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Opinion polling for the 2015 Canadian federal election

November 26, 2023

This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted from the 2011 Canadian federal election leading up to the 2015 Canadian federal election, which was held on October 19, 2015. For riding-specific polls see 2015 constituency polls.

Campaign period edit

Graphical summary

 
Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during campaign period of the 2015 Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
Polling firm Last date
of polling[1]		 Link CPC NDP LPC BQ GPC Margin
of error[2]		 Sample
size[3]		 Polling method[4] Lead
2015 election October 19, 2015 [1] 31.9 19.7 39.5 4.7 3.4 7.6
Nanos Research October 18, 2015 [2] 30.5 19.7 39.1 5.5 4.6 ±3.5 pp 800 telephone 8.6
Forum Research October 18, 2015 [3] 30 20 40 6 3 ±3 pp 1,373 IVR 10
EKOS October 18, 2015 [4] 31.9 20.4 35.8 4.9 5.6 ±2.1 pp 2,122 IVR/telephone – rolling (1/3) 3.9
EKOS October 17, 2015 [5] 32.6 21.0 34.3 5.4 5.4 ±2.4 pp 1,621 IVR/telephone – rolling (1/2) 1.7
Ipsos Reid October 17, 2015 [6] 31 22 38 4 4 ±2.2 pp 2,503 online/telephone 7
Nanos Research October 17, 2015 [7] 30.5 22.1 37.3 4.6 4.7 ±2.2 pp 2,000 telephone – rolling (2/5) 6.8
EKOS October 16, 2015 [8] 33.3 21.9 33.7 4.7 4.1 ±2.5 pp 1,537 IVR/telephone – rolling (1/2) 0.4
Nanos Research October 16, 2015 [9] 30.7 22.6 37.0 4.4 4.7 ±2.5 pp 1,600 telephone – rolling (1/2) 6.3
Léger Marketing October 16, 2015 [10] 30 22 38 6 4 ±2.1 pp 2,086 online 8
Angus Reid October 16, 2015 [11] 31 22 35 5 5 ±2.2 pp 2,022 online 4
Mainstreet Research October 15, 2015 [12] 33 21 38 4 5 ±1.4 pp 5,546 IVR 5
EKOS October 15, 2015 [13] 32.8 22.7 34.0 3.4 5.1 ±2.3 pp 1,813 IVR/telephone – rolling (1/3) 1.2
Nanos Research October 15, 2015 [14] 30.6 23.5 36.5 4.3 4.7 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 5.9
Forum Research October 14, 2015 [15] 31 24 37 6 2 ±3 pp 1,438 IVR 6
EKOS October 14, 2015 [16] 32.6 22.9 33.5 3.4 5.6 ±2.6 pp 1,438 IVR/telephone – rolling (1/3) 0.9
Nanos Research October 14, 2015 [17] 29.4 23.7 37.1 5.0 4.3 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 7.7
EKOS October 13, 2015 [18] 29.9 24.1 34.1 3.8 6.4 ±2.9 pp 1,179 IVR/telephone – rolling (1/3) 4.2
Nanos Research October 13, 2015 [19] 29.2 24.5 36.1 5.2 4.3 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 6.9
Ipsos Reid October 13, 2015 [20] 31 24 37 5 2 ±3.0 pp 1,349 online 6
EKOS October 12, 2015 [21] 31.1 20.6 35.6 3.2 7.5 ±2.9 pp 1,115 IVR/telephone – rolling (2/3) 4.5
Nanos Research October 11, 2015 [22] 28.9 24.3 35.7 5.7 4.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 6.8
Innovative Research October 11, 2015 [23] 30 22 38 3 6 ±3.1 pp 1,143 telephone 8
EKOS October 10, 2015 [24] 35.5 19.0 33.1 3.3 7.4 ±2.6 pp 1,428 IVR/telephone – rolling (2/3) 2.4
Nanos Research October 10, 2015 [25] 29.0 25.0 35.1 5.2 5.1 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 6.1
Forum Research October 9, 2015 [26] 31 23 37 5 3 ±3 pp 1,427 IVR 6
Nanos Research October 9, 2015 [27] 28.6 24.9 34.8 5.5 5.4 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 6.2
Angus Reid October 9, 2015 [28] 33 25 31 6 3 ±3 pp 1,083 online 2
EKOS October 8, 2015 [29] 33.7 20.4 33.8 3.5 7.2 ±2.4 pp 1,618 IVR/telephone – rolling (1/3) 0.1
Nanos Research October 8, 2015 [30] 31.0 25.0 34.0 5.3 4.2 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 3.0
Innovative Research October 8, 2015 [31] 30 24 35 5 5 n.a 3,417 online 5
Mainstreet Research October 7, 2015 [32] 36 20 35 4 5 ±1.3 pp 5,630 IVR 1
Léger Marketing October 7, 2015 [33] 30 25 34 6 4 ±2.1 pp 2,087 online 4
EKOS October 7, 2015 [34] 32.5 21.1 34.1 3.6 7.3 ±2.3 pp 1,753 IVR/telephone – rolling (1/3) 1.6
Nanos Research October 7, 2015 [35] 31.6 24.2 33.5 5.6 4.6 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 1.9
Forum Research October 6, 2015 [36] 31 26 35 4 3 ±3 pp 1,447 IVR 4
Abacus Data October 6, 2015 [37] 33 24 32 4 5 ±2.2 pp 2,000 online 1
EKOS October 6, 2015 [38] 34.1 21.4 32.3 4.0 6.9 ±2.3 pp 1,788 IVR/telephone – rolling (1/3) 1.8
Nanos Research October 6, 2015 [39] 32.1 23.0 34.3 5.1 4.6 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 2.2
EKOS October 5, 2015 [40] 35.1 22.2 30.9 4.0 6.6 ±2.4 pp 1,658 IVR/telephone – rolling 4.2
Nanos Research October 5, 2015 [41] 31.5 23.1 35.0 4.9 4.6 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 3.5
Ipsos Reid October 5, 2015 [42] 33 26 32 5 3 ±2.9 pp 1,441 online 1
Nanos Research October 4, 2015 [43] 31.0 22.8 35.6 4.8 4.7 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 4.6
Nanos Research October 3, 2015 [44] 31.0 24.3 35.3 4.3 4.5 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 4.3
Nanos Research October 2, 2015 [45] 30.5 25.1 34.6 4.5 4.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 4.1
Mainstreet Research October 1, 2015 [46] 37 24 29 4 7 ±1.4 pp 5,197 IVR 8
Innovative Research October 1, 2015 [47] 29 29 31 5 6 n.a 1,562 online 2
Nanos Research October 1, 2015 [48] 31.9 25.9 33.5 4.3 3.9 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 1.6
Léger Marketing September 30, 2015 [49] 30 26 32 6 6 ±2.1 pp 2,107 online 2
Angus Reid September 30, 2015 [50] 34 27 27 6 5 ±2.5 pp 2,021 online 7
Nanos Research September 30, 2015 [51] 32.8 26.1 31.7 4.8 4.1 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 1.1
Forum Research September 29, 2015 [52] 34 28 27 5 5 ±3 pp 1,499 IVR 6
Nanos Research September 29, 2015 [53] 32.1 26.3 32.2 4.6 4.4 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 0.1
EKOS September 29, 2015 [54] 33.4 25.6 26.7 5.3 7.8 ±1.9 pp 2,609 IVR 6.7
Nanos Research September 28, 2015 [55] 32.6 27.0 31.4 4.4 4.0 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 1.2
Ipsos Reid September 28, 2015 [56] 32 27 33 4 4 ±3.0 pp 1,354 online 1
Nanos Research September 27, 2015 [57] 33.0 26.9 31.6 4.2 3.6 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 1.4
Abacus Data September 27, 2015 [58] 32 27 29 5 5 ±1.6 pp 3,814 online 3
Nanos Research September 26, 2015 [59] 31.5 27.6 32.5 4.0 3.7 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 1.0
Nanos Research September 25, 2015 [60] 29.6 30.3 31.8 3.1 4.5 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 1.5
Nanos Research September 24, 2015 [61] 28.9 31.1 32.3 2.5 4.2 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 1.2
Innovative Research September 24, 2015 [62] 31 29 28 3 8 n.a. 2,805 online 2
Forum Research September 23, 2015 [63] 31 28 31 4 4 ±3 pp 1,557 IVR Tie
Nanos Research September 23, 2015 [64] 30.5 30.8 31.5 2.3 3.7 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 0.7
Léger Marketing September 23, 2015 [65] 31 29 31 5 5 ±2.1 pp 2,115 online Tie
Innovative Research September 23, 2015 [66] 32 27 30 3 7 ±2.5 pp 1,784 telephone 2
Nanos Research September 22, 2015 [67] 31.5 29.1 31.6 2.6 4.2 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 0.1
EKOS September 22, 2015 [68] 35.4 24.5 26.3 4.2 7.7 ±2.0 pp 2,343 IVR 9.1
Nanos Research September 21, 2015 [69] 31.3 29.4 30.3 3.4 4.6 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 1.0
Ipsos Reid September 21, 2015 [70] 27 30 33 5 4 ±3.4 pp 1,103 online 3
Nanos Research September 20, 2015 [71] 31.0 29.1 29.4 3.8 5.5 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 1.6
Nanos Research September 19, 2015 [72] 30.8 29.1 30.3 3.7 5.1 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 0.5
Forum Research September 18, 2015 [73] 33 29 29 4 4 ±3 pp 922 IVR 4
Nanos Research September 18, 2015 [74] 30.4 28.9 30.8 3.0 6.0 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 0.4
Nanos Research September 17, 2015 [75] 29.1 31.3 31.0 2.3 5.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 0.3
Nanos Research September 16, 2015 [76] 30.1 30.4 30.9 2.5 5.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 0.5
Forum Research September 15, 2015 [77] 32 30 28 4 6 ±3 pp 1,402 IVR 2
Nanos Research September 15, 2015 [78] 29.0 31.6 30.1 2.8 5.3 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 1.5
Environics September 15, 2015 [79] 26 34 29 4 8 ±3.6 pp 1,001 telephone 5
EKOS September 15, 2015 [80] 29.6 29.9 27.4 3.7 7.6 ±1.9 pp 2,704 IVR 0.3
Nanos Research September 14, 2015 [81] 31.0 30.4 29.6 2.9 4.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 0.6
Ipsos Reid September 13, 2015 [82] 29 32 31 4 4 ±3.6 pp 980 online 1
Nanos Research September 13, 2015 [83] 30.2 31.3 30.3 2.6 4.3 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 1.0
Nanos Research September 12, 2015 [84] 31.7 30.8 30.5 2.5 4.1 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 0.9
Abacus Data September 11, 2015 [85] 29 31 29 4 6 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 2
Nanos Research September 11, 2015 [86] 30.9 30.1 31.7 2.8 4.0 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 0.8
Forum Research September 10, 2015 [87] 28 36 29 3 3 ±3 pp 1,308 IVR 7
Nanos Research September 10, 2015 [88] 30.8 29.9 30.9 3.2 4.6 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 0.1
Innovative Research September 10, 2015 [89] 28 31 30 4 6 ±2.2 pp 2,121 online 1
Nanos Research September 9, 2015 [90] 28.6 30.6 32.1 3.6 4.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 1.5
Nanos Research September 8, 2015 [91] 25.9 31.2 32.5 3.7 6.1 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling (1/3) 1.3
Ipsos Reid September 8, 2015 [92] 29 34 30 3 3 ±3.6 pp 949 online 4
EKOS September 8, 2015 [93] 31.8 29.6 26.9 4.6 5.9 ±1.9 pp 2,677 IVR 2.2
Nanos Research September 6, 2015 [94] 26.2 32.7 30.8 3.7 6.0 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone – rolling 1.9
Léger Marketing September 2, 2015 [95] 28 31 30 4 5 ±2.1 pp 2,119 online 1
Forum Research September 1, 2015 [96] 24 36 32 4 4 ±3 pp 1,384 IVR 4
EKOS September 1, 2015 [97] 29.5 30.2 27.7 4.2 6.4 ±1.7 pp 3,243 IVR 0.7
Abacus Data August 28, 2015 [98] 30 31 28 3 7 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 1
Nanos Research August 28, 2015 [99] 28.8 30.8 29.7 4.2 5.4 ±3.1 pp 1,000 telephone – rolling (1/4) 1.1
Innovative Research August 26, 2015 [100] 30 32 27 4 6 ±1.7 pp 3,274 online 2
Ipsos Reid August 26, 2015 [101] 29 33 30 4 4 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 3
EKOS August 25, 2015 [102] 28.1 33.6 26.7 4.1 5.8 ±1.7 pp 3,524 IVR 5.5
Forum Research August 24, 2015 [103] 23 40 30 3 3 ±3 pp 1,440 IVR 10
Angus Reid[LV] August 24, 2015 [104] 32 36 23 4 4 ±1.2 pp 6,226 online 4
Nanos Research August 21, 2015 [105] 30.1 29.1 29.9 4.7 5.2 ±3.1 pp 1,000 telephone – rolling (1/4) 0.2
Forum Research August 19, 2015 [106] 29 34 28 4 4 ±3 pp 1,473 IVR 5
Abacus Data August 17, 2015 [107] 29 35 26 3 6 ±2.6 pp 1,439 online 6
Nanos Research August 14, 2015 [108] 31.8 29.0 28.7 4.5 5.3 ±3.1 pp 1,000 telephone – rolling (1/4) 2.8
Léger Marketing August 12, 2015 [109] 27 33 28 5 6 ±2.1 pp 2,095 online 5
Mainstreet Research August 11, 2015 [110] 31 30 29 4 6 ±1.35 pp 5,401 IVR 1
Forum Research August 11, 2015 [111] 28 34 27 6 4 ±3 pp 1,392 IVR 6
EKOS August 11, 2015 [112] 30.4 31.8 24.2 4.2 7.3 ±1.8 pp 3,055 IVR 1.4
Ipsos Reid August 10, 2015 [113] 30.8 33.0 27.8 3.9 4.0 ±2.38 pp 2,022 telephone/online 2.2
Nanos Research August 7, 2015 [114] 31.2 30.4 28.6 4.2 5.0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 telephone – rolling (1/4) 0.8
Forum Research August 2, 2015 [115] 28 39 25 5 3 ±3 pp 1,399 IVR 11

Notes

1 In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the latter is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls—because of their opt-in method of recruiting panellists which results in a non-random sample—cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
2 Refers to the total sample size, including undecided and non-voters.
3 "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next, with the fraction in parentheses indicating the proportion of independent data compared to the previous published poll in the series.
LV Identifies polling firms that explicitly apply a "likely voter" turnout adjustment to their top-line results.

