021 was debt of the federal (central) government ($1,570 billion or 62.5% of GDP), and half was debt of the PTLGs.[5] Public debt is sustainable when it "does not grow continuously as a share of the economy".[7] While the federal government's fiscal strategy was assessed as sustainable over the long-term, this was not the case for the subnational sector as a whole, according to a 2022 Parliamentary Budget Officer report.[7]: 25 

General government net debt, or gross debt minus financial assets, reached $1,453 billion or 57.9% as a share of GDP in the fiscal year ending 31 March 2022. This is down from 70.7% the year previously.[3] Federal government net debt, at $910 billion, or 36.3% of GDP, was above the pre-pandemic level, but was down from 42.7% of GDP in the previous year.[5]

As of March 2022, Canada's DBRS AAA federal credit rating was maintained.[8]

Alternative measures of government debt edit

Commonly-used government debt terms are gross debt, net debt, and debt securities liabilities. These measures are often presented as a share of GDP, as in the table below, to gauge the size of debt relative to the size of the economy. The debt-to-GDP ratio is a key indicator of the sustainability of government finance, according to the OECD.[9]

Gross debt, also called "total debt", consists of all liabilities that require payment of principal or interest at some point in the future.[10] Gross debt is the commonly-used measure of debt in international comparisons by the IMF and the OECD.

Net Debt is gross debt minus financial assets. It takes into account the financial assets governments hold, such as investments to cover the liabilities associated with civil servants' (government employee) pension plans. An issue with calculating net debt is that some government assets are difficult to value. Examples of difficult-to-value assets include nonmarketable equity investments, and loans that might never be repaid if the loan-receiving firms become insolvent. Another issue with net debt is which government assets should be included. The Department of Finance's method to calculate net debt has been criticized for including the assets (but not the liabilities) of the Canada Pension Plan (CPP) and Quebec Pension Plan (QPP). Yakabuski and Clemens and Palacios argue that the Department of Finance methodology understates net debt, since CPP and QPP assets are set aside to pay for future public retirement plan benefits, so they are not available to also pay down government debt.[11][12]

Debt securities liabilities are liabilities in the form of debt securities (chiefly bonds and bills.) Government debt securities provide a useful measure of government debt as they are a large share of government debt (76.2% in 2020),[13] and are relatively straightforward to measure. By contrast, the second largest debt component, employee pension plan liabilities,[13] are less easy to value as they depend on employee longevity and the pension plan investment returns over many years.

Debt securities can be valued at market value or at book value (also called the "nominal value"[14]). The value of a debt security measured at market prices is most relevant for a purchaser (price varies with changes in market yields). However, the book value is more relevant for a government issuing a security because the book value indicates the amount owing to the creditor at any moment.[15][3] In 2021, the book value of debt securities liabilities for the consolidated Canadian general government was about 1% lower than the market value ($2,187 billion at book value vs. $2,202 billion at market value),[13] and about 2% higher for the federal government ($1,246 billion at book value vs. $1,227 billion at market value.)[16]

Government debt for fiscal year 2021.Amount ($billions)Percent of GDP
Consolidated general government:
Gross debt$2,942117.2%
Net debt$1,45357.9%
Debt securities liabilities$2,20287.7%
Federal government:
Gross debt$1,57062.5%
Net debt $91036.3%
Debt securities liabilities$1,22748.9%

Notes: Data are for 2021 (the fiscal year ending 31 March 2022). The consolidated general government includes all federal (central), provincial, territorial and local governments. Debt is measured at market value. GDP in 2021 was $2,510 billion.[17]

Sources: Statistics Canada, The Daily,[3] Statistics Canada Tables 10-10-0147-01,[18] 10-10-0016-01,[16] and 36-10-0222-01.[17]

Historical context edit

Overview During the Great Depression—a severe global economic depression from 1929 to 1939—the Canadian consolidated general government gross debt as a share of GDP exceeded 100%.[6]: 1  It reached 150% following World War II.[6]: 1  The ratio fell until the 1970s, then rose to over 100% in the mid-1990s.[6]: 3  The federal government's gross debt to GDP ratio fell from the mid-1990s, before rising briefly following the financial crisis of 2008-09. It then resumed a downward trend until the pandemic-related spike in 2020. By contrast, provincial government gross debt as a share of GDP has increased fairly steadily since the 1960s.[6]

Government bond issues soared in 2020 to finance COVID-19 related spending, as shown in the figure below. As a consequence, by the third quarter of 2020, the ratio of all government debt securities liabilities to GDP jumped to 95.3%, surpassing the 1995 peak of 93.7%.

 
Sources: Statistics Canada, Table 36-10-0580-01 National Balance Sheet Accounts for 1990 to 2022, "Federal general government" and "Other levels of general government", "Debt securities" liabilities (book value) for the fourth quarter; and Table 36-10-0534-01 National balance sheet, provincial and local governments, annual, 1961-2011 and Table 36-10-0533-01 National balance sheet, federal government, annual, 1961-2011 for 1961 to 1989, "Debt securities" measured as "Short-term paper" plus "Bonds". GDP is from Statistics Canada, Table 36-10-0104-01 Gross domestic product, expenditure-based, quarterly (Gross domestic product at market prices; "current prices" converted to annual by summing the Unadjusted value over the 4 quarters of each calendar year).

The Fiscal consolidation of the 1990s Successive years of federal budget deficits in the 1980s and early 1990s, and a rising debt to GDP ratio, led to concerns about debt sustainability.[19] The federal government's deficit reached 8% measured as a share of GDP in 1983 and 1984,[19] and from 1985 to 1990 Canada's public debt increased sharply from $USD166 billion to $USD290 billion with compounding interest accounting for more than 80% of the increase.[20] In 1990, then Prime Minister Brian Mulroney introduced a budget that included a two-year freeze on health care and post-secondary education transfers to the provinces, the elimination of cash grants to businesses, and a 5% cap on spending increases for foreign aid and the military.[20] Plans to privatize Petro-Canada were also announced, a continuation of the privatization program that began in the 1980s which included sales of 23 of Canada's 61 crown corporations,[21] Air Canada, Havilland Aircraft of Canada, Canadian Arsenals, and Connaught Laboratories[22][20][23][24][25][26] These measures were expected to decrease the federal deficit from $USD25.3 billion to $USD8.3 billion by 1995.[20]

An editorial in the Wall Street Journal in 1995 said Canada might need an International Monetary Fund bailout and called Canada "an honorary member of the Third World."[19] When Jean Chretien became Prime Minister in November 1993, he undertook a fiscal consolidation that was achieved mainly by big spending reductions. The ratio of spending cuts to tax hikes was seven-to-one. Tax revenues could not be boosted by much partly because Canada's top marginal income tax rate was already around 55%.[19] The policy shift represented "the biggest reduction in Canadian government spending since demobilization after World War Two."[19] By FY 1995-1996 the federal net debt to GDP ratio peaked at 68%, and a budget surplus was achieved within four years.[19]

The Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 Pandemic In 2010, Canada's debt-to-GDP ratio was 77%.[27] During the period that included the 2008 financial crisis and the Great Recession, Stephen Harper's CPC government reported six straight years of budget deficits.[28] The federal debt (measured as the accumulated deficit) continued to increase after the financial crisis.[29] The net debt-to-GDP ratio increased to 33% in 2013, and then began a slight decline.[29]

During 2020, the first year of the historic COVID-19 pandemic, the sum of all government liabilities (gross debt) reached $2,852 billion (129.2% as a ratio of GDP).[5] The consolidated general government (federal, provincial, territorial and local governments) posted an "historic deficit" of $325.5 billion to provide relief.[5]: 11  Issuances of financial instruments in 2020Q2 reached record highs, including an additional $234.4 billion in federal short term paper and an additional $65.7 billion in federal bonds.[30] Borrowing at the subnational level (mostly provincial government bonds) reached $62 billion.[30] By 2022Q2, the GDP increased and the federal government's net debt-to-GDP ratio was 35.4%, down from 36.8% in Q1.[31]

During the COVID-19 pandemic, interest rates were at an historic low which meant that the massive deficit spending was easier to finance.[32] Interest payments on debt represented approximately 1% of GDP early in the pandemic, compared to 6% in 1995, when it reached its highest level.[32] By mid-2021, interest payments on public debt were projected to rise for the federal government and nine of ten provinces.[32] For the fiscal year ending 31 March 2022, interest expense on government debt liabilities was $64.6 billion, or 6.8% of every dollar of revenue.[3]

Public debt of Canadian provinces, territories, and local governments (PTLG) edit

The total financial liabilities or gross debt of the Canadian consolidated provincial, territorial and local governments (PTLG) was $1,460 billion in 2021 (the fiscal year ending 31 March 2022), as shown in the table below.[3] Provincial government gross debt is a substantial proportion of the $2,942 billion of public debt obligations of Canadians. Consolidated PTLG gross debt is 58.2% measured as a percentage of GDP, almost as large as the federal government's 62.5%.

The value of provincial outstanding debt securities liabilities expressed as a percentage of GDP was lowest for British Columbia (26.1%) and highest for Manitoba (71.4%) in 2021. Debt securities provide a useful measure of debt because they comprise the largest component of gross debt and are relatively straightforward to measure. (Another major component of gross debt, government employee pension plan liabilities,[13] is more difficult to measure as it varies with a plan's investment returns and member longevity, for example.) The outstanding debt securities issued by the consolidated provincial, territorial, and local governments (PTLGs), at 40.9% as a percentage of GDP, is smaller but similar in size to the federal government's 48.9%.

Data for fiscal year 2021.Gross debt ($billions)Gross debt as a percent of GDPDebt securities ($billions)Debt securities as a percent of GDP
British Columbia $125.1 35.7% $91.7 26.1%
Alberta $147.9 39.5% $109.6 29.3%
Saskatchewan $47.6 53.9% $29.1 32.9%
Manitoba $70.7 88.6% $57.0 71.4%
Ontario $562.3 58.8% $440.3 46.0%
Quebec $443.7 88.0% $263.1 52.2%
New Brunswick $28.1 65.9% $22.5 52.8%
Nova Scotia $26.7 51.3% $18.0 34.6%
Prince Edward Island $4.3 50.0% $3.2 37.3%
Newfoundland and Labrador $25.6 67.4% $17.5 46.1%
Consolidated provincial-territorial and local governments $1,460.4 58.2% $1,027.7 40.9%
Federal government $1,569.6 62.5% $1,227.0 48.9%
Consolidated Canadian general government $2,942.2 117.2% $2,201.8 87.7%

Notes: Data are for 2021 (the fiscal year ending 31 March 2022). The consolidated general government includes all federal (central), provincial, territorial and local governments. Debt is measured at market value.

Sources: Statistics Canada Tables 10-10-0147-01,[33] 10-10-0016-01[16] and 36-10-0222-01.[17]

Data for the provincial governments are consolidated. "Consolidation is a method used to present one overarching statistic for a province that eliminates all transactions and debtor-creditor relationships among different government units within a province."[34] These units include the "provincial government, health and social service institutions, universities and colleges, municipalities and other local public administrations, and school boards".[34] "Consolidated data can be compared across provinces because consolidation takes into account differences in provincial administrative structures and government service delivery".[34]

Consolidated data for the Canadian general government combines federal government data with provincial, territorial and local governments, but excludes data for the Canada Pension Plan and Quebec Pension Plan.[35]

Provincial debt measurement: Public accounts vs. national accounts measures of debt The Canadian Department of Finance provides measures of federal and provincial debt on a public accounts basis, using reports from individual governments.[36] An advantage of public accounts numbers is that they can provide detail on government expenditures. However, they are not strictly comparable across jurisdictions. By contrast, debt measured on a national accounts basis (employed in the table above) follows an internationally-agreed standard, in order to facilitate comparisons across countries and provinces.[37] According to the Department of Finance, the divergence between public accounts and national accounts measures arise from differences in the reporting of public sector pensions and other future benefits, methodological differences, and timing adjustments.[38]

Debt held by foreign investors edit

In 1960, 4% of the Canadian government debt was held by foreign investors.[39]

From 2009–2010 to 2013–2014, the amount of the Canadian's debt held by foreign investors increased from 15% to 27% with a peak of 30% in 2012–2013. According to 2012 and a 2014 Department of Finance reports, debt held by foreign investors was lower than or comparable to most G7 countries in 2013-2014, including France at 64%, Germany at 62%, United States at 48%, Italy at 33%, United Kingdom at 29%, and Japan at 8%.[40][41] In 2021 (the fiscal year ending 31 March 2022) non-resident investors held 29% of Government of Canada securities,[42]: 22  up from 24% in the previous year, which the Department of Finance described as "in the mid-range compared to other sovereigns in the G7."[43]: 25 

Risk factors: interest rates, economic growth, and currency valuation changes edit

Major risk factors that can increase government debt include slowing economic growth, rising interest rates, and a decline in the value of the Canadian dollar.

Rising interest rates increase public debt charges, raising government expenditures.[1] From 2011 to 2021, falling rates meant that while public debt rose, public debt charges decreased from $29 billion to $24 billion.[1] The average interest paid on the federal debt was 4.6% in FY2007–2008,[1] and by FY2020-2021 it was 1.4%.[44]: 49  However, economist Don Drummond, a former Finance Department assistant deputy minister, said in October 2020 that the interest rate on public debt would certainly rise from the level at that time, which was by far the lowest in post-war experience. With federal government debt over $1 trillion, every one percentage point rise in the effective interest rate adds more than $10 billion per year to the federal deficit.[45]

Drummond also noted that slow economic growth would reduce government tax revenue. Further, slower growth of GDP relative to growth of debt will increase the ratio of debt to GDP.[45]

As of 2019, the International Monetary Fund views exchange rate risk as low for Canada because 90% of general government outstanding marketable debt instruments are denominated in Canadian dollars.[46] For the 10% of debt denominated in foreign currency, there is exchange rate risk since if the Canadian dollar falls in value, a larger quantity of Canadian dollars is needed to repay the debt.

