Wikipedia
Opinion polling for the 2022 Brazilian presidential election
Since the 2018 Brazilian general election, polling companies have published surveys tracking voting intention for the next election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order and include candidates who frequently polled above 3%.
The first round of the 2022 Brazilian general election took place on 2 October.[1] As no candidate reached a majority of the votes,[2] a second round was held on 30 October.[1]
First round Edit
The first round took place on 2 October 2022.[1]
Chart Edit
Polling aggregation Edit
| Aggregator | Last update | Bolsonaro PL | Lula PT | Gomes PDT | Tebet MDB | Others [a] | Blank/Null/ Undec. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Economist[3] | 1 Oct 2022 | 38% | 51% | 5% | 6% | (N/A) | (N/A) | Lula +13 |
| Veja[4] | 1 Oct 2022 | 33.7% | 44.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | (N/A) | (N/A) | Lula +11.0 |
| Estadão[5] | 1 Oct 2022 | 33% | 47% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 7% | Lula +14 |
| CNN Brasil[6] | 1 Oct 2022 | 34% | 48% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 6% | Lula +14 |
| PollingData[7] | 1 Oct 2022 | 37.5% | 43.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 6.5% | Lula +6.2 |
| El Pais[8] | 1 Oct 2022 | 35.3% | 46.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | (N/A) | (N/A) | Lula +11.4 |
| El Electoral[9] | 1 Oct 2022 | 38.5% | 48.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | (N/A) | (N/A) | Lula +10.0 |
| Pollstergraph[10] | 1 Oct 2022 | 37.1% | 44.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | (N/A) | (N/A) | Lula +7.7 |
2022 Edit
Jul–Oct Edit
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period | Sample size | Bolsonaro PL | Lula PT | Gomes PDT | Tebet MDB | Others [a] | Blank/Null/ Undec. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | 2 Oct | Valid votes | 43.2% | 48.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | (N/A) | 5.2% |
| Total votes | 41.3% | 46.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | ||
| Datafolha[11] | 30 Sep – 1 Oct | 12,800 | 34% | 48% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 14% |
| IPEC[12] | 29 Sep – 1 Oct | 3,008 | 34% | 47% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 13% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[13] | 30 Sep | 1,100 | 33% | 46% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 13% |
| Atlas[14] | 28–30 Sep | 4,500 | 40.7% | 49.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1% | 9.1% |
| CNT/MDA[15] | 28–30 Sep | 2,002 | 36.3% | 44.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% |
| 29 Sep | Third presidential debate. | ||||||||
| Datafolha[16] | 27–29 Sep | 6,800 | 34% | 48% | 6% | 5% | 1.2% | 4% | 14% |
| Atlas[17] | 24–28 Sep | 4,500 | 39.9% | 49.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 9.4% |
| Exame/Ideia[18] | 23–28 Sep | 1,500 | 37% | 47% | 6% | 5% | 1.2% | 4% | 10% |
| Genial/Quaest[19] | 24–27 Sep | 2,000 | 33% | 46% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 9% | 13% |
| Atlas[20] | 22–26 Sep | 4,500 | 41% | 48.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 7.3% |
| Ipec[21] | 25–26 Sep | 3,008 | 31% | 48% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 17% |
| BTG Pactual/FSB[22] | 23–25 Sep | 2,000 | 35% | 45% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 10% |
| 24 Sep | Second presidential debate. Lula did not attend.[23] | ||||||||
| Abrapel/Ipespe[24] | 21–23 Sep | 1,100 | 35% | 46% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 9% | 11% |
| Datafolha[25] | 20–22 Sep | 6,754 | 33% | 47% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 14% |
| XP/Ipespe[26] | 19–21 Sep | 2,000 | 35% | 46% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 11% |
| PoderData[27] | 18–20 Sep | 3,500 | 37% | 44% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 7% |
| Genial/Quaest[28] | 17–20 Sep | 2,000 | 34% | 44% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 10% | 10% |
| Arko/Atlas[29] | 16–20 Sep | 7,514 | 38.6% | 48.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1% | 9.8% |
| Ipec[30] | 17–18 Sep | 3,008 | 31% | 47% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 9% | 16% |
| BTG/FSB[31] | 16–18 Sep | 2,000 | 35% | 44% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 9% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[32] | 14–16 Sep | 1,100 | 35% | 45% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 10% |
| Datafolha[33] | 13–15 Sep | 5,926 | 33% | 45% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 12% |
| PoderData[34] | 11–13 Sep | 3,500 | 37% | 43% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 6% |
| Genial/Quaest[35] | 10–13 Sep | 2,000 | 34% | 42% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 11% | 8% |
| Globo/Ipec[36] | 9–11 Sep | 2,512 | 31% | 46% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 15% |
| BTG/FSB[37] | 9–11 Sep | 2,000 | 35% | 41% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 6% |
| Datafolha[38] | 8–9 Sep | 2,676 | 34% | 45% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 11% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[39] | 7–9 Sep | 1,100 | 36% | 44% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 8% |
| BTG/FSB[40] | 2–4 Sep | 2,000 | 34% | 42% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 8% |
| Globo/Ipec[41] | 2–4 Sep | 2,512 | 31% | 44% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 11% | 13% |
| Genial/Quaest[42] | 1–4 Sep | 2,000 | 34% | 44% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 9% | 10% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[43] | 30 Aug – 1 Sep | 1,100 | 35% | 44% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 9% |
| Datafolha[44] | 30 Aug – 1 Sep | 5,734 | 32% | 45% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 13% |
| PoderData[45] | 28–30 Aug | 3,500 | 36% | 44% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 8% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[46] | 26–30 Aug | 2,020 | 37.1% | 41.3% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 9.9% | 4.2% |
| XP/Ipespe[47] | 26–29 Aug | 2,000 | 35% | 43% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 8% |
| 28 Aug | First presidential debate.[48] | ||||||||
| BTG/FSB[49] | 26–28 Aug | 2,000 | 36% | 43% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 7% | 7% |
| Ipec[50] | 26–28 Aug | 2,000 | 32% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 13% | 12% |
| Quaest[51] | 25–28 Aug | 2,000 | 32% | 44% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 11% | 12% |
| CNT/MDA[52] | 25–28 Aug | 2,002 | 34.1% | 42.3% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 12.8% | 8.2% |
| 26 Aug | Beginning of the period allowed for political advertisement on television and radio. | ||||||||
| Atlas[53] | 20–25 Aug | 7,475 | 38.3% | 46.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 8.4% |
| Exame/Ideia[54] | 19–24 Aug | 1,500 | 36% | 44% | 9% | 4% | 3.6% | 5% | 8% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[55] | 19–23 Aug | 2,020 | 37% | 41.7% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 1% | 10.1% | 4.7% |
| BTG/FSB[56] | 19–21 Aug | 2,000 | 36% | 45% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 9% |
| Datafolha[57] | 16–18 Aug | 5,744 | 32% | 47% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 8% | 15% |
| 16 Aug | Official beginning of the election campaign. | ||||||||
| PoderData[58] | 14–16 Aug | 3,500 | 37% | 44% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 7% |
| IPEC[59] | 12–14 Aug | 2,000 | 32% | 44% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 12% |
| FSB Comunicação[60] | 12–14 Aug | 2,000 | 34% | 45% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 11% |
| Quaest/Genial[61] | 11–14 Aug | 2,000 | 33% | 45% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 12% | 12% |
| FSB Comunicação[62] | 5–7 Aug | 2,000 | 34% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 7% |
| 5 Aug | Brazil Union formally launches the candidacy of senator Soraya Thronicke.[63] | ||||||||
| 4 Aug | André Janones (Avante) withdraws his candidacy; endorses Lula.[64] | ||||||||
| PoderData[65] | 31 Jul – 2 Aug | 3,500 | 35% | 43% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 8% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[66] | 28 Jul – 1 Aug | 2,020 | 35.6% | 41.1% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 10.3% | 5.5% |
| 31 Jul | Congressman Luciano Bivar (Brazil Union) withdraws his candidacy.[67] | ||||||||
| Quaest/Genial[68] | 28–31 Jul | 2,000 | 32% | 44% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 12% |
| Datafolha[69] | 27–28 Jul | 2,566 | 29% | 47% | 8% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 18% |
| BTG/FSB[70] | 22–24 Jul | 2,000 | 31% | 44% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 13% |
| XP/Ipespe[71] | 20–22 Jul | 2,000 | 35% | 44% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 9% |
| 20 Jul | Beginning of the period for the realization of party conventions.[72] | ||||||||
| Exame/Ideia[73] | 15–20 Jul | 1,500 | 33% | 44% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 11% |
| PoderData[74] | 17–19 Jul | 3,000 | 37% | 43% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 6% |
| BTG/FSB[75] | 8–10 Jul | 2,000 | 32% | 41% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% |
| 32% | 42% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 10% | |||
| PoderData[76] | 3–5 Jul | 3,000 | 36% | 44% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 9% | 8% |
| Quaest/Genial[77] | 29 Jun – 2 Jul | 2,000 | 31% | 45% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 14% |
| 31% | 45% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 11% | 14% | |||
| 31% | 47% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 12% | 16% | |||
Apr–Jun Edit
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period | Sample size | Bolsonaro PL | Lula PT | Gomes PDT | Doria PSDB | Others [a] | Blank/Null/ Undec. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTG/FSB[78] | 24–26 Jun | 2,000 | 33% | 43% | 8% | — | 7% | 9% | 10% |
| Modalmais/Futura[79] | 20–24 Jun | 2,000 | 37.6% | 38.9% | 7.3% | — | 5.1% | 11% | 1.3% |
| Datafolha[80] | 22–23 Jun | 2,556 | 28% | 47% | 8% | — | 5% | 11% | 19% |
| Exame/Ideia[81] | 17–22 Jun | 1,500 | 36% | 45% | 7% | — | 6% | 7% | 9% |
| PoderData[82] | 19–21 Jun | 3,000 | 34% | 44% | 6% | — | 5% | 9% | 10% |
| BTG/FSB[83] | 10–12 Jun | 2,000 | 32% | 44% | 9% | — | 4% | 8% | 12% |
| PoderData[84] | 5–7 Jun | 3,000 | 35% | 43% | 6% | — | 5% | 10% | 8% |
| Quaest/Genial[85] | 2–5 Jun | 2,000 | 30% | 46% | 7% | — | 4% | 13% | 16% |
| 29% | 47% | 9% | — | 3% | 12% | 18% | |||
| 30% | 48% | 9% | — | 3% | 11% | 18% | |||
| Instituto GERP[86] | 30 May – 3 Jun | 2,095 | 37% | 39% | 8% | — | 6% | 10% | 2% |
| 37% | 39% | 7% | — | 8% | 9% | 2% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[87] | 30 May – 1 Jun | 1,000 | 34% | 45% | 9% | — | 6% | 7% | 11% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[88] | 26–30 May | 2,020 | 35.3% | 41.4% | 7.7% | — | 5.4% | 10.1% | 6.1% |
| BTG/FSB[89] | 27–29 May | 2,000 | 32% | 46% | 9% | — | 3% | 8% | 14% |
| Datafolha[90] | 25–26 May | 2,556 | 27% | 48% | 7% | — | 6% | 11% | 21% |
| XP/Ipespe[91] | 23–25 May | 1,000 | 34% | 45% | 8% | — | 7% | 5% | 11% |
| CNN Brasil/Real Time Big Data[92] | 23–24 May | 3,000 | 32% | 40% | 9% | — | 5% | 13% | 8% |
| PoderData[93] | 22–24 May | 3,000 | 35% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% |
| 23 May | Facing pressure from within his own party, João Doria, former governor of São Paulo, withdraws his candidacy.[94][95] | ||||||||
| Modalmais/Futura[96] | 16–19 May | 2,000 | 36% | 41% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 10.8% | 5% |
| Exame/Ideia[97] | 14–19 May | 1,500 | 32% | 41% | 9% | 2% | 5.2% | 12% | 9% |