Pre-campaign period edit

Graphical summary

 
Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the pre-campaign period of the 2015 Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
Polling firm Last date
of polling[1]		 Link CPC NDP LPC BQ GPC Margin
of error[2]		 Sample
size[3]		 Polling method[4] Lead
Nanos Research July 31, 2015 [116] 31.5 30.1 29.3 3.3 5.4 ±3.1 pp 1,000 telephone – rolling (1/2) 1.4
Innovative Research July 30, 2015 [117] 29.3 33.7 25.8 4.6 5.6 ±1.9 pp 2,833 online 4.4
Forum Research July 28, 2015 [118] 33 33 25 4 4 ±3.0 pp 1,397 IVR Tie
EKOS July 28, 2015 [119] 30.1 33.8 23.4 4.7 6.1 ±2.1 pp 2,247 IVR 3.7
Ipsos Reid July 27, 2015 [120] 33 34 25 5 3 ±2.5 pp 1,571 online 1
Mainstreet Research July 21, 2015 [121] 38 27 25 4 6 ±1.37 pp 5,147 IVR 11
Forum Research July 20, 2015 [122] 28 34 29 5 4 ±3.0 pp 1,208 IVR 6
Nanos Research July 17, 2015 [123] 31 31 27 5 6 ±3.1 pp 1,000 telephone – rolling Tie
Leger Marketing July 16, 2015 [124] 32 32 25 5 6 ±2.5 pp 1,545 online Tie
EKOS July 14, 2015 [125] 29.4 32.6 24.0 5.3 6.6 ±2.0 pp 2,538 IVR 3.2
Forum Research July 13, 2015 [126] 27 34 27 7 5 ±3.0 pp 1,251 IVR 7
Forum Research July 7, 2015 [127] 32 32 26 5 3 ±3.0 pp 1,200 IVR Tie
Abacus Data July 6, 2015 [128] 29 32 27 6 6 ±2.2 pp 2,000 online 3
Forum Research June 29, 2015 [129] 27 32 29 6 4 ±3.0 pp 1,221 IVR 3
EKOS June 28, 2015 [130] 27.3 30.9 25.6 6.3 6.6 ±2.3 pp 1,752 IVR 3.6
Forum Research June 23, 2015 [131] 28 36 28 5 2 ±3.0 pp 1,268 IVR 8
Ipsos Reid June 23, 2015 [132] 28 35 29 6 2 ±2.5 pp 2,003 online 6
Environics June 18, 2015 [133] 28 30 28 6 7 ±2.4 pp 2,003 telephone 2
Forum Research June 16, 2015 [134] 26 34 28 7 5 ±3.0 pp 1,281 IVR 6
EKOS June 16, 2015 [135] 29.4 30.2 25.0 5.9 7.1 ±1.6 pp 3,834 IVR 0.8
EKOS June 9, 2015 [136] 26.9 33.6 23.3 5.1 7.3 ±2.0 pp 2,491 IVR 6.7
Angus Reid June 7, 2015 [137] 31 36 23 5 5 ±1.2 pp 6,005 online 5
Forum Research June 5, 2015 [138] 31 28 32 3 5 ±3.0 pp 1,156 IVR 1
EKOS June 2, 2015 [139] 29.2 31.3 23.9 4.8 7.4 ±2.1 pp 2,204 IVR 2.1
Abacus Data May 31, 2015 [140] 31 28 28 4 7 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 3
Ipsos Reid May 29, 2015 [141] 31 30 31 4 4 ±3.5 pp 1,003 online Tie
Nanos Research May 29, 2015 [142] 32 30 29 4 5 ±3.1 pp 1,000 telephone – rolling (1/2) 2
EKOS May 26, 2015 [143] 29.5 28.9 26.8 4.1 7.8 ±1.8 pp 2,934 IVR 0.6
EKOS May 19, 2015 [144] 28.1 29.6 26.1 5.4 7.6 ±1.9 pp 2,675 IVR 1.5
Nanos Research May 14, 2015 [145] 32.9 25.2 31.3 3.6 5.3 ±3.1 pp 1,000 telephone – rolling 1.6
Forum Research May 13, 2015 [146] 31 30 31 3 4 ±3.0 pp 1,286 IVR Tie
EKOS May 12, 2015 [147] 30.0 29.1 27.0 4.1 8.0 ±2.1 pp 2,177 IVR 0.9
EKOS May 5, 2015 [148] 30.3 24.2 29.6 4.2 7.3 ±1.8 pp 3,017 IVR 0.7
Leger Marketing April 30, 2015 [149] 33 21 34 4 7 ±2.5 pp 1,488 online 1
EKOS April 28, 2015 [150] 32.4 21.9 28.7 4.1 9.9 ±1.6 pp 3,757 IVR 3.7
Abacus Data April 24, 2015 [151] 36 24 28 5 6 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 8
Forum Research April 22, 2015 [152] 35 23 31 5 6 ±3.0 pp 977 IVR 4
EKOS April 21, 2015 [153] 31.8 23.5 27.6 4.9 7.5 ±1.6 pp 3,850 IVR 4.0
Nanos Research April 17, 2015 [154] 29 25 34 4 8 ±3.1 pp 1,000 telephone – rolling 5
Forum Research April 16, 2015 [155] 33 22 35 3 6 ±3.0 pp 1,365 IVR 2
EKOS April 14, 2015 [156] 32.2 22.7 28.5 4.9 8.0 ±1.7 pp 3,399 IVR 3.7
Ipsos Reid April 7, 2015 [157] 35 25 33 4 3 ±3.5 pp 1,001 online 2
EKOS April 7, 2015 [158] 28.7 22.9 30.1 4.2 9.2 ±1.7 pp 3,306 IVR 1.4
Forum Research March 31, 2015 [159] 31 23 34 5 5 ±3.0 pp 1,239 IVR 3
EKOS March 31, 2015 [160] 31.9 22.6 27.6 5.2 9.6 ±1.6 pp 3,901 IVR 4.3
Oraclepoll Research March 30, 2015 [161] 35.3 18.7 31.4 5.9 8.7 ±1.8 pp 3,040 telephone 3.9
EKOS March 24, 2015 [162] 31.8 23.2 28.5 4.7 8.7 ±1.5 pp 4,311 IVR 3.3
Abacus Data March 22, 2015 [163] 32 23 33 4 6 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 1
Leger Marketing March 18, 2015 [164] 34 20 35 4 6 ±2.5 pp 1,511 online 1
EKOS March 17, 2015 [165] 30.2 21.2 32.1 4.8 7.9 ±1.6 pp 3,832 IVR 1.9
Forum Research March 14, 2015 [166] 32 21 36 4 6 ±3.0 pp 1,370 IVR 4
EKOS March 10, 2015 [167] 32.9 19.7 30.5 4.8 8.8 ±1.8 pp 2,950 IVR 2.4
EKOS March 3, 2015 [168] 32.2 19.9 31.3 4.6 9.0 ±1.7 pp 3,241 IVR 0.9
Nanos Research February 27, 2015 [169] 33 23 34 5 5 ±3.1 pp 1,000 telephone – rolling 1
EKOS February 24, 2015 [170] 31.1 22.1 31.9 4.5 7.5 ±1.6 pp 3,607 IVR 0.8
Ipsos Reid February 23, 2015 [171] 33 23 34 6 3 ±2.2 pp 2,650 online 1
EKOS February 17, 2015 [172] 32.3 19.1 31.6 5.4 8.0 ±1.7 pp 3,386 IVR 0.7
Abacus Data February 16, 2015 [173] 35 21 34 4 4 ±2.6 pp 1,460 online 1
Forum Research February 10, 2015 [174] 32 17 39 4 5 ±3.0 pp 1,018 IVR 7
EKOS February 10, 2015 [175] 32.0 18.9 33.8 4.2 8.5 ±1.8 pp 3,005 IVR 1.8
EKOS February 3, 2015 [176] 35.0 17.9 32.2 3.8 8.0 ±1.8 pp 2,974 IVR 2.8
Leger Marketing February 2, 2015 [177] 32 20 35 5 6 ±2.5 pp 1,507 online 3
Forum Research January 28, 2015 [178] 35 20 34 5 6 ±3.0 pp 1,382 IVR 1
Abacus Data January 28, 2015 [179] 33 24 32 4 5 ±3.1 pp 1,005 online 1
EKOS January 13, 2015 [180] 31.0 19.1 33.1 4.4 8.9 ±1.5 pp 4,412 IVR 2.1
Ipsos Reid January 11, 2015 [181] 35 24 31 6 4 ±2.6 pp 1,915 online 4
Forum Research January 6, 2015 [182] 33 20 37 4 5 ±2.0 pp 1,741 IVR 4
Abacus Data December 20, 2014 [183] 34 22 33 4 6 ±2.6 pp 1,438 online 1
EKOS December 18, 2014 [184] 29.8 20.2 33.8 5.3 7.7 ±1.7 pp 2,183 IVR 3.0
Angus Reid December 13, 2014 [185] 34 22 34 4 5 ±1.2 pp 6,325 online Tie
EKOS December 12, 2014 [186] 30.8 20.0 31.8 5.0 7.8 ±1.7 pp 3,276 IVR 1
Forum Research December 11, 2014 [187] 33 17 41 3 5 ±2.0 pp 1,658 IVR 8
Leger Marketing December 11, 2014 [188] 32 19 38 4 6 ±2.5 pp 1,521 online 6
Ipsos Reid December 1, 2014 [189] 33 24 34 5 4 ±1.2 pp 8,268 online 1
Forum Research November 20, 2014 [190] 33 18 36 4 8 ±3.0 pp 1,500 IVR 3
EKOS November 6, 2014 [191] 30.2 20.5 33.5 3.5 9.7 ±2.5 pp 1,561 IVR 3.3
Leger Marketing November 6, 2014 [192] 33 19 36 3 7 ±2.5 pp 1,493 online 3
Abacus Data November 4, 2014 [193] 30 24 35 4 6 ±2.3 pp 1,850 online 5
EKOS October 29, 2014 [194] 27.8 21.4 33.4 5.5 8.2 ±2.4 pp 1,628 IVR 5.6
Abacus Data October 17, 2014 [195] 30 25 32 4 8 ±2.8 pp 1,248 online 2
Leger Marketing October 16, 2014 [196] 32 21 37 4 5 ±2.5 pp 1,524 online 5
EKOS October 15, 2014 [197] 26.4 25.0 38.5 3.1 5.7 ±2.4 pp 1,671 telephone/online 12.1
Forum Research October 5, 2014 [198] 34 19 38 4 4 ±2.5 pp 1,504 IVR 4
EKOS September 25, 2014 [199] 24.9 24.4 38.3 4.0 7.7 ±2.5 pp 1,549 telephone/online 13.4
Angus Reid September 19, 2014 [200] 30 22 36 4 6 ±2.5 pp 1,502 online 6
Abacus Data September 14, 2014 [201] 30 23 38 3 5 ±3.1 pp 1,075 online 8
Ipsos Reid September 12, 2014 [202] 31 23 38 5 3 ±2.8 pp 1,605 online 7
Forum Research September 5, 2014 [203] 34 18 40 4 3 ±3.0 pp 1,267 IVR 6
Forum Research August 19, 2014 [204] 32 17 41 5 5 ±2.0 pp 1,798 IVR 9
Abacus Data August 18, 2014 [205] 29 22 35 5 7 ±2.5 pp 1,614 online 6
Ipsos Reid August 17, 2014 [206] 31 24 38 3 3 ±3.5 pp 1,012 online 7
EKOS July 23, 2014 [207] 25.6 23.4 38.7 3.7 7.1 ±1.9 pp 2,620 telephone/online 12.1
Forum Research July 18, 2014 [208] 28 18 44 5 3 ±2.0 pp 1,624 IVR 16
Abacus Data July 3, 2014 [209] 31 23 34 5 6 ±2.2 pp 2,000 online 3
Forum Research June 17, 2014 [210] 31 19 39 4 5 ±2.0 pp 1,683 IVR 8
Angus Reid June 12, 2014 [211] 31 27 30 5 6 ±1.2 pp 6,264 online 1
Angus Reid May 23, 2014 [212] 31 25 30 5 7 ±3.4 pp 1,503 online 1
Forum Research May 23, 2014 [213] 30 23 36 6 5 ±2.0 pp 1,694 IVR 6
EKOS May 1, 2014 [214] 27.6 21.4 34.9 5.3 8.2 ±1.6 pp 3,677 IVR 7.3
Forum Research April 29, 2014 [215] 30 20 39 6 4 ±2.0 pp 1,572 IVR 9
Ipsos Reid April 22, 2014 [216] 33 24 33 6 4 ±3.5 pp 1,014 online Tie
Angus Reid April 15, 2014 [217] 32 26 30 5 6 ±3.4 pp 1,505 online 2
EKOS April 3, 2014 [218] 26.7 21.8 35.8 4.8 8.1 ±1.5 pp 4,134 IVR 9.1
Forum Research March 28, 2014 [219] 29 22 39 5 3 ±2.0 pp 1,764 IVR 10
Angus Reid March 9, 2014 [220] 28 27 33 5 6 ±1.2 pp 6,445 online 5
Abacus Data March 5, 2014 [221] 28 23 34 8 6 ±2.8 pp 1,249 online 6
Forum Research February 19, 2014 [222] 29 21 39 6 4 ±2.0 pp 1,824 IVR 10
Ipsos Reid February 18, 2014 [223] 29 24 37 5 5 ±3.5 pp 1,034 online 8
Angus Reid February 16, 2014 [224] 28 26 33 5 6 ±2.5 pp 1,514 online 5
Nanos Research February 15, 2014 [225] 28.7 23.2 34.0 6.4 5.3 ±3.4 pp 1,000 telephone 5.3
Ipsos Reid February 4, 2014 [226] 29 27 33 7 4 ±3.5 pp 1,001 online 4
EKOS January 27, 2014 [227] 29.7 24.3 33.2 4.5 6.2 ±2.5 pp 1,501 telephone/online 3.5
Forum Research January 25, 2014 [228] 28 24 38 5 4 ±3.0 pp 1,228 IVR 10
Abacus Data January 18, 2014 [229] 28 24 34 5 7 ±2.2 pp 1,996 online 6
Forum Research January 17, 2014 [230] 28 25 37 5 4 ±2.0 pp 1,779 IVR 9
EKOS December 15, 2013 [231] 26.2 22.9 32.1 6.3 9.3 ±1.7 pp 3,468 IVR 5.9
Forum Research December 13, 2013 [232] 32 21 38 5 3 ±2.0 pp 1,634 IVR 6
Ipsos Reid November 27, 2013 [233] 29 26 35 6 3 ±3.5 pp 1,014 online 6
Harris-Decima November 25, 2013 [234] 26 23 36 7 7 ±2.2 pp 2,034 telephone 10
Forum Research November 13, 2013 [235] 29 22 38 6 4 ±2.0 pp 1,834 IVR 9
EKOS October 29, 2013 [236] 26.4 24.9 37.4 5.2 5.2 ±2.6 pp 1,377 telephone/online 11.0
Ipsos Reid October 28, 2013 [237] 30 31 31 6 2 ±3.4 pp 1,102 online Tie
Forum Research October 23, 2013 [238] 28 20 40 6 5 ±3.0 pp 1,007 IVR 12
Forum Research October 22, 2013 [239] 30 19 39 7 5 ±2.0 pp 1,859 IVR 9