Debt comparison with other countries edit

The level of government (central, state, or local) responsible for government programs differs across countries.  For this reason, international fiscal comparisons are usually made on a total government, national accounts basis.  For Canada, total government includes the federal (central), provincial/territorial, and local governments.  Another reason to measure debt on a total government basis is that the federal government may be viewed as responsible for the debt of other levels of government.[47]  Credit rating agency Fitch said it expects the federal government to provide a province with access to debt markets, as it did early in the coronavirus pandemic.[48][49] When Newfoundland needed debt repayment assistance in March 2020, it appealed to the federal government.[50] Any aid delivered to one province would reduce the resources the federal government has available for its own debt repayment responsibilities, and to support debt repayment in other provinces.  

The International Monetary Fund's (IMF) World Economic Outlook reports that for 2021 Canada's net debt-to-GDP ratio was 32% and the gross debt-to-GDP ratio was 113%.[51] According to the IMF, for the last 15 years, Canada had the lowest net debt-to-GDP ratio, at around 33%, among G7 countries.[52] The IMF notes that Canada's general government holds sizeable financial assets, including securities, loans and equity holdings. These rose sharply during the COVID-19 pandemic (to 81% of GDP in 2021 from 64% in 2019), spurred by support measures such as loans to businesses and tax deferrals (accounts receivable).[53]: 39  Canada's general government gross debt includes substantial accounts payable (around 18% of GDP at end-2021), which many advanced countries do not report. In net debt calculations, most advanced economies remove accounts payable and receivable, as well as equity holdings, but Canada includes equity assets, and both accounts payable and receivable.[53]: 40  Approximately a quarter of general government total financial assets are pension fund investments.[53]: 39  The IMF's general government debt calculation excludes unfunded pension liabilities, to maintain comparability with other countries.[53]: 40 

The general government gross debt to GDP ratio for countries the IMF classifies as Advanced economies that have a population of at least 5 million is shown in the table below. In 2022, Canada had the third lowest level of gross public debt as a percent of GDP among the G7 countries – lower than Japan, Italy, the United States, and France, but higher than Germany, and the United Kingdom.

General Government Gross Debt, Percent of GDP

20212022
Japan255.4261.3
Greece200.7177.4
Italy149.8144.7
Singapore147.7134.2
United States126.4121.7
Portugal125.4116.0
Spain118.4112.0
France112.6111.1
Canada115.1106.6
Belgium109.2105.3
United Kingdom108.1102.6
Austria82.377.8
Finland72.674.8
Germany68.666.5
Israel68.060.9
Slovak Republic62.258.8
Australia57.655.7
Korea51.354.3
New Zealand50.152.8
Netherlands52.448.5
Ireland55.445.2
Czech Republic42.042.3
Norway42.739.6
Switzerland41.539.1
Sweden36.331.7
Denmark36.629.7

Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2023. Numbers are IMF staff estimates in 2022 for Australia, Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Greece, Ireland, Israel, Japan, Korea, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Slovak Republic, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United States; and in 2021 for Israel and New Zealand.

Public debt sustainability edit

In its staff report released in 2019, before the COVID-19 pandemic, the International Monetary Fund says the Canadian federal government experienced favorable economic conditions since the 2018 budget that led to sizeable windfall gains: higher than anticipated revenue collections, lower transfers to households, and lower projected interest rates.  On the other hand, pressures loom large on the horizon at the provincial level, with annual health care spending growth expected to rise from 3% to 4½% over a 10-20 year timeframe, contributing to rising net debt to GDP ratios by around 2025.[54]

The July 2022 Fiscal Sustainability Report by the Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO) said that while the current fiscal policy of the federal government and the Quebec, Alberta, Saskatchewan and Nova Scotia governments was sustainable over the long-term, this was not the case for all provincial and territorial governments.[7]: 3, 25  The report is based on a 75-year projection horizon and has assessed that the combination of public pension plans; federal government; and provincial, territorial and local governments are sustainable over that period.[7]

Credit ratings edit

A credit rating provides an indication of the sustainability of a government's debt, as it shows the rating agency's view of the ability of a borrower to "meet financial commitments".[55] Credit rating agencies report on Canada's credit strength and their reports are used by investors—including sovereign wealth and pension funds.[56] A credit rating may affect borrowing costs. Standard & Poor rates Canada's credit at AAA; Moody's is Aaa; Fitch's is AA+, and DBRS's is AAA.[56][57]: 15–16  In 2022, all four credit rating agencies evaluate Canada's credit with a stable outlook.[56] As of March 2022, Canada's DBRS AAA credit rating was maintained in response to expectations of the decline in the federal fiscal deficit 14.6% of GDP in FY 2020-2021 to 2.2% in FY 2022-2023.[8]

See also edit

General:

International:

