"Safe" seats require a swing of over 10 per cent to change, "fairly safe" seats require a swing of between 6 and 10 points, while "marginal" seats require a swing of less than 6 points.
Changes in the pendulum since the 2007 election resulted through by-elections in the Labor held seats of Ryde in 2008 and Penrith in 2010. Both seats were won by the Liberal opposition in record swings against the Labor Government of 25 points in Penrith and 23 points in Ryde.
Labor MLC Michael Costa resigned on 22 September 2008. Unions NSW secretary John Robertson was nominated by Labor as his successor, and was formally appointed at a joint sitting of parliament on 28 October.
Gordon Moyes was appointed in 2002 as a member of the Christian Democratic Party to fill the casual vacancy caused by Elaine Nile's resignation from the Legislative Council. He was elected in 2003. Having been expelled from the party in March 2009, he sat as an independent until November 2009 when he joined the Family First Party.
Labor MLC Henry Tsang resigned effective 3 December 2009. Former Mayor of the City of RockdaleShaoquett Moselmane was nominated by Labor as his successor, and was formally appointed at a joint sitting of parliament on 3 December.
On 7 June 2010, Labor Minister Ian Macdonald resigned from the Legislative Council after resigning from the ministry when it was discovered that he had mis-used taxpayer funds to fund a private holiday in Europe.[1][2] In total, 12 of the 22 Ministers sworn in after the last State election have resigned or been replaced to date.[2] Assistant general secretary of the NSW branch of the ALP Luke Foley was nominated by Labor as his successor, and was formally appointed at a joint sitting of parliament on 10 June 2010.
^Nicholls, Sean (7 June 2010). "Expenses errors: Macdonald quits NSW parliament". smh.com.au. Retrieved 7 June 2010.
^ abBesser, Linton (4 June 2010). "Ian Mcdonald sacked for taxpayer rort". Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 10 June 2010.
April 15, 2024
post, election, pendulum, 2007, south, wales, state, election, following, mackerras, pendulum, south, wales, state, election, 2007, safe, seats, require, swing, over, cent, change, fairly, safe, seats, require, swing, between, points, while, marginal, seats, r. The following is a Mackerras pendulum for the New South Wales state election 2007 Safe seats require a swing of over 10 per cent to change fairly safe seats require a swing of between 6 and 10 points while marginal seats require a swing of less than 6 points Contents 1 Legislative Assembly 1 1 Pendulum 2 Legislative Council 2 1 Current balance 3 ReferencesLegislative Assembly editChanges in the pendulum since the 2007 election resulted through by elections in the Labor held seats of Ryde in 2008 and Penrith in 2010 Both seats were won by the Liberal opposition in record swings against the Labor Government of 25 points in Penrith and 23 points in Ryde Pendulum edit Labor seatsMarginalMiranda Barry Collier ALP 0 8 pointsNewcastle Jodi McKay ALP v IND 1 2 pointsMaitland Frank Terenzini ALP v IND 2 0 pointsMenai Alison Megarrity ALP 2 7 pointsWollondilly Phil Costa ALP 3 3 pointsBalmain Verity Firth ALP v GRN 3 8 pointsCamden Geoff Corrigan ALP 4 0 pointsGosford Marie Andrews ALP 4 9 pointsThe Entrance Grant McBride ALP 4 9 pointsFairly safeMonaro Steve Whan ALP 6 3 pointsLondonderry Allan Shearan ALP 6 9 pointsWyong David Harris ALP 6 9 pointsCharlestown Matthew Morris ALP v IND 7 0 pointsCoogee Paul Pearce ALP 7 2 pointsMarrickville Carmel Tebbutt ALP v GRN 7 5 pointsDrummoyne Angela D Amore ALP 7 6 pointsHeathcote Paul McLeay ALP 8 8 pointsSafeRiverstone John Aquilina ALP 10 1 pointsRockdale Frank Sartor ALP 10 3 pointsSwansea Robert Coombs ALP 10 8 pointsBlue Mountains Phil Koperberg ALP 11 1 pointsGranville David Borger ALP 11 1 pointsMacquarie Fields Andrew McDonald ALP 11 1 pointsMulgoa Diane Beamer ALP 11 1 pointsKiama Matt Brown ALP 12 0 pointsCessnock Kerry Hickey ALP 12 4 pointsBathurst Gerard Martin ALP 13 0 pointsParramatta Tanya Gadiel ALP 13 7 pointsEast Hills Alan Ashton ALP 14 1 pointsOatley Kevin Greene ALP 14 4 pointsToongabbie Nathan Rees ALP 14 5 pointsStrathfield Virginia Judge ALP 15 1 pointsSmithfield Ninos Khoshaba ALP 15 5 pointsWallsend Sonia Hornery ALP 15 8 pointsMaroubra Michael Daley ALP 16 1 pointsKogarah Cherie Burton ALP 17 7 pointsCampbelltown Graham West ALP 18 6 pointsVery safeFairfield Joe Tripodi ALP 20 4 pointsShellharbour Lylea McMahon ALP v IND 21 6 pointsKeira David Campbell ALP 22 0 pointsBlacktown Paul Gibson ALP 22 3 pointsHeffron Kristina