Abacus Data October 22, 2013 [240] 32 23 32 5 7 ±2.6 pp 1,459 online Tie
Ipsos Reid October 20, 2013 [241] 31 27 33 6 2 ±3.4 pp 1,042 online 2
Nanos Research October 18, 2013 [242] 29 23 37 5 5 ±3.5 pp 1,000 telephone 8
EKOS October 14, 2013 [243] 26.1 24.9 36.3 5.0 6.5 ±2.5 pp 1,554 telephone/online 10.2
Ipsos Reid September 20, 2013 [244] 32 26 31 7 3 ±3.5 pp 1,035 online 1
Forum Research September 17, 2013 [245] 31 21 36 7 4 ±3.0 pp 1,527 IVR 5
Harris-Decima September 9, 2013 [246] 29 24 33 6 6 ±2.2 pp 2,020 telephone 4
Abacus Data September 4, 2013 [247] 30 27 29 8 4 ±2.5 pp 1,600 online 1
Nanos Research August 31, 2013 [248] 30 25 33 5 5 ±3.5 pp 1,000 telephone 3
Forum Research August 23, 2013 [249] 29 22 38 6 4 ±3.0 pp 1,189 IVR 9
Nanos Research August 22, 2013 [250] 29.7 24.8 35.7 3.9 5.5 ±3.3 pp 1,000 telephone/online 6.0
Nanos Research August 19, 2013 [251] 31.9 22.8 35.3 2.5 5.9 ±2.2 pp 2,000 telephone 3.4
Forum Research July 23, 2013 [252] 31 22 35 7 4 ±2.0 pp 1,782 IVR 4
EKOS July 9, 2013 [253] 28.4 23.4 30.4 6.3 8.5 ±1.8 pp 2,900 IVR 2.0
Environics June 30, 2013 [254] 28 24 34 6 6 ±2.4 pp 2,149 telephone 6
Ipsos Reid June 25, 2013 [255] 30 28 33 6 4 ±3.3 pp 1,177 online 3
Abacus Data June 23, 2013 [256] 27 26 29 6 10 ±3.1 pp 999 online 2
Leger Marketing June 19, 2013 [257] 29 21 37 4 8 ±2.5 pp 1,503 online 8
Nanos Research June 19, 2013 [258] 29.4 25.3 34.2 3.7 6.4 ±3.5 pp 1,000 telephone/online 4.8
Forum Research June 18, 2013 [259] 30 20 38 6 4 ±2.0 pp 1,525 IVR 8
Ipsos Reid May 28, 2013 [260] 30 27 36 4 4 ±3.5 pp 1,009 online 6
EKOS May 26, 2013 [261] 26.3 20.9 34.7 5.4 9.2 ±1.7 pp 3,318 IVR 8.4
Forum Research May 22, 2013 [262] 27 20 44 4 3 ±2.0 pp 1,779 IVR 17
EKOS May 2, 2013 [263] 26.2 23.9 38.6 4.2 6.3 ±2.7 pp 1,309 telephone/online 12.4
Ipsos Reid April 30, 2013 [264] 32 25 35 5 3 ±3.4 pp 1,059 online 3
Harris-Decima April 28, 2013 [265] 28 22 35 6 7 ±2.2 pp 2,008 telephone 7
Forum Research April 15, 2013 [266] 30 19 43 5 2 ±2.0 pp 1,764 IVR 13
EKOS April 10, 2013 [267] 28.8 23.3 29.1 6.4 9.0 ±1.5 pp 4,568 IVR 0.3
Nanos Research April 8, 2013 [268] 31.3 23.6 35.4 4.8 4.2 ±3.3 pp 1,002 telephone/online 4.1
Abacus Data April 6, 2013 [269] 33 27 27 5 7 ±2.6 pp 1,511 online 6
Ipsos Reid April 3, 2013 [270] 31 27 32 6 4 ±3.4 pp 1,053 1
Forum Research April 2, 2013 [271] 29 25 33 5 6 ±3.0 pp 1,310 IVR 4
Leger Marketing March 28, 2013 [272] 31 24 30 7 7 ±2.5 pp 1,511 online 1
Abacus Data March 21, 2013 [273] 32 31 24 5 8 ±3.1 pp 1,014 online 1
Forum Research March 7, 2013 [274] 31 27 30 6 5 ±2.0 pp 1,755 IVR 1
Nanos Research February 24, 2013 [275] 31.5 27.2 29.1 5.2 5.9 ±3.7 pp 1,000 telephone 2.4
EKOS February 10, 2013 [276] 29.3 26.3 24.6 7.2 9.5 ±1.3 pp 5,947 IVR 3.0
Forum Research February 6, 2013 [277] 32 26 30 6 4 ±3.0 pp 1,091 IVR 2
Abacus Data February 6, 2013 [278] 35 31 21 6 6 ±2.3 pp 1,832 online 4
Nanos Research January 31, 2013 [279] 34.3 27.1 27.6 4.6 4.7 ±3.5 pp 1,000 telephone 6.7
Forum Research January 17, 2013 [280] 36 28 25 7 4 ±2.0 pp 1,626 IVR 8
Angus Reid January 17, 2013 [281] 35 29 22 6 6 ±2.2 pp 2,028 online 6
Angus Reid January 3, 2013 [282] 35 33 19 6 6 ±3.1 pp 1,012 online 2
Forum Research December 18, 2012 [283] 31 28 27 6 6 ±2.0 pp 1,355 IVR 3
Abacus Data December 8, 2012 [284] 34 32 22 6 6 ±2.6 pp 1,505 online 2
Leger Marketing December 6, 2012 [285] 35 30 18 7 9 ±2.5 pp 1,500 online 5
EKOS December 3, 2012 [286] 31.9 25.8 24.4 6.7 8.4 ±1.3 pp 5,433 IVR 6.1
Forum Research November 19, 2012 [287] 33 28 28 6 4 ±2.0 pp 1,849 IVR 5
Nanos Research November 15, 2012 [288] 33.8 27.2 29.0 4.9 3.7 ±3.5 pp 1,004 telephone 4.8
Abacus Data November 11, 2012 [289] 36 29 22 7 6 ±3.0 pp 1,068 online 7
Ipsos Reid November 8, 2012 [290] 34 30 26 7 2 ±2.5 pp 2,009 telephone/online 4
Forum Research October 27, 2012 [291] 31 32 27 6 4 ±2.0 pp 1,735 IVR 1
Nanos Research October 11, 2012 [292] 33.3 27.9 30.1 4.7 2.9 ±3.4 pp 1,000 telephone 3.2
Forum Research September 26, 2012 [293] 35 30 25 6 3 ±2.0 pp 1,707 IVR 5
Environics September 23, 2012 [294] 31 35 20 9 5 ±2.4 pp 2,000 telephone 4
Abacus Data September 18, 2012 [295] 35 35 17 7 6 ±2.9 pp 1,208 online Tie
Harris-Decima September 10, 2012 [296] 34 27 24 6 7 ±2.2 pp 2,007 telephone 7
Nanos Research September 9, 2012 [297] 32.4 30.4 24.6 5.8 5.0 ±3.4 pp 1,000 telephone 2.0
Forum Research August 22, 2012 [298] 34 34 22 6 4 ±2.4 pp 1,720 IVR Tie
Abacus Data August 12, 2012 [299] 37 32 20 6 6 ±2.2 pp 2,099 online 5
Forum Research July 26, 2012 [300] 31 35 22 6 5 ±2.4 pp 1,639 IVR 4
Nanos Research July 12, 2012 [301] 33.6 30.3 26.5 4.4 4.2 ±3.2 pp 1,200 telephone 3.3
EKOS July 5, 2012 [302] 30.2 32.3 19.5 4.9 10.0 ±2.1 pp 2,098 IVR 2.1
Forum Research June 27, 2012 [303] 35 35 19 6 3 ±2.9 pp 1,165 IVR Tie
EKOS June 26, 2012 [304] 29.3 32.4 19.2 6.5 9.5 ±2.2 pp 2,049 IVR 3.1
Abacus Data June 23, 2012 [305] 35 35 20 5 6 ±3.1 pp 1,008 online Tie
Environics June 23, 2012 [306] 33 35 19 7 5 ±2.4 pp 2,093 telephone 2
Ipsos Reid June 21, 2012 [307] 35 38 18 6 4 ±3.1 pp 1,099 online 3
Harris-Decima June 18, 2012 [308] 31 32 23 5 7 ±2.2 pp 2,000 telephone 1
Angus Reid June 16, 2012 [309] 34 35 19 6 5 ±2.5 pp 1,500 online 1
Forum Research June 14, 2012 [310] 30 37 22 6 5 ±2.5 pp 1,529 IVR 7
Nanos Research May 31, 2012 [311] 33.5 33.6 24.9 3.4 2.4 ±3.1 pp 1,201 telephone 0.1
Forum Research May 23, 2012 [312] 32 36 20 5 6 ±2.3 pp 1,836 IVR 4
Angus Reid May 23, 2012 [313] 37 33 18 7 4 ±3.1 pp 1,014 online 4
Abacus Data May 16, 2012 [314] 37 35 17 6 5 ±3.1 pp 1,008 online 2
Ipsos Reid May 10, 2012 [315] 37 35 19 5 3 ±2.0 pp 2,061 telephone/online 2
Environics May 9, 2012 [316] 32 36 19 6 7 ±3.5 pp 1,000 telephone 4
Harris-Decima May 6, 2012 [317] 30 34 20 7 8 ±2.2 pp 2,018 telephone 4
Harris-Decima April 30, 2012 [318] 30 33 20 7 8 ±3.1 pp 1,006 telephone 3
Forum Research April 25, 2012 [319] 33 36 22 6 2 ±2.4 pp 1,744 IVR 3
Nanos Research April 18, 2012 [320] 34.7 32.4 23.3 3.9 4.2 ±3.2 pp 1,200 telephone 2.3
Ipsos Reid April 5, 2012 [321] 34 33 21 7 4 ±2.0 pp 1,008 telephone 1
Leger Marketing April 4, 2012 [322] 32 33 19 7 8 ±2.5 pp 1,506 online 1
Harris-Decima April 2, 2012 [323] 34 32 19 6 8 ±2.2 pp 2,003 telephone 2
Forum Research March 30, 2012 [324] 36 34 19 5 5 ±2.4 pp 1,675 IVR 2
Forum Research March 27, 2012 [325] 35 35 19 7 3 ±2.4 pp 1,638 IVR Tie
Angus Reid March 21, 2012 [326] 37 29 21 8 4 ±3.1 pp 1,004 online 8
Innovative Research March 21, 2012 [327] 37 25 24 6 7 ±2.8 pp 1,193 online 12
Harris-Decima March 19, 2012 [328] 31 28 24 8 7 ±2.2 pp 2,005 telephone 3
Environics March 18, 2012 [329] 30 30 20 8 7 ±2.4 pp 2,000 telephone Tie
Abacus Data March 13, 2012 [330] 37 28 20 8 7 ±3.1 pp 1,003 online 9
EKOS March 11, 2012 [331] 35.4 29.7 19.6 5.8 8.1 ±2.2 pp 2,011 telephone/online 5.7
Ipsos Reid March 8, 2012 [332] 37 29 23 7 4 ±2.0 pp 3,154 telephone/online 8
Leger Marketing March 5, 2012 [333] 34 26 24 8 7 ±2.0 pp 2,509 online 8
Forum Research March 3, 2012 [334] 37 28 25 5 4 ±2.4 pp 1,675 IVR 9
Nanos Research February 29, 2012 [335] 35.7 25.0 29.5 4.9 3.4 ±3.1 pp 1,203 telephone 6.2
EKOS February 28, 2012 [336] 31.5 29.2 21.7 6.0 8.3 ±1.6 pp 3,699 IVR 2.3
Forum Research February 6, 2012 [337] 36 28 26 6 3 ±2.8 pp 1,210 IVR 8
Nanos Research January 23, 2012 [338] 35.7 25.2 27.6 5.6 4.5 ±3.2 pp 1,201 telephone 8.1
Harris-Decima January 22, 2012 [339] 32 29 25 5 7 ±2.2 pp 2,000 telephone 3
Angus Reid January 21, 2012 [340] 39 28 22 6 5 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 11
Abacus Data January 19, 2012 [341] 37 28 21 6 7 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 9
Forum Research January 13, 2012 [342] 35 28 25 6 4 ±2.8 pp 1,211 IVR 7
EKOS December 21, 2011 [343] 31.4 29.5 24.8 6.7 6.1 ±2.2 pp 2,005 telephone/online 1.9
Nanos Research December 18, 2011 [344] 36.5 28.7 25.6 4.4 3.8 ±3.3 pp 1,201 telephone 7.8
Forum Research December 13, 2011 [345] 33 27 21 6 8 ±2.9 pp 1,160 IVR 6
Harris-Decima December 12, 2011 [346] 34 28 22 6 7 ±2.2 pp 2,005 telephone 6
Abacus Data December 4, 2011 [347] 40 31 18 6 5 ±3.1 pp 1,004 online 9
Nanos Research November 21, 2011 [348] 35.6 27.3 28.1 3.9 3.9 ±3.2 pp 1,202 telephone 7.5
Ipsos Reid November 9, 2011 [349] 37 31 21 6 3 6
Harris-Decima November 6, 2011 [350] 36 29 22 5 7 ±2.2 pp 2,000 telephone 7
Nanos Research October 24, 2011 [351] 37.7 30.0 23.4 3.6 3.8 ±3.2 pp 1,202 telephone 7.7
Nanos Research October 2, 2011 [352] 39.0 29.0 24.5 3.5 2.9 ±3.2 pp 1,209 telephone 10.0
Angus Reid September 21, 2011 [353] 39 29 21 5 4 ±2.4 pp 1,668 online 10
Leger Marketing September 15, 2011 [354] 39 33 17 5 6 ±2.4 pp 1,625 online 6
Nanos Research September 1, 2011 [355] 39.5 33.1 20.7 2.6 3.4 ±3.2 pp 1,210 telephone 6.4
Harris-Decima August 29, 2011 [356] 33 33 21 6 7 ±2.2 pp 2,026 telephone Tie
Abacus Data August 15, 2011 [357] 38 32 19 5 6 ±3.2 pp 1,003 online 6
Angus Reid August 9, 2011 [358] 39 31 19 6 4 ±3.1 pp 1,005 online 8
Nanos Research August 2, 2011 [359] 36.2 26.8 27.0 4.4 4.5 ±3.1 pp 1,203 telephone 9.2
Abacus Data June 24, 2011 [360] 41 32 17 6 5 ±3.2 pp 1,005 online 9
Nanos Research June 19, 2011 [361] 41.8 28.0 22.3 3.4 3.7 ±3.1 pp 1,211 telephone 13.8
Nanos Research May 29, 2011 [362] 39.7 29.9 21.5 2.7 4.8 ±3.1 pp 1,205 telephone 9.8
Harris-Decima May 22, 2011 [363] 38 33 15 5 7 ±2.2 pp 2,000 telephone 5
Abacus Data May 19, 2011 [364] 40 33 16 6 5 ±2.5 pp 1,544 online 7
2011 election May 2, 2011 [365] 39.6 30.6 18.9 6.0 3.9 9.0