Notes edit

References edit

  1. ^ a b c d e f Kerim-Dikeni, Sirina; Léonard, André, eds. (14 September 2021). Federal Government Finances: Questions and Answers 2021 (PDF). Library of Parliament (Report). p. 36. Retrieved 24 September 2022.
  2. ^ International Monetary Fund (2014). "Government Finance Statistics Manual 2014" (PDF).
  3. ^ a b c d e f Statistics Canada (22 November 2022). "Canadian general government deficit shrinks, still above pre-pandemic levels".
  4. ^ Statistics Canada (19 November 2012). "Table 36-10-0222-01 Gross domestic product, expenditure-based provincial and territorial, annual".
  5. ^ a b c d e Statistics Canada, The Daily (22 November 2021). COVID-19: Historic deficit for the Canadian general government (PDF) (Report).
  6. ^ a b c d e Tombe, Trevor (September 2020). "Provincial Debt Sustainability in Canada: Demographics, Federal Transfers, and COVID-19" (PDF). (PDF) from the original on 28 September 2020. Retrieved 8 December 2020.
  7. ^ a b c d MacPhee, Sarah; Cléophat, Régine; Kho, Albert; Nicol, Caroline (28 July 2022). Fiscal Sustainability Report 2022 (Report). Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer. Retrieved 24 September 2022.
  8. ^ a b Canada keeps its AAA rating from DBRS (Report). 11 March 2022. Retrieved 24 September 2022.
  9. ^ Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. "General government debt". OECD.org.
  10. ^ Statistics Canada (30 May 2017). "Gross debt".
  11. ^ Yakabuski, Konrad (3 June 2021). "Chrystia Freeland has painted a misleading picture of Canada's indebtedness". The Globe and Mail.
  12. ^ Clemens, Jason; Palacios, Milagros (June 2021). Caution Required When Comparing Canada's Debt to that of Other Countries (PDF) (Report). fraserinstitute.org.
  13. ^ a b c d Statistics Canada (2018). "Table 10-10-0147-01 Canadian government finance statistics (CGFS), statement of operations and balance sheet for consolidated governments". Government of Canada. doi:10.25318/1010014701-eng.
  14. ^ Zhang, Yiling; Xie, Min; Krochmalnak, Dave; Hoffarth, Matthew (26 July 2021). "Trends in Canadian business debt financing: Before and during COVID-19, Footnote 12". Statistics Canada.
  15. ^ "Chapter 9 Government Finance Statistics, Section 9.2.3.2.2 Valuation of Stock Positions". Statistics Canada. 22 June 2018.
  16. ^ a b c Statistics Canada (2018). "Table 10-10-0016-01 Canadian government finance statics for the federal government". Government of Canada. doi:10.25318/1010001601-eng.
  17. ^ a b c Statistics Canada (2018). "Table 36-10-0222-01 Gross domestic product, expenditure-based, provincial and territorial, annual". Government of Canada. doi:10.25318/3610022201-eng.
  18. ^ Statistics Canada (2018). "Table 10-10-0147-01, Canadian government finance statistics (CGFS), statement of operations and balance sheet for consolidated governments". Government of Canada. doi:10.25318/1010014701-eng.
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  20. ^ a b c d "Canada presents austerity budget". The New York Times. 21 February 1990. Retrieved 28 September 2022.
  21. ^ "Lessons from the North: Canada's Privatization of Military Ammunition Production" (PDF). Retrieved 7 June 2010.
  22. ^ . CBC News. 20 June 2005. Archived from the original on 21 April 2006. Retrieved 29 July 2022.
  23. ^ Newman, Peter C. (16 December 1985). "Selling off the Crown jewels". Maclean's. Retrieved 28 September 2022.
  24. ^ Thomas, William (22 February 2021). "Connaught Labs — the greatest mistake ever made by a Canadian government". St. Catherine's Standard. Retrieved 29 July 2022.
  25. ^ Enchin, Harvey (30 September 1989). "History fuels nationalism-global trade debate". The Globe and Mail. p. B1. ISSN 0319-0714.
  26. ^ Yusufali, Sasha; Pratt, Larry (16 November 2009). "Petro-Canada". Canadian Encyclopedia. Retrieved 29 July 2022.
  27. ^ "Debt-to-GDP ratio shows Canada's strength". CBC News. 24 February 2010. Retrieved 4 June 2011.
  28. ^ Pereira, Michael; Wall, Kerry (18 March 2014). . CBC News. Archived from the original on 23 September 2022. Retrieved 23 September 2022.
  29. ^ a b Kerim-Dikeni, Sirina; Léonard, André, eds. (18 February 2016). Federal Government Finances: Questions and Answers. Library of Parliament (Report). p. 36. Retrieved 23 September 2022.
  30. ^ a b Statistics Canada, The Daily (11 September 2020). (Report). Archived from the original on 17 September 2020. Retrieved 25 September 2020.{{cite report}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  31. ^ National balance sheet and financial flow accounts, second quarter 2022. Government of Canada via Statistics Canada (Report). The Daily. 12 September 2022. Retrieved 26 September 2022.
  32. ^ a b c Goldstein, Lorrie. "Servicing public debt eroding nation's finances". Toronto Sun. Opinion. Retrieved 25 March 2022.
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  34. ^ a b c Largest deficit in seven years in 2019: full impact of pandemic yet to be seen. Statistics Canada (Report). The Daily. 18 November 2020. (PDF) from the original on 25 September 2022. Retrieved 25 September 2020.
  35. ^ Statistics Canada, The Daily (29 November 2021). ""Note to Readers" in "COVID-19: Historic deficit for the Canadian general government"". from the original on 22 November 2021.
  36. ^ Department of Finance Canada (22 November 2008). "Fiscal Reference Tables". Government of Canada. from the original on 7 January 2020.
  37. ^ Government of Canada, Department of Finance (5 November 2019). "Annual Financial Report of the Government of Canada Fiscal Year 2018-19".
  38. ^ Government of Canada, Department of Finance (5 November 2019). "Table 8, Annual Financial Report of the Government of Canada Fiscal Year 2018-19".
  39. ^ Safaraian, A.E. The Hegemony of International Business, 1945–1970, Volume IV: Foreign Ownership of Canadian Industry. New York: Routledge, 1973. 12.
  40. ^ Department of Finance Canada, Debt Management Report 2011–2012, http://www.fin.gc.ca/dtman/2011-2012/dmr-rgd1201-eng.asp#Toc340732968
  41. ^ Department of Finance Canada, Debt Management Report 2013–2014, http://www.fin.gc.ca/dtman/2013-2014/dmr-rgd1401-eng.asp#toc12
  42. ^ Department of Finance Canada (2022). Fiscal Reference Tables 2022 (PDF) (Report).
  43. ^ Department of Finance Canada (2022). Debt Management Report 2020-2021 (PDF) (Report).
  44. ^ Debt management report 2020-2011 (PDF). Department of Finance Canada (Report). p. 54. ISSN 1487-0177.
  45. ^ a b Drummond, Don (20 October 2020). "Canada's Foggy Economic and Fiscal Future". C. D. Howe Institute. from the original on 21 October 2020.
  46. ^ International Monetary Fund (24 June 2019). "Canada: 2019 Article IV Consultation Staff Report, page 52". from the original on 5 August 2019.
  47. ^ Robson, William; Laurin, Alexandre (27 October 2020). "Adaptability, accountability and sustainability: Intergovernmental fiscal arrangements in Canada, Chapter 6 in Ageing and Fiscal Challenges across Levels of Government". OECD-ilibrary.org: 20 of 23. doi:10.1787/121c8209-en. from the original on 11 December 2020.
  48. ^ Brethour, Patrick (28 June 2021). "Fitch downgrades B.C.'s credit rating partly because of federal debt". The Globe and Mail. from the original on 28 June 2021.
  49. ^ Fitch Ratings (24 June 2021). "Fitch Affirms Province of Ontario IDR at 'AA-'; Outlook Stable". from the original on 9 July 2021.
  50. ^ CBC News (20 March 2020). "Out of time / How a pandemic and an oil crash almost sank Newfoundland and Labrador".
  51. ^ "World Economic Outlook Database". International Monetary Fund. October 2022.
  52. ^ Canada, Global Affairs (10 May 2022). "Key facts about Canada's competitiveness for foreign direct investment". GAC. Retrieved 24 September 2022.
  53. ^ a b c d IMF Staff (17 November 2022). Canada: Staff Report for the 2022 Article IV Consultation (Report). International Monetary Fund.
  54. ^ International Monetary Fund (24 June 2019). "Canada: 2019 Article IV Consultation Staff Report, pages 14-15". from the original on 5 August 2019.
  55. ^ "Ratings Definitions". Fitch Ratings.
  56. ^ a b c "Canada", Trading Economics, Credit Rating
  57. ^ Department of Finance Canada (2022). Debt Management Report 2020-21 (PDF) (Report).

