The 2004 United States presidential election in Maine took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Starting which, Maine is one of two states in the U.S. that instead of all of the state's four electors of the Electoral College to vote based upon the statewide results of the voters, two of the individual electors vote based on their congressional district because Maine has two congressional districts. The other two electors vote based upon the statewide results.
Maine was considered by some to be a swing state, because of the closeness of some polls.[1] However, the polls were consistently won by Kerry and neither campaign prioritized the state. On election day, Democrat John Kerry won the popular vote with 53.57% over George W. Bush with 44.58%. This is the most recent presidential election in which a losing Democrat won Maine's 2nd congressional district, and remained the last time until 2020 that the district voted for a losing candidate. This is the only election since 1968 in which a Republican won the popular vote without the state. Bush remains the only Republican to win two terms in the White House without carrying Maine at least once.
Out of 15 pre-election polls, Kerry won thirteen of them. By the end of October, all polls showed Kerry over 50%. The final Real Clear Politics average showed Kerry leading 51% to 41.5% with a margin of 9.5%.[3] In three Survey USA polls taken in October, Kerry's numbers increased each time from 49% to 51% to 52%. Also, the final three polls averaged Kerry with 51% to Bush at 45%.[4]
Fundraisingedit
Bush raised $362,522.[5] Kerry raised $1,057,209.[6]
Advertising and visitsedit
Since March 3, 2004 Kerry didn't visit the state once, as Bush visited the state 5 times.[7] A rough total estimate of $400,000 was spent on advertising each week, excluding the last week.[8]
Analysisedit
Once a typical Yankee Republican state, Maine has not been carried by a Republican presidential nominee since George H. W. Bush did so in 1988. While the younger Bush did make a play for the state in 2004, John Kerry ultimately won it by a fairly comfortable 9-point margin, including its two Congressional districts. Maine is one of two states, the other being Nebraska, which allocate their electoral votes by Congressional district. A candidate is awarded an electoral vote for each district won, even if the candidate loses statewide, while the statewide winner is awarded two additional electoral votes. In 2016 and 2020, Republican Donald Trump won Maine's 2nd district despite losing the state overall, and thus he received one electoral vote from the state both times. This makes George W. Bush the last Republican, and the last candidate of either party until Joe Biden in 2020, to win a presidential election without carrying Maine's 2nd district.
Technically the voters of Maine cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Maine is allocated 4 electors because it has 2 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 4 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded just 2 of the electoral votes. The other 2 electoral votes are based upon the congressional district results. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[11] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.
The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.
The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. Since Kerry won both congressional districts, all 4 were pledged to Kerry/Edwards.
Lu Bauer, elector for the 1st Congressional district.
David Garrity, elector for the 2nd Congressional district.
^. dcpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 21, 2010. Retrieved October 23, 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
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Main article 2004 United States presidential election The 2004 United States presidential election in Maine took place on November 2 2004 and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election Starting which Maine is one of two states in the U S that instead of all of the state s four electors of the Electoral College to vote based upon the statewide results of the voters two of the individual electors vote based on their congressional district because Maine has two congressional districts The other two electors vote based upon the statewide results 2004 United States presidential election in Maine 2000 November 2 2004 2008 Nominee John Kerry George W BushParty Democratic RepublicanHome state Massachusetts TexasRunning mate John Edwards Dick CheneyElectoral vote 4 0Popular vote 396 842 330 201Percentage 53 57 44 58 County ResultsMunicipality ResultsKerry 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 90 100 Bush 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 90 100 Tie President before electionGeorge W BushRepublican Elected President George W BushRepublicanMaine was considered by some to be a swing state because of the closeness of some polls 1 However the polls were consistently won by Kerry and neither campaign prioritized the state On election day Democrat John Kerry won the popular vote with 53 57 over George W Bush with 44 58 This is the most recent presidential election in which a losing Democrat won Maine s 2nd congressional district and remained the last time until 2020 that the district voted for a losing candidate This is the only election since 1968 in which a Republican won the popular vote without the state Bush remains the only Republican to win two terms in the White House without carrying Maine at least once Contents 1 Caucuses 2 Campaign 2 1 Polling 2 2 Fundraising 2 3 Advertising and visits 3 Analysis 4 Results 4 1 Statewide 4 2 By county 4 2 1 Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic 4 3 Congressional district 5 Electors 6 See also 7 References 8 External linksCaucuses edit2004 Maine Democratic presidential caucusesCampaign editThere were 12 news organizations who made state by state predictions of the election Here are their last predictions before election day 2 Source RankingD C Political Report Lean DAssociated Press Lean DCNN Likely DCook Political Report Lean DNewsweek Lean DNew York Times Lean DRasmussen