Notes

1 In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the latter is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls—because of their opt-in method of recruiting panellists which results in a non-random sample—cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
2 Refers to the total sample size, including undecided and non-voters.
3 "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next, with the fraction in parentheses indicating the proportion of independent data compared to the previous published poll in the series.

Leadership polls edit

Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on who would make the best prime minister:

Polling firm Last date
of polling[1]		 Link Stephen Harper Thomas Mulcair Justin Trudeau Elizabeth May Margin
of error[1]
Nanos Research October 17, 2015 [366] 30.1 18.9 35.2 5.3 ±2.2 pp
Nanos Research October 16, 2015 [367] 30.2 19.0 35.0 5.3 ±2.5 pp
Nanos Research October 15, 2015 [368] 30.0 19.3 34.6 5.6 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research October 14, 2015 [369] 29.2 20.1 33.9 5.8 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research October 13, 2015 [370] 28.8 19.9 33.0 6.4 ±2.8 pp
Ipsos Reid October 13, 2015 [20] 32 30 38 ±3.0 pp
Nanos Research October 11, 2015 [371] 28.1 20.5 32.3 6.4 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research October 10, 2015 [372] 28.2 22.6 30.2 5.8 ±2.8 pp
Forum Research October 9, 2015 [26] 26 22 29 8 ±3 pp
Nanos Research October 9, 2015 [373] 28.1 23.1 30.4 5.5 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research October 8, 2015 [374] 30.8 22.8 29.8 4.9 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research October 7, 2015 [375] 32.6 19.9 30.8 4.9 ±2.8 pp
Forum Research October 6, 2015 [376] 27 22 28 9 ±3 pp
Nanos Research October 6, 2015 [377] 33.2 18.7 30.4 5.8 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research October 5, 2015 [378] 31.7 19.0 30.6 5.1 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research October 4, 2015 [379] 31.1 20.7 30.2 5.4 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research October 3, 2015 [380] 31.7 22.7 29.4 4.6 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research October 2, 2015 [381] 32.6 24.4 27.7 4.8 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research October 1, 2015 [382] 33.2 23.2 28.3 4.4 ±2.8 pp
Léger Marketing September 30, 2015 [383] 24 24 23 ±2.1 pp
Nanos Research September 30, 2015 [384] 32.9 24.1 27.3 4.3 ±2.8 pp
Forum Research September 29, 2015 [385] 29 25 22 9 ±3 pp
Nanos Research September 29, 2015 [386] 32.0 23.5 28.0 4.4 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research September 28, 2015 [387] 31.4 24.8 27.4 4.0 ±2.8 pp
Ipsos Reid September 28, 2015 [56] 35 34 32 ±3.0 pp
Nanos Research September 27, 2015 [388] 32.4 23.7 25.9 4.5 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research September 26, 2015 [389] 31.4 23.0 27.8 4.6 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research September 25, 2015 [390] 30.2 24.4 27.2 5.5 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research September 24, 2015 [391] 29.2 25.6 29.2 4.9 ±2.8 pp
Forum Research September 23, 2015 [63] 25 24 25 9 ±3 pp
Nanos Research September 23, 2015 [392] 30.1 26.0 28.3 5.1 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research September 22, 2015 [393] 30.2 26.2 27.1 5.8 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research September 21, 2015 [394] 30.3 26.1 27.0 6.1 ±2.8 pp
Ipsos Reid September 21, 2015 [395] 30 38 32 ±3.4 pp
Nanos Research September 20, 2015 [396] 29.3 25.9 25.3 6.1 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research September 19, 2015 [397] 30.0 25.5 26.6 5.2 ±2.8 pp
Forum Research September 18, 2015 [398] 28 24 24 9 ±3 pp
Nanos Research September 18, 2015 [399] 29.7 26.3 25.5 6.0 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research September 17, 2015 [400] 30.1 28.6 25.4 5.8 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research September 16, 2015 [401] 31.2 28.1 24.6 6.2 ±2.8 pp
Forum Research September 15, 2015 [402] 25 30 19 8 ±3 pp
Nanos Research September 15, 2015 [403] 31.0 29.1 24.5 5.7 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research September 14, 2015 [404] 31.6 28.5 24.3 5.9 ±2.8 pp
Ipsos Reid September 13, 2015 [405] 32 36 32 ±3.6 pp
Nanos Research September 13, 2015 [406] 29.4 29.6 25.6 5.2 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research September 12, 2015 [407] 30.2 28.4 26.3 4.6 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research September 11, 2015 [408] 29.9 27.0 28.3 4.0 ±2.8 pp
Forum Research September 10, 2015 [87] 25 31 22 7 ±3 pp
Nanos Research September 10, 2015 [409] 30.2 27.3 27.5 4.5 ±2.8 pp
Innovative Research September 10, 2015 [89] 23 24 20 6
Nanos Research September 9, 2015 [410] 28.2 27.7 28.5 4.5 ±2.8 pp
Nanos Research September 8, 2015 [411] 25.7 29.4 28.0 5.6 ±2.8 pp
Ipsos Reid September 8, 2015 [412] 29 39 32 ±3.6 pp
Nanos Research September 6, 2015 [413] 25.3 29.8 28.2 5.2 ±2.8 pp
Leger Marketing September 2, 2015 [414] 21 25 21 ±2.1 pp
Forum Research September 1, 2015 [96] 24 31 24 8 ±3 pp
Nanos Research August 28, 2015 [415] 29 28 22 5 ±3.1 pp
Innovative Research August 26, 2015 [100] 24 24 18 5
Ipsos Reid August 26, 2015 [416] 31 37 32 ±3.1 pp
Forum Research August 24, 2015 [417] 22 32 22 8 ±3 pp
Angus Reid August 24, 2015 [418] 26 29 18 ±1.2 pp
Nanos Research August 21, 2015 [419] 29 27 22 4 ±3.1 pp
Forum Research August 19, 2015 [420] 24 29 21 9 ±3 pp
Nanos Research August 14, 2015 [421] 30 26 21 4 ±3.1 pp
Leger Marketing August 12, 2015 [422] 21 28 20 ±2.1 pp
Forum Research August 11, 2015 [423] 25 28 23 7 ±3 pp
Nanos Research August 7, 2015 [424] 31 27 21 3 ±3.1 pp
Forum Research August 2, 2015 [115] 24 31 22 5 ±3 pp
Nanos Research July 31, 2015 [425] 31 28 22 3 ±3.1 pp
Innovative Research July 30, 2015 [426] 27 31 19 6
Forum Research July 28, 2015 [118] 29 30 19 6 ±3 pp
Nanos Research July 24, 2015 [427] 30 29 22 3 ±3.1 pp
Forum Research July 20, 2015 [122] 25 29 20 6 ±3 pp
Nanos Research July 17, 2015 [123] 29 29 23 4 ±3.1 pp
Leger Marketing July 16, 2015 [124] 25 27 16 ±2.5 pp
Forum Research July 13, 2015 [126] 22 31 21 5 ±3 pp
Nanos Research July 10, 2015 [428] 26 28 25 4 ±3.1 pp
Forum Research July 7, 2015 [127] 25 27 23 6 ±3 pp
Nanos Research July 3, 2015 [429] 27 27 26 4 ±3.1 pp
Forum Research June 29, 2015 [129] 25 29 21 7 ±3 pp
Nanos Research June 26, 2015 [430] 28 25 27 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research June 19, 2015 [431] 27 27 27 3 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research June 12, 2015 [432] 29 28 26 3 ±3.1 pp
Angus Reid June 7, 2015 [433] 26 24 19 ±1.2 pp
Nanos Research June 5, 2015 [434] 29 25 27 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research May 29, 2015 [142] 29 22 27 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research May 22, 2015 [435] 32 20 29 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research May 15, 2015 [436] 31 20 29 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research May 8, 2015 [437] 31 21 28 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research May 1, 2015 [438] 31 21 30 5 ±3.1 pp
Leger Marketing April 30, 2015 [149] 25 19 23 ±2.5 pp
Nanos Research April 24, 2015 [439] 29 21 30 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research April 17, 2015 [154] 29 20 31 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research April 10, 2015 [440] 31 19 30 4 ±3.1 pp
Ipsos Reid April 7, 2015 [441] 38 31 30 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research April 3, 2015 [442] 31 18 29 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research March 27, 2015 [443] 31 17 31 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research March 20, 2015 [444] 34 16 31 4 ±3.1 pp
Leger Marketing March 18, 2015 [164] 25 17 23 ±2.5 pp
Nanos Research March 13, 2015 [445] 34 16 30 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research March 6, 2015 [446] 34 17 31 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research February 27, 2015 [169] 34 17 31 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research February 20, 2015 [447] 33 16 31 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research February 13, 2015 [448] 33 16 31 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research February 6, 2015 [449] 32 17 31 3 ±3.1 pp
Leger Marketing February 2, 2015 [177] 25 16 23 ±2.5 pp
Nanos Research January 30, 2015 [450] 31 17 31 3 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research January 23, 2015 [451] 31 19 30 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research January 16, 2015 [452] 31 18 31 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research January 9, 2015 [453] 30 18 31 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research January 2, 2015 [454] 33 18 30 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research December 26, 2014 [455] 33 18 32 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research December 19, 2014 [456] 33 18 31 4 ±3.1 pp
Angus Reid December 13, 2014 [457] 30 16 28 ±1.2 pp
Nanos Research December 12, 2014 [458] 33 19 31 3 ±3.1 pp
Leger Marketing December 11, 2014 [188] 24 16 27 ±2.5 pp
Nanos Research December 5, 2014 [459] 32 20 30 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research November 28, 2014 [460] 33 20 29 3 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research November 21, 2014 [461] 32 20 29 3 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research November 14, 2014 [462] 32 20 29 3 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research November 7, 2014 [463] 32 20 30 4 ±3.1 pp
Leger Marketing November 6, 2014 [464] 26 16 28 ±2.5 pp
Nanos Research October 31, 2014 [465] 29 20 32 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research October 24, 2014 [466] 29 19 34 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research October 17, 2014 [467] 30 18 35 4 ±3.1 pp
Leger Marketing October 16, 2014 [464] 23 17 26 ±2.5 pp
Nanos Research October 10, 2014 [468] 30 17 35 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research October 3, 2014 [469] 28 18 36 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research September 26, 2014 [470] 28 18 35 3 ±3.1 pp
Angus Reid September 19, 2014 [200] 27 14 27 4 ±2.5 pp
Nanos Research September 19, 2014 [471] 28 18 34 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research September 12, 2014 [472] 28 17 34 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research September 5, 2014 [473] 29 15 34 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research August 29, 2014 [474] 28 15 34 6 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research August 22, 2014 [475] 27 16 32 6 ±3.1 pp
Forum Research August 19, 2014 [476] 29 15 31 8 ±2 pp
Nanos Research August 15, 2014 [477] 26 19 32 6 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research August 8, 2014 [478] 26 19 31 7 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research August 1, 2014 [479] 29 20 29 6 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research July 25, 2014 [480] 30 20 30 5 ±3.1 pp
Forum Research July 18, 2014 [481] 27 16 30 7 ±2 pp
Nanos Research July 18, 2014 [482] 31 18 31 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research July 11, 2014 [483] 31 19 29 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research July 4, 2014 [484] 29 18 30 7 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research June 27, 2014 [485] 28 17 31 7 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research June 20, 2014 [486] 30 16 30 6 ±3.1 pp
Forum Research June 17, 2014 [210] 28 16 27 8 ±2 pp
Nanos Research June 13, 2014 [487] 28 14 33 7 ±3.1 pp
Angus Reid June 12, 2014 [211] 27 17 23 5 ±1.2 pp
Nanos Research June 6, 2014 [488] 30 14 32 6 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research May 30, 2014 [489] 32 15 30 6 ±3.1 pp
Angus Reid May 23, 2014 [212] 27 17 23 4 ±3.4 pp
Forum Research May 23, 2014 [213] 26 17 28 8 ±2 pp
Nanos Research May 23, 2014 [490] 30 17 30 7 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research May 16, 2014 [491] 31 19 27 6 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research May 9, 2014 [492] 30 19 27 6 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research May 2, 2014 [493] 27 20 27 6 ±3.1 pp
Forum Research April 29, 2014 [215] 25 17 30 10 ±2 pp
Nanos Research April 25, 2014 [494] 29 19 26 6 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research April 18, 2014 [495] 29 19 27 6 ±3.1 pp
Angus Reid April 15, 2014 [217] 27 16 20 4 ±3.4 pp
Nanos Research April 11, 2014 [496] 30 20 27 6 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research April 4, 2014 [497] 31 20 28 6 ±3.1 pp
Forum Research March 28, 2014 [219] 27 17 29 8 ±2 pp
Nanos Research March 28, 2014 [498] 30 18 29 6 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research March 21, 2014 [499] 29 18 31 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research March 14, 2014 [500] 27 17 32 6 ±3.1 pp
Angus Reid March 9, 2014 [220] 23 17 24 4 ±1.2 pp
Nanos Research March 7, 2014 [501] 26 18 31 6 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research February 28, 2014 [502] 25 19 32 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research February 21, 2014 [503] 28 19 29 5 ±3.1 pp
Forum Research February 19, 2014 [222] 26 16 33 8 ±2 pp
Angus Reid February 16, 2014 [224] 32 22 36 9 ±2.5 pp
Nanos Research February 14, 2014 [504] 28 19 30 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research February 7, 2014 [505] 28 19 29 4 ±3.1 pp
Ipsos Reid February 4, 2014 [506] 34 24 42 – ±3.5 pp
Nanos Research January 31, 2014 [507] 29 19 29 4 ±3.1 pp
Forum Research January 25, 2014 [228] 24 18 29 7 ±3 pp
Nanos Research January 24, 2014 [508] 27 21 29 4 ±3.1 pp
Forum Research January 17, 2014 [230] 25 19 29 7 ±2 pp
Nanos Research January 17, 2014 [509] 28 21 27 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research January 10, 2014 [510] 27 20 29 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research January 3, 2014 [511] 27 19 29 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research December 27, 2013 [512] 27 18 29 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research December 20, 2013 [513] 26 18 30 5 ±3.1 pp
Forum Research December 13, 2013 [232] 27 17 29 6 ±2 pp
Nanos Research December 13, 2013 [514] 28 18 27 6 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research December 6, 2013 [515] 27 20 26 6 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research November 29, 2013 [516] 27 20 26 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research November 22, 2013 [517] 29 20 27 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research November 15, 2013 [518] 27 19 29 5 ±3.1 pp
Forum Research November 13, 2013 [235] 25 17 27 7 ±2 pp
Nanos Research November 8, 2013 [519] 29 17 31 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research November 1, 2013 [520] 30 16 32 4 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research October 25, 2013 [521] 30 16 32 5 ±3.1 pp
Forum Research October 23, 2013 [238] 25 15 31 9 ±3 pp
Forum Research October 22, 2013 [522] 25 13 29 7 ±3 pp
Abacus Data October 22, 2013 [240] 24 12 26 4 ±2.6 pp
Nanos Research October 18, 2013 [523] 31 16 32 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research October 11, 2013 [524] 30 16 33 5 ±3.1 pp
Nanos Research October 4, 2013 [525] 29 15 31 5 ±3.1 pp
Forum Research September 17, 2013 [245] 27 15 30 6 ±3 pp
Harris-Decima August 25, 2013 [526] 29 14 33 – ±3.1 pp
Forum Research August 23, 2013 [249] 24 16 32 9 ±3 pp
Leger Marketing June 19, 2013 [527] 23 14 27 6 ±2.5 pp
Harris-Decima April 21, 2013 [528] 31 18 33 – ±3.1 pp