| 33% | 40% | 8% | — | 6.9% | 14% | 7% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[98] | 16–18 May | 1,000 | 32% | 44% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 12% |
| XP/Ipespe[99] | 9–11 May | 1,000 | 32% | 44% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 12% |
| PoderData[100] | 8–10 May | 3,000 | 35% | 42% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 7% |
| 35% | 42% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | |||
| Quaest/Genial[101] | 5–8 May | 2,000 | 29% | 46% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 17% |
| 31% | 46% | 9% | 4% | — | 10% | 15% | |||
| 33% | 50% | — | 5% | — | 12% | 17% | |||
| 33% | 48% | 10% | — | — | 10% | 15% | |||
| 7 May | Former President Lula formally launches his candidacy.[102][103] | ||||||||
| CNT/MDA[104] | 4–7 May | 2,002 | 32% | 40.6% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 12.1% | 8.6% |
| XP/Ipespe[105] | 2–4 May | 1,000 | 31% | 44% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 10% | 13% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[106] | 28 Apr – 3 May | 2,020 | 35.2% | 40% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 10.7% | 4.8% |
| 35.7% | 42.6% | — | 4.9% | 4% | 12.8% | 6.9% | |||
| PoderData[107] | 24–26 Apr | 3,000 | 36% | 41% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 5% |
| BTG/FSB[108] | 22–24 Apr | 2,000 | 32% | 41% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 9% |
| XP/Ipespe[109] | 18–20 Apr | 1,000 | 31% | 45% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 10% | 14% |
| Exame/Ideia[110] | 15–20 Apr | 1,500 | 33% | 42% | 10% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% |
| 14 Apr | Brazil Union announces the candidacy of congressman Luciano Bivar.[111] | ||||||||
| 13 Apr | Workers' Party national committee formally approves Geraldo Alckmin as Lula's running mate.[112] | ||||||||
| PoderData[113] | 10–12 Apr | 3,000 | 35% | 40% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 5% |
| XP/Ipespe[114] | 2–5 Apr | 1,000 | 30% | 44% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 12% | 14% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[115] | 31 Mar – 5 Apr | 2,020 | 35.3% | 41.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 13.1% | 6.2% |
| Quaest/Genial[116] | 1–3 Apr | 2,000 | 31% | 45% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 14% |
Jan–Mar Edit
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period | Sample size | Bolsonaro PL | Lula PT | Moro PODE | Gomes PDT | Doria PSDB | Others [a] | Blank/Null/ Undec. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Instituto GERP[117] | 31 Mar – 5 Apr | 2,095 | 35% | 37% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 2% |
| 31 Mar | Former Minister Moro leaves Podemos and joins Brazil Union, suspending his candidacy.[118] | |||||||||
| PoderData[119] | 27–29 Mar | 3,000 | 32% | 41% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% |
| Modalmais/Futura[120] | 21–25 Mar | 2,000 | 35.5% | 38.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 3% |
| Datafolha[121] | 22–23 Mar | 2,556 | 26% | 43% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 17% |
| 26% | 43% | 8% | 7% | — | 6% | 10% | 17% | |||
| 26% | 44% | 8% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 18% | |||
| 26% | 43% | 8% | 8% | — | 5% | 9% | 17% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[122] | 21–23 Mar | 1,000 | 26% | 44% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 18% |
| Exame/Ideia[123] | 18–23 Mar | 1,500 | 29% | 40% | 9% | 9% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 11% |
| FSB[124] | 18–20 Mar | 2,000 | 29% | 43% | 8% | 9% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 14% |
| PoderData[125] | 13–15 Mar | 3,000 | 30% | 40% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% |
| Quaest/Genial[126] | 10–13 Mar | 2,000 | 26% | 44% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 18% |
| 25% | 45% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 20% | |||
| 28% | 48% | — | 8% | — | 3% | 12% | 20% | |||
| Ranking Brasil[127] | 7–12 Mar | 3,000 | 32.4% | 39% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 2.4% | — | 10.5% | 6.6% |
| Instituto GERP[126] | 7–10 Mar | 2,095 | 31% | 38% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 8% | 7% |
| 9 Mar | Senator Rodrigo Pacheco (PSD) announces he will not run for president.[128] | |||||||||
| XP/Ipespe[129] | 7–9 Mar | 1,000 | 28% | 43% | 8% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 9% | 15% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[130] | 3–8 Mar | 2,020 | 30.9% | 38.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 11.2% | 8% |
| PoderData[131] | 27 Feb – 1 Mar | 3,000 | 32% | 40% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 8% |
| Ipespe[132] | 21–23 Feb | 1,000 | 26% | 43% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 17% |
| Exame/Ideia[133] | 18–22 Feb | 1,500 | 27% | 42% | 10% | 8% | 3% | 3.7% | 6% | 15% |
| CNT/MDA[134] | 16–19 Feb | 2,002 | 28% | 42.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 12.2% | 14.2% |
| Modalmais/Futura[120] | 14–17 Feb | 2,000 | 34.7% | 35% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 10.5% | 0.3% |
| PoderData[135] | 13–15 Feb | 3,000 | 31% | 40% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 9% |
| XP/Ipespe[136] | 7–9 Feb | 1,000 | 25% | 43% | 8% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 12% | 18% |
| Quaest/Genial[137] | 3–6 Feb | 2,000 | 23% | 45% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 22% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[138] | 27 Jan – 1 Feb | 2,020 | 29.1% | 40.1% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 10.3% | 11% |
| PoderData[139] | 31 Jan – 1 Feb | 3,000 | 30% | 41% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% |
| XP/Ipespe[140] | 24–25 Jan | 1,000 | 24% | 44% | 8% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 12% | 20% |
| Modalmais/Futura[141] | 17–21 Jan | 2,000 | 33.2% | 39.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 3.2% | — | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| PoderData[142] | 16–18 Jan | 3,000 | 28% | 42% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 14% |
| Exame/Ideia[143] | 9–13 Jan | 1,500 | 24% | 41% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 11% | 17% |
| XP/Ipespe[144] | 10–12 Jan | 1,000 | 24% | 44% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 20% |
| Quaest/Genial[145] | 6–9 Jan | 2,000 | 23% | 45% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 12% | 22% |
2021 Edit
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period | Sample size | Bolsonaro PL | Lula PT | Moro PODE | Gomes PDT | Doria PSDB | Mandetta UNION | Pacheco PSD | Tebet MDB | Others | Blank/Null/ Undec. | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PoderData[146] | 19–21 Dec | 3,000 | 30% | 40% | 7% | 4% | 4% | — | — | 1% | 3% | 11% | 10% | |
| Ipespe[147] | 14–16 Dec | 1,000 | 24% | 44% | 9% | 7% | 3% | — | 1% | — | 1% | 12% | 20% | |
| 23% | 43% | 9% | 7% | 3% | — | — | 1% | 2% | 9% | 20% | ||||
| Datafolha[148] | 13–16 Dec | 3,666 | 22% | 48% | 9% | 7% | 4% | — | — | — | — | 10% | 26% | |
| Ipec[149] | 9–13 Dec | 2,002 | 22% | 49% | 8% | 5% | 3% | — | — | — | — | 13% | 27% | |
| 21% | 48% | 6% | 5% | 2% | — | — | 1% | 3% | 14% | 27% | ||||
| Exame/Ideia[150] | 6–9 Dec | 1,200 | 27% | 37% | 10% | 6% | 4% | — | 1% | — | 2% | 10% | 10% | |
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period | Sample size | Bolsonaro PL | Lula PT | Moro PODE | Gomes PDT | Doria PSDB | Leite PSDB | Mandetta UNION | Pacheco PSD | Others [b] | Blank/Null/ Undec. | Lead | |
| 8 Dec | MDB confirms the candidacy of senator Simone Tebet.[152] | |||||||||||||
| Quaest/Genial[153] | 2–5 Dec | 2,037 | 23% | 46% | 10% | 5% | 2% | — | — | 1% | 1% | 11% | 23% | |
| 30 Nov | President Bolsonaro joins the Liberal Party.[154] | |||||||||||||
| Atlas Político[155] | 27–29 Nov | 4,401 | 31.5% | 42.8% | 13.7% | 6.1% | 1.7% | — | — | 0.9% | 0.1% | 3.2% | 11.3% | |
| 27 Nov | Governor of São Paulo João Doria wins the PSDB presidential primary.[156] | |||||||||||||
| Ipespe[157] | 22–24 Nov | 1,000 | 25% | 42% | 11% | 9% | 2% | — | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 17% | |
| 24% | 42% | 11% | 9% | — | 2% | — | 2% | 1% | 8% | 18% | ||||
| PoderData[158] | 22–24 Nov | 2,500 | 29% | 34% | 8% | 7% | 5% | — | 3% | — | 4% | 9% | 5% | |
| 27% | 36% | 8% | 9% | — | 5% | 2% | — | 3% | 8% | 9% | ||||
| Futura/ModalMais[159] | 16–20 Nov | 2,000 | 30.8% | 37% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 1.9% | — | — | — | 2.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | |
| Paraná Pesquisas[160] | 16–19 Nov | 2,020 | 29.2% | 34.9% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 3.1% | — | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 13.4% | 5.7% | |
| 29.8% | 35.1% | 11% | 6.1% | — | 1.6% | — | 0.6% | 1.2% | 13.6% | 5.3% | ||||
| Ponteio Política[161] | 16–18 Nov | 1,000 | — | 37% | 18% | 11% | 3% | — | — | — | — | 31% | 19% | |
| 24% | 37% | 11% | 8% | 3% | — | — | — | — | 17% | 13% | ||||
| Exame/Ideia[162] | 9–11 Nov | 1,200 | 25% | 35% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 20% | 10% | |
| Quaest/Genial[163] | 3–6 Nov | 2,063 | 21% | 48% | 8% | 6% | 2% | — | — | 1% | — | 14% | 27% | |
| 21% | 47% | 8% | 7% | — | 1% | — | 1% | — | 14% | 26% | ||||
| Vox Populi[164] | 30 Oct – 4 Nov | 2,000 | 21% | 44% | 3% | 4% | 1% | — | 1% | — | 3% | 22% | 23% | |
| 21% | 45% | 3% | 5% | — | 1% | 1% | — | 3% | 21% | 24% | ||||
| XP/Ipespe[165] | 25–28 Oct | 1,000 | 28% | 42% | — | 11% | 4% | — | 3% | 2% | — | 10% | 14% | |
| 25% | 41% | 8% | 9% | — | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 16% | ||||
| PoderData[166] | 25–27 Oct | 2,500 | 28% | 35% | 8% | 5% | 4% | — | 4% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 7% | |
| 30% | 34% | 7% | 7% | — | 3% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 4% | ||||
| 23 Oct | PSD confirms the candidacy of senator Rodrigo Pacheco.[167] | |||||||||||||
| 22 Oct | Former Judge and Justice Minister Moro confirms candidacy.[168] | |||||||||||||
| Quaest/Genial[169] | 30 Sep – 3 Oct | 2,048 | 24% | 43% | — | 10% | — | — | — | — | 11% | 12% | 19% | |
| 24% | 44% | 10% | 9% | — | — | — | — | — | 12% | 20% | ||||
| 26% | 45% | — | 10% | 6% | — | — | — | — | 13% | 19% | ||||
| PoderData[170] | 27–29 Sep | 2,500 | 30% | 40% | — | 5% | 3% | — | 3% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 10% | |
| 28% | 43% | — | 5% | — | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 15% | ||||
| Ipespe[171] | 22–24 Sep | 1,000 | 28% | 43% | — | 11% | 5% | — | 4% | 2% | — | 7% | 15% | |
| 25% | 42% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 17% | ||||
| Ipec[172] | 16–20 Sep | 2,002 | 23% | 48% | — | 8% | 3% | — | 3% | — | — | 14% | 25% | |
| 22% | 45% | 5% | 6% | 2% | — | 3% | 1% | 3% | 14% | 23% | ||||
| Datatempo[173] | 9–15 Sep | 2,025 | 22% | 36% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 2% | — | — | — | 13.4% | 14.2% | 14% | |
| Datafolha[174] | 13–15 Sep | 3,667 | 26% | 44% | — | 9% | 4% | — | 3% | — | — | 12% | 18% | |
| 25% | 42% | — | 12% | — | 4% | 2% | — | — | 13% | 17% | ||||
| 25% | 44% | — | 11% | 6% | — | — | — | — | 12% | 19% | ||||
| 24% | 42% | — | 10% | 5% | — | — | 1% | 7% | 12% | 18% | ||||
| Paraná Pesquisas[175] | 1–5 Sep | 2,012 | 30.9% | 35.5% | — | 9.7% | 7.4% | — | — | — | — | 16.5% | 4.6% | |
| PoderData[176] | 30 Aug – 1 Sep | 2,500 | 28% | 37% | — | 8% | 4% | — | 5% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 9% | |
| Quaest/Genial[177] | 26–29 Aug | 2,000 | 26% | 47% | — | 8% | 6% | — | — | — | — | 13% | 21% | |
| XP/Ipespe[178] | 11–14 Aug | 1,000 | 24% | 40% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 4% | — | — | 9% | 16% | |
| 28% | 37% | — | 11% | 5% | — | — | 1% | 5% | 13% | 9% | ||||
| PoderData[179] | 2–4 Aug | 2,500 | 25% | 39% | — | 8% | 6% | — | 4% | — | 7% | 11% | 14% | |
