Paisley and Renfrewshire South (UK Parliament constituency)

Not to be confused with Renfrewshire South (Scottish Parliament constituency).

Paisley and Renfrewshire South is a constituency of the House of Commons, located in Renfrewshire, Scotland to the southwest of Glasgow. It elects one Member of Parliament at least once every five years using the first-past-the-post system of voting.

Paisley and Renfrewshire South
County constituency for the House of Commons
Boundary of Paisley and Renfrewshire South in Scotland
Major settlements	Paisley, Johnstone, Kilbarchan, Howwood, Lochwinnoch
Current constituency
Created	2005
Member of Parliament	Mhairi Black (SNP)
Created from	Paisley South, Paisley North, and Renfrewshire West

Constituency profile and voting patterns

Constituency profile

Covering the southern portion of the Renfrewshire council area, the east of the constituency includes half of Paisley, as well as the smaller town of Johnstone and the villages of Kilbarchan and Elderslie.

This is contrasted with the rural south and west of the seat, containing the villages of Lochwinnoch, Howwood and several hamlets and farms. The constituency also contains the Gleniffer Braes Country Park to the south and Clyde Muirshiel Regional Park to the west, notable for Castle Semple Loch.

Voting Patterns

This seat had traditionally been considered a heartland for the Labour Party, who had held constituencies containing Paisley and its surrounding towns and villages since 1945.

First used at the 2005 general election, this seat was won by Labour politician Douglas Alexander, who previously represented its predecessor constituency of Paisley South since 1997. Alexander was re-elected at the 2010 general election with an increased share of the vote and majority.

The aftermath of the 2014 Scottish independence referendum resulted in a substantial increase in support for the SNP across Scotland. Subsequently, the 2015 general election saw the SNP candidate Mhairi Black gain the seat from Alexander on a 27% swing. Black was re-elected at the 2017 general election, but with a reduced majority over Labour; who had made gains at the snap election. However, two years later, at the 2019 general election, Black increased her majority and won over half the vote share; making it a safe seat for the SNP.

The seat has also seen support for other parties, with the Conservative Party rising in 2017 and 2019 to around one-fifth of the vote share. There is also some Liberal Democrat support in the constituency, with the party achieving 7% at the most recent general election. The constituency has also seen several minor parties and independents stand in its history, however individually none of these have won more than 2% of the vote at any election.

Boundaries

 

Map of current boundaries

This seat was created in 2005 from the bulk of the former Paisley South seat, with minor additions from neighbouring constituencies. Population areas in this seat include Glenburn, Saucel and Hunterhill, Johnstone and Kilbarchan.^[1]

Further to the completion of the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, the small town of Linwood is to be included in the constituency, alongside some minor changes in Paisley. The redrawn seat is due to be contested for the first time at the next general election.^[2]

Members of Parliament

The constituency's first MP was Douglas Alexander, who had held the seat since its creation in 2005 and its predecessor Paisley South since 1997. Alexander was the Shadow Foreign Secretary, and has previously held Cabinet posts such as Transport Secretary and Scottish Secretary (2006–07; joint), and International Development Secretary (2007–10).

When SNP candidate Mhairi Black gained the seat in May 2015, she was 20 years and 237 days old, making her the youngest ever Member of Parliament (MP) elected to the House of Commons since at least the Reform Act of 1832, replacing William Wentworth-Fitzwilliam; who was 20 years and 11 months old when elected in 1832.^[3] She subsequently held the seat at the snap 2017 general election^[4] and 2019 general election.^[5]

Election		Member	Party
	2005	Douglas Alexander	Labour
	2015	Mhairi Black	SNP

Elections

Elections in the 2010s

General election 2019: Paisley and Renfrewshire South^[6][7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	SNP	Mhairi Black	21,637	50.2	+9.5
	Labour	Moira Ramage	10,958	25.4	–9.2
	Conservative	Mark Dougan	7,571	17.6	–1.9
	Liberal Democrats	Jack Clark	2,918	6.8	+3.6
Majority			10,679	24.8	+18.7
Turnout			43,084	66.9	–1.1
	SNP hold		Swing	+9.4