See also edit

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November 26, 2023
opinion, polling, 2015, canadian, federal, election, this, table, provides, list, scientific, nationwide, public, opinion, polls, that, were, conducted, from, 2011, canadian, federal, election, leading, 2015, canadian, federal, election, which, held, october, . This table provides a list of scientific nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted from the 2011 Canadian federal election leading up to the 2015 Canadian federal election which was held on October 19 2015 For riding specific polls see 2015 constituency polls Contents 1 Campaign period 2 Pre campaign period 3 Leadership polls 4 See also 5 ReferencesCampaign period editGraphical summary nbsp Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during campaign period of the 2015 Canadian federal election graphed from the data in the table below Trendlines are local regressions with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size 95 confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals Polling firm Last dateof polling 1 Link CPC NDP LPC BQ GPC Marginof error 2 Samplesize 3 Polling method 4 Lead2015 election October 19 2015 1 31 9 19 7 39 5 4 7 3 4 7 6Nanos Research October 18 2015 2 30 5 19 7 39 1 5 5 4 6 3 5 pp 800 telephone 8 6Forum Research October 18 2015 3 30 20 40 6 3 3 pp 1 373 IVR 10EKOS October 18 2015 4 31 9 20 4 35 8 4 9 5 6 2 1 pp 2 122 IVR telephone rolling 1 3 3 9EKOS October 17 2015 5 32 6 21 0 34 3 5 4 5 4 2 4 pp 1 621 IVR telephone rolling 1 2 1 7Ipsos Reid October 17 2015 6 31 22 38 4 4 2 2 pp 2 503 online telephone 7Nanos Research October 17 2015 7 30 5 22 1 37 3 4 6 4 7 2 2 pp 2 000 telephone rolling 2 5 6 8EKOS October 16 2015 8 33 3 21 9 33 7 4 7 4 1 2 5 pp 1 537 IVR telephone rolling 1 2 0 4Nanos Research October 16 2015 9 30 7 22 6 37 0 4 4 4 7 2 5 pp 1 600 telephone rolling 1 2 6 3Leger Marketing October 16 2015 10 30 22 38 6 4 2 1 pp 2 086 online 8Angus Reid October 16 2015 11 31 22 35 5 5 2 2 pp 2 022 online 4Mainstreet Research October 15 2015 12 33 21 38 4 5 1 4 pp 5 546 IVR 5EKOS October 15 2015 13 32 8 22 7 34 0 3 4 5 1 2 3 pp 1 813 IVR telephone rolling 1 3 1 2Nanos Research October 15 2015 14 30 6 23 5 36 5 4 3 4 7 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 5 9Forum Research October 14 2015 15 31 24 37 6 2 3 pp 1 438 IVR 6EKOS October 14 2015 16 32 6 22 9 33 5 3 4 5 6 2 6 pp 1 438 IVR telephone rolling 1 3 0 9Nanos Research October 14 2015 17 29 4 23 7 37 1 5 0 4 3 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 7 7EKOS October 13 2015 18 29 9 24 1 34 1 3 8 6 4 2 9 pp 1 179 IVR telephone rolling 1 3 4 2Nanos Research October 13 2015 19 29 2 24 5 36 1 5 2 4 3 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 6 9Ipsos Reid October 13 2015 20 31 24 37 5 2 3 0 pp 1 349 online 6EKOS October 12 2015 21 31 1 20 6 35 6 3 2 7 5 2 9 pp 1 115 IVR telephone rolling 2 3 4 5Nanos Research October 11 2015 22 28 9 24 3 35 7 5 7 4 8 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 6 8Innovative Research October 11 2015 23 30 22 38 3 6 3 1 pp 1 143 telephone 8EKOS October 10 2015 24 35 5 19 0 33 1 3 3 7 4 2 6 pp 1 428 IVR telephone rolling 2 3 2 4Nanos Research October 10 2015 25 29 0 25 0 35 1 5 2 5 1 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 6 1Forum Research October 9 2015 26 31 23 37 5 3 3 pp 1 427 IVR 6Nanos Research October 9 2015 27 28 6 24 9 34 8 5 5 5 4 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 6 2Angus Reid October 9 2015 28 33 25 31 6 3 3 pp 1 083 online 2EKOS October 8 2015 29 33 7 20 4 33 8 3 5 7 2 2 4 pp 1 618 IVR telephone rolling 1 3 0 1Nanos Research October 8 2015 30 31 0 25 0 34 0 5 3 4 2 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 3 0Innovative Research October 8 2015 31 30 24 35 5 5 n a 3 417 online 5Mainstreet Research October 7 2015 32 36 20 35 4 5 1 3 pp 5 630 IVR 1Leger Marketing October 7 2015 33 30 25 34 6 4 2 1 pp 2 087 online 4EKOS October 7 2015 34 32 5 21 1 34 1 3 6 7 3 2 3 pp 1 753 IVR telephone rolling 1 3 1 6Nanos Research October 7 2015 35 31 6 24 2 33 5 5 6 4 6 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 1 9Forum Research October 6 2015 36 31 26 35 4 3 3 pp 1 447 IVR 4Abacus Data October 6 2015 37 33 24 32 4 5 2 2 pp 2 000 online 1EKOS October 6 2015 38 34 1 21 4 32 3 4 0 6 9 2 3 pp 1 788 IVR telephone rolling 1 3 1 8Nanos Research October 6 2015 39 32 1 23 0 34 3 5 1 4 6 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 2 2EKOS October 5 2015 40 35 1 22 2 30 9 4 0 6 6 2 4 pp 1 658 IVR telephone rolling 4 2Nanos Research October 5 2015 41 31 5 23 1 35 0 4 9 4 6 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 3 5Ipsos Reid October 5 2015 42 33 26 32 5 3 2 9 pp 1 441 online 1Nanos Research October 4 2015 43 31 0 22 8 35 6 4 8 4 7 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 4 6Nanos Research October 3 2015 44 31 0 24 3 35 3 4 3 4 5 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 4 3Nanos Research October 2 2015 45 30 5 25 1 34 6 4 5 4 8 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 4 1Mainstreet Research October 1 2015 46 37 24 29 4 7 1 4 pp 5 197 IVR 8Innovative Research October 1 2015 47 29 29 31 5 6 n a 1 562 online 2Nanos Research October 1 2015 48 31 9 25 9 33 5 4 3 3 9 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 1 6Leger Marketing September 30 2015 49 30 26 32 6 6 2 1 pp 2 107 online 2Angus Reid September 30 2015 50 34 27 27 6 5 2 5 pp 2 021 online 7Nanos Research September 30 2015 51 32 8 26 1 31 7 4 8 4 1 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 1 1Forum Research September 29 2015 52 34 28 27 5 5 3 pp 1 499 IVR 6Nanos Research September 29 2015 53 32 1 26 3 32 2 4 6 4 4 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 0 1EKOS September 29 2015 54 33 4 25 6 26 7 5 3 7 8 1 9 pp 2 609 IVR 6 7Nanos Research September 28 2015 55 32 6 27 0 31 4 4 4 4 0 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 1 2Ipsos Reid September 28 2015 56 32 27 33 4 4 3 0 pp 1 354 online 1Nanos Research September 27 2015 57 33 0 26 9 31 6 4 2 3 6 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 1 4Abacus Data September 27 2015 58 32 27 29 5 5 1 6 pp 3 814 online 3Nanos Research September 26 2015 59 31 5 27 6 32 5 4 0 3 7 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 1 0Nanos Research September 25 2015 60 29 6 30 3 31 8 3 1 4 5 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 1 5Nanos Research September 24 2015 61 28 9 31 1 32 3 2 5 4 2 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 1 2Innovative Research September 24 2015 62 31 29 28 3 8 n a 2 805 online 2Forum Research September 23 2015 63 31 28 31 4 4 3 pp 1 557 IVR TieNanos Research September 23 2015 64 30 5 30 8 31 5 2 3 3 7 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 0 7Leger Marketing September 23 2015 65 31 29 31 5 5 2 1 pp 2 115 online TieInnovative Research September 23 2015 66 32 27 30 3 7 2 5 pp 1 784 telephone 2Nanos Research September 22 2015 67 31 5 29 1 31 6 2 6 4 2 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 0 1EKOS September 22 2015 68 35 4 24 5 26 3 4 2 7 7 2 0 pp 2 343 IVR 9 1Nanos Research September 21 2015 69 31 3 29 4 30 3 3 4 4 6 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 1 0Ipsos Reid September 21 2015 70 27 30 33 5 4 3 4 pp 1 103 online 3Nanos Research September 20 2015 71 31 0 29 1 29 4 3 8 5 5 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 1 6Nanos Research September 19 2015 72 30 8 29 1 30 3 3 7 5 1 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 0 5Forum Research September 18 2015 73 33 29 29 4 4 3 pp 922 IVR 4Nanos Research September 18 2015 74 30 4 28 9 30 8 3 0 6 0 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 0 4Nanos Research September 17 2015 75 29 1 31 3 31 0 2 3 5 8 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 0 3Nanos Research September 16 2015 76 30 1 30 4 30 9 2 5 5 8 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 0 5Forum Research September 15 2015 77 32 30 28 4 6 3 pp 1 402 IVR 2Nanos Research September 15 2015 78 29 0 31 6 30 1 2 8 5 3 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 1 5Environics September 15 2015 79 26 34 29 4 8 3 6 pp 1 001 telephone 5EKOS September 15 2015 80 29 6 29 9 27 4 3 7 7 6 1 9 pp 2 704 IVR 0 3Nanos Research September 14 2015 81 31 0 30 4 29 6 2 9 4 8 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 0 6Ipsos Reid September 13 2015 82 29 32 31 4 4 3 6 pp 980 online 1Nanos Research September 13 2015 83 30 2 31 3 30 3 2 6 4 3 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 1 0Nanos Research September 12 2015 84 31 7 30 8 30 5 2 5 4 1 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 0 9Abacus Data September 11 2015 85 29 31 29 4 6 2 6 pp 1 500 online 2Nanos Research September 11 2015 86 30 9 30 1 31 7 2 8 4 0 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 0 8Forum Research September 10 2015 87 28 36 29 3 3 3 pp 1 308 IVR 7Nanos Research September 10 2015 88 30 8 29 9 30 9 3 2 4 6 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 0 1Innovative Research September 10 2015 89 28 31 30 4 6 2 2 pp 2 121 online 1Nanos Research September 9 2015 90 28 6 30 6 32 1 3 6 4 8 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 1 5Nanos Research September 8 2015 91 25 9 31 2 32 5 3 7 6 1 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 3 1 3Ipsos Reid September 8 2015 92 29 34 30 3 3 3 6 pp 949 online 4EKOS September 8 2015 93 31 8 29 6 26 9 4 6 5 9 1 9 pp 2 677 IVR 2 2Nanos Research September 6 2015 94 26 2 32 7 30 8 3 7 6 0 2 8 pp 1 200 telephone rolling 1 9Leger Marketing September 2 2015 95 28 31 30 4 5 2 1 pp 2 119 online 1Forum Research September 1 2015 96 24 36 32 4 4 3 pp 1 384 IVR 4EKOS September 1 2015 97 29 5 30 2 27 7 4 2 6 4 1 7 pp 3 243 IVR 0 7Abacus Data August 28 2015 98 30 31 28 3 7 2 6 pp 1 500 online 1Nanos Research August 28 2015 99 28 8 30 8 29 7 4 2 5 4 3 1 pp 1 000 telephone rolling 1 4 1 1Innovative Research August 26 2015 100 30 32 27 4 6 1 7 pp 3 274 online 2Ipsos Reid August 26 2015 101 29 33 30 4 4 3 5 pp 1 000 online 3EKOS August 25 2015 102 28 1 33 6 26 7 4 1 5 8 1 7 pp 3 524 IVR 5 5Forum Research August 24 2015 103 23 40 30 3 3 3 pp 1 440 IVR 10Angus Reid LV August 24 2015 104 32 36 23 4 4 1 2 pp 6 226 online 4Nanos Research August 21 2015 105 30 1 29 1 29 9 4 7 5 2 3 1 pp 1 000 telephone rolling 1 4 0 2Forum Research August 19 2015 106 29 34 28 4 4 3 pp 1 473 IVR 5Abacus Data August 17 2015 107 29 35 26 3 6 2 6 pp 1 439 online 6Nanos Research August 14 2015 108 31 8 29 0 28 7 4 5 5 3 3 1 pp 1 000 telephone rolling 1 4 2 8Leger Marketing August 12 2015 109 27 33 28 5 6 2 1 pp 2 095 online 5Mainstreet Research August 11 2015 110 31 30 29 4 6 1 35 pp 5 401 IVR 1Forum Research August 11 2015 111 28 34 27 6 4 3 pp 1 392 IVR 6EKOS August 11 2015 112 30 4 31 8 24 2 4 2 7 3 1 8 pp 3 055 IVR 1 4Ipsos Reid August 10 2015 113 30 8 33 0 27 8 3 9 4 0 2 38 pp 2 022 telephone online 2 2Nanos Research August 7 2015 114 31 2 30 4 28 6 4 2 5 0 3 1 pp 1 000 telephone rolling 1 4 0 8Forum Research August 2 2015 115 28 39 25 5 3 3 pp 1 399 IVR 11Notes 1 In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents including undecided and non voters and that of the subsample of decided leaning voters the latter is included in the table Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources Most online polls because of their opt in method of recruiting panellists which results in a non random sample cannot have a margin of error In such cases shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability based sample of equivalent size 2 Refers to the total sample size including undecided and non voters 3 Telephone refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers IVR refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone online refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet telephone online refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey Rolling polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next with the fraction in parentheses indicating the proportion of independent data compared to the previous published poll in the series LV Identifies polling firms that explicitly apply a likely voter turnout adjustment to their top line results Pre campaign period editGraphical summary nbsp Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the pre campaign period of the 2015 Canadian federal election graphed from the data in the table below Trendlines are local regressions with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size 95 confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals Polling firm Last dateof polling 1 Link CPC NDP LPC BQ GPC Marginof error 2 Samplesize 3 Polling method 4 LeadNanos Research July 31 2015 116 31 5 30 1 29 3 3 3 5 4 3 1 pp 1 000 telephone rolling 1 2 1 4Innovative Research July 30 2015 117 29 3 33 7 25 8 4 6 5 6 1 9 pp 2 833 online 4 4Forum Research July 28 2015 118 33 33 25 4 4 3 0 pp 1 397 IVR TieEKOS July 28 2015 119 30 1 33 8 23 4 4 7 6 1 2 1 pp 2 247 IVR 3 7Ipsos Reid July 27 2015 120 33 34 25 5 3 2 5 pp 1 571 online 1Mainstreet Research July 21 2015 121 38 27 25 4 6 1 37 pp 5 147 IVR 11Forum Research July 20 2015 122 28 34 29 5 4 3 0 pp 1 208 IVR 6Nanos Research July 17 2015 123 31 31 27 5 6 3 1 pp 1 000 telephone rolling TieLeger Marketing July 16 2015 124 32 32 25 5 6 2 5 pp 1 545 online TieEKOS July 14 2015 125 29 4 32 6 24 0 5 3 6 6 2 0 pp 2 538 IVR 3 2Forum Research July 13 2015 126 27 34 27 7 5 3 0 pp 1 251 IVR 7Forum Research July 7 2015 127 32 32 26 5 3 3 0 pp 1 200 IVR TieAbacus Data July 6 2015 128 29 32 27 6 6 2 2 pp 2 000 online 3Forum Research June 29 2015 129 27 32 29 6 4 3 0 pp 1 221 IVR 3EKOS June 28 2015 130 27 3 30 9 25 6 6 3 6 6 2 3 pp 1 752 IVR 3 6Forum Research June 23 2015 131 28 36 28 5 2 3 0 pp 1 268 IVR 8Ipsos Reid June 23 2015 132 28 35 29 6 2 2 5 pp 2 003 online 6Environics June 18 2015 133 28 30 28 6 7 2 4 pp 2 003 telephone 2Forum Research June 16 2015 134 26 34 28 7 5 3 0 pp 1 281 IVR 6EKOS June 16 2015 135 29 4 30 2 25 0 5 9 7 1 1 6 pp 3 834 IVR 0 8EKOS June 9 2015 136 26 9 33 6 23 3 5 1 7 3 2 0 