| Quaest/Genial[180] | 29 Jul – 1 Aug | 1,500 | 29% | 46% | — | 12% | — | — | — | — | — | 13% | 17% | |
| 27% | 44% | — | 10% | — | — | — | — | 10% | 10% | 17% | ||||
| Paraná Pesquisas[181] | 24–28 Jul | 2,010 | 32.7% | 33.7% | — | 6.8% | 3.9% | — | 1.8% | 0.8% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 1% | |
| Datafolha[182] | 7–8 Jul | 2,074 | 25% | 46% | — | 8% | 5% | — | 4% | — | — | 12% | 21% | |
| XP/Ipespe[183] | 5–7 Jul | 1,000 | 26% | 38% | 9% | 10% | 2% | — | 3% | — | 3% | 13% | 12% | |
| 27% | 35% | — | 11% | — | 4% | 5% | — | 6% | 13% | 8% | ||||
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period | Sample size | Bolsonaro Indep. | Lula PT | Haddad PT | Dino PCdoB | Gomes PDT | Boulos PSOL | Doria PSDB | Amoêdo NOVO | Moro PODE | Huck Indep. | Others | Blank/Null/ Undec. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exame/Ideia[184] | 22–24 Jun | 1,200 | 31% | 39% | — | — | 14% | — | 8% | — | — | — | — | 8% | 8% |
| Instituto Ipec[185] | 17–21 Jun | 2,002 | 23% | 49% | — | — | 7% | — | 5% | — | — | — | 3% | 13% | 26% |
| 16 Jun | Huck withdraws candidacy.[186] | ||||||||||||||
| Instituto Mapa[187] | 18–20 May | 2,000 | 26.8% | 36.8% | — | — | 5.0% | — | 3.3% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 13.5% | 10% |
| Vox Populi[188] | 12–16 May | 2,000 | 24% | 43% | — | — | 5% | — | 2% | 2% | — | 8% | — | 14% | 19% |
| Datafolha[189] | 11–12 May | 2,071 | 23% | 41% | — | — | 6% | — | 3% | 2% | 7% | 4% | 2%[c] | 13% | 18% |
| Exame/Ideia[190] | 19–22 Apr | 1,200 | 32% | 33% | — | — | 9% | — | 4% | 3% | — | 6% | 5%[d] | 9% | 1% |
| PoderData[191] | 12–14 Apr | 3,500 | 31% | 34% | — | — | 6% | — | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 2%[e] | 9% | 3% |
| XP/Ipespe[192] | 29–31 Mar | 1,000 | 28% | 29% | — | — | 9% | 3% | 3% | — | 9% | 5% | 3%[f] | 12% | 1% |
| PoderData[193] | 15–17 Mar | 3,500 | 30% | 34% | — | — | 5% | — | 3% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 2%[g] | 13% | 4% |
| Revista Fórum/Offerwise[194] | 11–15 Mar | 1,000 | 30.7% | 31.2% | — | — | 7.4% | — | 6.4% | — | — | — | — | 24.3% | 0.5% |
| 29.2% | 27.1% | — | 0.2% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | — | 14.6% | 2.1% | |||
| 31.2% | — | 13.3% | — | 7.7% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 2.0% | — | 6.8% | — | 28.8% | 17.9% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[195] | 9–11 Mar | 1,000 | 27% | 25% | — | — | 9% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 2%[h] | 13% | 2% |
| 28% | — | 11% | — | 11% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 7% | 3%[i] | 17% | 17% | |||
| Exame/Ideia[196] | 10–11 Mar | 1,000 | 33% | 18% | — | — | 9% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 15% |
| Atlas[197] | 8–10 Mar | 3,721 | 32.7% | 27.4% | — | 0.7% | 7.5% | 0.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% |
| 32.3% | — | 15.7% | 1.3% | 11.6% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 16.6% | |||
| CNN Brasil/Real Time Big Data[198] | 8–9 Mar | 1,200 | 31% | 21% | — | — | 9% | — | 4% | 2% | 10% | 7% | — | 15% | 10% |
| 8 Mar | Lula's corruption charges annulled; political rights restored.[199] | ||||||||||||||
| Paraná Pesquisas[200] | 28 Feb − 1 Mar | 2,080 | 37.6% | — | 14.3% | — | 13% | — | 6.9% | 3.9% | — | — | 2.7% | 21.5% | 23.3% |
| 32.2% | 18% | — | — | 8.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3% | 11.6% | — | 1.4% | 16.3% | 14.2% | |||
| 32.9% | — | 10.8% | — | 10.3% | 3.2% | — | 3% | 12% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 17.2% | 20.4% | |||
| 33.9% | — | 11.8% | — | 10.7% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 12.3% | — | — | 18.6% | 21.6% | |||
| 31.9% | — | 10.5% | — | 10% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 11.5% | 8% | — | 16.8% | 20.5% | |||
| Exame/ideia[201] | 24−28 Jan | 1,200 | 36% | 17% | — | — | 11% | 8% | 6% | — | — | — | — | 22% | 19% |
| 33% | 15% | — | — | 10% | 5% | — | — | — | 10% | — | 26% | 18% | |||
| 32% | 17% | — | 3% | 10% | 5% | 3% | — | 7% | 8% | 1% | 15% | 15% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas[202] | 22−26 Jan | 2,002 | 30.5% | — | 9.5% | — | 10.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 12% | 8.1% | — | 17.4% | 18.5% |
| 31% | 17.3% | — | — | 9.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 12.1% | — | — | 15.8% | 13.7% | |||
| 33.7% | — | 11.7% | 1% | 12.1% | — | 6.7% | 3.1% | — | 9.4% | 3.8% | 19.1% | 21.6% | |||
| Atlas[203] | 20−24 Jan | 3,073 | 34.4% | — | 13.4% | — | 11.6% | — | 4.3% | — | 11.6% | — | 4.8% | 19.9% | 21% |
| 34.5% | 22.3% | — | 1.4% | 8.8% | — | 3.6% | — | 11.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[204] | 11−14 Jan | 1,000 | 28% | — | 11% | — | 11% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 12% | 7% | — | 18% | 16% |
| 2018 general election | 7 Oct | — | 46.03% | — | 29.28% | — | 12.47% | 0.58% | 4.76% | 2.50% | — | — | 3.38% | — | 16.75% |
2020 Edit
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period | Sample size | Bolsonaro Indep. | Lula PT | Haddad PT | Dino PCdoB | Gomes PDT | Boulos PSOL | Doria PSDB | Amoêdo NOVO | Moro PODE | Huck Indep. | Others | Blank/Null/ Undec. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PoderData[205] | 21−23 Dec | 2,500 | 36% | — | 13% | 1% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 1% | 12% | 23% |
| XP/Ipespe[206] | 7−9 Dec | 1,000 | 29% | — | 12% | — | 9% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 19% | 17% |
| Exame/Ideia[207] | 30 Nov − 3 Dec | 1,200 | 28% | 16% | — | 1% | 7% | — | 4% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 24% | 12% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[208] | 28 Nov − 1 Dec | 2,036 | 33.3% | — | 8.8% | — | 10% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 11.8% | 7.8% | — | 16% | 21.5% |
| 32.9% | 17.8% | — | — | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 11.9% | — | — | 15.2% | 15.1% | |||
| 35.8% | — | 11.5% | 1.2% | 12.1% | — | 4.8% | 3.5% | — | 9.5% | 2.7% | 19.1% | 23.7% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[206] | 18−20 Nov | 1.000 | 29% | — | 13% | — | 8% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 19% | 16% |
| XP/Ipespe[209] | 8−11 Oct | 1,000 | 31% | — | 14% | — | 10% | — | 3% | 3% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 20% | 17% |
| Exame/Ideia[210] | 5−8 Oct | 1,200 | 30% | 18% | — | 1% | 9% | — | 4% | 1% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 19% | 12% |
| PoderData[211] | 14−16 Sep | 2,500 | 35% | — | 10% | 4% | 7% | — | 5% | — | 13% | — | 7% | 19% | 22% |
| 35% | 21% | — | 3% | 3% | — | 4% | — | 11% | — | 5% | 18% | 14% | |||
| Exame/Ideia[212] | 24−31 Aug | 1,235 | 31% | 17% | — | 1% | 6% | — | 3% | 3% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 14% | 14% |
| Revista Fórum/Offerwise[213] | 21−24 Aug | 1,000 | 41.7% | — | 14.8% | 1.2% | 7.7% | — | 3.7% | 2.3% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 1.6% | — | 26.9% |
| PoderData[214] | 3−5 Aug | 2,500 | 38% | — | 14% | 3% | 6% | — | 4% | — | 10% | — | 5% | 20% | 24% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[215] | 18−21 Jul | 2,030 | 29% | — | 13.4% | — | 9.9% | — | 4.0% | 3.4% | 17.1% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 14.9% | 11.9% |
| 27.5% | 21.9% | — | — | 8.3% | — | 3.8% | 3.4% | 16.8% | — | 1.6% | 14.1% | 5.6% | |||
| 30.7% | — | 14.5% | 1.6% | 10.7% | — | 4.6% | 4% | — | 8.3% | 6.6% | 18.9% | 16.2% | |||
| Quaest[216] | 14−17 Jun | 1,000 | 22% | — | 13% | — | 12% | — | 2% | — | 19% | 5% | 3% | 23% | 3% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[217] | 27–29 Apr | 2,006 | 27% | — | 14.1% | — | 10.3% | — | 3.7% | 4% | 18.1% | 6% | 2.2% | 14.6% | 8.9% |
| 26.3% | 23.1% | — | — | 8.1% | — | 3.8% | 4% | 17.5% | — | 1.9% | 13% | 3.2% | |||
| 29.1% | — | 15.4% | 1.4% | 11.1% | — | 4.4% | 4.5% | — | 8.1% | 7.9% | 18.1% | 13.7% | |||
| Veja/FSB[218] | 7–10 Feb | 2,000 | 37% | — | 13% | — | 11% | — | 3% | 5% | — | 12% | — | 21% | 24% |
| 31% | 28% | — | — | 8% | — | 4% | 5% | — | 11% | — | 12% | 3% | |||
| 28% | — | 15% | — | 9% | — | 3% | 4% | 17% | 13% | — | 12% | 11% | |||
| — | — | 14% | — | 12% | — | 4% | 5% | 31% | 16% | — | 19% | 5% | |||
| — | 28% | — | — | 9% | — | 3% | 5% | 33% | 10% | — | 13% | 5% | |||
| Atlas Político[219] | 7–9 Feb | 2,000 | 41% | — | — | 13% | — | — | 2.5% | — | — | 14% | — | 27% | 27% |
| 32% | 28% | — | 3% | — | — | 0.6% | — | 20% | 14% | — | 9% | 4% | |||
| CNT/MDA[220] | 15–18 Jan | 2,002 | 29.1% | 17% | 2.3% | — | 3.5% | — | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 2.7% | 30.2% | 12.2% |
| 2018 general election | 7 Oct | — | 46.03% | — | 29.28% | — | 12.47% | 0.58% | 4.76% | 2.50% | — | — | 3.38% | — | 16.75% |
2019 Edit
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period | Sample size | Bolsonaro Indep. | Lula PT | Haddad PT | Gomes PDT | Doria PSDB | Amoêdo NOVO | Moro PODE | Huck Indep. | Others | Blank/Null/ Undec. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veja/FSB[221] | 11 Nov – 2 Dec | 2,000 | 33% | — | 15% | 11% | 3% | 5% | — | 12% | — | 22% | 18% |
| 32% | 29% | — | 9% | 4% | 5% | — | 9% | — | 12% | 3% | |||
| 28% | — | 16% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 15% | 13% | — | 12% | 12% | |||
| — | — | 16% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 32% | 15% | — | 17% | 16% | |||
| — | 29% | — | 9% | 4% | 5% | 32% | 10% | — | 11% | 3% | |||
| Veja/FSB[222] | 11–14 Oct | 2,000 | 34% | — | 17% | 9% | 3% | 5% | — | 11% | — | 21% | 18% |
| 24% | — | 14% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 17% | 15% | — | 13% | 7% | |||
| — | — | 16% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 30% | 16% | — | 17% | 14% | |||
| Veja/FSB[223] | 16–18 Aug | 2,000 | 35% | — | 17% | 11% | 3% | 5% | — | 11% | — | 18% | 18% |
| — | — | 18% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 27% | 13% | — | 19% | 9% | |||
| 2018 general election | 7 Oct | — | 46.03% | — | 29.28% | 12.47% | 4.76% | 2.50% | — | — | 4.96% | — | 16.75% |
Second round Edit
The second round took place on 30 October 2022.[1]
Bolsonaro vs. Lula Edit
Polling aggregation Edit
| Aggregator | Last update | Bolsonaro PL | Lula PT | Blank/Null/ Undec. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Economist[3] | 29 Oct 2022 | 48% | 52% | — | Lula +4 |
| Veja[4] | 29 Oct 2022 | 43.5% | 48.4% | 8.1% | Lula +4.9 |
| Estadão[5] | 29 Oct 2022 | 44% | 49% | 7% | Lula +5 |
| CNN Brasil[224] | 29 Oct 2022 | 43.6% | 49.6% | 6.7% | Lula +6.0 |
| PollingData[7] | 29 Oct 2022 | 45.3% | 46.1% | 9% | Lula +0.8 |
| El Electoral[225] | 26 Oct 2022 | 45% | 49% | 6% | Lula +4 |
| Pollstergraph[10] | 29 Oct 2022 | 45.3% | 47.6% | 7.1% | Lula +2.3 |
After 2 October 2022 Edit
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period | Sample size | Bolsonaro PL | Lula PT | Blank/Null/ Undec. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | 30 Oct 2022 | Valid votes | 49.1% | 50.9% | (N/A) | 1.8% |
| Total votes | 46.8% | 48.6% | 4.6% | 1.7%[j] | ||
| Datafolha[226] | 28–29 Oct 2022 | 8,308 | 45% | 49% | 7% | 4% |
| Genial/Quaest[227] | 27–29 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 42% | 45% | 13% | 3% |
| Ipec[228] | 27–29 Oct 2022 | 4,272 | 43% | 50% | 7% | 7% |
| Atlas[229] | 26–29 Oct 2022 | 7,500 | 45.7% | 52.4% | 1.9% | 6.7% |
| CNT/MDA[230] | 26–28 Oct 2022 | 2,002 | 44.9% | 46.9% | 8.2% | 2% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[231] | 26–28 Oct 2022 | 2,400 | 46.3% | 47.1% | 6.6% | 0.8% |
| 28 Oct 2022 | Fourth presidential debate. | |||||
| Datafolha[232] | 25–27 Oct 2022 | 4,580 | 44% | 49% | 7% | 5% |
| ModalMais/Futura[233] | 24–26 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 47.2% | 46.6% | 6.1% | 0.6% |
| Gerp[234] | 21–26 Oct 2022 | 2,095 | 47% | 43% | 9% | 4% |
| PoderData[235] | 23–25 Oct 2022 | 5,000 | 44% | 49% | 7% | 5% |