External links edit

canadian, public, debt, general, government, debt, liabilities, government, sector, government, gross, debt, consists, liabilities, that, financial, claim, that, requires, payment, interest, principal, future, they, consist, mainly, treasury, bonds, also, incl. Canadian public debt or general government debt is the liabilities of the government sector 1 23 Government gross debt consists of liabilities that are a financial claim that requires payment of interest and or principal in future 2 207 They consist mainly of Treasury bonds but also include public service employee pension liabilities 1 23 26 Changes in debt arise primarily from new borrowing due to government expenditures exceeding revenues 1 21 23 For 2021 the fiscal year ending 31 March 2022 the market value of gross debt was 2 942 billion 76 135 per capita for the consolidated Canadian general government federal plus provincial territorial and local governments PTLGs combined 3 As a ratio of GDP gross debt was 117 2 GDP was 2 510 billion in 2021 4 down from 130 0 in 2020 the highest level ever recorded but significantly above the pre pandemic level 105 6 in 2019 5 The sustainability of government debt depends on sound fiscal management by the provincial territorial and local governments PTLGs given that Canada is one of the world s most decentralized federations 6 Approximately half of Canadian general government gross debt in 2021 was debt of the federal central government 1 570 billion or 62 5 of GDP and half was debt of the PTLGs 5 Public debt is sustainable when it does not grow continuously as a share of the economy 7 While the federal government s fiscal strategy was assessed as sustainable over the long term this was not the case for the subnational sector as a whole according to a 2022 Parliamentary Budget Officer report 7 25 General government net debt or gross debt minus financial assets reached 1 453 billion or 57 9 as a share of GDP in the fiscal year ending 31 March 2022 This is down from 70 7 the year previously 3 Federal government net debt at 910 billion or 36 3 of GDP was above the pre pandemic level but was down from 42 7 of GDP in the previous year 5 As of March 2022 Canada s DBRS AAA federal credit rating was maintained 8 Contents 1 Alternative measures of government debt 2 Historical context 3 Public debt of Canadian provinces territories and local governments PTLG 4 Debt held by foreign investors 5 Risk factors interest rates economic growth and currency valuation changes 6 Debt comparison with other countries 7 Public debt sustainability 7 1 Credit ratings 8 See also 9 Notes 10 References 11 External linksAlternative measures of government debt editCommonly used government debt terms are gross debt net debt and debt securities liabilities These measures are often presented as a share of GDP as in the table below to gauge the size of debt relative to the size of the economy The debt to GDP ratio is a key indicator of the sustainability of government finance according to the OECD 9 Gross debt also called total debt consists of all liabilities that require payment of principal or interest at some point in the future 10 Gross debt is the commonly used measure of debt in international comparisons by the IMF and the OECD Net Debt is gross debt minus financial assets It takes into account the financial assets governments hold such as investments to cover the liabilities associated with civil servants government employee pension plans An issue with calculating net debt is that some government assets are difficult to value Examples of difficult to value assets include nonmarketable equity investments and loans that might never be repaid if the loan receiving firms become insolvent Another issue with net debt is which government assets should be included The Department of Finance s method to calculate net debt has been criticized for including the assets but not the liabilities of the Canada Pension Plan CPP and Quebec Pension Plan QPP Yakabuski and Clemens and Palacios argue that the Department of Finance methodology understates net debt since CPP and QPP assets are set aside to pay for future public retirement plan benefits so they are not available to also pay down government debt 11 12 Debt securities liabilities are liabilities in the form of debt securities chiefly bonds and bills Government debt securities provide a useful measure of government debt as they are a large share of government debt 76 2 in 2020 13 and are relatively straightforward to measure By contrast the second largest debt component employee pension plan liabilities 13 are less easy to value as they depend on employee longevity and the pension plan investment returns over many years Debt securities can be valued at market value or at book value also called the nominal value 14 The value of a debt security measured at market prices is most relevant for a purchaser price varies with changes in market yields However the book value is more relevant for a government issuing a security because the book value indicates the amount owing to the creditor at any moment 15 3 In 2021 the book value of debt securities liabilities for the consolidated Canadian general government was about 1 lower than the market value 2 187 billion at book value vs 2 202 billion at market value 13 and about 2 higher for the federal government 1 246 billion at book value vs 1 227 billion at market value 16 Government debt for fiscal year 2021 Amount billions Percent of GDPConsolidated general government Gross debt 2 942117 2 Net debt 1 45357 9 Debt securities liabilities 2 20287 7 Federal government Gross debt 1 57062 5 Net debt 91036 3 Debt securities liabilities 1 22748 9 Notes Data are for 2021 the fiscal year ending 31 March 2022 The consolidated general government includes all federal central provincial territorial and local governments Debt is measured at market value GDP in 2021 was 2 510 billion 17 Sources Statistics Canada The Daily 3 Statistics Canada Tables 10 10 0147 01 18 10 10 0016 01 16 and 36 10 0222 01 17 Historical context editOverview During the Great Depression a severe global economic depression from 1929 to 1939 the Canadian consolidated general government gross debt as a share of GDP exceeded 100 6 1 It reached 150 following World War II 6 1 The ratio fell until the 1970s then rose to over 100 in the mid 1990s 6 3 The federal government s gross debt to GDP ratio fell from the mid 1990s before rising briefly following the financial crisis of 2008 09 It then resumed a downward trend until the pandemic related spike in 2020 By contrast provincial government gross debt as a share of GDP has increased fairly steadily since the 1960s 6 Government bond issues soared in 2020 to finance COVID 19 related spending as shown in the figure below As a consequence by the third quarter of 2020 the ratio of all government debt securities liabilities to GDP jumped to 95 3 surpassing the 1995 peak of 93 7 nbsp Sources Statistics Canada Table 36 10 0580 01 National Balance Sheet Accounts for 1990 to 2022 Federal general government and Other levels of general government Debt securities liabilities book value for the fourth quarter and Table 36 10 0534 01 National balance sheet provincial and local governments annual 1961 2011 and Table 36 10 0533 01 National balance sheet federal government annual 1961 2011 for 1961 to 1989 Debt securities measured as Short term paper plus Bonds GDP is from Statistics Canada Table 36 10 0104 01 Gross domestic product expenditure based quarterly Gross domestic product at market prices current prices converted to annual by summing the Unadjusted value over the 4 quarters of each calendar year The Fiscal consolidation of the 1990s Successive years of federal budget deficits in