pp 2 491 IVR 6 7Angus Reid June 7 2015 137 31 36 23 5 5 1 2 pp 6 005 online 5Forum Research June 5 2015 138 31 28 32 3 5 3 0 pp 1 156 IVR 1EKOS June 2 2015 139 29 2 31 3 23 9 4 8 7 4 2 1 pp 2 204 IVR 2 1Abacus Data May 31 2015 140 31 28 28 4 7 2 6 pp 1 500 online 3Ipsos Reid May 29 2015 141 31 30 31 4 4 3 5 pp 1 003 online TieNanos Research May 29 2015 142 32 30 29 4 5 3 1 pp 1 000 telephone rolling 1 2 2EKOS May 26 2015 143 29 5 28 9 26 8 4 1 7 8 1 8 pp 2 934 IVR 0 6EKOS May 19 2015 144 28 1 29 6 26 1 5 4 7 6 1 9 pp 2 675 IVR 1 5Nanos Research May 14 2015 145 32 9 25 2 31 3 3 6 5 3 3 1 pp 1 000 telephone rolling 1 6Forum Research May 13 2015 146 31 30 31 3 4 3 0 pp 1 286 IVR TieEKOS May 12 2015 147 30 0 29 1 27 0 4 1 8 0 2 1 pp 2 177 IVR 0 9EKOS May 5 2015 148 30 3 24 2 29 6 4 2 7 3 1 8 pp 3 017 IVR 0 7Leger Marketing April 30 2015 149 33 21 34 4 7 2 5 pp 1 488 online 1EKOS April 28 2015 150 32 4 21 9 28 7 4 1 9 9 1 6 pp 3 757 IVR 3 7Abacus Data April 24 2015 151 36 24 28 5 6 2 6 pp 1 500 online 8Forum Research April 22 2015 152 35 23 31 5 6 3 0 pp 977 IVR 4EKOS April 21 2015 153 31 8 23 5 27 6 4 9 7 5 1 6 pp 3 850 IVR 4 0Nanos Research April 17 2015 154 29 25 34 4 8 3 1 pp 1 000 telephone rolling 5Forum Research April 16 2015 155 33 22 35 3 6 3 0 pp 1 365 IVR 2EKOS April 14 2015 156 32 2 22 7 28 5 4 9 8 0 1 7 pp 3 399 IVR 3 7Ipsos Reid April 7 2015 157 35 25 33 4 3 3 5 pp 1 001 online 2EKOS April 7 2015 158 28 7 22 9 30 1 4 2 9 2 1 7 pp 3 306 IVR 1 4Forum Research March 31 2015 159 31 23 34 5 5 3 0 pp 1 239 IVR 3EKOS March 31 2015 160 31 9 22 6 27 6 5 2 9 6 1 6 pp 3 901 IVR 4 3Oraclepoll Research March 30 2015 161 35 3 18 7 31 4 5 9 8 7 1 8 pp 3 040 telephone 3 9EKOS March 24 2015 162 31 8 23 2 28 5 4 7 8 7 1 5 pp 4 311 IVR 3 3Abacus Data March 22 2015 163 32 23 33 4 6 3 1 pp 1 000 online 1Leger Marketing March 18 2015 164 34 20 35 4 6 2 5 pp 1 511 online 1EKOS March 17 2015 165 30 2 21 2 32 1 4 8 7 9 1 6 pp 3 832 IVR 1 9Forum Research March 14 2015 166 32 21 36 4 6 3 0 pp 1 370 IVR 4EKOS March 10 2015 167 32 9 19 7 30 5 4 8 8 8 1 8 pp 2 950 IVR 2 4EKOS March 3 2015 168 32 2 19 9 31 3 4 6 9 0 1 7 pp 3 241 IVR 0 9Nanos Research February 27 2015 169 33 23 34 5 5 3 1 pp 1 000 telephone rolling 1EKOS February 24 2015 170 31 1 22 1 31 9 4 5 7 5 1 6 pp 3 607 IVR 0 8Ipsos Reid February 23 2015 171 33 23 34 6 3 2 2 pp 2 650 online 1EKOS February 17 2015 172 32 3 19 1 31 6 5 4 8 0 1 7 pp 3 386 IVR 0 7Abacus Data February 16 2015 173 35 21 34 4 4 2 6 pp 1 460 online 1Forum Research February 10 2015 174 32 17 39 4 5 3 0 pp 1 018 IVR 7EKOS February 10 2015 175 32 0 18 9 33 8 4 2 8 5 1 8 pp 3 005 IVR 1 8EKOS February 3 2015 176 35 0 17 9 32 2 3 8 8 0 1 8 pp 2 974 IVR 2 8Leger Marketing February 2 2015 177 32 20 35 5 6 2 5 pp 1 507 online 3Forum Research January 28 2015 178 35 20 34 5 6 3 0 pp 1 382 IVR 1Abacus Data January 28 2015 179 33 24 32 4 5 3 1 pp 1 005 online 1EKOS January 13 2015 180 31 0 19 1 33 1 4 4 8 9 1 5 pp 4 412 IVR 2 1Ipsos Reid January 11 2015 181 35 24 31 6 4 2 6 pp 1 915 online 4Forum Research January 6 2015 182 33 20 37 4 5 2 0 pp 1 741 IVR 4Abacus Data December 20 2014 183 34 22 33 4 6 2 6 pp 1 438 online 1EKOS December 18 2014 184 29 8 20 2 33 8 5 3 7 7 1 7 pp 2 183 IVR 3 0Angus Reid December 13 2014 185 34 22 34 4 5 1 2 pp 6 325 online TieEKOS December 12 2014 186 30 8 20 0 31 8 5 0 7 8 1 7 pp 3 276 IVR 1Forum Research December 11 2014 187 33 17 41 3 5 2 0 pp 1 658 IVR 8Leger Marketing December 11 2014 188 32 19 38 4 6 2 5 pp 1 521 online 6Ipsos Reid December 1 2014 189 33 24 34 5 4 1 2 pp 8 268 online 1Forum Research November 20 2014 190 33 18 36 4 8 3 0 pp 1 500 IVR 3EKOS November 6 2014 191 30 2 20 5 33 5 3 5 9 7 2 5 pp 1 561 IVR 3 3Leger Marketing November 6 2014 192 33 19 36 3 7 2 5 pp 1 493 online 3Abacus Data November 4 2014 193 30 24 35 4 6 2 3 pp 1 850 online 5EKOS October 29 2014 194 27 8 21 4 33 4 5 5 8 2 2 4 pp 1 628 IVR 5 6Abacus Data October 17 2014 195 30 25 32 4 8 2 8 pp 1 248 online 2Leger Marketing October 16 2014 196 32 21 37 4 5 2 5 pp 1 524 online 5EKOS October 15 2014 197 26 4 25 0 38 5 3 1 5 7 2 4 pp 1 671 telephone online 12 1Forum Research October 5 2014 198 34 19 38 4 4 2 5 pp 1 504 IVR 4EKOS September 25 2014 199 24 9 24 4 38 3 4 0 7 7 2 5 pp 1 549 telephone online 13 4Angus Reid September 19 2014 200 30 22 36 4 6 2 5 pp 1 502 online 6Abacus Data September 14 2014 201 30 23 38 3 5 3 1 pp 1 075 online 8Ipsos Reid September 12 2014 202 31 23 38 5 3 2 8 pp 1 605 online 7Forum Research September 5 2014 203 34 18 40 4 3 3 0 pp 1 267 IVR 6Forum Research August 19 2014 204 32 17 41 5 5 2 0 pp 1 798 IVR 9Abacus Data August 18 2014 205 29 22 35 5 7 2 5 pp 1 614 online 6Ipsos Reid August 17 2014 206 31 24 38 3 3 3 5 pp 1 012 online 7EKOS July 23 2014 207 25 6 23 4 38 7 3 7 7 1 1 9 pp 2 620 telephone online 12 1Forum Research July 18 2014 208 28 18 44 5 3 2 0 pp 1 624 IVR 16Abacus Data July 3 2014 209 31 23 34 5 6 2 2 pp 2 000 online 3Forum Research June 17 2014 210 31 19 39 4 5 2 0 pp 1 683 IVR 8Angus Reid June 12 2014 211 31 27 30 5 6 1 2 pp 6 264 online 1Angus Reid May 23 2014 212 31 25 30 5 7 3 4 pp 1 503 online 1Forum Research May 23 2014 213 30 23 36 6 5 2 0 pp 1 694 IVR 6EKOS May 1 2014 214 27 6 21 4 34 9 5 3 8 2 1 6 pp 3 677 IVR 7 3Forum Research April 29 2014 215 30 20 39 6 4 2 0 pp 1 572 IVR 9Ipsos Reid April 22 2014 216 33 24 33 6 4 3 5 pp 1 014 online TieAngus Reid April 15 2014 217 32 26 30 5 6 3 4 pp 1 505 online 2EKOS April 3 2014 218 26 7 21 8 35 8 4 8 8 1 1 5 pp 4 134 IVR 9 1Forum Research March 28 2014 219 29 22 39 5 3 2 0 pp 1 764 IVR 10Angus Reid March 9 2014 220 28 27 33 5 6 1 2 pp 6 445 online 5Abacus Data March 5 2014 221 28 23 34 8 6 2 8 pp 1 249 online 6Forum Research February 19 2014 222 29 21 39 6 4 2 0 pp 1 824 IVR 10Ipsos Reid February 18 2014 223 29 24 37 5 5 3 5 pp 1 034 online 8Angus Reid February 16 2014 224 28 26 33 5 6 2 5 pp 1 514 online 5Nanos Research February 15 2014 225 28 7 23 2 34 0 6 4 5 3 3 4 pp 1 000 telephone 5 3Ipsos Reid February 4 2014 226 29 27 33 7 4 3 5 pp 1 001 online 4EKOS January 27 2014 227 29 7 24 3 33 2 4 5 6 2 2 5 pp 1 501 telephone online 3 5Forum Research January 25 2014 228 28 24 38 5 4 3 0 pp 1 228 IVR 10Abacus Data January 18 2014 229 28 24 34 5 7 2 2 pp 1 996 online 6Forum Research January 17 2014 230 28 25 37 5 4 2 0 pp 1 779 IVR 9EKOS December 15 2013 231 26 2 22 9 32 1 6 3 9 3 1 7 pp 3 468 IVR 5 9Forum Research December 13 2013 232 32 21 38 5 3 2 0 pp 1 634 IVR 6Ipsos Reid November 27 2013 233 29 26 35 6 3 3 5 pp 1 014 online 6Harris Decima November 25 2013 234 26 23 36 7 7 2 2 pp 2 034 telephone 10Forum Research November 13 2013 235 29 22 38 6 4 2 0 pp 1 834 IVR 9EKOS October 29 2013 236 26 4 24 9 37 4 5 2 5 2 2 6 pp 1 377 telephone online 11 0Ipsos Reid October 28 2013 237 30 31 31 6 2 3 4 pp 1 102 online TieForum Research October 23 2013 238 28 20 40 6 5 3 0 pp 1 007 IVR 12Forum Research October 22 2013 239 30 19 39 7 5 2 0 pp 1 859 IVR 9Abacus Data October 22 2013 240 32 23 32 5 7 2 6 pp 1 459 online TieIpsos Reid October 20 2013 241 31 27 33 6 2 3 4 pp 1 042 online 2Nanos Research October 18 2013 242 29 23 37 5 5 3 5 pp 1 000 telephone 8EKOS October 14 2013 243 26 1 24 9 36 3 5 0 6 5 2 5 pp 1 554 telephone online 10 2Ipsos Reid September 20 2013 244 32 26 31 7 3 3 5 pp 1 035 online 1Forum Research September 17 2013 245 31 21 36 7 4 3 0 pp 1 527 IVR 5Harris Decima September 9 2013 246 29 24 33 6 6 2 2 pp 2 020 telephone 4Abacus Data September 4 2013 247 30 27 29 8 4 2 5 pp 1 600 online 1Nanos Research August 31 2013 248 30 25 33 5 5 3 5 pp 1 000 telephone 3Forum Research August 23 2013 249 29 22 38 6 4 3 0 pp 1 189 IVR 9Nanos Research August 22 2013 250 29 7 24 8 35 7 3 9 5 5 3 3 pp 1 000 telephone online 6 0Nanos Research August 19 2013 251 31 9 22 8 35 3 2 5 5 9 2 2 pp 2 000 telephone 3 4Forum Research July 23 2013 252 31 22 35 7 4 2 0 pp 1 782 IVR 4EKOS July 9 2013 253 28 4 23 4 30 4 6 3 8 5 1 8 pp 2 900 IVR 2 0Environics June 30 2013 254 28 24 34 6 6 2 4 pp 2 149 telephone 6Ipsos Reid June 25 2013 255 30 28 33 6 4 3 3 pp 1 177 online 3Abacus Data June 23 2013 256 27 26 29 6 10 3 1 pp 999 online 2Leger Marketing June 19 2013 257 29 21 37 4 8 2 5 pp 1 503 online 8Nanos Research June 19 2013 258 29 4 25 3 34 2 3 7 6 4 3 5 pp 1 000 telephone online 4 8Forum Research June 18 2013 259 30 20 38 6 4 2 0 pp 1 525 IVR 8Ipsos Reid May 28 2013 260 30 27 36 4 4 3 5 pp 1 009 online 6EKOS May 26 2013 261 26 3 20 9 34 7 5 4 9 2 1 7 pp 3 318 IVR 8 4Forum Research May 22 2013 262 27 20 44 4 3 2 0 pp 1 779 IVR 17EKOS May 2 2013 263 26 2 23 9 38 6 4 2 6 3 2 7 pp 1 309 telephone online 12 4Ipsos Reid April 30 2013 264 32 25 35 5 3 3 4 pp 1 059 online 3Harris Decima April 28 2013 265 28 22 35 6 7 2 2 pp 2 008 telephone 7Forum Research April 15 2013 266 30 19 43 5 2 2 0 pp 1 764 IVR 13EKOS April 10 2013 267 28 8 23 3 29 1 6 4 9 0 1 5 pp 4 568 IVR 0 3Nanos Research April 8 2013 268 31 3 23 6 35 4 4 8 4 2 3 3 pp 1 002 telephone online 4 1Abacus Data April 6 2013 269 33 27 27 5 7 2 6 pp 1 511 online 6Ipsos Reid April 3 2013 270 31 27 32 6 4 3 4 pp 1 053 1Forum Research April 2 2013 271 29 25 33 5 6 3 0 pp 1 310 IVR 4Leger Marketing March 28 2013 272 31 24 30 7 7 2 5 pp 1 511 online 1Abacus Data March 21 2013 273 32 31 24 5 8 3 1 pp 1 014 online 1Forum Research March 7 2013 274 31 27 30 6 5 2 0 pp 1 755 IVR 1Nanos Research February 24 2013 275 31 5 27 2 29 1 5 2 5 9 3 7 pp 1 000 telephone 2 4EKOS February 10 2013 276 29 3 26 3 24 6 7 2 9 5 1 3 pp 5 947 IVR 3 0Forum Research February 6 2013 277 32 26 30 6 4 3 0 pp 1 091 IVR 2Abacus Data February 6 2013 278 35 31 21 6 6 2 3 pp 1 832 online 4Nanos Research January 31 2013 279 34 3 27 1 27 6 4 6 4 7 3 5 pp 1 000 telephone 6 7Forum Research January 17 2013 280 36 28 25 7 4 2 0 pp 1 626 IVR 8Angus Reid January 17 2013 281 35 29 22 6 6 2 2 pp 2 028 online 6Angus Reid January 3 2013 282 35 33 19 6 6 3 1 pp 1 012 online 2Forum Research December 18 2012 283 31 28 27 6 6 2 0 pp 1 355 IVR 3Abacus Data December 8 2012 284 34 32 22 6 6 2 6 pp 1 505 online 2Leger Marketing December 6 2012 285 35 30 18 7 9 2 5 pp 1 500 online 5EKOS December 3 2012 286 31 9 25 8 24 4 6 7 8 4 1 3 pp 5 433 IVR 6 1Forum Research November 19 2012 287 33 28 28 6 4 2 0 pp 1 849 IVR 5Nanos Research November 15 2012 288 33 8 27 2 29 0 4 9 3 7 3 5 pp 1 004 telephone 4 8Abacus Data November 11 2012 289 36 29 22 7 6 3 0 pp 1 068 online 7Ipsos Reid November 8 2012 290 34 30 26 7 2 2 5 pp 2 009 telephone online 4Forum Research October 27 2012 291 31 32 27 6 4 2 0 pp 1 735 IVR 1Nanos Research October 11 2012 292 33 3 27 9 30 1 4 7 2 9 3 4 pp 1 000 telephone 3 2Forum Research September 26 2012 293 35 30 25 6 3 2 0 pp 1 707 IVR 5Environics September 23 2012 294 31 35 20 9 5 2 4 pp 2 000 telephone 4Abacus Data September 18 2012 295 35 35 17 7 6 2 9 pp 1 208 online TieHarris Decima September 10 2012 296 34 27 24 6 7 2 2 pp 2 007 telephone 7Nanos Research September 9 2012 297 32 4 30 4 24 6 5 8 5 0 3 4 pp 1 000 telephone 2 0Forum Research August 22 2012 298 34 34 22 6 4 2 4 pp 1 720 IVR TieAbacus Data August 12 2012 299 37 32 20 6 6 2 2 pp 2 099 online 5Forum Research July 26 2012 300 31 35 22 6 5 2 4 pp 1 639 IVR 4Nanos Research July 12 2012 301 33 6 30 3 26 5 4 4 4 2 3 2 pp 1 200 telephone 3 3EKOS July 5 2012 302 30 2 32 3 19 5 4 9 10 0 2 1 pp 2 098 IVR 2 1Forum Research June 27 2012 303 35 35 19 6 3 2 9 pp 1 165 IVR TieEKOS June 26 2012 304 29 3 32 4 19 2 6 5 9 5 2 2 pp 2 049 IVR 3 1Abacus Data June 23 2012 305 35 35 20 5 6 3 1 pp 1 008 online TieEnvironics June 23 2012 306 33 35 19 7 5 2 4 pp 2 093 telephone 2Ipsos Reid June 21 2012 307 35 38 18 6 4 3 1 pp 1 099 online 3Harris Decima June 18 2012 308 31 32 23 5 7 2 2 pp 2 000 telephone 1Angus Reid June 16 2012 309 34 35 19 6 5 2 5 pp 1 500 online 1Forum Research June 14 2012 310 30 37 22 6 5 2 5 pp 1 529 IVR 7Nanos Research May 31 2012 311 33 5 33 6 24 9 3 4 2 4 3 1 pp 1 201 telephone 0 1Forum Research May 23 2012 312 32 36 20 5 6 2 3 pp 1 836 IVR 4Angus Reid May 23 2012 313 37 33 18 7 4 3 1 pp 1 014 online 4Abacus Data May 16 2012 314 37 35 17 6 5 3 1 pp 1 008 online 2Ipsos Reid May 10 2012 315 37 35 19 5 3 2 0 pp 2 061 telephone online 2Environics May 9 2012 316 32 36 19 6 7 3 5 pp 1 000 telephone 4Harris Decima May 6 2012 317 30 34 20 7 8 2 2 pp 2 018 telephone 4Harris Decima April 30 2012 318 30 33 20 7 8 3 1 pp 1 006 telephone 3Forum Research April 25 2012 319 33 36 22 6 2 2 4 pp 1 744 IVR 3Nanos Research April 18 2012 320 34 7 32 4 23 3 3 9 4 2 3 2 pp 1 200 telephone 2 3Ipsos Reid April 5 2012 321 34 33 21 7 4 2 0 pp 1 008 telephone 1Leger Marketing April 4 2012 322 32 33 19 7 8 2 5 pp 1 506 online 1Harris Decima April 2 2012 323 34 32 19 6 8 2 2 pp 2 003 telephone 2Forum Research March 30 2012 324 36 34 19 5 5 2 4 pp 1 675 IVR 2Forum Research March 27 2012 325 35 35 19 7 3 2 4 pp 1 638 IVR TieAngus Reid March 21 2012 326 37 29 21 8 4 3 1 pp 1 004 online 8Innovative Research March 21 2012 327 37 25 24 6 7 2 8 pp 1 193 online 12Harris Decima March 19 2012 328 31 28 24 8 7 2 2 pp 2 005 telephone 3Environics March 18 2012 329 30 30 20 8 7 2 4 pp 2 000 telephone TieAbacus Data March 13 2012 330 37 28 20 8 7 3 1 pp 1 003 online 9EKOS March 11 2012 331 35 4 29 7 19 6 5 8 8 1 2 2 pp 2 011 telephone online 5 7Ipsos Reid March 8 2012 332 37 29 23 7 4 2 0 pp 3 154 telephone online 8Leger Marketing March 5 2012 333 34 26 24 8 7 2 0 pp 2 509 online 8Forum Research March 3 2012 334 37 28 25 5 4 2 4 pp 1 675 IVR 9Nanos Research February 29 2012 335 35 7 25 0 29 5 4 9 3 4 3 1 pp 1 203 telephone 6 2EKOS February 28 2012 336 31 5 29 2 21 7 6 0 8 3 1 6 pp 3 699 IVR 2 3Forum Research February 6 2012 337 36 28 26 6 3 2 8 pp 1 210 IVR 8Nanos Research January 23 2012 338 35 7 25 2 27 6 5 6 4 5 3 2 pp 1 201 telephone 8 1Harris Decima January 22 2012 339 32 29 25 5 7 2 2 pp 2 000 telephone 3Angus Reid January 21 2012 340 39 28 22 6 5 3 1 pp 1 000 online 11Abacus Data January 19 2012 341 37 28 21 6 7 3 1 pp 1 000 online 9Forum Research January 13 2012 342 35 28 25 6 4 2 8 pp 1 211 IVR 7EKOS December 21 2011 343 31 4 29 5 24 8 6 7 6 1 2 2 pp 2 005 telephone online 1 9Nanos Research