Reports Likely DResearch 2000 Solid DWashington Post Toss upWashington Times Lean DZogby International Likely DWashington Dispatch Likely DPolling edit Out of 15 pre election polls Kerry won thirteen of them By the end of October all polls showed Kerry over 50 The final Real Clear Politics average showed Kerry leading 51 to 41 5 with a margin of 9 5 3 In three Survey USA polls taken in October Kerry s numbers increased each time from 49 to 51 to 52 Also the final three polls averaged Kerry with 51 to Bush at 45 4 Fundraising edit Bush raised 362 522 5 Kerry raised 1 057 209 6 Advertising and visits edit Since March 3 2004 Kerry didn t visit the state once as Bush visited the state 5 times 7 A rough total estimate of 400 000 was spent on advertising each week excluding the last week 8 Analysis editOnce a typical Yankee Republican state Maine has not been carried by a Republican presidential nominee since George H W Bush did so in 1988 While the younger Bush did make a play for the state in 2004 John Kerry ultimately won it by a fairly comfortable 9 point margin including its two Congressional districts Maine is one of two states the other being Nebraska which allocate their electoral votes by Congressional district A candidate is awarded an electoral vote for each district won even if the candidate loses statewide while the statewide winner is awarded two additional electoral votes In 2016 and 2020 Republican Donald Trump won Maine s 2nd district despite losing the state overall and thus he received one electoral vote from the state both times This makes George W Bush the last Republican and the last candidate of either party until Joe Biden in 2020 to win a presidential election without carrying Maine s 2nd district Bush became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Lincoln or Waldo Counties since James A Garfield in 1880 Results editStatewide edit 2004 United States presidential election in Maine 9 Party Candidate Votes Percentage Electoral votesDemocratic John Kerry 396 842 53 57 4Republican George W Bush incumbent 330 201 44 58 0Independent Ralph Nader 8 069 1 09 0Green David Cobb 2 936 0 40 0Libertarian Michael Badnarik 1 965 0 27 0Constitution Michael Peroutka 735 0 10 0Others 4 0 00 0Totals 740 752 100 00 4Voter turnout 72 69 By county edit County John KerryDemocratic George W BushRepublican Various candidatesOther parties Margin Total votes cast Androscoggin 30 503 54 40 24 519 43 73 1 045 1 86 5 984 10 67 56 067Aroostook 19 569 51 86 17 564 46 55 600 1 59 2 005 5 31 37 733Cumberland 94 846 58 20 65 384 40 12 2 732 1 68 29 462 18 08 162 962Franklin 9 465 54 83 7 378 42 74 418 2 42 2 087 12 09 17 261Hancock 18 048 54 49 14 405 43 49 669 2 02 3 643 11 00 33 122Kennebec 35 616 53 34 29 761 44 57 1 395 2 09 5 855 8 77 66 772Knox 12 690 54 59 10 103 43 46 454 1 95 2 587 11 13 23 247Lincoln 11 351 51 26 10 370 46 83 421 1 90 981 4 43 22 142Oxford 16 618 52 68 14 196 45 00 732 2 32 2 422 7 68 31 546Penobscot 40 417 49 22 40 318 49 10 1 377 1 68 99 0 12 82 112Piscataquis 4 409 44 36 5 299 53 31 232 2 33 890 8 95 9 940Sagadahoc 11 107 52 69 9 497 45 05 475 2 25 1 610 7 64 21 079Somerset 13 555 50 00 12 953 47 78 600 2 21 602 2 22 27 108Waldo 11 555 51 77 10 309 46 19 454 2 03 1 246 5 58 22 318Washington 8 391 48 47 8 619 49 79 300 1 73 228 1 32 17 310York 58 702 53 35 49 526 45 01 1 805 1 64 9 176 8 34 110 033Total 396 842 53 57 330 201 44 58 13 709 1 85 66 641 8 99 740 752 nbsp County Flips Democratic Hold Gain from Republican Republican HoldCounties that flipped from Republican to Democratic edit Lincoln largest town Waldoboro Penobscot largest city Bangor Waldo largest city Belfast Congressional district edit Kerry won both congressional districts 10 District Bush Kerry Representative1st 43 55 Tom Allen2nd 46 52 Mike MichaudElectors editMain article List of 2004 United States presidential electors Technically the voters of Maine cast their ballots for electors representatives to the Electoral College Maine is allocated 4 electors because it has 2 congressional districts and 2 senators All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write in votes must submit a list of 4 electors who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded just 2 of the electoral votes The other 2 electoral votes are based upon the congressional district results Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate they are not obligated to vote for them 11 An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13 2004 to cast their votes for president and vice president The Electoral College itself never meets as one body Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state Since Kerry won both congressional districts all 4 were pledged to Kerry Edwards Lu Bauer elector for the 1st Congressional district David Garrity elector for the 2nd Congressional district Jill Duson at large elector Samuel Shapiro at large elector See also editUnited States presidential elections in MaineReferences edit CNN com Specials CNN Archived copy dcpoliticalreport com Archived from the original on November 21 2010 Retrieved October 23 2022 a href Template Cite web html title Template Cite web cite web a CS1 maint archived copy as title link RealClear Politics Polls Election 2004 Polls Dave Leip s Atlas of U S Presidential Elections Archived from the original on June 2 2006 George W Bush 374 659 453 raised 04 election cycle Republican Party President John F Kerry 345 826 176 raised 04 election cycle Democrat Party President CNN com Specials CNN CNN com Specials CNN General Election Tabulations November 2 2004 pdf Maine Department of the Secretary of State Archived from the original pdf on October 2 2008 Retrieved December 30 2023 Presidential Results by Congressional District 2000 2008 Swing State Project Electoral College California Secretary of State Archived from the original on October 30 2008 Retrieved November 1 2008 External links editUS Election Atlas Maine 2004 by David Leip 2004 election results Maine Secretary of State Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title 2004 United States presidential election in Maine amp oldid 1192981834, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,