the 1980s and early 1990s and a rising debt to GDP ratio led to concerns about debt sustainability 19 The federal government s deficit reached 8 measured as a share of GDP in 1983 and 1984 19 and from 1985 to 1990 Canada s public debt increased sharply from USD166 billion to USD290 billion with compounding interest accounting for more than 80 of the increase 20 In 1990 then Prime Minister Brian Mulroney introduced a budget that included a two year freeze on health care and post secondary education transfers to the provinces the elimination of cash grants to businesses and a 5 cap on spending increases for foreign aid and the military 20 Plans to privatize Petro Canada were also announced a continuation of the privatization program that began in the 1980s which included sales of 23 of Canada s 61 crown corporations 21 Air Canada Havilland Aircraft of Canada Canadian Arsenals and Connaught Laboratories 22 20 23 24 25 26 These measures were expected to decrease the federal deficit from USD25 3 billion to USD8 3 billion by 1995 20 An editorial in the Wall Street Journal in 1995 said Canada might need an International Monetary Fund bailout and called Canada an honorary member of the Third World 19 When Jean Chretien became Prime Minister in November 1993 he undertook a fiscal consolidation that was achieved mainly by big spending reductions The ratio of spending cuts to tax hikes was seven to one Tax revenues could not be boosted by much partly because Canada s top marginal income tax rate was already around 55 19 The policy shift represented the biggest reduction in Canadian government spending since demobilization after World War Two 19 By FY 1995 1996 the federal net debt to GDP ratio peaked at 68 and a budget surplus was achieved within four years 19 The Financial Crisis and the COVID 19 Pandemic In 2010 Canada s debt to GDP ratio was 77 27 During the period that included the 2008 financial crisis and the Great Recession Stephen Harper s CPC government reported six straight years of budget deficits 28 The federal debt measured as the accumulated deficit continued to increase after the financial crisis 29 The net debt to GDP ratio increased to 33 in 2013 and then began a slight decline 29 During 2020 the first year of the historic COVID 19 pandemic the sum of all government liabilities gross debt reached 2 852 billion 129 2 as a ratio of GDP 5 The consolidated general government federal provincial territorial and local governments posted an historic deficit of 325 5 billion to provide relief 5 11 Issuances of financial instruments in 2020Q2 reached record highs including an additional 234 4 billion in federal short term paper and an additional 65 7 billion in federal bonds 30 Borrowing at the subnational level mostly provincial government bonds reached 62 billion 30 By 2022Q2 the GDP increased and the federal government s net debt to GDP ratio was 35 4 down from 36 8 in Q1 31 During the COVID 19 pandemic interest rates were at an historic low which meant that the massive deficit spending was easier to finance 32 Interest payments on debt represented approximately 1 of GDP early in the pandemic compared to 6 in 1995 when it reached its highest level 32 By mid 2021 interest payments on public debt were projected to rise for the federal government and nine of ten provinces 32 For the fiscal year ending 31 March 2022 interest expense on government debt liabilities was 64 6 billion or 6 8 of every dollar of revenue 3 Public debt of Canadian provinces territories and local governments PTLG editThe total financial liabilities or gross debt of the Canadian consolidated provincial territorial and local governments PTLG was 1 460 billion in 2021 the fiscal year ending 31 March 2022 as shown in the table below 3 Provincial government gross debt is a substantial proportion of the 2 942 billion of public debt obligations of Canadians Consolidated PTLG gross debt is 58 2 measured as a percentage of GDP almost as large as the federal government s 62 5 The value of provincial outstanding debt securities liabilities expressed as a percentage of GDP was lowest for British Columbia 26 1 and highest for Manitoba 71 4 in 2021 Debt securities provide a useful measure of debt because they comprise the largest component of gross debt and are relatively straightforward to measure Another major component of gross debt government employee pension plan liabilities 13 is more difficult to measure as it varies with a plan s investment returns and member longevity for example The outstanding debt securities issued by the consolidated provincial territorial and local governments PTLGs at 40 9 as a percentage of GDP is smaller but similar in size to the federal government s 48 9 Data for fiscal year 2021 Gross debt billions Gross debt as a percent of GDPDebt securities billions Debt securities as a percent of GDPBritish Columbia 125 135 7 91 726 1 Alberta 147 939 5 109 629 3 Saskatchewan 47 653 9 29 132 9 Manitoba 70 788 6 57 071 4 Ontario 562 358 8 440 346 0 Quebec 443 788 0 263 152 2 New Brunswick 28 165 9 22 552 8 Nova Scotia 26 751 3 18 034 6 Prince Edward Island 4 350 0 3 237 3 Newfoundland and Labrador 25 667 4 17 546 1 Consolidated provincial territorial and local governments 1 460 458 2 1 027 740 9 Federal government 1 569 662 5 1 227 048 9 Consolidated Canadian general government 2 942 2117 2 2 201 887 7 Notes Data are for 2021 the fiscal year ending 31 March 2022 The consolidated general government includes all federal central provincial territorial and local governments Debt is measured at market value Sources Statistics Canada Tables 10 10 0147 01 33 10 10 0016 01 16 and 36 10 0222 01 17 Data for the provincial governments are consolidated Consolidation is a method used to present one overarching statistic for a province that eliminates all transactions and debtor creditor relationships among different government units within a province 34 These units include the provincial government health and social service institutions universities and colleges municipalities and other local public administrations and school boards 34 Consolidated data can be compared across provinces because consolidation takes into account differences in provincial administrative structures and government service delivery 34 Consolidated data for the Canadian general government combines federal government data with provincial territorial and local governments but excludes data for the Canada Pension Plan and Quebec Pension Plan 35 Provincial debt measurement Public accounts vs national accounts measures of debt The Canadian Department of Finance provides measures of federal and provincial debt on a public accounts basis using reports from individual governments 36 An advantage of public accounts numbers is that they can provide detail on government expenditures However they are not strictly comparable across jurisdictions By contrast debt measured on a national accounts basis employed in the table above follows an internationally agreed standard in order to facilitate comparisons across countries and provinces 37 According to the Department of Finance the divergence between public accounts and national accounts measures arise from differences in the reporting of public sector pensions and other future benefits methodological differences and timing adjustments 38 Debt held by foreign investors editIn 1960 4 of the Canadian government debt was held by foreign investors 39 From 2009 2010 to 2013 2014 the amount of the Canadian s debt held by foreign investors increased from 15 to 27 with a peak of 30 in 2012 2013 According to 2012 and a 2014 Department of Finance reports debt held by foreign investors was lower than or comparable to most G7 countries in 2013 2014 including France at 64 Germany at 