December 18 2011 344 36 5 28 7 25 6 4 4 3 8 3 3 pp 1 201 telephone 7 8Forum Research December 13 2011 345 33 27 21 6 8 2 9 pp 1 160 IVR 6Harris Decima December 12 2011 346 34 28 22 6 7 2 2 pp 2 005 telephone 6Abacus Data December 4 2011 347 40 31 18 6 5 3 1 pp 1 004 online 9Nanos Research November 21 2011 348 35 6 27 3 28 1 3 9 3 9 3 2 pp 1 202 telephone 7 5Ipsos Reid November 9 2011 349 37 31 21 6 3 6Harris Decima November 6 2011 350 36 29 22 5 7 2 2 pp 2 000 telephone 7Nanos Research October 24 2011 351 37 7 30 0 23 4 3 6 3 8 3 2 pp 1 202 telephone 7 7Nanos Research October 2 2011 352 39 0 29 0 24 5 3 5 2 9 3 2 pp 1 209 telephone 10 0Angus Reid September 21 2011 353 39 29 21 5 4 2 4 pp 1 668 online 10Leger Marketing September 15 2011 354 39 33 17 5 6 2 4 pp 1 625 online 6Nanos Research September 1 2011 355 39 5 33 1 20 7 2 6 3 4 3 2 pp 1 210 telephone 6 4Harris Decima August 29 2011 356 33 33 21 6 7 2 2 pp 2 026 telephone TieAbacus Data August 15 2011 357 38 32 19 5 6 3 2 pp 1 003 online 6Angus Reid August 9 2011 358 39 31 19 6 4 3 1 pp 1 005 online 8Nanos Research August 2 2011 359 36 2 26 8 27 0 4 4 4 5 3 1 pp 1 203 telephone 9 2Abacus Data June 24 2011 360 41 32 17 6 5 3 2 pp 1 005 online 9Nanos Research June 19 2011 361 41 8 28 0 22 3 3 4 3 7 3 1 pp 1 211 telephone 13 8Nanos Research May 29 2011 362 39 7 29 9 21 5 2 7 4 8 3 1 pp 1 205 telephone 9 8Harris Decima May 22 2011 363 38 33 15 5 7 2 2 pp 2 000 telephone 5Abacus Data May 19 2011 364 40 33 16 6 5 2 5 pp 1 544 online 72011 election May 2 2011 365 39 6 30 6 18 9 6 0 3 9 9 0Notes 1 In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents including undecided and non voters and that of the subsample of decided leaning voters the latter is included in the table Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources Most online polls because of their opt in method of recruiting panellists which results in a non random sample cannot have a margin of error In such cases shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability based sample of equivalent size 2 Refers to the total sample size including undecided and non voters 3 Telephone refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers IVR refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone online refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet telephone online refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey Rolling polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next with the fraction in parentheses indicating the proportion of independent data compared to the previous published poll in the series Leadership polls editAside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences polling firms also survey public opinion on who would make the best prime minister Polling firm Last dateof polling 1 Link Stephen Harper Thomas Mulcair Justin Trudeau Elizabeth May Marginof error 1 Nanos Research October 17 2015 366 30 1 18 9 35 2 5 3 2 2 ppNanos Research October 16 2015 367 30 2 19 0 35 0 5 3 2 5 ppNanos Research October 15 2015 368 30 0 19 3 34 6 5 6 2 8 ppNanos Research October 14 2015 369 29 2 20 1 33 9 5 8 2 8 ppNanos Research October 13 2015 370 28 8 19 9 33 0 6 4 2 8 ppIpsos Reid October 13 2015 20 32 30 38 3 0 ppNanos Research October 11 2015 371 28 1 20 5 32 3 6 4 2 8 ppNanos Research October 10 2015 372 28 2 22 6 30 2 5 8 2 8 ppForum Research October 9 2015 26 26 22 29 8 3 ppNanos Research October 9 2015 373 28 1 23 1 30 4 5 5 2 8 ppNanos Research October 8 2015 374 30 8 22 8 29 8 4 9 2 8 ppNanos Research October 7 2015 375 32 6 19 9 30 8 4 9 2 8 ppForum Research October 6 2015 376 27 22 28 9 3 ppNanos Research October 6 2015 377 33 2 18 7 30 4 5 8 2 8 ppNanos Research October 5 2015 378 31 7 19 0 30 6 5 1 2 8 ppNanos Research October 4 2015 379 31 1 20 7 30 2 5 4 2 8 ppNanos Research October 3 2015 380 31 7 22 7 29 4 4 6 2 8 ppNanos Research October 2 2015 381 32 6 24 4 27 7 4 8 2 8 ppNanos Research October 1 2015 382 33 2 23 2 28 3 4 4 2 8 ppLeger Marketing September 30 2015 383 24 24 23 2 1 ppNanos Research September 30 2015 384 32 9 24 1 27 3 4 3 2 8 ppForum Research September 29 2015 385 29 25 22 9 3 ppNanos Research September 29 2015 386 32 0 23 5 28 0 4 4 2 8 ppNanos Research September 28 2015 387 31 4 24 8 27 4 4 0 2 8 ppIpsos Reid September 28 2015 56 35 34 32 3 0 ppNanos Research September 27 2015 388 32 4 23 7 25 9 4 5 2 8 ppNanos Research September 26 2015 389 31 4 23 0 27 8 4 6 2 8 ppNanos Research September 25 2015 390 30 2 24 4 27 2 5 5 2 8 ppNanos Research September 24 2015 391 29 2 25 6 29 2 4 9 2 8 ppForum Research September 23 2015 63 25 24 25 9 3 ppNanos Research September 23 2015 392 30 1 26 0 28 3 5 1 2 8 ppNanos Research September 22 2015 393 30 2 26 2 27 1 5 8 2 8 ppNanos Research September 21 2015 394 30 3 26 1 27 0 6 1 2 8 ppIpsos Reid September 21 2015 395 30 38 32 3 4 ppNanos Research September 20 2015 396 29 3 25 9 25 3 6 1 2 8 ppNanos Research September 19 2015 397 30 0 25 5 26 6 5 2 2 8 ppForum Research September 18 2015 398 28 24 24 9 3 ppNanos Research September 18 2015 399 29 7 26 3 25 5 6 0 2 8 ppNanos Research September 17 2015 400 30 1 28 6 25 4 5 8 2 8 ppNanos Research September 16 2015 401 31 2 28 1 24 6 6 2 2 8 ppForum Research September 15 2015 402 25 30 19 8 3 ppNanos Research September 15 2015 403 31 0 29 1 24 5 5 7 2 8 ppNanos Research September 14 2015 404 31 6 28 5 24 3 5 9 2 8 ppIpsos Reid September 13 2015 405 32 36 32 3 6 ppNanos Research September 13 2015 406 29 4 29 6 25 6 5 2 2 8 ppNanos Research September 12 2015 407 30 2 28 4 26 3 4 6 2 8 ppNanos Research September 11 2015 408 29 9 27 0 28 3 4 0 2 8 ppForum Research September 10 2015 87 25 31 22 7 3 ppNanos Research September 10 2015 409 30 2 27 3 27 5 4 5 2 8 ppInnovative Research September 10 2015 89 23 24 20 6Nanos Research September 9 2015 410 28 2 27 7 28 5 4 5 2 8 ppNanos Research September 8 2015 411 25 7 29 4 28 0 5 6 2 8 ppIpsos Reid September 8 2015 412 29 39 32 3 6 ppNanos Research September 6 2015 413 25 3 29 8 28 2 5 2 2 8 ppLeger Marketing September 2 2015 414 21 25 21 2 1 ppForum Research September 1 2015 96 24 31 24 8 3 ppNanos Research August 28 2015 415 29 28 22 5 3 1 ppInnovative Research August 26 2015 100 24 24 18 5Ipsos Reid August 26 2015 416 31 37 32 3 1 ppForum Research August 24 2015 417 22 32 22 8 3 ppAngus Reid August 24 2015 418 26 29 18 1 2 ppNanos Research August 21 2015 419 29 27 22 4 3 1 ppForum Research August 19 2015 420 24 29 21 9 3 ppNanos Research August 14 2015 421 30 26 21 4 3 1 ppLeger Marketing August 12 2015 422 21 28 20 2 1 ppForum Research August 11 2015 423 25 28 23 7 3 ppNanos Research August 7 2015 424 31 27 21 3 3 1 ppForum Research August 2 2015 115 24 31 22 5 3 ppNanos Research July 31 2015 425 31 28 22 3 3 1 ppInnovative Research July 30 2015 426 27 31 19 6Forum Research July 28 2015 118 29 30 19 6 3 ppNanos Research July 24 2015 427 30 29 22 3 3 1 ppForum Research July 20 2015 122 25 29 20 6 3 ppNanos Research July 17 2015 123 29 29 23 4 3 1 ppLeger Marketing July 16 2015 124 25 27 16 2 5 ppForum Research July 13 2015 126 22 31 21 5 3 ppNanos Research July 10 2015 428 26 28 25 4 3 1 ppForum Research July 7 2015 127 25 27 23 6 3 ppNanos Research July 3 2015 429 27 27 26 4 3 1 ppForum Research June 29 2015 129 25 29 21 7 3 ppNanos Research June 26 2015 430 28 25 27 4 3 1 ppNanos Research June 19 2015 431 27 27 27 3 3 1 ppNanos Research June 12 2015 432 29 28 26 3 3 1 ppAngus Reid June 7 2015 433 26 24 19 1 2 ppNanos Research June 5 2015 434 29 25 27 4 3 1 ppNanos Research May 29 2015 142 29 22 27 4 3 1 ppNanos Research May 22 2015 435 32 20 29 5 3 1 ppNanos Research May 15 2015 436 31 20 29 5 3 1 ppNanos Research May 8 2015 437 31 21 28 5 3 1 ppNanos Research May 1 2015 438 31 21 30 5 3 1 ppLeger Marketing April 30 2015 149 25 19 23 2 5 ppNanos Research April 24 2015 439 29 21 30 5 3 1 ppNanos Research April 17 2015 154 29 20 31 5 3 1 ppNanos Research April 10 2015 440 31 19 30 4 3 1 ppIpsos Reid April 7 2015 441 38 31 30 3 1 ppNanos Research April 3 2015 442 31 18 29 4 3 1 ppNanos Research March 27 2015 443 31 17 31 4 3 1 ppNanos Research March 20 2015 444 34 16 31 4 3 1 ppLeger Marketing March 18 2015 164 25 17 23 2 5 ppNanos Research March 13 2015 445 34 16 30 4 3 1 ppNanos Research March 6 2015 446 34 17 31 4 3 1 ppNanos Research February 27 2015 169 34 17 31 4 3 1 ppNanos Research February 20 2015 447 33 16 31 4 3 1 ppNanos Research February 13 2015 448 33 16 31 4 3 1 ppNanos Research February 6 2015 449 32 17 31 3 3 1 ppLeger Marketing February 2 2015 177 25 16 23 2 5 ppNanos Research January 30 2015 450 31 17 31 3 3 1 ppNanos Research January 23 2015 451 31 19 30 4 3 1 ppNanos Research January 16 2015 452 31 18 31 5 3 1 ppNanos Research January 9 2015 453 30 18 31 5 3 1 ppNanos Research January 2 2015 454 33 18 30 4 3 1 ppNanos Research December 26 2014 455 33 18 32 4 3 1 ppNanos Research December 19 2014 456 33 18 31 4 3 1 ppAngus Reid December 13 2014 457 30 16 28 1 2 ppNanos Research December 12 2014 458 33 19 31 3 3 1 ppLeger Marketing December 11 2014 188 24 16 27 2 5 ppNanos Research December 5 2014 459 32 20 30 4 3 1 ppNanos Research November 28 2014 460 33 20 29 3 3 1 ppNanos Research November 21 2014 461 32 20 29 3 3 1 ppNanos Research November 14 2014 462 32 20 29 3 3 1 ppNanos Research November 7 2014 463 32 20 30 4 3 1 ppLeger Marketing November 6 2014 464 26 16 28 2 5 ppNanos Research October 31 2014 465 29 20 32 4 3 1 ppNanos Research October 24 2014 466 29 19 34 5 3 1 ppNanos Research October 17 2014 467 30 18 35 4 3 1 ppLeger Marketing October 16 2014 464 23 17 26 2 5 ppNanos Research October 10 2014 468 30 17 35 4 3 1 ppNanos Research October 3 2014 469 28 18 36 4 3 1 ppNanos Research September 26 2014 470 28 18 35 3 3 1 ppAngus Reid September 19 2014 200 27 14 27 4 2 5 ppNanos Research September 19 2014 471 28 18 34 5 3 1 ppNanos Research September 12 2014 472 28 17 34 5 3 1 ppNanos Research September 5 2014 473 29 15 34 5 3 1 ppNanos Research August 29 2014 474 28 15 34 6 3 1 ppNanos Research August 22 2014 475 27 16 32 6 3 1 ppForum Research August 19 2014 476 29 15 31 8 2 ppNanos Research August 15 2014 477 26 19 32 6 3 1 ppNanos Research August 8 2014 478 26 19 31 7 3 1 ppNanos Research August 1 2014 479 29 20 29 6 3 1 ppNanos Research July 25 2014 480 30 20 30 5 3 1 ppForum Research July 18 2014 481 27 16 30 7 2 ppNanos Research July 18 2014 482 31 18 31 5 3 1 ppNanos Research July 11 2014 483 31 19 29 5 3 1 ppNanos Research July 4 2014 484 29 18 30 7 3 1 ppNanos Research June 27 2014 485 28 17 31 7 3 1 ppNanos Research June 20 2014 486 30 16 30 6 3 1 ppForum Research June 17 2014 210 28 16 27 8 2 ppNanos Research June 13 2014 487 28 14 33 7 3 1 ppAngus Reid June 12 2014 211 27 17 23 5 1 2 ppNanos Research June 6 2014 488 30 14 32 6 3 1 ppNanos Research May 30 2014 489 32 15 30 6 3 1 ppAngus Reid May 23 2014 212 27 17 23 4 3 4 ppForum Research May 23 2014 213 26 17 28 8 2 ppNanos Research May 23 2014 490 30 17 30 7 3 1 ppNanos Research May 16 2014 491 31 19 27 6 3 1 ppNanos Research May 9 2014 492 30 19 27 6 3 1 ppNanos Research May 2 2014 493 27 20 27 6 3 1 ppForum Research April 29 2014 215 25 17 30 10 2 ppNanos Research April 25 2014 494 29 19 26 6 3 1 ppNanos Research April 18 2014 495 29 19 27 6 3 1 ppAngus Reid April 15 2014 217 27 16 20 4 3 4 ppNanos Research April 11 2014 496 30 20 27 6 3 1 ppNanos Research April 4 2014 497 31 20 28 6 3 1 ppForum Research March 28 2014 219 27 17 29 8 2 ppNanos Research March 28 2014 498 30 18 29 6 3 1 ppNanos Research March 21 2014 499 29 18 31 5 3 1 ppNanos Research March 14 2014 500 27 17 32 6 3 1 ppAngus Reid March 9 2014 220 23 17 24 4 1 2 ppNanos Research March 7 2014 501 26 18 31 6 3 1 ppNanos Research February 28 2014 502 25 19 32 5 3 1 ppNanos Research February 21 2014 503 28 19 29 5 3 1 ppForum Research February 19 2014 222 26 16 33 8 2 ppAngus Reid February 16 2014 224 32 22 36 9 2 5 ppNanos Research February 14 2014 504 28 19 30 4 3 1 ppNanos Research February 7 2014 505 28 19 29 4 3 1 ppIpsos Reid February 4 2014 506 34 24 42 3 5 ppNanos Research January 31 2014 507 29 19 29 4 3 1 ppForum Research January 25 2014 228 24 18 29 7 3 ppNanos Research January 24 2014 508 27 21 29 4 3 1 ppForum Research January 17 2014 230 25 19 29 7 2 ppNanos Research January 17 2014 509 28 21 27 4 3 1 ppNanos Research January 10 2014 510 27 20 29 4 3 1 ppNanos Research January 3 2014 511 27 19 29 5 3 1 ppNanos Research December 27 2013 512 27 18 29 5 3 1 ppNanos Research December 20 2013 513 26 18 30 5 3 1 ppForum Research December 13 2013 232 27 17 29 6 2 ppNanos Research December 13 2013 514 28 18 27 6 3 1 ppNanos Research December 6 2013 515 27 20 26 6 3 1 ppNanos Research November 29 2013 516 27 20 26 5 3 1 ppNanos Research November 22 2013 517 29 20 27 5 3 1 ppNanos Research November 15 2013 518 27 19 29 5 3 1 ppForum Research November 13 2013 235 25 17 27 7 2 ppNanos Research November 8 2013 519 29 17 31 4 3 1 ppNanos Research November 1 2013 520 30 16 32 4 3 1 ppNanos Research October 25 2013 521 30 16 32 5 3 1 ppForum Research October 23 2013 238 25 15 31 9 3 ppForum Research October 22 2013 522 25 13 29 7 3 ppAbacus Data October 22 2013 240 24 12 26 4 2 6 ppNanos Research October 18 2013 523 31 16 32 5 3 1 ppNanos Research October 11 2013 524 30 16 33 5 3 1 ppNanos Research October 4 2013 525 29 15 31 5 3 1 ppForum Research September 17 2013 245 27 15 30 6 3 ppHarris Decima August 25 2013 526 29 14 33 3 1 ppForum Research August 23 2013 249 24 16 32 9 3 ppLeger Marketing June 19 2013 527 23 14 27 6 2 5 ppHarris Decima April 21 2013 528 31 18 33 3 1 ppSee also editOpinion polling in the Canadian federal election 2015 by constituency Opinion polling in the Canadian federal election 2006 Opinion polling in the Canadian federal election 2008 Opinion polling in the Canadian federal election 2011References edit poll poll PDF Nanos Research October 18 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 20 poll PDF poll PDF EKOS October 18 2015 poll PDF EKOS October 17 2015 poll Ipsos Reid October 17 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research October 17 2015 permanent dead link