Keneally ALP 23 7 pointsWollongong Noreen Hay ALP 25 3 pointsMount Druitt Richard Amery ALP 25 4 pointsBankstown Tony Stewart ALP 25 6 pointsLiverpool Paul Lynch ALP 26 9 pointsCanterbury Linda Burney ALP 27 1 pointsAuburn Barbara Perry ALP 28 8 pointsCabramatta Reba Meagher ALP 29 0 pointsLakemba Morris Iemma ALP 34 0 pointsLiberal National seatsMarginalPort Stephens Craig Baumann LIB 0 1 pointsGoulburn Pru Goward LIB v IND 1 3 pointsTweed Geoff Provest NAT 3 0 pointsManly Mike Baird LIB v IND 3 4 pointsBega Andrew Constance LIB 5 1 pointsFairly safeHawkesbury Ray Williams LIB v IND 6 0 pointsBarwon Kevin Humphries NAT v IND 6 2 pointsSouth Coast Shelley Hancock LIB 7 8 pointsEpping Greg Smith LIB 8 0 pointsTerrigal Chris Hartcher LIB 8 4 pointsPittwater Rob Stokes LIB v IND 9 4 pointsSafeMurray Darling John Williams NAT 10 1 pointsBaulkham Hills Wayne Merton LIB 10 3 pointsLismore Thomas George NAT 10 5 pointsClarence Steve Cansdell NAT 11 6 pointsOrange Russell Turner NAT V IND 11 7 pointsLane Cove Anthony Roberts LIB 12 4 pointsRyde Victor Dominello LIB 13 0 pointsWagga Wagga Daryl Maguire LIB 13 0 pointsBallina Don Page NAT 14 5 pointsWilloughby Gladys Berejiklian LIB v IND 14 5 pointsUpper Hunter George Souris NAT 14 7 pointsNorth Shore Jillian Skinner LIB v GRN 15 8 pointsOxley Andrew Stoner NAT 15 9 pointsMurrumbidgee Adrian Piccoli NAT 16 1 pointsVaucluse Peter Debnam LIB v GRN 16 1 pointsPenrith Stuart Ayres LIB 16 48 pointsHornsby Judy Hopwood LIB 16 5 pointsWakehurst Brad Hazzard LIB 17 3 pointsMyall Lakes John Turner NAT 17 4 pointsCronulla Malcolm Kerr LIB 17 5 pointsBurrinjuck Katrina Hodgkinson NAT 17 6 pointsCoffs Harbour Andrew Fraser NAT 17 6 pointsAlbury Greg Aplin LIB 19 0 pointsCastle Hill Michael Richardson LIB 19 1 pointsVery safeDavidson Jonathan O Dea LIB 24 7 pointsKu ring gai Barry O Farrell LIB 29 0 pointsIndependent seatsLake Macquarie Greg Piper IND v ALP 0 1 pointsDubbo Dawn Fardell IND v NAT 0 9 pointsPort Macquarie Peter Besseling IND v NAT 4 5 pointsTamworth Peter Draper IND v NAT 4 8 pointsSydney Clover Moore IND v ALP 16 6 pointsNorthern Tablelands Richard Torbay IND v NAT 30 2 pointsLegislative Council editFor a list of members see Members of the New South Wales Legislative Council 2007 2011 Labor MLC Michael Costa resigned on 22 September 2008 Unions NSW secretary John Robertson was nominated by Labor as his successor and was formally appointed at a joint sitting of parliament on 28 October Gordon Moyes was appointed in 2002 as a member of the Christian Democratic Party to fill the casual vacancy caused by Elaine Nile s resignation from the Legislative Council He was elected in 2003 Having been expelled from the party in March 2009 he sat as an independent until November 2009 when he joined the Family First Party Labor MLC Henry Tsang resigned effective 3 December 2009 Former Mayor of the City of Rockdale Shaoquett Moselmane was nominated by Labor as his successor and was formally appointed at a joint sitting of parliament on 3 December On 7 June 2010 Labor Minister Ian Macdonald resigned from the Legislative Council after resigning from the ministry when it was discovered that he had mis used taxpayer funds to fund a private holiday in Europe 1 2 In total 12 of the 22 Ministers sworn in after the last State election have resigned or been replaced to date 2 Assistant general secretary of the NSW branch of the ALP Luke Foley was nominated by Labor as his successor and was formally appointed at a joint sitting of parliament on 10 June 2010 Greens MLC Lee Rhiannon resigned on 19 July 2010 to contest a seat for the Federal Senate at the 2010 election The death of Shooters and Fishers Party MLC Roy Smith on 30 July 2010 and the resignations of Labor MLC John Della Bosca on 30 July and Greens MLC Sylvia Hale on 6 September left four vacancies which were filled by Cate Faehrmann Robert Borsak Sophie Cotsis and David Shoebridge respectively on 7 September 2010 Current balance edit Party Seats held Current Council2007 NowLabor Party 19 19 Liberal Party 10 10 National Party 5 5 The Greens 4 4 Shooters and Fishers Party 2 2 Christian Democratic Party 2 1 Family First Party 0 1 References edit Nicholls Sean 7 June 2010 Expenses errors Macdonald quits NSW parliament smh com au Retrieved 7 June 2010 a b Besser Linton 4 June 2010 Ian Mcdonald sacked for taxpayer rort Sydney Morning Herald Retrieved 10 June 2010 Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title Post election pendulum for the 2007 New South Wales state election amp oldid 1097277176, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,