| Genial/Quaest[236] | 23–25 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 42% | 48% | 10% | 6% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[237] | 22–24 Oct 2022 | 1,100 | 44% | 50% | 6% | 6% |
| Ipec[238] | 22–24 Oct 2022 | 3,008 | 43% | 50% | 7% | 7% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[239] | 20–24 Oct 2022 | 2,020 | 45.9% | 46.3% | 7.8% | 0.4% |
| 23 Oct 2022 | Third presidential debate. Lula did not attend. | |||||
| Atlas[240] | 18–22 Oct 2022 | 4,500 | 46.2% | 52.0% | 1.8% | 5.8% |
| 21 Oct 2022 | Second presidential debate. Lula did not attend. | |||||
| ModalMais/Futura[241] | 17–19 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 46.9% | 45.9% | 7.1% | 1.0% |
| Datafolha[242] | 17–19 Oct 2022 | 2,912 | 45% | 49% | 5% | 4% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[243] | 15–19 Oct 2022 | 2,020 | 44.5% | 46.9% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Ideia[244] | 14–19 Oct 2022 | 1,500 | 46% | 50% | 4% | 4% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[245] | 17–18 Oct 2022 | 1,100 | 43% | 49% | 8% | 6% |
| PoderData[246] | 16–18 Oct 2022 | 5,000 | 44% | 48% | 8% | 4% |
| Genial/Quaest[247] | 16–18 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 42% | 47% | 11% | 5% |
| Ipec[248] | 11–17 Oct 2022 | 3,008 | 43% | 50% | 7% | 7% |
| 16 Oct 2022 | First presidential debate for second round. | |||||
| CNT/MDA[249] | 14–16 Oct 2022 | 2,002 | 41.8% | 48.1% | 10.1% | 6.3% |
| Datafolha[250] | 13–14 Oct 2022 | 2,898 | 45% | 49% | 6% | 5% |
| ModalMais/Futura[251] | 10–12 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 46.5% | 46.9% | 6.6% | 0.4% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[252] | 10–12 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 43% | 49% | 8% | 6% |
| Atlas[253] | 8–12 Oct 2022 | 4,500 | 46.5% | 51.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[254] | 8–12 Oct 2022 | 2,020 | 44.1% | 47.6% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| PoderData[255] | 9–11 Oct 2022 | 5,000 | 44% | 48% | 8% | 4% |
| Gerp[256] | 6–11 Oct 2022 | 2,095 | 46% | 48% | 6% | 2% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[257] | 8–10 Oct 2022 | 1,100 | 43% | 50% | 7% | 7% |
| IPEC[258] | 8–10 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 42% | 51% | 7% | 9% |
| Datafolha[259] | 5–7 Oct 2022 | 2,884 | 44% | 49% | 7% | 5% |
| Genial/Quaest[260] | 3–5 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 41% | 48% | 11% | 7% |
| PoderData[261] | 3–5 Oct 2022 | 3,500 | 44% | 48% | 8% | 4% |
| IPEC[262] | 3–5 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 43% | 51% | 6% | 8% |
| ModalMais/Futura[263] | 3–4 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 46.0% | 49.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
2021 to 2 October 2022 Edit
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period | Sample size | Bolsonaro PL | Lula PT | Blank/Null/ Undec. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Datafolha[264] | 30 Sep – 1 Oct 2022 | 12,800 | 38% | 54% | 8% | 16% |
| IPEC[265] | 29 Sep – 1 Oct 2022 | 3,008 | 37% | 52% | 11% | 15% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[266] | 30 Sep 2022 | 1,100 | 38% | 55% | 7% | 17% |
| Atlas[267] | 28–30 Sep 2022 | 4,500 | 42.8% | 53.1% | 4.1% | 10.3% |
| CNT/MDA[268] | 28–30 Sep 2022 | 2,002 | 41.2% | 50.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% |
| Atlas[269] | 24–28 Sep 2022 | 4,500 | 42.4% | 51.8% | 5.8% | 9.4% |
| Exame/Ideia[270] | 23–28 Sep 2022 | 1,500 | 41% | 52% | 7% | 11% |
| Genial/Quaest[19] | 24–27 Sep 2022 | 2,000 | 38% | 52% | 10% | 14% |
| Atlas[20] | 22–26 Sep 2022 | 4,500 | 43.7% | 51.3% | 5% | 7.6% |
| Ipec[21] | 25–26 Sep 2022 | 3,008 | 35% | 54% | 14% | 19% |
| BTG Pactual/FSB[22] | 23–25 Sep 2022 | 2,000 | 40% | 52% | 8% | 12% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[271] | 21–23 Sep 2022 | 1,100 | 38% | 54% | 8% | 16% |
| Datafolha[25] | 20–22 Sep 2022 | 6,754 | 38% | 54% | 9% | 16% |
| XP/Ipespe[26] | 19–21 Sep 2022 | 2,000 | 37% | 54% | 9% | 17% |
| PoderData[272] | 18–20 Sep 2022 | 3,500 | 42% | 50% | 8% | 8% |
| Genial/Quaest[273] | 17–20 Sep 2022 | 2,000 | 40% | 50% | 10% | 10% |
| Arko/Atlas[274] | 16–20 Sep 2022 | 7,514 | 41.4% | 53.1% | 5.5% | 11.7% |
| Ipec[275] | 17–18 Sep 2022 | 3,008 | 35% | 54% | 11% | 19% |
| BTG/FSB[276] | 16–18 Sep 2022 | 2,000 | 39% | 52% | 9% | 13% |
| Aprapel/Ipespe[277] | 14–16 Sep 2022 | 1,100 | 38% | 53% | 9% | 15% |
| Datafolha[33] | 13–15 Sep 2022 | 5,926 | 38% | 54% | 8% | 16% |
| PoderData[278] | 11–13 Sep 2022 | 3,500 | 42% | 51% | 6% | 9% |
| Genial/Quaest[35] | 10–13 Sep 2022 | 2,000 | 40% | 48% | 12% | 8% |
| Globo/Ipec[279] | 9–11 Sep 2022 | 2,512 | 36% | 53% | 12% | 17% |
| BTG/FSB[280] | 9–11 Sep 2022 | 2,000 | 38% | 51% | 11% | 13% |
| Datafolha[281] | 8–9 Sep 2022 | 2,676 | 39% | 53% | 9% | 14% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[282] | 7–9 Sep 2022 | 1,100 | 39% | 52% | 9% | 13% |
| BTG/FSB[283] | 2–4 Sep 2022 | 2,000 | 40% | 53% | 8% | 13% |
| Globo/Ipec[41] | 2–4 Sep 2022 | 2,512 | 36% | 52% | 12% | 16% |
| Genial/Quaest[284] | 1–4 Sep 2022 | 2,000 | 39% | 51% | 10% | 12% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[285] | 30 Aug – 1 Sep 2022 | 1,100 | 38% | 53% | 9% | 15% |
| PoderData[286] | 28–30 Aug 2022 | 3,500 | 41% | 50% | 9% | 9% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[287] | 26–30 Aug 2022 | 2,020 | 40.8% | 47.8% | 11.4% | 7% |
| XP/Ipespe[288] | 26–29 Aug 2022 | 2,000 | 38% | 53% | 9% | 15% |
| BTG/FSB[289] | 26–28 Aug 2022 | 2,000 | 39% | 52% | 9% | 13% |
| Ipec[50] | 26–28 Aug 2022 | 2,000 | 37% | 50% | 13% | 13% |
| Quaest[290] | 25–28 Aug 2022 | 2,000 | 37% | 51% | 13% | 14% |
| CNT/MDA[52] | 25–28 Aug 2022 | 2,002 | 38.8% | 50.1% | 11.1% | 11.3% |
| Modalmais/Futura[291] | 24−25 Aug 2022 | 2,000 | 43.8% | 45.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% |
| Atlas[292] | 20–25 Aug 2022 | 7,475 | 40.8% | 51.8% | 7.4% | 11% |
| Exame/Ideia[293] | 19–24 Aug 2022 | 1,500 | 40% | 49% | 11% | 9% |
| BTG/FSB[294] | 19–21 Aug 2022 | 2,000 | 39% | 52% | 9% | 13% |
| Datafolha[295] | 16–18 Aug 2022 | 5,744 | 37% | 54% | 10% | 17% |
| PoderData[296] | 14–16 Aug 2022 | 3,500 | 38% | 52% | 10% | 14% |
| Ipec[59] | 12–14 Aug 2022 | 2,000 | 35% | 51% | 14% | 16% |
| FSB Comunicação[60] | 12–14 Aug 2022 | 2,000 | 38% | 53% | 10% | 15% |
| Quaest/Genial[297] | 11–14 Aug 2022 | 2,000 | 38% | 51% | 11% | 13% |
| FSB Comunicação[62] | 5–7 Aug 2022 | 3,500 | 39% | 51% | 10% | 12% |
| PoderData[298] | 31 Jul – 2 Aug 2022 | 3,500 | 40% | 50% | 9% | 10% |
| Datafolha[69] | 22–24 Jul 2022 | 2,566 | 35% | 55% | 9% | 20% |
| BTG/FSB[70] | 22–24 Jul 2022 | 2,000 | 36% | 54% | 9% | 18% |
| Exame/Ideia[73] | 15–20 Jul 2022 | 1,500 | 37% | 47% | 11% | 10% |
| PoderData[299] | 17–19 Jul 2022 | 3,000 | 38% | 51% | 12% | 13% |
| BTG/FSB[75] | 8–10 Jul 2022 | 2,000 | 37% | 53% | 10% | 16% |
| PoderData[300] | 3–5 Jul 2022 | 3,000 | 38% | 50% | 12% | 12% |
| Quaest/Genial[77] | 29 Jun – 2 Jul 2022 | 2,000 | 34% | 53% | 13% | 19% |
| BTG/FSB[78] | 24–26 Jun 2022 | 2,000 | 37% | 52% | 10% | 15% |
| Datafolha[80] | 22–23 Jun 2022 | 2,556 | 34% | 57% | 9% | 23% |
| Exame/Ideia[81] | 17–22 Jun 2022 | 1,500 | 41% | 48% | 10% | 7% |
| PoderData[82] | 19–21 Jun 2022 | 3,000 | 35% | 52% | 13% | 17% |
| BTG/FSB[83] | 10–12 Jun 2022 | 2,000 | 36% | 54% | 8% | 18% |
| PoderData[301] | 05–07 Jun 2022 | 3,000 | 40% | 50% | 10% | 10% |
| Quaest/Genial[85] | 02–05 Jun 2022 | 2,000 | 32% | 54% | 12% | 22% |
| XP/Ipespe[87] | 30 May – 1 Jun 2022 | 1,000 | 35% | 53% | 12% | 18% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[88] | 26–30 May 2022 | 2,020 | 39.2% | 47.3% | 13.5% | 8.1% |
| BTG/FSB[89] | 27–29 May 2022 | 2,000 | 35% | 54% | 11% | 19% |
| Datafolha[90] | 25–26 May 2022 | 2,556 | 33% | 58% | 9% | 25% |
| XP/Ipespe[91] | 23–25 May 2022 | 1,000 | 35% | 53% | 12% | 18% |
| PoderData[93] | 22–24 May 2022 | 3,000 | 39% | 50% | 11% | 11% |
| Modalmais/Futura[96] | 16–19 May 2022 | 2,000 | 40.1% | 49% | 10.9% | 8.9% |
| Exame/Ideia | 14–19 May 2022 | 1,500 | 39% | 46% | 15% | 7% |
| XP/Ipespe[98] | 17–18 May 2022 | 1,000 | 34% | 53% | 13% | 19% |
| XP/Ipespe[99] | 9–11 May 2022 | 1,000 | 35% | 54% | 10% | 19% |
| PoderData[100] | 8–10 May 2022 | 3,000 | 38% | 49% | 13% | 11% |
| Quaest/Genial[101] | 5–8 May 2022 | 2,000 | 34% | 54% | 11% | 20% |
| CNT/MDA[104] | 4–7 May 2022 | 2,002 | 36.8% | 50.8% | 12.4% | 14% |
| XP/Ipespe[105] | 2–4 May 2022 | 1,000 | 34% | 54% | 12% | 20% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[106] | 28–3 May 2022 | 2,020 | 38.7% | 46.4% | 15% | 7.7% |
| PoderData[302] | 24–26 Apr 2022 | 3,000 | 39% | 48% | 13% | 9% |
| BTG/FSB[108] | 22–24 Apr 2022 | 2,000 | 37% | 52% | 10% | 15% |
| XP/Ipespe[109] | 18–20 Apr 2022 | 1,000 | 34% | 54% | 12% | 20% |
| Exame/Ideia[110] | 15–20 Apr 2022 | 1,500 | 39% | 48% | 13% | 9% |
| PoderData[303] | 10–12 Apr 2022 | 3,000 | 38% | 47% | 15% | 9% |
| XP/Ipespe[114] | 2–5 Apr 2022 | 1,000 | 33% | 53% | 14% | 20% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[115] | 31–5 Apr 2022 | 2,020 | 38.5% | 47.1% | 14.4% | 8.6% |
| Quaest/Genial[116] | 1–3 Apr 2022 | 2,000 | 34% | 55% | 11% | 21% |
| PoderData[119] | 27–29 Mar 2022 | 3,000 | 38% | 50% | 12% | 12% |
| Futura/Modalmais[120] | 21–25 Mar 2022 | 2,000 | 41.6% | 48.6% | 9.8% | 7% |
| Datafolha[304] | 22–23 Mar 2022 | 2,556 | 34% | 55% | 11% | 21% |
| Exame/Ideia[123] | 18–23 Mar 2022 | 1,500 | 37% | 50% | 13% | 13% |
| FSB[124] | 18–20 Mar 2022 | 2,000 | 35% | 54% | 11% | 19% |
| PoderData[125] | 13–15 Mar 2022 | 3,000 | 36% | 50% | 14% | 14% |
| Quaest/Genial[126] | 10–13 Mar 2022 | 2,000 | 32% | 54% | 13% | 22% |
| Ranking Brasil[127] | 7–12 Mar 2022 | 3,000 | 38.3% | 45% | 16.7% | 6.7% |
| XP/Ipespe[136] | 7–9 Mar 2022 | 1,000 | 33% | 53% | 14% | 20% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[130] | 3–8 Mar 2022 | 2,020 | 37.3% | 46% | 16.7% | 8.7% |
| PoderData[305] | 27–1 Mar 2022 | 3,000 | 37% | 51% | 11% | 14% |
| Ipespe[132] | 21–23 Feb 2022 | 1,000 | 32% | 54% | 14% | 22% |
| Exame/Ideia[133] | 18–22 Feb 2022 | 1,500 | 35% | 49% | 16% | 14% |
| CNT/MDA[134] | 16–19 Feb 2022 | 2,002 | 35.3% | 53.2% | 17.9% | 17.9% |
| Futura/Modalmais[120] | 14–17 Feb 2022 | 2,000 | 40.1% | 48% | 11.9% | 7.9% |
| PoderData[135] | 13–15 Feb 2022 | 3,000 | 35% | 50% | 15% | 15% |
| XP/Ipespe[136] | 7–9 Feb 2022 | 1,000 | 31% | 54% | 15% | 23% |
| Quaest/Genial[137] | 3–6 Feb 2022 | 2,000 | 30% | 54% | 16% | 24% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[138] | 27–1 Feb 2022 | 2,020 | 34.4% | 48.8% | 16.8% | 14.4% |
| PoderData[139] | 31–1 Feb 2022 | 3,000 | 37% | 54% | 9% | 17% |
| XP/Ipespe[140] | 24–25 Jan 2022 | 1,000 | 30% | 54% | 16% | 24% |
| Futura/Modalmais[141] | 17–21 Jan 2022 | 2,000 | 37.8% | 50.4% | 11.8% | 12.6% |
| PoderData[142] | 16–18 Jan 2022 | 3,000 | 32% | 54% | 14% | 22% |
| Exame/Ideia[143] | 9–13 Jan 2022 | 1,500 | 33% | 49% | 18% | 16% |
| XP/Ipespe[144] | 10–12 Jan 2022 | 1,000 | 31% | 56% | 13% | 25% |
| Quaest/Genial[145] | 6–9 Jan 2022 | 2,000 | 30% | 54% | 16% | 24% |
| PoderData[146] | 19–21 Dec 2021 | 3,000 | 34% | 54% | 12% | 20% |
| Ipespe[147] | 14–16 Dec 2021 | 1,000 | 31% | 53% | 16% | 22% |
| Ipespe[157] | 22–24 Nov 2021 | 1,000 | 32% | 52% | 16% | 20% |
| PoderData[158] | 22–24 Nov 2021 | 2,500 | 31% | 54% | 15% | 23% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[160] | 16–19 Nov 2021 | 2,020 | 35.6% | 42.5% | 21.9% | 6.9% |
| Ponteio Política[161] | 16–18 Nov 2021 | 1,000 | 32% | 50% | 18% | 18% |
| Exame/Ideia[162] | 9–11 Nov 2021 | 1,200 | 31% | 48% | 21% | 17% |
| Quaest/Genial[163] | 3–6 Nov 2021 | 2,063 | 27% | 57% | 13% | 30% |
| XP/Ipespe[306] | 25–28 Oct 2021 | 1,000 | 32% | 50% | 18% | 18% |
| PoderData[166] | 25–27 Oct 2021 | 2,500 | 37% | 52% | 11% | 15% |
| PoderData[170] | 27–29 Sep 2021 | 2,500 | 33% | 56% | 11% | 23% |
| Datatempo[173] | 9–15 Sep 2021 | 2,025 | 30.1% | 53.1% | 16.8% | 23% |