62 United States at 48 Italy at 33 United Kingdom at 29 and Japan at 8 40 41 In 2021 the fiscal year ending 31 March 2022 non resident investors held 29 of Government of Canada securities 42 22 up from 24 in the previous year which the Department of Finance described as in the mid range compared to other sovereigns in the G7 43 25 Risk factors interest rates economic growth and currency valuation changes editMajor risk factors that can increase government debt include slowing economic growth rising interest rates and a decline in the value of the Canadian dollar Rising interest rates increase public debt charges raising government expenditures 1 From 2011 to 2021 falling rates meant that while public debt rose public debt charges decreased from 29 billion to 24 billion 1 The average interest paid on the federal debt was 4 6 in FY2007 2008 1 and by FY2020 2021 it was 1 4 44 49 However economist Don Drummond a former Finance Department assistant deputy minister said in October 2020 that the interest rate on public debt would certainly rise from the level at that time which was by far the lowest in post war experience With federal government debt over 1 trillion every one percentage point rise in the effective interest rate adds more than 10 billion per year to the federal deficit 45 Drummond also noted that slow economic growth would reduce government tax revenue Further slower growth of GDP relative to growth of debt will increase the ratio of debt to GDP 45 As of 2019 the International Monetary Fund views exchange rate risk as low for Canada because 90 of general government outstanding marketable debt instruments are denominated in Canadian dollars 46 For the 10 of debt denominated in foreign currency there is exchange rate risk since if the Canadian dollar falls in value a larger quantity of Canadian dollars is needed to repay the debt Debt comparison with other countries editThe level of government central state or local responsible for government programs differs across countries For this reason international fiscal comparisons are usually made on a total government national accounts basis For Canada total government includes the federal central provincial territorial and local governments Another reason to measure debt on a total government basis is that the federal government may be viewed as responsible for the debt of other levels of government 47 Credit rating agency Fitch said it expects the federal government to provide a province with access to debt markets as it did early in the coronavirus pandemic 48 49 When Newfoundland needed debt repayment assistance in March 2020 it appealed to the federal government 50 Any aid delivered to one province would reduce the resources the federal government has available for its own debt repayment responsibilities and to support debt repayment in other provinces The International Monetary Fund s IMF World Economic Outlook reports that for 2021 Canada s net debt to GDP ratio was 32 and the gross debt to GDP ratio was 113 51 According to the IMF for the last 15 years Canada had the lowest net debt to GDP ratio at around 33 among G7 countries 52 The IMF notes that Canada s general government holds sizeable financial assets including securities loans and equity holdings These rose sharply during the COVID 19 pandemic to 81 of GDP in 2021 from 64 in 2019 spurred by support measures such as loans to businesses and tax deferrals accounts receivable 53 39 Canada s general government gross debt includes substantial accounts payable around 18 of GDP at end 2021 which many advanced countries do not report In net debt calculations most advanced economies remove accounts payable and receivable as well as equity holdings but Canada includes equity assets and both accounts payable and receivable 53 40 Approximately a quarter of general government total financial assets are pension fund investments 53 39 The IMF s general government debt calculation excludes unfunded pension liabilities to maintain comparability with other countries 53 40 The general government gross debt to GDP ratio for countries the IMF classifies as Advanced economies that have a population of at least 5 million is shown in the table below In 2022 Canada had the third lowest level of gross public debt as a percent of GDP among the G7 countries lower than Japan Italy the United States and France but higher than Germany and the United Kingdom General Government Gross Debt Percent of GDP 20212022Japan255 4261 3Greece200 7177 4Italy149 8144 7Singapore147 7134 2United States126 4121 7Portugal125 4116 0Spain118 4112 0France112 6111 1Canada115 1106 6Belgium109 2105 3United Kingdom108 1102 6Austria82 377 8Finland72 674 8Germany68 666 5Israel68 060 9Slovak Republic62 258 8Australia57 655 7Korea51 354 3New Zealand50 152 8Netherlands52 448 5Ireland55 445 2Czech Republic42 042 3Norway42 739 6Switzerland41 539 1Sweden36 331 7Denmark36 629 7 Source International Monetary Fund World Economic Outlook Database April 2023 Numbers are IMF staff estimates in 2022 for Australia Austria Belgium Czech Republic Denmark Finland France Greece Ireland Israel Japan Korea Netherlands New Zealand Norway Slovak Republic Spain Sweden Switzerland and the United States and in 2021 for Israel and New Zealand Public debt sustainability editIn its staff report released in 2019 before the COVID 19 pandemic the International Monetary Fund says the Canadian federal government experienced favorable economic conditions since the 2018 budget that led to sizeable windfall gains higher than anticipated revenue collections lower transfers to households and lower projected interest rates On the other hand pressures loom large on the horizon at the provincial level with annual health care spending growth expected to rise from 3 to 4 over a 10 20 year timeframe contributing to rising net debt to GDP ratios by around 2025 54 The July 2022 Fiscal Sustainability Report by the Parliamentary Budget Officer PBO said that while the current fiscal policy of the federal government and the Quebec Alberta Saskatchewan and Nova Scotia governments was sustainable over the long term this was not the case for all provincial and territorial governments 7 3 25 The report is based on a 75 year projection horizon and has assessed that the combination of public pension plans federal government and provincial territorial and local governments are sustainable over that period 7 Credit ratings edit A credit rating provides an indication of the sustainability of a government s debt as it shows the rating agency s view of the ability of a borrower to meet financial commitments 55 Credit rating agencies report on Canada s credit strength and their reports are used by investors including sovereign wealth and pension funds 56 A credit rating may affect borrowing costs Standard amp Poor rates Canada s credit at AAA Moody s is Aaa Fitch s is AA and DBRS s is AAA 56 57 15 16 In 2022 all four credit rating agencies evaluate Canada s credit with a stable outlook 56 As of March 2022 Canada s DBRS AAA credit rating was maintained in response to expectations of the decline in the federal fiscal deficit 14 6 of GDP in FY 2020 2021 to 2 2 in FY 2022 2023 8 See also editCanadian federal budget Taxation in Canada Economy of Canada Ontario debt Debt to GDP ratio General Government debt Government budget deficit International List of sovereign states by public debtNotes editReferences edit a b c d e f Kerim Dikeni Sirina Leonard Andre eds 14 September 2021 Federal Government Finances Questions and Answers 2021 PDF Library of Parliament Report p 36 Retrieved 24 September 2022 International Monetary Fund 2014 Government Finance Statistics Manual 2014 PDF a b c d e f Statistics Canada 22 November 2022 Canadian general government deficit