poll PDF EKOS October 16 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research October 16 2015 permanent dead link poll PDF Leger Marketing October 16 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 11 06 poll PDF Angus Reid October 16 2015 poll Mainstreet Research October 15 2015 poll PDF EKOS October 15 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research October 15 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 19 poll PDF Forum Research October 14 2015 poll PDF EKOS October 14 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research October 14 2015 permanent dead link poll PDF EKOS October 13 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research October 13 2015 permanent dead link a b poll Ipsos Reid October 13 2015 Archived from the original on October 16 2015 Retrieved October 14 2015 poll PDF EKOS October 12 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research October 11 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 14 poll PDF Innovative Research October 11 2015 poll PDF EKOS October 10 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research October 10 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 22 a b poll PDF poll PDF Nanos Research October 9 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 22 poll PDF Angus Reid October 9 2015 poll PDF EKOS October 8 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research October 8 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 09 poll PDF Innovative Research October 8 2015 Archived from the original PDF on October 22 2015 Retrieved October 9 2015 poll Mainstreet Research October 7 2015 poll PDF Leger Marketing October 7 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 22 poll PDF EKOS October 7 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research October 7 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 22 poll PDF poll PDF Abacus Data October 6 2015 poll PDF EKOS October 6 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research October 6 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 22 poll PDF EKOS October 5 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research October 5 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 06 poll Ipsos Reid October 5 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research October 4 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 22 poll PDF Nanos Research October 3 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 05 poll PDF Nanos Research October 2 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 05 poll Mainstreet Research October 1 2015 poll PDF Innovative Research October 1 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 03 poll PDF Nanos Research October 1 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 04 poll PDF Leger Marketing September 30 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 03 poll PDF Angus Reid September 30 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research September 30 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 03 poll PDF poll PDF Nanos Research September 29 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 01 poll PDF EKOS September 29 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research September 28 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 01 a b poll Ipsos Reid September 28 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research September 27 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 29 poll PDF Abacus Data September 27 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research September 26 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 28 poll PDF Nanos Research September 25 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 27 poll PDF Nanos Research September 24 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 25 poll PDF Innovative Research September 24 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 26 a b poll PDF Forum Research September 23 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research September 23 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 25 poll PDF Leger Marketing September 23 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 25 poll PDF Innovative Research September 23 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 26 poll PDF Nanos Research September 22 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 23 poll PDF EKOS September 22 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research September 21 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 25 poll Ipsos Reid September 21 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research September 20 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 26 poll PDF Nanos Research September 19 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 26 poll PDF poll PDF Nanos Research September 18 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 26 poll PDF Nanos Research September 17 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 29 poll PDF Nanos Research September 16 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 26 poll PDF poll PDF Nanos Research September 15 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 26 poll Environics September 15 2015 poll PDF EKOS September 15 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research September 14 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 26 poll Global News Ipsos Reid September 13 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research September 13 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 29 poll PDF Nanos Research September 12 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 26 poll PDF Abacus Data September 11 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research September 11 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 26 a b poll PDF Forum Research September 10 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research September 10 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 26 a b poll PDF Innovative Research September 10 2015 Archived from the original PDF on September 28 2015 Retrieved September 14 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research September 9 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 26 poll PDF Nanos Research September 8 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 26 poll Ipsos Reid September 8 2015 poll PDF EKOS September 8 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research September 6 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 29 poll PDF Leger Marketing September 2 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 13 a b poll PDF Forum Research September 1 2015 poll PDF EKOS September 1 2015 poll PDF Abacus Data August 28 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research August 28 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 19 a b poll PDF Innovative Research August 26 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 08 30 poll Ipsos Reid August 26 2015 poll PDF EKOS August 25 2015 poll PDF Forum Research August 24 2015 poll PDF poll PDF Nanos Research August 21 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 08 26 poll PDF poll PDF Abacus Data August 17 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research August 14 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 08 23 poll PDF Leger Marketing August 12 2015 Archived from the original PDF on August 23 2015 Retrieved August 15 2015 poll Mainstreet Research August 11 2015 poll PDF poll PDF EKOS August 11 2015 poll Ipsos Reid August 10 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research August 7 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 09 29 a b poll PDF poll PDF Nanos Research July 31 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 01 poll Innovative Research July 30 2015 a b poll PDF poll PDF EKOS July 28 2015 poll Ipsos Reid July 27 2015 poll Mainstreet Research July 21 2015 a b poll PDF Forum Research July 20 2015 a b poll PDF Nanos Research July 17 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 12 07 a b poll PDF Leger Marketing July 16 2015 Archived from the original PDF on October 13 2015 Retrieved July 20 2015 poll PDF EKOS July 14 2015 a b poll PDF a b poll PDF poll PDF Abacus Data July 6 2015 a b poll PDF poll PDF EKOS June 28 2015 poll PDF poll Global News Ipsos Reid June 23 2015 poll Environics June 18 2015 poll PDF poll PDF EKOS June 16 2015 poll PDF EKOS June 9 2015 poll PDF Angus Reid June 7 2015 poll PDF Forum Research June 5 2015 poll PDF EKOS June 2 2015 poll PDF Abacus Data May 31 2015 poll Ipsos Reid May 29 2015 Archived from the original on June 3 2015 Retrieved June 2 2015 a b poll PDF Nanos Research May 29 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 06 14 poll PDF EKOS May 26 2015 poll PDF EKOS May 19 2015 poll PDF Nanos Research May 14 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 05 20 poll PDF Forum Research May 13 2015 poll PDF EKOS May 12 2015 poll PDF EKOS May 5 2015 a b poll PDF Leger Marketing April 30 2015 Archived from the original PDF on June 30 2015 Retrieved May 4 2015 poll PDF EKOS April 28 2015 poll PDF Abacus Data April 24 2015 poll PDF poll PDF EKOS April 21 2015 a b poll PDF Nanos Research April 17 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 04 30 poll PDF poll PDF EKOS April 14 2015 poll Ipsos Reid April 7 2015 Archived from the original on April 11 2015 Retrieved April 11 2015 poll PDF EKOS April 7 2015 poll PDF poll PDF EKOS March 31 2015 poll PDF Oraclepoll Research March 30 2015 Archived from the original PDF on April 14 2015 Retrieved April 13 2015 poll PDF EKOS March 24 2015 poll PDF Abacus Data March 22 2015 a b poll PDF Leger Marketing March 18 2015 Archived from the original PDF on June 30 2015 Retrieved March 24 2015 poll PDF EKOS March 17 2015 poll PDF Forum Research March 14 2015 poll PDF EKOS March 10 2015 poll PDF EKOS March 3 2015 a b poll PDF Nanos Research February 27 2015 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 07 01 poll PDF EKOS February 24 2015 poll Global News Ipsos Reid February 23 2015 poll PDF EKOS February 17 2015 poll PDF Abacus Data February 16 2015 poll PDF Forum Research February 10 2015 poll PDF EKOS February 10 2015 poll PDF EKOS February 3 2015 a b poll PDF Leger Marketing February 2 2015 Archived from the original PDF on June 30 2015 Retrieved February 7 2015 poll PDF Forum Research January 28 2015 poll PDF Abacus Data January 28 2015 poll PDF EKOS January 13 2015 poll Global News Ipsos Reid January 11 2015 poll PDF poll PDF Abacus Data December 20 2014 poll PDF EKOS December 18 2014 poll PDF Angus Reid December 13 2014 poll PDF EKOS December 12 2014 poll PDF Forum Research December 11 2014 a b poll PDF Leger Marketing December 11 2014 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 13 poll Global News Ipsos Reid December 1 2014 poll PDF Forum Research November 20 2014 poll PDF EKOS November 6 2014 poll PDF Leger Marketing November 6 2014 Archived from the original PDF on November 29 2014 Retrieved November 15 2014 poll PDF Abacus Data November 4 2014 poll PDF EKOS October 29 2014 poll PDF Abacus Data October 17 2014 poll PDF Leger Marketing October 16 2014 Archived from the original PDF on November 29 2014 Retrieved November 15 2014 poll PDF EKOS October 15 2014 poll PDF Forum Research October 5 2014 poll PDF EKOS September 25 2014 a b poll PDF Angus Reid September 19 2014 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 06 30 poll PDF Abacus Data September 14 2014 poll Global News Ipsos Reid September 12 2014 poll PDF Forum Research September 5 2014 poll PDF poll PDF Abacus Data August 18 2014 poll Global News Ipsos Reid August 17 2014 poll PDF EKOS July 23 2014 poll PDF poll PDF Abacus Data July 3 2014 Archived from the original PDF on 2014 07 14 a b poll PDF a b poll PDF Angus Reid June 12 2014 Archived from the original PDF on August 9 2014 Retrieved June 28 2014 a b poll PDF Angus Reid May 23 2014 Archived from the original PDF on 2016 03 03 a b poll PDF Forum Research May 23 2014 Archived from the original PDF on May 27 2014 Retrieved May 27 2014 poll PDF EKOS May 1 2014 a b poll PDF Forum Research April 29 2014 Archived from the original PDF on May 5 2014 Retrieved May 5 2014 poll CTV News Ipsos Reid April 22 2014 a b poll PDF Angus Reid April 15 2014 Archived from the original PDF on April 26 2014 Retrieved April 25 2014 poll PDF EKOS April 3 2014 a b poll PDF Forum Research March 28 2014 Archived from the original PDF on April 7 2014 Retrieved April 4 2014 a b poll PDF Angus Reid March 9 2014 Archived from the original PDF on 2016 03 03 poll PDF Abacus Data March 5 2014 Archived from the original PDF on 2014 03 15 a b poll PDF Forum Research February 19 2014 Archived from the original PDF on February 27 2014 Retrieved February 22 2014 poll CTV News Ipsos Reid February 18 2014 a b poll PDF Angus Reid February 16 2014 Archived from the original PDF on 2014 02 22 poll PDF Nanos Research February 15 2014 Archived from the original PDF 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the original PDF on October 29 2013 Retrieved October 25 2013 a b poll PDF Abacus Data October 22 2013 Archived from the original PDF on 2013 10 28 poll CTV News Ipsos Reid October 20 2013 poll PDF Nanos Research October 18 2013 Archived from the original PDF on 2013 10 29 poll PDF EKOS October 14 2013 poll CTV News Ipsos Reid September 20 2013 a b poll PDF Forum Research September 17 2013 Archived from the original PDF on September 23 2014 Retrieved September 30 2013 poll PDF Archived from the original PDF on 24 September 2015 poll PDF Abacus Data September 4 2013 Archived from the original PDF on 2015 10 01 poll PDF Nanos Research August 31 2013 Archived from the original PDF on 2013 10 29 a b poll PDF Forum Research August 23 2013 Archived from the original PDF on September 23 2014 Retrieved August 26 2013 poll PDF Nanos Research August 22 2013 Archived from the original PDF on 2013 10 08 poll PDF Nanos Research August 19 2013 Archived from the original PDF on 2013 11 01 poll PDF 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