| Datafolha[174] | 13–15 Sep 2021 | 3,667 | 31% | 56% | 14% | 25% |
| PoderData[176] | 30–1 Sep 2021 | 2,500 | 30% | 55% | 15% | 25% |
| Quaest/Genial[177] | 26–29 Aug 2021 | 2,000 | 30% | 55% | 15% | 25% |
| XP/Ipespe[178] | 11–14 Aug 2021 | 1,000 | 32% | 51% | 17% | 19% |
| PoderData[179] | 2–4 Aug 2021 | 2,500 | 32% | 52% | 16% | 20% |
| XP/Ipespe[183] | 5–7 Jul 2021 | 1,000 | 35% | 49% | 17% | 14% |
Other Edit
2021 Edit
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period | Sample size | Bolsonaro Indep. | Lula PT | Haddad PT | Gomes PDT | Boulos PSOL | Doria PSDB | Moro PODE | Huck Indep. | Others | Blank/Null/ Undec. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Datafolha[182] | 7–8 Jul | 2,074 | 31% | 58% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11% | 27% |
| — | 56% | — | — | — | 22% | — | — | — | 21% | 34% | |||
| Vox Populi[188] | 12–16 May | 2,000 | 28% | 55% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17% | 27% |
| — | 52% | — | 19% | — | — | — | — | — | 29% | 33% | |||
| — | 56% | — | — | — | 14% | — | — | — | 30% | 42% | |||
| Datafolha[189] | 11–12 May | 2,071 | 32% | 55% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13% | 23% |
| — | 53% | — | — | — | — | 33% | — | — | 14% | 20% | |||
| — | 57% | — | — | — | — | — | 21% | — | 22% | 36% | |||
| 36% | — | — | 48% | — | — | — | — | — | 17% | 12% | |||
| 39% | — | — | — | — | 40% | — | — | — | 22% | 1% | |||
| Exame/Ideia[190] | 19–22 Apr | 1,200 | 38% | 40% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23% | 2% |
| PoderData[191] | 12–14 Apr | 3,500 | |||||||||||
| 34% | 52% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14% | 18% | |||
| 35% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 48% | — | 17% | 13% | |||
| 38% | — | — | — | — | 37% | — | — | — | 25% | 1% | |||
| 38% | — | — | — | — | — | 37% | — | — | 25% | 1% | |||
| 38% | — | — | 38% | — | — | — | — | — | 24% | Tie | |||
| XP/Ipespe[192] | 29–31 Mar | 1,000 | |||||||||||
| 38% | 41% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20% | 4% | |||
| 30% | — | — | — | — | — | 30% | — | — | 40% | Tie | |||
| 38% | — | — | 38% | — | — | — | — | — | 33% | Tie | |||
| 35% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32% | — | 33% | 3% | |||
| 38% | — | — | — | 30% | — | — | — | — | 32% | 8% | |||
| 37% | — | — | — | — | 30% | — | — | — | 33% | 7% | |||
| — | 41% | — | — | — | — | 36% | — | — | 23% | 5% | |||
| PoderData[193] | 15–17 Mar | 3,500 | 36% | 41% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23% | 5% |
| 34% | — | — | 39% | — | — | — | — | — | 27% | 5% | |||
| 37% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40% | — | 23% | 3% | |||
| 41% | — | — | — | — | 31% | — | — | — | 28% | 10% | |||
| 38% | — | — | — | — | — | 31% | — | — | 31% | 7% | |||
| Revista Fórum/Offerwise[194] | 11–15 Mar | 1,000 | 33.8% | 38.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 28.3% | 4.2% |
| — | 33.6% | — | 16.7% | — | — | — | — | — | 49.6% | 16.9% | |||
| — | 36.9% | — | — | — | 13.4% | — | — | — | 49.8% | 23.5% | |||
| — | 35.4% | — | — | — | — | — | 17.4% | — | 47.2% | 18.0% | |||
| — | 35.7% | — | — | — | — | 24.5% | — | — | 39.8% | 11.2% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[195] | 9–11 Mar | 1,000 | 41% | 40% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19% | 1% |
| 40% | — | 36% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24% | 4% | |||
| 31% | — | — | — | — | — | 34% | — | — | 35% | 3% | |||
| 37% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32% | — | 30% | 5% | |||
| 39% | — | — | 37% | — | — | — | — | — | 25% | 2% | |||
| 40% | — | — | — | 30% | — | — | — | — | 30% | 10% | |||
| 39% | — | — | — | — | 29% | — | — | — | 32% | 10% | |||
| — | — | 30% | — | — | — | 40% | — | — | 30% | 10% | |||
| Exame/Ideia[196] | 10–11 Mar | 1,000 | 44% | 37% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19% | 7% |
| 45% | — | — | 34% | — | — | — | — | — | 21% | 11% | |||
| 47% | — | — | — | — | 26% | — | — | — | 26% | 21% | |||
| 46% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37% | — | 17% | 9% | |||
| Atlas[197] | — | 3,721 | 36.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46.6%[k] | 16.5% | 9.7% |
| 37.5% | — | — | 44.7% | — | — | — | — | — | 17.8% | 7.2% | |||
| 38.8% | 44.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16.3% | 6.1% | |||
| 39.4% | — | 43.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.6% | 3.6% | |||
| 39.8% | — | — | — | — | 39.3% | — | — | — | 20.9% | 0.5% | |||
| 37.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26.8% | 1.0% | |||
| 34.3% | — | — | — | — | — | 33.1% | — | — | 32.6% | 1.2% | |||
| 37.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32.5% | — | 30.2% | 4.8% | |||
| CNN Brasil/Real Time Big Data[198] | 8–9 Mar | 1,200 | 43% | 39% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18% | 4% |
| 43% | — | — | 36% | — | — | — | — | — | 21% | 7% | |||
| 41% | — | — | — | — | — | 38% | — | — | 21% | 3% | |||
| 46% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 31% | — | 23% | 15% | |||
| Exame/Ideia[201] | 24−28 Jan | 1,200 | 45% | 28% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26% | 17% |
| 41% | — | — | 34% | — | — | — | — | — | 26% | 7% | |||
| 45% | — | — | — | — | 30% | — | — | — | 24% | 15% | |||
| 41% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 38% | — | 21% | 3% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas[202] | 22−26 Jan | 2,002 | 42.4% | 35.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.9% | 6.7% |
| 39.1% | — | — | — | — | — | 37.6% | — | — | 23.3% | 1.5% | |||
| 43.7% | — | — | 34.3% | — | — | — | — | — | 22.1% | 9.4% | |||
| 44.9% | — | — | — | — | 29.4% | — | — | — | 25.8% | 15.5% | |||
| 42.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 33.2% | — | 24.1% | 9.5% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[204] | 11−14 Jan | 1,000 | 38% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 34% | — | 28% | 4% |
| 33% | — | — | — | — | — | 36% | — | — | 31% | 3% | |||
| 40% | — | — | 37% | — | — | — | — | — | 23% | 3% | |||
| 44% | — | — | — | 31% | — | — | — | — | 25% | 13% | |||
| 42% | — | 37% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22% | 5% | |||
| — | — | 30% | — | — | — | 43% | — | — | 28% | 13% | |||
2020 Edit
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period | Sample size | Bolsonaro Indep. | Lula PT | Haddad PT | Gomes PDT | Boulos PSOL | Doria PSDB | Moro PODE | Huck Indep. | Others | Blank/Null/ Undec. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PoderData[205] | 21−23 Dec | 2,500 | 44% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 38% | — | 18% | 6% |
| 43% | — | — | — | — | — | 36% | — | — | 21% | 7% | |||
| 44% | — | — | 35% | — | — | — | — | — | 21% | 9% | |||
| 46% | — | — | — | 34% | — | — | — | — | 20% | 12% | |||
| 48% | — | 35% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17% | 13% | |||
| 46% | — | — | — | — | 31% | — | — | — | 23% | 15% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[206] | 7−9 Dec | 1,000 | 36% | — | — | — | — | — | 34% | — | — | 30% | 2% |
| 45% | — | 35% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21% | 10% | |||
| 40% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 33% | — | 27% | 7% | |||
| 43% | — | — | 36% | — | — | — | — | — | 22% | 7% | |||
| 47% | — | — | — | 31% | — | — | — | — | 22% | 16% | |||
| — | — | 27% | — | — | — | 46% | — | — | 28% | 19% | |||
| Exame/Ideia[207] | 30 Nov − 3 Dec | 1,200 | 37% | 32% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 31% | 5% |
| 44% | — | — | — | — | — | 29% | — | — | 27% | 15% | |||
| 38% | — | — | — | — | 22% | — | — | — | 40% | 16% | |||
| 37% | — | — | 36% | — | — | — | — | — | 27% | 1% | |||
| 36% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32% | — | 32% | 4% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas[208] | 28 Nov − 1 Dec | 2,036 | 47% | 33.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.7% | 13.6% |
| 44.9% | — | — | — | — | — | 34.7% | — | — | 20.5% | 10.2% | |||
| 48.5% | — | — | 31% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.6% | 17.5% | |||
| 51.1% | — | — | — | — | 23.8% | — | — | — | 25.1% | 27.3% | |||
| 48.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 29.7% | — | 21.7% | 18.9% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[206] | 18−20 Nov | 1.000 | 33% | — | — | — | — | — | 38% | — | — | 28% | 5% |
| 43% | — | 37% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20% | 6% | |||
| — | — | 25% | — | — | — | 46% | — | — | 29% | 21% | |||
| 40% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 33% | — | 27% | 7% | |||
| 42% | — | — | 39% | — | — | — | — | — | 19% | 3% | |||
| 45% | — | — | — | 31% | — | — | — | — | 24% | 14% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[209] | 8−11 Oct | 1,000 | 42% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 30%[l] | 28% | 12% |
| 43% | — | — | 35% | — | — | — | — | — | 22% | 8% | |||
| 42% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 28% | — | 30% | 14% | |||
| 43% | — | 35% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22% | 8% | |||
| 35% | — | — | — | — | — | 36% | — | — | 29% | 1% | |||
| — | — | 26% | — | — | — | 43% | — | — | 31% | 17% | |||
| Exame/Ideia[210] | 5−8 Oct | 1,200 | 43% | 33% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25% | 10% |
| 42% | — | — | — | — | 21% | — | — | — | 38% | 21% | |||
| 41% | — | — | — | — | — | 35% | — | — | 25% | 6% | |||
| PoderData[211] | 14−16 Sep | 2,500 | 45% | — | — | — | — | 32% | — | — | — | 23% | 13% |
| 48% | — | — | 33% | — | — | — | — | — | 19% | 15% | |||
| 40% | — | — | — | — | — | 37% | — | — | 23% | 3% | |||
| 45% | — | 38% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17% | 7% | |||
| 41% | 41% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18% | Tie | |||
| Exame/Ideia[212] | 24−31 Aug | 1,235 | 42% | 31% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 27% | 11% |
| 41% | — | — | — | — | 17% | — | — | — | 42% | 24% | |||
| 38% | — | — | — | — | — | 31% | — | — | 31% | 7% | |||
| PoderData[307] | 3–5 Aug | 2,500 | 44% | — | — | — | — | 30% | — | — | — | 26% | 14% |
| 42% | — | 34% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24% | 8% | |||
| 41% | — | — | — | — | — | 41% | — | — | 18% | Tie | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas[215] | 18–21 Jul | 2,030 | 46.6% | — | 32% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.4% | 14.6% |
| 44.7% | — | — | — | — | — | 35% | — | — | 20.2% | 9.7% | |||
| 45.6% | 36.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18% | 9.2% | |||
| 48.1% | — | — | 31.1% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.9% | 17% | |||
| 51.7% | — | — | — | — | 23% | — | — | — | 25.4% | 28.7% | |||
| 50.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 27.6% | — | 21.6% | 23.2% | |||
| Veja/FSB[218] | 7–10 Feb | 2,000 | 51% | — | 33% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16% | 18% |
| 50% | — | — | — | — | 25% | — | — | — | 26% | 25% | |||
| 45% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37% | — | 17% | 8% | |||
| 48% | 40% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11% | 8% | |||
| 37% | — | — | — | — | — | 39% | — | — | 25% | 2% | |||
| — | — | 30% | — | — | — | 53% | — | — | 17% | 23% | |||
| — | 40% | — | — | — | — | 49% | — | — | 12% | 9% | |||
| — | — | 30% | — | — | — | — | 37% | — | 34% | 7% | |||
| — | — | — | — | — | — | 51% | 32% | — | 16% | 19% | |||
| 2018 general election | 28 Oct | — | 55.13% | — | 44.87% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.26% | |
2019 Edit
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period | Sample size | Bolsonaro Indep. | Lula PT | Haddad PT | Doria PSDB | Moro PODE | Huck Indep. | Others | Blank/Null/ Undec. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quaest[308] | 26–27 Dec | 1,000 | 46% | 32% | — | — | — | — | — | 22% | 14% |