shrinks still above pre pandemic levels Statistics Canada 19 November 2012 Table 36 10 0222 01 Gross domestic product expenditure based provincial and territorial annual a b c d e Statistics Canada The Daily 22 November 2021 COVID 19 Historic deficit for the Canadian general government PDF Report a b c d e Tombe Trevor September 2020 Provincial Debt Sustainability in Canada Demographics Federal Transfers and COVID 19 PDF Archived PDF from the original on 28 September 2020 Retrieved 8 December 2020 a b c d MacPhee Sarah Cleophat Regine Kho Albert Nicol Caroline 28 July 2022 Fiscal Sustainability Report 2022 Report Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer Retrieved 24 September 2022 a b Canada keeps its AAA rating from DBRS Report 11 March 2022 Retrieved 24 September 2022 Organisation for Economic Co operation and Development General government debt OECD org Statistics Canada 30 May 2017 Gross debt Yakabuski Konrad 3 June 2021 Chrystia Freeland has painted a misleading picture of Canada s indebtedness The Globe and Mail Clemens Jason Palacios Milagros June 2021 Caution Required When Comparing Canada s Debt to that of Other Countries PDF Report fraserinstitute org a b c d Statistics Canada 2018 Table 10 10 0147 01 Canadian government finance statistics CGFS statement of operations and balance sheet for consolidated governments Government of Canada doi 10 25318 1010014701 eng Zhang Yiling Xie Min Krochmalnak Dave Hoffarth Matthew 26 July 2021 Trends in Canadian business debt financing Before and during COVID 19 Footnote 12 Statistics Canada Chapter 9 Government Finance Statistics Section 9 2 3 2 2 Valuation of Stock Positions Statistics Canada 22 June 2018 a b c Statistics Canada 2018 Table 10 10 0016 01 Canadian government finance statics for the federal government Government of Canada doi 10 25318 1010001601 eng a b c Statistics Canada 2018 Table 36 10 0222 01 Gross domestic product expenditure based provincial and territorial annual Government of Canada doi 10 25318 3610022201 eng Statistics Canada 2018 Table 10 10 0147 01 Canadian government finance statistics CGFS statement of operations and balance sheet for consolidated governments Government of Canada doi 10 25318 1010014701 eng a b c d e f Palmer Randall Egan Louise 21 November 2011 Lessons from Canada s basket case moment Financial Post Retrieved 8 December 2020 a b c d Canada presents austerity budget The New York Times 21 February 1990 Retrieved 28 September 2022 Lessons from the North Canada s Privatization of Military Ammunition Production PDF Retrieved 7 June 2010 Indepth Air Canada Timeline CBC News 20 June 2005 Archived from the original on 21 April 2006 Retrieved 29 July 2022 Newman Peter C 16 December 1985 Selling off the Crown jewels Maclean s Retrieved 28 September 2022 Thomas William 22 February 2021 Connaught Labs the greatest mistake ever made by a Canadian government St Catherine s Standard Retrieved 29 July 2022 Enchin Harvey 30 September 1989 History fuels nationalism global trade debate The Globe and Mail p B1 ISSN 0319 0714 Yusufali Sasha Pratt Larry 16 November 2009 Petro Canada Canadian Encyclopedia Retrieved 29 July 2022 Debt to GDP ratio shows Canada s strength CBC News 24 February 2010 Retrieved 4 June 2011 Pereira Michael Wall Kerry 18 March 2014 Canada s deficits and surpluses 1963 2012 CBC News Archived from the original on 23 September 2022 Retrieved 23 September 2022 a b Kerim Dikeni Sirina Leonard Andre eds 18 February 2016 Federal Government Finances Questions and Answers Library of Parliament Report p 36 Retrieved 23 September 2022 a b Statistics Canada The Daily 11 September 2020 National balance sheet and financial flow accounts second quarter 2020 Report Archived from the original on 17 September 2020 Retrieved 25 September 2020 a href Template Cite report html title Template Cite report cite report a CS1 maint bot original URL status unknown link National balance sheet and financial flow accounts second quarter 2022 Government of Canada via Statistics Canada Report The Daily 12 September 2022 Retrieved 26 September 2022 a b c Goldstein Lorrie Servicing public debt eroding nation s finances Toronto Sun Opinion Retrieved 25 March 2022 Statistics Canada 2018 Table 10 10 0147 01 Canadian government finance statistics CGFS statement of operations and balance sheet for consolidated governments Government of Canada doi 10 25318 1010014701 eng a b c Largest deficit in seven years in 2019 full impact of pandemic yet to be seen Statistics Canada Report The Daily 18 November 2020 Archived PDF from the original on 25 September 2022 Retrieved 25 September 2020 Statistics Canada The Daily 29 November 2021 Note to Readers in COVID 19 Historic deficit for the Canadian general government Archived from the original on 22 November 2021 Department of Finance Canada 22 November 2008 Fiscal Reference Tables Government of Canada Archived from the original on 7 January 2020 Government of Canada Department of Finance 5 November 2019 Annual Financial Report of the Government of Canada Fiscal Year 2018 19 Government of Canada Department of Finance 5 November 2019 Table 8 Annual Financial Report of the Government of Canada Fiscal Year 2018 19 Safaraian A E The Hegemony of International Business 1945 1970 Volume IV Foreign Ownership of Canadian Industry New York Routledge 1973 12 Department of Finance Canada Debt Management Report 2011 2012 http www fin gc ca dtman 2011 2012 dmr rgd1201 eng asp Toc340732968 Department of Finance Canada Debt Management Report 2013 2014 http www fin gc ca dtman 2013 2014 dmr rgd1401 eng asp toc12 Department of Finance Canada 2022 Fiscal Reference Tables 2022 PDF Report Department of Finance Canada 2022 Debt Management Report 2020 2021 PDF Report Debt management report 2020 2011 PDF Department of Finance Canada Report p 54 ISSN 1487 0177 a b Drummond Don 20 October 2020 Canada s Foggy Economic and Fiscal Future C D Howe Institute Archived from the original on 21 October 2020 International Monetary Fund 24 June 2019 Canada 2019 Article IV Consultation Staff Report page 52 Archived from the original on 5 August 2019 Robson William Laurin Alexandre 27 October 2020 Adaptability accountability and sustainability Intergovernmental fiscal arrangements in Canada Chapter 6 in Ageing and Fiscal Challenges across Levels of Government OECD ilibrary org 20 of 23 doi 10 1787 121c8209 en Archived from the original on 11 December 2020 Brethour Patrick 28 June 2021 Fitch downgrades B C s credit rating partly because of federal debt The Globe and Mail Archived from the original on 28 June 2021 Fitch Ratings 24 June 2021 Fitch Affirms Province of Ontario IDR at AA Outlook Stable Archived from the original on 9 July 2021 CBC News 20 March 2020 Out of time How a pandemic and an oil crash almost sank Newfoundland and Labrador World Economic Outlook Database International Monetary Fund October 2022 Canada Global Affairs 10 May 2022 Key facts about Canada s competitiveness for foreign direct investment GAC Retrieved 24 September 2022 a b c d IMF Staff 17 November 2022 Canada Staff Report for the 2022 Article IV Consultation Report International Monetary Fund International Monetary Fund 24 June 2019 Canada 2019 Article IV Consultation Staff Report pages 14 15 Archived from the original on 5 August 2019 Ratings Definitions Fitch Ratings a b c Canada Trading Economics Credit Rating Department of Finance Canada 2022 Debt Management Report 2020 21 PDF Report External links editCanadian Debt Clock by the Canadian Taxpayers Federation Canadian Governments Compared Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title Canadian public debt amp oldid 1214270662, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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