General election 2017: Paisley and Renfrewshire South^[8][9][10]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	SNP	Mhairi Black	16,964	40.7	–10.2
	Labour	Alison Dowling	14,423	34.6	–4.0
	Conservative	Amy Thomson	8,122	19.5	+11.9
	Liberal Democrats	Eileen McCartin	1,327	3.2	+1.0
	Independent	Paul Mack	876	2.1	New
Majority			2,541	6.1	–6.2
Turnout			41,712	68.0	–7.4
	SNP hold		Swing	–3.1

See also: Opinion polling in United Kingdom constituencies, 2010–15 § Paisley and Renfrewshire South

General election 2015: Paisley and Renfrewshire South^[11]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	SNP	Mhairi Black	23,548	50.9	+32.8
	Labour	Douglas Alexander	17,864	38.6	–21.0
	Conservative	Fraser Galloway	3,526	7.6	–2.3
	Liberal Democrats	Eileen McCartin	1,010	2.2	–7.3
	Scottish Socialist	Sandra Webster	278	0.6	–0.3
Majority			5,684	12.3	N/A
Turnout			46,226	75.4	+10.0
	SNP gain from Labour		Swing	+26.9

General election 2010: Paisley and Renfrewshire South^[12]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Douglas Alexander	23,842	59.6	+7.0
	SNP	Andrew Doig	7,228	18.1	+0.5
	Conservative	Gordon McCaskill	3,979	9.9	+1.5
	Liberal Democrats	Ashay Ghai	3,812	9.5	–8.1
	Independent	Paul Mack	513	1.3	New
	Scottish Socialist	Jimmy Kerr	375	0.9	–1.2
	Independent	William Hendry	249	0.6	New
Majority			16,614	41.5	+6.5
Turnout			39,998	65.4	+2.5
	Labour hold		Swing	+3.3

Elections in the 2000s

General election 2005: Paisley and Renfrewshire South^[13]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Douglas Alexander	19,904	52.6	-4.4
	Liberal Democrats	Eileen McCartin	6,672	17.6	+8.0
	SNP	Andrew Doig	6,653	17.6	-3.3
	Conservative	Thomas Begg	3,188	8.4	±0.0
	Scottish Socialist	Iain Hogg	789	2.1	-0.7
	Pride in Paisley Party	Gordon Matthew	381	1.0	New
	Independent	Robert Rodgers	166	0.4	New
	Socialist Labour	Howard Broadbent	107	0.3	New
Majority			13,232	35.0
Turnout			37,860	62.9
	Labour win (new seat)

References

Specific

1. . The Guardian. London. Archived from the original on 18 June 2008. Retrieved 28 May 2008.
2. Boundary Commission Scotland 2023 Review Report
3. Rix, Kathryn (11 May 2015). "The youngest MP? The 'baby' of the first Reformed Parliament". The Victorian Commons.
4. "Mhairi Black defies exit poll odds by holding Paisley & Renfrewshire South". The National. 9 June 2017.
5. "2019 UK General Election Results".
6. "2019 - UK General Election". Renfrewshire Council. Retrieved 13 December 2019.
7. "Paisley & Renfrewshire South parliamentary constituency - Election 2019". BBC News. Retrieved 16 December 2019.
8. http://www.renfrewshire.gov.uk/media/4061/Statement-of-Persons-nominated-and-Notice-of-Poll-with-situation-of-polling-places---Paisley-and-Renfrewshire-South/pdf/PES2_P_RS_-_Notice_of_Election_with_Situation_of_Stations.doc.pdf^{[bare URL PDF]}
9. "SNP to meet over election candidates". BBC News. 22 April 2017.
10. "Mhairi Black confirms she will stand in General Election". www.scotsman.com.
11. . Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
12. . Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
13. . Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.

General

55°48′50″N 4°29′06″W / 55.814°N 4.485°W / 55.814; -4.485