| Veja/FSB[221] | 11 Nov – 2 Dec | 2,000 | 45% | 40% | — | — | — | — | — | 16% | 5% |
| 47% | — | 32% | — | — | — | — | 21% | 15% | |||
| 45% | — | — | 26% | — | — | — | 28% | 19% | |||
| 44% | — | — | — | — | 36% | — | 19% | 8% | |||
| 36% | — | — | — | 36% | — | — | 28% | Tie | |||
| — | — | 29% | — | 52% | — | — | 18% | 23% | |||
| — | 39% | — | — | 48% | — | — | 12% | 9% | |||
| — | — | — | — | 50% | 31% | — | 18% | 19% | |||
| — | — | 29% | — | — | 39% | — | 33% | 10% | |||
| Veja/FSB[222] | 11–14 Oct | 2,000 | 47% | — | 34% | — | — | — | — | 20% | 13% |
| 46% | — | — | 26% | — | — | — | 29% | 20% | |||
| 46% | 38% | — | — | — | — | — | 17% | 8% | |||
| 43% | — | — | — | — | 39% | — | 19% | 7% | |||
| Veja/FSB[223] | 16–18 Aug | 2,000 | 48% | — | 35% | — | — | — | — | 18% | 13% |
| 45% | — | — | 29% | — | — | — | 23% | 16% | |||
| — | — | 37% | 33% | — | — | — | 31% | 4% | |||
| 2018 general election | 28 Oct | — | 55.13% | — | 44.87% | — | — | — | — | — | 10.26% |
See also Edit
Notes Edit
- ^ a b c d This column presents the sum of candidates who do not reach 3% frequently.
- ^ TV presenter José Luiz Datena withdrew candidacy in November 2021, to run for a Senate seat.[151] Polls with his name are now added to the column "Others".
- ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 2%
- ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 3%; Danilo Gentili with 2%
- ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 2%
- ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 3%
- ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 2%
- ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 2%
- ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 3%
- ^ The lead is smaller than the difference between the displayed values of 48.6% and 46.8%, which is 1.8%, due to rounding.
- ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 46.6%
- ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 30%
References Edit
- ^ a b c d "Datas das eleições". Tribunal Regional Eleitoral de Santa Catarina. Retrieved 3 October 2022.
- ^ . Tribunal Superior Eleitoral. Archived from the original on 2 November 2022. Retrieved 3 October 2022.
- ^ a b "How close is the race between Jair Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva?". The Economist. Retrieved 1 October 2022.
- ^ a b "ÍNDICE 2022: AGREGADOR DE PESQUISAS". Veja (in Portuguese). Retrieved 1 October 2022.
- ^ a b "Agregador de Pesquisas - Eleições 2022 - Estadão". Estadão. Retrieved 19 September 2022.
- ^ "Agregador CNN/Locomotiva". CNN Brasil (in Portuguese). Retrieved 1 October 2022.
- ^ a b "Polling Data". pollingdata.com.br. Retrieved 1 October 2022.
- ^ "Lula crece en las encuestas y se acerca a la mayoría absoluta en la primera vuelta de las eleccciones en Brasil". elpais.com. Retrieved 1 October 2022.
- ^ "BRASIL". elelectoral.com/. Retrieved 1 October 2022.
- ^ a b "Média agregada das pesquisas". pollstergraph.com/. Retrieved 1 October 2022.
- ^ "Datafolha, votos válidos: Lula 50%; Bolsonaro 36%". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 1 October 2022.
- ^ "Ipec, votos válidos: Lula, 51%; Bolsonaro, 37%". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 1 October 2022.
- ^ Povo, Gazeta do. "Ipespe: confira nova pesquisa de intenção de voto para presidente". Gazeta do Povo (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 1 October 2022.
- ^ "Atlas Intelligence". atlasintel.org. Retrieved 2 October 2022.
- ^ Povo, Gazeta do. "CNT/MDA: pesquisa mostra novos números da corrida presidencial". Gazeta do Povo (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved
opinion, polling, 2022, brazilian, presidential, election, since, 2018, brazilian, general, election, polling, companies, have, published, surveys, tracking, voting, intention, next, election, results, these, surveys, listed, below, reverse, chronological, ord. Since the 2018 Brazilian general election polling companies have published surveys tracking voting intention for the next election The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order and include candidates who frequently polled above 3 A Brazilian direct recording electronic voting machineThe first round of the 2022 Brazilian general election took place on 2 October 1 As no candidate reached a majority of the votes 2 a second round was held on 30 October 1 Contents 1 First round 1 1 Chart 1 2 Polling aggregation 1 3 2022 1 3 1 Jul Oct 1 3 2 Apr Jun 1 3 3 Jan Mar 1 4 2021 1 5 2020 1 6 2019 2 Second round 2 1 Bolsonaro vs Lula 2 1 1 Polling aggregation 2 1 2 After 2 October 2022 2 1 3 2021 to 2 October 2022 2 2 Other 2 2 1 2021 2 2 2 2020 2 2 3 2019 3 See also 4 Notes 5 ReferencesFirst round EditThe first round took place on 2 October 2022 1 Chart Edit nbsp Local regression of polls conducted Polling aggregation Edit Aggregator Last update nbsp BolsonaroPL nbsp LulaPT nbsp GomesPDT nbsp TebetMDB Others a Blank Null Undec LeadThe Economist 3 1 Oct 2022 38 51 5 6 N A N A Lula 13Veja 4 1 Oct 2022 33 7 44 7 6 8 4 7 N A N A Lula 11 0Estadao 5 1 Oct 2022 33 47 5 6 2 7 Lula 14CNN Brasil 6 1 Oct 2022 34 48 5 6 2 6 Lula 14PollingData 7 1 Oct 2022 37 5 43 7 5 1 5 3 1 9 6 5 Lula 6 2El Pais 8 1 Oct 2022 35 3 46 7 6 0 4 9 N A N A Lula 11 4El Electoral 9 1 Oct 2022 38 5 48 5 5 5 5 0 N A N A Lula 10 0Pollstergraph 10 1 Oct 2022 37 1 44 8 5 6 4 7 N A N A Lula 7 72022 Edit Jul Oct Edit Publisher Pollster Pollingperiod Samplesize nbsp BolsonaroPL nbsp LulaPT nbsp GomesPDT nbsp TebetMDB Others a Blank Null Undec LeadResults 2 Oct Valid votes 43 2 48 4 3 0 4 2 1 2 N A 5 2 Total votes 41 3 46 3 2 9 3 9 1 1 4 4 5 0 Datafolha 11 30 Sep 1 Oct 12 800 34 48 5 6 2 5 14 IPEC 12 29 Sep 1 Oct 3 008 34 47 5 5 2 7 13 Abrapel Ipespe 13 30 Sep 1 100 33 46 7 6 1 4 13 Atlas 14 28 30 Sep 4 500 40 7 49 8 3 9 2 6 1 8 1 9 1 CNT MDA 15 28 30 Sep 2 002 36 3 44 2 4 5 4 3 2 2 8 5 7 9 29 Sep Third presidential debate Datafolha 16 27 29 Sep 6 800 34 48 6 5 1 2 4 14 Atlas 17 24 28 Sep 4 500 39 9 49 3 3 5 2 5 1 9 2 7 9 4 Exame Ideia 18 23 28 Sep 1 500 37 47 6 5 1 2 4 10 Genial Quaest 19 24 27 Sep 2 000 33 46 6 5 1 9 13 Atlas 20 22 26 Sep 4 500 41 48 3 3 5 2 1 2 7 2 3 7 3 Ipec 21 25 26 Sep 3 008 31 48 6 5 2 8 17 BTG Pactual FSB 22 23 25 Sep 2 000 35 45 7 4 2 6 10 24 Sep Second presidential debate Lula did not attend 23 Abrapel Ipespe 24 21 23 Sep 1 100 35 46 6 4 0 9 11 Datafolha 25 20 22 Sep 6 754 33 47 7 5 1 6 14 XP Ipespe 26 19 21 Sep 2 000 35 46 7 4 1 7 11 PoderData 27 18 20 Sep 3 500 37 44 7 4 2 5 7 Genial Quaest 28 17 20 Sep 2 000 34 44 6 5 1 10 10 Arko Atlas 29 16 20 Sep 7 514 38 6 48 4 6 3 4 0 1 8 1 9 8 Ipec 30 17 18 Sep 3 008 31 47 7 5 1 9 16 BTG FSB 31 16 18 Sep 2 000 35 44 7 5 1 7 9 Abrapel Ipespe 32 14 16 Sep 1 100 35 45 7 5 2 5 10 Datafolha 33 13 15 Sep 5 926 33 45 8 5 2 6 12 PoderData 34 11 13 Sep 3 500 37 43 8 5 1 5 6 Genial Quaest 35 10 13 Sep 2 000 34 42 7 4 2 11 8 Globo Ipec 36 9 11 Sep 2 512 31 46 7 4 2 10 15 BTG FSB 37 9 11 Sep 2 000 35 41 9 7 2 6 6 Datafolha 38 8 9 Sep 2 676 34 45 7 5 1 7 11 Abrapel Ipespe 39 7 9 Sep 1 100 36 44 8 5 2 5 8 BTG FSB 40 2 4 Sep 2 000 34 42 8 6 3 7 8 Globo Ipec 41 2 4 Sep 2 512 31 44 8 4 2 11 13 Genial Quaest 42 1 4 Sep 2 000 34 44 7 4 2 9 10 Abrapel Ipespe 43 30 Aug 1 Sep 1 100 35 44 9 5 2 5 9 Datafolha 44 30 Aug 1 Sep 5 734 32 45 9 5 3 6 13 PoderData 45 28 30 Aug 3 500 36 44 8 4 1 5 8 Parana Pesquisas 46 26 30 Aug 2 020 37 1 41 3 7 7 2 4 1 6 9 9 4 2 XP Ipespe 47 26 29 Aug 2 000 35 43 9 5 1 6 8 28 Aug First presidential debate 48 BTG FSB 49 26 28 Aug 2 000 36 43 9 4 2 7 7 Ipec 50 26 28 Aug 2 000 32 44 7 3 1 13 12 Quaest 51 25 28 Aug 2 000 32 44 8 3 2 11 12 CNT MDA 52 25 28 Aug 2 002 34 1 42 3 7 3 2 1 1 1 12 8 8 2 26 Aug Beginning of the period allowed for political advertisement on television and radio Atlas 53 20 25 Aug 7 475 38 3 46 7 6 4 3 6 3 1 1 9 8 4 Exame Ideia 54 19 24 Aug 1 500 36 44 9 4 3 6 5 8 Parana Pesquisas 55 19 23 Aug 2 020 37 41 7 7 3 2 7 1 10 1 4 7 BTG FSB 56 19 21 Aug 2 000 36 45 6 3 2 9 9 Datafolha 57 16 18 Aug 5 744 32 47 7 2 1 8 15 16 Aug Official beginning of the election campaign PoderData 58 14 16 Aug 3 500 37 44 6 4 1 7 7 IPEC 59 12 14 Aug 2 000 32 44 6 2 1 15 12 FSB Comunicacao 60 12 14 Aug 2 000 34 45 8 2 3 8 11 Quaest Genial 61 11 14 Aug 2 000 33 45 6 3 1 12 12 FSB Comunicacao 62 5 7 Aug 2 000 34 41 7 3 4 11 7 5 Aug Brazil Union formally launches the candidacy of senator Soraya Thronicke 63 4 Aug Andre Janones Avante withdraws his candidacy endorses Lula 64 PoderData 65 31 Jul 2 Aug 3 500 35 43 7 4 4 6 8 Parana Pesquisas 66 28 Jul 1 Aug 2 020 35 6 41 1 7 9 1 8 3 3 10 3 5 5 31 Jul Congressman Luciano Bivar Brazil Union withdraws his candidacy 67 Quaest Genial 68 28 31 Jul 2 000 32 44 5 2 5 12 12 Datafolha 69 27 28 Jul 2 566 29 47 8 2 5 9 18 BTG FSB 70 22 24 Jul 2 000 31 44 9 2 4 10 13 XP Ipespe 71 20 22 Jul 2 000 35 44 9 4 2 6 9 20 Jul Beginning of the period for the realization of party conventions 72 Exame Ideia 73 15 20 Jul 1 500 33 44 8 4 4 7 11 PoderData 74 17 19 Jul 3 000 37 43 6 3 3 8 6 BTG FSB 75 8 10 Jul 2 000 32 41 9 4 6 8 9 32 42 9 4 4 9 10 PoderData 76 3 5 Jul 3 000 36 44 5 3 3 9 8 Quaest Genial 77 29 Jun 2 Jul 2 000 31 45 6 2 4 12 14 31 45 7 3 3 11 14 31 47 8 3 0 12 16 Apr Jun Edit Publisher Pollster Pollingperiod Samplesize nbsp BolsonaroPL nbsp LulaPT nbsp GomesPDT nbsp DoriaPSDB Others a Blank Null Undec LeadBTG FSB 78 24 26 Jun 2 000 33 43 8 7 9 10 Modalmais Futura 79 20 24 Jun 2 000 37 6 38 9 7 3 5 1 11 1 3 Datafolha 80 22 23 Jun 2 556 28 47 8 5 11 19 Exame Ideia 81 17 22 Jun 1 500 36 45 7 6 7 9 PoderData 82 19 21 Jun 3 000 34 44 6 5 9 10 BTG FSB 83 10 12 Jun 2 000 32 44 9 4 8 12 PoderData 84 5 7 Jun 3 000 35 43 6 5 10 8 Quaest Genial 85 2 5 Jun 2 000 30 46 7 4 13 16 29 47 9 3 12 18 30 48 9 3 11 18 Instituto GERP 86 30 May 3 Jun 2 095 37 39 8 6 10 2 37 39 7 8 9 2 XP Ipespe 87 30 May 1 Jun 1 000 34 45 9 6 7 11 Parana Pesquisas 88 26 30 May 2 020 35 3 41 4 7 7 5 4 10 1 6 1 BTG FSB 89 27 29 May 2 000 32 46 9 3 8 14 Datafolha 90 25 26 May 2 556 27 48 7 6 11 21 XP Ipespe 91 23 25 May 1 000 34 45 8 7 5 11 CNN Brasil Real Time Big Data 92 23 24 May 3 000 32 40 9 5 13 8 PoderData 93 22 24 May 3 000 35 43 5 1 7 10 8 23 May Facing pressure from within his own party Joao Doria former governor of Sao Paulo withdraws his candidacy 94 95 Modalmais Futura 96 16 19 May 2 000 36 41 5 6 2 5 4 1 10 8 5 Exame Ideia 97 14 19 May 1 500 32 41 9 2 5 2 12 9 33 40 8 6 9 14 7 XP Ipespe 98 16 18 May 1 000 32 44 8 4 4 8 12 XP Ipespe 99 9 11 May 1 000 32 44 8 3 3 10 12 PoderData 100 8 10 May 3 000 35 42 5 4 5 9 7 35 42 7 5 5 7 7 Quaest Genial 101 5 8 May 2 000 29 46 7 3 5 9 17 31 46 9 4 10 15 33 50 5 12 17 33 48 10 10 15 7 May Former President Lula formally launches his candidacy 102 103 CNT MDA 104 4 7 May 2 002 32 40 6 7 1 3 1 5 1 12 1 8 6 XP Ipespe 105 2 4 May 1 000 31 44 8 3 4 10 13 Parana Pesquisas 106 28 Apr 3 May 2 020 35 2 40 7 4 3 2 3 4 10 7 4 8 35 7 42 6 4 9 4 12 8 6 9 PoderData 107 24 26 Apr 3 000 36 41 6 4 5 7 5 BTG FSB 108 22 24 Apr 2 000 32 41 9 3 5 9 9 XP Ipespe 109 18 20 Apr 1 000 31 45 8 3 4 10 14 Exame Ideia 110 15 20 Apr 1 500 33 42 10 3 5 7 9 14 Apr Brazil Union announces the candidacy of congressman Luciano Bivar 111 13 Apr Workers Party national committee formally approves Geraldo Alckmin as Lula s running mate 112 PoderData 113 10 12 Apr 3 000 35 40 5 3 6 11 5 XP Ipespe 114 2 5 Apr 1 000 30 44 9 3 3 12 14 Parana Pesquisas 115 31 Mar 5 Apr 2 020 35 3 41 5 5 8 3 1 1 2 13 1 6 2 Quaest Genial 116 1 3 Apr 2 000 31 45 6 2 4 12 14 Jan Mar Edit Publisher Pollster Pollingperiod Samplesize nbsp BolsonaroPL nbsp LulaPT nbsp MoroPODE nbsp GomesPDT nbsp DoriaPSDB Others a Blank Null Undec LeadInstituto GERP 117 31 Mar 5 Apr 2 095 35 37 6 5 1 2 7 2 31 Mar Former Minister Moro leaves Podemos and joins Brazil Union suspending his candidacy 118 PoderData 119 27 29 Mar 3 000 32 41 6 7 3 4 7 9 Modalmais Futura 120 21 25 Mar 2 000 35 5 38 5 5 3 5 1 1 3 4 8 9 4 3 Datafolha 121 22 23 Mar 2 556 26 43 8 6 2 5 8 17 26 43 8 7 6 10 17 26 44 8 7 2 5 8 18 26 43 8 8 5 9 17 XP Ipespe 122 21 23 Mar 1 000 26 44 9 7 2 4 9 18 Exame Ideia 123 18 23 Mar 1 500 29 40 9 9 1 5 6 11 FSB 124 18 20 Mar 2 000 29 43 8 9 2 5 5 14 PoderData 125 13 15 Mar 3 000 30 40 7 7 2 6 8 10 Quaest Genial 126 10 13 Mar 2 000 26 44 7 7 2 3 13 18 25 45 6 7 2 4 10 20 28 48 8 3 12 20 Ranking Brasil 127 7 12 Mar 3 000 32 4 39 7 2 6 5 2 4 10 5 6 6 Instituto GERP 126 7 10 Mar 2 095 31 38 7 5 2 1 8 7 9 Mar Senator Rodrigo Pacheco PSD announces he will not run for president 128 XP Ipespe 129 7 9 Mar 1 000 28 43 8 8 3 3 9 15 Parana Pesquisas 130 3 8 Mar 2 020 30 9 38 9 7 4 6 8 2 2 2 5 11 2 8 PoderData 131 27 Feb 1 Mar 3 000 32 40 6 7 2 6 8 8 Ipespe 132 21 23 Feb 1 000 26 43 8 7 3 4 9 17 Exame Ideia 133 18 22 Feb 1 500 27 42 10 8 3 3 7 6 15 CNT MDA 134 16 19 Feb 2 002 28 42 2 6 4 6 7 1 8 2 7 12 2 14 2 Modalmais Futura 120 14 17 Feb 2 000 34 7 35 7 5 5 8 1 8 4 5 10 5 0 3 PoderData 135 13 15 Feb 3 000 31 40 9 4 3 4 8 9 XP Ipespe 136 7 9 Feb 1 000 25 43 8 8 3 2 12 18 Quaest Genial 137 3 6 Feb 2 000 23 45 7 7 2 3 13 22 Parana Pesquisas 138 27 Jan 1 Feb 2 020 29 1 40 1 10 1 5 6 2 4 2 4 10 3 11 PoderData 139 31 Jan 1 Feb 3 000 30 41 7 7 2 5 8 11 XP Ipespe 140 24 25 Jan 1 000 24 44 8 8 2 3 12 20 Modalmais Futura 141 17 21 Jan 2 000 33 2 39 5 8 4 7 5 3 2 8 2 6 3 PoderData 142 16 18 Jan 3 000 28 42 8 3 2 4 12 14 Exame Ideia 143 9 13 Jan 1 500 24 41 11 7 4 1 11 17 XP Ipespe 144 10 12 Jan 1 000 24 44 9 7 2 3 13 20 Quaest Genial 145 6 9 Jan 2 000 23 45 9 5 3 1 12 22 2021 Edit Publisher Pollster Pollingperiod Samplesize nbsp BolsonaroPL nbsp LulaPT nbsp MoroPODE nbsp GomesPDT nbsp DoriaPSDB nbsp MandettaUNION nbsp PachecoPSD nbsp TebetMDB Others Blank Null Undec LeadPoderData 146 19 21 Dec 3 000 30 40 7 4 4 1 3 11 10 Ipespe 147 14 16 Dec 1 000 24 44 9 7 3 1 1 12 20 23 43 9 7 3 1 2 9 20 Datafolha 148 13 16 Dec 3 666 22 48 9 7 4 10 26 Ipec 149 9 13 Dec 2 002 22 49 8 5 3 13 27 21 48 6 5 2 1 3 14 27 Exame Ideia 150 6 9 Dec 1 200 27 37 10 6 4 1 2 10 10 Publisher Pollster Pollingperiod Samplesize nbsp BolsonaroPL nbsp LulaPT nbsp MoroPODE nbsp GomesPDT nbsp DoriaPSDB nbsp LeitePSDB nbsp MandettaUNION nbsp PachecoPSD Others b Blank Null Undec Lead8 Dec MDB confirms the candidacy of senator Simone Tebet 152 Quaest Genial 153 2 5 Dec 2 037 23 46 10 5 2 1 1 11 23 30 Nov President Bolsonaro joins the Liberal Party 154 Atlas Politico 155 27 29 Nov 4 401 31 5 42 8 13 7 6 1 1 7 0 9 0 1 3 2 11 3 27 Nov Governor of Sao Paulo Joao Doria wins the PSDB presidential primary 156 Ipespe 157 22 24 Nov 1 000 25 42 11 9 2 1 1 1 3 17 24 42 11 9 2 2 1 8 18 PoderData 158 22 24 Nov 2 500 29 34 8 7 5 3 4 9 5 27 36 8 9 5 2 3 8 9 Futura ModalMais 159 16 20 Nov 2 000 30 8 37 13 6 7 5 1 9 2 1 7 1 6 2 Parana Pesquisas 160 16 19 Nov 2 020 29 2 34 9 10 7 6 1 3 1 1 2 0 4 1 6 13 4 5 7 29 8 35 1 11 6 1 1 6 0 6 1 2 13 6 5 3 Ponteio Politica 161 16 18 Nov 1 000 37 18 11 3 31 19 24 37 11 8 3 17 13 Exame Ideia 162 9 11 Nov 1 200 25 35 5 7 2 2 1 1 2 20 10 Quaest Genial 163 3 6 Nov 2 063 21 48 8 6 2 1 14 27 21 47 8 7 1 1 14 26 Vox Populi 164 30 Oct 4 Nov 2 000 21 44 3 4 1 1 3 22 23 21 45 3 5 1 1 3 21 24 XP Ipespe 165 25 28 Oct 1 000 28 42 11 4 3 2 10 14 25 41 8 9 3 3 2 4 5 16 PoderData 166 25 27 Oct 2 500 28 35 8 5 4 4 1 6 9 7 30 34 7 7 3 4 1 7 7 4 23 Oct PSD confirms the candidacy of senator Rodrigo Pacheco 167 22 Oct Former Judge and Justice Minister Moro confirms candidacy 168 Quaest Genial 169 30 Sep 3 Oct 2 048 24 43 10 11 12 19 24 44 10 9 12 20 26 45 10 6 13 19 PoderData 170 27 29 Sep 2 500 30 40 5 3 3 2 6 11 10 28 43 5 4 3 1 4 11 15 Ipespe 171 22 24 Sep 1 000 28 43 11 5 4 2 7 15 25 42 7 9 5 3 3 1 4 6 17 Ipec 172 16 20 Sep 2 002 23 48 8 3 3 14 25 22 45 5 6 2 3 1 3 14 23 Datatempo 173 9 15 Sep 2 025 22 36 5 6 7 8 2 13 4 14 2 14 Datafolha 174 13 15 Sep 3 667 26 44 9 4 3 12 18 25 42 12 4 2 13 17 25 44 11 6 12 19 24 42 10 5 1 7 12 18 Parana Pesquisas 175 1 5 Sep 2 012 30 9 35 5 9 7 7 4 16 5 4 6 PoderData 176 30 Aug 1 Sep 2 500 28 37 8 4 5 4 3 11 9 Quaest Genial 177 26 29 Aug 2 000 26 47 8 6 13 21 XP Ipespe 178 11 14 Aug 1 000 24 40 9 10 5 4 4 9 16 28 37 11 5 1 5 13 9 PoderData 179 2 4 Aug 2 500 25 39 8 6 4 7 11 14 Quaest Genial 180 29 Jul 1 Aug 1 500 29 46 12 13 17 27 44 10 10 10 17 Parana Pesquisas 181 24 28 Jul 2 010 32 7 33 7 6 8 3 9 1 8 0 8 7 7 12 7 1 Datafolha 182 7 8 Jul 2 074 25 46 8 5 4 12 21 XP Ipespe 183 5 7 Jul 1 000 26 38 9 10 2 3 3 13 12 27 35 11 4 5 6 13 8 Publisher Pollster Pollingperiod Samplesize nbsp BolsonaroIndep nbsp LulaPT nbsp HaddadPT nbsp DinoPCdoB nbsp GomesPDT nbsp BoulosPSOL nbsp DoriaPSDB nbsp AmoedoNOVO nbsp MoroPODE nbsp HuckIndep Others Blank Null Undec LeadExame Ideia 184 22 24 Jun 1 200 31 39 14 8 8 8 Instituto Ipec 185 17 21 Jun 2 002 23 49 7 5 3 13 26 16 Jun Huck withdraws candidacy 186 Instituto Mapa 187 18 20 May 2 000 26 8 36 8 5 0 3 3 2 6 5 1 4 5 2 7 13 5 10 Vox Populi 188 12 16 May 2 000 24 43 5 2 2 8 14 19 Datafolha 189 11 12 May 2 071 23 41 6 3 2 7 4 2 c 13 18 Exame Ideia 190 19 22 Apr 1 200 32 33 9 4 3 6 5 d 9 1 PoderData 191 12 14 Apr 3 500 31 34 6 4 5 3 6 2 e 9 3 XP Ipespe 192 29 31 Mar 1 000 28 29 9 3 3 9 5 3 f 12 1 PoderData 193 15 17 Mar 3 500 30 34 5 3 3 6 4 2 g 13 4 Revista Forum Offerwise 194 11 15 Mar 1 000 30 7 31 2 7 4 6 4 24 3 0 5 29 2 27 1 0 2 6 1 1 5 4 9 1 6 7 8 6 8 14 6 2 1 31 2 13 3 7 7 3 2 7 0 2 0 6 8 28 8 17 9 XP Ipespe 195 9 11 Mar 1 000 27 25 9 3 3 3 10 6 2 h 13 2 28 11 11 6 4 3 11 7 3 i 17 17 Exame Ideia 196 10 11 Mar 1 000 33 18 9 5 7 3 11 6 2 7 15 Atlas 197 8 10 Mar 3 721 32 7 27 4 0 7 7 5 0 9 4 3 2 0 9 7 2 5 5 0 6 1 5 3 32 3 15 7 1 3 11 6 2 3 5 3 2 5 10 4 4 4 6 0 7 1 16 6 CNN Brasil Real Time Big Data 198 8 9 Mar 1 200 31 21 9 4 2 10 7 15 10 8 Mar Lula s corruption charges annulled political rights restored 199 Parana Pesquisas 200 28 Feb 1 Mar 2 080 37 6 14 3 13 6 9 3 9 2 7 21 5 23 3 32 2 18 8 7 3 5 5 3 3 11 6 1 4 16 3 14 2 32 9 10 8 10 3 3 2 3 12 8 7 2 3 17 2 20 4 33 9 11 8 10 7 3 2 6 3 3 2 12 3 18 6 21 6 31 9 10 5 10 3 2 5 3 2 8 11 5 8 16 8 20 5 Exame ideia 201 24 28 Jan 1 200 36 17 11 8 6 22 19 33 15 10 5 10 26 18 32 17 3 10 5 3 7 8 1 15 15 Parana Pesquisas 202 22 26 Jan 2 002 30 5 9 5 10 6 3 5 5 4 2 9 12 8 1 17 4 18 5 31 17 3 9 2 3 6 5 3 3 3 12 1 15 8 13 7 33 7 11 7 1 12 1 6 7 3 1 9 4 3 8 19 1 21 6 Atlas 203 20 24 Jan 3 073 34 4 13 4 11 6 4 3 11 6 4 8 19 9 21 34 5 22 3 1 4 8 8 3 6 11 3 1 9 3 4 12 8 12 2 XP Ipespe 204 11 14 Jan 1 000 28 11 11 5 4 3 12 7 18 16 2018 general election 7 Oct 46 03 29 28 12 47 0 58 4 76 2 50 3 38 16 75 2020 Edit Publisher Pollster Pollingperiod Samplesize nbsp BolsonaroIndep nbsp LulaPT nbsp HaddadPT nbsp DinoPCdoB nbsp GomesPDT nbsp BoulosPSOL nbsp DoriaPSDB nbsp AmoedoNOVO nbsp MoroPODE nbsp HuckIndep Others Blank Null Undec LeadPoderData 205 21 23 Dec 2 500 36 13 1 10 5 3 3 7 9 1 12 23 XP Ipespe 206 7 9 Dec 1 000 29 12 9 5 4 3 11 7 2 19 17 Exame Ideia 207 30 Nov 3 Dec 1 200 28 16 1 7 4 1 10 4 4 24 12 Parana Pesquisas 208 28 Nov 1 Dec 2 036 33 3 8 8 10 5 7 3 7 2 8 11 8 7 8 16 21 5 32 9 17 8 7 7 4 9 3 8 2 8 11 9 15 2 15 1 35 8 11 5 1 2 12 1 4 8 3 5 9 5 2 7 19 1 23 7 XP Ipespe 206 18 20 Nov 1 000 29 13 8 5 3 4 13 7 3 19 16 XP Ipespe 209 8 11 Oct 1 000 31 14 10 3 3 11 5 3 20 17 Exame Ideia 210 5 8 Oct 1 200 30 18 1 9 4 1 10 5 3 19 12 PoderData 211 14 16 Sep 2 500 35 10 4 7 5 13 7 19 22 35 21 3 3 4 11 5 18 14 Exame Ideia 212 24 31 Aug 1 235 31 17 1 6 3 3 13 5 5 14 14 Revista Forum Offerwise 213 21 24 Aug 1 000 41 7 14 8 1 2 7 7 3 7 2 3 13 3 9 7 1 6 26 9 PoderData 214 3 5 Aug 2 500 38 14 3 6 4 10 5 20 24 Parana Pesquisas 215 18 21 Jul 2 030 29 13 4 9 9 4 0 3 4 17 1 6 5 1 7 14 9 11 9 27 5 21 9 8 3 3 8 3 4 16 8 1 6 14 1 5 6 30 7 14 5 1 6 10 7 4 6 4 8 3 6 6 18 9 16 2 Quaest 216 14 17 Jun 1 000 22 13 12 2 19 5 3 23 3 Parana Pesquisas 217 27 29 Apr 2 006 27 14 1 10 3 3 7 4 18 1 6 2 2 14 6 8 9 26 3 23 1 8 1 3 8 4 17 5 1 9 13 3 2 29 1 15 4 1 4 11 1 4 4 4 5 8 1 7 9 18 1 13 7 Veja FSB 218 7 10 Feb 2 000 37 13 11 3 5 12 21 24 31 28 8 4 5 11 12 3 28 15 9 3 4 17 13 12 11 14 12 4 5 31 16 19 5 28 9 3 5 33 10 13 5 Atlas Politico 219 7 9 Feb 2 000 41 13 2 5 14 27 27 32 28 3 0 6 20 14 9 4 CNT MDA 220 15 18 Jan 2 002 29 1 17 2 3 3 5 0 3 1 1 2 4 0 5 2 7 30 2 12 2 2018 general election 7 Oct 46 03 29 28 12 47 0 58 4 76 2 50 3 38 16 75 2019 Edit Publisher Pollster Pollingperiod Samplesize nbsp BolsonaroIndep nbsp LulaPT nbsp HaddadPT nbsp GomesPDT nbsp DoriaPSDB nbsp AmoedoNOVO nbsp MoroPODE nbsp HuckIndep Others Blank Null Undec LeadVeja FSB 221 11 Nov 2 Dec 2 000 33 15 11 3 5 12 22 18 32 29 9 4 5 9 12 3 28 16 11 2 4 15 13 12 12 16 12 4 4 32 15 17 16 29 9 4 5 32 10 11 3 Veja FSB 222 11 14 Oct 2 000 34 17 9 3 5 11 21 18 24 14 10 3 4 17 15 13 7 16 11 5 5 30 16 17 14 Veja FSB 223 16 18 Aug 2 000 35 17 11 3 5 11 18 18 18 13 5 5 27 13 19 9 2018 general election 7 Oct 46 03 29 28 12 47 4 76 2 50 4 96 16 75 Second round EditThe second round took place on 30 October 2022 1 Bolsonaro vs Lula Edit nbsp Local regression of polls conducted Polling aggregation Edit Aggregator Last update nbsp BolsonaroPL nbsp LulaPT Blank Null Undec LeadThe Economist 3 29 Oct 2022 48 52 Lula 4Veja 4 29 Oct 2022 43 5 48 4 8 1 Lula 4 9Estadao 5 29 Oct 2022 44 49 7 Lula 5CNN Brasil 224 29 Oct 2022 43 6 49 6 6 7 Lula 6 0PollingData 7 29 Oct 2022 45 3 46 1 9 Lula 0 8El Electoral 225 26 Oct 2022 45 49 6 Lula 4Pollstergraph 10 29 Oct 2022 45 3 47 6 7 1 Lula 2 3After 2 October 2022 Edit Publisher Pollster Pollingperiod Samplesize nbsp BolsonaroPL nbsp LulaPT Blank Null Undec LeadResults 30 Oct 2022 Valid votes 49 1 50 9 N A 1 8 Total votes 46 8 48 6 4 6 1 7 j Datafolha 226 28 29 Oct 2022 8 308 45 49 7 4 Genial Quaest 227 27 29 Oct 2022 2 000 42 45 13 3 Ipec 228 27 29 Oct 2022 4 272 43 50 7 7 Atlas 229 26 29 Oct 2022 7 500 45 7 52 4 1 9 6 7 CNT MDA 230 26 28 Oct 2022 2 002 44 9 46 9 8 2 2 Parana Pesquisas 231 26 28 Oct 2022 2 400 46 3 47 1 6 6 0 8 28 Oct 2022 Fourth presidential debate Datafolha 232 25 27 Oct 2022 4 580 44 49 7 5 ModalMais Futura 233 24 26 Oct 2022 2 000 47 2 46 6 6 1 0 6 Gerp 234 21 26 Oct 2022 2 095 47 43 9 4 PoderData 235 23 25 Oct 2022 5 000 44 49 7 5 Genial Quaest 236 23 25 Oct 2022 2 000 42 48 10 6 Abrapel Ipespe 237 22 24 Oct 2022 1 100 44 50 6 6 Ipec 238 22 24 Oct 2022 3 008 43 50 7 7 Parana Pesquisas 239 20 24 Oct 2022 2 020 45 9 46 3 7 8 0 4 23 Oct 2022 Third presidential debate Lula did not attend Atlas 240 18 22 Oct 2022 4 500 46 2 52 0 1 8 5 8 21 Oct 2022 Second presidential debate Lula did not attend ModalMais Futura 241 17 19 Oct 2022 2 000 46 9 45 9 7 1 1 0 Datafolha 242 17 19 Oct 2022 2 912 45 49 5 4 Parana Pesquisas 243 15 19 Oct 2022 2 020 44 5 46 9 8 6 2 4 Ideia 244 14 19 Oct 2022 1 500 46 50 4 4 Abrapel Ipespe 245 17 18 Oct 2022 1 100 43 49 8 6 PoderData 246 16 18 Oct 2022 5 000 44 48 8 4 Genial Quaest 247 16 18 Oct 2022 2 000 42 47 11 5 Ipec 248 11 17 Oct 2022 3 008 43 50 7 7 16 Oct 2022 First presidential debate for second round CNT MDA 249 14 16 Oct 2022 2 002 41 8 48 1 10 1 6 3 Datafolha 250 13 14 Oct 2022 2 898 45 49 6 5 ModalMais Futura 251 10 12 Oct 2022 2 000 46 5 46 9 6 6 0 4 Abrapel Ipespe 252 10 12 Oct 2022 2 000 43 49 8 6 Atlas 253 8 12 Oct 2022 4 500 46 5 51 1 3 3 4 6 Parana Pesquisas 254 8 12 Oct 2022 2 020 44 1 47 6 8 4 3 5 PoderData 255 9 11 Oct 2022 5 000 44 48 8 4 Gerp 256 6 11 Oct 2022 2 095 46 48 6 2 Abrapel Ipespe 257 8 10 Oct 2022 1 100 43 50 7 7 IPEC 258 8 10 Oct 2022 2 000 42 51 7 9 Datafolha 259 5 7 Oct 2022 2 884 44 49 7 5 Genial Quaest 260 3 5 Oct 2022 2 000 41 48 11 7 PoderData 261 3 5 Oct 2022 3 500 44 48 8 4 IPEC 262 3 5 Oct 2022 2 000 43 51 6 8 ModalMais Futura 263 3 4 Oct 2022 2 000 46 0 49 3 4 7 3 3 2021 to 2 October 2022 Edit Publisher Pollster Pollingperiod Samplesize nbsp BolsonaroPL nbsp LulaPT Blank Null Undec LeadDatafolha 264 30 Sep 1 Oct 2022 12 800 38 54 8 16 IPEC 265 29 Sep 1 Oct 2022 3 008 37 52 11 15 Abrapel Ipespe 266 30 Sep 2022 1 100 38 55 7 17 Atlas 267 28 30 Sep 2022 4 500 42 8 53 1 4 1 10 3 CNT MDA 268 28 30 Sep 2022 2 002 41 2 50 4 8 4 9 2 Atlas 269 24 28 Sep 2022 4 500 42 4 51 8 5 8 9 4 Exame Ideia 270 23 28 Sep 2022 1 500 41 52 7 11 Genial Quaest 19 24 27 Sep 2022 2 000 38 52 10 14 Atlas 20 22 26 Sep 2022 4 500 43 7 51 3 5 7 6 Ipec 21 25 26 Sep 2022 3 008 35 54 14 19 BTG Pactual FSB 22 23 25 Sep 2022 2 000 40 52 8 12 Abrapel Ipespe 271 21 23 Sep 2022 1 100 38 54 8 16 Datafolha 25 20 22 Sep 2022 6 754 38 54 9 16 XP Ipespe 26 19 21 Sep 2022 2 000 37 54 9 17 PoderData 272 18 20 Sep 2022 3 500 42 50 8 8 Genial Quaest 273 17 20 Sep 2022 2 000 40 50 10 10 Arko Atlas 274 16 20 Sep 2022 7 514 41 4 53 1 5 5 11 7 Ipec 275 17 18 Sep 2022 3 008 35 54 11 19 BTG FSB 276 16 18 Sep 2022 2 000 39 52 9 13 Aprapel Ipespe 277 14 16 Sep 2022 1 100 38 53 9 15 Datafolha 33 13 15 Sep 2022 5 926 38 54 8 16 PoderData 278 11 13 Sep 2022 3 500 42 51 6 9 Genial Quaest 35 10 13 Sep 2022 2 000 40 48 12 8 Globo Ipec 279 9 11 Sep 2022 2 512 36 53 12 17 BTG FSB 280 9 11 Sep 2022 2 000 38 51 11 13 Datafolha 281 8 9 Sep 2022 2 676 39 53 9 14 Abrapel Ipespe 282 7 9 Sep 2022 1 100 39 52 9 13 BTG FSB 283 2 4 Sep 2022 2 000 40 53 8 13 Globo Ipec 41 2 4 Sep 2022 2 512 36 52 12 16 Genial Quaest 284 1 4 Sep 2022 2 000 39 51 10 12 Abrapel Ipespe 285 30 Aug 1 Sep 2022 1 100 38 53 9 15 PoderData 286 28 30 Aug 2022 3 500 41 50 9 9 Parana Pesquisas 287 26 30 Aug 2022 2 020 40 8 47 8 11 4 7 XP Ipespe 288 26 29 Aug 2022 2 000 38 53 9 15 BTG FSB 289 26 28 Aug 2022 2 000 39 52 9 13 Ipec 50 26 28 Aug 2022 2 000 37 50 13 13 Quaest 290 25 28 Aug 2022 2 000 37 51 13 14 CNT MDA 52 25 28 Aug 2022 2 002 38 8 50 1 11 1 11 3 Modalmais Futura 291 24 25 Aug 2022 2 000 43 8 45 3 10 9 1 5 Atlas 292 20 25 Aug 2022 7 475 40 8 51 8 7 4 11 Exame Ideia 293 19 24 Aug 2022 1 500 40 49 11 9 BTG FSB 294 19 21 Aug 2022 2 000 39 52 9 13 Datafolha 295 16 18 Aug 2022 5 744 37 54 10 17 PoderData 296 14 16 Aug 2022 3 500 38 52 10 14 Ipec 59 12 14 Aug 2022 2 000 35 51 14 16 FSB Comunicacao 60 12 14 Aug 2022 2 000 38 53 10 15 Quaest Genial 297 11 14 Aug 2022 2 000 38 51 11 13 FSB Comunicacao 62 5 7 Aug 2022 3 500 39 51 10 12 PoderData 298 31 Jul 2 Aug 2022 3 500 40 50 9 10 Datafolha 69 22 24 Jul 2022 2 566 35 55 9 20 BTG FSB 70 22 24 Jul 2022 2 000 36 54 9 18 Exame Ideia 73 15 20 Jul 2022 1 500 37 47 11 10 PoderData 299 17 19 Jul 2022 3 000 38 51 12 13 BTG FSB 75 8 10 Jul 2022 2 000 37 53 10 16 PoderData 300 3 5 Jul 2022 3 000 38 50 12 12 Quaest Genial 77 29 Jun 2 Jul 2022 2 000 34 53 13 19 BTG FSB 78 24 26 Jun 2022 2 000 37 52 10 15 Datafolha 80 22 23 Jun 2022 2 556 34 57 9 23 Exame Ideia 81 17 22 Jun 2022 1 500 41 48 10 7 PoderData 82 19 21 Jun 2022 3 000 35 52 13 17 BTG FSB 83 10 12 Jun 2022 2 000 36 54 8 18 PoderData 301 05 07 Jun 2022 3 000 40 50 10 10 Quaest Genial 85 02 05 Jun 2022 2 000 32 54 12 22 XP Ipespe 87 30 May 1 Jun 2022 1 000 35 53 12 18 Parana Pesquisas 88 26 30 May 2022 2 020 39 2 47 3 13 5 8 1 BTG FSB 89 27 29 May 2022 2 000 35 54 11 19 Datafolha 90 25 26 May 2022 2 556 33 58 9 25 XP Ipespe 91 23 25 May 2022 1 000 35 53 12 18 PoderData 93 22 24 May 2022 3 000 39 50 11 11 Modalmais Futura 96 16 19 May 2022 2 000 40 1 49 10 9 8 9 Exame Ideia 14 19 May 2022 1 500 39 46 15 7 XP Ipespe 98 17 18 May 2022 1 000 34 53 13 19 XP Ipespe 99 9 11 May 2022 1 000 35 54 10 19 PoderData 100 8 10 May 2022 3 000 38 49 13 11 Quaest Genial 101 5 8 May 2022 2 000 34 54 11 20 CNT MDA 104 4 7 May 2022 2 002 36 8 50 8 12 4 14 XP Ipespe 105 2 4 May 2022 1 000 34 54 12 20 Parana Pesquisas 106 28 3 May 2022 2 020 38 7 46 4 15 7 7 PoderData 302 24 26 Apr 2022 3 000 39 48 13 9 BTG FSB 108 22 24 Apr 2022 2 000 37 52 10 15 XP Ipespe 109 18 20 Apr 2022 1 000 34 54 12 20 Exame Ideia 110 15 20 Apr 2022 1 500 39 48 13 9 PoderData 303 10 12 Apr 2022 3 000 38 47 15 9 XP Ipespe 114 2 5 Apr 2022 1 000 33 53 14 20 Parana Pesquisas 115 31 5 Apr 2022 2 020 38 5 47 1 14 4 8 6 Quaest Genial 116 1 3 Apr 2022 2 000 34 55 11 21 PoderData 119 27 29 Mar 2022 3 000 38 50 12 12 Futura Modalmais 120 21 25 Mar 2022 2 000 41 6 48 6 9 8 7 Datafolha 304 22 23 Mar 2022 2 556 34 55 11 21 Exame Ideia 123 18 23 Mar 2022 1 500 37 50 13 13 FSB 124 18 20 Mar 2022 2 000 35 54 11 19 PoderData 125 13 15 Mar 2022 3 000 36 50 14 14 Quaest Genial 126 10 13 Mar 2022 2 000 32 54 13 22 Ranking Brasil 127 7 12 Mar 2022 3 000 38 3 45 16 7 6 7 XP Ipespe 136 7 9 Mar 2022 1 000 33 53 14 20 Parana Pesquisas 130 3 8 Mar 2022 2 020 37 3 46 16 7 8 7 PoderData 305 27 1 Mar 2022 3 000 37 51 11 14 Ipespe 132 21 23 Feb 2022 1 000 32 54 14 22 Exame Ideia 133 18 22 Feb 2022 1 500 35 49 16 14 CNT MDA 134 16 19 Feb 2022 2 002 35 3 53 2 17 9 17 9 Futura Modalmais 120 14 17 Feb 2022 2 000 40 1 48 11 9 7 9 PoderData 135 13 15 Feb 2022 3 000 35 50 15 15 XP Ipespe 136 7 9 Feb 2022 1 000 31 54 15 23 Quaest Genial 137 3 6 Feb 2022 2 000 30 54 16 24 Parana Pesquisas 138 27 1 Feb 2022 2 020 34 4 48 8 16 8 14 4 PoderData 139 31 1 Feb 2022 3 000 37 54 9 17 XP Ipespe 140 24 25 Jan 2022 1 000 30 54 16 24 Futura Modalmais 141 17 21 Jan 2022 2 000 37 8 50 4 11 8 12 6 PoderData 142 16 18 Jan 2022 3 000 32 54 14 22 Exame Ideia 143 9 13 Jan 2022 1 500 33 49 18 16 XP Ipespe 144 10 12 Jan 2022 1 000 31 56 13 25 Quaest Genial 145 6 9 Jan 2022 2 000 30 54 16 24 PoderData 146 19 21 Dec 2021 3 000 34 54 12 20 Ipespe 147 14 16 Dec 2021 1 000 31 53 16 22 Ipespe 157 22 24 Nov 2021 1 000 32 52 16 20 PoderData 158 22 24 Nov 2021 2 500 31 54 15 23 Parana Pesquisas 160 16 19 Nov 2021 2 020 35 6 42 5 21 9 6 9 Ponteio Politica 161 16 18 Nov 2021 1 000 32 50 18 18 Exame Ideia 162 9 11 Nov 2021 1 200 31 48 21 17 Quaest Genial 163 3 6 Nov 2021 2 063 27 57 13 30 XP Ipespe 306 25 28 Oct 2021 1 000 32 50 18 18 PoderData 166 25 27 Oct 2021 2 500 37 52 11 15 PoderData 170 27 29 Sep 2021 2 500 33 56 11 23 Datatempo 173 9 15 Sep 2021 2 025 30 1 53 1 16 8 23 Datafolha 174 13 15 Sep 2021 3 667 31 56 14 25 PoderData 176 30 1 Sep 2021 2 500 30 55 15 25 Quaest Genial 177 26 29 Aug 2021 2 000 30 55 15 25 XP Ipespe 178 11 14 Aug 2021 1 000 32 51 17 19 PoderData 179 2 4 Aug 2021 2 500 32 52 16 20 XP Ipespe 183 5 7 Jul 2021 1 000 35 49 17 14 Other Edit 2021 Edit Publisher Pollster Pollingperiod Samplesize nbsp BolsonaroIndep nbsp LulaPT nbsp HaddadPT nbsp GomesPDT nbsp BoulosPSOL nbsp DoriaPSDB nbsp MoroPODE nbsp HuckIndep Others Blank Null Undec LeadDatafolha 182 7 8 Jul 2 074 31 58 11 27 56 22 21 34 Vox Populi 188 12 16 May 2 000 28 55 17 27 52 19 29 33 56 14 30 42 Datafolha 189 11 12 May 2 071 32 55 13 23 53 33 14 20 57 21 22 36 36 48 17 12 39 40 22 1 Exame Ideia 190 19 22 Apr 1 200 38 40 23 2 PoderData 191 12 14 Apr 3 50034 52 14 18 35 48 17 13 38 37 25 1 38 37 25 1 38 38 24 TieXP Ipespe 192 29 31 Mar 1 00038 41 20 4 30 30 40 Tie38 38 33 Tie35 32 33 3 38 30 32 8 37 30 33 7 41 36 23 5 PoderData 193 15 17 Mar 3 500 36 41 23 5 34 39 27 5 37 40 23 3 41 31 28 10 38 31 31 7 Revista Forum Offerwise 194 11 15 Mar 1 000 33 8 38 0 28 3 4 2 33 6 16 7 49 6 16 9 36 9 13 4 49 8 23 5 35 4 17 4 47 2 18 0 35 7 24 5 39 8 11 2 XP Ipespe 195 9 11 Mar 1 000 41 40 19 1 40 36 24 4 31 34 35 3 37 32 30 5 39 37 25 2 40 30 30 10 39 29 32 10 30 40 30 10 Exame Ideia 196 10 11 Mar 1 000 44 37 19 7 45 34 21 11 47 26 26 21 46 37 17 9 Atlas 197 3 721 36 9 46 6 k 16 5 9 7 37 5 44 7 17 8 7 2 38 8 44 9 16 3 6 1 39 4 43 0 17 6 3 6 39 8 39 3 20 9 0 5 37 1 26 8 1 0 34 3 33 1 32 6 1 2 37 3 32 5 30 2 4 8 CNN Brasil Real Time Big Data 198 8 9 Mar 1 200 43 39 18 4 43 36 21 7 41 38 21 3 46 31 23 15 Exame Ideia 201 24 28 Jan 1 200 45 28 26 17 41 34 26 7 45 30 24 15 41 38 21 3 Parana Pesquisas 202 22 26 Jan 2 002 42 4 35 7 21 9 6 7 39 1 37 6 23 3 1 5 43 7 34 3 22 1 9 4 44 9 29 4 25 8 15 5 42 7 33 2 24 1 9 5 XP Ipespe 204 11 14 Jan 1 000 38 34 28 4 33 36 31 3 40 37 23 3 44 31 25 13 42 37 22 5 30 43 28 13 2020 Edit Publisher Pollster Pollingperiod Samplesize nbsp BolsonaroIndep nbsp LulaPT nbsp HaddadPT nbsp GomesPDT nbsp BoulosPSOL nbsp DoriaPSDB nbsp MoroPODE nbsp HuckIndep Others Blank Null Undec LeadPoderData 205 21 23 Dec 2 500 44 38 18 6 43 36 21 7 44 35 21 9 46 34 20 12 48 35 17 13 46 31 23 15 XP Ipespe 206 7 9 Dec 1 000 36 34 30 2 45 35 21 10 40 33 27 7 43 36 22 7 47 31 22 16 27 46 28 19 Exame Ideia 207 30 Nov 3 Dec 1 200 37 32 31 5 44 29 27 15 38 22 40 16 37 36 27 1 36 32 32 4 Parana Pesquisas 208 28 Nov 1 Dec 2 036 47 33 4 19 7 13 6 44 9 34 7 20 5 10 2 48 5 31 20 6 17 5 51 1 23 8 25 1 27 3 48 6 29 7 21 7 18 9 XP Ipespe 206 18 20 Nov 1 000 33 38 28 5 43 37 20 6 25 46 29 21 40 33 27 7 42 39 19 3 45 31 24 14 XP Ipespe 209 8 11 Oct 1 000 42 30 l 28 12 43 35 22 8 42 28 30 14 43 35 22 8 35 36 29 1 26 43 31 17 Exame Ideia 210 5 8 Oct 1 200 43 33 25 10 42 21 38 21 41 35 25 6 PoderData 211 14 16 Sep 2 500 45 32 23 13 48 33 19 15 40 37 23 3 45 38 17 7 41 41 18 TieExame Ideia 212 24 31 Aug 1 235 42 31 27 11 41 17 42 24 38 31 31 7 PoderData 307 3 5 Aug 2 500 44 30 26 14 42 34 24 8 41 41 18 TieParana Pesquisas 215 18 21 Jul 2 030 46 6 32 21 4 14 6 44 7 35 20 2 9 7 45 6 36 4 18 9 2 48 1 31 1 20 9 17 51 7 23 25 4 28 7 50 8 27 6 21 6 23 2 Veja FSB 218 7 10 Feb 2 000 51 33 16 18 50 25 26 25 45 37 17 8 48 40 11 8 37 39 25 2 30 53 17 23 40 49 12 9 30 37 34 7 51 32 16 19 2018 general election 28 Oct 55 13 44 87 10 26 2019 Edit Publisher Pollster Pollingperiod Samplesize nbsp BolsonaroIndep nbsp LulaPT nbsp HaddadPT nbsp DoriaPSDB nbsp MoroPODE nbsp HuckIndep Others Blank Null Undec LeadQuaest 308 26 27 Dec 1 000 46 32 22 14 Veja FSB 221 11 Nov 2 Dec 2 000 45 40 16 5 47 32 21 15 45 26 28 19 44 36 19 8 36 36 28 Tie 29 52 18 23 39 48 12 9 50 31 18 19 29 39 33 10 Veja FSB 222 11 14 Oct 2 000 47 34 20 13 46 26 29 20 46 38 17 8 43 39 19 7 Veja FSB 223 16 18 Aug 2 000 48 35 18 13 45 29 23 16 37 33 31 4 2018 general election 28 Oct 55 13 44 87 10 26 See also EditPresident of Brazil Opinion polling for the 2018 Brazilian general election Opinion polling on the Jair Bolsonaro presidencyNotes Edit a b c d This column presents the sum of candidates who do not reach 3 frequently TV presenter Jose Luiz Datena withdrew candidacy in November 2021 to run for a Senate seat 151 Polls with his name are now added to the column Others Luiz Henrique Mandetta DEM with 2 Luiz Henrique Mandetta DEM with 3 Danilo Gentili with 2 Luiz Henrique Mandetta DEM with 2 Luiz Henrique Mandetta DEM with 3 Luiz Henrique Mandetta DEM with 2 Luiz Henrique Mandetta DEM with 2 Luiz Henrique Mandetta DEM with 3 The lead is smaller than the difference between the displayed values of 48 6 and 46 8 which is 1 8 due to rounding Luiz Henrique Mandetta DEM with 46 6 Luiz Henrique Mandetta DEM with 30 References Edit a b c d Datas das eleicoes Tribunal Regional Eleitoral de Santa Catarina Retrieved 3 October 2022 Resultados TSE Tribunal Superior Eleitoral Archived from the original on 2 November 2022 Retrieved 3 October 2022 a b How close is the race between Jair Bolsonaro and Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva The Economist Retrieved 1 October 2022 a b INDICE 2022 AGREGADOR DE PESQUISAS Veja in Portuguese Retrieved 1 October 2022 a b Agregador de Pesquisas Eleicoes 2022 Estadao Estadao Retrieved 19 September 2022 Agregador CNN Locomotiva CNN Brasil in Portuguese Retrieved 1 October 2022 a b Polling Data pollingdata com br Retrieved 1 October 2022 Lula crece en las encuestas y se acerca a la mayoria absoluta en la primera vuelta de las eleccciones en Brasil elpais com Retrieved 1 October 2022 BRASIL elelectoral com Retrieved 1 October 2022 a b Media agregada das pesquisas pollstergraph com Retrieved 1 October 2022 Datafolha votos validos Lula 50 Bolsonaro 36 G1 in Brazilian Portuguese Retrieved 1 October 2022 Ipec votos validos Lula 51 Bolsonaro 37 G1 in Brazilian Portuguese Retrieved 1 October 2022 Povo Gazeta do Ipespe confira nova pesquisa de intencao de voto para presidente Gazeta do Povo in Brazilian Portuguese Retrieved 1 October 2022 Atlas Intelligence atlasintel org Retrieved 2 October 2022 Povo Gazeta do CNT MDA pesquisa mostra novos numeros da corrida presidencial Gazeta do Povo in Brazilian Portuguese Retrieved span, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,